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Speaker 1: What's up everybody. It's me Joey p Joe Piezapia and

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Speaker 1: can you believe it? We made it. We're here. It's

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Speaker 1: Week one in the NFL, and we're gonna start our

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Speaker 1: betting journey together, you and I. It's gonna take twists

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Speaker 1: and turns. It's gonna be a beautiful time, and I

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Speaker 1: want you to be here with us the entire time.

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Speaker 1: So make sure you subscribe to our Betting Pros channel

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Speaker 1: and don't forget to click that little belt to lit

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Speaker 1: goes ding. And by the way, if you comment below

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Speaker 1: in this video with some of the picts you're on,

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Speaker 1: or you tell me you like or you don't like,

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Speaker 1: I don't care. Let's just talk you and me. You

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Speaker 1: just might win yourself and autographed Aaron Jones jersey thanks

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Speaker 1: to us here at Betting Pros. Why because we love

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Speaker 1: giving away free stuff because we love you, and that's

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Speaker 1: a very nice thing. So let's get after it, ladies

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Speaker 1: and gentlemen. It is time to start betting on the NFL.

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Speaker 1: These are my top ten bets for all the games

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Speaker 1: in Week one. Let's get at it. Let's kick things

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Speaker 1: off with Thursday Night Football. The Chiefs at home against

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Speaker 1: the Lions. I want the chief side of this game

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Speaker 1: minus five and a half in their own building, hoisting

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Speaker 1: another banner at minus one oh five on Fandel Now,

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Speaker 1: this number started out at six and a half, and

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Speaker 1: I was kind of wishy washy on this game to start. However,

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Speaker 1: with the news that Travis Kelce might not be available

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Speaker 1: at the time we're recording this video, this number has

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Speaker 1: already moved down another point. And with Pat Fitzmorris reminding

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Speaker 1: me on the show of giving Andy Reid extra time

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Speaker 1: to prepare is always a really, really good thing for

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Speaker 1: the Kansas City Chiefs. Well, Andy Reid has had a

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Speaker 1: very long time to prepare for the Detroit Lions, so

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Speaker 1: I think you're gonna play tight in this game. They're

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Speaker 1: also down a cornerback, so even without Kelsey, I still

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Speaker 1: think the Chiefs win this one at home by more

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Speaker 1: than a touchdown. So I love the fact that we're

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Speaker 1: getting five and a half here. It makes me feel

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Speaker 1: warm and fuzzy. I want it. Let's go number ten.

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Speaker 1: We want some action on Thursday night because football is here,

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Speaker 1: and gush darn it, I want to be betting on it.

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Speaker 1: Number nine on our list here is the Denver Broncos

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Speaker 1: at home minus three and a half. That's a minus

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Speaker 1: one ten spot at home against the Raiders. You can

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Speaker 1: get this over at Caesars over at bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: So look, I know that the Denver Broncos have a

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Speaker 1: long way to go to rebuild the disaster that was

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, but Sean Payton has a year off, refreshed.

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Speaker 1: I think he's got a good fresh outlook. I know

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Speaker 1: Jerry Judy's not going to play in this game. I

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Speaker 1: understand that the Denver Broncos still are trying to pull

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Speaker 1: themselves out of the mud, but I think the Raiders

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Speaker 1: are really good spot for them to come out guns

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Speaker 1: a blazing. Yeah, three and a half might be a

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Speaker 1: pretty decent number, but I still believe that Broncos win

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Speaker 1: this one handily, although the Raiders can get after the quarterback.

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Speaker 1: My concern with the Raiders is still how healthy is

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Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs going in here in terms of workload into

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Speaker 1: this game? And how good can Jimmy Garoppolo be running

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Speaker 1: this offense here. I know he's familiar with it in

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Speaker 1: some sense, but at the same time, it's still Jimmy

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Speaker 1: Garoppolo the offensive line is still questionable, and I think

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Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos defense carries this one in the day

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Speaker 1: to more than the three and a half. So give

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Speaker 1: me the Broncos and let's get on to number eight,

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Speaker 1: which is the Jags on the road against the Indianapolis Colts.

