Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeart Radio.
Speaker 2: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly
Speaker 2: source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and
Speaker 2: whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,
Speaker 2: here's your host, Paul Charian.
Speaker 1: Welcome Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul Charchian. Co host
Speaker 1: Brian Johnson. Hello, what's up, charts.
Speaker 3: We are fighting. We're not fighting the wildfires in Canada.
Speaker 1: Not literally, they're not either, by the way. But yeah,
Speaker 1: we've got a serious air quality issue. So we'll be
Speaker 1: clearing our throats. Yeah a little bit at times. Yep,
Speaker 1: we may sound a little gravelly. We may be killing
Speaker 1: Mike's from time to time to uh clear the throats. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's it's it's weird. You know.
Speaker 3: New York got it bad. Yeah, I got a lot
Speaker 3: of family so friends out in that region. It looked
Speaker 3: way worse than here.
Speaker 1: Yes, but here's the thing about Canada, and I say,
Speaker 1: why they're not actually fighting it. They're like, there's nothing
Speaker 1: we can do. It's so big. This thing is just
Speaker 1: gonna run until it puts itself out or winter comes.
Speaker 3: Okay, I made an awful joke an awful tweet.
Speaker 1: I'll share it here. You think they're so awful, you're
Speaker 1: gonna you're gonna share, all right, run run it by you.
Speaker 3: Uh, how did it go?
Speaker 1: Okay? Yeah? Uh?
Speaker 3: You think they could control those fires up in Canada
Speaker 3: better with all the hosers.
Speaker 1: Oh that's good. That's it. Yeah, that's It's a dad joke,
Speaker 1: but I like it the best jokes. That's really good. Uh.
Speaker 1: Like last you know, last week, we broke down the
Speaker 1: teams of the a f C and NFC East, and
Speaker 1: as I was prepping up for today's show, which is
Speaker 1: the a f C and NFC South, I realized, really
Speaker 1: what this is more than anything else, as we break
Speaker 1: down each one of these teams, For me, it's a
Speaker 1: sleeper show. You know. I get all excited about some
Speaker 1: sleeper who I really think is sitting out of good
Speaker 1: years being being underdrafted, and we identify the most underdrafted
Speaker 1: player on each one of the eight teams that we're
Speaker 1: going to cover today and the most overdrafted player. So
Speaker 1: it's a sleeper bust show as much as anything else.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think can you recall at this point in
Speaker 3: the offseason, I mean we're in OTAs now where there's
Speaker 3: five six big name free agents still out there. Yeah,
Speaker 3: like DeAndre Hopkins, Dalvin Cook, yeah, Ezekiel Elliottree Fond yeah,
Speaker 3: Fournette Yeah.
Speaker 1: So we'll preview all these we have to preview. We're
Speaker 1: at this point in the.
Speaker 3: Off season where you're previewing teams, but right not every
Speaker 3: team is set in stone. But we'll just have to
Speaker 3: see where those guys end up. But as of right now,
Speaker 3: they are available.
Speaker 1: We'll drive it dive into the AFC South in just
Speaker 1: a moment here. But a reminder, Guillotine leagues dot Com
Speaker 1: now live. You can get all my player rankings for free,
Speaker 1: get my cheat sheet for free. You can also get
Speaker 1: the premium Guillotine specific cheat sheet. We've got a new
Speaker 1: mobile app that's coming it at the end of this month.
Speaker 1: We're very excited about that. And lots of different ways
Speaker 1: to play private leagues with your friends, public contests at
Speaker 1: whatever prize level you want, and are high stakes leagues
Speaker 1: called Super Chop one hundred and forty four team. It's
Speaker 1: the ultimate challenge in the Guillotine League universe.
Speaker 3: This is the fifty dollars one It's almost a quarter
Speaker 3: full already yeah, baby, teams will have multiples of those.
Speaker 3: And it's not too early to draft the aforementioned free
Speaker 3: agents we were talking about.
Speaker 1: You get them cheaper now.
Speaker 3: Since they sign, it doesn't matter where they sign, their
Speaker 3: value goes those up.
Speaker 1: So it's true, it is not too early. And the
Speaker 1: people kind of people are listening to this show now.
Speaker 1: You know, our listenership goes way up as the as
Speaker 1: the season gets closer. The people are listening now. You man,
Speaker 1: you're you are way ahead of most on this and
Speaker 1: your ability to go crush a draft this time of
Speaker 1: year is better than it's going to be later when
Speaker 1: everybody catches up. All right, let's go to the FC south, Brian,
Speaker 1: what team would you like to start with.
Speaker 3: Let's start with the Titans. Okay, off season moves it
Speaker 3: matter for Tennessee. DeAndre Hopkins perhaps maybe first team he visited,
Speaker 3: has not signed with Tennessee, so we'll just have to
Speaker 3: wait and see there. Other than that, not a lot
Speaker 3: of major moves in the off season. And now Robert
Speaker 3: Woods and tight end Austin Hooper are no longer with
Speaker 3: the team that leaves the receiving corpus Traylon Brooks really
Speaker 3: the only guy you want. And then there's Nick Westbrook
Speaker 3: at keene and Kyle Phillips there they're deep league dark throats.
Speaker 3: It's really all about Treylon Brooks at wide receiver. And
Speaker 3: we'll talk about the other tight end a little later.
Speaker 3: Who's still with the team now that Hooper is gone.
