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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites Podcast. I am Chad Mollman of

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Speaker 1: the Action Network. It is Wednesday, which means I am

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Speaker 1: joined by my favorite person might be maybe my favorite

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Speaker 1: person in the world. There's like, this is someone who

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Speaker 1: has never offended me, has has given me millions of laughs,

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Speaker 1: has never talked back to me, has never been angry

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Speaker 1: at me, laughs at my jokes, and has given me

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Speaker 1: more joy and a lifetime worth of material like Honest

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Speaker 1: to God, I keep even saying about my kids. Jesus

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Speaker 1: that those that's high praise. Man. This is Mr Bob Scucci,

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Speaker 1: bookmaker at the Orleans and all the Boyd Gaming books

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Speaker 1: in the state of Nevada. Here we go. Now we're ready.

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Speaker 1: Now we're ready. I gotta I've got to get used

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Speaker 1: to that just elaborate setup. I'm just not used to such,

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Speaker 1: you know, introductions. How beautiful is that? I love it?

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Speaker 1: Oh my god, it's so good. I forget it's the

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Speaker 1: blood pumping. I actually forget how good it is every

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Speaker 1: single time I sit down and then I'm ready for it,

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Speaker 1: and I just it's magical. I forget that it's even

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Speaker 1: gonna be played obviously. Yeah, clearly you're not helping the

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Speaker 1: production of your podcast. No, hey, um, something I want

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Speaker 1: to talk about getting the best of the number? Bear.

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Speaker 1: I wrote about this so important, right, you've actually taught

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Speaker 1: me about this? Uh. I wrote about this in Millman's

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Speaker 1: Red Zone Diaries that you can read on Action network

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Speaker 1: dot com and in the app, because I felt like

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Speaker 1: on Sunday I did not get the best of the

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Speaker 1: number in a couple of spots, and like, I'll go

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Speaker 1: on Sports Center on Sunday mornings and talk about games

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Speaker 1: that I like, and I love the Patriots. On Sunday night,

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Speaker 1: I bet him at three. Early in the week, I

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Speaker 1: went on Sports Center. I still liked him at three

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Speaker 1: and a half. That kind of came back to haunt me. Um,

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Speaker 1: the Redskins line moved from Skins I think minus one

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Speaker 1: two Skins I think plus one and a half. I

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Speaker 1: still won that game. I was on the Redskins and

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Speaker 1: minus one. But that game easily could have ended Panthers

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Speaker 1: twenty four Skins twenty three, and I would have been

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Speaker 1: killing myself that I didn't have Skins plus one and

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Speaker 1: a half. You got fish hooked on your scooch roulette pick.

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Speaker 1: Tell me what you did? Oh, because we talked about it,

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Speaker 1: and and we even talked about that specific game, laying

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Speaker 1: three as opposed to laying three and a half and

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Speaker 1: Patriots Chiefs. Yeah, and uh, you know, when we were

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Speaker 1: hanging that line, I knew at plus three and a

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Speaker 1: half we'd get a lot of Chiefs money, and I

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Speaker 1: knew it minus three we'd get some Patriots money. And

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Speaker 1: it's just the difference of a half a point. And

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Speaker 1: that's why it's critical, those little little moves, and on

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Speaker 1: both on both sides of the counter, on the bookmaking

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Speaker 1: side when we're hanging the lines, and then obviously on

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Speaker 1: the betting side. I liked them too, and I tried

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Speaker 1: to be on the high side and made them three

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Speaker 1: and a half. And that came back to haunt me

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Speaker 1: in two ways, on the bookmaking side and then also

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Speaker 1: on my Scoots Roulet pick because I picked the Patriots

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Speaker 1: minus three and a half. How did you explain yourself

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Speaker 1: to your bosses when you got hooked like that as

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Speaker 1: a bookmaker? Fortunately, we had such a good day that

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Speaker 1: Miami Bears game, Uh got so big that it really

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Speaker 1: carried the day, so I didn't really have to do

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Speaker 1: much explaining, you know, and you win money you don't

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Speaker 1: have to explain too much. Yeah, man, how about that

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Speaker 1: game that was just as a UM as a Bears fan,

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Speaker 1: it was crushing, really crushing. And you know, obviously I

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Speaker 1: text during the games with my best friend Matt, who's

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Speaker 1: also a massive Bears fan. And I also was texting

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Speaker 1: with my buddy, a good friend of mine who I

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Speaker 1: had on the ESPN podcast years ago, named Sam Walker.

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Speaker 1: He wrote a book called I Don't know if I

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Speaker 1: talked about this in the last podcast. He wrote a

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Speaker 1: book called The Captain Class, which became this big best seller,

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Speaker 1: and it's all about um sort of using the attributes

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Speaker 1: that leaders in sports uh all have in common to

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Speaker 1: figure out like what leadership looks like overall. And so

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Speaker 1: he looked at everybody from like people who played for

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Speaker 1: the New Zealand all Blacks, to Derek Jeter to you know,

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Speaker 1: I can't remember. I think like um Bill Cartwright, like

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Speaker 1: you know, leaders of teams that were sort of legendary teams.

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Speaker 1: And you know, because it's a brilliant idea, it's now

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Speaker 1: spawned into Like he does speaking gigs and he was

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Speaker 1: an editor of the Wall Street Journal. He has started

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Speaker 1: as a writer then became an editor and now he

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Speaker 1: liked as a column on leadership two times a week,

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Speaker 1: and he's actually consultant for the Bears as a sort

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Speaker 1: of leadership consultant, right, And the Bears read his book,

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Speaker 1: like the guys who aread the Bears read his book,

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Speaker 1: and um, the GM gave it to everyone of the staff.

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Speaker 1: And he's also been working a lot with Mitch Mitch Robinsky.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not revealing anything here. There was a big

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Speaker 1: story about it in the Shuk in the Chicago Tribune.

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Speaker 1: So it actually like Sam's a close friend and and

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Speaker 1: like we talked about the Bears, and like, now at

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Speaker 1: this point, all I want to do is ask him

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Speaker 1: about the Bears and like talk about like what's going

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Speaker 1: on with the Bears and like and if the Bears

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Speaker 1: do badly, I basically just criticize him and send text

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Speaker 1: to be like the Bears could really use a leader

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Speaker 1: right now. And so on Sunday, true Bisky was so

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Speaker 1: good in the first half, and I was just like

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Speaker 1: like praising Sam, like, oh my god, what you have

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Speaker 1: done with this guy. It's amazing. He's such a good quarterback,

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Speaker 1: like the poise, the effort, and then the coach left

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Speaker 1: it up, like he just took the ball out of

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Speaker 1: Trubisky's hands at the end of the game, when in

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Speaker 1: the world is like fifty three yards enough, you're close

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Speaker 1: enough for a field goal, Like why do you stop

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Speaker 1: trying to get closer at the thirty five yard line?

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Speaker 1: I mean, from someone on the other side that needed

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins, I was actually happy that they were just

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Speaker 1: running the ball up the middle, trying to trying to

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Speaker 1: just run the clock and try to kick the field goal.

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Speaker 1: I mean, that was just great. It was idiotic, totally idiotic.

