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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Peralt.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me every day on socials on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel. It's all the same at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Matt in This podcast being brought to you by our

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Speaker 1: dot Com. All right, so it didn't matter which adventure

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Speaker 1: you chose last night. Both were identical. Both ended two

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Speaker 1: and one, both one. If you faded both, well, then

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Speaker 1: you lost. You faded one, then you lost. But if

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Speaker 1: you bet either or it did not matter. Two and

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Speaker 1: one and two and one. Both losses were minus one

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Speaker 1: thirty losses, I believe. So that means we were down.

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Speaker 1: We're up point seven in both situations. So if you

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Speaker 1: bet them all, you were up one point four units.

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Speaker 1: I bet them all, so I was up one point

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Speaker 1: four units on the day. So that's good. That was fun.

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Speaker 1: We'll go back to that and do that again. When

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Speaker 1: I get kind of bored, we'll do a choose your

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Speaker 1: own adventure betting day again. That was that was entertaining

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Speaker 1: and it was profitable, so we'll do it again. I

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Speaker 1: have three bets all in basketball, two in the NBA,

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Speaker 1: in one in college. I have one game. I'll break

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Speaker 1: down and give you a couple of ways you can

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Speaker 1: bet it. I don't know how I'm gonna play it,

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Speaker 1: but it's the biggest game of the night, Texas at Marquette.

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Speaker 1: But I can't figure out yet how to play it.

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Speaker 1: It's it's tough. There's some numbers that are going in

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Speaker 1: different directions, and I'll explain it here in a second.

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Speaker 1: But two NBA games and one college game, and I'm

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Speaker 1: just again gonna bet the things I tend to bet

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Speaker 1: a lot of, and that's games and trends and things

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Speaker 1: I like to play. And so let's start with Cleveland

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Speaker 1: at home up against the Orlando Magic. Okay, the total

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Speaker 1: for this game is two twenty two and a half.

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Speaker 1: The Orlando Magic on the year this year when it

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Speaker 1: comes to betting overs or unders, the Magic on the

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Speaker 1: road are five four and one to the over. Their

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Speaker 1: last four games have gone over. But this is the

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Speaker 1: Eastern Conference playing at Cleveland. Okay. This fits right into

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Speaker 1: my conversation point for betting on the under. Why Cleveland's

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Speaker 1: last four games have all gone under under with Toronto

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Speaker 1: to twenty two under, with Atlanta at two thirty nine under,

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Speaker 1: with Portland at to eighteen and a half. Those are

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Speaker 1: at home on the road at Detroit under. That game

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Speaker 1: was three days ago to twenty five and a half

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Speaker 1: under by fourteen and a half points, twenty and a

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Speaker 1: half points, six and fifteen. All right, this goes right

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Speaker 1: back to when we bet under for Toronto that hit

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Speaker 1: against Miami. We didn't bet it, but it didn't hit.

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Speaker 1: It went over. But against Detroit it went under. These

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Speaker 1: are Eastern Conference opponents. Against Indiana, no, against New York

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Speaker 1: it went under. Okay, against Indiana it went over, but

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Speaker 1: that's because it's Indiana. So right now, this trend, we've

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Speaker 1: been hitting it on Eastern Conference teams and it's been

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Speaker 1: profitable Toronto last time out. Let's do it again under

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Speaker 1: two twenty two and a half for Orlando and Cleveland

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Speaker 1: here tonight again. When one team is hot on the

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Speaker 1: over and the other is hot to the under, I

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Speaker 1: do lend in the lean towards the under because the

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Speaker 1: team that plays better defense and wants to slow tempo

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Speaker 1: down and burn the clock, well, they tend to frustrate

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Speaker 1: the other team and they tend to make it difficult

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Speaker 1: for teams that want to go up tempo, that want

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Speaker 1: to score and score faster. So I just think we

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Speaker 1: look at defense and what Cleveland can do from a

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Speaker 1: tempo perspective. Playing at home has been has been beneficial

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Speaker 1: to them, and you know, matchup stats wise, Orlando's averaging

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Speaker 1: one fourteen per game, Cleveland's giving up one to eleven.

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Speaker 1: Cleveland's scoring one ten per game, Orlando's giving up one

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Speaker 1: ten per game. They're really good in stopping opponents passing

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Speaker 1: the basketball. Orlando is make it difficult lot a one

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Speaker 1: on one basketball goes on when you play the magic,

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Speaker 1: but Cleveland defensively is equally just as good, and opposing

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Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage into the top six in the NBA.

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Speaker 1: There they make life very very difficult for their opponents.

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Speaker 1: Their top two, our top five, and opponent two point percentage.

