Speaker 1: What's up, Brinde said, welcome into Leading Off. That is right,
Speaker 1: it is leading Off time right here. I'm Fantasy Pros.
Speaker 1: I am Chris Welsh, and that is Scott Bagman, not
Speaker 1: Joe Piece of Pso it's a little bit of like
Speaker 1: new new new in this league, order or life. It
Speaker 1: is an ITL invasion here on Fantasy Pros. Bogman and
Speaker 1: the Welsh we ride again. Bogman, we are back.
Speaker 2: What's upbody, I'm loving it. This is going to be
Speaker 2: a great time. And I know people disappointed. No Joe,
Speaker 2: but I tell you what. The hair level on this
Speaker 2: show went from about thirty to seventy five.
Speaker 1: We did bring it up. I mean I was talking earlier.
Speaker 1: I gotta be careful about how I show the hair
Speaker 1: off of a hat because I've got, you know, like
Speaker 1: some thinning and going on. I can make it really
Speaker 1: look good. But we are hair level ten on the
Speaker 1: show today without Joe. But Joe is with Mama Joe,
Speaker 1: with Mama Joe doing some He's done some good sun
Speaker 1: stuff today. So Bogman is sitting in with me and
Speaker 1: we have got a lot of ridiculous stuff to talk about.
Speaker 1: I'm just warning you in the for fun section today.
Speaker 1: There's a lot, there's a lot to unpack that we're
Speaker 1: gonna be talking about.
Speaker 3: I'm here, We're gonna have some fun. We're gonna we
Speaker 3: know that.
Speaker 1: We've also got prospecting with me. We're gonna be prospecting
Speaker 1: here in a little bit. Uh, and it's gonna be
Speaker 1: a little bit more prospect report e because we've got
Speaker 1: a few other things that are gonna be lining up.
Speaker 1: We've also got the best bets of the day. We've
Speaker 1: got all the fun stuff as we always do. And
Speaker 1: to remind you, guys, we are brought to you by
Speaker 1: our great friends over I bet three six five, that's right.
Speaker 1: Use promo code leading off today. When you bet five bucks,
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Speaker 1: You know the deal thank you to bet three sixty five. Bogman.
Speaker 1: The hair's looking slick today too.
Speaker 3: By the way, Yeah yeah, it's uh, it's getting long. Man.
Speaker 3: There's a big old ponytail back here somewhere. So yeah,
Speaker 3: she is a lot of looking good.
Speaker 1: She's looking good. And what's up to the chat? Chats?
Speaker 1: Firing off? Love to see all you guys here. Barry said,
Speaker 1: do we have a puppet bog Do you know the
Speaker 1: puppet Joe situation? Okay, you do?
Speaker 3: You know?
Speaker 2: I well, I saw the original puppet Joe scenario, so.
Speaker 1: Oh that's what I was about to say, like hat
Speaker 1: tip to Bogs. Bogs is somebody Boggs watches the show.
Speaker 1: Bogs is hanging out with you guys a decent amount
Speaker 1: of the time in the chat. I just didn't know
Speaker 1: if you were aware of puppet Joe or not.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, oh yeah, I have seen Puppet Joe's existence.
Speaker 2: I would prefer hopefully my internet doesn't go out so
Speaker 2: there's no puppet Bogman here, So you know, it's always
Speaker 2: I got people working literally right next door so they
Speaker 2: could hit a power line.
Speaker 1: Trying to think of like what puppet pop but Bogman
Speaker 1: would be like I'm trying to think of your sayings.
Speaker 1: It's only important to do the saying.
Speaker 3: We're live here.
Speaker 1: You may want to I'd be like, hey, everybody, there's
Speaker 1: meat on the bone. Yeah, I gotta find the bogman sayings.
Speaker 1: That's how you do the puppet stuff. All right, let's
Speaker 1: get into all the stuff and things. We got a
Speaker 1: pack show and we're going to kick it off with
Speaker 1: Shota Imonaga. It happened. Yeah, not complete regression and blow up,
Speaker 1: but this game was a regression game. He gave up
Speaker 1: seven earned runs, one strikeout, over four and a third
Speaker 1: and a loss of the Brewers. He was coming off
Speaker 1: of ten days rest, which is kind of the oddity
Speaker 1: to make sure you know.
Speaker 3: You pay healthy loess.
Speaker 1: Maybe like that could have definitely had some big effect.
Speaker 1: He came in, uh this one with just five extra
Speaker 1: base hits allowed and the Brewers match that with five
Speaker 1: off of Imonaga. This game, Christian Yelich he had a
Speaker 1: two run blast in this one. So even after the
Speaker 1: blow up though, he's got a one point eight six
Speaker 1: ERA a one whip. Everything still looks good. But we
Speaker 1: came back to earth in this start. So I guess
Speaker 1: the question is does this mean anything.
Speaker 3: I will say this.
Speaker 1: I also saw uh friend of the show, Frank Stanfel,
Speaker 1: getting into it, because all Frank did was bring up like, hey,
Speaker 1: regression hit him and his era went up, and people like, ugh,
Speaker 1: doesn't mean he.
Speaker 3: Sucks and he's like Szegger I love.
Speaker 1: But they do that and everybody plays I'm pulling up
Speaker 1: in Monaga stuff. They pull that this thing.
Speaker 2: Like, oh, gave up five earned total before yesterday.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and the extra base hits as well. If anything,
Speaker 1: I would expect me to get some more of that
Speaker 1: hate of Evianaga because I am the one that has
Speaker 1: consistently been on shows going hey, listen, I love Emanaga.
