WEBVTT - Risk-Reward Players 0:00:00.360 --> 0:00:04.080 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:06.200 --> 0:00:09.560 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:09.800 --> 0:00:14.240 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 0:00:14.360 --> 0:00:17.960 and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.000 --> 0:00:25.600 here's your host, Paul. It's Fantasy Football Weekly. I am 0:00:25.600 --> 0:00:29.200 Paul scharchy In joining me as usual or at least 0:00:29.200 --> 0:00:31.920 often Brian Johnson, and it's it's it was you last 0:00:31.920 --> 0:00:33.760 week for sure, it's you for I think a couple 0:00:33.840 --> 0:00:36.839 more weeks too. And yeah, in our industries, this is 0:00:36.840 --> 0:00:41.200 when people start banking vacation. So yeah, that's what happens. 0:00:41.320 --> 0:00:44.000 What am I I'm I'm doing something wrong. Yeah, you're 0:00:44.040 --> 0:00:47.760 the guy that right, the guy not doing the vacations right. Well, 0:00:47.760 --> 0:00:51.160 it's because guarante league season is is upon us, so 0:00:51.200 --> 0:00:53.400 that's probably a good chunk of it. Anyway, you want 0:00:53.400 --> 0:00:55.680 to work in the fantasy industry, it's pretty much a 0:00:55.680 --> 0:00:59.480 seven day gig, and people celebrate the weekend in season. 0:00:59.480 --> 0:01:01.840 You're like, there's no such thing as the weekend. Now, 0:01:01.920 --> 0:01:04.400 people be like, what are you doing for the weekend? Like, yeah, working, 0:01:04.680 --> 0:01:07.680 that's what I'm doing. That's like the week start. Yes, yeah, 0:01:08.520 --> 0:01:12.200 the week's never end. Yes, this week we're talking about 0:01:12.319 --> 0:01:16.920 high risk, high reward players. These are players with big upside, 0:01:17.319 --> 0:01:21.280 big downside, and the players that can make or break 0:01:21.280 --> 0:01:23.679 your roster. We're gonna identify for each of us a 0:01:23.680 --> 0:01:28.240 player in each position we believe represents high risk, high reward. 0:01:28.800 --> 0:01:34.240 But before we get into the specific players in in redraft, 0:01:35.000 --> 0:01:38.960 how many of these kinds of players do you want 0:01:39.200 --> 0:01:42.120 on your team? What is your risk profile look like? 0:01:42.480 --> 0:01:45.960 You know, if you took nothing but these players, it's 0:01:46.000 --> 0:01:48.040 probably gonna blow up on you because there's too much 0:01:48.120 --> 0:01:50.280 risk that you put onto your roster. It's like hitting 0:01:50.800 --> 0:01:55.559 basically right, Yeah, yeah, you know, maybe they all work 0:01:55.560 --> 0:01:58.400 out brilliantly, or maybe you can get. So we're gonna 0:01:58.400 --> 0:02:01.520 give out I'm giving out four, you're giving out for 0:02:01.600 --> 0:02:03.160 We're gonna give out eight. If you put six of 0:02:03.240 --> 0:02:06.200 the eight on your roster, you're probably it's probably not 0:02:06.240 --> 0:02:09.040 gonna work out. If you can't get, you're not gonna 0:02:09.080 --> 0:02:10.880 get six out of six or five out of six, 0:02:10.919 --> 0:02:13.519 And a couple of those guys are gonna torpedo. But 0:02:13.639 --> 0:02:15.720 what do you think is the right kind of answer 0:02:15.800 --> 0:02:20.000 with your willingness to put these high risk high reward 0:02:20.080 --> 0:02:25.360 players on roster twenty percent. You gotta have some upside, 0:02:25.400 --> 0:02:31.440 You gotta swing for the fences. Certain positions you certainly 0:02:31.440 --> 0:02:34.359 don't want to take high risk or high risk players 0:02:34.560 --> 0:02:37.600 from the same team, like quarterback wide receiver, because are 0:02:38.000 --> 0:02:40.639 if that quarterback goes down, he's taking the receiver with them. 0:02:40.680 --> 0:02:43.640 That's definitely more of a best ball mentality you can 0:02:43.680 --> 0:02:46.680 afford when you're not setting your lineup when the you 0:02:46.720 --> 0:02:50.080 know it's getting set. I got a quarterback receiver combo, 0:02:50.400 --> 0:02:52.760 I'll be telling right about. Yeah, you have to say 0:02:52.840 --> 0:02:55.040 which one you would if if you were forced to 0:02:55.080 --> 0:02:58.560 pick one, who who would be the quarterback? To me? 0:02:59.040 --> 0:03:02.919 Is the position where I'm most willing to take chances 0:03:03.040 --> 0:03:06.920 because in a one quarterback league you can get another 0:03:07.040 --> 0:03:09.880 quarterback if it doesn't work out for your high risk guy. 0:03:10.680 --> 0:03:13.720 Is there's somebody to pivot to that you can find 0:03:13.960 --> 0:03:16.839 more easily in single quarterback And so for me, that's 0:03:16.840 --> 0:03:18.760 the one. You know, if if I were to id 0:03:18.800 --> 0:03:20.440 to just positionally say where am I going to put 0:03:20.440 --> 0:03:24.160 my risk? I love putting risk into high upside quarterbacks. 