Speaker 3: And lastly, the Titans drafted running back ty J Spears
Speaker 3: and quarterback Will Levis. Both not an immediate threat to
Speaker 3: the you know the incumbents at the respective positions, Derrick
Speaker 3: Henry and Ryan Tannehill, but they should have an impact
Speaker 3: this year. We'll talk a little more about Spears in
Speaker 3: a minute. Will the offense be better or worse than
Speaker 3: last year?
Speaker 1: This is kind of a loaded question.
Speaker 3: It's gonna be better, It's gonna be a little bit better.
Speaker 3: I mean, Tannehill was a hurt a lot last year.
Speaker 3: Don't for Malik Willis, but now he's he's QB three
Speaker 3: and if something happened to Tannehill, Levis has I'm intriguing upside.
Speaker 3: He's got a lot of bust potential as well. But
Speaker 3: they're not gonna miss Robert Woods, a Ton nor Austin Hooper.
Speaker 3: Treylon Burks was injured a lot last year as well.
Speaker 3: Hopefully he's fully healthy and in his second year he
Speaker 3: should take a take a step, so we will go
Speaker 3: towards better. My most underdrafted player by ADP, you'd think
Speaker 3: it's Chicka koon Quill, who is now the starting tight end.
Speaker 3: People are onto him, so yeah, he's he's like the
Speaker 3: consensus sleeper, so he's no longer a sleeper. Crazically, I've
Speaker 3: watched his ADP rise and rise jumped over month because
Speaker 3: I've been drafted since February, so he's not really a
Speaker 3: sleeper anymore. He's going off the board as tight end
Speaker 3: twelve right now, so that's that's a tight end one.
Speaker 3: That's a tight end one. So I still love him,
Speaker 3: don't get me wrong, but he's he's not underdrafted by
Speaker 3: any means. I'm gonna go with ty J. Spears one
Speaker 3: hundred and seventy sixth overall running back, fifty four. He
Speaker 3: has crossover appeal in that if you draft Derrick Henry,
Speaker 3: you want He's one of my handcuffs, my must handcuffs Spears.
Speaker 1: But he's also a guy I'm.
Speaker 3: Drafting if I don't have Derrick Henry, because we're gonna
Speaker 3: talk about Dereck Henry in but yeah, ty J Speers,
Speaker 3: I don't like his long term potential per se because
Speaker 3: he basically has no knees left.
Speaker 1: He's had some major knee issues.
Speaker 3: But right this year I'm looking at this year, we're
Speaker 3: looking at an aging Derrick Henry and ty J Spears
Speaker 3: probably as healthy as he's going to be in his
Speaker 3: NFL career. So at running back fifty four, I'm loving
Speaker 3: the value there and.
Speaker 1: Well, and you know, Henry has Henry could can falter
Speaker 1: a lot of different ways at this stage of his career.
Speaker 1: Right all the miles that are on him, he might
Speaker 1: just take a big step down. We all know what
Speaker 1: the running back position. When the end comes, it comes quickly.
Speaker 1: Derick Henry might be at the end right now. This
Speaker 1: could be it, so Spears could get used that way.
Speaker 1: He could finally break down. For a guy who's been
Speaker 1: a great workhorse back, Derrick Henry could finally break down too.
Speaker 1: That would give Spears an opportunity to Yeah.
Speaker 3: You basically, and that is why Henry Derrick Henry is
Speaker 3: my most overdrafted player right now, going off of the
Speaker 3: board at RB eight, twenty fifth overall. So he's end
Speaker 3: of the second, early third. But like you said, this
Speaker 3: is the epitome of mitigating the age Cliff he is
Speaker 3: at that age, especially for a running back. Gap twenty
Speaker 3: nine doesn't catch a ton. And yeah, it's not an
Speaker 3: exciting offense either. They used to have such a dominant offensive.
Speaker 1: Line right of the case, so their line I think
Speaker 1: was ranked dead last and run blocking last year by
Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus.
Speaker 3: I believe that early in the draft, whether I'm going
Speaker 3: for a running back or not, I mean, I'm I'm
Speaker 3: just not looking Derek heny Henry's way this year.
Speaker 1: The most improved team in the NFL this year is
Speaker 1: going to be the Houston Texans, which isn't a super
Speaker 1: bowld stavement where they went like four games last year,
Speaker 1: including the mistake win in Week eighteen, so it's not
Speaker 1: super bold, but I'm really bullish on Houston. They traded
Speaker 1: away Brandon Cooks to Dallas. They drafted the ironically named
Speaker 1: Tank Dell just that he's just a weelow guy. I'm
Speaker 1: lu gormout and naim for fantasy purposes. They also signed
Speaker 1: mac wide receivers Robert Woods and Noah Brown. They don't
Speaker 1: much for me.
Speaker 3: Let me throw us out there about Tank Dell real quick.
Speaker 3: Some sites have him as Tank Dell and others have
Speaker 3: his real name, which is Nathaniel So.
Speaker 1: Okay, yeah uh. They signed Dalan Schultz to replace Jordan Aikins,
Speaker 1: and I'm I am interested in Jordan. Schultz is a
Speaker 1: as as somebody that I think there's some value in.