Speaker 1: I love all of it. But there's something about a
Speaker 1: aggressive two pitch pitcher, especially a splitter fastball guy, and
Speaker 1: especially a low nineties fastball guy, that just never sat
Speaker 1: well with me that he's going to be able to
Speaker 1: be this elite like I've always thought he's going to
Speaker 1: be good, but I was thinking maybe he's going to
Speaker 1: be closer to a low threes era guy and he's
Speaker 1: not like the tenth best pitcher in baseball. I didn't
Speaker 1: receive any of it, which is amazing. It doesn't look
Speaker 1: like Baseball savan is updated because they still have him
Speaker 1: as a point eight four era and then expected two
Speaker 1: six two. But obviously this backtracks any thoughts on the
Speaker 1: first final blow. You know, we finally got the first
Speaker 1: blow up of Imanaga. Is there any actual like worry
Speaker 1: for you?
Speaker 2: And by the way, I'm seeing at one point eight
Speaker 2: six and one even as the whip on Fangraft, So
Speaker 2: I don't know if that's higher than what.
Speaker 3: You're saying Savann has.
Speaker 2: What are you seeing one eight six for his season
Speaker 2: era and a one to even whip?
Speaker 1: Okay, now, well on Baseball Savant they have an updated
Speaker 1: the era. It's still sas point eight four and I
Speaker 1: only care about that.
Speaker 2: So this raised his era a full run. What was
Speaker 2: his whip before? Yeah, it's I was now as well.
Speaker 2: So okay, look, I think that you know, we talk
Speaker 2: about this in the pre draft season and everything. A
Speaker 2: lot of guys that come over from another country who
Speaker 2: are great there, and the Monaga was amazing. These guys
Speaker 2: they come in, they dominate and then they hit a
Speaker 2: rough patch, almost like a rookie season, right. You see
Speaker 2: a lot of rookies ride the roller coaster and go
Speaker 2: up and down and all that stuff. It's a little
Speaker 2: more stable for guys that have been in a professional league.
Speaker 2: But I think we're we could potentially see that. I'm
Speaker 2: not running to the hills to sell yet. I definitely
Speaker 2: want to see his next start. I just you know,
Speaker 2: it makes you do this, makes you raise an eyebrow. Okay,
Speaker 2: maybe we're entering a down spurt here for Emonaga, maybe
Speaker 2: he's been figured out a little bit. But these guys
Speaker 2: also will readjust as well. So I'm not too worried
Speaker 2: about Imanagua right now.
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, and that's the other battle is like
Speaker 1: are you looking at this as like, hey, this is
Speaker 1: the time I buy or you know, I think the
Speaker 1: pessimist is like by now I would, yeah, But I
Speaker 1: think the pessimist is also looking at this like, okay,
Speaker 1: is this going to be the trend moving forward? Because
Speaker 1: again that that's Ino calmed it down a little bit
Speaker 1: when we did the show on itl about like the
Speaker 1: two pitch pitchers. I'm not sure this would make you
Speaker 1: feel better, but he likened it to like Kevin Gossman,
Speaker 1: and Kevin Gossman has had some issues when you're kind
Speaker 1: of a two pitch guy because he's essentially almost ninety
Speaker 1: percent fastball splitter this start. I think you can definitely
Speaker 1: look at the ten days as a as a marker.
Speaker 1: Here he was down about a half mile per hour
Speaker 1: on everything. He had zero whiffs, zero whiffs. He had
Speaker 1: twenty three swings on his fastball, zero whiffs on that pitch.
Speaker 1: The splitter only a twenty seven percent swing and whiff
Speaker 1: rate six whiffs off of twenty two swings. In general
Speaker 1: csw he essentially wasn't getting either called strikes, like everybody
Speaker 1: was swinging at that thing, and his fastball was getting smashed.
Speaker 1: It had a ninety three average exit velocity against at
Speaker 1: I mean, I say, it's just say that the splitter
Speaker 1: had a ninety six. He really got smashed in this one.
Speaker 1: But it's enough to say I lean on the buy.
Speaker 1: But here's the problem. I don't think there's any discount
Speaker 1: on him Minauga. He's been too good. It's one everybody
Speaker 1: can excuse it. You really, it's got to go down
Speaker 1: for a little bit for there to be a body.
Speaker 2: He also only stranded two of his nine base runners,
Speaker 2: and he has had a great strand rate, So you
Speaker 2: know that that the lob percentage was pretty high.
Speaker 3: Before.
Speaker 2: In this one it was low. It was in thirty
Speaker 2: percent of his worst game so far in terms of
Speaker 2: that his worst game as an MLB player. But I
Speaker 2: think I'm not hitting the panic button quite yet. I'm
Speaker 2: walking towards it, but I'm not hitting it.
Speaker 1: So I think you just need to Yeah, you need
Speaker 1: to monitor it and see what this next start is normal, rest,
Speaker 1: see what happens with the fastball. You know, can he
Speaker 1: induce some actual swing and whifts, because that was That's
Speaker 1: kind of the key I'm looking at here is he
Speaker 1: was getting swung on and no one was missing anything.
Speaker 1: Everyone was making contact and it's lower vilo stuff. So
Speaker 1: that's what you kind of you got to watch. We
Speaker 1: got some young aces from yesterday. Luis Heel is a
Speaker 1: freaking monster, just want to throw out. I was like, hey,
Speaker 1: what are we going to see overall? With how many pitches?
Speaker 1: When they say they're going to backtrack, he just he
Speaker 1: went Bizerko again. I think he went eight. He was awesome,
Speaker 1: and Paul Skein's absolutely dominant and well as well. Nine
Speaker 1: strikeouts over six innings and I believe he was up
Speaker 1: to like seventy pitches not even into the fourth. So
Speaker 1: I think that's something to like really hold on to with.
Speaker 1: I didn't think that Schemes was going to be able
Speaker 1: to go deep into games, and he continued continues to
Speaker 1: do that, and I think it's a great sign both
Speaker 1: of these guys. I think the ranks are really close
Speaker 1: to I think heel is up and the only thing
Speaker 1: holding him back is now this new like we might
Speaker 1: hold him back, but both fantastic starts. Any thoughts on either.
Speaker 3: Well, I'd tell you what.
Speaker 2: Luis heel Ken rosent a report maybe about a week
Speaker 2: ago that said the Yankees are likely to back off
Speaker 2: yel during the season to have him ready for the playoffs.
