WEBVTT - Trumpworld Gets a Red-Carpet Welcome in Brazil

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Take Today. It's also the new issue of Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>magazine just out. It's about the Trump allies, such as

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<v Speaker 1>Steve Bannon, bonding with Brazil's president and f y Tim.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a playbook we've seen before. It certainly is. We've

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<v Speaker 1>seen it from President Trump himself. And joining us now

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<v Speaker 1>is Joel Weberter, editor at Bloomberg Business Week. He joins

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<v Speaker 1>us on the remote from Brooklyn. Also joining us as

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<v Speaker 1>Andrew Rosetti, Latin American reporter for Bloomberg News. He joins

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<v Speaker 1>us uh from Rio. Great to have both of you

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<v Speaker 1>on with us. Hey, Joel, I want to start with you, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>what is the playbook that Bolsonaro's following specifically from President

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<v Speaker 1>Trump right now? And it's important because hey, there's an

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<v Speaker 1>election coming up. There's an election coming up, and and

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<v Speaker 1>just like the Trump playbook, you just immediately cast as

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<v Speaker 1>much doubt on that election as you can. And he's

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<v Speaker 1>already saying it's rigged, and you know, we've got months

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<v Speaker 1>to go until then. He's offered no actual evidence of that, um,

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<v Speaker 1>but it is a tactic and one that you could

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<v Speaker 1>probably draw a dotted line directly to Trump World, which,

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<v Speaker 1>as Andrew's story goes into, is actually had really interesting

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<v Speaker 1>links um with Brazil. Uh. So this is not like,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Trump and and Bolsonaro having lunch together anything

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<v Speaker 1>like that. It's more of like, all the machinery behind

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<v Speaker 1>Trump and all the machinery behind Billsonnaro, those gears are

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<v Speaker 1>are uh increasingly linked. So Andrew take us into how

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<v Speaker 1>the story came about. Well, Um, about two weeks ago

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<v Speaker 1>there was a brazil version of SEPAK was held in

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<v Speaker 1>the capital, Brazilia, and former Trunk spokesperson Jason Miller was

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<v Speaker 1>among the speaker speakers there and leaving Brazil, he was

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<v Speaker 1>actually detained in an airport um UH in links to

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<v Speaker 1>an ongoing federal inquiry and the spread of fake news

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<v Speaker 1>and misinformation here. He didn't speak to us, but from

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<v Speaker 1>there we started digging into these ties, and what we

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<v Speaker 1>found is that there's a long close relationship between Steve

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<v Speaker 1>Bannon and Um Bosonaro's oldest Bosono's son, Ed Warlow, a congressman,

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<v Speaker 1>and that relationship goes back to about eighteen and since then,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we were told that they're um in pretty

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<v Speaker 1>constant contact and a lot of the tactics we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>from uh Bothonaro father is you know, direct links to

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<v Speaker 1>what we've seen in the US, whether their motorcycle rallies

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<v Speaker 1>modeled off for Sturgis UH and pouring doubt on voting machines.

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<v Speaker 1>These are all echoes of things we've seen in the US,

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<v Speaker 1>and what we're hearing is it comes right from Trump world. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's fascinating the things that yeah, please don't yeah no,

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<v Speaker 1>I was gonna say, like, one of the things that

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<v Speaker 1>I think is significant to the story, and this is

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<v Speaker 1>something that um Um we go into, is that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the Trump world, um kind of exporting of that Trump is. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's kind of been something that's been attempted before,

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<v Speaker 1>right Andrew like and how did that pain out? Well? Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>Bandon has been trying this new UH in Europe with

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<v Speaker 1>his with his so called the movement some of these UH,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, far right groups, anti immigration groups in Europe,

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<v Speaker 1>and it wasn't that successful. But what Bannon told us

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<v Speaker 1>is he sees UH Brazil's presidential election next year as

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<v Speaker 1>a precursor from US midterms. So he and many of

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<v Speaker 1>other you know, other such things likes Miller, they're really

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<v Speaker 1>throwing their weight behind this. They you know, they think

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<v Speaker 1>both to Naro going it's likely going against his likely opponent,

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<v Speaker 1>former president Lula. Um. You know, they see this really

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<v Speaker 1>hearkened and reverberate in the US, just like Brexit, in

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<v Speaker 1>their opinion, did in the update of Trump. So they're

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<v Speaker 1>really really if you launched banners and talk shows and podcasts,

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<v Speaker 1>they're going on there just constantly, and they're from what

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<v Speaker 1>we hear is in touch with not just edward Son

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<v Speaker 1>but other advisors as well. When if I'm fascinating, the

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<v Speaker 1>more I feel like there's a lot of stories that

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<v Speaker 1>been that have been in Business Week that just kind

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<v Speaker 1>of remind us that Bannon still out there behind the scenes,

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<v Speaker 1>to be quite honest, Andrew, but he's still doing his thing. Yeah, definitely, definitely,

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<v Speaker 1>And it's you know, it's really interesting too, is that

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<v Speaker 1>you know, they've completely given Biden in one way is

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<v Speaker 1>the cold shoulder with all this. Well, even though that

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<v Speaker 1>Biden has gone uh fine is in the White House,

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<v Speaker 1>they continue to follow Trump and this has caused some

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of tension um uh on the diplomatic fronts

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<v Speaker 1>um uh. President bolson was one of the last world

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<v Speaker 1>leaders to recognize uh Biden's victory over Trump, and since

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<v Speaker 1>then we've what we've seen is that you know, very

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<v Speaker 1>cool relationship between the two countries and this you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Brazil is one of the one of the world's, the

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<v Speaker 1>largest country in South America and I believe that sixth world,

