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Speaker 2: The most valuable commodity I know of is information five dollars.

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Speaker 2: This is a row as happy the tackle ship one.

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Speaker 1: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 3: Humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 1: My goodness, that's miss the best, relentless, refusing to give up.

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Speaker 2: All right, hit that horn, very bless?

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Speaker 1: What's the verybody? Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from

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Speaker 1: the Action Network and Fantasy As. I'm your host, Chris

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Speaker 1: Raybon NFL Week thirteen is here. As always, I'm joined

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Speaker 1: by one of the most accurate rankers in the game,

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Speaker 1: the adds maker, Sean Turner, Sean Happier every Thanksgiving? What's

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Speaker 1: going up?

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Speaker 2: Happy Early Thanksgiving? And congrats on the You know, last

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Speaker 2: time we were recording last week, we didn't have the

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Speaker 2: Fantasy Pros results up yet, but you finished top three

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Speaker 2: and we well, was it week eleven accuracy? I was,

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Speaker 2: you know, measly six, but we all finished top ten,

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Speaker 2: but you finished top three, So I feel like our

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Speaker 2: projections are on mid season form right now.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, congrats to you too, and we'll get

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Speaker 1: into those go top five at each position, guys for

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Speaker 1: high and low on throw out a prop. But before

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Speaker 1: we do, a reminder that Sean and I have teamed

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Speaker 1: up with DraftKings and this Thanksgiving only, DraftKings is cooking

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Speaker 1: played five dollars or more on their first picks. And

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Speaker 1: if that's not tasty enough, all customers can opt in

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Speaker 1: to receive a fifty percent winnings boost for NFL Week thirteen.

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Speaker 1: Here's how it works. Pick two to six players of

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Speaker 1: the same sport and choose if they'll have more or

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Speaker 1: less of a stat like touchdowns, passing yards, interceptions for NFL,

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Speaker 1: points to sis, rebounds and so forth for NBA. Lock

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Speaker 1: in those selections and compete against opponents for a shot

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Speaker 1: at you cash prizes. Plus you can opt in for

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Speaker 1: a fifty winnings boost to be used on NFL Week

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Speaker 1: thirteen only. Max entry fee and reward varries. Sean, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go with Cooper rush less than three and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing yards on Thanksgiving, no more than two in

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Speaker 1: any of his three starts. Where are you going?

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Speaker 2: You're really going for the Mala Santa's six here? I

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Speaker 2: love it to wait till they offer eight and O'Connell projection,

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Speaker 2: then he could really have a three pack there. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go with a sack projection here. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 2: with OsO A Digazua more than zero point two to

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Speaker 2: five sacks. So if he gets a half sack here,

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Speaker 2: it's gonna clear. And he only has two sacks on

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Speaker 2: thirty pressures this year, so he's getting a ton of

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Speaker 2: pressure just not getting the sacks. That a lot of

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Speaker 2: that comes down to luck. So I think he's due

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Speaker 2: for some positive sack regression, and what better man to

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Speaker 2: have some positive sack regression, then facing Tommy DeVito potentially

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Speaker 2: and the New York Giants. Andrew Thomas is already on IR.

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Speaker 2: As you pointed out before we record, it looks like

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Speaker 2: Jermaine lumin Or is iffy, maybe even doubtful just because

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Speaker 2: this is a short week, so this could be an

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Speaker 2: even better matchup for you know, sack potential. So give

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Speaker 2: me Odigazua for more than zero point twenty five sacks here.

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Speaker 1: Love it And if you all love it out there

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Speaker 1: too and want to play, download the DraftKings Pick six

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Speaker 1: six credits plus out then to receive a fifty percent

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Speaker 1: winnings boost for NFL Week thirteen only. All right, Sean,

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Speaker 1: let's get into all our player projections Week thirteen Quarterback

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Speaker 1: Top five. Who you got?

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Speaker 2: All right? I got Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts,

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Speaker 2: Jade Daniels, and Patrick Mahomes.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I think I'm almost the same rder too.

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Speaker 1: I got Alan Hurt, Jackson, Daniels Mames.

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Speaker 2: So Jackson flip that's it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I have a lot of respect for that Eagles defense.

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Speaker 1: I just at those corners and yeah, the rotation on

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Speaker 1: the D line, it could be could be a tough,

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Speaker 1: tough sweating for Lamar, but obviously just playing at an

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Speaker 1: MVP level. So can't go lower than three with Lamar.

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Speaker 1: But who you high on?

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Speaker 2: I'm high on Sam Darnold as always. He's in my

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Speaker 2: top ten to open up the week. And you know,

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Speaker 2: once J J. McCarthy went down, I talked up Sam

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Speaker 2: Darnold like pretty much every single one of our pods

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Speaker 2: whenever we discuss quarterbacks, and he even he's exceeded my

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Speaker 2: expectations this year. He made some really great throws against

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Speaker 2: the Bears. I would I would be shocked if they

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Speaker 2: just let him air it out even more going forward.

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Speaker 2: You know, he finally has everyone healthy. You know, TJ.

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Speaker 2: Howkinson's back into his full time role. He looked great

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Speaker 2: last week. Jordan Addison is heating up, so you know,

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Speaker 2: teams can't just triple teams justin Jefferson expect to get

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Speaker 2: away with it. So this this offense is dangerous right now.

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Speaker 2: Donald also offers rushing upside, which we cove it in

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Speaker 2: fantasy as well. So I realize Arizona has been tougher

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Speaker 2: for quarterbacks in fantasy, especially lately. But still this team's

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Speaker 2: kind of uncoverable. So still like Donald here, he opens

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Speaker 2: up inside my top ten. Last I looked, ECR had

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Speaker 2: a QB nineteen, which seemed too low. So once again

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Speaker 2: I feel like I'm much higher in Donald than consensus. Here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm sure that will go up, I mean should

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Speaker 1: at least, But yeah, Donald, all the weapons could run,

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Speaker 1: can throw, and I mean Arizona teams do have to

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Speaker 1: run on them. But I still think they're beatable on

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Speaker 1: the back end. But they are. They are exceeding expectations

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Speaker 1: to a certain degree. In Budda Baker got that secondary

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Speaker 1: playing kind of above their heads. But yeah, Donald's is

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Speaker 1: am KEB eleven, so right there, right there with two.

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Speaker 1: I'm high on Caleb Williams this week. He is my

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Speaker 1: QB eighteen. ECR has him outside the top twenty, and uh,

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Speaker 1: this is just a matchup with against Detroit where he's

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Speaker 1: probably gonna have to throw it around again. And you know,

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Speaker 1: it's now two games into Thomas Brown taking over in

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Speaker 1: the offensive coordinator role, and there has been there have

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Speaker 1: been some good things you know, kind of transpiring here

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Speaker 1: for Caleb. You know, they're targeting Dj Moore on shorter

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Speaker 1: routes near the line of scrimmage, and you know he

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Speaker 1: came up with one hundred yard games. So Caleb Williams

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Speaker 1: against the Vikings, very tough defense, uh thirty to forty

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Speaker 1: seven for three forty two touchdowns, no interceptions. And shout

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Speaker 1: to my guy Nick Giffin the goat Luck rankings. All

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Speaker 1: that six rushing attempts for thirty three rushing yards. I

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Speaker 1: know we had a little little spat on convinced me

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Speaker 1: about that. But one thing about Caleb Williams two games

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Speaker 1: under Brown, nine for seventy rushing and six for thirty

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Speaker 1: three rushing. Quarterback rushing sets are very very sticky. So

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Speaker 1: you know, that's why I was high on him rushing

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Speaker 1: last week, and I think that continues here. You know,

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Speaker 1: I think he's just gonna run more. It's probably one

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Speaker 1: of the adjustments they you know, made under Thomas Brown.

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Speaker 1: They're calling more designed runs for him, and I think

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Speaker 1: they're kind of telling him to scramble more when he

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Speaker 1: when he you know, so he doesn't do anything crazy

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Speaker 1: and you know, just kind of get moving because he

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Speaker 1: was I think he was overthinking it earlier in the season,

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Speaker 1: just kind of sitting back in the pocket, running around

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Speaker 1: at circles, getting sacked, throwing bad ball. So it's starting

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Speaker 1: to quick a little bit for it for Kob and

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Speaker 1: this is a Lions team that should put up some

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Speaker 1: points on the other side. So this could be a

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Speaker 1: very similar kind of gamescript to this to that Minnesota

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Speaker 1: game where he threw forty seven times. So like Caleb,

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Speaker 1: I think he's trending up, you know, kind of the

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Speaker 1: quarterback that we were hoping for earlier in the season.

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Speaker 1: You know, I think he was going well around TB

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Speaker 1: twelve thirteen fourteen in that range, So it's just kind

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Speaker 1: of trending back up that direction. Wouldn't be surprised if

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Speaker 1: he has a good game here he ends up around

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Speaker 1: that range for me next week, all right, we all

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Speaker 1: want a quarterback, Sean.

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Speaker 2: I'm low on Kyler Murray. He opens week as my

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Speaker 2: QB fourteen, so more of a high end, you know,

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Speaker 2: QB two than the QB one we're typically expecting from him.

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Speaker 2: But he's putting up some solid passing yardage the past

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Speaker 2: couple of games, he's cleared two hundred and sixty five

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Speaker 2: yards now and back to back games through for two

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Speaker 2: to eighty five last week, probably mainly due to the

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Speaker 2: trailing game script, but his rushing production has really taken

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Speaker 2: a big hit lately. He's only rushed seven times total

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Speaker 2: over the last three games. So that's that's a concern

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Speaker 2: when it comes to Kyler because we kind of want,

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Speaker 2: you know, that rushing up side, and this is just

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Speaker 2: a brutal matchup against the Vikings defense, and he's struggled

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Speaker 2: against the blitz is here and the Vikings loved the blitz.

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Speaker 2: But I looked and he's finished. He's in the bottom

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Speaker 2: third and nearly every metric I looked at against the blitz.

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Speaker 2: You know, the Vikings do tend to allow a lot

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Speaker 2: of completions in yards because they typically play with the

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Speaker 2: lead most of the time. But this game should be closer.

