Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody, Fantasy Bros. MLB. This is leading Off
Speaker 1: Live broughdy By Prize Picks. Sign up for prize picks
Speaker 1: with that promo, go leading off. It is me, Joey
Speaker 1: Pa Joe Bizabia. That of course is the welshit. It's you.
Speaker 1: It's a fun Friday, The Peanuts, the Cracker Jacks are here.
Speaker 1: Welsh is still on a high after all the college
Speaker 1: baseball drama last night. Well, so how'd that go for you?
Speaker 2: Oh? It's awesome if you guys didn't watch one of
Speaker 2: Not to be like hyperbolic about it, but like one
Speaker 2: of the best college baseball games, maybe one of the
Speaker 2: best baseball games I watched in sometime. LSU Wake Forest
Speaker 2: two of the top picks, Rit Louder and Freakin' Paul's schemes.
Speaker 2: They went eleven into eleven innings, no score. So that
Speaker 2: could sound boring, but the pitching matchup was awesome. May
Speaker 2: or may not have bet the LSU minus one and
Speaker 2: a half Tommy White Tommy Tanks with a walk off
Speaker 2: two run shot to send LSU to the College World
Speaker 2: Series up against Florida with another one that literally you
Speaker 2: have got the top three picks that are gonna be
Speaker 2: playing in the final College World Series here, White, Langford,
Speaker 2: Dylan Cruz, and Paul Skeins. So if you're into the
Speaker 2: draft at all, go and check it out. It was
Speaker 2: awesome and made.
Speaker 1: Some making of drafts and made money. That's the important part. Uh,
Speaker 1: we got a big dynasty. Well, it's more of a
Speaker 1: keeper league question fourteen keepers from Richard Silva, Josh Young
Speaker 1: and Matos for EDLC. Which side of the trade you
Speaker 1: want to be on? Cruz or Matos and Young? That's
Speaker 1: a it's a lot.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I would go with Ellie uh pretty
Speaker 2: like handedly here. But it's a great I mean Josh
Speaker 2: Young even in some of the struggles and I feel
Speaker 2: like we've been talking about Josh Young. Oh he's been struggling,
Speaker 2: he said in the two ninety five over last month.
Speaker 2: Still he's still getting his homers in even though Gunner's
Speaker 2: kind of taken some of that award away from him.
Speaker 2: Matos really solid as well. I worry about his counting stats.
Speaker 2: That's a pretty easy Ellie Daily side for me.
Speaker 1: I think I go with Elie two. I was want
Speaker 1: the best player in the deal. But that's a good haul,
Speaker 1: Like if you're looking at your roster, you just don't
Speaker 1: have a lot and Ellie's that one piece and you
Speaker 1: just will need more bodies. I get it, But a
Speaker 1: fourteen team league, I want the best player. Those are
Speaker 1: the guys that really make an impact. You got questions,
Speaker 1: We've got answers, drop them in the chat, of course
Speaker 1: to you. We're happy to take them from you. We've
Speaker 1: got a fun Friday plan. We're gonna talk about the
Speaker 1: headlines first. So let's start with Joe Ryan throwing the
Speaker 1: first complete shutout in five years for the Twinkies, unbelievable
Speaker 1: nine k's three hitter. He is now eight and five
Speaker 1: a two nine eight ERA. Should we be talking about
Speaker 1: Joe Ryan as a cy young candidate? Bore Welsh?
Speaker 2: Absolutely, what are the odds look like? What are the
Speaker 2: odds in the al right now? I'd love to know
Speaker 2: because two four to four expected ERA, which is top
Speaker 2: three percent of the league. His walk rate insanely low,
Speaker 2: top three percent of the league. Or you know that
Speaker 2: one of the best. A twenty seven percent K percentage,
Speaker 2: which is solid, you know, decently up there. He's limiting
Speaker 2: barrel percentage down to a career low four and a
Speaker 2: half percent, which is nuts. He has been awesome. The
Speaker 2: split finger sweeper addition to the fastball have been everything
Speaker 2: that we were kind of built up for. And overall,
Speaker 2: I've I'm in. I'm been in on Joe Ryan kind
Speaker 2: of since day one.
Speaker 1: Joe plus sixteen hundred on FanDuel right now, the leader,
Speaker 1: if you could believe, is actually franber Valdez a plus
Speaker 1: two sixty. Then Garrett Cole at three ninety, Sean McClanahan
Speaker 1: a plus four eighty. You at the back issue last night.
Speaker 1: We'll get to that in a second, then Gossman, Castillo
Speaker 1: Otani and then Joe Ryan. So it's you know, Castillo,
Speaker 1: Otani and wrote Joe Ryan are all on the plus
Speaker 1: twelve hundred to sixteen hundred range. So interesting there, But
Speaker 1: keep an eye on the Joe Ryan. He's been very
Speaker 1: steady all year, and I think that's that's the you know,
Speaker 1: you have these pictures who have these big moments, big starts,
Speaker 1: big runs, big months, but it's got to be a
Speaker 1: consistency and at the end of the year, you know,
Speaker 1: you look up consistently and you see Joe Ryan there,
Speaker 1: and you see the twins in the playoffs. It's going
Speaker 1: to mean something. Can he leap for these guys? I
Speaker 1: don't know. I don't think so because there's still a
Speaker 1: fair amount of competition, But he definitely should be something
Speaker 1: that somebody I think that we should talk about more.
