1
00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:17,880
Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you happy Saturday? Welcome into a

2
00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,040
Speaker 1: new episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Peraltz.

3
00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:22,960
Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

4
00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:25,680
Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt. And it is bright and early

5
00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:28,960
Speaker 1: here on the East Coast. It is five thirty in

6
00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:32,520
Speaker 1: the morning. I am headed to an event in Vermont,

7
00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:36,440
Speaker 1: so I'm up early, I'm taping early. I landed here

8
00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:41,120
Speaker 1: on the East Coast at about nine to thirty and

9
00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:44,559
Speaker 1: so I am operating on very little sleep. But it

10
00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:48,680
Speaker 1: is wintertime still here in New England, which is very strange.

11
00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:50,879
Speaker 1: I left it was eighty five degrees in Vegas. I

12
00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:54,320
Speaker 1: landed it was thirty five degrees in Boston, so you know,

13
00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:57,000
Speaker 1: it is what it is here being in the March time.

14
00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:01,240
Speaker 1: It is still very much March, very much basketball season.

15
00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:04,400
Speaker 1: And I am still very cold because the weather here

16
00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:07,200
Speaker 1: is cold, and so is my bets. Now, there was

17
00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:09,480
Speaker 1: some silver lining to tell you about here in just

18
00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:12,920
Speaker 1: one second, But Kentucky does not go over you, Mass

19
00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:15,440
Speaker 1: does not go over. We got a miracle, and I

20
00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:19,160
Speaker 1: mean a miracle cover with slew to come back. But

21
00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:21,000
Speaker 1: more on them here in just one second with Saint

22
00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,520
Speaker 1: Louis's win over Georgetown. They won and they covered. They

23
00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:26,360
Speaker 1: had no missiness covering. They would have won the game,

24
00:01:26,360 --> 00:01:28,360
Speaker 1: but they had no missus covering late with free throws

25
00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:30,120
Speaker 1: and fouls and whatnot. So we were lucky to go

26
00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:33,119
Speaker 1: one and two down one point two units, which makes

27
00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:36,960
Speaker 1: it a five day losing streak. I don't think I've

28
00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:40,720
Speaker 1: had a five day losing streak in a long time. However,

29
00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:45,600
Speaker 1: Iowa State plus four and a half, Oklahoma plus six

30
00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:48,160
Speaker 1: and a half. If you took the two other plays

31
00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:51,240
Speaker 1: that I said to take, we went three and two.

32
00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:55,320
Speaker 1: So if you just now the money line sprinkles did

33
00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:57,760
Speaker 1: not come in, but the full unit plays, the full

34
00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:03,240
Speaker 1: unit bets on Iowa State and on Oklahoma both came through.

35
00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:05,600
Speaker 1: So I know a bunch you guys said in the

36
00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:08,240
Speaker 1: discord channel that you had bet that simply because the

37
00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:11,440
Speaker 1: non official plays tend to hit. Well, there you go.

38
00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:14,000
Speaker 1: We went three and two if you go buy that

39
00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:17,560
Speaker 1: on that metric. We went three and two yesterday. So

40
00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:21,400
Speaker 1: technically we had a winning day at least personally, but

41
00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:25,280
Speaker 1: not a day that is something's right home about with

42
00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:27,040
Speaker 1: a one end. I mean, three and two is not great,

43
00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:29,160
Speaker 1: but it's way better than what I've been doing over

44
00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:32,079
Speaker 1: the last couple of days, obviously, so I will take

45
00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:35,280
Speaker 1: that anytime three and two we'll take it. But hopefully

46
00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:37,639
Speaker 1: that means we're going to thaw out here a little bit. However,

47
00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:41,000
Speaker 1: there's a couple of things to tell you guys about. First,

48
00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:44,560
Speaker 1: I've got two future vets for the conference tournaments that

49
00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:46,120
Speaker 1: I want to talk about. I'm not going to get

50
00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:48,600
Speaker 1: heavily involved. I we've got one NBA player prop because

51
00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:50,520
Speaker 1: we can bet that because it's day of so I

52
00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:52,920
Speaker 1: feel confident going in and betting one NBA player prop.

53
00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:56,440
Speaker 1: So it's a very light day for us here on Saturday,

54
00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:59,480
Speaker 1: simply because when I'm this cold, I just tend to,

55
00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:02,440
Speaker 1: as I say, I turtle, I tend to pull back.