Speaker 3: So I don't like that.
Speaker 2: So I think that is a dude that I'd be
Speaker 2: looking to potentially trade, uh if I could. But Skins
Speaker 2: has been outstanding right and I know they are going
Speaker 2: to limit him at some point, but I think it's
Speaker 2: gonna be more like skipping a start. I don't think
Speaker 2: they're gonna I don't think they're fully gonna send him,
Speaker 2: like back down to the minors or whatever, take him
Speaker 2: off the roster because they don't want him throwing any
Speaker 2: more innings. I think he's proving to be more than that.
Speaker 2: You don't want to overwork a guy with the potential
Speaker 2: Paul Skins, right, But you know, I think I think
Speaker 2: it's more skip starts than it is going to be
Speaker 2: just a full stop date and this is the amount
Speaker 2: of innings we want for you period, end of story.
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna just try to keep pushing him.
Speaker 2: So maybe it's frustrating in the middle part of the year,
Speaker 2: but I want Skins for the playoffs, so I think
Speaker 2: that he could be a factor from this season.
Speaker 3: He is proving it right now.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I actually want to I want to lock this
Speaker 1: in for next year. I want to make like a
Speaker 1: little list of players and monitor how they are being
Speaker 1: used for the narrative and the conversation next year. Because
Speaker 1: someone in the chat was like, hey, you know we
Speaker 1: have Garrett Crochet and innings limits. I want to like,
Speaker 1: let's mark this, let's do this together chat, Let's get
Speaker 1: heel schemes, Jared Jones, Garrett Crochet and maybe stop at
Speaker 1: those four and then I don't know, I'm cool to
Speaker 1: you guys want to present another guy or two and
Speaker 1: then let's monitor, like how are they treated the rest
Speaker 1: of the season. What does that look like, so we
Speaker 1: know what this narrative is is into next year on
Speaker 1: how it will be because it's always changing. They're always changing
Speaker 1: how these guys are used. And I just don't know
Speaker 1: if sometimes we might be making too much about like
Speaker 1: when we're gonna do this and it just you know,
Speaker 1: it might be kind of a different And.
Speaker 2: Whips has a good point here, love the let's limit eal,
Speaker 2: but also he's going eight innings, you know, and that's
Speaker 2: that's the old Christian McCaffrey trope in football, right, We're
Speaker 2: gonna give him less touches and then he ends up
Speaker 2: with three hundred and fifty as well.
Speaker 3: You can't take him off the field. He's one of
Speaker 3: the best players.
Speaker 2: Same things happening with the Eel, Same things happening with
Speaker 2: Skiens especially. We'll see if they hold to those words.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and like taking all those guys and then having
Speaker 1: the context too of like the teams, like you know,
Speaker 1: Skiens being a rookie but also on a team that
Speaker 1: maybe not is not winning. Let's see what that what
Speaker 1: that does. Let's look at what a guy like Heel
Speaker 1: who you can can kind of consider heal in the
Speaker 1: same boat as the Skeens. What it happens with them
Speaker 1: on a winning team in this new era, because I
Speaker 1: think we commonly just go back and say, oh, they're
Speaker 1: gonna limit these guys without question. I actually think that
Speaker 1: what the Marlins diid last year with jury Prez was great,
Speaker 1: Like it was like twenty days or whatever, and then
Speaker 1: he just got to be himself the back half of
Speaker 1: the year.
Speaker 2: If that didn't shut him down early enough, obviously we
Speaker 2: know that now.
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. Some others on the headlines here. Blue Jays
Speaker 1: John Snyder told reporters after Wednesday's game that Alec Mino
Speaker 1: is going to undergo an MRI on his injured right
Speaker 1: elbow on Thursday. So today after he left the second
Speaker 1: inning against the White Sox, he'd been better. Ish. I
Speaker 1: was never an Alec Manoa guy, So if you were
Speaker 1: of the Alec Manoa fan club, just know that he's
Speaker 1: going to get checked out and MRIs on elbows never good.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know he's kind of a head case
Speaker 2: right now, so I don't know, like, is this going
Speaker 2: to be something that derails him or is this going
Speaker 2: to be something that gives him time to focus up
Speaker 2: and kind of, you know, adjust what he needs to adjust.
Speaker 3: And get right again.
Speaker 1: So I don't know what he needs to adjust the
Speaker 1: truffle shuffle. I can say that I'm like the same way.
Speaker 1: By the way, it makes me think back to the
Speaker 1: pole we had of I accidentally did schemes and Manoa
Speaker 1: on the pole and six percent of people said Manoa.
Speaker 1: Rest of the season, I'm just still thinking about that.
Speaker 1: Mackenzie Gore hot still ten strikeouts across five and a
Speaker 1: half in a seven to two win over the Braves
Speaker 1: on Wednesday. Set Lugo also continues to just that thing
Speaker 1: wan and run over six innings in a six to
Speaker 1: one win. Starts out fun. He's I don't know, is
Speaker 1: he he has? The wins is one, seven to two?
Speaker 1: He's got that what do they call it?
Speaker 3: Like the nine and one?
Speaker 1: That's crazy. They call it the death bald curve, like
Speaker 1: it's like thirty four hundred rpm. He is wild, he is.
Speaker 2: Winning bold whatever it is, it's the giving them dubs ball.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it really is all right for fun. This is
Speaker 1: where things are gonna get crazy. First off, new we
Speaker 1: have a new mayor in Arizona. They've actually given the
Speaker 1: key and the state has been handed over. It's to
Speaker 1: Cory Seger. Cory Seger owns Arizona. He is the new
Speaker 1: king and uh whatever you know, they call it mayor
Speaker 1: owner whatever he owns us It's ridiculous. Cory Seger not
Speaker 1: only has just been on a complete tear and behind
Speaker 1: the scene, just want everybody to know because someone I'm
Speaker 1: not gonna look because I'm I'm not gonna look at
Speaker 1: the comments and videos. Someone's gonna kill me. The trade
Speaker 1: this is I'm giving you, guys behind the scenes here
Speaker 1: Fantasy pros. I did a trade video. I think it
Speaker 1: just released yesterday, quite a bit later than it usually does.
