WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off June 15th, 2022 (Ep. 532) 0:00:00.680 --> 0:00:17.640 I love gold Schmidt. Let's play ball. Welcome in everybody 0:00:17.640 --> 0:00:20.000 to Fantasy pros. This is leading Off, brought to you 0:00:20.079 --> 0:00:22.720 by bet MGM, the King of sports Books. It's me 0:00:22.800 --> 0:00:25.720 Joey p Joe. Pi's appia with me today again. Back 0:00:25.800 --> 0:00:28.880 is the Welsh and it's you, the Peanuts, the Cracker Jacks, 0:00:29.440 --> 0:00:30.360 the Randos. 0:00:30.440 --> 0:00:32.519 Hi, Randos, Hi, how are you doing? 0:00:33.240 --> 0:00:37.120 Hey? Oh my goodness, gracious yesterday all these look see 0:00:37.240 --> 0:00:40.880 see the team Randos. See look there's doctor Glenn started 0:00:40.920 --> 0:00:45.040 to lester. Everybody's Team Rando today, Go cards, Team Rando. 0:00:45.560 --> 0:00:48.560 Rando's make the world go round Welsh. That's what they do. 0:00:49.080 --> 0:00:52.599 Listen, we wouldn't have what we have without Randos. So 0:00:52.640 --> 0:00:57.280 we we've listen. How good would a video game be 0:00:57.720 --> 0:01:03.040 if there weren't random not whatever characters just walking around 0:01:03.040 --> 0:01:05.360 the streets that you could potentially run over you're playing 0:01:05.400 --> 0:01:07.880 GTA or you just talked to for a side mission. 0:01:08.040 --> 0:01:11.800 You gotta have side mission Randos. So congratulations to everybody. 0:01:12.000 --> 0:01:15.800 You can be a side mission Randos. There you go. 0:01:15.840 --> 0:01:18.080 We love all of you. We're happy that you're here 0:01:18.080 --> 0:01:20.200 with us, hanging out talking to baseball today. A lot 0:01:20.240 --> 0:01:22.479 of baseball to get to Let's start with another man 0:01:22.520 --> 0:01:24.640 with a glorious mustache, shall we watched Let's start with 0:01:24.640 --> 0:01:28.440 Miles Micholas one out Shy of the no hitter on strikes. 0:01:28.440 --> 0:01:30.280 Shy just is crushing. He's terrible. 0:01:30.560 --> 0:01:33.200 But he said, he's like, it sucks. It kind of sucks. 0:01:33.760 --> 0:01:36.960 Not after Yeah, well, I remember in the eighties that's 0:01:37.000 --> 0:01:39.600 happened to Dave Steve on multiple occasions. I want to 0:01:39.640 --> 0:01:42.800 say he was within a strike twice or two outs 0:01:42.840 --> 0:01:44.880 twice in his career for a no hitter. Both times 0:01:44.959 --> 0:01:46.600 didn't get it. I think he did get a no 0:01:46.680 --> 0:01:48.000 hitter at some point in time, but there were two 0:01:48.040 --> 0:01:49.600 times where he did not. He was one of the 0:01:49.600 --> 0:01:53.120 more underrated pictures of the eighties. But Micholas, look, he 0:01:53.160 --> 0:01:55.920 has been absolutely spectacular this year. And you know you 0:01:56.000 --> 0:01:58.840 are getting Jack Flaherty back today for the Cardinals. That's 0:01:59.000 --> 0:02:02.520 that's a big addition into this team, to the starting rotation. Now, 0:02:02.560 --> 0:02:05.040 if you're the Cardinals, you've got Miles Miiglass, You've got 0:02:05.240 --> 0:02:08.399 Adam Waynwright, You've got Flaherty back. You've got a chance 0:02:08.440 --> 0:02:10.880 to compete right now for this division long term. And 0:02:10.880 --> 0:02:13.040 they've already overtaken the Brewers. We'll see how long they 0:02:13.040 --> 0:02:15.360 can hold that spot. But he has been a revelation 0:02:15.480 --> 0:02:17.080 as a player. I have no shares of I'm just 0:02:17.120 --> 0:02:20.200 curious what's your take on his performance this year, because 0:02:20.200 --> 0:02:22.239 it has been nothing short of outstanding. Yeah. 0:02:22.240 --> 0:02:24.320 I actually have a decent amount of shares because it's 0:02:24.320 --> 0:02:26.920 just one of those cheap guys that you're able to 0:02:27.639 --> 0:02:29.200 you know, you're able to get in for back end 0:02:29.240 --> 0:02:32.399 of rotation stuff. You know, the strikeouts have never been there, 0:02:32.400 --> 0:02:35.520 but he's obviously become a completely different pitcher since you know, 0:02:35.560 --> 0:02:37.760 he came back over Stateside a couple of years ago. 0:02:38.360 --> 0:02:41.200 I don't think this is like a lynch pin to 0:02:41.320 --> 0:02:43.960 your offense type of guy or anything like that. I mean, 0:02:44.200 --> 0:02:47.320 like I said, the strikeouts have never been immaculate, but 0:02:47.360 --> 0:02:48.480 he's going deep in the games. 