WEBVTT - Scott Kupor Discusses Technology Startups

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<v Speaker 1>This week on the podcast, I have an extra special guest.

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<v Speaker 1>His name is Scott Cooper, and he is the managing

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<v Speaker 1>partner and Andres and Horowitz, one of the most storied

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<v Speaker 1>venture capital farms in Silicon Valley. Uh, you know all

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<v Speaker 1>the companies they have invested in. You're not gonna I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not gonna give you a list here. Scott is an

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<v Speaker 1>unusual guy because not only did he go Stanford undergrad

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<v Speaker 1>and law school, so he has that legal um background.

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<v Speaker 1>He understands the both the deal side, the finance side,

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<v Speaker 1>and the tech side. He's really a triple threat, and

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<v Speaker 1>he discusses the things that any entrepreneur or theoretically anybody

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<v Speaker 1>who wants to be a limited partner in a venture

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<v Speaker 1>capital firm should know. If you are all interested in

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<v Speaker 1>technology startups VC funding, you're going to find this conversation

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<v Speaker 1>to be absolutely delightful. So, with no further ado, my

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<v Speaker 1>convert station with Andrews and Harrowitz is Scott Cooper. This

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<v Speaker 1>is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholtz on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>My special guest today is Scott Cooper. He graduated from

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<v Speaker 1>Stanford undergrad and law school. He was employee number one

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<v Speaker 1>at Andrews and Horowitz, the famed venture capital firm where

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<v Speaker 1>he is currently managing partner. The fund runs seven billion

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<v Speaker 1>dollars and has been early investors in such startups as Facebook,

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<v Speaker 1>Group on Twitter, Airbnb, Slack, Stripe, Skype, and many others.

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<v Speaker 1>His new book is The Secrets of sand Hill Road.

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<v Speaker 1>Scott Cooper, Welcome to Bloomberg. Thank you for having me.

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<v Speaker 1>So I've been looking forward to having this conversation. You

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<v Speaker 1>are the third um Andrewson Harowitz, veteran willing to uh

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<v Speaker 1>suffer my sons and Arrows. Um. Well, it says that

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<v Speaker 1>you're pretty hip. You get podcasts and you understand having

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<v Speaker 1>people ask you interesting questions and coming up with interesting answers.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's start with a little bit about your background professionally.

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<v Speaker 1>You were kind of born right into the bubble. That's

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<v Speaker 1>how you describe yourself in the book You lead the

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<v Speaker 1>I p O for opswere and oh one, what was

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<v Speaker 1>it like going public right in the middle of the collapse?

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<v Speaker 1>It was? It was. It was an amazing, amazing time.

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<v Speaker 1>So you're right. I was actually an investment banker before

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<v Speaker 1>I went to opsware and by the way, ops wars

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<v Speaker 1>actually it was loud Cloud at that time, which was

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<v Speaker 1>the predecessor in two thousand one. So just a little background,

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<v Speaker 1>loud Cloud was set up to be the original cloud

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<v Speaker 1>earlier and then at a certain point that pivoted to you.

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<v Speaker 1>You have developed your own software, operational software, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>said that the other companies are gonna need this. So

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<v Speaker 1>you took an in house technology similar to Amazon is

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<v Speaker 1>doing with loud Cloud with uh a WS, and you

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<v Speaker 1>spun it out as a separate, full, fully separate entity.

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<v Speaker 1>That's exactly right. So Loudcloud started in so it was

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<v Speaker 1>you know, as perfect perfect timing, right, We raised a

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<v Speaker 1>ton of money, we hired a bunch of people, uh

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<v Speaker 1>and then of course the market turned in a different direction.

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<v Speaker 1>So we took it public in two thousand one, actually

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<v Speaker 1>for the very honest reason, which was that was the

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<v Speaker 1>best source of capital at the time. So there was

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<v Speaker 1>no other, you know, viable source or attractive source of capital.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think we were one of actually two I

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<v Speaker 1>p o s that happened that year, you know, one, yeah, not,

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<v Speaker 1>what was that five hundred and two thousand, So there

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<v Speaker 1>was about seven hundred and fifty years so between the

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<v Speaker 1>two years and then basically I think there were two

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<v Speaker 1>in two thousand one US in a company called Storage

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<v Speaker 1>Networks I think was the other one that went out

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<v Speaker 1>that year. So eventually, um, the company gets bought by

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<v Speaker 1>LTD Packer and what was that? So the people who

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<v Speaker 1>are still there as employees, what was that transition? Like?

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<v Speaker 1>What was your role? You're an attorney, what was your

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<v Speaker 1>role in the acquisition? It was fun? So, um, my

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<v Speaker 1>main role was actually to run the integration between the

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<v Speaker 1>two companies. So we kind of had I had there

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<v Speaker 1>was an executive on our side who was me, and

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<v Speaker 1>then there was an executive on the HP side, And

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<v Speaker 1>basically our job was, Okay, we're doing this deal. What

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<v Speaker 1>is this gonna look like as a combined entity. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>who's gonna have jobs in what places? How do we

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<v Speaker 1>get everything from my T systems integrated? How do we

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<v Speaker 1>talk to customers? And it was fun, It was actually

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<v Speaker 1>really fun opportunity and uh, you know, it was just

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<v Speaker 1>a different It was just different from anything I'd ever

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<v Speaker 1>been through, right, So, you know, I'd always been in

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<v Speaker 1>the startup community and then we go into this behemoth

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<v Speaker 1>HP and you know, they've got these playbooks basically about

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<v Speaker 1>how you do this integration. Uh, and you know what

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<v Speaker 1>we tried to help them understand was like, all that

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<v Speaker 1>stuff is important. The most important thing, though, is what

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<v Speaker 1>are you going to tell the employees about who has jobs,

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<v Speaker 1>what those jobs are going to be, you know, where

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<v Speaker 1>they're gonna show up on day one to go to work.

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<v Speaker 1>And so there was kind of a human element of

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<v Speaker 1>it that was, you know, a little bit underserved in

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<v Speaker 1>the HP side. Not was saying the fact that they

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<v Speaker 1>were really good at the systems integration piece. So, but

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<v Speaker 1>the assumption is the opsware employees who may have seen

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<v Speaker 1>their jobs cut, they still have pretty nice stock options.

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<v Speaker 1>So it wasn't okay, I'm I'm cut loose. Now I

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<v Speaker 1>could go do my next gig. That's right. And for

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<v Speaker 1>most people, most people had a job opportunity to go

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<v Speaker 1>to HP because HP was really buying this as a

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<v Speaker 1>growth opportunity. It wasn't like an acquisition where you know,

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<v Speaker 1>they're like, look, let's just chop fifty percent of the

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<v Speaker 1>people and and you know and create some cash. So

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<v Speaker 1>most people, you know, maybe there were probably some people

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<v Speaker 1>in like organizations like finance, where obviously it's hard sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>to have roles they are duplicate between organizations, but anybody

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<v Speaker 1>who was in a product or engineering or sales facing role,

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<v Speaker 1>all those people had the opportunity to stay, and most

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<v Speaker 1>of them did. So you come from a legal background,

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<v Speaker 1>you're running operations at a technology company. How did the

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<v Speaker 1>transition to venture capital come about? Was it just lucky coincidence?

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<v Speaker 1>Who were working with two guys name Andres and Harowitz? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>there were certainly there was certainly an element of that

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<v Speaker 1>for sure. So I've been working, you know with these

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<v Speaker 1>guys now for almost ten years when we started the firm,

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<v Speaker 1>because this year actually will be my year working with

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<v Speaker 1>them really, which is you know, it probably just makes

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<v Speaker 1>me a glutton for punishment. I'm not quite sure what

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<v Speaker 1>to make of that. I've been to your office and

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<v Speaker 1>I have to say that looks like a fun place

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<v Speaker 1>to work. It is a fun place to work. Yet

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<v Speaker 1>now it's been a great place, and uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we've grown it from literally there were literally three of

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<v Speaker 1>us when we started ten years ago. We've now got

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred and seventy employees. So it's been a fun place.

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<v Speaker 1>But yeah, look, I think the answer to your questions, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it was a little bit of Mark and Ben and

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<v Speaker 1>I had always just as I had career discussions with

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<v Speaker 1>them when we were at loud Cloud Nos where I'd

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<v Speaker 1>always said, Hey, looks doing something like this someday would

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<v Speaker 1>be fun. I I didn't think about us starting a firm,

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<v Speaker 1>but I said, Gee, that's a kind of business that

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<v Speaker 1>I think could be fun. And what happened was after

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<v Speaker 1>we sold the business, the two of them started doing

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<v Speaker 1>angel investing with their own money. So they were just

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<v Speaker 1>investing out of their own checkbooks, meanings they there's a

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<v Speaker 1>windfall when the company is sold. They weren't billionaires, but

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<v Speaker 1>they certainly made you know, tons of money. Yeah, they were.

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<v Speaker 1>And so the idea of taking I'm gonna pull fifty

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<v Speaker 1>million dollars aside and find you know, a hundred companies

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<v Speaker 1>that could use half a million dollars each. Yeah, it

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<v Speaker 1>was Actually it was even smaller than that though. It

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<v Speaker 1>was literally they were running fifty thousand, excuse me, a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand dollar checks um. So it was very it

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<v Speaker 1>was very kind of small stuff. And you would, by

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<v Speaker 1>the way, you as a lawyer and an operations guy,

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<v Speaker 1>I could see you looking at this and gnashing your

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<v Speaker 1>teeth and saying, where the capital controls how is the structured?

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<v Speaker 1>Where's the paperwork? Like? I barely know you and I

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<v Speaker 1>could tell that set up made you crazy. I feel

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<v Speaker 1>like you're unfairly typecasting me. But am I right? Uh?

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<v Speaker 1>A little bit, a little bit. They did the truth

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<v Speaker 1>be told. Look, they did the angel investing on their own,

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<v Speaker 1>you know. I I kind of came into the picture

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<v Speaker 1>later as we started talking about the fund in the

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<v Speaker 1>firm itself. But you know, I inherited a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>that paperwork. Of course, why did you write this book

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<v Speaker 1>and who is it for? Yeah, so as we talked

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<v Speaker 1>about I've been doing tech stuff for about twenty five

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<v Speaker 1>years now, I was a banker. Actually we never got

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<v Speaker 1>to that, but I was a bank stuff. Is that

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<v Speaker 1>a technical time? Exactly? Tech things in the tech industry? Sorry,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe I can I can be more eloquent mu um

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<v Speaker 1>and uh. But you know, now, having been in this

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<v Speaker 1>business for ten years, I continue to get a series

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<v Speaker 1>of questions from entrepreneurs all the time, same question, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>most of which I thought were answered, you know kind

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<v Speaker 1>of you know, stuff like look should I even a

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<v Speaker 1>venture capital? Like how does the how does the business work?

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<v Speaker 1>And a lot of them have this undertone of you

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<v Speaker 1>know to a certain set, how do I avoid getting

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<v Speaker 1>screwed by the caps? I mean, I hate to say

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<v Speaker 1>it that way, but that's kind of that's kind of

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<v Speaker 1>the way it was, as you implying your breath or

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<v Speaker 1>no rapacious out there is that? Is that the implication? No,

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<v Speaker 1>I think the implication is there's just not a level

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<v Speaker 1>playing field from an information perspective, right, So deformation a

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<v Speaker 1>symmetry is a problem, that's right. So look, we'll do

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<v Speaker 1>you know what, We've been doing this for ten years.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, we've done thousands of deals, you know, and

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<v Speaker 1>repeat entrepreneur maybe does this five, six, seven times over

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<v Speaker 1>the course their life. And so there's just stuff that

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<v Speaker 1>we know and we see because we see it an

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<v Speaker 1>everyday basis. And so the purpose of the book in

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<v Speaker 1>my mind was, look, if we could demystify that and

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<v Speaker 1>hopefully level of playing field, then maybe it helps have

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<v Speaker 1>a better relationship between entrepreneurs and vcs and and maybe

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<v Speaker 1>it even helps people who wouldn't have otherwise thought about

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<v Speaker 1>entrepreneurship coming to the business. Interesting, and I have to

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<v Speaker 1>ask for the uninitiated, what is santill road. I've I've

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<v Speaker 1>been there. I understand it as a concept. Yeah, the

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<v Speaker 1>concept is the concept at a high level is like

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<v Speaker 1>you know what Wall Street is to financial services or

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<v Speaker 1>what you know Music Road is to Nashville country music. Right. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it's basically it literally is a road. It is a street. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>It is very unexciting as you've probably seen what you've

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<v Speaker 1>been there as a bunch of kind of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>fairly drabbed two story buildings. You have a very nice

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<v Speaker 1>waterfall that we do have that we are building, so

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<v Speaker 1>we are lucky to have kind of water effect outside

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<v Speaker 1>our building. But but you know, it just happens to

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<v Speaker 1>be the locust where all the venture capitalists have have

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<v Speaker 1>you know, established themselves. And I think it's really the

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<v Speaker 1>really the answer for that is because of its proximity

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<v Speaker 1>of Stanford. So the more important part of sand Hill

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<v Speaker 1>Road is when you go down Sandhill Road east, you

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<v Speaker 1>know about a mile and a half you end up

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<v Speaker 1>on the Stanford campus. And it really does, I think

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<v Speaker 1>illustrate the kind of tight connectedness that's always happened between

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<v Speaker 1>Stanford and the venture in the startup communities. Right. You

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<v Speaker 1>see it in Boston between M I T. And you

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<v Speaker 1>got a kind of square and Cambridge the same kind

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<v Speaker 1>of thing, right, A really interesting concept. So one of

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<v Speaker 1>your chapters is titled the Art of the Pitch. Explain

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<v Speaker 1>what that is? Yeah, so we see lots of pitches,

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<v Speaker 1>as you can imagine, probably about two year Yeah, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot. Yeah. So the art of the pitch is

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<v Speaker 1>really about kind of making sure the pitch resonates, is

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<v Speaker 1>going to resonate with the audience. And I think key

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<v Speaker 1>to that is to understanding what is it that venture

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<v Speaker 1>capitalists care about? What is it that they are incentive

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<v Speaker 1>to do, and therefore, how are they going to evaluate you?

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<v Speaker 1>And so I think the first thing to think about

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<v Speaker 1>is the most important thing to think about in this

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<v Speaker 1>business is we are wrong more often than they're we're right,

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<v Speaker 1>which I know is a terrible thing to say. And

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<v Speaker 1>if your kids came home and got you know, on

0:10:30.000 --> 0:10:32.320
<v Speaker 1>their test, you'd be pretty unhappy. If you're doing that

0:10:32.360 --> 0:10:34.640
<v Speaker 1>in venture capital, you're you're still in the game at least.

0:10:35.240 --> 0:10:38.079
<v Speaker 1>And as as long as you bring up um that

0:10:38.120 --> 0:10:42.880
<v Speaker 1>batting average, why does the hit miss ratio not matter

0:10:42.960 --> 0:10:46.360
<v Speaker 1>as much in venture capital as it does elsewhere? Because

0:10:47.000 --> 0:10:49.040
<v Speaker 1>if we do it right, then the reason doesn't matter

0:10:49.080 --> 0:10:51.480
<v Speaker 1>is because ten to twenty percent of the companies. Hopefully

0:10:51.480 --> 0:10:54.800
<v Speaker 1>if we do it right, you're gonna earn hundred times

0:10:54.840 --> 0:10:57.120
<v Speaker 1>your money. And so basically think of it as you know,

0:10:57.160 --> 0:11:00.520
<v Speaker 1>the the significant winners will basically make up for you know,

0:11:00.600 --> 0:11:02.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of that fifty percent of things where you won't

0:11:02.559 --> 0:11:05.280
<v Speaker 1>get your money back and then probably where you get

0:11:05.320 --> 0:11:06.840
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of money back but not enough to

0:11:06.840 --> 0:11:09.080
<v Speaker 1>make the math work. And so if you think about that,

0:11:09.120 --> 0:11:11.280
<v Speaker 1>then what that means is, if I'm going to invest

0:11:11.320 --> 0:11:13.120
<v Speaker 1>in a company today, I've got to at least believe

0:11:13.120 --> 0:11:14.679
<v Speaker 1>it has a chance to be one of those ten

0:11:14.760 --> 0:11:17.640
<v Speaker 1>or winners. Now, you know, we wish we were smart

0:11:17.720 --> 0:11:19.280
<v Speaker 1>enough to know exactly which ones they were, and of

0:11:19.280 --> 0:11:22.080
<v Speaker 1>course we were just invest in those companies, but we

0:11:22.120 --> 0:11:24.680
<v Speaker 1>have to at least believe that the kind of the

0:11:24.720 --> 0:11:27.880
<v Speaker 1>ground rules and the opportunity exists and if and so

0:11:28.000 --> 0:11:29.480
<v Speaker 1>that really kind of leads into the art of the

0:11:29.520 --> 0:11:31.320
<v Speaker 1>pitch about how to frame the pitch in that context.

0:11:31.400 --> 0:11:35.240
<v Speaker 1>So from your perspective, what becomes more important to cast

0:11:35.280 --> 0:11:38.000
<v Speaker 1>a wide net or to be able to do a

0:11:38.080 --> 0:11:41.320
<v Speaker 1>deeper dive into a narrower niche where you feel like

0:11:41.320 --> 0:11:44.600
<v Speaker 1>you have some expertise and some ability to separate the

0:11:44.679 --> 0:11:47.120
<v Speaker 1>good from the great. Yeah, I think it's it's probably

0:11:47.200 --> 0:11:49.680
<v Speaker 1>somewhere in between, which is, you've got to have some

0:11:50.000 --> 0:11:52.440
<v Speaker 1>number of deals just because you're building a portfolio. So

0:11:52.520 --> 0:11:54.880
<v Speaker 1>unless you think you're, you know, gonna bet that bat

0:11:54.920 --> 0:11:57.000
<v Speaker 1>a much higher batting average, you can at least have

0:11:57.160 --> 0:12:00.080
<v Speaker 1>needs some diversification. But that diversigation needs to be in

0:12:00.120 --> 0:12:01.960
<v Speaker 1>domains that you understand. So the way we run our

0:12:02.000 --> 0:12:04.760
<v Speaker 1>business is we've got vertical domains. So we've got kind

0:12:04.800 --> 0:12:09.000
<v Speaker 1>of consumer enterprise, financial services, life sciences. We've got a

0:12:09.000 --> 0:12:11.120
<v Speaker 1>bunch of domains, and we staff them with people who

0:12:11.160 --> 0:12:14.080
<v Speaker 1>are super deep in those domains and so within those areas,

0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:16.440
<v Speaker 1>you know they will go very deep. But then collectively,

0:12:16.480 --> 0:12:19.040
<v Speaker 1>as part of a portfolio, you get the diversification associated

0:12:19.040 --> 0:12:22.640
<v Speaker 1>with uh, you know, the multidimensions. So here's a data

0:12:22.720 --> 0:12:25.960
<v Speaker 1>point from the book that blew my mind. Quote, venture

0:12:26.040 --> 0:12:30.160
<v Speaker 1>capital is not an especially good investment. As of seventeen

0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:34.640
<v Speaker 1>ten year returns pro vincial capital as an in the aggregate,

0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:37.680
<v Speaker 1>not specific funds, but in the aggregate was a hundred

0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:41.120
<v Speaker 1>and sixty basis points below the NASDAC. So for eight bucks,

0:12:41.120 --> 0:12:42.719
<v Speaker 1>I could have gone out and bought the q q

0:12:42.920 --> 0:12:47.560
<v Speaker 1>q s and outperformed the average event vcs. That's amazing.

0:12:47.600 --> 0:12:50.040
<v Speaker 1>It is amazing, and it's it's a weird asset class

0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:53.120
<v Speaker 1>in that regard, which is the variance between good performance

0:12:53.200 --> 0:12:55.439
<v Speaker 1>and bad performance is really high, like sometimes as much

0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:58.600
<v Speaker 1>as you know, almost thirty five four thousand basis points right,

0:12:58.800 --> 0:13:02.040
<v Speaker 1>thirty five to forty return difference. And I think it's

0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:04.320
<v Speaker 1>a function of the fact that most of this business

0:13:04.480 --> 0:13:07.679
<v Speaker 1>is largely a zero sum game. In each round of financing.