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Speaker 1: Four and a half is the number minus one ten

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Speaker 1: over at bet MGM. Now. I know a few weeks

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Speaker 1: ago a lot of people were chirping about this number

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Speaker 1: being a trap game potentially for the Jaguars. I just

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Speaker 1: don't see it. No Jonathan Taylor. To me, this one

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Speaker 1: is a slam dunk for the Jaguars, who looked really

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Speaker 1: good towards the end of last season. This was a

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Speaker 1: team that had to turn themselves around, just like the

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Speaker 1: Denver Broncos do this year, and the Jags did it

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Speaker 1: with Doug Peterson last year. You're gonna get Anthony Richardson

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Speaker 1: starting this game, and there's gonna be a lot of

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Speaker 1: hype around that, a lot of excitement, but I think

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Speaker 1: it fades very quickly. It would not shock me if

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Speaker 1: the Colts got up early actually in this game, but

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Speaker 1: I think over time, some of the mistakes that the

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Speaker 1: young quarterback will make will lead to a very decisive

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Speaker 1: Jaguars victory. This is an important game for the Jags

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Speaker 1: to get off on the right foot. They have expectations

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Speaker 1: to win this division. This is a game you need

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Speaker 1: to win, and you take advantage of the rookie early on.

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Speaker 1: And I'm gonna do that too with the Jag side

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Speaker 1: of this game, Number seven on our list. Emotions are

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Speaker 1: gonna run high, but I'm gonna be on the side

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Speaker 1: of emotions. The Jets on the money line Monday Night

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Speaker 1: Football plus one twenty at home over the Bills. You

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Speaker 1: can get this number over on DraftKings right now. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be nine to eleven. It's gonna be Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: first start as a New York Jet, in front of

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Speaker 1: the home crowd, in front of two teams here that

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Speaker 1: are gonna be playing in New Jersey you but both

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Speaker 1: have ny in terms of where they are from. And

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Speaker 1: this is gonna be a lot going on in this game.

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Speaker 1: I do believe the Jets defense is for real. I'm

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Speaker 1: still concerned about the Bills defense that really struggled down

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Speaker 1: the stretch last season, and I think that Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: and the Jets find a way at the end of

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Speaker 1: the day to come out with a W. I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna put too much stock into that W. I still

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Speaker 1: think the Jets would be a huge work in progress

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Speaker 1: even if they pulled off this upset at home against

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Speaker 1: the Bills. But regardless, I do think all the emotions

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Speaker 1: and the moment are not going to be too big

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Speaker 1: for the Jets, not going to be too big for

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers in this instance, and I'm going to be

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Speaker 1: on the Jets on Monday night. Next on our list

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Speaker 1: is the Vikings at home minus six at minus one

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Speaker 1: ten versus the Buccaneers, and you can get this one

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Speaker 1: at bet MGM. I know the Vikings defense leaves a

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Speaker 1: lot to be desired, but I think Brian Flores will

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Speaker 1: at least bring some discipline to this unit, which is

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Speaker 1: something they lacked last year. At the end of the day,

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Speaker 1: I just think the Vikings offense is going to just

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Speaker 1: embarrass the Buccaneers and they won't be able to keep up.

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Speaker 1: The Buccaneers and Baker Mayfield get a shootout with Kirk

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Speaker 1: Cousins and Justin Jefferson not buying it. So I think

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Speaker 1: the Vikings win this one by a lot and the

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Speaker 1: Bucks are off to a very rocky start to twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty three. Yeah, they might upset some teams. I just

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Speaker 1: don't think it's gonna be on the road in Minnesota

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Speaker 1: in Week one against an offense that just does not quit.

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Speaker 1: Number five on our list the Washington Commanders at home

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Speaker 1: minus seven at the minus one zero nine number over

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Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals. You can find this one at Sugarhouse

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Speaker 1: over at bettingpros dot com. I'm not gonna say many

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Speaker 1: times this year. Boy, I really feel confident about the

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Speaker 1: Commanders beating somebody. But they are at home, and the

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Speaker 1: Cardinals are that bad. The offensive line is atrocious, They're

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Speaker 1: starting a rookie quarterback who has never taken a snap

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. And no knock on Clayton Tuone get

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Speaker 1: a good career in college. But this is the big

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Speaker 1: league's kid, this is the NFL, and I just think

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Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders are going to steamroll the Cardinals, which

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Speaker 1: is gonna be a theme, I think in twenty twenty three,

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Speaker 1: and these numbers are gonna get bigger and bigger as

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Speaker 1: the season goes on, as people really understand just how

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Speaker 1: bad the Cardinals are, because they are just that bad.