0:02:48.520 --> 0:02:50.760 We're seeing more of those guys. We're seeing more of 0:02:50.800 --> 0:02:52.200 those guys. You get eleven. 0:02:52.040 --> 0:02:57.880 Pictures pitchers, guys who pitch having success and being a frigation, 0:02:58.320 --> 0:03:00.600 not trying to strike out everybody pitching. 0:03:00.880 --> 0:03:03.239 It is odd that it's like old school baseball and 0:03:03.360 --> 0:03:06.440 just looking you know, at that performance this, I mean, 0:03:06.560 --> 0:03:08.840 you just don't see this that often. He had four 0:03:08.880 --> 0:03:13.640 different pitches that were double digit in percentile, and he 0:03:13.800 --> 0:03:16.640 was one percent away from having four different pitches be 0:03:16.800 --> 0:03:19.400 twenty percent of his repertoire. So I mean, like that 0:03:19.639 --> 0:03:22.639 is relatively incredible. I would throw out there too that 0:03:22.639 --> 0:03:25.280 that you know, the guy doesn't have the biggest stuff 0:03:25.320 --> 0:03:27.920 in the world. I think he was as I'm looking here. 0:03:28.040 --> 0:03:30.520 He did hit ninety six on the fastball, averaging around 0:03:30.600 --> 0:03:33.440 ninety three, same with the sinker, and he almost as 0:03:33.480 --> 0:03:36.720 a twenty mile pro hoor deviation between his lowest pitch, 0:03:37.080 --> 0:03:40.320 which is his curveball, and the highest on the fastball. 0:03:40.600 --> 0:03:44.080 You take that type of stuff with okay, spin you take, 0:03:44.160 --> 0:03:46.720 and you take four different pitches. You're mixing up you 0:03:46.800 --> 0:03:49.920 getting great results. Cardinals are wizards with what they do 0:03:50.000 --> 0:03:53.280 with pitchers. You have an incredible offense and defense that's 0:03:53.320 --> 0:03:56.480 around you as well. The Cardinals are the perfect recipe 0:03:56.520 --> 0:03:59.280 for success for even the middle line pitcher. 0:03:59.680 --> 0:04:02.720 And well, and yati or Molina has a lot to 0:04:02.760 --> 0:04:04.920 do with that. So he's all right, I forget about 0:04:04.920 --> 0:04:08.120 that boy. He's pretty good at baseball. Wilson Contreras is 0:04:08.160 --> 0:04:10.640 pretty good too. He went deep twice yesterday in a 0:04:10.720 --> 0:04:14.080 loss Luke Voight. I drove in five guys and it 0:04:14.120 --> 0:04:15.800 went over the Cubs. Remember yesterday, I was a little 0:04:15.800 --> 0:04:19.279 sketch on Manaya, Like I'm glad I was sketch on Manaya. 0:04:19.360 --> 0:04:21.400 I was not sketched on Gonsolin. He goes to eight 0:04:21.400 --> 0:04:22.880 to oh and went over the Angels. Look, I know 0:04:22.920 --> 0:04:26.039 it's it's sunshine and roses right now for Gonsolin. It look, 0:04:26.480 --> 0:04:28.320 it's not gonna be. He's not gonna be twenty and one. 0:04:28.600 --> 0:04:30.840 This is not gonna happen. Like, it's not gonna happen. 0:04:30.880 --> 0:04:33.200 It's going to come back around at some point. Chris 0:04:33.279 --> 0:04:36.840 Bassett spends eight shutout innings to win on Tuesday. Fun 0:04:36.839 --> 0:04:39.159 fact here, nobody has had more shutouts so far this 0:04:39.200 --> 0:04:41.280 year than the Mets. So that's a very interesting thing. 0:04:41.320 --> 0:04:44.520 That's telling you that they've got good defense, bullpen, starting, pitching, offense, 0:04:44.560 --> 0:04:46.839 the whole nine. Tyler Molly was one of our favorite 0:04:46.839 --> 0:04:48.600 pitchers yesterday. I told you he's been on a really 0:04:48.640 --> 0:04:50.960 good streak. He is pitching his way out of Cincinnati. 0:04:51.000 --> 0:04:54.960 He can help somebody. No decision, but twelve strikeouts, so 0:04:55.279 --> 0:04:57.560 really good. Nine shoutout innings for him. Zach Daniels. 