Speaker 1: I did it on Sunday, and I feel bad because
Speaker 1: I was like by Corey Seeger, not that like he
Speaker 1: was already kind of heating up.
Speaker 3: He was heating UPPs, but it was like by.
Speaker 1: Him, by him, now get the discount. It's all gonna
Speaker 1: in between me recording it and we had a snaff
Speaker 1: foo and it didn't release until Wednesday, four days. He
Speaker 1: had like nineteen home runs in that period of time.
Speaker 1: So someone's gonna be like, oh, thanks Wills for the
Speaker 1: great advice.
Speaker 3: And I just that person.
Speaker 1: But I had done it on Sunday. Corey Seeger owns
Speaker 1: the Diamondbacks.
Speaker 2: And dude, I sat on my phone yesterday that said
Speaker 2: Corey Seeger has eight homers in his last eight games
Speaker 2: against the Diamondbacks. Like, first of all, my phone hates
Speaker 2: me for just throwing that stat at me in my face.
Speaker 2: And also living in Houston for whatever reason, I have
Speaker 2: to watch the Rangers broadcast instead of just the MLB
Speaker 2: dot TV so I can watch Diamondbacks. Guess what they
Speaker 2: talked about and showed highlights of the entire series here.
Speaker 2: It has been not so much fun. Yeah, he owns it. Yeah,
Speaker 2: this is not so much fun. Also, my new favorite
Speaker 2: player in baseball is Jorge Lopez. Mets designated Porge Lopez
Speaker 2: for assignment on Thursday after he was ejected from.
Speaker 1: The game on Wednesday, and as he walked off, he
Speaker 1: chucked his glove into the stands and then after this
Speaker 1: is the crazy part. By the way, after he was interviewed,
Speaker 1: he did not hold back. In translation from the media,
Speaker 1: it sounded like the he said I play for the
Speaker 1: worst team in baseball. He actually went on Instagram today
Speaker 1: to be like, hey, by the way, I said I'm
Speaker 1: the worst player, I'm the worst teammate and thanks media,
Speaker 1: you made it a lot better. He immediately got cut
Speaker 1: after doing this, he had a few other choice words
Speaker 1: that were going that were with it. I don't know.
Speaker 1: I liked Hornye Lopez more when he said I play
Speaker 1: on the worst team in baseball in the Mets. I
Speaker 1: kind of like that a little bit better. And I
Speaker 1: thought the Mets did the wrong thing. The Mets should
Speaker 1: have just doubled down and be like, oh, now you're
Speaker 1: going to be a starter. They shouldn't cut him if
Speaker 1: you're on the worst team in baseball. They should have
Speaker 1: made him go like seven instead of cutting him. I
Speaker 1: don't know. I love Jorge Lopez for that.
Speaker 3: Petty Welsh would not be a manager here. Yeah, But
Speaker 3: like if.
Speaker 1: Someone does something like that and then you cut him
Speaker 1: like you, I don't know, I kind of feel like
Speaker 1: you look like the loser, Like you should just be like, no,
Speaker 1: now we're gonna you're gonna really dig it. Like I
Speaker 1: thought that would have been a better play on the
Speaker 1: Mets to just shove him into a starter role than
Speaker 1: immediately cut him.
Speaker 3: I think they did the right thing.
Speaker 2: You know, if if he's a problem, look he's a
Speaker 2: borderline player anyway, I actually think he's pretty good I
Speaker 2: think someone will definitely pick him up. There's enough bad
Speaker 2: bullpens in the league. Someone will pick up or Hae Lopez.
Speaker 2: So I think he needed to say that just to
Speaker 2: get at it again. But I'm not shocked at what.
Speaker 1: Boy. I can't put some of your guys's comments. I
Speaker 1: want to put some comments up on the.
Speaker 3: Screen, but Marcelo's in one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, you guys are going with that, all right.
Speaker 1: And then in the final of the fun things or
Speaker 1: just wild things, I know a decent amount of you
Speaker 1: saw this former Angels infielder, the Gambler as we call him,
Speaker 1: David Fletcher. Gambler is with the Braves. Pitched last night
Speaker 1: in triple A against Norfolk. If you're not a big
Speaker 1: prospect person, you might not understand. Norfolk is the pinnacle.
Speaker 1: That's the pinnacle of prospects right now. That team has Heshton,
Speaker 1: Kirshtad Jackson, Holiday Connor Norby, and it had Kobe Mayo
Speaker 1: at times. What is fascinating, immensely fascinating across the board.
Speaker 1: First off, David Fletcher is implicated in an investigation currently
Speaker 1: on the I Pay E Pay gambling thing because apparently,
Speaker 1: as an angel he had taken bets with the same
Speaker 1: bookie and maybe through ipay, And then there's this whole
Speaker 1: thing of like, eh, he didn't bet on baseball, but
Speaker 1: he's really good buddy who used to be a Royals
Speaker 1: bet on the Angels in games that David Fletcher was in.
Speaker 1: So first off, he's under that investigation. So he's playing
Speaker 1: baseball all of a sudden, he's a five foot seven
Speaker 1: or eight by the way. Then he's put on the
Speaker 1: mound and he high, right, well, I'm not just saying
Speaker 1: like that's not a starter then, so he then is
Speaker 1: put on the mound and I gotta pull it back up.
Speaker 1: And he not only had he not been like, you know,
Speaker 1: half a year or something like that. If you guys
Speaker 1: remember Anthony Ghost, who's like an outfielder, he's been like
Speaker 1: for three years. He's been out there trying to figure
Speaker 1: out how to be a relief pitcher. They throw David
Speaker 1: Fletcher in as a starter. This is what he does
Speaker 1: last night. He goes for actually, let me pull up
Speaker 1: the box scorec I have the other stuff in here.