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<v Speaker 1>sixth most populous countries. So for the habit uh fixation

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<v Speaker 1>on Trump could cost Brazil during the town the line. Well, so,

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<v Speaker 1>so give us the context for everything that's happening domestically

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<v Speaker 1>right now ahead of the election and how this plays

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<v Speaker 1>into the challenge that Bolsonaro is facing well, right now,

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<v Speaker 1>President Bolsonos polombers at Aretta record low, inflation is rising,

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<v Speaker 1>hunger is spreading, um, you know, as the economy is reopening,

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<v Speaker 1>but at the very uneven UH rebound here UM. And

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Brazilians by and large are very very UM

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<v Speaker 1>frustrated it and upset by Um Bolsonaro really, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>doubting the coronavirus. He um had it himself. He's called

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<v Speaker 1>it a little flu last year. And right now, for

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<v Speaker 1>those who haven't been watching the headlines, he and his

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<v Speaker 1>and his cabinet were just in the US and his

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<v Speaker 1>health minister just came down with COVID and UM, as

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<v Speaker 1>did his son on the trip of the U n

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<v Speaker 1>g A. So Brazilians are really frustrated with his antics

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<v Speaker 1>in a lot of ways. And what Um Bolsonaro has

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<v Speaker 1>done has gone full Trump. You know, he continues to

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<v Speaker 1>cast out on on COVID. He continues to call his critics,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, UM, of spreaders of fake news and and

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<v Speaker 1>saying that they're going to trying to hijack voting machines

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<v Speaker 1>and steal the election next year. What people fear is

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<v Speaker 1>that he's really channeling Trump. And you know, for a

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<v Speaker 1>January six, assault on the capitol situation, and he's really

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<v Speaker 1>laying the groundwork to um, you know, contest the election

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<v Speaker 1>of disregard the results next year if he uses speaking

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<v Speaker 1>of that election, UM, Lula basically one of the most

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<v Speaker 1>popular politicians in Brazilian history, and so what what are

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<v Speaker 1>the meeting of those two politicians? What? What? What? What

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<v Speaker 1>can we expect? What's that going to look like? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>right now, you know, poll very early polls are showing

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<v Speaker 1>Lula cruising to a big, big victory right now. In Brazil,

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<v Speaker 1>there is usually a it's a two round. Uh, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a two round process. So if there's not a absolute

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<v Speaker 1>majority in the first, it would go to his second round.

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<v Speaker 1>But right now some polls suggest that Lula up by

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<v Speaker 1>as much as twenty points. And it's interesting this parallel

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<v Speaker 1>to the US, because Lula, you know, not only being

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<v Speaker 1>so popular, but he's really taken a step back and

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<v Speaker 1>say like Biden did in the US and saying, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I am I'm taking the pandemic seriously. And this has

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<v Speaker 1>been the thorn in Bolsonaro's side, uh, for you know,

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<v Speaker 1>much of these recent months is that he can't shake

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<v Speaker 1>the image that COVID has done um in his country,

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<v Speaker 1>and many people see that. As this fall, Brazil has

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<v Speaker 1>just passed six hundred thousand cortified desk and so people

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<v Speaker 1>are not willing to forget so soon. Well, it's fascinating

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<v Speaker 1>to make the comparison between the United States Trump and

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on in Brazil. Andrew, thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 1>Andrew Rossotti, Uh, Latin American reporter on the phone in Rio,

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<v Speaker 1>along with Chill Weber, Editor Bloomberg business Week. Check out

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<v Speaker 1>the new issue of Business Week. It is the sooner

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<v Speaker 1>than you think issue on news stands, online at business

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<v Speaker 1>Week dot dot com and of course on the Bloomberg terminal.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

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<v Speaker 1>Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, what a week. When it comes to again

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<v Speaker 1>Andy Cohen drinking game. Every time we said China, we'd

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<v Speaker 1>all be on the floor. Oh my god, we'll be

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<v Speaker 1>on the floor. Uh. Definitely control holding the news flow

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<v Speaker 1>in a big way when it comes to markets, many industry.

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<v Speaker 1>The latest we know, Tim on our radar once again,

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<v Speaker 1>it's all about crypto. We talked about this with Katie

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<v Speaker 1>and let's talk about it. With a really great voice.

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<v Speaker 1>Who joins us once again talking all things China. Guy

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<v Speaker 1>with so much experience in the country, Dexter tiff Roberts.

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<v Speaker 1>He's Mansfield Fellow at the University of Montana, also Senior

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<v Speaker 1>Fellow at the Atlantic Council's AGIA Security Initiative, and our

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<v Speaker 1>former colleague at Bloomberg Business Week. He was China bureau

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<v Speaker 1>chief for years and the author of the myth of

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<v Speaker 1>Chinese Capitalism, The Worker of the Factory and the Future

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<v Speaker 1>of the World, that came out in March of He

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<v Speaker 1>joins us once again on the phone from Montana. Dexter,

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<v Speaker 1>how do we make sense of this week? Well, as

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<v Speaker 1>you say, it's been it's been quite a week. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and we've seen it in the markets around the world.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the bigger picture is China, and uh it's

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's leader she Jane Preeny is continuing with

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<v Speaker 1>this effort to uh put politics back into the economy.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a massive the Tory push throughout the tech sector,

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<v Speaker 1>the cryptocurrency, the latest ban on cryptocurrency. It seems like

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<v Speaker 1>they've been numerous announcements over the last couple of years

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<v Speaker 1>from China, where they've banned it and banned it again.