0:04:57.680 --> 0:04:59.279 That was a perfect matchup, by the way, just throwing 0:04:59.320 --> 0:05:02.320 out with the diamond perfect matchup against the Diamondbacks, and 0:05:02.360 --> 0:05:05.760 he is underlying one of those guys even when he 0:05:05.760 --> 0:05:08.600 had like a six era, one of those guys that 0:05:08.640 --> 0:05:11.120 you wanted to make sure you got because all the 0:05:11.160 --> 0:05:13.840 Enderlanting strike cup measures there. He had eighteen swing and 0:05:13.920 --> 0:05:17.640 missus yesterday in that matchup, which you know, again pitching 0:05:17.680 --> 0:05:19.800 your way out. He will be one of those guys. 0:05:19.880 --> 0:05:22.039 He has very Joe Musgrove esque to me. It's like, 0:05:22.080 --> 0:05:24.120 get him out, put him on a good team, and 0:05:24.160 --> 0:05:26.039 all of a sudden he really has a chance to 0:05:26.040 --> 0:05:28.160 be elite if he can put it together a nightly basis. 0:05:28.200 --> 0:05:31.520 But he did face the Diamondbacks, who are strikeout machines. 0:05:31.560 --> 0:05:33.920 But yeah, come on, oh look it is and Zach 0:05:34.000 --> 0:05:37.280 Davies at the Diamondbacks, Bobbin's favorite pitcher went seven scorels 0:05:37.320 --> 0:05:39.320 sittings Logan Web struck out nine. It was good to 0:05:39.320 --> 0:05:41.240 see him have a solid outing, a really strong like 0:05:41.400 --> 0:05:43.839 I think everybody kind of needed a big Logan Web outing, 0:05:43.920 --> 0:05:47.400 so this was very good. Hazer's Agilar went Dong twice, 0:05:47.720 --> 0:05:51.320 Reyese Hoskins two home runs. That's who Bogmin picked yesterday. 0:05:51.320 --> 0:05:54.799 I believe Mayor picked him as well, So there you go. Also, 0:05:54.880 --> 0:05:57.680 the Boston Red Sox are going to be recalling Jared 0:05:57.760 --> 0:06:02.320 Duran and Corey Kaniebel will be pitching in lower leverage 0:06:02.360 --> 0:06:05.160 situations for the Phillies. Welsh, what do you make of this? 0:06:05.400 --> 0:06:06.120 I don't like that. 0:06:06.200 --> 0:06:08.760 Bridge, don't like that at all. 0:06:08.880 --> 0:06:13.400 My shares hate that. That's like nice speak for being like, well, 0:06:13.440 --> 0:06:15.640 you suck. You're out of the role and we can't 0:06:15.640 --> 0:06:17.800 put you in anything that's important. So we're gonna put 0:06:17.800 --> 0:06:19.760 you at the kids table. You're gonna the kids table 0:06:19.760 --> 0:06:22.880 in the sixth inning. Maybe we're down by six runs, 0:06:22.920 --> 0:06:26.000 that's where we're gonna go. That's not a good place 0:06:26.080 --> 0:06:26.279 to be. 0:06:26.400 --> 0:06:30.040 And because now we're now we're back into this rotating 0:06:30.200 --> 0:06:32.840 chair of again. We talked about trades so much. 0:06:33.200 --> 0:06:35.240 Philly would be in a great spot to just go 0:06:35.320 --> 0:06:37.440 get somebody locked down, you know, if they're not going 0:06:37.480 --> 0:06:41.200 to develop somebody or you know, maybe they they simply do. 0:06:41.440 --> 0:06:45.240 Exactly or Welsh, I mean, realistically, what what closers are 0:06:45.279 --> 0:06:47.360 out there available on the market that they could add 0:06:47.360 --> 0:06:50.719 on bad teams right now? And who's who's good enough 0:06:50.760 --> 0:06:51.360 to add. 0:06:51.160 --> 0:06:53.960 As David Bednar, Dave Bennar would be the number one. 0:06:54.000 --> 0:06:57.640 Darn Arwood Pirates, who's absolute they're trash and but it 0:06:57.640 --> 0:07:00.640 would take probably a king's ransom. But I if I'm 0:07:01.000 --> 0:07:03.719 a heavy competitive team and I don't have a steady, 0:07:03.920 --> 0:07:07.760 especially closer on my bullpen, they should go all out. 0:07:07.800 --> 0:07:09.960 They should pay the price of what it takes to get. 0:07:09.840 --> 0:07:13.080 A guy like that David Bednar on the Phillies. Listen, 0:07:13.200 --> 0:07:15.160 David Bednar has been awesome. 0:07:14.800 --> 0:07:16.760 This year and he's done on the Pirates. If you 0:07:16.840 --> 0:07:18.000 put Bednar. 0:07:17.880 --> 0:07:20.520 On the Phillies, on that type of team, you would 0:07:20.560 --> 0:07:25.720 probably have Bednar as a top five closer at first. 0:07:25.880 --> 0:07:28.679 I think at this point maybe not any maybe not better. 