WEBVTT - BI Weekend: Measles Outbreak, US Clean Tech 

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 1>with Alex Steel and Paul Sweeney.

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<v Speaker 2>The real ap performance has been in US corporate high yield.

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<v Speaker 3>Are the companies lean enough? Have they trimmed all the fats?

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<v Speaker 2>The semiconductor business is a really cyclical business.

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<v Speaker 1>Breaking market headlines and corporate news from across the globe.

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<v Speaker 3>Do investors like the M and A that we've seen?

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<v Speaker 2>These are two big time blue chip companies.

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<v Speaker 3>Window between the peak and cunt changing super fast.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence with Alex Steele and Paul Sweeney on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>On Today's Bloomberg Intelligence Show, we dig inside the big

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<v Speaker 2>business series impacting Wall Street and the global markets.

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<v Speaker 3>Each and every week we provide in depth research and

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<v Speaker 3>data on some of the two thousand companies and in one

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<v Speaker 3>hundred and thirty industries our end. Let's cover worldwide.

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<v Speaker 2>Today we'll discuss Tesla's CEO Elon Musk relationship with President

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<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus we'll look at the consequence the President Trump's America

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<v Speaker 3>First Investment policy on the US energy landscape.

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<v Speaker 2>But first we begin in the health and pharmaceutical space.

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<v Speaker 3>Less than three four months into twenty twenty five, the

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<v Speaker 3>US measle cases of outpaced last year's total, and this

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<v Speaker 3>comes as the worrying outbreak link to multiple desks continues

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<v Speaker 3>to spread.

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<v Speaker 2>In other news, the drugmakers Roche and Zealand It teamed

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<v Speaker 2>up in a five point three billion dollar pack in

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<v Speaker 2>a bid to challenge Nova Nordisk and Eli Lilly in

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<v Speaker 2>the booming market for obcit drugs.

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<v Speaker 3>From where we are joined by Sam Fazelli, Boomberg Intelligence,

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<v Speaker 3>Director of Research for Global Industries and Senior Pharmaceuticals.

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<v Speaker 2>First asked Sam about his immune status and how concerned

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<v Speaker 2>we should be about getting a meso vaccine booster.

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<v Speaker 4>It's not like it's rampant and everywhere, but the reality

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<v Speaker 4>is it worried me enough mm hmm, being all those

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<v Speaker 4>labels you want to give me right that, I thought,

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<v Speaker 4>let me go and see what my immune status is.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm doing that, right. I have my blood tests in

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<v Speaker 3>a couple of weeks, because like, why not, right?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah? I just you know, so exactly what have you

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<v Speaker 5>got to lose?

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<v Speaker 4>At least I know I know that if I am

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<v Speaker 4>susceptible and I've got a little son, I think about

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<v Speaker 4>being close to him or notther etcetera, etcetera.

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<v Speaker 5>So I did that, So I think do we need

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<v Speaker 5>all to take it? Don't? I don't think so at

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<v Speaker 5>the minute.

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<v Speaker 4>I don't think this is something everybody needs to rush

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<v Speaker 4>out and get majority of people.

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<v Speaker 5>If you were vaccinated, especially post nineteen.

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<v Speaker 4>Sixty eight, which is all of you guys, right, you

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<v Speaker 4>would be immune to you know, that's a very one

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<v Speaker 4>of those vaccines that worked for a long long time.

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<v Speaker 4>So and I think my result actually says I am immune,

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<v Speaker 4>so I.

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<v Speaker 5>Shouldn't worry about it. And that's where we need to be.

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<v Speaker 4>The problem is we need ninety five percent immunity around

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<v Speaker 4>us to benefit from the herd immunity effect. You remember

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<v Speaker 4>that or in the pandemic we talked about that. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 4>And that's the problem that in some states in the

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<v Speaker 4>US is falling below that. In fact, I counted only

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<v Speaker 4>twelve or thirteen states you can count that on the

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<v Speaker 4>CDC website that are above the ninety five percent vaccination level.

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<v Speaker 4>So those are low have a risk of outbreaks, and

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<v Speaker 4>that's why we've been seeing that rate rising and infection

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<v Speaker 4>rates have been rising since twenty seventeen eighteen. There's always

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<v Speaker 4>some but we're dealing unfortunately with a pretty meaningful sized

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<v Speaker 4>eye break in Texas.

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<v Speaker 2>So deals last week Roche and the Zealand getting in

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<v Speaker 2>on a deal. What's happening with our good friends of es.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, yeah, So look, I mean we've only got two

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<v Speaker 4>things to talk about here, infectious diseases or rubesity.

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<v Speaker 5>Right, and this deal, this deal was the licensing deal,

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<v Speaker 5>not MNA.

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<v Speaker 4>So basically Roche went to this company and said, look,

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<v Speaker 4>we're interested in your asset and we want to do

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<v Speaker 4>a partnership. So Roach has taken on fifty to fifty

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<v Speaker 4>up to fifty to fifty.

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<v Speaker 5>I e.

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<v Speaker 4>Zealand can invest in their commercialization up to a point

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<v Speaker 4>of getting fifty percent of the profits, assuming they're putting

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<v Speaker 4>fifty percent of the costs.

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<v Speaker 5>Right, So, and what is it? Is it another week

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<v Speaker 5>go VI? Is it another zep bound? No, it's not.

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<v Speaker 4>It's a different mechanism, and it's supposed to work by

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<v Speaker 4>giving you weight loss but helping preserve of some of

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<v Speaker 4>the muscle mass, which I'm sure you've talked about this.

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<v Speaker 5>So we've talked about this several times.

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<v Speaker 4>You don't want to lose muscle and fat, You want

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<v Speaker 4>to lose fat less muscle and that's what these amylin drugs.

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<v Speaker 5>Potentially give you.

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<v Speaker 4>And of course Rashi's no newcomer to this space, right

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<v Speaker 4>But interestingly, what it does pose is in the future

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<v Speaker 4>that we're going to be looking at you and I

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<v Speaker 4>and Alex together, I'm sure we'll be looking talking about

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<v Speaker 4>this forever.

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<v Speaker 5>Is how do you decide what to give to what patients?

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<v Speaker 5>That's what the world needs to figure out. Now.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I don't know what the answer is to that.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm sure the companies all have their own answer.

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<v Speaker 5>I'm coming back to you, Alex to figure it out.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, I believe you. When we take a look at

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<v Speaker 3>the in the US and the level of NIH funding

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<v Speaker 3>that is on the chopping block, what part of the

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<v Speaker 3>industry do you think is most vulnerable to losing funding

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<v Speaker 3>and then missing out on some research?

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<v Speaker 5>Yep.

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<v Speaker 4>But so Alex, if you think about and I, it's

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<v Speaker 4>it's mostly majority of it, of course is biological right

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<v Speaker 4>National Institute's Health. So that's where I think the cuts

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<v Speaker 4>are coming. But it's not just about cutting people. It's

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<v Speaker 4>still uncertain that it creates. It's been the cutting of

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<v Speaker 4>overhead costs to universities. It is the fact that apparently

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<v Speaker 4>there'll be no not based on what I've been looking at,

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<v Speaker 4>but based on what I've heard, there been no patent

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<v Speaker 4>filings by the Institute in the past few weeks, which

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<v Speaker 4>could be stop filing patterns because it's expensive, or could

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<v Speaker 4>be we don't want to give all our ideas away

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<v Speaker 4>or whatever. But they are the font or found or

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<v Speaker 4>whatever the right phrase is, sorry of future drug development,

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<v Speaker 4>and they get lots of revenue back from it.

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<v Speaker 5>So it is. It is worrying, and I don't like

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<v Speaker 5>seeing what I'm seeing.

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<v Speaker 4>Up to twenty percent of the stuff being cut, and

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<v Speaker 4>we need a turn in this. We need to stop

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<v Speaker 4>seeing this and so that we don't feel like science

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<v Speaker 4>is under attack.

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<v Speaker 2>Our thanks to Sam Fizzelli, Bloomberg Intelligence, Director of Research

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<v Speaker 2>for Global Industries and senior pharmaceuticals analysts.

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<v Speaker 3>This week we focus on a few Bloomberg Big Take stories,

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<v Speaker 3>and one was titled Cancer Patients one hundred thousand dollars

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<v Speaker 3>bill shows chaos rockinghealthcare. You can find it on Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 3>dot Com and the Terminal.