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Speaker 1: I watched that game and I'm like, wow, this makes

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Speaker 1: no sense. But it made no sense. You're gonna take

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Speaker 1: the ball out of the guy's hand. Trubisky had a

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Speaker 1: great game, Like he was finally accurate on deep balls.

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Speaker 1: He looked comfortable. You're really not gonna try to get

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Speaker 1: him to throw the ball down the middle of the

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Speaker 1: field for ten more yards, making that much easier of

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Speaker 1: a field goal. Like there is a bad kicking epidemic

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Speaker 1: right now, everybody is infected. You're really going to trust

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Speaker 1: your guy to kick a field goal? I know. But

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Speaker 1: that point that you just made about changing your what

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Speaker 1: what's working for you as a coach and then changing

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Speaker 1: it at the end of the game. I think that

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Speaker 1: factor is why I've hated watching the Patriots over the

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Speaker 1: years as a as a bookmaker and having them beat

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Speaker 1: us every game because from somebody that's just rooting for

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Speaker 1: the teams to cover, Belichick and Brady would never change

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Speaker 1: up the end that they could be, you know, have

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Speaker 1: a comfortable lead, but they're never getting out of their

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Speaker 1: game plan. Even to the very last second of the game.

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Speaker 1: You can still picture Brady just drop him back and

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Speaker 1: throwing a twenty yard pass and that and used to

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Speaker 1: frustrate me always rooting for underdogs that are catching like

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Speaker 1: maybe seven, seven and a half points, and I was

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Speaker 1: just like, please just run the clock, you know. But

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Speaker 1: that's exactly what Brady did in that game, right, Like

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Speaker 1: on a third and one he goes deep to Chris

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Speaker 1: Hogan from deep in his own deep in his own territory,

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Speaker 1: and then the deep past the Groundkowski like, I wish

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs guy had let him score. So yeah, me too,

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Speaker 1: I hate doing that. The Gamblers math, like in the

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Speaker 1: last three minutes of a game is exhausting. You know

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Speaker 1: how the scenario was going to play out, and there's

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Speaker 1: you're just begging and praying for like something flukey, for

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Speaker 1: someone to do something against the percentages. I love the

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Speaker 1: mindset of the end of a game from a betting perspective.

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Speaker 1: So the people in the book that had the Cincinnati

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Speaker 1: Bengals against the Pittsburgh Steelers were actually rooting for, at

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Speaker 1: one point the game, UH for Cincinnati to score the

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Speaker 1: touchdown that put him UH down by one or what

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Speaker 1: was it. They wanted Cincinnati to miss the extra point

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Speaker 1: so that the game would go into overtime and then

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati would have a chance to cover the two and

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Speaker 1: a half points. So you're rooting, You're rooting for a

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Speaker 1: touchdown and a extra point to try and send the

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Speaker 1: game into overtime because winning by one is no good.

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Speaker 1: We need them to win by three. I'll tell you

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Speaker 1: what I was rooting for there. I was, you know,

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Speaker 1: it was really the series before that, the Patriots the

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Speaker 1: Steelers were driving. I was rooting for the Steelers just

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Speaker 1: scored a touchdown, because if they scored a touchdown, they're up,

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Speaker 1: and then I'm rooting for, Okay, the Bengals drive down,

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Speaker 1: score a touchdown, kick the onside kick, score another touchdown,

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Speaker 1: they win, and I covered my bet. That's what I

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Speaker 1: was rooting for. See, that's the gamblers math. Like I'm

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Speaker 1: thinking in impossibilities at that point, like because I had

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Speaker 1: done the math, Like if they scored the field goal,

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Speaker 1: the Bengals drive down, they can win the game, but

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna win my bet. It's another example, by

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Speaker 1: the way, not getting the best of the number. I

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Speaker 1: bet that game at two and a half, it closed

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Speaker 1: at one, and like, while it didn't matter at the

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Speaker 1: end of the game because the Steelers still won, if

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Speaker 1: they hadn't have scored that touchdown, at least I would

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Speaker 1: have pushed. Yeah, it's crazy. I love how you know

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Speaker 1: you're rooting for one side the entire game, and then

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Speaker 1: as long as you're covering the spread, and then the

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Speaker 1: other team has the ball, now you're rooting for them

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Speaker 1: to just make a first down to kill the clock.

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Speaker 1: So you're rooting for them, sometimes sometimes against them. Sometimes

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Speaker 1: it changes even on on one drive who you're rooting for. Scooch.

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Speaker 1: Let's get into some gamblers math right now, because the

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Speaker 1: Thursday night game is awesome, and if I were to bet, allegedly,

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Speaker 1: I would bet this one right now because it's in

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Speaker 1: my Wheelhouse, Denver Broncos two and a half point favorites

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Speaker 1: over the Arizona Cardinals at home Thursday night, road favorite

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Speaker 1: of less than a field goal. Yeah, you know where

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Speaker 1: I'm going here. I do. But you know, we've gotten

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Speaker 1: so much action on both sides on this one. And

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Speaker 1: did you ever just look at the game? You know,

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Speaker 1: we hang all the lines, and you're trying to go

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Speaker 1: through as many games as you can and kind of

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Speaker 1: get into each game, and then one of them just

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Speaker 1: stands out. And we hung one and a half on

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Speaker 1: this game, uh, you know, Sunday night, and then after

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Speaker 1: going through all the games, it just didn't look it

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Speaker 1: looked too short. I mean, I just we know we're

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Speaker 1: gonna get Broncos money. So we moved it to two

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Speaker 1: and a half, and uh, they laid the two and

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Speaker 1: a half. Uh, some some pretty big bets came in

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Speaker 1: at minus the two and a half. I actually went

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Speaker 1: to three and then took a sharp bed plus three.

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Speaker 1: So I've been going back and forth on this one

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Speaker 1: since we hung the line. The public really wants no

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Speaker 1: part of the Cardinals. I know that's a it's a

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Speaker 1: strong play in terms of a number, and we know

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Speaker 1: that the home Dogs. The last two weeks have just

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Speaker 1: been a tremendous play. Uh. Percentage wise, the home Dogs

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Speaker 1: have really been coming in. Uh. And here's another one.

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Speaker 1: And you have to figure out a high profile, you know,

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Speaker 1: one off game like this on a Thursday night game.

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Speaker 1: If the Cardinals are gonna you know, put together a game,

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Speaker 1: this is the one. But the Cardinals have the worst

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Speaker 1: offense statistically in the NFL right now, so you know

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Speaker 1: the betting public just really wants no part of them. Um,

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Speaker 1: but they did. Uh, you know, going up against a

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Speaker 1: tough Minnesota team, kind of surprised a lot of people

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Speaker 1: kept the game close. And depending on the number again,

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Speaker 1: whether you laid nine and a half with Minnesota in

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Speaker 1: Arizona last week or something got it plus ten and

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Speaker 1: a half with Arizona, there's another game fell right on

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Speaker 1: the number. Um. To go back to your point on

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Speaker 1: how how important shopping is. This game will get to

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Speaker 1: three again. Yeah, I think it closes three. It's a

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Speaker 1: Thursday night game. The public is already on the Broncos

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Speaker 1: at about a three to one ratio. Uh, when it's

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Speaker 1: the only big football game of the night. Uh, you

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Speaker 1: know we're going to get a ton of Bronco money.