0:07:28.880 --> 0:07:31.840 So uh yeah, I think they should absolutely go to 0:07:31.880 --> 0:07:34.080 any team that does not have solidified closing that is 0:07:34.080 --> 0:07:36.960 a high end playoff team should be in Philly. That's 0:07:36.960 --> 0:07:38.840 not what you want to hear. This is not especially 0:07:38.840 --> 0:07:41.480 with the manager stuff. And you know a Harper tapered 0:07:41.520 --> 0:07:44.320 back a little bit like you want you want to roll, 0:07:44.400 --> 0:07:46.000 you want to roll, and they need to do that. 0:07:47.000 --> 0:07:49.320 Oh says Milanson's available. 0:07:49.440 --> 0:07:50.960 I was, I mean, I don't want to say it. 0:07:51.040 --> 0:07:52.760 Like on Obagman's line here, I didn't want. 0:07:52.600 --> 0:07:54.960 To say this is another guy. Mister Buster brings up Gregory. 0:07:55.000 --> 0:07:57.240 Soto's been great. I just don't think the Tigers want 0:07:57.240 --> 0:07:59.400 to deal him necessarily. I don't see them. 0:07:59.480 --> 0:08:01.920 But see I don't think and that's the problem. 0:08:02.040 --> 0:08:04.440 None of the even the loser of loser teams, they 0:08:04.440 --> 0:08:08.240 don't want to move these younger, controllable closers, right, but 0:08:08.360 --> 0:08:11.000 they understand that these are the assets and it's got 0:08:11.000 --> 0:08:13.080 to be a king's ransom. And what's interesting is the 0:08:13.120 --> 0:08:16.240 market has kind of moved a little bit into understanding 0:08:16.280 --> 0:08:18.960 you have to pay crazy prices for closers at this 0:08:19.080 --> 0:08:23.320 point unless teams are just willing to continuously develop, if 0:08:23.320 --> 0:08:25.440 they want to develop some of their other arms that 0:08:25.480 --> 0:08:27.520 they got starting pitchers that aren't working, and they want 0:08:27.560 --> 0:08:30.960 to do like how Boston was doing with how that's 0:08:31.280 --> 0:08:32.839 what you got to do. But Philly's not doing that, 0:08:33.000 --> 0:08:35.200 and Kennebel being out is bad news. 0:08:35.600 --> 0:08:39.600 In a bigger meta conversation, you know, Bedner, I don't 0:08:39.600 --> 0:08:42.199 have any Bendner's shares, but I do have Soto shares everywhere. 0:08:42.600 --> 0:08:44.160 And this was my whole thing to shares like I'm 0:08:44.200 --> 0:08:45.600 not paying Yeah, I know you were at the very 0:08:45.640 --> 0:08:47.960 other end of the spectrum paying for closer. I have not. 0:08:48.120 --> 0:08:50.480 I just I refuse to do it now at this point. 0:08:50.640 --> 0:08:52.120 And I'm just looking for the guys that I think 0:08:52.440 --> 0:08:56.160 are are more likely to just keep the job by default, 0:08:56.800 --> 0:08:59.559 and maybe they'll pleasantly surprise you and pitch well for 0:08:59.600 --> 0:09:02.240 a bad And Sodo's like the poster child for that 0:09:02.320 --> 0:09:05.160 strategy working out this year. He's been outstanding. All right, 0:09:05.200 --> 0:09:06.800 let's go to some of the injury nos. There's a 0:09:06.840 --> 0:09:09.080 lot to get to on here. Today he engine Rio 0:09:09.080 --> 0:09:10.880 out for the year officially with the elbow that is 0:09:10.920 --> 0:09:13.679 now official done. We knew it was coming. There you go. 0:09:13.800 --> 0:09:17.079 Wah wah wah. Anthony Rendon is aggravated his wrist again. 0:09:17.440 --> 0:09:19.560 For Anthony Rendel Man, I just feel terrible. FI guy 0:09:19.640 --> 0:09:22.560 can't stay on the field. Also, Astros had to place 0:09:22.600 --> 0:09:24.839 your boy Jeremy Penya on the injured list with a 0:09:24.920 --> 0:09:27.439 thumb issue. And a little bit of a bad news 0:09:27.520 --> 0:09:29.440 here for all of us who have investments in Fernando 0:09:29.520 --> 0:09:33.200 Teptis Junior. He has not been clear to resume swinging 0:09:33.200 --> 0:09:35.000 the bat yet. I guess the latest round of the 0:09:35.040 --> 0:09:36.959 imaging said that it hadn't healed to the point where 0:09:36.960 --> 0:09:40.280 they feel comfortable with that activity. So what was looking 0:09:40.320 --> 0:09:43.080 like things were progressing at a faster clip, Maybe have 0:09:43.160 --> 0:09:44.880 to slow down a little bit. So my guess is 0:09:45.520 --> 0:09:48.080 some time after the All Star break would be what what? 0:09:48.440 --> 0:09:50.120 I don't know if it's liking it right? Yeah, I 0:09:50.160 --> 0:09:52.200 don't have his bad news. I didn't necessarily look at 0:09:52.240 --> 0:09:52.840 it like it's. 0:09:53.240 --> 0:09:56.200 I guess it's not bad news. It's not the trajectory 0:09:56.280 --> 0:09:59.240 was starting to go in the early since now it's 0:09:59.280 --> 0:10:01.040 not so now yeah, because he's like a freak. 