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<v Speaker 2>The story focuses on the insurance industry, their rise in denials,

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<v Speaker 2>and one woman's fight to get coverage for her cancer treatment.

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<v Speaker 5>For more.

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<v Speaker 3>We spoke to John Tazzi, Bloomberg Healthcare reporter, and we

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<v Speaker 3>first asked John to walk us through a story in

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<v Speaker 3>the broader healthcare insurance industry.

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<v Speaker 6>This is a story of a woman who is being

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<v Speaker 6>treated for advanced breast cancer in Wisconsin and he sought

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<v Speaker 6>prior authorization from her insurance company at United Healthcare for

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<v Speaker 6>the treatment. She got a kind of confusing set of responses.

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<v Speaker 6>She got two letters on the same day, one denying

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<v Speaker 6>the authorization, another approving it. She got the treatment months later,

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<v Speaker 6>the company to kind to pay for it. She ended

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<v Speaker 6>up filing a lawsuit to get the treatment paid for.

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<v Speaker 6>The company ultimately did pay for it after the lawsuit

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<v Speaker 6>was filed after we inquired about it. But you know,

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<v Speaker 6>what this story really exemplifies is kind of what an

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<v Speaker 6>administrative mess the US healthcare system has become.

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<v Speaker 2>So, I mean, you've got a stat in here which

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<v Speaker 2>is just blows me away. The US healthcare system spends

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<v Speaker 2>as much on billing and claims processing as it does

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<v Speaker 2>on treating cancer. That is just extraordinary because what you

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<v Speaker 2>have here, as reading your story, you got two big

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<v Speaker 2>entities locking horns all the time that the provider of

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<v Speaker 2>this of the medical procedure, and then the insurance company

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<v Speaker 2>that has to pay for neither of them. Are you

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<v Speaker 2>know wallflowers? They go at it, don't they.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, So what we have is this adversarial system, right.

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<v Speaker 6>You have on one side, you know, hospitals, medical provis labs.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, we're in a free market economy where there's

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<v Speaker 6>no restrictions on the prices they can charge. On the

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<v Speaker 6>other side, we have the private insurers who are you know,

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<v Speaker 6>trying to constrain costs for their clients and you know,

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<v Speaker 6>make sure that the care given to their members is

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<v Speaker 6>appropriate care. And you know, it's just this conflict and

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<v Speaker 6>it's escalating. You know, we see data on insurance denials rising.

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<v Speaker 6>We see a bunch of basically companies that have gotten

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<v Speaker 6>into this system to help one side or the other,

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<v Speaker 6>or in some cases both maximize their financial advantage in

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<v Speaker 6>these transactions. So you have the sort of escalating conflict

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<v Speaker 6>that patients are often caught in the middle of.

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<v Speaker 3>So what's our way out of here?

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<v Speaker 7>Good question?

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<v Speaker 6>I mean, I think you know, some people would argue

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<v Speaker 6>that there is you know, opportunities for technology and AI

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<v Speaker 6>and you know, more efficient.

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<v Speaker 3>Processes, standardized. Yeah, technically standardized practices or.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, I mean, I think that would potentially go

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<v Speaker 6>a long way. I mean, there's been a lot of

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<v Speaker 6>research over a long time, over you know, over kind

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<v Speaker 6>of how to do this. I think what you fundamentally

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<v Speaker 6>get though, is like the system where incentives are are

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<v Speaker 6>you know, are misaligned. Like you have one side that

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<v Speaker 6>has an incentive to do more and to Bill Moore,

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<v Speaker 6>and you have another inside that has incentives to kind

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<v Speaker 6>of put up more restrictions or guardrails they might call

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<v Speaker 6>it around around care. And you know, that's sort of increasing,

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<v Speaker 6>and I'm not sure that there's there's sort of a

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<v Speaker 6>clear pathway out of it right now.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, one of my questions is what does this mean

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<v Speaker 2>for healthcare providers? It kind of I mean, and you've

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<v Speaker 2>got a great charting here us doctors no longer work

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<v Speaker 2>for themselves, And it's the percent of physicians employed by

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<v Speaker 2>hospitals or corporate entities. And that number was about sixty

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<v Speaker 2>percent back in twenty nineteen. It's over seventy five percent today.

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<v Speaker 2>Doctors just saying I don't I just can't deal with

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<v Speaker 2>this stuff anymore.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, And I think if you talk to physicians, you hear.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, there's a lot of compliance and sort of

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<v Speaker 6>like you know, investment they need to do in like

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<v Speaker 6>over the recent years around like electronic medical records and

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<v Speaker 6>you know, basically being a practicing physician has gotten a

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<v Speaker 6>lot more complicated and I think in some ways a

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<v Speaker 6>lot more expensive. In the days of just kind of

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<v Speaker 6>hanging your shingle when you get out of med school

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<v Speaker 6>and being a solo practitioner, those are over. The other

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<v Speaker 6>thing is that they're you know, looking for bargaining power

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<v Speaker 6>when they're contracting with the insurance companies. So they're joining

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<v Speaker 6>hospital systems, they're joining big groups, they're joining private equity

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<v Speaker 6>owned you know, practices.

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<v Speaker 3>I guess the logical question also then becomes if they're

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<v Speaker 3>tweaks to like entitlement programs too, Like how does that

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<v Speaker 3>wind up affecting this whole dynamic because of their changes

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<v Speaker 3>to medicate and medicare. I would assume that some providers

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<v Speaker 3>will lend lose money and then it makes it harder.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean, I think, you know, we we will

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<v Speaker 6>still have to see what comes out of Washington on

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<v Speaker 6>that front. But you know, in general, I think providers

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<v Speaker 6>will tell you that they have to charge higher prices

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<v Speaker 6>in the private market because they are not compensated enough

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<v Speaker 6>by government programs. I know there's a lot of dispute

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<v Speaker 6>about that assertion as well from economists and and others,

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<v Speaker 6>but you know it, you know, for patients, particularly in

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<v Speaker 6>the commercial market where they you know, if you're on

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<v Speaker 6>Medicare Medicaid, the government sets the price more or less.

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<v Speaker 6>But if you're on a private plan, you know, those

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<v Speaker 6>prices are set in the private market. And that's why

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<v Speaker 6>when you know, if you do have a situation where

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<v Speaker 6>something isn't properly covered, you can be exposed to a

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<v Speaker 6>really expensive bill.

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<v Speaker 2>Did your did Julie Simon's the woman in your story

0:11:51.000 --> 0:11:53.000
<v Speaker 2>that you ever getting into resolution with this lawsuit here?

0:11:54.000 --> 0:11:57.280
<v Speaker 6>So the claim was paid you know again after if

0:11:57.280 --> 0:12:00.280
<v Speaker 6>you filed the laws, after we asked the company about it,

0:12:00.280 --> 0:12:05.920
<v Speaker 6>claims were you know, so that was resolved that the

0:12:06.080 --> 0:12:08.600
<v Speaker 6>lawsuit is you know, is still pendaning.

0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:11.440
<v Speaker 2>Okay, all right, Thanks to John Tozzi, Bloomberg Healthcare Reporter.

0:12:11.720 --> 0:12:14.960
<v Speaker 3>Coming up, we're gonna look at Wall Street's infamous dark pools.

0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:18.040
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

0:12:18.080 --> 0:12:20.240
<v Speaker 2>depth research and data on two thousand companies and one

0:12:20.320 --> 0:12:23.400
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty industries. You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via

0:12:23.480 --> 0:12:24.760
<v Speaker 2>b I go on the terminal.

0:12:24.800 --> 0:12:27.480
<v Speaker 3>I'm Paul Sweeney and I'm Alex Steel, and this is Bloomberg.

0:12:34.280 --> 0:12:37.960
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:41.120
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarclay, and Android

0:12:41.160 --> 0:12:44.440
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever

0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:48.040
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:12:48.679 --> 0:12:51.560
<v Speaker 3>We turned to Tesla's CEO, Elon Musk and his relationship

0:12:51.559 --> 0:12:52.600
<v Speaker 3>with the Trump administration.