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Speaker 1: So if you're looking, if you're looking about the Cardinals,

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Speaker 1: you should be able to get a three. Sometime. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna wait to allegedly make my bed, do you know why?

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Speaker 1: Because I want to get the best of the number.

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Speaker 1: That's what I do. You have to professional way to go.

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Speaker 1: Here's another interesting one. My Chicago Bears plus three against

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Speaker 1: the New England Patriots. A lot of money coming into

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Speaker 1: New England. How do I not pet the Bears here

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Speaker 1: at plus? So the look aheadline, you know, you you

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Speaker 1: make the lines before the games are being played on

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Speaker 1: on Sunday, and this line was Patriots three, and the

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Speaker 1: the adjustments made were based on the Bears losing to

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Speaker 1: Miami and the Patriots even though they didn't cover beating

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Speaker 1: a good Kansas City team, So the adjustment was a

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Speaker 1: half a point, also accounting for we know the general

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Speaker 1: public is going to be on the Patriots, so three

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Speaker 1: and a half. All the values on the Bears here.

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Speaker 1: Even at three, I think the value would be on

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Speaker 1: the Bears. It's tough to bet against the Patriots, and

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Speaker 1: we talked about it all the time, but again, all

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Speaker 1: these all these home dogs, it's a really strong play

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Speaker 1: and and you mentioned Trabinsky, and I like the way

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Speaker 1: this offense plays despite some of the mistakes they made

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Speaker 1: last week. I think this is a strong play with

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Speaker 1: with the Bears, you think especially with this you know

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Speaker 1: the short week with uh with New England as as well.

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Speaker 1: Do you think this game gets to three and a half?

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Speaker 1: Does it get where to three and a half? To wait,

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Speaker 1: you said you were at three and a half? I

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Speaker 1: knew we're at three and a half. I'm not getting

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Speaker 1: that at it. If I allegedly wanted to make a bet,

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Speaker 1: I'm not getting that option. You need an allegedly new

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Speaker 1: place to wager. Maybe I do get a friend from you.

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Speaker 1: I think most places in Vegas are at three and

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Speaker 1: a half. Wow, well, I will not be betting on

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Speaker 1: my alleged place right now. Um. Interesting, All right, So

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Speaker 1: that's two games. I'm gonna keep an eye in here. Yeah, uh, alright,

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Speaker 1: So this one I believe is in London, right the

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Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans and the Los Angeles Chargers. Chargers six and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorites. Yeah. I feel like the bloom

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Speaker 1: was a little bit off the rose on the Titans,

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Speaker 1: and I played the Titans this past weekend at plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half against the Ravens. And I've just

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Speaker 1: been impressed with sort of their defense a couple of

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Speaker 1: weeks and They're defense still played really well against the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: Their offense is just so pitiful, And I think the

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Speaker 1: Chargers are becoming one of those teams that does not

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Speaker 1: choke against bad teams. This Chargers team is sneakily increasing

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Speaker 1: up the power ranking scale each week. So four and

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Speaker 1: two team, if you go back, you know there are

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Speaker 1: two losses were uh against the uh, the Rams and

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs. That's not a bad resume. I mean, those

284
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Speaker 1: aren't bad losses to lose against, you know, the best

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Speaker 1: team in the n f C, in the best team

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Speaker 1: in the NFC, and uh, you know sneakily that their

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Speaker 1: offense is right up there in the top ten statistically

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. Uh, they've got a real good defense.

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Speaker 1: Uh So they've they've kind of flown under the radar

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Speaker 1: a little bit just because they haven't been a high

291
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Speaker 1: profile team over the years. But uh, and to go

292
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Speaker 1: back to your point about the Titans, Yeah, they've completely

293
00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:08,160
Speaker 1: lost their bloom. Their offense is just anemic. So we

294
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Speaker 1: went on the high side here. I actually before the

295
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Speaker 1: podcast went to seven on the game, seven even money,

296
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Speaker 1: and I haven't taken a bet on the Titans yet,

297
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Speaker 1: even at plus seven, So that's kind of telling. Yeah. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so this game, if you look, if you are looking

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Speaker 1: to bet the underdog in this one, uh, you should

300
00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:27,520
Speaker 1: easily be able to get a seven somewhere to stay

301
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Speaker 1: away from me or stay away Yeah, I don't know why, Like,

302
00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:33,920
Speaker 1: what reason do I have to not want to bet

303
00:16:33,920 --> 00:16:37,120
Speaker 1: the Chargers? Right? Yeah? Right, Well, you cast in on

304
00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:39,040
Speaker 1: the Chargers last week. You don't go to the well

305
00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:44,040
Speaker 1: too often. Don't get greedy, I would say, don't get greedy.

306
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Speaker 1: But a couple of weeks ago, I like have been

307
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Speaker 1: on the Cards three weeks in a row. I saw

308
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Speaker 1: them beating up in the Niners. I saw the Vikings

309
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Speaker 1: beating the Eagles. I knew they were playing the next week.

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Speaker 1: I knew the line would open double digits, and I

311
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Speaker 1: had a feeling that Cardinals will be able to cover.

312
00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:00,600
Speaker 1: I said to myself, I'm way to get the best

313
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Speaker 1: of the number. I'm not betting this until it's a

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Speaker 1: ten and a half. It got to ten and a half,

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Speaker 1: I still didn't pull the trigger and they cut and

316
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Speaker 1: they they would have covered. Yep, I had two choices.

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Speaker 1: On Sunday morning, I was thinking about I was thinking about, uh,

318
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Speaker 1: the cowboys and the jags and the cards and the vikings,

319
00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:18,880
Speaker 1: and then the cowboys got to three and a half

320
00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:22,080
Speaker 1: at home, and I want the cowboys turned to be okay,

321
00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:32,639
Speaker 1: too sharp? Ye sharp mooney Millman, that's Millman, the Milliminator.

322
00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:34,879
Speaker 1: Scoochs will come back to the betting in a second,

323
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Speaker 1: but first I need to tell you about our friends

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Speaker 1: at Keenland. Scooch You are a huge fan of the

325
00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:43,800
Speaker 1: horse racing. Keiland is an idyllic horse racing track right

326
00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:47,000
Speaker 1: in the heart of thoroughbred country in Lexington, Kentucky that

327
00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:49,480
Speaker 1: referred to as racing as it was meant to be.

328
00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:52,959
Speaker 1: Think what Augusta is the golf, Wimbledon is the tennis,

329
00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:57,719
Speaker 1: Keenland is to horse racing. Their fall meet is underway

330
00:17:57,760 --> 00:17:59,960
Speaker 1: and they have already awarded nine spots and the Breeder

331
00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:03,399
Speaker 1: Cup after opening weekend through their stakes race on the

332
00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:08,320
Speaker 1: Breeders Cup Challenge Series. Keenland offers high quality racing with

333
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:11,920
Speaker 1: big pools and full fields for better is for insight

334
00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:15,159
Speaker 1: and analysis on who to bet on You can follow

335
00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:19,560
Speaker 1: at bet Keenland on Twitter for on demand content on

336
00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:24,760
Speaker 1: Keenland Racing from expert handicapper Jeremy Pluck. You can watch

337
00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:28,560
Speaker 1: Keenland's racing from any location and bet directly from your

338
00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:34,080
Speaker 1: phone with Keenland select their online betting platform. Folks, you

339
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:36,560
Speaker 1: gotta check it out. Like Breeders is gonna be awesome.