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<v Speaker 1>Is also saying, you know, this industry crypto, which fluants

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<v Speaker 1>its freedom from regulation, has no place in China. And

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<v Speaker 1>then of course we have ever Grand And that's everything

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<v Speaker 1>about trying to deleverage the economy. But I think at

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<v Speaker 1>the same time also send a message to the Chinese

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<v Speaker 1>people that uh, the excessive wealth uh in some cases

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<v Speaker 1>achieved through questionable means, uh, which I think is is

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<v Speaker 1>rife throughout the real estate sector is no longer tolerated.

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<v Speaker 1>So I wonder if you, um, we're on the ground

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<v Speaker 1>in China right now, over in Asia and you were,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, putting your team and you're saying, Okay, here's

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<v Speaker 1>the stories I want to tell, or we need to

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<v Speaker 1>be telling when it comes to China, when it comes

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<v Speaker 1>to ever Grand, and what what what? What are the

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<v Speaker 1>questions that we need to be asking to be really smart,

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<v Speaker 1>especially as investors. Former US Secretary of the Treasury Larry

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<v Speaker 1>Summers telling our David Weston earlier, you know that people

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<v Speaker 1>should be on guard here. I don't think any of

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<v Speaker 1>us have full transparency of what is going on in China.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's the worry. So what are the questions, what

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<v Speaker 1>are the things that we need to be probing to

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<v Speaker 1>really understand stuff? Well, I think in terms of looking

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<v Speaker 1>at future targets from the Chinese government in different industries

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<v Speaker 1>and businesses, anything that really touches on the livelihood of

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<v Speaker 1>the Chinese people. Uh, they went after private education. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>they've they've gone after the big tech platforms and now

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<v Speaker 1>now real estate as well. All these things really matter

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<v Speaker 1>to the Chinese people. So there we've heard about again

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<v Speaker 1>and again about this new common Prosperity campaign. This is

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<v Speaker 1>about trying to reduce wealth inequality and uh. And it's

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<v Speaker 1>the same time have a private sector that is much

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<v Speaker 1>more under the under the thumb of the government and

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<v Speaker 1>the Communist Party. So I think an investor needs to

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<v Speaker 1>look at what might comes next, what might come next?

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<v Speaker 1>What what matters to the Chinese people? Um? Well, what

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<v Speaker 1>does in your view? Because they've covered a lot. Yeah, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I think obviously private health care, we've already seen signs

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<v Speaker 1>of that. That's another big one. Um and UM I

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<v Speaker 1>think in terms of you know, we'll see more on Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>The other part of the coin is anywhere where you

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<v Speaker 1>see real extremes of wealth. You see business people making

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of money, perhaps in industries that are destabilizing

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<v Speaker 1>to the economy, like like real estate, which has built

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<v Speaker 1>up so much leverage. Those are all going to be

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<v Speaker 1>targets going forward. I've asked you this before, Tiff, but

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<v Speaker 1>I want to ask you again, given that it's been

0:12:48.280 --> 0:12:51.360
<v Speaker 1>a couple of months, what's the end game for Hijin Ping.

0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:56.800
<v Speaker 1>I think that Jingping has made it abundantly clear over

0:12:56.840 --> 0:13:00.800
<v Speaker 1>the last six months that he's actually willing to Uh.

0:13:01.280 --> 0:13:03.560
<v Speaker 1>First of all, he wants politics and control. He wants

0:13:03.559 --> 0:13:07.160
<v Speaker 1>the politics in command economy. Uh. He he wants he

0:13:07.160 --> 0:13:10.400
<v Speaker 1>sees the private sector as continuing to be important in

0:13:10.440 --> 0:13:13.720
<v Speaker 1>creating jobs and vibrancy and innovation. But he wants it

0:13:13.800 --> 0:13:16.120
<v Speaker 1>all under the thumb of the party and the government.

0:13:16.600 --> 0:13:20.400
<v Speaker 1>So I think the belief is that amongst the top

0:13:20.480 --> 0:13:23.439
<v Speaker 1>leadership is that they can actually continue to carry out

0:13:23.480 --> 0:13:26.360
<v Speaker 1>these crackdowns, uh, pull some of the excesses out of

0:13:26.360 --> 0:13:29.400
<v Speaker 1>the economy, like the excess of leverage, get rid of

0:13:29.400 --> 0:13:31.719
<v Speaker 1>some of the real extremes of wealth, and they can

0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:34.240
<v Speaker 1>continue to grow. I'm not at all sure that they

0:13:34.240 --> 0:13:36.720
<v Speaker 1>can pull that off. So, so he wants capitalism but

0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:38.960
<v Speaker 1>not too much capitalism. And you think it's fair to

0:13:38.960 --> 0:13:41.560
<v Speaker 1>say that he thinks that some of these businesses and

0:13:41.640 --> 0:13:44.880
<v Speaker 1>these people involved with these businesses became just simply too powerful.

0:13:46.120 --> 0:13:49.880
<v Speaker 1>I think that's exactly what he thinks, um. And he's

0:13:49.920 --> 0:13:53.280
<v Speaker 1>planning to again have a private sector that is much

0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:55.880
<v Speaker 1>more answerable to the party. He wants to see, uh,

0:13:56.040 --> 0:13:57.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, lesser extremes of wealth and he's going to

0:13:57.880 --> 0:14:01.040
<v Speaker 1>try to pull that off, and that means we're gonna

0:14:01.040 --> 0:14:04.240
<v Speaker 1>see more crackdowns going forward. Hey, tif though, how do

0:14:04.320 --> 0:14:08.920
<v Speaker 1>you reconcile what president is doing right now and wanting

0:14:08.960 --> 0:14:13.840
<v Speaker 1>more industries under the thumb of the Chinese government with

0:14:14.000 --> 0:14:19.600
<v Speaker 1>also his ambitious agenda being leaders on you know in

0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 1>the high tech world, really building out industries no longer

0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:25.000
<v Speaker 1>being you know, the manufacturer to the world, which they

0:14:25.040 --> 0:14:28.680
<v Speaker 1>are increasingly not. But how how can they do that?