Speaker 1: He pitches five innings, strikes out six walks, one two
Speaker 1: earned runs on and gives up five hard hits. Against
Speaker 1: Jackson Holiday, Connor Norby, Heshton Kurshaid, Billy Cook is pretty
Speaker 1: good as well, Tarren Vavra, like, there's some good players
Speaker 1: in there. He did it with a knuckleball. He threw
Speaker 1: two pitches last night. He threw twelve fastballs seventeen percent
Speaker 1: of the time, which, by the way, average seventy four
Speaker 1: miles per hour, hit eighty two.
Speaker 2: He threw sixty knuckleballs less of the White Sox right now, right,
Speaker 2: I mean, come on.
Speaker 1: He got eleven whiffs on that knuckleball. And this can't
Speaker 1: even be right. This can't even be right.
Speaker 2: Are you looking at You're looking at a fake scatting
Speaker 2: report from him.
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the spin numbers. It said the spin
Speaker 1: on the knuckleball had a maximum spin of two hundred
Speaker 1: and twenty.
Speaker 3: I mean, hackleballs don't move with the lowest spin of
Speaker 3: thirty six.
Speaker 1: That's the dumbest thing I've ever heard. But I just
Speaker 1: want to point out the infielder David Fletcher went five
Speaker 1: innings through sixty knuckleballs in a triple A start for
Speaker 1: whatever reason. It is one of the wildest things I
Speaker 1: have ever seen. And he's embroiled in this gambling thing.
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, David Fletcher is crazy. I don't
Speaker 1: know if this was a make a wish situation and
Speaker 1: he always wanted to pitch before he gets sent to
Speaker 1: the clink for the gambling.
Speaker 3: I don't know what's beating innings.
Speaker 2: They're just like whatever this guy would anymore, he's probably
Speaker 2: gonna get well. They thought he's probably gonna get suspended,
Speaker 2: so who cares, who blows out his arm?
Speaker 3: Let him go throw all the knuckleballs he wants.
Speaker 2: And he was actually pretty good, So I think this
Speaker 2: is just straight up dumb luck.
Speaker 1: He had a thirty five percent csw on that knuckleball
Speaker 1: in triple A. I cannot get over a two twenty
Speaker 1: max and a thirty six low on this. I mean,
Speaker 1: he is there's nothing that ball is not moving. That
Speaker 1: is a absolutely wild story to me. And I guess
Speaker 1: we'll continue to watch what happens with mister.
Speaker 3: David Fletcher, and you bet on it.
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna bet on it. I'm going to bet
Speaker 1: on any lines that he's got. That knuckleball is crazy.
Speaker 1: Spencer Swellenbach allowed three runs across five innings in a
Speaker 1: loss to the Nationals on Wednesday, struck out five walk one.
Speaker 1: I know a lot of people talked about him, but Frindos.
Speaker 1: That takes us over to my favorite segment. It's time
Speaker 1: for this week's prospecting with the Welsh. We got lots
Speaker 1: of those gold base balls and we've got to find
Speaker 1: the best prospecting with me the Welsh this week. It's
Speaker 1: a little bit different, Bogs. It's kind of a report
Speaker 1: style because things are wild.
Speaker 3: Continuously coming in line from the same estadium.
Speaker 1: I've got two guys that we're going to talk about
Speaker 1: that I think qualify in the stash range. I'm going
Speaker 1: to answer the really the two biggest questions that have
Speaker 1: come up, which has to do with Jackson Holiday when
Speaker 1: will he come up? But the number one thing in
Speaker 1: our world as far as prospects and to stash have
Speaker 1: been James Wood and Junior Cameronaro and it's all bad.
Speaker 1: Both as you guys most likely all know, are on
Speaker 1: the il. These are the two guys that warranted the stashing,
Speaker 1: the real stashing. James Wood, He's going to miss a
Speaker 1: couple weeks of the hamstring strain. As I did hashtag free,
Speaker 1: James Wood pulled up kind of lame. They took him out.
Speaker 1: This holds back the timeline a little bit. So if
Speaker 1: you're stashing James Wood, it's more optimistic than junior Cameronaro,
Speaker 1: who's on the ale with a quad strain. Here's the
Speaker 1: bad part, likely to miss four to six weeks, as
Speaker 1: you can see on our graphic here, and what that
Speaker 1: does if it's on the six week timeline, that doesn't
Speaker 1: bring him back until mid July, which is around the
Speaker 1: All Star break, and then they'll want him to get
Speaker 1: back into Triple A games. To me, we can't see
Speaker 1: junior Camonaro until at least August, and that has been
Speaker 1: a big, big cursor of mind kind of why. I
Speaker 1: don't know if you wanted to even keep a junior
Speaker 1: cam and Aro. I'm being optimistic about James Wood, but
Speaker 1: both of these guys in a bad spot. And what
Speaker 1: that does, Bogs is that takes us really off of
Speaker 1: the exciting stash range. I'll tell you right now. I
Speaker 1: don't think there is one single prospect that warrants mustache
Speaker 1: like Camonaro and James Wood is. And we're even kind
Speaker 1: of in the range of like the unique thing about
Speaker 1: Wood in camon Aro was if they were called up
Speaker 1: like once they're called up, you have to have it.
Speaker 1: I don't know if we even have any guys a
Speaker 1: ROVs Martinez or not that you have to pick up
Speaker 1: if they were to get the call up. So we're
Speaker 1: going to kind of navigate through that. But it's brutal.
Speaker 1: And you heard me do it like weeks ago about
Speaker 1: the camon Aro thing, and some guy rip me about it,
Speaker 1: like oh, bad advice, and it's like, okay, well, no,
Speaker 1: you're not gonna see until August.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's so camon Aro is a tough one. And
Speaker 2: I think what you said is correct, and I don't
Speaker 2: think it's always correct, but I think it's correct currently that.
Speaker 1: I'm not always correct.
Speaker 2: Or maybe on occasion, you might be guilty of a
Speaker 2: mistake every once in a while, Welsh.
Speaker 3: I'm not saying, you know, it.
Speaker 2: Happens all the time, last Sami, every day or most
Speaker 2: of the time you open your mouth or anything like that.
Speaker 2: I'm just saying that sometimes it happens like like it
Speaker 2: does with this guy. But look, I think I think
Speaker 2: not ever sashing prospects is eye rolling. But I do
Speaker 2: think that right now we don't really have a guy
Speaker 2: that is one hundred percent guaranteed to come up, but
Speaker 2: you know, really soon and go ahead make a huge
Speaker 2: impact for your team.
Speaker 3: I think most of those guys are gone.
Speaker 2: So there are guys to buy in deeper leagues if
Speaker 2: you have the roster spots for them, But right now
Speaker 2: it's if you're in like a standard league with five
Speaker 2: six bench spots, there's not a guy you have to
Speaker 2: stash because he's coming up anytime soon, specifically after these injuries.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think James Wood is like, I think
Speaker 1: he can come back a little bit sooner, and you
Speaker 1: would hope the Nationals are going to bring him up,
Speaker 1: But you also had Lane Thomas come back. I made
Speaker 1: my case on why, and I do think that he
Speaker 1: will be up exponentially quicker than Junior Camenero. But it
Speaker 1: really kind of takes the top off. So then the
Speaker 1: second biggest question is we go to AI Jackson Holiday. Hi, everybody,
Speaker 1: when will Jackson Holiday be coming back?
Speaker 3: Or just a regulation picture of Jackson Holiday?
Speaker 1: This is our AI version. But the question is is
Speaker 1: is Jackson Holiday coming back soon? That's the question I
Speaker 1: see the most in the prospect world. So to answer it,
Speaker 1: I don't think so, because since being back in May,
Speaker 1: in Norfolk. He's hitting just two forty seven in the
Speaker 1: month of May, and he has played the entire month
Speaker 1: of May. This might not have counted last night where
Speaker 1: they got ripped up by David Fletcher and his knuckleball.
Speaker 1: He's got four homers, four stolen bases in that time.
Speaker 1: Here's what's really concerning and why I don't think Jackson
Speaker 1: Holiday is on the come up soon. An almost thirty
Speaker 1: percent k rate he has had since he has been down.
Speaker 1: Now he's walking still. He's got a four hundred OVP.
Speaker 1: That's great, he's still hitting lefties nice, which I think
Speaker 1: is a very big positive. And on that four hundred
Speaker 1: OBP side, he has an OBP over four hundred against
Speaker 1: both righty's and lefties. Again that's positive. But he's being
Speaker 1: outperformed by Connor norby Heston Kerstaed. So never say never.
Speaker 1: But I don't think we're gonna see Jackson Holiday anytime soon.
Speaker 1: And I kind of think like anything before July first
Speaker 1: would be crazy, and I do think it's possible after
Speaker 1: the All Star break. So the next question I get,
Speaker 1: will Heston Kurstad come up before Jackson Holiday? And I
Speaker 1: think the answer is yes. Since being sent down. He's
Speaker 1: hitting three twenty seven, three homers, six doubles. By the way,
Speaker 1: in fifty at bats, that's nine extra base hits just
Speaker 1: I didn't even look at triples. Between the doubles and
Speaker 1: the home runs, he also has a nine to fourteen
Speaker 1: K walk to K ratio, So I don't think we
Speaker 1: can actually predict like an obvious replacement for him, because
Speaker 1: I think the obvious is like in the infield, which
Speaker 1: could be Connor Norby, but I think it could be
Speaker 1: at any time we see Heston Kurstod and maybe he's
Speaker 1: a guy that you do stash right now even though
Speaker 1: it's not obvious. Would you be okay stashing him even
Speaker 1: though he's not positionless but it's tougher, but he is
Speaker 1: dominating since he went back down.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I I if he have the roster spots, fine,
Speaker 2: But for me, we're a little bit with a lot
Speaker 2: of these injuries starting to mount up here, We're kind
Speaker 2: of hitting the dog days and I feel like I
Speaker 2: need that bench spot to be active. So for the
Speaker 2: most part, I'm not picking up any of these guys.
Speaker 2: But if I was going to pick up one, cursed
Speaker 2: AD's the guy, all.
Speaker 1: Right, So who can you stash. There's your question. I've
Speaker 1: got two pictures for you. And yes, I've already talked
Speaker 1: about this guy before, and I've seen this question come up. Welsh,
Speaker 1: what do you do with Caid Povich? I still think
Speaker 1: you can stash kid Povich. He is lining up pretty
Speaker 1: close to Albert Suarez, which I think is good. I
Speaker 1: think he's a day off or two from Cole Earth.
Speaker 1: Colervin and Albert s Warrez were the guys that moved
Speaker 1: up into the rotation, so I think that's important because
Speaker 1: those are the likely spots that he would end up
Speaker 1: occupying as well. Colervin is currently the only lefty in
Speaker 1: the rotation. Povic is a lefty. Povich went six in
Speaker 1: his last start. He did give up three hundred runs,
Speaker 1: but he struck out six and has held batters to
Speaker 1: an under two hundred bating average of this entire season.
Speaker 1: So because of that question, I feel it soon it's
Speaker 1: a blow up from one of these starters. I believe
Speaker 1: Swarz is pitching today, or a simple injury, or it
Speaker 1: could be to bolster back the bullpen that they want
Speaker 1: Irvin or Sworez to be in that bullpen spot and
Speaker 1: let k Povich go so again, I don't have a
Speaker 1: magic ball, but I would say that's the guy. The
Speaker 1: other one Minnesota Twins David Festa currently as the third
Speaker 1: best swinging strike rate in triple eight over sixteen percent.
Speaker 1: He has been as dominant as Povich with the two
Speaker 1: seven to seventy RA sixty strikeouts over thirty nine innings.
Speaker 1: His last start, he went five, gave up one, and
Speaker 1: struck out eight while walking just one. Did one hit.
Speaker 1: But walks have been his kind of bugaboo, and he
Speaker 1: hasn't actually built up big major innings. Simon Woods Richardson
Speaker 1: is key here. If he starts to unravel, David Festa
Speaker 1: is going to get the call. Those are two that
Speaker 1: I would spot start if they come up. But hitters
Speaker 1: are fini key. And I'll tell you I had one
Speaker 1: last thing on here. I was going to say a
Speaker 1: surprise stash might have been Brennan Davis. Who Brennan Davis
Speaker 1: has been good in the minors. Two fifty six at
Speaker 1: over four hundred ovp lowered his strikeout rate sixteenth best
Speaker 1: WRC plus and triple A twenty first best slugging in
Speaker 1: triple A. But I thought it would be Michael Bush
Speaker 1: gets kicked to the side, and then instead of bringing
Speaker 1: up Pete crow Armstrong, they would bring up Brennan Davis
Speaker 1: to try it out. Well, guess what, Pete kro Armstrong
Speaker 1: was called up today. So I do think you'll see
Speaker 1: Brendan Davis in the near future. He has been way better.
Speaker 1: Maybe he'll be a guy that comes up soon. But
Speaker 1: that is what we are doing when we are prospecting
Speaker 1: with the Welsh. We're prospecting today. Oh look we found something.
Speaker 1: Hopefully we found something in kid Povich and we can
Speaker 1: be correct here, all right, Bob, We're gonna plow through
Speaker 1: some of this stuff. Going through the three up and
Speaker 1: three down. George Kirby allowed one run, eight strikeouts over
Speaker 1: six innings and a no decision, Thank you very much.
Speaker 1: J Justin Verlander allowed one run with nine strikeouts over seven.
Speaker 1: Lane Thomas three for four to go ahead, three run,
Speaker 1: home run, double walk, couple runs, your boy, you love
Speaker 1: some Lane Thomas. On the three down, Logan Allen allowed
Speaker 1: seven runs over one and two thirds. Jared Jones surrendered
Speaker 1: seven runs, five were earned. Didn't look great, and Joe
Speaker 1: Adell oh for three with three strikeouts. I put this
Speaker 1: on here. He now has one hit over his last
Speaker 1: seven games, and his averages dropped to two eleven. Everyone
Speaker 1: was like, Joe Adell, are you eh? Joe Adell might
Speaker 1: have the Gladiator.
Speaker 2: I was so happy to see him look so good.
Speaker 2: He at three fifteen last month, but he's hitting one
Speaker 2: forty one this month.
Speaker 3: I don't know. It might have been a bottle rocket month.
Speaker 1: So would you cut him? Would you come Jake Myers,
Speaker 1: Jake Myers or Joedell?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd rather up Jake Myers.
Speaker 1: I think I would too. Injuries you. Darvish was pulled
Speaker 1: from Wednesday's start against the Marlins after three innings due
Speaker 1: to tightness in his left hamstring. Buddy, I don't know.
Speaker 1: You know what, If I was smarter, I would have realized,
Speaker 1: look for Adam Maser. That might be someone that gets
Speaker 1: a start here soon. Mayze or Adam maze Or might
Speaker 1: get a start, especially with Darvish getting hurt. That could
Speaker 1: be a positive. Pete A. Lonzo has removed Wednesday's game
Speaker 1: against the Dodgers after being hit on the right hand.
Speaker 1: He's day to day. Tyler O'Neill back on the ten
Speaker 1: day IL retroactive to the twenty six with right knee inflammation.
Speaker 1: Hate that Lars Newbar undergoing evaluations at injured wrist makes
Speaker 1: me upset. Joeycenut here Edwin Diaz on the Il fifteen
Speaker 1: day with a shoulder hingement, and Jeffrey Springs was able
Speaker 1: to long toss on Thursday, five days after being removed
Speaker 1: from his rehab start due to shoulder tightness. So Jeffrey
Speaker 1: Springs in the world of holding, they're gonna have to
Speaker 1: maybe wait just a tiny bit more. Bogman, it is
Speaker 1: time that we jump into the best bets of the
Speaker 1: day with not Joey p. Put some hair on that
Speaker 1: Joey P version and I can still look bewildered. I
Speaker 1: felt bewildered the last couple of days with some of
Speaker 1: my bets. But you can jump in with bet three
Speaker 1: six five and Betting pros here in Fantasy Pros for
Speaker 1: our best bets of the day, where Bogmin and I
Speaker 1: are going to unleash those bad boys. So get in
Speaker 1: with bet three six five and let's turn it around.
Speaker 1: I had I got my Yankees yesterday, but just I
Speaker 1: mean Corbyn Burns killed my little k prop by dropping one.
Speaker 1: It's it's been a rough couple of days, so it
Speaker 1: is a turnaround time, small slate, but I like what's
Speaker 1: going down today. So Bogman, let's start with you give
Speaker 1: us your best bets of the day.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Spencer Raghetti over six and a
Speaker 2: half k's. It's plus one oh five and Seattle has
Speaker 2: the highest k percentage in Major League Baseball. Also, they've
Speaker 2: been pretty bad over like if you shorten that to
Speaker 2: May last two weeks, they're striking out a bunch. So
Speaker 2: give me Spencerraghedtty on the over mos Al Twove over
Speaker 2: one and a half total bases is plus one forty
Speaker 2: versus Logan Gilbert. He's ten for twenty seven with two
Speaker 2: homers and five doubles, so a lot of extra base
Speaker 2: hits for Al two Bay against Logan Gilbert. And give
Speaker 2: me one Soto over a one and a half total
Speaker 2: bases plus one twenty versus Patrick Sandoval. He actually has
Speaker 2: reverse splits and he's hitting over three thirty versus lefties.
Speaker 2: So I like that lefty lefty matchup.