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Speaker 2: You know, they're only three and a half point favorites here,

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Speaker 2: so I think, you know, the Cardinals, whether you like

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Speaker 2: it or not, will probably be able to lean on

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Speaker 2: the run a bit more than other teams here. So

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Speaker 2: Kyler just all all the metrics you know have him

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Speaker 2: outside my top fifteen right now. I don't know. I'm

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Speaker 2: going to ask you, like, what's up with his Russian

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Speaker 2: because he's not scrambling, they're not designing runs, like is

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Speaker 2: that a strategy? There has been the matchups, like what

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Speaker 2: have you noticed with that?

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Speaker 1: So I think the thing about Kyler is he has

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Speaker 1: made strides as a pocket passer this year. Yeah, so

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Speaker 1: he's more in command of the offense. I think he's

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Speaker 1: more decisive, and so it's just leading to less of

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Speaker 1: those plays where he's running around back there and you know,

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Speaker 1: doesn't really know what to do and then you know,

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Speaker 1: kind of waiting for somebody to get open. Things are

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Speaker 1: kind of getting out of it quick. That's why you've

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Speaker 1: seen some games where he just doesn't really put up

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Speaker 1: many numbers at all. But you know, the Cardinals were winning.

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Speaker 1: Now they're kind of run a little little swamp here,

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Speaker 1: so maybe he maybe they kind of go back to

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Speaker 1: it and try to jumpstart him, because it's usually a

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Speaker 1: talking point like when when they start struggling and he

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Speaker 1: doesn't have rushing production. I think it happened earlier this

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Speaker 1: year and then he ran for like a fifty yard touchdown.

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Speaker 1: I had what was it in the the Niners game,

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Speaker 1: because a game before that against Washington he had one

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Speaker 1: carry for three yards and they lost forty two to fourteen.

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Speaker 1: So this could be another situation like that, you know,

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Speaker 1: two for nine against Seattle and they look pretty listless.

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Speaker 1: But I agree, I've been kind of low on Kyler

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Speaker 1: fantasy wise, just because it's like he's getting better in

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Speaker 1: real football, but it's hurting his fantasy value because he

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Speaker 1: said he's not running as much and the Cardinals are

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Speaker 1: kind of picking their spots throwing the football. Their rushing

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Speaker 1: attack has been on point most of the year until

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Speaker 1: the last couple of games, and the touch the passing

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Speaker 1: touchdowns really haven't haven't been there. And then every once

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Speaker 1: in a while they're also they'll also take him out

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Speaker 1: on some short yard it's for Clayton Tone, So that's

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Speaker 1: you know, every like he's voted a touchdown or two

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Speaker 1: over the last in this offense. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: he's voted one this year, but you know, we have

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Speaker 1: seen in the past that that happened too, So just

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Speaker 1: a few like he's Kyler's kind of a lot more

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Speaker 1: mid as a as a fantasy quarterback than you would

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Speaker 1: think given that he's played pretty pretty decently this year.

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Speaker 1: I'm all on the quarterback that faced Kyler last week,

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Speaker 1: Geno Smith. I know, I know his touchdown rate is

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Speaker 1: going to regress at some point, but we are twelve

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Speaker 1: weeks into the season. You know, touchdown rate, Yeah, it

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Speaker 1: takes a lot of pass attempts, you know, few few

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Speaker 1: hundreds to start stabilizing. But it actually it does, and

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Speaker 1: it's Gino's just you know, not he's not. You can't

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Speaker 1: project him for as many touchdowns as most quarterbacks I

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Speaker 1: guess who throw for as many yards as he does,

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Speaker 1: and that's kind of hurting him because it's a lot

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Speaker 1: of empty yardage or in now, Seattle's getting better on defense,

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Speaker 1: you know, everyone's healthy. Their run defense is good. They're

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Speaker 1: healthy in the secondary, so they're not necessarily going to

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Speaker 1: get into as many of these shootouts. And against the Jets,

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Speaker 1: you know, going across the country, Jets play man coverage

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Speaker 1: at a higher rate than league average at Gino twenty

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Speaker 1: fifth in the jested yards per tenth against man, fifteenth

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Speaker 1: against zone coverage. So this could be another one of

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Speaker 1: these kind of ugly games that we usually wanting for

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Speaker 1: more for Gino, even if he throws for like two eighty.

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Speaker 1: I could see him, you know, one touchdown, one interception,

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Speaker 1: and maybe maybe a couple of rushing yards. But he's

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Speaker 1: my QB twenty one. He's can be eighteen in consensus.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm not really too interested in geno this week.

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Speaker 1: All right, prop quarterbacks, Sean it is Yes, it's your

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Speaker 1: turn this week. Stroud, by the way, finished fourteen, got

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Speaker 1: the finish QB fourteen. Yeah, pensitive scoring, so uh, certain

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Speaker 1: scoring system finishes to be like eleven or twelve and

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Speaker 1: then yeah, I think the esp I used the ESPN

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Speaker 1: he was fourteen, so but yeah, he just squeaked, just

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Speaker 1: squeaked in he was trying to give it away.

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Speaker 2: I mean that was a great line. Yeah, but not

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Speaker 2: many qbs last week and some really shitty ones, but yeah,

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Speaker 2: great line in hindsight. All right, what do you got

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Speaker 2: for me? All Right, we're gonna have some fun this week.

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Speaker 2: We have to go to Will Levis. I mean, he

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Speaker 2: is really tricky to project. Right now, I think I

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Speaker 2: think I have his perfect comp right now. If twenty

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Speaker 2: nineteen Josh Allen and twenty nineteen Jameis Winston had a kid,

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Speaker 2: it'd be twenty twenty four. Will Levis here, Anthony Richardson

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Speaker 2: comp that one's great, but yeah, Will Levis, man, I

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Speaker 2: I'm like thirty thirty yards. I can go thirty yards

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Speaker 2: either direction with this guy right now. But I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: set the line up two hundred and ten and a half.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna split the baby here and go two ten

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Speaker 2: and a half. Are you going over or under that?

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Speaker 1: Huh? I am going under. I have it around two

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Speaker 1: hundred and I'm looking at why and it looks like

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Speaker 1: U in this matchup, I expect Washington to run like

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Speaker 1: more play, like have more time of possession, uh than

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Speaker 1: the Titans. Titans have, like Levis has been having a

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Speaker 1: lot of explosive plays, and uh, you know Tony Pollard

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Speaker 1: as well, so there's like if he doesn't hit those

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Speaker 1: explosive plays, it could be ugly. And I also think

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Speaker 1: the Titans may be a little bit undervalued in the market,

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Speaker 1: so they could actually have some positive game script. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's been what now, five six weeks since the Commanders

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Speaker 1: have been a dominant football team that they were, you know,

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Speaker 1: to open the year in that first month months and

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Speaker 1: a half, so uh yeah, I think just a lot

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Speaker 1: of little a lot of factors kind of inch like

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Speaker 1: nudging away at his passing yards. But I mean we

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Speaker 1: we gotta, we gotta book the eighty yard Westbrook Akine

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Speaker 1: touchdown and then you know, yeah, I know, you known know,

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Speaker 1: one hundred something to play with, but yeah, I'll go

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Speaker 1: and that's a good one. I'm guessing the books will

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Speaker 1: open around yeah, like two oh seven or two ten

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Speaker 1: somewhere in there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I take your point and that, like they're three

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Speaker 2: and eight, I need to see what they're updated, like

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Speaker 2: time and possession is on the season with the lead

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Speaker 2: or trailing, but they've actually led a lot more, like

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Speaker 2: more than people realize for a three and eight team,

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Speaker 2: So if they do get in like a true trailing

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Speaker 2: game script against Washington, he would have to throw a

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Speaker 2: bit more. But just they're kind of an interesting team

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Speaker 2: where they've been playing well and then you know they

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Speaker 2: have the lead and then they bolt like because of

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Speaker 2: his pick six or just knucklehead play. But for a

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Speaker 2: three and eight team, they've actually been in some more

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Speaker 2: run heavy game scripts and I think people realize. So

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Speaker 2: just a fascinating player and team to project right now.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I agree, I think the market's going to

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Speaker 2: be around two o seven. I don't know if this

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Speaker 2: is a problem I'm going to actually bet on, but

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Speaker 2: just was definitely curious where you were, so I'll be

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Speaker 2: on the over here. That's fine.

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Speaker 1: And another thing that can work to just lower that

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Speaker 1: number by a little at least in my model, is

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Speaker 1: his scramble rate is up to seven point four percent.

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Speaker 1: So when you're scrambling, that means you're not checking it

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Speaker 1: down or you know, throwing it, thrown it away or whatever,

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Speaker 1: thrown it downfield. So seven point four percent the week

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Speaker 1: averages around you know, four and a half five percent,

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Speaker 1: seven point four, that's inching toward like Josh Allen's at

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Speaker 1: seven point six this year, Lamar.

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Speaker 2: Jackson, He's twenty nineteen, Josh Allen without you know, the

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Speaker 2: good as many good plays right right.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, so that that's the kind of an underrated

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Speaker 1: thing that I think. Yeah, Will Levis has been adding

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Speaker 1: a few rushing yards, which helps his fantasy value and

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Speaker 1: stops from throwing picks. So hey, all for looking for

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Speaker 1: weekly projections from me and Sean Kerner. The only place

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00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:53,160
Speaker 1: you'll find them is a fantasy lebs dot com. You'll

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Speaker 1: the best price of the year on Action Pro running

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Speaker 1: back Top five Week thirteen.

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Speaker 2: Who you Got Sean uh Saquon Barkley, Alvin Kamara, Joe Mixon,

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Speaker 2: Jamior Gibbs, and Jonathan Taylor.

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Speaker 1: Huh, I got CMC No.

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Speaker 2: One this week.

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Speaker 1: I didn't last week, But you just got him all

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Speaker 1: the way out of your top five now, Joe.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, Like I I have kind of like fifty

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Speaker 2: to fifty Brock Party Brandon Allen. It's tricky, so I

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Speaker 2: have him outside my top five for now.

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Speaker 1: The Bill, I mean Bills do give up production and

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Speaker 1: running backs because they are so good in the secondary.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, so I like CMC this week, mixing number two,

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Speaker 1: Barkley number three. That uh that matchup against Baltimore, don't

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Speaker 1: love it. I mean he's Saquon.

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Speaker 2: I had him won to go for one hundred and twenty.