340
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Speaker 1: Scooch loves horse racing. Brother, Let's get back to it.

341
00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:44,120
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay minus three over the Cleveland Browns. This turned

342
00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:48,440
Speaker 1: into like a ship game. It's kind of sad. Yeah,

343
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Speaker 1: you know, I'm I'm kind of kicking myself for not

344
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Speaker 1: just being a little bit higher on Tampa Bay and

345
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Speaker 1: this one. You know, we've kind of adjusted a little

346
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Speaker 1: bit on the Browns each week, and and the brown

347
00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:01,840
Speaker 1: has got us a lot of good covers. But you know,

348
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Speaker 1: at some point you start over adjusting a little too

349
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:07,080
Speaker 1: much one way and a little too much the other way,

350
00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:12,760
Speaker 1: and uh, we're buried on the Buccaneers. And I could see,

351
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Speaker 1: I could see why I'm looking at this game, and

352
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Speaker 1: it's one of those even though they're laying three, I

353
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:22,600
Speaker 1: think I would have to lean more Buccaneers than Browns.

354
00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:26,479
Speaker 1: Buccaneers have the best passing offense statistically in the NFL.

355
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Speaker 1: A lot of that was Fitzgerald, but Winston looked pretty

356
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Speaker 1: effective last week too, So, um, this is gonna be

357
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Speaker 1: a tough one for us to to fade. You know,

358
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Speaker 1: we're gonna We're gonna need the Browns in a big way.

359
00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 1: It's gonna be one of the biggest morning games. And

360
00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:41,320
Speaker 1: I could easily see this game going all three and

361
00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:45,640
Speaker 1: a half, maybe even four. I believe they call him Fitzpatrick.

362
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 1: What did I call him? Gerald? Fitz So we've got

363
00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:54,800
Speaker 1: a casino here for many years in in Vegas. Anytime

364
00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 1: I start with the word fits it usually ends in

365
00:19:57,040 --> 00:20:00,439
Speaker 1: Fitzgerald's because just the casino that's just in reigned in

366
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Speaker 1: my mind downtown for many years. I don't know if

367
00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:07,160
Speaker 1: you remember the Fitzgerald I don't. I do remember time.

368
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:11,120
Speaker 1: It was before my time. I do remember in college

369
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Speaker 1: I dated a girl whose last name was Fitzgerald. Ah,

370
00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:20,160
Speaker 1: do you remember now? I don't know if you want

371
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,600
Speaker 1: to go further with that college story, I don't know.

372
00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:24,560
Speaker 1: She was great. I liked her a lot. She's very nice.

373
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Speaker 1: There was at one point there were two players in

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Speaker 1: the league. One Patrick Fitzgerald and one Gerald Fitzpatrick. I

375
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:34,200
Speaker 1: don't know if you remember that. I'm just gonna go

376
00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:40,280
Speaker 1: to the next game. Jacksonville Jaguars minus five over the Texans.

377
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:45,399
Speaker 1: This game all of a sudden became way super interesting,

378
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:55,040
Speaker 1: like wowser interesting, massive ramifications, huge implications. Two teams struggling

379
00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:58,560
Speaker 1: to figure out who they are testing each other on

380
00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:02,280
Speaker 1: the field of play on a Sunday afternoon for a

381
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:11,080
Speaker 1: f C South supremacy and dark helmets. I can't tell

382
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 1: if you're sarcastic or not really, because I'm laying it

383
00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:17,520
Speaker 1: on pretty thick. Yeah, we don't. We don't have that

384
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 1: much interest in this game so far. You know, I'm

385
00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:22,560
Speaker 1: just looking at the I mean, it seems like there

386
00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:25,440
Speaker 1: would be in terms of trying to find out who

387
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:27,960
Speaker 1: who these teams are. Houston has kind of been a

388
00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:32,639
Speaker 1: mystery most of the year. And uh and Jacksonville, you know,

389
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:36,040
Speaker 1: have still have one of the best defenses in the NFL,

390
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 1: and how do they just get annihilated by a team

391
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 1: like Dallas that has no no offense to speak of

392
00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 1: up to last week? Uh? And you know, looking back

393
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:51,600
Speaker 1: even a game further, when when Jacksonville played the Chiefs

394
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:54,560
Speaker 1: and uh, they let up a ton and and couldn't

395
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 1: score against the Chiefs. And I can't figure out this

396
00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:01,280
Speaker 1: Jacksonville team, you know they I agree with you. I

397
00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 1: think I find it intriguing, but I find that the

398
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:05,920
Speaker 1: public isn't going to have much interest in this one.

399
00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:10,480
Speaker 1: We hung the Jaguars a four and a half point favorite. Um,

400
00:22:10,520 --> 00:22:13,320
Speaker 1: I think they're confusing the public enough to where they

401
00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:17,159
Speaker 1: don't know which team they're gonna get, So they're a

402
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 1: little leery, and they probably feel like there's some better

403
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:22,040
Speaker 1: games on the board to bet. I do feel like

404
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,720
Speaker 1: it is a big game, like and two really interesting teams,

405
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,359
Speaker 1: sort of a Texas team that certainly a lot of

406
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:31,240
Speaker 1: people who are sharp named Millman thought would do really

407
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:34,880
Speaker 1: well and b super Bowl tickets futures for them, uh,

408
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,399
Speaker 1: and they're just now like their defense is just getting

409
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:40,240
Speaker 1: into a rhythm, their offense is kind of figuring out

410
00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:43,800
Speaker 1: who they are. The Jags defense is amazing, but boys

411
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:46,600
Speaker 1: Blake Borders like just regressed in the past two weeks.

412
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:50,240
Speaker 1: And so it's a really interesting game to me between

413
00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:53,920
Speaker 1: two teams that I think are ascendant generally in terms

414
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:56,240
Speaker 1: of organization and where they're gonna be the next few years.

415
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:58,280
Speaker 1: I can see why there's not a lot of activity

416
00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:04,080
Speaker 1: because look, uh, um a, there's a Southeastern anti bias.

417
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:08,200
Speaker 1: Uh b um. No one can really feel from a

418
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 1: betting perspective. No one can figure out these teams. Yeah,

419
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:14,119
Speaker 1: I'm going to have to hold you up one second

420
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 1: because I'm getting some money on the vikings right now,

421
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:21,120
Speaker 1: and I'm actually changing the line there, and I'm going,

422
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:23,120
Speaker 1: I don't know if we're gonna get to that game quick,

423
00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:25,760
Speaker 1: but I've got some bets coming in. Just a little

424
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:29,040
Speaker 1: move on the vikings here it's the next So there

425
00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: it goes. I just went to three and a half

426
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 1: on the vikings from three. Well, I'll tell you what,

427
00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:38,680
Speaker 1: uh should we do? Some lyne change music is that

428
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,480
Speaker 1: we want to do? Yeah? Someone saying, because I just

429
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:50,720
Speaker 1: went nice, I love it nice. Uh that game just

430
00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:53,440
Speaker 1: popped from three and a half to four in another book. Um,

431
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:57,240
Speaker 1: so clearly somebody was hitting that. That's really interesting. It's

432
00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 1: twelve Eastern on Tuesday afternoon, and um, somebody hit Minnesota

433
00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,760
Speaker 1: at three and three and a half multiple times. They're

434
00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:13,160
Speaker 1: now favored by uh three and a half or four?

