1 00:00:01,960 --> 00:00:06,480 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:09,400 Speaker 1: The regular season is in the rear view and conference 3 00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:13,160 Speaker 1: championships are upon us. We'll take a first look making 4 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:16,960 Speaker 1: our early picks and line movement predictions for all nine matchups. 5 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,079 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and I guess it's true, folks, 6 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: even blind squirrels can find a nut once in a while. 7 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 1: As I'm coming off my first perfect card of the season, 8 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 1: going four to zero in Rivalry week, as someone else 9 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 1: who is also seeing the field at an all time 10 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 1: level heading into the postseason is the one and only 11 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:36,559 Speaker 1: Scott bog and Boggs. How are you coming off the 12 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 1: final full slate of action? 13 00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 2: Ah? 14 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:42,159 Speaker 3: Great, I'm doing great. Look put us in the playoffs. 15 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 3: Don't put us in the playoffs. I don't care. We'll 16 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 3: sit at home and watch A and M lose the 17 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:49,919 Speaker 3: first time they play a game in the playoffs. We'll 18 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 3: sit at home and watch Oklahoma have no offense in 19 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 3: the playoffs. That's fine by me. My team beat both 20 00:00:57,000 --> 00:01:01,639 Speaker 3: those squads. They beat Bandy as well. Look people want 21 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 3: to say, hey, look, you're punishing them for playing. They 22 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 3: lost to Florida. I get it. Don't put them in. 23 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 3: Sure the same thing happened to Bama last year as well, 24 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 3: don't put him in. I don't care. 25 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:12,559 Speaker 2: Nothing can ruin my mood. 26 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:17,119 Speaker 3: I was twenty seven years old, twenty seven the last 27 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,560 Speaker 3: time A and M beat Texas, we didn't play them 28 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 3: after they went to the SEC because the little cry 29 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:25,279 Speaker 3: babies and didn't want to play. So just little brother 30 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 3: continues to be little brother. It's the way it will 31 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 3: always be. Seth So beating A and M is honestly 32 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:35,399 Speaker 3: it's what matters to me. So I would love to 33 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:39,679 Speaker 3: snake into the playoffs specifically because it would upset everybody 34 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 3: so much if the Longhorns did it. They're not going 35 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:45,040 Speaker 3: to do that, just like they didn't let Alabama in 36 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 3: last year. They set the president last year, they're not 37 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:52,000 Speaker 3: going to change it for Texas this year. So cancel 38 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 3: the Ohio State game next year and play Tennessee Tech. 39 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 3: I don't care. Do whatever you want, but nothing's going 40 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 3: to ruin my mood. My record was great, beat the Aggies. 41 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 3: That's all that matters to me. 42 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,280 Speaker 1: Well, I know it was just a Thanksgiving week, but 43 00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:07,840 Speaker 1: it felt like Christmas to you. I am sure so 44 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: very happy that you're in a great mood. I am, 45 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:13,240 Speaker 1: as well as the Penn State and any Lions. We're 46 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 1: going bawling baby once again. Really looking forward to this 47 00:02:17,360 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: week as well, Bogs. This is always one of my 48 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 1: favorite shows because we get to really put an emphasis 49 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 1: on these G five programs that I know, I care 50 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:25,800 Speaker 1: a whole heck of a lot. I know there's that 51 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 1: whole sub niche of Twitter that cares a lot about 52 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:31,239 Speaker 1: these teams as well, and it's followed by Bull season 53 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:34,239 Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff as well. I will say, though, 54 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:37,080 Speaker 1: this does feel a little bit like a weird year 55 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: where a lot of these conferences feel like we didn't 56 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: really get the best teams advancing like pour one out 57 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:45,240 Speaker 1: to anyone who's a fan, or a better Miami Toledo. 58 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: They got left out Western Kentucky, New Mexico, just to 59 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: name a few. I feel like, are some of those 60 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:51,799 Speaker 1: teams that they didn't get left out? 61 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:55,360 Speaker 3: They didn't win, they didn't get there, they were not 62 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 3: left out. They had an opportunity to make it and 63 00:02:57,160 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 3: they didn't. 64 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 1: Well, I guess you're right. I guess you're right, But 65 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:04,679 Speaker 1: I think there's something too, like the eye test and 66 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 1: seeing that these teams were probably the best. And yeah, 67 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:09,799 Speaker 1: some of the tiebreakers too, Like I'd look to see 68 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of a refresh in some of 69 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 1: these conference tiebreakers. 70 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 3: It's just like some day teams had very weird they 71 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 3: the common opponents and all that stuff. Yeah, maybe something 72 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:23,520 Speaker 3: a little more clear. You're right, but I mean, look 73 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 3: in the end, it's, uh, we won, they lost, we're in. 74 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:31,080 Speaker 2: That's it. Like I have no sympathy for anybody that 75 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 2: didn't make it. 76 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:34,080 Speaker 3: Look, nobody's gonna give Textas sympathy for not making Nobody 77 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 3: gave Alabama sympathy for not making it last year. 78 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 2: Right, that's just the way it breaks. 79 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 3: So when the games you put in front of you, 80 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 3: and by the way, you do your own schedule, so 81 00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 3: you know, so for the most part, your your non conference, 82 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 3: you have all the control overs. 83 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 2: Souh. You can do that anyway you want. 84 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: No sympathy sympathy for those left behind is Scott Boghan. 85 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: He's on a war path. 86 00:03:56,400 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 2: No sympathy for anybody left behind, right, So on. 87 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 1: The plane or you're not coming as on here. Today's 88 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 1: program does look like this, folks. We're gonna recap all 89 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 1: the week fourteen action in the betting risers, the betting followers, 90 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 1: Plus we'll give you an early handicap for every single 91 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 1: conference championship matchup happening on Friday and Saturday. And as always, 92 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 1: shout to everyone who's still swinging with us on the 93 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,839 Speaker 1: BP YouTube channel or the audio feed. Thank you so 94 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: much for all sports so far this season. Please just 95 00:04:25,320 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 1: just a quick favor give this video a thumbs up 96 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,120 Speaker 1: if you enjoy this type of content. Also make sure 97 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 1: you're subscribing to the channel if you're new, so you 98 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 1: don't miss a moment of CFB and NFL betting coverage 99 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: for the rest of the way. Now, let's go ahead 100 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:40,359 Speaker 1: and look back at what we learned from rivalry week. 101 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 1: Navy beats Memphis twenty eight to seventeen on Thanksgiving. Number 102 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 1: two Indiana Cruises pass per due fifty six to three. 103 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: Number seven Ole miss takes care business against the Mississippi 104 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 1: State Bulldogs thirty eight nineteen in the Egg Bowl before 105 00:04:55,880 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: head coach Lane Kiffin departs for LSU Georgia. They win, 106 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 1: but failed to cover against number twenty three Georgia Tech 107 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:06,599 Speaker 1: and clean old fashioned hate. Number twenty five Arizona wins 108 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:09,680 Speaker 1: the duel in the Desert twenty three seven over the 109 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:13,560 Speaker 1: number twenty Arizona State Wildcats or Sun Devils, excuse me. 110 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:16,839 Speaker 1: And then at number thirteen Utah they survived Kansas thirty 111 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:20,720 Speaker 1: one twenty one. Your number sixteen Texas Longhorns, they upset 112 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: number three Texas A and m twenty seven to seventeen 113 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 1: in the Lode Stars showdown. Number one Ohio State, they 114 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 1: beat Michigan twenty seven to nine for the first time 115 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:32,479 Speaker 1: in the last four years. In the game. Number five 116 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:36,120 Speaker 1: Texas Tech. They don't blink against West Virginia forty nine 117 00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 1: to zero. Number six Oregan wins and covers twenty six 118 00:05:39,160 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 1: to sixteen against Washington in the Border War. Number eight 119 00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:47,679 Speaker 1: Oklahoma they squeaked past LSU seventeen thirteen. Number twelve Miami 120 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 1: they upended number twenty two Pit thirty eight to seven. 121 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 1: We also had number fourteen Vanderbilt. They keep their college 122 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 1: football hopes alive with a forty five to twenty four 123 00:05:57,360 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 1: win over number nineteen Tennessee Cal ups that's number twenty 124 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,919 Speaker 1: one SMU thirty one, thirty eight to thirty five and 125 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 1: really shaking up the ACC Championship Conference as well. And 126 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: then we had number ten Alabama outlast Auburn twenty seven 127 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:15,320 Speaker 1: to twenty and an Iron Bowl thriller for the AGAs Bogs, 128 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:18,600 Speaker 1: Betting risers, betting followers for you in rivalry week. 129 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:22,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, luckily fifty percent of these teams are 130 00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 3: removed from the pool now right that we're done, all 131 00:06:25,839 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 3: the bottom feeders are done, bye bye. 132 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:29,400 Speaker 2: So we like that. 133 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:33,160 Speaker 3: But I mean, it's not surprising that Texas won number 134 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 3: one because of batter Aggie syndrome. 135 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 2: They'll just you. 136 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:38,800 Speaker 3: Know, they can't have a perfect season all the way through. 137 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:41,159 Speaker 2: It's just the way the Aggies are built. But number two. 138 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 3: The Aggie schedule is also very very They played nobody 139 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 3: in the SEC, like for an SEC schedule. This is 140 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 3: what it was before they faced Texas, Auburn, Mississippi State, Florida, Arkansas, LSU, Missouri, 141 00:06:55,120 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 3: South Carolina. So no Alabama, No, no Vanderbilt, Yeah, no Georgia. 