0:14:28.720 --> 0:14:32.760
<v Speaker 1>Can they do both? Well? I think there's actually a

0:14:32.840 --> 0:14:35.680
<v Speaker 1>real level of hubrists we're seeing and the sense that

0:14:35.760 --> 0:14:39.240
<v Speaker 1>they can do both. They can become more self reliant,

0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:42.040
<v Speaker 1>they can close off their economy to some degree to

0:14:42.080 --> 0:14:44.120
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the world. You know, they've basically blocked

0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:47.400
<v Speaker 1>all traveling and out of China and probably will continue

0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:49.680
<v Speaker 1>until at least late next year when they have a

0:14:49.720 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 1>party Congress um and maybe a bit more difficult for

0:14:53.120 --> 0:14:56.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, companies and institutions around the world to work

0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:59.560
<v Speaker 1>with China. I think they have this idea that they

0:14:59.600 --> 0:15:02.200
<v Speaker 1>can it. They can go it alone. They've reached a

0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:05.160
<v Speaker 1>level of power and an economy of a certain size.

0:15:05.480 --> 0:15:07.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm afraid that again, Hubris here, I don't think that

0:15:07.880 --> 0:15:10.880
<v Speaker 1>it really is doable. Just in the last thirty seconds

0:15:10.880 --> 0:15:12.760
<v Speaker 1>that we have. What are you watching for next? What's

0:15:12.760 --> 0:15:16.680
<v Speaker 1>the next shoe to drop? Again? I I just mentioned

0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:20.440
<v Speaker 1>the healthcare industry, for the private healthcare industry. China refers

0:15:20.480 --> 0:15:24.560
<v Speaker 1>to three big mountains that contribute to inequality in the

0:15:24.560 --> 0:15:28.360
<v Speaker 1>wealth gap, housing, education, and healthcare. They've hit housing, They've

0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:31.960
<v Speaker 1>hit education. I think healthcare is up map. It's really

0:15:31.960 --> 0:15:36.240
<v Speaker 1>fascinating because in many ways that's the same three here

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:39.120
<v Speaker 1>in the United States, and the US is also looking

0:15:39.160 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 1>to tackle it, but obviously, uh by different mode, not

0:15:42.800 --> 0:15:46.440
<v Speaker 1>to mention, you know, quote unquote raining technology exactly exactly.

0:15:46.520 --> 0:15:49.880
<v Speaker 1>So it's interesting to see the different um ways of

0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:52.720
<v Speaker 1>doing so. Tif, you are the best, Tif roberts uh

0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:55.880
<v Speaker 1>he is man Mansfield Fellow at the University of Montana,

0:15:55.920 --> 0:15:58.680
<v Speaker 1>author former Bloomberg BusinessWeek trying to be or achieved. His

0:15:58.720 --> 0:16:02.400
<v Speaker 1>book The Myths of Chinese Capitalism, really plays into so

0:16:02.480 --> 0:16:04.360
<v Speaker 1>much of what we're seeing right now. Well, the pandemic

0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:06.440
<v Speaker 1>has up ended tim We know how we work, where

0:16:06.480 --> 0:16:08.800
<v Speaker 1>we work, how bosses and workers think about the process.

0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:12.840
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes process was overwhelming. Boundaries between work and life are unclear.

0:16:12.920 --> 0:16:16.600
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes the ability to just plow through without office distractions,

0:16:16.640 --> 0:16:19.240
<v Speaker 1>not having to commute and so on created some clarity.

0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:21.440
<v Speaker 1>So I'm guess that our next guest us something to say.

0:16:21.560 --> 0:16:25.080
<v Speaker 1>It's Juliette Fund, founder and CEO of the Juliette Fund Group,

0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:27.560
<v Speaker 1>and she joined us on the phone from Los Angeles.

0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:30.520
<v Speaker 1>Julian's new Juliet's new book is called A Minute to Think,

0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:35.720
<v Speaker 1>Reclaim creativity, conquer business, and do your best work. Juliet,

0:16:35.720 --> 0:16:38.160
<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for joining us on the show. What

0:16:38.240 --> 0:16:41.040
<v Speaker 1>was it about the pandemic and everything that we've been

0:16:41.040 --> 0:16:44.760
<v Speaker 1>through collectively? Um, and how it's contributed that that that

0:16:44.760 --> 0:16:47.880
<v Speaker 1>that prompted you to write this? Well, I wrote the

0:16:47.880 --> 0:16:52.480
<v Speaker 1>book before the pandemic, but the conditions of the pandemic

0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 1>have only amplified things that have been around and work

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:58.800
<v Speaker 1>for for decades. I've been watching people for many, many

0:16:58.920 --> 0:17:04.119
<v Speaker 1>years sit in tolerated misery of the day, you know,

0:17:04.240 --> 0:17:07.760
<v Speaker 1>just trying to get through an earnest day's work and

0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:11.119
<v Speaker 1>finding that it becomes the hardest part of their day.

0:17:11.720 --> 0:17:16.520
<v Speaker 1>Unnecessary work, emails, meeting deck reports, a lack of connecting

0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:19.119
<v Speaker 1>with meaning. These things have been around for a while

0:17:19.200 --> 0:17:23.520
<v Speaker 1>before the pandemic, but the pandemic has certainly amplified them well.