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Speaker 1: I expect Johan Dotson to have at least one touchdown

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Speaker 1: in this game. And I think the Commanders excited with

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Speaker 1: Sam Hoow come out of the gate guns of blazing.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a good thing for the Commanders, a

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Speaker 1: bad thing for the Cardinals. And again to get ready,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be a lot of Cardinals hate in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty three. But that's a good thing because we can

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Speaker 1: make some money on it. Let's move on to number

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Speaker 1: four on our list, the Atlanta Falcons minus three and

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Speaker 1: a half at home versus the Carolina Panthers. You're getting

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Speaker 1: the minus three and a half at minus one ten.

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Speaker 1: You can get this number over on Fandel right now.

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Speaker 1: If you've been listening to the shows for the last

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Speaker 1: few weeks here in the preseason, you know that I

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Speaker 1: like the Falcons to win this division and it starts here.

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Speaker 1: This could be a big win for them at home

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Speaker 1: against a rookie quarterback. I don't care if he's the

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Speaker 1: first rookie taken in the NFL draft. Bryce Young is talented.

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Speaker 1: Bryce Young also plays in front of an offensive line

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Speaker 1: that really is a work in progress and really struggled

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Speaker 1: this preseason. That's a bad thing potentially for the Panthers

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Speaker 1: and the Falcons. I think you're gonna get off to

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Speaker 1: a hot start here behind Bijon Robinson and behind Drake

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Speaker 1: London and Kyle Pitts. I think it's just a new

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Speaker 1: fresh start here without Marcus Mariota for the Falcons, and

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Speaker 1: I think they're starting to gain some confidence here, and

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Speaker 1: that's a really good thing. I understand we have questions

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Speaker 1: about Desmond Ritter being the starting quarterback, but let's put

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Speaker 1: those aside. This is a very winnable game for the Falcons,

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Speaker 1: especially with the concerned whether or not Brian Burns is

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Speaker 1: going to play in this game too. That's a big

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Speaker 1: piece of takeaway from that Panthers defense. So give me

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Speaker 1: the Falcons, give me the points at home, and let's

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Speaker 1: do some dirty business with the dirty birds. That sounds dirty.

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Speaker 1: On to the next It's time to kicking up a

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Speaker 1: notch with our next pick here, which is the Green

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Speaker 1: Bay Packers on the road over the Bears, right on

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Speaker 1: the money line at even money on FanDuel Well. I

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Speaker 1: understand that Aaron Rodgers is gone and he's taking his

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Speaker 1: twenty five and five record with him against the Chicago

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Speaker 1: Bears and now, the Bears feel all strong. We've got

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Speaker 1: justin fields, We've got some new toys here on offense,

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Speaker 1: like DJ More, and we made some changes to the

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Speaker 1: offensive line. But I still believe in that Packers defense,

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Speaker 1: and I still believe at the end of the day,

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Speaker 1: the Packers find a way to win this game. So

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Speaker 1: I might as well go straight to the money line

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Speaker 1: for it, because the line is so close. Basically, a

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Speaker 1: point on either side is what you're getting as the

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Speaker 1: week draws on. So just give you the Packers to

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Speaker 1: win outright on the road and Jordan Loves starts to

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Speaker 1: set a new record and a new standard of beating

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Speaker 1: the Bears. I know, Chicago, you hate me right now,

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Speaker 1: but I don't care. This is about making money. This

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Speaker 1: is not about making friends, and I think we're gonna

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Speaker 1: make some on Green Bay this weekend. So let's bet

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Speaker 1: the Packers right on that money line. As the Jordan

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Speaker 1: Love era officially kicks off this Sunday, did somebody say, upsets,