Speaker 3: So much with Brevin Jordan, he was one of my
Speaker 3: my sleepers briefly.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, that's did And they signed a Devin Singletary
Speaker 1: in the off season. He will be a back up
Speaker 1: behind Damian Pierce. So willis offense be better? I already
Speaker 1: tipped my hand on this. Yes, this Houston offense will
Speaker 1: be better once c. J. Stroud hits his stride. The
Speaker 1: offensive line isn't half bad. The loss of Brandon Cooks
Speaker 1: can be replaced with John Metchi, remember he's coming back
Speaker 1: from the leukemia, and Nico Collins should be better in
Speaker 1: year three. I'm interested in Nico Collins too, and maybe
Speaker 1: most importantly in Houston, we have a new and presumably
Speaker 1: competent coaching staff. You get head coach DeMeco Ryans, who
Speaker 1: I love. New offense coordinator Bobby Slowick comes from the
Speaker 1: forty nine ers with Ryans where he was the passing
Speaker 1: game coordinator. So I love that that we're bringing forty
Speaker 1: Niner coaching reps to the Houston Texans. I just feel
Speaker 1: like this whole coaching staff is going to take a
Speaker 1: sizeable step up. So who's the most underdrafted player? If
Speaker 1: you know me, you know I feel about Damian Pierce
Speaker 1: being drafted way too low. He's going off the border
Speaker 1: running back twenty, that's sixty fifth overall. Dude was quietly
Speaker 1: great last year, Brian, but a lot of people didn't
Speaker 1: see him play because he played for Houston, and he's
Speaker 1: got room to do a lot more receiving this year.
Speaker 1: He was a talented receiver at Florida. And again, back
Speaker 1: to this forty nine ers offense. If we assuming we
Speaker 1: were getting some some variation of a forty nine Ers
Speaker 1: offense here, the offensive coordinator Bobby Slowk was part of
Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers offense that threw the ball seven
Speaker 1: times per game to running backs last year seven times.
Speaker 1: Love it. If we're gonna get anywhere close to seven,
Speaker 1: most that work is gonna go to Damian Pierce. He
Speaker 1: has got sneaky PPR upside that he did not tap
Speaker 1: into in his rookie year. So Damian Pierce to me,
Speaker 1: is the most underdrafted player. Dalton Schultz is your honorable mention,
Speaker 1: the most overdrafted player by ADP. To me, it's Devin Singletary.
Speaker 1: I don't see him as to me totally just a guy.
Speaker 1: He's just an injured replacement for Peers. He doesn't bring
Speaker 1: much to the table stylistically, ability wise, he's not special.
Speaker 1: So really nobody from you since really getting overdrafted. He's
Speaker 1: running back fifty one hundred and fiftieth off the board.
Speaker 1: But I don't even want Devin Singletary at that price.
Speaker 3: No, there are other backs in that range that are
Speaker 3: more intriguing, rookies or other backups like don Jerome Ford
Speaker 3: comes to my way. I'm not on Singletary too.
Speaker 1: What team do you want to do next? Well, I
Speaker 1: got the Colts. Wait, actually, before we do Colts, let's
Speaker 1: take a break. Let's work in a quick break. We'll
Speaker 1: do the Indianapolis Colts, talk about the offseason moves and
Speaker 1: our most over and under drafted players. When we come back.
Speaker 1: Welcome back, Paul Charchion, Brian Johnson with you. Now, let's
Speaker 1: talk about the Colts.
Speaker 3: The Colts yeah, a lot, a lot of a lot
Speaker 3: of change, yes, starting with quarterback Matt Ryan retired. Now,
Speaker 3: like a zombie extra on the Walking Dead set, I
Speaker 3: would imagine, I'm sorry, I can't shouldn't take my shots
Speaker 3: at Matt Ryan.
Speaker 1: I feel bad for Matt right now. What's what's not
Speaker 1: to like?
Speaker 3: His play was not a lot to like towards the
Speaker 3: end of his career. But anyway, he's gotten a bad
Speaker 3: rap for a lot of reasons.
Speaker 1: You're gonna see him every Sunday? Is he I think
Speaker 1: he's Fox. He went to the I think he's in
Speaker 1: the Fox booth, right.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that sounds about right. He seems like
Speaker 3: a Fox guy. But I bet he's good in the booth.
Speaker 3: But anyway, he's gone. As most know, the Indie drafted
Speaker 3: quarterback Anthony Richardson with the third overall pick.
Speaker 1: I believe second.
Speaker 3: I always get to give you a third. Yeah, second
Speaker 3: quarterback taken. They also signed Gardner Minshew who we'll talk
Speaker 3: about both those guys in a minute, but totally revamped
Speaker 3: the quarterback position in Indie. They also drafted wide receiver
Speaker 3: Josh Downs, who a lot of people are high on,
Speaker 3: including us. Figures to work a lot out of the slot.
Speaker 3: Also signed Isaiah McKenzie, who compete with downs Ye presumably
Speaker 3: presumably for those slot snaps, but like the rookie, a
Speaker 3: lot more in that battle. But those are the most
Speaker 3: of the off season moves that matter. Well, the offense
Speaker 3: be better or worse than last year. It's got to
Speaker 3: be better. Shouldn't be hard to be better than last year.
Speaker 3: Jonathan Taylor needs to stay healthy. Of course, last year.
Speaker 1: Got hurt in Week one. Never the same all year.
Speaker 1: Offensive line was awful.
Speaker 3: Offensive line was awful. Matt Ryan struggle. There wasn't all
Speaker 3: his fault. It was a brutal year. So you can
Speaker 3: only things can only get better for the Colts. One
Speaker 3: would think the most underdrafted player. I know you'll love
Speaker 3: this one. They all come in pretty good value except
Speaker 3: one guy who will be the most overdrafted player. We'll
Speaker 3: talk about in a minute. But his tight end, Jolanni Woods.