0:17:23.560 --> 0:17:26.119
<v Speaker 1>And it's interesting, UM, I was going to ask you

0:17:26.160 --> 0:17:29.680
<v Speaker 1>too about your company and what you were doing pre pandemic.

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:32.920
<v Speaker 1>TuS litle bit more about UM your consultancy and training firm,

0:17:33.080 --> 0:17:35.840
<v Speaker 1>and again going back to kind of pre pandemic and

0:17:35.840 --> 0:17:39.680
<v Speaker 1>maybe how you're thinking has changed a little bit. Sure,

0:17:39.800 --> 0:17:41.919
<v Speaker 1>we've been doing this work for about ten years, and

0:17:41.960 --> 0:17:44.000
<v Speaker 1>I did it ten years before that as a speaker

0:17:44.000 --> 0:17:47.520
<v Speaker 1>and consultant independently. We go into companies, we help them

0:17:47.560 --> 0:17:51.000
<v Speaker 1>to reduce wasteful work and basically find more time to

0:17:51.040 --> 0:17:56.080
<v Speaker 1>be thoughtful, strategic, connected. And the pandemic has been such

0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:59.800
<v Speaker 1>a fascinating amplification of the worst of work and so

0:18:00.000 --> 0:18:03.520
<v Speaker 1>certain ways, but also has given us a little tiny

0:18:03.640 --> 0:18:07.639
<v Speaker 1>taste of what's possible with giving people more liberty, that

0:18:07.720 --> 0:18:11.199
<v Speaker 1>when they do have flexibility and liberty, that there are

0:18:11.240 --> 0:18:13.840
<v Speaker 1>ways that work can feel different in ways that we

0:18:13.920 --> 0:18:17.000
<v Speaker 1>haven't touched in a really, really long time. It's a

0:18:17.240 --> 0:18:19.919
<v Speaker 1>it's a preview of what's possible if we use this

0:18:19.960 --> 0:18:23.800
<v Speaker 1>window of opportunity to redesign the way works feel well.

0:18:23.840 --> 0:18:25.720
<v Speaker 1>I want to follow up on that, Tim, and I've

0:18:25.760 --> 0:18:28.440
<v Speaker 1>had a lot of conversations with heads of companies, well

0:18:28.480 --> 0:18:32.040
<v Speaker 1>known companies, publicly traded companies, um. In fact, we're just

0:18:32.080 --> 0:18:36.000
<v Speaker 1>talking about Franco Suitis of Cisco Systems yesterday, who is

0:18:36.320 --> 0:18:40.000
<v Speaker 1>an executive EP chief People Policy, UH and Purpose officer,

0:18:40.200 --> 0:18:44.120
<v Speaker 1>and talking about hybrid work in particular. Do you think

0:18:44.600 --> 0:18:50.280
<v Speaker 1>that seeing how productive people can be and maybe happier

0:18:50.760 --> 0:18:53.639
<v Speaker 1>in terms of having some flexibility and how they work,

0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:56.679
<v Speaker 1>that this idea of kind of being more liberal and

0:18:56.760 --> 0:18:59.600
<v Speaker 1>opening up how we think about work work, does it

0:18:59.720 --> 0:19:02.280
<v Speaker 1>stay you with us? Because there's a lot of executives

0:19:02.720 --> 0:19:05.600
<v Speaker 1>who've got some pretty expensive office space who say I

0:19:05.600 --> 0:19:08.840
<v Speaker 1>want you back in the office. Sure that we have

0:19:08.920 --> 0:19:12.680
<v Speaker 1>to look at both populations of the pandemic evenly and fairly.

0:19:12.720 --> 0:19:15.280
<v Speaker 1>There has been a population that's tasted a little bit

0:19:15.320 --> 0:19:18.199
<v Speaker 1>of liberty, and they're starting to realize that work can

0:19:18.240 --> 0:19:20.600
<v Speaker 1>feel different with the freedom that they've been given. But

0:19:20.640 --> 0:19:24.000
<v Speaker 1>there's also an enormous percentage of people for whom work

0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:27.520
<v Speaker 1>has gotten worse in the sense that they've lost any

0:19:27.600 --> 0:19:30.520
<v Speaker 1>semblance of boundaries that they had before. They used to

0:19:30.560 --> 0:19:34.480
<v Speaker 1>have a little bit of separation maybe between work and life,

0:19:34.480 --> 0:19:36.840
<v Speaker 1>and now it's just shuffled like a deck of cards,

0:19:36.920 --> 0:19:39.399
<v Speaker 1>and there is no separation. They don't know how to

0:19:39.440 --> 0:19:42.920
<v Speaker 1>turn on or off. The zoom maholic zoom off on

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:45.840
<v Speaker 1>all day long has literally expanded to seven and to

0:19:45.960 --> 0:19:48.400
<v Speaker 1>seven pm. So it's unsustainable and we have to dress

0:19:48.440 --> 0:19:50.359
<v Speaker 1>both sides of that. Okay, Here in New York on

0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:52.520
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street, it's you know, it's just twenty minutes before

0:19:52.600 --> 0:19:55.320
<v Speaker 1>five roughly. What's one tip you can give us to

0:19:55.320 --> 0:19:57.480
<v Speaker 1>to help us go into the weekend and and sort

0:19:57.520 --> 0:20:03.320
<v Speaker 1>of enter the and stay unplugged. Sure, entering the weekend,

0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:05.919
<v Speaker 1>we want to, first of all, have a way to

0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:09.600
<v Speaker 1>close the door on work. It's very very difficult. One

0:20:09.720 --> 0:20:12.280
<v Speaker 1>technique is to take all of your work related things