142 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 3: So they played all the bottom feeders in the SEC 143 00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 3: this year and wound up with this undefeated record. The 144 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 3: first time they played somebody tough on the road, they lost. 145 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 3: So because there they're road games at LSU at you know, 146 00:07:14,040 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 3: Missouri is a good squad and they were very impressive 147 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 3: against Missouri thirty eight to seventeen. They're still a very 148 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 3: good team, but it wasn't surprising. So I do look 149 00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 3: forward to betting against the Aggies in the playoff. That 150 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:28,240 Speaker 3: will be fun. Utah with the big win. I mean, 151 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 3: no one's surprised at Ole miss won that game going away. 152 00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 3: Georgia Georgia Tech was a close, scrappy game like it 153 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 3: has been the last few times as well. Indiana blew 154 00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 3: the doors off of Produce and no surprise there. I 155 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:43,840 Speaker 3: was surprised to see Arizona State get beat so bad. 156 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:45,960 Speaker 3: I thought that game was going to be closer and 157 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 3: low scoring. I had the under. I was easily right 158 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 3: about that because it was forty eight and a half. 159 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, and they scored. 160 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:53,800 Speaker 1: Sims Experience fans Virginia right. 161 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 2: He is rough. 162 00:07:55,960 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 3: Ohio State finally said let's just play our games. Try 163 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 3: to get in the dirt with Michigan. Three years ago, 164 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,040 Speaker 3: they couldn't beat them. Last year they tried to beat 165 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:07,400 Speaker 3: them and embarrass him and it they got beat. So 166 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 3: they just went with their own game. In one, Texas 167 00:08:09,840 --> 00:08:11,520 Speaker 3: Tech is by far the best team in the Big twelve. 168 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 3: We'll talk about that later. BYU just I don't understand. 169 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 3: It's been like six weeks in a row, seth, where 170 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 3: the money has been on the team playing against BYU 171 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 3: every week, and I have just swept up. 172 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:29,800 Speaker 2: Money laying the points with BYU. So love that. 173 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 3: Tennessee's the defense has been fraudulent all year. USC needed 174 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:37,720 Speaker 3: two more points to cover my spread. Those jerks didn't 175 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 3: like that, and Pitt got beat just like they did 176 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 3: when they played Notre Dame, which is kind of what 177 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 3: I thought was gonna happen there. I was surprised Washington 178 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:48,840 Speaker 3: played as close with Oregon and kept it low scoring, 179 00:08:48,880 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 3: but Oregon obviously. 180 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, we were on the team total under right, so 181 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:54,280 Speaker 1: ye'd right into our hand with that one. 182 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 3: Yeah we got that one. So yeah, good week overall 183 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:01,200 Speaker 3: for betting. And like you said, we're seeing the well 184 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:03,120 Speaker 3: just in time enough for the regular season to. 185 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 2: End in ball games to reshape rosters. 186 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 3: So it's gonna be more difficult once we get to 187 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:10,760 Speaker 3: the ball games, but of course we're going to be 188 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:13,560 Speaker 3: here covering everything on a weekly basis, just like we 189 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 3: do here. 190 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:17,000 Speaker 1: I have to say too before we move forward. Two things. 191 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 1: First of all, can Iowa State be a riser because 192 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,760 Speaker 1: they feel like they while they haven't played, you know, 193 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:25,840 Speaker 1: anyone sensational out of the Big ten yet, Michigan was 194 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 1: a really good competition for him. And I'm really. 195 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:31,440 Speaker 2: Happy for ryand the Ray and two yeah, and how. 196 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 1: They handled that, like it was a very win with 197 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 1: humility type of situation. Michigan was saying, you're not getting 198 00:09:36,160 --> 00:09:38,560 Speaker 1: anywhere near the middle of the field. They're backing up 199 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 1: the equipment trucks over it and everything. And like Bo Jackson, 200 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:45,319 Speaker 1: though coming on strong is kind of giving this team 201 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 1: that late close out punch, the knockout that they needed. 202 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:51,920 Speaker 1: Carnel Tait is also become an absolute stud across from 203 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:54,200 Speaker 1: Jeremiah Smith. And I just want to say too, like 204 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 1: Ole Miss, they looked great in the Egg Bowl. Obviously 205 00:09:57,679 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 1: they're a foller for me moving forward because they won't 206 00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 1: have Lane Kiffin likely not gonna have some of that 207 00:10:01,720 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 1: staff the rest of the way as well. And also 208 00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:06,400 Speaker 1: like shame on Keith carter Man and everyone dunking on 209 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,960 Speaker 1: Lane because like, in my mind, I'm not blaming Lane 210 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 1: Kiffin for this decision because this is a product of 211 00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 1: a broken calendar we have in college football. And it's 212 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:17,120 Speaker 1: also not like he did not want to coach this 213 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 1: team the rest of the way through. They wouldn't let him, 214 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:24,280 Speaker 1: So I think we need to go back to You can't. 215 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:27,199 Speaker 3: No, you can't, because what he's gonna do is that 216 00:10:27,280 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 3: they recruit all your players for the next month to 217 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:32,319 Speaker 3: go into the transfer portal because they get they get 218 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 3: to leave whenever they lose. They don't have to go 219 00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:38,040 Speaker 3: in the winter, So you get all that time for 220 00:10:38,120 --> 00:10:40,839 Speaker 3: him to talk. And they're in the same conference. 221 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:42,080 Speaker 1: North Texas did it to Lane, did it? 222 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:43,199 Speaker 2: Yeah, but they don't. 223 00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:45,360 Speaker 3: They don't play in the same conference as their team 224 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 3: is going to. And you're taking those guys anyway, right, 225 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 3: Like that's kind of when you're North Texas. You know 226 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 3: when a guy leaves, he's taken his players anyway. Uh, 227 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:57,920 Speaker 3: you know you can't let them do that at Old Miss. 228 00:10:57,920 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 3: You cannot let him have this leeway to recruit for 229 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:04,480 Speaker 3: another team while he's handling your team and recruit these 230 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 3: players actively while he's coaching them. I understand Old Miss 231 00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 3: throwing his stuff out into the street. You and I 232 00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:13,120 Speaker 3: had this discussion. We both look about. 233 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: Everyone flipping off the plane and tell him to go 234 00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:16,720 Speaker 1: f himself. As as he's flying off. 235 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 2: And there should have been more people there. 236 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:22,959 Speaker 3: Oh my god, you get this opportunity, you have this 237 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:25,520 Speaker 3: team at number six. This is everything you've worked your 238 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,960 Speaker 3: life to get to. You're on the doorstep right there, 239 00:11:29,040 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 3: and you're gonna leave and go to LSU. I mean, look, 240 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:34,960 Speaker 3: Alabama's gonna fire, Kaylen to Bour in three years. Just 241 00:11:34,960 --> 00:11:39,040 Speaker 3: go to Alabama when that job. So that's been waiting 242 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:42,079 Speaker 3: for Honestly, I think it probably should have been. So 243 00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:46,559 Speaker 3: I just I don't I understand. It's more money than 244 00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 3: any other coach. It's the nil guarantee, like it is 245 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:52,840 Speaker 3: the cushiest job that you can have. Sure's still a 246 00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 3: very difficult job and they will run your ass right 247 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 3: out of town if you don't win in the next 248 00:11:56,880 --> 00:12:00,200 Speaker 3: three years, like they did to Brian Kelly. So I 249 00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:02,720 Speaker 3: think you should have stated it all miss But if 250 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 3: you're all missed, you cannot This is not tenable. You 251 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:08,440 Speaker 3: cannot allow this dude to recruit all of these coaches 252 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 3: and all these players and drag them away. Yes, of 253 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:13,600 Speaker 3: course he wanted to coach, but you can't have your 254 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:14,320 Speaker 3: cake and eat it too. 255 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 2: It's just it's there's no way for it. 256 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:19,880 Speaker 1: So well, Lane, I appreciate you covering one more time 257 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:21,360 Speaker 1: for me. And the Egg Bowl is a big one, 258 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:24,000 Speaker 1: so thank you for that. Good luck and bat and 259 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 1: ruge baby in. 260 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:28,480 Speaker 3: Week one next year and they play at Ole Miss 261 00:12:28,480 --> 00:12:30,679 Speaker 3: and at tempt Oh, that's gonna be fun. 262 00:12:31,400 --> 00:12:33,400 Speaker 1: I love it. Let's get it up here, though, Boggs. 263 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:36,319 Speaker 1: Let's jump right in with the early picks and line 264 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:39,880 Speaker 1: movement predictions, starting with the Conference USA Championship game, which 265 00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 1: is kicking off from Jacksonville, Alabama, at seven pm Eastern 266 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:47,240 Speaker 1: Time on Friday night. As CUSA games tend to do, 267 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: we've already actually seen this one flip with the nine 268 00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:52,719 Speaker 1: to three Kennesas State owls now favored by one and 269 00:12:52,760 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 1: a half points over the eight and four Jacksonville State 270 00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:58,800 Speaker 1: game cops. Both teams are seven to one in conference 271 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 1: play coming Inacksonville State. They beat Kanessa State all the 272 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: way back on November fifteenth, thirty five, twenty six, and 273 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 1: their only conference loss came against FIU a couple weeks ago. 274 00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:11,080 Speaker 1: I was on them on the money line that day 275 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:13,320 Speaker 1: and it was one of those where they just had 276 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 1: the game in hand, They're about to go up two scores. 