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It's a fan favorite for deep restorative sleep. 20 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: So bring on the good vibes and treat yourself to 21 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:06,120 Speaker 1: Soul today. Right now, Soul is offering my audience thirty 22 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 1: percent off your entire order. So go to get sold 23 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:13,319 Speaker 1: dot Com use the promo code podcast. Don't forget that code. 24 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 1: That's getsold dot Com promo code toodcast for thirty percent off. 25 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 1: Hello there, Happy Thursday. Welcome to another episode of the 26 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 1: Chuck Podcast. I got a loaded show for you today. 27 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 1: We're going to obviously tackle the question and I've gotten 28 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:35,559 Speaker 1: a thousand times today from various walks of life, which 29 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 1: is do these Epstein emails mean something more on Trump? 30 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 1: Is this going to? Is this problem we're going to 31 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:45,040 Speaker 1: tell We're going to dive into that barely deep here. Then, 32 00:01:45,080 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 1: of course after I'll do a little few more q 33 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 1: and as, and I'll have my big college football preview 34 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: going into the weekend. But I want to start, obviously 35 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 1: with this question, and look, the world of independent media, 36 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 1: the world of content creators. Right, we are in an 37 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 1: Epstein frenzy, and it's a deserved sort of feeding frenzy 38 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: of the moment because there's new material out there, right 39 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 1: there's new emails, there's new shock emails, and the and 40 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:14,240 Speaker 1: the swearing in of Adelita Garalva, the Arizona congresswoman who's 41 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:16,640 Speaker 1: been waiting to be sworn in for over a month 42 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 1: now because of the Speaker Johnson's bizarre decision to keep 43 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 1: the House out. I really think he really did a 44 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:26,240 Speaker 1: disservice to his own party and his own members here, 45 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 1: because it's a pretty indefensible you know, the lack of 46 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:31,800 Speaker 1: the lack of action, the lack of anything from the 47 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: House Republicans, and they're running. They're on the ballot before 48 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:38,239 Speaker 1: anybody else, is right, it's the House Republicans are all 49 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 1: on the ballot come in November twenty twenty six. And 50 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 1: I think Mike Johnson has put his own members in 51 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 1: a terrible situation. Obviously, he made a it feels like 52 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 1: he made a decision that the White House has him 53 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:53,960 Speaker 1: to do, not what was in the best interests of 54 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 1: the House Republicans, and you know, these in some ways, 55 00:02:57,520 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 1: this controversy over the Epstein file is the same thing. 56 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: Mike Johnson is consistently doing what's in the best interest 57 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:06,240 Speaker 1: of the White House, which is a branch of government. 58 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:08,880 Speaker 1: He does not lead, nor is he a member of 59 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 1: He is actually the leader of the legislative branch. The 60 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 1: Speaker of the House is essentially the de facto leader 61 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 1: of that branch of government. Same way John Roberts as 62 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 1: the Chief Justice, is essentially the current leader of the 63 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:27,959 Speaker 1: judiciary branch, and he is essentially outsourced decision making on 64 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 1: what Congress should do to the White House. You get it. Politically, 65 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 1: I understand why they feel like they have to, and 66 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:38,320 Speaker 1: we live in this jerrymandered world where primary voters matter 67 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 1: more than the rest of us. But I will tell you, 68 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: I think what Mike Johnson has done with House Republicans 69 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 1: is so damaging, and I do not think they fully 70 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: appreciate how much damage he's His decisions here again all 71 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 1: were only to the benefit of one person, Donald Trump. 72 00:03:56,920 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 1: None of it to the benefit of anybody that's actually 73 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 1: going to be on the ballot, namely every single one 74 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 1: of those House Republicans that he is charged with leading. 75 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:10,640 Speaker 1: So the discharge position is here. It's interesting that the 76 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 1: White House apparently was working Lauren Bobert seeing if they 77 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 1: could talk her out of being a signer, trying to 78 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:20,280 Speaker 1: do whatever they can to stop this, and I think that. 79 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:24,840 Speaker 1: You know, the question is will this You know this 80 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: is a guy you know Axis Hollywood didn't end him. 81 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:32,039 Speaker 1: January six didn't end him. I mean, look at the 82 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 1: things he has done since coming into office. I mean, 83 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 1: I'm going to give you a quick rundown. These are 84 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:43,039 Speaker 1: just the people he pardoned on January sixth that have 85 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:46,840 Speaker 1: committed crimes since right and none of this has hit 86 00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:50,360 Speaker 1: him yet. Edward Kelly, pardoned for January sixth, later convicted 87 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 1: to conspiring to murder FBI agents. Daniel Charles Ball was 88 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:57,720 Speaker 1: pardoned in the January sixth pardons, and he was rearrested 89 00:04:57,760 --> 00:05:00,919 Speaker 1: on federal gun charges. Kyle kle Elton was pardoned with 90 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 1: his January sixth participation, later had to be indicted for 91 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: receiving child pornography. Christopher moynihan was pardoned for the January 92 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 1: sixth pardons, and in October twenty twenty five with charge 93 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 1: of threatening to kill the House Democratic leader Aqim Jeffreys. 94 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 1: And then there's Robert Packer pardon another January sixth partony 95 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:20,919 Speaker 1: in September of twenty twenty five charge in connection with 96 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:25,160 Speaker 1: a dog attack that left four people injured. So people, 97 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 1: he's pardoned have gone on to commit more crimes and 98 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 1: have become menaces to society. Never mind the other pardons 99 00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 1: he's done of some really questionable figures, like the one 100 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 1: where it looks like he sold the pardon with Sheng 101 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 1: Peng Xiao, the finance founder. That guy's in business with 102 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:45,719 Speaker 1: his sons and he magically gets a pardon. I wonder 103 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 1: how that worked. This guy apparently had billions and illicit transactions, 104 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 1: and it was Trump's Department of Justice the first term 105 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 1: that actually prosecuted him. But we digress. George Santos, the 106 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 1: serial liar who defrauded voters, defrauded Congress, did all sorts 107 00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 1: of things. He gets pardoned. Ed Martin, who who handles 108 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:13,640 Speaker 1: his pardons, he gets pardoned. He got convicted of financial crimes, 109 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:17,599 Speaker 1: misusing nonprofit funds, and he gets pardoned, and of course 110 00:06:17,720 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 1: I think works for Trump. Denesh Desuza, who is traffics 111 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 1: and made up Propa Canada with his Mules movie and 112 00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:29,719 Speaker 1: all this stuff, well, he was convicted of illegal of 113 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: the straw donor scheme. He received clemency. A couple of 114 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 1: other crypto fraud financiers that he's pardoned ever since. So 115 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:44,359 Speaker 1: he's got and I say this, none of this stuff 116 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 1: has mattered, right, I throw all that out there. All 117 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 1: of this happened this year. He's you know, did the 118 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:54,800 Speaker 1: bailout of Argentina instead of bailing out US beef producers. 119 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:57,800 Speaker 1: None of this has hit him, stuck to him yet, 120 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:01,760 Speaker 1: So why should the Epstein files stick to him? Well, 121 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 1: there's another way to look at this is that there 122 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:07,240 Speaker 1: are times in any presidency where you have Teflon as 123 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 1: a president, and there are times in every presidency where 124 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:13,560 Speaker 1: it feels like you're dressed in velcrow. There was, you know, 125 00:07:13,840 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 1: Richard Nixon had Teflon in his first term. By the 126 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:21,120 Speaker 1: second term, it was all velcrow and everything that was 127 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:24,800 Speaker 1: connected to Watergate or loosely connected to Watergate or any 128 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 1: sort of presidential abuse of power seemed to stick to 129 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:30,960 Speaker 1: him and stick to him. But why did he go 130 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 1: from a Teflon guy to a velcrow guy? A simple reason. 131 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 1: The economy sucked. Why did Bill Clinton not get essentially 132 00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: punished by the political system or by voters when it 133 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 1: came to Monica Lewinsky, the economy was great. Why did 134 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 1: the stuff in Trump's first term not stick to him? 135 00:07:56,640 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 1: There was a perception that he oversaw a successful economy 136 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 1: pre coronavirus. Why is this possible that this time he's 137 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 1: and this is why could this time be different? Because 138 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 1: too many people in this country think this economy sucks. Because, 139 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 1: as we've discussed, if you have money, you're doing okay. 140 00:08:18,080 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 1: If you don't have money, you're struggling. You're barely out 141 00:08:22,760 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: of you're barely above water. You're seeing your electric bill 142 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 1: go up, You're seeing the grocery bills go up. You're 143 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:32,040 Speaker 1: seeing everything in your life go up in price. Trust me, 144 00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:35,439 Speaker 1: even if you have some savings, you're seeing everything go up. Right, 145 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 1: The cost of everything has gone up and feels like 146 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:42,320 Speaker 1: it's going up substantially, particularly when you look at electricity. 147 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: So you know, Epstein's been out there as an issue 148 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: for Trump arguably for years. The question is when does 149 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 1: it does a you know, why would it matter this 150 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:59,959 Speaker 1: time more than before. You can say, well, there's more 151 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:03,120 Speaker 1: evidence that connects him that he knew something. I definitely 152 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:05,439 Speaker 1: think there's always going to be but you could make 153 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 1: the argument you kind of knew right, Like there's this 154 00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 1: great quote from JD. Vance that actually which was you know, 155 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: there's always a tweet right, this is JD. Vance Saraha 156 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 1: two thousand and one, So you'll be forgiven. I know 157 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 1: the way. You have to go way back in his past, 158 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:30,560 Speaker 1: right some four whole years ago. But the quote, and 159 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 1: I just want to get it directly here. I had 160 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 1: it up. Remember this is him. He was a tweet 161 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:38,960 Speaker 1: he made in twenty twenty one. Remember when we learned 162 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 1: that our wealthiest and most powerful people were connected to 163 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 1: a guy who ran a literal child sex trafficking ring, 164 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:48,840 Speaker 1: and then that guy died mysteriously in jail, and now 165 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:52,320 Speaker 1: we just don't talk about it. Of course, that was 166 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:55,000 Speaker 1: when there was a democratic administration that he did tweet 167 00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 1: this right number one, And that was back when the 168 00:09:57,640 --> 00:10:00,440 Speaker 1: right was convinced this was a cover up having to 169 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:03,960 Speaker 1: do with Bill Clinton. But of course Jeffrey Epstein's closest 170 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:09,560 Speaker 1: friend was not Bill Clinton. It was Donald Trump. And 171 00:10:09,880 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 1: with a the point I'm making here is do I 172 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 1: think Trump could Jedi mind trick his way out of this? Well, 173 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 1: he has for a long time. And why has he 174 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 1: Well there's been other things. There's been And again I 175 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:25,079 Speaker 1: go back to the first term, even when Jeffrey Epstein 176 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:28,960 Speaker 1: was in custody, even when this whole thing consumed a 177 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:33,600 Speaker 1: cabinet secretary of his who had to essentially drop because 178 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:37,959 Speaker 1: of his lenient sentencing that he oversaw down in South Florida. 