0:13:07.679 --> 0:13:09.200
<v Speaker 1>And what I mean by that is if we do

0:13:09.280 --> 0:13:11.120
<v Speaker 1>the A round, which is kind of the first institution

0:13:11.120 --> 0:13:13.600
<v Speaker 1>of around for a deal, generally, that means, you know,

0:13:13.720 --> 0:13:15.679
<v Speaker 1>we're the only ones who do that. There might be

0:13:15.720 --> 0:13:18.040
<v Speaker 1>some other people, but usually one venture firm will be

0:13:18.040 --> 0:13:21.600
<v Speaker 1>the major, major investor there, and once that opportunity is done,

0:13:21.640 --> 0:13:24.679
<v Speaker 1>there will never be another A round in Facebook, for example, right,

0:13:24.720 --> 0:13:27.120
<v Speaker 1>so you know, Excel, who's you know, very good firm

0:13:27.280 --> 0:13:30.080
<v Speaker 1>invest in the A round of Facebook. The next opportunity

0:13:30.120 --> 0:13:32.640
<v Speaker 1>that somebody had to invest was that some multiple evaluations

0:13:32.640 --> 0:13:34.520
<v Speaker 1>to hired in that. So those still turned out to

0:13:34.520 --> 0:13:37.040
<v Speaker 1>be obviously very good investments. But there is this kind

0:13:37.040 --> 0:13:40.280
<v Speaker 1>of nature that you know when a round happens. It

0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:43.079
<v Speaker 1>often accrues to one individual or one firm, and then

0:13:43.160 --> 0:13:45.400
<v Speaker 1>you know kind of things. You know, fundraise every eighteen

0:13:45.480 --> 0:13:47.600
<v Speaker 1>or twenty four months, and so the next investor obviously

0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 1>always comes in at a higher price. So when I

0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:52.400
<v Speaker 1>look at the world of stocks for mutual funds, it's

0:13:52.440 --> 0:13:56.240
<v Speaker 1>a sort of Gaussian Bell curve distribution where you know

0:13:56.360 --> 0:13:59.319
<v Speaker 1>the extremes on either and get rid of them, there's

0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:03.000
<v Speaker 1>a big distribution in the middle. What you're describing doesn't

0:14:03.040 --> 0:14:04.920
<v Speaker 1>sound like that, that's exactly right. So you know, the

0:14:05.040 --> 0:14:06.600
<v Speaker 1>term that you may hear people use is kind of

0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:08.480
<v Speaker 1>called a power lock cerve, right, And what a power

0:14:08.480 --> 0:14:11.000
<v Speaker 1>lock cerve is is you've got a very small number

0:14:11.040 --> 0:14:13.400
<v Speaker 1>of that headlong that's exactly right. You've got a few

0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:15.040
<v Speaker 1>things that drive all the return that You've got this

0:14:15.080 --> 0:14:17.240
<v Speaker 1>long tail of a bunch of stuff that quite frankly

0:14:17.240 --> 0:14:19.680
<v Speaker 1>doesn't amount to much from a returns perspective. And we

0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 1>see the same thing in private equity and hedge funds

0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:24.280
<v Speaker 1>as well. It is funny though, actually, you know, you

0:14:24.280 --> 0:14:26.240
<v Speaker 1>mentioned kind of the public markets. It's actually interesting. There's

0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:27.600
<v Speaker 1>been a bunch of studies though, have laid on the

0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:29.680
<v Speaker 1>public markets, which is it turns out they actually are

0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:32.280
<v Speaker 1>more power law than I think people understand. I think

0:14:32.320 --> 0:14:35.880
<v Speaker 1>the number is four percent of stocks drive pretty much.

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:39.480
<v Speaker 1>I think that's exactly the returns out there. It's so

0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:42.200
<v Speaker 1>good luck picking those four if you have a time machine,

0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:45.480
<v Speaker 1>it's really exactly right. Yeah, let's talk a little bit

0:14:45.520 --> 0:14:50.200
<v Speaker 1>about some of the changes that you've witnessed in the industry.

0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:53.040
<v Speaker 1>In the book, you talk about why Combinator and why

0:14:53.120 --> 0:14:57.160
<v Speaker 1>that was so influential and really changed the game for

0:14:57.800 --> 0:15:01.240
<v Speaker 1>um the VC world. Explain into the lay person what

0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:05.440
<v Speaker 1>why combinator is and why why did it matter so much? Yeah, So,

0:15:05.440 --> 0:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>why combinator is what we call an incubator, which means

0:15:08.200 --> 0:15:11.040
<v Speaker 1>they basically kind of take usually a cohort of companies

0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:13.520
<v Speaker 1>that can be anywhere from thirty fifty sometimes as big

0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:16.240
<v Speaker 1>as a hundred companies, and they kind of they basically

0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 1>start their business inside of y combinator. They go that's

0:15:18.680 --> 0:15:21.120
<v Speaker 1>where they go to the work. They work on a project,

0:15:21.200 --> 0:15:24.080
<v Speaker 1>they build, they build a product, they get tutorials and

0:15:24.160 --> 0:15:26.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of you know, kind of tutelage from other people,

0:15:26.160 --> 0:15:28.160
<v Speaker 1>and then they kind of pop out the other end

0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:30.280
<v Speaker 1>and hopefully they're ready to go raise you know, money

0:15:30.320 --> 0:15:31.800
<v Speaker 1>as a result of that. So it's kind of, you know,

0:15:32.240 --> 0:15:34.320
<v Speaker 1>almost a finishing school to a certain extent to kind

0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:36.600
<v Speaker 1>of get this startups ready to kind of be into

0:15:36.600 --> 0:15:39.520
<v Speaker 1>the regular financing world now. Now, and Reeson was an

0:15:39.560 --> 0:15:43.080
<v Speaker 1>investor in White Combinator, or an investor in White Combinator's

0:15:43.160 --> 0:15:46.000
<v Speaker 1>funds in White Commaters companies directly. Actually, so a couple

0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:47.880
<v Speaker 1>of years ago when we first started kind of I

0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:50.400
<v Speaker 1>think from two thousand ten to two thousand twelve, when

0:15:50.440 --> 0:15:52.960
<v Speaker 1>companies would go into Y Combinator, they would get some money.

0:15:53.000 --> 0:15:54.560
<v Speaker 1>We were one of a few firms that used to

0:15:54.560 --> 0:15:58.520
<v Speaker 1>give them some money. So we would invest small amounts dollars,

0:15:58.880 --> 0:16:01.040
<v Speaker 1>but in lots of out we just gotta we didn't

0:16:01.040 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 1>have discretion at that point in time. It's like, look,

0:16:03.000 --> 0:16:05.080
<v Speaker 1>everybody who comes in, you're entitled to take this money

0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:07.160
<v Speaker 1>if you want it. And then obviously, look if we

0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, if we really were interested in the company,

0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:10.320
<v Speaker 1>we could put more money in later in a normal

0:16:10.360 --> 0:16:14.040
<v Speaker 1>financing round. So so why did they change the entire

0:16:14.400 --> 0:16:17.240
<v Speaker 1>what did that set of you mentioned earlier? There's an

0:16:17.240 --> 0:16:22.320
<v Speaker 1>information asymmetry between the seasoned vcs and the young kids

0:16:22.400 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 1>running these startups. How did this level the playing field?

0:16:26.160 --> 0:16:28.840
<v Speaker 1>They just kind of learned the ropes. It's really interesting

0:16:28.840 --> 0:16:30.120
<v Speaker 1>what happened. So I think the way to think about

0:16:30.200 --> 0:16:33.280
<v Speaker 1>VC is the first thirty five forty years a VC

0:16:33.320 --> 0:16:35.640
<v Speaker 1>called it kind of early nineteen seventies to about two

0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:38.240
<v Speaker 1>thousand five, which is when YE kinda started. You know,

0:16:38.360 --> 0:16:41.520
<v Speaker 1>you can think about it as capital was a scarce resource.

0:16:42.080 --> 0:16:44.200
<v Speaker 1>The vcs had it, and there therefore, if you looked

0:16:44.200 --> 0:16:45.960
<v Speaker 1>at the power dynamic, kind of the VC has had

0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:48.160
<v Speaker 1>the power and the entrepreneur's had less. With the gatekeeper

0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:51.080
<v Speaker 1>if the money, you had to go to Sandhill Road

0:16:51.080 --> 0:16:52.760
<v Speaker 1>and you had to go get the money, right, And

0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:55.600
<v Speaker 1>two big things happened. One is y C, which will

0:16:55.640 --> 0:16:58.040
<v Speaker 1>come back. Sorry, that's short for Ye Combinator. Uh. And

0:16:58.080 --> 0:17:00.440
<v Speaker 1>then the second is the amount of money that it

0:17:00.520 --> 0:17:03.800
<v Speaker 1>required to start a business continue to fall pretty precipitously,

0:17:03.840 --> 0:17:05.840
<v Speaker 1>starting in kind of late nineties, and you know, still

0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:09.680
<v Speaker 1>continuing to today. Right. So, so fiber optics, cloud all

0:17:09.680 --> 0:17:13.080
<v Speaker 1>that stuff meant with storage, you didn't need a whole

0:17:13.080 --> 0:17:15.560
<v Speaker 1>team and a joint server farm. You needed two guys

0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:17.440
<v Speaker 1>in a laptop pretty much. And you can go to

0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:19.360
<v Speaker 1>now you can go to Amazon Web Services, of course,

0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:21.000
<v Speaker 1>and get stuff that used to cost you five or

0:17:21.040 --> 0:17:23.359
<v Speaker 1>ten million dollars of capital expenditures years ago. I mean

0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:25.480
<v Speaker 1>when we were in Loudcloud. That's basically what we did.

0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:28.080
<v Speaker 1>We raised money from the venture capitalists and we basically

0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:30.840
<v Speaker 1>then handed it over to companies that nobody remembers any more.

0:17:30.880 --> 0:17:34.399
<v Speaker 1>Sun Microsystems, we misovers from you know, Oracle Databases. Uh,

0:17:34.480 --> 0:17:36.119
<v Speaker 1>you know all that stuff. Now you basically get in

0:17:36.160 --> 0:17:39.160
<v Speaker 1>a box on demand from Amazon for you know, ten

0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:42.919
<v Speaker 1>dollars like yig or whatever the price. So what happened

0:17:42.960 --> 0:17:45.320
<v Speaker 1>was right, that started to happen, which meant you could

0:17:45.359 --> 0:17:47.800
<v Speaker 1>now start companies for a lot less money. And therefore

0:17:47.960 --> 0:17:49.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot of these seed firms that we're now seeing

0:17:49.880 --> 0:17:51.720
<v Speaker 1>kind of came into the mix. So we've seen a

0:17:51.760 --> 0:17:54.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of new seeds. In fact, something like five hundred

0:17:54.320 --> 0:17:56.160
<v Speaker 1>new firms over the last ten years have come into

0:17:56.160 --> 0:18:00.359
<v Speaker 1>the seed market as companies seating startups exactly right, Yes,

0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:02.600
<v Speaker 1>so kind of firms like US firms like Entries and Horrowits,

0:18:02.600 --> 0:18:04.280
<v Speaker 1>but just kind of smaller versions of it. Right, So

0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:07.160
<v Speaker 1>a hundred million dollar funds instead of seven hundred billion

0:18:07.240 --> 0:18:10.040
<v Speaker 1>dollar funds. So you have kind of that phenomenon, right,

0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:12.520
<v Speaker 1>which is the amount of capital goes down. And then

0:18:12.560 --> 0:18:14.880
<v Speaker 1>you have the second phenomenon, which is why Combinator comes

0:18:14.880 --> 0:18:17.560
<v Speaker 1>along and says, hey, we're gonna try to actually really

0:18:17.680 --> 0:18:20.480
<v Speaker 1>quite frankly educate a lot of entrepreneurs about the whole

0:18:20.480 --> 0:18:22.800
<v Speaker 1>startup process. And so take a little bit what was

0:18:22.840 --> 0:18:25.000
<v Speaker 1>a very black box process and hopefully, you know, open

0:18:25.040 --> 0:18:27.879
<v Speaker 1>the kimono a little bit and uh, and that changed

0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:30.800
<v Speaker 1>that information and start to change that information symmetry. And

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:33.320
<v Speaker 1>so that really changed the competitive dynamics in this business

0:18:33.320 --> 0:18:34.919
<v Speaker 1>because it used to be that if you were a

0:18:34.960 --> 0:18:38.280
<v Speaker 1>traditional two D and fifty million dollar venture capital firm

0:18:38.280 --> 0:18:40.680
<v Speaker 1>in this business, you were the first money in, right,

0:18:40.680 --> 0:18:43.120
<v Speaker 1>so you kind of controlled access to that. Now you're

0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:45.679
<v Speaker 1>living in an environment where capital is plentiful. You know,

0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:48.440
<v Speaker 1>you're no longer the gatekeeper capital. And oh, by the way,

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:50.800
<v Speaker 1>there's these five hundred new firms that are being started

0:18:51.000 --> 0:18:52.960
<v Speaker 1>that are kind of upstream of you, right, they're building

0:18:52.960 --> 0:18:55.400
<v Speaker 1>a relationship with the entrepreneur before you. And then there's

0:18:55.440 --> 0:18:57.840
<v Speaker 1>this kind of behemoth called Why Combinator that's also kind

0:18:57.840 --> 0:19:00.719
<v Speaker 1>of effectively now becoming a gatekeeper, right, because they are

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:02.199
<v Speaker 1>kind of a funnel through which a lot of these

0:19:02.200 --> 0:19:04.960
<v Speaker 1>companies flow. And so the net of both of those

0:19:05.119 --> 0:19:07.760
<v Speaker 1>is it really just started to dramatically change the environment

0:19:07.760 --> 0:19:10.080
<v Speaker 1>for venture capital. And that was the opportunity that we

0:19:10.119 --> 0:19:12.480
<v Speaker 1>saw when we started Injurasing Horowitz in two thousand nine,

0:19:12.520 --> 0:19:14.600
<v Speaker 1>was to take advantage of that kind of changing of

0:19:14.680 --> 0:19:18.160
<v Speaker 1>the guard. So are are these seed funds and and

0:19:18.160 --> 0:19:23.760
<v Speaker 1>and y c. Is this changing the quantity of new startups?

0:19:23.840 --> 0:19:28.199
<v Speaker 1>Is it impacting the quality? Are we deluding the talent

0:19:28.480 --> 0:19:30.879
<v Speaker 1>or is it just Nope, it's a fire hose and

0:19:30.920 --> 0:19:33.800
<v Speaker 1>the more the merrier. Yeah, it's so I think for

0:19:33.920 --> 0:19:35.879
<v Speaker 1>right now it's a fire hose and the more the merrier.

0:19:35.960 --> 0:19:37.760
<v Speaker 1>So what it does mean is you can have a

0:19:37.800 --> 0:19:40.879
<v Speaker 1>lot of experimentation happening for very little amounts of money.

0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:42.520
<v Speaker 1>And look, I think that's a great thing. It's a

0:19:42.520 --> 0:19:44.880
<v Speaker 1>great thing for entrepreneurship, it's a great thing for the industry.

0:19:45.200 --> 0:19:48.560
<v Speaker 1>What's interesting, though, is the funnel does narrow, which is

0:19:48.600 --> 0:19:50.400
<v Speaker 1>if you look at kind of seed deals, right we're

0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:52.760
<v Speaker 1>talking about there's been there's a lot of those the moneys,

0:19:52.840 --> 0:19:54.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's a lot of money there the number

0:19:54.600 --> 0:19:56.560
<v Speaker 1>of deals has grown a lot. I don't know what

0:19:56.560 --> 0:19:58.679
<v Speaker 1>the exact numbers are, if something something like four or

0:19:58.680 --> 0:20:00.520
<v Speaker 1>five times over the last you know, ten years, in

0:20:00.560 --> 0:20:01.920
<v Speaker 1>terms of kind of you looked at it from point

0:20:01.960 --> 0:20:05.720
<v Speaker 1>A to point B. So there's this vision of VCS

0:20:05.880 --> 0:20:09.840
<v Speaker 1>is kind of a glamorous lifestyle. Uh, you know when

0:20:09.920 --> 0:20:14.760
<v Speaker 1>when we watch movies like The Social Network or my

0:20:14.840 --> 0:20:19.360
<v Speaker 1>favorite show on HBO, Silicon Valley, which full disclosure, one

0:20:19.400 --> 0:20:23.680
<v Speaker 1>of your partners was consulting with them early on. Um,

0:20:24.920 --> 0:20:31.640
<v Speaker 1>there's a certain degree of glamour, wealth riches and just

0:20:31.800 --> 0:20:38.800
<v Speaker 1>cutting edge technology and making decisions that affects how technology develops.

0:20:39.240 --> 0:20:42.359
<v Speaker 1>I get the sense from your book it's a little

0:20:42.400 --> 0:20:45.560
<v Speaker 1>grittier than that. It's a little more hard work and

0:20:46.280 --> 0:20:50.679
<v Speaker 1>long days and late nights and not all fun and games.

0:20:51.000 --> 0:20:52.840
<v Speaker 1>Well look, I think like any job, it's not all

0:20:52.920 --> 0:20:55.080
<v Speaker 1>fun and games. And and let me make sure it'll

0:20:55.080 --> 0:20:56.960
<v Speaker 1>be very clear though, which is nobody should take out

0:20:56.960 --> 0:20:59.119
<v Speaker 1>their little violence for the venture capitalists. Okay, right, I

0:20:59.119 --> 0:21:01.399
<v Speaker 1>mean you know all their kids, you know, have shoes,

0:21:01.440 --> 0:21:03.159
<v Speaker 1>they all go to school, they all get fed, right,

0:21:03.240 --> 0:21:06.080
<v Speaker 1>they do have shoes, you know. It is I certainly

0:21:06.480 --> 0:21:08.560
<v Speaker 1>even if it's not as glamorous has depicted on TV.

0:21:08.680 --> 0:21:11.000
<v Speaker 1>We should be very it's still it's still a pretty

0:21:11.000 --> 0:21:12.960
<v Speaker 1>good place to be. I mean, look, the reality is

0:21:13.160 --> 0:21:15.639
<v Speaker 1>the real heavy lifting gets done on the entrepreneur side, right,

0:21:15.640 --> 0:21:18.200
<v Speaker 1>So we shouldn't kid ourselves in our business, and we

0:21:18.280 --> 0:21:20.560
<v Speaker 1>certainly try not to, which is as much as we

0:21:20.600 --> 0:21:22.359
<v Speaker 1>want to be you know, kind of finance partners and

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:24.480
<v Speaker 1>then hopefully add value in other ways to these companies.

0:21:24.680 --> 0:21:26.959
<v Speaker 1>The heavy lifting is all being done by the entrepreneurs.

0:21:27.440 --> 0:21:29.159
<v Speaker 1>I think the part maybe that you're talking about, that's,

0:21:29.240 --> 0:21:31.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, the less glamor part is look like any

0:21:31.160 --> 0:21:32.960
<v Speaker 1>other job, it's competitive, right, and you've got to go

0:21:33.000 --> 0:21:35.600
<v Speaker 1>work hard. It's a question of the real question at

0:21:35.600 --> 0:21:37.800
<v Speaker 1>the end of the day is why is an entrepreneur

0:21:37.800 --> 0:21:39.639
<v Speaker 1>gonna pick you versus any of the other firms that

0:21:39.680 --> 0:21:41.760
<v Speaker 1>they can pick And and that's a big sea change

0:21:41.760 --> 0:21:43.560
<v Speaker 1>in the in the business that just didn't exist in

0:21:43.560 --> 0:21:45.680
<v Speaker 1>the same way in the first thirty thirty five years.

0:21:45.960 --> 0:21:48.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, when the vcs had all the capital, they

0:21:48.119 --> 0:21:49.720
<v Speaker 1>had a lot more control and a lot more power.