277 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:18,080 Speaker 1: They fumbled the ball. They lost the lead. They're going 278 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 1: back down the field and they fumbled it again. The 279 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:23,800 Speaker 1: game Cocks are six and six ATS, heavily relying on 280 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:27,360 Speaker 1: their top three rushing attack led by nation leading running 281 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:30,880 Speaker 1: back Cam Cook and dole threat quarterback Caden Kreele. The 282 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:34,600 Speaker 1: Owls meanwhile, they're in this game despite being just their 283 00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:37,560 Speaker 1: second year at the FBS level. It's been crazy. Kansaw 284 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 1: was a team last year box we were really picking 285 00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:42,200 Speaker 1: on in the betting markets. Their seven to four and 286 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:45,840 Speaker 1: one ATS this season. They're led by quarterback Amari Odom 287 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 1: who he sits a top the CUSA right now in 288 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 1: yards per attempt, completion percentage, and efficiency raiding his wide 289 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:58,120 Speaker 1: receiver one Gabriel Benyard also not only leads the conference 290 00:13:58,120 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 1: in receiving yards and touchdowns, but also return yards. This 291 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:04,719 Speaker 1: guy's a weapon on special team. So, Boggs, where does 292 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 1: the line head from here? And do you have an 293 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 1: early play? 294 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be on Jacksonville State. The money 295 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:12,839 Speaker 3: and tickets right now are on Jacksonville State, So I 296 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 3: don't think it moves too much from this one and 297 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:18,480 Speaker 3: a half, right. But for me, we saw this game 298 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 3: recently November fifteenth. You mentioned it before thirty five twenty six. 299 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 3: This game, I don't know that much has changed here, 300 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:31,160 Speaker 3: but in that game, your boy mariotom through four picks 301 00:14:31,240 --> 00:14:33,240 Speaker 3: and he has not thrown a pick since that game. 302 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 3: So I think I'm gonna lean towards Kannessas State to 303 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 3: win this game. I think the rain in this game 304 00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:44,280 Speaker 3: that's projected could have it, you know, just it's rain 305 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 3: with light wind, which rain with light wind means cornerback 306 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 3: slipping tacklers, slipping guys breaking tackles a little bit easier typically, 307 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 3: So I leaned towards the over more. But I think 308 00:14:55,360 --> 00:14:57,600 Speaker 3: I kind of like Kannessas State in this matchup. I 309 00:14:57,600 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 3: think if we get the same type of performance without 310 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 3: the four turnovers, because they had over five hundred yards 311 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:06,360 Speaker 3: against Jacksonville State in the last game, I think Kennsaw 312 00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 3: can win this game. Which is crazy to think about 313 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 3: them coming into the FBS last year in winning COSA 314 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 3: year two, which is just crazy after all the changes 315 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:21,080 Speaker 3: they made. But they're on the doorstep right here. 316 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:24,280 Speaker 1: Yeah. I will tell you this that I have backed 317 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 1: Jacksonville State three separate times this season on two and 318 00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 1: one doing so, including that Kanessas State game. I wanted 319 00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 1: to get invested fully with just taking them, especially with 320 00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 1: them on the other side of it catching some points. However, 321 00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:38,960 Speaker 1: I went a different direction. I actually already locked in 322 00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 1: the team total over twenty and a half points because 323 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 1: Kansas State's ninety eighth ranked rushing defense is going to 324 00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: be no match for Cam cook Man. This guy is 325 00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 1: the real dang deal. Like, he is absolutely awesome. He's 326 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:52,880 Speaker 1: going to make a power for team very happy next 327 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 1: year when he transfers out of Jacksonville State and Kennesaw 328 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:59,360 Speaker 1: has been getting into these close, high scoring games all 329 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 1: year long because their defense absolutely is lacking. Jack State 330 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:06,640 Speaker 1: has cleared this number in six of eight CUSA games. Also, 331 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 1: Kanessas State's last three games, their opponents have gone over 332 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,880 Speaker 1: this total average thirty seven points in that span. So Box, 333 00:16:12,960 --> 00:16:15,520 Speaker 1: I just like Jacksonville State, especially with maybe a little 334 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:17,840 Speaker 1: bit of weather, to lean on their best players and 335 00:16:17,920 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 1: creel and cook and go ahead and run it all 336 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:22,720 Speaker 1: over Kanessas State. Can they keep it close? Can Kannessas 337 00:16:22,760 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 1: even win this game? I think they can. I'm with 338 00:16:24,480 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: you there, So I'm just gonna go ahead and take 339 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 1: the team total. It's been one of my favorite markets 340 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:29,400 Speaker 1: to play in most profitable markets. 341 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:32,760 Speaker 3: All season long, conference championships you do. You never know 342 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 3: which way is going to go, and Cook has looked great. 343 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 3: So this is not my favorite game, but I think 344 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:41,240 Speaker 3: without the turnovers, I'm gonna take Kennesaw State. So I 345 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:43,280 Speaker 3: like that We're on opposite sides here. 346 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:45,680 Speaker 1: Yeah. I like betting on good players, right, and I 347 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 1: think Cook is the best player in this game. So 348 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 1: that's where I'm going next. Let's head to Harrisonburg, Virginia, 349 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:54,760 Speaker 1: where the Sun Belt Championship game also kicks off at 350 00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 1: seven pm Eastern time on Friday night. The nineteenth rank 351 00:16:58,240 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 1: James Madison Dukes are between a two twenty one and 352 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:02,520 Speaker 1: a half in a twenty two and a half point 353 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 1: favorite against the eight and four Troy Trojans. JAMU undefeated 354 00:17:07,560 --> 00:17:10,320 Speaker 1: in conference play eight and four ats this season. They've 355 00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:13,480 Speaker 1: won ten straight games out right as well, and their 356 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 1: head coach, Bob Chesney, this guy's one of the hottest 357 00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:18,720 Speaker 1: names in the coaching cycle right now, and for good reason. 358 00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:22,080 Speaker 1: Jam you top ten in scoring offense and scoring defense. 359 00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:25,159 Speaker 1: They also boast a top six rushing attack. They are 360 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: led by Dole Threat quarterback and a Lonso Barnett who's 361 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:30,840 Speaker 1: combined for thirty three touchdowns. They also have a running 362 00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:33,520 Speaker 1: back by the name of Wayne Knight two. He has 363 00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: gone for over one thousand rushing yards. It also leads 364 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:38,880 Speaker 1: the team in receiving, so he's there do it all 365 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:42,800 Speaker 1: playmaker for them. Troy, meanwhile, they open November on a 366 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 1: bad losing skid, but they did rally two straight wins 367 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:47,639 Speaker 1: to get to six and two in conference play and 368 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 1: eight and four ATS. Their quarterback is now Goose Crowder, 369 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:54,639 Speaker 1: who great name. He took over midseason. The offense currently 370 00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:57,040 Speaker 1: ranks eighty third in passing one hundred and twenty first 371 00:17:57,040 --> 00:18:00,520 Speaker 1: in rushing, So Troy very much winning with their defense, Bogs. 372 00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:02,960 Speaker 1: This is one of those games where I think, if 373 00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 1: it weren't for the Sunbelt divisions, we're probably looking at 374 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:08,760 Speaker 1: Old Dominion right going up against JMU. I think that'd 375 00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:11,399 Speaker 1: be a better game. Instead, Troy gets in, so I 376 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 1: think they're gonna get beat down this one. It's just 377 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:15,040 Speaker 1: a matter of how do we bet it with such 378 00:18:15,040 --> 00:18:16,160 Speaker 1: a big number being out there. 379 00:18:16,280 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, extremely similar strength to schedule between Troy and James Madison, 380 00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:23,920 Speaker 3: but the Dukes there's so much better statistically on both 381 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:24,640 Speaker 3: sides of the ball. 382 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:26,840 Speaker 2: It's not really close, and Troy it's not. 383 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 3: They don't match up will well here and I'm going 384 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:35,159 Speaker 3: to use the Old Dominion game here, But specifically, what 385 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 3: JMU likes to do is they have the sixth best 386 00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:42,959 Speaker 3: running game in the country and they run the ball 387 00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:46,040 Speaker 3: their seventh and fourth quarter scoring because they lean on 388 00:18:46,080 --> 00:18:48,440 Speaker 3: you time of possession to run the ball down your 389 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,399 Speaker 3: throat and then they break you at the end. That 390 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:54,000 Speaker 3: is what happens with James Madison in almost all the 391 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 3: games that they played this year. The most recent loss 392 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:01,680 Speaker 3: for Troy to Old Dominion displayed their weakness against the run. 393 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:03,800 Speaker 1: The Old minionure. I think that one was. 394 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:08,119 Speaker 3: Three hundred and fifty one rushing yards they allowed to 395 00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:10,760 Speaker 3: Old Dominion in that game. They only gain one hundred 396 00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:13,040 Speaker 3: and thirty eight yards in that one as well, and 397 00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:15,920 Speaker 3: no points like you mentioned. And in their losses they 398 00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:19,520 Speaker 3: do get crushed offensively sixteen seven, ten and the shutout 399 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,359 Speaker 3: those in their four losses. Those are the point totals. 400 00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:24,720 Speaker 3: So I hope this one comes back down to under 401 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,120 Speaker 3: three touchdowns. So what do you say it is right now? 402 00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:28,840 Speaker 3: Because yesterday was twenty one and a half. 403 00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 1: Right now, the best you can get is twenty one 404 00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:33,520 Speaker 1: and a half or a twenty two and a half 405 00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:34,119 Speaker 1: if you wanted. 406 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:37,639 Speaker 3: Troy so looks like it just you know, it's not 407 00:19:37,840 --> 00:19:40,880 Speaker 3: going the right way. I would rather. I would rather 408 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,440 Speaker 3: take it at twenty and a half or nineteen and 409 00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:45,520 Speaker 3: a half. I could get a blow twenty. I would 410 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:49,240 Speaker 3: want that there. But I like the team total for JMU. 411 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:51,840 Speaker 3: It's thirty four and a half. That's what I want 412 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 3: to go over. I want to go over thirty four 413 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:53,960 Speaker 3: and a half. 414 00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:56,359 Speaker 1: For just thirty two and a half floating around two earlier. 415 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:58,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, thirty two and a half much better. 