1 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:13,399 Speaker 1: What the guys. 2 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning edition of 3 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Parott. You 4 00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 2: guys can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. 5 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 2: Every morning we're here on Bettingpros dot com, which is important. 6 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 2: By the way, I'll explain more on why Bettingpros dot 7 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 2: com is important to know that that we are on 8 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 2: Betting Pros. This podcast is on Betting Pros YouTube for 9 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 2: the video wherever you get your audiogod podcasts always being 10 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:36,800 Speaker 2: brought to you by bet MGM ten dollars bet wins 11 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:40,160 Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty dollars ten dollars bet on any 12 00:00:40,200 --> 00:00:42,520 Speaker 2: event wins one hundred and fifty dollars promo code Juice 13 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 2: one fifty with BETMGM BETMGM dot com. All right, So 14 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 2: why I bring that up about Betting Pros dot com. 15 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 1: So last night. 16 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:54,440 Speaker 2: I made a mistake, So I do all the editing 17 00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 2: for this podcast myself, just so you guys know, like 18 00:00:56,920 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 2: I am solo on this. No one's awake, right, I mean, 19 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 2: everybody at Betting Pros asleep. I'm the only one awake 20 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 2: on the West Coast. So every night at about nine 21 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 2: o'clock Pacific time, give or take. I'm here taping this podcast, 22 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 2: and last night I entered for whatever reason I have, 23 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:15,080 Speaker 2: you know, as things get kind of built up on 24 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 2: your computer, I clicked on the wrong file, all right, 25 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:20,399 Speaker 2: So I loaded the wrong file for this podcast. I 26 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 2: was quickly alerted that, hey, Matt, this is wrong, so 27 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,320 Speaker 2: I went and changed it. And so we all get 28 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 2: up this morning and I had like fifteen dms from 29 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 2: people saying, hey, it's the wrong day on the podcast. Well, 30 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:33,039 Speaker 2: if you had gone to betting pros, you would have 31 00:01:33,080 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 2: seen that it was right. You could always come here 32 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:38,680 Speaker 2: to YouTube, by the way, as well and watch the podcast. 33 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: Maybe you don't do it consistently, but if you miss 34 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: it for a. 35 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 2: Day, you'll always get it on YouTube because that video audit, 36 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 2: I mean it has to. I mean the color of 37 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 2: my shirt won't I'll be like, wait, that's wrong. So 38 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 2: I'll never load the wrong video file. I might maybe 39 00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 2: the wrong audio file. So that's you know, Sorry, I 40 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 2: didn't mean to have that happen, but you know, that's 41 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 2: just the way things kind unfortunately rolled out for us here. 42 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 2: So just an FYI when it comes to this podcast, 43 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 2: all right, so we get the football bet right. I'll 44 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: admit having sent having Self Floria to cover that twenty 45 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:12,959 Speaker 2: three points was a little bit fortuitous. Some big things 46 00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 2: happened in the second half, but Cincinnati again did not 47 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:18,840 Speaker 2: take care of business, and Cincinnati does not cover. We 48 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 2: catch the plus twenty three half a unit there, we 49 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:24,480 Speaker 2: get the under wrong in that game. 50 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 1: I thought it would go under, went way over so 51 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:27,919 Speaker 1: wrong on that. I was surprised. 52 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 2: See how many points Cuentra floor Self Florida scored on Cincinnati. 