0:12:53.000 --> 0:12:56.080
<v Speaker 2>Tesla stock has been suffering since it's games on election Day,

0:12:56.280 --> 0:12:58.720
<v Speaker 2>and it shows that muscle relationship with President Donald Trump

0:12:58.800 --> 0:13:00.000
<v Speaker 2>is hurting his portfolio.

0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:02.880
<v Speaker 3>From whre, we spoke to Liam Denning Lumberg opinion columnists

0:13:02.880 --> 0:13:05.640
<v Speaker 3>for his piece titled how long will Musk be Welcomed

0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:06.439
<v Speaker 3>at the White House?

0:13:06.600 --> 0:13:08.840
<v Speaker 2>We first asked Liam if he is surprised that Elon

0:13:08.920 --> 0:13:10.880
<v Speaker 2>Musk has lasted this long at the White House?

0:13:11.000 --> 0:13:11.720
<v Speaker 8>You know, not really.

0:13:11.760 --> 0:13:14.080
<v Speaker 9>I mean, I know that there's this speculation that, you know,

0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:16.240
<v Speaker 9>you've got these two big egos and they're bound to

0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:19.400
<v Speaker 9>kind of explode in some kind of soup and over

0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:21.520
<v Speaker 9>at some point, I think we do have to consider

0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:26.120
<v Speaker 9>that they both still get quite a lot from this relationship.

0:13:26.160 --> 0:13:29.360
<v Speaker 9>I mean, you know, Elon Musk has the era of

0:13:29.679 --> 0:13:33.920
<v Speaker 9>the most powerful person in the world. He has through

0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:40.720
<v Speaker 9>the doge whatever that is, he has influence over all

0:13:40.760 --> 0:13:44.880
<v Speaker 9>sorts of agencies that regulate or do business with his companies.

0:13:44.960 --> 0:13:49.520
<v Speaker 9>And in return, you know, President Trump gets to bask

0:13:49.640 --> 0:13:52.319
<v Speaker 9>in the aura of this prominent businessman.

0:13:52.400 --> 0:13:54.520
<v Speaker 8>He gets campaign dollars.

0:13:55.040 --> 0:13:58.600
<v Speaker 9>You know, and he gets obviously you know, should we say,

0:13:58.679 --> 0:14:02.240
<v Speaker 9>algorithmic alignment on a big social media platform.

0:14:02.280 --> 0:14:04.079
<v Speaker 8>So there is still quite a ridic alignment.

0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:08.240
<v Speaker 9>But we have seen, you know, I think the reason

0:14:08.240 --> 0:14:10.320
<v Speaker 9>I wrote the piece is we've seen a confluence of

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:14.839
<v Speaker 9>things that point to the risks of a business person

0:14:15.040 --> 0:14:20.200
<v Speaker 9>like Elon Musk tying himself this closely to you know,

0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:21.680
<v Speaker 9>a pretty controversial president.

0:14:21.920 --> 0:14:23.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Liam put me in the camp. I was one

0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:27.040
<v Speaker 2>of those folks that said, you know, Elin will probably last,

0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:30.360
<v Speaker 2>his tenure will be measured in weeks, not months or years.

0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:32.160
<v Speaker 2>And that looks like, at least at this early stage,

0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:35.120
<v Speaker 2>I may be proven wrong, but you know, money talks here.

0:14:36.040 --> 0:14:39.000
<v Speaker 2>According to Rich go On, the Bloomberg criminal must. His

0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:41.680
<v Speaker 2>next net wealth is down one hundred and eighteen point

0:14:41.720 --> 0:14:46.320
<v Speaker 2>six billion dollars this year. Do you think he cares?

0:14:48.280 --> 0:14:50.480
<v Speaker 9>I think, you know, maybe on a kind of an

0:14:50.480 --> 0:14:51.720
<v Speaker 9>ego level that matters.

0:14:51.720 --> 0:14:53.680
<v Speaker 8>I mean, he's still worth you know.

0:14:53.640 --> 0:14:55.480
<v Speaker 9>The last time I looked up three hundred and thirteen,

0:14:56.560 --> 0:14:58.360
<v Speaker 9>so you know, he's not He's.

0:14:58.280 --> 0:14:59.680
<v Speaker 8>Obviously not going to be struggling.

0:14:59.760 --> 0:15:03.440
<v Speaker 9>But I think for me, you know, the big mover

0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:07.080
<v Speaker 9>there is Tesla obviously, because that's the the biggest asset,

0:15:07.200 --> 0:15:11.640
<v Speaker 9>it's the only really liquid one he has. You know,

0:15:11.720 --> 0:15:15.360
<v Speaker 9>his own personal indebtedness is tied to that stock, and

0:15:15.400 --> 0:15:17.960
<v Speaker 9>he used it, you know, to help buy.

0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:19.920
<v Speaker 8>Twitter.

0:15:20.800 --> 0:15:24.680
<v Speaker 9>And I think it is it is an issue because

0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 9>I think what's been interesting for me with what's happened

0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:30.680
<v Speaker 9>with Tesla since the election. You know, obviously there was

0:15:30.680 --> 0:15:34.040
<v Speaker 9>that huge Trump bump in the stock, you know, worth

0:15:34.240 --> 0:15:37.840
<v Speaker 9>north of seven hundred billion dollars, which has collapsed, and

0:15:38.160 --> 0:15:40.320
<v Speaker 9>in some ways I've sort of viewed that not just

0:15:40.360 --> 0:15:42.160
<v Speaker 9>as a SOT price, but as an opinion poll.

0:15:42.360 --> 0:15:43.320
<v Speaker 8>You know, we saw this.

0:15:44.200 --> 0:15:49.400
<v Speaker 9>Really enthusiastic response, you know, based around honestly pretty nebulous

0:15:49.480 --> 0:15:54.680
<v Speaker 9>ideas that Musk's closeness to Trump would somehow translate into say, like,

0:15:55.400 --> 0:15:59.600
<v Speaker 9>you know, favorable autonomous driving legislation or something. But when

0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 9>you want, there wasn't really a whole lot there, mainly

0:16:02.800 --> 0:16:05.560
<v Speaker 9>because you know, the big problem there is it's not

0:16:05.600 --> 0:16:09.040
<v Speaker 9>government regulations. The fact that Tesla still doesn't have a

0:16:09.080 --> 0:16:12.320
<v Speaker 9>commercial rogo taxi like that is the main problem. And

0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 9>in the meantime, we've seen the corrosive effects of that relationship.

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:21.880
<v Speaker 9>You know, clearly the Tesla brand is suffering in major markets.

0:16:21.880 --> 0:16:24.920
<v Speaker 9>We've seen bad numbers out of Europe, We've seen bad

0:16:25.040 --> 0:16:27.960
<v Speaker 9>numbers out of China or that may have less to.

0:16:27.920 --> 0:16:30.479
<v Speaker 8>Do with politics and more just with straight up petition.

0:16:30.960 --> 0:16:35.400
<v Speaker 9>And we've seen weakness in California, the big US EV

0:16:35.600 --> 0:16:38.920
<v Speaker 9>market building through twenty twenty four, and I honestly don't

0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:41.960
<v Speaker 9>expect that the past couple of months have helped with

0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:46.520
<v Speaker 9>sales there either. And I think as that price comes down,

0:16:47.360 --> 0:16:53.080
<v Speaker 9>it does tarnish Musk's image, it does affect him financially,

0:16:53.840 --> 0:16:58.440
<v Speaker 9>and it also points to I think lasting damage if

0:16:58.680 --> 0:17:02.360
<v Speaker 9>this relationship with Trump were to unravel in the same

0:17:02.360 --> 0:17:04.959
<v Speaker 9>way we've seen with the businessmen previously.

0:17:05.160 --> 0:17:07.480
<v Speaker 3>So I live in parks of Brooklyn. I think Liam

0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:10.080
<v Speaker 3>does too. But have you seen the teslas that are

0:17:10.840 --> 0:17:12.560
<v Speaker 3>you do know? I thought you live in Brooklyn.

0:17:12.400 --> 0:17:15.000
<v Speaker 8>Right now, I mean suburbs.

0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:17.040
<v Speaker 3>Oh he changed. Okay, he was in Brooklyn at one point.

