WEBVTT - Preparing for Potential Coronavirus U.S. Outbreak

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're here every day bringing you the latest

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<v Speaker 1>news from the world's of business and finance, plus technology, politics, economics,

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<v Speaker 1>all harnessing the power of Bloomberg Business Week reporters and editors,

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<v Speaker 1>not to mention our hundred journalists and analysts more than

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred and twenty countries. You can download Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot Com. You can

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<v Speaker 1>also listen to our radio show weekdays at two pm

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<v Speaker 1>Eastern only on Bloomberg Radio. Let me throw out some

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<v Speaker 1>numbers for you. More than eight two thousand hundred coronavirus

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<v Speaker 1>cases they have been reported, with more new cases being

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<v Speaker 1>reported outside China than within the country for the first time,

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<v Speaker 1>highlighting the spread of the epidemic. Now, the first US

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<v Speaker 1>case of the virus was confirmed in Washington State at

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<v Speaker 1>Providence Regional Medical Center in Everett. That hospital is part

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<v Speaker 1>of the twenty five billion dollar Providence St. Joseph Health System,

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<v Speaker 1>which includes fifty one hospitals, more than eight hundred clinics,

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<v Speaker 1>and a hundred fifteen thousand caregivers. Dr Amy Compton Phillips

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<v Speaker 1>is chief clinical officer an executive vice president at Providence St.

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<v Speaker 1>Joseph Health Health, and she joins us on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>from Everett, Washington. UM. Dr Compton Phillips, nice to have

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<v Speaker 1>you here with Jason and myself. So how do you

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<v Speaker 1>now prepare for maybe what's expected in the US and

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<v Speaker 1>what are your expectations for the virus spread here in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States? Thanks so much for asking. Our expectation

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<v Speaker 1>out here is that this virus is now circulating in

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<v Speaker 1>the community and we need to be prepared for for

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<v Speaker 1>in FLUXI patients with symptoms UM. And so that includes

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<v Speaker 1>making sure that that UM all of those access points

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<v Speaker 1>in the community, so doctor's offices, we have express care clinics,

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<v Speaker 1>and Walgreens, we have urgent cares. All of those need

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<v Speaker 1>to be prepared for people with symptoms UM. So we're

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<v Speaker 1>really revving up our capacity not only to take care

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<v Speaker 1>of patients when they come in, but also our online

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<v Speaker 1>capabilities helping people have access to care through phone and

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<v Speaker 1>through video visits so that they can get care from

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<v Speaker 1>home and minimize the risk of transmitting the virus further UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And then in our acute care hospitals we're making sure

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<v Speaker 1>we're prepared not only to keep patients isolated as we

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<v Speaker 1>need to with any person with infections with that can

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<v Speaker 1>be transmitted through respiratory droplets, um, but also who may

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<v Speaker 1>need more intensive care, so with respirators and ventilators and

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<v Speaker 1>and more acute services. So it really is an all

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<v Speaker 1>out attempt to make sure that we're ready and able

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<v Speaker 1>to care for patients should this get significantly out of control.

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<v Speaker 1>So Dr Cometon Phillips, obviously there's a whole lot of information,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of misinformation out there. Help us understand just

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<v Speaker 1>as sort of human beings in the world, what should

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<v Speaker 1>we be doing. What are you advising folks to do

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<v Speaker 1>to to minimize it, but but also to sort of

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<v Speaker 1>deal with this as this potentially spreads. Sure, well, I

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<v Speaker 1>think the key thing is, right now, don't panic. It's

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<v Speaker 1>one case. Does not mean you know, we have an

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<v Speaker 1>epidemic here in the US. Um, it is like a

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<v Speaker 1>very bad flu bug and people we've been dealing with

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<v Speaker 1>the flu, and nobody is afraid of the flu, right, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>so is this much worse than the flu? I think

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<v Speaker 1>that's what we're trying to understand a little bit. It

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<v Speaker 1>is a more severe version. Um So, it causes very

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<v Speaker 1>similar symptoms. It causes fever, headache, cost shortness of breath.

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<v Speaker 1>Um it's just so far in the statistics out of China,

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<v Speaker 1>which we'll see if they play out here in the States.

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<v Speaker 1>Um that of the people who get this infection about

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<v Speaker 1>get a severe case. Um So it goes from from

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<v Speaker 1>the average flue symptoms to having a cost of severe

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<v Speaker 1>and short espress of severe you actually need supplemental oxygen

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<v Speaker 1>um and in two and a half percent around the

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<v Speaker 1>more between two and three percent of cases, it gets

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<v Speaker 1>so severe causes death. Um So, one in five patients

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<v Speaker 1>getting this infection in China needed needed much more acute treatment.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's significantly worse than the the statistics in most years.

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<v Speaker 1>Um So, it is like a very very virulent proof.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the challenges is that, um, you know, most

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<v Speaker 1>of us don't have antibodies to this version of coronavirus,

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<v Speaker 1>and so being a novel infection, there's not any kind

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<v Speaker 1>of what we would call herd immunity around where people

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<v Speaker 1>are are more resistant to this journ and so and

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<v Speaker 1>you described a little bit of what you guys are

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<v Speaker 1>doing at your facilities. Um. You know, what should people

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<v Speaker 1>expect if they go into a doctor's office or a

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<v Speaker 1>hospital in terms of how they may be quarantined or

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<v Speaker 1>how they may be treated. Yeah, what we have been

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<v Speaker 1>doing up until yesterday is asking about travel history and

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<v Speaker 1>and if you if you have been traveling, We've been

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<v Speaker 1>asking you in h year isolated. If you're traveling and

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<v Speaker 1>have symptoms, we would also um uh put you in

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<v Speaker 1>a specific kind of isolation rooms, including negative pressure rooms,

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<v Speaker 1>so that we could do a test safely and send

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<v Speaker 1>that test off to the CDC UM or or to

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<v Speaker 1>the state departments, depending on where we are, if the

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<v Speaker 1>state department has capacity, UM, so that we could actually

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<v Speaker 1>do this new test for for COVID nineteen UM. That said,

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<v Speaker 1>now that now that we have at least one confirmed

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<v Speaker 1>case in the US, UM, we're working with the CDC

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<v Speaker 1>and with our departments of health in each state to

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<v Speaker 1>say how broadly do we need to be testing patients

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<v Speaker 1>here on the West Coast, which tends to be UM

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<v Speaker 1>ground zero for infections that are coming over from the

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<v Speaker 1>Pacific rim. I mean, have we learned something from treating

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<v Speaker 1>that first patient that you guys, UM that actually was

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<v Speaker 1>in your hospital system. We we have UM We've learned

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of things. One is that in our first patient,

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<v Speaker 1>and now we've treated several patients, but in our first patient, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>he actually didn't quite well for several days and then

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<v Speaker 1>to return for the worst UM. And so we know

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<v Speaker 1>that we can't just we can't just write it off

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<v Speaker 1>and say you're going to be fine. We actually are

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<v Speaker 1>are being a little more cautious and watching people, so