Speaker 1: Yeah, baby, all right talking. I mean he's.
Speaker 3: Basically Woods tight end thirty three, just the absolute mountain
Speaker 3: of a man. He's bigger than the offensive lineman in
Speaker 3: the huddle, but he's athletic. Clear red zone target. There
Speaker 3: are other red zone targets with the Colts, and they
Speaker 3: still have Moley Cox, but Woods is They've gotta give
Speaker 3: Woods the snaps. I mean, this guy looks just like
Speaker 3: an absolute freak. So you know, if you're only three
Speaker 3: tight ends late, you know you're you're kind of fading
Speaker 3: tight ends throwing darts at the end, or you're taking
Speaker 3: one backup. Gotta love Woods in the last round of
Speaker 3: virtually any drafter in with.
Speaker 1: He's my favorite tight end sleeper across all thirty two teams.
Speaker 1: Johnny Woods and Shane Steichen came from Philly where he
Speaker 1: saw Zach Ertz and Dallas Goddard be massive parts of
Speaker 1: those offenses. And this is the guy. Woods is the
Speaker 1: guy who's got the athletic profile to do with what
Speaker 1: Ertz and actually he's got a better athletic profile than
Speaker 1: either Ertz or Goddard. Oh yeah, if it comes together
Speaker 1: for him as a sophomore this year, oh man, I'm
Speaker 1: excited about Johnny. WI was hoping he's my second tight
Speaker 1: end in all my.
Speaker 3: Leagues right on, and the most overdrafted player. And again
Speaker 3: we're talking strictly redraft here, really, not Dynasty Empire. It's
Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson quarterback ten, right.
Speaker 1: Now, All that's just that's aggressive.
Speaker 3: We're not sure he's gonna start the season. My hunch
Speaker 3: is they're gonna go with Minchew, see how it goes,
Speaker 3: and then go to Richardson, who he's gonna have growing pains.
Speaker 3: Of course, the potential, the sky is the limit if
Speaker 3: he can hit his ceiling with the rushing. Of course,
Speaker 3: I he's got a cannon arm. But for all to
Speaker 3: come together in his rookie year and just to go
Speaker 3: at quarterback ten when it's such a deep position this year,
Speaker 3: that's yeah, you're sinking a lot of a draft capital
Speaker 3: into a rookie you might not even start the year.
Speaker 3: So he's being way overdrafted by me. Yeah not buy
Speaker 3: me too in my opinion. Yeah, look, I'm with you.
Speaker 1: Quarterback ten gets you Kirk Cousins, who's gonna get you
Speaker 1: two touchdowns and two hundred and eighty yards every week.
Speaker 1: And that's super super safe. And you know, obviously we're
Speaker 1: totally aware of what rushing passing combo quarterbacks he's going
Speaker 1: to do for Daniel Jones.
Speaker 3: Let me saw what Daniel Jones did as a rushing
Speaker 3: quarterback last year and he I mean it's it's crazy
Speaker 3: to me. Yeah, it could be wrong. I'll die on
Speaker 3: this sill though.
Speaker 1: We all want him to succeed, and I hope he's great,
Speaker 1: and I hope it's week one. But that's asking a
Speaker 1: lot of a kid who was who got so few
Speaker 1: starts in college. All right, Our final AFC South team
Speaker 1: is the Jacksonville Jaguars. A bunch of offseason moves that
Speaker 1: you should care about. First round pick a tackle for
Speaker 1: Anton Harrison, who replaces Juwan Taylor, and Taylor was good,
Speaker 1: so they needed somebody to fill that spot, and I
Speaker 1: love they put a first rounder there. Third round pick
Speaker 1: on Tank Bigsby, who muddies the water for Travis etm.
Speaker 1: We'll talk more about that later. They gain remember Calvin
Speaker 1: Ridley off his season long suspension, They let Marvin Jones
Speaker 1: go back to Detroit, and then Evan Ingram got franchised.
Speaker 1: But then the team spent a third rounder on Brent
Speaker 1: Strange from Penn State, which range It was a little
Speaker 1: bit of a strange pick, literally, So will this offense
Speaker 1: be better worse than last year? It was a lot better
Speaker 1: last year, but I think he gets a little bit
Speaker 1: better this season. Two Trevor Lawrence has the upside to
Speaker 1: be a top five passer in what is effectively a
Speaker 1: second season. Is going to throw out that rookie year
Speaker 1: Urban Meyer year. Yeah, Calvin Ridley's should be a major
Speaker 1: upgrade over Marvin Jones, and Tank Bigsby is far better
Speaker 1: than James Robinson or Snoop Connor. I mean, the depth
Speaker 1: chart gets a lot better with Tank Bigsby there. So
Speaker 1: who's the most underdrafted Jaguar Brian going in? I would
Speaker 1: have I thought I was gonna be talking about Calvin Ridley,
Speaker 1: but the public is very, very bullish on him. His
Speaker 1: ADP is wide receiver sixteen, going before Christian Kirk, who
Speaker 1: is coming off a wide receiver ten season. So there's
Speaker 1: no there really isn't value to be had on Calvin Ridley.
Speaker 1: The most underdrafted player is Tank Bigsby going up the
Speaker 1: board right now, running back forty six, one hundred and
Speaker 1: forty fourth overall.
Speaker 3: Man.