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Speaker 1: Yeah right, yeah, no, I mean, but no, things kind

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Speaker 1: of fluctuate week two week, you know, it's like, uh,

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Speaker 1: Barkley was kind of like, you know, against the Rams. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but this week's a little tougher. Think the whole top

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Speaker 1: five is kind of up for grabs right now it

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Speaker 1: is Tuesday. But CMC, Mixon, Barkley, you're gonna like my

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Speaker 1: number four, Chase Brown, oh my god, yes, and and

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Speaker 1: Alvin Gamara at number five. But obviously Chase Brown check

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Speaker 1: the ranks. You know this this seems like a one

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Speaker 1: that could kind of shift a little bit for me.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure we got all these teams playing, so a

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Speaker 1: lot of variants. But that's that's my top five opening

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Speaker 1: the week. Who are you high in at running back?

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Speaker 2: Sean oh Man? Bucky Irving opens week is my RB nineteen.

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Speaker 2: They're at Carolina. This is a great spot for Bucky,

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Speaker 2: and I think he was the rookie I was the

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Speaker 2: highest on heading into the season, and main the main

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Speaker 2: reason why I was like very pessimistic about Rashad White,

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Speaker 2: and you know, sure enough he's he's past White as

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Speaker 2: as sort of the lead back in this offense, you know,

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Speaker 2: and everyone's healthy right now. He has been the more

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Speaker 2: efficient back. It's been a kind of annoying two to

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Speaker 2: three way committee the past few weeks. But we saw

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Speaker 2: we finally saw Bucky actually emerge in the passing game

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Speaker 2: last week. He actually led this backfield with a fifty

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Speaker 2: nine percent routes run rate, caught six balls for sixty

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Speaker 2: four yards. He was a great pass catching back at Oregon.

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Speaker 2: I thought that was his main asset actually heading into

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Speaker 2: the NFL. So it's great to see him finally, you know,

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Speaker 2: becoming that pass catching back I thought he could be,

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Speaker 2: so you know, and he's getting He got a six

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Speaker 2: yard touchdown on I think Sean Tucker came in and

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Speaker 2: vultured a one yard run from him. But he's been

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Speaker 2: in on goal line. So Bucky's getting all those very

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Speaker 2: important touches in fantasy too. So this is a week

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Speaker 2: where he's inside my top twenty despite everyone being healthy.

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Speaker 2: And again, if Rashaun White were to miss time over

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Speaker 2: the next two weeks, I mean Bucky's going to be

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Speaker 2: a top ten back. So he's one of those backs

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Speaker 2: where he's already startable. You know. It was kind of

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Speaker 2: an RB two every week, but he has hidden you know,

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Speaker 2: injury rushing upside as well if White were him as time.

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Speaker 2: So I'm really high in Bucky this week and going forward.

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Speaker 2: Another BACKUNDM high on this week specifically is Rico Dowdell. Uh.

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Speaker 2: He's just a back that's been trending up.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

429
00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,720
Speaker 2: You know, Dalvin Cook and douce Van weren't even active

430
00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:24,480
Speaker 2: last week, so it was just doubt All and Zeke

431
00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 2: and Lepke the full back that were active. So Dawall's

432
00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 2: like the main lead back, especially on early downs. So

433
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 2: this is a matchup where Dallas is actually favored. Their

434
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:36,320
Speaker 2: two and a half point favorites against the Giants here,

435
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:37,840
Speaker 2: so they should be no.

436
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:39,399
Speaker 1: No, no, Dallas gotta be more than a field go

437
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:41,399
Speaker 1: by now they they down.

438
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 2: It two three and a half.

439
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:46,480
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, come on, like people like the Giants are

440
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 1: literally a mess. Like if it was two and a half,

441
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 1: I was gonna stop the show and just go back that.

442
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 2: Luckily this and last week I said five and a half.

443
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 2: It was like I was seeing a sign that the

444
00:23:57,520 --> 00:23:59,120
Speaker 2: Packers were actually going to be five and a half

445
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,600
Speaker 2: point favorite two or something like that. But either way,

446
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,120
Speaker 2: the Cowboys are favored by a few points here, let's

447
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 2: just put it that way, where that means they're going

448
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:10,000
Speaker 2: to be able to lean on Dowdle more than any

449
00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 2: other week. So love Dall's upside this week. The Giants

450
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:17,199
Speaker 2: defense has allowed the second most explosive run plays this season,

451
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,640
Speaker 2: so we might get some you know, explosive runs from Dawdell.

452
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 2: So yeah, he opens up the week despite zero teams

453
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 2: on by and pretty much everyone healthy. He opens the

454
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,560
Speaker 2: week as my RB twenty two. So congrats, that's you've

455
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:31,359
Speaker 2: been hanging on to Rico Dowdell because you got yourself

456
00:24:31,359 --> 00:24:32,720
Speaker 2: a low end RB two this week.

457
00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, hey, if Dallas wins this week five

458
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 1: and seven, maybe five and five and seven, the Commanders

459
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:42,840
Speaker 1: are in the last wildcards. But at seven and five,

460
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:46,880
Speaker 1: don't look the Cowboys after.

461
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 2: All that they should do something crazy like add Daniel Jones.

462
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:57,400
Speaker 1: Right, oh man, no, like just just no gy. I'm

463
00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:02,200
Speaker 1: hoping are finely seeing the disaster at this branch is yeah.

464
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:05,400
Speaker 1: Oh wait, I wonder what they're They have nine losses,

465
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:07,880
Speaker 1: that means they can win max what eight games? Okay, yeah,

466
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 1: cause I have their win total under I think six

467
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 1: and a half, so I need him to lose a

468
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:15,520
Speaker 1: couple more. But but yeah, I agree, I'm I'm high

469
00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:19,800
Speaker 1: on Bucky as well, although there is a little variance

470
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:21,160
Speaker 1: with that. I got like, I got to look into

471
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 1: that a little more because they him and White kind

472
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:25,400
Speaker 1: of split carries. And then yeah, they said they want

473
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:28,000
Speaker 1: to get Tucker morn Bob. But yeah, the efficiency for

474
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:31,680
Speaker 1: Bucky is just off the charts. And uh and then

475
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,120
Speaker 1: doubdo Yeah, I mean he's getting he's the lead back

476
00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:36,399
Speaker 1: like Zeke is coming into pass protect here. And there.

477
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 1: You know, the only thing with Zeke is sometimes he

478
00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:42,440
Speaker 1: gets the goal goal line looks. But I mean, Doudo's

479
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:44,880
Speaker 1: just been piling up the carries and they've been kind

480
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:46,680
Speaker 1: of talking them up as the lead back, So I

481
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised if they just kind of weave him

482
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,440
Speaker 1: in at the goal on nineteen carries to Zeke's three

483
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:56,200
Speaker 1: last week for doubtle. I am high on Chase Brown.

484
00:25:56,760 --> 00:26:00,399
Speaker 1: They talked about in my top five. He is the

485
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:05,760
Speaker 1: running back twelve and expert consensus. I just can't really

486
00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:09,119
Speaker 1: put him any lower than top five because he's playing

487
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,080
Speaker 1: every snap. He's not coming off the field. I think

488
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:13,760
Speaker 1: Khalil Herbert might have played, you know, a couple of snaps.

489
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:18,840
Speaker 1: And we've seen now three three games of this and

490
00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 1: there's been different backup running backs pretty much for each game,

491
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 1: and they just haven't got in the field. And Jase

492
00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:29,040
Speaker 1: Brown thirty two touches one hundred and fifty seven yards

493
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 1: against the Raiders, twenty two touches ninety four yards against

494
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,720
Speaker 1: the Ravens, touchdowns in both of those games, and then

495
00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:39,159
Speaker 1: against a good, very good Chargers defense no touchdown, but

496
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:43,439
Speaker 1: twenty seven touches one hundred forty three scrimmage yards. This

497
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:47,720
Speaker 1: dude is just he's he's like good like Joe Mixon

498
00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:52,480
Speaker 1: and Samaje ap Ryan like combined into one. Just never

499
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:56,400
Speaker 1: coming off the field because did you hear mixing take

500
00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 1: some shots at the Bengals coaching staff. He's like, oh,

501
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:04,639
Speaker 1: this is me better, even though I feel like he

502
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:08,880
Speaker 1: actually played more passing down snaps with the but whatever. Yeah,

503
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 1: Chase Brown eighty percent of stats eighty seven and eighty three,

504
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:17,320
Speaker 1: but that it's actually higher because the snaps when he's

505
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:19,159
Speaker 1: not on the field, they're usually just going empty. So

506
00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:22,439
Speaker 1: it's not even like he's seeding snaps to other running backs.

507
00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:25,320
Speaker 1: They just go empty sometimes because you know, you have

508
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,399
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow and like eight tight ends and got now

509
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:31,960
Speaker 1: you got your receivers healthy. So Chase Brown is just

510
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:35,160
Speaker 1: a an upside play every week. I don't care about

511
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,399
Speaker 1: the defense because I mean he does again Baltimore and

512
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:39,280
Speaker 1: the Chargers two of the better defenses in the league

513
00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:43,240
Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. So no worries about facing Pittsburgh.

514
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 1: Chase Brown smash talk about a league winner.

515
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:49,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't wait to see where we have him

516
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:54,160
Speaker 2: ranked next week. There's six, they play the Cowboys. There's

517
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:58,479
Speaker 2: six teams on by including Derrick Henry, Joe Mixon, Jonathan Taylor.

518
00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:02,200
Speaker 2: So Chase Brown could be don't know, inside one three Yeah,

519
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:07,919
Speaker 2: well or look at Saquon Oh yeah, well uh is

520
00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:09,320
Speaker 2: facing the Panthers.

521
00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:12,880
Speaker 1: Oh no, sorry, okay number one?

522
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:17,000
Speaker 2: So yeah, number one. Unfortunately too bad that Ravens matchup

523
00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 2: was that next week because we could have seen Chase

524
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:23,399
Speaker 2: Brown potentially be you know, the RB one.

525
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,160
Speaker 1: If if Chenn's game will mixes in too much this week, hey,

526
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:31,840
Speaker 1: maybe right, maybe Chase will be exactly but yeah, that's

527
00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:35,440
Speaker 1: that's where we're at. Chase Brown, don't hesitate. And another guy,

528
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:38,960
Speaker 1: Tuba Hubbard, Uh, he's my RB six, He's RB twenty one.

529
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:41,440
Speaker 1: In consensus, jat the Brooks did not did not tell

530
00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 1: people like these injury stash take forever, like we just

531
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:49,080
Speaker 1: finally got a t. J. Hockinson game. It's week sweek thirteen,

532
00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:54,160
Speaker 1: like joh the Brooks played like five snaps did absolutely nothing.

533
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:57,360
Speaker 1: Doesn't seem like he's gonna be very involved. If anything,

534
00:28:57,520 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 1: he didn't even get the Miles Sanders role. Rahen Blacks

535
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 1: year was mixing in more than he ever did when

536
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:07,360
Speaker 1: Sanders was active, so I continue to have confidence in Hubbard.

537
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:11,440
Speaker 1: He is pretty much their best offensive player. You know

538
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:14,080
Speaker 1: that he's the guy they feed you and they gotta

539
00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 1: have it. So Cuba Hubbard is not quite Chase Brown

540
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 1: in terms of the snaff, but he's getting about. He's

541
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:24,640
Speaker 1: getting over eighty percent of the backfield carries for you know,

542
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:28,240
Speaker 1: the past month and a half, and now that there's

543
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:31,160
Speaker 1: no Sanders and it's Brooks a rookie, he's getting even

544
00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 1: more of the receiving work. So only only fifty six

545
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 1: yards against the Chiefs, but they're a very tough run defense.

546
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:42,080
Speaker 1: Got in the end zone sixteen carries, caught a pass

547
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:44,240
Speaker 1: a week before that against the Giants, twenty eight for

548
00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 1: one to fifty three and one. The week before that

549
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 1: against the Saints, fifteen for seventy two and two. These

550
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,640
Speaker 1: are the kind of stat lines that Cuba Hubbard is

551
00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 1: going to give give you. I think we both were

552
00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:56,640
Speaker 1: kind of talking him up before the season because of

553
00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:59,600
Speaker 1: you know, everyone's kind of excited to draft Brooks, shiny

554
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:03,440
Speaker 1: new toy. I get it, but Hubbard proven to be

555
00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:06,960
Speaker 1: the value in this backfield. Who are you long?

556
00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:11,480
Speaker 2: Long? Two guys that I'm actually high on them long term,

557
00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:15,280
Speaker 2: but for this week specifically bent down on him. And

558
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 2: the first one is Nick Chubb at Denver. You know,

559
00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:22,840
Speaker 2: we finally had a more vintage pre injury Nick Chubb.

560
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,920
Speaker 2: You know, he saw twenty carries for only fifty nine yards,

561
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 2: but he had two touchdowns. But I expected a bigger

562
00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 2: workload with you know, the weather and a potential leading

563
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:38,080
Speaker 2: game script, and you know, both came true. But we've

564
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:40,800
Speaker 2: seen him get phased out in these trailing game scripts,

565
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:43,560
Speaker 2: which could be the case here, you know at Denver,

566
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 2: so it makes him just a little bit tougher to trust.

567
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 2: And again, helly ran for fifty nine yards. Just efficiency

568
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 2: hasn't been there this year for Chubb like we have

569
00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:54,800
Speaker 2: seen in the past, where you know, we'd always project

570
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:57,600
Speaker 2: them for over five yards of carry. That's not happening

571
00:30:57,600 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 2: this year. So again, like there's so many available running

572
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:03,720
Speaker 2: backs this week, no teams a running by, so he's

573
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 2: my RB thirty, So more of an RB three flex option.

574
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:10,680
Speaker 2: Certainly play if if you have to. But again, these

575
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 2: potential trailing game scripts, he has more downside than people realize.

576
00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:17,600
Speaker 2: With Jerome Ford mixing in more and the other guy's

577
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 2: tank Bigsby at home against the Texans. You called him

578
00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:24,160
Speaker 2: out on the waiver pod. I agree. I think if

579
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 2: if he somehow got dropped in leagues, you got to

580
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:28,800
Speaker 2: add him because he could be the Jaguars lead back

581
00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:31,960
Speaker 2: the rest of the season. We really don't know, but

582
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 2: you know, Etns fully healthy, so it'll be interesting to

583
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 2: see kind of how they divvy out these touches going forward. Yeah,

584
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:41,720
Speaker 2: with both of them healthy, well we'll see. If you know,

585
00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:43,720
Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence returns this week, I have no idea what's

586
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 2: going on with that, but you know, similar to Chubb,

587
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 2: he he does get a potential hit in potential you know,

588
00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:52,400
Speaker 2: trailing game scripts, which which could be the case this

589
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 2: week against the Texans. This is also just a tough

590
00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 2: matchup against the Texans as well, so make sure you

591
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:01,600
Speaker 2: know he's not available in any lead kind of stash

592
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 2: him as a wait and see mode this week, and

593
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:07,360
Speaker 2: he could you know, see double digit carries here and

594
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:09,640
Speaker 2: we'll have more you know, trust in him going forward.

595
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:12,080
Speaker 2: But for now, I know he was helping people win

596
00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:14,440
Speaker 2: back when he was healthy, but that was when ETN

597
00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:16,280
Speaker 2: was out, So we need to just kind of be

598
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:18,760
Speaker 2: careful at this and you know see how this kind

599
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:19,680
Speaker 2: of shakes out this week.

600
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:23,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, it's it's kind of up in the

601
00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 1: air because it seemed like bigs Wee was getting that

602
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 1: lead role, but then you know Etn got healthy right

603
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:32,560
Speaker 1: as bigs we got injured. So yeah, it's it's a

604
00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,360
Speaker 1: big question mark. He's just a stash.

605
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:36,040
Speaker 2: I'm all on.

606
00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 1: James Connor this week. He's he's about to drop out

607
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 1: of my top twenty. He's my RB nineteen right now.

608
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 1: ECR has him in the mid teens against Minnesota. Don't

609
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:52,640
Speaker 1: love the matchup. You know, Connor really struggled on the

610
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 1: ground last week against a good run defense, so I

611
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:59,280
Speaker 1: think this could be another spot where, you know, if

612
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:03,560
Speaker 1: he struggles. You tucked up Trey Benson on our waiver pod.

613
00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 1: I think you could see more of Trey Benson. You know,

614
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:10,200
Speaker 1: Connor is still gonna play in the receiving game. Uh,

615
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:14,080
Speaker 1: Demricado seems to have not not been getting quite as

616
00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,080
Speaker 1: much work in the receiving game, so it's been Connor.

617
00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 1: So they've given Benson more early down carries. So I

618
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:21,840
Speaker 1: think this is probably the time when we got to

619
00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:23,479
Speaker 1: start kind of lay it off Connor and you kind

620
00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:26,360
Speaker 1: of pointed out he's always every single season he misses

621
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:28,240
Speaker 1: a handful of games and he hasn't yet so precent

622
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 1: you're running back, Yeah, it's kind of likely to get hurt.

623
00:33:31,480 --> 00:33:34,040
Speaker 1: It's probably him, but you know he has kind of

624
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:40,640
Speaker 1: the matchup working against him, road underdog and just not

625
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:43,200
Speaker 1: not really sure where the efficiency is going to be

626
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:45,680
Speaker 1: at given how they how much they struggled against the

627
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 1: Seahawks last week, I think Connor was held a single digit,

628
00:33:49,240 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 1: single digit rushing yards. Let's see who did he get? Yeah?

629
00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:56,600
Speaker 2: He I thought there was like I thought there was

630
00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:58,640
Speaker 2: a bug in my spreadsheets, like that can't be right.

631
00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 2: And then I looked I was like, oh shit, Billy

632
00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:03,400
Speaker 2: ran freight yards. Yeah.

633
00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 1: And the week before that against the Jets, just twelve

634
00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:08,800
Speaker 1: for thirty three, got a touchdown. But it's just nineteen

635
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:11,440
Speaker 1: for forty one over his last two And it's that

636
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 1: time of the year. We always talk about it. Some

637
00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:17,160
Speaker 1: guys just really healthy and spry, and you know some

638
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:18,880
Speaker 1: guys start to wear down. At Connor a couple of

639
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 1: years ago, I mean, he just amazing looking. This year,

640
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 1: I mean he looks fine, but the numbers did last

641
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,480
Speaker 1: two games at least kind of got my attention, so

642
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:32,120
Speaker 1: I want to kind of be a little conservative with him. Okay,

643
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:37,799
Speaker 1: let's go running back prop here, because this guy, I mean,

644
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:41,360
Speaker 1: one of the hardest guys to project, I would say

645
00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:46,440
Speaker 1: in recent memory, Javonte Williams Monday night, which means a

646
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:49,680
Speaker 1: lot of people out there listening. I could have a

647
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 1: decision if they're you know, desper Hopefully you don't have

648
00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:55,480
Speaker 1: to be in this spot, but you know, there's I

649
00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:58,040
Speaker 1: know there's gonna be people out there like, do I,

650
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 1: you know, save Davante and play him on Monday night,

651
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:03,080
Speaker 1: or do I start somebody on on Thursday or Friday

652
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 1: or Sunday. So, oh man, let's go rushing. Let's go

653
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:11,359
Speaker 1: rushing yards because we know he's kind of a little

654
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:14,480
Speaker 1: more consistent into receiving it. But rushing, first of all,

655
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:16,960
Speaker 1: he needs to keep that hand and then he actually

656
00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:21,080
Speaker 1: needs to be efficient. So I'm gonna set his rushing

657
00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:25,879
Speaker 1: yardage line at tough one.

658
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:27,240
Speaker 2: I don't know why you're doing this to yourself.

659
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 1: Thirty three and a half.

660
00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:33,359
Speaker 2: Oh oh man, that's about where I would set it.

661
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:38,040
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go under. And my theory is that you

662
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:43,680
Speaker 2: just mentioned it. The hot hand approach, which means two

663
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:48,839
Speaker 2: thirds of his backfield will disappoint, so it's tougher to

664
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:52,239
Speaker 2: pick the guy that will go over. So I think

665
00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:55,960
Speaker 2: he has a lower floor than even we realize. But

666
00:35:56,040 --> 00:35:57,840
Speaker 2: that is a great line. That's about where I have it.

667
00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:01,440
Speaker 2: And I'm not sure sure what happened with bow Nick's

668
00:36:01,560 --> 00:36:05,960
Speaker 2: rushing upside, but yeah, that's another story. But uh, yeah,

669
00:36:06,120 --> 00:36:12,680
Speaker 2: like I'm looking at my projections, that's a good line. Yeah,

670
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:14,799
Speaker 2: I'm gonna stick with my under I'll take it.

671
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:19,200
Speaker 1: So bow Knicks, they've been, uh, he's been scrambling less

672
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 1: as he you know, kind of matures as a quarterback

673
00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 1: and you know, makes his reads, and they have been

674
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 1: calling fewer designed rush attempts, which again are very sticky.

675
00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:35,359
Speaker 1: So from weeks like, uh, weeks one through five, well,

676
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:39,680
Speaker 1: let's go one through seven, about just under ten percent

677
00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 1: of the designed uh runs, we're to bow Knicks, and

678
00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:48,840
Speaker 1: then from week eight on to the last five games

679
00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 1: that's down to just under five percent, including none last game.

680
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:55,600
Speaker 1: So uh, and he's only been scrambling. His scramble rate

681
00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:58,360
Speaker 1: has been you know, three percent or lower, and for

682
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:01,239
Speaker 1: the last five as well. In the first eight weeks

683
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:03,879
Speaker 1: of the season seven. Eight weeks of the season, Yeah,

684
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:05,960
Speaker 1: he was around ten percent. So he's just kind of

685
00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:08,759
Speaker 1: returning as a quarterback. And I mean the passing is

686
00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:12,759
Speaker 1: kind of making up for it the next but uh, I.

687
00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:16,359
Speaker 2: Forgot, like even even Marvin Mims is mixing in. So yeah,

688
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:19,839
Speaker 2: he plight run a potential Yeah yeah, like legit running back,

689
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 2: not like you know, jet sweet nonsense stuff like legit

690
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 2: lining up in the backfield. You have to squint to

691
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:28,479
Speaker 2: see who it is. But uh yeah, so like that's

692
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:30,839
Speaker 2: just one more person that could potentially get the hot hand.

693
00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:33,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, and they're given Burton like at least one short

694
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:34,919
Speaker 1: yardage carry every game.

695
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:38,880
Speaker 2: Now it's all right, are they offering this prop yet?

696
00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:40,520
Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna hammer this under.

697
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 1: Now, hey, I mean be careful with the Davante and

698
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:48,920
Speaker 1: just because the minute it's like, oh man, eighty yard

699
00:37:49,040 --> 00:37:51,440
Speaker 1: run and then he and he gets shared after that.

700
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:55,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, well I had his under nine and a half

701
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:58,319
Speaker 2: carries the other week and he finished with like one, so.

702
00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:04,120
Speaker 1: So weeks months yeah, like see, yeah he hasn't cred

703
00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:06,759
Speaker 1: nine three straight. Get he won nine and eight the

704
00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:11,239
Speaker 1: last three games that one yeah, one for one, nine

705
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,600
Speaker 1: for fifty nine and then eight for negative two. He

706
00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 1: has two games he's a starting running back in two

707
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:20,799
Speaker 1: of the last three games he's had one one or fewer. Unbelievable.

708
00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:23,000
Speaker 1: I mean, actually I kind of believe it.

709
00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:23,480
Speaker 2: I think I was.

710
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:27,560
Speaker 1: It was like one of my guys I was well on, Yeah, exactly, Yeah,

711
00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 1: all right, let's go to wide receiver. Top five.

712
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:39,560
Speaker 2: We got uh Jamar, Chase Hooka, Nakula, a Mona, Saint Brown,

713
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:41,640
Speaker 2: Nico Collins, and Cooper Cup.

714
00:38:42,200 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got Chase A, Mona, Nico Cup, Nkula. I'm

715
00:38:46,200 --> 00:38:49,279
Speaker 1: kind of miss Justin Jefferson. I was getting fomo Justin

716
00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:52,719
Speaker 1: Jefferson now, and I feel like he's gonna bounce back side.

717
00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:55,799
Speaker 1: I gotta kind of look at that. But it's hard

718
00:38:55,840 --> 00:38:59,120
Speaker 1: to fade any of these other guys, I mean, Cup, Nakula, Nico,

719
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:01,719
Speaker 1: I mean, these guys are just all so consistent, and

720
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 1: Jefferson has been a little mortal weightly. But I can

721
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:08,279
Speaker 1: see a big bounce back for JJ Cummin who are

722
00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:09,080
Speaker 1: high on though.

723
00:39:09,600 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 2: I'm high on Keenan Allen at Detroit this week. You know,

724
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:18,640
Speaker 2: everyone you know thinks the Bearers are disaster right now.

725
00:39:18,640 --> 00:39:20,480
Speaker 2: They're going to get smoked here by the Lions. But

726
00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:24,480
Speaker 2: I thought Caleb looked phenomenal at times last week. Actually,

727
00:39:24,520 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 2: he made some really good throws, So I have nothing

728
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,839
Speaker 2: wrong with Caleb and Keenan Allen starting to come on

729
00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:34,880
Speaker 2: after just dealing with injury after injury, it felt like

730
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:37,120
Speaker 2: the whole entire first half of the season. I think

731
00:39:37,160 --> 00:39:39,879
Speaker 2: he was playing through a lot of injuries. But he's

732
00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 2: looked a lot healthier, a lot better these past couples,

733
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:47,160
Speaker 2: and last week especially, he saw fifteen targets, nine catches,

734
00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:50,799
Speaker 2: eighty six yards and a touchdown. You know, really reliable

735
00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 2: weapon for Caleb. So I think he's gonna lean on

736
00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:56,080
Speaker 2: him again this week. And you know, the Lions defense

737
00:39:56,120 --> 00:39:58,680
Speaker 2: is more of a pass funnel one anyway, and they

738
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:00,399
Speaker 2: tend to allow just a ton of production because they're

739
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 2: always playing for the lead. But I just like Keenan's

740
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:06,560
Speaker 2: upside here. You know, the Lions have used man coverage

741
00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:10,200
Speaker 2: at the highest rate, and actually Keenan has actually only

742
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 2: been the only Bears pass catcher with a higher yards

743
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:16,240
Speaker 2: per route run against man coverages here, so he actually

744
00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:18,640
Speaker 2: gets a boost here as well based on the matchup.

745
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:20,879
Speaker 2: So he opens the week, you know as my wide

746
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 2: receiver twenty four and key and this entire passing attack

747
00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:26,359
Speaker 2: is definitely trending up for me right now.

748
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:29,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Keenan awen, he beats coverage. That's what

749
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:31,879
Speaker 1: he does. Even I mean he's not what he used

750
00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:35,360
Speaker 1: to be and I think what he not clear fifty

751
00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 1: yards until last week, but a lot of that was

752
00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:41,520
Speaker 1: there was a lot of just like misusage I think

753
00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:43,799
Speaker 1: with Waldron, I mean he had Keenan running routes. I

754
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:46,280
Speaker 1: felt like a dunes they should have run, and it's

755
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,080
Speaker 1: just everyone was not in their right role at all.

756
00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:51,200
Speaker 1: So you know, Thomas Brown has kind of just corrected

757
00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:54,480
Speaker 1: some of those easy things to correct and well and

758
00:40:54,520 --> 00:40:59,879
Speaker 1: behold Keenan now and more productive. I am high on

759
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:02,839
Speaker 1: we go from a former charger to a current charge

760
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:08,880
Speaker 1: Aladdin mcconkee, Laddie Kuh wide receiver twenty two in ECR.

761
00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:11,799
Speaker 1: He's my wide receiver twelve. I mean, I'm not trying

762
00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:13,759
Speaker 1: to fade this dude. I had him maybe like in

763
00:41:13,800 --> 00:41:16,160
Speaker 1: the mid teens last week because uh, you know, he

764
00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:20,280
Speaker 1: was questionable for Monday night. But yeah, he played played

765
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:25,840
Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of the pass plays and six catches

766
00:41:26,160 --> 00:41:28,960
Speaker 1: eighty three yards. He's their number one receiver. Clinton Johnston

767
00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:31,719
Speaker 1: kind of came back down to earth a little bit.

768
00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:35,640
Speaker 1: So McConkie's just gonna continue to dominate targets, I think.

769
00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:37,640
Speaker 1: And it's a guy another guy I think we were

770
00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 1: high on coming into the year. Just thought he had

771
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:42,279
Speaker 1: to pass be that number one receiver as soon as

772
00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:44,719
Speaker 1: this year, and he's kind of taken that and ran

773
00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:48,120
Speaker 1: run away with it. So McConkie has starting to be

774
00:41:48,560 --> 00:41:51,640
Speaker 1: one of the most consistent wide receivers, don't He said

775
00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:57,560
Speaker 1: maybe two bad games this whole year, last last few

776
00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:00,279
Speaker 1: games six for eighty three, six for one to twenty three,

777
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:02,920
Speaker 1: two for fifty two, five for sixty four, six for

778
00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:06,080
Speaker 1: one eleven and two five for forty six. So I

779
00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:09,719
Speaker 1: mean he's even when he's he's not having the greatest game,

780
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:12,000
Speaker 1: he's still going over fifty or catching at least five balls.

781
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:16,600
Speaker 1: So high floor, high ceiling receiver in a beatable matchup

782
00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:19,240
Speaker 1: against the Falcons, who are twenty seventh in DVOA against

783
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:23,319
Speaker 1: number one receivers, twenty seventh in schedule adjusted receiving yards

784
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:26,359
Speaker 1: per game allowed to number one receivers at seventy seven

785
00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:30,120
Speaker 1: point four per FTN SO love me some Lad McConkey.

786
00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:33,400
Speaker 1: This week, as usual, Hue loaned.

787
00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:38,760
Speaker 2: At wide receiver, Sean Deebo, Samuel you know, at Buffalo here.

788
00:42:40,040 --> 00:42:42,719
Speaker 2: You know, his production has really just started to fall

789
00:42:42,760 --> 00:42:46,400
Speaker 2: off the cliff recently. Last week didn't see a single

790
00:42:46,560 --> 00:42:48,640
Speaker 2: design rush attempt, which I thought, you know, he might

791
00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:52,279
Speaker 2: see a higher number of those, considering rock Perty was out.

792
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:55,600
Speaker 2: Why not you know, just feed Deebo and McCaffrey. They

793
00:42:55,600 --> 00:42:58,279
Speaker 2: didn't give him a single rush, So he now has

794
00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:01,120
Speaker 2: you know, minus one rushing yard over the past two weeks.

795
00:43:01,560 --> 00:43:04,120
Speaker 2: That's not good. And it's not like he's getting a

796
00:43:04,120 --> 00:43:08,000
Speaker 2: ton of receiving usage either, just forty three receiving yards.

797
00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:10,799
Speaker 1: Obviously he's gonna take meaning cover.

798
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:13,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, well, I think that's kind of my next

799
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:16,399
Speaker 2: point is he's always seen to struggle whenever I ukes

800
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:19,239
Speaker 2: out of the lineup, and I think it's just he

801
00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:22,200
Speaker 2: benefits from, you, you know, drawing attention away from the

802
00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:25,319
Speaker 2: defense and then opening up debo. So and you know,

803
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:28,239
Speaker 2: plus McCaffrey's back, those are going to be targets that

804
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:31,600
Speaker 2: potentially could have gone to debo as well. So Rock

805
00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 2: Purty's in danger of missing again. Could see Brandon Allen

806
00:43:34,160 --> 00:43:36,640
Speaker 2: under center again this week. The spread is now I'm

807
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:38,279
Speaker 2: hopefully I get this right. I think it's up to

808
00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:40,640
Speaker 2: like minus six and a half minus seven right now. Yeah,

809
00:43:40,800 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 2: so that's that's a bad sign. That is like eighty

810
00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:46,120
Speaker 2: percent chance Perty's not playing, is my takeaway from that.

811
00:43:46,719 --> 00:43:49,319
Speaker 2: So you know, he's a low end wide receiver. Three

812
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:53,200
Speaker 2: maybe you know, benchable if if Purdy is ruled out,

813
00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:55,560
Speaker 2: So if you have better options, like you might have

814
00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:57,040
Speaker 2: to use them this week. It might be scary to

815
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:59,360
Speaker 2: have Debo on your bench, but these past couple of

816
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:01,640
Speaker 2: games and spec actually I Brandon Allen's back under center.

817
00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:04,120
Speaker 2: You might have no choice right now.

818
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:07,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, Devo has been coasting on his like twenty twenty

819
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:12,480
Speaker 1: one season, yeah yeah, yeah, like I mean he hasn't Yeah,

820
00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:15,560
Speaker 1: he hasn't looked that great. I mean since then he

821
00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:17,520
Speaker 1: had that eighteen point two yards for catch that year,

822
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:22,439
Speaker 1: over fourteen hundred yards receiving, and since then it's it's

823
00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:24,319
Speaker 1: been kind of hit or missed. But this year, yeah,

824
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:27,960
Speaker 1: it's been bad. Twenty under twenty five yards receiving the

825
00:44:28,040 --> 00:44:32,839
Speaker 1: last two games and a goose egg when he got hurt.

826
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:37,000
Speaker 1: I mean maybe maybe the pneumonia is still I was

827
00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:40,000
Speaker 1: just recovering from that in like a week, right, I mean, yeah,

828
00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:43,840
Speaker 1: it has so, but it's yeah, I've just noticed he

829
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:45,759
Speaker 1: hasn't really been able to beat coverage, and he's more

830
00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:47,640
Speaker 1: of like a scheme guy. You know, when the Niners

831
00:44:47,680 --> 00:44:50,120
Speaker 1: are kind of clicking on offense and everyone else is

832
00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:52,120
Speaker 1: doing her thing, then you can kind of scheme him up.

833
00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:54,160
Speaker 1: But when he has to kind of go out there

834
00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:56,319
Speaker 1: and just beat one on one, it's a little bit

835
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:58,680
Speaker 1: more hit or miss. So, yeah, I haven't had a

836
00:44:58,719 --> 00:45:02,319
Speaker 1: wide receiver thirty five French for me too. I am

837
00:45:02,600 --> 00:45:08,560
Speaker 1: low on Terry McLaurin. Oh god, a week early. I

838
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:12,200
Speaker 1: mean you're almost right, I mean seconds, Yeah, I mean

839
00:45:12,239 --> 00:45:13,879
Speaker 1: I don't know how they keep doing this. I don't

840
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:16,080
Speaker 1: know how they keep doing it, but they do keep

841
00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:19,319
Speaker 1: doing it. But you know that what was an eighty

842
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:22,440
Speaker 1: two yard touchdown not a hail Mary, but essentially a

843
00:45:22,480 --> 00:45:25,960
Speaker 1: hail mary. You know that he had four catches for

844
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:27,759
Speaker 1: twenty yards and that's what he would have finished with

845
00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:31,839
Speaker 1: if not for that. And his underlying metrics are concerning.

846
00:45:32,520 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 1: His route rate is in the low eighties, sometimes even

847
00:45:36,640 --> 00:45:39,360
Speaker 1: in the high seventies, so he's not playing every single

848
00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:41,920
Speaker 1: snap the way some number one receivers do every game,

849
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:44,520
Speaker 1: and his target per route rate is down to about

850
00:45:44,520 --> 00:45:47,720
Speaker 1: twenty percent, which is for a number one ride receiver.

851
00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:50,360
Speaker 1: That's kind of like starter level, like entry level, like

852
00:45:50,520 --> 00:45:52,719
Speaker 1: you the good ones really are in, you know, mid

853
00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:56,279
Speaker 1: and high twenties. And earlier this year McLaurin was up

854
00:45:56,320 --> 00:45:58,640
Speaker 1: in twenty three, twenty four, but he's been kind of

855
00:45:58,640 --> 00:46:02,080
Speaker 1: ticking down, and this Washington office just hasn't been as

856
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:05,920
Speaker 1: consistent Cliff Kingsbury. One of the criticisms of his offense

857
00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:08,440
Speaker 1: has been a failure to kind of move guys around.

858
00:46:08,520 --> 00:46:11,759
Speaker 1: And you know, it's kind of easy to pick up

859
00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:14,200
Speaker 1: and scheme against us to get more tape on it,

860
00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:17,960
Speaker 1: and you know that seems like it's happening to Washington.

861
00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:21,719
Speaker 1: I mean, Dallas didn't have a hard time at all.

862
00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:23,399
Speaker 1: I know, I know they got healthier, but they didn't

863
00:46:23,400 --> 00:46:25,759
Speaker 1: have a hard time at all stopping Daniels in the

864
00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:27,440
Speaker 1: past game on early downs, I mean, how many times

865
00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:29,800
Speaker 1: did he just scramble out of bounds but two yards?

866
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:34,520
Speaker 1: So that's also hurting mclauren, is that because Daniels can scramble,

867
00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:38,279
Speaker 1: you're not getting you know, necessarily as many potential you know,

868
00:46:38,640 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 1: team targets, so low target, low target rate, low route rate,

869
00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:48,120
Speaker 1: not as many team targets as usual. It's just there's

870
00:46:48,120 --> 00:46:50,440
Speaker 1: a lot of variants. He's still got the high ceiling

871
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:52,280
Speaker 1: that he could go one hundred yards and two touchdowns,

872
00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:55,600
Speaker 1: but the floor is that four for twenty or that

873
00:46:55,719 --> 00:46:58,160
Speaker 1: Eagles game. So yeah, he's in. He's my wide receiver

874
00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:02,080
Speaker 1: twenty seven. This week he is number ten's that's side.

875
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:06,399
Speaker 2: And then well, yeah like that man I tried last week.

876
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:09,560
Speaker 2: I tried. I really this is making a really good

877
00:47:09,640 --> 00:47:14,200
Speaker 2: case for Quinion Mitchell's Defensive Player of the Year resume

878
00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:16,200
Speaker 2: as well, because he's the one that kind of held

879
00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:18,759
Speaker 2: him the one catch for ten yards one week. So

880
00:47:20,000 --> 00:47:23,640
Speaker 2: this is also a Queen on Mitchell, you know, positive

881
00:47:23,680 --> 00:47:24,160
Speaker 2: thing too.

882
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:29,120
Speaker 1: All right, hey, the you'll never guessed, but the Tennessee

883
00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:32,279
Speaker 1: Titans number one and schedule adjusted receiving yards per game

884
00:47:32,280 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 1: allowed to number one receivers forty four point six according

885
00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:40,160
Speaker 1: to FTN. So yeah, yeah, Titans aren't a bad defense.

886
00:47:40,440 --> 00:47:42,040
Speaker 1: That's that's another thing. So this is gonna be like

887
00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:44,840
Speaker 1: just the ugly game. It's not necessarily just like a

888
00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:48,360
Speaker 1: shred part type of game, So just a lower floor

889
00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:51,480
Speaker 1: and Cooper another guy a Maari Cooper. He is my

890
00:47:51,520 --> 00:47:54,399
Speaker 1: wide receiver sixty three. He is a wide receiver thirty

891
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:57,680
Speaker 1: eight consensus. I mean, first of all, the guy is

892
00:47:57,960 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 1: not completely held. He's the risk. He's got a risk injury.

893
00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:02,239
Speaker 1: I don't know if he'll be healthy all year. But

894
00:48:02,960 --> 00:48:05,359
Speaker 1: the Bills have a lot of moving parts, and we've

895
00:48:05,360 --> 00:48:09,359
Speaker 1: seen this with like these got like Hopkins, Deonte. You

896
00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:11,680
Speaker 1: can't just pencil him in for ninety percent route rate,

897
00:48:11,840 --> 00:48:14,319
Speaker 1: you know, like okay, he's just until we see it.

898
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:17,160
Speaker 1: We can't just assume it's gonna happen. Route rate is

899
00:48:17,200 --> 00:48:19,520
Speaker 1: another thing, very sticky, and Cooper's been in the fifties

900
00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:23,200
Speaker 1: and sixties, so uh, you know, Coleman could be back

901
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:27,680
Speaker 1: this week for Buffalo. You know, Samuel starting to play well, Hollins,

902
00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:30,640
Speaker 1: they still love you, got to give you care his snap.

903
00:48:30,760 --> 00:48:33,560
Speaker 1: So this could be one of those rotations where everyone's

904
00:48:33,600 --> 00:48:36,200
Speaker 1: in like the sixty percent, you know, for the rest

905
00:48:36,200 --> 00:48:37,640
Speaker 1: of the year because they want to spread it around.

906
00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:39,600
Speaker 1: So I just don't think you could trust Cooper like

907
00:48:39,640 --> 00:48:41,440
Speaker 1: we could, you know when he was getting you know,

908
00:48:41,520 --> 00:48:44,759
Speaker 1: ninety percent as the number one wide receiver. So yeah,

909
00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:46,839
Speaker 1: there's just a lot of other players. I think I've

910
00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 1: hired floors this week, all right wide receiver prop which

911
00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:50,640
Speaker 1: you got, Sean.

912
00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:54,920
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Jackson Smith and Jigba receiving yards

913
00:48:54,960 --> 00:48:58,160
Speaker 2: at the Jets. You know, like I said last week,

914
00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:01,360
Speaker 2: I think we're watching a thing fantasy stud you know,

915
00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:05,520
Speaker 2: having his true breakout. Finally, don't think enough people are

916
00:49:05,560 --> 00:49:07,920
Speaker 2: noticing it or talking about him, So like to bring

917
00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:11,120
Speaker 2: him up whenever I can. But my conference is aman

918
00:49:11,239 --> 00:49:13,880
Speaker 2: Ross Saint Brown if he if he does hit his ceiling,

919
00:49:14,200 --> 00:49:16,200
Speaker 2: and they have if you look at their numbers, they're

920
00:49:16,360 --> 00:49:19,880
Speaker 2: very similar. This year, Amana has five more touchdowns. Obviously

921
00:49:19,920 --> 00:49:22,880
Speaker 2: that's extremely important and fantasy. But when it comes to

922
00:49:22,920 --> 00:49:26,400
Speaker 2: like receptions receiving yards, jays Ed is right there with him,

923
00:49:26,480 --> 00:49:30,439
Speaker 2: so curious to hear where your projection is for him

924
00:49:30,440 --> 00:49:32,239
Speaker 2: and a you know, a tougher matchup, but he does

925
00:49:32,280 --> 00:49:34,640
Speaker 2: play in the slot, so should still get his here.

926
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:38,760
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with sixty four and a half receiving yards.

927
00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:44,240
Speaker 1: That's probably gonna put me under yep, that's that puts

928
00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:48,239
Speaker 1: me under. I am at fifty seven, so I have

929
00:49:48,320 --> 00:49:51,720
Speaker 1: him five point three catches but averaging just under eleven

930
00:49:51,719 --> 00:49:55,240
Speaker 1: a catch. So he's one of those guys that he

931
00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:57,400
Speaker 1: he's like a lower a little bit of lower a

932
00:49:57,560 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 1: do and just lower yard per catch kind of guy.

933
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:02,000
Speaker 1: So his catches are up in you know, like five

934
00:50:02,040 --> 00:50:04,319
Speaker 1: catches is a lot of catches over five. But yeah,

935
00:50:04,440 --> 00:50:07,680
Speaker 1: the yardage, I'm I'm still under and I mean who knows,

936
00:50:07,680 --> 00:50:09,640
Speaker 1: like the Steaks defense is better, so who knows how

937
00:50:09,640 --> 00:50:11,680
Speaker 1: the game script is gonna go on this one. But sure,

938
00:50:12,239 --> 00:50:17,640
Speaker 1: yeah he's he's he's actually my wide receiver twenty five

939
00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:18,040
Speaker 1: this week?

940
00:50:18,560 --> 00:50:18,880
Speaker 2: Are you?

941
00:50:19,320 --> 00:50:20,560
Speaker 1: Is he in your top twenty still?

942
00:50:21,120 --> 00:50:24,799
Speaker 2: No, No, he's my wide receiver twenty two. Okay, yea, yeah,

943
00:50:24,800 --> 00:50:29,600
Speaker 2: I'm not projecting. I think you were lower on Gino. Yeah, yeah,

944
00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 2: I'm similar, just not as much passing yards this week.

945
00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:34,799
Speaker 2: Plus I don't the Jets might just give up who knows,

946
00:50:35,760 --> 00:50:38,120
Speaker 2: so they might be a little bit more run heavy

947
00:50:38,160 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 2: this week. So yeah, I just don't have as much

948
00:50:39,640 --> 00:50:41,560
Speaker 2: yards to go round. So that's why I am a

949
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:43,680
Speaker 2: little bit lower on him this week. But long term, man,

950
00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:45,040
Speaker 2: I am really high on this guy.

951
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:48,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, he looks great out there, but yeah, I mean,

952
00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:51,080
Speaker 1: he could still he could still be very productive even

953
00:50:51,120 --> 00:50:53,120
Speaker 1: if he goes under that that line, just because he

954
00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:55,920
Speaker 1: does rack up the catches. Before we move on, a

955
00:50:56,000 --> 00:50:59,480
Speaker 1: quick word from our friends that Hello Fresh. Hello Fresh

956
00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:03,960
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957
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958
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959
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960
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961
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Speaker 1: riding with a heavy public favorite. Maybe you want to

962
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963
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964
00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:30,000
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965
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966
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967
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968
00:51:40,800 --> 00:51:44,200
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969
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Speaker 1: accompany the fall football season. Sean, I know you're not

970
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Speaker 1: projecting yards per route run you rocking with Hello Fresh?

971
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:53,959
Speaker 1: Why do you like it so much?

972
00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:56,440
Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean we're in the middle of the NFL season,

973
00:51:56,480 --> 00:51:58,440
Speaker 2: so I don't have time to meal plan or go

974
00:51:58,480 --> 00:52:00,680
Speaker 2: to the grocery store even think about out, you know,

975
00:52:00,760 --> 00:52:03,759
Speaker 2: making food, but they have everything ready to go. So

976
00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:07,279
Speaker 2: I do find it like therapeutic to take time off

977
00:52:07,320 --> 00:52:10,120
Speaker 2: looking at routes, run data and you know, target sharing

978
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:12,719
Speaker 2: things like that to actually make my food, and you

979
00:52:12,760 --> 00:52:16,000
Speaker 2: know they're step by step instructions, make it easier than

980
00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:19,279
Speaker 2: playing Brian Thomas Junior in DFS anytime he's under five K.

981
00:52:19,440 --> 00:52:20,239
Speaker 2: So I love it.

982
00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:23,760
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983
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984
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985
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986
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987
00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:46,680
Speaker 1: America's number one meal kit all right, tight end Top

988
00:52:46,719 --> 00:52:48,480
Speaker 1: five Week thirteen. Who you got Sean.

989
00:52:48,880 --> 00:52:53,360
Speaker 2: Taysom Hill, just kidding, I wish Travis Kelcey, Trey McBride,

990
00:52:53,960 --> 00:52:58,200
Speaker 2: then Taysom Hill, then Evan Ingram and Brock Bauers.

991
00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:03,720
Speaker 1: I got Kelsey, Bowers, McBride, Taysom and a new entrant

992
00:53:03,880 --> 00:53:07,160
Speaker 1: in fit a while Sam Laporta. Oh there you go,

993
00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:11,800
Speaker 1: welcome back. Yeah right, yeah, yeah, the route rate was

994
00:53:11,840 --> 00:53:17,239
Speaker 1: back up, so yeah, feel pretty good about him. Who

995
00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:19,840
Speaker 1: are you high on at tight end this week?

996
00:53:20,320 --> 00:53:24,720
Speaker 2: I'm high on Hunter Henry, you know, similar to Will Disley.

997
00:53:24,880 --> 00:53:28,120
Speaker 2: He's not somebody that you know, many people drafted as

998
00:53:28,120 --> 00:53:31,560
Speaker 2: a tight end one, but he's been offering steady, low

999
00:53:31,640 --> 00:53:34,279
Speaker 2: end tight end one value for a while now. Now

1000
00:53:34,400 --> 00:53:36,720
Speaker 2: has five more catches in five the last six games.

1001
00:53:37,560 --> 00:53:41,400
Speaker 2: The underlying usage definitely supports it. You know, the Patriots

1002
00:53:41,400 --> 00:53:43,640
Speaker 2: wide receiver rotation has been a mess. I know we

1003
00:53:43,640 --> 00:53:46,879
Speaker 2: were talking. We're trying to talk about him. Kendrick Bourne

1004
00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:50,160
Speaker 2: before convinced me. Very murky situation with the wide receivers,

1005
00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:52,720
Speaker 2: but tight end not so much. And even Austin Hooper's

1006
00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:56,920
Speaker 2: doing great too, so like both Patriot tight ends, but

1007
00:53:56,960 --> 00:53:59,800
Speaker 2: Henry's the only one we care about for fantasy and

1008
00:53:59,880 --> 00:54:02,360
Speaker 2: he only has one touchdown this year. That's gotta change.

1009
00:54:02,400 --> 00:54:06,040
Speaker 2: He's gonna be one of Drake May's top red zone weapons,

1010
00:54:06,040 --> 00:54:09,760
Speaker 2: so he's gonna be due for more touchdown regression going forward.

1011
00:54:10,040 --> 00:54:12,520
Speaker 2: This is also a good matchup against the Colts. You know,

1012
00:54:12,560 --> 00:54:16,760
Speaker 2: they use zone at the highest rate Son. Henry gets

1013
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:19,120
Speaker 2: like a slight boost with that, But yeah, he's my

1014
00:54:19,280 --> 00:54:22,640
Speaker 2: tight end twelve this week. Just been very steady at

1015
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:26,719
Speaker 2: a very unpredictable and volvable positions. So if you've been

1016
00:54:26,719 --> 00:54:28,879
Speaker 2: in roll with Henry, you know, no reason to stop now.

1017
00:54:28,920 --> 00:54:31,680
Speaker 2: He's been so solid and so consistent for quite some

1018
00:54:31,760 --> 00:54:32,160
Speaker 2: time now.

1019
00:54:32,600 --> 00:54:36,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's essentially, I mean kind of a cod number

1020
00:54:36,280 --> 00:54:40,200
Speaker 1: one receiver because I mean Douglass doesn't play on all

1021
00:54:40,320 --> 00:54:42,319
Speaker 1: the he doesn't play on some of the formations, some

1022
00:54:42,320 --> 00:54:45,000
Speaker 1: of the heavier formations, So Henry's always out there.

1023
00:54:46,080 --> 00:54:47,840
Speaker 2: Uh, I am.

1024
00:54:47,760 --> 00:54:50,799
Speaker 1: Higher John U John new Smith, he is inside my

1025
00:54:50,880 --> 00:54:54,279
Speaker 1: top ten going up against the Green Bay Packers, who

1026
00:54:54,280 --> 00:54:58,000
Speaker 1: are bottom three in DVOA. Against tight ends, John who

1027
00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:03,120
Speaker 1: has been just just looking amazing out there and just

1028
00:55:03,160 --> 00:55:05,560
Speaker 1: putting up numbers each and every week. They're they're they're

1029
00:55:05,800 --> 00:55:08,160
Speaker 1: trying to find them in the run game. They're two

1030
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:11,439
Speaker 1: is targeting them nine catches eighty seven and a tuddy

1031
00:55:11,560 --> 00:55:14,560
Speaker 1: last week on eleven targets, got a rushing attempt as

1032
00:55:14,600 --> 00:55:16,839
Speaker 1: well the week before that six for one oh one

1033
00:55:16,880 --> 00:55:21,520
Speaker 1: and two touchdowns on eight targets. Uh, and then a

1034
00:55:21,520 --> 00:55:25,720
Speaker 1: couple solid you know, forty five forty six yard games

1035
00:55:25,960 --> 00:55:29,839
Speaker 1: a couple weeks before that. So John new smith Man,

1036
00:55:30,040 --> 00:55:33,680
Speaker 1: I mean he is he is just stepping it up,

1037
00:55:33,840 --> 00:55:35,879
Speaker 1: and he might be he's he's looking like a league

1038
00:55:35,880 --> 00:55:39,319
Speaker 1: winner down the stretch. I mean, he just looks he's

1039
00:55:39,360 --> 00:55:42,560
Speaker 1: passing an eye test. So I love him this week.

1040
00:55:42,600 --> 00:55:46,799
Speaker 1: Wouldn't be afraid to use him at all. Uh who

1041
00:55:46,920 --> 00:55:48,480
Speaker 1: long at tight end?

1042
00:55:49,040 --> 00:55:52,280
Speaker 2: I'm long Cole Comet, and you know he's somebody. I

1043
00:55:52,280 --> 00:55:55,040
Speaker 2: actually took his over two and a half receptions last week.

1044
00:55:55,200 --> 00:55:59,239
Speaker 2: Uh cleared it with ease and with seven catches. And

1045
00:55:59,560 --> 00:56:01,760
Speaker 2: you know part of that is the new offensive coordinator,

1046
00:56:01,800 --> 00:56:05,000
Speaker 2: Thomas Brown, is just using him as like a workhorse

1047
00:56:05,040 --> 00:56:08,880
Speaker 2: tight end. You know the Gerald Everett situation. You know,

1048
00:56:08,960 --> 00:56:12,520
Speaker 2: he came over to the Bears from Seattle with Shane Waldron.

1049
00:56:12,560 --> 00:56:15,080
Speaker 2: So ever since they fired Shane Waldron, Joeld Everett's not

1050
00:56:15,080 --> 00:56:19,439
Speaker 2: really playing. It's been all Comet. But his comets target

1051
00:56:19,520 --> 00:56:21,920
Speaker 2: rate has been a concern recently. You know, last week

1052
00:56:21,960 --> 00:56:24,279
Speaker 2: he did see a ton of targets, but it has

1053
00:56:24,320 --> 00:56:26,600
Speaker 2: been a concerning trend. And this is just a tougher

1054
00:56:26,640 --> 00:56:29,960
Speaker 2: matchup against the Lions, who have been solid against tight ends,

1055
00:56:30,000 --> 00:56:31,560
Speaker 2: and I think a lot of that's due to just

1056
00:56:31,600 --> 00:56:34,720
Speaker 2: they play man coverage at the highest rate and comets

1057
00:56:34,800 --> 00:56:38,040
Speaker 2: the Bears pass catcher that has seen the biggest dropoff

1058
00:56:38,520 --> 00:56:41,160
Speaker 2: and yards per route run against me on coverage this year.

1059
00:56:41,239 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 2: So I kind of like him long term, still like

1060
00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:45,680
Speaker 2: he's getting a ton of playing time. But this is

1061
00:56:45,719 --> 00:56:48,440
Speaker 2: a spot where there's just so many good tight ends

1062
00:56:48,480 --> 00:56:51,080
Speaker 2: this week, like you know, John new Smith, Hunter, Henry

1063
00:56:52,719 --> 00:56:57,239
Speaker 2: Hawkinson's back, Disley, like all these guys. So he's all

1064
00:56:57,280 --> 00:56:59,120
Speaker 2: the way down to tight end twenty one. But I

1065
00:56:59,120 --> 00:57:02,520
Speaker 2: think in better matchups and more, you know weeks, we're

1066
00:57:02,520 --> 00:57:04,839
Speaker 2: gonna have a sixteen bye week next week he might

1067
00:57:04,840 --> 00:57:07,840
Speaker 2: be back and you know, the tight end one discussion,

1068
00:57:07,880 --> 00:57:09,920
Speaker 2: but right now he's outside my top twenty as my

1069
00:57:09,960 --> 00:57:10,799
Speaker 2: tight end twenty one.

1070
00:57:12,200 --> 00:57:14,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, lines are I mean, they got all those good safeties,

1071
00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:18,040
Speaker 1: still got linebackers that can cover even with some injuries.

1072
00:57:18,120 --> 00:57:20,600
Speaker 1: So yeah, it is a tough matchup. Got to kind

1073
00:57:20,600 --> 00:57:23,080
Speaker 1: of hope for some garbage time or something like that

1074
00:57:23,640 --> 00:57:27,920
Speaker 1: probably to get him over. I'm on David Najoku this

1075
00:57:28,000 --> 00:57:30,720
Speaker 1: week a little bit. He is my tight end eight,

1076
00:57:30,760 --> 00:57:34,400
Speaker 1: he's top five in UCR, but Denver is a really

1077
00:57:34,400 --> 00:57:37,040
Speaker 1: tough matchup of tight ends as well their numbers. I

1078
00:57:37,040 --> 00:57:39,560
Speaker 1: think Detroit number one in DVO and Denver is number two.

1079
00:57:40,280 --> 00:57:43,040
Speaker 1: And Denver also plays man cover. He got a top

1080
00:57:43,040 --> 00:57:46,680
Speaker 1: five rate and Najoku sixteen point seven targets per route

1081
00:57:46,720 --> 00:57:51,560
Speaker 1: rate versus man, nineteen point six versus zone. But since

1082
00:57:51,640 --> 00:57:55,760
Speaker 1: Jamis took over, he's been targeted under eleven percent of

1083
00:57:55,800 --> 00:57:59,720
Speaker 1: the time on his routes against man coverage. Twenty percent

1084
00:58:00,080 --> 00:58:02,560
Speaker 1: we double when its zone coverage. And that's most tight

1085
00:58:02,680 --> 00:58:05,240
Speaker 1: ends are gonna be like that, because you know, even

1086
00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:08,960
Speaker 1: a guy is athletic, is Nadjoku kind of a size

1087
00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:12,880
Speaker 1: speed freak. Still, you're you're like, they're you're gonna want

1088
00:58:12,880 --> 00:58:14,360
Speaker 1: to find them in zones, Like they're not gonna just

1089
00:58:14,360 --> 00:58:18,720
Speaker 1: be out there beating uh safeties and even linebackers consistently,

1090
00:58:18,840 --> 00:58:20,560
Speaker 1: or that's not the matchup. We're gonna want to target

1091
00:58:20,640 --> 00:58:22,320
Speaker 1: man covered, You're gonna want to go to your receivers.

1092
00:58:22,360 --> 00:58:26,680
Speaker 1: So yeah, the Browns receivers are trending up. I just

1093
00:58:26,720 --> 00:58:28,960
Speaker 1: think this is gonna be a tough matchup. Low floor

1094
00:58:29,360 --> 00:58:32,160
Speaker 1: spot for in joke. Obviously you could always save it

1095
00:58:32,200 --> 00:58:34,360
Speaker 1: with a touchdown. Or a big play, but I don't

1096
00:58:34,360 --> 00:58:37,520
Speaker 1: think he's top five floor safe this week. All right,

1097
00:58:37,600 --> 00:58:41,360
Speaker 1: let's close it out with the prop four tight ends.

1098
00:58:42,480 --> 00:58:51,080
Speaker 1: Let's go with gotta go Taysom Hill. Uh, here we go, yep, but'

1099
00:58:51,200 --> 00:58:57,000
Speaker 1: see okay we do rush. Yeah, let's do rush, pass, rush,

1100
00:58:57,040 --> 00:58:57,680
Speaker 1: and receiving.

1101
00:58:57,960 --> 00:59:00,360
Speaker 2: Okay, so pass passing yards are in all.

1102
00:59:00,320 --> 00:59:03,680
Speaker 1: Right, yep, yep, yep, okay, just totally right yard age,

1103
00:59:04,280 --> 00:59:06,720
Speaker 1: let's go with. This is tough.

1104
00:59:09,000 --> 00:59:11,960
Speaker 2: I have my number written down, so if you're close,

1105
00:59:12,000 --> 00:59:14,520
Speaker 2: as as usual, I'm gonna I'm gonna prove it.

1106
00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:17,960
Speaker 1: Let's go fifty one and a half.

1107
00:59:18,120 --> 00:59:21,160
Speaker 2: Oh, it looks like you're making a like a like

1108
00:59:21,200 --> 00:59:23,800
Speaker 2: a five, so I think I was going over. I

1109
00:59:23,800 --> 00:59:27,920
Speaker 2: have sixty three and a half, okay, including the passing

1110
00:59:28,000 --> 00:59:31,440
Speaker 2: yards like it's really just like the more markets you include,

1111
00:59:31,480 --> 00:59:34,080
Speaker 2: the more likely you're gonna catch like an explosive play.

1112
00:59:34,280 --> 00:59:38,320
Speaker 2: So very true. It's just gonna be higher. But he

1113
00:59:38,520 --> 00:59:41,439
Speaker 2: is almost impossible to project because he can go way

1114
00:59:41,480 --> 00:59:43,960
Speaker 2: over this. You might go way under this, who knows,

1115
00:59:44,000 --> 00:59:46,800
Speaker 2: but that's a good line. Just give me the overs.

1116
00:59:46,840 --> 00:59:49,760
Speaker 2: But like the Rams, this is a good matchup for him,

1117
00:59:49,800 --> 00:59:52,720
Speaker 2: so I'll happily take the over here.

1118
00:59:54,040 --> 00:59:56,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's uh, I think sixty is right

1119
00:59:56,960 --> 01:00:00,440
Speaker 1: around his season averager sixty sixty one. But yeah, it's

1120
01:00:00,480 --> 01:00:04,640
Speaker 1: there's so much variance that's tough get a projection for him.

1121
01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:06,240
Speaker 1: But yeah, he is a he's a top five seent

1122
01:00:06,280 --> 01:00:09,400
Speaker 1: in this week people. All right, that is gonna do

1123
01:00:09,400 --> 01:00:12,000
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