0:17:17.520 --> 0:17:19.679
<v Speaker 3>But my point of this whole conversation is in yuppie

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:22.479
<v Speaker 3>Brooklyn there are teslas parked on the street and I

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:25.119
<v Speaker 3>noticed for the first time there were signs like leaflets

0:17:25.160 --> 0:17:27.720
<v Speaker 3>being put on the windshield being like cell your tesla

0:17:27.880 --> 0:17:30.080
<v Speaker 3>with like a picture of Elon Musk, because like that's

0:17:30.080 --> 0:17:33.200
<v Speaker 3>where the protest is, like only only in Parkslow when

0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:36.399
<v Speaker 3>that actually happen. Does Musk also provide a foil for

0:17:36.480 --> 0:17:39.240
<v Speaker 3>Donald Trump in terms of like Musk gets the heat

0:17:39.400 --> 0:17:40.040
<v Speaker 3>Trump doesn't.

0:17:40.960 --> 0:17:44.000
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, And you know, I think my read of the

0:17:44.040 --> 0:17:47.119
<v Speaker 9>way Musk was brought into government in this kind of,

0:17:48.040 --> 0:17:52.760
<v Speaker 9>you know, kind of slightly arms length, quasi independent role

0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:55.159
<v Speaker 9>was that that gave him a lot of freedom of

0:17:56.480 --> 0:17:59.560
<v Speaker 9>movement to act. It also meant he obviously avoided some

0:17:59.640 --> 0:18:02.359
<v Speaker 9>of the more onerous kind of Senate hearings and that

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:05.639
<v Speaker 9>kind of thing. But I think it also gives Trump

0:18:05.760 --> 0:18:09.960
<v Speaker 9>some useful distance if at some point we were to see,

0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:13.399
<v Speaker 9>you know, some real blowback against I don't know, you know,

0:18:13.640 --> 0:18:17.240
<v Speaker 9>cuts to entitlements or if we see you know, if

0:18:17.240 --> 0:18:19.040
<v Speaker 9>we see a recession happen.

0:18:20.040 --> 0:18:22.520
<v Speaker 8>We've seen Trump, you know.

0:18:22.600 --> 0:18:28.040
<v Speaker 9>Very quickly, you know, lose patience with some of these

0:18:28.080 --> 0:18:29.960
<v Speaker 9>people he's brought in before. You know, I'm thinking of

0:18:30.000 --> 0:18:34.399
<v Speaker 9>people like the former excell and CEO Rex Tillison in

0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:38.560
<v Speaker 9>the first term. Gary Khan from Goldman Sachs. Musk's in

0:18:38.600 --> 0:18:41.760
<v Speaker 9>a different league, but he's also very close. He's not

0:18:42.240 --> 0:18:46.359
<v Speaker 9>you know, this is a whole new level of embrace

0:18:46.480 --> 0:18:49.200
<v Speaker 9>between a prominent business person and the White House.

0:18:49.200 --> 0:18:51.520
<v Speaker 3>All right, Thanks to Lilliam Denning, Bloomberg opinion columnist.

0:18:51.920 --> 0:18:54.240
<v Speaker 2>One Bloomberg Big Takes story we focused on this week

0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:57.439
<v Speaker 2>was titled Wall Street's private rooms are making dark pools

0:18:57.520 --> 0:18:59.919
<v Speaker 2>even darker. You can find it on the Bloomberg Dot

0:19:00.400 --> 0:19:01.240
<v Speaker 2>and the Terminal.

0:19:01.400 --> 0:19:03.520
<v Speaker 3>The story focuses on how Wall Street's dark pools are

0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:06.520
<v Speaker 3>becoming even more opaque with the introduction of private rooms.

0:19:06.760 --> 0:19:09.240
<v Speaker 2>These rooms allow firms to control who they trade with

0:19:09.359 --> 0:19:12.840
<v Speaker 2>and the ability to hide big equity deals from impacting prices.

0:19:12.920 --> 0:19:13.280
<v Speaker 2>For more.

0:19:13.280 --> 0:19:15.880
<v Speaker 3>We were joined by Katherine Dority, Bloomberg Finance reporter when

0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:18.080
<v Speaker 3>we first asked Catherine to remind us what dark holes

0:19:18.200 --> 0:19:18.680
<v Speaker 3>even are.

0:19:19.080 --> 0:19:20.919
<v Speaker 7>So the name is nefarious.

0:19:20.960 --> 0:19:23.760
<v Speaker 10>It sounds like there's something evil going on, but all

0:19:23.800 --> 0:19:27.600
<v Speaker 10>it really is is trying to show is the trading

0:19:27.640 --> 0:19:31.840
<v Speaker 10>that is happening off the large exchanges. That are the

0:19:31.880 --> 0:19:35.119
<v Speaker 10>lit venues that you see the trading and all the

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:38.840
<v Speaker 10>activity happening in real time. The trading that happens off

0:19:38.840 --> 0:19:41.919
<v Speaker 10>the New York Stock Exchange off Nasdaq in these alternative

0:19:41.920 --> 0:19:43.600
<v Speaker 10>trading systems, those.

0:19:43.359 --> 0:19:45.400
<v Speaker 7>Are the proverbial dark pools.

0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:49.680
<v Speaker 10>So the trend that I've been tracking is this introduction

0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 10>in the last few years of private rooms, and all

0:19:53.280 --> 0:19:57.400
<v Speaker 10>this is is segmented. It's the ability to choose who

0:19:57.480 --> 0:20:01.879
<v Speaker 10>you're interacting with and where within these dark pools. So

0:20:02.160 --> 0:20:04.040
<v Speaker 10>in many ways you can think about it as the

0:20:04.119 --> 0:20:05.200
<v Speaker 10>darker version of.

0:20:05.160 --> 0:20:05.840
<v Speaker 7>The dark pool.

0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:10.520
<v Speaker 2>What percentage of volume an equity volume is in dark

0:20:10.520 --> 0:20:11.840
<v Speaker 2>pools broadly defined.

0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:14.200
<v Speaker 10>So for the first time, off exchange trading in dark

0:20:14.200 --> 0:20:18.120
<v Speaker 10>pools has actually surpassed fifty percent, so it's become the majority,

0:20:18.119 --> 0:20:20.280
<v Speaker 10>and that was by the end of last year. So

0:20:20.560 --> 0:20:25.280
<v Speaker 10>that's another significant trend. The percentage of private room trading,

0:20:25.520 --> 0:20:28.760
<v Speaker 10>that's the big question mark, because these alternative trading systems

0:20:29.080 --> 0:20:32.800
<v Speaker 10>don't need to break out the volumes within their private rooms.

0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:36.880
<v Speaker 10>They disclose that they have private rooms, but the number

0:20:36.920 --> 0:20:41.480
<v Speaker 10>of private rooms and how much volume is actually happening trading.

0:20:41.240 --> 0:20:44.800
<v Speaker 7>Within them, that is not disclosed. So it's a big

0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:45.520
<v Speaker 7>question mark.

0:20:45.560 --> 0:20:48.520
<v Speaker 10>And when you're trading on an alternative trading system, you

0:20:48.640 --> 0:20:52.880
<v Speaker 10>may have access to ninety percent of the liquidity within

0:20:52.920 --> 0:20:55.800
<v Speaker 10>this pool because all of the trading that happens within

0:20:55.800 --> 0:20:58.240
<v Speaker 10>a private room you may not have access to.

0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:01.439
<v Speaker 3>So okay, so what are the pros and cons? So

0:21:01.480 --> 0:21:04.000
<v Speaker 3>clearly not having access to liquidity would be a con

0:21:04.080 --> 0:21:06.119
<v Speaker 3>right or not knowing what all the liquidity is. What's

0:21:06.200 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 3>the pro here?

0:21:07.040 --> 0:21:09.919
<v Speaker 10>So the users of these private rooms, the benefit that

0:21:09.960 --> 0:21:13.879
<v Speaker 10>they cite is the specificity of who you're interacting with.