0:21:49.840 --> 0:21:51.679
<v Speaker 1>And you know, now we're dealing with you know what

0:21:51.720 --> 0:21:53.239
<v Speaker 1>I think is a very healthy kind of you know,

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:56.120
<v Speaker 1>changing of the garden some respects. But you know, vcs

0:21:56.119 --> 0:21:59.040
<v Speaker 1>don't control boards anymore like they used to, which you know,

0:21:59.480 --> 0:22:01.439
<v Speaker 1>we've you still get a seat on the board if

0:22:01.440 --> 0:22:03.040
<v Speaker 1>you're if you're gonna do an a round and make

0:22:03.080 --> 0:22:06.960
<v Speaker 1>a special investment, I would imagine you want some input

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:10.000
<v Speaker 1>into the management and some ability to watch how the

0:22:10.000 --> 0:22:12.159
<v Speaker 1>money is being spent. That's exactly right. So yeah, typically

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:14.479
<v Speaker 1>we will have a board seat, um, and then typically

0:22:14.560 --> 0:22:16.040
<v Speaker 1>we will have kind of a set of rights that

0:22:16.080 --> 0:22:17.800
<v Speaker 1>go along with our stock that says, hey, if you're

0:22:17.800 --> 0:22:19.960
<v Speaker 1>going to raise money, you have to let us vote

0:22:19.960 --> 0:22:21.600
<v Speaker 1>to say yea or a. Or if you're gonna sell

0:22:21.640 --> 0:22:23.399
<v Speaker 1>the company, we have some ability to kind of have

0:22:23.440 --> 0:22:25.480
<v Speaker 1>a say. Uh in the you know, in the old

0:22:25.560 --> 0:22:28.119
<v Speaker 1>days and I was doing air quotes there. Um, you know,

0:22:28.359 --> 0:22:30.320
<v Speaker 1>the venture capitalists in addition to that, used to kind

0:22:30.320 --> 0:22:32.399
<v Speaker 1>of control the board, meaning that there used to be

0:22:32.440 --> 0:22:35.200
<v Speaker 1>more venture capital board seats on the board than there

0:22:35.240 --> 0:22:38.200
<v Speaker 1>were founder seats. And you know that's in some ways

0:22:38.200 --> 0:22:40.320
<v Speaker 1>why I think, you know, some of the reputation that

0:22:40.320 --> 0:22:42.560
<v Speaker 1>the industry had was, hey, some of these guys can

0:22:42.600 --> 0:22:45.119
<v Speaker 1>get trigger happy sometimes on kicking CEOs out of the

0:22:45.119 --> 0:22:48.760
<v Speaker 1>business and kicking founders out. That dynamic has really dramatically

0:22:48.800 --> 0:22:51.040
<v Speaker 1>changed over the last ten years, and we see more

0:22:51.040 --> 0:22:54.200
<v Speaker 1>and more boards where the founders kind of control them

0:22:54.200 --> 0:22:56.159
<v Speaker 1>in the sense that they have more board seats, and

0:22:56.160 --> 0:22:58.720
<v Speaker 1>it does change the dynamic of the working relationship between them.

0:22:58.800 --> 0:23:01.280
<v Speaker 1>So you mentioned that pital used to be scarce and

0:23:01.320 --> 0:23:05.760
<v Speaker 1>now it seems pretty plentiful. So I wanna explore that

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:10.159
<v Speaker 1>and try and figure out how that has impacted UM

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:13.560
<v Speaker 1>markets and and startups. What are there now about five

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:18.240
<v Speaker 1>hundred unicorns private companies that are a billion dollar valuation?

0:23:19.240 --> 0:23:23.119
<v Speaker 1>Is that reflecting plentiful capital. Some people have called it

0:23:23.160 --> 0:23:27.240
<v Speaker 1>a bubble. I'm not sure that's the right description. We

0:23:27.760 --> 0:23:29.800
<v Speaker 1>have not, by the way, So we've been we've been,

0:23:29.840 --> 0:23:31.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, on record at this that I do think

0:23:31.680 --> 0:23:34.800
<v Speaker 1>if you're talking about this compared to the bubble, it's

0:23:34.920 --> 0:23:36.400
<v Speaker 1>very different. You know, you and I were talking about

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:39.000
<v Speaker 1>this before we started, So give you a perspective. Right,

0:23:40.480 --> 0:23:42.080
<v Speaker 1>seven hundred plus I p o s in the tech

0:23:42.080 --> 0:23:45.720
<v Speaker 1>industry in those two years. The median revenue, which I

0:23:45.960 --> 0:23:47.800
<v Speaker 1>didn't realize until I looked this up to confirm it,

0:23:47.920 --> 0:23:50.679
<v Speaker 1>seventeen million dollars, right, you're talking about companies going public

0:23:51.600 --> 0:23:54.000
<v Speaker 1>seventeen million dollars of revenue right now, you know we

0:23:54.080 --> 0:23:56.560
<v Speaker 1>haven't We haven't done seven hundred. We haven't even done

0:23:56.600 --> 0:23:58.479
<v Speaker 1>four hundred I p o s over the last ten

0:23:58.560 --> 0:24:00.119
<v Speaker 1>years in the last decade, right, I mean, we been

0:24:00.119 --> 0:24:02.560
<v Speaker 1>doing about thirty maybe fifty a year, so we had

0:24:02.560 --> 0:24:04.119
<v Speaker 1>a long way to go. And we look look at

0:24:04.160 --> 0:24:09.320
<v Speaker 1>the revenue it we Works or Uber, it's pretty media number.

0:24:09.320 --> 0:24:10.720
<v Speaker 1>I think the last I look for the last ten

0:24:10.800 --> 0:24:14.000
<v Speaker 1>years is about a hundred and seventy million. But X, yeah,

0:24:14.000 --> 0:24:15.680
<v Speaker 1>it's sent X right. But I think that even really

0:24:15.720 --> 0:24:17.639
<v Speaker 1>understates it, right. I mean you've got companies right like

0:24:17.680 --> 0:24:19.320
<v Speaker 1>Lift and Uber and others right that are you know,

0:24:19.320 --> 0:24:21.359
<v Speaker 1>they're going public with billions of dollars of revenue. So

0:24:21.440 --> 0:24:23.760
<v Speaker 1>it's a very very different world. Um. But to your

0:24:23.840 --> 0:24:26.200
<v Speaker 1>question though about kind of you know, how much capitals

0:24:26.200 --> 0:24:28.880
<v Speaker 1>out there? Uh, it is true. There's a lot of capital. Uh.

0:24:28.880 --> 0:24:30.480
<v Speaker 1>And it's kind of a little bit of a tail

0:24:30.560 --> 0:24:32.119
<v Speaker 1>of two cities, which is you have a lot of

0:24:32.160 --> 0:24:34.440
<v Speaker 1>capital at the seed stage, right, And we talked about

0:24:34.480 --> 0:24:36.520
<v Speaker 1>that a little bit. Now it's it's not a lot

0:24:36.600 --> 0:24:38.679
<v Speaker 1>in the total scheme of things in the sense that

0:24:38.720 --> 0:24:41.399
<v Speaker 1>it's about six five six percent of capital total in

0:24:41.440 --> 0:24:43.720
<v Speaker 1>the venture capital world of seeds. So it's grown a

0:24:43.720 --> 0:24:45.200
<v Speaker 1>lot over the years, but it's not you know, we're

0:24:45.200 --> 0:24:48.440
<v Speaker 1>not talking of the capital. And then you have kind

0:24:48.440 --> 0:24:50.200
<v Speaker 1>of the A and the B rounds have kind of

0:24:50.640 --> 0:24:52.399
<v Speaker 1>not moved that much. They've moved a little bit, but

0:24:52.400 --> 0:24:54.000
<v Speaker 1>there's a little bit more capital. And then you have

0:24:54.080 --> 0:24:56.560
<v Speaker 1>this big influx of capital in the kind of call

0:24:56.640 --> 0:24:59.439
<v Speaker 1>at the C plus rounds like late stage pre I

0:24:59.520 --> 0:25:02.359
<v Speaker 1>p O rounds that maybe twenty years ago would have

0:25:02.400 --> 0:25:04.880
<v Speaker 1>been public instead of a private That's exactly right. So

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:07.119
<v Speaker 1>the best way to see this is it used to

0:25:07.119 --> 0:25:09.040
<v Speaker 1>be the case that from founding of a company to

0:25:09.119 --> 0:25:11.120
<v Speaker 1>I PO it was about six six and a half

0:25:11.200 --> 0:25:13.640
<v Speaker 1>years is typically what it used to be. Today that's

0:25:13.640 --> 0:25:16.000
<v Speaker 1>about ten to twelve years. So you've pretty much basically

0:25:16.040 --> 0:25:18.760
<v Speaker 1>doubled in the last decade the time it's taking for

0:25:18.840 --> 0:25:21.399
<v Speaker 1>companies go public. And you're exactly right. So what's happening

0:25:21.480 --> 0:25:23.720
<v Speaker 1>is you've got all this capital that used to be

0:25:23.760 --> 0:25:25.880
<v Speaker 1>in the public markets that's now saying, hey, we want

0:25:25.920 --> 0:25:28.119
<v Speaker 1>some of that growth, right, we want these growth companies

0:25:28.119 --> 0:25:30.280
<v Speaker 1>because we're not getting in the public markets, and that

0:25:30.359 --> 0:25:32.960
<v Speaker 1>capital now is coming into the private markets, and that's

0:25:32.960 --> 0:25:35.040
<v Speaker 1>what's driving these very very large rounds you see in

0:25:35.040 --> 0:25:38.280
<v Speaker 1>the private markets. So here's another interesting stat from the book.

0:25:38.320 --> 0:25:41.600
<v Speaker 1>I thought it was fascinating. Fifteen of the biggest twenty

0:25:41.600 --> 0:25:45.639
<v Speaker 1>five I p o s in we're from companies that

0:25:45.720 --> 0:25:49.240
<v Speaker 1>had no profits. So how should we be thinking about

0:25:49.960 --> 0:25:55.320
<v Speaker 1>young companies that basically, you know, are are losing a

0:25:55.320 --> 0:25:58.040
<v Speaker 1>little money. The joke is Uber Ludes loses a little

0:25:58.040 --> 0:26:00.560
<v Speaker 1>money on each ride, but they make it up in right,

0:26:00.600 --> 0:26:03.800
<v Speaker 1>So how do we think about these companies that are

0:26:04.000 --> 0:26:08.520
<v Speaker 1>growing rapidly and have nice revenue but are far away

0:26:08.560 --> 0:26:11.040
<v Speaker 1>from profitability. So I think the way you have to

0:26:11.080 --> 0:26:12.359
<v Speaker 1>think about it and look the way you have if

0:26:12.359 --> 0:26:14.239
<v Speaker 1>you're if you're getting comfortable investing in them. The way

0:26:14.240 --> 0:26:15.840
<v Speaker 1>you have to think about it is you have to

0:26:15.880 --> 0:26:18.040
<v Speaker 1>look at kind of what we call the unit economics, right,

0:26:18.080 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 1>So in other words, show me kind of at a

0:26:20.520 --> 0:26:23.080
<v Speaker 1>at a unit level, so at a geographic market level

0:26:23.280 --> 0:26:25.520
<v Speaker 1>or at kind of a per ride level, does the

0:26:25.560 --> 0:26:28.760
<v Speaker 1>business work and are we losing money? And aggregate because

0:26:28.800 --> 0:26:31.840
<v Speaker 1>we are now focused on growth in other markets, and

0:26:31.920 --> 0:26:34.520
<v Speaker 1>when those markets are at a level maturity, you know,

0:26:34.600 --> 0:26:37.359
<v Speaker 1>you will see profitability. So, you know, we're a shareholder

0:26:37.359 --> 0:26:40.159
<v Speaker 1>and left right and so competitive competitive move right. So

0:26:40.200 --> 0:26:41.800
<v Speaker 1>and if you look at left right, you know, my

0:26:41.880 --> 0:26:43.520
<v Speaker 1>impression is when they went out on the road, what

0:26:43.560 --> 0:26:45.160
<v Speaker 1>they probably did is they said, hey, look at our

0:26:45.200 --> 0:26:47.840
<v Speaker 1>mature markets. Look at San Francisco or look at you know,

0:26:47.960 --> 0:26:50.320
<v Speaker 1>Boston or whatever that might be. These are markets that

0:26:50.320 --> 0:26:52.840
<v Speaker 1>are mature, and we can demonstibly show you kind of

0:26:52.840 --> 0:26:54.960
<v Speaker 1>the profits that we actually make in those mature markets.

0:26:55.160 --> 0:26:56.320
<v Speaker 1>And oh, by the way, we've got a bunch of

0:26:56.359 --> 0:26:59.000
<v Speaker 1>these immature markets. But if you believe the story right,

0:26:59.040 --> 0:27:01.119
<v Speaker 1>then those immature markets over time will get to the

0:27:01.160 --> 0:27:04.240
<v Speaker 1>same levels of profitability, and then therefore the companies themselves

0:27:04.240 --> 0:27:06.200
<v Speaker 1>are profitable. I think that's the way to think about it,

0:27:06.240 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 1>and that's what the investors are trying to do. You know,

0:27:08.080 --> 0:27:10.240
<v Speaker 1>it will be incoming obviously upon these companies to actually

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:12.040
<v Speaker 1>prove that and demonstrate that, you know, kind of the

0:27:12.080 --> 0:27:14.760
<v Speaker 1>story actually matches reality. Here's the question. So we have

0:27:14.880 --> 0:27:19.240
<v Speaker 1>these big, fast, growing, well funded companies that aren't profitable.

0:27:20.080 --> 0:27:23.840
<v Speaker 1>What what happens in the next down cycle? Yeah, well, look,

0:27:23.880 --> 0:27:25.399
<v Speaker 1>I think that's a real question, and I think this

0:27:25.480 --> 0:27:27.200
<v Speaker 1>is why Actually you see in the I p O

0:27:27.280 --> 0:27:29.520
<v Speaker 1>market right now that the I p O s of

0:27:29.560 --> 0:27:32.320
<v Speaker 1>companies are trading differently, I think based upon kind of

0:27:32.359 --> 0:27:35.160
<v Speaker 1>whether they are profitable and or how much cash ultimately

0:27:35.160 --> 0:27:37.159
<v Speaker 1>they are consuming. So if you look at kind of

0:27:37.160 --> 0:27:39.399
<v Speaker 1>the companies that are performed the best, they tend to

0:27:39.400 --> 0:27:42.560
<v Speaker 1>be enterprise software companies like a Zoom for example, or

0:27:42.600 --> 0:27:45.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, we saw lots of sale, right, so they've

0:27:45.280 --> 0:27:48.240
<v Speaker 1>got you know, they're growing fast. They're also profitable businesses,

0:27:48.280 --> 0:27:49.960
<v Speaker 1>and so look in a downturn, you can say, look,

0:27:50.000 --> 0:27:52.600
<v Speaker 1>maybe they don't grow as fast, but they're not. They're

0:27:52.600 --> 0:27:54.480
<v Speaker 1>just not an essential threat to that business, right, so

0:27:54.520 --> 0:27:57.399
<v Speaker 1>people are if you're a CrowdStrike investor, look, people are

0:27:57.440 --> 0:27:59.720
<v Speaker 1>gonna buy security software at some point in time, even

0:28:00.000 --> 0:28:02.240
<v Speaker 1>on turn and so if it slows a little bit

0:28:02.320 --> 0:28:03.960
<v Speaker 1>or if they lose a little bit of money, that's okay,

0:28:04.040 --> 0:28:05.679
<v Speaker 1>not a big deal. And then you know, you do

0:28:05.760 --> 0:28:07.840
<v Speaker 1>see like the Ubers of the world where people say, hey, look,

0:28:07.840 --> 0:28:10.600
<v Speaker 1>you know you're telling us profitability in two thousand twenty three,

0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:13.600
<v Speaker 1>which means you know, you may be reliant on the

0:28:13.640 --> 0:28:15.960
<v Speaker 1>capital markets to raise more capital over that time period.

0:28:15.960 --> 0:28:18.320
<v Speaker 1>I think that's why you tend to see more volatility

0:28:18.359 --> 0:28:20.760
<v Speaker 1>in those kinds of stocks that have this big cash consumption.

0:28:21.119 --> 0:28:23.480
<v Speaker 1>So so we keep I keep coming back to the

0:28:23.560 --> 0:28:27.040
<v Speaker 1>issue of how much capital is slashing around. Let's talk

0:28:27.040 --> 0:28:29.680
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about the Vision funds. What's the Vision

0:28:29.720 --> 0:28:33.280
<v Speaker 1>funds and how is this impacting the landscape out there? Yeah,

0:28:33.320 --> 0:28:35.200
<v Speaker 1>so the Vision Fund is a fund that was raised

0:28:35.200 --> 0:28:37.679
<v Speaker 1>by soft Bank, which is obviously a big Japanese conglomerate,

0:28:37.880 --> 0:28:40.320
<v Speaker 1>and it's huge. It's huge. It's a hundred billion dollars, right,

0:28:40.320 --> 0:28:41.800
<v Speaker 1>and it's it's as far as I know, at least,

0:28:41.800 --> 0:28:43.680
<v Speaker 1>it's certainly the biggest fund that I've heard of that's,

0:28:44.040 --> 0:28:46.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, effectively a fund structure investing in you know,

0:28:46.440 --> 0:28:49.200
<v Speaker 1>private equity and adventure backed companies. Now, I know you

0:28:49.440 --> 0:28:52.160
<v Speaker 1>probably don't want to bash a competitor in your space,

0:28:52.680 --> 0:28:56.200
<v Speaker 1>but I imagine that much money in the hands of

0:28:56.280 --> 0:28:59.640
<v Speaker 1>humans and they're just dolling it out willy nilly and

0:28:59.720 --> 0:29:01.840
<v Speaker 1>over paying for stuff and saying, hey, I got a

0:29:01.920 --> 0:29:04.520
<v Speaker 1>hundred billion dollars to deploy, go out and find some

0:29:04.560 --> 0:29:08.800
<v Speaker 1>more companies. I'm exaggerating a little bit, but is there

0:29:08.840 --> 0:29:11.600
<v Speaker 1>any truth to that. Well, it's interesting. So a couple

0:29:11.640 --> 0:29:13.680
<v Speaker 1>of years ago, SoftBank was kind of a class of one,

0:29:13.760 --> 0:29:16.280
<v Speaker 1>right they were. They were the eight hundred pound guerrilla, right.

0:29:16.320 --> 0:29:19.160
<v Speaker 1>There was nobody else of that scale. And look they

0:29:19.160 --> 0:29:22.080
<v Speaker 1>had they had. You know, look, people people do what

0:29:22.120 --> 0:29:23.920
<v Speaker 1>their incentives are, right, which is so if you worked

0:29:23.920 --> 0:29:26.520
<v Speaker 1>at the SoftBank Vision Fund, clearly your your incentive was

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:29.440
<v Speaker 1>to go invest money. Now, whether they were overpaying or

0:29:29.440 --> 0:29:31.600
<v Speaker 1>to only an outlook, I mean, time will tell, obviously,

0:29:31.720 --> 0:29:33.360
<v Speaker 1>and you know they did. They do have a different

0:29:33.440 --> 0:29:35.720
<v Speaker 1>kind of cost of capital, right, In other words, they're

0:29:35.720 --> 0:29:37.840
<v Speaker 1>not trying to necessarily get a three x or a

0:29:37.880 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 1>five x return on a company. Uh, they have a

0:29:39.920 --> 0:29:42.080
<v Speaker 1>lower kind of return hurdle. So in theory, they could

0:29:42.080 --> 0:29:44.160
<v Speaker 1>afford to pay more than maybe somebody like us could

0:29:44.200 --> 0:29:46.880
<v Speaker 1>pay for the same business. Because we have to deliver

0:29:46.920 --> 0:29:49.680
<v Speaker 1>a higher rate of return. You have to be more efficient.

0:29:49.800 --> 0:29:53.080
<v Speaker 1>They have the luxury of not I'm not caring about that.