53 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 2: That was a little surprising to me. But fine, and 54 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 2: so we go one and one on that one, and 55 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,079 Speaker 2: then we get the basketball. For Purdue, they cover by 56 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,360 Speaker 2: twenty They went by twenty five against Indiana State, so 57 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 2: they get that twenty three covered for us there. I 58 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 2: think the number closed, by the way at twenty six 59 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 2: and a half. So I mean, if you bet that late, ouch, 60 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:52,919 Speaker 2: that's a bummer loss. They don't get there, bet it 61 00:02:53,000 --> 00:02:56,080 Speaker 2: early got there. So you know one thing, numbers do 62 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 2: matter here. So twenty three, twenty three and a half, 63 00:02:58,360 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 2: twenty four, twenty four and a half, and so on, 64 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 2: cast all the way up to twenty five, and it. 65 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:02,960 Speaker 1: Was a push. 66 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:06,239 Speaker 2: I had a bunch of things going personally, I had 67 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:08,840 Speaker 2: two goals over two goals in the USA Soccer match 68 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 2: against Mexico. They scored two on their own, so that pushed. 69 00:03:12,120 --> 00:03:14,680 Speaker 2: But the bet the day the pod is coming down 70 00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:19,959 Speaker 2: to UNLV, sorry you, and I to UCLA hosting Villanova. 71 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 1: That game is going on right now as we tape here. 72 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 2: It's a West Coast late night game, so I don't 73 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 2: know how the pod officially will end up today. So 74 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 2: with the other three and one day on the podcast, 75 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 2: and I have Villanova money line going here, I got 76 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 2: something else right, I got a couple. Oh, I have 77 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 2: a parlay. I took the Warriors and Nuggets parlay that number. 78 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 2: Let's see where that game is. Chicago was getting killed 79 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 2: the Warriors. Nuggets already won it currently is eighty eight 80 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 2: sixty four in the fourth quarter, so the Warriors are 81 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:53,840 Speaker 2: going to improve to eleven and one on the year. 82 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 1: I'm glad I didn't. 83 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:57,839 Speaker 2: Bet that because I almost took the Bulls plus five 84 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:00,160 Speaker 2: and a half. I came close to doing it, but 85 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 2: I decided not to. I just took the money line 86 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 2: for the Warriors and that wound up cashing for us there. 87 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 2: So Warriors money line and Nuggets money lines. That was 88 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 2: a plus one thirty parlay that I'll cash tonight. 89 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: So that's good. 90 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 2: So overall, good day for me. Hopefully the podcast comes 91 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:20,280 Speaker 2: here with Ucla. Hopefully we get in. We can wind 92 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 2: up going three and one on the podcast and have 93 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 2: a good day here for us. Right now, UCLA is 94 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 2: up by six. We laid four and a half, so 95 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 2: we're okay for right now. So we'll see how that 96 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 2: game goes here in the first half. Okay, So let's 97 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:37,280 Speaker 2: get to the place. I have got two full unit 98 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 2: college football bets. I have one half unit UFC bet 99 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:46,600 Speaker 2: to make, and I'm going to be adding throughout the 100 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:49,599 Speaker 2: day today. All right, I'm gonna jump in here. There's 101 00:04:49,640 --> 00:04:51,280 Speaker 2: going to be a bunch of different things. I'm going 102 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 2: to be on, a bunch of plays. I'm going to 103 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:56,359 Speaker 2: be on. As it's a Saturday, We've got UFC card 104 00:04:56,360 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 2: tonight to get into. We'll talk more about that fight 105 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:02,479 Speaker 2: here in just one second. But let's start in college football, 106 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:06,039 Speaker 2: and let's start with Wake Forest hosting NC State. This 107 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 2: number is down, it was down to one. It's back 108 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 2: up to two here, okay, so it's ping ponging two 109 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 2: and a half down to one and a half, down 110 00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:16,720 Speaker 2: to one, up to two total of sixty six and 111 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 2: a half. Okay, I don't hate to play on the 112 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 2: over in this game, but right now, NC State is 113 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:26,480 Speaker 2: six and three against number. They're four and one ats 114 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 2: in the ACC. Wake Forest is four and five against 115 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 2: the spread, three and three in the ACC. At home 116 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 2: they are two and three against the number. NC State 117 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 2: is two and two against the number. NC State last 118 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 2: two games laying three and six Florida State in Louisville, 119 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 2: they wind up winning by. 120 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 1: Fourteen and fifteen points last time out on the road 121 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:50,719 Speaker 1: at plus two and a half. Like we mentioned, we 122 00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:51,360 Speaker 1: laid the unit. 123 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 2: We laid two and a half with the tour heels 124 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 2: in that game against Wake they lost by three. 