0:21:14.200 --> 0:21:17.159
<v Speaker 10>It can provide certainty in terms of the quality of

0:21:17.280 --> 0:21:20.399
<v Speaker 10>trading that you're looking for. So if I say I

0:21:20.480 --> 0:21:23.000
<v Speaker 10>want to interact with Alex because I know Alex is

0:21:23.040 --> 0:21:24.959
<v Speaker 10>going to give me the best execution and I'm going

0:21:25.000 --> 0:21:27.320
<v Speaker 10>to get the best price for a certain order, this

0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:31.120
<v Speaker 10>could be because I know that you Alex can fulfill

0:21:31.280 --> 0:21:34.280
<v Speaker 10>a certain size order, or maybe it's the speed at

0:21:34.280 --> 0:21:36.520
<v Speaker 10>which I need to fill this order. If I know

0:21:36.800 --> 0:21:40.520
<v Speaker 10>that there's a particular either firm or number of firms,

0:21:40.520 --> 0:21:44.240
<v Speaker 10>it could be multiple firms in one private room, that

0:21:44.320 --> 0:21:47.720
<v Speaker 10>certainty can actually be quite comforting for a broker that's

0:21:47.760 --> 0:21:51.639
<v Speaker 10>trying to fulfill on behalf of their investor client a

0:21:51.640 --> 0:21:53.600
<v Speaker 10>big order that they don't want to send to a

0:21:53.640 --> 0:21:56.200
<v Speaker 10>public stock exchange.

0:21:56.280 --> 0:22:00.160
<v Speaker 2>An investor order comes in, well, all right, I'm I'm

0:22:00.200 --> 0:22:03.000
<v Speaker 2>the buy side client. A I want to go to

0:22:03.040 --> 0:22:05.080
<v Speaker 2>a private room. Do I go through my broker dealer,

0:22:05.119 --> 0:22:07.320
<v Speaker 2>whether it's Goldman, Saxomorg instantly and they get me into

0:22:07.320 --> 0:22:08.840
<v Speaker 2>the private room, or do I go directly into the

0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:09.360
<v Speaker 2>private room.

0:22:09.440 --> 0:22:11.560
<v Speaker 10>So, if you there are the investor, you're just sending

0:22:11.600 --> 0:22:14.320
<v Speaker 10>your order and you're broker's executing. It's up to the broker,

0:22:14.640 --> 0:22:18.520
<v Speaker 10>And many times it's the broker's algos that actually have

0:22:18.680 --> 0:22:22.640
<v Speaker 10>these private rooms set and they in an automated process.

0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:25.240
<v Speaker 7>It might go straight to the private.

0:22:25.000 --> 0:22:28.560
<v Speaker 10>Room within the alternative trading system, or it could go

0:22:28.600 --> 0:22:31.480
<v Speaker 10>to the exchange. It all depends on again, the size

0:22:31.520 --> 0:22:34.920
<v Speaker 10>of the trade, the speed. Really you're what you're trying

0:22:34.920 --> 0:22:36.760
<v Speaker 10>to do? What is your endgame? What is your goal?

0:22:37.520 --> 0:22:40.560
<v Speaker 3>So if I don't have access, though, am I losing out?

0:22:41.160 --> 0:22:42.600
<v Speaker 3>Like if I'm just trading on the regular world and

0:22:42.640 --> 0:22:46.639
<v Speaker 3>nicey like, am I losing speed or money or trade

0:22:46.720 --> 0:22:47.639
<v Speaker 3>or is it just different?

0:22:47.880 --> 0:22:49.720
<v Speaker 7>So it's the big question mark.

0:22:50.359 --> 0:22:52.719
<v Speaker 10>One of the firms that I profiled in my story

0:22:52.760 --> 0:22:57.080
<v Speaker 10>today is a minority owned broker dealer and they specifically

0:22:57.160 --> 0:23:00.119
<v Speaker 10>are looking to interact with other minority broker dealers. So

0:23:00.119 --> 0:23:03.080
<v Speaker 10>there is a room set up with only minority owned

0:23:03.160 --> 0:23:03.960
<v Speaker 10>broker dealers.

0:23:04.160 --> 0:23:06.480
<v Speaker 7>So that use case is very specific.

0:23:07.320 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 10>Obviously, if you're not a minority owned broker dealer, you

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:13.080
<v Speaker 10>may not be invited into that room. And whether or

0:23:13.080 --> 0:23:16.440
<v Speaker 10>not that is a big con whether or not those

0:23:16.560 --> 0:23:19.480
<v Speaker 10>trades that you don't have access to are going to

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:23.919
<v Speaker 10>impact your experience. It's still a very small sliver of

0:23:23.960 --> 0:23:27.719
<v Speaker 10>the market. The ATS is the firms that are running

0:23:27.800 --> 0:23:30.520
<v Speaker 10>these off exchange venues that I talk to in trying

0:23:30.560 --> 0:23:33.800
<v Speaker 10>to understand the actual volumes that are happening within these

0:23:33.840 --> 0:23:34.560
<v Speaker 10>private rooms.

0:23:34.920 --> 0:23:36.080
<v Speaker 7>It's very small.

0:23:36.160 --> 0:23:39.320
<v Speaker 10>It's some of them are citing five percent, it's less

0:23:39.359 --> 0:23:40.760
<v Speaker 10>than ten percent overall.

0:23:41.160 --> 0:23:45.760
<v Speaker 7>So when you think about the bigger picture here, it's.

0:23:45.600 --> 0:23:47.879
<v Speaker 10>Not as if you're losing out on half of the

0:23:47.920 --> 0:23:51.919
<v Speaker 10>trading that is occurring off exchange by no means. The

0:23:52.040 --> 0:23:55.359
<v Speaker 10>question becomes, as this trend grows and we are seeing

0:23:55.400 --> 0:23:59.280
<v Speaker 10>at pick up momentum, will it then start to impact

0:23:59.400 --> 0:24:01.760
<v Speaker 10>trading ex and then some of your questions that you're

0:24:01.760 --> 0:24:04.680
<v Speaker 10>bringing up alex those will need to be asked and

0:24:05.119 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 10>hopefully answered over time.

0:24:07.560 --> 0:24:09.600
<v Speaker 2>A big part of my job was taking the sales

0:24:09.600 --> 0:24:11.160
<v Speaker 2>trader from Alliance after drinks at night.

0:24:11.960 --> 0:24:14.000
<v Speaker 3>That you can still do that.

0:24:14.119 --> 0:24:15.720
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if you're in a dark pool, I

0:24:15.720 --> 0:24:17.280
<v Speaker 2>don't know who's who, I don't know what's going on.

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:20.040
<v Speaker 2>I could just walk across the street, my guide Alliance,

0:24:20.280 --> 0:24:22.280
<v Speaker 2>Big Account take them out for drinks.

0:24:22.400 --> 0:24:22.800
<v Speaker 8>Booms.

0:24:23.400 --> 0:24:26.040
<v Speaker 10>The relationships and the drinks they still do matter.

0:24:26.200 --> 0:24:28.320
<v Speaker 3>So maybe you're going off for a drink with someone

0:24:28.600 --> 0:24:31.200
<v Speaker 3>in your private rooms in the It's true.

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:33.040
<v Speaker 2>That's a big part of my game back.

0:24:32.920 --> 0:24:33.280
<v Speaker 5>In the day.

0:24:33.359 --> 0:24:35.840
<v Speaker 7>No relationship. Relationships are still.

0:24:35.640 --> 0:24:37.480
<v Speaker 2>The name of the game our thanks to Catherine Dherty,

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:38.600
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Finance reporter.

0:24:38.880 --> 0:24:40.719
<v Speaker 3>Coming up in the program, I'll look at how China's

0:24:40.720 --> 0:24:42.720
<v Speaker 3>on the verge of taking over the auto industry.

0:24:42.920 --> 0:24:45.679
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

0:24:45.680 --> 0:24:47.920
<v Speaker 2>depth research and data on two thousand companies and one

0:24:47.960 --> 0:24:50.680
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty industries. You can ask the Bloomberg Intelligence

0:24:50.720 --> 0:24:53.400
<v Speaker 2>v B. I go on the terminal, I'll Paul Swingey.

0:24:53.080 --> 0:24:55.160
<v Speaker 3>And a Malex Steel and this is Bloomberg.

0:25:01.680 --> 0:25:05.600
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch the program

0:25:05.680 --> 0:25:08.560
<v Speaker 1>live weekdays at ten a m. Eastern on Apple Corplay

0:25:08.600 --> 0:25:11.360
<v Speaker 1>and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can

0:25:11.400 --> 0:25:14.879
<v Speaker 1>also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New

0:25:14.960 --> 0:25:18.680
<v Speaker 1>York station. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:25:19.760 --> 0:25:22.280
<v Speaker 3>Each week we look at research from Bloomberg n EF

0:25:22.280 --> 0:25:25.040
<v Speaker 3>previously known as New Energy Finance. They're the team at

0:25:25.040 --> 0:25:28.200
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg that tracks and analyzes the energy transition from commodities

0:25:28.240 --> 0:25:31.560
<v Speaker 3>to power, transport, industries, buildings, and ag sectors.