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<v Speaker 1>we know what the natural history of this new disease

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<v Speaker 1>looks like. UM. And the second thing is that we

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<v Speaker 1>were again in conjunction with the CDC and and UM

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<v Speaker 1>several several of our national international experts, UM, we were

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<v Speaker 1>able to get him access to an experimental drugs which

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<v Speaker 1>made a big difference in his care. All Right, listen,

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<v Speaker 1>we really enjoyed UM talking to you and getting UM

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<v Speaker 1>your firsthand experience with all of this. So much appreciated,

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<v Speaker 1>and I know our viewers and listeners appreciated as well.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Amy Compton Phillips, chief Clinical Officer and Executive vice

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<v Speaker 1>President of Providence St. Joseph Health Health, on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>from Everett, Washington. All right, so to me, this is

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<v Speaker 1>one of the stories of our time. In many ways,

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<v Speaker 1>the expansion of access to different kinds of investments, and

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<v Speaker 1>we talked so much about it. We talked about the

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<v Speaker 1>private markets, the public markets, and and it's really an

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<v Speaker 1>important question as we think about our own retirement, as

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<v Speaker 1>we think about institutional versus retail for yield in a

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<v Speaker 1>low yield environment. Absolutely so, right at the heart of it.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh is in this discussion, as often is, is near

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<v Speaker 1>a case our columnist for Bloomberg Opinion joining us on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone from Washington, d C. And you're great to

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<v Speaker 1>have you back with us. Thanks for having me, Jason.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, so give us the set up here. I

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<v Speaker 1>love the headline, mom and pop should be free to

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<v Speaker 1>skip private equity, which is sort of a provocative statement

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<v Speaker 1>in the sense that private equity really wants these guys.

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<v Speaker 1>And there's also been this sense that retail investors want

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<v Speaker 1>to get a piece of this. You have a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit of a different take. Yeah, I mean, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a yeah, there's a movement now to try to

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<v Speaker 1>democratize private equity. Um. You know, I make an observation

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<v Speaker 1>in the column, which is that you know, if you

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<v Speaker 1>if you say to people, market should be available to everyone.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, everyone should have equal access to market. That

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<v Speaker 1>would be a pretty you know, banal statement in most respect,

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<v Speaker 1>but when it comes to investing, it's hugely controversial because

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<v Speaker 1>we have this idea that we need to put gates

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<v Speaker 1>around certain investments to protect ordinary investors from themselves, because

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<v Speaker 1>they're presumably not sophisticated enough to to have access to

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<v Speaker 1>certain corners of the market. That includes private equity, that

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<v Speaker 1>includes hedge funds and other in other places. The problem

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<v Speaker 1>is that these gates eventually come down. They don't last forever.

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<v Speaker 1>And we're talking now about giving access to ordinary investors

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<v Speaker 1>private equity, which I support, but inevitably what happens is

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<v Speaker 1>these gates come down too long. It takes too long

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<v Speaker 1>for these gates to come down, and they come down

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<v Speaker 1>after everyone else has feasted. And in this case, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>private equity has been usually successful for the last three decades.

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<v Speaker 1>Valuations are very high, and I worry that ordinary investors

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be invited at the party just in

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<v Speaker 1>time to get hurt. Well, that's what I love, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you know how we kind of look for peaks in

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<v Speaker 1>the market and signs, and I feel like Sam's l

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<v Speaker 1>sold his reat, you know, just ahead of the financial

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<v Speaker 1>a crisis and mortgage melt out were like, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>that was a peak. I do wonder if we talk

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<v Speaker 1>about so much money that has been, um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>gathered by the private equity firms. We talked about all

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<v Speaker 1>the dry powder that they have, and I do wonder

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<v Speaker 1>if it's you know, a sign also along with the

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<v Speaker 1>reaching out to more regular investors, that maybe it's a

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<v Speaker 1>sign of the pe top I think it is, Carol.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's there's two different ways I think you

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<v Speaker 1>could look at that. One is just objectively at the numbers.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, you look at the valuations pe there twice

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<v Speaker 1>what they were twenty years ago, UM and also obviously

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<v Speaker 1>relies heavily on leverage, and for the last three decades

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<v Speaker 1>you had this secular trend of interest rates going from

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<v Speaker 1>you know, very very high levels in the in the

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<v Speaker 1>mid to late nineteen eighties to what they are now,

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<v Speaker 1>which is on the floor. And when you take away

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<v Speaker 1>those head winds, it's just difficult to see how private

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<v Speaker 1>equity is going to be able to put up the

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<v Speaker 1>numbers that it has in the past. And when you

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<v Speaker 1>look at projections for private equity going forward, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>there are some some people who think that returns are

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<v Speaker 1>going to be even lower than what you're going to

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<v Speaker 1>get from the S and P, which itself is not

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<v Speaker 1>particularly cheap. But there's also to your point, Carol, there's

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<v Speaker 1>also this mechanism, this is stealing that you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>smart money knows what it's doing and and and when

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<v Speaker 1>it when it owns rich assets, you know, maybe the

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<v Speaker 1>thing to do is to is to dump it on

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<v Speaker 1>unsuspecting ordinary investors. And so there's a feeling that that's

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<v Speaker 1>happening to right. Well, it's interesting too, and here I

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<v Speaker 1>think you point out point this out in your calm

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<v Speaker 1>as well, that not all private equity is created equal

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<v Speaker 1>to and and sort of ripping on your lead with

0:10:39.280 --> 0:10:41.959
<v Speaker 1>your your ground show marks quote about I don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to belong dating club that would have me as a member.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, part of it is which private equity funds

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<v Speaker 1>you could get into, because the really exclusive ones maybe

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<v Speaker 1>they don't want to make room, you know, for other investors,

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<v Speaker 1>because they've got all the money that they need. So

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<v Speaker 1>not everyone's created equal here, right, that's right, And I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's where you really have to distinguish, because you know,

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<v Speaker 1>in private equity and particularly adventure, there's a big difference

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<v Speaker 1>in the distribution of return um if you look at

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<v Speaker 1>if you look at, for example, what the returns of

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<v Speaker 1>the most successful private equity investors get, it's it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>orders of magnitude greater than what the than what sort

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<v Speaker 1>of like the average private equity returns are. And so

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<v Speaker 1>there is also there there is also the feeling that

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<v Speaker 1>as private equity proliferate, as fun proliferate, that to the

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<v Speaker 1>except that they're going to be available to ordinary investors,

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<v Speaker 1>or the ordinary investors are not going to get the

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<v Speaker 1>top of the line access exactly. That's a further problem.

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<v Speaker 1>All Right, we're gonna leave it. They're always good to

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<v Speaker 1>catch up with. You love your columns in Your kids

0:11:44.640 --> 0:11:53.960
<v Speaker 1>are columnists for bloom Grade Opinion, founder of Unison Advisors. Yeah,

0:11:54.000 --> 0:11:57.440
<v Speaker 1>and that's exactly what abortion clinics are facing. They're getting

0:11:57.480 --> 0:12:01.640
<v Speaker 1>nickel and dimed out of business. This is a fascinating story.

