1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:19,280 Speaker 2: Single best idea out on Apple Podcasts. Had a wonderful 3 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 2: conversation with someone that was a founding podcast developer at iHeart, 4 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 2: and we thank iHeart for their support and what they've 5 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:32,559 Speaker 2: invented over there in terms of making podcasts go. We 6 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:36,879 Speaker 2: do economics, finance, investment, in international relations. Somebody says, why 7 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:40,840 Speaker 2: do you do politics, because that's part of our international relations, 8 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 2: and people go, oh, that's wonderful. Do the French election, 9 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:47,959 Speaker 2: but there's another election coming up in November. In our 10 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:51,640 Speaker 2: forever campaigns, I'm personally embarrassed by it. I wish we 11 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 2: could do shorter campaigns like the parliamentary system in England 12 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 2: or the really odd fifth Republic of France, but we don't. 13 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 2: We have a debate. It's early. David Gerr leading our 14 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 2: coverage in Atlanta with Joe Matthew and Kaylie Lines. We're 15 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 2: going to do a simulcast like everybody else, but the 16 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 2: difference is the intensity of conversation. In trying to get 17 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 2: away from the cliches of the moment, sometimes I fail, 18 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 2: and I can do a cliche, whether it's on mister 19 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:22,480 Speaker 2: Biden or mister Trump, but we try to have a 20 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 2: dialogue conversation that's different. You can do that with Tina Fordham, 21 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 2: truly Transatlantic based out of London, and she follows very 22 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 2: closely say the linkages of European populism with what we 23 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 2: may see the first Tuesday of November. Tina Fordham, I'm 24 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 2: President Biden. 25 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 3: Arguably the bar is higher for Joe Biden because there 26 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:52,559 Speaker 3: has been this relentless kind of narrative about him being 27 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 3: a daughter in you old fool, and Trump comes out 28 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 3: guns blazing with you know what is really also a 29 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:07,960 Speaker 3: meandering way of expressing himself. But the other side of 30 00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 3: it will be how does this work without a studio audience? 31 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 3: Someone like Donald Trump really, i think needs the energy 32 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 3: of the crowd. But this was a condition that reportedly 33 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 3: President Biden required. So the debates rarely move the needle 34 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 3: on polls, but it will generate headlines and perhaps it 35 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 3: will mean a bit more in a race like this 36 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:39,399 Speaker 3: where so many Americans really don't like either candidate. 37 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 2: Tina Fordham Fordham Global insight just wonderful and international relations. 38 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 2: We did to speak of the UK election and the 39 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 2: French election. I'm sure there's four other elections out there 40 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 2: we should mention, but we'll stick here today with our 41 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:57,720 Speaker 2: discussion again, a busy economic week, lots coming up, staggering 42 00:02:57,800 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 2: to June thirty. I believe that's the end of the 43 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 2: court on the earning season, the June jobs report, excuse me, 44 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:08,080 Speaker 2: the July jobs report. I will be here July fifth 45 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 2: for that report, and it'll be interesting, to say the least. 46 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:14,640 Speaker 2: But let's stick on the debate right now. And we 47 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 2: can do that with Henrietta Trays at Veda Partners. Henrietta 48 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:24,920 Speaker 2: has bulletproof credentials of working on Capitol Hill. She's incredibly 49 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 2: informed about a more nuanced national discussion rather than four 50 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 2: talking points. Henrietta treys on what we may witness Thursday. 51 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 1: The undecided population is disproportionately an independent, young female voter. 52 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:46,640 Speaker 1: These are also minority voters, Black and Latino voters. These 53 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 1: are effectively democratic incumbencies or democratic constituencies that are wildly 54 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 1: opposed to both of these men. A lot of them, 55 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 1: ten and a half percent are going to RFK Junior. 56 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 1: But again, the undecideds are disproportionately young independent women. It's 57 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 1: actually double the amount of young independent men. So I 58 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 1: do think that This is a group that is traditionally 59 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 1: a Democratic base. That's why my forecast is sixty percent 60 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 1: that Biden wins is because the people who are undecided 61 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 1: now are going to migrate back to their natural resting 62 00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 1: place once we get to November. 63 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:25,120 Speaker 2: Henrietta Tree's Vada partners, I'm sure we'll hear much more 64 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:29,279 Speaker 2: from her as we against. Stagger is my editorialization, Stagger 65 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 2: to November fifth. David Gera, again leading our coverage in Atlanta, 66 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 2: has all of his perspective of looking at different campaigns 67 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:44,279 Speaker 2: in the politics of this moment. Joe Matthew really encyclopedic 68 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:47,279 Speaker 2: on state by state kind of things. And Kaylee Lines 69 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:50,800 Speaker 2: has just read in incredibly well out of the University 70 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 2: of Virginia and all her work in Washington. Can't say 71 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 2: enough about what we're going to see on Thursday night 72 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 2: from Bloomberg Politics, And of course you'll be able to 73 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 2: see that a simulcast that will be out on Android Auto. 74 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 2: I like how I did there, Android Auto. I'm trying 75 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 2: to memorize it on Android Auto, Android Auto, Android Auto. 76 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 2: Apple car Play will do it out on Apple car 77 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:16,599 Speaker 2: Play as well, and of course on YouTube Search and 78 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:20,839 Speaker 2: subscribe Bloomberg podcast. It's building every day, including a really 79 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:25,039 Speaker 2: informed live chat as well. We're on a Thursday. In 80 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:29,159 Speaker 2: the debate in the meantime, economics, finance and investment in 81 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 2: what Nvidia we'll do on Apple Podcasts. This is single 82 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:34,159 Speaker 2: best I did