0:10:01.760 --> 0:10:04.240 He's a freak, and how in his recovery times and stuff. 0:10:04.240 --> 0:10:06.840 So I think when you saw, okay, he's gonna have imaging. 0:10:07.080 --> 0:10:09.839 He's been out there, here we go. But they just 0:10:09.840 --> 0:10:11.679 said it hasn't healed to the point they're taking it. 0:10:11.640 --> 0:10:12.200 Week by week. 0:10:12.240 --> 0:10:14.520 I will say, there's video out there that he was 0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:17.960 actually taking full on grounders in field stuff. Not anything insane, 0:10:18.040 --> 0:10:20.320 but you know, he was able to take the grounders 0:10:20.520 --> 0:10:23.800 do full throws. They had said he was doing it 0:10:23.840 --> 0:10:25.679 the other day and all he was simply doing was 0:10:25.720 --> 0:10:28.560 just taking the grounders and nothing else. This was like 0:10:28.679 --> 0:10:31.600 full on boom boom, get the ball, turn it back 0:10:31.679 --> 0:10:35.400 and throw. I think that's a really good sign. When 0:10:35.480 --> 0:10:38.880 they give him the go, he's going to fly. I 0:10:38.880 --> 0:10:40.680 don't think this is going to be a situation where 0:10:40.679 --> 0:10:43.240 they're like, all right, so go to complex, go to rookie. 0:10:43.320 --> 0:10:45.200 Now it's a ball, it's go to double. It's like, no, 0:10:45.360 --> 0:10:47.640 dude's been with the team the whole time. I wouldn't 0:10:47.679 --> 0:10:50.200 I honestly would not even be shocked if they're like, 0:10:50.240 --> 0:10:52.760 now we're not gonna even do a rehab stant We're 0:10:52.800 --> 0:10:54.480 just gonna put him out there. I really, really truly 0:10:54.480 --> 0:10:57.080 believe it would be crazy because of the time he's missed. 0:10:57.400 --> 0:11:00.760 But I don't know if it is that that you've 0:11:00.760 --> 0:11:03.000 got the All Star Game about a week away, about 0:11:03.040 --> 0:11:05.200 a month away. Not a week that'd be great, about 0:11:05.200 --> 0:11:07.680 a month away. I still kind of feel like it's 0:11:07.720 --> 0:11:10.520 going to be an after All Star break type of thing. 0:11:10.640 --> 0:11:12.920 But he's got to get some positive signs if that's 0:11:12.920 --> 0:11:13.480 going to happen. 0:11:13.760 --> 0:11:17.160 So yeah, yeah, he does. Frustrating because he's such as 0:11:17.160 --> 0:11:19.280 such a great talent, he's so fun to watch, and 0:11:19.679 --> 0:11:22.760 cannot have him on the field. It's tough, plus puts 0:11:22.760 --> 0:11:24.320 the Padres in this mad spot too. I think they 0:11:24.320 --> 0:11:26.440 were getting anxious to say, Okay, maybe we're ahead of schedule. 0:11:26.480 --> 0:11:28.120 Now we're not. Don't be surprised if they don't make 0:11:28.160 --> 0:11:30.280 a move for somebody. They need some more offense on 0:11:30.320 --> 0:11:33.040 that coler To. You think I mean, and he's an 0:11:33.080 --> 0:11:35.400 aggressive GM, you're one hundred percent right. All right, let's 0:11:35.400 --> 0:11:37.120 get to can we talk about this and let's talk 0:11:37.120 --> 0:11:40.760 about Bob Nightingale who tweeted Atlanta has well, you know 0:11:40.880 --> 0:11:43.959 we'll talk about his tweet. Yeah, Atlanta has pulverized the 0:11:44.040 --> 0:11:48.240 opposition ninety two to thirty nine in his last thirteen 0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:50.600 games that they won with a two seven eight ERA, 0:11:50.800 --> 0:11:53.520 leading all baseball with thirty two home runs. Now they've 0:11:53.559 --> 0:11:57.080 lost Albi's but still Welsh. He will eventually heal and 0:11:57.120 --> 0:11:59.880 come back. We talked a little bit yesterday just about 0:11:59.880 --> 0:12:01.640 like the win total of Braves, But today I want 0:12:01.679 --> 0:12:04.040 to talk about something else, which is their odds to 0:12:04.120 --> 0:12:06.920 win the National League, which is plus seven hundred. They 0:12:06.920 --> 0:12:09.280 are the defending champions. They are going to get Soroka back. 0:12:09.400 --> 0:12:12.360 They have that great pitching from Freed and Kyle Wright. 