416 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:01,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, And look, this is a tenth highest scoring offense 417 00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:04,720 Speaker 3: in the country. Uh, they're averaging almost forty points a game, 418 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:07,879 Speaker 3: thirty seven point eight, so they're right there. Anyway, I 419 00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,879 Speaker 3: think they run the ball right down Troy's throat, and 420 00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:12,639 Speaker 3: I think they go over this thirty four and a 421 00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:14,399 Speaker 3: half and it's thirty two and a half. Great, get it, 422 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 3: get it there for sure. 423 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:18,080 Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, and you know we talked about it there 424 00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 1: in that blowout loss that Troy suffered to Old Dominion 425 00:20:21,080 --> 00:20:25,359 Speaker 1: thirty three zero. Jam you beat Old Dominion sixty three 426 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:27,400 Speaker 1: twenty seven back in October, right, so. 427 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:29,119 Speaker 2: Like we're talking about common opponents. 428 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:33,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, beat down. So that's why, Like, honestly, I'm 429 00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 1: probably gonna go with the team total. We can't get 430 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 1: a twenty and a half, I'm gonna be on the lookout, 431 00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:39,720 Speaker 1: keep my head on a swivel. I suggest everyone else 432 00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:42,440 Speaker 1: does as well, but if not, I'm okay with laying 433 00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:44,440 Speaker 1: a big number with JMU. I just think this team 434 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 1: is firing all the cylinders and as of now to 435 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,920 Speaker 1: no movement for Bob Chesney, which could complicate matters. But hey, Bob, 436 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:53,760 Speaker 1: you still got a place up here in Happy Valley 437 00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:55,400 Speaker 1: if you need a spot to crash for a couple 438 00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:58,520 Speaker 1: of weeks, going to get settled in. Did that? Oh my, 439 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:00,680 Speaker 1: did that come out of this morning? This morning? 440 00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:03,200 Speaker 2: Yep, he's going to use Sorry Buddy. 441 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 1: Still coaching the rest of the year. 442 00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:08,600 Speaker 3: JAMIU huh, Yeah, he gets Yeah, he gets this game 443 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 3: and then if they make the tournament, but if it's 444 00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:11,680 Speaker 3: just a ball game, he's gone. 445 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 1: Well, I think that means all roads for Penns. They 446 00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 1: are leading to one other candidate. We'll talk about him 447 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:21,080 Speaker 1: a little bit later on in the program. Today's show 448 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,040 Speaker 1: is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, hard Rock 449 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:27,199 Speaker 1: Bet and big news. 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Must be twenty one plus 478 00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:57,000 Speaker 1: and physically present in Michigan to play. Terms and conditions 479 00:22:57,000 --> 00:23:00,679 Speaker 1: do apply. Concerned about gambling, call one eight hundred gambler. 480 00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:04,320 Speaker 1: A CFP spot is likely on the line in the 481 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,800 Speaker 1: American Championship that kicks off in New Orleans at eight 482 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 1: pm on Friday night. The number twenty North Texas Mean Green. 483 00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 1: They're two and a half point favorites over the number 484 00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:18,200 Speaker 1: twenty one two Lane Green Wave North Texas head coach 485 00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:20,520 Speaker 1: Eric Morris. He has agreed to become the next head 486 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:24,840 Speaker 1: coach of Oklahoma State, but will remain at in Denton. 487 00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:26,879 Speaker 1: Here the rest of the way, we have the Mean 488 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,920 Speaker 1: Green who are certainly currently seven to one in conference play, 489 00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:32,879 Speaker 1: eleven to one straight up ten and two ATS as well, 490 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 1: and they're the top scoring and total offense in the 491 00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:39,639 Speaker 1: entire nation. Their freshman quarterback Drew Messmaker. What a story 492 00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,680 Speaker 1: this guy's been. He leads the nation in passing yards, 493 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:46,200 Speaker 1: is fourth and passing touchdowns. His wide receiver one Wyat 494 00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:48,639 Speaker 1: Young is third in the country in receiving yards and 495 00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,359 Speaker 1: first in the American in receiving touchdowns. Plus, they have 496 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,399 Speaker 1: a true freshman running back, Kayleb Hawkins, who leads the 497 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:58,160 Speaker 1: AAC in rushing yards and the country in rushing touchdowns. 498 00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:01,360 Speaker 1: Two lane. Meanwhile, they're seven to one conference play, ten 499 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 1: and two straight up, but just five and six and 500 00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:07,320 Speaker 1: one ats TWU lane. They have a win over Duke 501 00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,400 Speaker 1: back in November or September. Excuse me, but they also 502 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,040 Speaker 1: had a collapse in late October in a weekday game 503 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:17,639 Speaker 1: against UTSA Ols on that one BYU transfer quarterback Jake Retzoff. 504 00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,920 Speaker 1: He leads this team in rushing and Tulane has ranked 505 00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 1: top forty in total offense. As a whole, they're head 506 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:26,960 Speaker 1: coach John Sumrall. He will move to Florida following the 507 00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:30,560 Speaker 1: Green Waves season. Bogs with TWU Lane's defense ranking one 508 00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 1: hundred and nineteenth against the pass, I think I'm gonna 509 00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:35,680 Speaker 1: go right back North Texas team total over only thirty 510 00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 1: four and a half points. What do you think about that? 511 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:39,040 Speaker 2: Yeah? I think you know. 512 00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,960 Speaker 3: We love Jeff retslaugh right or Jake Rhetzlaf, but North 513 00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:45,480 Speaker 3: Texas has won us too much money for us, so 514 00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:49,800 Speaker 3: abandoned ship right now. Tulane has had some impressive wins though, 515 00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:54,080 Speaker 3: right Northwestern week one, so it's a long time ago, 516 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,719 Speaker 3: but Northwestern was way better than we thought. They're going bowling, 517 00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:00,840 Speaker 3: So Northwestern Duke is in the ACE title game. They 518 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,520 Speaker 3: beat them, they beat Army, they beat Memphis, and their 519 00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:06,520 Speaker 3: strength of schedule has been much much harder than what 520 00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:10,560 Speaker 3: North Texas has faced. But they're very impressive. But that 521 00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 3: UTSA win was very weird, specifically against the pass, as 522 00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:17,320 Speaker 3: you mentioned, and there are definitely reasons to be on 523 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:19,920 Speaker 3: board with Tulane, but this will probably be a little 524 00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:22,240 Speaker 3: bit back and forth. I'm still on North Texas. Both 525 00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,880 Speaker 3: coaches are gone next year, but they get to keep 526 00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,480 Speaker 3: coaching through this game in any playoff run. As you 527 00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 3: mentioned before, I'm not as confident as I typically am 528 00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,840 Speaker 3: on North Texas for this game. But I'm still confident 529 00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,199 Speaker 3: and I'm still gonna lay the points and take the 530 00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:42,720 Speaker 3: mean Green here. So it's just the I just Tulane 531 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 3: has been too up or down. North Texas offense is 532 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:50,120 Speaker 3: so balanced this year, like typically they're a pass only team, 533 00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:52,360 Speaker 3: but Hawkins has been so great, one of the better 534 00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:56,080 Speaker 3: freshmen running backs in the country. So it's just it 535 00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,080 Speaker 3: still has to be North Texas here to me. So 536 00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:00,000 Speaker 3: I'm gonna take North Texas, lay the points. 537 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:02,880 Speaker 1: Oklahoma State next year, if they take mess to Maker 538 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:05,520 Speaker 1: and Hawkins, it will be fun. I will be on 539 00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,239 Speaker 1: board with the futures market. I can already see it 540 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 1: coming to fruition. But until then, Bogs, I'm with you. 541 00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,800 Speaker 1: I really do like North Texas here. I'm a little 542 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:17,800 Speaker 1: bit gun shy ats just because Tulane. They are an 543 00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:21,680 Speaker 1: overall better defense than what North Texas has faced as 544 00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:24,240 Speaker 1: of lately. They have those big wins as you mentioned, 545 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,800 Speaker 1: against some powerful opponents as well. But I've been one 546 00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:29,440 Speaker 1: of the few G five media rankers over the past 547 00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:32,120 Speaker 1: month or so, Bogs that I've had North Texas number 548 00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:34,760 Speaker 1: one for about four or five weeks now, and everyone 549 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:38,639 Speaker 1: else is still Jammu heavy being the best G five team. People. 550 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:41,240 Speaker 3: I'm in North Texas strength to schedule isn't great either, 551 00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 3: But North Texas. 552 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:44,800 Speaker 1: Navy, yeah a bunch better team. 553 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:47,160 Speaker 3: And the only team that they lost to was South 554 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:49,560 Speaker 3: Florida in their prime, and that was right. They gave 555 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:52,840 Speaker 3: a play too many points, right, They've scored on everybody, 556 00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:55,800 Speaker 3: so I just think they're going to continue that trend. 557 00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:57,520 Speaker 3: I don't know that there's anybody that can stop to 558 00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,920 Speaker 3: this offense. Maybe Ohio State, but any other station. 559 00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:03,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll see if they can get into the CFP. 560 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:08,440 Speaker 1: I I'd love that for our friends over there and Denton, well, 561 00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:11,480 Speaker 1: we have all roads in an underwhelming Mountain West leading 562 00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:14,240 Speaker 1: to a conference championship game rematch from a season ago. 563 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 1: It's kicking off Friday at eight pm Eastern Time in Boise, 564 00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,480 Speaker 1: Idaho the ten and two UNLV Rebels. They're catching three 565 00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:24,040 Speaker 1: and a half points against the eight and four Boise 566 00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:27,960 Speaker 1: State Broncos. Tiebreakers put both these teams at six and 567 00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 1: two in conference play over New Mexico and San Diego State, 568 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:34,160 Speaker 1: who a week or two ago looked like they might 569 00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:37,320 Speaker 1: be in this game. UNLV. Their two losses came against 570 00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:40,199 Speaker 1: Boise and New Mexico in back back weeks, putting them 571 00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 1: at seven and five. Ats their Virginia transfer quarterback Anthony Calandro. 