0:03:24.960 --> 0:03:26.840 Uh to that point, let's use that as our as 0:03:26.840 --> 0:03:29.799 our starting off point. Who is your high risk, high 0:03:29.880 --> 0:03:32.560 reward quarterback. Well, you can tell me if you'd like 0:03:32.639 --> 0:03:36.320 to take the chance on Aaron Rodgers, who getting drafted 0:03:36.320 --> 0:03:40.800 around QB twelve thirteen, definitely later than previous season. The 0:03:40.880 --> 0:03:42.720 last decade he hasn't gone that lot, but that's still 0:03:42.800 --> 0:03:46.160 kind of a significant investment based on how deep quarterback 0:03:46.280 --> 0:03:48.360 is again just like last year, and the risk with 0:03:48.520 --> 0:03:51.520 Rodgers is, really he has his worst season as a pro, 0:03:51.760 --> 0:03:54.200 and why would that happen outside of his age. I 0:03:54.240 --> 0:03:57.440 don't think I'm not really factoring his age as much here, 0:03:57.520 --> 0:04:01.480 but going back to Davante Adams was his leading wide 0:04:01.520 --> 0:04:06.440 receiver he gone from. Going back to eleven, he was 0:04:06.440 --> 0:04:09.520 either Jordy Nelson or Randall Cobb, and he had both 0:04:09.560 --> 0:04:12.160 of them in their prime, so he had two amazing options. 0:04:12.440 --> 0:04:14.640 In ten. Will go back that for it was Greg 0:04:14.720 --> 0:04:17.880 jennings Head twelve hundred plus yards and twelve touchdowns. I 0:04:17.880 --> 0:04:19.919 think you get where I'm going with this, DoD the 0:04:19.920 --> 0:04:22.560 Packers have a wide receiver on any of those players 0:04:22.680 --> 0:04:25.440 level right now, it doesn't appear to be unless Christian 0:04:25.440 --> 0:04:28.680 Watson turns out to be a great receiver or Alan Lazard, 0:04:28.720 --> 0:04:31.000 which I'm not buying into that. All Art is not 0:04:31.080 --> 0:04:34.760 a great receiver, no, and Sammy Watkins certainly not reliable. 0:04:34.800 --> 0:04:37.040 He he'ld be great week one. We know that for sure. 0:04:37.120 --> 0:04:39.160 But that's about it. And yeah, they have Randall cop 0:04:39.240 --> 0:04:41.520 but he's now a hundred years old in football years. 0:04:41.520 --> 0:04:44.440 So that's the risk and the reward is you know, 0:04:45.160 --> 0:04:47.239 Rogers works with what he's got and he has another 0:04:47.800 --> 0:04:51.640 typical four thousand yard, forty touchdown season, which is a 0:04:51.680 --> 0:04:55.720 bar in at quarterback twelve. But uh, I'm leaning he's 0:04:55.720 --> 0:04:59.159 more risky than a reward e. I know that's not 0:04:59.200 --> 0:05:02.360 a word, but so I'm kind of out on Rogers. 0:05:02.440 --> 0:05:04.760 But there is sil reward there because he is one 0:05:04.760 --> 0:05:07.520 of the most talented quarterbacks in NFL history. But what's 0:05:07.520 --> 0:05:10.880 the downside that he brings? If you numerically give me 0:05:10.960 --> 0:05:13.040 give me your worst. You know, if he plays, if 0:05:13.040 --> 0:05:15.960 he plays all seventeen games, where do you think his 0:05:16.080 --> 0:05:19.760 downside lines statistically for Aaron Rodgers. You know, it's a 0:05:19.839 --> 0:05:22.640 down here for him. If he's at thirty touchdowns, that 0:05:22.640 --> 0:05:25.760 would be yards in Green Bay. But that's a good 0:05:25.800 --> 0:05:28.760 defense and they got two very good running backs. Granted, 0:05:28.760 --> 0:05:31.200 Inner Jones is a good receiving back, but they become 0:05:31.240 --> 0:05:34.880 a you know, a run heavier, run heavier team. They've 0:05:34.880 --> 0:05:39.200 always been passed first, basically Roger's whole career. So see 0:05:39.240 --> 0:05:40.720 how it plays out. But I'm kind of I'm kind 0:05:40.720 --> 0:05:44.320 of avoiding Rogers, but there is still upside there, my 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:48.640 high risk, high reward quarterback. And I almost Jalen Hurts here, 0:05:48.680 --> 0:05:50.960 but I didn't just because I think he's more of 0:05:51.000 --> 0:05:56.720 a known quantity than Trey Lance, who could go the 0:05:56.800 --> 0:05:59.400 pendulum swing on tray Lance, I think is bigger than 0:05:59.520 --> 0:06:03.800 any order back in this year's fantasy draft. So the 0:06:03.920 --> 0:06:07.239 risk side of Trey Lance just the nineteen college starts. 0:06:07.480 --> 0:06:09.520 He had the one full game last year when he 0:06:09.560 --> 0:06:12.240 had to fill in for an injured Jimmy Garoppolo, and 0:06:12.279 --> 0:06:14.960 that was a disheartening effort that saw San Francisco score 0:06:15.000 --> 0:06:17.760 just ten points against the Cardinals. In that game. With 0:06:17.880 --> 0:06:20.799 Trey Lance at the helm, you've got the Deebo Samuel 0:06:20.839 --> 0:06:25.640 possible holdout working against Trey Lance. And it's very possible 0:06:26.200 --> 0:06:29.599 that Tray Lance just isn't a very good quarterback or 0:06:29.720 --> 0:06:31.919 isn't a very good passer at this level. We don't 0:06:31.920 --> 0:06:34.800 know yet. He could be benched for Jimmy Garoppolo. His 0:06:35.000 --> 0:06:37.280 he might not even be the starter week one if 0:06:37.560 --> 0:06:40.799 if he struggles all preseason, Garoppolo comes in and plays 0:06:40.839 --> 0:06:45.200 all right. The downside on Trey Lance is literally no 0:06:45.440 --> 0:06:48.080 fantasy points all year. Yeah, I mean, for those who 0:06:48.120 --> 0:06:52.240 don't know, he's a small school quarterback north to State. 0:06:52.440 --> 0:06:56.560 Steve McNair was a small school quarterback Alcorn State. Call that, 0:06:56.560 --> 0:06:58.479 and he turned out at right. But there's a risk 0:06:58.520 --> 0:07:00.680 in that, you know, But I don't find that too much. 0:07:00.880 --> 0:07:04.480 Let's talk about the reward for tray Lance. He's got 0:07:04.880 --> 0:07:10.960 top five level upside if everything comes together. A lot 0:07:11.000 --> 0:07:14.960 of it is because of his unbelievable rushing ability. He 0:07:15.040 --> 0:07:18.160 brings to the table a rushing skill set that isn't 0:07:18.200 --> 0:07:22.160 it is equivalent roughly to Jalen Hurts. Maybe not quite 0:07:22.200 --> 0:07:25.920 at the Lamar Jackson level of elusiveness, but he probably 0:07:25.960 --> 0:07:29.320 has more just straight line speed. He is fast, and 0:07:29.320 --> 0:07:33.080 in that one full game last year that tray Lance played, 0:07:33.600 --> 0:07:37.480 they gave him eleven designed runs and then he scrambled 0:07:37.520 --> 0:07:42.000 five more times for ninety rushing yards in his one 0:07:42.360 --> 0:07:46.160 full start. And the fact that Kyle Shanahan, who obviously 0:07:46.240 --> 0:07:51.920 never runs. Jimmy Garoppolo gave him eleven designed runs. Very 0:07:52.040 --> 0:07:55.720 very promising for Tray Lance as a runner on a 0:07:55.840 --> 0:07:58.520 very small set sample sample set of just that one 0:07:58.560 --> 0:08:01.720 game to a Lance has a monster arm that can 0:08:01.800 --> 0:08:04.720 unlock it downfield passing attack that Jimmy Garoppolo has been 0:08:04.760 --> 0:08:07.559 totally unable to do. Garoppolo's worst feature as an NFL 0:08:07.600 --> 0:08:11.119 quarterbacks is downfield passing. This might be Trey Lance's best 0:08:11.160 --> 0:08:15.160 feature downfield passing. He could have some deep connections that 0:08:15.200 --> 0:08:21.760 can produce massive fantasy events. And then, lastly, the other 0:08:21.760 --> 0:08:24.320 part of the rewards in here for Trey Lances, just 0:08:24.440 --> 0:08:27.000 get the ball in the hands of guys like Deebo Samuel, 0:08:27.040 --> 0:08:29.880 George Kittle, and Brandon are you but hopefully not on handoffs. 0:08:30.120 --> 0:08:37.080 Hopefully don't. That's all right? Throw yes, specifically for Deebo Samuel. Um, 0:08:37.120 --> 0:08:40.160 you roll all that together. If he can rush for 0:08:40.760 --> 0:08:43.439 nine yards like he did in this one game, Um, 0:08:43.559 --> 0:08:47.040 and he can be throwing deep downfield passes, you get 0:08:47.040 --> 0:08:49.320 a connection or to a game and next thing you know, 0:08:49.360 --> 0:08:51.880 you're like two or fifty yards, a couple of touchdowns 0:08:51.880 --> 0:08:54.320 through the air and ninety brushing yards and you know 0:08:54.520 --> 0:08:57.120 the period of rushing touchdown and now Trey Lance is 0:08:57.120 --> 0:09:00.679 in the conversation for a top five scoring fan see quarterback. 0:09:00.720 --> 0:09:03.360 I'm with you. I like the upside there for sure. 0:09:04.160 --> 0:09:07.559 Let's go to our high risk, high reward running backs. 0:09:07.640 --> 0:09:12.000 Who is your running back, Brian, one of your about 0:09:12.000 --> 0:09:13.720 the ten years I've known you. One of the biggest 0:09:13.720 --> 0:09:16.400 man crushes you've had in uh over the last decade 0:09:16.440 --> 0:09:20.560 Ezekiel Elliott, who is now going as RB sixteen, which 0:09:20.600 --> 0:09:24.600 is way later than previous years. Um. And the risk 0:09:24.720 --> 0:09:27.040 there is you get the Zeke from the last two 0:09:27.040 --> 0:09:31.480 seasons who finished and eighteenth in Fantasy points per game. 0:09:32.000 --> 0:09:33.960 Uh Now, you only missed two games during that span. 0:09:34.000 --> 0:09:35.880 He's been durable, even though he's been banged up. But 0:09:35.920 --> 0:09:38.400 when your points per game are that low, it almost 0:09:38.480 --> 0:09:42.040 hurts you more than it helps you. So but the 0:09:42.080 --> 0:09:44.800 market is adjusted again going to RB sixteen, he was 0:09:45.080 --> 0:09:47.760 a couple of years ago he was maybe the RB one, 0:09:47.920 --> 0:09:50.680 and then he was RB ten last year. Uh So 0:09:50.679 --> 0:09:52.040 I think it's a great time to buy the dip 0:09:52.080 --> 0:09:55.640 because of the rewards. You get vintage Zeke from nineteen 0:09:55.840 --> 0:09:58.280 back to his rookie year, who he kind of looked 0:09:58.320 --> 0:10:01.480 like early on last season, he had a bad Week one. 0:10:01.679 --> 0:10:04.000 Uh he finished his RB forty five without he had 0:10:04.040 --> 0:10:07.679 Tampa Bay like top rush defense in the league. Then 0:10:07.720 --> 0:10:11.680 after that week to RB seven, then RB one, RB six, 0:10:11.840 --> 0:10:14.600 RB seven in week five, then in Week six he 0:10:14.679 --> 0:10:16.440 was RB fifteen. But that's when he got hurt, and 0:10:16.840 --> 0:10:19.280 not hurt enough to miss games, but he was banged 0:10:19.360 --> 0:10:23.160 up for the duration of the season with ankle knee issues. 0:10:23.400 --> 0:10:25.240 Before he was injured, though, he was averaging more than 0:10:25.280 --> 0:10:28.240 five yards per carry and that's with o line issues 0:10:28.320 --> 0:10:30.440 that Dallas was having a bunch of them last year, 0:10:30.480 --> 0:10:33.920 whether it was injury or suspension. Um but hopefully those 0:10:33.960 --> 0:10:36.440 are cleared up. And offseason reports for Zeke had been 0:10:36.559 --> 0:10:42.440 very positive, saying he's arguably in the bust. I haven't 0:10:42.440 --> 0:10:45.439 seen any topless photos yet, but he should be healthy'll 0:10:45.480 --> 0:10:47.880 be out there, I'm sure. Uh yeah, they'll be flashing 0:10:47.920 --> 0:10:50.080 the abs for sure, but uh, I don't know. At 0:10:50.160 --> 0:10:53.120 RB sixteen, I think he could return to that top 0:10:53.760 --> 0:10:57.160 five running back for him, So I'm leaning more to 0:10:57.200 --> 0:10:59.760 the reward side that uh I like for Zeke this 0:10:59.840 --> 0:11:01.959 here more so than the risk. Tony Pollard is always 0:11:02.000 --> 0:11:04.120 there and college is good. And we've talked you and 0:11:04.160 --> 0:11:06.800 I've talked a lot about this. We love Pollard, we 0:11:06.920 --> 0:11:09.840 love Pollard, and Pollard isn't going anywhere, and I think 0:11:09.920 --> 0:11:13.840 that provides it just to me, that limits the ceiling. 0:11:14.080 --> 0:11:16.960 But he's not going anywhere either with how much money 0:11:17.000 --> 0:11:20.079 they're paying him, and they almost have to justify that 0:11:20.400 --> 0:11:23.800 ridiculous contract. And they've talked about using Pollard more as 0:11:23.840 --> 0:11:25.680 a slot receiver, so we might see them both on 0:11:25.720 --> 0:11:27.800 the field. That stuff never pans out. Man, all the 0:11:28.000 --> 0:11:33.840 all the preseason playing out of position talk of the 0:11:33.880 --> 0:11:37.120 time does not come to fruition. You know, the Cordell 0:11:37.200 --> 0:11:41.040 Patterson's of the world. That's rare, super rare. By the way, 0:11:41.080 --> 0:11:43.720 do you hear this? Yeah, who's turned off his position? 0:11:43.760 --> 0:11:46.520 His dual position. They're just going running back in Corderell 0:11:46.559 --> 0:11:51.520 Patterson And I've done that for all all players don't 0:11:51.559 --> 0:11:55.040 know because they you know, I remember Taysom Hill was 0:11:55.160 --> 0:11:59.319 quarterback tight end. The most famous was Marcus Colston. Why 0:11:59.400 --> 0:12:02.480 does he yes? That was he was a cheap code 0:12:02.520 --> 0:12:07.240 for sure, like six whenever that was. It's um, I 0:12:07.000 --> 0:12:09.240 I'm cool with it, especially when you're making that call. 0:12:09.320 --> 0:12:12.240 Now you know, the league's got time to adapt, you know, 0:12:12.320 --> 0:12:14.839 he has. We're calling he's playing running back. He is. 0:12:14.960 --> 0:12:18.520 He's playing running back mostly. And the drafted Drake brought 0:12:18.640 --> 0:12:21.480 in Brian Edwards, Audentates and they got a couple of 0:12:21.520 --> 0:12:25.720 other guys and you know, almost every week Kyle Pitts 0:12:25.800 --> 0:12:27.959 is essentially a wide receiver. So yes, yeah, c P 0:12:28.160 --> 0:12:31.960 eighty four is a running back. My high risk, ky 0:12:32.040 --> 0:12:37.319 reward running back is Cam Acres. Let's start with the 0:12:37.480 --> 0:12:41.959 risk side on Cam Acers. No NFL running back has 0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:46.480 had a successful return from a torn achilles and by successful, 0:12:46.600 --> 0:12:48.439 I mean like you're back to most of what you 0:12:48.520 --> 0:12:51.839 were before. In almost every case, you don't even get 0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:54.200 close to what you were before, and in many cases 0:12:54.280 --> 0:12:57.160 you're completely out of the league. Acres will try to 0:12:57.240 --> 0:12:59.240 become the first ever running back to do it. And 0:12:59.320 --> 0:13:02.080 I've touched on Acres before in different conversations that we've had, 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:04.000 but I think i've really I'm really going to drill 0:13:04.080 --> 0:13:06.760 down on on the risk and reward side for Acres now. 0:13:07.280 --> 0:13:11.920 Upon returning last year, his play was completely uninspiring. And 0:13:12.320 --> 0:13:14.520 you know, granted it was a quick return on a 0:13:14.600 --> 0:13:18.320 devastating injury, but just hear me out. His yards per 0:13:18.400 --> 0:13:21.480 carry in the four games that he had at the 0:13:21.640 --> 0:13:25.240 end of the year after the Achilles injury was zero 0:13:25.400 --> 0:13:29.040 point six yards per carry three point two, two point zero, 0:13:29.360 --> 0:13:31.800 three point seven and one point six. I think that 0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:34.360 was five games. That nets out to an average of 0:13:34.400 --> 0:13:36.959 two point four yards per carry, and his PFF grade 0:13:37.000 --> 0:13:41.760 through the playoffs was forty four. Not good. Six months later, 0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:46.319 we presume that cam Akers is going to be a 0:13:46.520 --> 0:13:50.760 healthier and better runner, but history suggests that's not a 0:13:50.840 --> 0:13:55.839 safe assumption whatsoever. The historic best case that I can 0:13:55.960 --> 0:14:01.000 find on an achilles on the next year back is 0:14:01.400 --> 0:14:04.600 Edgar Bennett, who had a two touchdown, six hundred rushing 0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:10.400 yard game season in three and a half yards per carry, 0:14:10.520 --> 0:14:16.319 and then he quit football. He knew he was cooked. Cardenal, Nope, 0:14:16.480 --> 0:14:22.520 I want to try again. Packers, Packers Um. A number 0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:26.000 of other promising runners have had their careers completely halted 0:14:26.000 --> 0:14:29.680 by the Achilles. Lendel White not that long ago. Mickel 0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:32.720 was sure you remember that name, Lions. He had a 0:14:32.800 --> 0:14:35.840 gigantic rookie year and everybody's like year, Dude's gonna be great, 0:14:35.880 --> 0:14:40.520 and then uh he had the torn achilles. Uh. Andre Brown. 0:14:40.720 --> 0:14:45.200 You might remember Brian in particular New York Giants had 0:14:45.240 --> 0:14:48.440 a big rookie season. He was another I almost positive rookie, 0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:53.200 and he never played again, never played again. So you're 0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:59.880 downside with cam Akers is it's dramatic. It could be potential, 0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:05.600 like way lower than anybody's talking about five yards two touchdowns, 0:15:05.760 --> 0:15:09.000 you know, very very light use, uh, losing his job. 0:15:09.320 --> 0:15:11.680 It's it could be bad. I'm not going to really 0:15:11.720 --> 0:15:16.120 suggest that there's retirement downside, but that's not a zero 0:15:16.760 --> 0:15:20.720 percent chance either. Because this injury, the Achilles injury, people 0:15:20.760 --> 0:15:23.640 have retired on it in the past. Now you might say, 0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:26.520 Met and I did a little digging on this Achilles bit. 0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:30.320 With medically, we've come so far that in the era 0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:33.280 of Edgar Bennett twenty years ago, who cares. But it 0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:36.640 turns out this injury just doesn't have that much advancements 0:15:36.880 --> 0:15:38.600 in it. It just sort of is what it is. 0:15:38.800 --> 0:15:42.720 We reattached the tendon and we go um. The only 0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:44.640 thing that medicine has done is it allowed can makers 0:15:44.680 --> 0:15:48.080 to come back faster, but not necessarily better. So you're 0:15:48.120 --> 0:15:53.680 downside with Acres is extremely low. Let's talk upside. He's 0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:55.960 the presumed starter for a high functioning offense with one 0:15:55.960 --> 0:15:59.880 of the best head coaches in the game. There's that, Um, 0:16:00.040 --> 0:16:03.760 Sean mcveigh's awesome in In mcveigh's tenure, going back to seventeen, 0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:06.800 Rams running backs have averaged as a group, all of 0:16:06.840 --> 0:16:10.440 them together. Their average season for the Rams running backs 0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:14.600 is two thousand, fifty yards and eighteen touchdowns. Yeah, but 0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:19.080 that's a lot of prime. There's a couple of there's 0:16:19.080 --> 0:16:21.000 a couple of years of prime tied Gurley in there, 0:16:21.240 --> 0:16:23.400 but there's also a couple of years of there was 0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:25.200 the season after that where he felt the cliff and 0:16:25.240 --> 0:16:27.600 didn't have anybody else, and there's been some in last 0:16:27.640 --> 0:16:30.080 season was a down year for their runners too. If 0:16:30.160 --> 0:16:33.080 Acres is gonna get if Acres comes back well enough 0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:36.680 to earn say seventy of the workload on two thousand 0:16:36.800 --> 0:16:39.640 yards and eighteen touchdowns, okay, well I'm in. That's four 0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:42.160 yards and twelve and a half touchdowns, So you know 0:16:42.200 --> 0:16:44.640 I'm in at that point, Um, And the worst any 0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:47.320 Sean McVeigh team has ever finished in yards or points 0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:50.360 is twelve and they average seventh in points and seventh 0:16:50.400 --> 0:16:52.720 and yards. He just that offense is almost certainly going 0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:55.480 to be good, and he'd be the presumed lead running 0:16:55.480 --> 0:16:59.760 back because there isn't that much else. Darryl Henderson proved 0:16:59.840 --> 0:17:02.960 him self last year to be very ordinary and fifth 0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:06.159 round rookie Hirron Williams does not look like a workhorse back. No, 0:17:06.320 --> 0:17:09.560 he's more of a receiving threat. And Henderson grant he 0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:13.280 was injured early and came back and was he came 0:17:13.320 --> 0:17:16.080 back sooner than most expected for the playoff run too so, 0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:20.240 and his injury was not as severe as a torn achilles. 0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:23.800 And Henderson was not even a reliable week week, week 0:17:23.880 --> 0:17:26.359 to week starter. And then this a very good, a 0:17:26.440 --> 0:17:30.480 super Bowl caliber Rams offense last year. So we're all 0:17:30.560 --> 0:17:33.159 that together. You've got a lot of You've got a 0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:35.520 ton of risk and a ton of reward for cam Akers. 0:17:35.840 --> 0:17:38.720 So in my drafting experience so far, you'll you'll find 0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:42.560 Acres and Zeke pretty much right, mecancany who take Zeke 0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:46.600 all the way? No way do I risk the torn achilles. 0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:51.080 Let's take a break, and when we come back, let's 0:17:51.080 --> 0:17:54.399 talk about our high risk, high reward wide receivers and 0:17:54.600 --> 0:18:21.119 tight ends. His Fantasy Football Weekly continues Welcome back Fantasy 0:18:21.160 --> 0:18:24.920 Football Weekly Paul Charting, Brian Johnson reminder. Four ways to 0:18:24.960 --> 0:18:27.000 play at Guillotine Leagues dot com. You can join a 0:18:27.080 --> 0:18:29.760 private league with your friends between eight and eighteen people. 0:18:30.000 --> 0:18:32.320 More players you have, the longer the fund goes on 0:18:32.840 --> 0:18:36.280 farther you go into the season. Public leagues play for cash, 0:18:36.600 --> 0:18:40.919 public contests guillotean Leagues dot com. Uh, if you want 0:18:40.960 --> 0:18:43.400 to play high stakes super Chop, We've got a fifteen 0:18:43.440 --> 0:18:47.479 thousand dollar grand prize option at super Chop at Guillotine 0:18:47.560 --> 0:18:49.520 leagues dot com. And then the new way to play. 0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:51.120 If you'd never want to get chopped, do you want 0:18:51.119 --> 0:18:53.280 to make sure you play all season long Zombie mode 0:18:53.920 --> 0:18:57.000 when instead of getting chopped, you become a zombie joined 0:18:57.000 --> 0:18:59.200 the zombie Horde trying to take down the human survivors. 0:19:00.000 --> 0:19:01.960 I'm excited to try that. Yes, you can't wait to 0:19:02.000 --> 0:19:04.880 try it? All right, Let's let's move on to our 0:19:05.000 --> 0:19:08.720 high risk, high reward wide receivers. Who are you starting with? 0:19:09.280 --> 0:19:13.280 I got lacks the Los Angeles Chargers Mike Williams, who 0:19:13.400 --> 0:19:16.440 in best Ball has climbed up to wide receiver thirteen 0:19:16.480 --> 0:19:19.800 and ADP, which is very high. That's also very best ball. 0:19:20.480 --> 0:19:23.560 He's always been that guy high risk, high reward output 0:19:23.640 --> 0:19:25.840 on a game by game basis. Yeah, but I still 0:19:25.880 --> 0:19:27.920 think in redraft you'll see him at least inside the 0:19:27.960 --> 0:19:30.639 top fifteen, just based on his upside, which we'll get to. 0:19:30.880 --> 0:19:32.880 But uh, let's start with the risk, and the risk 0:19:33.000 --> 0:19:35.840 is you get the version of Mike Williams who averaged 0:19:35.880 --> 0:19:39.119 three catches for thirty seven scoreless yards and eight of 0:19:39.200 --> 0:19:42.480 his sixteen games last year. Yeah, he was just a 0:19:42.680 --> 0:19:45.320 killer if you had him starting in your starting lineup 0:19:45.600 --> 0:19:48.359 and a disaster and guillotine leagues by the way, because 0:19:48.400 --> 0:19:50.720 when he does, he does hard. Next thing, you know, 0:19:50.800 --> 0:19:52.760 you're chopped. And yeah, it almost seems like a lot 0:19:52.800 --> 0:19:55.080 of his games alternated from big game, so you're like, oh, 0:19:55.080 --> 0:19:57.680 I gotta start him this week and then he kills you. 0:19:59.000 --> 0:20:01.800 But but the reward is is, uh, he serves Keenan 0:20:01.840 --> 0:20:03.920 Allen as the wide receiver one in l A and 0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:06.080 is a top five Fantasy wide receiver because in the 0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:08.840 other eight games he played last year he scored at 0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:12.560 least once, he had multiple multiple touchdown games h end 0:20:12.680 --> 0:20:15.440 or top two hundred yards and the other half games 0:20:15.480 --> 0:20:18.040 he played, so he's kind of a it's a fifty. 0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:20.600 It's a coin flip of a player, but it's an 0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:23.359 elite offense with one of the best quarterbacks in the 0:20:23.440 --> 0:20:28.560 game up and coming. Him young quarterback they do like, 0:20:28.800 --> 0:20:30.240 and they paid him a lot of money too. They 0:20:30.280 --> 0:20:33.000 extended him, so some people thought they're gonna let him 0:20:33.000 --> 0:20:36.080 walk the Chargers, but uh, they did renew his contract. Um. 0:20:36.160 --> 0:20:39.600 There is competition though for targets. They like Joshua Palmer, 0:20:39.920 --> 0:20:42.359 uh fair amount. He's might he might be my number 0:20:42.400 --> 0:20:44.800 one sleeper this year. You're gonna hear me talking about 0:20:44.920 --> 0:20:47.720 him a lot. I like his prospects for his December. 0:20:48.359 --> 0:20:52.680 His December was way better than most people remember. And 0:20:52.760 --> 0:20:57.200 if that's a harbinger of this season to come, Palmer 0:20:57.320 --> 0:21:00.400 is is gonna be a really sneaky pick for people. 0:21:00.680 --> 0:21:03.160 So for me, I think that the risk still kind 0:21:03.200 --> 0:21:06.400 of outweighs the reward and that I don't think Keenan 0:21:06.480 --> 0:21:10.560 Allen is washed by any means. You know, Austin Ekel 0:21:10.680 --> 0:21:13.240 or Asaiah Spiller are going to soak up some targets 0:21:14.200 --> 0:21:18.359 par Donald Parham and I'm so mad they brought in Gerald. 0:21:18.400 --> 0:21:21.480 Everybody still think Parum could be the top title. I 0:21:21.480 --> 0:21:23.679 don't think the season is gonna start that way, but uh, 0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:26.199 for me, the asking price is too high right now. 0:21:26.359 --> 0:21:29.160 For Williams, I might I'll take some flyers in best 0:21:29.200 --> 0:21:31.359 ball and I have, but when it comes to re draft, 0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:34.280 on out. So I see him dominate for the majority 0:21:34.320 --> 0:21:37.159 of the season, not not a split. Talked about this 0:21:37.280 --> 0:21:39.920 on a previous Fantasy Football Weekly is about Mike Williams. 0:21:40.560 --> 0:21:43.840 I don't like guys that had one really good season 0:21:44.080 --> 0:21:46.320 and it was the season in which they got paid 0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:49.200 their contract or season. Was there one season where it 0:21:49.200 --> 0:21:52.000 all seemed to come together and it Maybe Williams is 0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:54.080 young enough. It could be that that season is exactly 0:21:54.119 --> 0:21:56.119 who's going to be going forward, at which point he 0:21:56.160 --> 0:21:58.800 would he'd Mike Williams would be worth this draft spot 0:21:59.520 --> 0:22:02.439 or he got paid. I he's fat and happy, and uh, 0:22:02.560 --> 0:22:04.360 you know, I thought he would have missed more games. 0:22:04.440 --> 0:22:06.320 We've only missed a handful over the last three years. 0:22:06.359 --> 0:22:09.480 But he's always been on the report and like, your 0:22:09.520 --> 0:22:12.880 shocked that he's actually playing, Uh come game day, So yeah, 0:22:13.040 --> 0:22:16.320 I'm out. My high risk, high reward wide receiver is 0:22:16.520 --> 0:22:19.560 dk Metcalf. Let's talk about the risks first, and it's 0:22:19.600 --> 0:22:22.800 obvious what the big risk is here his quarterbacks. We 0:22:23.000 --> 0:22:26.080