0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:15.360
<v Speaker 1>and make them in put them inside some sort of

0:20:15.359 --> 0:20:19.320
<v Speaker 1>physical compartment of desk a drawer addresser so that you

0:20:19.400 --> 0:20:23.080
<v Speaker 1>can't visually keep seeing them through the time when you're

0:20:23.080 --> 0:20:27.560
<v Speaker 1>supposed to be disconnected. Another incredibly simple technique, although it

0:20:27.560 --> 0:20:31.160
<v Speaker 1>sounds a little lighthearted, is if you just say out

0:20:31.200 --> 0:20:33.480
<v Speaker 1>loud in front of the people that you love. I

0:20:33.600 --> 0:20:36.720
<v Speaker 1>call this trapping yourself and a promise. You say, well,

0:20:36.760 --> 0:20:39.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm done for the weekend. No more work for me

0:20:39.800 --> 0:20:43.200
<v Speaker 1>this weekend. And once you say out loud that you've

0:20:43.240 --> 0:20:45.520
<v Speaker 1>made a commitment that there will be a boundary between

0:20:45.560 --> 0:20:49.040
<v Speaker 1>work and leisure, it's really hard to go sneak that

0:20:49.119 --> 0:20:51.520
<v Speaker 1>sip of the laptop. You can do this even alone.

0:20:51.560 --> 0:20:53.639
<v Speaker 1>If you live alone, you can have a boundary buddy

0:20:54.080 --> 0:20:56.879
<v Speaker 1>and just text each other and say work is over, um,

0:20:56.880 --> 0:20:58.639
<v Speaker 1>really wonderful, hope we can get you back in the

0:20:58.680 --> 0:21:01.120
<v Speaker 1>future because some really great tip. And you're someone who

0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:06.040
<v Speaker 1>works with Spotify, Nike, Costco, Cisco, the Food, Cisco, ESPN,

0:21:06.160 --> 0:21:09.399
<v Speaker 1>so many companies. Juliet Fund founder and CEO of Julie

0:21:09.720 --> 0:21:12.080
<v Speaker 1>Juliet Fund Group. Her book is a minute to think,

0:21:12.160 --> 0:21:16.240
<v Speaker 1>reclaim creativity, conquer business, business and do your best work.

0:21:17.080 --> 0:21:23.879
<v Speaker 1>Rolo Macro Journal. Yeah but you let me drive no, no,

0:21:23.960 --> 0:21:29.720
<v Speaker 1>no's go dru home please, I'll do the right drivels me.

0:21:30.040 --> 0:21:45.480
<v Speaker 1>I want to drive, just drive. The questions drying. This

0:21:46.000 --> 0:21:48.960
<v Speaker 1>is the drive to the globe. Give me thanks, We'll

0:21:49.040 --> 0:21:52.920
<v Speaker 1>drive us to dawn. On Bloomberg Radio, all right, you

0:21:53.040 --> 0:21:55.359
<v Speaker 1>just got about ten minutes left in today's trading session.

0:21:55.400 --> 0:21:58.199
<v Speaker 1>We are near our highs of the session. On this Friday,

0:21:58.280 --> 0:22:00.240
<v Speaker 1>what was been quite a week. Timmy and I were

0:22:00.240 --> 0:22:02.600
<v Speaker 1>reaving some fun about like it's like Monday never happened.

0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:04.919
<v Speaker 1>It's pretty wild to see that. I mean, if we

0:22:04.960 --> 0:22:07.800
<v Speaker 1>take a look at where stocks are for the week,

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:10.560
<v Speaker 1>we're looking like we're gonna end how the higher by

0:22:10.720 --> 0:22:12.199
<v Speaker 1>six cents of one percent? A little bit of a

0:22:12.200 --> 0:22:14.159
<v Speaker 1>game there. All right, let's get to it. Time to

0:22:14.160 --> 0:22:17.040
<v Speaker 1>the dot, Time for the drive to the clothes. Chad

0:22:17.040 --> 0:22:20.840
<v Speaker 1>Garcia is with s VP, Lead portfolio manager at Maria Funds,

0:22:20.880 --> 0:22:24.160
<v Speaker 1>co portfolio manager of the Ave Maria Growth Fund. That fund,

0:22:24.160 --> 0:22:26.520
<v Speaker 1>by the way up year today, putting it in the

0:22:26.640 --> 0:22:30.080
<v Speaker 1>fort compared with other funds in the category. That's according

0:22:30.119 --> 0:22:33.280
<v Speaker 1>to our data up the past one year. He joins

0:22:33.320 --> 0:22:35.320
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from Florida. Chat, how are you.

0:22:36.200 --> 0:22:38.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm doing great, thanks for having me on. Hey, this

0:22:38.320 --> 0:22:42.560
<v Speaker 1>market environment, how would you describe it? Well, this week

0:22:42.560 --> 0:22:48.199
<v Speaker 1>has been pretty volatile but mostly flat. Right, isn't that crazy?

0:22:50.000 --> 0:22:52.480
<v Speaker 1>It is? It is. Although it is nice to be

0:22:52.560 --> 0:22:54.480
<v Speaker 1>up at the end of the week given or restarted,

0:22:54.880 --> 0:22:56.520
<v Speaker 1>it's always nice to be up on a Friday. Right.