0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:17.679 They I mean obviously, you know, Kunya, Riley Olsen healthy, 0:12:17.679 --> 0:12:20.440 Albi's At some point, are we sleeping on the Braves 0:12:20.480 --> 0:12:21.800 a little bit? You know, all we talked about is 0:12:21.800 --> 0:12:23.800 the Mets and the Dodgers in the National League, and 0:12:24.000 --> 0:12:26.560 those guys are we're talking about plus two twenty and 0:12:26.600 --> 0:12:29.000 the consensus of betting pros plus three fifty for the Mets, 0:12:29.000 --> 0:12:31.640 plus two twenty for the Dodgers. That's the consensus line. 0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:34.200 But the Braves, the Braves that are still seven to one. 0:12:34.240 --> 0:12:36.400 That's a really solid number for a smaller investment. Do 0:12:36.440 --> 0:12:36.960 you agree? 0:12:37.280 --> 0:12:39.400 Yeah, I mean I was. I was preseason Braves. 0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:40.839 I didn't think the Mets were going to be as 0:12:40.840 --> 0:12:43.720 good as they are five games back, so, like you know, 0:12:43.760 --> 0:12:45.880 you have Philly underperformed. We just talked about Philly and 0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:48.680 the bullpen and just everything. They're nine and a half 0:12:48.760 --> 0:12:50.760 games back from the Mets, four and a half down 0:12:50.840 --> 0:12:53.559 from the Braves. The Marlins have been you know, wishy 0:12:53.720 --> 0:12:57.120 washy Nationals out of it. It's it really looks like 0:12:57.200 --> 0:13:00.440 it's a two horse race. I hit eight Albi's out. 0:13:00.480 --> 0:13:03.120 I really hate it for this team, especially when you 0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:08.440 get a Kunya back. I do love the the performance 0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:10.920 like the upping performance of some of the pitching, like 0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:13.480 Spencer Strider has come in and really benefited this team. 0:13:13.520 --> 0:13:17.679 Michael Harris has obviously been really solid. I think this 0:13:17.760 --> 0:13:19.280 is a bet you can make. I don't think this 0:13:19.400 --> 0:13:21.520 is a safe man's bet, you know. I think there's 0:13:21.520 --> 0:13:23.000 a lot of people that approach gamble. 0:13:22.880 --> 0:13:25.040 It's a small investment. I mean, you put twenty bucks 0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:26.599 on this, you win one forty if it does, I 0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:28.760 mean twenty bucks is going to break you. Yeah, But 0:13:28.800 --> 0:13:30.480 I don't think the way I look at this investment. 0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:32.520 But I don't think a lot of people. I mean 0:13:32.559 --> 0:13:34.920 it's all balanced. I don't know how many people they're 0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:37.440 big in anything they do in gambling is based on 0:13:37.520 --> 0:13:40.680 all futures. You know, we're talking like simply futures here. 0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:42.679 If you like to okay, so here's a better way 0:13:42.720 --> 0:13:45.000 to put it. If you are a futures person and 0:13:45.040 --> 0:13:47.480 you really like to dabble in futures, this is a 0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:50.400 great bet. Is this the bet that's jumping out at 0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:52.120 you and you should and you don't really do futures, 0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:54.840 and you should do it? I think if you like 0:13:54.920 --> 0:13:58.520 to play really risky, yeah, absolutely, because it's a great Payday. 