Speaker 1: And plus sixteen hundred feels like a pretty big number.
Speaker 2: I mean, dude's got one hundred k's, he's gonna have
Speaker 2: over two hundred k's. He's got to sell three era
Speaker 2: right now, and if he keeps creeping closer to his
Speaker 2: expected he's gonna put himself in that race sooner or later.
Speaker 2: Now does he cash? I don't know. This is probably
Speaker 2: a quintessential Joey futures. Make the bet where the site
Speaker 2: that allows you to cash out and then you can
Speaker 2: maybe cash out at some point, right, Joey.
Speaker 1: Futures, Joey Futures, how you doing? By the way, speaking
Speaker 1: of the twins, we insulted Byron Bucks and he hit
Speaker 1: two home runs and look here's my face before. Here's
Speaker 1: my face before on YouTube again, fancy pros MLB. You
Speaker 1: can subscribe to you can see my face. Here's my
Speaker 1: face before Byron Bucks h at the home runs. Here's my
Speaker 1: face after Byron Bucks hit home runs? Don't care, same face,
Speaker 1: slap it. Yeah, it doesn't matter to me. This is
Speaker 1: you know what sell them. That's it. There's your there's
Speaker 1: your moment in time. Get of him now period.
Speaker 2: He's getting cut in leagues. Just throwing it out there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, he is getting cut. Somebody has making a drop
Speaker 1: in a ten team league. Would you do that?
Speaker 2: I mean, I think you can sure, I agree, Yeah,
Speaker 2: I think you can't. I'm not saying again, I'm not
Speaker 2: say you can't. I said my piece. But you know,
Speaker 2: the talent of Byron Buxton is still there, and he
Speaker 2: showed off even if he can't play in the outfield
Speaker 2: at all. I mean, we knew he was going to
Speaker 2: d h by the way. We knew like the whole
Speaker 2: season that was like the plan. Now he just can't
Speaker 2: at all, and how he's only going to hit if
Speaker 2: the bat gets going, watch out the problem. There hasn't
Speaker 2: been a moment this year where the batscott going. That's
Speaker 2: the issue.
Speaker 1: Now it's done, it's over, you know, speaking of cy
Speaker 1: Young's too. With the National League. You look right now,
Speaker 1: you know the number two is Clayton kersh plus four fifty.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Gallon's one, right.
Speaker 1: Gallon is one at plus one ninety Wheelers three a
Speaker 1: plus seven hundred. Right now Stryder has bounced back to
Speaker 1: plus fifteen hundred, So now's the time. If you didn't
Speaker 1: get Strider at a good number, this is your opportunity to
Speaker 1: get Strider at a better number. But talked, I went
Speaker 1: on a big rant. I want to say it was
Speaker 1: early May about Kershaw, right when he was having that
Speaker 1: incredible stretch, which is Kershaw's holding this Dodger rotation together
Speaker 1: single handedly. He is the most public figure of all
Speaker 1: these guys in the National League and the media presence wise.
Speaker 1: It's a good narrative because you don't know how many
Speaker 1: more seasons Kershaw's going to pitch. He had twenty two
Speaker 1: starts two years in a row. If he has a
Speaker 1: full year. This is starting to feel very much like
Speaker 1: the Verlander of twenty twenty two, where you just you know,
Speaker 1: it's that good, feeling, good narrative. Everybody loves Clayton Kershaw
Speaker 1: kind of thing. This is a good number at four
Speaker 1: and a half. If you haven't already, this is the
Speaker 1: time to get in there.
Speaker 2: I'm telling you, yeah, I think I agree with that,
Speaker 2: Like I think it's a wide open race. Well, what
Speaker 2: did you say the Strider one was?
Speaker 1: Was it? The Strider on was up the plus fifteen
Speaker 1: hundred right now?
Speaker 2: Fifteen honey on fd Yeah, yeah.
Speaker 1: I mean I go to get back in the Strider
Speaker 1: business too.
Speaker 2: If I'm going to get back in the Strider business
Speaker 2: one thousand percent, the Kershaw one is interesting because as
Speaker 2: long as the d the dreaded ILDL doesn't hit it
Speaker 2: and the Dodgers make that push, it's going to be
Speaker 2: built all around him, Like you said, that will be
Speaker 2: the big thing. The Diamondbacks have a long ways to go,
Speaker 2: even into their bullpen and stuff with Zach Gallen. Zach
Speaker 2: Gallen has kind of tapered, Velo has been down. I
Speaker 2: do think he's tinkering though, to try to be more effective.
Speaker 2: Where Kershaw I think someone in the chat I think
Speaker 2: it was Wonky and someone else like he has all
Speaker 2: the storylines. So it's a pretty solid bet at four
Speaker 2: to one on Kershaw. But I'm also getting in the
Speaker 2: Strider business again.
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, Faby is trolling me again, dude. It's two
Speaker 1: homers nine hundred and twenty feet and Joey's more negative. Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: because this is what he does. Yeah, both for four
Speaker 1: slots here. By the way, are they worth more? Are
Speaker 1: they worth more? Because they should be. No, he's actually
Speaker 1: out five times today. Does anybody get a care? No,
Speaker 1: it's well, you'll take over. He's a teaser. I'm not
Speaker 1: going to care. By the way, I shout out Nick Rush,
Speaker 1: first time tuning into the live stream, first time, long times.