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<v Speaker 1>It's my must read in Bloomberg Business Week magazine. Rebecca

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<v Speaker 1>Greenfield is in charge of the diversity coverage here at

0:12:07.520 --> 0:12:10.600
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News. This story reported by her and Cynthia Coon's

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<v Speaker 1>Rebecca's here in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. As I said,

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<v Speaker 1>it is my must read. What's going on here? Thanks

0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:22.120
<v Speaker 1>for having mem Yeah, so we looked into the business

0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:26.400
<v Speaker 1>of being an abortion provider in UM as you know,

0:12:27.040 --> 0:12:29.839
<v Speaker 1>you know, with Donald Trump and the White House and

0:12:29.880 --> 0:12:34.560
<v Speaker 1>a more conservative court, the climate on abortion is definitely changing.

0:12:34.920 --> 0:12:37.360
<v Speaker 1>We wanted to see what does that mean for clinics

0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:40.080
<v Speaker 1>and what is their business like. And so our story

0:12:40.160 --> 0:12:42.800
<v Speaker 1>really digs into really how hard it is to run

0:12:42.800 --> 0:12:45.960
<v Speaker 1>a clinic these days, and not just because of the

0:12:46.080 --> 0:12:49.360
<v Speaker 1>laws or the political climate, but because of the business climate.

0:12:49.600 --> 0:12:51.240
<v Speaker 1>We'll talk to us a little bit more and what

0:12:51.360 --> 0:12:55.320
<v Speaker 1>that means. Yeah, so there are restrictive laws, and those

0:12:55.400 --> 0:12:59.800
<v Speaker 1>laws oftentimes do make it costlier for clinics to operate,

0:13:00.040 --> 0:13:04.680
<v Speaker 1>But then there's the general culture of fear and stigma

0:13:04.800 --> 0:13:07.760
<v Speaker 1>that makes other business owners not really want to work

0:13:07.760 --> 0:13:10.160
<v Speaker 1>with the business of abortion provider. And let me just

0:13:10.200 --> 0:13:12.880
<v Speaker 1>jump in because you do talk about one individual in particular,

0:13:12.920 --> 0:13:16.840
<v Speaker 1>Amy Heckstrom Miller Um, who is I think, in your words,

0:13:17.360 --> 0:13:20.640
<v Speaker 1>de facto legal guardian of the choice movement. But she

0:13:20.720 --> 0:13:23.920
<v Speaker 1>has talked about this abortion tax right, and this talk

0:13:24.000 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 1>gets into some of the additional costs on running a clinic. Yeah,

0:13:26.960 --> 0:13:29.920
<v Speaker 1>I love that phrase, like she she took, but yeah

0:13:29.960 --> 0:13:32.400
<v Speaker 1>for to her. Listen the abortion tax the way she

0:13:32.440 --> 0:13:34.440
<v Speaker 1>describes it, And what we found is kind of a

0:13:34.480 --> 0:13:39.960
<v Speaker 1>litany of search charges or increased costs or general nuisances

0:13:40.000 --> 0:13:43.160
<v Speaker 1>that make it more expensive to operate just because you're

0:13:43.160 --> 0:13:45.440
<v Speaker 1>in the business of abortion or just because you're an

0:13:45.480 --> 0:13:48.679
<v Speaker 1>abortion provider. So that can be anything from as little

0:13:48.760 --> 0:13:50.880
<v Speaker 1>as your local plumber doesn't want to come work with

0:13:50.920 --> 0:13:53.600
<v Speaker 1>you because he's scared of being targeted by protesters or

0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:55.840
<v Speaker 1>because he doesn't want to work with an abortion provider.

0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:58.679
<v Speaker 1>But we also found some bigger examples of this. So

0:13:58.720 --> 0:14:03.440
<v Speaker 1>we found UM insurance companies dropping abortion clinics or not

0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:07.679
<v Speaker 1>renewing their policies UM from their Business and Compliance insurance

0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:12.280
<v Speaker 1>UM because they I mean potentially because they were fearing

0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:15.520
<v Speaker 1>greater risks that these clinics might face in the giving

0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:19.280
<v Speaker 1>climate that we're in now. And also banks declining loans.

0:14:19.320 --> 0:14:22.600
<v Speaker 1>I mean that's a huge deal. Banks declining loans for

0:14:22.760 --> 0:14:25.200
<v Speaker 1>people who want to open up clinics. It's really hard

0:14:25.240 --> 0:14:28.200
<v Speaker 1>for these clinics, and it's kind of all wrapped up together.

0:14:28.480 --> 0:14:30.800
<v Speaker 1>You know, you can't just say, oh, the bank is

0:14:30.840 --> 0:14:32.480
<v Speaker 1>saying I don't want to be in the business of abortion.

0:14:32.520 --> 0:14:34.800
<v Speaker 1>The bank might be saying that. They might be saying

0:14:34.840 --> 0:14:37.160
<v Speaker 1>that there they don't want to get into the business

0:14:37.160 --> 0:14:39.520
<v Speaker 1>for business reasons, because it is all tied up in

0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:43.080
<v Speaker 1>this stick right right well, because often these are essentially

0:14:43.600 --> 0:14:47.400
<v Speaker 1>even in this globalized world community bankers, you know, they're

0:14:47.400 --> 0:14:49.600
<v Speaker 1>thinking about their other clients and and things like that.

0:14:49.680 --> 0:14:52.120
<v Speaker 1>And as you say, uh, sort of sort of that

0:14:52.200 --> 0:14:55.000
<v Speaker 1>spreading around you and Cynthia Coon's worked on this, it

0:14:55.080 --> 0:14:57.040
<v Speaker 1>feels of a piece with a lot of the work

0:14:57.120 --> 0:15:00.520
<v Speaker 1>she's done and you've done, put it into the context

0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:03.000
<v Speaker 1>of sort of everything else that we're seeing in a

0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:07.080
<v Speaker 1>in a changing world, it feels like, especially around both

0:15:07.120 --> 0:15:11.120
<v Speaker 1>women's health and reproductive health in many ways. Yeah, like

0:15:11.120 --> 0:15:14.480
<v Speaker 1>I said, we definitely came at those through lens. You know,

0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:17.320
<v Speaker 1>people have written about abortion before, we've written about women's

0:15:17.320 --> 0:15:18.800
<v Speaker 1>all before. But we really feel like we're in a

0:15:18.880 --> 0:15:23.320
<v Speaker 1>moment right now, um, where the legislator looks different, where

0:15:23.320 --> 0:15:27.160
<v Speaker 1>the courts look different, where things might actually change, and um,

0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:29.680
<v Speaker 1>there's actually like a long history of these tactics and

0:15:29.720 --> 0:15:31.960
<v Speaker 1>the kind of building to this moment now. So that's

0:15:32.000 --> 0:15:34.440
<v Speaker 1>really where we thought this piece fit in. I wondered

0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:37.320
<v Speaker 1>because you know, we talked earlier this week about a

0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:39.720
<v Speaker 1>couple of stories. Of course this story that's in the magazine,

0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:41.920
<v Speaker 1>but you know, putting together getting your head around. Okay,

0:15:41.960 --> 0:15:45.520
<v Speaker 1>here we are, how many decades since Roe v. Wade, Right,

0:15:45.640 --> 0:15:47.720
<v Speaker 1>And you would think that running a clinic would be

0:15:47.760 --> 0:15:51.880
<v Speaker 1>an easier business to do or easier process. It's not.