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Speaker 1: let's go number two? How about the Browns at home

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Speaker 1: on the money line plus one twenty over the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: You can get this one over at points bet. Now,

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Speaker 1: I understand Joe Burrow's trending towards playing in this game,

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Speaker 1: but he hasn't thrown a football in a few weeks,

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Speaker 1: and I'm expecting him to come out a little rusty

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Speaker 1: in this one. This is a perfect opportunity for the

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Speaker 1: to get a big in division win at home against

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Speaker 1: the favorite for this division. I still think the Bengals

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Speaker 1: are the class of this division, and I still think

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Speaker 1: the Bengals eventually win this division. But Week one, wacky

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Speaker 1: things always happen, And wouldn't it be wacky if the

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Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns got off to this start here, beating the

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Speaker 1: big oles, scary Bengals right here out of the gate.

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Speaker 1: Elijah Moore could be a huge playmaker. Look for Nick

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Speaker 1: Chubb to have a big game. And look, this is

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Speaker 1: a new secondary basically here in place for the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: It's got to learn to communicate and play together. So

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Speaker 1: give me the Browns and the upset. I'm feeling saucy Cleveland.

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Speaker 1: Cleveland rocks the Bengals in Week one. You heard it

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Speaker 1: here first, which brings us to our final best bet

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Speaker 1: of the week. I love the home underdog. Give it

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Speaker 1: to me Pittsburgh Steelers at home on the money. Line

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Speaker 1: against the forty nine Ers plus one twenty at fan duel. Now,

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Speaker 1: George Kittle may or may not play in this game,

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Speaker 1: but I don't care. I was taking the Steelers anyway.

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Speaker 1: You know why, because the Steeler defense is really good.

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Speaker 1: I think Kenny Pickett is ready to take that next

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Speaker 1: step forward, and he did show you some signs this

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Speaker 1: preseason that he is ready to run this offense in

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Speaker 1: a much better direction behind a remade offensive line. The

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Speaker 1: two headed monster run game of Naj Harris and Jalen Warren,

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Speaker 1: I think is enough to really slow the pace of

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Speaker 1: this game down, really bring the forty nine Ers down

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Speaker 1: to the level of the Steelers, and that's a place

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Speaker 1: where Mike Tomlin is always going to succeed. Brock Perty

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Speaker 1: still working his way back from injury too, Let's not

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Speaker 1: forget oh wait, and Nick Bosa probably not trending towards

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Speaker 1: a good place of playing in this game. So you

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Speaker 1: put all these things together and it equals a Pittsburgh

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Speaker 1: Steelers win at home. Terrible. Tal's a waven for Mike

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Speaker 1: Tomlin and the Black and Gold. Let's go Steelers. Don't

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Speaker 1: disappoint me, all right, everybody there, you have it those

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Speaker 1: are my favorite bets for Week one in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: I want to hear what you're in on, so don't

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Speaker 1: forget drop the comments below and subscribe to our YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel and you just might win that autographed Aaron Jones jersey.

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Speaker 1: But don't forget to click the little bell till it

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Speaker 1: goes ding, because that's how you know if you are

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Speaker 1: going to get that jersey. That's how we notify you.

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Speaker 1: So make it easy on us to give you free stuff.

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Speaker 1: That works for me. Oh and don't forget to join

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Speaker 1: our NFL contest too if you love free stuff, because

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Speaker 1: we're giving away more of that. Download the VP app,

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00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:15,319
Speaker 1: go to the community tab, scroll down, look for the

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00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:18,559
Speaker 1: NFL contest join that bad boy, And of course, if

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Speaker 1: that's too hard for you could just go to Betting

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00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:23,280
Speaker 1: pros dot com slash NFL contest. That's pretty easy. So

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Speaker 1: congratulations everybody. It's time for the twenty twenty three NFL season.

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Speaker 1: I'm happy to be here betting with you. You're happy

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Speaker 1: to be here betting with me. What a beautiful day

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Speaker 1: it is, so let's have some fun this season again.

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Speaker 1: Drop the comments below, subscribe. Happy NFL Week one to

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Speaker 1: all of you. Who celebrate,