Speaker 1: We love you NICKI. He's new to the show. He's
Speaker 1: been listening for about a week. Where have you been
Speaker 1: the last few months? Snaky?
Speaker 2: That's what I want to Don't shame him, welcome shaming him.
Speaker 2: Where have you been? He's been doing important things, been
Speaker 2: rostering Byron Buckston. Now he's here, he's free. Uh. We
Speaker 2: did have somebody a while back. I don't think it
Speaker 2: was here. I think it was on IL where someone
Speaker 2: had mentioned like they wanted homers to have more weight
Speaker 2: in a points league, and they literally they literally added
Speaker 2: points to homers that were over like four hundred, and
Speaker 2: they had like percentages. Yeah, that's exactly, that is exactly
Speaker 2: what it is, so they could so technically.
Speaker 1: I just want to point out it could matter.
Speaker 2: Those could matter, those four sixty myself salty.
Speaker 1: It's such a good night. We went to the corfege.
Speaker 1: You saw the cure, the cure, they were amazing, Maybe
Speaker 1: because I had the hotel sleep. You know, you sleep
Speaker 1: in the hotel, your little you know back, maybe a
Speaker 1: little cranky from that, but it was a great night.
Speaker 2: You good by the way. What did you just do there?
Speaker 2: I went the cure and you went the.
Speaker 1: Que well queue Q. Yeah, you have to say, it's
Speaker 1: get more melancholy, sat.
Speaker 2: All right, Just I didn't know if I said wrong.
Speaker 2: I thought I want to talk of a cure.
Speaker 1: I want to talk about Michael Garcia two for four,
Speaker 1: still three bases right now. He's hitting the leadoff spot,
Speaker 1: which is always something to pay attention to. Since then
Speaker 1: three seventy nine, four hundred and five seventeen over his
Speaker 1: last seven games. Garcia is probably floating around there quite
Speaker 1: a bit. What do you think about this? Moved to
Speaker 1: the leadoff spot for him?
Speaker 2: This is a positive spot. I mean, big hard hit
Speaker 2: numbers so far, Beryling isn't quite there. Ten stolen bases
Speaker 2: with those homers. He's kind of a sneaky dude. He's
Speaker 2: kind of a sneaky dude, especially with those hard hit
Speaker 2: numbers that are coming up right now. Average GV is
Speaker 2: also close to ninety two expected batting average. This is
Speaker 2: one of my favorites. Is right in line with the
Speaker 2: batting average. I mean, and what has this team struggled
Speaker 2: with all year. It's just consistent batting average for the Royals.
Speaker 2: And you know, it's also not a big strikeout guy.
Speaker 2: I mean, m J. Melndez has been a disaster with
Speaker 2: that twenty one percent with it almost eight percent walk rate.
Speaker 2: You put him in a leadoff spot or hitting up
Speaker 2: high in the order, He's going to steal bases and
Speaker 2: runs probably. You know, I think there's room for twelve.
Speaker 2: I was gonna say, like, this is a deeply guy
Speaker 2: for sure, but I think even in like twelves you
Speaker 2: can consider it because like a semi walking, good batting average,
Speaker 2: low chase rate type of guy who steals bases is
Speaker 2: the quintessential leadoff player. So MIKEL. Garcia is definitely someone
Speaker 2: I would be paying attention to.
Speaker 1: Another person to pay attention to moving to the leadoff
Speaker 1: spot was Jared Kelnick. I like this for kell and
Speaker 1: I think this is a good move for the Mariners.
Speaker 1: Are trying to get a little something something going. Gary
Speaker 1: Sanchez got something going yesterday three for five with a
Speaker 1: three run bomb Sanchez on his let's say one two,
Speaker 1: this is his third team of the year. Might remember
Speaker 1: probably this is the third?
Speaker 2: Yeah only three?
Speaker 1: Well see they will get traded in July. Who knows?
Speaker 1: Would that be hilarious if Gary Sanchez, like one of
Speaker 1: these big cogs, had a big returnvery second half run.
Speaker 1: I can't wait for that. That's a story I'm here for.
Speaker 1: I want to hear it. Let's also talk about now
Speaker 1: everything I touched goes to crap this week. So this
Speaker 1: is my penance for that fiery two weeks where everything
Speaker 1: I touched was gold and everything you know it's gold,
Speaker 1: it's frankensense and Murr. I can only assume Murr is
Speaker 1: the least of them. So everything I touches turns to
Speaker 1: Murr right now. I think that's the way to put it.
Speaker 1: So to me. Uh, the the the parlay of the
Speaker 1: of the damn Bay raised yesterday was not good. Kevin
Speaker 1: Cash benched Wander Franco so so much for that. Uh
Speaker 1: you had uh.
Speaker 2: By the way, like kind of like a like a dick,
Speaker 2: like I don't mean to mean to be so crass here,
Speaker 2: but like he not being a good teammate. That's what
Speaker 2: they said, Like, he was very nice about it.
Speaker 1: What does that mean other guys for him striking out?
Speaker 1: Like I wish what does that mean?
Speaker 2: I wish they would have been more specific, because then
Speaker 2: what it does is it lets us wander no pun
Speaker 2: intended on like what the thing is, because it could
Speaker 2: be as simple as he could be blaming other teammates
Speaker 2: for something. He could be pissy towards them about what
Speaker 2: they're doing. He could be throwing big fits. We don't
Speaker 2: know the extent of it. It was enough for Kevin
Speaker 2: Cash a hardo to go and binge in for multiple
Speaker 2: games for not, you know, participating at the level that
Speaker 2: they want or acting at that level. We just don't know.
