WEBVTT - NFL WEEK 11 Bets: Patriots-Jets, Broncos-Chiefs, Bills-Bucs, Lions-Eagles, Bears-Vikings and more 0:00:00.880 --> 0:00:04.280 Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by a hard brought bet. 0:00:04.280 --> 0:00:07.320 We are part of the Volume podcast Network. This is 0:00:07.360 --> 0:00:10.000 the show that makes the squares sharper and makes the 0:00:10.039 --> 0:00:13.200 wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Millman. I'm joined 0:00:13.240 --> 0:00:16.680 as always by my bff, my companion, my padre, my 0:00:17.280 --> 0:00:19.960 co host, professional better Simon Hunter. 0:00:20.680 --> 0:00:22.919 Hello, Simon Chat. 0:00:23.000 --> 0:00:23.800 Are we doing buddy? 0:00:24.560 --> 0:00:27.400 I think we're pretty good, you know what I mean? 0:00:27.840 --> 0:00:33.440 Although I will say this, you're younger than me, but yeah, 0:00:33.520 --> 0:00:36.800 a little bit in only in age, not in spirit. 0:00:36.960 --> 0:00:40.800 I think we're complete opposites when it comes to spiritual 0:00:41.479 --> 0:00:47.080 age and probably street sense one hundred percent. I believe 0:00:47.080 --> 0:00:49.960 everything is sunshiny and roses, and you're know someone's looking 0:00:49.960 --> 0:00:56.320 to scam us every single turn. Michael Ray Richardson, the 0:00:57.640 --> 0:01:02.360 former All Star point guard mainly for the Knicks and 0:01:02.400 --> 0:01:07.720 the Nets from the nineteen eighties, passed away from prostate cancer. 0:01:09.040 --> 0:01:15.479 And as someone who loves the NBA and who was deeply, 0:01:15.760 --> 0:01:18.720 deeply in love with the NBA in the mid eighties, 0:01:19.760 --> 0:01:27.800 Michael Ray Richardson was this sort of sad sack story 0:01:28.000 --> 0:01:31.399 where he was so good, so dominant, led the league 0:01:31.400 --> 0:01:35.080 in steals three times and then got banned from the 0:01:35.160 --> 0:01:38.240 league because this was in the mid eighties where coke 0:01:38.440 --> 0:01:41.800 was everywhere and it was the scourge of the leagues. 0:01:41.840 --> 0:01:47.520 It was the betting of today for professional sports in general, 0:01:47.760 --> 0:01:50.600 but especially the NBA. He got banned from the NBA 0:01:50.760 --> 0:01:52.840 after four All Star seasons with the Knicks and the 0:01:52.880 --> 0:01:55.400 Nets and one other team. I forgot which one, but 0:01:55.440 --> 0:01:58.800 the dude was a baller and it was just like, Wow, 0:02:00.080 --> 0:02:02.160 Richardson was seventy and I just have a vision of 0:02:02.240 --> 0:02:08.240 him in his very short short Nets uniform like beating 0:02:08.320 --> 0:02:10.320 up on the Sixers in the playoffs, who I loved 0:02:10.360 --> 0:02:14.000 at the time, and uh, you know, support one out 0:02:14.000 --> 0:02:14.600 for Michael Ray. 0:02:15.240 --> 0:02:18.600 It's sad Dorman, a rhyming name like that I would remember, 0:02:18.680 --> 0:02:20.720 don't even recognize or remember the name. 0:02:20.800 --> 0:02:21.480 That's amazing. 0:02:21.600 --> 0:02:23.639 He is just truly dust in the win that guy. 0:02:23.880 --> 0:02:26.440 I'm gonna have to educate you on Michael Ray Richardson. 0:02:26.760 --> 0:02:31.680 I'm also going to have to tell you, Simon, despite 0:02:31.680 --> 0:02:39.760 the controversy and the confusion and our miscommunication with the 0:02:39.800 --> 0:02:44.440 audience on the Broncos and thank freaking God, you listen 0:02:44.560 --> 0:02:47.440 to all the wise guys and we had a probably 0:02:47.600 --> 0:02:50.440 the best conversation we've ever had on a Sunday morning. 0:02:50.919 --> 0:02:53.440 We took out the Niners, we put in the Eagles, 0:02:53.760 --> 0:02:56.480 the Eagles won. We kind of bet against ourselves because 0:02:56.480 --> 0:03:00.320 we had been on the Packers earlier in the week. 0:03:00.000 --> 0:03:02.919 We went three and two last week, and our five 0:03:02.960 --> 0:03:05.639 favorite picks one with the Eagles, one with the Ravens, 0:03:05.720 --> 0:03:08.560 one with the Dolphins, lost with the Cardinals. In box 0:03:08.639 --> 0:03:10.440 for the year twenty eight and twenty two through ten 0:03:10.480 --> 0:03:16.320 weeks as an Eagles fan, thoughts, comments, concerns, criticisms. 0:03:18.240 --> 0:03:20.679 Yeah, no, just because earlier in the week, I'm on 0:03:20.760 --> 0:03:22.600 a position. I'm going to try not to be so 0:03:22.680 --> 0:03:25.600 hard on holding ourselves to it because a lot can change, 0:03:25.720 --> 0:03:30.119 information can change. And yeah, thank god I spoke up, 0:03:30.320 --> 0:03:32.160 because again, you're catching me in a weird time. I've 0:03:32.160 --> 0:03:34.200 been up all night. If we were doing the show, 0:03:34.240 --> 0:03:36.560 I had been sleeping, I'd probably be a little meanor 0:03:36.600 --> 0:03:38.640 to you chat a little harder on our picks and 0:03:38.720 --> 0:03:41.040 what we should and shouldn't do on our Sunday morning show. 0:03:41.120 --> 0:03:43.360 You catch me in a very vulnerable soft spot that 0:03:43.480 --> 0:03:47.320 early in the morning, no sleep, and I just I'm 0:03:47.400 --> 0:03:51.600 very agreeable. So thank God, we got off because we 0:03:51.640 --> 0:03:53.400 can't have these back to back losing weeks. I have 0:03:53.520 --> 0:03:57.640 been brutal, So yeah, I happy. I'm pivot on it. 0:03:58.160 --> 0:04:02.440 Gross game. As an Eagles fan, I love these games. 0:04:02.440 --> 0:04:04.160 These are the games we're built to win. These are 0:04:04.200 --> 0:04:06.320 the exact games we do win. We just pull these 0:04:06.320 --> 0:04:09.840 teams into the mud. The funniest thing is just how 0:04:09.880 --> 0:04:14.080 people react to these certain games, where again I hate 0:04:14.120 --> 0:04:15.920 the conversation of these NFL players saying, well, you never 0:04:15.960 --> 0:04:18.080 played the game before, so you shouldn't have an opinion. 0:04:18.600 --> 0:04:21.080 But when you hear some people speak, well, the most 0:04:21.120 --> 0:04:23.120 basic thing is like they were like, oh, both these 0:04:23.160 --> 0:04:25.839 quarterbacks were awful, right, Jordan loved terrible. Hurts was terrible 0:04:25.880 --> 0:04:29.279 last night. It's dry air. They can't get griped on 0:04:29.279 --> 0:04:31.640 the ball. There's a reason all their passes are sailing 0:04:32.000 --> 0:04:34.640 or having bad throws. Like it's just like, oh, it's 0:04:34.640 --> 0:04:37.080 an off night. It's like, well, look at the conditions. 0:04:37.200 --> 0:04:38.760 And then you look at the field. Guys can't get 0:04:38.800 --> 0:04:41.760 their feet under them, right, it's slippery, it's slick. A 0:04:41.800 --> 0:04:43.599 lot of those things add up to be a really stupid, 0:04:43.680 --> 0:04:47.040 low scoring, sloppy game. On the other side, both offenses 0:04:47.080 --> 0:04:49.839 just had terrible luck, right, couldn't convert. And you know, 0:04:49.839 --> 0:04:52.160 we talked a little about Green Bay, the Tucker Craft stuff. 0:04:52.600 --> 0:04:55.840 That was a real issue, right, And we talked around 0:04:55.839 --> 0:04:57.839 the week. I said, maybe we're overlooking this whole Tucker 0:04:57.839 --> 0:05:01.640 Craft And you saw that that safety for Jordan Love 0:05:01.720 --> 0:05:04.840 on third down or key key downs, it's just not there. 0:05:04.880 --> 0:05:06.559 It wasn't there for them. They were nothing to scheme 0:05:06.640 --> 0:05:08.520 up where that guy has been such a difference to 0:05:08.560 --> 0:05:11.800 making for that offense. And yeah, that Eagles team definitely 0:05:11.880 --> 0:05:15.680 stole one there, right, But I said it before the season. 0:05:15.880 --> 0:05:17.960 It's hard to complain as an Eagles fan if you're 0:05:18.040 --> 0:05:21.480 in the greatest era of our you know, football dynasty, 0:05:22.360 --> 0:05:26.719 seven years too super Bowls and after a Super Bowl 0:05:26.760 --> 0:05:28.920 I thought there would be a falloff. I think anyone did, right. 0:05:29.160 --> 0:05:31.120 If you're looking at this Eagles team, a lot of 0:05:31.120 --> 0:05:35.080 injury luck, base, had a really young defensive front, and 0:05:35.839 --> 0:05:38.599 you know, Saquon has not been himself. The Madden cover 0:05:38.720 --> 0:05:42.480 SI cover is the curse is real. Still number one 0:05:42.520 --> 0:05:45.400 seed right now in ren at Week eleven in the NFC. 0:05:45.520 --> 0:05:48.560 So pretty pretty crazy as an Eagles fan that this 0:05:48.640 --> 0:05:51.080 team I have so much doubt about the offensive Coiner 0:05:51.120 --> 0:05:54.760 or all of it. I can't help but be impressed 0:05:54.760 --> 0:05:56.760 with this team. Somehow is the one seed right netwhere 0:05:56.880 --> 0:05:59.000 there is still lingering doubts about this offense. 0:05:59.440 --> 0:06:00.000 Two things. 0:06:00.160 --> 0:06:04.320 Number one, I never think of you as vulnerable or 0:06:04.360 --> 0:06:06.440 agreeable on a Sunday morning. 0:06:06.480 --> 0:06:10.440 So if that is you vulnerable and agreeable. 0:06:10.040 --> 0:06:12.360 Is as nice as you get, Chad, God. 0:06:12.560 --> 0:06:17.520 Help any future relationships that you have, because that is 0:06:17.800 --> 0:06:21.680 just going to be just plaining messy number one. 0:06:22.279 --> 0:06:26.800 Number two. Number two, how do you. 0:06:25.240 --> 0:06:27.839 Know that was very Chad has never had a brother. 0:06:27.920 --> 0:06:29.760 You can tell up on that right there. Chad is 0:06:29.880 --> 0:06:30.760 very soft people. 0:06:31.160 --> 0:06:35.520 Number two, don't get defensive on me. I can criticize you. 0:06:36.600 --> 0:06:38.160 I take off kid gloves with you. Hey, we got 0:06:38.200 --> 0:06:39.680 to take out four nights put the Eagles in with 0:06:39.760 --> 0:06:42.440 kid gloves. And that's me being hard on you. You're unreal. 