0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:54.360
<v Speaker 1>And yet at the beginning of the week we had

0:15:54.440 --> 0:15:59.040
<v Speaker 1>Harvey Weinstein, right, uh, and so the charges against him,

0:15:59.240 --> 0:16:03.600
<v Speaker 1>the verdict um and also doing some time and you know,

0:16:03.760 --> 0:16:06.120
<v Speaker 1>the whole me too movement. We have actually in the

0:16:06.200 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>last couple of years made some progress on that. So

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:11.040
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of you know, kind of these mixed blessings

0:16:11.080 --> 0:16:13.200
<v Speaker 1>progress on that. And yet when you look at what's

0:16:13.200 --> 0:16:16.760
<v Speaker 1>going on with abortion clinics, we're sliding backward. Yeah, it's

0:16:16.800 --> 0:16:20.280
<v Speaker 1>it's a really dissonant right for this. So next week

0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:24.640
<v Speaker 1>the Supreme Court is hearing um arguments in an abortion

0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:27.160
<v Speaker 1>case that's really similar to an abortion case that they

0:16:27.200 --> 0:16:30.480
<v Speaker 1>heard four years ago. And it's really I mean, it's

0:16:30.480 --> 0:16:35.960
<v Speaker 1>potentially they could decide in the favor against the abortion clinics,

0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:39.200
<v Speaker 1>and yeah, that would be a huge backslide. Basically four

0:16:39.280 --> 0:16:41.280
<v Speaker 1>years ago they had this big victory and then it

0:16:41.320 --> 0:16:43.760
<v Speaker 1>would be a backslide. Um. And then you put that

0:16:43.800 --> 0:16:46.560
<v Speaker 1>against yeah, the whole me too movement, and that's kind

0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:49.920
<v Speaker 1>of a grassroots movement. It's very pressuring companies. Um. We

0:16:50.000 --> 0:16:52.520
<v Speaker 1>saw some movement in the criminal justice system with Harvey

0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:54.960
<v Speaker 1>Winston on Monday, But I think, yeah, it's just this

0:16:55.160 --> 0:16:58.600
<v Speaker 1>disconnect between basically like the laws and the court system

0:16:59.040 --> 0:17:02.360
<v Speaker 1>and what I think grassroots movements are happening now well.

0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:05.199
<v Speaker 1>And public opinion obviously plays into this as well. Was

0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:08.360
<v Speaker 1>so powerful when it came to the Me Too movement

0:17:08.600 --> 0:17:13.200
<v Speaker 1>and the velocity at which that happened obviously with Weinstein

0:17:13.320 --> 0:17:18.359
<v Speaker 1>specifically and all the sort of powerful people who ultimately

0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:21.639
<v Speaker 1>came forward there. But then the way that it that

0:17:21.720 --> 0:17:24.359
<v Speaker 1>it really went viral in a lot of ways. And

0:17:24.440 --> 0:17:27.840
<v Speaker 1>yet as you say, on the other side, in many

0:17:27.920 --> 0:17:33.119
<v Speaker 1>cases that has empowered uh, this other side going the

0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:36.800
<v Speaker 1>other way. Yeah, And we mentioned this this one statistic

0:17:36.840 --> 0:17:39.280
<v Speaker 1>in the story where it's seven out of ten people

0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:41.600
<v Speaker 1>according to a really reason survey, don't want to overturn

0:17:41.680 --> 0:17:45.160
<v Speaker 1>movie weight. Um, so that is the public opinion here,

0:17:45.280 --> 0:17:49.159
<v Speaker 1>of course, there's so much nuance and the abortion debate

0:17:49.280 --> 0:17:51.960
<v Speaker 1>that does that statistic doesn't get at But I still

0:17:52.000 --> 0:17:55.720
<v Speaker 1>think a lot of people would say they want most

0:17:55.800 --> 0:17:57.800
<v Speaker 1>abortion to be legal in many cads. You also talk

0:17:57.840 --> 0:17:59.399
<v Speaker 1>about the role of social media and all of this,

0:17:59.440 --> 0:18:01.600
<v Speaker 1>and that has proved I admit a lot of momentum

0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:04.720
<v Speaker 1>for the anti abortionists. Yeah. I don't know if you guys,

0:18:04.880 --> 0:18:07.199
<v Speaker 1>do you remember we talked about this moment but in

0:18:08.040 --> 0:18:13.240
<v Speaker 1>when those videos came out that purportedly showed Planned Parenthood

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:17.640
<v Speaker 1>selling um doing illegally selling field body parts and then

0:18:17.680 --> 0:18:20.080
<v Speaker 1>it turned out to be a false claim and edited videos,

0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:22.440
<v Speaker 1>and that moment I remember being such a huge deal.

0:18:22.480 --> 0:18:24.280
<v Speaker 1>It also feels like it was much longer ago than

0:18:25.080 --> 0:18:28.320
<v Speaker 1>to me. But in our story we found how impactful

0:18:28.400 --> 0:18:31.520
<v Speaker 1>that was in the movement. It wasn't just a way

0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:34.480
<v Speaker 1>to get people to kind of rally against or behind

0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:37.880
<v Speaker 1>or for a Planned Parenthood, but it also motivated these

0:18:37.880 --> 0:18:42.600
<v Speaker 1>anti abortion activists to target medical waste companies because they

0:18:42.640 --> 0:18:44.920
<v Speaker 1>were saying, oh, yeah, these medical ways companies do work

0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:47.560
<v Speaker 1>with abortion providers, and if we can get them to

0:18:47.600 --> 0:18:50.080
<v Speaker 1>stop working with abortion providers, it will be really hard

0:18:50.119 --> 0:18:53.000
<v Speaker 1>for those providers to do business. All right, Well, it's

0:18:53.040 --> 0:18:56.879
<v Speaker 1>a really powerful story. Uh, Carol's must read. Uh. And

0:18:57.160 --> 0:19:01.159
<v Speaker 1>further conversation with Rebecca Greenfield on our can show this

0:19:01.240 --> 0:19:05.119
<v Speaker 1>weekend catch that starting Friday night, both an analysis of

0:19:05.200 --> 0:19:08.359
<v Speaker 1>this story and a little more conversation about the impact

0:19:08.440 --> 0:19:11.199
<v Speaker 1>of the Weinstein verdict, another story that Rebecca and her

0:19:11.200 --> 0:19:13.720
<v Speaker 1>team have been falling very closely. She oversees all of

0:19:13.720 --> 0:19:17.200
<v Speaker 1>our managing diversity coverage here at Bloomberg News. Our thanks

0:19:17.240 --> 0:19:27.360
<v Speaker 1>to Rebecca Greenfield. Alright, so mid all the talk of markets.