0:29:53.680 --> 0:29:55.680
<v Speaker 1>It's not that we have to be more efficient, it's

0:29:55.720 --> 0:29:58.920
<v Speaker 1>that we are. Our investors say, look for you to

0:29:58.960 --> 0:30:02.200
<v Speaker 1>stay in business, we want to see three times our

0:30:02.240 --> 0:30:05.600
<v Speaker 1>money being returned in every fun cycle basis for ten

0:30:05.680 --> 0:30:09.680
<v Speaker 1>years right, So give us three times your money, you know,

0:30:09.720 --> 0:30:12.600
<v Speaker 1>which probably means somewhere between twenty five and three, you know,

0:30:12.680 --> 0:30:16.360
<v Speaker 1>kind of I r R S right annualized returns. Uh. Yeah,

0:30:16.360 --> 0:30:18.000
<v Speaker 1>if you do that, look we'll keep giving the money.

0:30:18.000 --> 0:30:20.200
<v Speaker 1>You get to play the game again. I mentioned earlier

0:30:20.600 --> 0:30:24.880
<v Speaker 1>you are my third victim from Andrews and Horowitz. Um.

0:30:24.920 --> 0:30:27.280
<v Speaker 1>Not only did I have a nice time talking to

0:30:28.280 --> 0:30:31.840
<v Speaker 1>um Bennett Evans, who has a wonderful newsletter that comes

0:30:31.960 --> 0:30:35.360
<v Speaker 1>out of your shop as well as is it one

0:30:35.440 --> 0:30:38.400
<v Speaker 1>or two podcasts? I think it's probably too at this

0:30:38.400 --> 0:30:41.040
<v Speaker 1>point time. Um, but I had a great time speaking

0:30:41.080 --> 0:30:45.560
<v Speaker 1>with Mark and Reason in your in the Pitch conference room,

0:30:46.080 --> 0:30:48.600
<v Speaker 1>which was fun. And if you listen to that interview,

0:30:48.960 --> 0:30:52.560
<v Speaker 1>you could hear me bang the table and it's pretty

0:30:52.640 --> 0:30:56.160
<v Speaker 1>hilarious because, uh, it was just one of those like

0:30:56.880 --> 0:31:01.040
<v Speaker 1>surreal locations to have do a podcast. And I had

0:31:01.040 --> 0:31:03.560
<v Speaker 1>a number of people email me and say, you know,

0:31:03.600 --> 0:31:06.760
<v Speaker 1>I normally listen at two times regular speed, but this

0:31:06.800 --> 0:31:08.760
<v Speaker 1>guy's talk so fast I couldn't keep up with it.

0:31:08.840 --> 0:31:12.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm like, have you not heard Mark Andreason speak before?

0:31:12.640 --> 0:31:16.360
<v Speaker 1>He just he's like a New Yorker, He's like he

0:31:16.480 --> 0:31:19.680
<v Speaker 1>is a fast speak, right, and a lot of interesting,

0:31:19.720 --> 0:31:22.239
<v Speaker 1>dense stuff. So I take that as a compliment when

0:31:22.280 --> 0:31:26.120
<v Speaker 1>someone says I had to listen at regular at regular speed,

0:31:26.160 --> 0:31:28.200
<v Speaker 1>you want to miss a word, that's good. We mentioned

0:31:28.200 --> 0:31:32.920
<v Speaker 1>earlier you were employee number one, after Andreason and Horowitz.

0:31:33.520 --> 0:31:36.600
<v Speaker 1>What is your role today? You were you're managing partner.

0:31:36.680 --> 0:31:39.959
<v Speaker 1>What does that mean? What's your day job? Like? Uh so,

0:31:40.000 --> 0:31:42.240
<v Speaker 1>it's a lot of things. Actually, my uh my nickname

0:31:42.240 --> 0:31:44.800
<v Speaker 1>inside the firm is actually called slash like kind of

0:31:44.800 --> 0:31:47.440
<v Speaker 1>the like the cut the class right. Well, no, actually

0:31:47.440 --> 0:31:49.720
<v Speaker 1>not slash like cut cost slash as in, I have

0:31:49.760 --> 0:31:52.440
<v Speaker 1>a lot of jobs, right, So so some days it's

0:31:53.680 --> 0:31:55.680
<v Speaker 1>exactly right. So some days it's go raise money. So

0:31:55.720 --> 0:31:57.800
<v Speaker 1>we just you know, finished a fundraise not too long ago.

0:31:58.080 --> 0:32:00.120
<v Speaker 1>So how much did you guys? We just ray just

0:32:00.160 --> 0:32:03.959
<v Speaker 1>about three billion dollars? Actually, so wait, I've been quoting

0:32:04.720 --> 0:32:06.560
<v Speaker 1>I know seven actually believe it or not? Is even

0:32:06.640 --> 0:32:08.520
<v Speaker 1>is out of date as of you know, literally about

0:32:08.520 --> 0:32:11.080
<v Speaker 1>three days ago. I apologize her. No, not at all.

0:32:11.120 --> 0:32:13.200
<v Speaker 1>It's in the book and it's you know, yeah, yeah,

0:32:13.240 --> 0:32:16.720
<v Speaker 1>we go fix Wikipedia. It's wrong, right, go figure who

0:32:16.800 --> 0:32:19.800
<v Speaker 1>who would have ever guessed something on Wikipedia? Is. Um,

0:32:19.840 --> 0:32:23.040
<v Speaker 1>so yeah, we're over We're just about over ten now,

0:32:23.120 --> 0:32:25.440
<v Speaker 1>ye know, it's been a lot of fun. So yeah,

0:32:25.440 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 1>so what most of my job. But by the way,

0:32:27.000 --> 0:32:29.120
<v Speaker 1>how how many people get to say, yeah, raised three

0:32:29.120 --> 0:32:31.040
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars. It's been a lot of fun. It's uh,

0:32:31.160 --> 0:32:33.160
<v Speaker 1>you must really love your job. I do love my job.

0:32:33.200 --> 0:32:35.600
<v Speaker 1>It's great. I mean, I love I love the capital

0:32:35.640 --> 0:32:37.720
<v Speaker 1>raising part of it. We have a great limited partner

0:32:37.760 --> 0:32:38.840
<v Speaker 1>base and so it's a lot of fun to do

0:32:39.000 --> 0:32:43.680
<v Speaker 1>and a lot of pensions and endowments, pensions, universities. Um,

0:32:43.920 --> 0:32:45.720
<v Speaker 1>we do have some sommer wealth funds too, so we

0:32:45.760 --> 0:32:48.360
<v Speaker 1>talked about that. It's kind of been one of our segments. Um,

0:32:48.640 --> 0:32:50.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, some family office is not that many. Um.

0:32:51.000 --> 0:32:52.840
<v Speaker 1>And then we've got we're starting to build up more

0:32:52.840 --> 0:32:54.760
<v Speaker 1>of international base now, so kind of most of it

0:32:54.800 --> 0:32:58.000
<v Speaker 1>was North America really basically US, and we're thinking now

0:32:58.000 --> 0:33:00.200
<v Speaker 1>we've kind of suspanded into Europe and then you know,

0:33:00.240 --> 0:33:02.160
<v Speaker 1>some parts of the Middle East and some parts of Asia.

0:33:02.280 --> 0:33:04.120
<v Speaker 1>So it's been a fun opportunity just to kind of

0:33:04.200 --> 0:33:07.280
<v Speaker 1>learn that side of the business. Canna a VC scale

0:33:07.640 --> 0:33:10.239
<v Speaker 1>significantly above where you are. I mean, if you were

0:33:10.240 --> 0:33:13.160
<v Speaker 1>a software company we need to talk about how software

0:33:13.200 --> 0:33:15.760
<v Speaker 1>I hear is eating the world. But but if you were,

0:33:15.840 --> 0:33:18.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, if your software company, you could scale up infinitely.

0:33:18.440 --> 0:33:22.120
<v Speaker 1>You know, Google Docs. Nothing's going to prevent every person

0:33:22.120 --> 0:33:25.080
<v Speaker 1>in the world from having a hundred sheets and docks

0:33:25.080 --> 0:33:28.840
<v Speaker 1>on Google Docs. It just scales infinitely. You literally have

0:33:30.000 --> 0:33:32.680
<v Speaker 1>partners who have to sign off on stuff, associates who

0:33:32.720 --> 0:33:34.840
<v Speaker 1>have to do some of the grunt work. There's a

0:33:34.880 --> 0:33:37.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of decisions to be made. Where where do you

0:33:37.360 --> 0:33:39.640
<v Speaker 1>top out? Yeah, this is this is the real conundrum

0:33:39.680 --> 0:33:41.920
<v Speaker 1>with this business is so that the limitter in scale

0:33:42.200 --> 0:33:44.440
<v Speaker 1>is basically the number of board seats that a general

0:33:44.480 --> 0:33:46.760
<v Speaker 1>partner can sit on, right, and it varies. You know,

0:33:47.200 --> 0:33:49.320
<v Speaker 1>some people top out at ten. We've got some of

0:33:49.320 --> 0:33:51.400
<v Speaker 1>our folks who are doing like fifteen and sixteen who

0:33:51.440 --> 0:33:53.480
<v Speaker 1>think they can go to five. You know, we'll see,

0:33:53.480 --> 0:33:55.800
<v Speaker 1>we'll see if they get there. But but you're right,

0:33:55.840 --> 0:33:58.320
<v Speaker 1>So the kind of limitters are at some point in

0:33:58.320 --> 0:34:00.120
<v Speaker 1>time you tap out your board seats, and then some

0:34:00.120 --> 0:34:01.920
<v Speaker 1>point in time the room gets so big where you

0:34:02.040 --> 0:34:04.160
<v Speaker 1>just have too many people, you know, trying to express

0:34:04.160 --> 0:34:06.760
<v Speaker 1>an opinion. So the way we're trying to solve that

0:34:07.000 --> 0:34:10.320
<v Speaker 1>is we do a little bit more kind of verticalization basically,

0:34:10.320 --> 0:34:13.960
<v Speaker 1>so I mentioned earlier than creates different sleeves. And so

0:34:14.000 --> 0:34:15.879
<v Speaker 1>we've got a consumer team, right, and so we can

0:34:15.920 --> 0:34:18.319
<v Speaker 1>grow that team more because you know, right now there

0:34:18.360 --> 0:34:21.120
<v Speaker 1>are probably what four people on our consumer team, and

0:34:21.200 --> 0:34:23.480
<v Speaker 1>so you could probably continue to grow that as long

0:34:23.520 --> 0:34:25.799
<v Speaker 1>as the deal opportunity set is there and you don't

0:34:25.800 --> 0:34:27.880
<v Speaker 1>have too many people in the room to make a decision. Right,

0:34:27.880 --> 0:34:31.400
<v Speaker 1>our our financial services team is too strong today, you

0:34:31.400 --> 0:34:33.600
<v Speaker 1>could certainly grow that more. So we're trying to say, look,

0:34:33.640 --> 0:34:36.520
<v Speaker 1>let's push the decision making down at the vertical level

0:34:36.560 --> 0:34:38.840
<v Speaker 1>to the teams that have the right domain expertise and

0:34:38.840 --> 0:34:41.120
<v Speaker 1>then above a certain dollar threshold, Hey, if someone wants

0:34:41.120 --> 0:34:43.279
<v Speaker 1>to write a fifty million dollar a hundred million dollar check,

0:34:43.640 --> 0:34:45.080
<v Speaker 1>let's kind of get everybody in the room and make

0:34:45.120 --> 0:34:46.680
<v Speaker 1>sure that nobody's gonna blow a hole in the you know,

0:34:46.680 --> 0:34:48.560
<v Speaker 1>in the side of the ship. Right. So a hundred

0:34:48.560 --> 0:34:51.120
<v Speaker 1>and seventy employees, how many partners out of that group?

0:34:51.160 --> 0:34:55.120
<v Speaker 1>So we have fifteen partners today. Relationship like a law

0:34:55.200 --> 0:34:58.400
<v Speaker 1>firm or similar right, some of the big firms, it

0:34:58.560 --> 0:35:00.680
<v Speaker 1>was seven and one sort of ratio. The other big

0:35:00.680 --> 0:35:02.600
<v Speaker 1>difference though, with our firm, right is a hundred of

0:35:02.600 --> 0:35:05.280
<v Speaker 1>those hundreds, so many people actually work with our company's

0:35:05.280 --> 0:35:08.120
<v Speaker 1>post investment. So we're kind of an odd, odd beast

0:35:08.160 --> 0:35:10.520
<v Speaker 1>in the venture, meaning that they're not going to your

0:35:10.680 --> 0:35:13.440
<v Speaker 1>office each day, they're going to the entrepreneurs. No, no,

0:35:13.560 --> 0:35:15.960
<v Speaker 1>so they actually they're at our office. They work for us,

0:35:16.320 --> 0:35:18.879
<v Speaker 1>but they do things like, hey, can we help you

0:35:19.080 --> 0:35:21.960
<v Speaker 1>get introduced to Bloomberg, to the ce IO or so

0:35:22.040 --> 0:35:25.120
<v Speaker 1>more of what I would traditionally imagine is a partner's

0:35:25.440 --> 0:35:28.959
<v Speaker 1>job description. You're pushing that down to the level of staff.

0:35:29.040 --> 0:35:31.040
<v Speaker 1>That's exactly right. So the whole idea behind the firm

0:35:31.200 --> 0:35:34.319
<v Speaker 1>was kind of this concept of, look, can we disaggregate

0:35:34.360 --> 0:35:36.200
<v Speaker 1>the general partner job and say what are the things

0:35:36.239 --> 0:35:39.280
<v Speaker 1>that we really need the general partners to do? Right? So,

0:35:39.280 --> 0:35:42.960
<v Speaker 1>so good, you're gonna disaggregate, right, how about that? But

0:35:43.360 --> 0:35:46.000
<v Speaker 1>you know what, that's an accurate description. So, yeah, we

0:35:46.040 --> 0:35:49.480
<v Speaker 1>want a general partner to look for great deals, build relationships,

0:35:49.760 --> 0:35:52.400
<v Speaker 1>make investment decisions, and sit on boards and be valuable

0:35:52.400 --> 0:35:54.680
<v Speaker 1>to those companies. Right, But we don't necessarily need a

0:35:54.719 --> 0:35:57.680
<v Speaker 1>general partner who's not an expert in recruiting CFOs to

0:35:57.719 --> 0:35:59.200
<v Speaker 1>know how to do that. So instead we have a

0:35:59.200 --> 0:36:01.799
<v Speaker 1>whole talent team and that's their job is, let's know

0:36:02.000 --> 0:36:04.920
<v Speaker 1>all the top CFOs in the business, let's build relationships

0:36:04.920 --> 0:36:06.839
<v Speaker 1>with them, and then we're appropriate, let's connect them into

0:36:06.840 --> 0:36:09.680
<v Speaker 1>our portfolio companies. Right, And so we do that on talent,

0:36:09.840 --> 0:36:12.480
<v Speaker 1>on both executives as well as engineers. We do that

0:36:12.640 --> 0:36:15.360
<v Speaker 1>on sales and business development prospects. So you know, we

0:36:15.400 --> 0:36:17.600
<v Speaker 1>cover companies like Bloomberg and others and say, who are

0:36:17.640 --> 0:36:20.480
<v Speaker 1>the decision makers that might buy software here or that

0:36:20.560 --> 0:36:22.359
<v Speaker 1>might you know, buy ad time for some of our

0:36:22.440 --> 0:36:24.600
<v Speaker 1>ad based companies, and we ought to know all those

0:36:24.640 --> 0:36:26.759
<v Speaker 1>people and then figure out when can we connect them

0:36:26.760 --> 0:36:29.960
<v Speaker 1>into our companies to help them accelerate their sales. Really intriguing,

0:36:30.520 --> 0:36:33.840
<v Speaker 1>So what are your vertical um specialties? What are the

0:36:33.880 --> 0:36:36.319
<v Speaker 1>different groups? Yeah, so right now there's a couple. So

0:36:36.360 --> 0:36:38.680
<v Speaker 1>basically kind of consumer is one, and think of that

0:36:38.760 --> 0:36:42.080
<v Speaker 1>as you know, that's a Facebook and instat cart, anything

0:36:42.160 --> 0:36:48.960
<v Speaker 1>that the end us essentially exactly that's exactly right. Yeah,

0:36:49.000 --> 0:36:51.400
<v Speaker 1>that's a good way to think about it. Uh, financial services,

0:36:51.400 --> 0:36:53.359
<v Speaker 1>so fintech is one and that kind of has some

0:36:53.400 --> 0:36:55.480
<v Speaker 1>b two C and some B two B elements of it, right,

0:36:55.480 --> 0:36:57.799
<v Speaker 1>So it could be we have a company called a firm,

0:36:57.840 --> 0:36:59.960
<v Speaker 1>which basically is kind of point of sale lending enough,

0:37:00.040 --> 0:37:02.200
<v Speaker 1>you know this, but so if you by a Casper mattress,

0:37:02.600 --> 0:37:07.120
<v Speaker 1>you know financing, right, So that's a the ability to

0:37:07.200 --> 0:37:11.000
<v Speaker 1>make a fairly instantaneous that's exactly right credit that's exactly right,

0:37:11.760 --> 0:37:13.960
<v Speaker 1>credit card, or somewhere between a credit card and a

0:37:14.000 --> 0:37:17.640
<v Speaker 1>bank loan. Right. And then on you know, completely other

0:37:17.719 --> 0:37:19.440
<v Speaker 1>end of the spectrum. We've got a company called Branch

0:37:19.480 --> 0:37:24.720
<v Speaker 1>which basically does lending to sub Saharan African countries. Basically

0:37:24.719 --> 0:37:26.520
<v Speaker 1>a people in those countries, so literally think of it

0:37:26.560 --> 0:37:31.120
<v Speaker 1>as a taxi driver or a local store owner micro lending, right,

0:37:31.120 --> 0:37:33.000
<v Speaker 1>So who doesn't have credit? Right? Basically in a lot

0:37:33.000 --> 0:37:35.319
<v Speaker 1>of these countries, you know, we have these credit bureaus, right,

0:37:35.360 --> 0:37:37.120
<v Speaker 1>so you have kind of you get your credit score

0:37:37.200 --> 0:37:38.840
<v Speaker 1>and then you take that to the lender. In a

0:37:38.880 --> 0:37:40.800
<v Speaker 1>lot of these other countries there is no concept of

0:37:40.800 --> 0:37:43.560
<v Speaker 1>a credit bureau So a company like Branch literally is

0:37:43.600 --> 0:37:46.480
<v Speaker 1>building people's individual credit files by giving them small micro

0:37:46.600 --> 0:37:48.960
<v Speaker 1>loans and that as they pay it back. Obviously they

0:37:48.960 --> 0:37:54.200
<v Speaker 1>started to get higher credit limit. That's fintech. Uh, enterprise.

0:37:54.239 --> 0:37:56.560
<v Speaker 1>So enterprise could be anything from like an application company

0:37:56.600 --> 0:37:58.319
<v Speaker 1>like a slack for example, it would be in that

0:37:58.760 --> 0:38:02.040
<v Speaker 1>to something more s terek, like a security company or

0:38:02.080 --> 0:38:04.279
<v Speaker 1>a company that's doing you know, a database or things

0:38:04.320 --> 0:38:07.239
<v Speaker 1>of that sort. Um, we do crypto, which is an

0:38:07.239 --> 0:38:09.319
<v Speaker 1>interesting area which we can talk about. Sure, let's talk

0:38:09.320 --> 0:38:14.080
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about crypto. So, uh, this crazy Facebook

0:38:14.160 --> 0:38:18.440
<v Speaker 1>libra then, so I walked right into that one. Right,

0:38:18.520 --> 0:38:21.439
<v Speaker 1>Let's let's just talk about this. So Facebook, who has

0:38:21.480 --> 0:38:26.200
<v Speaker 1>helped um undermine democracy as they as they worked hand

0:38:26.200 --> 0:38:30.239
<v Speaker 1>in hand with the Russians to spread fake news, decided

0:38:30.280 --> 0:38:33.800
<v Speaker 1>that they want to replace money. So how could that

0:38:34.080 --> 0:38:36.640
<v Speaker 1>ever go wrong? Yeah, so they're not They don't want

0:38:36.640 --> 0:38:39.560
<v Speaker 1>to replace money. They want to create Internet money, right right,

0:38:39.560 --> 0:38:40.960
<v Speaker 1>So that's the way you think about That's at least

0:38:40.960 --> 0:38:46.440
<v Speaker 1>how we think. So not a h not credit, not venmo,

0:38:47.239 --> 0:38:51.080
<v Speaker 1>which um I use venmo as a verb inappropriately. The

0:38:51.160 --> 0:38:53.799
<v Speaker 1>young guys in my office tell me, so, I when

0:38:53.880 --> 0:38:57.759
<v Speaker 1>I when I owed someone money they bought tickets for something,

0:38:57.760 --> 0:39:00.839
<v Speaker 1>I said, just venmo me And he's like, dude, that's

0:39:00.880 --> 0:39:04.480
<v Speaker 1>just And I'm like, just venmo. I think that's pretty forward.