0:25:32.000 --> 0:25:34.399
<v Speaker 2>This week, we looked at the consequence of President Donald

0:25:34.400 --> 0:25:37.680
<v Speaker 2>Trump's America First Investment policy on the US energy landscape.

0:25:37.720 --> 0:25:40.200
<v Speaker 3>For instance, one hundred and eleven percent of planned US

0:25:40.280 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 3>battery production is controlled by China linked firms, and Trump's

0:25:43.880 --> 0:25:46.320
<v Speaker 3>policy makes it harder for Chinese firms to invest in

0:25:46.359 --> 0:25:46.840
<v Speaker 3>the US.

0:25:47.119 --> 0:25:50.280
<v Speaker 2>As a result, efforts to scale domestic clean tech manufacturing

0:25:50.320 --> 0:25:52.520
<v Speaker 2>may be hindered for more. We were joined by Derek

0:25:52.560 --> 0:25:55.800
<v Speaker 2>flakel BNF Lead US Policy annolyst.

0:25:55.840 --> 0:25:58.000
<v Speaker 3>We first asked Derek to break down how President Trump's

0:25:58.000 --> 0:26:00.600
<v Speaker 3>new policies on investment differ from than Biden administration.

0:26:00.760 --> 0:26:02.840
<v Speaker 11>A lot of the Biden administration's policy was an attempt

0:26:02.840 --> 0:26:05.480
<v Speaker 11>to sort of catch up with that investment in technological

0:26:05.600 --> 0:26:07.680
<v Speaker 11>edge that China has, or at least compete with it better.

0:26:08.280 --> 0:26:10.960
<v Speaker 11>But the Trump administration has imposed a new policy that

0:26:11.040 --> 0:26:12.919
<v Speaker 11>might make that a little bit more complicated. When you

0:26:12.960 --> 0:26:15.520
<v Speaker 11>have firms like byd or Ghoshen in the battery space

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:17.840
<v Speaker 11>that are sort of the technological leaders in this area,

0:26:18.080 --> 0:26:20.159
<v Speaker 11>you might think it might benefit the US economy to

0:26:20.200 --> 0:26:23.040
<v Speaker 11>have some additional investment from those companies have some technology

0:26:23.040 --> 0:26:25.440
<v Speaker 11>transfer that comes along with that. But Trump recently passed

0:26:25.480 --> 0:26:28.000
<v Speaker 11>in America First Investment policy which is designed to make

0:26:28.040 --> 0:26:31.080
<v Speaker 11>that more difficult due to the sort of growing bipartisan

0:26:31.080 --> 0:26:33.080
<v Speaker 11>security concerns around China, and there's a bit of a

0:26:33.080 --> 0:26:36.320
<v Speaker 11>trade off here. Will Trump wants reindustrialization and reinvestment in

0:26:36.359 --> 0:26:39.120
<v Speaker 11>the US. At one point, he suggested that Chinese factories

0:26:39.160 --> 0:26:41.159
<v Speaker 11>might set up in the US rather than Mexico. What

0:26:41.240 --> 0:26:43.560
<v Speaker 11>he's actually doing in practice is making that more challenging.

0:26:43.840 --> 0:26:48.399
<v Speaker 2>So what is the solution here for investment? What are

0:26:48.400 --> 0:26:51.879
<v Speaker 2>the American companies saying about their ability to meet demands

0:26:52.000 --> 0:26:55.680
<v Speaker 2>within the clean tech food chain here in the US.

0:26:56.280 --> 0:26:58.439
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think classically there's always a bit of a

0:26:58.440 --> 0:27:02.040
<v Speaker 11>division between who you're talking with import competing industries versus

0:27:02.040 --> 0:27:04.720
<v Speaker 11>import reliant industries. But a lot of the factories in

0:27:04.760 --> 0:27:06.920
<v Speaker 11>the US that are setting up in practice these are

0:27:07.160 --> 0:27:09.280
<v Speaker 11>the sort of end of the food chain. We're talking

0:27:09.320 --> 0:27:13.760
<v Speaker 11>assembling solar modules from imported ingots and wafers, or assembling

0:27:13.840 --> 0:27:16.200
<v Speaker 11>evs from some degree of imported parts, although the EV

0:27:16.280 --> 0:27:17.960
<v Speaker 11>supply chain is rather more domestic.

0:27:18.480 --> 0:27:20.160
<v Speaker 5>So depending on.

0:27:20.119 --> 0:27:21.840
<v Speaker 11>Which part of the industry you're talking about, they're going

0:27:21.880 --> 0:27:26.200
<v Speaker 11>to be looking positively or negatively at this order that set.

0:27:26.280 --> 0:27:29.120
<v Speaker 11>It's important to note that current rules still allow joint

0:27:29.200 --> 0:27:32.480
<v Speaker 11>ventures and licensing deals. Some companies, like FORB, we're counting

0:27:32.480 --> 0:27:34.840
<v Speaker 11>on using those kinds of deals to try and build

0:27:34.920 --> 0:27:38.080
<v Speaker 11>up their own technological edge and compete better. So I

0:27:38.119 --> 0:27:41.840
<v Speaker 11>think there is an understanding that companies want investment, they

0:27:41.880 --> 0:27:44.640
<v Speaker 11>want a clean, predictable environment. To some extent. This order

0:27:44.640 --> 0:27:47.280
<v Speaker 11>does try to answer those concerns by making it easier

0:27:47.320 --> 0:27:50.320
<v Speaker 11>to mitigate against some of the foreign investment concerns that

0:27:50.359 --> 0:27:52.720
<v Speaker 11>are regulated by say the Committee and Foreign Investment in

0:27:52.760 --> 0:27:55.440
<v Speaker 11>the US Sciphius. But at the end of the day,

0:27:55.480 --> 0:27:58.399
<v Speaker 11>I think this is one additional element of uncertainty in

0:27:58.480 --> 0:28:01.080
<v Speaker 11>one that's increasingly defined uncertainty.

0:28:01.240 --> 0:28:03.919
<v Speaker 3>If clean tech wasn't a word, if it was just

0:28:03.960 --> 0:28:06.800
<v Speaker 3>like tech, what would this be different? Or is the

0:28:06.800 --> 0:28:09.080
<v Speaker 3>fact that the words clean on it changes the dynamic.

0:28:10.080 --> 0:28:12.520
<v Speaker 11>I think you've seen broader sort of concerns in the

0:28:12.600 --> 0:28:16.080
<v Speaker 11>government community about Chinese investments. Certainly you hear about that

0:28:16.119 --> 0:28:20.920
<v Speaker 11>and chips, anything cybersecurity related. Technically speaking, a major trade

0:28:20.960 --> 0:28:23.520
<v Speaker 11>barrier is the connected cars rule of the Biden administration

0:28:23.560 --> 0:28:27.679
<v Speaker 11>impost saying no cars with Chinese navigational or connectivity of

0:28:27.720 --> 0:28:30.000
<v Speaker 11>software can be sold in the US market after twenty

0:28:30.000 --> 0:28:33.119
<v Speaker 11>twenty six. So I think the fact that energy is

0:28:33.119 --> 0:28:35.360
<v Speaker 11>a sort of critical sector and is specifically called out

0:28:35.359 --> 0:28:38.160
<v Speaker 11>as such in this order makes it especially sensitive. But

0:28:38.160 --> 0:28:40.720
<v Speaker 11>there's a variety of other strategic sectors where these sensitivities

0:28:40.760 --> 0:28:41.280
<v Speaker 11>also apply.

0:28:41.920 --> 0:28:45.440
<v Speaker 2>And Derek, I guess the reality, though, is that the Chinese,

0:28:46.040 --> 0:28:48.160
<v Speaker 2>in fact, are way ahead of the rest of the

0:28:48.160 --> 0:28:51.040
<v Speaker 2>world in terms of technology, so that makes it even

0:28:51.120 --> 0:28:54.600
<v Speaker 2>more difficult. What's the solution there.