125 00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: They beat Duke by thirty eight. 126 00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 2: Points, covering that sixteen and a half point line for that, 127 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:02,920 Speaker 2: beating Army by fourteen. Two games before that they were 128 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 2: laying seven and five and a half. They won by 129 00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:07,240 Speaker 2: three on the road and at home at Louisville, home 130 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 2: for Louisville and at Syracuse for a very very good offense. Look, 131 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 2: I think when you look at NC State, I think 132 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:17,599 Speaker 2: their numbers. You know, you start looking at their matchup 133 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:20,320 Speaker 2: stats here, and you're gonna immediately you're gonna run to 134 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 2: the defense and go seventeen point one, right, seventeen point 135 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 2: one points given up. 136 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:28,760 Speaker 1: That's a top ten defense. You're gonna go, Matt, Really. 137 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:32,280 Speaker 2: Isn't it always better defense beats good offense? 138 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:33,280 Speaker 1: Yes? 139 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:37,240 Speaker 2: But and there's like a really big butt in that, 140 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 2: because I don't think NC State is all that impressive 141 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:44,719 Speaker 2: based upon who they have played. I'm not really buying 142 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 2: into it to be I mean, I'm not really believing it, 143 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 2: to be honest. I'm sort of like EH on this, 144 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 2: and I think NC State's numbers are a little bit inflated, 145 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:56,919 Speaker 2: and I'm not really buying that they have this tremendous 146 00:06:56,960 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 2: great defense that's gonna slow down the wake Forest offense, 147 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 2: which we saw last week can put points up in 148 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:06,200 Speaker 2: a blink. I mean, they are incredible at scoring, how 149 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:07,880 Speaker 2: fast they can get up and down the field, how 150 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 2: quickly they can take the ball and just go. And 151 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 2: they are at home. I think that is a significant 152 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 2: factor here, that they are at home here for this 153 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 2: game between two teams ranked in the top twenty. And 154 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 2: this game's on the ACC Network, by the way, so 155 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 2: it's a seven thirty kickoff game. ACC networks like what 156 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:27,120 Speaker 2: but ACC network. Okay, Wakes averaging forty four points per game. 157 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 2: NC State has been you know, very good, sixteen to 158 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 2: seventeen points per game. 159 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: Yardage wise, NC State, it's an interesting look. 160 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 2: Okay, yardage wise just in totality three hundred and thirty 161 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:42,680 Speaker 2: seven yards per game. That's twenty fifth best in the country. 162 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 2: But let's look at the schedule here for Wake just 163 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 2: a little bit closer as to who they have played. Okay, 164 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:51,240 Speaker 2: they played Mississippi State and they lost twenty four to ten. 165 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 2: They played Clemson, they gave up twenty one points to Clemson. 