0:22:57.880 --> 0:23:00.560
<v Speaker 1>Does that tell you, though, that Chad, that you know

0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:04.280
<v Speaker 1>buying the dip was the right move here? I was

0:23:04.400 --> 0:23:07.560
<v Speaker 1>buying the dip in in my portfolios. It was enough

0:23:07.600 --> 0:23:09.480
<v Speaker 1>of the dip for you to buy because I think

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:11.360
<v Speaker 1>that's what I did well. I think I think that's

0:23:11.359 --> 0:23:13.000
<v Speaker 1>the question that a lot of people had, is is

0:23:13.040 --> 0:23:16.920
<v Speaker 1>this a precursor or something bigger that's going to come? Well,

0:23:16.960 --> 0:23:19.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean the the what we were buying was, I

0:23:19.920 --> 0:23:22.440
<v Speaker 1>think was a little bit more effective than than internal economy,

0:23:22.440 --> 0:23:25.200
<v Speaker 1>and that was enough to make me buy um with

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:28.080
<v Speaker 1>respect is as a precursor of something more to come.

0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:34.280
<v Speaker 1>I think that the earnings it is strong strongly. It

0:23:34.320 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 1>looks like the coronaviruses is dissipating in the hospital hospitalizations

0:23:39.520 --> 0:23:41.399
<v Speaker 1>for the US is about eighty thousand, was just down

0:23:41.440 --> 0:23:43.399
<v Speaker 1>from the recent peak of a hundred thousands. So I

0:23:43.440 --> 0:23:47.440
<v Speaker 1>think that seeing the economy in the year strong and

0:23:47.520 --> 0:23:49.520
<v Speaker 1>to the point where they're gonna they're gonna announce the

0:23:49.520 --> 0:23:53.080
<v Speaker 1>taper in November and probably start that in December. Hey,

0:23:53.160 --> 0:23:55.480
<v Speaker 1>let's go back to UM. I love talking about people

0:23:55.600 --> 0:23:57.960
<v Speaker 1>or with people who are managing funds. You mentioned you

0:23:58.040 --> 0:24:01.480
<v Speaker 1>were buying on some of the declines that we saw.

0:24:01.600 --> 0:24:04.679
<v Speaker 1>Obviously there were probably some more interesting entry points. What

0:24:04.760 --> 0:24:10.000
<v Speaker 1>in particular were you buying. UM We don't disclose our

0:24:10.320 --> 0:24:15.480
<v Speaker 1>our buises so after they've been publicly disclosed, but UM,

0:24:15.520 --> 0:24:17.960
<v Speaker 1>but I can tell you some some interesting stocks that

0:24:18.000 --> 0:24:22.119
<v Speaker 1>we're definitely looking at. UM. Well, the biggest so you

0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:25.240
<v Speaker 1>mentioned that the Nickel pultfolio managed the Growth Fund, also

0:24:25.680 --> 0:24:28.399
<v Speaker 1>um pultfolio manager of the Focus Fund, which is in

0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:32.199
<v Speaker 1>the top quartile UM year to date. In our largest

0:24:32.200 --> 0:24:35.240
<v Speaker 1>position is e Dreams, which is an online travel agency

0:24:35.760 --> 0:24:38.640
<v Speaker 1>in Europe, and this is interesting for a couple of reasons.

0:24:39.080 --> 0:24:42.000
<v Speaker 1>Number one is that they only focused on leisure travel,

0:24:42.440 --> 0:24:46.320
<v Speaker 1>and leisure travel is going to rebound them much quicker

0:24:46.320 --> 0:24:48.399
<v Speaker 1>than the overall travel market because business is going to

0:24:48.440 --> 0:24:52.200
<v Speaker 1>take a little bit to recover, and we've already seen

0:24:52.240 --> 0:24:55.840
<v Speaker 1>that They've they've announced their August bookings and the August

0:24:55.840 --> 0:25:00.119
<v Speaker 1>bookings were up over the twenty eight pre COVID number.

0:25:00.760 --> 0:25:04.400
<v Speaker 1>And so the consumers, whether it's in the US or

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:07.840
<v Speaker 1>um Europe, they want to they want to travel, and

0:25:07.880 --> 0:25:11.280
<v Speaker 1>so that's that's exciting. And then the other exciting part

0:25:11.280 --> 0:25:14.040
<v Speaker 1>of this business is that they're switching from a transaction

0:25:14.040 --> 0:25:18.240
<v Speaker 1>model to a subscriber model where the subscribers get discounts

0:25:18.240 --> 0:25:20.600
<v Speaker 1>on trips that they book using them and they pay

0:25:20.920 --> 0:25:24.119
<v Speaker 1>a fee up front for that privilege. And currently there

0:25:24.160 --> 0:25:26.320
<v Speaker 1>A subscribers are up to a million and a half subscribers,

0:25:27.280 --> 0:25:29.680
<v Speaker 1>which is exciting for them. It's been on quite a run.

0:25:29.720 --> 0:25:32.280
<v Speaker 1>It's up about so far this year. But you think

0:25:32.280 --> 0:25:36.160
<v Speaker 1>there's more opportunity, more moved to the upside. I think

0:25:36.240 --> 0:25:40.480
<v Speaker 1>that at one and a half million subscribers, they're at

0:25:40.520 --> 0:25:44.280
<v Speaker 1>the subscribers are paying on sixty years a year. Just

0:25:44.520 --> 0:25:47.320
<v Speaker 1>the cash lew stream from those subscribers alone, I think

0:25:47.960 --> 0:25:51.920
<v Speaker 1>values this said ten to twenty euros is share and

0:25:52.200 --> 0:25:54.240
<v Speaker 1>get the rest of the business were free. And the

0:25:54.880 --> 0:25:56.320
<v Speaker 1>A d R S in the U S trade or

0:25:56.400 --> 0:25:59.120
<v Speaker 1>the ticker E D d r F just in case

0:25:59.160 --> 0:26:04.040
<v Speaker 1>anybody that the rs in the US aren't that liquid,

0:26:04.040 --> 0:26:06.040
<v Speaker 1>so to be the one that you'd probably want to

0:26:06.040 --> 0:26:09.720
<v Speaker 1>buy in the primary market. Good to chat another stock

0:26:09.840 --> 0:26:12.200
<v Speaker 1>our producers telling us that you have as a pick.