435
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:17,639
Speaker 1: Give me the j E. T. S Jets, Jets, Jets

436
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 1: at plus four. My friend, Yeah, it's another one, a

437
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,719
Speaker 1: tough one to nothing tough about nothing tough about it

438
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:32,879
Speaker 1: like that is the side. Yeah, uh, you definitely just

439
00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:37,080
Speaker 1: have to take the home dog again here. But it

440
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,919
Speaker 1: scares me a little bit because the you know, the

441
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:43,159
Speaker 1: Vikings still are you know, one of the teams to

442
00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:45,040
Speaker 1: beat in the in the NFC. It's a it's a

443
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:49,240
Speaker 1: tough road game. But well, I just I know the

444
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:52,720
Speaker 1: Jets look pretty good against the Colts, but the Colts

445
00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:56,480
Speaker 1: just have no defense. And I think still as great

446
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:58,880
Speaker 1: as Sam Donald looks, he's gonna be going up against

447
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 1: a little bit tougher defense, uh, in the Vikings. I hope.

448
00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:06,119
Speaker 1: I hope the Jets win it because obviously we've got

449
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:08,240
Speaker 1: a lot of money on the Vikings. But this is

450
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,240
Speaker 1: gonna be a tough one to watch. This is a

451
00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:16,720
Speaker 1: no brainer to me. Yeah, if you're a professional, you

452
00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:18,840
Speaker 1: go with the Jets. Are you're a professional? Are you

453
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:25,440
Speaker 1: not right? What are you ice in your veins? Declare?

454
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:35,120
Speaker 1: Declare yourself? You know what I'm saying. Yeah, yeah, Indianapolis

455
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:37,719
Speaker 1: called seven and a half over Buffalo. I'm not playing

456
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:42,119
Speaker 1: this game as long as Nathan Peterman is anywhere in

457
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:45,920
Speaker 1: the vicinity of the Buffalo area code or the Indianapolis

458
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,639
Speaker 1: Colts Areas area code, from now on, they should. They should.

459
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:51,800
Speaker 1: I said this the other day, rename the pick six

460
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 1: the Peterman I'm with you there. I mean, the Colts

461
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:01,880
Speaker 1: have no defense, like I just said, but if Nathan

462
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:04,760
Speaker 1: Peterman is his quarterback, there's no way you can have

463
00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:07,919
Speaker 1: any part of the Bills. This line was probably going

464
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 1: to be about uh four with Josh Allen, so there's

465
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:15,040
Speaker 1: about a four point adjustment. I don't think that's enough,

466
00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:18,199
Speaker 1: but it's kind of a dead number. I could easily

467
00:26:18,320 --> 00:26:20,360
Speaker 1: go to eight and a half and probably not affect

468
00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 1: anything right now. Uh, but I agree with you. I mean,

469
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 1: the Bills played such a good game against Houston last week,

470
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,399
Speaker 1: and just what a difference when Peterman came in the

471
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 1: game and just just everything the whole dynamic changed. And uh,

472
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:39,520
Speaker 1: and I've just seen it so many times, and but

473
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:45,320
Speaker 1: I agree with you there. Nathan Peterman has thrown seventy

474
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 1: nine career passes. We talked about this and the favorites

475
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:52,400
Speaker 1: on Monday with Jeff Schwartz and Paul Duca. Seventy nine

476
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:58,919
Speaker 1: career passes nine interceptions. Eleven percent of his passes have

477
00:26:59,040 --> 00:27:03,919
Speaker 1: been interceptions. It's got to be a record. It's not

478
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:07,400
Speaker 1: the one you want. I'm Peter, Peter. I love that

479
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 1: it's the Peterman I can't believe I'm the first one

480
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,600
Speaker 1: to think of that. I should trademark that we can

481
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:16,639
Speaker 1: do the Peterman catalog and it just be pictures of

482
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:18,959
Speaker 1: all the bad plays that Peterman has and we can

483
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,920
Speaker 1: get it narrated by the dude who played j Peterman

484
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:25,440
Speaker 1: in Seinfeld. I was thinking of that. How funny would

485
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:31,879
Speaker 1: that be? Oh my god. I am a content genius

486
00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:36,760
Speaker 1: for sure. I gotta get someone on that. I like

487
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 1: to have the ideas and then I like to give

488
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,159
Speaker 1: them to people to do. That's my m oh. I'm

489
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:44,639
Speaker 1: an idea man. To shoot him out there. You know,

490
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:47,080
Speaker 1: people gotta figure it out. But I'm generally just a

491
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 1: big idea guy. Yeah, it's the best job there is.

492
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 1: Just be a big idea guy Detroit, Miami. It's not

493
00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 1: on the board. Yeah, so obviously, uh, Ryan Tannehill. That's

494
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,200
Speaker 1: to make a make a big difference in this one.

495
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:07,240
Speaker 1: I think I'll tell you what. I was a pretty

496
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 1: big Oswilder fan guess what he came through for me. Yeah,

497
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:12,879
Speaker 1: you were an Osweller fan. But he only beats the Bears.

498
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,199
Speaker 1: His like, the first game he ever had for the

499
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:19,600
Speaker 1: Broncos beat the Bears, first game for the Texans beat

500
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:23,200
Speaker 1: the Bears, first game for the Dolphins beat the Bears.

501
00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:26,960
Speaker 1: I did hear that they were saying that he we

502
00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:30,280
Speaker 1: got his whole contract based on the Bears. Should actually

503
00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:33,879
Speaker 1: pay his his salary because he's earned every penny of

504
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:39,000
Speaker 1: it against the Bears. You should pay the Bears. Yeah,

505
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:43,560
Speaker 1: But so the Lions will be anywhere from two one

506
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 1: and a half two with Tannehill and probably about five

507
00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 1: and a half six without Tannehill. So just when we

508
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 1: do put up that line, but currently off the board,

509
00:28:56,440 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 1: mm hmm, it's gotta neat in in on that. I

510
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,720
Speaker 1: would take the Lillians. You gotta take the home dog, right,

511
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:08,160
Speaker 1: I know. But no matter whose quarterback screw you, scooch,

512
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 1: uh huh, don't throw mine, don't throw those back in

513
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 1: my face exactly. It's like what my kids say. I'll say,

514
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:23,240
Speaker 1: I'll say something. I'm like, I'm like, hey, you guys

515
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 1: will make me. You guys want me to make dinner.

516
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 1: They'll be like, your face wants me to make dinner.

517
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 1: I'm like, that doesn't even make any sense. Are you

518
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 1: burning me right now? What is what is happening like?