179 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:42,559 Speaker 1: It was because the perception, well, yeah, we knew all this, 180 00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 1: this was all baked in. We kind of knew Trump 181 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:48,840 Speaker 1: was this. And this is why in some ways people 182 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:51,719 Speaker 1: already know. Remember when we learned that our wealthiest and 183 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 1: most powerful people were connected to a guy hard Stop. 184 00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:59,120 Speaker 1: So that's problem Number one for Trump is that Trump 185 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 1: has made it clear he's been part of the establishment, 186 00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:04,679 Speaker 1: part of the elite. He knows everybody, He knows all 187 00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 1: these guys, he's been there. He himself has quotes of him, 188 00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:13,080 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Jeffrey likes him young, and he knows. There's 189 00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:14,960 Speaker 1: that other quote that's floating around where he said, man, 190 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:17,200 Speaker 1: it was the nineties, a lot of crazy stuff was happening. 191 00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 1: I don't remember, which is always code for I don't 192 00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 1: want to talk about what I might know, or what 193 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:23,680 Speaker 1: I might have seen, or what I might have participated in. 194 00:11:25,120 --> 00:11:27,080 Speaker 1: The Point is, it isn't going to be hard for 195 00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:29,960 Speaker 1: people to believe that he had a relationship with Epstein, 196 00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:35,080 Speaker 1: that he was close with him. The difference is they're 197 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:38,480 Speaker 1: pissed off about he's not doing what he promised to 198 00:11:38,480 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 1: do as president, which is bring down the costs. They're 199 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:46,199 Speaker 1: doing anything. But if anything, his policies have hurt you, right, 200 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:48,559 Speaker 1: it is the price of coffee is up, not down. 201 00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:50,960 Speaker 1: Notice the Treasury Secretary says, we're going to lower the 202 00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:54,200 Speaker 1: price of coffee. We're going to lower the price of fruit. Translation, 203 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:58,880 Speaker 1: they realize these tariffs actually impacted everyday people. And when 204 00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:04,400 Speaker 1: you teariff Brazil over a political obsession of yours, all 205 00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:09,040 Speaker 1: you do is attack all Americans in their pocketbook because 206 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:16,920 Speaker 1: of the price of coffee. So I'm always has it 207 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:20,560 Speaker 1: in to assume, ah, this is it. But look, every 208 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:24,280 Speaker 1: presidency comes to an end and their influence comes to 209 00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 1: an end. And the way we mark the end of 210 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 1: a presidency as we say, oh, he's becoming a lame duck. 211 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:34,960 Speaker 1: And you're starting to hear the words lame duck. I 212 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:37,560 Speaker 1: think when you measure when does a president become every 213 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:39,719 Speaker 1: president becomes a lame duck. The question is when does 214 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 1: it begin. Well, trying to figure out when a presidency 215 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 1: is an official lame duck status is like trying to 216 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 1: guess when we're in recession. Right. There's a great line 217 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:53,720 Speaker 1: about economists with recessions, they can always tell you when 218 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 1: it started. After the recession has started, there's not a 219 00:12:57,320 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: single economist that can tell you when it's going to begin. Right. 220 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 1: They never tell you when it's going to be, and 221 00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:05,440 Speaker 1: we always are. We're always informed of when it began. 222 00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 1: I actually think there's the same thing with when it 223 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 1: comes to a lame duck presidency. Is this begun? Are 224 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:17,439 Speaker 1: we in the midst of it? Are we at the 225 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:19,480 Speaker 1: beginning of it? We're not going to know for sure, 226 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:22,720 Speaker 1: I think for about six months or a year. But 227 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:26,160 Speaker 1: I'll tell you this if if we fast forward a 228 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 1: year and the Democrats sweep the House in the Senate, 229 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,160 Speaker 1: which to me, you know and you're going to hear 230 00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,199 Speaker 1: this actually in the Adam Jenlsen interview, and I think 231 00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:36,839 Speaker 1: he sets this bar correctly, which is, if Democrats don't 232 00:13:36,840 --> 00:13:39,200 Speaker 1: win the Senate, they don't win the mid terms. Right. 233 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:44,360 Speaker 1: Winning the House is simply participating, right, that's table stakes. 234 00:13:44,840 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 1: Winning the Senate means you won an argument, You won 235 00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:50,200 Speaker 1: the campaign because you convinced people who normally aren't on 236 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:54,320 Speaker 1: your side to be on your side. That's winning right, 237 00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 1: Winning the House is simply participating. Winning the House is 238 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:01,680 Speaker 1: a participation trophy. Winning the Senate is winning the midterms. 239 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:04,640 Speaker 1: So a year from now, if we're in a situation 240 00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 1: where we say the Democrats swept the House in the Senate, 241 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:10,679 Speaker 1: we will then go back and say Donald Trump's lame 242 00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 1: duck presidency hit lame ducks status election Day twenty twenty five, 243 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 1: and arguably it probably happened a bit sooner. We might 244 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 1: say that essentially the symbolic beginning of his lame duckness 245 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 1: was the destruction of the East Wing when he became 246 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:33,880 Speaker 1: so consumed with his personal legacy and he stopped worrying 247 00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:38,440 Speaker 1: about the American voter. Right. Look, Donald Trump's history is 248 00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 1: he wants to get everything he can out of you 249 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:45,760 Speaker 1: that benefits him, and once he drains, once you've given 250 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:49,280 Speaker 1: him everything he can get out of you, he moves on. Right. 251 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,000 Speaker 1: My substeck this week is about how I think I 252 00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:55,600 Speaker 1: think he has treated the Republican Party the way he 253 00:14:55,680 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 1: treated many of the casinos that he operated or businesses 254 00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:03,920 Speaker 1: that he's run, which is he essentially leveraged it for 255 00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 1: his benefit, left this entity with a huge debt. In 256 00:15:07,920 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 1: this case, the debt he has left him as moral 257 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 1: and ethical bankruptcy, and then he's gonna walk away. Meanwhile, 258 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:18,560 Speaker 1: the Republican Party is going to be the pardon of 259 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 1: shitty pardons, is going to be the party of that 260 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 1: doesn't care about the rule of law unless it applies 261 00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 1: only to the other side, like he is gonna that 262 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 1: they're part of that. The legacy is somehow the Republican 263 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 1: Party is the party of crypto scammers. Like that's not 264 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:37,280 Speaker 1: a good legacy. And then you throw in Epstein here 265 00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 1: and he's the party of protecting the pedophile. 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I'm 293 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:22,639 Speaker 1: telling you, it's excellent, excellent, right, there's nothing more the 294 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:25,320 Speaker 1: Republican Party can do for Donald Trump, there is no 295 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 1: opportunity to run again. So now Donald Trump's worried about 296 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:32,439 Speaker 1: Donald Trump, and because of that, does it appears to 297 00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 1: not even be worried about the voter anymore. And this 298 00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:38,639 Speaker 1: is where he goes from having a Teflon suit and 299 00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:42,200 Speaker 1: he was Teflon Don and he's been teflon don. Right. 300 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:48,160 Speaker 1: You know, he can attack John McCain and not lose somebody. 301 00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:51,239 Speaker 1: He could shoot somebody apparently on Fifth Avenue and not 302 00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:54,600 Speaker 1: lose a supporter. But if this economy sucks, and if 303 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 1: the grocery bills, he can't Jedi mind trick away a 304 00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:02,320 Speaker 1: grocery bill. And then suddenly when that happens, and they think, well, 305 00:18:02,359 --> 00:18:06,320 Speaker 1: my life sucks, and this guy is worried more about 306 00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 1: the East wing of the White House. Oh yeah, and 307 00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:13,680 Speaker 1: this guy protected a pedophile for decades, and this guy 308 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 1: is going to commute or the sentence of said pedophiles 309 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:23,359 Speaker 1: partner in crime, literal partner in crime. And Gallainne Maxwell. 310 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:29,560 Speaker 1: That's how this that's how this story matters, right, And 311 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 1: now you've got this orchestration of a series of votes 312 00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:35,720 Speaker 1: where you know Epstein is one of these few stories. 313 00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:41,639 Speaker 1: We live in this siloed information world where literally, you know, 314 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:44,440 Speaker 1: I could say, you know, I mean, I'm gonna have 315 00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:47,159 Speaker 1: an interview with Clay Travis in a couple of weeks. 316 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,159 Speaker 1: I don't think my mother knows who Clay Travis is. 317 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 1: And I say this with no, you know, why should 318 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:55,199 Speaker 1: she you know? He is? He he is in a 319 00:18:55,280 --> 00:19:00,639 Speaker 1: different media ecosystem than my mother travels in. She doesn't, 320 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 1: you know, she watches a lot of college football, but 321 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:06,040 Speaker 1: it happens she doesn't watch anything on Fox because Miami 322 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:09,200 Speaker 1: doesn't ever play on Fox. They usually play on the 323 00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:12,480 Speaker 1: ESPN or ABC. So she might be aware of ESPN personalities, 324 00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:15,600 Speaker 1: but she's not aware of any Fox sports personalities, let 325 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 1: alone aware of his radio show or any of those things. 326 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 1: And Epstein's one of these stories that every every single 327 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:29,639 Speaker 1: silo has an Epstein corner. Right, Your Maga silo has 328 00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:33,080 Speaker 1: an Epstein corner, Your sort of never Trump silo has 329 00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:36,520 Speaker 1: Epstein corners, your sort of center, your sort of mainstream 330 00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:39,359 Speaker 1: media has an Epstein corner, Your progressive wing has an 331 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:43,520 Speaker 1: Epstein corner. Right, there is this collective interest in Epstein, 332 00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:46,479 Speaker 1: And let's be honest, why there is. It's all. You know, 333 00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:49,440 Speaker 1: at first, the rights interest in Epstein was all about 334 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:54,160 Speaker 1: Bill Clinton. Nothing. It was always about Bill Clint. That's 335 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:57,960 Speaker 1: how the right got fascinated by this. They were hoping 336 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 1: to paint and it was all these you know, democratics 337 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:06,080 Speaker 1: are all part of this weird pedophilia conspiracy that QAnon launched. 338 00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:07,639 Speaker 1: All this, it's all sort of wrapped up in that. 339 00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 1: And then Trump's names showed up in the Epstein files. 