0:06:42.640 --> 0:06:44.240 Who said you were? I didn't say you were being 0:06:44.279 --> 0:06:46.640 hard on me. You said that was you being vulnerable. 0:06:46.720 --> 0:06:48.960 I was like, yeah, I'm very mp with you. Hey, 0:06:49.040 --> 0:06:50.120 I gotta take this team out. 0:06:50.200 --> 0:06:53.080 Wasn't mean? Did say anything? Man was very gentle about. 0:06:52.920 --> 0:06:54.039 Why would it have to be mean? 0:06:55.279 --> 0:06:58.000 Regardless I would have to because sometimes you're disagreeable in 0:06:58.480 --> 0:07:00.839 that you were like, no, I want to be on 0:07:00.880 --> 0:07:03.120 this side. But luckily you were along. 0:07:02.880 --> 0:07:05.160 For the ride, so maybe I was agreeable. 0:07:05.880 --> 0:07:08.320 That's true. Maybe number two. 0:07:09.040 --> 0:07:11.360 If you know the SI cover Jinks, then you got 0:07:11.400 --> 0:07:13.800 to know who Michael Ray Richardson is because they basically 0:07:13.840 --> 0:07:16.360 were born at the same time. Their legends were born 0:07:16.360 --> 0:07:20.280 at the same time. Listen Simon. More importantly, it's veterans. 0:07:21.000 --> 0:07:23.000 This guy's getting tons of air time today. 0:07:23.280 --> 0:07:27.520 He deserves it. It's Veterans Day. A sincere thanks to 0:07:28.000 --> 0:07:31.240 all of our veterans, those who have served, those who 0:07:31.280 --> 0:07:34.720 do serve. It's a privilege to live in a country 0:07:34.760 --> 0:07:38.960 where we have people volunteering. So thank you to all 0:07:39.000 --> 0:07:42.040 the veterans on Veterans Day. 0:07:42.600 --> 0:07:46.080 Back to back World War champions, best military in the world, 0:07:46.080 --> 0:07:48.440 Thank you for your service. Everybody cook at. 0:07:48.320 --> 0:07:51.360 His crowd on its feet, what a tribute. This is 0:07:51.400 --> 0:07:53.520 our Tuesday show. We're going to review the entire slave. 0:07:53.600 --> 0:07:56.120 Make sure to check out the Sunday am show if 0:07:56.120 --> 0:07:58.480 you want the games. That will be our official five 0:07:58.760 --> 0:08:01.880 after we've had a chance to review the line moves 0:08:01.920 --> 0:08:04.560 and the injuries. There's definitely been lots of moves on 0:08:04.640 --> 0:08:08.640 Sundays this season, as you've seen in some controversy. We 0:08:08.720 --> 0:08:10.520 had so make sure you pay attention to that one. 0:08:10.760 --> 0:08:13.040 Don't forget. You can get the shows on Sharper Square 0:08:13.160 --> 0:08:16.480 YouTube like this video subscribe while you're at it. You 0:08:16.520 --> 0:08:19.560 can also subscribe to Sharper Square on Apple Pods, Spotify, 0:08:19.840 --> 0:08:25.920 wherever you get your pots. Okay, Thursday Night Football eight fifteen, 0:08:25.960 --> 0:08:29.840 Amazon Prime, New York Jets at the New England Patriots. Boy, 0:08:29.960 --> 0:08:32.559 this number is big, eleven and a half for the Patriots. 0:08:33.679 --> 0:08:34.719 Look, the Jets are just a. 0:08:34.679 --> 0:08:37.920 Bad team, and I think right now, coming off that 0:08:38.000 --> 0:08:40.720 win against the Browns where everyone sort of believed that 0:08:40.880 --> 0:08:43.120 was the spot where you had to bet the Jets 0:08:43.280 --> 0:08:47.400 as we did, whatever work for them against Cleveland in 0:08:47.480 --> 0:08:51.000 the perfect spot for their defense to be motivated against 0:08:51.000 --> 0:08:55.280 a lower level QB will not work against a very 0:08:55.720 --> 0:09:02.960 good QB and a brilliant coach in Mike Vrabel. Last week, 0:09:03.200 --> 0:09:05.559 Justin Fields went six of eleven for fifty four yards. 0:09:05.600 --> 0:09:07.600 Forty two of those yards came on a screen pass 0:09:07.640 --> 0:09:10.280 to Breeze Hall that he ran for a touchdown. The 0:09:10.320 --> 0:09:14.480 strength of this team is their rushing offense, and I 0:09:14.559 --> 0:09:16.160 put strength in quotes. 0:09:17.559 --> 0:09:18.280 Here's the problem. 0:09:19.200 --> 0:09:23.360 The Pats strength on defense against the run top five 0:09:23.440 --> 0:09:28.440 across every advanced metric, first overall in some of the 0:09:28.480 --> 0:09:33.280 more superficial categories. And even though their past defense is suspect, 0:09:33.320 --> 0:09:36.480 I'm almost done with my soluquis here, even though their 0:09:36.520 --> 0:09:40.360 past defense is suspect. I just gave you the justin 0:09:40.400 --> 0:09:44.040 field stats and Garrett Wilson is out for three to 0:09:44.080 --> 0:09:46.760 four weeks. Krippoor, Christian Gonzales, He's not gonna have anyone 0:09:46.760 --> 0:09:51.600 to guard this week. I'll be clear, I'll be clear. 0:09:51.720 --> 0:09:54.120 This will not be a Final five pick. I'm gonna 0:09:54.160 --> 0:09:57.720 be clear. No, but I'm having a hard time getting 0:09:57.720 --> 0:10:00.000 to the Jets even with a massive, massive number. 0:10:01.360 --> 0:10:02.800 Come on, we know the Jets are gonna win this 0:10:02.840 --> 0:10:05.040 one out right again? Right? Can we bet the Jets 0:10:05.080 --> 0:10:07.160 money line three weeks in a row, Chad, it's been 0:10:07.200 --> 0:10:08.920 good to us. We're running a heater right now, the 0:10:09.000 --> 0:10:09.760 Jets money line. 0:10:09.800 --> 0:10:13.160 Come on, No, no, no, no, come on. 0:10:14.800 --> 0:10:17.160 We're being real. This is the definition of a letdown 0:10:17.200 --> 0:10:19.640 trap spot. But we been saying this for about a month, 0:10:19.679 --> 0:10:22.400 this Newland team. So that's what I mean, yeah, this 0:10:22.480 --> 0:10:24.600 is it. They should win this by thirty points. They 0:10:24.600 --> 0:10:26.640 are better across the board. Everything they do to well 0:10:26.720 --> 0:10:31.320 defensively is a weakness for this Jets team. So yeah, 0:10:31.440 --> 0:10:34.000 I'll I'm happy that we're avoiding it. I'll be on 0:10:34.000 --> 0:10:36.640 the Jets steam. I know plenty of guys. We're gonna 0:10:36.640 --> 0:10:38.360 be on New England. No, plenty of pros already taking 0:10:38.400 --> 0:10:40.880 positions on New England. Like you said that number ten, 0:10:41.040 --> 0:10:42.800 it's gonna push up to eleven and a half now. 0:10:42.880 --> 0:10:47.640 So I hate it. But it's just New England again. 0:10:47.679 --> 0:10:50.000 They're fans. They shouldn't care what someone like me thinks. 0:10:50.200 --> 0:10:52.640 They have possibility in the one seed. They're just not 0:10:52.760 --> 0:10:55.040 that good of a team. They have so many weaknesses 0:10:55.080 --> 0:10:58.480 that they just keep overcoming and having sane QB play 0:10:58.640 --> 0:11:02.160 and it's just all hitting right now. So they'll keep 0:11:02.160 --> 0:11:03.840 getting away from it. They're gonna get caught. I mean, 0:11:03.880 --> 0:11:05.319 they are going to get caught, and this is going 0:11:05.360 --> 0:11:08.320 to go the other way. But I get why you're hesitant. 0:11:08.360 --> 0:11:10.319 It's why would we just tried to stand in front 0:11:10.360 --> 0:11:13.120 of this team last week and got demolished. I get 0:11:13.120 --> 0:11:15.120 what you don't want to do it again. But to me, 0:11:15.280 --> 0:11:17.800 this is just yeah, you gotta just bet the Jets Lafe. 0:11:17.800 --> 0:11:20.720 It's bumped up too much. It doesn't matter who's on 0:11:20.760 --> 0:11:23.200 the field of this team. Like last week, they had 0:11:23.240 --> 0:11:24.800 no right cover in that number. We said they had 0:11:24.840 --> 0:11:27.400 two special teams touchdown. So if you want to fade 0:11:27.400 --> 0:11:29.559 this Jets team, it's a Thursday night. We always say 0:11:29.559 --> 0:11:32.720 the favorite, especially home teams. It does well long term. 0:11:32.720 --> 0:11:35.800 It's just skewed that way. But man, I can't get 0:11:35.800 --> 0:11:37.240 I can't get over how big of a number this 0:11:37.280 --> 0:11:39.440 is for Drake Madi try to cover. It's mass a 0:11:39.440 --> 0:11:40.120 lot of points. 0:11:40.360 --> 0:11:44.160 It's a massive, massive number. Let's go across the pond. 0:11:44.200 --> 0:11:45.120 We're going to Madrid. 0:11:45.920 --> 0:11:49.400 We're going to a city where most people when the 0:11:49.480 --> 0:11:53.040 game starts are getting home from dinner at nine point 0:11:53.040 --> 0:11:56.520 thirty in the morning. We got Washington at Miami, and 0:11:56.559 --> 0:12:00.319 as producer Matt Mitchell pointed out, if there's ever been 0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:05.240 a game in a city where a team has a 0:12:05.360 --> 0:12:11.920 chance to just completely disappear into the nightlife when their 0:12:11.960 --> 0:12:16.200 season is lost and their coach make it fired, it 0:12:16.240 --> 0:12:18.360 is this Miami Dolphins team, who are currently two and 0:12:18.360 --> 0:12:21.760 a half point favorites. Huge swing in the game, by 0:12:21.800 --> 0:12:24.320 the way, because the game is one and a half 0:12:24.360 --> 0:12:29.280 on Sunday night, even after the about while the Lions 0:12:29.320 --> 0:12:34.080 were getting demolished, and it's swung to the to Miami 0:12:34.160 --> 0:12:37.840 minus two and a half, so huge four point swing. 0:12:39.440 --> 0:12:45.400 Are the Commodoores, the Commodoor's great band, the Commodoors, the 0:12:45.480 --> 0:12:50.000 Commanders such a dreadful team against the run that Devon 0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:53.760 Han can again run for one thousand yards. 