0:28:54.920 --> 0:28:57.640
<v Speaker 11>Well, something the Order tries to do is compensate for

0:28:57.680 --> 0:29:00.800
<v Speaker 11>that by making it easier for unspecified US allies and

0:29:00.840 --> 0:29:03.720
<v Speaker 11>partners to invest in the US. This could include say

0:29:03.760 --> 0:29:05.800
<v Speaker 11>Japan and Korea, which are some of the other leaders

0:29:05.840 --> 0:29:08.440
<v Speaker 11>in the sector. But at the same time, that's complicated

0:29:08.440 --> 0:29:10.280
<v Speaker 11>by the fact that one there's no current list of

0:29:10.320 --> 0:29:13.200
<v Speaker 11>allies and partners and right now all those traditional alliances

0:29:13.200 --> 0:29:16.440
<v Speaker 11>and partnerships are complicated by the trade war, and two

0:29:17.040 --> 0:29:20.960
<v Speaker 11>there's not a specific set of circumstances under which those

0:29:20.960 --> 0:29:23.400
<v Speaker 11>allies and partners can get a guarantee that they'll be

0:29:23.600 --> 0:29:26.960
<v Speaker 11>allowed in. It specifically says that if there's partnerships with

0:29:27.040 --> 0:29:30.560
<v Speaker 11>Chinese companies by these US allied and partner companies, then

0:29:30.560 --> 0:29:34.360
<v Speaker 11>that could complicate their investment climate. And since places like

0:29:34.400 --> 0:29:39.960
<v Speaker 11>Panasonic or asc from Japan, or Skon LG Energy Solution

0:29:40.000 --> 0:29:43.200
<v Speaker 11>from Korea, they have commercial relationships in China, right maybe

0:29:43.200 --> 0:29:45.800
<v Speaker 11>that's supply chain, maybe that's consumption, and it's not totally

0:29:45.800 --> 0:29:49.040
<v Speaker 11>clear which of those relationships would be considered prejudicial to

0:29:49.200 --> 0:29:50.840
<v Speaker 11>their getting permission to set up in the US.

0:29:51.000 --> 0:29:53.880
<v Speaker 3>Hey Derek, what areas of the clean tech area space?

0:29:54.240 --> 0:29:56.600
<v Speaker 3>Is the US doing well in and investing the right

0:29:56.680 --> 0:29:59.720
<v Speaker 3>kind of money and like the sectors developing right?

0:30:00.000 --> 0:30:02.160
<v Speaker 11>I think that's a great question. I think, first of all,

0:30:02.160 --> 0:30:05.560
<v Speaker 11>you can sort of separate deployment and manufacturing. Deployment wise,

0:30:05.600 --> 0:30:08.840
<v Speaker 11>we're seeing an absolute boom and battery installations, solar installations,

0:30:09.080 --> 0:30:10.720
<v Speaker 11>things like wind are a little bit more affected by

0:30:10.720 --> 0:30:15.840
<v Speaker 11>interest rates, uncertainty, things like that. On the supply chain side,

0:30:15.920 --> 0:30:19.160
<v Speaker 11>there's definitely been a huge boom in battery manufacturing and

0:30:19.200 --> 0:30:22.680
<v Speaker 11>related EV investments, but as we mentioned, there's a lot

0:30:22.720 --> 0:30:24.760
<v Speaker 11>of sort of foreign involvement in those supply chains which

0:30:24.760 --> 0:30:27.840
<v Speaker 11>could be a little bitpacted by this. Lastly, I think

0:30:27.880 --> 0:30:31.200
<v Speaker 11>there are some US grown technologies, especially those related to

0:30:31.880 --> 0:30:34.640
<v Speaker 11>spin offs of oil and gas drilling for of O

0:30:34.840 --> 0:30:36.840
<v Speaker 11>energy and geothermal. He's a lot of those techniques for

0:30:36.880 --> 0:30:40.360
<v Speaker 11>geothermal drilling. Those are doing fairly well, but they're earlier

0:30:40.400 --> 0:30:43.040
<v Speaker 11>on and they're not necessarily as determinative of progress in

0:30:43.080 --> 0:30:45.440
<v Speaker 11>the energy transition right now as some of these traditional

0:30:45.520 --> 0:30:46.480
<v Speaker 11>legacy technologies.

0:30:46.720 --> 0:30:50.520
<v Speaker 2>Hey Derek, we're only two months into the second Trump administration.

0:30:50.640 --> 0:30:53.719
<v Speaker 2>But is there any consensus in your world of policy

0:30:54.160 --> 0:30:57.160
<v Speaker 2>as to whether this administration is going to be helpful

0:30:57.360 --> 0:31:01.240
<v Speaker 2>or not helpful as it relates to, you know, economic

0:31:01.280 --> 0:31:02.520
<v Speaker 2>policy in.

0:31:02.520 --> 0:31:05.840
<v Speaker 11>Green I think if we're talking about economic policy with

0:31:06.000 --> 0:31:09.640
<v Speaker 11>respect to clean energy, I think that you have to

0:31:09.680 --> 0:31:13.640
<v Speaker 11>look at the sort of broader macroeconomic uncertainties surrounding tariffs,

0:31:13.640 --> 0:31:17.600
<v Speaker 11>the impacts on interest rates. I think that creates a

0:31:17.600 --> 0:31:20.160
<v Speaker 11>bit of a cloud under all kinds of capital and

0:31:20.200 --> 0:31:22.920
<v Speaker 11>tons of investments. At the same time, there's been no

0:31:23.040 --> 0:31:25.320
<v Speaker 11>strong focus on and all of the above energy strategy

0:31:25.440 --> 0:31:27.680
<v Speaker 11>trying to support the data center build out, And while

0:31:27.800 --> 0:31:30.560
<v Speaker 11>the actions so far have concentrated heavily on oil and

0:31:30.600 --> 0:31:34.120
<v Speaker 11>gas and related infrastructure fossil fuel power plants, there is

0:31:34.440 --> 0:31:38.040
<v Speaker 11>sort of the inkling or political room for continued support

0:31:38.120 --> 0:31:41.080
<v Speaker 11>of supply expansion by all means, which, based on the

0:31:41.120 --> 0:31:44.959
<v Speaker 11>sort of interconnection cues the big expected load growth from

0:31:45.040 --> 0:31:49.000
<v Speaker 11>data centers and more, seems reasonably likely. However, it is

0:31:49.040 --> 0:31:50.600
<v Speaker 11>only two months in and I think we've really got

0:31:50.600 --> 0:31:52.760
<v Speaker 11>a wait to see how this situation develops, in which

0:31:52.760 --> 0:31:55.160
<v Speaker 11>factions of the Trump administration are more dominant in the

0:31:55.160 --> 0:31:55.840
<v Speaker 11>longer run.

0:31:55.680 --> 0:31:59.280
<v Speaker 3>All right, thanks to Derek flakel Bloomberg BANNI lead US policy.

0:31:58.920 --> 0:32:02.320
<v Speaker 2>Analystlomberg Big Takes. Story we focused on this week was

0:32:02.480 --> 0:32:06.080
<v Speaker 2>entitled China's Auto industry is Already taking over the world.

0:32:06.320 --> 0:32:08.600
<v Speaker 2>You can find it on Bloomberg dot Com and the Terminal.

0:32:08.760 --> 0:32:10.360
<v Speaker 3>The story looks at how China is on the verge

0:32:10.360 --> 0:32:12.160
<v Speaker 3>of taking over the auto industry from its rise and

0:32:12.200 --> 0:32:15.360
<v Speaker 3>electric vehicles. For more, we spoke at Chester Dawson, Bloomberg

0:32:15.360 --> 0:32:16.040
<v Speaker 3>Senior editor.

0:32:16.240 --> 0:32:18.640
<v Speaker 2>We first asked Chester about how much of the global

0:32:18.640 --> 0:32:20.440
<v Speaker 2>auto market China has right now.