56
00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:06,720
Speaker 1: I tend to do some play defense with the bank

57
00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,720
Speaker 1: roll a little bit until we turn things around. And

58
00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:14,480
Speaker 1: it's just one of those situations where I love betting

59
00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:18,720
Speaker 1: these conference tournaments. They're so fun, but I hate taking

60
00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:21,760
Speaker 1: you guys down with me. So I'm gonna give you

61
00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:24,800
Speaker 1: a way of playing the conference tournaments for the rest

62
00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:26,920
Speaker 1: of the weekend, two of them, and how to play

63
00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:30,120
Speaker 1: the rest of the weekend. It is a betting strategy,

64
00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:31,480
Speaker 1: So if you don't want to do it, you don't

65
00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:33,320
Speaker 1: have to. But it is kind of the way that

66
00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:35,360
Speaker 1: I have approached things in the past. If you guys

67
00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:36,920
Speaker 1: have been with us for a while and you kind

68
00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:39,520
Speaker 1: of know how I tend to play these brackets, there's

69
00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:41,440
Speaker 1: a way of approaching it where we can get ourselves

70
00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:45,320
Speaker 1: into a good situation monetarily hopefully to have a profitable Sunday,

71
00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:48,640
Speaker 1: So stick around coming up for that. Also, speaking of

72
00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:52,600
Speaker 1: Sunday selection, Sunday is tomorrow, so we're going to have

73
00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:55,000
Speaker 1: a ton of things. We have a bracket contest coming

74
00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:58,880
Speaker 1: out with Betting Pros and the Bracket Optimizer is back.

75
00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:01,600
Speaker 1: It is our AI based tool that can help you

76
00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:04,680
Speaker 1: create the perfect bracket that could help you win your

77
00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:07,920
Speaker 1: bracket pool. So be looking for both, be listening for both,

78
00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:10,600
Speaker 1: and be watching for both. Those things that will come

79
00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:14,160
Speaker 1: out tomorrow. Right when the bracket is released. We will

80
00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:16,400
Speaker 1: have all that for you on the Betting Pros app

81
00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:19,159
Speaker 1: on the Betting Pros website betting pros dot com. So

82
00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:21,680
Speaker 1: a lot of good things happening as we get into

83
00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:24,120
Speaker 1: the NSAA tournament and we get rocking and rolling here

84
00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,280
Speaker 1: for March Madness, So stick around, stay tuned, and pay

85
00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:29,080
Speaker 1: attention to that because that's going to be a lot

86
00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:30,880
Speaker 1: of fun coming up here. Before I give you the

87
00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:33,640
Speaker 1: picks for today, a reminder about the hard Rock Bet

88
00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:37,320
Speaker 1: folks who are the title sponsor of the Daily Juice podcast.

89
00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,640
Speaker 1: We're into March. College basketball is about to take complete

90
00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:44,640
Speaker 1: and total center stage. The stakes are rising, shots are falling,

91
00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:46,760
Speaker 1: and right now is a great time to get involved

92
00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:51,400
Speaker 1: with hard Rock Bet. They have offers the glore coming

93
00:04:51,440 --> 00:04:56,320
Speaker 1: at you, including offers just before tip off. They've got

94
00:04:56,680 --> 00:04:59,240
Speaker 1: all tournament long. Hard Rock Bet is rolling out the

95
00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:02,920
Speaker 1: daily dancing boosts that you guys can get involved with.

96
00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:06,960
Speaker 1: It's a live profit boost. They've got Harley profit boosts

97
00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:10,000
Speaker 1: as well, every single day. Tons of ways of getting

98
00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:11,800
Speaker 1: involved with hard rock Bets. So don't just sit on

99
00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:14,440
Speaker 1: the bench. Download the hard rock Bet app and let's

100
00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:18,679
Speaker 1: get the party started here for March Madness. Okay, let's

101
00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:23,080
Speaker 1: start with the SEC. The SEC is down to four teams.

102
00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:28,839
Speaker 1: Arkansas beat Oklahoma last night. Arkansas will play Ole Miss

103
00:05:28,880 --> 00:05:34,200
Speaker 1: today in the SEC tournament. Florida looks completely formidable in

104
00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:38,160
Speaker 1: a very difficult team, but they'll they'll play Vanderbilt and

105
00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:42,839
Speaker 1: Arkansas is plus three p thirty Okay to win the

106
00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:48,360
Speaker 1: SEC tournament if they play Florida, what's the number going

107
00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:51,440
Speaker 1: to be? I mean, we the way and see how

108
00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:54,120
Speaker 1: it all plays out. But I don't know if Arkansas

109
00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:57,320
Speaker 1: is going to be a plus three thirty dog to

110
00:05:57,440 --> 00:05:59,800
Speaker 1: go ahead and beat Florida, they probably are going to

111
00:05:59,839 --> 00:06:02,920
Speaker 1: be probably half of that right in particularly, they look

112
00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:07,279
Speaker 1: good by beating up on Ole Miss, who most likely

113
00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,960
Speaker 1: is not going to be I mean, Arkansas is expected

114
00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:12,159
Speaker 1: to beat Ole Miss. Kempom has it as a ten

115
00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:16,839
Speaker 1: point win for Arkansas, eighty four to seventy four. Now,

116
00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:22,279
Speaker 1: during the regular season, Arkansas up against Florida, got whipped,

117
00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,200
Speaker 1: got one to eleven to seventy seven. They got killed,

118
00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:28,159
Speaker 1: and that game was on the road at Florida, so

119
00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:30,520
Speaker 1: they played once. It didn't go very well. But this

120
00:06:30,560 --> 00:06:33,840
Speaker 1: would be a neutral court. So a win over Oklahoma

121
00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:38,560
Speaker 1: and then a win over Ole Miss puts Arkansas into

122
00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:42,320
Speaker 1: the SEC Championship game where Florida most likely is going

123
00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:44,160
Speaker 1: to be waiting for them. According to kempom, it's a

124
00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:47,440
Speaker 1: five point win, but Vandy's a tough opponent. Okay, Florida

125
00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:51,000
Speaker 1: played Kentucky. That was a brawl. They'll play Vanderbilt today.

126
00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:53,600
Speaker 1: They most likely get past them. But what happens if

127
00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:57,000
Speaker 1: they don't. What happens if Vanderbilt beats Florida. I'm not

128
00:06:57,040 --> 00:07:00,280
Speaker 1: saying it's going to happen, but it could happen. And

129
00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:03,360
Speaker 1: if that happens, I think there's a real opportunity here

130
00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:06,400
Speaker 1: to take Florida at plus three. I'm sorry to take

131
00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:09,640
Speaker 1: Arkansas at plus three thirty. Now, if they do play

132
00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:13,880
Speaker 1: Florida coming up in the SEC Championship game, at some

133
00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:16,840
Speaker 1: point during the game, we're going to be able either

134
00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:19,880
Speaker 1: to hedge bet or even pre flop, go ahead and

135
00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:23,600
Speaker 1: take Florida to go ahead and lay mis one fortys

136
00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:26,920
Speaker 1: one fifty mis one sixty somewhere in that range, and

137
00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:31,040
Speaker 1: we guarantee profit. Okay, So that's how I'm going to

138
00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:34,280
Speaker 1: play this today. I'm going to take Arkansas to win

139
00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:39,239
Speaker 1: the SEC Championship at plus three thirty here for us

140
00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:42,320
Speaker 1: for one unit, so we'd win one, we'd win three

141
00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:46,840
Speaker 1: point three units coming back on this. Essentially, it's better

142
00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:49,960
Speaker 1: than the rollover of taking of laying it with Arkansas

143
00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:53,920
Speaker 1: because there are big favorites here up against Ole Miss

144
00:07:53,960 --> 00:07:56,160
Speaker 1: today and as long as they beat Ole Miss and

145
00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:58,200
Speaker 1: make the championship game, which I think that they will.

146
00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:02,000
Speaker 1: They beat Ole Miss, they advance, then they've got Florida.

147
00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:03,600
Speaker 1: Then we can go ahead and play off of it

148
00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:05,760
Speaker 1: and hedge off of it coming up on Sunday. So

149
00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:09,240
Speaker 1: first play of the day, we're taking Arkansas plus three

150
00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:13,040
Speaker 1: thirty to win the SEC Championship. It's the same bet

151
00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,360
Speaker 1: when it comes down to the A ten tournament where

152
00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,520
Speaker 1: Saint Louis will play Dayton coming up here today, and

153
00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:22,200
Speaker 1: then VCU will play Saint Joe's. The top four seeds

154
00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:25,000
Speaker 1: have all advanced to the semi finals of the A

155
00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:27,760
Speaker 1: ten for that reason, that's why the price is what

156
00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:29,840
Speaker 1: the price is, which is not great. It's Saint Louis

157
00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:32,760
Speaker 1: plus one thirty five to win the Atlantic ten tournament.

158
00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:35,800
Speaker 1: Now they've got Dayton today and look, Dayton is going

159
00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:38,560
Speaker 1: to be a difficult matchup for Saint Louis. They were

160
00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:42,840
Speaker 1: lucky to get past a very difficult team in George, Washington.

161
00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:45,040
Speaker 1: They were at a rally somehow they were able to cover.