Speaker 2: And I think it's one of the worst things in
Speaker 2: baseball is when people give us like little pieces of
Speaker 2: the information. They're like, here's a little part of it.
Speaker 2: We're not gonna show you the whole thing. It's like, no,
Speaker 2: and tell us the whole thing, because now we're gonna
Speaker 2: sit out here and be like, does wander Franco suck?
Speaker 2: Is he like me?
Speaker 1: Because they signed him for the next fifty.
Speaker 2: Years burner accounts and he's just like Randy No.
Speaker 1: I mean, look, I don't know what this is. But again,
Speaker 1: if you're not gonna come clean about it, it just feels
Speaker 1: all kind of weird. And what stranger is this is
Speaker 1: what your organization, consensus wise got together and said, let's
Speaker 1: extend this guy forever. This is our guy. You know,
Speaker 1: to me, the problem child, how you handle the problem
Speaker 1: child is always the same thing. You make them captain,
Speaker 1: you make them the leader, and then when you put
Speaker 1: on that responsibility on them, you use you know, you
Speaker 1: take that negativity and then it goes on them to
Speaker 1: be more responsible for everybody. Not just Here's what else
Speaker 1: and how they feel about that.
Speaker 2: Here's what they know about Wander. Wander is a flashy guy,
Speaker 2: though before he made it to the majors. I may
Speaker 2: or may not know someone who did some stuff with
Speaker 2: him in the miners. And this is.
Speaker 1: Feeling very like Casino goodfelas I may or may not
Speaker 1: know a guy who knew a guy.
Speaker 2: I know there might be a guy who knows a guy.
Speaker 2: But like even in the miners, he was rolling around
Speaker 2: and like you know, the white, the white like Rolls
Speaker 2: Royces and the Bentley. I mean, like it was it's
Speaker 2: about the swag.
Speaker 1: He's a swaggy guy. He's a swaggy guy.
Speaker 2: He's a swaggy guy. And I don't know, I don't know,
Speaker 2: you know where that goes with it. I think that can.
Speaker 2: But see that's the point that can also rub off
Speaker 2: on like you know, the old hat type of like
Speaker 2: Kevin cut like it might just be simply like flashing
Speaker 2: around jewelry and being on Instagram Live.
Speaker 1: Where where's the Rays here at the top of the standings?
Speaker 1: I believe, right, so, Kevin Cash, I mean this is
Speaker 1: if you want to start pointing to why the Rays
Speaker 1: can't win the big one, I think this is where
Speaker 1: it is. You know, Wander Franco, no disconnect between all
Speaker 1: their analytics and then managing human beings at the end
Speaker 1: of the day. Like you can manage the analytics all
Speaker 1: the way up until almost getting a title, but at
Speaker 1: the end of the day, people win you championships. And
Speaker 1: I know that sounds like a very deep conversation we're
Speaker 1: having today, but you know what, I think it's important
Speaker 1: because at the end of the day, that is true.
Speaker 1: It's more than just the analytics. It's all those things together,
Speaker 1: and it's one thing that the Rays have never been
Speaker 1: able to do successfully. You a call, remember there was
Speaker 1: there were problems with oh god, well that's his name,
Speaker 1: the j J Upton, Upton and Longoria would get into it.
Speaker 1: This person get you know, it's like somebody manage these
Speaker 1: people and stop worrying about all these analytically driven things
Speaker 1: all the time, and just you know, you've got to
Speaker 1: you got to do both. You gotta walk into gumbalo.
Speaker 2: I I think they are managing the that's the difference.
Speaker 2: I actually think they are managing the person. But you
Speaker 2: know what I do wonder, I wonder if Wander's nickname
Speaker 2: El Patron, was actually given to him, or he picked
Speaker 2: it himself. Maybe he got suspended because he gave himself
Speaker 2: the El Patron nickname. Just pointing it out there, Joe,
Speaker 2: that might be suspension worthy giving your own nickname.
Speaker 1: Now not are on these parts. It's encouraged. Actually, all right,
Speaker 1: let's do the rookie lookie, Henry Davis, congratulations buddy at
Speaker 1: your first major league home run. Yeah, buddy, I was, Yeah, Buddy,
Speaker 1: I was diving in a little bit more to the
Speaker 1: bow nailor stuff and a little bit more to the
Speaker 1: Henry Davis. Both these guys are very impressive profiles for
Speaker 1: minor league players, and I think everybody should be paying
Speaker 1: close attention to them. They're both on the waiver wire
Speaker 1: video this week. Even if you have catcher and it's
Speaker 1: a good spot, I would be looking at adding these
Speaker 1: guys just for speculation if nothing else.
Speaker 2: Ye, Catcher ones pretty close.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I think they're right. They have They
Speaker 1: both have that opportunity to get there by the end
Speaker 1: of the season, potentially because those guys are gonna start
Speaker 1: to wear down to those other catchers, you know, the
Speaker 1: older guys typically that that Brian McCann syndrome. He was
Speaker 1: always great for three months and then you know, right
Speaker 1: it right in July fourth, it was like see it.