572 00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:47,040 Speaker 1: This guy's been pretty dang good, leading the conference with 573 00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:50,160 Speaker 1: passing yards and touchdowns, also rushing for over five hundred 574 00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:52,640 Speaker 1: and fifty yards and eight scores on the ground as 575 00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:56,000 Speaker 1: a whole. UNLV twelfth in scoring, fifteenth in total offense, 576 00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:58,520 Speaker 1: but their defense outside of the top one hundred both 577 00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:01,879 Speaker 1: against the run and the pass. Boise. Meanwhile, their two 578 00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,280 Speaker 1: conference losses they came at the hands of San Diego 579 00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:07,479 Speaker 1: State and Fresno State. It's unknown whether we're gonna get 580 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 1: quarterback Maddox masson back. He originally went out earlier in 581 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,199 Speaker 1: the season and it said his year wasn't over, but 582 00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:16,840 Speaker 1: no indication whether he'll be up for this one. Maybe 583 00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:18,920 Speaker 1: you have more on that, Bugs, but this still looks 584 00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:22,280 Speaker 1: like a team that relies really on their backfield. It's 585 00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:24,879 Speaker 1: now instead of ashing genty a three headed committee. But 586 00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:26,800 Speaker 1: they are ranked thirtieth in rushing and they have a 587 00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:29,919 Speaker 1: top thirty total defense as well. That is especially strong 588 00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:33,080 Speaker 1: against the past. So Boggs, I've only bet the Mountain 589 00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:35,280 Speaker 1: West a handful of times this season. I don't think 590 00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:37,919 Speaker 1: I've cashed either of those times I have, So with 591 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,960 Speaker 1: limited information on the Boise quarterback situation, I'm not gonna 592 00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:43,000 Speaker 1: have a play in this one, will you? And how 593 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 1: do you think Madson's availabil ability could actually maybe affect 594 00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:46,640 Speaker 1: the swing of this one? 595 00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:51,840 Speaker 3: So what I'm seeing right now is from Sean Goodwin 596 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:57,360 Speaker 3: of the Ohio Statesman is saying that Madson is going 597 00:28:57,400 --> 00:29:02,880 Speaker 3: to play this game on Friday. So I'm rusty, Yeah 598 00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 3: I am, but. 599 00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:06,200 Speaker 1: He's playing big games too. 600 00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:11,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, And man, that changes my whole outlook on this game, honestly, 601 00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:14,680 Speaker 3: because we saw before. Yeah it was fifty six to 602 00:29:14,760 --> 00:29:18,920 Speaker 3: thirty one. Boise State won this game, and yeah, look 603 00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:22,960 Speaker 3: they they haven't looked the same without Mattson. It's been 604 00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:27,360 Speaker 3: rough without him. And for UNLV, the two losses that 605 00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:31,960 Speaker 3: they've had is because they were outscored. And if Boise 606 00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:34,600 Speaker 3: State can't move the ball, like if Madson is is 607 00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:37,680 Speaker 3: in and playing but he's not one hundred percent, I 608 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:42,360 Speaker 3: don't like that. So my instinct was easily to take 609 00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:45,240 Speaker 3: U and LV in this game, right, because just the 610 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:47,240 Speaker 3: offense has not look the same at all. But with 611 00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:50,040 Speaker 3: Madison back, I do question it. But look what I'm 612 00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:52,440 Speaker 3: going to take here is the UNLV team total over 613 00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:55,760 Speaker 3: twenty seven and a half, and it's because they have 614 00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:59,280 Speaker 3: scored more than this in every single game that they 615 00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 3: played this year, right, and the one score games have 616 00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:06,720 Speaker 3: been very high scoring for them as well. They lost 617 00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 3: to Miami, Ohio forty one thirty eight. They beat Or 618 00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:12,240 Speaker 3: they won that game forty one thirty eight. They beat 619 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:14,560 Speaker 3: Air Force fifty one to forty eight. Utah State was 620 00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:18,120 Speaker 3: twenty nine to twenty six. So you know, Boise States 621 00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:22,160 Speaker 3: defense allowed thirty one against them before in this game, 622 00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:24,720 Speaker 3: and that was in Boise. This isn't going to be 623 00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:28,200 Speaker 3: bitter aggressive cold. It's gonna be cold. I would be 624 00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:32,440 Speaker 3: freezing there because I am lived in Texas and Arizona 625 00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:33,360 Speaker 3: my entire life. 626 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:33,959 Speaker 1: You're soft. 627 00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:36,600 Speaker 3: You're soft to say I'm soft for the for the 628 00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:39,560 Speaker 3: I'll deal with the heat. I am soft compared to 629 00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:41,760 Speaker 3: you in the snow and the cold. Man, I don't 630 00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:43,400 Speaker 3: have to shovel that heat out of my driveway to 631 00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:47,480 Speaker 3: go to work, so it doesn't bother me. But let's 632 00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:49,640 Speaker 3: go with the team total over twenty seven and a half. 633 00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,480 Speaker 3: You know they scored, they have four hundred and seventy 634 00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:55,240 Speaker 3: six yards and thirty one points with Mattson in earlier 635 00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:56,920 Speaker 3: this year. If they're going to hold the ball longer, 636 00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:59,400 Speaker 3: I think they can put up more points. So that 637 00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:01,280 Speaker 3: is what I'm going to go in this game. And 638 00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:04,560 Speaker 3: I think this is if Madson is back. Like they said, 639 00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:06,680 Speaker 3: what is the line right now? Because yesterday it was 640 00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:08,160 Speaker 3: UNOV by a point and a half? 641 00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:08,840 Speaker 1: Is it? 642 00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:10,120 Speaker 2: Is it even now? Is it? 643 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:12,360 Speaker 1: Pick up right now? Three and a half? Three and 644 00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:12,560 Speaker 1: a half? 645 00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:13,880 Speaker 2: Right? Three and a half? Are you UNLV? 646 00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:19,920 Speaker 3: So I think everybody bet up UNLV because they thought 647 00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 3: Madison was not gonna play, and then today we get 648 00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:26,640 Speaker 3: this announcement and this was what time was this? 649 00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:29,880 Speaker 2: This was uh three hours ago we got this announcement. 650 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 3: I think the money is gonna go more towards Boise State. 651 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 3: So I think if you want UNLV, let it get 652 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:37,920 Speaker 3: back down to a point and a half, uh and 653 00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:39,240 Speaker 3: take them or just take them. 654 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:39,760 Speaker 2: On the money line. 655 00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 3: I don't want to lay points because Poise Date already 656 00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:43,400 Speaker 3: beat the crap out of them earlier. 657 00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:47,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you're I think you're right. I think 658 00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:50,400 Speaker 1: if you're gonna take UNLV, I think you do it 659 00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:53,440 Speaker 1: while they're catching points. I think that's the play I 660 00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:55,400 Speaker 1: just don't feel good about. Like, when's the last time 661 00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:57,320 Speaker 1: you know V's beat Bois. It's been a while, right, 662 00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:58,000 Speaker 1: Like you guys. 663 00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:00,360 Speaker 2: Are you saying that Boise State is my three and 664 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:00,760 Speaker 2: a half? 665 00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:02,440 Speaker 1: Yes? Boisese date is minus? 666 00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:06,720 Speaker 3: Oh perfect, okay, because yesterday was UNLV minus a point 667 00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,480 Speaker 3: and a half. Yeah, today, because of this news, now 668 00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:11,680 Speaker 3: it's three and okay, yeah, then I want you and 669 00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:15,480 Speaker 3: OV okay's close and I like the three and a half. Yeah, 670 00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:18,040 Speaker 3: I like the over, but my favorite play again, and 671 00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:20,840 Speaker 3: my pick is going to be UNOV over twenty seven 672 00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:22,760 Speaker 3: and a half because that was what it was yesterday. 673 00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:26,560 Speaker 1: Okay. Yeah, I'm honestly surprised you're getting that number if 674 00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:28,920 Speaker 1: they've cleared that in every game, right, so they must. 675 00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:31,240 Speaker 1: I mean it's a good Boise State defense, right, it's 676 00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:33,720 Speaker 1: not a bad Boise State defense. It's very similar to 677 00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,560 Speaker 1: last year's. But yeah, so all right, we have one 678 00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:40,160 Speaker 1: final G five championship game that comes on Saturday at 679 00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:43,719 Speaker 1: noon with the MAC Championship getting underway at Ford Field 680 00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:47,040 Speaker 1: and we have the seven to five Miami Ohio RedHawks. 681 00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:49,400 Speaker 1: They're catching two and a half points against the eight 682 00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:53,840 Speaker 1: and four Western Michigan Broncos WMU. They're seven and one 683 00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 1: in the conference. Miami they're six and two. They won 684 00:32:56,640 --> 00:33:01,480 Speaker 1: on tiebreakers over Toledo over Ohio, So big bummer. We 685 00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:04,520 Speaker 1: could have seen, you know, the likes of Parker Navarro 686 00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,240 Speaker 1: or Tucker Gleeson in this one. Instead we got Miami 687 00:33:07,240 --> 00:33:10,120 Speaker 1: there eight and four ats this season, covering into their 688 00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:12,720 Speaker 1: last three games, which has been impressive because they have 689 00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:15,680 Speaker 1: been without the services of quarterback to Kwan Finn in 690 00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:18,640 Speaker 1: that span. He left the program back in early November. 691 00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:21,040 Speaker 1: And I gotta tell you, though, I watched the entire 692 00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:23,880 Speaker 1: Week thirteen game against Buffalo when they had to go 693 00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:28,840 Speaker 1: from the senior quarterback down to the sophomore Thomas Karkowski. Yeah, 694 00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:31,959 Speaker 1: this guy is something, man. This guy was slinging around 695 00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:34,320 Speaker 1: against buffal. I don't hate him at all. He's much 696 00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,920 Speaker 1: better than the guy they first brought in to replace 697 00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:40,640 Speaker 1: Finn with. So overall, Miami ninetieth in total offense, twenty 698 00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:44,240 Speaker 1: eighth in total defense. That being said, Western Michigan they 699 00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,600 Speaker 1: came through for us last week they covered against Eastern 700 00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:49,240 Speaker 1: Michigan to get to eight and four ATS. This is 701 00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:51,920 Speaker 1: an old school team that wins by running the ball 702 00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:54,560 Speaker 1: well at a top thirty two clip. Also, they play 703 00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:57,480 Speaker 1: elite defense. Last week in particular, I thought it was 704 00:33:57,520 --> 00:34:00,760 Speaker 1: really interesting bogs EMU. They had I had one hundred 705 00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:04,040 Speaker 1: perc red zone conversion rate on the season. Well we 706 00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:07,440 Speaker 1: had Western Michigan. They turned them over twice inside the twenty. 707 00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:11,440 Speaker 1: Their dual threat quarterback Brock Lowry. They're running back Jalen Buckley. 708 00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:13,279 Speaker 1: They're really fun combo to watch. 