166 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 2: Now they beat Clemson, but they gave up twenty one 167 00:07:56,600 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 2: points to that offense. Clemson's offense stinks. They played Miami 168 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 2: and they lost to Miami thirty one thirty give up 169 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:07,840 Speaker 2: thirty one points to Miamiyah, all right, they gave up, 170 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:11,520 Speaker 2: you know, in the two losses, they gave up you know, 171 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 2: twenty four and thirty one points two offenses that are 172 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 2: not as good as Wake Force's offense. And so I 173 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 2: think when you look at the number, is the more 174 00:08:19,640 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 2: impressive thing to me is what Wake Force's offense is 175 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:25,000 Speaker 2: capable of doing with forty five points per game, forty 176 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:27,160 Speaker 2: four to forty five points, number one scoring offense in 177 00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 2: the in the country, five hundred and twenty yards for them, 178 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 2: six point seven yards per play, that's seventh best in 179 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,839 Speaker 2: the country. They passed nine point four yards per pass play, 180 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:39,280 Speaker 2: that's seventh best in the country. And look, defensively, Wake 181 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 2: isn't good. We know that, But how good offensively is 182 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 2: North Carolina? 183 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:43,880 Speaker 1: Okay? 184 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:47,720 Speaker 2: I mean, twenty nine points a game is fine, fifty 185 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:48,440 Speaker 2: first in the country. 186 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 1: It's all right. 187 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,559 Speaker 2: They have four hun four yards of total offense. I'm 188 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:54,960 Speaker 2: not going to debate. This could wind up being a shootout, 189 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:58,319 Speaker 2: but in shootout type games, I got a home team 190 00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:02,240 Speaker 2: here in Wake four. I'm not gonna play around with 191 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 2: the number here because I don't want to deal with 192 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 2: like a one two point loss. You know, they we 193 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:09,559 Speaker 2: lay two, they win by one. I don't want to 194 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:10,640 Speaker 2: get into that. I just want Wake to win the 195 00:09:10,679 --> 00:09:11,199 Speaker 2: football game. 196 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 1: Okay. Money line's not expensive, it's nice. One twenty five. 197 00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 2: Okay, Wake Forest ns one twenty five on the money 198 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 2: line one unit. I'm just taking Wake to bounce back here. 199 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:25,880 Speaker 2: They're at home, they're playing for an ACC Championship opportunity. 200 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 2: I just think Wake is the better football team offensively, 201 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 2: and I think it's gonna be a big, big game 202 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 2: for them. I think they're gonna score a ton of points. Again, 203 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 2: I don't hit a play on the under on the over. 204 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:38,720 Speaker 2: I might come in myself with the over on this game, 205 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:42,679 Speaker 2: but sixty eight points is a sixty five, sorry, sixty 206 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:43,680 Speaker 2: to sixty five and a half. 207 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:46,440 Speaker 1: It's a lot of points here. It could easily happen. 208 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:48,560 Speaker 2: It got it got there really easily, and we want 209 00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 2: to want to talk about, like, you know where these 210 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 2: teams are overs four and five and four and five, 211 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 2: which is pretty interesting, right giving their offenses. You know again, 212 00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:58,840 Speaker 2: North Carolina and the total was seventy eight and it 213 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 2: went over by thirty five points. But the last two 214 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:08,200 Speaker 2: games for NC States Florida State in Louisville, both those 215 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:12,160 Speaker 2: games went under by thirteen and sixteen points. So it's 216 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:14,079 Speaker 2: like it's a little bit scary to kind of ride 217 00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:15,640 Speaker 2: an NC State over because I don't know if I 218 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 2: trust them to get there. So that's why I'm not 219 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:19,840 Speaker 2: going to make that official play. But one unit Wake 220 00:10:19,880 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 2: Forest money line minus one twenty five is the first 221 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:27,240 Speaker 2: pick second pick. Let's talk about our boy, Matt Corral. 222 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 2: All right, this guy, he's going to win the Heisman. 223 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 2: He has to have a monster game like this has 224 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:35,719 Speaker 2: got to be his game. He has got to put 225 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:39,640 Speaker 2: up a huge score here because I think his defense 226 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 2: is going to give up points. I'm gonna be personally 227 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 2: on the over in this game, all right, I will. 228 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:46,920 Speaker 2: I will take the over fifty seven points between A 229 00:10:46,960 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 2: and M and ole Miss personally. But this number is 230 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 2: three and it's coming down, so I hopefully I don't 231 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 2: hate if you buy it the three. 