0:12:54.280 --> 0:12:56.360 I'm shocked you didn't sing there, good on you, Chet, 0:12:56.440 --> 0:12:56.920 good on you. 0:12:58.080 --> 0:13:00.239 I would have, but I couldn't think of any. 0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:11.840 Matt Mitchell's got to jump then he would know, dude, great, 0:13:12.080 --> 0:13:14.360 that's why you're the best. Matt. Probably supposed to be 0:13:14.400 --> 0:13:17.360 the Commanders, but it's under three if it's gonna be 0:13:17.400 --> 0:13:20.360 Marriot again with all these injuries that they've had, washing 0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:23.439 in their defense is just atrocious. Like you said, it's 0:13:24.760 --> 0:13:26.800 I've been killing us for not faitting this Commander's team 0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:28.800 this whole time, like we just keep every week we've 0:13:28.800 --> 0:13:30.440 been I've been going against him somehow we have not 0:13:30.520 --> 0:13:32.320 taken them in the contest, and every week it's just 0:13:32.800 --> 0:13:36.080 they're just terrible. Like the coaching staff. I think the 0:13:36.120 --> 0:13:41.480 head coach that he's taken over defensive duties. Yeah, so 0:13:42.480 --> 0:13:44.920 you know, will that changed much. I just don't know 0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:46.360 if they have the pieces. They just have had so 0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:48.280 many injuries when they're already an older team with a 0:13:48.320 --> 0:13:52.720 lot of weaknesses. So, yeah, it's under three, I guess 0:13:52.720 --> 0:13:54.240 I'll take it. But we always say we don't. We 0:13:54.280 --> 0:13:56.240 don't want to bet to a let alone to it 0:13:56.320 --> 0:13:58.520 as a favorite on the road. So happy to avoid 0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:01.320 this game, and just like one else, I'll be there 0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:03.960 seven am, eight am and be like, well, game starts 0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:05.480 an hour and a half. I gotta bet some side 0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:07.560 and I'll probably end up on Miami. So I hate 0:14:07.559 --> 0:14:08.680 this one, but got to take a side. 0:14:08.800 --> 0:14:10.600 Yeah, to me, it was anything. 0:14:10.840 --> 0:14:12.800 If Miami is still under three, I would take it 0:14:14.000 --> 0:14:17.400 because I do think in terms of sort of if 0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:22.080 this is a spirit Bowl, the spirit for Miami after 0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:26.560 beating Buffalo is a little bit higher, they might be 0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:30.960 able to see some opportunities versus I think the commanders 0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:33.320 like we got a backup quarterback, We've got a defense 0:14:33.360 --> 0:14:36.880 that can't stop anybody. They're geriatric, like, we got nothing 0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:38.800 going on here. So I know the professionals, I know 0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:40.640 they're going to do the best they can, but I 0:14:40.680 --> 0:14:44.920 think that the scheme favors Miami over Washington. 0:14:45.040 --> 0:14:48.040 Yeah, shockingly only had Miami minus one year, so I 0:14:48.120 --> 0:14:50.520 think that's what most guys. It's like. Shockingly, this is 0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:54.520 probably a lot closer than people realize matchup wise. So 0:14:54.960 --> 0:14:57.520 we're very public in our pick, but we both agree 0:14:57.560 --> 0:14:59.120 it's about the number, the fact that it's under a 0:14:59.160 --> 0:14:59.600 field goal. 0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:04.560 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh Simon, this line opened at five and 0:15:04.560 --> 0:15:07.520 a half. It has moved down to four and a half. 0:15:08.080 --> 0:15:13.160 I'm gonna be totally honest. This was nearly Chat's choice. Wow, 0:15:13.400 --> 0:15:17.880 I bet Cincinnati at plus five and a half. Couple 0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:22.680 things here. Number one, Joe Flacco just being healthier and 0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:28.800 having these receivers against the Steelers diminished. 0:15:28.560 --> 0:15:31.120 Secondary, they just they can't seem to figure it out. 0:15:31.120 --> 0:15:32.760 They had that one good game where they tried to 0:15:32.760 --> 0:15:35.000 play zone against the Colts a few weeks ago, and 0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:40.080 you know, they moved Jalen Ramsey to safety. But this team, 0:15:40.240 --> 0:15:43.440 like defensively is not in a good spot. And I 0:15:43.480 --> 0:15:46.960 know we now got the Steelers look terrible and so 0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:52.440 you know, maybe I'm buying into fading the Steelers here, 0:15:52.840 --> 0:15:55.360 but this is really a bet on Joe Flacco and 0:15:55.440 --> 0:15:59.360 that receiving corps just being able to score whenever they 0:15:59.360 --> 0:16:02.920 want and keep this game closer than the line reflects. 0:16:03.080 --> 0:16:05.280 The line has moved to four and a half at 0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:07.200 hard Rock, so I bettert a five and a half. 0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:09.480 It's moved in that direction. It's one of the reasons 0:16:09.480 --> 0:16:12.280 why I didn't make a catch choice is because it's 0:16:12.280 --> 0:16:13.320 got down to four and a half. 0:16:13.920 --> 0:16:20.600 The Cincinnati Bengals game roaring back, I think most of degree. 0:16:20.640 --> 0:16:22.920 Why is this not three three and a half? These 0:16:22.920 --> 0:16:28.000 two teams already played this season Bengals one thirty three 0:16:28.080 --> 0:16:30.920 to thirty one. I know it was a Thursday game 0:16:30.960 --> 0:16:33.840 and weird things happen on Thursday. But I don't know 0:16:33.840 --> 0:16:36.280 about you, but this is giving me a ton of 0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:39.160 the same vibes for that's forty nine ers Rams game, 0:16:39.800 --> 0:16:42.640 Like the forty nine Ers on a Thursday beat That 0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:46.400 Rams team stole that game. It's given me a lot 0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:49.360 of vibes here where it feels too easy and I'm 0:16:49.400 --> 0:16:51.560 a little worried about this Bengal side. But I agree 0:16:51.560 --> 0:16:53.800 with you if you want to take the number five 0:16:53.840 --> 0:16:55.440 and a half, that feels like that's a sharp number. 0:16:55.440 --> 0:16:58.720 It's moving that way. Maybe I'll get there on the 0:16:58.720 --> 0:17:00.760 Steelers brow City right now, chat like, I want to 0:17:00.760 --> 0:17:02.360 be in the Bengals, but I'm just worried there's something 0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:05.640 I'm missing here because I just this line feels way off. 0:17:05.720 --> 0:17:07.280 I don't get why this is not three three and 0:17:07.320 --> 0:17:10.640 a half. Like you just said, Pittsburgh's defense, we've said, all, yeah, 0:17:10.640 --> 0:17:13.440 they're super suspect. The only time they perform well is 0:17:13.480 --> 0:17:16.840 and they get these insane turnovers. So not good to 0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:18.440 be banking a defense with. You need a ton of 0:17:18.480 --> 0:17:21.320 turnover luck. And then on the flip side, Rogers has 0:17:21.400 --> 0:17:24.439 just been very questionable. But this is a great matchup him, 0:17:24.480 --> 0:17:27.160 especially if Trey Hendrick's still out. I no pressure type 0:17:27.160 --> 0:17:29.479 of game. I mean, we haven't really beat him up start, 0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:32.600 but we bullyed that guy coming the season. He had 0:17:32.600 --> 0:17:35.720 one good week one and he has been nothing since. 0:17:36.000 --> 0:17:38.920 Further, Oh my god, he's been. He's been a meme. 0:17:39.760 --> 0:17:42.639 He's become like every single week someone is finding a 0:17:42.720 --> 0:17:45.040 video of him doing something where he just doesn't know 0:17:45.080 --> 0:17:45.640 what he's doing. 0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:46.520 He doesn't know what he's doing. 0:17:46.840 --> 0:17:50.119 And that's a classic horrible pick, classic Bengals pick. We 0:17:50.200 --> 0:17:52.919 said all like, like, as I told. 0:17:52.800 --> 0:17:54.800 You, who gets four sacks in college? 0:17:54.960 --> 0:17:57.760 Before the season, an NFL scouts said to me, there's 0:17:57.800 --> 0:18:01.320 nobody in college who's game planning to keep your best 0:18:01.359 --> 0:18:04.960 player out of the action. If he's not getting plays, 0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:08.000 it's not because he's a freak athlete who they just 0:18:08.040 --> 0:18:09.880 can't figure out how to use. It's because he doesn't 0:18:09.880 --> 0:18:12.040 know how to play football. And that's what we're seeing 0:18:12.440 --> 0:18:18.200 with Stewart right now. And yeah, that obviously, I'm making 0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:21.520 a bet behind the Bengals keeping it being able to 0:18:21.520 --> 0:18:23.920 score every time they want. I'm not expecting the Bengals 0:18:23.920 --> 0:18:27.440 defense to stop Aaron Rodgers. I'm expecting him to look 0:18:27.520 --> 0:18:29.880 like he's thirty one years old in this game. 0:18:29.880 --> 0:18:31.879 But I just think that on. 0:18:31.920 --> 0:18:33.879 Joe Flacker to keep up like he had the previous 0:18:33.920 --> 0:18:36.560 matchup again thirty three to thirty one the first time 0:18:36.600 --> 0:18:38.560 they played, maybe we should be looking more towards the 0:18:38.600 --> 0:18:40.080 over here even playing aside. 