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Speaker 1: You can hit some threes on the on Cleveland, but

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Speaker 1: you know, opposing shooting percentage overall is seventh. Orlando is

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Speaker 1: seventeenth defensively, So we'll coind of middle of the pack

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Speaker 1: there in the NBA. I like the under under two

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Speaker 1: twenty two and a half Cleveland and Orlando second bet

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Speaker 1: in the NBA. Oklahoma City's on the road at Houston.

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Speaker 1: Houston is leaking oil. They were red hot for so long.

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Speaker 1: Ats last three games, all on the road, didn't cover

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Speaker 1: any of them. Lost by six, lost by ten, lost

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Speaker 1: by ten, Dallas Denver Lakers tough games. On the other side,

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma City beat Dallas on the road as five point favorites.

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Speaker 1: They won by six. Beat the Lakers as five point

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Speaker 1: favorites by twenty three points at home, they did lose

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Speaker 1: orally pushed, losing by three to the Timberwolves on the road.

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Speaker 1: Before that, they lost by four to Philadelphia as one

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Speaker 1: point dogs at home, but then that snapped a six

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Speaker 1: game streak of all wins and all covers for Oklahoma City.

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Speaker 1: I know the Houston Rockets were red hot. We were

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Speaker 1: betting them when they were covering machines. But I think

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Speaker 1: there's a problem here. Oklahoma City is seven to one

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Speaker 1: and one ATS on the road. Houston is seven to

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Speaker 1: one and one ATS at home. Okay, but they are

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Speaker 1: not right now looking like the same team. They are

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Speaker 1: getting not exposed, but I think NBA teams are starting

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Speaker 1: to pay attention a little bit more to who they

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Speaker 1: are and not kind of going on to Rockets and

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden they're getting smoked. I'm gonna lean

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Speaker 1: towards Oklahoma City here. It's only two. The line is

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Speaker 1: two road favorites. I think the Thunder go in there.

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Speaker 1: I think the Thunder are more talented. I think the

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Speaker 1: Thunder get the job done and get a win on

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Speaker 1: the road and may be hard fought, but they're fourteen

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Speaker 1: to four and one ATS overall. Houston's ten to five

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Speaker 1: and two. Nothing to shake a stick at. But against

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Speaker 1: the West, OKC is eight three and one, nine four

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Speaker 1: and two for Houston. They're all very, very similar. First

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Speaker 1: game back after a three game road trip that did

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Speaker 1: not go well for the Houston Rockets. This has been

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Speaker 1: a bet against type of situation for a while. Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: City second game of the road trip, they beat Dallas.

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Speaker 1: I think they'll beat Houston here OKC minus two for

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Speaker 1: one point one units. And then finally we are going

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Speaker 1: to college basketball and Drake is at home against Saint Louis.

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Speaker 1: Now Saint Louis for the first time in about ten years,

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Speaker 1: they're playing back to back road non conference games. They

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Speaker 1: played Southern Illinois. In their last game, Saint Louis gave

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Speaker 1: up one hundred and one points. They got housed by

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Speaker 1: Southern Illinois one oh one to sixty two. Crush. They

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Speaker 1: lost eighty one to seventy six to Utah State. Now

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Speaker 1: they're at Drake, a Drake Bulldog team that right now

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Speaker 1: clicking offensively. Drake scored seventy four points against Missouri State,

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Speaker 1: a team that always plays on them tough. Their team

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Speaker 1: total was seventy seven and a half. They went under

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Speaker 1: in that game, but they won seventy four fifty seven.

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Speaker 1: They covered. They beat Valpo on the road eighty three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. They beat Texas Southern seventy seven to seventy one.

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Speaker 1: They beat Akron seventy nine fifty nine, Steven F. Austin

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Speaker 1: ninety two sixty eight, Oakland eighty five seventy seven. You

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Speaker 1: see the trend here, they're scoring. You've got some incredible

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Speaker 1: offensive weapons here for the Drake Bulldogs, and they're at home.

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Speaker 1: They come here to Nevada this weekend to take on

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Speaker 1: here to Las Vegas to take on Nevada. This coming

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Speaker 1: Weekend's gonna be a fun game. I'm trying to get

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Speaker 1: over there and watch Drake in person. But Darnelle Brody

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Speaker 1: was awesome in his last game twenty one points, tied

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Speaker 1: a career high, season high nine rebounds. He was great there.

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Speaker 1: Drake went two and one for a third place finish

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Speaker 1: in the Cayman Islands. They won over Oakland, they won

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Speaker 1: over Akron, and they lost to Steven F. Austin. I

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Speaker 1: guess I was a lost seven F. Austin, I said

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Speaker 1: that was a win. Sorry, it was a loss. Just

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Speaker 1: they gave up ninety two points. To Stephen F. Austin. Ye,

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Speaker 1: that was the game. They got throttle in that game.

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Speaker 1: I think we bet the over the teams total in

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Speaker 1: that game. Got that wrong. Tucker Devrees would name the

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Speaker 1: Missouri Valley Conference Player of the Week last week and

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Speaker 1: the USBWA National Player of the Week on the number thirteenth.