0:39:04.560 --> 0:39:07.240
<v Speaker 1>So he said, no, no venoment. He goes, I'm gonna

0:39:07.360 --> 0:39:12.040
<v Speaker 1>invoice you. You're gonna vendomo me? Do I really? Okay,

0:39:12.080 --> 0:39:16.200
<v Speaker 1>I'll be more formal, so send me your request and

0:39:16.239 --> 0:39:20.000
<v Speaker 1>I will pay you. Is that better? But anyway, a

0:39:20.120 --> 0:39:23.520
<v Speaker 1>really interesting concept, right. So the concept is again we

0:39:23.520 --> 0:39:25.279
<v Speaker 1>we've been using this term Internet money, right, So if

0:39:25.280 --> 0:39:27.640
<v Speaker 1>you think about it, there are things like, of course

0:39:27.640 --> 0:39:29.480
<v Speaker 1>there are things like PayPal and stuff like that today,

0:39:29.480 --> 0:39:31.799
<v Speaker 1>but they all depend on your right, They depend on

0:39:33.440 --> 0:39:36.120
<v Speaker 1>other stuff right there, and it's expensive. Not everybody has

0:39:36.160 --> 0:39:38.719
<v Speaker 1>access to that, and particularly in countries like you know,

0:39:38.880 --> 0:39:41.160
<v Speaker 1>Venezuela for example, right where you know you've got these

0:39:41.200 --> 0:39:44.520
<v Speaker 1>hyper inflation countries, people want, you know, a stable currency

0:39:44.560 --> 0:39:46.160
<v Speaker 1>that they actually don't have to worry about, you know,

0:39:46.160 --> 0:39:49.400
<v Speaker 1>putting in wheelbarrels every day. And so what basically the

0:39:49.440 --> 0:39:52.120
<v Speaker 1>Facebook consortium that they put together is you know, intending

0:39:52.160 --> 0:39:54.120
<v Speaker 1>to do, is to say, look, could we create this

0:39:54.160 --> 0:39:56.680
<v Speaker 1>concept of Internet money so that you can procure things

0:39:56.680 --> 0:39:58.560
<v Speaker 1>on the Internet. You can even do like micro payments,

0:39:58.560 --> 0:40:00.560
<v Speaker 1>which is very hard to do because of trains action costs.

0:40:00.600 --> 0:40:03.000
<v Speaker 1>So you know, if you wanted to charge people ten

0:40:03.040 --> 0:40:05.279
<v Speaker 1>cents an episode to listen to your podcast. Maybe that's

0:40:05.280 --> 0:40:07.640
<v Speaker 1>a good way to monetize the podcast instead of advertising

0:40:07.640 --> 0:40:11.000
<v Speaker 1>for example. You know, I don't know, I don't know

0:40:11.000 --> 0:40:14.120
<v Speaker 1>if that's the right math. Where do we sign up? Right,

0:40:14.400 --> 0:40:16.480
<v Speaker 1>you've converted me to liberate, But you couldn't You couldn't

0:40:16.480 --> 0:40:18.040
<v Speaker 1>do that today, right because you know, by time you

0:40:18.080 --> 0:40:19.880
<v Speaker 1>took transaction fees and stuff, you would be losing. It

0:40:19.880 --> 0:40:21.799
<v Speaker 1>would be basically paying the credit card company to to

0:40:21.880 --> 0:40:24.200
<v Speaker 1>charge somebody ten cents. So that's the that's the kind

0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:25.719
<v Speaker 1>of big idea of what they're trying to do. Now, look,

0:40:25.760 --> 0:40:28.440
<v Speaker 1>it's you know, uh, it's brand new, it's a consortium.

0:40:28.440 --> 0:40:30.520
<v Speaker 1>It's going to be developed in a crypto framework, which

0:40:30.560 --> 0:40:33.600
<v Speaker 1>means it will be decentralized and governed by all these

0:40:33.600 --> 0:40:35.319
<v Speaker 1>different kind of groups that are being part of it.

0:40:35.320 --> 0:40:38.319
<v Speaker 1>So it's not going to be Facebook actually central centralizing

0:40:38.320 --> 0:40:40.560
<v Speaker 1>it and owning it. And uh, you know, it'll be

0:40:40.600 --> 0:40:42.399
<v Speaker 1>an interesting experiment to see if they can make it work.

0:40:42.440 --> 0:40:45.359
<v Speaker 1>So let me let me ask you a disclosure question. So,

0:40:45.719 --> 0:40:48.960
<v Speaker 1>you guys famously were an early early investor in Facebook.

0:40:49.200 --> 0:40:52.920
<v Speaker 1>It worked out fabulously for for that investment, are you

0:40:52.960 --> 0:40:55.839
<v Speaker 1>still a Facebook holder or is that long since been

0:40:55.880 --> 0:40:58.480
<v Speaker 1>worked out? So as a fund we we don't hold

0:40:58.480 --> 0:41:00.440
<v Speaker 1>Facebook shares anymore. A lot of us into visually do,

0:41:00.480 --> 0:41:02.440
<v Speaker 1>and I will personally disclose I do have. I do

0:41:02.520 --> 0:41:04.719
<v Speaker 1>home Facebook shares, and I don't know if Mark or

0:41:04.760 --> 0:41:06.600
<v Speaker 1>other people still do. I assume Mark does because he's

0:41:06.640 --> 0:41:09.000
<v Speaker 1>on the board. So imagine he gets, you know, some

0:41:09.080 --> 0:41:12.239
<v Speaker 1>kind of granted every every quarter or every year. But

0:41:12.239 --> 0:41:14.279
<v Speaker 1>but in general, kind of the way our business works is,

0:41:14.719 --> 0:41:17.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, our LPs pay us to manage private assets, right,

0:41:17.239 --> 0:41:21.759
<v Speaker 1>and so it's public. Look, you guys, so here's the

0:41:21.840 --> 0:41:24.319
<v Speaker 1>question here. You sell their Facebook shares or do you

0:41:24.400 --> 0:41:26.319
<v Speaker 1>dole that out to the LPs and let them sell.

0:41:26.480 --> 0:41:29.360
<v Speaker 1>Usually what we do is we distribute the shares, and

0:41:29.360 --> 0:41:31.319
<v Speaker 1>then you know, different LPs do different things. Some of

0:41:31.360 --> 0:41:33.520
<v Speaker 1>them actually say, look, every time I get a distribution

0:41:33.600 --> 0:41:35.920
<v Speaker 1>from a venture capitalist, I'm just gonna automatically sell a lot.

0:41:35.920 --> 0:41:38.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm not gonna make an independent judgment. Some of them

0:41:38.080 --> 0:41:40.040
<v Speaker 1>are who are particularly the ones who are more sophisticated,

0:41:40.040 --> 0:41:42.279
<v Speaker 1>say wait a second, you know I like Facebook stock

0:41:42.280 --> 0:41:44.040
<v Speaker 1>and oh, by the way, my one of my public

0:41:44.040 --> 0:41:45.960
<v Speaker 1>managers has it. But I want an overweight position in

0:41:46.000 --> 0:41:47.560
<v Speaker 1>Facebook stocks. So you know what, I'm just gonna hold

0:41:47.560 --> 0:41:49.680
<v Speaker 1>onto this and this has such a low cost basis.

0:41:49.840 --> 0:41:53.160
<v Speaker 1>That's exactly to it for this Although they're really there there,

0:41:53.239 --> 0:41:57.000
<v Speaker 1>they're saying most of them are pretty right, right, they

0:41:57.040 --> 0:41:59.480
<v Speaker 1>have the luxury. If not, I immediately think of cost

0:41:59.520 --> 0:42:02.960
<v Speaker 1>basis and makes a big difference, you know. And then

0:42:02.960 --> 0:42:05.720
<v Speaker 1>there's a whole there's where you're going to locate the assets.

0:42:05.719 --> 0:42:10.880
<v Speaker 1>You these guys, they're all completely taxed. It shouldn't make

0:42:10.880 --> 0:42:12.479
<v Speaker 1>any but that's basically how we think about the business.

0:42:12.520 --> 0:42:14.440
<v Speaker 1>So look in general. Yeah, like if they want to

0:42:14.440 --> 0:42:16.399
<v Speaker 1>buy Facebook stock, they can buy Facebook stock. They don't

0:42:16.400 --> 0:42:18.239
<v Speaker 1>need to pay us to do that. That that makes

0:42:18.320 --> 0:42:23.280
<v Speaker 1>perfect sense. Um, I didn't ask you during our broadcast

0:42:23.320 --> 0:42:26.439
<v Speaker 1>portion the venture capital life cycle, which you talk about

0:42:26.440 --> 0:42:29.399
<v Speaker 1>in the book. Um, let's let's let's get a little

0:42:29.400 --> 0:42:31.960
<v Speaker 1>wonky and talk about life cycles. And then I want

0:42:32.000 --> 0:42:35.520
<v Speaker 1>to talk about persistency and underfitting. So we're really gonna

0:42:35.560 --> 0:42:38.440
<v Speaker 1>walk out. So what's the VC life cycle? Yeah, So basically,

0:42:38.480 --> 0:42:41.319
<v Speaker 1>we raise funds and those funds typically have a tenure life.

0:42:41.320 --> 0:42:43.799
<v Speaker 1>Now if you've talked to any LP but ten years

0:42:43.800 --> 0:42:47.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna interrupt you. Is ten years standard. I kind

0:42:47.000 --> 0:42:52.240
<v Speaker 1>of remember being a little shorter years ago, seven eight years.

0:42:52.840 --> 0:42:55.680
<v Speaker 1>Since I've been in the business, it's been ten. It's

0:42:55.680 --> 0:42:57.560
<v Speaker 1>actually and the opposite is actually true, which is but

0:42:57.600 --> 0:42:59.640
<v Speaker 1>any LP will tell you there's no such thing as

0:42:59.640 --> 0:43:02.680
<v Speaker 1>a ten year fund. These funds go twelve, fifteen years.

0:43:02.719 --> 0:43:05.440
<v Speaker 1>You're always left with stubs that haven't done anything and

0:43:05.520 --> 0:43:08.799
<v Speaker 1>hope the bulk of it. The assumption is, hey, if

0:43:08.800 --> 0:43:10.960
<v Speaker 1>it's not done by ten years, just write it down

0:43:10.960 --> 0:43:14.360
<v Speaker 1>to zero and whatever comes out later that is a bonus.

0:43:14.440 --> 0:43:17.120
<v Speaker 1>So I don't know if stub is the right technical term.

0:43:17.200 --> 0:43:19.560
<v Speaker 1>I think it is a technical term. But but I'm

0:43:19.600 --> 0:43:23.560
<v Speaker 1>under the impression that after a certain point, it either

0:43:23.600 --> 0:43:25.520
<v Speaker 1>works or it doesn't, and it's not going to catch

0:43:25.520 --> 0:43:28.360
<v Speaker 1>fire on the eleventh year, so we just need to

0:43:28.360 --> 0:43:31.000
<v Speaker 1>make it one more year. But remember right, it's taking ten, eleven,

0:43:31.040 --> 0:43:33.240
<v Speaker 1>twelve years where companies go public now, so it's possible

0:43:33.280 --> 0:43:35.479
<v Speaker 1>that it could catch fire. So it depends on whether

0:43:35.520 --> 0:43:37.200
<v Speaker 1>it's on that path or not, I guess. And at

0:43:37.239 --> 0:43:39.879
<v Speaker 1>that point it's certainly easy enough to find somebody who's

0:43:39.880 --> 0:43:42.920
<v Speaker 1>gonna that's come in and take it off your hands.

0:43:43.040 --> 0:43:45.080
<v Speaker 1>So anyways, you've got ten years. Basically, you do most

0:43:45.120 --> 0:43:47.120
<v Speaker 1>of your investing typically in the first three or four

0:43:47.200 --> 0:43:49.239
<v Speaker 1>years is what's more typical, and then kind of in

0:43:49.280 --> 0:43:51.560
<v Speaker 1>those later years you're doing what's called follow on investing, right,

0:43:51.560 --> 0:43:54.040
<v Speaker 1>you're kind of maybe adding to positions that second round,

0:43:54.200 --> 0:43:55.960
<v Speaker 1>the second round or third round or stuff. How does

0:43:56.000 --> 0:43:58.759
<v Speaker 1>the capital calls work? Is it like a hedge fund

0:43:58.800 --> 0:44:00.920
<v Speaker 1>where all the money shows up or is it like

0:44:01.000 --> 0:44:04.279
<v Speaker 1>private equity where you make a commitment, give a small

0:44:04.320 --> 0:44:06.120
<v Speaker 1>amount of money up front, and then they call it

0:44:06.160 --> 0:44:08.239
<v Speaker 1>as needed. Yeah, it's the latter. So basically, when an

0:44:08.360 --> 0:44:10.759
<v Speaker 1>LP invest in our fund, what they're doing is they're saying, okay, like,

0:44:10.800 --> 0:44:13.719
<v Speaker 1>I'm committing to ten million dollars over the life your fund,

0:44:14.120 --> 0:44:15.800
<v Speaker 1>and you know, we'll call it kind of we typically

0:44:15.880 --> 0:44:17.960
<v Speaker 1>call quarterly because you know, we kind of generally know

0:44:18.000 --> 0:44:19.960
<v Speaker 1>what the cadence is. So yeah, I think about it

0:44:20.000 --> 0:44:22.279
<v Speaker 1>as probably seventy percent of your money gets called in

0:44:22.320 --> 0:44:24.640
<v Speaker 1>that first three or four years when you're doing primary investing,

0:44:24.640 --> 0:44:27.479
<v Speaker 1>and then the remainder gets called over years four through

0:44:27.719 --> 0:44:29.600
<v Speaker 1>eight or nine or something, you know, for that follow

0:44:29.680 --> 0:44:33.200
<v Speaker 1>up investing. That that's that's pretty interesting. And so that's

0:44:33.239 --> 0:44:36.160
<v Speaker 1>the life cycle over of a typical fund, that's right,

0:44:36.160 --> 0:44:37.399
<v Speaker 1>And then you know, we'll go raise a new fund

0:44:37.440 --> 0:44:39.719
<v Speaker 1>hopefully so hopefully after three or four years, if we've

0:44:39.800 --> 0:44:42.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, exhausted that fund, if we're doing well enough,

0:44:42.480 --> 0:44:44.200
<v Speaker 1>then our LPs will say great, like, we'll give you

0:44:44.200 --> 0:44:45.680
<v Speaker 1>another shot at it, and you go raise a new fund.

0:44:45.760 --> 0:44:49.160
<v Speaker 1>And each new fund is a new legal entidy with

0:44:49.160 --> 0:44:51.960
<v Speaker 1>with uh. I want to call it a sixteen Z.

0:44:52.280 --> 0:44:55.040
<v Speaker 1>You can, but people are not gonna understand what that is.

0:44:55.080 --> 0:44:57.960
<v Speaker 1>So I have this great blue hat that sits in

0:44:58.000 --> 0:45:01.640
<v Speaker 1>my car, um, and it literally says A six team

0:45:01.719 --> 0:45:05.600
<v Speaker 1>Z dot com and there are sixteen letters between the

0:45:05.600 --> 0:45:08.879
<v Speaker 1>A and injuries and the Z. You got it. I mean,

0:45:08.880 --> 0:45:12.800
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't hey, I cracked that code. It wasn't too difficult. Um.

0:45:12.840 --> 0:45:16.480
<v Speaker 1>But it's really a very interesting idea. And it allows you,

0:45:16.520 --> 0:45:20.680
<v Speaker 1>guys to come up with a almost random web you

0:45:20.800 --> 0:45:23.640
<v Speaker 1>r l you're going to get a website. They're all taken.

0:45:23.760 --> 0:45:25.680
<v Speaker 1>It's it's kind of crazy, and it allows people to

0:45:25.719 --> 0:45:27.160
<v Speaker 1>actually find it because if you had to spell in

0:45:27.200 --> 0:45:32.759
<v Speaker 1>recent Horwitz dot I always get exactly. I always get

0:45:32.800 --> 0:45:35.480
<v Speaker 1>that wrong. So um, persistence was what you mentioned. We

0:45:35.480 --> 0:45:37.479
<v Speaker 1>didn't talk about you are so sure. Let's just let's

0:45:37.480 --> 0:45:40.759
<v Speaker 1>talk about so each of these are separate fund You're

0:45:40.800 --> 0:45:43.239
<v Speaker 1>the fun firm is the GP, and it may or

0:45:43.280 --> 0:45:45.920
<v Speaker 1>may not be the same LPs in it. And so

0:45:46.080 --> 0:45:48.600
<v Speaker 1>you just did FUN six, that's right. If you're just

0:45:48.719 --> 0:45:50.919
<v Speaker 1>raising money for fund six and that was put to bed,

0:45:51.440 --> 0:45:53.960
<v Speaker 1>Fund seven is a couple of years down, that's probably right. Yeah,

0:45:54.000 --> 0:45:55.600
<v Speaker 1>we tell our LPs kind of think about it as

0:45:55.719 --> 0:45:57.080
<v Speaker 1>two and a half three or three and a half

0:45:57.120 --> 0:45:58.759
<v Speaker 1>your cycles is probably the right right think about. So

0:45:58.840 --> 0:46:01.759
<v Speaker 1>let's let's talk about assistance, which is kind of interesting.

0:46:02.160 --> 0:46:04.520
<v Speaker 1>And again, at risk of of I don't want to

0:46:04.520 --> 0:46:08.000
<v Speaker 1>put words in your mouth and slag a competitor, but

0:46:08.160 --> 0:46:10.440
<v Speaker 1>let me just talk about some of the talk of

0:46:10.480 --> 0:46:13.400
<v Speaker 1>the town. So Kleina Perkins, one of the most storied

0:46:14.000 --> 0:46:18.840
<v Speaker 1>John Door and that whole collection of folks. Um incredible,

0:46:18.880 --> 0:46:22.840
<v Speaker 1>trans Cisco and Apple and Mike Microsoft, I mean, go

0:46:22.920 --> 0:46:26.799
<v Speaker 1>down the list. It was insane intel Um they did

0:46:26.840 --> 0:46:30.840
<v Speaker 1>fabulously in the eighties and the nineties. The latter farm

0:46:31.239 --> 0:46:36.520
<v Speaker 1>funds seem to have not had the same UM track records.

0:46:36.520 --> 0:46:39.480
<v Speaker 1>So the question is, was it luck, or did the

0:46:39.560 --> 0:46:43.040
<v Speaker 1>environment change so much that they failed to adapt? Did

0:46:43.120 --> 0:46:47.120
<v Speaker 1>that whole sex discrimination case throw them off their game?

0:46:47.800 --> 0:46:49.360
<v Speaker 1>These are my words, not yours. I don't want to

0:46:49.360 --> 0:46:52.560
<v Speaker 1>put you have to see these people, and I don't

0:46:52.600 --> 0:46:55.960
<v Speaker 1>want anybody saying, Hey, Scott, what the hell man? So

0:46:56.080 --> 0:46:59.560
<v Speaker 1>this is I apologize to John Doran everybody. I'm repeating

0:46:59.560 --> 0:47:02.040
<v Speaker 1>what I read. I don't know this for a fact.

0:47:02.120 --> 0:47:04.640
<v Speaker 1>I've never met these folks. You certainly have never said

0:47:04.640 --> 0:47:07.160
<v Speaker 1>any of this, So I'm giving you giving you some

0:47:07.239 --> 0:47:12.520
<v Speaker 1>plausible deniability. Um. So, first of all, you're upset. Kliner is,

0:47:13.000 --> 0:47:14.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, an icon in the industry, there's no question.