709 00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:15,560 Speaker 2: So does he do a threat if he can't throw? 710 00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:21,520 Speaker 1: Okay? I think it probably still says in a scouting 711 00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:25,200 Speaker 1: report he is threat, but maybe we call him a 712 00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:28,160 Speaker 1: mobile based a mobile based quarterback. 713 00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:31,319 Speaker 3: It's a run, it's a rushing attack from WU. 714 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:34,080 Speaker 1: So with that being said, do you think that's enough 715 00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:35,160 Speaker 1: to get them past Miami? 716 00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:36,080 Speaker 2: I do? 717 00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:39,120 Speaker 3: And you know, look, this one to me is pretty easy. 718 00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:42,040 Speaker 3: We did see this meeting before and Miami won twenty 719 00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:44,520 Speaker 3: six and seventeen. But again, like you mentioned, that was 720 00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:47,960 Speaker 3: with Finn, so uh. The Miami defense is really strong. 721 00:34:48,520 --> 00:34:52,439 Speaker 3: The WMU offense is putrid. They have one game over 722 00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:56,040 Speaker 3: four hundred yards the entire year Western Michigan. So this 723 00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:59,600 Speaker 3: is going to be a gross game, but I think 724 00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:02,920 Speaker 3: it's gonna be low scoring, and I think the recent 725 00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:06,040 Speaker 3: change of quarterback has me word for the RedHawks. Gotskowski 726 00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:09,200 Speaker 3: twenty five for forty seven four and eleven yards and 727 00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:12,399 Speaker 3: four touchdowns with no interceptions. But they were plus three 728 00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:15,960 Speaker 3: turnovers against Buffalo and then they played ball State, who 729 00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:19,120 Speaker 3: was the one team that gave up four hundred yards 730 00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:21,799 Speaker 3: to Western Michigan's futuret offense this year. 731 00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:22,759 Speaker 2: Ball State is bad. 732 00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:25,799 Speaker 1: So I've big money on ball State at time or too. 733 00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:27,799 Speaker 1: I have a little respect for, Okay, friends over at 734 00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:28,640 Speaker 1: ball State. 735 00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:28,960 Speaker 2: All right. 736 00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:32,279 Speaker 3: I didn't against Western Michigan though, And I'm taking the 737 00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:35,120 Speaker 3: running game in this in OK one and the defense 738 00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:38,200 Speaker 3: the Broncos are laying. Would you say it's two and 739 00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:41,879 Speaker 3: a half right now? Yeah, So I think I think 740 00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:44,160 Speaker 3: this might drop actually towards a point and a half 741 00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:46,200 Speaker 3: or maybe even to pick them, because the money is 742 00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:50,600 Speaker 3: on Miami right now, so I might wait a little bit. 743 00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:55,360 Speaker 3: We are showing this WMU by three. We're also showing 744 00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:57,560 Speaker 3: forty one point three as a total, which would be 745 00:35:58,000 --> 00:36:00,520 Speaker 3: under what I had The total at last night at 746 00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:04,160 Speaker 3: forty three and a half. So I like the under, 747 00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:06,759 Speaker 3: but I like Western Michigan a little bit more just 748 00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:08,839 Speaker 3: because of the recent change on the offense. And this 749 00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:12,040 Speaker 3: is a huge game for Goskowski to walk into against 750 00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:14,680 Speaker 3: the best defense he's going to have played by a 751 00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:17,160 Speaker 3: lot so far, so I think they do enough to 752 00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:18,839 Speaker 3: confuse him and get the win here. 753 00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:22,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, I love what I saw. I have WMU last 754 00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:25,080 Speaker 1: Tuesday and a couple of trends that support them in 755 00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:27,480 Speaker 1: this one as well. Box five and one ats as 756 00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:29,839 Speaker 1: a home team. They're also five to one and one 757 00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:33,360 Speaker 1: ats as a favorite. Miami is one in four ats 758 00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:37,000 Speaker 1: as a dog. WMU five too and one ats in 759 00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:40,799 Speaker 1: conference games also four and one ats with the rest advantage. Again, 760 00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:43,799 Speaker 1: they played on Tuesday, Miami they played later in the week. 761 00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:46,640 Speaker 1: So Lance Taylor, he's done a really good job coaching 762 00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:48,960 Speaker 1: his tailoff this year, so I'm excited for him to 763 00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:51,000 Speaker 1: get his in this one. I will be laying the 764 00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:53,680 Speaker 1: points with Western Michigan, maybe taking them on the money line. 765 00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,320 Speaker 1: Official pick will come Wednesday for me, so be on 766 00:36:56,360 --> 00:36:58,720 Speaker 1: the lookout for that, but I'm definitely gonna have Western 767 00:36:58,760 --> 00:37:01,080 Speaker 1: Michigan on this like what you're saying, if we can 768 00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:02,759 Speaker 1: get the shorter land of the week, let's wait. 769 00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:04,960 Speaker 2: Yeah. 770 00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:07,560 Speaker 1: And another way you guys can make sure you're taking 771 00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:09,600 Speaker 1: advantage of everything we have here at Betting Pros is 772 00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:12,080 Speaker 1: by downloading the Betting Pros app. You can track your bets, 773 00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:15,000 Speaker 1: you can stay account accountable, and you can also level up. 774 00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:18,160 Speaker 1: With sportsbook Sink, you can i'matically track your bets across 775 00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:22,560 Speaker 1: all major books in just one simple spot. It's that easy, folks. 776 00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:25,359 Speaker 1: You can monitor your bet performance by sport and bet 777 00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:28,439 Speaker 1: type and loon, game picks, props and even parlays. Create 778 00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:32,359 Speaker 1: custom betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities. 779 00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:34,960 Speaker 1: New users, you can get yourself six months a BP 780 00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:38,400 Speaker 1: premium for free with your first deposit and wager at 781 00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:41,560 Speaker 1: any of our partner sportsbooks. Learn more at bettingpros dot 782 00:37:41,560 --> 00:37:45,680 Speaker 1: com slash Premium. Also on at noon from Jerry World 783 00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:48,480 Speaker 1: in Arlington is the Big twelve Championship game, with the 784 00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:51,920 Speaker 1: eleventh ranked BYU Cougars catching thirteen and a half points 785 00:37:51,960 --> 00:37:55,239 Speaker 1: against the fifth Frank Texas Tech red Raiders. Both these 786 00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:57,520 Speaker 1: teams are eleven and one straight up eight and one 787 00:37:57,600 --> 00:38:01,399 Speaker 1: in conference play. With Texas Tech at home twenty nine 788 00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:06,160 Speaker 1: to seven back on November eighth against BYU BYU. Meanwhile, 789 00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:10,680 Speaker 1: they find themselves or they found themselves down against UCF 790 00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,480 Speaker 1: on Saturday. They came back to win that game forty 791 00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:16,399 Speaker 1: one twenty one, pushing them to nine three ATS. Their 792 00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:19,560 Speaker 1: head coach Kalani Sataki, he's the hottest name up here 793 00:38:19,600 --> 00:38:21,600 Speaker 1: in Happy Valley right now, might be the next Penn 794 00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:24,040 Speaker 1: State head coach. The Kugs. They come in with a 795 00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:28,040 Speaker 1: top twenty five scoring offense led by a dynamic rushing attack. 796 00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:31,239 Speaker 1: They have their true freshman quarterback bear backing Meyer just 797 00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:33,960 Speaker 1: running over people. They're running back at LJ. Martin, a 798 00:38:34,040 --> 00:38:37,200 Speaker 1: really good back. He's leaning the conference in rushing Texas Tech. 799 00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:40,400 Speaker 1: They have steamrolled this entire conference though, to get to 800 00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:44,080 Speaker 1: ten and two ATS. Their only outright loss came back 801 00:38:44,440 --> 00:38:47,799 Speaker 1: against Arizona State on October eighteenth. They were without their 802 00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:51,279 Speaker 1: services of the quarterback Baron Morton in that game. So 803 00:38:51,560 --> 00:38:54,520 Speaker 1: the fifth year senior, he leads the conference in completion percentage, 804 00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:58,640 Speaker 1: efficiency rating, and yards per attempt. He's back by a 805 00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:02,160 Speaker 1: really good elite wh receivering Corps also has a sophomore 806 00:39:02,239 --> 00:39:04,560 Speaker 1: running back Cameron Dicky's come on and seen for over 807 00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:08,000 Speaker 1: one thousand yards, leads the conference in rushing touchdowns. Their 808 00:39:08,080 --> 00:39:10,359 Speaker 1: top three scoring offense is met by a top three 809 00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:14,920 Speaker 1: scoring defense that's very, very suffocating against the run. So Bogs, 810 00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:17,400 Speaker 1: I think Tech, I think they complete the story. I 811 00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:19,920 Speaker 1: think it's another runaway in the Big Twelve championship game 812 00:39:19,960 --> 00:39:22,440 Speaker 1: for the second straight year. However, I would love to 813 00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:24,520 Speaker 1: get a better number. It's thirteen and a half the 814 00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:25,399 Speaker 1: best we're gonna get. 815 00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:26,680 Speaker 2: Well, let me ask you this. 816 00:39:26,760 --> 00:39:31,000 Speaker 3: All right, we saw Texas Tech lose to Arizona State. 817 00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:33,440 Speaker 3: You know what their next closest Big twelve game was? 818 00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:36,120 Speaker 1: Is it BYU? 819 00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:40,719 Speaker 3: It's BYU who they came by twenty two points the 820 00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:44,480 Speaker 3: last SAG they matched up. This is the class of 821 00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,640 Speaker 3: the Big twelve is Texas Tech. And you know the 822 00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:52,920 Speaker 3: problem for BYU in that game. Look, holding holding Tech 823 00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:55,680 Speaker 3: to twenty nine points is kind of an accomplishment, right 824 00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:58,200 Speaker 3: They held it only three hundred and sixty eight yards 825 00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:00,840 Speaker 3: and they made them settle for five field in that game. 826 00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:04,280 Speaker 3: The problem is they couldn't move the ball. It's sixty 827 00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:07,840 Speaker 3: seven rushing yards. They're averaging almost two hundred per game. 828 00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:11,719 Speaker 3: And they had sixty seven rushing yards. So I just 829 00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:17,160 Speaker 3: don't see where BYU makes this significant enough change to 830 00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:19,600 Speaker 3: beat Texas Tech right now with the way that Texas 831 00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:22,920 Speaker 3: Tech is playing. So you know, if we don't want to, 832 00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:25,720 Speaker 3: if this number is too much for us, and you know, look, 833 00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:32,240 Speaker 3: our numbers are showing significant value towards BYU and performance wise, 834 00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:35,960 Speaker 3: I get that, I definitely do, but I just don't 835 00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:37,359 Speaker 3: think they're going to be able to move the ball 836 00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:38,160 Speaker 3: very well here. 837 00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:40,439 Speaker 2: And you know, it was twenty two points. 