0:19:27.640 --> 0:19:31.720
<v Speaker 1>Companies continue to roll along, make decisions, People continue to

0:19:31.760 --> 0:19:36.360
<v Speaker 1>come and go, and on the going side, a couple

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:41.480
<v Speaker 1>of people leaving some key roles over at Apple. And

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:44.000
<v Speaker 1>when we think about Apple and wanting to know exactly

0:19:44.040 --> 0:19:46.200
<v Speaker 1>what's going on there and what it means, there's only

0:19:46.240 --> 0:19:48.520
<v Speaker 1>one guy for us, that's smart German. He joins us

0:19:48.560 --> 0:19:51.240
<v Speaker 1>from our Los Angeles bureau. I was delighted to catch

0:19:51.280 --> 0:19:53.800
<v Speaker 1>up with him briefly earlier in the week. So Mark,

0:19:54.080 --> 0:19:57.680
<v Speaker 1>tell us what's going on over at Apple that we're

0:19:57.680 --> 0:20:00.880
<v Speaker 1>talking ops and supply chain here. Yeah, Hi, Jason, get

0:20:01.240 --> 0:20:04.960
<v Speaker 1>you two? Yes, so too, Long time operations VPS, which

0:20:05.000 --> 0:20:07.800
<v Speaker 1>is basically the highest level you can be in the

0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:10.639
<v Speaker 1>Apple you know, in the Apple ranks other than a

0:20:10.680 --> 0:20:14.160
<v Speaker 1>senior VP or the CEO, CEO, etcetera. Have left the company.

0:20:14.640 --> 0:20:17.720
<v Speaker 1>One person named Nick for Lenza has retired. The other

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:21.320
<v Speaker 1>do Go Pasmog is planning to leave later this year

0:20:21.359 --> 0:20:24.040
<v Speaker 1>and discussions about his exit. And they've both been very

0:20:24.119 --> 0:20:26.400
<v Speaker 1>key to the manufacturing and supply chain, like you said,

0:20:26.440 --> 0:20:29.600
<v Speaker 1>around nearly every major Apple product that you can think of.

0:20:30.800 --> 0:20:32.560
<v Speaker 1>So how serious is this? Like, what does it mean?

0:20:32.600 --> 0:20:35.040
<v Speaker 1>How do I read this as an investor? Yeah, this

0:20:35.119 --> 0:20:37.600
<v Speaker 1>isn't the end of the world. This is like Jason said,

0:20:37.600 --> 0:20:40.960
<v Speaker 1>it's the comings and goings of any corporation. People come,

0:20:41.080 --> 0:20:43.879
<v Speaker 1>people go. But these were you know, the two notable

0:20:43.960 --> 0:20:47.280
<v Speaker 1>names internally who who supervised you know, hundreds of people

0:20:47.480 --> 0:20:50.600
<v Speaker 1>and oversaw lots of manufacturing. So it is you know,

0:20:50.640 --> 0:20:54.040
<v Speaker 1>significant front from that standpoint. But does this change anything

0:20:54.160 --> 0:20:56.199
<v Speaker 1>long term for the company? Does this have anything to

0:20:56.240 --> 0:20:58.800
<v Speaker 1>do with the coronavirus of the trade war that's in

0:20:58.880 --> 0:21:01.280
<v Speaker 1>now well? And are you point out in your story,

0:21:01.280 --> 0:21:03.879
<v Speaker 1>which I think is really important for for folks to

0:21:03.920 --> 0:21:08.479
<v Speaker 1>remember and understand, that operations has been the core of

0:21:08.560 --> 0:21:11.240
<v Speaker 1>Tim Cook's Apple, right I mean, this is what has

0:21:11.800 --> 0:21:16.639
<v Speaker 1>really helped this company extend its lead over its rivals

0:21:17.119 --> 0:21:21.520
<v Speaker 1>to expand. This is the cornerstone of the strategy. So

0:21:21.720 --> 0:21:24.440
<v Speaker 1>when people leave in this business, maybe you know, back

0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:26.280
<v Speaker 1>in the day and the Steve jobs Apple, you know,

0:21:26.280 --> 0:21:27.960
<v Speaker 1>people have been like, it's an ops guy, you know,

0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:30.159
<v Speaker 1>don't worry as much about it. But this this is

0:21:30.200 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 1>the core of the strategy here, yeah, Apple, and it's

0:21:32.960 --> 0:21:37.040
<v Speaker 1>core is operated or run by operations people. I should

0:21:37.080 --> 0:21:40.600
<v Speaker 1>say three of their most senior people on that senior

0:21:40.600 --> 0:21:44.080
<v Speaker 1>executive team come from operations backgrounds. Like you said, Tim

0:21:44.119 --> 0:21:46.639
<v Speaker 1>Cook as an operations guy. His number two, Jeff Williams,

0:21:46.680 --> 0:21:49.880
<v Speaker 1>is an operations guy. They added a new operations person

0:21:49.920 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 1>to the executive team that sort of replaced Johnny. I've

0:21:52.400 --> 0:21:56.000
<v Speaker 1>on that executive leadership team, Sabby Khan. So this is

0:21:56.040 --> 0:21:58.879
<v Speaker 1>an operations driven company and it's you know, for a

0:21:58.880 --> 0:22:01.680
<v Speaker 1>long time the company, his division for ops hasn't really

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:04.239
<v Speaker 1>seen much shifting at that top level. But now you're

0:22:04.240 --> 0:22:06.840
<v Speaker 1>seeing two people you know, coming and going in a

0:22:06.920 --> 0:22:09.080
<v Speaker 1>very short period of time. So Mark got to ask

0:22:09.119 --> 0:22:11.640
<v Speaker 1>you from a supply chain perspective, obviously, lots of people

0:22:11.640 --> 0:22:14.120
<v Speaker 1>have been talking about Apple through the lens of the

0:22:14.160 --> 0:22:18.040
<v Speaker 1>coronavirus and the impact there. They've made some changes. We've

0:22:18.040 --> 0:22:20.639
<v Speaker 1>talked to you about it over the last year or so,

0:22:20.760 --> 0:22:23.920
<v Speaker 1>especially in light of the trade war, help us understand

0:22:23.960 --> 0:22:27.639
<v Speaker 1>the impact on supply chain and operations that the coronavirus

0:22:27.680 --> 0:22:30.080
<v Speaker 1>is having. Now. So I think the impact is really

0:22:30.119 --> 0:22:32.919
<v Speaker 1>going to be in the month of March and potentially

0:22:32.920 --> 0:22:35.480
<v Speaker 1>in April. What you're going to start seeing is Apple

0:22:35.560 --> 0:22:37.840
<v Speaker 1>running out of iPhones at a lot of retail stores