0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:00.520 I just don't like it's a you want to play 0:14:00.600 --> 0:14:01.400 really risky. 0:14:01.640 --> 0:14:03.520 I don't even know if it's really risky. Plus fourteen 0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:06.360 hundred Cardinals are fascinating. I mean that's double what the 0:14:06.360 --> 0:14:09.000 Braves are. I'm just saying like, now's an interesting time. 0:14:09.520 --> 0:14:12.600 To win the Oh National League. 0:14:12.640 --> 0:14:16.440 Yah ye yeah, Well fourteen National fourteen one, fourteen to 0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:18.679 one right now, that's a consensus betting pro's line. They're 0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:21.000 thirteen to one on FanDuel, but bet MGM as a 0:14:21.080 --> 0:14:23.400 fourteen to one, DK has him a fourteen to one. 0:14:23.400 --> 0:14:26.240 It's just it's an interesting conversation that, you know, despite 0:14:26.280 --> 0:14:28.960 losing Albi's too, you know, seven to one is still 0:14:28.960 --> 0:14:31.160 really good. Number fourteen it is extraordinary. And I think 0:14:31.320 --> 0:14:33.440 you want to talk about a cake division. The National 0:14:33.480 --> 0:14:35.160 League Central is the cake division. The Cubs are terrible, 0:14:35.160 --> 0:14:36.840 the Pirates are terrible, The Reds are getting rid of 0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:39.120 every way they can. I bet d is not the 0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:41.280 off that team. Drury's another guy too that I think 0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:43.280 is going to help a contender. Somebody's gonna want him. 0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:45.480 It always reminds me of you know, how like you know, 0:14:45.600 --> 0:14:48.240 as Drubal Cabrera was always a player that was useful 0:14:48.280 --> 0:14:51.000 to teams. I feel like Drewi's that guy. He's versatile, 0:14:51.200 --> 0:14:53.600 you can play different spots, swings are pretty good bad, 0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:55.200 He's been in the league a long time. He's a pro. 0:14:55.800 --> 0:14:58.720 He's like at that Asdrubal Cabrera kind of quality about him. 0:14:58.840 --> 0:15:01.960 I'll bet you Cardinals Division for Central is like minus 0:15:01.960 --> 0:15:04.360 three hundred. There are three of the five teams in 0:15:04.400 --> 0:15:08.080 the division are one and nine over the last ten games, 0:15:08.120 --> 0:15:10.520 one and nine, and the Reds are five and five. 0:15:10.600 --> 0:15:12.880 So there's not a team over five hundred in the. 0:15:12.840 --> 0:15:15.880 Central plus one ten to win the division right now, 0:15:15.920 --> 0:15:20.080 the division that's there's still plus plus and a half. 0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:21.280 That feels like free money. 0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:24.600 What are Brewers are minus one seventy seven consensus still. 0:15:25.560 --> 0:15:27.400 One and nine in the last ten two What are 0:15:27.400 --> 0:15:30.680 the Braid for the East. 0:15:30.560 --> 0:15:33.920 The Braves for the East? Just to answer that question, 0:15:34.040 --> 0:15:36.160 let's take a look here. Well, the Mets are minus 0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:38.680 two thirty five because they sure they have patted the 0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:40.960 plus two fifty the Braves for the East. 0:15:41.760 --> 0:15:44.320 Okay, and then five they're five back. Yeah, that's fine. 0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:45.960 I like the Cardinals bet way more than I like 0:15:46.000 --> 0:15:46.920 the Braves. Bet four. 0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:49.800 Uh if you wanted to take that risk for the 0:15:49.960 --> 0:15:53.080 entire n L. The Braves and the Cardinals, both for 0:15:53.160 --> 0:15:54.960 the division, I think are fun bets as well. 0:15:55.560 --> 0:15:57.520 Another fun one too. I mean this is fantasy, it's 