Speaker 1: You could watch it was like trade for Mark to
Speaker 1: Sera on Sinco Demayo and trade away Brian McCann on
Speaker 1: July fourth. If you did those things because Brian McCann,
Speaker 1: I wonder what Big Ride's up to these days. By
Speaker 1: the way, I haven't seen him in a while, don't know. Also,
Speaker 1: injuries again late, you know, kind of stuff here light
Speaker 1: in terms of injuries. Shane McClanahan the back issue. So
Speaker 1: we'll keep an eye on that that's never a good thing.
Speaker 1: Speaking of back issues, Brian Reynolds goes on the I
Speaker 1: l with the back issue and Aaron Judge is going
Speaker 1: to start light hitting. Now, can we talk about what
Speaker 1: light hitting is? Do we know what it's supposed to?
Speaker 1: The heavy hitting?
Speaker 2: It's like those like little skinny bats, maybe off of
Speaker 2: a t a little light hitting.
Speaker 1: Like little light hitting. Yeah, is that like like heavy petting?
Speaker 1: The opposite?
Speaker 2: No heavy petting.
Speaker 1: It is Friday, Joe, But it's Friday. It's noon somewhere. Wait,
Speaker 1: it's noon here. Let's continue on here with some more
Speaker 1: ups and downs from the night before Brax and Garrott.
Speaker 1: Thirteen strikeouts for him. It wasn't against the pirates, but
Speaker 1: still thirteen strikeouts. That's impressive. No decision for him though.
Speaker 1: Blake Snell another guy who stuck it to me, knife
Speaker 1: in the back. Blake Snell cannot be stopped. Eleven strikeouts
Speaker 1: in six shutout innings. Has there been a better pisser?
Speaker 1: Have there been a better picture the last month than
Speaker 1: Blake Sell?
Speaker 2: I was just about to say, I think over the
Speaker 2: last like month to six weeks, I want to say
Speaker 2: he's just like the number one guy. This and this
Speaker 2: one eats me the hell up too, because I was
Speaker 2: just way too early. People know, if you watch the
Speaker 2: trade videos, like I'm a Snell guy, man, you know
Speaker 2: what I'm saying. I'm a Snell guy, and I went
Speaker 2: in too early and the problem was the bye just
Speaker 2: didn't fit when it was. But I also mentioned this
Speaker 2: is like what's Snell is the It's a different version,
Speaker 2: but it's similar to like the Schwarber thing where it's like,
Speaker 2: you know, Swarber and June just takes off. Snell will
Speaker 2: have these bumps and these readjustments, and one of those
Speaker 2: readjustments has been that change up that everybody complains about.
Speaker 2: He's throwing it at the second highest clip where all
Speaker 2: the pitching guys wanted him to not throw it. And
Speaker 2: then look at this. He's out here with a thirty
Speaker 2: percent k rate and he's throwing it almost seventeen percent
Speaker 2: of the time, and he has a forty six almost
Speaker 2: forty seven percent whiff rate on his change up. Right now.
Speaker 2: He doing stiff.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about this. Blake Snell last three starts has
Speaker 1: an ERA of zero point four to seven. You Darvish
Speaker 1: as teammate has an ERA of seven seven to one.
Speaker 1: So if it's like the Schwartz in Spaceballs, there's like
Speaker 1: two sides to every Schwartz, it's like they can't get
Speaker 1: any of these guys good. At the same time that Swartz, Yeah,
Speaker 1: he got the downside right now, snelling and they traded
Speaker 1: it in. Bryce Elder also seven shot out of things.
Speaker 1: Because Bryce Elder can't be stopped too. When does it
Speaker 1: get to a point with Bryce Elder where we all
Speaker 1: just say screw it, we belie?
Speaker 2: I feel like, well, I mean, I don't know. I've
Speaker 2: kind of been a Bryce Elder guy. I love the
Speaker 2: high slider percentage. I love how he's used it. He's
Speaker 2: been a play in fantasy a whole bunch, So I don't.
Speaker 1: Wonky was taking shots at him in the trade article
Speaker 1: last week. It feels like everyone's waiting for the sky
Speaker 1: to fall and it just never does. And we're now,
Speaker 1: we're now almost into July. So what point do we
Speaker 1: just go, Yeah, Bryce Elder is just good at pitching.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I think we're getting there. I think we're
Speaker 2: getting there. He's a good picture. He might not be
Speaker 2: as good. I do want to point out this has
Speaker 2: now happened the third time in this show where you
Speaker 2: guys will see, like we move around and we look
Speaker 2: around because there's a camera right here, but we've got
Speaker 2: screens and stuff. So sometimes I'll look at, you know,
Speaker 2: my stuff, and then I'll look over just to slightly
Speaker 2: to my left where Joe is, and that is the
Speaker 2: third time. Joe, you are hardcore blue stealing today. You
Speaker 2: are hard I love it. I love it. With screenshots
Speaker 2: you're like, is Bryce Elder for real? Like you are
Speaker 2: hardcore blues feeling today. I'm here for it. I'm totally
Speaker 2: here for it.
Speaker 1: I'm also here to bring c J. Abrams down a peg.
Speaker 1: Yesterday we talked about maybe he's not dead yet, but
Speaker 1: then he had an O for Fortnite with three K,
Speaker 1: so there he goes. So did Nick Casss in the
Speaker 1: three down and Domingo Herman gross three and a third
Speaker 1: eight earned four homers in a loss. That's how you,
Speaker 1: that's how you stink. Every damn I got you.