Speaker 1: People are totally missing the boat on how this thing's
Speaker 1: gonna unwind. I'm confident Travis Etn will not be a
Speaker 1: workhorse back. He's not built for it, and Doug Peterson
Speaker 1: doesn't like to use single workhorse guys, and Bigsby's a
Speaker 1: fascinating prospect. He's one of my favorite rookie runners coming
Speaker 1: into this draft. And here's a critical component. Tank Bigsby's
Speaker 1: gonna be the goal line back. Travis Dtn got thirteen
Speaker 1: carries from inside the five last year. You know how
Speaker 1: many touchdowns he got on thirteen carries, two three, that's it.
Speaker 1: And he averaged zero point seven yards per carry inside
Speaker 1: the five. These short yardage goal line carried, that's gonna
Speaker 1: go to Tank Bigsby, and I think he's gonna be
Speaker 1: in a regular rotation with etn SO.
Speaker 3: And Trevor Lawrence. An underrated runner too, especially at the
Speaker 3: goal line. He's got some truck stick to him.
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's gonna sneak in some too. Travis and so
Speaker 1: my most overdrafted player, as you can already see coming.
Speaker 1: Travis Etn's at eight is. I think if you had
Speaker 1: right now today this week, it's Friday, the sixteenth of June,
Speaker 1: if I had to pick one player to hang my
Speaker 1: hat on to disappoint fantasy players across all the teams,
Speaker 1: it would be Travis Etn. Not that he's a terrible player,
Speaker 1: but at running back fourteen thirty ninth player off the board.
Speaker 1: You were getting a player with a lot of limitations.
Speaker 1: He's not gonna be the goal line guy. He was
Speaker 1: little used in the passing game last year, averaging just
Speaker 1: two catches per game. That's it. And then you add
Speaker 1: in Calvin Ridley, you add in Strange, you add in
Speaker 1: Tank Bigsby, and I think there's the ball's gonna find
Speaker 1: its way out of his hands, way more than people
Speaker 1: think right now.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's an easy pass to me. On ETN you
Speaker 3: can get guys like Aaron Jones, JK. Dobbins, Joe Mixon,
Speaker 3: like half a round. Yeah, around later and that this
Speaker 3: feels a lot safer than an.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the NFC South. Which team would you
Speaker 1: like to start with, Brian, Let's go with the Bucks.
Speaker 1: We'll this shouldn't take get it over with Yeah, tear
Speaker 1: the band aid off on the Bucks.
Speaker 3: So Tom Brady retired probably as of right now, he's retired.
Speaker 3: Bucks signed Baker Mayfield to compete with Kyle Trask. Mayfield
Speaker 3: likely to start the year, but really only a conversation
Speaker 3: for super flex leagues, and he's not a starter in
Speaker 3: super Flex League.
Speaker 1: Neither are they.
Speaker 3: They're both depth guys, So not a lot of excitement
Speaker 3: at the quarterback position. Maybe next year it will be
Speaker 3: exciting times at quarterback for the Bucks. The Bucks let
Speaker 3: Leonard for net Walk in free agency. They did sign
Speaker 3: Chase Edmonds, but he is dead to me after last
Speaker 3: year just killed me in many leagues.
Speaker 1: I was pretty high on him. That was stupid. Not
Speaker 1: again this year.
Speaker 3: So as of right now, it's the Chod the ri
Speaker 3: Chad White show that said, I think the Bucks are
Speaker 3: a candidate to land, probably not Leonard Fournette, and maybe
Speaker 3: Zeke Elliott, Kareem Hunt, maybe Dalvin Cook sort of close
Speaker 3: enough to his home in Miami. So we'll see if
Speaker 3: that backfield is cemented right now. But as of right now,
Speaker 3: it's Rachad White all the way. Others who are no
Speaker 3: longer with the Bucks, we don't really care about Julio Jones,
Speaker 3: Scottie Miller, Cameron Break, Kyle Rudolph.
Speaker 1: No one cares.
Speaker 3: The offense will be worse this year, even though Tom
Speaker 3: Brady was like fifty significant downgrade at quarterback. They're not
Speaker 3: going to get better with Baker Mayfield the most underdrafted player.
Speaker 3: It's kind of both to me, it's Mike Evans and
Speaker 3: Chris Godwin their quarterback.
Speaker 1: They've both loft ceilings fall out. These are both guys
Speaker 1: being taken in what the top twelve last year Evan.
Speaker 1: Now they're going in the thirties. Right that receiver.
Speaker 3: Evans is wide receiver thirty four. He's going like a
Speaker 3: round later than Godwin, so I'll go with him.
Speaker 1: Again.
Speaker 3: We don't like the quarterbacks, but Evans, he's still gonna
Speaker 3: to push for that one thousand yards you would think
Speaker 3: if he stays healthy seven eight touchdowns, So at wide
Speaker 3: receiver thirty four, that seems a little too cheap, even
Speaker 3: with Baker Mayfield throwing him the ball and the most
Speaker 3: overdrafted player. It's tough. I said, I like for Chad White,
Speaker 3: but right now it's him, Beau. He's the only bucket's
Speaker 3: really getting drafted.
Speaker 1: There's nobody else that qualifies.
Speaker 3: He's going as RB twenty six, eighty sixth overall.
Speaker 1: Obviously feels about right.