838 00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:43,000 Speaker 3: I think their next closest game have all been twenty 839 00:40:43,040 --> 00:40:47,440 Speaker 3: four point wins for Texas Tech. Right They beat every 840 00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:49,759 Speaker 3: non ASU opponent by twenty two points or more. So 841 00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:53,400 Speaker 3: Texas Tech's defense is what wins this. I also like 842 00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:57,400 Speaker 3: under seventeen and a half for BYU. I just you know, 843 00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:01,600 Speaker 3: they're they're very, very physical on one dimensional and it 844 00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:03,960 Speaker 3: has beaten everybody else in the Big twelve because Big 845 00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:06,279 Speaker 3: twelve is to spread them out, and you know, it's 846 00:41:06,360 --> 00:41:10,640 Speaker 3: basically a TCU conference of let's spread them out, let's 847 00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:12,960 Speaker 3: you know, confuse them, let's throw the ball as much 848 00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:15,880 Speaker 3: as we can and score points that way. That point 849 00:41:16,000 --> 00:41:20,960 Speaker 3: that that doesn't hold up against physical teams like Texas Tech. 850 00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:24,399 Speaker 3: We saw it in the National Championship between Georgia and TCU, right, 851 00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:27,279 Speaker 3: Georgia beat the brakes off of them. They couldn't handle 852 00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:30,120 Speaker 3: that physicality. So I think that that's the mismatch that 853 00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:32,440 Speaker 3: we're getting here as well. I think Tech wins this 854 00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,440 Speaker 3: one going away. But the safest play to me is 855 00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:38,520 Speaker 3: by you under seventeen and a half, So I'll roll 856 00:41:38,520 --> 00:41:39,040 Speaker 3: with that one. 857 00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:43,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm okay with that play. I'm gonna do you 858 00:41:43,120 --> 00:41:44,719 Speaker 1: think we can wait and get a better number. Do 859 00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:47,000 Speaker 1: you think thirteen and a half is probably like yeah, 860 00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:47,720 Speaker 1: I don't. 861 00:41:47,520 --> 00:41:49,880 Speaker 3: Think it's gonna get much better than that because money 862 00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:51,440 Speaker 3: and tickets are on Tech. 863 00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:53,480 Speaker 2: At this number. Okay, okay, And it was twelve and 864 00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:56,280 Speaker 2: a half yesterday, so. 865 00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:58,880 Speaker 1: Fair, fair, Yeah. I do think it's just the limited 866 00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:02,880 Speaker 1: capabilities of by Union. You kind of like said it. 867 00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:05,000 Speaker 1: I think that's a good comparisons, Like they're kind of 868 00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,680 Speaker 1: more like a Big ten team right, just how they've 869 00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:10,080 Speaker 1: been playing with defense and running the ball. So I 870 00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:11,240 Speaker 1: think I think Tech WC. 871 00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,759 Speaker 3: You did be Michigan that year right to get to 872 00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,520 Speaker 3: the National Championship, which is a physical team, but that 873 00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:19,040 Speaker 3: team had no passing offense and this team. 874 00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:22,279 Speaker 1: Does so hopefully get a better championship this year than 875 00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:26,200 Speaker 1: we did that year. That was terrible. Man, that was ah, 876 00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:29,040 Speaker 1: that was terrible. Let's go ahead and move forward where 877 00:42:29,080 --> 00:42:31,279 Speaker 1: we have College Game Day. Who will be camped out 878 00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:35,640 Speaker 1: at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta for the SEC championship 879 00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:38,080 Speaker 1: game that kicks off at four pm Eastern time. The 880 00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:40,720 Speaker 1: third ranked Georgia Bulldogs their one and a half point 881 00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:44,120 Speaker 1: favorites over the tenth ranked Alabama Crimson tie. Both these 882 00:42:44,160 --> 00:42:47,439 Speaker 1: teams seven to one in conference play. Georgia's only lost 883 00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:50,560 Speaker 1: came to Alabama at home twenty four to twenty one 884 00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:53,880 Speaker 1: on September twenty seventh. Alabama Their only lost came to 885 00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:57,719 Speaker 1: Oklahoma at home on November fifteenth. Georgia, they have not 886 00:42:57,840 --> 00:43:01,600 Speaker 1: been very profitable to back this season. Five and seven ats. 887 00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:04,360 Speaker 1: The Ducks have a top twenty eight rushing offense and 888 00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:08,560 Speaker 1: are also top thirteen in total defense, but are more 889 00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:11,760 Speaker 1: effective really stopping the run. They're kind of still struggling 890 00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:14,759 Speaker 1: to get pressure on opposing quarterbacks. I said the Ducks. 891 00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:19,440 Speaker 1: I met the Dogs, but despite being upset in Week one, again. 892 00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:23,200 Speaker 3: You're rednecking that word like me, the dogs. I thought 893 00:43:23,200 --> 00:43:24,839 Speaker 3: you were saying it like that. I was like, did 894 00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:25,520 Speaker 3: I hear ducks? 895 00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:27,920 Speaker 2: Okay? Sorry, no, I. 896 00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:31,280 Speaker 1: Maybe we should Maybe I gotta start really like emphasizing 897 00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:36,040 Speaker 1: the dolls on their dogs. Yeah, a little bottle dog 898 00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:38,960 Speaker 1: action down there. And despite a Week one upset to 899 00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:41,560 Speaker 1: Florida State Bama, They've been eight and four ats on 900 00:43:41,600 --> 00:43:44,359 Speaker 1: the season. As a whole, they have been really, really 901 00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:47,200 Speaker 1: banking heavily though, on their top twenty aerial attack led 902 00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:50,560 Speaker 1: by quarterback Ty Simpson and a top twelve total defense. 903 00:43:50,600 --> 00:43:53,320 Speaker 1: We all saw jam Miller go down against Auburn. I 904 00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:55,480 Speaker 1: don't know if he came back to that game or not. 905 00:43:56,400 --> 00:43:58,960 Speaker 1: This is the sixth time these programs will play for 906 00:43:59,040 --> 00:44:02,080 Speaker 1: a conference title, and Boggs, I'm gonna be honest. I 907 00:44:02,080 --> 00:44:03,799 Speaker 1: want nothing to do with this game, right Like I 908 00:44:03,880 --> 00:44:06,239 Speaker 1: finally got back on the right side of Bama last weeks. 909 00:44:06,239 --> 00:44:08,759 Speaker 1: I got all the money back that I lost in 910 00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:12,359 Speaker 1: Week one with the Florida State game, So I'm off 911 00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:15,439 Speaker 1: this one. Do you have an early prediction and maybe 912 00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:17,279 Speaker 1: even a telling where the line's gonna move. 913 00:44:17,520 --> 00:44:19,320 Speaker 3: I have no idea which way the line is gonna 914 00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:22,520 Speaker 3: go right, because tickets are on Georgia, money's on Bama 915 00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:26,080 Speaker 3: right now, So it's split like it should be, kind 916 00:44:26,080 --> 00:44:29,160 Speaker 3: of like you are right now in this game. Internally, 917 00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:31,239 Speaker 3: I'm split, so I don't want to take a side 918 00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:33,759 Speaker 3: for me. I just look at the way these teams 919 00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:37,719 Speaker 3: have been playing since this last matchup, which obviously Bama won, right, 920 00:44:39,040 --> 00:44:43,759 Speaker 3: but since that game, really, since since Alabama pulled off 921 00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:47,759 Speaker 3: the miracle against South Carolina they should have lost that game, right, yes, 922 00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:52,200 Speaker 3: but since that game, that haven't been really great. Right 923 00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:55,920 Speaker 3: The twenty points at home against LSU, only two hundred 924 00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:58,880 Speaker 3: and eighty yards at Auburn last week, sandwiched by the 925 00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:02,520 Speaker 3: loss to Oklahoma and then the cupcake of Eastern Illinois. Like, 926 00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:06,080 Speaker 3: these are the games that we've seen from Alabama recently. 927 00:45:06,120 --> 00:45:09,840 Speaker 3: Georgia's rad off eight straight wins, including the wins against 928 00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:14,240 Speaker 3: Ole Miss Texas and you know, Georgia Tech. The defense 929 00:45:14,280 --> 00:45:16,360 Speaker 3: has been really strong since the Old Miss win, and 930 00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:18,520 Speaker 3: they haven't allowed anyone to score more than twenty one. 931 00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:22,239 Speaker 3: So I like these teams to play conservative conservative. I 932 00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:25,160 Speaker 3: like this to be whoever is hotter right now, and 933 00:45:25,200 --> 00:45:28,799 Speaker 3: that's Georgia. So I trust Kirby in a spot like 934 00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:31,560 Speaker 3: this as well, more than I trust Caitlin de Boor 935 00:45:31,880 --> 00:45:35,480 Speaker 3: right now. So yeah, give me, give me the dogs. 936 00:45:35,520 --> 00:45:36,560 Speaker 3: I'll lay the point and a half. 937 00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:40,879 Speaker 1: Okay. Also, we have the ACC Championship game kicking off 938 00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:44,239 Speaker 1: at eight pm Eastern Time from Bank of America Stadium 939 00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:48,520 Speaker 1: in the great City of Charlotte. The number sixteen Virginia Commodores. 940 00:45:48,600 --> 00:45:50,759 Speaker 1: They are three and a half point favorites against the 941 00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:54,239 Speaker 1: seven and five Duke Blue Devils. Duke, they really backed 942 00:45:54,280 --> 00:45:56,160 Speaker 1: their way into this game. They're six and two in 943 00:45:56,239 --> 00:46:00,719 Speaker 1: conference play. Meanwhile, UVA seven to one against the ACC, 944 00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:04,279 Speaker 1: including a thirty four to seventeen win over Duke on 945 00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:08,000 Speaker 1: November fifteenth. The Blue Devils actually ranked top twelve in 946 00:46:08,120 --> 00:46:11,319 Speaker 1: passing Their quarterback Dariy Mensa. He is coming over from 947 00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:13,640 Speaker 1: the G five and now he is leading the conference 948 00:46:13,719 --> 00:46:16,840 Speaker 1: in passing yards and passing touchdowns. They do struggle to 949 00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:19,440 Speaker 1: run the ball quite a bit though for Duke, and 950 00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:21,719 Speaker 1: despite this team being coached by Manny Diaz, one of 951 00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:25,080 Speaker 1: the best defensive minds in college football, they're outside of 952 00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:27,560 Speaker 1: the top one hundred and ten in total defense this year, 953 00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:29,439 Speaker 1: so kind of really a flip flop from what they've 954 00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:32,320 Speaker 1: been in the past few seasons. Uva, meanwhile, they have 955 00:46:32,440 --> 00:46:35,600 Speaker 1: been equally impressive on the offensive side of the ball, 956 00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:38,000 Speaker 1: but they're a bit more balanced. Right. They are led 957 00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:42,080 Speaker 1: by quarterback Chandler Morris and ACC leading rusher running back 958 00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:45,879 Speaker 1: Jamari Taylor. Their defense also much better than Duke's by 959 00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:49,040 Speaker 1: all accounts and metrics. So Boggs the number gives the 960 00:46:49,160 --> 00:46:52,920 Speaker 1: edge to Uva. Right, Like everything I'm seeing, everything I've 961 00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:55,399 Speaker 1: seen this season, I've bet against Duke a lot. I've 962 00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:56,880 Speaker 1: made a lot of money. I think you have to. 963 00:46:57,600 --> 00:47:00,840 Speaker 1: I think Virginia is the better team. That being said, 964 00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:03,800 Speaker 1: like you know how things get in ACC, I'm actually 965 00:47:03,880 --> 00:47:05,600 Speaker 1: kind of hoping the Duke can win, just so maybe 966 00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:07,960 Speaker 1: we can get another G five teen off. 967 00:47:08,280 --> 00:47:09,920 Speaker 3: This is kind of what you were talking about and 968 00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:14,239 Speaker 3: I last week, and I completely space that. Yes, it 969 00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:18,239 Speaker 3: is the higher seeded conference champion, not because I was 970 00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:20,120 Speaker 3: just like in my mind when every time I look, 971 00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:23,000 Speaker 3: I just putting the ACC champion in there. You know, 972 00:47:23,280 --> 00:47:27,719 Speaker 3: usually it was Miami though, So look this game, man, 973 00:47:28,680 --> 00:47:32,840 Speaker 3: it's Virginia. Like we've seen this dance already, right, we 974 00:47:32,920 --> 00:47:36,840 Speaker 3: saw are You can root for Duke, but you can't 975 00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:37,439 Speaker 3: pick them. 976 00:47:37,480 --> 00:47:39,680 Speaker 2: You're not going to put your money on, oh right, 977 00:47:40,080 --> 00:47:40,719 Speaker 2: So let me. 978 00:47:40,680 --> 00:47:42,200 Speaker 3: Just give you some of the stats from the last 979 00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:45,080 Speaker 3: time these two teams played, right, and that wasn't It 980 00:47:45,120 --> 00:47:50,400 Speaker 3: was November fifteenth, so not long ago, right, Five hundred 981 00:47:50,440 --> 00:47:53,880 Speaker 3: and forty yards for Virginia three hundred and sixteen on 982 00:47:53,920 --> 00:47:55,879 Speaker 3: the ground or three hundred sixteen through the air two 983 00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:58,840 Speaker 3: hundred and twenty four on the ground to two hundred 984 00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:02,480 Speaker 3: and fifty five for Duke. Time of possession was thirty 985 00:48:02,520 --> 00:48:05,399 Speaker 3: five fifty eight to twenty four h two twenty two 986 00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:09,360 Speaker 3: first downs for Virginia, eleven for Duke, twelve of nineteen 987 00:48:09,400 --> 00:48:12,680 Speaker 3: on third down four for fifteen for Duke. You know, 988 00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:16,600 Speaker 3: four sacks to zero. And this is with Virginia having 989 00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:21,120 Speaker 3: two turnovers and being down a turnover because they had 990 00:48:21,120 --> 00:48:24,680 Speaker 3: two picks Duke fumbled at once, so they led in 991 00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:27,319 Speaker 3: turnovers as well. Duke did and they could still not 992 00:48:27,360 --> 00:48:29,960 Speaker 3: even hold the ball for twenty five minutes against Virginia. 