Speaker 2: Every damn person on the Mariners hit a homer, but Julio.
Speaker 2: Yesterday it was Calton Wong hit a bomb, and I
Speaker 2: couldn't get one from Julio. Today, I had the right
Speaker 2: or a dong bomb it wasn't one of those.
Speaker 1: I'll tell you if he hits another one over the weekend,
Speaker 1: we'll start calling with the walk.
Speaker 2: I haven't seen Mayor in a while. What's he doing?
Speaker 1: He's on He's on a cruise ship. Didn't you see this? Oh?
Speaker 1: Does he? Is?
Speaker 2: He dong bonging in on the I.
Speaker 1: Think he's on a cruise with friends and then he's
Speaker 1: going to a wedding or something. I don't know. He's
Speaker 1: like he drops in random tweets into our slack messages
Speaker 1: and other.
Speaker 2: Yeah, he just like randomly like drops something the other day.
Speaker 1: Cocktails on a boat. I don't know what he's doing,
Speaker 1: but good for him. He's living the life.
Speaker 2: You know what I love he's doing for sure, and
Speaker 2: that high fantasy pros life.
Speaker 1: He's making Prize picks and you should too. Use that
Speaker 1: promo code leading off sign off for prize Picks. Go
Speaker 1: to prize picks dot com or download the app and
Speaker 1: you get one hundred percent to posit match up to
Speaker 1: one hundred dollars. Welsh pick the prizes for the people.
Speaker 2: All Right, I got some weird ones today on the
Speaker 2: Prize Picks. I was looking for our I was looking
Speaker 2: for our tacos, our taco hot dogs, but maybe add
Speaker 2: and go four crazy on Friday, but no taco hot
Speaker 2: dogs today, So I'm going with Brian Bayo and Lucas
Speaker 2: Giolito strikeout combo at ten and a half over kind
Speaker 2: of dig that. Aj Smith Shaver and Logan Webb no
Speaker 2: run first inning, really like that one, and Clark Schmidt
Speaker 2: under sixteen and a half outs. These are all wackadoodles.
Speaker 2: This is a wackadoodle price picks today, But those are
Speaker 2: some of my favorite ones, the weirds. So I'm in,
Speaker 2: I'm getting weird. Let's get weird for price picks today.
Speaker 1: All right, I'm I'm had to reconfigure my brain. It's
Speaker 1: been a horrible week, which was it was bound to happen,
Speaker 1: like you can't stay as hot as I was for
Speaker 1: as long as it was, and then you know, just
Speaker 1: it's not gonna last a month. This is not the
Speaker 1: nature of betting baseball. And this is something to remember too,
Speaker 1: like if you're if you're committed to doing this as
Speaker 1: we are here on the show, as we've been all
Speaker 1: season and all last season two, there's going to be
Speaker 1: these ebbs and flows. The trick is when you're in it.
Speaker 1: You just keep pound away, pounding away in that strike zone,
Speaker 1: and eventually good things will.
Speaker 2: To your point, to your point, Joe, I was. I
Speaker 2: was probably one of the hottest, especially in our leading
Speaker 2: off group, which you guys can join if you guys
Speaker 2: monitored that first six weeks, I was smoking, I was
Speaker 2: murdering stuff. Then I went on a awful tear, awful
Speaker 2: tear probably I think it was a negative ROI for
Speaker 2: a thirty day span, and then I've kicked it back up.
Speaker 2: I'm over sixty percent over the last the first two
Speaker 2: week and a half, so it's ebbs and flows.
Speaker 1: First two weeks in June I was in Fuego, and
Speaker 1: this week it's just been terrible. So I've got a
Speaker 1: new approach here for the betting. But let's get to
Speaker 1: the prize picks. First, Hazus Ozardo and Zach Eflin together
Speaker 1: twelve and a half picture strikeouts combo, get serious, Yes,
Speaker 1: over take that, please, You're gonna get that. Corey Seeger,
Speaker 1: who has been unbelievable, just a seven and a half
Speaker 1: hitter score against Clark Schmidt tonight, let's go for that one.
Speaker 1: And Juan Soto eight and a half it's a bigger number,
Speaker 1: but I think you can go over as well because
Speaker 1: Patrick Corbin's on the mound. So I don't care betting
Speaker 1: wise today, you gotta go with Eflyn because e Flyn
Speaker 1: has been unbelievable at home. He is undefeated at home.
Speaker 1: The era is under two. It's just ridiculous what he
Speaker 1: is right now. So what I'm gonna do is I'm
Speaker 1: going to try to go with some of these run lines.
Speaker 1: So you got minus one and a half right now.
Speaker 1: You can get that at for Tampa and Zach Eflin
Speaker 1: at minus one thirteen. Okay, it opened at plus one ten,
Speaker 1: so if you got it early, you could have gotten this,
Speaker 1: but it moved already during the day. Joe Musgrove minus
Speaker 1: eighteen one and a half again against Washington, and then
Speaker 1: Bieber is actually plus one fifty against Wade Miley and
Speaker 1: the Milwaukee Brewers. Fun fact about Bieber, look at his
Speaker 1: home run splits because they are drastic too. Bieber has
Speaker 1: been spectacular at home this year, not so much on
Speaker 1: the road, which worries me if he gets straded what
Speaker 1: that might look like. But this is another guy. Him
Speaker 1: and Eflin actually did a spot on Sportskirt about I
Speaker 1: do the Splitsville thing, a little segment where we talk
Speaker 1: about splits and Eflyn and Bieber together where those two
Speaker 1: guys were just so dominating at home and they're both
Speaker 1: at home tonight. And when you get a plus number
Speaker 1: of plus one fifty a guy who's been dominated at home,
Speaker 1: you take that on the run line of plus one fifty,
Speaker 1: So one and a half on all of them, and
Speaker 1: if you want you feel saucy, you put them all together,
Speaker 1: little parlay you getting plus six fifty on that one. Basically,
Speaker 1: So if you want to jump in, jump in now, Welsh,
Speaker 1: what do you have for the people on the betting side?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I worry a little bit because I'm in with
Speaker 2: you on Efflin. I've got two different Eflyn bets here.