Speaker 3: It feels about right for now, but that that could
Speaker 3: get blown up with a free agent signing. So that's
Speaker 3: my only concern there really. But I like it a
Speaker 3: lot more in PPR than in standard leagues. But I
Speaker 3: still don't think he's gonna be a bell cow should
Speaker 3: mention Sean Tucker was an intriguing prospect coming out of Sarahcuse,
Speaker 3: but he had he basically didn't do any drills combine
Speaker 3: pro day. He was signed as an undrafted free agent
Speaker 3: and people we had him as a top ten running
Speaker 3: back going to the draft, rookie running back, So a
Speaker 3: little intrigued by him. So I gotta keep your eye
Speaker 3: on so Richard White though, if I had to pick an
Speaker 3: overdrafted player, would be him.
Speaker 1: Offensive line was battle last year, projects to be bad
Speaker 1: this year, although they're coming back healthy year, but just
Speaker 1: the talent drop off from from just as recently as
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago, it's been dramatic across that
Speaker 1: offensive line.
Speaker 3: The tanking has started already. Yeah there, I mean they
Speaker 3: want Williams.
Speaker 1: They do. I mean, you know, they're playing for next
Speaker 1: year's quarterback this year in Tampa, and it's totally the
Speaker 1: right thing to do. I'll go to the Atlanta Falcons.
Speaker 1: The offseason moves that matter really just one, and it
Speaker 1: was the draft day selection of Bejhon Robinson to an
Speaker 1: offense that had the second highest run play percentage last year.
Speaker 1: And here's what's really fascinating about the second highest run
Speaker 1: play percentage from last year. All the teams, the teams
Speaker 1: that finished first, third, and fourth had Justin Field's Lamar
Speaker 1: Jackson and Jalen Hurts. They had rushing quarterbacks designed to
Speaker 1: place for their rushing quarterbacks. The Falcons didn't you know,
Speaker 1: they were not doing design plays for Marcus Mariota and
Speaker 1: Desmond Ritter, and yet they had the second highest run
Speaker 1: play percentage. Arthur Arthur Blank Smith Blank Arthur Smith loves
Speaker 1: to run the ball, so b John Robinson is a
Speaker 1: tantalizing uh improvement. Also, the Falcons brought in a mac
Speaker 1: Collins who popped a bit in Las Vegas. Well, uh,
Speaker 1: I think he's I think he's got a little sneaky
Speaker 1: to him. Yeah, and he's gonna he's gonna start. He's
Speaker 1: gonna start opposite Drake London.
Speaker 3: We talked about DeAndre Hopkins earlier in the show. He
Speaker 3: makes a ton of sense to me in Atlanta. He
Speaker 3: wants to compete. This is the softest division in the
Speaker 3: NFL right by far. And they needed wide.
Speaker 1: They got Kyle. They got two wide.
Speaker 3: Receivers and Kyle Pits and Drake one, and I don't know,
Speaker 3: and I think they have the money. It seems like
Speaker 3: it seems like there could be something there For me.
Speaker 3: You'd have to convince him there's that they're gonna pass. Yeah,
Speaker 3: which is really at the end of the day, what's
Speaker 3: killed Kyle Pitts more than anything else.
Speaker 1: This team doesn't send, it doesn't pass anyway. Will the
Speaker 1: offense be better or worse this year? It's a second
Speaker 1: it's the second year for Desmond Ritter. Yeah, in the
Speaker 1: acquisition of Robinson Ssumably Kyle Pitts stays healthy and then
Speaker 1: if Kyle Pitts doesn't, they can actually improve the position
Speaker 1: with John Hu Smith. John hu Smith reunited with Arthur
Speaker 1: Smith from their days in Tennessee. Oh, I'm not rooting
Speaker 1: for injury because we don't do that here. But if
Speaker 1: anything happens to Kyle Pitts game on John U Johanu.
Speaker 1: The most underdrafted player by ADP, Now, Brian, I know
Speaker 1: what you would say. The most underdrafted player by ADP
Speaker 1: is Kyle Pitts. By the way, going off the board
Speaker 1: is tight end five. I mean, there's really not value
Speaker 1: to be had there on Kyle Pitts. Tyler were he here,
Speaker 1: he would tell you that Desmond Ritter going off the
Speaker 1: board as quarterback thirty. He's very bullish on Desmond Ritter.
Speaker 1: I am going to take the discarded remains of Tyler
Speaker 1: Algier as the most underdrafted player. His stock is plummeted
Speaker 1: to running back forty eight, one hundred and fifty fifth overall,
Speaker 1: and we don't know for sure going to get into
Speaker 1: the most overdrafted player here too. B. Jhon Robinson's going
Speaker 1: off the board is running back three, tenth pick overall,
Speaker 1: running back three. And I love the guy, don't get
Speaker 1: me wrong. I think he's gonna be a very good player.
Speaker 1: But do we know for sure that Arthur Smith will
Speaker 1: a ditch the committee that he has used ever since
Speaker 1: he got to Atlanta, including the shockling effective Tyler Algier,
Speaker 1: who I think you can make a case for is
Speaker 1: being significantly underdrafted. And B is he gonna throw to
Speaker 1: his runners something he's never done in Atlanta or Tennessee.
Speaker 1: Is Bjhon Robinson gonna get all the PPR help that
Speaker 1: you need to validate a running back three overall top
Speaker 1: ten draft pick. We don't know that that's the case.
Speaker 1: And there's also a case to be made for Arthur
Speaker 1: Smith to look at this team and go, you know what,
Speaker 1: is this the year I want to put three hundred
Speaker 1: and twenty touches onto Bjhon Robinson this year? Maybe not?