993 00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:32,440 Speaker 3: This is going to be a beating as long as 994 00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:35,759 Speaker 3: Chandler Morris is healthy, looked good last week. Virginia is 995 00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:37,640 Speaker 3: going to beat Duke into the ground, I think, and 996 00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:40,319 Speaker 3: I'm just gonna continue with what we've already seen here. 997 00:48:40,880 --> 00:48:43,560 Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, that is absolutely fine. I think you're on 998 00:48:43,600 --> 00:48:46,640 Speaker 1: the right side of it. The acc just scares the crap. 999 00:48:46,400 --> 00:48:46,759 Speaker 2: Out of me. 1000 00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:50,719 Speaker 1: It has been, man, it has turned into the Big 1001 00:48:50,719 --> 00:48:53,640 Speaker 1: twelve of previous seasons, is how it kind of feels 1002 00:48:53,640 --> 00:48:56,239 Speaker 1: to me. So let's go ahead, though, Let's close out 1003 00:48:56,239 --> 00:48:59,640 Speaker 1: the show with a battle between the unlikeliest of undefeated 1004 00:48:59,640 --> 00:49:02,400 Speaker 1: teams in the Big Ten Championship game that is kicking 1005 00:49:02,400 --> 00:49:05,799 Speaker 1: off at eight pm Eastern Time on Saturday from Lucas 1006 00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:09,080 Speaker 1: Oil Stadium. The top ranked Ohio State buck Guys. They're 1007 00:49:09,160 --> 00:49:12,080 Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites against the second ranked 1008 00:49:12,080 --> 00:49:15,359 Speaker 1: Indiana Hoosiers. And it's been a stellar season for sig 1009 00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:18,839 Speaker 1: Signetti once again, but the storyline has really become this 1010 00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:22,640 Speaker 1: quarterback for Nando Mendoza, who leads the entire country right 1011 00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:25,920 Speaker 1: now in passing touchdowns. He is two wide receivers Omar 1012 00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:29,279 Speaker 1: Cooper junior Elijah Surrah as well, who are tied for 1013 00:49:29,400 --> 00:49:34,080 Speaker 1: leading the conference in receiving touchdowns IU seven and five ats, 1014 00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:37,240 Speaker 1: and they rank second in scoring and fifth in total offense. 1015 00:49:37,280 --> 00:49:40,560 Speaker 1: They're also second in scoring defense, fourth in total defense. 1016 00:49:40,920 --> 00:49:43,040 Speaker 1: There's not really a weak spot that I can find 1017 00:49:43,080 --> 00:49:45,040 Speaker 1: with IU. And the same can be said for the 1018 00:49:45,080 --> 00:49:47,680 Speaker 1: Ohio State Buckeyes. Right they're ten to one and one 1019 00:49:47,760 --> 00:49:50,719 Speaker 1: ats if you bet Ohio State every single week, you've 1020 00:49:50,760 --> 00:49:53,840 Speaker 1: been rolling it. Their top thirteen in scoring, twenty fourth 1021 00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:56,479 Speaker 1: in total offense as well, and then first in both 1022 00:49:56,520 --> 00:49:59,960 Speaker 1: scoring and total defense. Their quarterback Julian's saying, this guy 1023 00:50:00,239 --> 00:50:02,600 Speaker 1: slinging the ball around right now. He currently leaves the 1024 00:50:02,640 --> 00:50:06,400 Speaker 1: country in completetions percentage and sits third in passing touchdowns. 1025 00:50:06,640 --> 00:50:09,640 Speaker 1: They're wide receivers Jeremiah Smith. He is tied with the 1026 00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:12,680 Speaker 1: I you receivers in touchdown receptions for the lead in 1027 00:50:12,719 --> 00:50:15,600 Speaker 1: the conference. And Carnell take This guy's pushed himself into 1028 00:50:15,600 --> 00:50:17,480 Speaker 1: the top fifteen the NFL Draft. I think I think 1029 00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:19,120 Speaker 1: he's gonna probably be the wide receiver two of this 1030 00:50:19,200 --> 00:50:23,480 Speaker 1: class behind Jordan Tyson. Their true freshman running back Bo Jackson. 1031 00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:26,560 Speaker 1: This is a guy who slowly got brought along. He 1032 00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:29,520 Speaker 1: was the third fourth guy to begin the season. He 1033 00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:32,040 Speaker 1: now almost has a thousand yards on the year. You 1034 00:50:32,120 --> 00:50:35,400 Speaker 1: had Trayvon Henderson, you had running backs like JK Dobbins 1035 00:50:35,480 --> 00:50:38,120 Speaker 1: before him. He looks like the next guy in Ohio 1036 00:50:38,160 --> 00:50:41,640 Speaker 1: state history that's gonna make his mark. Bugs. This really 1037 00:50:41,640 --> 00:50:44,200 Speaker 1: could be the national Championship game, and I hope it 1038 00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:48,359 Speaker 1: is come January nineteenth, So I will wait to get invested. Then, 1039 00:50:48,560 --> 00:50:50,160 Speaker 1: what about you for this week? Yeah? 1040 00:50:50,200 --> 00:50:51,759 Speaker 3: I think you and I were talking about this game 1041 00:50:51,800 --> 00:50:56,840 Speaker 3: a little bit before we started recording. Does either of 1042 00:50:56,880 --> 00:50:59,319 Speaker 3: these teams have incentive to put their best foot forward 1043 00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:02,280 Speaker 3: outside it? Like Julian Sander Mendoza, you're. 1044 00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:04,279 Speaker 1: Telling me Signetty does not want to win. 1045 00:51:04,480 --> 00:51:05,680 Speaker 2: I'm not saying they don't want to. 1046 00:51:06,600 --> 00:51:08,960 Speaker 3: Of course you want to win, but but I mean, 1047 00:51:09,840 --> 00:51:12,680 Speaker 3: this isn't the national title game, and I think if 1048 00:51:12,719 --> 00:51:15,160 Speaker 3: either of these teams loses, they still get a buye 1049 00:51:15,160 --> 00:51:17,719 Speaker 3: in my opinion, So uh. 1050 00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:19,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, if it's close. 1051 00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:22,879 Speaker 3: So so, it's not motivation, right, You want to win 1052 00:51:22,920 --> 00:51:26,120 Speaker 3: the Big Ten. You want to have that on your mantle, 1053 00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:28,480 Speaker 3: You want to be the number one seed. Whoever wins 1054 00:51:28,480 --> 00:51:31,960 Speaker 3: this game is getting that, right, So, but I do 1055 00:51:32,160 --> 00:51:35,759 Speaker 3: think it matters in scripting your game and being conservative 1056 00:51:35,960 --> 00:51:39,200 Speaker 3: before you have a playoff run for both of these teams. 1057 00:51:39,600 --> 00:51:42,560 Speaker 3: So I kind of like the under in this game, 1058 00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:43,200 Speaker 3: just as. 1059 00:51:43,200 --> 00:51:44,480 Speaker 2: They're not picking a side. 1060 00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:47,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, we're not picking a side seth, We're going 1061 00:51:48,200 --> 00:51:50,960 Speaker 3: I don't know who is going to win this game, 1062 00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:53,080 Speaker 3: but I do know that both these teams are probably 1063 00:51:53,080 --> 00:51:54,400 Speaker 3: going to run the ball a lot and play it 1064 00:51:54,440 --> 00:51:56,160 Speaker 3: close to the vest. You're not going to break out 1065 00:51:56,160 --> 00:51:59,080 Speaker 3: a bunch of tricky plays or situations that you've been 1066 00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:03,919 Speaker 3: you know, waiting to use whoever whatever in this opportunity, right, 1067 00:52:04,040 --> 00:52:06,520 Speaker 3: You're not gonna do that in this game because you 1068 00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:09,920 Speaker 3: don't want other teams having it on film to practice 1069 00:52:09,960 --> 00:52:14,080 Speaker 3: and plot against. So I think for both these teams, yes, 1070 00:52:14,120 --> 00:52:16,239 Speaker 3: you want to win. These are two great teams, but 1071 00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:18,800 Speaker 3: there's two things here. Number one, let's go with the 1072 00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:21,000 Speaker 3: under because we don't know which side is going to win, 1073 00:52:21,280 --> 00:52:22,840 Speaker 3: and we know they're both going to probably play it 1074 00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:26,120 Speaker 3: a little bit conservative, right, So going forward on fourth 1075 00:52:26,160 --> 00:52:30,759 Speaker 3: downs is different than you know, unleashing your entire playbook. 1076 00:52:30,880 --> 00:52:32,839 Speaker 2: So maybe we see teams. 1077 00:52:32,719 --> 00:52:35,880 Speaker 3: Go for it on fourth and short more because it 1078 00:52:35,960 --> 00:52:39,000 Speaker 3: also matters less, like you can take those risks in 1079 00:52:39,040 --> 00:52:42,440 Speaker 3: a game that matters less. So I do think that 1080 00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:45,960 Speaker 3: both these teams play conservative. But also, you know what, 1081 00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:47,919 Speaker 3: the closest game Ohio State has had all. 1082 00:52:47,880 --> 00:52:53,440 Speaker 1: Year, Michigan, Texas, Illinois. Oh yeah, yeah, Texas fourteen to seven. 1083 00:52:54,000 --> 00:52:57,440 Speaker 3: They beat down everybody else, I think twenty four to six, 1084 00:52:58,160 --> 00:53:01,040 Speaker 3: the eighteen point win against Washington, and then they beat 1085 00:53:01,360 --> 00:53:04,080 Speaker 3: Illinois thirty four to sixteen. Those are the next two 1086 00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:07,600 Speaker 3: closest games. Indiana also undefeated, but they had that tight 1087 00:53:07,640 --> 00:53:10,560 Speaker 3: game that they should have lost to your boys, Penn State. Yeah, 1088 00:53:10,640 --> 00:53:14,360 Speaker 3: and Iowa gave them a scare earlier this year as well. 1089 00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:17,359 Speaker 3: So you know, if we're splitting hairs on both these 1090 00:53:17,400 --> 00:53:21,040 Speaker 3: two number one, number two up echelon teams. Plus we 1091 00:53:21,080 --> 00:53:23,279 Speaker 3: couple that with the fact that Ohio State beat down 1092 00:53:23,280 --> 00:53:26,319 Speaker 3: Indiana last year. Yeah, I'm gonna take the Buckeyes here 1093 00:53:26,400 --> 00:53:28,120 Speaker 3: and lay the points. 1094 00:53:27,760 --> 00:53:30,320 Speaker 1: Okay, Yeah, I really want to get on the under. 1095 00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:32,040 Speaker 1: Like forty eight and a half feels like a big 1096 00:53:32,120 --> 00:53:34,520 Speaker 1: number for these teams. But at the same time, I mean, 1097 00:53:34,600 --> 00:53:36,840 Speaker 1: we just went over the playmakers. Right. You have Sarah, 1098 00:53:37,239 --> 00:53:40,160 Speaker 1: you have Omar, you have two of the best wide 1099 00:53:40,200 --> 00:53:42,800 Speaker 1: receivers in the country for Ohio State and Jeremiah Smith. 1100 00:53:43,920 --> 00:53:46,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, you trip over yourself and one of these teams 1101 00:53:46,280 --> 00:53:47,000 Speaker 2: could score that. 1102 00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:50,600 Speaker 1: Right, that's yeah. And bo Jackson now is starting to 1103 00:53:50,640 --> 00:53:53,600 Speaker 1: break out, so like, I just don't wanna. I just 1104 00:53:53,640 --> 00:53:56,080 Speaker 1: don't think I can get invested with this game either way. Honestly, 1105 00:53:56,160 --> 00:53:58,200 Speaker 1: I'm gonna hope for a rematch. I'm gonna see what 1106 00:53:58,200 --> 00:54:00,520 Speaker 1: they can do against each other head to head and 1107 00:54:00,760 --> 00:54:02,759 Speaker 1: over the next month and a half or so during 1108 00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:06,320 Speaker 1: the CFP and hopefully we get to revisit that in January, 1109 00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:08,040 Speaker 1: because I think it's gonna be a really, really fun 1110 00:54:08,040 --> 00:54:10,719 Speaker 1: one if that's the case. So, Bogs, love everything you 1111 00:54:10,800 --> 00:54:13,080 Speaker 1: came with today. That is going to do it for 1112 00:54:13,160 --> 00:54:16,200 Speaker 1: us on this episode of the Betting Pros College Football Show, 1113 00:54:16,200 --> 00:54:18,359 Speaker 1: still to come later this week and every week our 1114 00:54:18,360 --> 00:54:21,400 Speaker 1: official Picks and Prediction Show, also Bog's Best bets and 1115 00:54:21,560 --> 00:54:24,160 Speaker 1: player props picks that's gonna come out on Friday for you. 1116 00:54:24,560 --> 00:54:26,880 Speaker 1: Our official picks will be out on Thursday for you. 1117 00:54:26,960 --> 00:54:28,919 Speaker 1: So let us go down in the comments below your 1118 00:54:29,000 --> 00:54:31,719 Speaker 1: favorite conference championship picks. And while you're here, to make 1119 00:54:31,760 --> 00:54:34,279 Speaker 1: sure you're smashing that like Bun and subscribing to the 1120 00:54:34,360 --> 00:54:37,000 Speaker 1: channel if you're new, Also be sure download that Betting 1121 00:54:37,040 --> 00:54:40,560 Speaker 1: Pros app Sinker Sportsbooks. Today's bet smarter, not harder. For 1122 00:54:40,560 --> 00:54:43,000 Speaker 1: Scott Bogman, I'm set with Wilcock take care of y'all. 1123 00:54:43,040 --> 00:54:46,120 Speaker 1: So thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If 1124 00:54:46,120 --> 00:54:48,520 Speaker 1: you love the show, the best freeway to support us 1125 00:54:48,560 --> 00:54:51,040 Speaker 1: is by leaving a positive review on Apple. 1126 00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:52,040 Speaker 2: Podcasts or Spotify. 1127 00:54:52,320 --> 00:54:54,960 Speaker 1: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 1128 00:54:55,040 --> 00:54:58,680 Speaker 1: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 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