0:22:37.840 --> 0:22:40.879
<v Speaker 1>in the United States, Europe, etcetera. So the impact is

0:22:40.880 --> 0:22:43.280
<v Speaker 1>going to be there. But obviously people are now coming

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:45.119
<v Speaker 1>back to work, things are starting to ramp up, and

0:22:45.119 --> 0:22:47.120
<v Speaker 1>there's about a four to six week lead time, right,

0:22:47.400 --> 0:22:48.960
<v Speaker 1>so you're going to see some impact for the next

0:22:48.960 --> 0:22:51.119
<v Speaker 1>two months. But I think after those two months things

0:22:51.160 --> 0:22:53.640
<v Speaker 1>are going to start being uh, are going to start

0:22:53.640 --> 0:22:56.320
<v Speaker 1>to clear up and things should be fine. But you know,

0:22:56.359 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 1>there is some concern about the next iPhones. There is

0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:01.400
<v Speaker 1>concerned about some of the engineering work because these things

0:23:01.440 --> 0:23:04.199
<v Speaker 1>are developed hand in hand between Cupertino in China not

0:23:04.320 --> 0:23:07.119
<v Speaker 1>being able to be done. Um. But not not to

0:23:07.160 --> 0:23:11.360
<v Speaker 1>be too optimistic, but I honestly I don't anticipate any big,

0:23:11.440 --> 0:23:14.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, shifts away from the iPhone normal September launch

0:23:14.080 --> 0:23:15.840
<v Speaker 1>time for him because of this at this point. So

0:23:15.880 --> 0:23:17.680
<v Speaker 1>it's not gonna okay, so it's not gonna mess anything

0:23:17.760 --> 0:23:21.080
<v Speaker 1>up ultimately. Longer term here, I really don't think so.

0:23:21.320 --> 0:23:24.040
<v Speaker 1>Uh what we're seeing now were some conferences being canceled.

0:23:24.040 --> 0:23:25.920
<v Speaker 1>Souple was going to hold some sort of you know,

0:23:25.960 --> 0:23:28.400
<v Speaker 1>product launch event in March. I would anticipate that would

0:23:28.400 --> 0:23:30.639
<v Speaker 1>be sort of maybe like a press release situation instead,

0:23:30.680 --> 0:23:33.200
<v Speaker 1>or maybe at a smaller sort of a smaller gathering.

0:23:33.960 --> 0:23:36.560
<v Speaker 1>Other than that, I really don't see a long term

0:23:36.600 --> 0:23:39.440
<v Speaker 1>impact alright. I just want to bring you a red

0:23:39.480 --> 0:23:41.840
<v Speaker 1>headline crossing the Bloomberg right now has to do with

0:23:41.880 --> 0:23:47.040
<v Speaker 1>some of the key Canadian exchanges. Uh TMX exchanges, including

0:23:47.080 --> 0:23:50.600
<v Speaker 1>the t SX the Toronto Stock Exchange have been halted.

0:23:50.680 --> 0:23:54.240
<v Speaker 1>Trading there have been halted due to some technical issues.

0:23:54.480 --> 0:23:58.639
<v Speaker 1>That redhead crossing the Bloomberg just a few minutes ago.

0:23:58.760 --> 0:24:02.359
<v Speaker 1>So we'll bring you more as that develops. But you know,

0:24:02.400 --> 0:24:08.760
<v Speaker 1>obviously an important market, an important series of index the

0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:10.720
<v Speaker 1>technical halt and now it's going to be closed for

0:24:10.760 --> 0:24:12.840
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the day, that's right. Yeah, we're turning

0:24:12.840 --> 0:24:16.399
<v Speaker 1>the t S T s X, t X, t s

0:24:16.600 --> 0:24:20.200
<v Speaker 1>X V excuse me, and t s X Alpha exchanges.

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:24.840
<v Speaker 1>Technical halt was declared and TMX now saying that the

0:24:24.840 --> 0:24:27.000
<v Speaker 1>technical halt to remain for the rest of the day

0:24:27.119 --> 0:24:30.600
<v Speaker 1>on the t s X the Toronto Stock Exchange. So

0:24:30.880 --> 0:24:33.680
<v Speaker 1>more on that as it develops. Our thanks to Mark

0:24:33.720 --> 0:24:37.320
<v Speaker 1>German out in Los Angeles Tech Reporter bringing us the

0:24:37.359 --> 0:24:40.919
<v Speaker 1>latest and greatest on Apple, as we said, some comings

0:24:40.920 --> 0:24:43.600
<v Speaker 1>and goings as it relates to some top executives there,

0:24:44.000 --> 0:24:46.119
<v Speaker 1>and a nice update from Mark as well on the

0:24:46.160 --> 0:24:49.760
<v Speaker 1>supply chain, because if you think too last week, I

0:24:49.760 --> 0:24:52.240
<v Speaker 1>think was it last week? You know, Apple was really,

0:24:52.480 --> 0:24:55.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, among the first to come out and say

0:24:55.280 --> 0:24:57.439
<v Speaker 1>here's how this is going to affect it being the

0:24:57.480 --> 0:25:02.000
<v Speaker 1>coronavirus our operation, you know, sort of shutting some things down,

0:25:02.000 --> 0:25:04.280
<v Speaker 1>and they talked about lower sales obviously in China right

0:25:04.320 --> 0:25:07.520
<v Speaker 1>because their retail outlets were closed. So it totally makes sense.

0:25:07.640 --> 0:25:10.080
<v Speaker 1>But I do wonder be coming off of US China

0:25:10.160 --> 0:25:13.119
<v Speaker 1>trade war, coming off of the virus. I really do

0:25:13.280 --> 0:25:16.440
<v Speaker 1>think there is a major rethink potentially going on when

0:25:16.480 --> 0:25:23.680
<v Speaker 1>it comes to supply chains around the world. Oh journal, Yeah,

0:25:23.720 --> 0:25:28.760
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive. Oh no, no, no no, non, please,

0:25:28.840 --> 0:25:36.080
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the right drivel. I want to drive, Just drive, baby,

0:25:38.520 --> 0:25:48.200
<v Speaker 1>it's the questions. Drying. Yea, this is the Drive to

0:25:48.280 --> 0:25:52.080
<v Speaker 1>the Globe community. Thanks well, Drying us to Dawn on

0:25:52.240 --> 0:25:55.720
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. All right, it's time for the Drive to

0:25:55.760 --> 0:25:59.439
<v Speaker 1>the clothes on a Thursday, pretty ugly thursday here on

0:25:59.520 --> 0:26:02.399
<v Speaker 1>the markets. Norm kindly back with us CEO and c

0:26:02.800 --> 0:26:06.240
<v Speaker 1>I O of JAG Capital Management, looking after about one

0:26:06.240 --> 0:26:09.080
<v Speaker 1>and a half billion dollars for clients, joins us on

0:26:09.119 --> 0:26:11.800
<v Speaker 1>the phone from St. Louis, Nor. I'm great to have