340 00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:16,240 Speaker 1: Right then we realized. And then Trump became a cornerstone 341 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:20,840 Speaker 1: of Mega and sort of created somebody's created Mega, right, Certainly, 342 00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:23,920 Speaker 1: it's always a question, you know, like anything, Trump doesn't 343 00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 1: create anything. He just sort of got in front of 344 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:27,960 Speaker 1: a parade that was that was starting to form, and 345 00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: then suddenly he became their leader and their unifier. But 346 00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:36,159 Speaker 1: here we are, and now everybody else is interested in 347 00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:39,040 Speaker 1: it because you're like, whoa, So Trump's involved in this 348 00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 1: and this side, you know, and it's just one of 349 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:45,400 Speaker 1: those stories that everybody's got a stake in. So this 350 00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:48,399 Speaker 1: is going to be a story that constantly, just like 351 00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:51,639 Speaker 1: the economy is right, the economy breaks through every because 352 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:55,679 Speaker 1: you can't sort of information silo your grocery bill, you know, 353 00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:57,920 Speaker 1: there isn't a Fox News version of the Grocery Bill 354 00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:01,680 Speaker 1: or an MSNBC version of Grocery Bill. So you can't 355 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:03,840 Speaker 1: do that with the economy, and in this unique case, 356 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:06,920 Speaker 1: you can't do it with the Epstein story. And this 357 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 1: is why this feels like a very lame that this 358 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:13,360 Speaker 1: is what lame duck. What happens to lame duck presidencies 359 00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 1: is that they can't stop feeding frenzies anymore. You know, 360 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,359 Speaker 1: this happened with George W. Bush. You know a lot 361 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:21,480 Speaker 1: of people will say the feeding frenzies, you know, sort 362 00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:26,359 Speaker 1: of the lame duck period of the Bush presidency began 363 00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 1: with the twenty oh six midterms. I'd actually argue, or 364 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,359 Speaker 1: you could go backwards and say it began with the 365 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,640 Speaker 1: Terry Schivo thing, when they went full bore on that 366 00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:40,800 Speaker 1: and the public revolted and they couldn't sort of, you know, 367 00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:45,720 Speaker 1: their typical positions didn't work, their typical media spin didn't work. 368 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,919 Speaker 1: And then you realize, you know, his credibility was shot, 369 00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:53,200 Speaker 1: It was already weakening due to a rock. Terry Schivo hits. 370 00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:55,400 Speaker 1: Then Katrina happens, and then the whole thing is over. 371 00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:58,400 Speaker 1: But Katrina didn't start the lame duck period. The lame 372 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:01,199 Speaker 1: duck period actually began at the tail at the at 373 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 1: the beginning of five when he started messing around with 374 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:10,160 Speaker 1: the Shaivo business and Social security investments, et cetera. And 375 00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:15,240 Speaker 1: so that's where I think this if we're if indeed 376 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 1: we're able to in a year from now, really in it. 377 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:21,600 Speaker 1: We have the environment that we have and it does 378 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,200 Speaker 1: turn into a democratic suite. We will say this lame 379 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:26,880 Speaker 1: duck period began in the fall of in the fall 380 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 1: of this year, just like with Joe Biden's presidency, it 381 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:31,639 Speaker 1: turned out the beginning of the end of his presidency 382 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,840 Speaker 1: happened really early in his presidency, right with the Afghanistan 383 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 1: withdrawal and the inability to to sort of hold anybody accountable, 384 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:41,680 Speaker 1: fix it, explain it. And he never recovered from there. 385 00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:44,840 Speaker 1: And while because he was a first term president, you'd 386 00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:48,400 Speaker 1: never say lame duck in hindsight, you know, that's when 387 00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:51,679 Speaker 1: he lost. That's when he lost the plot and it 388 00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:58,120 Speaker 1: was and everything went downhill from there. You know. That's 389 00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:00,920 Speaker 1: I think the situation we may be living him now. 390 00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:04,679 Speaker 1: And the nightmare for the White House press shop is 391 00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:06,720 Speaker 1: is you know, Trump has not helped them at all. 392 00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,600 Speaker 1: You know, I would argue that he actually had a 393 00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:14,920 Speaker 1: you know, Trump's problem is going soft on Maxwell because 394 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 1: by going soft on Maxwell, but he is essentially confirmed 395 00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:24,280 Speaker 1: the idea that Maxwell knows some stuff, that he's friendly 396 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 1: with her, that he knows her, and it undermines the 397 00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:31,879 Speaker 1: story that he had sort of lived with for a 398 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,720 Speaker 1: while when it came to Epstein that I that mostly 399 00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:39,119 Speaker 1: worked with his supporters, which was, yeah, I knew Jeffrey 400 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:42,040 Speaker 1: Epstein very well, and then our relationship ended because I 401 00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:43,800 Speaker 1: didn't like what he was doing to you know, women 402 00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:47,240 Speaker 1: on my at mar A Lago. So we had this 403 00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:51,439 Speaker 1: sort of story that was that had some credibility to 404 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:54,280 Speaker 1: it that you know, he didn't because there was it 405 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:57,040 Speaker 1: was true he recruited apparently he recruited one of these 406 00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:00,720 Speaker 1: women from mar Alago, and Trump says kicked him out 407 00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:02,680 Speaker 1: of mar A Lago and said, you can't come back here. 408 00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:06,040 Speaker 1: Now we now learn that the reason for the real 409 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:08,480 Speaker 1: breakup between Epstein and Trump wasn't that it was over 410 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:11,680 Speaker 1: a piece of property in Palm Beach. We eventually learned 411 00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:14,800 Speaker 1: about that later, But he had a story that he 412 00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,320 Speaker 1: was feeding his supporters that yeah, I knew Epstein, and 413 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:19,040 Speaker 1: then when I realized what he was doing, I was out. 414 00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:23,480 Speaker 1: I didn't want that Slee's bag around. Okay, then why 415 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 1: are you soft on Glene Maxwell. If you're so outraged 416 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:29,119 Speaker 1: by what Jeffrey Epstein did, then your Justice Department should 417 00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:32,240 Speaker 1: have made life harder for Maxwell, not easier. But you 418 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:36,159 Speaker 1: went soft on her, and what he did was is 419 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 1: essentially made it impossible to defend Trump's actions. You couldn't say, 420 00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:44,480 Speaker 1: you know, if he was as disgusted by what Epstein 421 00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:47,159 Speaker 1: did as he said, and he's as disgusted as his 422 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:53,320 Speaker 1: supporters say they are disgusted, then this idea of leniency 423 00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 1: on her, giving her, you know, the club fed treatment 424 00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:02,920 Speaker 1: when it comes to transferring her prison, sending your personal 425 00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:07,080 Speaker 1: attorney who happens to be the Deputy Attorney General, to 426 00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:11,960 Speaker 1: coax answers out of her, including the I never saw 427 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:15,119 Speaker 1: anything untoward. Uh, it was so important to him to 428 00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:17,879 Speaker 1: get that on the record. But Trump seems to be 429 00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:21,440 Speaker 1: worried about something with Maxwell, when if he actually wanted 430 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:25,800 Speaker 1: to keep his con up on Epstein, and let's assume 431 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:30,639 Speaker 1: I'm gonna assume it's a con and you know, with Trump, 432 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:34,520 Speaker 1: it's it's hard not to assume that. So let's I'm 433 00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 1: gonna assume it's a con. He'd have been better off 434 00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:40,600 Speaker 1: playing he said, she said with her, and said he'd 435 00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,480 Speaker 1: and then made life tougher on her. And and if 436 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: and if she threatened to go public with stuff, let 437 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 1: her go public. She's the one sitting in prison. She's 438 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,920 Speaker 1: got the credibility problem. And then if you were being 439 00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:55,280 Speaker 1: tough on her and she was then pushing back, it 440 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 1: could simply be she's squealing. But the fact he didn't 441 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:02,879 Speaker 1: do that right, whatever he thinks, she knows, he seems 442 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:07,320 Speaker 1: to be fearful enough of that. It's leveraged that she's 443 00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:11,880 Speaker 1: successfully used with him and with Todd Blanche and that's 444 00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:15,919 Speaker 1: why his story falls apart. Now again, does any of 445 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:22,520 Speaker 1: this matter politically? Well, I go back to every republican's 446 00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:24,639 Speaker 1: been carrying around Trump baggage for a long time, and 447 00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,840 Speaker 1: in some ways they're now used to it. But when 448 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,560 Speaker 1: the economy is as bad as it is right now 449 00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 1: for so many people, and as frustrating of an economy 450 00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:35,000 Speaker 1: as this is, and that's what it is, it's a 451 00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:37,720 Speaker 1: you know, it's one of these things that you can 452 00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:40,280 Speaker 1: look at it statistically and say, well, this is going well. 453 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 1: Like I saw a stat today that said that publicly 454 00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,080 Speaker 1: traded companies are having one of the best years earning 455 00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:48,880 Speaker 1: wise that we've seen. Ninety two percent of them are 456 00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:53,879 Speaker 1: reporting earnings above the normal average. And you're just like wow, 457 00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:58,159 Speaker 1: And yet jobs are decreasing, not increasing, Right, So that 458 00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:01,760 Speaker 1: means Wall Street's being rewarded for or its efficiencies in 459 00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:05,280 Speaker 1: its companies. Wall Street's being as they as a company 460 00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 1: should you make. Your productivity is up and your labor 461 00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:14,040 Speaker 1: costs are down. Good for you investors like that, But 462 00:27:14,080 --> 00:27:15,720 Speaker 1: that means there's a whole bunch of people in this 463 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 1: economy not succeeding. And so that's why it's very hard 464 00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,000 Speaker 1: to you know, when Trump's using the stock market as 465 00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:26,360 Speaker 1: a as a as proof that his economy is doing well, 466 00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 1: it's like, yeah, you're you're you're with the hat your 467 00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:33,239 Speaker 1: your economy is working for the haves. Your economy is 468 00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 1: not working for the have nots. And the irony is 469 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:41,600 Speaker 1: that he built his political coalition on the have nots 470 00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:45,400 Speaker 1: very successfully and now he doesn't seem to care about 471 00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:48,240 Speaker 1: the have nots anymore. And that's where what when these 472 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:52,960 Speaker 1: that's when I go back to Epstein for the longest time. 473 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:56,359 Speaker 1: It is basically run into teflon don and has slid 474 00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:59,480 Speaker 1: off of him. Well, I think it's I think he 475 00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:02,640 Speaker 1: is now has a suit of velcrow on. More things 476 00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:05,480 Speaker 1: are sticking to him than ever before. Right, you've got 477 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:09,320 Speaker 1: sleepy eyes Trump, now that's sticking to him. You've got 478 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:13,040 Speaker 1: the medical issues. Huh, something's going on. If he passed 479 00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:17,480 Speaker 1: his MRI. You don't pass an MRI. But congratulations, I 480 00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:21,479 Speaker 1: guess you know you're not at You don't do an 481 00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:25,840 Speaker 1: MRI unless they're wondering what, unless they can't find the 482 00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:29,760 Speaker 1: problem of something that's bothering you. So you got that. 483 00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:36,080 Speaker 1: He's just doesn't seem healthy, doesn't look healthy, doesn't behave 484 00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,800 Speaker 1: low And you can see he's really aged a lot 485 00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,120 Speaker 1: in the last six months. Go look at clips from 486 00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 1: April and then look at clips in the last two weeks. 