Speaker 1: I mean this isn't like their Super Bowl run year, right,
Speaker 1: That would presumably be next year if it turns out
Speaker 1: Desmond Ridder is good enough to has got.
Speaker 3: To prove to be the guy. It's like fully unleashed Bijon. Yeah,
Speaker 3: and the Marshall Falk Yeah, like we got our current
Speaker 3: Warner types. But yeah, a guy like Bijeng going in
Speaker 3: the first round if his backup who is a capable
Speaker 3: backup Tyler.
Speaker 1: Algier was we know from last year at over a
Speaker 1: thousand yards.
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's a pretty easy buy even if you, like
Speaker 3: I said, the crossover appeal. He's a he's gonna be
Speaker 3: a handcuff if if you're worried about Bijon being if
Speaker 3: you don't have him, Uh could be a league winner
Speaker 3: if something were to happen to Bijon, and something could
Speaker 3: happen to anyone.
Speaker 1: In this game. Correct, Let's go to Carolina, all right.
Speaker 3: A lot of a lot of change in Carolina. Boy
Speaker 3: drafted Bryce Young number one overall traded DJ Moore as
Speaker 3: part of that package. More no longer a wide receiver
Speaker 3: in Carolina. They brought in wide receivers Adam Thielen and
Speaker 3: DJ Shark via free agency, drafted Jonathan Mingo. So a
Speaker 3: lot of change at wide receiver.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's your one, two and three receiver right there,
Speaker 1: and they're all new.
Speaker 3: So much for the Terriss Marshall truthers. I don't know
Speaker 3: if that's ever gonna come to fruition, but we'll see,
Speaker 3: you know, Adam feel and see what he's got in
Speaker 3: the tank. DJ Shark has struggled to stay healthy at times,
Speaker 3: but as of now, those are the top three. Dante
Speaker 3: Foreman left via free agency. He's on the Bears too
Speaker 3: now with DJ Moore. So, the Carolina signed running back
Speaker 3: Miles Sanders. He is you're starting running back as of
Speaker 3: right now.
Speaker 1: A little I'm not.
Speaker 3: Too excited about Sanders. We'll talk about him more in
Speaker 3: a minute. And Uh Hayden Hurst also signed uh in
Speaker 3: free agency as a starting tight end. So like basically
Speaker 3: a totally revamped offense. YEP, in Carolina offense should be better.
Speaker 3: I mean we're going like from Sam Darnold they traded
Speaker 3: Christian McCaffrey last year. They they basically had DJ Moore
Speaker 3: and that was about Yeah, so even though Bryce Young
Speaker 3: is a rookie, they did they did bulk up at
Speaker 3: receiver Sanders. I would call that an upgrade over Dante
Speaker 3: Foreman Hayden Hurst.
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 3: They never used their tight ends in Carolina, So we'll
Speaker 3: see how that goes, but I'll say the offense will
Speaker 3: be better. My most underdrafted player is Chuba Hubbard, though
Speaker 3: going off the board as oh interestinging back fifty six,
Speaker 3: that's one hundred and eighty second overall. That's because Miles
Speaker 3: Sanders is my most overdrafted player going off the board
Speaker 3: is RB nineteen. People expecting him just to be this
Speaker 3: magical bell cow. He's never been on better offenses where
Speaker 3: he's kind of The door was open for him in Philly,
Speaker 3: but he.
Speaker 1: Just never Everybody assumed it was scheme, and you know,
Speaker 1: like coaches. The coaches didn't want to make him a
Speaker 1: workhorse less than he could be a workhorse. But I
Speaker 1: don't know about that.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just don't think he was good enough to
Speaker 3: command the line share of the touches. So and you
Speaker 3: can't convince me that just apples to apples. Miles Sanders
Speaker 3: is that much better of a running back than Chewba Hubbard.
Speaker 1: So Cuba Ubbard has had opportunities or they needed to
Speaker 1: start him.
Speaker 3: He's had some good games when he's.
Speaker 1: Got little touches.
Speaker 3: It's just I don't know, if you're not getting one
Speaker 3: of the top three or four running backs, you're kind
Speaker 3: of stockpiling running backs this year because you know, again,
Speaker 3: the bell cow is a dying breed, and just Chuba
Speaker 3: Hubbard is a late round target that I'm going back.
Speaker 1: I kind of like Theling because here's why. I think
Speaker 1: Thelan's gonna get the vast He's gonna buy buy a lot.
Speaker 1: He's gonna be the target leader on the Panthers. He's
Speaker 1: for a young quarterback, Adam, theland's gonna be in the
Speaker 1: right place. He's got elite hands. You know your young
Speaker 1: quarterback knows if I just deliver a catchable ball there,
Speaker 1: my guy's gonna catch it. I think Theling's quietly sitting
Speaker 1: on not a totally non explosive but still competent year
Speaker 1: as a number one receiver. So yeah, he's going off
Speaker 1: the board at like wide receiver forty.
Speaker 3: Yeah, he was in the mix in this con though,
Speaker 3: but I don't know. He looked like he lost a
Speaker 3: step last year. Hopefully did he get the best step.
Speaker 3: But we'll see see what happens.
Speaker 1: Last one for the show is New Orleans Saints. Derek
Speaker 1: Carr replaces Andy Dalton, and I'm to talk more about
Speaker 1: that and why it may be way more of a
Speaker 1: lateral move than you think it is. Details coming. They
Speaker 1: added two runners to a backfield that already had Alvin Kamara,
Speaker 1: rookie Kendry Miller, and last year's touchdown leader Jamal Williams.