0:32:20.840 --> 0:32:23.520
<v Speaker 12>It's starting from a very small base, but it's growing

0:32:23.600 --> 0:32:28.760
<v Speaker 12>very rapidly, so it's basically about three percent, but it's

0:32:28.800 --> 0:32:31.880
<v Speaker 12>forecast to grow by leaps and bounds over the next

0:32:31.880 --> 0:32:34.200
<v Speaker 12>few years. And it's really amazing when you look at

0:32:34.440 --> 0:32:38.320
<v Speaker 12>particular markets where they have a thirty percent share, like

0:32:38.320 --> 0:32:42.200
<v Speaker 12>in Chile or in Russia, where for obvious reasons, most

0:32:42.200 --> 0:32:45.000
<v Speaker 12>of the competitions pulled out, they've got over three quarters

0:32:45.000 --> 0:32:48.520
<v Speaker 12>of the market. So those are obviously, you know, kind

0:32:48.520 --> 0:32:53.920
<v Speaker 12>of outlier examples, but slowly, yet surely, almost everywhere around

0:32:53.960 --> 0:32:59.000
<v Speaker 12>the grow, particularly in emerging markets. The Chinese are gaining

0:32:59.000 --> 0:33:02.200
<v Speaker 12>more market share, gaining momentum, and often undercutting the more

0:33:02.320 --> 0:33:05.240
<v Speaker 12>established rivals. Obviously the big exception there is the US,

0:33:05.320 --> 0:33:07.560
<v Speaker 12>But elsewhere you're seeing tremendous growth.

0:33:07.880 --> 0:33:12.160
<v Speaker 2>So what has been the response by the western auto

0:33:12.240 --> 0:33:14.920
<v Speaker 2>manufactured something in the Volkswagens and the Fords of the world.

0:33:14.960 --> 0:33:16.760
<v Speaker 2>What are they doing or how are they responding to

0:33:16.760 --> 0:33:17.880
<v Speaker 2>this growth by China?

0:33:17.960 --> 0:33:21.480
<v Speaker 12>Well, it's really twofold in their home markets. Obviously, they've

0:33:21.640 --> 0:33:27.720
<v Speaker 12>sought protection by lobbying for various protectionist barriers. In many cases,

0:33:27.720 --> 0:33:30.240
<v Speaker 12>the argument is, hey, we just need a few years

0:33:30.240 --> 0:33:32.080
<v Speaker 12>of breathing room until we can get up to speed

0:33:32.200 --> 0:33:34.920
<v Speaker 12>and have a more competitive product. But we've kind of

0:33:34.920 --> 0:33:39.320
<v Speaker 12>seen how that works historically, and it's not always a

0:33:39.360 --> 0:33:43.880
<v Speaker 12>silver bullet outside of the industrialized world, because Canada and

0:33:44.240 --> 0:33:47.120
<v Speaker 12>even the U has been drawing up the drug verge

0:33:47.160 --> 0:33:49.960
<v Speaker 12>a bit for Chinese made vehicles. But you know, in

0:33:50.040 --> 0:33:52.520
<v Speaker 12>much of the rest of the world, where growth is

0:33:52.520 --> 0:33:56.760
<v Speaker 12>often fastest, the Chinese are making really impressive head roads,

0:33:57.120 --> 0:34:00.720
<v Speaker 12>and the you know, established automakers are not sitting on

0:34:00.760 --> 0:34:04.840
<v Speaker 12>their hands. They're you know, they're often trying to beat

0:34:04.880 --> 0:34:08.120
<v Speaker 12>the Chinese on price or you know, use their better

0:34:08.239 --> 0:34:13.320
<v Speaker 12>brand name, recognition and credibility, and often and sometimes working

0:34:13.360 --> 0:34:17.880
<v Speaker 12>with local dealers to pressure governments in places like say Brazil,

0:34:18.400 --> 0:34:21.239
<v Speaker 12>to throw up their own barriers that lunt some of

0:34:21.280 --> 0:34:22.800
<v Speaker 12>the in roads being made by Chinese.

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:25.719
<v Speaker 3>This would be a silly question, but are Chinese carmakers

0:34:25.800 --> 0:34:29.480
<v Speaker 3>displacing European and US carmakers or is this like expanding

0:34:29.640 --> 0:34:31.000
<v Speaker 3>general auto market share.

0:34:31.680 --> 0:34:34.600
<v Speaker 12>You know, that's a really good question. I think it's both.

0:34:34.800 --> 0:34:40.560
<v Speaker 12>I mean, you're not seeing growth so fast that the

0:34:40.600 --> 0:34:43.440
<v Speaker 12>pies expanded to the point where everybody's getting a bit

0:34:43.480 --> 0:34:46.480
<v Speaker 12>of it. You are seeing erosion. It's not true everywhere,

0:34:46.520 --> 0:34:51.480
<v Speaker 12>but take Thailand. That's a perfect example of where that

0:34:51.640 --> 0:34:56.360
<v Speaker 12>was basically owned by the Japanese for decades, and you

0:34:56.360 --> 0:34:59.000
<v Speaker 12>know there were other automakers, Ford and others sell there too,

0:34:59.040 --> 0:35:02.239
<v Speaker 12>but it was basically no is kind of Japan's backyard

0:35:02.280 --> 0:35:06.240
<v Speaker 12>and where companies like to to sold tremendous numbers of vehicles.

0:35:06.719 --> 0:35:10.520
<v Speaker 12>The Chinese have really started to eat their lunch, so

0:35:10.640 --> 0:35:12.520
<v Speaker 12>that's happened, and you know you can see that a

0:35:12.560 --> 0:35:15.880
<v Speaker 12>little bit in places like South Africa and Brazil as well.

0:35:16.719 --> 0:35:20.200
<v Speaker 12>So yeah, the pie is still growing, but not that

0:35:20.640 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 12>not enough for everybody to gorge equally, and truly the

0:35:24.239 --> 0:35:26.080
<v Speaker 12>Chinese that are picking out, so to.

0:35:26.040 --> 0:35:30.080
<v Speaker 2>Speak, house equality of the Chinese cars. I remember when

0:35:30.080 --> 0:35:32.160
<v Speaker 2>the Japanese cars came into the US in the seventies

0:35:32.160 --> 0:35:34.000
<v Speaker 2>and eighties, the quality it was just a lot better.

0:35:34.120 --> 0:35:35.880
<v Speaker 2>It was one of the reasons they were able to

0:35:35.880 --> 0:35:37.600
<v Speaker 2>get shared. How about the Chinese quality.

0:35:38.120 --> 0:35:40.640
<v Speaker 12>That's an excellent point too, because for years the Chinese

0:35:40.680 --> 0:35:43.120
<v Speaker 12>have kind of labored under the impression that their cars

0:35:43.120 --> 0:35:48.400
<v Speaker 12>are junk, and you know, that was true until fairly recently. However,

0:35:49.000 --> 0:35:52.160
<v Speaker 12>in recent years, the Chinese have caught up and in

0:35:52.200 --> 0:35:55.960
<v Speaker 12>some cases even surpassed this technology that some of the

0:35:55.960 --> 0:35:59.960
<v Speaker 12>Western or Japanese automakers have. There's a company called Shaumi

0:36:00.200 --> 0:36:04.560
<v Speaker 12>in China that sold its first car last year and

0:36:05.040 --> 0:36:08.239
<v Speaker 12>now just bumped its capacity up to three hundred fifty

0:36:08.280 --> 0:36:11.000
<v Speaker 12>thousand a year, which is like seven times as many

0:36:11.040 --> 0:36:14.319
<v Speaker 12>as Rivian, a US startup makes. This company was making

0:36:14.360 --> 0:36:16.839
<v Speaker 12>mobile phones a couple of years ago, that was its

0:36:16.880 --> 0:36:18.920
<v Speaker 12>main claim to fame, and it's been able to move

0:36:18.960 --> 0:36:22.640
<v Speaker 12>a lot of that connectivity and technology into the confit

0:36:22.800 --> 0:36:25.600
<v Speaker 12>of the vehicle. So you're finding that not only are

0:36:25.719 --> 0:36:28.719
<v Speaker 12>Chinese cars cheaper, but oftentimes they have just as many

0:36:28.760 --> 0:36:33.040
<v Speaker 12>creature comforts, or sometimes more than the equivalent, say, GM

0:36:33.160 --> 0:36:35.200
<v Speaker 12>or Toyota or Volkswagen. All Right.

0:36:35.200 --> 0:36:37.440
<v Speaker 3>Thanks to Chester Dawson, Bloomberg Senior Editor.

0:36:38.040 --> 0:36:42.719
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