487 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:48,160 Speaker 1: His voice is thinner. Maybe there are days that you 488 00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:50,920 Speaker 1: know you could just tell he there are days where 489 00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,880 Speaker 1: you know he's tired, and that's always a sign of aging. 490 00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:55,320 Speaker 1: And of course when you're at a certain age, and 491 00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:58,720 Speaker 1: this happened with Biden just because things are fine six 492 00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,160 Speaker 1: months ago, you know this is one of those things. 493 00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:04,680 Speaker 1: At some point in your late seventies early eighties, you 494 00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:08,920 Speaker 1: can you know, you don't age at a at an 495 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:12,320 Speaker 1: equal rate. Okay, you sort of go. You have fits 496 00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:14,280 Speaker 1: and starts, and then you know, we've seen that, I've 497 00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:18,040 Speaker 1: had elderly relatives where everything's fine, and then you don't 498 00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:19,960 Speaker 1: see him for six months and you're like, holy cow, 499 00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:22,880 Speaker 1: what happened to uncle Joe? Or I have a real 500 00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:24,720 Speaker 1: uncle Joe. So no, nothing's happened to uncle Joe. I 501 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:27,520 Speaker 1: don't want uncle Joe. That isn't about about you. I 502 00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 1: was just using like Jane, and I'll go uncle John, Doe. 503 00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:34,080 Speaker 1: I don't have an uncle John, so I'll do uncle John. 504 00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:36,680 Speaker 1: Oh my god, what happened uncle John? Or what happened 505 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:40,520 Speaker 1: at Jane? And you know that happens in these three 506 00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,840 Speaker 1: and six months. And the point is is that you know, 507 00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:46,800 Speaker 1: it's like the you know, it's like in business, your 508 00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:49,600 Speaker 1: hockey stick moment, but going the wrong way, you're going along, 509 00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:51,720 Speaker 1: you're going along and all of a sudden, yep, it's 510 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 1: off a cliff. It just collectively feels like he has 511 00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:00,520 Speaker 1: now got a suit of valcrow. And so if we 512 00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:05,000 Speaker 1: have essentially six weeks of every couple of days there's 513 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:07,920 Speaker 1: an Epstein development, which now there's going to be now 514 00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:11,080 Speaker 1: that this discharge petition has happened, they're going to have 515 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,200 Speaker 1: this vote at some point in the next couple of 516 00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:17,040 Speaker 1: weeks that will be there. Then you then it has 517 00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:19,160 Speaker 1: to go to the Senate. I you know, there was 518 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,640 Speaker 1: a time I thought, Eh, the Senate will kill it. 519 00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:24,560 Speaker 1: I don't know anymore. Right, it's going to be an 520 00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:28,120 Speaker 1: interesting test. How many Republicans will there be thirty? Will 521 00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:32,480 Speaker 1: there be thirteen Republicans who joined forty seven Democrats to 522 00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:34,880 Speaker 1: force this release and force it on? Is you know, 523 00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,400 Speaker 1: for you know, have both the House and the Senate 524 00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:44,360 Speaker 1: have this? That's an interesting development. Is it a moment 525 00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:49,720 Speaker 1: where some Republicans decide, I need to show some independence 526 00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:53,560 Speaker 1: from Trump? Is this the safest place to do it? Right? 527 00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 1: It could be the healthcare subsidies could be a way 528 00:30:56,480 --> 00:31:01,320 Speaker 1: that Republicans distance from Trump. The ruling when it comes 529 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:08,080 Speaker 1: out likely saying that his his tariffs are unconstitutional. Is 530 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:11,200 Speaker 1: that the moment? Is it the Epstein files? The point 531 00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:14,680 Speaker 1: is there's a lot of ways now that Republicans can 532 00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:19,520 Speaker 1: start to put some distance in a in what will 533 00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:22,280 Speaker 1: look like a baby step right, just voting against him 534 00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:24,680 Speaker 1: on Epstein, or voting against him on tariffs, or voting 535 00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:27,960 Speaker 1: against them on health care subsidies. That suddenly what is 536 00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 1: a trickle turns into uh, you know, a rush of 537 00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 1: you well of water coming out of the faucet, essentially 538 00:31:39,720 --> 00:31:44,480 Speaker 1: trying to get away from him. So that's how I 539 00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:51,200 Speaker 1: think this story is potentially that you know, it's it's like, javert, 540 00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:56,760 Speaker 1: do you got him? Now? You know? It's it's the accumulation, 541 00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:59,880 Speaker 1: and it's the fact because of this sour economy, he 542 00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:02,760 Speaker 1: he's now wearing a suit with velcrow on it and 543 00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:06,040 Speaker 1: more things, more of this other stuff is now going 544 00:32:06,080 --> 00:32:09,280 Speaker 1: to start to stick to him because he didn't handle 545 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:12,240 Speaker 1: the main thing. He was elected for one reason, and 546 00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:19,000 Speaker 1: one reason only bring down costs, and he's failing massively 547 00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:25,080 Speaker 1: at that, which means every other secondary issue becomes a 548 00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:29,120 Speaker 1: problem for that voter because they think, well, he can't 549 00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:30,960 Speaker 1: do this, well, he must be that. He must be that, 550 00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:33,880 Speaker 1: he must be that. And that's why this Epstein story 551 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 1: could be just yet another sign that the lame duck 552 00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:41,680 Speaker 1: status is now the You know, if you were to 553 00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:45,160 Speaker 1: go to Trump's Facebook page, he should change. He may 554 00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:48,840 Speaker 1: have to change his status to lame duck. So with that, 555 00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,320 Speaker 1: I'll sneak at a break and we'll bring in Adam Jennisen. 556 00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:57,600 Speaker 1: There's a reason results matter more than promises, just like 557 00:32:57,640 --> 00:33:00,719 Speaker 1: there's a reason. Morgan and Morgan is America's large injury 558 00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:03,560 Speaker 1: law firm. For the last thirty five years, they've recovered 559 00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:06,840 Speaker 1: twenty five billion dollars for more than half a million clients. 560 00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 1: It includes cases where insurance companies offered next to nothing, 561 00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:14,040 Speaker 1: just hoping to get away with paying as little as possible. 562 00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:17,200 Speaker 1: Morgan and Morgan fought back ended up winning millions. In fact, 563 00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,400 Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania, one client was awarded twenty six million dollars, 564 00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:23,920 Speaker 1: which was a staggering forty times the amount that the 565 00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:27,240 Speaker 1: insurance company originally offered. That original offer six hundred and 566 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:30,240 Speaker 1: fifty thousand dollars twenty six million, six hundred and fifty 567 00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 1: thousand dollars. So with more than one thousand lawyers across 568 00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:34,960 Speaker 1: the country, they know how to deliver for everyday people. 569 00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:37,760 Speaker 1: If you're injured, you need a lawyer, you need somebody 570 00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:40,320 Speaker 1: to get your back. Check out for Thepeople dot Com, 571 00:33:40,360 --> 00:33:45,520 Speaker 1: Slash podcast or Dow Pound Law Pound five two nine 572 00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:49,240 Speaker 1: law on your cell phone. And remember all law firms 573 00:33:49,240 --> 00:33:51,120 Speaker 1: are not the same, so check out Morgan and Morgan. 574 00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 1: Their fee is free unless they win as check first 575 00:33:56,440 --> 00:34:00,080 Speaker 1: one comes from XW from Alexandria here in the DMVs. 576 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,280 Speaker 1: I've been a fan since before you hosted me the Press. 577 00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:04,840 Speaker 1: Thank you, and I particularly enjoy your political analysis and 578 00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:07,040 Speaker 1: how you use American history explain what we are going 579 00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 1: through towards that end. Have you watched Death by Lightning 580 00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:11,759 Speaker 1: on Netflix? I am in the middle of it. I 581 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:14,839 Speaker 1: finished part one. It's four part series telling the story 582 00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 1: of James Garfield's rise to the presidency after winning the 583 00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:19,800 Speaker 1: nomination on the thirty six ballot at the Republican National 584 00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:22,680 Speaker 1: Convention in eighteen eighty and his assassination after only three 585 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:25,360 Speaker 1: months in office. It's filled with political intrigue, corruption, spoils, 586 00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:27,520 Speaker 1: and patronage near the end of the nineteenth century. Right 587 00:34:27,560 --> 00:34:32,040 Speaker 1: up your ally, Max, You're right, and I will sort 588 00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:34,360 Speaker 1: of give you a little insight here. I've been obsessed 589 00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:38,520 Speaker 1: with the Garfield story for a long time. Have a 590 00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:44,000 Speaker 1: writing partner off and on by the name of Adam Pearlman, 591 00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:50,000 Speaker 1: who has done some terrific work. Billions in particulars and 592 00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:53,440 Speaker 1: he and I have and I have a pilot script 593 00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:58,240 Speaker 1: actually that we had once been working with a major 594 00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:02,080 Speaker 1: production company and the Game of Throne guys Benny Off 595 00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:05,920 Speaker 1: and Weisse got the Netflix deal and they ended up 596 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:09,759 Speaker 1: pitching a Netflix a Garfield series. And let's just say 597 00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,799 Speaker 1: they had a longer track record than my Adam and 598 00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:17,439 Speaker 1: I did on this. I have watched episode one. I've 599 00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:19,919 Speaker 1: enjoyed it. It is not the take I would have done. 600 00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:22,960 Speaker 1: And I'm not this is not to be critical. I 601 00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:26,000 Speaker 1: think they've made an interest, They've made some interesting decisions. 602 00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:29,360 Speaker 1: I'm looking forward to where they go. And that is 603 00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:32,319 Speaker 1: the beauty of this story. I'm I'm obsessed with the 604 00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:36,480 Speaker 1: period itself. Right this was we were so close to 605 00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:41,440 Speaker 1: getting reconstruction back. And I'm somebody who thinks a Garfield presidency, 606 00:35:42,160 --> 00:35:44,640 Speaker 1: you know, the Garfield presidency got a civil service reform, 607 00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:47,520 Speaker 1: which was not a small thing. Trump's actually trying to 608 00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:49,960 Speaker 1: the Trump now is trying to undo some of the 609 00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:54,279 Speaker 1: civil service reform that that Chester Arthur, who ends up 610 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:57,759 Speaker 1: the you know, a forced vice president on by the 611 00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:02,520 Speaker 1: political machine in New York, ends up after the death 612 00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:06,959 Speaker 1: of Garfield, sort of sees the light and stops being 613 00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:12,840 Speaker 1: a cog in the Roscoe Conkling New York political machine 614 00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:17,840 Speaker 1: and actually pledges to fulfill a Garfield presidency. But I 615 00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:20,520 Speaker 1: think Garfield himself, had he lived, I think you might 616 00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:24,680 Speaker 1: have seen reconstruction come back. I think, you know, he 617 00:36:24,680 --> 00:36:28,320 Speaker 1: he was. He's the closest thing we've had to sort 618 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:32,480 Speaker 1: of the out of nowhere president. Right. It's the you know, 619 00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:34,520 Speaker 1: I've always said the mythology. I was telling this to 620 00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:36,160 Speaker 1: my wife when we were watching, and I said, you know, 621 00:36:36,160 --> 00:36:39,680 Speaker 1: the mythology that you know, the out of nowhere candidate 622 00:36:39,680 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 1: can get the nomination with a speech. The reason the 623 00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:46,279 Speaker 1: mythology existed with conventions is because it happened once right, 624 00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:50,880 Speaker 1: James Garfield, right, his speech moved enough people to suddenly 625 00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:54,960 Speaker 1: start considering him because of this sort of deadlock when 626 00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:57,080 Speaker 1: it came to the Grant side and the machines and 627 00:36:57,120 --> 00:37:01,960 Speaker 1: all of this stuff. So, you know, Gettau and I 628 00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:04,880 Speaker 1: think there. I like how they're portraying Getteau because I 629 00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:08,080 Speaker 1: think he was mentally ill and sort of a guy 630 00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:13,360 Speaker 1: with delusions of grandeur who clearly had a troubled upbringing, 631 00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:16,080 Speaker 1: had a troubled relationship with his father. I mean, there's 632 00:37:16,120 --> 00:37:19,120 Speaker 1: a lot of you know, not to play spoiler here, 633 00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:21,720 Speaker 1: but you know, Gaeto ends up trying to defend defends himself. 