232 00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 1: I don't hate that, but I got it at three. Yeah. 233 00:10:58,120 --> 00:10:59,760 Speaker 1: I've seen other books go to two and a half. 234 00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:02,600 Speaker 2: I'm at three, and I think that's a really key 235 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:04,719 Speaker 2: number obviously, so I don't mind buying it off of 236 00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 2: two and a half. You've got to pay the one 237 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 2: thirty five one thirty five. Don't go higher than one thirty. Really, 238 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 2: it's probably the highest I would go on that. 239 00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:13,080 Speaker 1: You want to look at the numbers here. 240 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 2: So far this season, ole Miss is five to three 241 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:17,280 Speaker 2: and one against the number tex A and M is 242 00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:20,840 Speaker 2: six and three against the number at home. Ole Miss 243 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:23,640 Speaker 2: three to one in one against the spread on the road, 244 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 2: tex A and M is one in two against the spread. 245 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:29,319 Speaker 2: A and M has covered the last four games. They 246 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:31,760 Speaker 2: are laying three points, two and a half points here 247 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:35,319 Speaker 2: at ole Miss. Olmoss covered last week against Liberty, did 248 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:37,600 Speaker 2: not cover against Auburn and they lost by eleven on 249 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:38,040 Speaker 2: the road. 250 00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:39,719 Speaker 1: There we were on Auburn. 251 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:43,480 Speaker 2: In that game LSU they beat them by fourteen, laying nine. 252 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:48,040 Speaker 2: They beat Tennessee by five, laying one point with them. 253 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 2: You want to talk about from a total perspective, A 254 00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 2: and M is three and six to the over. So 255 00:11:54,280 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 2: is Ole Miss three and six to the over? One 256 00:11:56,920 --> 00:11:59,920 Speaker 2: in four in SEC games the numbers Everyone thought this 257 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,560 Speaker 2: offense goes to score tons of points, but I do 258 00:12:02,600 --> 00:12:05,199 Speaker 2: think actually gonna score a ton of points Ole Miss's offense. 259 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 2: Their games have gone under four consecutive games Liberty, Auburn, LSU, 260 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:13,120 Speaker 2: Tennessee all under. Those totals were sixty six and a half, 261 00:12:13,280 --> 00:12:15,559 Speaker 2: sixty seven and a half, seventy six and a half, 262 00:12:15,640 --> 00:12:18,079 Speaker 2: and eighty two and a half, So huge balloon numbers. 263 00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 2: So maybe the public's off betting over is when it 264 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 2: comes to ole Miss and as our chance to kind 265 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 2: of jump in here, and maybe they see that trend 266 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 2: to the under and all bet the under. Maybe we 267 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:28,720 Speaker 2: get a better number four kick and we go over 268 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 2: to A and M and all Miss. I think Matt 269 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 2: Carral has got to be the best player on the 270 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:36,960 Speaker 2: field coming up here. A and M's got the number 271 00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:39,720 Speaker 2: two scoring defense in the country fourteen point seven points 272 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:42,319 Speaker 2: per game. But given the pace of play which Ole 273 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:45,319 Speaker 2: Miss plays, I don't think anybody can really slow them 274 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 2: down in the country. 275 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:47,079 Speaker 1: I don't think you can stop them. 276 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:48,920 Speaker 2: You may be able to slow them down, but this 277 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:51,160 Speaker 2: isn't an offense given up five point six yards per 278 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:55,319 Speaker 2: pass play. They were able to frustrate Alabama, but they 279 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:56,720 Speaker 2: were at home when they did that. 280 00:12:56,760 --> 00:12:57,559 Speaker 1: This is on the road. 281 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 2: Ole Miss's offense thirty five points per game, five hundred 282 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:04,320 Speaker 2: and ten yards of offense per game. They throw the 283 00:13:04,320 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 2: ball at nine point two yards per pass play. Matt 284 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:10,520 Speaker 2: Corral is outstanding running the football. That's why they average 285 00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 2: five yards per rush. Much of it is from Matt Corral. 286 00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 2: I need Ole Miss to play hard. I need Ole 287 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 2: Miss to win this game, most likely outright. But I'll 288 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:20,440 Speaker 2: take the three points here and hope for a push 289 00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:24,800 Speaker 2: at worst Ole Miss plus three one unit here. 290 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 1: I will be on the over fifty. 291 00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:30,560 Speaker 2: Seven personally, and then the other college games that I 292 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:35,200 Speaker 2: am eyeballing. Okay, I am there's probably four more that 293 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:40,439 Speaker 2: I may be involved with, either personally or or officially. 294 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 2: I will tell you that in the morning this morning, 295 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:46,400 Speaker 2: because we have our Discord Channel conversation, which, by the way, 296 00:13:46,400 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 2: think we've missed last three, So hopefully you guys will 297 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:50,679 Speaker 2: find a winner for me for the Discord Channel. We 298 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:53,520 Speaker 2: came close yes last week, but we're gonna do that 299 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 2: chat at eight o'clock in the morning Pacific eleven am 300 00:13:56,200 --> 00:13:59,839 Speaker 2: Eastern time, and either during that chat or right before 301 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:02,200 Speaker 2: that chat, I will tell you if I'm going to 302 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:06,079 Speaker 2: take Michigan on the money line against Penn State. Petrified 303 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:11,440 Speaker 2: about that man, petrified, petrified, petrified Harball. I mean, his 304 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:14,040 Speaker 2: record in big games in big spots just not good. 305 00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:16,000 Speaker 2: But Penn State's not ranked, so that's a good thing 306 00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:21,320 Speaker 2: for that trend. Maybe Michigan, Oklahoma, Baylor, man. I want 307 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:24,440 Speaker 2: to take Baylor. I really want to take Baylor money line. 308 00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 2: I don't know how to do it officially, I don't 309 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:27,720 Speaker 2: know what I'm gonna do yet, but I really want 310 00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:29,800 Speaker 2: to take Baylor. I want to take the points at 311 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:32,080 Speaker 2: five and a half at home, take a home dog. 312 00:14:33,120 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 1: I don't know. 313 00:14:34,040 --> 00:14:36,920 Speaker 2: I mean, the total was just a ridiculous sixty three 314 00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 2: points in this game. A part of me wants to 315 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:42,640 Speaker 2: take Baylor plus five and a half desperately, and then 316 00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 2: I want to look talk about Purdue in Ohio State. 317 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 1: Everyone. 318 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 2: If Purdue wins this game outright, they'll set a record 319 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:51,640 Speaker 2: becoming the first team to beat three ap top ten 320 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 2: teams in the same season. 321 00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 1: No one's ever done that. 322 00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 2: Beat Iowa when they were number two, beat Michigan, Michigan 323 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,280 Speaker 2: State when they were number two. Last week, here comes 324 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 2: Ohio State, number four. No one's ever beaten three top 325 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:07,760 Speaker 2: ten teams in the regular season. Man, can can they 326 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:11,880 Speaker 2: do it again? Can they? They're giant killers? Right The 327 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 2: public is starting to come around on Purdue. If this 328 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 2: number goes below twenty one, I very well might be 329 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:22,119 Speaker 2: on Ohio State. But it's so fun to bet on Purdue, 330 00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:24,520 Speaker 2: it really is. I may just take a half unit 331 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 2: flyer on Purdue at plus twenty one, just because it's Purdue. 332 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:29,320 Speaker 2: It's really fun to bet on the dog like this, 333 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:31,480 Speaker 2: to go in go into Ohio State and get a win, 334 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:34,400 Speaker 2: or to put a scare in the Buckeyes that would 335 00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 2: be awesome produce four and two right now, And obviously 336 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 2: there's a lot riding as they're trying to make the 337 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:43,280 Speaker 2: Big Ten title game. Wisconsin's playing really really well right now, 338 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:46,280 Speaker 2: and so maybe they're the team to beat in the 339 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 2: conference on that side of the conference. But Purdue beating 340 00:15:49,640 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 2: Ohio State would be monster, I mean just absolutely monster. 341 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 2: But twenty one points maybe. So those are the games 342 00:15:55,600 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 2: I'm kind of watching. Northwestern in Michigan maybe like the 343 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:01,720 Speaker 2: most boring game of the year, and like everyone just 344 00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:03,960 Speaker 2: is like screaming, bet the under, bet the under, bet 345 00:16:03,960 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 2: the under. I mean, I don't know ian Wisconsin's actually 346 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 2: playing decently, but a lot of big games are early 347 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 2: forty one. By the way, the total is forty one 348 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:15,400 Speaker 2: for Northwestern in Wisconsin. 349 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 1: So just two. 350 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:20,720 Speaker 2: Plays officially right now and a lot going either personal 351 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:23,520 Speaker 2: card or professional or official card. I don't know yet, 352 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 2: but I'll talk about it during the Discord channel or 353 00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:28,960 Speaker 2: before the Discord chap eight o'clock on eight o'clock in 354 00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 2: the morning Pacific time or eleven am Eastern time. For 355 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 2: that I do have one more happy unit bet to 356 00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:36,800 Speaker 2: give you, and it's the main event of UFC Vegas 357 00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:42,359 Speaker 2: forty two, Holloway versus Rodriguez. So here is Max Holloway, 358 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 2: who is back into the octagon, who is still one 359 00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:47,960 Speaker 2: of the greatest, but people may have forgotten a little 360 00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 2: bit about how good this dude really is. Max Holloway 361 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 2: is one of the most difficult fighters to stop in 362 00:16:56,280 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 2: all of the UFC. Fifteen minutes is what his average 363 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:02,520 Speaker 2: fight time is, and he's fought a bunch of five rounders. 364 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:07,439 Speaker 2: Aeron Rodriguez is known for his flamboyant, crazy wild style 365 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:10,879 Speaker 2: inside the octagon, but this dude hasn't fought in a while, 366 00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 2: and his last fight was an unbelievable knockout of Jeremy Stevens. 367 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:18,159 Speaker 2: But this is Max Holloway. We're gonna need something like 368 00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 2: ridiculous and crazy. Max Holloway is the far superior striker 369 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:27,240 Speaker 2: here in this fight, and I don't know what Rodriguez 370 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:33,679 Speaker 2: has the fight defense to really withstand. Holloway's pressure strike 371 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 2: absorbed per minute is three point one point three. That's 372 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:41,320 Speaker 2: a little high when you're fighting Max Holloway. Max lands 373 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:45,639 Speaker 2: seven point twenty six strikes per minute like that is. 374 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 2: He has an incredible gas gas tank. He has an 375 00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:53,840 Speaker 2: incredible output. He's so tough, so durable, but he has 376 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:57,359 Speaker 2: been hurt before. We've seen him go down before, We've 377 00:17:57,400 --> 00:18:02,000 Speaker 2: seen him be hit. Max Halloway is so strong. He's 378 00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 2: such an interesting fighter because of what he brings to 379 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 2: the octagon, how tough he has been, how durable he 380 00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:12,120 Speaker 2: has been. I mean, the people that Max Holloway has fought, 381 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,199 Speaker 2: it's just incredible. I mean, in his last fight it 382 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:20,160 Speaker 2: was the unamous decision against Calvin Cater, but I mean 383 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:22,639 Speaker 2: he lost to Alsion and Volkanovsky. 384 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:23,440 Speaker 1: By decision split decision. 385 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 2: Before that, it was the he lost by decision to Volkanovsky. 386 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:30,359 Speaker 2: Before that, he got a victory against Freddie Edgar with 387 00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 2: the decision he got Ah he lost to dust Imporiate 388 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:38,600 Speaker 2: by decision, but he knocked out Brian or Tega. He 389 00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,920 Speaker 2: knocked out Jose Aldo. He knocked out Jose Aldo of 390 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 2: the previous time he knocked out Anthony Pettis. 391 00:18:44,520 --> 00:18:45,880 Speaker 1: Okay, this is. 392 00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 2: The type of Max Holloway we need to get back to. 393 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,160 Speaker 2: And I think the UFC is doing him a little 394 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:51,159 Speaker 2: bit of a I don't want to say it's a 395 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:54,520 Speaker 2: favor here by giving him Riguez because maybe Roriguez done 396 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:56,960 Speaker 2: something spectacular and he knocks out Holloway and all of 397 00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:59,920 Speaker 2: a sudden, it's like, oh my gosh, here comes er Ridriguez. 398 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:02,359 Speaker 1: But I just don't see it. 399 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 2: In case I'm wrong, all right, in case I'm wrong 400 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:10,280 Speaker 2: and Max Holloway has gotten kind of chinny here, it 401 00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:14,639 Speaker 2: is the fight to finish inside the distance or the 402 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:17,200 Speaker 2: fight to go to the distance. Yes, is minus one 403 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 2: twenty and the no is minus one ten. It's kind 404 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:24,480 Speaker 2: of a coin flip here, all right. I'm gonna take 405 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:28,400 Speaker 2: a dude that Max Holloway is so indestructible that it's 406 00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:32,200 Speaker 2: gonna take something ridiculous from Mariguez to knock him out. 407 00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,199 Speaker 1: But that's what that guy does. Like, that's what that 408 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:35,720 Speaker 1: guy does. 409 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:38,320 Speaker 2: So I don't want to have I don't want to 410 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,840 Speaker 2: be wrong on the wrong end of a spectacular knockout. 411 00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:44,560 Speaker 2: And I'm just gonna bet this fight to go inside 412 00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:47,560 Speaker 2: the distance minus one ten. Not a lot of juice 413 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:50,199 Speaker 2: on it. Okay, again, kind of a coin flip, but 414 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:53,720 Speaker 2: Holloway and Rodriguez to not go to the cards. It 415 00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,880 Speaker 2: doesn't matter who wins, just does not go to the cards. 416 00:19:57,240 --> 00:20:00,320 Speaker 2: At minus one ten for a half a unit is 417 00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:03,320 Speaker 2: where I'm going to jump in here, probably in the third, fourth, 418 00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:04,160 Speaker 2: or fifth rounds. 419 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:06,080 Speaker 1: Is not going to be a quick fight. That gonna 420 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:07,120 Speaker 1: be a quick stoppage. 421 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:08,840 Speaker 2: This is going to go probably to the fourth the 422 00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 2: fifth round when someone either submits the other or knocks 423 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:13,800 Speaker 2: out the other. But that's where I'm going for the 424 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:17,400 Speaker 2: UFC here tonight, NOTx Holloway versus A Riguez, And we're 425 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:20,160 Speaker 2: taking inside the distance the fight not. 426 00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:21,200 Speaker 1: To go to the cards. 427 00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:24,120 Speaker 2: So no, the fight will not go the distance at 428 00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:27,640 Speaker 2: minus one ten in the main event at UFC Fight 429 00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:31,679 Speaker 2: Night forty two in Vegas. All Right, like I mentioned, 430 00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:33,720 Speaker 2: we'll have a bunch of more plays, either personal or 431 00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:38,920 Speaker 2: professional going for college football here today a Purdue, Ohio State, Michigan, 432 00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 2: the Michigan game, you know, Baylor and Oklahoma. A lot 433 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:47,760 Speaker 2: of the games are early, by the way, Wisconsin and Northwestern. 434 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:55,800 Speaker 2: So just FOYI Wisconsin, Northwestern noonkick, Missippi State, Auburn nudekick, Oklahoma, 435 00:20:55,880 --> 00:21:01,400 Speaker 2: Baylor noonkick, Michigan, Penn State noonkick, Eastern. So just heads 436 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:03,359 Speaker 2: up on that, be awake, be ready to go, be 437 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,159 Speaker 2: ready to fire. If you're gonna want to fade or 438 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:07,320 Speaker 2: follow some of my picks. We'll be more active in 439 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:09,400 Speaker 2: the morning, but just two picks here, so again Wake 440 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:12,520 Speaker 2: Forest money line minus one twenty five ole Miss plus three. 441 00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:15,679 Speaker 2: I will be on the over personally and then inside 442 00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:18,920 Speaker 2: the distance for Rodriguez in Holloway at minus one ten 443 00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:21,679 Speaker 2: for a half of units. More to come later today. 444 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:25,280 Speaker 2: Here for the Daily Juice Officially and personally. Follow me 445 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:27,439 Speaker 2: on Twitter at sports doc Matt. Every morning it's the 446 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:29,399 Speaker 2: Daily Juice podcast. I was being brought to you. 447 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 1: I bet MGM