Speaker 2: Last night I took the flyin five and a half
Speaker 2: strikeouts minus one five was a bit juiced. I wonder
Speaker 2: it's probably a little bit more juiced. I'm not looking
Speaker 2: at it, or it may have readjusted if you didn't
Speaker 2: like the juice. I found a pairing that I kind
Speaker 2: of dug where I went e Flind five and a
Speaker 2: half strikeouts over plus Luis Ortez four and a half
Speaker 2: strikeouts under and that paid me one seventy seven. A
Speaker 2: couple of the actual game stuff. If you guys followed
Speaker 2: my bets yesterday, actually smashed my weird bets. I have
Speaker 2: the team total runs on the rays, which didn't look good,
Speaker 2: and we got there to five and my first three
Speaker 2: inning under was the big cash and that one smashed.
Speaker 2: So I'm back at that today and I'm going with
Speaker 2: Cleveland Milwaukee. Wait, mine has actually been pretty decent Shane
Speaker 2: Bieber early in. So I'm going through the first three
Speaker 2: innings two and a half total runs under in that
Speaker 2: Cleveland Milwaukee game, and then I'm also going to take
Speaker 2: Atlanta team total runs. It's actually a little bit higher,
Speaker 2: but it's up against Luke Weaver five and a half
Speaker 2: over minus won thirty five full game team total runs
Speaker 2: Atlanta five and a half, Cleveland Milwaukee first three two
Speaker 2: and a half under, Eflin strikeouts over and then you
Speaker 2: can pair the e Flyn strikeouts with the Ortiz under.
Speaker 2: Just a little repeat for everybody if you carry. Yeah,
Speaker 2: e Flynn is now minus one fifty four. Wow, I
Speaker 2: don't know about that on a single bet. I mean
Speaker 2: it's safer to play the single bets. I did it
Speaker 2: solo last night. But that's why I might pair it
Speaker 2: with the Luis Ortiz or you know, if you like
Speaker 2: one of Joe's some of the stuff there, you.
Speaker 1: Could pare someone else. But I'm not recommending my own
Speaker 1: right now, like until I break this streak. But I
Speaker 1: think I feel good about tonight. I feel good, feeling good.
Speaker 1: Let's go, let's do it. Feel yeah, feeling good. Sounds good.
Speaker 1: Feels good. Want to do it now? All right, let's
Speaker 1: get to let's get that So rare I saw somebody
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Speaker 1: look at look how cool that looks. Look at those
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Speaker 2: Actually that I'm gonna tell you that Suorez one looks
Speaker 2: pretty cool too. What is it that's super rare limited
Speaker 2: the g frand.
Speaker 1: Ver Valdez and that frand Ravaldez looks like he's getting runny.
Speaker 1: He's like, you can't come in the club.
Speaker 2: I think that's the one of one. I think that's
Speaker 2: the one of one too. Which one for the purple? Yeah,
Speaker 2: the unique, I think unique is one of one. Super
Speaker 2: rare is like to ten and that's pretty sweet.
Speaker 1: And again we're giving away, you know, free stuff here.
Speaker 1: Look at this boom uh so the bonus prizes. You
Speaker 1: got the free MLB TV subscription that just went out
Speaker 1: there forget. I gotta get the name of the person.
Speaker 1: But it just happened. So get in there, go check
Speaker 1: it out. It's free to find out. If you like it, great.
Speaker 1: If you don't, that's okay. There's other things to do,
Speaker 1: all right, DFS, we're back is yesterday, there was no
Speaker 1: slay today. There is Zach Eflin at ten point four.
Speaker 1: I'm in, uh Shane Bieber, I'm also in at nine
Speaker 1: point six. I think Eflyn is the cash game guy tonight,
Speaker 1: and I think Bieber is your tournament guy. The way
Speaker 1: he's pitched at home this year, he's been so good.
Speaker 1: The roster percentage is gonna be lower because people see,
Speaker 1: you know, Milwaukee and the legitimate threat coming in but
Speaker 1: I like him at nine to six, and if you
Speaker 1: want to change that out to Lozardo at ninety seven
Speaker 1: is good too, Musco of at eight to nine. He
Speaker 1: got some good under ten k pitchers tonight that you
Speaker 1: can really go and make some money with the stacks
Speaker 1: Padres Los Angeles, Angels of Vanaheim and Colorado, and also
Speaker 1: the Toronto Blue Jays. They gotta get going. Vlatty, Guerrero
Speaker 1: boy Welsh, you want to talk about that in bad?
Speaker 1: Two weeks? Wholely crap? Has Vladdy been bad? He has
Speaker 1: been two hundred will I will tell you how bad
Speaker 1: it's been bad?