0:47:14.920 --> 0:47:18.080
<v Speaker 1>And their early track record was just yeah. And then

0:47:18.120 --> 0:47:19.640
<v Speaker 1>you know they also had a whole life sciences part

0:47:19.640 --> 0:47:21.600
<v Speaker 1>of their business. You know, people like Brook Briers write

0:47:21.600 --> 0:47:23.359
<v Speaker 1>one of the name partners there have done great things.

0:47:23.719 --> 0:47:25.520
<v Speaker 1>Um And and actually right now they have a they

0:47:25.520 --> 0:47:27.279
<v Speaker 1>have a whole new set of a whole new teams.

0:47:27.280 --> 0:47:29.239
<v Speaker 1>So they've kind of brought on some some new people

0:47:29.280 --> 0:47:31.160
<v Speaker 1>to kind of build out re kind of build out

0:47:31.200 --> 0:47:34.840
<v Speaker 1>their software business. And look, they've successfully raised new funds

0:47:34.840 --> 0:47:37.160
<v Speaker 1>and stuff. So you know, I wouldn't I certainly wouldn't

0:47:37.200 --> 0:47:38.920
<v Speaker 1>count anybody out of this business. I mean, they're they're

0:47:38.920 --> 0:47:41.120
<v Speaker 1>an iconic name with an iconic brand, and but that

0:47:41.200 --> 0:47:44.680
<v Speaker 1>brings us back to the issue of persistency. So the

0:47:44.680 --> 0:47:47.480
<v Speaker 1>whole concept of fat headlong tail is there's a handful

0:47:47.520 --> 0:47:51.960
<v Speaker 1>of winners, let's a winner take all distribution, and those

0:47:52.000 --> 0:47:56.440
<v Speaker 1>winners tend to stay winners. So so it's it's really interesting, right,

0:47:56.440 --> 0:47:57.799
<v Speaker 1>So if you look at the if you look at

0:47:57.840 --> 0:48:01.040
<v Speaker 1>all the academic literature around VC, basically, uh, you have

0:48:01.560 --> 0:48:04.120
<v Speaker 1>a firm that is performed in the top quartile of

0:48:04.160 --> 0:48:08.440
<v Speaker 1>returns in one cycle, is likely to then continue to

0:48:08.440 --> 0:48:10.359
<v Speaker 1>be in the top quartile in the next cycle, right

0:48:10.360 --> 0:48:12.439
<v Speaker 1>in the next fun And I think the theory behind

0:48:12.440 --> 0:48:13.880
<v Speaker 1>it goes back to a little bit of this kind

0:48:13.880 --> 0:48:15.799
<v Speaker 1>of idea that we talked about earlier about kind of

0:48:15.880 --> 0:48:18.960
<v Speaker 1>zero sum and signaling, which is, you know, if you're

0:48:18.960 --> 0:48:21.120
<v Speaker 1>a firm like Climber Perkins, let's just use them an example.

0:48:21.840 --> 0:48:23.640
<v Speaker 1>You have a brand and you've you know, you've invested

0:48:23.640 --> 0:48:26.000
<v Speaker 1>some of these fantastic companies like Cisco and Apple, and

0:48:26.040 --> 0:48:28.160
<v Speaker 1>so you know, I'm an entrepreneur who is you know,

0:48:28.480 --> 0:48:30.759
<v Speaker 1>looking to kind of get that brand affiliation to help

0:48:30.800 --> 0:48:33.040
<v Speaker 1>me with my business. Right, So I want your money

0:48:33.080 --> 0:48:35.759
<v Speaker 1>because you know you've invested in smart people before, and

0:48:35.800 --> 0:48:38.239
<v Speaker 1>therefore you must think I'm smart. Their money is more

0:48:38.280 --> 0:48:40.319
<v Speaker 1>than just money, that's right, right, It goes with the

0:48:40.320 --> 0:48:42.440
<v Speaker 1>brand and with the success they built over time. Right.

0:48:42.480 --> 0:48:45.120
<v Speaker 1>And so if I'm trying to recruit employees, you know,

0:48:45.160 --> 0:48:47.160
<v Speaker 1>I say, hey, well, you know I've got money from

0:48:47.200 --> 0:48:49.920
<v Speaker 1>these Climber Perkins folks in this case, you know they're smart.

0:48:50.000 --> 0:48:51.879
<v Speaker 1>Therefore you know you should come work for me, right,

0:48:51.920 --> 0:48:53.719
<v Speaker 1>do something crazy like quit your job and tell your

0:48:53.760 --> 0:48:55.600
<v Speaker 1>spouse that you're going to take a fifty cut and

0:48:55.600 --> 0:48:58.040
<v Speaker 1>pay and come work for me. Or if you're a customer,

0:48:58.280 --> 0:48:59.960
<v Speaker 1>you know you have kind of the customer kind of

0:49:00.040 --> 0:49:02.040
<v Speaker 1>gets the brand connotation of Klin of Perkins. They may

0:49:02.040 --> 0:49:04.439
<v Speaker 1>not know you, but they've heard of John Door, they've

0:49:04.440 --> 0:49:06.520
<v Speaker 1>heard of you know, that organization. So you get that

0:49:06.600 --> 0:49:09.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of brand affiliation. So I think that's why there

0:49:09.080 --> 0:49:12.120
<v Speaker 1>is this persistence. And then therefore, also as we talked about,

0:49:12.440 --> 0:49:15.279
<v Speaker 1>because these deals are often zero sum, if you've got

0:49:15.360 --> 0:49:17.640
<v Speaker 1>the brand that gives you an unfair advantage in competing

0:49:17.640 --> 0:49:20.319
<v Speaker 1>for the new deals. Uh. And when you win that

0:49:20.400 --> 0:49:22.400
<v Speaker 1>a round the deal. That means nobody else in the

0:49:22.440 --> 0:49:24.920
<v Speaker 1>industry got to win that deal either, Right, so you

0:49:24.920 --> 0:49:27.279
<v Speaker 1>you kind of allow that persistence to kind of, you know,

0:49:27.320 --> 0:49:29.880
<v Speaker 1>take effect and give you competitive advantage. Now, this is

0:49:29.920 --> 0:49:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the same thing we see in where do you want

0:49:32.600 --> 0:49:36.000
<v Speaker 1>to go with this hedge fund Ivy League schools? Is

0:49:36.080 --> 0:49:41.839
<v Speaker 1>Harvard really Harvard? Or are they just coasting on their reputation? Yeah, Look,

0:49:41.880 --> 0:49:44.200
<v Speaker 1>we we use signaling all the time, right, and it's

0:49:44.239 --> 0:49:46.640
<v Speaker 1>you're you're right, it's not it's not necessary fair. Look,

0:49:46.640 --> 0:49:49.000
<v Speaker 1>there's plenty of smart students at other places that don't

0:49:49.040 --> 0:49:51.360
<v Speaker 1>go to Stanford to Harvard. But you know, an employer

0:49:51.400 --> 0:49:53.200
<v Speaker 1>looks at that and they say, hey, like, you know,

0:49:53.239 --> 0:49:55.600
<v Speaker 1>it's probably the case that they've they've screened the student,

0:49:55.640 --> 0:49:57.719
<v Speaker 1>they've done something, and so you know, I accept that

0:49:57.760 --> 0:50:00.280
<v Speaker 1>as kind of you know, brand affiliation for that students.

0:50:00.280 --> 0:50:03.040
<v Speaker 1>But you're absolutely right, it's not fair. But it is, unfortunately,

0:50:03.040 --> 0:50:04.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, part of the way the world works. So

0:50:04.760 --> 0:50:07.600
<v Speaker 1>we're not talking about fair. We're talking about if you're

0:50:07.800 --> 0:50:10.640
<v Speaker 1>a pension funds or if you're an allocator and you

0:50:10.719 --> 0:50:13.799
<v Speaker 1>have to decide, hey, I'm gonna budget five percent of

0:50:13.840 --> 0:50:18.400
<v Speaker 1>my my assets to venture capital UM. In the world

0:50:18.400 --> 0:50:21.560
<v Speaker 1>of hedge funds, if you're not in the top ten percent,

0:50:22.320 --> 0:50:26.520
<v Speaker 1>you're paying a lot for not great performance. It sounds

0:50:26.560 --> 0:50:29.440
<v Speaker 1>like the VC world is very, very sick. It's similar.

0:50:29.719 --> 0:50:32.800
<v Speaker 1>If you're not in the top firms, well then you really,

0:50:33.840 --> 0:50:36.800
<v Speaker 1>as you pointed out and on aggregate, gonna underperform the

0:50:36.800 --> 0:50:38.560
<v Speaker 1>public mark. Yeah, this is where I think a lot

0:50:38.600 --> 0:50:41.040
<v Speaker 1>of the LPs sometimes have kind of made mistakes in

0:50:41.040 --> 0:50:44.120
<v Speaker 1>their venture portfolio. Is you know they diversify, Yeah, they diverseify.

0:50:44.120 --> 0:50:46.080
<v Speaker 1>I right, Diversification turns out to be a bad strategy

0:50:46.160 --> 0:50:48.200
<v Speaker 1>in venture, right, which is if you've got you know,

0:50:48.520 --> 0:50:50.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, if you are with a great firm who's

0:50:50.080 --> 0:50:52.279
<v Speaker 1>in the top quarter tril you know, obviously things change

0:50:52.320 --> 0:50:54.520
<v Speaker 1>and of course maybe all the partners leave or you know,

0:50:54.600 --> 0:50:57.760
<v Speaker 1>something catastrophic happens, but in general, you want to probably

0:50:57.800 --> 0:51:00.720
<v Speaker 1>double down your money on those folks as as to actually,

0:51:00.760 --> 0:51:02.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, kind of diverse buying. So the names I

0:51:02.920 --> 0:51:06.759
<v Speaker 1>know like Flat Iron Ventures or Benchmark in addition to

0:51:07.239 --> 0:51:09.840
<v Speaker 1>Climate Prokin's injuries, and I know there are dozens and

0:51:09.920 --> 0:51:14.560
<v Speaker 1>dozens of others. The well known top tier firms really

0:51:14.760 --> 0:51:18.000
<v Speaker 1>are well known and top tier for a reason. That's right, yeah,

0:51:18.000 --> 0:51:19.680
<v Speaker 1>and they're look, those are those are great firms, and

0:51:19.680 --> 0:51:21.880
<v Speaker 1>so what happens, right is the LPs want to allocate

0:51:21.920 --> 0:51:24.480
<v Speaker 1>to those firms. And then what what often happens, I

0:51:24.520 --> 0:51:26.960
<v Speaker 1>think where sometimes the LPs make mistakes as they say, look,

0:51:26.960 --> 0:51:31.400
<v Speaker 1>I can't get access because you know, benchmarks, right, benchmarks,

0:51:31.440 --> 0:51:33.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, you know, it's very hard to be a

0:51:33.239 --> 0:51:35.239
<v Speaker 1>new LP and get access to a benchmark from they're

0:51:35.280 --> 0:51:37.239
<v Speaker 1>they're so good that right, they haven't really added to

0:51:37.239 --> 0:51:40.200
<v Speaker 1>their LP base, And so then people sometimes say, okay,

0:51:40.200 --> 0:51:41.520
<v Speaker 1>well let me go down to the next year or

0:51:41.520 --> 0:51:43.239
<v Speaker 1>the next year. And then unfortunately, and a lot of

0:51:43.239 --> 0:51:45.120
<v Speaker 1>times in this business, you know, that means that you

0:51:45.160 --> 0:51:47.120
<v Speaker 1>now start to get those returns we talked about, which

0:51:47.160 --> 0:51:49.560
<v Speaker 1>converged to the media as opposed to the top returns.

0:51:49.640 --> 0:51:53.720
<v Speaker 1>Mean reversion is exactly right, is quite a mean cruel,

0:51:53.840 --> 0:51:57.640
<v Speaker 1>a cruel mistress. So I I made a reference, but

0:51:57.719 --> 0:52:02.280
<v Speaker 1>we really didn't get into UM and Reason's piece, software

0:52:02.320 --> 0:52:04.920
<v Speaker 1>is eating the world? That was two thousand eleven, and

0:52:04.960 --> 0:52:08.400
<v Speaker 1>that turned out to be a fabulous call. So really

0:52:08.440 --> 0:52:12.880
<v Speaker 1>the question is um is software still eating the world?

0:52:12.960 --> 0:52:15.920
<v Speaker 1>And and when does this, you know, get replaced by

0:52:16.040 --> 0:52:19.000
<v Speaker 1>whatever is going to replace software, or does that just

0:52:19.160 --> 0:52:22.920
<v Speaker 1>never end it just keeps going. Yeah, I think so.

0:52:23.000 --> 0:52:24.759
<v Speaker 1>I think software is still eating the world at least

0:52:24.760 --> 0:52:26.600
<v Speaker 1>where we sit. We think it will continue to eat

0:52:26.640 --> 0:52:28.840
<v Speaker 1>the world for I don't know what the time period is,

0:52:28.880 --> 0:52:31.799
<v Speaker 1>but I don't I don't know what fun exactly right.

0:52:31.800 --> 0:52:33.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't see an end to it at this point

0:52:33.120 --> 0:52:35.480
<v Speaker 1>in time. And actually, what's interesting now is it's starting

0:52:35.480 --> 0:52:37.680
<v Speaker 1>to touch a lot of industries that historically it never

0:52:37.719 --> 0:52:40.040
<v Speaker 1>got to. So now we're starting to see software eating

0:52:40.640 --> 0:52:42.640
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of education, a little bit of healthcare,

0:52:43.040 --> 0:52:46.600
<v Speaker 1>government services, um, you know, oil and gas markets, energy markets.

0:52:46.640 --> 0:52:49.160
<v Speaker 1>So there's these you know, very very markets that for

0:52:49.200 --> 0:52:51.600
<v Speaker 1>a long time kind of we're you know, largely untouched.

0:52:51.920 --> 0:52:53.520
<v Speaker 1>And I think we're still at the very very beating

0:52:53.520 --> 0:52:55.520
<v Speaker 1>phass of it. So it's been our investment thesis for

0:52:55.520 --> 0:52:57.000
<v Speaker 1>a long time. I think it's gonna be our investment

0:52:57.040 --> 0:52:59.120
<v Speaker 1>thesis for the foreseable future. So I'm gonna throw a

0:52:59.160 --> 0:53:01.440
<v Speaker 1>curve booll at you only because you brought it up.

0:53:01.480 --> 0:53:06.359
<v Speaker 1>So health care. Healthcare is such a fascinating area. You

0:53:06.400 --> 0:53:10.160
<v Speaker 1>guys have looked at biological science is not not where

0:53:10.360 --> 0:53:12.480
<v Speaker 1>where you really focus. We we do actually have a

0:53:12.520 --> 0:53:15.600
<v Speaker 1>bio fund, right, but but the whole there's a huge

0:53:15.640 --> 0:53:20.239
<v Speaker 1>amount of um genomics and go down the whole list

0:53:20.280 --> 0:53:25.520
<v Speaker 1>of stuff. You're really more hardcore tech, not not life sciences.

0:53:25.960 --> 0:53:27.680
<v Speaker 1>But you do as you said, you do that. But

0:53:27.760 --> 0:53:31.399
<v Speaker 1>when you brought it up, I immediately thought of the

0:53:31.560 --> 0:53:37.480
<v Speaker 1>Berkshire Hathaway, Amazon, JP, Morgan Chase, the concept of Hey,

0:53:38.000 --> 0:53:40.080
<v Speaker 1>healthcare in the United States is broken and we want

0:53:40.080 --> 0:53:43.600
<v Speaker 1>to explore fixing it. When you see something like that,

0:53:43.600 --> 0:53:49.279
<v Speaker 1>that does your vc um Pavlovian response start to go

0:53:49.360 --> 0:53:52.480
<v Speaker 1>off and say, yes, it's broken and technology can fix it.

0:53:52.520 --> 0:53:55.680
<v Speaker 1>In here's a billion dollars, Like, how do you hear?

0:53:56.080 --> 0:53:58.520
<v Speaker 1>Like when I heard that story, I'm like, damn, that's

0:53:58.560 --> 0:54:03.319
<v Speaker 1>some serious firepower. Yeah. How is this perceived at a

0:54:03.400 --> 0:54:09.160
<v Speaker 1>shop where you're looking for the next great disruptive technology? Yeah? Yeah, Um, Look,

0:54:09.560 --> 0:54:11.440
<v Speaker 1>we all take notice when things like that happened, obviously,

0:54:11.440 --> 0:54:13.920
<v Speaker 1>particularly with those companies because they're obviously all kind of

0:54:13.960 --> 0:54:17.720
<v Speaker 1>companies that have tremendous resources. In general, though funding something

0:54:17.760 --> 0:54:19.360
<v Speaker 1>like that is not really that's just not really our

0:54:19.520 --> 0:54:21.759
<v Speaker 1>m O. Right, So are are you know, we we

0:54:21.800 --> 0:54:24.319
<v Speaker 1>may like that idea and we say great, Now, is

0:54:24.360 --> 0:54:26.800
<v Speaker 1>there a set of you know, entrepreneurs who are starting

0:54:26.800 --> 0:54:28.960
<v Speaker 1>from scratch with a completely blank slate, and we can

0:54:29.000 --> 0:54:31.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, invest to three five million dollars in them

0:54:31.600 --> 0:54:33.840
<v Speaker 1>to go try to build something that could be you know,

0:54:33.920 --> 0:54:36.080
<v Speaker 1>equivalent in terms of the results that those three companies

0:54:36.160 --> 0:54:37.919
<v Speaker 1>might deliver, but can do it where it's a tech

0:54:37.960 --> 0:54:40.840
<v Speaker 1>first company and is really driven kind of bottoms up

0:54:40.840 --> 0:54:42.759
<v Speaker 1>from the tech side. So it certainly kind of you know,

0:54:42.840 --> 0:54:44.600
<v Speaker 1>piques our interest, but it's not it's just not in

0:54:44.600 --> 0:54:46.520
<v Speaker 1>the scope of what we tend to do from funding perspective.

0:54:47.000 --> 0:54:50.000
<v Speaker 1>And really the last I have a couple of more

0:54:50.080 --> 0:54:52.320
<v Speaker 1>questions try I don't want to I don't wanna torch

0:54:52.400 --> 0:54:55.480
<v Speaker 1>you with this um. One is debt versus equity and

0:54:55.520 --> 0:54:59.120
<v Speaker 1>the other is valuations. You write about, Uh, debt versus

0:54:59.160 --> 0:55:02.000
<v Speaker 1>equity is a question and that old entrepreneurs should think about,

0:55:02.960 --> 0:55:07.320
<v Speaker 1>what explain why that's significant and how they should contextualize.

0:55:07.360 --> 0:55:08.520
<v Speaker 1>So I think there's a couple of issues to think

0:55:08.560 --> 0:55:10.799
<v Speaker 1>about on debt versus equity. So one is and let's

0:55:10.840 --> 0:55:13.360
<v Speaker 1>assume we're talking about real debt here, not convertible debt. Right,

0:55:13.400 --> 0:55:15.360
<v Speaker 1>so debt that actually is going to stay there. The

0:55:15.680 --> 0:55:17.640
<v Speaker 1>problem with debt is at some point you have to

0:55:17.640 --> 0:55:19.920
<v Speaker 1>pay it back, right and uh, you know it's not

0:55:19.960 --> 0:55:22.000
<v Speaker 1>that we want to with equity, you have to pay.