634 00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:25,279 Speaker 1: When the first real sort of feeding frenzied trial of 635 00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:27,840 Speaker 1: the century that the media was obsessed with was actually 636 00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:31,480 Speaker 1: the trial and the Geteau trial, which began before Garfield died. 637 00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:37,200 Speaker 1: Because Garfield's you know, Getau Getteau, you could argue didn't 638 00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:41,960 Speaker 1: kill Garfield. The doctors who didn't know what they were 639 00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:45,520 Speaker 1: doing killed Garfield, right they stuck There. There's a guy 640 00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:49,200 Speaker 1: named doctor Doctor and I haven't I don't know if 641 00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:51,880 Speaker 1: they're going to portray him or not, but the guy's 642 00:37:51,960 --> 00:37:54,560 Speaker 1: name really was doctor Doctor. Like sometimes you just can't 643 00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:56,200 Speaker 1: make it up, right, it's going to sound like it's 644 00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:59,680 Speaker 1: been fictionalized. But he didn't believe that you had to 645 00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:02,520 Speaker 1: wash your hands before you I mean, this was still 646 00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:06,880 Speaker 1: like debated medical science. Do you do you do? You do? You? 647 00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:09,160 Speaker 1: Should you wash your hands? Do you need a sterile 648 00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:12,719 Speaker 1: environment before you? You know? Which I know seems but 649 00:38:12,800 --> 00:38:15,319 Speaker 1: it was a guy there was this was so called 650 00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:18,920 Speaker 1: new medicine, new medical practices that was coming out of Europe, 651 00:38:19,400 --> 00:38:22,600 Speaker 1: and it was a guy named doctor Lister, which if 652 00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:26,279 Speaker 1: you're wondering if doctor Lister invented listerine, he did not. 653 00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:29,480 Speaker 1: But doctor Lister was sort of the godfather of this 654 00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:31,440 Speaker 1: sort of idea that you wash your hands and you 655 00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:34,560 Speaker 1: need a sterile environment before as a doctor, before you 656 00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:38,600 Speaker 1: give medical care. So Lister Reene was though named after 657 00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:44,240 Speaker 1: you know Lister, is that part. But no, the treatment, 658 00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:48,000 Speaker 1: the attempt to save Garfield's life killed him. It's possible 659 00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:51,640 Speaker 1: if nobody touched them that he that he might have 660 00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:53,759 Speaker 1: that the bullet wouldn't have killed them, and he might 661 00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:57,360 Speaker 1: have lived and recovered with the bullet in him. But 662 00:38:57,400 --> 00:39:02,440 Speaker 1: the attempt to get the bullet out actually killed him. 663 00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:09,000 Speaker 1: So but that's obviously stuff that you've scientifically figure out later, 664 00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:12,520 Speaker 1: which in the moment we didn't have. But I am 665 00:39:12,680 --> 00:39:16,920 Speaker 1: obsessed with the entire period. Again, it's interesting how they 666 00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:19,879 Speaker 1: chose to sell it, which is, here's two guys you've 667 00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:22,280 Speaker 1: never heard of or you've forgotten, who have been forgotten 668 00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:24,600 Speaker 1: to history. One was the twentieth president of United States. 669 00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:30,120 Speaker 1: It was It's an interesting choice. I get it, they're 670 00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:37,400 Speaker 1: trying to mass appeal it, and I'm enjoying it. I 671 00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:40,759 Speaker 1: fully will confess I would have had a slightly different way. 672 00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:43,440 Speaker 1: I would have done it different way. I would have started. 673 00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:49,439 Speaker 1: Nothing wrong with what they did. And here's my goal. 674 00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,719 Speaker 1: I want this to be successful enough that there is 675 00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:57,160 Speaker 1: more appetite for more. I think Roscoe Conkling if you 676 00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:59,080 Speaker 1: want to go and read about one of the most 677 00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:01,640 Speaker 1: you know, the Mitch Mcca or Nancy Pelosi of their day, 678 00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:04,080 Speaker 1: and I say both right. He was a congressional leader. 679 00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:10,319 Speaker 1: Congressional leaders are both lionized and backroom transactionalists at the 680 00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:13,160 Speaker 1: same time. And don't let anybody tell you that you 681 00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:15,680 Speaker 1: got to have the mix of both of them. Conkling 682 00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:19,400 Speaker 1: was an interesting cat, and he's going to be portrayed 683 00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:22,879 Speaker 1: sort of, I think a bit simply here. It's less 684 00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:28,080 Speaker 1: simple than it is. But boy, is is he a 685 00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:33,200 Speaker 1: character that if there really was a demand for more 686 00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:36,080 Speaker 1: about this era, he could get his own mini series, 687 00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:40,359 Speaker 1: Like you could really develop something just on him. He's 688 00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:43,080 Speaker 1: that colorful of a character. And yes, the way they 689 00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:46,400 Speaker 1: have him dressing, he was always for the day, dressing 690 00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:50,080 Speaker 1: in brighter colors than everybody else. He was flamboyant man 691 00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:56,600 Speaker 1: about town. I don't think he ever spent a night alone, 692 00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:59,920 Speaker 1: so there's a it is you are right, max At, 693 00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:01,880 Speaker 1: It is up my alley. It was so up my alley. 694 00:41:01,920 --> 00:41:04,560 Speaker 1: I wanted to make my own version of it. So there, 695 00:41:05,160 --> 00:41:07,480 Speaker 1: all right, But kudos to those guys, and thank you 696 00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:12,640 Speaker 1: Netflix for green lighting a period piece like that. There's 697 00:41:13,200 --> 00:41:18,359 Speaker 1: great history to be told through incredible storytelling, and I'd 698 00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:22,439 Speaker 1: love to see more production companies support stuff like that. 699 00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:27,279 Speaker 1: Next question comes from Stafford from downtown la Hey. I've 700 00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:28,680 Speaker 1: been a fan since your days of Meet the Press, 701 00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:30,560 Speaker 1: and I'm loving the new podcast. Before my question, I 702 00:41:30,600 --> 00:41:32,839 Speaker 1: wanted to say that you appear to have done the impossible. 703 00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:35,760 Speaker 1: You've gotten me interested in both professional and college football. 704 00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:37,879 Speaker 1: Having grown up a Chargers fan, I had largely washed 705 00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:40,239 Speaker 1: my hands of the sport after nineteen ninety five. My 706 00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:42,320 Speaker 1: question is this, Can anything be done in the short 707 00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:45,360 Speaker 1: to medium term about electricity costs. I'm a school teacher 708 00:41:45,360 --> 00:41:47,480 Speaker 1: and my partner is a grad student at USC fight On. 709 00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:49,640 Speaker 1: We live in a one bedroom apartment in la and 710 00:41:49,640 --> 00:41:51,600 Speaker 1: while our incomes are enough to get by, it's starting 711 00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:53,480 Speaker 1: to pinch. I just opened our electric bill for a 712 00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:56,040 Speaker 1: single month and it's easily fifty percent more than we 713 00:41:56,040 --> 00:41:58,200 Speaker 1: were paying. A couple of years ago. I know data 714 00:41:58,239 --> 00:42:01,000 Speaker 1: centers are affecting energy prices, but more to it. Thanks 715 00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:03,520 Speaker 1: for all the wonderful analysis and for making your episodes lengthy. 716 00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:06,920 Speaker 1: I really get a lot of detail I can't get elsewhere. Sincerely, 717 00:42:07,000 --> 00:42:10,520 Speaker 1: Stafford from downtown LA. How about that somebody thanking me 718 00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:12,920 Speaker 1: for the length. I'm not gonna go Joe Rogan on you. 719 00:42:12,960 --> 00:42:16,040 Speaker 1: I promise no three hour podcasts. Right, Simmons pushes the 720 00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:18,960 Speaker 1: envelope in the two hour plus range. I'm going to 721 00:42:19,040 --> 00:42:20,640 Speaker 1: still try to keep a one in front of that 722 00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:27,759 Speaker 1: number on that front. So it's interesting with electricity, it's 723 00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:30,560 Speaker 1: such a complicated thing. I was digging into this, and 724 00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:33,279 Speaker 1: in fact, I'm going to be when you hear this. 725 00:42:33,320 --> 00:42:37,840 Speaker 1: I'm going to be down in Austin, Texas, interviewing the 726 00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:40,920 Speaker 1: governor of Maryland, Wes Moore, and I was talking with 727 00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:44,319 Speaker 1: his staff about a few issues, and we were talking 728 00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:46,720 Speaker 1: about electricity, and I said, you know, I was asking 729 00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:48,919 Speaker 1: about the data center issue in Maryland and Maryland, doesn't 730 00:42:49,160 --> 00:42:50,960 Speaker 1: you know Virginia is a data center state? And he 731 00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:54,520 Speaker 1: was noting, how you know? He says, Maryland's a transmission state. 732 00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:56,919 Speaker 1: You know, a lot of electricity goes through our state 733 00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,320 Speaker 1: and we pass it through. And you know, some states 734 00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:03,120 Speaker 1: are elect energy producing and they add to the grid, 735 00:43:03,200 --> 00:43:06,200 Speaker 1: Others only take from the grid, Others help, you know, 736 00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:11,480 Speaker 1: sort of. The grid itself is a complicated thing. California 737 00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:14,799 Speaker 1: has its own set of rules that only add to it, 738 00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:16,960 Speaker 1: and it's it's one of those things that I think 739 00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:25,600 Speaker 1: that you know, we're we're in this. You know, elect 740 00:43:25,680 --> 00:43:30,120 Speaker 1: elect electric companies are are private companies, but they're but 741 00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:34,160 Speaker 1: they have to get public approval for what they do 742 00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:39,680 Speaker 1: and how they do it. And I think that we're 743 00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:42,279 Speaker 1: about to see, especially with the data center, you know, 744 00:43:42,480 --> 00:43:44,520 Speaker 1: obsession and drain, and it's a real issue in the 745 00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:48,160 Speaker 1: state I live in Virginia because it is like Virginia 746 00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:49,960 Speaker 1: is a huge got a bunch of data centers, and 747 00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:53,120 Speaker 1: we have some of the highest spikes in electricity. So 748 00:43:54,640 --> 00:43:56,360 Speaker 1: I think there's going to have to be some federal 749 00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:59,640 Speaker 1: legislation here because I do think that, you know, every 750 00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:02,120 Speaker 1: state is set up to try to regulate itself. Right, 751 00:44:02,160 --> 00:44:05,319 Speaker 1: You're in a state where they're using a lot of 752 00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:08,080 Speaker 1: air conditioning and there's always a high a little more 753 00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:13,040 Speaker 1: usage of energy, particularly in the southern part where you know, 754 00:44:13,040 --> 00:44:18,200 Speaker 1: they're constantly having to regulate it, and it is done 755 00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,359 Speaker 1: on a state basis, based on state usage. But if 756 00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:23,840 Speaker 1: we're going to have more of these sort of drags 757 00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:27,520 Speaker 1: on the grid coming from other states, and all of 758 00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:31,120 Speaker 1: this is interconnected. So look, I think this is going 759 00:44:31,160 --> 00:44:34,919 Speaker 1: to be I think the electric bill issue is going 760 00:44:35,000 --> 00:44:39,239 Speaker 1: to be what the price of eggs were, right and 761 00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:42,239 Speaker 1: grocery bills were in twenty twenty four. You know that 762 00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:46,319 Speaker 1: this is going to be the thing that everybody comes 763 00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:48,080 Speaker 1: back to. We saw it in the New Jersey race 764 00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:50,960 Speaker 1: because this is happening across the board. Everybody's electric bills 765 00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:54,319 Speaker 1: are going up. There's just a more and they're you know, 766 00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:57,759 Speaker 1: and what people do is they cherry pick the thing 767 00:44:57,800 --> 00:44:59,880 Speaker 1: that they don't like to say this is the reason 768 00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:03,360 Speaker 1: it's going up. It's just everything is the reason. And 769 00:45:03,400 --> 00:45:05,799 Speaker 1: I think that there's some argument that what Trump has 770 00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:11,120 Speaker 1: done with canceling some of these all of the above 771 00:45:11,360 --> 00:45:16,799 Speaker 1: energy strategies, that he's actually limiting new energy getting onto 772 00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:21,720 Speaker 1: the grid, like we need more diversified sources of energy 773 00:45:21,800 --> 00:45:25,239 Speaker 1: in order to