Speaker 1: So will this offense be better or worse than last year?
Speaker 1: I believe it's going to be much more similar to
Speaker 1: last year than most people do. Everybody thinks that this
Speaker 1: is this isn't an offense that's going to be a
Speaker 1: lot better. Allow me to repeat some of the stuff
Speaker 1: we talked about on the Chris o'lave Fantasy Football Weekly
Speaker 1: micro about Derek Carr and Andy Dalton. I think you
Speaker 1: will be surprised. Completion percentage Dalton was seven percent more complete,
Speaker 1: more accurate than Carr. So advantage Dalton, yards per attempt
Speaker 1: Dalton seven point six, car seven point zero. Everybody thinks
Speaker 1: that this is going to unlock a deep downfield passing
Speaker 1: attack with Derek Carr not necessarily Advantage Dalton PFF passer grade.
Speaker 1: Dalton was sixth sixth among passers last year. Carr was
Speaker 1: twenty fifth, and remember they benched him and let him
Speaker 1: walk for nothing from the Raiders. Advantage Dalton. In next
Speaker 1: gen stats expected completion percentage, Car was sixth worst and
Speaker 1: all five quarterbacks under him were starters who got bench
Speaker 1: during the season. Advantage Dalton.
Speaker 3: I feel like I'm watching the tennis match right now.
Speaker 1: Advantage Dalton got a tennis name. Deep passes. They're both bad.
Speaker 1: Cars adjusted completion percentage was thirty nine percent. Dalton's was
Speaker 1: thirty one percent. They're both bad. And here's the here's
Speaker 1: the last thing I'll mention in these two Troublingly, Dalton
Speaker 1: last year in New Orleans was better than Carr and
Speaker 1: all these metrics, and he had the second shortest time
Speaker 1: to throw in the NFL. Here comes Car. If he's
Speaker 1: got the second shortest time to throw, I can't tell
Speaker 1: you he's going to be better than he was last year,
Speaker 1: even an improvement over Andy Dalton. So then at in
Speaker 1: the depth. Running back is gonna be nice and that
Speaker 1: part helps this offense. But I think the passing game
Speaker 1: is going to be way more even from what it
Speaker 1: was last year to this year. The most underdrafted player
Speaker 1: by a mile and one of my favorite sleepers Brian
Speaker 1: Probably one of mine too, Rashid Shahed. Baby, I do
Speaker 1: love to say, Rashid Shahed wide receiver, seventy five going
Speaker 1: off the board pick one sixty six. Remember last year,
Speaker 1: undrafted rookie, lightly used until the midway point of the season,
Speaker 1: and then suddenly dudes are making splash plays. He debuted
Speaker 1: in Week seven, promptly scored a forty four yard rushing
Speaker 1: touchdown a fifty three yard receiving touchdown. Over his final
Speaker 1: five games, all of them as a starter, Rashid Shahed
Speaker 1: went from undrafted wide receiver to starting the December game
Speaker 1: for the Saints. Over those five games, he averaged four
Speaker 1: catches for sixty five yards. Undrafted receiver, he caught eighty
Speaker 1: two percent of his passes. On the year. He had
Speaker 1: a very healthy a dot of eleven and a half yards.
Speaker 1: He finished thirtieth in yards after catch per catch, which
Speaker 1: isn't bad. Dude can be he's fast. He's Rashid chaheat
Speaker 1: is fast. He get this. He finished last year's Pro
Speaker 1: Football Focus Is twenty six ranked wide receiver, ahead of
Speaker 1: Jerry Judy and Chris Godwin and DJ Moore and a
Speaker 1: dozen other household names. He's gonna beat out Michael Thomas
Speaker 1: and he's gonna be the starting number two receiver for
Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints. Rashid Shaheed, I love it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, what's the over underun games played by Michael Thomas?
Speaker 1: Like six? I'll take six. What do you think? Well,
Speaker 1: I was gonna say eight and a half. Set the
Speaker 1: lineup eight a half games season one, about four years. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I'll believe it. Yeah, when I see it, the most
Speaker 1: overdrafted player, I gotta go. Chris all love even though
Speaker 1: I love the guy and totally love the skill set,
Speaker 1: but everything I just told you about Derek Carr not
Speaker 1: really being the upgrade. He's going off the board at
Speaker 1: wide receiver twelve. He finished last year as wide receiver
Speaker 1: twenty four. So he's got to make a jump from
Speaker 1: twenty four to twelve to be good at that eight,
Speaker 1: to meet that ADP expectation. I don't I don't know
Speaker 1: if he can.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd take DeVonta Smith. Well, so he's going before
Speaker 3: DeVante Smith. T Higgins definitely would take t Higgins over
Speaker 3: a lave Ebo Samuel going more about a round later
Speaker 3: than a Lave, which is kind of crazy. Amari Cooper, Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 3: there's a lot of a lot of risk baked into
Speaker 3: a Lave this year. For sure, love him as a
Speaker 3: player like you do, but might not be the best situation.
Speaker 1: We'll be back next week. We will break down the
Speaker 1: teams in the West, AFC West, the NFC West. We'll
Speaker 1: talk through those and again a lot of it's just
Speaker 1: unearthing some of the great sleepers and values that we have,
Speaker 1: and the players were nervous about it where they're getting drafted,
Speaker 1: getting you ready to draft and hopefully at a guillotine league.
Speaker 1: Talk to you a week everybody, Bye bye. Fantasy Football
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