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Speaker 1: He's been very good. He's been very very good, and

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Speaker 1: he's been scoring a ton. I expect him to score

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Speaker 1: a ton here. Drake Bulldog's team total was eighty three

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Speaker 1: and a half at FanDuel minus one fifteen are betting

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Speaker 1: over Drake Bulldogs. I'm not gonna lay the fifteen and

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Speaker 1: a half points, Okay, they're heavy favorites. Just gonna go

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Speaker 1: with offense here at home for Drake eighty three and

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Speaker 1: a half over eighty three and a half for Drake

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Speaker 1: at minus one point fifteen up against Saint Louis tonight

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Speaker 1: in Des Moines in a non conference Missouri Valley Atlantic

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Speaker 1: ten battle in college basketball. Okay, so that takes us

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Speaker 1: to the team the game of the day, Marquette is

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Speaker 1: laying seven and a half up against Texas. The total

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Speaker 1: was one forty eight one forty seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Here's the problem. These are two very slow teams. They

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Speaker 1: don't play fast at all. Okay, like last night, Yukon

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Speaker 1: was a slow team, but North Carolina played fast, so

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Speaker 1: Yukon played fast with them. Game flew over and they covered.

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Speaker 1: Yukon won and coverage. We went two to zero in

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Speaker 1: that game. This is different. I think Marquete wants to

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Speaker 1: grind it. So if we're going to go with an

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Speaker 1: under for one forty eight, I'm really scared about laying

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Speaker 1: seven and a half points, so it would be under

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Speaker 1: in the dog or go over because the initial move

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Speaker 1: was to the over for this. But I'm concerned about

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Speaker 1: how slow both these two teams are going to play,

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Speaker 1: and I think this is going to be a banger

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Speaker 1: of a game, a grinder of a game. So I

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Speaker 1: lean towards taking the eight and a half points here.

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Speaker 1: Some books are at eight. One books eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: I lean towards the dog to be honest, to take

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Speaker 1: Texas plus eight and a half. But Marquette's coming off

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Speaker 1: of a loss, they just lost to Wisconsin. They're mad,

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Speaker 1: and now they're at home with Shaka Smart's former team

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Speaker 1: coming in like this, this has everything, This has revenge factor.

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Speaker 1: Run the score up. This has everything wrapped up into

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Speaker 1: all Marquette. Right. You can bet the narrative if you want,

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Speaker 1: lay the seven and a half if you want. I

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Speaker 1: probably will because of that reason. The total concerns me.

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Speaker 1: But laying seven and a half points in college basketball

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Speaker 1: with a total of one to forty eight scares me

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Speaker 1: a lot. So I lean towards the under. I lean

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Speaker 1: towards Marquette minus seven and a half. Do what you

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Speaker 1: want with it. I'll probably just be on Marquette minus

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Speaker 1: seven and a half. But I'm not going to have

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Speaker 1: you guys lay that number officially, because that's a really

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Speaker 1: that's not It's a tough number. Okay, it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a tough nut to crack here. But I think there's

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Speaker 1: everything in you know, going into this. There's so much

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Speaker 1: going into this game. There's so much. They just lost

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Speaker 1: at their arch rival in Wisconsin. You know they're pissed off.

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Speaker 1: Here comes shacka Smart's former team coming in to Milwaukee,

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Speaker 1: buzzing atmosphere. This this should be an awesome game to watch.

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Speaker 1: I can't wait to watch this. I lean towards seven

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Speaker 1: and a half. Probably will wait to bet at end game.

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Speaker 1: Not sure what to do. So officially we're going calves

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Speaker 1: under two twenty two and a half Oklahoma City minus

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Speaker 1: two at Houston. Drake team total over eighty three and

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Speaker 1: a half minus one point fifteen at FanDuel, and you

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Speaker 1: can do the Marquette under Marquete Mia seven and a

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Speaker 1: half if you choose to do something extra there on

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Speaker 1: the day, no hockey, we got to stay away from hockey.

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Speaker 1: My gosh, I bet under seven. There were what eleven

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Speaker 1: goals scored in that game last night between Vancouver and

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Speaker 1: New Jersey? Who was all overs last night? I mean

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Speaker 1: grand Salami over easy walked to the window there for that.

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Speaker 1: No hockey today, we'll take a break from hockey and

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Speaker 1: kind of let things kind of stabilize here a little bit,

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Speaker 1: small slate in the NHL. Get away from it for

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Speaker 1: a day, come back at it coming up on Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Minus Matt Parazi. You guys can follow me on across

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Speaker 1: all socials at Sports Talk Matt every single morning. The

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Speaker 1: Deal Juice podcast always being brought to you by Omaha

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Speaker 1: Steaks dot Com