519
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 1: And they're like, your face is burning me. I'm like,

520
00:29:36,520 --> 00:29:39,920
Speaker 1: I can't even have a conversation with you. And they'll

521
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 1: be like, well that's when you know when you're getting

522
00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 1: old and you don't even know if you're being insulted,

523
00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 1: and like they're like, I can't have a conversation with

524
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:47,720
Speaker 1: your face. I'm like, I know you can't have a

525
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:51,760
Speaker 1: conversation with my face because my face doesn't want to

526
00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,080
Speaker 1: have a conversation with you. Do you want any fucking

527
00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 1: dinner or not? You just want to like sit there

528
00:29:56,480 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 1: and starve. Oh that's great. Kids got a lot uh

529
00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:14,640
Speaker 1: Philadelphia minus five against Carolina. I liked it better when

530
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:17,840
Speaker 1: it was lower. I don't like it here. Well were

531
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:21,120
Speaker 1: we went to four? So um yeah, so I don't

532
00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:23,680
Speaker 1: know if you like it at four? Get some wise

533
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: guy money. We we got a little bit. I think

534
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 1: the Eagles are are kind of hitting their Strida took them.

535
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:33,200
Speaker 1: They had their slow start and you know, maybe the

536
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:37,760
Speaker 1: Super Bowl hangover, but there, um, they're starting to draw

537
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 1: a lot of public action. And you know, when they

538
00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 1: start covering, that's usually bad for us because now it's

539
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:45,400
Speaker 1: just gonna be like a steam roller effect the Uh

540
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 1: the ticket counts about five to one with us right

541
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:52,200
Speaker 1: now equals to Panthers. Uh. Panthers kind of laid an

542
00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 1: egg last week against the Redskins. And I mean they

543
00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:59,400
Speaker 1: came within a one play of of tying the game

544
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:02,240
Speaker 1: and pass really winning the game. But but still they

545
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:06,800
Speaker 1: were down seventeen nothing early to the Redskins. And and uh,

546
00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:09,760
Speaker 1: I think of of the two teams, the Panthers are

547
00:31:09,760 --> 00:31:12,040
Speaker 1: more on the decline in terms of who the betting

548
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 1: public likes and uh, and the Eagles are obviously on

549
00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:19,560
Speaker 1: the on the rise, having disappointed a few betters earlier

550
00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 1: in the year, but now kind of get like I said,

551
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:26,920
Speaker 1: hitting their stride again. Yeah, I'm passing in this game.

552
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:29,960
Speaker 1: That's a tough one. Um. I mean it's a lot

553
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 1: of points to lay, even for the Eagles at home.

554
00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:35,960
Speaker 1: Panthers usually keep the games pretty close. That's a tough one.

555
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 1: I tell you what, I'm not passing on. What's what

556
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:44,960
Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens down to two at home against the Saints.

557
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 1: To me, this is one of the most intriguing games

558
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 1: on the board. The Saints coming off the bye week,

559
00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:54,400
Speaker 1: pretty good offense and the top five in the NFL

560
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,720
Speaker 1: with their offense, and going up against the number one

561
00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 1: ranked defense right now. Uh so this is kind of

562
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:04,520
Speaker 1: like where the rubber hits the road with these two teams.

563
00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:07,400
Speaker 1: But I'll tell you that the Saints, man, they've got

564
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 1: a brutal, brutal schedule. I think they have to win

565
00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:13,760
Speaker 1: this one. Uh you know when you say kind of

566
00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 1: must win games and key games, Uh, you know, And

567
00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:22,200
Speaker 1: there's no guarantee obviously, but um, after after Baltimore they

568
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:25,600
Speaker 1: play at Minnesota and then they play the Rams that

569
00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:27,720
Speaker 1: they play the Eagles of foul Because I mean, they've

570
00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 1: got a brutal schedule schedule ahead of them and coming

571
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:34,040
Speaker 1: off a bye week, I think they really probably want

572
00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 1: to get this game. The betting public seems to like

573
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:42,320
Speaker 1: them the sharp guys. Um Uh No, I wouldn't say

574
00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:44,080
Speaker 1: they came in heavy on them. They're just kind of

575
00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 1: a taste because the line did go down a little bit.

576
00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:50,320
Speaker 1: Um but uh and I don't know how much you

577
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:54,000
Speaker 1: can take in from just the Ravens beating a really

578
00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:56,560
Speaker 1: bad offense with Tennessee last week. But this is a

579
00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,840
Speaker 1: real intriguing game, and it might be the exception when

580
00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:07,000
Speaker 1: you don't lay that short home favorite. Oh, I was

581
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:11,400
Speaker 1: thinking the opposite. You were thinking of taking the dog. No,

582
00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:15,720
Speaker 1: thinking of laying the short home favorite. Okay, alright, I think, like,

583
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, the Ravens minus two, great defense,

584
00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:29,240
Speaker 1: serviceable offense, at home, hyped up crowd like feeling like

585
00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:31,480
Speaker 1: they are world leaders right now. And I know that's

586
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:35,800
Speaker 1: sort of not necessarily a great scenario. But I don't

587
00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:39,560
Speaker 1: think this. I think this defense is this defense is

588
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 1: historically good. Yeah, they really are. That's why I said

589
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 1: it's where the rubber hits the road here with with

590
00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 1: you know, the best defense. I think the Saints are

591
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 1: ranked three on their offense, third in the NFL, so

592
00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:56,960
Speaker 1: really kind of uh to me, the most interesting game

593
00:33:57,000 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 1: on the board. I have four games. I'm starting to

594
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 1: get really excited about five. Six. We're gonna get to

595
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 1: the next two. I'm in Baltimore here, scooch, I'm going

596
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:12,800
Speaker 1: against the wise guys. I don't blame it. Washington minus

597
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:16,399
Speaker 1: one and a half over Dallas. I did not get

598
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:19,080
Speaker 1: the best of the line here. I missed a half

599
00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:25,440
Speaker 1: point value here, and I wanted about the Redskins. Yeah,

600
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 1: the Cowboys finally put together, you know, their best game

601
00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 1: of the year, and don't care. Regression regression, don't It's

602
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:38,080
Speaker 1: like that great story. I don't it's true, not, but

603
00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 1: I'll ship it if he wants, assuming he can. Like

604
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:44,120
Speaker 1: of Jay Cutler. You know, I grew up in Chicago

605
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 1: and Jay Cutler, uh, like, was somewhere like in a

606
00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:51,839
Speaker 1: year and all or something in a bar and he's

607
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:55,560
Speaker 1: pissing next to some dude and like the guy was like, Hey,

608
00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:57,920
Speaker 1: Jake Cutler, I went to Vanderbilt too, and Jake Culor

609
00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:06,680
Speaker 1: just stares at the ceiling goes, don't care. Really, I

610
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 1: don't know if it's true or not, but it sounds

611
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 1: like something that would happen. Yeah, I've heard worse about him,

612
00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:17,640
Speaker 1: so I'm I'm assuming that was true. Um, don't care,

613
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:25,080
Speaker 1: don't care, but tell me, tell me you're thinking about

614
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:31,240
Speaker 1: the Cowboys, and I'll I'll interrupt rudely. Well, I mean, obviously,

615
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:33,960
Speaker 1: the history of this rivalry kind of changes a lot

616
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:36,360
Speaker 1: of things. So what you would normally put in a

617
00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:44,680
Speaker 1: point spread statistically, don't care. I don't care about your face.

618
00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 1: Your face doesn't care. Yeah, what are your fifteen? Your

619
00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:05,560
Speaker 1: face is fifteen? That was so good, That was awesome,

620
00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:09,480
Speaker 1: so so really, I mean, the betting in this game

621
00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:12,399
Speaker 1: is split right down the middle. I can't even I mean,

622
00:36:12,520 --> 00:36:15,040
Speaker 1: and I think it's gonna stay that way right until

623
00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 1: game time. With the line one one and a half,

624
00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:19,680
Speaker 1: even if it goes to pick, even if it goes

625
00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:23,040
Speaker 1: to two, it's not enough to really sway anyone to say, oh,

626
00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:25,560
Speaker 1: let me take the points with the dog. Uh, it's

627
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:29,400
Speaker 1: just you're picking who's gonna win the game. And um,

628
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:33,560
Speaker 1: right now, both teams looked pretty good, uh last you know, recently,

629
00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:37,920
Speaker 1: so there you can't have like a recency bias and bias.

630
00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,600
Speaker 1: So um uh, this one's split right down the middle.

631
00:36:41,600 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 1: I think we got the number pretty good and I don't.

632
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 1: I don't think we'll see much movement on it. And

633
00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:50,719
Speaker 1: Ben the Ridskins, although you're on the Redskins, I got you.

634
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,799
Speaker 1: I will be. I haven't done it yet, but I

635
00:36:53,840 --> 00:37:03,200
Speaker 1: will be this next one. Yeah, As my very close

636
00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:10,680
Speaker 1: personal friend Keith Jackson used to say, kidding, we're not friends.

637
00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:17,080
Speaker 1: I've never met him. Whoa Nelly Rams? Where do they add,

638
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:20,720
Speaker 1: I've seen nine and a half on the road, third

639
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 1: week in a row at the Niners on a short

640
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:32,719
Speaker 1: week after a crushing loss last night, that might have

641
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:35,279
Speaker 1: been the game. That might have been the game for

642
00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 1: CJ be third. I might be getting the best of

643
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:40,240
Speaker 1: the number at nine and a half in some places

644
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:42,600
Speaker 1: on the Rams. You know, I don't want to bet

645
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:46,319
Speaker 1: against the home dog like Project double digits, but I

646
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:50,160
Speaker 1: think last night's was a crushing loss, and I don't

647
00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:55,280
Speaker 1: think that the Niners defense plays that well. Again, Yeah,

648
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:59,960
Speaker 1: that it's really hard to to rebound so quickly if

649
00:38:00,160 --> 00:38:02,600
Speaker 1: or a game that you felt like was yours and

650
00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:05,479
Speaker 1: you lost, and I mean emotionally, it's hard to get

651
00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 1: back up. Um, had it been any any other week

652
00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:12,319
Speaker 1: other than coming off of that, you know, crushing loss,

653
00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:14,680
Speaker 1: I'd say you automatically have to take the ten points.

654
00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:17,040
Speaker 1: And I still think it. You just have to take

655
00:38:17,080 --> 00:38:19,760
Speaker 1: the Yeah, you have to take the ten points. But

656
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:22,160
Speaker 1: but I agree with you. But on the other side,

657
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:24,719
Speaker 1: we've also said that, you know, you had to bet

658
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 1: Seattle at home getting seven points against the Rams a

659
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:30,120
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago. Um, you had to take the

660
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 1: Broncos against the Rams getting seven points last week and

661
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:37,680
Speaker 1: uh so third third week in a row. The rams

662
00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:40,840
Speaker 1: around the road laying real big numbers they haven't covered

663
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:44,960
Speaker 1: once yet, and on the road laying those big numbers.

664
00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:48,640
Speaker 1: And this is the biggest number yet. So um, the

665
00:38:48,680 --> 00:38:51,239
Speaker 1: professionals will be on on thet is. You'll see this

666
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:54,440
Speaker 1: line come down. Uh just you know, just like you

667
00:38:54,440 --> 00:38:57,560
Speaker 1: saw the line come down last night. The Packers were

668
00:38:57,680 --> 00:38:59,840
Speaker 1: were as high as ten and in some places it

669
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:01,640
Speaker 1: it down to eight and a half. So the sharp

670
00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:04,000
Speaker 1: guys are a late move on the on the dog.

671
00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:08,440
Speaker 1: The late move is the correct move, Yes it is.

672
00:39:08,920 --> 00:39:10,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet the Niners. I changed my mind just

673
00:39:10,680 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 1: while you were talking. Wow, Okay, I'm not, but I'm

674
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:20,319
Speaker 1: not betting your face. Your face is a lunch. I'm

675
00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:24,280
Speaker 1: not betting either of these last year games. No Kansas

676
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:28,080
Speaker 1: City Chiefs six and a half over the Bengals. Don't

677
00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:31,840
Speaker 1: like it? Well, you know the values obviously out of

678
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:36,560
Speaker 1: the Chiefs, we've just been increasing their their power rankings

679
00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 1: every week. And and I'll tell you even in their

680
00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:42,640
Speaker 1: loss against the the Patriots, uh Mahomes is still as

681
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:46,080
Speaker 1: impressive as ever. Um, you know, it's just it was

682
00:39:46,120 --> 00:39:49,640
Speaker 1: a Seesaw game, and in this one, we just know

683
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:51,480
Speaker 1: that everyone's going to be on the chief so we

684
00:39:51,520 --> 00:39:54,839
Speaker 1: have to be as high as possible. Um, and then

685
00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:57,080
Speaker 1: we'll probably just keep inching it up until we get

686
00:39:57,120 --> 00:39:59,440
Speaker 1: some Bengals money. But I don't think it will go

687
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:02,479
Speaker 1: as high ast seven. I think, if anything, the Sharp

688
00:40:02,520 --> 00:40:04,719
Speaker 1: guys will kind of keep it, keep it down a

689
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:08,080
Speaker 1: little bit because the Chiefs are already inflated at minus six.

690
00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:13,600
Speaker 1: So you're saying there's value on the Bengals. I do, yeah,

691
00:40:14,120 --> 00:40:16,279
Speaker 1: I mean we've made this line about as high as

692
00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:25,399
Speaker 1: we could make it. Your face is overvalued. Oh that's good.