0:18:40.080 --> 0:18:44.320 To be honest, that's interesting, interesting, all right, Carolina visiting Atlanta. 0:18:44.400 --> 0:18:46.479 Carolina is a three and a half point underdog. Let 0:18:46.480 --> 0:18:49.560 me ask you this question, Simon Hunter, are you ready 0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:53.280 if you're a fan, which one of these teams. 0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:56.440 Do you feel better about going into the future. 0:18:56.800 --> 0:18:59.720 Would you rather right now be a fan of Bryce 0:19:00.440 --> 0:19:06.639 Dave Knalys and the Carolina Panthers. Would you rather be 0:19:06.720 --> 0:19:10.280 a fan of Raheem Morris, Michael Pennix and the Atlanta Falcons. 0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:17.600 Would I don't know about the head coach, but Atlanta's 0:19:17.640 --> 0:19:20.560 foundation I really like, like you have the receiver, you 0:19:20.640 --> 0:19:23.920 have the running backs, and what we think is potentially 0:19:23.920 --> 0:19:24.399 the quarterback. 0:19:24.440 --> 0:19:27.520 Like Penis has a great arm, He's got a real 0:19:27.640 --> 0:19:30.120 arm talent. It's can you add the other tools? Right? 0:19:30.200 --> 0:19:33.240 He just we always keep saying it's I know people 0:19:33.240 --> 0:19:35.199 want them to be better, and you can kind of 0:19:35.240 --> 0:19:37.160 close your eyes a little bit with this Falcons team, 0:19:37.240 --> 0:19:39.120 or they have a couple of games where it's like, oh, 0:19:39.119 --> 0:19:40.560 they could have won that one, they could have stole 0:19:40.600 --> 0:19:43.439 that game. There, What are they three and six this year? 0:19:43.520 --> 0:19:45.720 So yeah, it's I get if their fan base is 0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:47.360 down on it. But like we said, it's just hard 0:19:47.400 --> 0:19:49.480 to be patient as a fan. You gotta be patient 0:19:49.520 --> 0:19:52.439 with Penix. He's just he's doing things that he looks 0:19:52.600 --> 0:19:55.440 like a first year quarterback. He's just inconsistent, makes you 0:19:55.480 --> 0:19:58.440 really dumb throws and he's just locked in on Drake London, 0:19:58.440 --> 0:20:00.800 which isn't an issue because Drake London so good, but 0:20:00.840 --> 0:20:02.679 you're gonna you're not gonna win games that way, right. 0:20:02.720 --> 0:20:05.600 You can't just focus feet on a guy, especially on 0:20:05.680 --> 0:20:07.960 third downs of defense. They're gonna do that. So for me, 0:20:08.000 --> 0:20:11.359 the Panthers, I still I don't know. I once we 0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:15.760 love the Panthers and Bryce Young, he's he's just not 0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:16.760 looking like Bryce Young. 0:20:17.040 --> 0:20:19.720 He's kind of regressed the past couple of weeks, I know. 0:20:19.880 --> 0:20:22.720 And it's like painful to watch because it's like you 0:20:22.760 --> 0:20:24.359 want to say, well, it's the coach, maybe it's the 0:20:24.359 --> 0:20:26.960 past protection. It's like, no, it's it's him. He's not 0:20:27.080 --> 0:20:29.640 making the right reads. He's got guys open certain spots 0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:32.359 where he's not seen and comes back down to the 0:20:32.400 --> 0:20:35.240 height stuff. I know, it's it sounds lazy, but it's true. 0:20:35.600 --> 0:20:37.960 There's a reason most of these teams won six four 0:20:37.960 --> 0:20:40.800 to six five quarterbacks guys like him. He doesn't see 0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:42.400 that open guy in the flat because he can't see 0:20:42.400 --> 0:20:45.640 over his left tackle. So I don't know, Chad. If 0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:47.720 I was a fan for this year, i'd be excited. 0:20:47.720 --> 0:20:49.879 If I'm a Panthers fan, because you can kind of 0:20:50.320 --> 0:20:53.560 lie your something to think we could be the wildcard 0:20:53.640 --> 0:20:57.720 team and Bryce could keep improving. But yeah, I would 0:20:57.720 --> 0:20:59.840 be a little worried about him and what he's gonna 0:20:59.880 --> 0:21:02.480 be like going forward. Were Pennix, I still haven't seen 0:21:02.600 --> 0:21:04.760 enough to really make a judgment call in that. So, uh, 0:21:06.119 --> 0:21:07.560 I like it landing here too. I don't know about 0:21:07.560 --> 0:21:10.000 you in this matchup, but I thought this on number 0:21:10.000 --> 0:21:11.680 is really interesting. The fact that they opened this a 0:21:11.760 --> 0:21:14.879 mystere and a half. Yeah, yeah, you like you like 0:21:14.920 --> 0:21:15.480 a lander or now. 0:21:15.560 --> 0:21:18.240 I actually wanted to get your opinion. I couldn't. 0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:22.640 I couldn't land anywhere, it feels like because the reason 0:21:22.680 --> 0:21:26.040 I asked the question is because when I went through it, 0:21:27.320 --> 0:21:29.240 you know, you and I, when we both eyeball these 0:21:29.280 --> 0:21:31.919 things before we even do any work, we sort of 0:21:32.840 --> 0:21:36.040 instinctively say, who do I like here? And my instinct 0:21:36.200 --> 0:21:38.920 was to like Carolina at three and a half getting 0:21:38.920 --> 0:21:40.879 the hook in the division, I think two teams. 0:21:40.640 --> 0:21:42.240 Well with the pros. I know a couple of pros 0:21:42.280 --> 0:21:45.399 who right away Sunday they grabbed that. So but it 0:21:45.400 --> 0:21:46.000 hasn't moved. 0:21:46.200 --> 0:21:48.480 But it hasn't moved, which is interesting, right because like 0:21:48.560 --> 0:21:52.840 normally these lines we've seen with some other division games 0:21:52.840 --> 0:21:54.359 that opened to three, they've moved to two and a 0:21:54.400 --> 0:21:56.080 half or they moved to three and a half. This 0:21:56.119 --> 0:21:57.280 one was at three and a half and it's just 0:21:57.280 --> 0:21:59.800 stayed and it's the only one that has stayed of 0:21:59.800 --> 0:22:04.320 the Division games. And so I wanted to like Carolina, 0:22:05.200 --> 0:22:07.600 but I think that's because we always like Carolina and 0:22:07.640 --> 0:22:09.440 we want to believe in Bryce Young and we think 0:22:09.480 --> 0:22:12.120 we've seen something in the way he plays that we've 0:22:12.119 --> 0:22:15.840 actually won money on, and you know, and so but look, 0:22:16.359 --> 0:22:18.840 he was terrible against the Packers and they won because 0:22:18.880 --> 0:22:20.439 he made some good plays down the stretch. 0:22:20.560 --> 0:22:22.520 But really it was Rico daubdle. 0:22:22.320 --> 0:22:26.760 Right last week against the Saints, he was truly awful, 0:22:27.119 --> 0:22:29.719 Like he made bad plays, the same things he had 0:22:29.720 --> 0:22:32.520 done against the Packers, only they didn't overcome them against 0:22:32.560 --> 0:22:35.960 the Saints, and so that was pretty disconcerting. And it 0:22:36.000 --> 0:22:37.960 looked to me like he was regressing a little bit. 0:22:38.200 --> 0:22:41.360 And the things that had made him magical when he's 0:22:41.400 --> 0:22:43.480 stepping up in the pocket and being accurate and hitting 0:22:43.520 --> 0:22:46.040 guys that keeps them in the game, he was just 0:22:46.160 --> 0:22:51.240 throwing picks and he was fumbling and like not playing 0:22:51.280 --> 0:22:54.440 like a professional quarterback who's on a winning team. And 0:22:54.480 --> 0:22:57.920 then I look at the Falcons and if you squint, 0:22:58.080 --> 0:23:00.520 not just on the offensive side, like you can see 0:23:00.520 --> 0:23:04.119 them getting to the ball defensively, there's just a couple 0:23:04.080 --> 0:23:09.200 of plays away, like some bad calls away meeting schematically 0:23:09.720 --> 0:23:11.920 that let the Colts stay in it. They should have 0:23:12.000 --> 0:23:15.360 killed the Colts in that game. It shouldn't have been 0:23:15.520 --> 0:23:19.400 It shouldn't have been a game. And so that's when 0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:21.080 I started to lean to the Falcons. 0:23:21.400 --> 0:23:23.959 Yeah, and it's a game that I just earmarked right 0:23:23.960 --> 0:23:26.000 away because of my model had a two and a half. 0:23:26.400 --> 0:23:28.840 So it's like, Okay, I'm already gonna like the Panthers. 0:23:28.920 --> 0:23:31.520 My model likes the Panthers as well, and it probably 0:23:31.560 --> 0:23:33.040 is going to be something I'm a little blind through 0:23:33.080 --> 0:23:35.440 right now, which is we're giving a lot of praise 0:23:35.440 --> 0:23:37.920 to Atlanta here. Let's make no mistake. This is a 0:23:38.000 --> 0:23:40.000 defense just gave up what two hundred and fifty yards 0:23:40.040 --> 0:23:43.479 rushing to doctor David. Yeah, and you could say, well 0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:46.119 that was flicky. Well go watch that Miami game against 0:23:46.160 --> 0:23:49.000 eight Chan where they struggled. So you're seeing a little 0:23:49.000 --> 0:23:51.520 bit of pattern that when they face really dominant running backs, 0:23:51.840 --> 0:23:54.119 their defense does struggle and their offense seems not to be 0:23:54.119 --> 0:23:57.280 able to keep up with it. But you know, and 0:23:57.400 --> 0:23:59.320 landing here is on a slot. That's why it's like 0:24:00.080 --> 0:24:03.080 I really wanted to be on the Panthers. But just situationally, 0:24:03.600 --> 0:24:07.120 they win that Bills game, everyone thinks, you know, that's 0:24:06.880 --> 0:24:09.120 a win that's going to send them to another level. 