0:26:12.280 --> 0:26:17.359
<v Speaker 1>Hiko has about sixteen billion dollars in market cap airplane parts.

0:26:17.640 --> 0:26:20.639
<v Speaker 1>Take us into it, Yeah, Hiko. Hiko is also also

0:26:21.080 --> 0:26:23.240
<v Speaker 1>related to travel. Like the Dreams, this one's gonna be

0:26:23.240 --> 0:26:27.080
<v Speaker 1>a little slower to recover given that they're exupposed to

0:26:27.160 --> 0:26:31.920
<v Speaker 1>the travel industry overall. But Hiko has two business is

0:26:31.960 --> 0:26:35.840
<v Speaker 1>the largest is an aftermarket parts business for commercial planes.

0:26:36.400 --> 0:26:37.840
<v Speaker 1>And what they do is they put themselves in a

0:26:37.920 --> 0:26:42.720
<v Speaker 1>duopoly position with the original equipment manufacturers. They charge about

0:26:42.720 --> 0:26:45.800
<v Speaker 1>thirty less than the original equipment manufacturers and they capture

0:26:45.800 --> 0:26:50.400
<v Speaker 1>about a third of the market and the secret sauces

0:26:50.400 --> 0:26:53.480
<v Speaker 1>the buility. The ability to sell parts for airplanes is

0:26:53.520 --> 0:26:56.160
<v Speaker 1>governed by the f A. A has to approve each

0:26:56.240 --> 0:27:01.399
<v Speaker 1>part that goes on an airplane. In Hike those advantages

0:27:01.440 --> 0:27:03.480
<v Speaker 1>that they can get about five parts through the f

0:27:03.600 --> 0:27:07.080
<v Speaker 1>A approval process per year, which is multiple higher than

0:27:07.080 --> 0:27:09.440
<v Speaker 1>anybody else. And so what they do is they allow

0:27:10.359 --> 0:27:14.159
<v Speaker 1>the airlines an alternatives part supplier to to the original

0:27:14.160 --> 0:27:17.840
<v Speaker 1>equipment manufacturers and they save the airline money so while

0:27:17.920 --> 0:27:20.440
<v Speaker 1>Hiko is going to be a little slower to recover

0:27:20.480 --> 0:27:23.439
<v Speaker 1>the kneed rooms because it's exposed to the overall travel market,

0:27:24.000 --> 0:27:27.159
<v Speaker 1>it should do decently well because you know, in this

0:27:27.240 --> 0:27:29.359
<v Speaker 1>challenging environment, the airlines are going to be looking to

0:27:29.400 --> 0:27:32.080
<v Speaker 1>see this money anyway they can. Hey, just quickly, just

0:27:32.080 --> 0:27:34.159
<v Speaker 1>got about thirty seconds left. A p I Group is

0:27:34.200 --> 0:27:37.720
<v Speaker 1>another one, an industrial maintenance company. It's up about this

0:27:37.840 --> 0:27:41.960
<v Speaker 1>year four point seven billion dollar market quacked cap. Excuse me,

0:27:42.320 --> 0:27:43.840
<v Speaker 1>just quickly your take on that, and why do you

0:27:43.840 --> 0:27:48.639
<v Speaker 1>think it's a buy? Well, it's it's about an eight

0:27:48.720 --> 0:27:52.880
<v Speaker 1>percent free cash real yielded for a company that has

0:27:52.920 --> 0:27:56.680
<v Speaker 1>an organic growth rate. This company has grown organically about

0:27:56.720 --> 0:27:59.200
<v Speaker 1>seven percent per year for the for the decade prior

0:27:59.240 --> 0:28:01.920
<v Speaker 1>to COVID, and then on top of that organic growth,

0:28:02.400 --> 0:28:05.600
<v Speaker 1>they are able to roll up Momo pop small businesses

0:28:05.680 --> 0:28:09.879
<v Speaker 1>paying between four UM four to six times Evada, which

0:28:10.040 --> 0:28:15.640
<v Speaker 1>for further accelerates set that growth. They just bought Chub

0:28:15.720 --> 0:28:18.080
<v Speaker 1>Fire and Safety, which is a large business that was

0:28:18.760 --> 0:28:22.600
<v Speaker 1>an orphaned company out of Carrier, a pullet company that

0:28:22.680 --> 0:28:27.160
<v Speaker 1>gets them into multiple markets around the world. UM black

0:28:27.200 --> 0:28:31.679
<v Speaker 1>Stone Group was also bids that business, but decided to

0:28:32.920 --> 0:28:36.840
<v Speaker 1>back a PI S bid by investing an API through

0:28:37.400 --> 0:28:41.200
<v Speaker 1>convertible preferred. I think a Blaxton is gonna open up

0:28:41.200 --> 0:28:44.400
<v Speaker 1>their portfolio of real estate holdings and a lot well

0:28:44.400 --> 0:28:47.280
<v Speaker 1>good to know, and unfortunately've got a round ched Garcia

0:28:47.360 --> 0:28:50.280
<v Speaker 1>over at a Maria Funds joining us on the phone.

0:28:51.360 --> 0:28:54.200
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast

0:28:54.240 --> 0:28:57.200
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0:28:57.240 --> 0:28:59.360
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0:28:59.400 --> 0:29:02.560
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0:29:02.560 --> 0:29:05.320
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