693
00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:33,840
Speaker 1: Here's a each list. Now you're you're just you're just mumbling,

694
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:38,879
Speaker 1: oh my god, this last game is so bad. I'd

695
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:42,399
Speaker 1: rather talk about your face for the next minutes. Then

696
00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:44,399
Speaker 1: in the Atlanta Falcons is six and a half point

697
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:48,200
Speaker 1: favorites over the Giants, who are just like, both of

698
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:53,319
Speaker 1: these teams are so bad, so bad. This is it

699
00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:57,360
Speaker 1: for the Giants. If the Giants can't produce any offense

700
00:40:57,719 --> 00:41:00,960
Speaker 1: against this Falcons team, I think you gotta go to

701
00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:05,400
Speaker 1: Tyler Loretta and say so long to Eli. Yeah. I mean,

702
00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:07,840
Speaker 1: the people have already been talking about it there. I

703
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:10,680
Speaker 1: hear the chatter. I you know, talked to a lot

704
00:41:10,680 --> 00:41:13,560
Speaker 1: of people back east. I was actually in Philadelphia last

705
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 1: week and uh ran into a lot of Giants fans,

706
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:19,320
Speaker 1: and it's always interesting to get just the casual fans

707
00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:22,560
Speaker 1: take on things, and uh yeah, that everybody's calling for

708
00:41:22,560 --> 00:41:26,360
Speaker 1: a big change and they've just had enough. And uh, like,

709
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 1: I agree with you if they can't that the Falcons

710
00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:31,160
Speaker 1: are at the bottom of the league and with their defense,

711
00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:33,600
Speaker 1: and I've been kind of high on this Falcons team

712
00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:37,000
Speaker 1: largely because of their offense. And uh but if the

713
00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:40,080
Speaker 1: Giants can't put up points here, uh here, people are

714
00:41:40,080 --> 00:41:43,240
Speaker 1: gonna be calling for some big changes. Lines are moving

715
00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:47,680
Speaker 1: like crazy now. The Patriots are at four. We started

716
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:50,799
Speaker 1: the podcast, they were at three and a half. The

717
00:41:50,800 --> 00:41:53,200
Speaker 1: Broncos are now with three. We started the podcast, they

718
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:55,880
Speaker 1: were two and a half. You said to wait on that. Uh,

719
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:58,319
Speaker 1: Minnesota's at four. We moved at while we were on

720
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,840
Speaker 1: the podcast. Um, you moved to three and a half.

721
00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:05,000
Speaker 1: Uh what is going on here? Someone is like, yeah,

722
00:42:05,080 --> 00:42:12,040
Speaker 1: someone's moving moving markets here. It's moving day, Moving day. Yeah,

723
00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:16,680
Speaker 1: we got some scoochroo let decisions to make. We do

724
00:42:24,600 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 1: I forgot that it's coming. There are so many games.

725
00:42:29,120 --> 00:42:33,080
Speaker 1: I like, so many games, many games, so just to

726
00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:36,640
Speaker 1: narrow it down to one so hard. Well, I won

727
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:39,880
Speaker 1: last week. Yeah, and you know what, I want you

728
00:42:39,920 --> 00:42:42,719
Speaker 1: to go first, because you went first last week. You

729
00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:45,520
Speaker 1: stole the game that I wanted. I ended up having

730
00:42:45,560 --> 00:42:50,600
Speaker 1: to choose a different game. You got hooked. I won

731
00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:54,360
Speaker 1: because I am Also, by the way, the Jags have

732
00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 1: moved from four and a half to from from five

733
00:42:57,680 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 1: to four and a half. Okay, are you moving these lines?

734
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:08,160
Speaker 1: Two scooches, the book being what do you want to do?

735
00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:11,759
Speaker 1: You go ahead your podcast. It's really I love the

736
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:15,040
Speaker 1: Bears and I like the Redskins. I like them both.

737
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:19,960
Speaker 1: But but but I can't. I just can't go. I'm

738
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:22,279
Speaker 1: staying away from Bill Belichick, whether I'm on him or

739
00:43:22,320 --> 00:43:27,040
Speaker 1: against him. So Redskins, Oh my god, oh my god.

740
00:43:27,080 --> 00:43:31,399
Speaker 1: I can't believe I let you go first, because those

741
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:34,120
Speaker 1: were the two games I was thinking about, and I

742
00:43:34,160 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 1: was not going to go with the Bears for the

743
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:48,560
Speaker 1: exact reason you just said. So now now, so now

744
00:43:48,600 --> 00:43:50,880
Speaker 1: you're not even gonna go with the Bears. Those are

745
00:43:50,880 --> 00:43:53,120
Speaker 1: the two games, and now you're you're going to your

746
00:43:53,120 --> 00:43:56,440
Speaker 1: third choice. Yeah, I think so. It's like my safety

747
00:43:56,520 --> 00:44:08,799
Speaker 1: safety school. I uh fidge foolery, dack nabbitt. I'm torn

748
00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:14,960
Speaker 1: down between the Bears and the Arizona Cardinals. I'll tell

749
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:19,120
Speaker 1: you what. I'll tell you what. Yeah, I'm going with

750
00:44:19,120 --> 00:44:20,799
Speaker 1: the Cardinals. I think the Cardinals have a better chance

751
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:23,399
Speaker 1: to win that game than the Bears do. And I

752
00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:26,920
Speaker 1: think like Denver is just a bad team. I think

753
00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:30,960
Speaker 1: they had their best game of the year against the Rams. Uh,

754
00:44:31,320 --> 00:44:33,839
Speaker 1: give me, give me Denver Denver minus. I mean, give

755
00:44:33,880 --> 00:44:39,560
Speaker 1: me Arizona, Arizona, Arizona plus three. Boom, and I'm the

756
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,000
Speaker 1: only plus three. I don't know where you're so, yeah,

757
00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:45,040
Speaker 1: you got plus three with me? Give me the plus three. Well,

758
00:44:45,080 --> 00:44:48,759
Speaker 1: I see a plus three in my your allegedly in

759
00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:51,480
Speaker 1: my Action Network app. I only look at the Action

760
00:44:51,520 --> 00:44:56,479
Speaker 1: Network gap. Okay, but I can choose from fifty five

761
00:44:56,600 --> 00:44:59,480
Speaker 1: sports books to give me lines. I can choose a

762
00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:04,160
Speaker 1: consensus line from the Action Network, or I can choose

763
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:07,880
Speaker 1: one of the books to give me their line. I

764
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:11,279
Speaker 1: have chose network. Uh, you gotta go to the app store.

765
00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:14,680
Speaker 1: You gotta download Action Network. Okay, you know we could

766
00:45:14,680 --> 00:45:17,879
Speaker 1: probably get the boyd Gaming lines into the Action Network app.

767
00:45:18,480 --> 00:45:21,080
Speaker 1: They're not in here, can work on that? Yeah, why

768
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:22,719
Speaker 1: working on it? Why don't we work on that? Deal?

769
00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:28,360
Speaker 1: Mr Bob Scucci, thank you as always for coming on

770
00:45:28,400 --> 00:45:31,560
Speaker 1: the podcast. This has been the favorites podcast from the

771
00:45:31,560 --> 00:45:35,400
Speaker 1: Action Network. You can listen to us on Monday's, Wednesdays

772
00:45:35,560 --> 00:45:38,279
Speaker 1: and Friday's. I will be back on Friday with black

773
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,279
Speaker 1: Jack Fletcher and we will make five picks to win

774
00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:46,640
Speaker 1: one point four million dollars. Listen to us where you

775
00:45:46,719 --> 00:45:51,520
Speaker 1: get your Apple podcasts and on radio dot com. Until

776
00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:52,520
Speaker 1: next time. Thank you,