Speaker 1: I almost bet that Ragedty one. That's funny that you
Speaker 1: put that on there. I was looking at that, but
Speaker 1: I went on a different direction. I actually went with
Speaker 1: Logan Gilbert five and a half strikeouts. It's plus money
Speaker 1: today at one ten. Obviously the Astros they're a pretty
Speaker 1: good non strikeout team, but Gilbert actually got this number.
Speaker 1: He hit six against Houston in their last start, also
Speaker 1: walked four, so it was a little bit like uncharacteristically
Speaker 1: ineffective with those walks. Still struck out six again Houston
Speaker 1: and went pretty deep Houston over the last three games,
Speaker 1: averaging eleven strikeouts per game. Gilbert also has only gone
Speaker 1: eighty one and seventy seven pitches in his last two starts,
Speaker 1: so I think there's a possibility of a longer leash.
Speaker 1: I like his ability for the strikeouts, He's done it before,
Speaker 1: and I'm getting plus money. So one of my favorite
Speaker 1: bets is five and a half over strikeouts at plus
Speaker 1: one ten. I am rebacking Jack Flaherty, but I'm not
Speaker 1: taking his strikeouts or you know, laddering him again. We're
Speaker 1: going to just go on the money line first five,
Speaker 1: So Detroit first five money line. It's someplaces even money
Speaker 1: between one oh five and one hundred, if you guys
Speaker 1: want to check that one out. And our Arizona Diamondbacks
Speaker 1: Bogs Mets Diamondbacks. I'm taking the first five total runs
Speaker 1: at three and a half. Over three and a half
Speaker 1: is a lower number than you usually see. The total
Speaker 1: game is seven Christian Scott and Zach Gallen. One of
Speaker 1: the reasons Zach Gallen has a two ERA at home,
Speaker 1: he's a four er on the road, so I'm going
Speaker 1: to take four runs to the first five. Christian Scott
Speaker 1: also can get hit up a little bit if the Diamondback.
Speaker 2: Carol three for five last night starting to hopefully come
Speaker 2: out of it heat it up.
Speaker 1: So over three and a half runs Diamondbacks Mets through
Speaker 1: the first five innings three and a half minus one
Speaker 1: twenty five. That is my best bet of the day,
Speaker 1: and you guys can get your best bet over at
Speaker 1: bet three six five. Use our promo code leading off
Speaker 1: bet five dollars, get one hundred and fifty in bonus bets.
Speaker 1: Do it today, download the app, use the promo code,
Speaker 1: make it deposit, and have so much fun and make
Speaker 1: sure any gambling problems one eight hundred gambler got to
Speaker 1: be eighteen plus in Kentucky terms and conditions apply. Those,
Speaker 1: my friends, are the best bets of the day, with
Speaker 1: not Joey p It's Bogman and the Welsh Bogs. We're
Speaker 1: gonna finish this bad boy out with a home run call.
Speaker 1: Let me get to the board here, Look at that
Speaker 1: still not me. Pazzi is taking the lead with twenty
Speaker 1: one South African g at twenty. Those are only twenty
Speaker 1: guys here. We got Bo's and O's at nineteen. Joey
Speaker 1: is down here at seventeenth. He is currently in tenth
Speaker 1: place or you know, probably seventh place. You know, hosts
Speaker 1: kind of get to go a little bit higher. Wonkey
Speaker 1: is on the board at nineteen with fifteen. Welsh is
Speaker 1: nowhere to be seen. Bogman somewhere on that list. Where
Speaker 1: are you gonna go with your home run call?
Speaker 3: Today?
Speaker 2: Give me Christi Yealich. He's send for twenty three verse
Speaker 2: tie on four thirty five? Is that average with two
Speaker 2: bombs in his career? Hit a homer yesterday? Heating up
Speaker 2: a little bit, So give me Yelich.
Speaker 1: I am getting tricky with it a little bit today.
Speaker 1: Go with Riley Green. Riley Green, I almost wanted to
Speaker 1: play his doubles his total basses on the day, but
Speaker 1: give me the leadoff spot. Pretty decent matchup. Give me
Speaker 1: Riley Green on the home run call today. If you
Speaker 1: guys want, you guys can get in on the home
Speaker 1: run calls. All you gotta do is come over to
Speaker 1: the discord and yeah, here you go. This is the
Speaker 1: discord Chat. But you guys can always check out the
Speaker 1: join our discord today, fantasypro dot Com slash chat. Get
Speaker 1: in on the premium. You can do home run calls
Speaker 1: and tons more. No reason not to go sign up. Also,
Speaker 1: a brand new cycle coming up later today on the
Speaker 1: podcast feeds, so make sure you're subscribed to the Fantasy
Speaker 1: pros MLB Baseball feed. We're leading off is this show
Speaker 1: is going to drop.
Speaker 3: You got whoom may you're in the womb.
Speaker 1: Are going to be dropping a brand new cycle today
Speaker 1: that you guys are gonna want to check out, So
Speaker 1: make sure you do that. Bogman absolutely blasted through this
Speaker 1: show and we still gave people forty minutes. Any closing
Speaker 1: thoughts for the day in the baseball world.
Speaker 2: For you go Dbacks, Let's get a win, Let's go
Speaker 2: come Onyva.
Speaker 1: Looking to be right, make sure you guys can look
Speaker 1: for my prospect article. I'm gonna dig deeper into maybe
Speaker 1: some deeper options. That's going to be over on Fantasy Pro,
Speaker 1: so go and check that out or be on the
Speaker 1: lookout for that over the next day. Make sure you're
Speaker 1: subscribed to the podcast. That's it, friends, Joe's going to
Speaker 1: be back tomorrow for a fun Friday. We're gonna do
Speaker 1: all the stuff and things as we always do. That's Bogman,
Speaker 1: I'm Welsh. Thank you guys for hanging out with us
Speaker 1: and we will talk to you next time. Right here,
Speaker 1: leading off on Fantasy pros pre Sulia