0:26:11.840 --> 0:26:14.520
<v Speaker 1>you back with Carol myself. Oh, thank you, so glad

0:26:14.560 --> 0:26:17.080
<v Speaker 1>to be here. All right, So what do you make

0:26:17.119 --> 0:26:19.200
<v Speaker 1>of a week like this? I know we're gonna talk

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:21.880
<v Speaker 1>about some big caps and some names that you're following,

0:26:22.040 --> 0:26:24.479
<v Speaker 1>But how do you assess this? What are you hearing

0:26:25.160 --> 0:26:27.600
<v Speaker 1>from your clients as they you know, look at so

0:26:27.720 --> 0:26:30.960
<v Speaker 1>much read over the course of this week. Yeah, I

0:26:30.960 --> 0:26:33.359
<v Speaker 1>think it is it is nerve racking. This is this

0:26:33.440 --> 0:26:36.520
<v Speaker 1>has been you know, uh in terms of depths of

0:26:36.600 --> 0:26:40.359
<v Speaker 1>decline compared to you know, historical corrections. And we're not

0:26:40.480 --> 0:26:43.000
<v Speaker 1>that deep at least not at least not yet, but

0:26:43.840 --> 0:26:46.200
<v Speaker 1>over this short of a period of time, it's it's,

0:26:46.280 --> 0:26:48.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, getting to be somewhat unusual. I mean, we're

0:26:48.600 --> 0:26:50.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, after all, I think we were at fifty

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:53.600
<v Speaker 1>two week highs on there really all time highs in

0:26:53.640 --> 0:26:56.720
<v Speaker 1>the SMP five hundred about a week ago, right. So, uh,

0:26:56.880 --> 0:26:59.680
<v Speaker 1>in just a few trading sessions, we've you know, we've

0:26:59.680 --> 0:27:02.119
<v Speaker 1>fallen quite a bit as the as the fear levels

0:27:02.119 --> 0:27:05.720
<v Speaker 1>of risin UM in terms of you know, uh, you

0:27:05.760 --> 0:27:08.080
<v Speaker 1>know what I'm telling folks, Uh, you know, we've got

0:27:08.080 --> 0:27:10.480
<v Speaker 1>to kind of I think, uh, you know, find a

0:27:10.480 --> 0:27:13.919
<v Speaker 1>balance between you know, um, on the one hand, not

0:27:14.000 --> 0:27:17.960
<v Speaker 1>being complacent about the virus risk, but on the other hand,

0:27:18.320 --> 0:27:21.360
<v Speaker 1>uh not not not going too far in the other

0:27:21.400 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 1>direction in terms of you know, fear. Uh So it's

0:27:25.160 --> 0:27:27.800
<v Speaker 1>it's an interesting time. If it wasn't uh such an

0:27:27.880 --> 0:27:32.320
<v Speaker 1>unpleasant uh you know backdrop, it would be you know, fascinating.

0:27:32.880 --> 0:27:35.840
<v Speaker 1>So how do you make sense of a normal an environment?

0:27:35.840 --> 0:27:38.760
<v Speaker 1>Though like this? I do wonder is it similar to

0:27:38.960 --> 0:27:41.760
<v Speaker 1>some of the steep selloffs and then bounce backs that

0:27:41.800 --> 0:27:44.960
<v Speaker 1>we've seen I feel like several times over the last

0:27:44.960 --> 0:27:47.320
<v Speaker 1>few years, especially when the market got a little pricey

0:27:47.760 --> 0:27:50.359
<v Speaker 1>or got a little elevated. UM, you know, is it

0:27:50.440 --> 0:27:53.480
<v Speaker 1>similar to that? Is there something different about this one?

0:27:53.520 --> 0:27:56.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think many people safe to say, considering

0:27:56.800 --> 0:27:58.520
<v Speaker 1>the run up that we've had in the past year,

0:27:58.920 --> 0:28:02.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, it was looking four we're we're looking excuse me,

0:28:02.280 --> 0:28:05.040
<v Speaker 1>for some kind of correction to bring valuations more in

0:28:05.119 --> 0:28:09.080
<v Speaker 1>line with what made sense. Yeah, I mean this this,

0:28:09.359 --> 0:28:13.080
<v Speaker 1>while it's unusual, it's it's certainly not um not unique.

0:28:13.119 --> 0:28:15.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, just to give one example, we had a

0:28:15.960 --> 0:28:19.199
<v Speaker 1>uh back in in the in the late two thousand

0:28:19.160 --> 0:28:22.240
<v Speaker 1>and eight summer of two thousands fifteen, UH, the SMP

0:28:22.400 --> 0:28:26.440
<v Speaker 1>had about a ten percent down draft in in four days. Now,

0:28:26.520 --> 0:28:29.680
<v Speaker 1>if today ends like it is, uh like it looks

0:28:29.720 --> 0:28:32.040
<v Speaker 1>like it's going to uh, this will be at about

0:28:32.040 --> 0:28:35.199
<v Speaker 1>an eleven eleven and a half percent draw down in

0:28:35.320 --> 0:28:39.680
<v Speaker 1>five days. UM. So you know, again it's somewhat unusual,

0:28:39.760 --> 0:28:43.000
<v Speaker 1>but but not unique. UM. And and and here's the

0:28:43.000 --> 0:28:45.520
<v Speaker 1>tricky thing. In the past, as you as you kind

0:28:45.560 --> 0:28:51.680
<v Speaker 1>of allude to, UM, these short, sharp, relatively deep pullbacks,

0:28:51.800 --> 0:28:55.560
<v Speaker 1>unless they occur during you know, an ongoing bear market.

0:28:55.600 --> 0:28:58.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, for example OH eight or early oh nine

0:28:58.280 --> 0:29:01.560
<v Speaker 1>or uh two thousand, two thousand one, two thousand two.

0:29:01.760 --> 0:29:04.880
<v Speaker 1>So with those exceptions, unless it's already unless we're already

0:29:04.920 --> 0:29:08.840
<v Speaker 1>in a bowl market, the tendency over the next you know, uh,

0:29:09.000 --> 0:29:13.120
<v Speaker 1>six months, twelve months has tended to be positive. Returns

0:29:13.120 --> 0:29:16.000
<v Speaker 1>have tended to be positive and actually more positive than

0:29:16.080 --> 0:29:20.480
<v Speaker 1>all other periods of roughly six or twelve months. And

0:29:20.560 --> 0:29:24.520
<v Speaker 1>so talk to us about some names that you're watching

0:29:24.720 --> 0:29:29.160
<v Speaker 1>amid all of this norm Yeah, so, um, you know,

0:29:29.240 --> 0:29:32.280
<v Speaker 1>we've on Mac Microsoft as one of our largest holdings

0:29:32.600 --> 0:29:37.000
<v Speaker 1>for for several years. Microsoft selling off um still you know,

0:29:37.160 --> 0:29:40.040
<v Speaker 1>still not a classically cheap stock, but in terms of

0:29:40.760 --> 0:29:44.760
<v Speaker 1>being extremely well run company that although they may experience it,

0:29:44.840 --> 0:29:47.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, and they told us they're going to experience

0:29:47.040 --> 0:29:49.600
<v Speaker 1>a bit of a slowdown near time in their Windows

0:29:49.640 --> 0:29:53.360
<v Speaker 1>business because of what's happening in China. Um, you know,

0:29:53.480 --> 0:29:57.000
<v Speaker 1>people are still going to use Microsoft software and solutions

0:29:57.000 --> 0:30:00.520
<v Speaker 1>and cloud solutions and Microsoft Office on the I many years.