162
00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:48,360
Speaker 1: And now we look at this team for Saint Louis

163
00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:50,959
Speaker 1: up against a Dayton team that beat them. They went

164
00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:55,800
Speaker 1: one in one. Dayton beat Saint Louis at home seventy

165
00:08:55,840 --> 00:08:58,640
Speaker 1: seven to sixty two, beat them by fifteen. On the

166
00:08:58,679 --> 00:09:02,320
Speaker 1: flip side, though, Dayton got beat on the road by

167
00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:06,360
Speaker 1: Saint Louis one hundred and two to seventy one. So

168
00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,280
Speaker 1: the rubber match happens here in Saint Louis. It's a

169
00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:12,640
Speaker 1: six point win, sorry, in in the A ten tournament

170
00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:18,240
Speaker 1: rather in this in this bracket, Dayton six point loser.

171
00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:21,280
Speaker 1: According to Kempom Saint Louis. I think Saint Louis is

172
00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:23,960
Speaker 1: the best team. Their head coach just agreed to a

173
00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:26,520
Speaker 1: new contract, so the players should you feel good about them.

174
00:09:26,520 --> 00:09:28,800
Speaker 1: They're twenty eight and four. I think that the best

175
00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:30,800
Speaker 1: team in the conference. I don't really want to get

176
00:09:30,800 --> 00:09:33,679
Speaker 1: involved with Dayton today with the point spread for this

177
00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:35,800
Speaker 1: with Saint Louis and Dayton, but I just think Saint

178
00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:38,400
Speaker 1: Louis wins the game if they win the game. On

179
00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:40,800
Speaker 1: the other side of the bracket, it's VCU or Saint

180
00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:44,240
Speaker 1: Joe's most likely it's going to be VCU, and that's

181
00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:46,800
Speaker 1: going to put VCU into an at large bid perspective,

182
00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:48,840
Speaker 1: and we're going to have a two bid league out

183
00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:50,360
Speaker 1: of the A ten, you're going to get Saint Louis

184
00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:54,439
Speaker 1: and VCU both making the NCAA Tournament. But I think

185
00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:57,559
Speaker 1: when you look at even that matchup for Saint Louis,

186
00:09:57,559 --> 00:10:00,720
Speaker 1: if it's going to be against VCU, they beat eighty

187
00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:03,800
Speaker 1: eight to seventy five, and they beat him seventy one

188
00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:06,600
Speaker 1: to sixty two on the road, so they're two and

189
00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:09,080
Speaker 1: zero against VCU. If it is going to be Saint Joe's,

190
00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:12,400
Speaker 1: they beat them one oh two to seventy nine when

191
00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:16,480
Speaker 1: they played them, and then I was at home, and

192
00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:21,040
Speaker 1: then they beat them, uh ninety seven to sixty two

193
00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:23,480
Speaker 1: on the road. So if it is if Saint Jose

194
00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:26,439
Speaker 1: winds up beating VCU, Sat Saint Louis is gonna be

195
00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:28,320
Speaker 1: a monster favorite. They're gonna be bigger than a plus

196
00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:31,199
Speaker 1: one thirty five favorite. So it's not a big return

197
00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:33,560
Speaker 1: on this, And I don't think I would hedge with

198
00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:35,320
Speaker 1: this because we don't have a ton of value on it.

199
00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:37,320
Speaker 1: I just think Saint Louis wins the division, wins it.

200
00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:39,360
Speaker 1: This is not a hedge play, This is just a bet.

201
00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:41,760
Speaker 1: I think Saint Louis wins the next two games, and

202
00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:44,719
Speaker 1: Saint Louis wins the ele of ten tournament. Again, I

203
00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:46,960
Speaker 1: don't think I'm gonna Hey, we don't have much much

204
00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:49,120
Speaker 1: wi Wiger room there with a one unit play, but

205
00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:52,560
Speaker 1: slew to win the A ten at plus one thirty five.

206
00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:54,720
Speaker 1: So those are two bets that are going to catch tomorrow.