Speaker 2: Is it?
Speaker 1: I'll tell you how it's been. Machado two point nine,
Speaker 1: Jake Berger two point eight, Jesu Sanchez two point eight.
Speaker 1: If maybe you can get a home run out of
Speaker 1: those guys. So I do have this information here on Vlatty,
Speaker 1: just let me pull it up here a second. But
Speaker 1: he has been wretched recently in the well.
Speaker 2: I had the month of June Jude here.
Speaker 1: His last fifteen days, forty eight at bats, one run, scored,
Speaker 1: zero homers, four Ribby's hitting two twenty nine with a
Speaker 1: two fifty slugging and a five sixty five.
Speaker 2: Oh ps, gross, No, no, boy, I've been downcing around.
Speaker 2: I play in the Otto League. If people have ever
Speaker 2: played one of those, it's crazy keeper and money attached
Speaker 2: to stuff. And I have a Jackson Holiday for a
Speaker 2: buck because I'm a smart prospect guy and got Jackson
Speaker 2: Holiday for a buck. And I've been having these offers
Speaker 2: because I'm near the top to compete, and I've got
Speaker 2: these offers. I've had one for one Soto and one
Speaker 2: for Vlad Guerrero. They're both like way over forty dollars,
Speaker 2: pretty much not capable, and I'm like, I don't even
Speaker 2: know if those guys help me that much right now.
Speaker 2: So I'm Vlad off the team to give up a
Speaker 2: dollar Jackson Holiday. That's the place that it's in. And
Speaker 2: I'm a guy I liked. I'll wheel and deal my prospects,
Speaker 2: so I don't know if I can even make that.
Speaker 2: That hurt It hurts that Vlad. When Vlad struggles, I struggle,
Speaker 2: and it hurts you.
Speaker 1: A little bit. Also, fun fact tonight, I mean she
Speaker 1: hadn't taken them out again, so that's going to be
Speaker 1: exciting to watch a lot.
Speaker 2: Of prospects the AJSS and she both going, so it's
Speaker 2: nightly prospect pitching.
Speaker 1: You know, can we get real nicknames? Joey Futures, that's
Speaker 1: a nickname. I was sick of these shortened names. You know.
Speaker 1: That's all. And that's all you way like it's you are.
Speaker 2: Look at you. You're just bitching about that now.
Speaker 1: Bitching about I need a break. I need a break.
Speaker 1: It's been a long week, you know. You know these
Speaker 1: weeks where you have like the end of school coming,
Speaker 1: so the kids have half days and it throws your
Speaker 1: schedule all off, and then you have all that stuff.
Speaker 1: And we just finished all the football stuff over the weekend.
Speaker 1: So I coached three football games. The playoffs were great, fun,
Speaker 1: it was terrific. But I'm just I'm exhausted. You know,
Speaker 1: Father's Day, I didn't get to do anything that I
Speaker 1: wanted to do. Sunday it's gonna rain all day. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the kids. We're gonna go see Flash. We're
Speaker 1: gonna sit around and do nothing the rest of it.
Speaker 1: That's my plan. It sounds orders Wings from King Wing
Speaker 1: gets beer and do nothing.
Speaker 2: That sounds wonderful. I'm with you on that summer. I
Speaker 2: don't think this is the first summer. I felt the
Speaker 2: kids being home as a work from home person, like
Speaker 2: you really feel it where you're like, oh, it's a
Speaker 2: little bit more different than the home.
Speaker 1: Home is fine, it's the off schedule. It's like you're
Speaker 1: going to school fine, but when you're home in like
Speaker 1: you're gone in three hours later you're back. And then
Speaker 1: this person wants to go to this person's house. And
Speaker 1: this happened. People you know, the Peanuts and Crocker Jacks,
Speaker 1: they know, they know what this is.
Speaker 2: Like, let's get let at PT felt that this is
Speaker 2: it right there. One Cure Show and Joe's all emo now.
Speaker 1: Soul is sad right now?
Speaker 2: Funny enough. I'm way more the emo music guys. Oh
Speaker 2: my god, Yeah, it's funny about that.
Speaker 1: Like I listened to all right, let's let's get to
Speaker 1: the let's get home run golf. I'm going Jan Soda
Speaker 1: for the weekend. Hopefully you'll break me out of my doldrums. Here,
Speaker 1: Razor's still at the top of the board. JJ's still
Speaker 1: there at twenty five right behind them again. Fantacy pros
Speaker 1: dot com slash chat, that's the place to go to
Speaker 1: make your home run. Calls Welsh, who are you calling
Speaker 1: today for your homers.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Ronald Acuna Luke Weavers on the mound,
Speaker 2: so I would love to stack some braves. Don't really
Speaker 2: ever seem to hit with Austin Riley or Matt Olsen.
Speaker 2: Why not go with Akunya. I can take a kunya
Speaker 2: into the weekend, so yes, I will do that, and
Speaker 2: I want to get a home. I think I have
Speaker 2: a Homer like ten days. It's crazy, we're going into
Speaker 2: double digit. Yeah, I think I've.
Speaker 1: Probably Homer's first this weekend. Vlad Guerrero or the Welsh
Speaker 1: that we shall tell you on Monday when we return.
Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, but the story of the
Speaker 1: game goes on for the Welsh. I'm Joey p. We'll
Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids. Enjoy your weekend. Bye bye
Speaker 1: bye