0:30:00.560 --> 0:30:04.680
<v Speaker 1>I think you know that one looks interesting on further weakness. UM.

0:30:04.720 --> 0:30:07.520
<v Speaker 1>Another one that that we've owned for a while and

0:30:07.520 --> 0:30:10.560
<v Speaker 1>and really like it as kind of a a thought

0:30:10.640 --> 0:30:14.719
<v Speaker 1>leader in retail, uh is Lulu Lemon, which I'm talking

0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:17.840
<v Speaker 1>to you now. Um, you know, it's off about seven

0:30:17.880 --> 0:30:21.520
<v Speaker 1>percent today and and you know, my my educated guess

0:30:21.560 --> 0:30:25.880
<v Speaker 1>is it's related to their China exposure because that is a, um,

0:30:25.920 --> 0:30:30.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, a material part of Lulu's UM growth strategy. Yeah,

0:30:30.480 --> 0:30:33.200
<v Speaker 1>that's been a huge effort over the past few years.

0:30:33.600 --> 0:30:35.680
<v Speaker 1>We wrote a story about that in the magazine late

0:30:35.760 --> 0:30:40.640
<v Speaker 1>last year and that was a really big push, especially

0:30:40.640 --> 0:30:44.120
<v Speaker 1>when their private equity owner, their former private equity owner, Advent,

0:30:44.240 --> 0:30:47.400
<v Speaker 1>came back in right right, right, yeah. So so we

0:30:47.480 --> 0:30:50.680
<v Speaker 1>like the management, we like their strategy. Um you know,

0:30:51.080 --> 0:30:54.680
<v Speaker 1>we like their strategy with men'swear so to a certain extent.

0:30:54.760 --> 0:30:56.320
<v Speaker 1>And I don't know this to be the case, but

0:30:56.520 --> 0:30:58.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, as I look at my screen with several

0:30:58.400 --> 0:31:02.239
<v Speaker 1>hundred tickers on it, you can see that those with

0:31:02.320 --> 0:31:06.760
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese exposure, either actual or perceived, um you know,

0:31:06.800 --> 0:31:10.560
<v Speaker 1>getting getting getting hit a bit, maybe more than than

0:31:10.640 --> 0:31:13.760
<v Speaker 1>most of the other types of names. So um, so

0:31:13.800 --> 0:31:16.520
<v Speaker 1>I think you know, you know, I'm not pound of

0:31:16.520 --> 0:31:19.040
<v Speaker 1>the table, like I said, we have to draw you know,

0:31:19.240 --> 0:31:23.760
<v Speaker 1>a healthy balance between respecting what's going on and and

0:31:23.760 --> 0:31:27.080
<v Speaker 1>and not being complecent. Well, I forgive me if I

0:31:27.080 --> 0:31:29.000
<v Speaker 1>can just break in because we are seeing stocks take

0:31:29.040 --> 0:31:31.200
<v Speaker 1>another leg down. We are definitely at our loads of

0:31:31.240 --> 0:31:35.200
<v Speaker 1>the session. We are now down officially a correction ten

0:31:35.240 --> 0:31:38.200
<v Speaker 1>percent on the week for the Dow, the NASTAC, and

0:31:38.240 --> 0:31:42.040
<v Speaker 1>the SNP five hundred of thousand points one thy one points,

0:31:42.040 --> 0:31:44.640
<v Speaker 1>one thousand, twenty eight points lower on the Dow Jones

0:31:44.680 --> 0:31:47.080
<v Speaker 1>Industrial Average, so we're down almost three point nine percent,

0:31:47.320 --> 0:31:49.560
<v Speaker 1>down almost three point nine percent as well on the

0:31:49.680 --> 0:31:52.160
<v Speaker 1>S and P five hundred. We are below three thousand

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:54.800
<v Speaker 1>on the s n P five hundred, and the NASDAC

0:31:54.880 --> 0:31:56.960
<v Speaker 1>now looking at a decline of more than four percent,

0:31:57.000 --> 0:31:59.600
<v Speaker 1>down three d sixty eight points. So you know, this

0:31:59.640 --> 0:32:02.560
<v Speaker 1>is two here, We've got roughly less than five minutes

0:32:02.640 --> 0:32:05.800
<v Speaker 1>left to the closing belt and we're selling into the close.

0:32:06.240 --> 0:32:08.400
<v Speaker 1>So norm, I mean, that's not a sign you want

0:32:08.400 --> 0:32:09.600
<v Speaker 1>to see. You want to see a little bit of

0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:12.040
<v Speaker 1>a bounce back. Yeah, we saw that a little bit

0:32:12.080 --> 0:32:14.720
<v Speaker 1>earlier today. And my good uh good friends, a long

0:32:14.760 --> 0:32:18.880
<v Speaker 1>time subscriber of the Spoke Investments and they just they

0:32:18.920 --> 0:32:22.400
<v Speaker 1>just tweeted that, Uh, the SMP is only declined ten

0:32:23.000 --> 0:32:25.920
<v Speaker 1>in a week four other times since the end of

0:32:25.960 --> 0:32:30.480
<v Speaker 1>World War two. UM April two thousand, September two thousand one,

0:32:30.480 --> 0:32:35.960
<v Speaker 1>Octo October two thousand eight, and guess what October. So

0:32:36.280 --> 0:32:39.560
<v Speaker 1>three of those other four instances were you know, in

0:32:39.640 --> 0:32:42.600
<v Speaker 1>the midst of ongoing either at the beginning of or

0:32:42.720 --> 0:32:45.520
<v Speaker 1>in the midst of ongoing bear markets. And this is, uh,

0:32:45.520 --> 0:32:48.440
<v Speaker 1>this is kind of a standout. Yeah, absolutely, well, yes,

0:32:48.560 --> 0:32:51.120
<v Speaker 1>certainly is standing out for all of us. Norm kindly,

0:32:51.360 --> 0:32:53.280
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for your time. Is always CEO

0:32:53.440 --> 0:32:56.320
<v Speaker 1>and ce IO of Jack Capital Management, joining us on

0:32:56.360 --> 0:32:59.400
<v Speaker 1>the phone from St. Louis. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg

0:32:59.400 --> 0:33:02.720
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:33:02.800 --> 0:33:04.920
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com. You can also listen to our

0:33:05.000 --> 0:33:07.880
<v Speaker 1>radio show every weekday at two pm Eastern only on

0:33:07.920 --> 0:33:13.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio m