1
00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:04,080
Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.

2
00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:09,560
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,

3
00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:14,240
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,

4
00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:17,960
Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,

5
00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:25,600
Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul. It's Fantasy Football Weekly. I am

6
00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:29,200
Speaker 1: Paul scharchy In joining me as usual or at least

7
00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:31,920
Speaker 1: often Brian Johnson, and it's it's it was you last

8
00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:33,760
Speaker 1: week for sure, it's you for I think a couple

9
00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,839
Speaker 1: more weeks too. And yeah, in our industries, this is

10
00:00:36,840 --> 00:00:41,200
Speaker 1: when people start banking vacation. So yeah, that's what happens.

11
00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:44,000
Speaker 1: What am I I'm I'm doing something wrong. Yeah, you're

12
00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:47,760
Speaker 1: the guy that right, the guy not doing the vacations right. Well,

13
00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:51,160
Speaker 1: it's because guarante league season is is upon us, so

14
00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:53,400
Speaker 1: that's probably a good chunk of it. Anyway, you want

15
00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:55,680
Speaker 1: to work in the fantasy industry, it's pretty much a

16
00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:59,480
Speaker 1: seven day gig, and people celebrate the weekend in season.

17
00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:01,840
Speaker 1: You're like, there's no such thing as the weekend. Now,

18
00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:04,400
Speaker 1: people be like, what are you doing for the weekend? Like, yeah, working,

19
00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,680
Speaker 1: that's what I'm doing. That's like the week start. Yes, yeah,

20
00:01:08,520 --> 00:01:12,200
Speaker 1: the week's never end. Yes, this week we're talking about

21
00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:16,920
Speaker 1: high risk, high reward players. These are players with big upside,

22
00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:21,280
Speaker 1: big downside, and the players that can make or break

23
00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:23,679
Speaker 1: your roster. We're gonna identify for each of us a

24
00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:28,240
Speaker 1: player in each position we believe represents high risk, high reward.

25
00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:34,240
Speaker 1: But before we get into the specific players in in redraft,

26
00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:38,960
Speaker 1: how many of these kinds of players do you want

27
00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:42,120
Speaker 1: on your team? What is your risk profile look like?

28
00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:45,960
Speaker 1: You know, if you took nothing but these players, it's

29
00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,040
Speaker 1: probably gonna blow up on you because there's too much

30
00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:50,280
Speaker 1: risk that you put onto your roster. It's like hitting

31
00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:55,559
Speaker 1: basically right, Yeah, yeah, you know, maybe they all work

32
00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:58,400
Speaker 1: out brilliantly, or maybe you can get. So we're gonna

33
00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:01,520
Speaker 1: give out I'm giving out four, you're giving out for

34
00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:03,160
Speaker 1: We're gonna give out eight. If you put six of

35
00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:06,200
Speaker 1: the eight on your roster, you're probably it's probably not

36
00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:09,040
Speaker 1: gonna work out. If you can't get, you're not gonna

37
00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:10,880
Speaker 1: get six out of six or five out of six,

38
00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:13,519
Speaker 1: And a couple of those guys are gonna torpedo. But

39
00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:15,720
Speaker 1: what do you think is the right kind of answer

40
00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:20,000
Speaker 1: with your willingness to put these high risk high reward

41
00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:25,360
Speaker 1: players on roster twenty percent. You gotta have some upside,

42
00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:31,440
Speaker 1: You gotta swing for the fences. Certain positions you certainly

43
00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:34,359
Speaker 1: don't want to take high risk or high risk players

44
00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:37,600
Speaker 1: from the same team, like quarterback wide receiver, because are

45
00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,639
Speaker 1: if that quarterback goes down, he's taking the receiver with them.

46
00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:43,640
Speaker 1: That's definitely more of a best ball mentality you can

47
00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:46,680
Speaker 1: afford when you're not setting your lineup when the you

48
00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:50,080
Speaker 1: know it's getting set. I got a quarterback receiver combo,

49
00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:52,760
Speaker 1: I'll be telling right about. Yeah, you have to say

50
00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:55,040
Speaker 1: which one you would if if you were forced to

51
00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:58,560
Speaker 1: pick one, who who would be the quarterback? To me?

52
00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:02,919
Speaker 1: Is the position where I'm most willing to take chances

53
00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:06,920
Speaker 1: because in a one quarterback league you can get another

54
00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:09,880
Speaker 1: quarterback if it doesn't work out for your high risk guy.

55
00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:13,720
Speaker 1: Is there's somebody to pivot to that you can find

56
00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:16,839
Speaker 1: more easily in single quarterback And so for me, that's

57
00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:18,760
Speaker 1: the one. You know, if if I were to id

58
00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:20,440
Speaker 1: to just positionally say where am I going to put

59
00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:24,160
Speaker 1: my risk? I love putting risk into high upside quarterbacks.

60
00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:26,840
Speaker 1: Uh to that point, let's use that as our as

61
00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:29,799
Speaker 1: our starting off point. Who is your high risk, high

62
00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:32,560
Speaker 1: reward quarterback. Well, you can tell me if you'd like

63
00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:36,320
Speaker 1: to take the chance on Aaron Rodgers, who getting drafted

64
00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:40,800
Speaker 1: around QB twelve thirteen, definitely later than previous season. The

65
00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:42,720
Speaker 1: last decade he hasn't gone that lot, but that's still

66
00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:46,160
Speaker 1: kind of a significant investment based on how deep quarterback

67
00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:48,360
Speaker 1: is again just like last year, and the risk with

68
00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:51,520
Speaker 1: Rodgers is, really he has his worst season as a pro,

69
00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,200
Speaker 1: and why would that happen outside of his age. I

70
00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:57,440
Speaker 1: don't think I'm not really factoring his age as much here,

71
00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:01,480
Speaker 1: but going back to Davante Adams was his leading wide

72
00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:06,440
Speaker 1: receiver he gone from. Going back to eleven, he was

73
00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,520
Speaker 1: either Jordy Nelson or Randall Cobb, and he had both

74
00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:12,160
Speaker 1: of them in their prime, so he had two amazing options.

75
00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:14,640
Speaker 1: In ten. Will go back that for it was Greg

76
00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:17,880
Speaker 1: jennings Head twelve hundred plus yards and twelve touchdowns. I

77
00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:19,919
Speaker 1: think you get where I'm going with this, DoD the

78
00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:22,560
Speaker 1: Packers have a wide receiver on any of those players

79
00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:25,440
Speaker 1: level right now, it doesn't appear to be unless Christian

80
00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:28,680
Speaker 1: Watson turns out to be a great receiver or Alan Lazard,

81
00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:31,000
Speaker 1: which I'm not buying into that. All Art is not

82
00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:34,760
Speaker 1: a great receiver, no, and Sammy Watkins certainly not reliable.

83
00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:37,040
Speaker 1: He he'ld be great week one. We know that for sure.

84
00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:39,160
Speaker 1: But that's about it. And yeah, they have Randall cop

85
00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:41,520
Speaker 1: but he's now a hundred years old in football years.

86
00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,440
Speaker 1: So that's the risk and the reward is you know,

87
00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,239
Speaker 1: Rogers works with what he's got and he has another

88
00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:51,640
Speaker 1: typical four thousand yard, forty touchdown season, which is a

89
00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:55,720
Speaker 1: bar in at quarterback twelve. But uh, I'm leaning he's

90
00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:59,159
Speaker 1: more risky than a reward e. I know that's not

91
00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,360
Speaker 1: a word, but so I'm kind of out on Rogers.

92
00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:04,760
Speaker 1: But there is sil reward there because he is one

93
00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:07,520
Speaker 1: of the most talented quarterbacks in NFL history. But what's

94
00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:10,880
Speaker 1: the downside that he brings? If you numerically give me

95
00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,040
Speaker 1: give me your worst. You know, if he plays, if

96
00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:15,960
Speaker 1: he plays all seventeen games, where do you think his

97
00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:19,760
Speaker 1: downside lines statistically for Aaron Rodgers. You know, it's a

98
00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:22,640
Speaker 1: down here for him. If he's at thirty touchdowns, that

99
00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:25,760
Speaker 1: would be yards in Green Bay. But that's a good

100
00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:28,760
Speaker 1: defense and they got two very good running backs. Granted,

101
00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,200
Speaker 1: Inner Jones is a good receiving back, but they become

102
00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:34,880
Speaker 1: a you know, a run heavier, run heavier team. They've

103
00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:39,200
Speaker 1: always been passed first, basically Roger's whole career. So see

104
00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:40,720
Speaker 1: how it plays out. But I'm kind of I'm kind

105
00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:44,320
Speaker 1: of avoiding Rogers, but there is still upside there, my

106
00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:48,640
Speaker 1: high risk, high reward quarterback. And I almost Jalen Hurts here,

107
00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:50,960
Speaker 1: but I didn't just because I think he's more of

108
00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:56,720
Speaker 1: a known quantity than Trey Lance, who could go the

109
00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:59,400
Speaker 1: pendulum swing on tray Lance, I think is bigger than

110
00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:03,800
Speaker 1: any order back in this year's fantasy draft. So the

111
00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:07,239
Speaker 1: risk side of Trey Lance just the nineteen college starts.

112
00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:09,520
Speaker 1: He had the one full game last year when he

113
00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:12,240
Speaker 1: had to fill in for an injured Jimmy Garoppolo, and

114
00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:14,960
Speaker 1: that was a disheartening effort that saw San Francisco score

115
00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:17,760
Speaker 1: just ten points against the Cardinals. In that game. With

116
00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:20,799
Speaker 1: Trey Lance at the helm, you've got the Deebo Samuel

117
00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:25,640
Speaker 1: possible holdout working against Trey Lance. And it's very possible

118
00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:29,599
Speaker 1: that Tray Lance just isn't a very good quarterback or

119
00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:31,919
Speaker 1: isn't a very good passer at this level. We don't

120
00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:34,800
Speaker 1: know yet. He could be benched for Jimmy Garoppolo. His

121
00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:37,280
Speaker 1: he might not even be the starter week one if

122
00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:40,799
Speaker 1: if he struggles all preseason, Garoppolo comes in and plays

123
00:06:40,839 --> 00:06:45,200
Speaker 1: all right. The downside on Trey Lance is literally no

124
00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:48,080
Speaker 1: fantasy points all year. Yeah, I mean, for those who

125
00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:52,240
Speaker 1: don't know, he's a small school quarterback north to State.

126
00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:56,560
Speaker 1: Steve McNair was a small school quarterback Alcorn State. Call that,

127
00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:58,479
Speaker 1: and he turned out at right. But there's a risk

128
00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:00,680
Speaker 1: in that, you know, But I don't find that too much.

129
00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:04,480
Speaker 1: Let's talk about the reward for tray Lance. He's got

130
00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:10,960
Speaker 1: top five level upside if everything comes together. A lot

131
00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:14,960
Speaker 1: of it is because of his unbelievable rushing ability. He

132
00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:18,160
Speaker 1: brings to the table a rushing skill set that isn't

133
00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:22,160
Speaker 1: it is equivalent roughly to Jalen Hurts. Maybe not quite

134
00:07:22,200 --> 00:07:25,920
Speaker 1: at the Lamar Jackson level of elusiveness, but he probably

135
00:07:25,960 --> 00:07:29,320
Speaker 1: has more just straight line speed. He is fast, and

136
00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:33,080
Speaker 1: in that one full game last year that tray Lance played,

137
00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:37,480
Speaker 1: they gave him eleven designed runs and then he scrambled

138
00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:42,000
Speaker 1: five more times for ninety rushing yards in his one

139
00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:46,160
Speaker 1: full start. And the fact that Kyle Shanahan, who obviously

140
00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:51,920
Speaker 1: never runs. Jimmy Garoppolo gave him eleven designed runs. Very

141
00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:55,720
Speaker 1: very promising for Tray Lance as a runner on a

142
00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:58,520
Speaker 1: very small set sample sample set of just that one

143
00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:01,720
Speaker 1: game to a Lance has a monster arm that can

144
00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:04,720
Speaker 1: unlock it downfield passing attack that Jimmy Garoppolo has been

145
00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:07,559
Speaker 1: totally unable to do. Garoppolo's worst feature as an NFL

146
00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:11,119
Speaker 1: quarterbacks is downfield passing. This might be Trey Lance's best

147
00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:15,160
Speaker 1: feature downfield passing. He could have some deep connections that

148
00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:21,760
Speaker 1: can produce massive fantasy events. And then, lastly, the other

149
00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:24,320
Speaker 1: part of the rewards in here for Trey Lances, just

150
00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:27,000
Speaker 1: get the ball in the hands of guys like Deebo Samuel,

151
00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:29,880
Speaker 1: George Kittle, and Brandon are you but hopefully not on handoffs.

152
00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:37,080
Speaker 1: Hopefully don't. That's all right? Throw yes, specifically for Deebo Samuel. Um,

153
00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:40,160
Speaker 1: you roll all that together. If he can rush for

154
00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:43,439
Speaker 1: nine yards like he did in this one game, Um,

155
00:08:43,559 --> 00:08:47,040
Speaker 1: and he can be throwing deep downfield passes, you get

156
00:08:47,040 --> 00:08:49,320
Speaker 1: a connection or to a game and next thing you know,

157
00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:51,880
Speaker 1: you're like two or fifty yards, a couple of touchdowns

158
00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:54,320
Speaker 1: through the air and ninety brushing yards and you know

159
00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,120
Speaker 1: the period of rushing touchdown and now Trey Lance is

160
00:08:57,120 --> 00:09:00,679
Speaker 1: in the conversation for a top five scoring fan see quarterback.

161
00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:03,360
Speaker 1: I'm with you. I like the upside there for sure.

162
00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:07,559
Speaker 1: Let's go to our high risk, high reward running backs.

163
00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:12,000
Speaker 1: Who is your running back, Brian, one of your about

164
00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:13,720
Speaker 1: the ten years I've known you. One of the biggest

165
00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:16,400
Speaker 1: man crushes you've had in uh over the last decade

166
00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:20,560
Speaker 1: Ezekiel Elliott, who is now going as RB sixteen, which

167
00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:24,600
Speaker 1: is way later than previous years. Um. And the risk

168
00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:27,040
Speaker 1: there is you get the Zeke from the last two

169
00:09:27,040 --> 00:09:31,480
Speaker 1: seasons who finished and eighteenth in Fantasy points per game.

170
00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:33,960
Speaker 1: Uh Now, you only missed two games during that span.

171
00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:35,880
Speaker 1: He's been durable, even though he's been banged up. But

172
00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:38,400
Speaker 1: when your points per game are that low, it almost

173
00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:42,040
Speaker 1: hurts you more than it helps you. So but the

174
00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:44,800
Speaker 1: market is adjusted again going to RB sixteen, he was

175
00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:47,760
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago he was maybe the RB one,

176
00:09:47,920 --> 00:09:50,680
Speaker 1: and then he was RB ten last year. Uh So

177
00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:52,040
Speaker 1: I think it's a great time to buy the dip

178
00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:55,640
Speaker 1: because of the rewards. You get vintage Zeke from nineteen

179
00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:58,280
Speaker 1: back to his rookie year, who he kind of looked

180
00:09:58,320 --> 00:10:01,480
Speaker 1: like early on last season, he had a bad Week one.

181
00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:04,000
Speaker 1: Uh he finished his RB forty five without he had

182
00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:07,679
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay like top rush defense in the league. Then

183
00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:11,680
Speaker 1: after that week to RB seven, then RB one, RB six,

184
00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,600
Speaker 1: RB seven in week five, then in Week six he

185
00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:16,440
Speaker 1: was RB fifteen. But that's when he got hurt, and

186
00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:19,280
Speaker 1: not hurt enough to miss games, but he was banged

187
00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:23,160
Speaker 1: up for the duration of the season with ankle knee issues.

188
00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:25,240
Speaker 1: Before he was injured, though, he was averaging more than

189
00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:28,240
Speaker 1: five yards per carry and that's with o line issues

190
00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:30,440
Speaker 1: that Dallas was having a bunch of them last year,

191
00:10:30,480 --> 00:10:33,920
Speaker 1: whether it was injury or suspension. Um but hopefully those

192
00:10:33,960 --> 00:10:36,440
Speaker 1: are cleared up. And offseason reports for Zeke had been

193
00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:42,440
Speaker 1: very positive, saying he's arguably in the bust. I haven't

194
00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:45,439
Speaker 1: seen any topless photos yet, but he should be healthy'll

195
00:10:45,480 --> 00:10:47,880
Speaker 1: be out there, I'm sure. Uh yeah, they'll be flashing

196
00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:50,080
Speaker 1: the abs for sure, but uh, I don't know. At

197
00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:53,120
Speaker 1: RB sixteen, I think he could return to that top

198
00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:57,160
Speaker 1: five running back for him, So I'm leaning more to

199
00:10:57,200 --> 00:10:59,760
Speaker 1: the reward side that uh I like for Zeke this

200
00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:01,959
Speaker 1: here more so than the risk. Tony Pollard is always

201
00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:04,120
Speaker 1: there and college is good. And we've talked you and

202
00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:06,800
Speaker 1: I've talked a lot about this. We love Pollard, we

203
00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:09,840
Speaker 1: love Pollard, and Pollard isn't going anywhere, and I think

204
00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:13,840
Speaker 1: that provides it just to me, that limits the ceiling.

205
00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:16,960
Speaker 1: But he's not going anywhere either with how much money

206
00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:20,079
Speaker 1: they're paying him, and they almost have to justify that

207
00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:23,800
Speaker 1: ridiculous contract. And they've talked about using Pollard more as

208
00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:25,680
Speaker 1: a slot receiver, so we might see them both on

209
00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:27,800
Speaker 1: the field. That stuff never pans out. Man, all the

210
00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:33,840
Speaker 1: all the preseason playing out of position talk of the

211
00:11:33,880 --> 00:11:37,120
Speaker 1: time does not come to fruition. You know, the Cordell

212
00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:41,040
Speaker 1: Patterson's of the world. That's rare, super rare. By the way,

213
00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:43,720
Speaker 1: do you hear this? Yeah, who's turned off his position?

214
00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:46,520
Speaker 1: His dual position. They're just going running back in Corderell

215
00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:51,520
Speaker 1: Patterson And I've done that for all all players don't

216
00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:55,040
Speaker 1: know because they you know, I remember Taysom Hill was

217
00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:59,319
Speaker 1: quarterback tight end. The most famous was Marcus Colston. Why

218
00:11:59,400 --> 00:12:02,480
Speaker 1: does he yes? That was he was a cheap code

219
00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:07,240
Speaker 1: for sure, like six whenever that was. It's um, I

220
00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:09,240
Speaker 1: I'm cool with it, especially when you're making that call.

221
00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:12,240
Speaker 1: Now you know, the league's got time to adapt, you know,

222
00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:14,839
Speaker 1: he has. We're calling he's playing running back. He is.

223
00:12:14,960 --> 00:12:18,520
Speaker 1: He's playing running back mostly. And the drafted Drake brought

224
00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:21,480
Speaker 1: in Brian Edwards, Audentates and they got a couple of

225
00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:25,720
Speaker 1: other guys and you know, almost every week Kyle Pitts

226
00:12:25,800 --> 00:12:27,959
Speaker 1: is essentially a wide receiver. So yes, yeah, c P

227
00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:31,960
Speaker 1: eighty four is a running back. My high risk, ky

228
00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:37,319
Speaker 1: reward running back is Cam Acres. Let's start with the

229
00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:41,959
Speaker 1: risk side on Cam Acers. No NFL running back has

230
00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:46,480
Speaker 1: had a successful return from a torn achilles and by successful,

231
00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:48,439
Speaker 1: I mean like you're back to most of what you

232
00:12:48,520 --> 00:12:51,839
Speaker 1: were before. In almost every case, you don't even get

233
00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:54,200
Speaker 1: close to what you were before, and in many cases

234
00:12:54,280 --> 00:12:57,160
Speaker 1: you're completely out of the league. Acres will try to

235
00:12:57,240 --> 00:12:59,240
Speaker 1: become the first ever running back to do it. And

236
00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:02,080
Speaker 1: I've touched on Acres before in different conversations that we've had,

237
00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:04,000
Speaker 1: but I think i've really I'm really going to drill

238
00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:06,760
Speaker 1: down on on the risk and reward side for Acres now.

239
00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:11,920
Speaker 1: Upon returning last year, his play was completely uninspiring. And

240
00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:14,520
Speaker 1: you know, granted it was a quick return on a

241
00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:18,320
Speaker 1: devastating injury, but just hear me out. His yards per

242
00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:21,480
Speaker 1: carry in the four games that he had at the

243
00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:25,240
Speaker 1: end of the year after the Achilles injury was zero

244
00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:29,040
Speaker 1: point six yards per carry three point two, two point zero,

245
00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:31,800
Speaker 1: three point seven and one point six. I think that

246
00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,360
Speaker 1: was five games. That nets out to an average of

247
00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:36,959
Speaker 1: two point four yards per carry, and his PFF grade

248
00:13:37,000 --> 00:13:41,760
Speaker 1: through the playoffs was forty four. Not good. Six months later,

249
00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:46,319
Speaker 1: we presume that cam Akers is going to be a

250
00:13:46,520 --> 00:13:50,760
Speaker 1: healthier and better runner, but history suggests that's not a

251
00:13:50,840 --> 00:13:55,839
Speaker 1: safe assumption whatsoever. The historic best case that I can

252
00:13:55,960 --> 00:14:01,000
Speaker 1: find on an achilles on the next year back is

253
00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:04,600
Speaker 1: Edgar Bennett, who had a two touchdown, six hundred rushing

254
00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:10,400
Speaker 1: yard game season in three and a half yards per carry,

255
00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:16,319
Speaker 1: and then he quit football. He knew he was cooked. Cardenal, Nope,

256
00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:22,520
Speaker 1: I want to try again. Packers, Packers Um. A number

257
00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:26,000
Speaker 1: of other promising runners have had their careers completely halted

258
00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:29,680
Speaker 1: by the Achilles. Lendel White not that long ago. Mickel

259
00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:32,720
Speaker 1: was sure you remember that name, Lions. He had a

260
00:14:32,800 --> 00:14:35,840
Speaker 1: gigantic rookie year and everybody's like year, Dude's gonna be great,

261
00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:40,520
Speaker 1: and then uh he had the torn achilles. Uh. Andre Brown.

262
00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:45,200
Speaker 1: You might remember Brian in particular New York Giants had

263
00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:48,440
Speaker 1: a big rookie season. He was another I almost positive rookie,

264
00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:53,200
Speaker 1: and he never played again, never played again. So you're

265
00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:59,880
Speaker 1: downside with cam Akers is it's dramatic. It could be potential,

266
00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:05,600
Speaker 1: like way lower than anybody's talking about five yards two touchdowns,

267
00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:09,000
Speaker 1: you know, very very light use, uh, losing his job.

268
00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:11,680
Speaker 1: It's it could be bad. I'm not going to really

269
00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:16,120
Speaker 1: suggest that there's retirement downside, but that's not a zero

270
00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:20,720
Speaker 1: percent chance either. Because this injury, the Achilles injury, people

271
00:15:20,760 --> 00:15:23,640
Speaker 1: have retired on it in the past. Now you might say,

272
00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:26,520
Speaker 1: Met and I did a little digging on this Achilles bit.

273
00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:30,320
Speaker 1: With medically, we've come so far that in the era

274
00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:33,280
Speaker 1: of Edgar Bennett twenty years ago, who cares. But it

275
00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:36,640
Speaker 1: turns out this injury just doesn't have that much advancements

276
00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:38,600
Speaker 1: in it. It just sort of is what it is.

277
00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:42,720
Speaker 1: We reattached the tendon and we go um. The only

278
00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:44,640
Speaker 1: thing that medicine has done is it allowed can makers

279
00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:48,080
Speaker 1: to come back faster, but not necessarily better. So you're

280
00:15:48,120 --> 00:15:53,680
Speaker 1: downside with Acres is extremely low. Let's talk upside. He's

281
00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:55,960
Speaker 1: the presumed starter for a high functioning offense with one

282
00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:59,880
Speaker 1: of the best head coaches in the game. There's that, Um,

283
00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:03,760
Speaker 1: Sean mcveigh's awesome in In mcveigh's tenure, going back to seventeen,

284
00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:06,800
Speaker 1: Rams running backs have averaged as a group, all of

285
00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:10,440
Speaker 1: them together. Their average season for the Rams running backs

286
00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:14,600
Speaker 1: is two thousand, fifty yards and eighteen touchdowns. Yeah, but

287
00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:19,080
Speaker 1: that's a lot of prime. There's a couple of there's

288
00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:21,000
Speaker 1: a couple of years of prime tied Gurley in there,

289
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:23,400
Speaker 1: but there's also a couple of years of there was

290
00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:25,200
Speaker 1: the season after that where he felt the cliff and

291
00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:27,600
Speaker 1: didn't have anybody else, and there's been some in last

292
00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:30,080
Speaker 1: season was a down year for their runners too. If

293
00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:33,080
Speaker 1: Acres is gonna get if Acres comes back well enough

294
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:36,680
Speaker 1: to earn say seventy of the workload on two thousand

295
00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:39,640
Speaker 1: yards and eighteen touchdowns, okay, well I'm in. That's four

296
00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,160
Speaker 1: yards and twelve and a half touchdowns, So you know

297
00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,640
Speaker 1: I'm in at that point, Um, And the worst any

298
00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:47,320
Speaker 1: Sean McVeigh team has ever finished in yards or points

299
00:16:47,400 --> 00:16:50,360
Speaker 1: is twelve and they average seventh in points and seventh

300
00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:52,720
Speaker 1: and yards. He just that offense is almost certainly going

301
00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:55,480
Speaker 1: to be good, and he'd be the presumed lead running

302
00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:59,760
Speaker 1: back because there isn't that much else. Darryl Henderson proved

303
00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:02,960
Speaker 1: him self last year to be very ordinary and fifth

304
00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:06,159
Speaker 1: round rookie Hirron Williams does not look like a workhorse back. No,

305
00:17:06,320 --> 00:17:09,560
Speaker 1: he's more of a receiving threat. And Henderson grant he

306
00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:13,280
Speaker 1: was injured early and came back and was he came

307
00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:16,080
Speaker 1: back sooner than most expected for the playoff run too so,

308
00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:20,240
Speaker 1: and his injury was not as severe as a torn achilles.

309
00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:23,800
Speaker 1: And Henderson was not even a reliable week week, week

310
00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,359
Speaker 1: to week starter. And then this a very good, a

311
00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:30,480
Speaker 1: super Bowl caliber Rams offense last year. So we're all

312
00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:33,159
Speaker 1: that together. You've got a lot of You've got a

313
00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:35,520
Speaker 1: ton of risk and a ton of reward for cam Akers.

314
00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:38,720
Speaker 1: So in my drafting experience so far, you'll you'll find

315
00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:42,560
Speaker 1: Acres and Zeke pretty much right, mecancany who take Zeke

316
00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:46,600
Speaker 1: all the way? No way do I risk the torn achilles.

317
00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:51,080
Speaker 1: Let's take a break, and when we come back, let's

318
00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:54,399
Speaker 1: talk about our high risk, high reward wide receivers and

319
00:17:54,600 --> 00:18:21,119
Speaker 1: tight ends. His Fantasy Football Weekly continues Welcome back Fantasy

320
00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:24,920
Speaker 1: Football Weekly Paul Charting, Brian Johnson reminder. Four ways to

321
00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:27,000
Speaker 1: play at Guillotine Leagues dot com. You can join a

322
00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:29,760
Speaker 1: private league with your friends between eight and eighteen people.

323
00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,320
Speaker 1: More players you have, the longer the fund goes on

324
00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:36,280
Speaker 1: farther you go into the season. Public leagues play for cash,

325
00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:40,919
Speaker 1: public contests guillotean Leagues dot com. Uh, if you want

326
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,400
Speaker 1: to play high stakes super Chop, We've got a fifteen

327
00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:47,479
Speaker 1: thousand dollar grand prize option at super Chop at Guillotine

328
00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:49,520
Speaker 1: leagues dot com. And then the new way to play.

329
00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:51,120
Speaker 1: If you'd never want to get chopped, do you want

330
00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:53,280
Speaker 1: to make sure you play all season long Zombie mode

331
00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:57,000
Speaker 1: when instead of getting chopped, you become a zombie joined

332
00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:59,200
Speaker 1: the zombie Horde trying to take down the human survivors.

333
00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:01,960
Speaker 1: I'm excited to try that. Yes, you can't wait to

334
00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:04,880
Speaker 1: try it? All right, Let's let's move on to our

335
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:08,720
Speaker 1: high risk, high reward wide receivers. Who are you starting with?

336
00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 1: I got lacks the Los Angeles Chargers Mike Williams, who

337
00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,440
Speaker 1: in best Ball has climbed up to wide receiver thirteen

338
00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:19,800
Speaker 1: and ADP, which is very high. That's also very best ball.

339
00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:23,560
Speaker 1: He's always been that guy high risk, high reward output

340
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:25,840
Speaker 1: on a game by game basis. Yeah, but I still

341
00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:27,920
Speaker 1: think in redraft you'll see him at least inside the

342
00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:30,639
Speaker 1: top fifteen, just based on his upside, which we'll get to.

343
00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:32,880
Speaker 1: But uh, let's start with the risk, and the risk

344
00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:35,840
Speaker 1: is you get the version of Mike Williams who averaged

345
00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:39,119
Speaker 1: three catches for thirty seven scoreless yards and eight of

346
00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 1: his sixteen games last year. Yeah, he was just a

347
00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,320
Speaker 1: killer if you had him starting in your starting lineup

348
00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:48,359
Speaker 1: and a disaster and guillotine leagues by the way, because

349
00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:50,720
Speaker 1: when he does, he does hard. Next thing, you know,

350
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,760
Speaker 1: you're chopped. And yeah, it almost seems like a lot

351
00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 1: of his games alternated from big game, so you're like, oh,

352
00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:57,680
Speaker 1: I gotta start him this week and then he kills you.

353
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,800
Speaker 1: But but the reward is is, uh, he serves Keenan

354
00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:03,920
Speaker 1: Allen as the wide receiver one in l A and

355
00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:06,080
Speaker 1: is a top five Fantasy wide receiver because in the

356
00:20:06,160 --> 00:20:08,840
Speaker 1: other eight games he played last year he scored at

357
00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:12,560
Speaker 1: least once, he had multiple multiple touchdown games h end

358
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:15,440
Speaker 1: or top two hundred yards and the other half games

359
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:18,040
Speaker 1: he played, so he's kind of a it's a fifty.

360
00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:20,600
Speaker 1: It's a coin flip of a player, but it's an

361
00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,359
Speaker 1: elite offense with one of the best quarterbacks in the

362
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:28,560
Speaker 1: game up and coming. Him young quarterback they do like,

363
00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:30,240
Speaker 1: and they paid him a lot of money too. They

364
00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 1: extended him, so some people thought they're gonna let him

365
00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:36,080
Speaker 1: walk the Chargers, but uh, they did renew his contract. Um.

366
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:39,600
Speaker 1: There is competition though for targets. They like Joshua Palmer,

367
00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:42,359
Speaker 1: uh fair amount. He's might he might be my number

368
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,800
Speaker 1: one sleeper this year. You're gonna hear me talking about

369
00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,720
Speaker 1: him a lot. I like his prospects for his December.

370
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:52,680
Speaker 1: His December was way better than most people remember. And

371
00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:57,200
Speaker 1: if that's a harbinger of this season to come, Palmer

372
00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:00,400
Speaker 1: is is gonna be a really sneaky pick for people.

373
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:03,160
Speaker 1: So for me, I think that the risk still kind

374
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:06,400
Speaker 1: of outweighs the reward and that I don't think Keenan

375
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:10,560
Speaker 1: Allen is washed by any means. You know, Austin Ekel

376
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 1: or Asaiah Spiller are going to soak up some targets

377
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:18,359
Speaker 1: par Donald Parham and I'm so mad they brought in Gerald.

378
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:21,480
Speaker 1: Everybody still think Parum could be the top title. I

379
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:23,679
Speaker 1: don't think the season is gonna start that way, but uh,

380
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:26,199
Speaker 1: for me, the asking price is too high right now.

381
00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:29,160
Speaker 1: For Williams, I might I'll take some flyers in best

382
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,359
Speaker 1: ball and I have, but when it comes to re draft,

383
00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:34,280
Speaker 1: on out. So I see him dominate for the majority

384
00:21:34,320 --> 00:21:37,159
Speaker 1: of the season, not not a split. Talked about this

385
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 1: on a previous Fantasy Football Weekly is about Mike Williams.

386
00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:43,840
Speaker 1: I don't like guys that had one really good season

387
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:46,320
Speaker 1: and it was the season in which they got paid

388
00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:49,200
Speaker 1: their contract or season. Was there one season where it

389
00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:52,000
Speaker 1: all seemed to come together and it Maybe Williams is

390
00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:54,080
Speaker 1: young enough. It could be that that season is exactly

391
00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:56,119
Speaker 1: who's going to be going forward, at which point he

392
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:58,800
Speaker 1: would he'd Mike Williams would be worth this draft spot

393
00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:02,439
Speaker 1: or he got paid. I he's fat and happy, and uh,

394
00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:04,360
Speaker 1: you know, I thought he would have missed more games.

395
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 1: We've only missed a handful over the last three years.

396
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:09,480
Speaker 1: But he's always been on the report and like, your

397
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,880
Speaker 1: shocked that he's actually playing, Uh come game day, So yeah,

398
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:16,320
Speaker 1: I'm out. My high risk, high reward wide receiver is

399
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 1: dk Metcalf. Let's talk about the risks first, and it's

400
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:22,800
Speaker 1: obvious what the big risk is here his quarterbacks. We

401
00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 1: don't know that there is a functional passer on the

402
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:30,800
Speaker 1: Seahawks roster. There's Drew Lock, there's Geno Smith. Can they

403
00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 1: get any can those two really power consistent production to

404
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,120
Speaker 1: any wide receive? And even if they trade for Baker Mayfield,

405
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 1: which has kind of been a swirling rumor that it's

406
00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:42,760
Speaker 1: not that much of an upgrade, in my opinion, I

407
00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:45,440
Speaker 1: think he'd be. It would be I don't know about

408
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:47,359
Speaker 1: a massive that would be on the reward side of

409
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,639
Speaker 1: the risk reward coin. The The other part of the

410
00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:53,679
Speaker 1: risk with DK Metcalf is, you know, even with good quarterbacking,

411
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 1: dud games have always plagued Metcalf and he's viewed large

412
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 1: as a touchdown dependent wide receiver because he is. He's

413
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 1: failed to score in exactly half his games, which is

414
00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 1: actually pretty good. The fact that he has scored in

415
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:08,879
Speaker 1: half of his games and a young career is very good. Um,

416
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:14,720
Speaker 1: but in those non scoring games, he averages being wide

417
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:21,639
Speaker 1: receiver fifty four at nine PPR points. That hurts. That hurts.

418
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 1: So what happens if his touchdowns dry up? With bad quarterbacking?

419
00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: Gino Smith? His career he is a zero point eight

420
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:37,120
Speaker 1: touchdown passes per game quarterback zero point eight. Drew Lock's

421
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:42,200
Speaker 1: career is exactly a one touchdown per game career. So

422
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,639
Speaker 1: if if I'm telling you when Dk Metcalf doesn't score,

423
00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:50,920
Speaker 1: he's usually wide receiver fifty four and his court, his

424
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 1: touchdown numbers probably reverse and go far fewer. With Gino

425
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 1: Smith and Drew Lock, that's some real risk for DK Metcalf.

426
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 1: Let's talk about the reward side. Gino Smith fed Metcalf

427
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:08,280
Speaker 1: in his games as a starter last year. Medcalf was

428
00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:12,040
Speaker 1: a top ten wide receiver three times in Smith's three

429
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 1: and a half game appearances. You would never have guessed it.

430
00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:21,160
Speaker 1: Smith's play was actually competent. He had the exact same

431
00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 1: PF grade in his three and a half games. He

432
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:26,280
Speaker 1: had the exact same PF grade as Russell Wilson last year.

433
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 1: I think if the Seahawks stand pat at quarterback with

434
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:31,920
Speaker 1: with Smith and Lock, I think Smith and Smith the

435
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:35,240
Speaker 1: job in Week one. I do too. Um, Seattle could

436
00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 1: trade for a better quarterback. You know you mentioned Baker Mayfield.

437
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,400
Speaker 1: It could be Jimmy Garoppolo, although I think it's unlikely

438
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 1: that they would trade in division, but um, it would

439
00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:46,560
Speaker 1: probably Baker Mayfield. Maybe Drew Lock gets better with different

440
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:48,920
Speaker 1: coaching that could provide some Maybe there's a glimmer of

441
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 1: upside for Drew Lock, but I don't think that's the case.

442
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,480
Speaker 1: And there's this reason for reward as well for DK Metcalf.

443
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 1: He's just a freaking beast who's God given abilities can

444
00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:02,040
Speaker 1: keep him Fantasy relevant even with in consistent quarterbacking. He's

445
00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:04,640
Speaker 1: just a special player. He still can't do the three

446
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:09,159
Speaker 1: cone drill though, God forbid. So there's your risk reward

447
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:13,440
Speaker 1: on DK Metcalf. Let's go to your risk reward. Tight

448
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:18,440
Speaker 1: End Detroit's t J. Hockenson, who is going around tight

449
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:23,480
Speaker 1: Ends seven right now. Uh. He was a Doctor Jekyll

450
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:25,400
Speaker 1: and Mr Hyde last year for sure, And I want

451
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:26,879
Speaker 1: to make sure you get this right. Mr Hyde is

452
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 1: like the evil side of that Dctor Jekyll is the

453
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:32,440
Speaker 1: good guy, right. I got my notes, But that's what

454
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 1: I figured. It's been a while since i've I've never

455
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:36,639
Speaker 1: read it. I don't think I have either, but I

456
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 1: might have seen the play or I don't know. Anyway,

457
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:40,960
Speaker 1: you get the risk is you get the Mr Hyde

458
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,919
Speaker 1: side of t J. Hogginsen In half of his games played,

459
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:48,000
Speaker 1: he averaged three point three catches for twenty nine scoreless yards.

460
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:50,480
Speaker 1: And to make matters worse, he also missed five games.

461
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:54,080
Speaker 1: So that's he's somewhat injury prone. Um. He did play

462
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:56,920
Speaker 1: all sixteen games in twenty but he did miss four

463
00:25:57,040 --> 00:26:01,600
Speaker 1: games his rookie year in uh. But still so twelve

464
00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:04,800
Speaker 1: games play last year half, we're absolute garbage killed you.

465
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:06,800
Speaker 1: He was the guy I feel like we talked about

466
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:09,040
Speaker 1: a lot on shop as one of the top chop

467
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,080
Speaker 1: tight ends a lot uh, whether he was injured or

468
00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:15,160
Speaker 1: having a bad game, but the reward is you get

469
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 1: the Dr Jekyl side who we saw primarily early on

470
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:21,840
Speaker 1: in the year UM, which was kind of odd because

471
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:25,359
Speaker 1: there was more competition for targets then later in the season.

472
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:28,160
Speaker 1: But the receivers are still up right then. But after

473
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,399
Speaker 1: the first three weeks we were talking about him is

474
00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 1: like the top is he's gonna be the tight end

475
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:36,600
Speaker 1: one one. Uh. He in his in those six games played,

476
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:39,520
Speaker 1: the other six games played, he scored end or top

477
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:42,400
Speaker 1: seventy yards and all of them And that's great production.

478
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:44,760
Speaker 1: And if you get that on a consistent basis at

479
00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:48,600
Speaker 1: tight end seven right now, uh, going multiple rounds after

480
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,679
Speaker 1: the Darren Wallers, the George Kittles, and the Darren Uh.

481
00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:54,560
Speaker 1: Darren Schultz is of the world, not not Darren Schultz.

482
00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:59,240
Speaker 1: Dalton shows my bad. Uh. That's that's a huge payoff.

483
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:02,320
Speaker 1: But for me, again, it's I feel like most of

484
00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:05,080
Speaker 1: my players outside his Zeke, I think the risk kind

485
00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:08,520
Speaker 1: of outweighs the reward for me, especially after they've drafted

486
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:11,359
Speaker 1: James and Williams at wide receiver, and though he might

487
00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 1: not be ready to start Week one, I think there's

488
00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 1: just a ton of competition for targets. And I don't

489
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:18,880
Speaker 1: think we're gonna see that Mr Hyde version of Hockinson

490
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 1: as much as the Doctor jekylls. You won't see the

491
00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 1: Dr Jacky side. I really shouldn't have gone with. The

492
00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:28,320
Speaker 1: problem is the way you said him is the opposite

493
00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:30,119
Speaker 1: way that you did him, and whatever it's it is,

494
00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:32,640
Speaker 1: it's confusing. That's what I'm saying. We know what you're

495
00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 1: talking about. My high rose, high reward tight end is

496
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:40,640
Speaker 1: George Kittle. Now your risk side goes like this. He's

497
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 1: never topped six touchdowns in a season. Pat Fryarmouth had

498
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:45,879
Speaker 1: seven as a rookie last year, so he's never been

499
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:50,480
Speaker 1: a touchdown score, reliable touchdown score. A lot of injuries

500
00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:52,560
Speaker 1: in three straight years, and I played through a lot

501
00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:54,920
Speaker 1: of the injuries last year, but he clearly looked limited

502
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,800
Speaker 1: in a lot of his games. People starting to call

503
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 1: him George Brittle. There's something to do that, something to that? Uh,

504
00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:04,680
Speaker 1: And then I wouldn't say to his face though, that's

505
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 1: for sure, I wouldn't either then dud games or another

506
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:11,320
Speaker 1: problem for George Kittle. He played fourteen games last year

507
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:15,359
Speaker 1: out of the seventeen eleven of his fourteen games he

508
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 1: earned single digit PPR points last year for George Kettle.

509
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 1: And the other risk factor is Trey Lance. What if

510
00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:24,240
Speaker 1: what if Tray Lance doesn't come along? You know, we

511
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:26,480
Speaker 1: we outlined Trey Lancer earlier. I told you, I told

512
00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:29,240
Speaker 1: you had to receiver quarterback Combo coming here's the receiver

513
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 1: tight end now presumably and especially if they trade Jimmy

514
00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:35,960
Speaker 1: Garoppolo and they just put all their chips in on

515
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:38,400
Speaker 1: Trey Lance and what if he what if you bust? Then?

516
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:41,959
Speaker 1: What now the risk? That's the risk side, the reward

517
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:45,200
Speaker 1: side for George Kittle. Quickly on the side still um

518
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:48,560
Speaker 1: and maybe more it's it's great for reality football, but

519
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:51,320
Speaker 1: it's a curse and fantasy football. He's such a good blocker.

520
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:53,400
Speaker 1: And if you say, if they they draw up all

521
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:55,480
Speaker 1: these designed runs for Trey Lance, we're gonna see a

522
00:28:55,520 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 1: ton of blocking by Kittle, that could be it could

523
00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:01,640
Speaker 1: be good. Point alright, So the rewards one of the

524
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:04,760
Speaker 1: great yard after catch tight ends in recent memory. He

525
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 1: is so good after the catch. In George Kittle's last

526
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:12,880
Speaker 1: full healthy season, he was fifth in the entire league

527
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:16,360
Speaker 1: including wide receivers, in yards after catch at seven and

528
00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:18,920
Speaker 1: a half per Probably if you took a poll of

529
00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:22,160
Speaker 1: defensive backs, even linebackers, he's the top tight end. You

530
00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:25,320
Speaker 1: don't want to see. It could be. Uh. He also

531
00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:29,480
Speaker 1: finished fourth overall and catch percentage in nineteen, again his

532
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 1: last full healthy season for George Kittle. If Deebo Samuel

533
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,800
Speaker 1: gets himself out of out of San Francisco, which is possible,

534
00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 1: I don't think it will happen, but it's possible. Kittle's

535
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:41,800
Speaker 1: target chair could vault up as well. And he is

536
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 1: capable of amazing games. Last year he had a two

537
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:50,920
Speaker 1: game stretch. It's like Week ten eleven with these are

538
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:54,320
Speaker 1: two games, these are two game numbers. Twenty seven targets,

539
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:58,560
Speaker 1: twenty two receptions, three hundred thirty two yards and three

540
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:03,880
Speaker 1: touchdowns act to back gigantic games. And if what if

541
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:06,719
Speaker 1: Trey Lances? What if Trey Lance is great? What if

542
00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 1: he's got the big arm and he's that big arm

543
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:13,680
Speaker 1: is opening up the middle of the field for a

544
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:17,840
Speaker 1: great tight end A little bit like Patrick Mahomes's arm

545
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:21,400
Speaker 1: strength helped unlock Travis Kelsey. And I'm not saying Trey

546
00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:23,720
Speaker 1: Lance can be Patrick Mahomes, but just from an armed

547
00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:28,880
Speaker 1: strength standpoint, only Mahomes ability to heave those deep down

548
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:32,960
Speaker 1: field passes too well. Variety of players, mostly Tyreek Hill,

549
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:37,000
Speaker 1: really did help open up the field for Travis Kelsey,

550
00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:39,239
Speaker 1: and it could do Trey Lance. If that big arm

551
00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:43,000
Speaker 1: is working, that could happen for George Kettle too. I'm

552
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 1: very intrigued to see how this San Francisco offense plays out.

553
00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:50,760
Speaker 1: Quite interesting. It's so tempting to invest in him, so tempting.

554
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:53,800
Speaker 1: Um I kind of I kind of like doing a

555
00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 1: if Garoppolo stays and by if Garopolo does stay, that

556
00:30:57,360 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 1: makes Kittle a lot safer because we already know that

557
00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:03,200
Speaker 1: we already know that what key that he can be

558
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:07,240
Speaker 1: a very good fantasy tight end in a Garoppolo led offense.

559
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:10,880
Speaker 1: If he's still there, I do there's something to be

560
00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 1: said for doing a Trey Lance George Kittle combo draft.

561
00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:17,960
Speaker 1: This is somewhat out of context with just another team.

562
00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: I can't wait to watch is uh Atlanta with Mariota,

563
00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:24,960
Speaker 1: see if he can revive his career and Kyle Pitts

564
00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 1: of course, and we mentioned Cordarell Patterson earlier. Drake Wondon

565
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:33,280
Speaker 1: has some promise. Who leads the team in rushing yards.

566
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:39,920
Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna be the rookie l gear

567
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:44,719
Speaker 1: Proley Patterson. I mean it should be the Patterson then

568
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:48,000
Speaker 1: you know, then who knows? I mean, he's hasn't been

569
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 1: partaking in mini camp. They're just trying to keep him fresh.

570
00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 1: That's kind of they're saying. That's why he fell off.

571
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:57,320
Speaker 1: He just wasn't used to being a running back. Now

572
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 1: they're trying to ramp him up. Is a durance and

573
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,320
Speaker 1: all that we'll see, but uh, I can't wait to

574
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 1: see that non zero chance it's Mariotta. Oh, there's definitely

575
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:11,360
Speaker 1: remember Ryan Fitzpatrick lead the Dolphins in rushing like to

576
00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:15,440
Speaker 1: two years ago. Well, I'm sure Michael Vick led the

577
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:19,040
Speaker 1: no doubt, it wouldn't be the first time in the

578
00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:22,800
Speaker 1: quarterback kick down there exactly. UM, all right, thank you

579
00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:26,920
Speaker 1: for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly. We'll be back next week.

580
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 1: And as a reminder, we're now about one month away

581
00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 1: from the full the full two hour version of Fantasy

582
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:38,840
Speaker 1: Football Weekly, full Crew in studio. That'll be great, can't wait.

583
00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:41,680
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening, everybody, and especially thanks to those who

584
00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 1: take the time to rate everyview and subscribe Fantasy Football Weekly.

585
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,880
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of I Heart Radio.

586
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,160
Speaker 1: For more podcasts from my Heart Radio, visit the i

587
00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:56,440
Speaker 1: Heart Radio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you listen to

588
00:32:56,520 --> 00:33:08,320
Speaker 1: your favorite shows. Some s FI far