0:55:22.760 --> 0:55:24.799
<v Speaker 1>But you know, so if you think about it from

0:55:24.800 --> 0:55:26.719
<v Speaker 1>a starter perspective, right, for you to take debt and

0:55:26.760 --> 0:55:28.880
<v Speaker 1>then say, okay, three years from now, when hopefully my

0:55:28.920 --> 0:55:31.520
<v Speaker 1>business is finally starting to hum, now I gotta take

0:55:31.560 --> 0:55:33.240
<v Speaker 1>money out of you know that I could be plowing

0:55:33.280 --> 0:55:34.919
<v Speaker 1>into R and D or other stuff, and I gotta

0:55:34.960 --> 0:55:36.920
<v Speaker 1>go pay it back. Like it's it's what we call

0:55:36.960 --> 0:55:40.080
<v Speaker 1>it's not permanent capital, right, So it can serve a purpose,

0:55:40.160 --> 0:55:42.200
<v Speaker 1>but you know, I think for a startup business, it's

0:55:42.200 --> 0:55:43.960
<v Speaker 1>a dangerous kind of you know, path to get on

0:55:44.040 --> 0:55:47.239
<v Speaker 1>because you want the permanency of capital that allows you

0:55:47.280 --> 0:55:48.759
<v Speaker 1>to kind of make the investments into the company that

0:55:48.800 --> 0:55:50.680
<v Speaker 1>you hopefully want to invest in. So, you know, a

0:55:50.680 --> 0:55:53.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of our companies do what's called convertible debt sometimes

0:55:53.160 --> 0:55:54.960
<v Speaker 1>where you know, kind of that debt will start off

0:55:54.960 --> 0:55:57.080
<v Speaker 1>his debt, but then it turns into equity at some

0:55:57.120 --> 0:55:59.520
<v Speaker 1>point in time. Uh. And you know, people, what why

0:55:59.600 --> 0:56:03.000
<v Speaker 1>do that? As opposed to straight equity. Look personally, you know,

0:56:03.040 --> 0:56:05.080
<v Speaker 1>from our perspective, and we've been public on this, we

0:56:05.080 --> 0:56:08.720
<v Speaker 1>would rather people do straight equity convertible. That started largely,

0:56:08.760 --> 0:56:11.120
<v Speaker 1>I think because people said it's cheaper, it's just faster.

0:56:11.680 --> 0:56:13.919
<v Speaker 1>You don't have to have, you know, hours and hours

0:56:13.920 --> 0:56:16.160
<v Speaker 1>of lawyers doing this stuff. Uh, and it kind of

0:56:16.200 --> 0:56:18.720
<v Speaker 1>punts the valuation question, right. We don't have to decide

0:56:18.719 --> 0:56:20.760
<v Speaker 1>on the valuation today. We say, hey, look in the future,

0:56:21.040 --> 0:56:23.239
<v Speaker 1>when there's equity round, we'll just convert it at that

0:56:23.280 --> 0:56:24.799
<v Speaker 1>price or some discount. But we don't need to go

0:56:24.840 --> 0:56:28.680
<v Speaker 1>fight about evaluation. Um. It's it's grown a lot um.

0:56:28.719 --> 0:56:30.600
<v Speaker 1>It's problematic for a lot of reasons. I think the

0:56:30.640 --> 0:56:33.960
<v Speaker 1>most The most place we see problems is founders will

0:56:34.040 --> 0:56:37.359
<v Speaker 1>kind of do many debt rounds and then they don't

0:56:37.360 --> 0:56:39.919
<v Speaker 1>really realize until they finally go to raise an equity round.

0:56:40.160 --> 0:56:42.359
<v Speaker 1>When all that debt converts into equity, they realize, oh,

0:56:42.400 --> 0:56:43.960
<v Speaker 1>my gosh, I've sold a lot more of the company

0:56:43.960 --> 0:56:46.560
<v Speaker 1>than realized. Right, because you don't have that tangible Hey,

0:56:46.640 --> 0:56:48.319
<v Speaker 1>you know, I got five million dollars and I gave

0:56:48.400 --> 0:56:51.279
<v Speaker 1>up in my company or something like that. The math

0:56:51.360 --> 0:56:55.040
<v Speaker 1>is easy to try it. And then the last question

0:56:55.080 --> 0:56:58.360
<v Speaker 1>I have to ask you about is valuation. And I

0:56:58.520 --> 0:57:02.960
<v Speaker 1>still have in my head marks comment that, Hey, look

0:57:02.960 --> 0:57:05.840
<v Speaker 1>at all the companies that blew up in two thousand,

0:57:05.840 --> 0:57:12.080
<v Speaker 1>two thousand two. They've all since The ideas were fine,

0:57:12.080 --> 0:57:14.200
<v Speaker 1>they were just a little ahead of themselves. The perfect

0:57:14.239 --> 0:57:17.160
<v Speaker 1>example back then it was pets dot com, and now

0:57:17.240 --> 0:57:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Chili is just web band, web band and Instacart mirror

0:57:20.960 --> 0:57:24.800
<v Speaker 1>images of one another. Basic. So and his take was,

0:57:25.880 --> 0:57:29.080
<v Speaker 1>when we're looking for fifty or a hundred beggars, stop

0:57:29.080 --> 0:57:31.600
<v Speaker 1>and think about it. If he overeaes. The example he

0:57:31.720 --> 0:57:35.160
<v Speaker 1>used is I think he was in Facebook at like

0:57:35.200 --> 0:57:38.560
<v Speaker 1>a twenty million dollar valuation, because well, when what happens

0:57:38.560 --> 0:57:41.560
<v Speaker 1>if I paid a hundred million doesn't make any difference

0:57:41.600 --> 0:57:44.120
<v Speaker 1>when it's fifty billion or a hundred billions, Like, it's

0:57:44.120 --> 0:57:47.680
<v Speaker 1>almost irrelevant at that point. And for an equity for

0:57:47.720 --> 0:57:50.880
<v Speaker 1>a public equity guy, I'm a guest at that. But

0:57:51.040 --> 0:57:54.680
<v Speaker 1>intellectually his math makes sense. So it's funny. I'll give

0:57:54.680 --> 0:57:56.320
<v Speaker 1>you a little bit inside baseball. So this is the

0:57:56.400 --> 0:57:58.080
<v Speaker 1>number one thing that Mark and I fight about all

0:57:58.080 --> 0:58:01.240
<v Speaker 1>the time inside the firm. Really, yeah, so I think

0:58:01.480 --> 0:58:03.280
<v Speaker 1>I think his principle is right. And I've told him

0:58:03.280 --> 0:58:04.840
<v Speaker 1>this before, so hopefully he won't fire me when he

0:58:04.840 --> 0:58:08.640
<v Speaker 1>hears this. Um, his principle is, his principle is absolutely right,

0:58:08.640 --> 0:58:10.000
<v Speaker 1>which is like, you're right if you're going to invest

0:58:10.040 --> 0:58:12.160
<v Speaker 1>in Facebook, Look the difference between a thirty million or

0:58:12.240 --> 0:58:14.440
<v Speaker 1>forty million or pigti million valuation? Who cares? Right, it's

0:58:14.440 --> 0:58:18.120
<v Speaker 1>a hundred billion, you know, went to five. That's one winner.

0:58:18.160 --> 0:58:20.760
<v Speaker 1>Look at it an aggregate against maybe the companies that weren't.

0:58:20.800 --> 0:58:23.800
<v Speaker 1>I think that's right. I think I think the problem is, Um,

0:58:23.840 --> 0:58:26.320
<v Speaker 1>it's very it's it's it's very hard then to know

0:58:26.400 --> 0:58:28.400
<v Speaker 1>what is the price that which you wouldn't actually make

0:58:28.440 --> 0:58:30.000
<v Speaker 1>that investment. In other words, so if I would make

0:58:30.000 --> 0:58:31.560
<v Speaker 1>it at fifty or a hundred, would you pay five

0:58:31.600 --> 0:58:33.760
<v Speaker 1>hundred for Facebook at that point in time? And look

0:58:33.760 --> 0:58:36.440
<v Speaker 1>in retrospect it was Facebook, So again you would pay anything.

0:58:36.480 --> 0:58:39.000
<v Speaker 1>But back at the hindsight bias, a company that we

0:58:39.080 --> 0:58:40.840
<v Speaker 1>don't know X y Z, we don't know what it's

0:58:40.880 --> 0:58:43.400
<v Speaker 1>going to be. Where do you draw a line. So

0:58:43.520 --> 0:58:45.800
<v Speaker 1>what we try to do, right is we try to say, okay,

0:58:45.960 --> 0:58:48.960
<v Speaker 1>let's assume everything works out. Okay, so what could this

0:58:49.040 --> 0:58:51.840
<v Speaker 1>company be at scale? Right? So how big can it get?

0:58:51.920 --> 0:58:54.320
<v Speaker 1>What's the market size? All those things? And then we say, okay,

0:58:54.320 --> 0:58:56.800
<v Speaker 1>look if you you know, believe that it can actually

0:58:56.840 --> 0:58:58.920
<v Speaker 1>get to a ten twenty billion dollar company, and you're right,

0:58:58.920 --> 0:59:02.400
<v Speaker 1>you're trying to optimize for times your money. There's at

0:59:02.480 --> 0:59:04.760
<v Speaker 1>least a range of prices, and it's it's you're right.

0:59:04.800 --> 0:59:06.720
<v Speaker 1>If you loved it at thirty million, you probably are

0:59:06.760 --> 0:59:09.160
<v Speaker 1>still loving it at forty million. But maybe the answer is, look,

0:59:09.160 --> 0:59:11.040
<v Speaker 1>you don't love it a hundred million. The other piece

0:59:11.080 --> 0:59:12.480
<v Speaker 1>to think about it is it's not just the entry

0:59:12.520 --> 0:59:15.240
<v Speaker 1>valuation that matters for that purpose. That's the next round.

0:59:15.240 --> 0:59:17.160
<v Speaker 1>That's exactly That's what I say, which is you know,

0:59:17.200 --> 0:59:19.360
<v Speaker 1>at some point in time, leave yourself a little up.

0:59:19.360 --> 0:59:21.480
<v Speaker 1>So that's exactly right. And so that's the other risk

0:59:21.560 --> 0:59:23.120
<v Speaker 1>I think that you can get into if you don't

0:59:23.120 --> 0:59:26.080
<v Speaker 1>at least think critically about valuation. Is you may be happy,

0:59:26.120 --> 0:59:28.120
<v Speaker 1>but then look, these guys are gonna go raise you know,

0:59:28.200 --> 0:59:31.479
<v Speaker 1>another two, three, four rounds and if every round every

0:59:31.520 --> 0:59:34.040
<v Speaker 1>investor feels like they're getting pushed, it doesn't work. Now,

0:59:34.120 --> 0:59:36.640
<v Speaker 1>there are examples where that works, you know, Uh, we

0:59:36.760 --> 0:59:40.320
<v Speaker 1>famously you know, didn't invest in Square, which, um, that's

0:59:40.280 --> 0:59:42.400
<v Speaker 1>to be great. And you know, at every round, you know,

0:59:42.480 --> 0:59:44.480
<v Speaker 1>it always felt like you were paying ahead of what

0:59:44.560 --> 0:59:47.080
<v Speaker 1>the what the actual intrinsic value the business was. But

0:59:47.520 --> 0:59:48.960
<v Speaker 1>you know the reality is that's the way a lot

0:59:48.960 --> 0:59:51.160
<v Speaker 1>of these things look. So I think his principle is right,

0:59:51.560 --> 0:59:53.360
<v Speaker 1>and but I think you just have to say, okay,

0:59:53.360 --> 0:59:55.400
<v Speaker 1>Look there is some limited which we say, okay, the

0:59:55.520 --> 0:59:58.280
<v Speaker 1>risk of next round financing and you know, kind of

0:59:58.320 --> 1:00:01.480
<v Speaker 1>the the real upside opportunity. He is somewhat constrained by valuation.

1:00:01.560 --> 1:00:05.680
<v Speaker 1>So let's take an example, Uber, a giant by any measures,

1:00:05.720 --> 1:00:10.080
<v Speaker 1>successful startup company. I think if you were, if you

1:00:10.120 --> 1:00:14.440
<v Speaker 1>were a private investor, of the private investors are underwater

1:00:14.520 --> 1:00:18.200
<v Speaker 1>based on where the training today. Right, Yeah, that may

1:00:18.200 --> 1:00:19.880
<v Speaker 1>be right, but you know most of the look there

1:00:19.880 --> 1:00:22.160
<v Speaker 1>are also people like Benchmark and lots of other firms

1:00:22.200 --> 1:00:25.600
<v Speaker 1>who are certainly not right. Yeah exactly. Yeah, Look, I

1:00:25.600 --> 1:00:26.880
<v Speaker 1>mean I would say, I guess a couple of things

1:00:27.360 --> 1:00:29.440
<v Speaker 1>were left investors. So you know, you can take this

1:00:29.480 --> 1:00:31.800
<v Speaker 1>with a big grain of salt um you need there

1:00:31.920 --> 1:00:35.080
<v Speaker 1>you always I disagree with my friends got Galloway and

1:00:35.080 --> 1:00:38.320
<v Speaker 1>then Stern who thinks Lift is toast is only gonna

1:00:38.360 --> 1:00:41.120
<v Speaker 1>be one winner here. Hey, what name of field where

1:00:41.120 --> 1:00:43.760
<v Speaker 1>there isn't a PEPSI to the code? I think that's what. Yeah,

1:00:43.840 --> 1:00:45.960
<v Speaker 1>I don't think. I don't think that's the game. I mean, obviously, look,

1:00:46.000 --> 1:00:48.280
<v Speaker 1>we we bet that way and we believe that. Um,

1:00:48.320 --> 1:00:49.800
<v Speaker 1>you know. The the only other thing I'd say about

1:00:49.840 --> 1:00:51.960
<v Speaker 1>Uber and I'd say it's about Lift two, which is, look, yes,

1:00:52.000 --> 1:00:55.440
<v Speaker 1>they're underwater today. Judging these companies though, I think based

1:00:55.480 --> 1:00:57.640
<v Speaker 1>on three, four or five weeks of stock price for

1:00:57.720 --> 1:01:00.920
<v Speaker 1>it's a little bit unfair. That's totally look face book right, Facebook,

1:01:00.920 --> 1:01:03.120
<v Speaker 1>you know went to fourteen dollars. They had a crappy

1:01:03.200 --> 1:01:05.640
<v Speaker 1>I p O before. And so look, at some point

1:01:05.640 --> 1:01:07.960
<v Speaker 1>in time, yes, these companies will all trade on some

1:01:08.080 --> 1:01:09.919
<v Speaker 1>like multiple of cash flow at some point in time,

1:01:10.280 --> 1:01:12.440
<v Speaker 1>and then we'll real be able to judge, quite frankly,

1:01:12.520 --> 1:01:14.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, whether they're overvalued or not. And my last

1:01:14.800 --> 1:01:18.240
<v Speaker 1>question before I get to my favorite uh speed round questions,

1:01:19.040 --> 1:01:22.600
<v Speaker 1>we work seems to be just off the charts where

1:01:22.640 --> 1:01:24.960
<v Speaker 1>a floor in a WE works building is worth more

1:01:25.000 --> 1:01:28.360
<v Speaker 1>than the building itself. Does any of this make any sense? Yeah?

1:01:28.360 --> 1:01:30.440
<v Speaker 1>So we're not investors, and we worked, Um, so you

1:01:30.520 --> 1:01:32.080
<v Speaker 1>can tell us the straight well, look, and I so

1:01:32.120 --> 1:01:33.480
<v Speaker 1>I don't know the numbers, but I do think there

1:01:33.560 --> 1:01:36.120
<v Speaker 1>is this big question which is fundamentally, is it a

1:01:36.120 --> 1:01:38.160
<v Speaker 1>technology company or is it a you know, a very

1:01:38.200 --> 1:01:41.000
<v Speaker 1>successful real estate business? Right? And look, if it's the latter,

1:01:41.120 --> 1:01:42.680
<v Speaker 1>we know that those things will trade on some cap

1:01:42.760 --> 1:01:45.120
<v Speaker 1>right at some point in time. Uh, And all about

1:01:45.120 --> 1:01:47.080
<v Speaker 1>I are are relative to the clost I think that's

1:01:47.080 --> 1:01:49.040
<v Speaker 1>a question. Look, And I don't know since I'm an investor. Look,

1:01:49.080 --> 1:01:50.840
<v Speaker 1>maybe they have some story which is look, maybe there's

1:01:50.840 --> 1:01:52.960
<v Speaker 1>technology or something else which means they should trade at

1:01:52.960 --> 1:01:56.080
<v Speaker 1>a premium to a to read basically because of you know,

1:01:56.400 --> 1:01:58.480
<v Speaker 1>better margins or something like that. I don't know, but

1:01:58.520 --> 1:02:00.720
<v Speaker 1>I think, look, that is the fundamental question them And

1:02:00.720 --> 1:02:02.400
<v Speaker 1>and I think that's what you know, if if they

1:02:02.400 --> 1:02:04.200
<v Speaker 1>go public, as at least it's rumored that they might

1:02:04.200 --> 1:02:06.440
<v Speaker 1>go soon, I think, you know, we'll have the public

1:02:06.480 --> 1:02:08.960
<v Speaker 1>markets ability to weigh in on that pretty soon. So

1:02:09.000 --> 1:02:11.400
<v Speaker 1>I only have you here for a finite time, they're

1:02:11.400 --> 1:02:14.800
<v Speaker 1>telling me. So let's jump to our favorite questions that

1:02:14.960 --> 1:02:17.160
<v Speaker 1>I ask all my guests. Feel free to go as

1:02:17.240 --> 1:02:20.480
<v Speaker 1>longer short with these as you like. Um, your first

1:02:20.520 --> 1:02:23.760
<v Speaker 1>car make earin model. My first car was actually a

1:02:23.800 --> 1:02:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Pugio five oh five s time it was. It was

1:02:26.560 --> 1:02:28.040
<v Speaker 1>an old one and actual I'll tell you though, I

1:02:28.080 --> 1:02:30.479
<v Speaker 1>loved it for the time it wasn't in the shop

1:02:30.520 --> 1:02:32.480
<v Speaker 1>based it was literally you know, in the shop and

1:02:32.520 --> 1:02:34.280
<v Speaker 1>every other day. But boy, when it wasn't, it was

1:02:34.320 --> 1:02:36.400
<v Speaker 1>a fun car to drive, to say the least, that

1:02:36.520 --> 1:02:40.000
<v Speaker 1>is fun car. What's the most important thing that people

1:02:40.080 --> 1:02:43.120
<v Speaker 1>don't know about Scott Cooper? Uh? Well, I tell a

1:02:43.160 --> 1:02:46.120
<v Speaker 1>little bit of the book, but I am well, maybe

1:02:46.120 --> 1:02:48.280
<v Speaker 1>the most important thing is. Look, I'm a I'm the

1:02:48.320 --> 1:02:50.480
<v Speaker 1>most introverted person probably you will ever meet, which I

1:02:50.520 --> 1:02:55.840
<v Speaker 1>know sounds funny. I can, I can? I right, I

1:02:55.880 --> 1:02:59.200
<v Speaker 1>play I play an extrovert on TV. But you are

1:02:59.240 --> 1:03:01.080
<v Speaker 1>not the only uson who What I like to do

1:03:01.160 --> 1:03:02.560
<v Speaker 1>is I like to go home and read a book

1:03:02.600 --> 1:03:05.800
<v Speaker 1>and sit on my couch and watch Netflix. And right,

1:03:06.480 --> 1:03:08.600
<v Speaker 1>I am right there with you. Who are some of

1:03:08.640 --> 1:03:14.320
<v Speaker 1>your early mentors. I was actually mentored by a family friend,

1:03:14.320 --> 1:03:16.880
<v Speaker 1>a guy named Armand Weinberg is his name, and Houston

1:03:17.400 --> 1:03:20.920
<v Speaker 1>uh and he ran um at the MD Anderson Hospital,

1:03:20.960 --> 1:03:22.960
<v Speaker 1>which is a very famous kind of you know, cancer hospital.