keep everything going that we're going and 774 00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:29,960 Speaker 1: him sort of you know, essentially torpedoing the Biden Energy 775 00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:33,239 Speaker 1: bill mandates when it came to wind and solar and 776 00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:37,760 Speaker 1: things like that, it's going to directly impact the cost 777 00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:43,480 Speaker 1: of electric bills. So I don't think there's anything short 778 00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:45,400 Speaker 1: term that's going to get done. But I will say this, 779 00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:47,759 Speaker 1: I think you're going to have more political rhetoric about it. 780 00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:53,000 Speaker 1: You know, we're all going to have to start to 781 00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:56,040 Speaker 1: recalibrate what's warm and cold in order to save a 782 00:45:56,080 --> 00:46:00,720 Speaker 1: few dollars. I can tell you what I'm looking into 783 00:46:00,760 --> 00:46:03,520 Speaker 1: is trying to figure out is there's some solar alternatives, 784 00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:08,719 Speaker 1: you know, to at least minimizing the cost on some things. Right, 785 00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:11,840 Speaker 1: is there and it may be tough in an apartment 786 00:46:12,000 --> 00:46:15,920 Speaker 1: situation to get the benefit of that. But will you 787 00:46:15,960 --> 00:46:19,000 Speaker 1: start to see landlords who maybe maybe you know, I 788 00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:21,000 Speaker 1: don't know how you're building a set up, and sometimes 789 00:46:21,080 --> 00:46:24,399 Speaker 1: you everybody sort of splits the utility costs. It's part 790 00:46:24,440 --> 00:46:27,920 Speaker 1: of a larger fee, and in that sense, the landlord 791 00:46:28,000 --> 00:46:30,720 Speaker 1: is incentivized to want to maybe put you know, solar 792 00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:33,040 Speaker 1: panels and come up with a different way. But I 793 00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:35,640 Speaker 1: think you're going to see a lot of people looking 794 00:46:35,680 --> 00:46:39,720 Speaker 1: for alternative ways to minimize their drag on the grid. 795 00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:42,799 Speaker 1: But they're still going to want need energy to power 796 00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:47,400 Speaker 1: their electronics or power their car power whatever. So but 797 00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:49,560 Speaker 1: I I you know, I'm not gonna I'm going to 798 00:46:49,680 --> 00:46:52,560 Speaker 1: keep researching this more and more to give you a 799 00:46:52,600 --> 00:46:56,040 Speaker 1: better answer to this question, Stafford. But I can tell 800 00:46:56,040 --> 00:46:59,200 Speaker 1: you I think this is this is an issue that 801 00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:03,800 Speaker 1: isn't is only going to get more in the mainstream 802 00:47:03,840 --> 00:47:06,560 Speaker 1: in the conversation because it's the type of issue that 803 00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:09,759 Speaker 1: everybody feels, right, everybody sees the cost of that, and 804 00:47:09,800 --> 00:47:14,480 Speaker 1: we're seeing these giant spikes throw in extreme weather where 805 00:47:14,680 --> 00:47:17,080 Speaker 1: in some places you're using your air conditioner longer than 806 00:47:17,120 --> 00:47:19,240 Speaker 1: you normally do, or in some places you're using heat 807 00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:22,160 Speaker 1: maybe at a time you never used it before. That 808 00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:27,799 Speaker 1: also does weird things to the grid and ups the 809 00:47:27,840 --> 00:47:32,239 Speaker 1: costs of what you're doing on it. So I think 810 00:47:32,280 --> 00:47:34,560 Speaker 1: there never definitely needs to be a little more federal 811 00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:41,719 Speaker 1: involvement with how this grid, with how the electric grid 812 00:47:41,960 --> 00:47:45,440 Speaker 1: is operating, because it's it definitely feels and you know 813 00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:49,160 Speaker 1: who knows Texas is not on the grid. They sort 814 00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:52,880 Speaker 1: of created their own system. That thing it, you know, 815 00:47:53,000 --> 00:47:59,440 Speaker 1: feels like it's it could trigger a bigger problem if 816 00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:02,040 Speaker 1: they have a tough winner it's always the winners that 817 00:48:02,520 --> 00:48:05,240 Speaker 1: really put a lot of stress on that Texas grid, 818 00:48:06,040 --> 00:48:09,080 Speaker 1: And if that collapses and it's come close a couple 819 00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:13,560 Speaker 1: of times, it could really sort of sober up everybody 820 00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:15,880 Speaker 1: and realize that we have a federal problem here. This 821 00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:18,520 Speaker 1: isn't going to be solved in one state. I don't 822 00:48:18,560 --> 00:48:22,080 Speaker 1: think states have this, have the ability to do this. No, 823 00:48:22,200 --> 00:48:26,520 Speaker 1: you may get some states try to find financial help 824 00:48:26,560 --> 00:48:31,279 Speaker 1: for people, but I'm not sure there's only only so 825 00:48:31,400 --> 00:48:34,759 Speaker 1: much money that might be available for that. But I 826 00:48:34,800 --> 00:48:41,359 Speaker 1: do think this is going to become the most symbolic 827 00:48:41,680 --> 00:48:43,680 Speaker 1: issue that's talked about when it comes to cost of 828 00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:48,480 Speaker 1: living challenges. Next question comes from Jim Philadelphia's This Big 829 00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:50,439 Speaker 1: Fans in c NBC Day's congrats on a great start 830 00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:52,200 Speaker 1: to the new chapter. One't been wondering, what do you 831 00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:55,399 Speaker 1: think Trump's real motivation is for intervening in Venezuela under 832 00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:57,880 Speaker 1: the Narco terrorism label. He's never shown much interest in 833 00:48:57,920 --> 00:49:00,600 Speaker 1: preserving democracy. Is this really about removing Is it just 834 00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:02,880 Speaker 1: another self serving move, maybe even a play for a 835 00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:06,440 Speaker 1: Nobel Peace Prize. Jim, I'll tell you what my thesis 836 00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:10,880 Speaker 1: is on this. So Marco Rubio, you know after starting 837 00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:16,000 Speaker 1: off his relationship with Trump making Dick jokes about him 838 00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:19,520 Speaker 1: right at a debate talking about his hands. Right, Why 839 00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:22,000 Speaker 1: is the hands part of the thing? Right? It is 840 00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:26,839 Speaker 1: Rubio that made that meme famous. Rubio has since done 841 00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:29,080 Speaker 1: a one ady Entrump right, we saw it sometime during 842 00:49:29,080 --> 00:49:35,680 Speaker 1: the first term, and he has gone out of his 843 00:49:35,760 --> 00:49:41,120 Speaker 1: way to endear him, endear the Latin American political activist 844 00:49:41,200 --> 00:49:44,920 Speaker 1: community that is on the side of ousting some of 845 00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:49,080 Speaker 1: these guys, but that diaspora that has a lot of 846 00:49:49,080 --> 00:49:53,120 Speaker 1: political and financial power in South Florida who've been very 847 00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:57,600 Speaker 1: supportive of Rubio's politics over the years. He essentially, because 848 00:49:57,640 --> 00:50:00,160 Speaker 1: Trump is such an important figure now in South Florida, 849 00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:05,000 Speaker 1: he essentially helped Trump cement whatever you know, cement this, 850 00:50:06,040 --> 00:50:07,880 Speaker 1: or you could argue Rubio had to catch up to 851 00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:09,719 Speaker 1: where all these folks, they all were going, they were 852 00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:14,920 Speaker 1: going to gravitate towards Trump anyway, but this began where Trump, 853 00:50:15,000 --> 00:50:18,480 Speaker 1: where Trump started. Basically doesn't make any decision in Latin 854 00:50:18,520 --> 00:50:21,480 Speaker 1: America without Marco Rubio. And that was true in sort 855 00:50:21,520 --> 00:50:24,799 Speaker 1: of the last year or two of the Trump era, 856 00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:29,040 Speaker 1: the first Trump term, and it is and then you know, 857 00:50:29,160 --> 00:50:34,880 Speaker 1: Rubio really ingratiated himself during Trump's exile at mar A Lago. 858 00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:40,680 Speaker 1: He'd constantly go there. He'd bring these Latin American figures 859 00:50:40,719 --> 00:50:45,160 Speaker 1: to meet with them. He'd be So this is a 860 00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:47,319 Speaker 1: long way of me making the case that this is 861 00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:51,280 Speaker 1: not a Donald Trump obsession. This is a Marco Rubio obsession. 862 00:50:52,880 --> 00:50:58,440 Speaker 1: And I think that Rubio has you know, there is 863 00:50:58,960 --> 00:51:02,359 Speaker 1: there is a demand and look, go see the I 864 00:51:02,400 --> 00:51:05,160 Speaker 1: hope you heard my conversation with Billy Corbin, and he 865 00:51:05,239 --> 00:51:09,160 Speaker 1: did a documentary called Men of War about a failed 866 00:51:09,760 --> 00:51:15,440 Speaker 1: sort of bizarre coup, you know, group of US mercenaries 867 00:51:15,480 --> 00:51:20,839 Speaker 1: working with a former bodyguard of Trump's to somehow get 868 00:51:20,880 --> 00:51:25,960 Speaker 1: on the get get into Venezuela and overthrow Maduro. Kind 869 00:51:25,960 --> 00:51:30,920 Speaker 1: of a bay of pigs, Venezuelan style type of story. 870 00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:33,880 Speaker 1: It's one of those you can't believe this is true, 871 00:51:33,880 --> 00:51:38,880 Speaker 1: but you know, Billy always has the receipts. There is 872 00:51:38,920 --> 00:51:40,920 Speaker 1: a group of folks in South Florida that that are, 873 00:51:41,040 --> 00:51:45,800 Speaker 1: you know, frustrated with Maduro, and this is Rubio cares 874 00:51:45,840 --> 00:51:49,160 Speaker 1: about this. Rubio believes in this, and I think Rubio 875 00:51:49,880 --> 00:51:55,399 Speaker 1: has got enough stature and status in Trump's world. He's 876 00:51:55,440 --> 00:51:59,120 Speaker 1: both Secretary of State and National Security Advisor that it 877 00:51:59,239 --> 00:52:03,520 Speaker 1: is Rubio that is helping to steer him in this direction. 878 00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:07,120 Speaker 1: And I think that there's no doubt in my mind 879 00:52:07,160 --> 00:52:10,759 Speaker 1: that this is a Rubo project that Trump has adopted 880 00:52:11,120 --> 00:52:16,319 Speaker 1: and he's you know, this narco terrorism thing is you know, 881 00:52:17,680 --> 00:52:18,960 Speaker 1: if you had to prove it, I don't know how 882 00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:22,520 Speaker 1: they would, right. You know, where do you prove that 883 00:52:23,000 --> 00:52:26,640 Speaker 1: the drug money is being used to fund terrorism? That's 884 00:52:26,719 --> 00:52:31,840 Speaker 1: number one? Number two what fentanyl? You know that this 885 00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:34,440 Speaker 1: is not where our fentanyl problem comes from. It's not 886 00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:37,759 Speaker 1: in Venezuela. It comes from Mexico and China. So this 887 00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:43,680 Speaker 1: is a pretext that's sort of been created. Look, I 888 00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:47,239 Speaker 1: would feel better about this if the argument were we're 889 00:52:47,239 --> 00:52:51,879 Speaker 1: trying to enforce democratic norms, then we can debate whether 890 00:52:51,920 --> 00:52:54,840 Speaker 1: we should be using the military to do that. That 891 00:52:54,920 --> 00:52:56,680 Speaker 1: should be the debate we should be having as a 892 00:52:56,719 --> 00:53:01,320 Speaker 1: country about this Venezuela move. But instead are essentially lying 893 00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:04,600 Speaker 1: to us about the rationale for what they're doing, saying 894 00:53:04,600 --> 00:53:07,279 Speaker 1: this is not about regime changes, it's not about the democracy. 895 00:53:07,320 --> 00:53:10,440 Speaker 1: This is about a specific thing. And yet what are 896 00:53:10,480 --> 00:53:12,360 Speaker 1: we doing? It looks like we're on the verge of 897 00:53:13,920 --> 00:53:18,040 Speaker 1: overthrowing a government. So it feels like we're you know, 898 00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:19,799 Speaker 1: it feels like we're doing this all the wrong way, 899 00:53:20,239 --> 00:53:21,719 Speaker 1: which is why a couple of weeks ago, in my 900 00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:25,600 Speaker 1: toodcast time machine, I wanted to make the Panama Canal 901 00:53:26,600 --> 00:53:31,480 Speaker 1: Anniversary the Liberation of Panama, if you will, an important 902 00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:35,359 Speaker 1: story because anytime, you know, whenever we're involved and we 903 00:53:35,440 --> 00:53:38,319 Speaker 1: lie about why we're involved, we do not help our 904 00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:41,840 Speaker 1: long term ability to have influenced the right way in 905 00:53:41,880 --> 00:53:46,960 Speaker 1: Latin America. And I just, you know, I am, I 906 00:53:47,080 --> 00:53:50,319 Speaker 1: want to see Maduro go. I am, you know, sort 907 00:53:50,320 --> 00:53:53,359 Speaker 1: of like it's like it's like Saddam. I'm glad Saddam left. 908 00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:55,680 Speaker 1: But was that the way to do it? I don't 909 00:53:55,719 --> 00:53:57,040 Speaker 1: know if this is the right way to get rid 910 00:53:57,080 --> 00:54:03,160 Speaker 1: of a DUREA. Next question comes from Dan, and then 911 00:54:03,160 --> 00:54:05,920 Speaker 1: I'm going to get into my college football preview for 912 00:54:06,000 --> 00:54:09,040 Speaker 1: the weekend. We'll do it through the prism of the 913 00:54:09,080 --> 00:54:11,920 Speaker 1: college football playoff. He goes, I've been enjoying the podcast 914 00:54:12,000 --> 00:54:14,400 Speaker 1: is always. Something I noticed is that the election coverage 915 00:54:14,400 --> 00:54:17,320 Speaker 1: shows that Andrew Cuomo outperforms on Mam Donnie among voters 916 00:54:17,360 --> 00:54:19,839 Speaker 1: without a college degree. NBC reports that Mom Donnie won 917 00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:22,480 Speaker 1: only twenty six percent of white non college graduates, and 918 00:54:22,560 --> 00:54:25,600 Speaker 1: similar trends appeared in the gubernatorial races. Despite overall wins, 919 00:54:25,640 --> 00:54:28,600 Speaker 1: Democrats still seem to underperform among non college educated voters, 920 00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:31,600 Speaker 1: raising concerns about their strengthen states like Michigan and Nebraska. 921 00:54:31,680 --> 00:54:34,120 Speaker 1: Is it fair to interpret these results as evidence that 922 00:54:34,200 --> 00:54:36,760 Speaker 1: Democrats have not yet repaired their image with working class 923 00:54:36,760 --> 00:54:39,160 Speaker 1: white voters. If so, what steps should the party take 924 00:54:39,160 --> 00:54:44,080 Speaker 1: to become more competitive with this group? Thanks? Dan, Well, look, 925 00:54:44,960 --> 00:54:47,399 Speaker 1: hopefully you're listening to the answer this question after you've 926 00:54:47,400 --> 00:54:49,759 Speaker 1: heard the interview with Adam Gentilsen. It's exactly what he's 927 00:54:49,800 --> 00:54:52,360 Speaker 1: trying to do, which is how do you get you know, 928 00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:58,719 Speaker 1: the irony is, you know, I think Democrats have struggled 929 00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:01,359 Speaker 1: culturally to connect to this group of voters for some time. 930 00:55:03,360 --> 00:55:05,600 Speaker 1: They used to be sort of Democrats and they were 931 00:55:05,600 --> 00:55:09,080 Speaker 1: just sort of Democrats, and it was they were culturally Democrats. 