207
00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:59,040
Speaker 1: But how about a play today. Well, the Wizards are

208
00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:01,520
Speaker 1: on the road against the Cells, and the Wizards are

209
00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:05,080
Speaker 1: massive dogs, and I mean massive dogs. I have no

210
00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:08,959
Speaker 1: interest in coming back and playing Boston because well it's

211
00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:10,640
Speaker 1: a too big of a number to lay. But Boston

212
00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:12,760
Speaker 1: should kill the Wizards. I mean, in all honesty, the

213
00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,400
Speaker 1: Celtics after losing the game that they lost to the

214
00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:18,079
Speaker 1: Spurs and the Thunder, both games they lost to the

215
00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:20,199
Speaker 1: Spurs and the Thunder, they come back home and take

216
00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:22,160
Speaker 1: on a Wizard's team that are just awful. They're five

217
00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:24,920
Speaker 1: and twenty seven on the road in Boston's nineteen and

218
00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:28,640
Speaker 1: a half point favorite. Okay, they're just crushing. But there

219
00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:32,119
Speaker 1: is a blowout compelled component here that might cause Alexar

220
00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:36,080
Speaker 1: to not play big minutes. But when his points, rebounds

221
00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:39,160
Speaker 1: and assists number has been set at eighteen and a

222
00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:43,719
Speaker 1: half thirteen of the last fifteen times that number was

223
00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:46,920
Speaker 1: set at eighteen and a half. He's gone over. The

224
00:11:46,960 --> 00:11:50,480
Speaker 1: Celtics don't have a gigantic big man. Cato's a good

225
00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:52,559
Speaker 1: big man, but they don't have a huge big man presence.

226
00:11:52,960 --> 00:11:57,040
Speaker 1: Alexar has been a dominant force offensively for the Wizards.

227
00:11:57,880 --> 00:12:00,920
Speaker 1: He's arguably their best offensive player who's average seventeen points

228
00:12:00,920 --> 00:12:04,880
Speaker 1: per game, sixteen points, four rebounds. In his last game

229
00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,560
Speaker 1: over eighteen and a half against Orlando. Against Miami, he

230
00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:12,080
Speaker 1: scored twenty eight points, grabbed six rebounds, had one assists.

231
00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:15,160
Speaker 1: That's thirty five that's over eighteen and a half. The

232
00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:18,080
Speaker 1: game against the New Orleans Pelicans, he did not play well.

233
00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,720
Speaker 1: He had seven points, four rebounds, and one assist. That

234
00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:29,400
Speaker 1: game went under, but that snapped a streak of one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten, eleven,

235
00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:33,320
Speaker 1: twelve consecutive games that Alex Sarho went over twelve and

236
00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:36,560
Speaker 1: eighteen and a half points, rebounds, and assists for the

237
00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:40,559
Speaker 1: Washington Wizards. This is a seventy six percent cover probability.

238
00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:43,720
Speaker 1: It's a plus forty percent expected value and a five

239
00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:48,800
Speaker 1: star play at the time of taping. Markets move, numbers move,

240
00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:51,040
Speaker 1: and the bet will move based on the prop bit

241
00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:53,880
Speaker 1: cheat sheet, but here at the time of taping, I

242
00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:56,080
Speaker 1: just I think there's a chance that Boston takes their

243
00:12:56,080 --> 00:12:57,920
Speaker 1: foot off the gas, they get up into a really

244
00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:00,000
Speaker 1: big lead, and then it's just about a garbage time

245
00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:03,080
Speaker 1: points and rebounds for alex Sar. It really comes down

246
00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:05,800
Speaker 1: to minutes played. In my opinion, as long as he's

247
00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:08,520
Speaker 1: on the court and the game doesn't get totally away

248
00:13:08,520 --> 00:13:10,600
Speaker 1: from the Wizards, I think we do wind up seeing

249
00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:13,959
Speaker 1: a win here for Alexar going over points, rebounds in

250
00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:17,320
Speaker 1: assists of eighteen and a half, it's minus one twenty.

251
00:13:17,520 --> 00:13:19,960
Speaker 1: Let's jump in on it. Over eighteen and a half

252
00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:24,320
Speaker 1: alexr for point, rebounds and assists for the Wizards for one

253
00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:28,000
Speaker 1: point two units for one unit. So plays for today,

254
00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:30,240
Speaker 1: we're taking a little bit of a lighter slate, kind

255
00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:32,600
Speaker 1: of a pause after what's happened this week with the

256
00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:36,319
Speaker 1: losing we've had for five straight days. Alexar points, rebounds

257
00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:38,800
Speaker 1: and assists over eighteen and a half. Arkansas to win

258
00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,559
Speaker 1: the SEC at plus three thirty and Saint Louis to

259
00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:44,839
Speaker 1: win the eight ten at plus one thirty five. Myname

260
00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:46,840
Speaker 1: is Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me across all

261
00:13:46,880 --> 00:13:50,240
Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning, even when

262
00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:53,120
Speaker 1: I'm freezing cold in New England and freezing cold with

263
00:13:53,160 --> 00:14:02,920
Speaker 1: the bets. It is the Daily Juice podcast, the centers

264
00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:09,800
Speaker 1: from the stunt pers