1:03:23.120 --> 1:03:25.360
<v Speaker 1>He ran a bunch of studies around you know, kind

1:03:25.360 --> 1:03:27.680
<v Speaker 1>of early cancer prevention, and so we did some research

1:03:27.760 --> 1:03:29.880
<v Speaker 1>on you know, how do you detect and prevent breast

1:03:29.920 --> 1:03:31.960
<v Speaker 1>cancer or prostate cancer? Thinks that sort, and it kind

1:03:32.000 --> 1:03:34.160
<v Speaker 1>of got me into My initial love was kind of

1:03:34.160 --> 1:03:36.520
<v Speaker 1>health policy and things of that sort. And uh, you know,

1:03:36.600 --> 1:03:38.400
<v Speaker 1>he gave me jobs over the summer and did all

1:03:38.440 --> 1:03:39.800
<v Speaker 1>kinds of stuff that helped me kind of get into

1:03:39.880 --> 1:03:43.680
<v Speaker 1>that field. There's a lot of fun. Uh, let's talk

1:03:43.720 --> 1:03:46.479
<v Speaker 1>about your favorite books. What are some of your favorite books,

1:03:46.520 --> 1:03:51.040
<v Speaker 1>be they fiction, non fiction, um, investing related whatever you

1:03:51.160 --> 1:03:53.760
<v Speaker 1>enjoy reading? You mentioned, but yeah, I love Uh I

1:03:53.800 --> 1:03:56.840
<v Speaker 1>only read non fiction now. Uh isn't that terrible? I'm

1:03:56.880 --> 1:03:59.840
<v Speaker 1>the same way and I miss fiction from my child too.

1:04:00.080 --> 1:04:01.960
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's funny. I never was a big fiction

1:04:02.080 --> 1:04:06.720
<v Speaker 1>reader growing up. I never, yeah, never got into that,

1:04:06.920 --> 1:04:08.320
<v Speaker 1>not really. I mean, I you know, I read a

1:04:08.320 --> 1:04:10.840
<v Speaker 1>few of them here and there, but into nothing, no,

1:04:11.040 --> 1:04:13.320
<v Speaker 1>I I you know, look, truth be told. This is

1:04:13.400 --> 1:04:16.160
<v Speaker 1>terrible to say, uh publicly, but I was I was

1:04:16.200 --> 1:04:18.320
<v Speaker 1>not a reader growing up at all. I hated reading

1:04:18.520 --> 1:04:22.200
<v Speaker 1>and in fact, I'll never forget this. Um, hopefully my college,

1:04:22.440 --> 1:04:25.360
<v Speaker 1>Uh teachers aren't listening. But when I was applying to college,

1:04:25.360 --> 1:04:27.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, after my junior year of high school, I

1:04:27.440 --> 1:04:29.520
<v Speaker 1>got the applications and I was applying. Actually, Harvard was

1:04:29.560 --> 1:04:30.800
<v Speaker 1>one of the schools I applied to. I did not

1:04:30.840 --> 1:04:33.200
<v Speaker 1>get in, by the way. Um. And you know it said,

1:04:33.240 --> 1:04:35.120
<v Speaker 1>tell us about the last three books you've read, And

1:04:35.160 --> 1:04:37.280
<v Speaker 1>you know that's one of the questions. Well, no, it wasn't.

1:04:37.280 --> 1:04:38.720
<v Speaker 1>I said, Oh my god, I've got to go read

1:04:38.720 --> 1:04:40.560
<v Speaker 1>three books. I read three books that summer. It was

1:04:40.600 --> 1:04:43.920
<v Speaker 1>the only three books I read, and I really, oh god,

1:04:44.000 --> 1:04:47.560
<v Speaker 1>between Vonnegut and books were great and high school and

1:04:47.560 --> 1:04:50.240
<v Speaker 1>then college. The problem with colleges they want you to

1:04:50.280 --> 1:04:53.360
<v Speaker 1>read books that for a purpose as opposed for pleasures.

1:04:53.360 --> 1:04:55.960
<v Speaker 1>So so I love I love nonfiction stuff. So like

1:04:55.960 --> 1:04:57.560
<v Speaker 1>one of my favorite books is Master of the Senate,

1:04:57.560 --> 1:04:59.560
<v Speaker 1>which is, you know, the book about Lennon Johnson. I

1:04:59.600 --> 1:05:04.480
<v Speaker 1>think that's really cool. He's got that whole series. I

1:05:04.480 --> 1:05:07.560
<v Speaker 1>think I've I've read all that. Apparently apparently he's got

1:05:07.600 --> 1:05:10.960
<v Speaker 1>one more coming out about how he does his work, prices.

1:05:11.040 --> 1:05:14.880
<v Speaker 1>It's it's supposed to be fabulous, But I was gonna

1:05:14.920 --> 1:05:17.160
<v Speaker 1>say it's gonna nine our pages and you know, and uh,

1:05:17.200 --> 1:05:19.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, obviously he's you know, he's not a young

1:05:19.120 --> 1:05:21.080
<v Speaker 1>chicken anymore, and so he's got to get it done before.

1:05:22.120 --> 1:05:24.200
<v Speaker 1>But his work is quite brilliant. He's great. Yeah, I'm

1:05:24.240 --> 1:05:26.240
<v Speaker 1>reading a book right now. I'm gonna blank on the

1:05:26.240 --> 1:05:29.720
<v Speaker 1>title about financial bubbles and speculation, which is really interesting.

1:05:30.080 --> 1:05:33.320
<v Speaker 1>It's called it's called Devil Take the hindmost is. Yeah,

1:05:33.320 --> 1:05:35.800
<v Speaker 1>it's an older book. It's actually I hadn't I couldn't

1:05:35.800 --> 1:05:38.680
<v Speaker 1>believe I hadn't read it, and I ran across it somewhere. Um,

1:05:38.760 --> 1:05:41.280
<v Speaker 1>and that's interesting. Um. And I'll, you know, I'll pick

1:05:41.360 --> 1:05:44.200
<v Speaker 1>up some you know, lighter stuff every now and then,

1:05:44.240 --> 1:05:48.640
<v Speaker 1>but I generally tend to try Edward Chancellor. Yes, yeah,

1:05:48.640 --> 1:05:50.800
<v Speaker 1>this is a pretty pretty famous book. Yeah, it's a

1:05:50.800 --> 1:05:54.000
<v Speaker 1>good book. It's very good. Give us one more, one more?

1:05:54.120 --> 1:05:57.600
<v Speaker 1>That is exciting. Right now? What am I reading? Um?

1:05:57.640 --> 1:06:00.440
<v Speaker 1>The guy who runs the AI Institute, I'm forgetting his name.

1:06:01.400 --> 1:06:05.160
<v Speaker 1>He has a book out. It's actually called Love or

1:06:05.200 --> 1:06:07.160
<v Speaker 1>Love Yourself or something like that. It's a very interesting

1:06:07.280 --> 1:06:09.320
<v Speaker 1>book about kind of you know, it's a it's a

1:06:09.320 --> 1:06:11.880
<v Speaker 1>book about modern politics, and about how, you know, kind

1:06:11.880 --> 1:06:14.880
<v Speaker 1>of bifurcated. Obviously we've all become and this concept of

1:06:14.920 --> 1:06:16.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, his general view is, look, you know, it's

1:06:16.880 --> 1:06:19.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of this his breakdown of human relationships. So

1:06:19.360 --> 1:06:20.760
<v Speaker 1>I got a copy of that. Have you read it

1:06:20.840 --> 1:06:23.720
<v Speaker 1>yet or I'm kind of I'm kind of like alright,

1:06:23.800 --> 1:06:26.280
<v Speaker 1>So I got a review copy of it, and I

1:06:26.320 --> 1:06:30.919
<v Speaker 1>recognize his name and the pitches we need to love

1:06:30.960 --> 1:06:33.000
<v Speaker 1>each other more and we need to be more involved.

1:06:33.160 --> 1:06:36.360
<v Speaker 1>And I'm thinking, wait a second, AI, you're the guys

1:06:36.360 --> 1:06:39.320
<v Speaker 1>who said the poors cord of the crisis, this was

1:06:39.400 --> 1:06:42.640
<v Speaker 1>all the fault of you know, first we did anti

1:06:42.720 --> 1:06:46.280
<v Speaker 1>redlining and that and this whole thing about it was

1:06:46.360 --> 1:06:49.440
<v Speaker 1>the black and brown people's fault. Wait, now you're pivoting

1:06:49.440 --> 1:06:52.280
<v Speaker 1>to maybe this is his swan song. So the story

1:06:52.520 --> 1:06:55.240
<v Speaker 1>I know, right is he's quitting AI after that. I

1:06:55.280 --> 1:06:58.080
<v Speaker 1>didn't know. So, yeah, he's he's been there ten years.

1:06:58.160 --> 1:07:00.160
<v Speaker 1>It's terrible. I can't remember his name. I apologize, I'll

1:07:00.200 --> 1:07:04.120
<v Speaker 1>find you. Probably, so he is leaving AI after ten years.

1:07:04.160 --> 1:07:07.680
<v Speaker 1>In fact, he had really interesting Arthur Brooks. Arthur Brooks. So,

1:07:07.680 --> 1:07:10.760
<v Speaker 1>so when I got this from my editors, here I said,

1:07:10.920 --> 1:07:13.520
<v Speaker 1>you don't mind if I, you know, remove these guys

1:07:13.520 --> 1:07:16.480
<v Speaker 1>this guy's intestines and jump rope with it, because that's

1:07:16.600 --> 1:07:20.800
<v Speaker 1>after after how divisive. So there's a whole another thing

1:07:20.920 --> 1:07:23.480
<v Speaker 1>that in the old days, think tanks used to be

1:07:23.960 --> 1:07:27.880
<v Speaker 1>think tanks, and now they've become these partisan idea shops

1:07:27.960 --> 1:07:32.400
<v Speaker 1>and policy shops. So like, wait, after two decades of

1:07:33.480 --> 1:07:36.960
<v Speaker 1>sheer partisan rancor, you're gonna tell me you now want

1:07:36.960 --> 1:07:41.240
<v Speaker 1>everybody to hold hands and seeing kumbaya? Right, And I

1:07:41.280 --> 1:07:42.920
<v Speaker 1>can't say what I want to say in the radio.

1:07:43.040 --> 1:07:45.840
<v Speaker 1>But so I have not read it. But if you

1:07:45.960 --> 1:07:47.680
<v Speaker 1>read it, I want and you like it, I want to.

1:07:49.680 --> 1:07:52.840
<v Speaker 1>So I'm glad somebody I'll give you the review because,

1:07:52.960 --> 1:07:54.720
<v Speaker 1>to be told, the reason I have it is because

1:07:54.760 --> 1:07:56.520
<v Speaker 1>it was it was a free b at a conference

1:07:56.560 --> 1:07:58.800
<v Speaker 1>I was at, so I might not have seen it otherwise,

1:07:58.840 --> 1:08:02.160
<v Speaker 1>but that's saw him spec See, I'm more concerned about

1:08:02.160 --> 1:08:04.439
<v Speaker 1>the than the cost of the book than my time

1:08:04.480 --> 1:08:07.520
<v Speaker 1>commitment to read it, because it's ten or twelve hours

1:08:07.520 --> 1:08:10.600
<v Speaker 1>that you'll like. And I've learned my my, I'm gonna

1:08:10.600 --> 1:08:13.080
<v Speaker 1>share one thing with you. I've learned that when you

1:08:13.120 --> 1:08:16.320
<v Speaker 1>start a book and you don't like it. You know,

1:08:16.360 --> 1:08:19.080
<v Speaker 1>I was just gonna say that. That is somebody actually

1:08:19.080 --> 1:08:21.040
<v Speaker 1>took a long time tots and one of my partners

1:08:21.080 --> 1:08:22.760
<v Speaker 1>told me that, and boy, that's the most liberating thing

1:08:22.760 --> 1:08:24.320
<v Speaker 1>I've ever heard. I agree. I never would do that.

1:08:24.320 --> 1:08:26.040
<v Speaker 1>I would I would do the fourth March through the

1:08:27.080 --> 1:08:29.559
<v Speaker 1>Baton Death March through the last hand. It is so

1:08:29.680 --> 1:08:31.840
<v Speaker 1>liberating to say, Okay, look like I think I got it,

1:08:31.920 --> 1:08:33.439
<v Speaker 1>and I think I understand the point, and you know,

1:08:33.680 --> 1:08:35.200
<v Speaker 1>or you know, let me skip a couple of pages

1:08:35.200 --> 1:08:37.519
<v Speaker 1>here and there. Nobody nobody should skip my book. Of course,

1:08:37.560 --> 1:08:40.479
<v Speaker 1>I gotta go eat every word from start to finish.

1:08:40.479 --> 1:08:42.639
<v Speaker 1>You gotta plow you a way right through it. Um.

1:08:42.840 --> 1:08:48.080
<v Speaker 1>So what VC influenced your approach to venture investing? Yeah,

1:08:48.080 --> 1:08:50.479
<v Speaker 1>so we've had UM. Probably one of the most interesting

1:08:50.479 --> 1:08:52.360
<v Speaker 1>ones was a guy named Andy Ratcliffe, who was actually

1:08:52.360 --> 1:08:55.000
<v Speaker 1>one of the founders of Benchmark. You know, I don't

1:08:55.000 --> 1:08:58.280
<v Speaker 1>know him, And he was at a firm called Merrill

1:08:58.360 --> 1:09:00.679
<v Speaker 1>Pickard actually, which is where a bunch to the Benchmark

1:09:00.800 --> 1:09:02.880
<v Speaker 1>team spun out and and he was a little bit

1:09:02.880 --> 1:09:04.639
<v Speaker 1>more on the enterprise side, so he did a bunch

1:09:04.640 --> 1:09:08.080
<v Speaker 1>of their enterprise investing. But he was actually, um, he

1:09:08.120 --> 1:09:10.200
<v Speaker 1>was the original investor in loud Cloud and opswere and

1:09:10.240 --> 1:09:11.799
<v Speaker 1>so I just got to know him through that process.

1:09:11.840 --> 1:09:13.639
<v Speaker 1>And uh and I have a few references to him

1:09:13.840 --> 1:09:15.880
<v Speaker 1>in the book in the book there, but uh, you

1:09:15.920 --> 1:09:18.160
<v Speaker 1>know he's he's his His famous thing that he talked

1:09:18.160 --> 1:09:21.479
<v Speaker 1>about it Benchmark was this concept of markets versus teams,

1:09:22.000 --> 1:09:24.639
<v Speaker 1>and uh, you know, basically he's got you know, his views. Look,

1:09:25.240 --> 1:09:27.799
<v Speaker 1>which I think is true is you know, good markets

1:09:28.000 --> 1:09:31.400
<v Speaker 1>always beat good teams, or I should say bad markets. Sorry,

1:09:31.400 --> 1:09:34.759
<v Speaker 1>bad markets always be good teams. But you know, obviously

1:09:34.840 --> 1:09:36.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, good teams can you know they can survive

1:09:36.960 --> 1:09:38.840
<v Speaker 1>in a bad market, but will never likely you know,

1:09:39.000 --> 1:09:40.559
<v Speaker 1>never likely kind of get there. All right, now we're

1:09:40.560 --> 1:09:42.800
<v Speaker 1>gonna do the speed round because they need to take

1:09:42.840 --> 1:09:45.040
<v Speaker 1>you to where of you going next. Tell us about

1:09:45.080 --> 1:09:47.760
<v Speaker 1>the time you failed and what you learned from the experience. Yeah,

1:09:47.800 --> 1:09:51.720
<v Speaker 1>Probably my most high profile failure was actually when I

1:09:51.760 --> 1:09:55.800
<v Speaker 1>was applying to schools. I desperately wanted to go to Stanford, uh,

1:09:55.880 --> 1:09:58.599
<v Speaker 1>coming out of school and was flatly rejected as I

1:09:58.640 --> 1:10:01.040
<v Speaker 1>was at Harvard, as I mentioned, but you ended up going.

1:10:01.240 --> 1:10:02.519
<v Speaker 1>I did end up going, So I went to pen

1:10:02.600 --> 1:10:05.559
<v Speaker 1>actually for one year out here on the East Coast transferred. Yeah,

1:10:05.600 --> 1:10:10.400
<v Speaker 1>but it was a you know, this little persistence persistence. Um.

1:10:10.439 --> 1:10:11.760
<v Speaker 1>What do you do for fun when you're not in

1:10:11.800 --> 1:10:14.920
<v Speaker 1>the office or home reading books? Yeah? I like to run.

1:10:14.920 --> 1:10:16.879
<v Speaker 1>I've always liked to run. I used to be a marathoner,

1:10:16.920 --> 1:10:18.400
<v Speaker 1>but kind of had to hang up, hang up that

1:10:18.479 --> 1:10:21.280
<v Speaker 1>those shoes before. But STIPs, uncles, what is it? You

1:10:21.360 --> 1:10:24.559
<v Speaker 1>name it? All those things? You know? Uh? And then

1:10:24.600 --> 1:10:28.760
<v Speaker 1>I I like guitar, playing guitar. I'm not very good

1:10:28.800 --> 1:10:30.280
<v Speaker 1>at it, but I'm always I've been a country music

1:10:30.280 --> 1:10:33.040
<v Speaker 1>fan for a long time. So interesting, um our final

1:10:33.080 --> 1:10:35.920
<v Speaker 1>two questions. A young millennial comes to you and says

1:10:35.960 --> 1:10:40.240
<v Speaker 1>they're interested in a career in either venture capital or technology.

1:10:40.600 --> 1:10:42.519
<v Speaker 1>What sort of advice would you give them? Yeah, my

1:10:42.520 --> 1:10:45.479
<v Speaker 1>best advice is go into a startup company. You don't

1:10:45.520 --> 1:10:47.719
<v Speaker 1>have to start your own company, but learn the company

1:10:47.720 --> 1:10:50.280
<v Speaker 1>building process. Don't don't go to venture you know you

1:10:50.520 --> 1:10:53.240
<v Speaker 1>will be a much venture better venture capitalist having understood

1:10:53.280 --> 1:10:56.560
<v Speaker 1>the company building process. And my final question, what is

1:10:56.600 --> 1:10:58.920
<v Speaker 1>it that you know about the world of investing today

1:10:59.080 --> 1:11:02.519
<v Speaker 1>that you wish you new twenty plus years ago? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>The biggest thing for me is I always I would

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<v Speaker 1>have thought that most of the failure cases would be

1:11:06.640 --> 1:11:10.519
<v Speaker 1>product or market failures, and and look that happens sometimes.

1:11:10.560 --> 1:11:12.759
<v Speaker 1>Look sometimes the product just doesn't take or the market changes.

1:11:13.040 --> 1:11:14.800
<v Speaker 1>The biggest thing that I found over the years we've

1:11:14.800 --> 1:11:16.920
<v Speaker 1>been doing this is it's all about the team. And

1:11:17.200 --> 1:11:18.920
<v Speaker 1>I know that sounds almost you know, kind of you know,

1:11:18.960 --> 1:11:21.280
<v Speaker 1>comical to say, but I thought you're gonna say execution.

1:11:21.840 --> 1:11:24.439
<v Speaker 1>I mean also embedded in that is execution, right, you know,

1:11:25.160 --> 1:11:27.000
<v Speaker 1>are you hiring people at the right time, are you

1:11:27.000 --> 1:11:28.840
<v Speaker 1>thinking about your go to market the right way? Do

1:11:28.880 --> 1:11:31.240
<v Speaker 1>you have the right cultural dynamic in the company. Those

1:11:31.240 --> 1:11:32.360
<v Speaker 1>are the things, you know, when we look at the

1:11:32.400 --> 1:11:35.160
<v Speaker 1>companies that go awry in a good market, it's almost

1:11:35.200 --> 1:11:39.640
<v Speaker 1>always something like that. Huh, quite quite fascinating. We have

1:11:39.760 --> 1:11:42.759
<v Speaker 1>been speaking with Scott Cooper. He is the managing partner

1:11:42.840 --> 1:11:47.680
<v Speaker 1>at Andres and Horowitz, now running ten billion dollars. If

1:11:47.720 --> 1:11:50.120
<v Speaker 1>you enjoy this conversation, we'll be sure and come back

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<v Speaker 1>any of our previous two hundred and fifty such conversations.

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<v Speaker 1>We love your comments, feedback and suggestions. Be sure to

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1:12:12.120 --> 1:12:15.360
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<v Speaker 1>I would be remiss if I did not thank the

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<v Speaker 1>crack staff that helps put this together each week. Michael

1:12:27.360 --> 1:12:31.080
<v Speaker 1>Boyle is my producer, slash booker. Attica val Brand is

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<v Speaker 1>our project manager. Michael bat Nick is my head of research.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Barry Ri Halts. You've been listening to Masters in

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<v Speaker 1>Business on Bloomberg Radio