932 00:55:09,160 --> 00:55:12,600 Speaker 1: That that and the Democrats they thought economically were looking 933 00:55:12,640 --> 00:55:15,400 Speaker 1: out for him as it is. That explains why there 934 00:55:15,440 --> 00:55:18,560 Speaker 1: were two US senators in Nebraska for you know, not 935 00:55:18,640 --> 00:55:22,319 Speaker 1: an insignificant period of time, and almost always one a 936 00:55:22,400 --> 00:55:25,600 Speaker 1: state that you know, was the birthplace of the the 937 00:55:25,920 --> 00:55:28,880 Speaker 1: perhaps the original Prairie populace William Jennings Bryan, right, So 938 00:55:33,960 --> 00:55:36,200 Speaker 1: I think you're right to point out those things. I 939 00:55:36,239 --> 00:55:38,160 Speaker 1: think this is to me the great danger of the 940 00:55:38,200 --> 00:55:42,759 Speaker 1: midterms on the Democrats, which is they don't need they 941 00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:47,400 Speaker 1: could do as mediocre as they did with non college 942 00:55:47,480 --> 00:55:50,120 Speaker 1: educated whites in the midterms because they won't turn out 943 00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:51,520 Speaker 1: in the same numbers that they'll turn out in a 944 00:55:51,560 --> 00:55:57,120 Speaker 1: presidential election, giving Democrats an opportunity because they'll they'll sort 945 00:55:57,120 --> 00:56:01,120 Speaker 1: of over index on their more frequent voters and college 946 00:56:01,200 --> 00:56:03,719 Speaker 1: education voters, and they will be a bigger share of 947 00:56:03,760 --> 00:56:06,319 Speaker 1: the electorate in a midterm than they will be in 948 00:56:06,400 --> 00:56:09,560 Speaker 1: a general. It's why, you know, had they been a 949 00:56:09,640 --> 00:56:12,959 Speaker 1: presidential like turnout in say Virginia, maybe she only wins 950 00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:16,680 Speaker 1: by eight instead of fifteen, and maybe if you got 951 00:56:17,680 --> 00:56:19,920 Speaker 1: although you know, to me, the New Jersey thing is 952 00:56:19,920 --> 00:56:25,200 Speaker 1: why I why I believe this was a Trump referendum. 953 00:56:25,239 --> 00:56:28,520 Speaker 1: When you have the Republican candidate actually getting more raw 954 00:56:28,640 --> 00:56:30,920 Speaker 1: vote than he got four years earlier, but he lost 955 00:56:30,920 --> 00:56:34,880 Speaker 1: by ten percentage points more than when he lost before, 956 00:56:35,000 --> 00:56:37,080 Speaker 1: shows you a whole bunch of voters that didn't show 957 00:56:37,120 --> 00:56:40,560 Speaker 1: up four years ago that decided to show up. Well, 958 00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:43,200 Speaker 1: you didn't have an basically a whole bunch of presidential 959 00:56:43,200 --> 00:56:45,439 Speaker 1: only voters decided to show up in a governor's race 960 00:56:46,320 --> 00:56:49,239 Speaker 1: on the Democratic side. You didn't get the presidential only 961 00:56:49,320 --> 00:56:51,279 Speaker 1: voters to suddenly show up in a governor's race on 962 00:56:51,280 --> 00:56:54,040 Speaker 1: the Republican side. And then you can see how lopsided 963 00:56:54,080 --> 00:57:01,320 Speaker 1: things can get. I think the biggest, the potential worst 964 00:57:01,360 --> 00:57:06,680 Speaker 1: outcome for the Democrats hopes in twenty twenty eight. Weirdly 965 00:57:06,760 --> 00:57:09,640 Speaker 1: will be thinking that if they win the House in 966 00:57:09,680 --> 00:57:11,880 Speaker 1: the Senate, that they've solved their problems and it's just 967 00:57:11,920 --> 00:57:14,120 Speaker 1: a it's you know, they're going to just coast to 968 00:57:14,160 --> 00:57:17,040 Speaker 1: the presidency like what happened in six going into eight. 969 00:57:18,160 --> 00:57:20,439 Speaker 1: And I would just say it's very possible they could 970 00:57:20,480 --> 00:57:24,920 Speaker 1: have a midterm revival. Eighty six midterms were terrific midterms 971 00:57:24,960 --> 00:57:29,080 Speaker 1: for the Democrats, and then after getting clobbered in eighty four, 972 00:57:30,040 --> 00:57:31,840 Speaker 1: and then they go and get clobbered in eighty eight. 973 00:57:32,040 --> 00:57:38,080 Speaker 1: So I do think the Democratic makeup of their more 974 00:57:38,320 --> 00:57:42,240 Speaker 1: likely voter automatically puts them at advantage to overperform in 975 00:57:42,280 --> 00:57:44,640 Speaker 1: the midterms. It's why even in a bad midterm year 976 00:57:44,720 --> 00:57:48,480 Speaker 1: like twenty two was, they didn't get clobbered the way 977 00:57:48,520 --> 00:57:51,400 Speaker 1: they that an out party gets clobbered or an in 978 00:57:51,480 --> 00:57:54,200 Speaker 1: party gets clobbered simply because more of their voters are 979 00:57:54,240 --> 00:57:59,120 Speaker 1: just are more regular voters. No, I think that the 980 00:57:59,480 --> 00:58:02,600 Speaker 1: party still as a problem and until it you know, 981 00:58:03,160 --> 00:58:05,760 Speaker 1: in fairness to the party on this one, neither Virginia 982 00:58:05,880 --> 00:58:09,720 Speaker 1: nor New Jersey is a huge It had a rural 983 00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:16,320 Speaker 1: vote that the candidate had to make an effort. That's 984 00:58:16,360 --> 00:58:18,520 Speaker 1: not going to be the case in trying to win 985 00:58:18,560 --> 00:58:20,920 Speaker 1: an election in North Carolina. That's not going to be 986 00:58:20,960 --> 00:58:23,160 Speaker 1: the case. In trying to win in Ohio. That's not 987 00:58:23,200 --> 00:58:25,080 Speaker 1: going to be the case in trying to win in 988 00:58:25,240 --> 00:58:29,720 Speaker 1: Iowa or Alaska, or Kansas or Mississippi or even Texas. 989 00:58:30,080 --> 00:58:32,080 Speaker 1: You know, you can't win Texas just by winning the 990 00:58:32,080 --> 00:58:35,520 Speaker 1: cities that a Roar came close, but he couldn't do it. 991 00:58:35,560 --> 00:58:37,360 Speaker 1: He want all the he won all the cities, and 992 00:58:37,400 --> 00:58:40,320 Speaker 1: he won all the the big media markets, but he couldn't. 993 00:58:41,040 --> 00:58:43,440 Speaker 1: He got killed in the excerbs and the world voters. So, 994 00:58:44,320 --> 00:58:46,840 Speaker 1: uh yeah, I don't think they've solved any other problems 995 00:58:47,280 --> 00:58:50,360 Speaker 1: on that front, and I still think they the Democrats 996 00:58:50,360 --> 00:58:53,640 Speaker 1: are you know, they have to be seen as a 997 00:58:53,680 --> 00:58:58,640 Speaker 1: stronger party. Strength And I know that's an elusive word, 998 00:58:58,680 --> 00:59:02,880 Speaker 1: but I think strengths big a big thing with with 999 00:59:02,920 --> 00:59:05,120 Speaker 1: this voting group. If they're going to try to reconnect 1000 00:59:05,160 --> 00:59:09,480 Speaker 1: back with them, and you know, the economy will be 1001 00:59:09,520 --> 00:59:11,920 Speaker 1: an entree. It's not lost on me if you think 1002 00:59:11,920 --> 00:59:15,200 Speaker 1: about it. The last four Democratic presidents in my lifetime 1003 00:59:15,240 --> 00:59:20,800 Speaker 1: who've won all one during an economic downturn. You know, 1004 00:59:20,800 --> 00:59:23,520 Speaker 1: it's possible that Democrats are just you know, in my 1005 00:59:23,560 --> 00:59:26,680 Speaker 1: lifetime have culturally been on the wrong side of where 1006 00:59:26,680 --> 00:59:29,040 Speaker 1: the country is, and Republicans of culturally have been on 1007 00:59:29,040 --> 00:59:32,680 Speaker 1: the right side where the country is. But that Democrats 1008 00:59:32,720 --> 00:59:37,400 Speaker 1: when the economies in the tank. It was true in 1009 00:59:37,440 --> 00:59:41,240 Speaker 1: seventy six, It's true in ninety two, and although the 1010 00:59:41,240 --> 00:59:44,120 Speaker 1: economy was recovering by the time Trump Clinton won, but 1011 00:59:44,280 --> 00:59:46,160 Speaker 1: the perception was it was in the tank. It was 1012 00:59:46,160 --> 00:59:50,080 Speaker 1: true in eight, it's true in twenty right, it was 1013 00:59:50,520 --> 00:59:55,440 Speaker 1: certainly virus related, but still it was an economic downturn. Sadly, 1014 00:59:55,480 --> 00:59:57,880 Speaker 1: it may be that there's an economic downturn in twenty 1015 00:59:57,920 --> 01:00:01,160 Speaker 1: eight and and that powers every thing. And let me 1016 01:00:01,240 --> 01:00:03,120 Speaker 1: just tell you this, when you have an election that's 1017 01:00:03,120 --> 01:00:06,280 Speaker 1: all about the economy, it suddenly papers over all of 1018 01:00:06,280 --> 01:00:10,920 Speaker 1: your different interest script problems, right because everything becomes about that. 1019 01:00:18,880 --> 01:00:21,160 Speaker 1: So for Miami, it's their last home game. I know 1020 01:00:21,200 --> 01:00:25,200 Speaker 1: you're on pins and needles. The College Football Playoff Committee 1021 01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:29,800 Speaker 1: is getting a little better at giving some respect to 1022 01:00:29,840 --> 01:00:34,040 Speaker 1: the University of Miami, though not a ton. The guy 1023 01:00:34,080 --> 01:00:37,840 Speaker 1: who runs the committee, who was the spokesperson, basically said 1024 01:00:37,880 --> 01:00:39,680 Speaker 1: Miami is the only team in the ACC that has 1025 01:00:39,720 --> 01:00:44,800 Speaker 1: won a decent non conference game, like completely forgetting that 1026 01:00:44,960 --> 01:00:49,000 Speaker 1: Ala Fingbama lost to Florida State in Week one. And 1027 01:00:49,480 --> 01:00:51,520 Speaker 1: so what you see as you see. And this is 1028 01:00:51,560 --> 01:00:55,680 Speaker 1: why I do not trust the ESPN Invitational Committee. I 1029 01:00:55,720 --> 01:00:58,960 Speaker 1: think all of these athletic directors and they're all I mean, 1030 01:00:59,040 --> 01:01:02,040 Speaker 1: my god, they've all realized they work for ESPN and 1031 01:01:02,040 --> 01:01:06,920 Speaker 1: the SEC and nobody else. Apparently. It is it is 1032 01:01:07,320 --> 01:01:10,080 Speaker 1: why we have to get rid of this committee. They 1033 01:01:10,080 --> 01:01:13,520 Speaker 1: are not you know I And if you ask me, 1034 01:01:13,560 --> 01:01:15,919 Speaker 1: you know, you could say I'm being you know, yeah, 1035 01:01:15,960 --> 01:01:19,960 Speaker 1: I'm being biased towards the ACC. My bias is I 1036 01:01:19,960 --> 01:01:23,200 Speaker 1: want the ACC to get treated fairly I'm just asking 1037 01:01:23,240 --> 01:01:25,880 Speaker 1: for fair treatment. This is a committee, and this is 1038 01:01:25,920 --> 01:01:28,439 Speaker 1: a network that has already punished the ACC two years 1039 01:01:28,480 --> 01:01:32,800 Speaker 1: ago with denying an undefeated ACC champion access to the 1040 01:01:32,800 --> 01:01:36,800 Speaker 1: playoff of Florida State. This is a ESPN Invitational committee 1041 01:01:36,840 --> 01:01:38,920 Speaker 1: that denied the number one ranked offense in the country 1042 01:01:39,000 --> 01:01:42,240 Speaker 1: with ten wins and two losses, the Oderrich of Miami. 1043 01:01:42,440 --> 01:01:44,560 Speaker 1: They did not put him in the playoff simply because 1044 01:01:44,560 --> 01:01:47,680 Speaker 1: they were in ACC school the exact same resume, but 1045 01:01:47,720 --> 01:01:49,720 Speaker 1: an SEC school. And I promise you they would have 1046 01:01:49,720 --> 01:01:53,320 Speaker 1: made it when you're literally the top ranked offense in 1047 01:01:53,360 --> 01:01:57,680 Speaker 1: the country because supposedly those outside metrics matter. No, their 1048 01:01:57,760 --> 01:02:02,480 Speaker 1: metrics matter only when it is about getting the matchups 1049 01:02:02,480 --> 01:02:06,440 Speaker 1: that they want for the television show. And now it 1050 01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:08,040 Speaker 1: is a head scratcher to me that they didn't think 1051 01:02:08,080 --> 01:02:10,200 Speaker 1: cam Ward was good for their television show. I would 1052 01:02:10,240 --> 01:02:12,080 Speaker 1: argue cam Ward would have been great for their television 1053 01:02:12,080 --> 01:02:15,840 Speaker 1: show last year in the exhibition that is the ESPN Invitational. 1054 01:02:16,320 --> 01:02:20,920 Speaker 1: But the fact that the committee is literally lying about 1055 01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:26,240 Speaker 1: the ACC's resume on national television with Rhys Davis or misinformed, okay, 1056 01:02:26,320 --> 01:02:29,200 Speaker 1: lying and inquires motive, But there is a motive here. 1057 01:02:29,360 --> 01:02:31,160 Speaker 1: They're going out of their way to make the case 1058 01:02:31,160 --> 01:02:34,920 Speaker 1: against the ACC because apparently, if you're if you're in 1059 01:02:34,920 --> 01:02:38,120 Speaker 1: the ACC and you have a competitive conference, your conference 1060 01:02:38,200 --> 01:02:40,160 Speaker 1: must suck. If you're in the SEC and have a 1061 01:02:40,200 --> 01:02:43,200 Speaker 1: competitive conference, it's proof that your conference is great. I mean, 1062 01:02:43,240 --> 01:02:48,160 Speaker 1: I'm just sorry, it's subjective bullshit on this, Okay. Yes, 1063 01:02:48,480 --> 01:02:51,160 Speaker 1: is it true that the SEC program spend more money 1064 01:02:51,360 --> 01:02:53,520 Speaker 1: collectively than the ACC does, so you assume you have 1065 01:02:53,560 --> 01:02:56,840 Speaker 1: more talent. Yes, but you know he's produced like something 1066 01:02:57,040 --> 01:02:58,360 Speaker 1: I like, if you want to sit here and play 1067 01:02:58,360 --> 01:03:01,280 Speaker 1: that game. The ACC is I think produced the second 1068 01:03:01,360 --> 01:03:03,400 Speaker 1: most amount of first round draft picks over the last 1069 01:03:03,480 --> 01:03:06,640 Speaker 1: ten years, about right behind the SEC and ahead of 1070 01:03:06,680 --> 01:03:10,560 Speaker 1: the Big ten in the Big twelve. But again, we 1071 01:03:10,600 --> 01:03:12,840 Speaker 1: can you can find little things like that all the 1072 01:03:12,880 --> 01:03:16,680 Speaker 1: time to slice and dice things. But they went out 1073 01:03:16,720 --> 01:03:20,320 Speaker 1: of their way to punish to and it would have 1074 01:03:20,320 --> 01:03:23,480 Speaker 1: been some other ACC school and they've done it. And 1075 01:03:23,520 --> 01:03:27,160 Speaker 1: again this goes back to the where the hell is 1076 01:03:27,200 --> 01:03:32,280 Speaker 1: the commissioner. Jim Phillips is way too meek in this conversation. 1077 01:03:32,720 --> 01:03:35,680 Speaker 1: He lets Greg SANKEI go move around with them up 1078 01:03:35,720 --> 01:03:38,520 Speaker 1: and down. I told you last week about my source 1079 01:03:38,840 --> 01:03:42,919 Speaker 1: that told me how much that every week Greg Greg 1080 01:03:42,960 --> 01:03:45,640 Speaker 1: SANKI must have had a hissy fit that that Herbstreet 1081 01:03:45,680 --> 01:03:49,560 Speaker 1: and Fowler we're out doing a Texas Tech game. That 1082 01:03:49,640 --> 01:03:52,640 Speaker 1: must have freaked them out. But that every week he 1083 01:03:52,720 --> 01:03:55,120 Speaker 1: lobbies that you must be in the SEC. You must 1084 01:03:55,120 --> 01:03:59,160 Speaker 1: be in the SEC. And again I get it, ESPN's 1085 01:03:59,160 --> 01:04:01,440 Speaker 1: and business the SEC, but they're also in business with 1086 01:04:01,480 --> 01:04:04,640 Speaker 1: the ACC. And I think the ACC could be suing 1087 01:04:04,840 --> 01:04:08,040 Speaker 1: ESPN for breach of contract. This is a network that 1088 01:04:08,080 --> 01:04:10,560 Speaker 1: has gone out of their way to diminish the value 1089 01:04:10,560 --> 01:04:14,320 Speaker 1: of the ACC. The ACC has increased its value, and 1090 01:04:14,560 --> 01:04:17,960 Speaker 1: ESPN tries to diminish the value of the ACC. And 1091 01:04:18,000 --> 01:04:21,640 Speaker 1: they're your biggest business partner. The ACEC should be in court. 1092 01:04:22,440 --> 01:04:27,200 Speaker 1: Don't sue each other, sue ESPN for for essentially for 1093 01:04:28,880 --> 01:04:33,960 Speaker 1: diminishing the value of ACC sports in general and ACC 1094 01:04:34,000 --> 01:04:38,440 Speaker 1: football in particular. I'm sorry the lack of pushback, and 1095 01:04:38,680 --> 01:04:41,840 Speaker 1: again it's you know, ESPN controls the college football Playoff, 1096 01:04:42,200 --> 01:04:44,120 Speaker 1: a mistake, which is why you got to get rid 1097 01:04:44,160 --> 01:04:47,600 Speaker 1: of this committee. We ultimately got get rid of this committee. 1098 01:04:47,880 --> 01:04:49,920 Speaker 1: There is a way to make all of this and 1099 01:04:50,040 --> 01:04:53,320 Speaker 1: on the field issue, you can you know, if you 1100 01:04:53,520 --> 01:04:56,680 Speaker 1: basically say, you know, if a conference, i'd love to 1101 01:04:56,720 --> 01:05:01,160 Speaker 1: see sort of actually an eighteen playoff that essentially had 1102 01:05:01,520 --> 01:05:05,360 Speaker 1: each conference have their own sort of sixteen round robin 1103 01:05:05,400 --> 01:05:08,720 Speaker 1: of some sort that decided who their representative was in 1104 01:05:08,760 --> 01:05:12,160 Speaker 1: the eight and you'd have your four conference champions, your 1105 01:05:12,160 --> 01:05:14,520 Speaker 1: group of five champion after they had a little tournament. 1106 01:05:14,720 --> 01:05:16,840 Speaker 1: But again, you had to win on the field to 1107 01:05:16,920 --> 01:05:19,120 Speaker 1: get in, and then you might and you might have 1108 01:05:19,200 --> 01:05:22,280 Speaker 1: three wildcards, which Notre Dame would be eligible for, and 1109 01:05:23,080 --> 01:05:25,640 Speaker 1: the next two highest winning percentages in the power for 1110 01:05:26,200 --> 01:05:29,440 Speaker 1: just like the NFL wildcard works. And yes, sometimes you 1111 01:05:29,560 --> 01:05:32,720 Speaker 1: might have somebody left out, but it was done on 1112 01:05:32,800 --> 01:05:36,160 Speaker 1: the field with metrics. Everybody understands at the beginning, you 1113 01:05:36,200 --> 01:05:39,200 Speaker 1: know what nobody says from this committee. They can't tell 1114 01:05:39,240 --> 01:05:41,280 Speaker 1: you to this day. What matters more. Your wins are 1115 01:05:41,320 --> 01:05:45,120 Speaker 1: your losses. It's a win right. If they want to 1116 01:05:45,120 --> 01:05:47,960 Speaker 1: make the case that Miami is in, they will make 1117 01:05:48,000 --> 01:05:50,400 Speaker 1: a big deal out of their wins. If you want 1118 01:05:50,400 --> 01:05:52,360 Speaker 1: to make the case that Miami is out, you will 1119 01:05:52,360 --> 01:05:55,000 Speaker 1: make a big deal about their losses. Ditto with Notre Dame. 1120 01:05:55,400 --> 01:05:59,320 Speaker 1: What's the case to put them in? They lost two 1121 01:05:59,360 --> 01:06:01,840 Speaker 1: of their losses by a collective of four points against 1122 01:06:01,840 --> 01:06:04,040 Speaker 1: two of the most talented teams in the country. What's 1123 01:06:04,080 --> 01:06:06,440 Speaker 1: the case not to put Notre Dame in The two 1124 01:06:06,520 --> 01:06:08,960 Speaker 1: times they faced talented teams in the country that belong 1125 01:06:08,960 --> 01:06:12,400 Speaker 1: in the playoffs, they couldn't beat them. But Notre Dame 1126 01:06:12,520 --> 01:06:15,240 Speaker 1: is a brand. Now, Look, Miami has been a brand. 