0:15:57.560 --> 0:16:00.720 also betting. Is Paul Goldmian Okay, I mean I've been 0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:02.600 harping on the Paul Goldschman. I told everybody I made 0:16:02.640 --> 0:16:04.600 investment in Goldsman. I told you on Friday, Right, it's 0:16:04.800 --> 0:16:06.560 time to go move into the gold Schmidth for n 0:16:06.680 --> 0:16:10.480 L MVP conversation. Nine plus hits, nine plus RBI, six 0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:13.160 plus runs scored, five extra base hits, four plus one run, 0:16:13.280 --> 0:16:15.960 zero strikeouts over a two day span. The only other 0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:20.000 guy to do that ty Cobb in nineteen twenty five. 0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:22.360 It's the last time anyone had the runner. 0:16:22.440 --> 0:16:24.160 He's good. He's good. 0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:26.600 Yeah, Paul, And I remember last year after he started 0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:29.240 slow and that, people were like, oh no. And you know, 0:16:29.480 --> 0:16:31.600 you talk about Goldschman and Arnado with the corners. You 0:16:31.640 --> 0:16:33.680 see what the Cardinals have done. Cardinals are one of 0:16:33.720 --> 0:16:36.280 the best organizations in baseball history. I mean, it's just 0:16:36.360 --> 0:16:39.520 unbelievable how they want if Tyler O'Neill reinvent themselves and if. 0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:42.000 Tyler O'Neill can come back, you know, you just recently 0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:43.760 came back from injury. If he can come back and. 0:16:43.720 --> 0:16:46.080 Just ca Carlson's hitting now to all of a sudden. 0:16:45.920 --> 0:16:46.800 Too, Carlston's hitting. 0:16:46.840 --> 0:16:50.400 If O'Neil gets back into form, they're massively a problem. 0:16:50.440 --> 0:16:52.160 They are massive, massively a problem. 0:16:52.600 --> 0:16:56.080 This is a fun one here. The Astros are fourteen hundred. 0:16:56.160 --> 0:16:57.200 Are you really? 0:16:57.640 --> 0:16:59.680 I hope they are. I hope that's a real Is 0:16:59.720 --> 0:17:01.400 that a real number? Give me the real number? 0:17:01.600 --> 0:17:04.480 No? Oh, no, it is the consensus Lies buys fourteen 0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:07.760 Hundred's right, they're eight and a half, well minus twelve 0:17:07.800 --> 0:17:08.560 at bet MGM. 0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:12.000 I want to point this out. This is how bad. 0:17:12.280 --> 0:17:14.640 Okay, this is one of the things why we can 0:17:14.640 --> 0:17:16.840 continue having We won't, but we can continue having this 0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:21.400 so tawy MVP situation. The Angels are third in the division. There, 0:17:21.800 --> 0:17:24.040 it's a big number, but they're still only nine and 0:17:24.080 --> 0:17:26.600 a half back from the Astros. On June fifteenth, and 0:17:26.680 --> 0:17:29.240 the and the Astros are minus fourteen. 0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:31.120 They're fourteen to one. 0:17:32.119 --> 0:17:36.879 A negative vegas like fire manager. Hundred vegas senses blood 0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:39.600 in the water when you fire a manager and they're right, 0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:44.400 that's why they build those hotels. Okay, they build these 0:17:44.400 --> 0:17:47.600 hotels off of good data that typically when you fire 0:17:47.600 --> 0:17:50.240 a manager, things do not go well. Every now and 0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:53.120 then it does, but the vast majority means there's a problem. Also, 0:17:53.160 --> 0:17:55.400 shout out to this is like the love of the Cardinals. 0:17:55.480 --> 0:17:58.080 Go Cards? Is loving the show today? Go Cards? Oh yeah, 0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:00.880 I mean, come on, you gotta love this. Yeah. At 0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:03.639