1127 01:06:15,240 --> 01:06:18,280 Speaker 1: Miami is the number one rated ACC school as far 1128 01:06:18,320 --> 01:06:21,160 Speaker 1: as television audience is concerned. It has been the last 1129 01:06:21,240 --> 01:06:24,440 Speaker 1: couple of years. You know, for the most part, Miami's 1130 01:06:24,480 --> 01:06:28,040 Speaker 1: been a brand, and that usually helps them in situations 1131 01:06:28,120 --> 01:06:31,320 Speaker 1: like this. I do believe when college football continues this 1132 01:06:32,120 --> 01:06:35,320 Speaker 1: what they've done to the conference with the SEC and 1133 01:06:35,320 --> 01:06:38,080 Speaker 1: the Big Ten have done everybody else, Miami will probably 1134 01:06:38,120 --> 01:06:41,439 Speaker 1: be a half And unfortunately, my friends at NC State, 1135 01:06:41,480 --> 01:06:43,720 Speaker 1: Miami's opponent this week may end up being a poor 1136 01:06:43,760 --> 01:06:46,680 Speaker 1: have not. Now. I don't think that's healthy for college football. 1137 01:06:46,920 --> 01:06:48,680 Speaker 1: I think we could be doing this a better way. 1138 01:06:49,320 --> 01:06:53,480 Speaker 1: But anyway, here we are, so college football playoff rant over. 1139 01:06:56,000 --> 01:06:59,160 Speaker 1: It does look like Miami's path is not crazy anymore. 1140 01:06:59,240 --> 01:07:01,760 Speaker 1: They finally have them. They're still a bit under ranked. 1141 01:07:02,040 --> 01:07:05,040 Speaker 1: You know, are you're really ranking Miami behind Utah no offense. 1142 01:07:05,080 --> 01:07:07,960 Speaker 1: To my producer, Lauren is a big Utah guy, and 1143 01:07:08,120 --> 01:07:09,960 Speaker 1: you know they do the you the wrong way. It's 1144 01:07:09,960 --> 01:07:13,680 Speaker 1: not this way, guys, it's like this. But that's okay. Uh. 1145 01:07:14,880 --> 01:07:16,600 Speaker 1: That said, do you think I have a lot of 1146 01:07:16,600 --> 01:07:20,080 Speaker 1: confidence in a in this coaching staff to be ready 1147 01:07:20,520 --> 01:07:24,120 Speaker 1: to put a licking on NC State on Senior Day 1148 01:07:24,120 --> 01:07:28,800 Speaker 1: at Miami? You know, I got a sixty five percent 1149 01:07:28,840 --> 01:07:33,040 Speaker 1: confidence level, but I don't have a ninety percent confidence level. 1150 01:07:33,240 --> 01:07:36,120 Speaker 1: You know, Miami should be able to put a number 1151 01:07:36,200 --> 01:07:39,320 Speaker 1: up on NC State. A forty five to ten victory 1152 01:07:39,480 --> 01:07:42,360 Speaker 1: should be what they do if they want to make 1153 01:07:42,400 --> 01:07:44,919 Speaker 1: the playoff. They kind of need a forty five to ten. 1154 01:07:46,520 --> 01:07:48,040 Speaker 1: But if you told me this was a thirty one, 1155 01:07:48,160 --> 01:07:51,720 Speaker 1: twenty four to twenty seven game that Miami eked out 1156 01:07:51,960 --> 01:07:54,840 Speaker 1: or somehow screwed it up at the end due to 1157 01:07:55,000 --> 01:07:59,120 Speaker 1: poor coaching decisions, I let's just say I fear it 1158 01:07:59,200 --> 01:08:01,520 Speaker 1: a little bit now. I don't think NC State has 1159 01:08:01,560 --> 01:08:06,320 Speaker 1: the defense and I think Miami's defense. You know, again, 1160 01:08:07,600 --> 01:08:09,280 Speaker 1: we're I'm going to learn a lot about how much 1161 01:08:09,360 --> 01:08:13,960 Speaker 1: these players want to play for these coaches, because if 1162 01:08:13,960 --> 01:08:16,080 Speaker 1: they do. I did not like the first half of 1163 01:08:16,120 --> 01:08:19,040 Speaker 1: what I saw in the Miami Syracuse game, it looked 1164 01:08:19,080 --> 01:08:21,160 Speaker 1: like it didn't look like I mean, it does feel 1165 01:08:21,200 --> 01:08:23,879 Speaker 1: like the offensive coordinator, Shannon Dawson is just out of ideas. 1166 01:08:24,439 --> 01:08:27,800 Speaker 1: They continue. They are clearly not comfortable with Carson Beck 1167 01:08:29,040 --> 01:08:33,680 Speaker 1: making some decisions because they seem to fear putting him 1168 01:08:33,720 --> 01:08:38,479 Speaker 1: in positions to win it, you know, to either make 1169 01:08:38,520 --> 01:08:40,400 Speaker 1: a big player potentially you know, put him in a 1170 01:08:40,439 --> 01:08:46,320 Speaker 1: precarious position. It's a shame how they coach it, how 1171 01:08:46,320 --> 01:08:51,240 Speaker 1: they do this. So we'll see. I'm I'm nervous. I'm 1172 01:08:51,360 --> 01:08:52,960 Speaker 1: very nervous. I'm not gonna lie to you. I'm very 1173 01:08:53,000 --> 01:08:58,559 Speaker 1: nervous about this game because I actually think coach Crystal 1174 01:08:58,560 --> 01:09:02,200 Speaker 1: Ball is feeling the pressure. I think Shannon Dawson's feeling 1175 01:09:02,240 --> 01:09:05,920 Speaker 1: the pressure. And sometimes pressure is good on people respond 1176 01:09:06,000 --> 01:09:08,799 Speaker 1: to the pressure and they give you their best work. 1177 01:09:09,160 --> 01:09:13,560 Speaker 1: And sometimes the pressure puts them and they get paralyzed. 1178 01:09:14,000 --> 01:09:16,760 Speaker 1: We'll see. The biggest game on the board as far 1179 01:09:16,760 --> 01:09:23,400 Speaker 1: as Miami's playoff rankings are concerned, is actually at the 1180 01:09:23,479 --> 01:09:25,920 Speaker 1: sight of where game day decided to go, which is 1181 01:09:25,960 --> 01:09:30,200 Speaker 1: an interesting decision. They're in Pittsburgh and they're for the 1182 01:09:30,200 --> 01:09:33,519 Speaker 1: Notre Dame pit game. This is arguably Notre Dame's toughest 1183 01:09:33,560 --> 01:09:37,000 Speaker 1: game left, which is really so they're there because you know, 1184 01:09:37,080 --> 01:09:39,519 Speaker 1: Notre Dame has they can't lose in order to have 1185 01:09:39,600 --> 01:09:41,040 Speaker 1: a shot at the playoff. They went out, They're going 1186 01:09:41,080 --> 01:09:43,160 Speaker 1: to get in because a ten and two Notre Dame 1187 01:09:43,200 --> 01:09:46,160 Speaker 1: team will always make the playoff, no matter who their 1188 01:09:46,200 --> 01:09:48,080 Speaker 1: two losses are to, and no matter if the ten 1189 01:09:48,160 --> 01:09:52,559 Speaker 1: wins are against the entire MAC Conference. It's Notre Dame. 1190 01:09:52,920 --> 01:09:56,720 Speaker 1: You know, it's TV show people, So as long as 1191 01:09:56,720 --> 01:10:01,080 Speaker 1: it's an invitational, they'll always get the invite. Pitt's been 1192 01:10:01,120 --> 01:10:03,679 Speaker 1: an interesting team ever since they put in this freshman quarterback. 1193 01:10:03,720 --> 01:10:06,880 Speaker 1: He's been on. He's lit it up. A patn our 1194 01:10:06,960 --> 01:10:09,960 Speaker 1: doozy team usually isn't this free flowing on offense? Right. 1195 01:10:11,880 --> 01:10:14,000 Speaker 1: Miami has to play Pitt last game of the year, 1196 01:10:14,040 --> 01:10:20,599 Speaker 1: so this will be a common opponent. So everything about 1197 01:10:20,640 --> 01:10:22,479 Speaker 1: this game I have to I'm going to be watching 1198 01:10:22,520 --> 01:10:25,200 Speaker 1: every inch of it. It's on, it's the noon game, 1199 01:10:25,240 --> 01:10:26,960 Speaker 1: it'll be on before the Miami game, which is a 1200 01:10:27,000 --> 01:10:30,200 Speaker 1: three thirty. This is a huge game for the playoff. 1201 01:10:30,200 --> 01:10:32,280 Speaker 1: It's a huge game for Notre Dame. It's a huge 1202 01:10:32,280 --> 01:10:36,599 Speaker 1: game for the ACC, It's a huge game for Miami. 1203 01:10:37,680 --> 01:10:41,400 Speaker 1: It is this is interesting, right, what's better for Miami 1204 01:10:41,800 --> 01:10:44,960 Speaker 1: Notre Dame winning. I think I want Notre Dame to 1205 01:10:45,000 --> 01:10:47,400 Speaker 1: win by a field goal and then Miami to beat 1206 01:10:47,439 --> 01:10:52,360 Speaker 1: Pitt by thirty. That's probably the best outcome because this 1207 01:10:52,439 --> 01:10:55,200 Speaker 1: will be if Miami and Notre Dame are both tenant 1208 01:10:55,240 --> 01:10:59,800 Speaker 1: to the Pit. Game will be the most recent comparative 1209 01:11:00,040 --> 01:11:05,720 Speaker 1: they'll both have played at Pitt. So I have a 1210 01:11:05,760 --> 01:11:08,320 Speaker 1: feeling Pitt. And by the way, Pitt seven to two. 1211 01:11:08,640 --> 01:11:11,840 Speaker 1: They're not out of this, all right, I'm not, you know. 1212 01:11:11,960 --> 01:11:13,680 Speaker 1: I don't know if they can make it all the 1213 01:11:13,680 --> 01:11:16,680 Speaker 1: way through their schedule and finish it off right. The 1214 01:11:16,720 --> 01:11:19,720 Speaker 1: two of their two of their next three games are 1215 01:11:19,800 --> 01:11:22,760 Speaker 1: Notre Dame and Miami, and the other one is Georgia Tech. 1216 01:11:23,200 --> 01:11:26,599 Speaker 1: So Pitt literally might be facing three playoff teams at 1217 01:11:26,600 --> 01:11:29,080 Speaker 1: the end of their season. But they certainly are going 1218 01:11:29,120 --> 01:11:32,320 Speaker 1: to have an impact on Notre Dame's chances, Miami's chances, 1219 01:11:32,400 --> 01:11:36,280 Speaker 1: and Georgia Tech's chances. And they's their last three games. 1220 01:11:36,280 --> 01:11:39,120 Speaker 1: So look, Pitt's had kind of an easy schedule. We 1221 01:11:39,160 --> 01:11:40,840 Speaker 1: still don't know how they lost to West Virginia, and 1222 01:11:40,880 --> 01:11:42,320 Speaker 1: I think they're trying to figure out how they lost 1223 01:11:42,320 --> 01:11:44,879 Speaker 1: to West Virginia. And then there are only other losses Louisville, 1224 01:11:45,800 --> 01:11:48,800 Speaker 1: which is a loss that Miami also has, but they've 1225 01:11:48,800 --> 01:11:53,759 Speaker 1: not They've not had the toughest of schedules. They opened 1226 01:11:53,760 --> 01:11:57,040 Speaker 1: with Ducaine and Central Michigan and then West Virginia was 1227 01:11:57,080 --> 01:11:59,400 Speaker 1: their third game of the year, which because it's a 1228 01:11:59,560 --> 01:12:02,760 Speaker 1: it's a re rivalry. You throw the records out, right, 1229 01:12:02,880 --> 01:12:09,080 Speaker 1: But it's a It's easily the single most important game 1230 01:12:09,600 --> 01:12:12,639 Speaker 1: as far as the playoff is concerned. That's on the board. 1231 01:12:12,640 --> 01:12:16,680 Speaker 1: A few other games. Uh, do you buy that Wisconsin 1232 01:12:16,880 --> 01:12:18,800 Speaker 1: can play two good games in a row and give 1233 01:12:18,800 --> 01:12:22,920 Speaker 1: Indiana and Indiana plays two bad games in a row? 1234 01:12:22,360 --> 01:12:27,040 Speaker 1: Hard hard to see that one. This one's at Indiana. Boy, Yeah, 1235 01:12:29,439 --> 01:12:33,160 Speaker 1: after this, Indiana only has Purdue, you know, the end 1236 01:12:33,200 --> 01:12:36,120 Speaker 1: of the season, and that's that could be fun, right, 1237 01:12:36,680 --> 01:12:39,639 Speaker 1: even though Purdue is winless, they're gonna they care about 1238 01:12:39,640 --> 01:12:42,760 Speaker 1: this game. It's do you throw the records out? We 1239 01:12:42,840 --> 01:12:46,160 Speaker 1: shall see South Carolina, Texas A and m I was 1240 01:12:46,240 --> 01:12:47,920 Speaker 1: not going to pay attention to this game. And one 1241 01:12:47,960 --> 01:12:50,880 Speaker 1: of my favorite betting podcasts made the point that South 1242 01:12:50,880 --> 01:12:53,919 Speaker 1: Carolina is coming off of bye after firing their offensive coordinator, 1243 01:12:53,960 --> 01:12:56,880 Speaker 1: a guy named Shula, one of the grandson of Don Shula, 1244 01:12:57,400 --> 01:13:01,400 Speaker 1: and uh that they're going to make you know, and 1245 01:13:01,439 --> 01:13:04,320 Speaker 1: they already know that. Miami and other schools are already 1246 01:13:04,479 --> 01:13:07,960 Speaker 1: sniffing around Leonora's Sellers for the for their portal QB 1247 01:13:08,080 --> 01:13:13,480 Speaker 1: for next season. I have a feeling that South Carolina's 1248 01:13:13,640 --> 01:13:18,479 Speaker 1: offense is going to be a bit different showcasing Sellers, 1249 01:13:18,600 --> 01:13:21,120 Speaker 1: let him do his thing a lot more. It's going 1250 01:13:21,200 --> 01:13:24,120 Speaker 1: to be an open offense. So either it works and 1251 01:13:24,160 --> 01:13:26,920 Speaker 1: we see an exciting game and Lenora's sellers is the 1252 01:13:27,800 --> 01:13:30,280 Speaker 1: is the quarterback we all thought he was at the 1253 01:13:30,320 --> 01:13:33,840 Speaker 1: beginning of this season, or an m just roles and 1254 01:13:33,880 --> 01:13:37,599 Speaker 1: they win by three touchdowns. Anyway, it's certainly worth turning 1255 01:13:37,640 --> 01:13:41,080 Speaker 1: on that game. U don't sleep on South Florida Navy South. 1256 01:13:41,360 --> 01:13:43,040 Speaker 1: You know, this is just the type of game that 1257 01:13:43,439 --> 01:13:45,840 Speaker 1: could turn into a weird shootout. The way Navy now 1258 01:13:45,880 --> 01:13:49,120 Speaker 1: can score South Florida can score, it will this This 1259 01:13:49,400 --> 01:13:52,720 Speaker 1: shouldn't be close, but it is at the Naval Academy. 1260 01:13:52,760 --> 01:13:56,479 Speaker 1: It will be a little chilly in Annapolis. You know, 1261 01:13:56,840 --> 01:13:59,320 Speaker 1: this is just the type of game that that USF 1262 01:13:59,320 --> 01:14:03,600 Speaker 1: could blow. Do you believe in Oklahoma? I don't so 1263 01:14:03,720 --> 01:14:07,160 Speaker 1: I think Alabama pays them. But it is worth noting 1264 01:14:07,840 --> 01:14:13,160 Speaker 1: Alabama is not the best favorite all the time in 1265 01:14:13,200 --> 01:14:16,519 Speaker 1: this Caleb de Borrera so far. But I just I just, 1266 01:14:16,720 --> 01:14:20,439 Speaker 1: you know, I just don't buy that that Oklahoma can 1267 01:14:20,479 --> 01:14:23,519 Speaker 1: score much on them. And do you how do you 1268 01:14:23,560 --> 01:14:25,680 Speaker 1: think they have a good I know they statistically have 1269 01:14:25,720 --> 01:14:27,599 Speaker 1: a good defense. Do you believe they have a good defense? 1270 01:14:27,840 --> 01:14:31,160 Speaker 1: Have they really played anybody? Just something to think about. 1271 01:14:31,200 --> 01:14:33,240 Speaker 1: I guess their Tennessee win that was that was a 1272 01:14:33,240 --> 01:14:36,320 Speaker 1: pretty good performance. You got to give them that. But 1273 01:14:36,400 --> 01:14:40,479 Speaker 1: obviously still has playoff implications right now Oklahoma has to win. 1274 01:14:41,080 --> 01:14:44,160 Speaker 1: Uh and uh. I guess Alabama doesnt because it would 1275 01:14:44,160 --> 01:14:46,880 Speaker 1: only be their second loss, and and you know they 1276 01:14:47,600 --> 01:14:50,439 Speaker 1: and apparently their first loss doesn't even count anymore as 1277 01:14:50,439 --> 01:14:54,680 Speaker 1: far as the College Football Committee is concerned. Other than that, 1278 01:14:54,840 --> 01:14:59,679 Speaker 1: Iowa USC, you know, USC still has the outside chance. 1279 01:15:00,000 --> 01:15:02,280 Speaker 1: I was lost, Iowa had it all it was there 1280 01:15:02,320 --> 01:15:04,920 Speaker 1: for the taking. If they beat Oregon. This game is 1281 01:15:04,960 --> 01:15:08,479 Speaker 1: a whole, but it's a big a lot different. It 1282 01:15:08,520 --> 01:15:12,320 Speaker 1: suddenly becomes a playoff game. Now, does Iowa know it's over? 1283 01:15:12,640 --> 01:15:16,000 Speaker 1: And if they do know it's over, USC could pace them. 1284 01:15:16,680 --> 01:15:21,720 Speaker 1: The only other game that might be intriguing to keep 1285 01:15:21,760 --> 01:15:23,479 Speaker 1: an eye on, of course, it is Georgia and Texas. 1286 01:15:25,439 --> 01:15:28,920 Speaker 1: Texas can't lose. They have to keep winning. This game's 1287 01:15:28,960 --> 01:15:32,920 Speaker 1: at Georgia. There's been a part of me that's wondered, 1288 01:15:33,760 --> 01:15:36,160 Speaker 1: what does all the arch Manning commentary of the last 1289 01:15:36,240 --> 01:15:39,120 Speaker 1: two months, what happens to all of it? If suddenly 1290 01:15:40,360 --> 01:15:45,040 Speaker 1: Texas beats Georgia this week, beats Texas A and M 1291 01:15:45,040 --> 01:15:47,120 Speaker 1: in the last game of the year, and is sitting 1292 01:15:47,120 --> 01:15:50,599 Speaker 1: there at ten and two, and suddenly, with wins over 1293 01:15:50,640 --> 01:15:55,000 Speaker 1: Georgia and Texas A and M, they're probably a top 1294 01:15:55,040 --> 01:15:59,960 Speaker 1: ten team if that's what happens. Oh, by the way, 1295 01:15:59,800 --> 01:16:03,160 Speaker 1: so that's anyway. Let's see what arch Manning looks like. 1296 01:16:03,720 --> 01:16:06,240 Speaker 1: Let's see if the Georgia defense. You know, I think 1297 01:16:06,240 --> 01:16:09,120 Speaker 1: Georgia can score on anybody. They've proven that that offense 1298 01:16:09,120 --> 01:16:12,280 Speaker 1: has turned out to be pretty good this year. This 1299 01:16:12,479 --> 01:16:17,320 Speaker 1: Texas defense show up and slow down Georgia. Obviously. The 1300 01:16:17,360 --> 01:16:19,800 Speaker 1: good news is this is the primetime game and we'll 1301 01:16:19,800 --> 01:16:21,960 Speaker 1: all have a lot of time to watch it. So 1302 01:16:22,000 --> 01:16:26,120 Speaker 1: with that, let's go Canes and I'll see you next week.