0:24:09.160 --> 0:24:12.320 That's a young Atlanta team. They've lost four straight. I mean, 0:24:12.720 --> 0:24:16.640 tough road, but forty nine ers Miami New England Colts, 0:24:17.720 --> 0:24:21.240 they've dropped them. You would expect this team to get 0:24:21.320 --> 0:24:24.520 right here at home against the Panthers. But like Chad's 0:24:24.520 --> 0:24:27.280 saying here, maybe I should trust my model and trust 0:24:27.280 --> 0:24:29.160 my instincts here. This is a great matchup. Rico data 0:24:29.200 --> 0:24:30.760 on this Carolina Panthers team to take the three and 0:24:30.800 --> 0:24:32.720 a half. But I just I don't get why this 0:24:32.800 --> 0:24:34.919 number is what it is, because to me, if they 0:24:34.920 --> 0:24:37.160 opened it two and a half three, that made more 0:24:37.200 --> 0:24:39.840 sense for this matchup than what they're putting here, which 0:24:39.880 --> 0:24:41.800 is they're thinks they think the Falcons are a much 0:24:41.800 --> 0:24:44.119 better team than the Panthers. So and just see what 0:24:44.160 --> 0:24:45.960 the market will do with this one. Like Chad said, 0:24:46.160 --> 0:24:48.000 if you want the early read with the pros, they're 0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:50.159 on the Panthers supposed three and a half. I'll be 0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:52.320 patient here, maybe take a position on the Falcons later. 0:24:53.000 --> 0:24:54.639 Yeah, we're gonna We're gonna hold off on this one. 0:24:54.640 --> 0:24:56.360 I'm going to see how the market plays it. Let's 0:24:56.400 --> 0:24:59.880 do a quick word from our friends at hard Rock. 0:25:00.920 --> 0:25:03.400 Today's show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor, 0:25:03.560 --> 0:25:06.560 hard Rock Bet. It's that time of year when every 0:25:06.600 --> 0:25:09.720 day feels like a big game day. 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Agreed, truly, it was amazing. 0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:18.080 A lot of questions here. Who's playing quarterback for the Texans. 0:27:18.119 --> 0:27:20.520 We don't know yet yet, I mean will know. You 0:27:20.560 --> 0:27:23.720 know the status of C. J. Stroud later this week 0:27:23.760 --> 0:27:27.040 as he goes through the concussion protocol. Jeffrey Simmons, I 0:27:27.119 --> 0:27:31.199 don't think is going to play for the Texans. And 0:27:31.240 --> 0:27:34.720 when I think about the Titans, like the last time 0:27:34.760 --> 0:27:39.240 we bet against them, and we rarely have in the contest, 0:27:39.720 --> 0:27:42.679 was two weeks ago against the Chargers, and they burned 0:27:42.800 --> 0:27:45.919 us with a punt return and a pick six and 0:27:45.960 --> 0:27:51.080 then they got a you know, backdoor field goal. So 0:27:51.160 --> 0:27:52.560 I kind of want to go back to not having 0:27:52.560 --> 0:27:54.200 to think about the Texans, especially when I don't know 0:27:54.200 --> 0:27:58.520 who's playing quarterback and a team that is significantly offensive challenged. 0:27:59.440 --> 0:28:01.840 Yeah, I love the Texas here. I'm shocked this numbers 0:28:01.880 --> 0:28:03.760 come down, So I'm interested to talk to pros this 0:28:03.800 --> 0:28:07.119 week see why they're taking this Titans team. But just 0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:09.760 a nightmare match for the Titans, as if these teams 0:28:09.760 --> 0:28:11.960 didn't play earlier in the year. And I think the 0:28:12.040 --> 0:28:15.360 score was twenty six nothing or thirty nothing the Houston one. 0:28:15.400 --> 0:28:19.000 I guess it's really yeah, And it's it's just about 0:28:19.080 --> 0:28:22.040 the matchups where it's like, what can this Titans team 0:28:22.080 --> 0:28:25.359 offensively do to beat this Texans team matchup and scheme wise, 0:28:25.400 --> 0:28:27.239 and I just can't find one. So so I think 0:28:27.240 --> 0:28:29.119 they get shut out again. No, CJ. I think we'll 0:28:29.160 --> 0:28:31.320 get one of them. They'll steal one, maybe get a touchdown, 0:28:31.359 --> 0:28:35.760 and you know, like you said, it's it's interesting they 0:28:35.800 --> 0:28:37.640 hung this line when no one knows who the quarterback 0:28:37.760 --> 0:28:41.160 is going to be. Where I feel like even if 0:28:41.160 --> 0:28:43.800 they hung six five and a half, they would have 0:28:43.800 --> 0:28:46.160 got the same amount of action they hung at seven 0:28:46.160 --> 0:28:48.840 and a half. And it's all Titans money, all of it. 0:28:49.040 --> 0:28:50.920 Like I'm looking right now out a bunch of different books, 0:28:50.920 --> 0:28:54.680 it's just all Titans money. So I don't know. Maybe 0:28:54.720 --> 0:28:56.520 I'll just be patient and I'll get the better number 0:28:56.560 --> 0:28:58.120 of the Texans. But if this sets six and a half, 0:28:58.160 --> 0:29:01.280 I'm gonna have a real time hard time avoiding this game. 0:29:01.400 --> 0:29:03.560 And maybe I'll convintion you come Sunday for six a 0:29:03.560 --> 0:29:06.800 half in the contest. But Titans, I don't know how 0:29:06.840 --> 0:29:10.520 they score. And the other side, Houston wants to run 0:29:10.560 --> 0:29:13.520 the ball. Guess who's horrible against the run, the Tennessee Titans. 0:29:13.560 --> 0:29:14.320 Tennessee Titans. 0:29:14.360 --> 0:29:16.920 Right, Yeah, we'll see Jeffrey Simmons is back. If he's not, 0:29:17.520 --> 0:29:20.280 I don't think he's back. It's gonna be another great matchup, 0:29:20.280 --> 0:29:23.560 great spot for this Texans team. So yeah, it's I'm 0:29:23.560 --> 0:29:25.400 gonna go back and I'll rewatch that Houston game for 0:29:25.400 --> 0:29:28.040 early year. But I just remember they fled out dominated 0:29:28.040 --> 0:29:30.640 across the board with something stupid like nine or six 0:29:30.760 --> 0:29:33.720 nothing at a half. In the second half, they just ran 0:29:33.800 --> 0:29:35.640 it down the throats of Tennessee and Tennessee couldn't do 0:29:35.640 --> 0:29:38.240 anything offensively, So it just feels a good match for 0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:40.880 this Texans team here coming off such an emotional win, 0:29:41.120 --> 0:29:42.320 and keep those vibes rolling. 0:29:42.800 --> 0:29:44.320 I don't think Simmons is going to be back. We'll 0:29:44.400 --> 0:29:45.320 updated on Thursday. 0:29:45.320 --> 0:29:48.080 But when I was checking the reports yesterday, most of 0:29:48.120 --> 0:29:50.440 them said they didn't expect him back until week twelve. 0:29:50.960 --> 0:29:56.360 So that changes that. Listen, you know me on Sunday mornings, I. 0:29:56.320 --> 0:30:00.080 Am easy, easy. 0:29:59.760 --> 0:30:01.960 To by the way, that might be a common door 0:30:02.000 --> 0:30:05.320 song too, and that's a great callback and we didn't 0:30:05.320 --> 0:30:06.520 even plan that. 0:30:06.520 --> 0:30:10.320 That was solo Lionel, Richie, Chad, come on, get it together, 0:30:10.720 --> 0:30:11.400 let's go, Mack. 0:30:11.880 --> 0:30:15.400 I don't need a ton of persuading on betting against 0:30:15.400 --> 0:30:18.440 the Titans. I had a little bit of trepidation just 0:30:18.480 --> 0:30:20.480 because I saw the number move and I don't know 0:30:20.480 --> 0:30:23.280 who the quarterback is. But if you feel that strongly 0:30:23.320 --> 0:30:25.800 about it, I'm gonna be all in on it. I 0:30:25.880 --> 0:30:27.280 might make it my biggest bet of the year. 0:30:27.920 --> 0:30:30.160 I hope not. I wouldn't do that. If it's Davis. 0:30:30.000 --> 0:30:32.000 Mills, all right, well we're gonna put a hold on 0:30:32.080 --> 0:30:32.880 Houston minus seven. 0:30:32.880 --> 0:30:35.760 We'll see who the players are Green. 0:30:35.560 --> 0:30:39.640 Bay at the New York Giants plus seven and a half. 0:30:40.440 --> 0:30:44.840 Since the news of Brian Dayball being fired, since the 0:30:45.000 --> 0:30:48.600 Green Bay Packers put up seven points at home and 0:30:48.680 --> 0:30:53.280 had a myriad of miscues against the Philadelphia Eagles, this 0:30:53.400 --> 0:30:54.920 number has come down from eight and a half to 0:30:54.960 --> 0:30:57.720 seven and a half. And I don't know about you, 0:30:58.280 --> 0:31:00.000 I don't have a ton of feelings about Brian David 0:31:00.320 --> 0:31:04.400 I can't tell if like he was just an arrogant 0:31:04.480 --> 0:31:09.440 dude or a football dude or a guy who is 0:31:09.480 --> 0:31:14.760 getting screwed. I think it's mostly Brian Dayball getting screwed. 0:31:14.840 --> 0:31:17.840 Forget about his ability to coach and scheme and get 0:31:17.880 --> 0:31:20.320 along with, you know, people on the coaching staff and 0:31:20.360 --> 0:31:21.360 the players don't seem to. 0:31:21.280 --> 0:31:22.000 Like him very much. 0:31:22.040 --> 0:31:24.400 He seems to be a little bit of a manage 0:31:24.480 --> 0:31:27.600 the star and not manage anybody else kind of coach. 0:31:28.120 --> 0:31:32.280 But boy, the videos that are. 0:31:32.120 --> 0:31:36.840 Coming out about Joe Shine and his reactions to Jackson's 0:31:36.880 --> 0:31:38.520 dart and how he didn't want to take him, and 0:31:38.560 --> 0:31:41.680 how he got rid of Saquon when Brian Daball wanted 0:31:41.720 --> 0:31:44.080 to keep him, and how he signed Daniel Jones to 0:31:44.120 --> 0:31:48.400 one hundred and forty million dollars deal. Like he seems 0:31:48.440 --> 0:31:50.960 a little easily in this whole situation. 0:31:52.000 --> 0:31:53.680 I mean, you come across all these people on life 0:31:53.680 --> 0:31:55.320 where you're just like, how does this guy have and 0:31:55.400 --> 0:31:57.600 maintain these jobs? And he's one of those people. 0:31:57.800 --> 0:32:01.000 It's like he's managing up. In the corporate world, it's 0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:01.880 called managing up. 0:32:02.520 --> 0:32:05.040 Okay, well he's doing it. Definition We have a couple 0:32:05.040 --> 0:32:07.720 of people like that in my world as well, but uh, 0:32:07.800 --> 0:32:09.600 they always get theirs. I don't. Hopefully it goes the 0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:12.040 same in the business world. But I look at this 0:32:12.120 --> 0:32:15.680 move as I guess a positive for the Giants. I mean, 0:32:15.720 --> 0:32:18.160 this guy is blown. Was a four double digit fourth 0:32:18.200 --> 0:32:21.160 quarter leads this season with the Giants. Yeah, had to do. 0:32:21.280 --> 0:32:22.719 If you're the owner, you have to show your fan 0:32:22.800 --> 0:32:25.640 base you have a pulse and make that move. So yeah, 0:32:26.000 --> 0:32:27.720 just burn it all down, get rid of him, get 0:32:27.760 --> 0:32:32.000 rid of the GM start over. Like we joke with Dart, 0:32:32.240 --> 0:32:36.120 tons and tons of talents, no brains. Guy is a 0:32:36.160 --> 0:32:39.960 full on idiot when it comes to protecting himself. I 0:32:39.960 --> 0:32:41.600 mean someone joked I think it's true. I think he 0:32:41.600 --> 0:32:44.200 has three concussions this year, Like, well. 0:32:44.120 --> 0:32:46.680 I think he's been checked for three concussions. He's been 0:32:46.720 --> 0:32:48.960 checked for four check for multiple concussions. 0:32:49.240 --> 0:32:53.000 Yeah, but it's still like, I mean, he just needs 0:32:53.000 --> 0:32:55.960 to understand he's got so much talent. The league is 0:32:56.000 --> 0:32:58.320 set up to protect yourself if you're a quarterback, especially 0:32:58.320 --> 0:33:01.400 as a runner. It's just crazy the stuff he put 0:33:01.480 --> 0:33:05.560 himself into. So I am all over green Bay here, 0:33:06.040 --> 0:33:08.280 especially if this might be Russell Wilson. Oh my god, 0:33:08.360 --> 0:33:11.080 and we've seen it. Yeah, Russell Wilson could have a 0:33:11.120 --> 0:33:13.760 flute game where it all puts it all together. This 0:33:13.960 --> 0:33:16.480 is ain't it? Like? This is a defensive front on 0:33:16.560 --> 0:33:18.480 Green Bay that can get pressure on a quarterback. They 0:33:18.520 --> 0:33:20.840 have a lot of guys that can win one on ones. 0:33:20.880 --> 0:33:25.360 And the flip side Lafloor with this Packers team, that 0:33:25.520 --> 0:33:27.280 was kind of an oddity. I mean, we both talked 0:33:27.320 --> 0:33:30.440 about Green Bay. He doesn't lose back to back, so 0:33:30.560 --> 0:33:31.920 that was the first time they lost back to back 0:33:31.920 --> 0:33:35.000 games in like two years. And Lafloor when he does 0:33:35.040 --> 0:33:37.040 lose back to back, he really gets his team right 0:33:37.080 --> 0:33:39.719 in that third game. It just we always give him 0:33:39.720 --> 0:33:41.160 praise for be such a good coach. This seems like 0:33:41.200 --> 0:33:43.040 a little floor type of game. Type of spot, So 0:33:43.880 --> 0:33:46.440 I get with people in their doubts with love. I 0:33:46.880 --> 0:33:48.480 like I said, I think it was the dry air 0:33:48.800 --> 0:33:50.680 quarterbacks and able to grip the ball, and we saw 0:33:50.680 --> 0:33:53.480 a ton of drops too from receivers. Just was really 0:33:53.520 --> 0:33:55.440 off night all together, where I think this is a 0:33:55.440 --> 0:33:58.800 good bounce back spot for this Backers team. So scary number. 0:33:58.960 --> 0:34:00.800 I get it like we're bad, not a Packers team 0:34:00.840 --> 0:34:02.440 that is not proven to be worthy of this type 0:34:02.480 --> 0:34:04.560 of number. But I think it's got a Russell Wilson 0:34:04.680 --> 0:34:06.600 line that it could be announced it to RUSS. So 0:34:07.160 --> 0:34:08.560 I'm going to get ahead of it. See if I 0:34:08.560 --> 0:34:10.399 can get this now, and if it is RUSS, see 0:34:10.400 --> 0:34:11.759 if this number gets up to nine or ten. 0:34:13.719 --> 0:34:15.760 Yeah, the number has been moving in the opposite direction. 0:34:16.560 --> 0:34:18.720 The other thing that I think about with this game, 0:34:20.120 --> 0:34:22.879 Matt Laflor might want to give Josh Jacobs the ball. 0:34:23.239 --> 0:34:24.720 Many many, many many times. 0:34:25.200 --> 0:34:27.799 And the Giants' weakness, and we saw it again last 0:34:27.800 --> 0:34:28.440 week against the. 0:34:28.360 --> 0:34:30.360 Bears, was being able to stop the rush. 0:34:30.560 --> 0:34:32.880 I mean they are thirty first, thirty second in the 0:34:32.920 --> 0:34:35.920 league anyway you slice it, so it does play to 0:34:35.960 --> 0:34:38.080 the strength and we saw last night even the Packers 0:34:38.480 --> 0:34:40.960 they continue to try to run, they continue to try 0:34:40.960 --> 0:34:45.400 to run. That's some dubious play calls, I think. But 0:34:46.560 --> 0:34:49.320 when Josh Jacobs had the ball, he was somewhat effective 0:34:49.320 --> 0:34:53.399 and obviously got into the end zone. So I think 0:34:53.440 --> 0:34:57.400 it's a strength against weakness as well, regardless of Russell Wilson. 0:34:58.040 --> 0:35:00.920 But it is a big number, big big number. 0:35:04.040 --> 0:35:10.239 Chicago Bears, Minnesota Vikings, commodoors did not sing that song. 0:35:12.440 --> 0:35:14.960 It's a three at hard rock. It's kind of been 0:35:15.000 --> 0:35:16.719 bouncing around. It was at. 0:35:16.640 --> 0:35:19.160 Three, it went down to two and a half, it 0:35:19.200 --> 0:35:21.000 went back to three. I'm talking about the Vikings being 0:35:21.040 --> 0:35:26.160 three point Favoritesier. I love your take on this because 0:35:26.239 --> 0:35:29.200 my lean is Minnesota when it's under a field goal. 0:35:29.600 --> 0:35:30.880 I have not bet it yet. 0:35:31.400 --> 0:35:33.200 I'm trying to get out of my head about JJ 0:35:33.280 --> 0:35:35.160 McCarthy and trying to get out of my head about 0:35:35.719 --> 0:35:39.479 my Bears euphoria. I was talking to my buddy Andy 0:35:39.560 --> 0:35:42.759 last night, who I grew up with outside Chicago and 0:35:42.840 --> 0:35:44.280 Holland Park and also. 0:35:44.120 --> 0:35:45.200 Went to Indiana with me. 0:35:47.960 --> 0:35:52.440 We don't even know how to react to having a 0:35:52.640 --> 0:35:58.759 dominant college football team and a foot professional football team 0:35:58.880 --> 0:36:03.640 that is bringing us joy and so I'm trying to 0:36:03.719 --> 0:36:06.680 see the full picture for the Bears and not just 0:36:07.440 --> 0:36:09.680 what they're doing in the final two minutes when the 0:36:09.719 --> 0:36:11.799 whole game is breaking down and Caleb gets to use 0:36:11.800 --> 0:36:16.239 his athleticism. And I'm also trying to get over JJ 0:36:16.360 --> 0:36:18.480 McCarthy and just say I think the Vikings at two 0:36:18.480 --> 0:36:19.640 and a half are the right size show. 0:36:21.400 --> 0:36:23.480 Yeah, I think we have the avoided. Then I think 0:36:23.520 --> 0:36:25.279 I'm too biased as well with this Bears team. They've 0:36:25.280 --> 0:36:28.080 just been winning me a lot of money, you are, yeah, 0:36:28.080 --> 0:36:30.279 And I've just been betting them, especially their money line 0:36:30.320 --> 0:36:32.960 every week, where it's like they've just been good to me. 0:36:33.080 --> 0:36:35.399 They just find ways to win. They're a very competitive team, 0:36:35.480 --> 0:36:38.160 and I love the books hung this line of what 0:36:38.160 --> 0:36:42.280 they did right because their first matchup Vikings first week, 0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:45.480 go on the road and they win right by three 0:36:45.840 --> 0:36:48.680 against this Bears team. So the books are just like, 0:36:48.680 --> 0:36:50.840 we'll let you guys decide, right, We're gonna play it 0:36:50.880 --> 0:36:53.040 right right where you just said. If it's two and 0:36:53.080 --> 0:36:55.960 a half, how do you not tempt to take Minnesota there? 0:36:55.960 --> 0:36:58.520 It feels a good number, a plus three. Same for 0:36:58.560 --> 0:37:00.800 the Bears. It's like these teams are so evenly matched 0:37:01.600 --> 0:37:03.279 I just think it's priced right. I don't really see 0:37:03.360 --> 0:37:05.520 value either side. So if I have to make us 0:37:05.600 --> 0:37:07.440 a pick on this side, I'm gonna go Bears. I 0:37:07.480 --> 0:37:09.720 just like the way they're playing right now, the vibes 0:37:09.760 --> 0:37:11.520 of the team. On the flip side, I think we 0:37:11.600 --> 0:37:14.520 both just don't trust JJ like we don't. That's why 0:37:14.760 --> 0:37:18.040 on script, he's great that first series, you know, first fifteen, 0:37:18.120 --> 0:37:21.319 we always say no issue there, But after that, I 0:37:21.360 --> 0:37:23.040 just don't think him or chaos here and sink we're 0:37:23.080 --> 0:37:26.560 Kayleb Williams. He's not as great on the first fifteen, 0:37:27.000 --> 0:37:28.960 but he gets better as a game goes along, especially 0:37:28.960 --> 0:37:30.560 the run game. For this, Bears then gets better as 0:37:30.560 --> 0:37:32.880 a game goes along. So yeah, I just at the three, 0:37:32.920 --> 0:37:35.120 I gotta take Bears. 0:37:35.160 --> 0:37:39.000 Not that I want to be nitpicky about the greatest 0:37:39.000 --> 0:37:46.400 football franchise in NFL history, but he is still wildly inaccurate, 0:37:46.719 --> 0:37:48.640 and sometimes the reason is Kaylee. 0:37:48.920 --> 0:37:51.960 Yeah, the reasons why they have to have. 0:37:51.840 --> 0:37:55.840 These dramatic moments is because he's still missing the easy, 0:37:55.840 --> 0:37:59.160 wide open throws. There were at least there were three 0:37:59.200 --> 0:38:02.160 of them on Sunday late in the game. 0:38:03.000 --> 0:38:05.920 One of them Colston Lovelin caught it was behind him 0:38:05.960 --> 0:38:07.440 as he was rushing across the middle. 0:38:07.880 --> 0:38:10.160 One of them was wide open Roma Dunese and it 0:38:10.320 --> 0:38:12.640 just was an overthrow. Another one I can't remember who 0:38:12.680 --> 0:38:16.040 it was. It might have been Luther Burden just didn't 0:38:16.040 --> 0:38:19.520 connect on it and it wasn't anything but Caleb not 0:38:19.600 --> 0:38:20.399 making a good throw. 0:38:21.280 --> 0:38:22.600 That is killing me. 0:38:23.320 --> 0:38:26.480 Do you get extra credit for making the spectacular but 0:38:26.640 --> 0:38:29.520 not making the easy? But you win because of the spectacular. 0:38:31.120 --> 0:38:32.840 Just win, baby, That's all matters to me. 0:38:34.360 --> 0:38:38.160 It's interesting. I'm about process as much as them about results. 0:38:40.400 --> 0:38:42.920 Tampa Bay visiting the Buffalo Bills. 0:38:42.960 --> 0:38:44.200 The Buffalo Bills. 0:38:44.239 --> 0:38:47.120 Are five and a half point favorites. I'm going to 0:38:47.160 --> 0:38:50.520 say something here. I feel like the oh interesting, you 0:38:50.560 --> 0:38:51.240 want to say something? 0:38:51.440 --> 0:38:52.319 No, I said say it? 0:38:52.800 --> 0:38:54.600 Oh, I think the Bucks. 0:38:54.320 --> 0:38:57.400 Are getting dinged here more for losing than the Bills 0:38:57.440 --> 0:38:59.840 are for losing, because it feels weird to me this 0:39:00.000 --> 0:39:00.960 line is five and a half. 0:39:01.440 --> 0:39:02.240 It should be lower. 0:39:02.960 --> 0:39:04.920 I agree. So that's what scaring me off of it 0:39:04.960 --> 0:39:06.600 a little bit, where it's like, just like this, since 0:39:06.640 --> 0:39:08.719 the game, what are we not seeing here? Chad? Are 0:39:08.719 --> 0:39:11.520 we too in love with this Bucks team? Because they 0:39:11.520 --> 0:39:13.440 were so good to us earlier in the year, had 0:39:13.440 --> 0:39:15.520 so many incredible wins when they were priced right, and 0:39:15.520 --> 0:39:19.520 we're covering for us. Do not get this line at all. 0:39:20.920 --> 0:39:23.319 This feels like I respect to this Bills team that 0:39:23.320 --> 0:39:27.520 has not deserved the respect with this big where's that 0:39:27.680 --> 0:39:30.000 secondary is suspect? I feel like Baker is going to 0:39:30.000 --> 0:39:32.160 be able to get his even with these nameless guys 0:39:34.080 --> 0:39:36.359 bizarre number. So yeah, like, let's be paid on this one. 0:39:36.560 --> 0:39:38.399 I'll see what I can hear and talk to people 0:39:38.560 --> 0:39:40.520 as you say here right now. I love the Bucks, 0:39:40.600 --> 0:39:44.000 especially at five and a half, So something I must 0:39:44.040 --> 0:39:46.320 be missing here. This just feels like such a good number. 0:39:46.520 --> 0:39:49.040 And you know we all know the deal Josh Allen, 0:39:49.080 --> 0:39:51.520 if you can find it and play in himself, Yeah, 0:39:51.560 --> 0:39:53.040 they should roll here. This is a good match of 0:39:53.080 --> 0:39:56.080 room against this Bucks team. But I feel like the 0:39:56.080 --> 0:39:59.440 Bucks defense and embarrassing as it was last week against 0:39:59.440 --> 0:40:02.080 the run. Don't you think the Boys would bounce back 0:40:02.120 --> 0:40:04.719 here the following week like it was such a bad 0:40:04.800 --> 0:40:07.440 loss for them. Where I know the Bills they can say, well, 0:40:07.440 --> 0:40:09.680 we just had an embarrassing on ourselves. They don't have 0:40:09.719 --> 0:40:11.400 the guys. You don't have a Vita vet. You just 0:40:11.920 --> 0:40:13.799 I think they also another rookie to an injury this 0:40:13.880 --> 0:40:16.320 past week, which is just it's never any of this 0:40:16.360 --> 0:40:17.920 Pills and they just had a horrible injury look to 0:40:17.960 --> 0:40:20.239 a defense. I couldn't afford to keep losing guys. So 0:40:20.880 --> 0:40:22.480 I don't love this match for this Pills team. But 0:40:22.480 --> 0:40:24.160 I let me be patient here, make sure I'm not 0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:25.759 missing something before I really put a lot of money 0:40:25.800 --> 0:40:26.560 to this Buck side. 0:40:26.640 --> 0:40:27.600 Well, here's what's interesting. 0:40:27.640 --> 0:40:32.040 You just mentioned the rush game against the Bucks for 0:40:32.120 --> 0:40:35.320 the Patriots. The Bucks gave up I think one hundred 0:40:35.320 --> 0:40:38.320 and sixty six yards rushing in that game, one hundred 0:40:38.320 --> 0:40:39.840 and twenty five of them or on those. 0:40:39.640 --> 0:40:40.600 Two broken plays. 0:40:40.960 --> 0:40:44.520 So are we looking at the Bucks defense as having 0:40:44.520 --> 0:40:47.520 had a bad game or did the Bucks defense have 0:40:48.280 --> 0:40:49.320 two bad plays? 0:40:49.920 --> 0:40:53.200 And but Cook's that same style as Henderson. He can 0:40:53.239 --> 0:40:55.560 break it. Yeah, but. 0:40:57.040 --> 0:41:03.799 You know to that degree, it's hard to break big runs. 0:41:03.920 --> 0:41:06.640 It's hard out understand. 0:41:07.680 --> 0:41:10.640 So I don't automatically think just because they've got James 0:41:10.640 --> 0:41:12.040 Cook that he's gonna be able to do the same 0:41:12.080 --> 0:41:14.799 things that Trevion Henderson did. I might have to lean 0:41:14.840 --> 0:41:18.880 into this Bucks defense playing as it normally does. The 0:41:18.920 --> 0:41:23.000 one thing that I can't get over, Bucky Irving might 0:41:23.120 --> 0:41:25.880 just be much more important to this offense than we 0:41:25.960 --> 0:41:27.759 even gave him credit for. And we gave him a 0:41:27.840 --> 0:41:30.680 lot of credit, but it's not the same team since 0:41:30.719 --> 0:41:32.640 he's been out with the foot and the shoulder and 0:41:32.680 --> 0:41:34.120 he's not expected. 0:41:33.640 --> 0:41:35.840 To play this week. Todd Bowles said. 0:41:35.680 --> 0:41:38.280 Yesterday he did not think Bucky Irving was going to play, 0:41:38.760 --> 0:41:40.640 and I think that's making a much bigger difference for 0:41:40.719 --> 0:41:44.280 Sead White is just a different player and as magical 0:41:44.320 --> 0:41:47.320 as Baker is, if he doesn't have Bucky Bucky Irving, 0:41:47.719 --> 0:41:50.440 and hee's down Mike Evans and he's down Chris Godwin, 0:41:51.000 --> 0:41:55.040 even with the offensive line getting better, is there something 0:41:55.719 --> 0:41:58.880 in the sauce that's missing that we're not seeing. I 0:41:58.880 --> 0:42:05.360 agree that's fair La Chargers at the Jacksonville Jaguars. 0:42:06.840 --> 0:42:08.400 Look, it's when we fade the Chargers. 0:42:08.560 --> 0:42:11.920 I don't know to tell you, like we we missed 0:42:12.160 --> 0:42:14.120 betting on the Chargers last week when we knew we 0:42:14.120 --> 0:42:14.560 should have. 0:42:14.480 --> 0:42:19.600 Been betting on the Chargers. Uh, And we now would 0:42:19.920 --> 0:42:21.520 normally want to bet on. 0:42:21.480 --> 0:42:24.959 The Chargers as road favorites because they looked so good 0:42:25.080 --> 0:42:27.160 last week, and we're like, all right, they figured it out. 0:42:27.920 --> 0:42:30.239 You make quick passes, you don't let the offensive line 0:42:30.280 --> 0:42:33.400 become a liability, and then we would bet them and 0:42:33.440 --> 0:42:36.960 they'll go on the road as favorites and they'll loose 0:42:37.600 --> 0:42:40.200 and they won't make us happy. So I'm just saying 0:42:40.280 --> 0:42:42.000 right now, I don't even care who they're playing. We're 0:42:42.000 --> 0:42:42.800 fading the Chargers. 0:42:43.200 --> 0:42:45.160 Well they shockingly they've been winning on the road. They 0:42:45.200 --> 0:42:46.960 just have not been covering for us. So you're right 0:42:47.000 --> 0:42:48.879 they they've burned this exact spot twice. 0:42:48.880 --> 0:42:53.759 A difference to me, Simon, I don't wins and losses. Yeah, 0:42:53.880 --> 0:42:56.000 that's fair about my wins and losses. 0:42:56.800 --> 0:42:59.560 Yeah, hard Rock has already moved the unfortunately, like to me, 0:42:59.600 --> 0:43:01.719 it's plus three. Go find it if you can on 0:43:01.760 --> 0:43:04.440 the Jags. But I don't even know how much time 0:43:04.440 --> 0:43:06.399 when I spend this one because I honestly hate this game, Chad. 0:43:06.440 --> 0:43:07.680 I hate that I have to better, I hate that 0:43:07.680 --> 0:43:10.520 IM have to watch it. I just do not enjoy 0:43:10.520 --> 0:43:13.640 the trebor Lards betting experience. I never have, never will. 0:43:14.080 --> 0:43:16.200 So this is the random time where I'll take that 0:43:16.280 --> 0:43:17.799 number because I know it's the right one. The midle 0:43:17.840 --> 0:43:20.840 thinks it's the right one. Chad just basically nailed it, 0:43:20.960 --> 0:43:22.919 like we get burned by the Chargers here every time. 0:43:23.800 --> 0:43:26.440 Now we're going the other side. We will definitely Chargers 0:43:26.440 --> 0:43:28.920 by thirty points in this matchup. But now it's just 0:43:29.280 --> 0:43:33.279 we talked the matchup wise that you saw Herbert even 0:43:33.280 --> 0:43:34.839 against the Pittsburgh they feel like they got a way 0:43:34.840 --> 0:43:36.600 with a bunch of stuff just because there's so many 0:43:36.640 --> 0:43:39.200 turnovers by Rogers and everything kind of went their way. 0:43:39.239 --> 0:43:42.040 Where this feels like a good spot right for this 0:43:42.120 --> 0:43:45.120 Jaguars team and the fact that games should be a pick. 0:43:45.680 --> 0:43:48.320 Jaguars gave up was the twenty nine points on a 0:43:48.360 --> 0:43:51.959 fourth quarter embarrassing loss. This numbers moved a whole another 0:43:52.000 --> 0:43:55.799 point to this Chargers team. So plus three, I'll take 0:43:55.840 --> 0:43:57.640 on this Shacks team. But my guy, do I hate it? 0:43:58.040 --> 0:43:58.560 Yeah? 0:43:58.880 --> 0:44:02.919 Seattle let Los Angeles Rams, two of the best teams 0:44:02.960 --> 0:44:04.480 in the conference. Right now, Rams are two and a 0:44:04.520 --> 0:44:07.400 half point favors. This is one of those games where 0:44:07.760 --> 0:44:11.279 I was referring to earlier, like open to three moved 0:44:11.280 --> 0:44:15.080 to two and a half, and the Wise guys are 0:44:15.120 --> 0:44:17.319 clearly coming on Seattle. 0:44:20.040 --> 0:44:20.480 Talk to me. 0:44:23.640 --> 0:44:26.880 I should have said, pause, Uh yeah, it's it's a 0:44:26.960 --> 0:44:30.879 it's a great matchup Seahawks. How do we not take 0:44:30.880 --> 0:44:33.000 them here? How do we not take the shocks? I 0:44:33.040 --> 0:44:35.480 know why people are betting the Rams. The Rams are 0:44:35.480 --> 0:44:38.879 getting all the early money. This number, like you just said, 0:44:38.880 --> 0:44:41.399 it is two and a half. Now, a couple three 0:44:41.520 --> 0:44:43.319 still out there you can find if you can. But 0:44:44.360 --> 0:44:45.600 that's that's where I want to be the shocks. I 0:44:45.600 --> 0:44:48.800 wanted to be on the three early. This Rams team, 0:44:49.719 --> 0:44:51.680 I get it, they're an absolute juggernaut, right, No, they're 0:44:51.680 --> 0:44:54.560 the hottest team of football. But there are things you 0:44:54.600 --> 0:44:56.839 look at the matchup wise that the Seahawks team can 0:44:56.880 --> 0:44:59.279 do that's gonna give the Rams real problems offensively. And 0:44:59.280 --> 0:45:01.360 I'm excited to see al Sean mcbays gonna counter that 0:45:01.760 --> 0:45:04.239 because you know, this year we've been talking a lot 0:45:04.280 --> 0:45:06.640 about this Yowks team has been a different team on 0:45:06.760 --> 0:45:10.480 the road. This feels like the true test for them 0:45:10.640 --> 0:45:13.680 on the road this year, right Like I'm I'm trying 0:45:13.680 --> 0:45:15.680 to find another game this year they've faced the team 0:45:15.680 --> 0:45:17.400 on the road that's at this type of level. I 0:45:17.400 --> 0:45:20.839 really can't find it. And the Rams we've talked about, 0:45:20.840 --> 0:45:22.680 they're probably the best off at some football right now. 0:45:22.719 --> 0:45:24.680 So yeah, it's. 0:45:24.600 --> 0:45:26.880 A huge game, right this is their first time meeting 0:45:26.960 --> 0:45:28.840 up in this division. Feels like they're the two teams 0:45:28.840 --> 0:45:31.560 at the top. They're by far the two teams that 0:45:31.920 --> 0:45:33.759 as an Eagles fan, probably give you the most worry 0:45:33.880 --> 0:45:37.359 right now in football. So I, as an Egles fan, 0:45:37.400 --> 0:45:40.600 can't wait to watch this one. This I would say 0:45:40.600 --> 0:45:41.520 this is the game of the week. I know a 0:45:41.560 --> 0:45:43.680 lot of people think Eagles Detroit is because I believe 0:45:43.680 --> 0:45:46.239 they're both number one in their divisions right now. But 0:45:46.920 --> 0:45:49.080 I love this type of game because divisionally, and like 0:45:49.120 --> 0:45:51.359 you just said, it's the type of game that it's 0:45:51.360 --> 0:45:56.200 going to have huge ramifications going forward. So Seattle wise, 0:45:57.520 --> 0:46:01.160 our big warry here. It's we're back Darnald over Stafford 0:46:01.160 --> 0:46:03.759 when Stafford's super high right now, and we're talking about 0:46:03.800 --> 0:46:06.880 confidence with the last possession in the game, it's gonna 0:46:06.960 --> 0:46:10.160 be Stafford. So I'm not shocked to see professionals and 0:46:10.200 --> 0:46:11.920 early money here coming on the Rams at the two 0:46:11.920 --> 0:46:14.919 and a half. But I just love this matchup wise, 0:46:15.000 --> 0:46:18.839 Seahawks against this Rams offense. Defensively, on the flip side, 0:46:18.920 --> 0:46:21.160 I don't really think the Rams have guys that can 0:46:21.200 --> 0:46:24.319 get stops against the Seahawks team that it's the play 0:46:24.360 --> 0:46:26.239 action pass, it's what's working, and they don't have a 0:46:26.239 --> 0:46:29.239 corner that could take away JSN. So I like the 0:46:29.280 --> 0:46:32.360 matchup schipsmatically for the Seahawks team, So really really excited 0:46:32.400 --> 0:46:34.360 to this one. Maybe a game we don't bet or 0:46:34.400 --> 0:46:35.880 put in our contests because it's just going to be 0:46:35.920 --> 0:46:37.759 a game where you don't really need to invest a 0:46:37.800 --> 0:46:39.600 lot into because there's too many UKNOWN factors and how 0:46:39.640 --> 0:46:42.240 good of a matchup it is. But at the three, 0:46:42.400 --> 0:46:44.200 I think you got to take the Seahawks of that number. 0:46:44.480 --> 0:46:46.440 Yeah, I'm hoping it'll get back there. I don't know 0:46:46.440 --> 0:46:47.000 if it will. 0:46:47.320 --> 0:46:52.799 But I like Seattle's defense here. They are so good 0:46:52.840 --> 0:46:56.080 at rushing the passer and if there's anything we know, 0:46:56.239 --> 0:46:58.600 especially up the middle, if there's anything we know can 0:46:58.640 --> 0:47:02.719 bother Matthew Stafford's pass rush up the middle where he's 0:47:02.760 --> 0:47:06.000 got to evade going outside, and that's just harder for 0:47:06.080 --> 0:47:07.640 him to do. It's always been hard for him to do, 0:47:07.920 --> 0:47:10.120 even when he was younger, and now that he's older, 0:47:10.480 --> 0:47:12.480 that to me is the biggest challenge. It's always the 0:47:12.520 --> 0:47:14.880 biggest challenge for older quarterbacks. So when someone's coming at 0:47:14.920 --> 0:47:17.840 you directly in front of you, it's hard to figure 0:47:17.840 --> 0:47:19.680 out which way you're going to go, and you don't 0:47:19.719 --> 0:47:23.840 have the legs to sort of get there. I really 0:47:23.920 --> 0:47:28.160 like Seattle's defense. They're so freaking good, and I think 0:47:28.200 --> 0:47:31.320 they're better than the Rams defense, to be honest, especially 0:47:31.400 --> 0:47:33.640 from the pass rush. So, yeah, we don't have to 0:47:33.640 --> 0:47:36.160 invest a ton in this, but we're gonna like Seattle 0:47:36.200 --> 0:47:39.600 and we're gonna be rooting for Seattle on Sunday San 0:47:39.680 --> 0:47:44.279 Francisco at Arizona. So we talked about the Sunday night. 0:47:44.480 --> 0:47:46.759 My first instinct was take the Cardinals of plus three. 0:47:47.120 --> 0:47:50.920 The line has moved to two and a half. My 0:47:51.440 --> 0:47:54.720 instinct was it's just natural off of a blowout loss. 0:47:55.400 --> 0:47:59.680 The things that happened in that game against Seattle are unprecedented. 0:48:00.719 --> 0:48:04.080 The same guy forcing a fumble to a teammate and 0:48:04.120 --> 0:48:06.360 the same teammate picking up the fumble and running it 0:48:06.400 --> 0:48:08.719 back for a touchdown, and that happened twice in the 0:48:08.719 --> 0:48:10.319 first sixteen minutes of the game. 0:48:11.000 --> 0:48:17.120 Holy smokes, another touchdown for the same. 0:48:16.920 --> 0:48:20.240 Guy, and like after that, Simon. 0:48:21.280 --> 0:48:26.799 After that, Cardinals played lights out and they actually outscored 0:48:26.840 --> 0:48:28.640 the Seahawks the rest of the game. 0:48:29.440 --> 0:48:31.440 So that's why I like the Cardinals. 0:48:31.680 --> 0:48:34.480 They just got blown out, and it's the right side 0:48:35.120 --> 0:48:36.280 the week after a blowout. 0:48:37.120 --> 0:48:38.719 Yeah, I think it's anesoly a good match for them 0:48:38.719 --> 0:48:41.480 against what we keep talking about, a four niners defense 0:48:41.560 --> 0:48:43.959 that they can only keep getting away with so much 0:48:44.000 --> 0:48:46.400 scheme wise. Eventually, it does matter when you don't have 0:48:46.440 --> 0:48:48.120 players that can put any type of pressure on a 0:48:48.200 --> 0:48:51.040 quarterback right you need some type of pass rush. You 0:48:51.040 --> 0:48:55.600 don't have any type of cover corners. The Fred Warner injury. 0:48:55.640 --> 0:48:57.880 As the weeks have gone alonger, it's grown more and 0:48:57.880 --> 0:48:59.759 more where you just see in game adjustments just aren't 0:48:59.760 --> 0:49:02.160 the same about him in the middle. Commanded it there. 0:49:02.200 --> 0:49:06.000 So I I gave out the road talk I can 0:49:06.080 --> 0:49:08.359 give out, right, I gave out that Texans gave out 0:49:08.360 --> 0:49:10.680 Green Bay. People are gonna hat these next couple games. 0:49:10.680 --> 0:49:12.560 I just love all these home dogs, and it starts 0:49:12.600 --> 0:49:15.759 with this game here. So, like Chad said, if you 0:49:15.760 --> 0:49:18.320 can find the plus three, that's where I would prefer 0:49:18.360 --> 0:49:21.000 to be. Don't hate the two and a half. Just 0:49:21.000 --> 0:49:24.000 want to always get the best number available. So I 0:49:24.000 --> 0:49:25.840 don't know if this will be a game comes someday 0:49:25.880 --> 0:49:28.799 we'll even talk about really, because it's just it's just 0:49:28.800 --> 0:49:30.400 not going to be there with us with the number. 0:49:30.880 --> 0:49:32.200 We're not going to get a three and a half. 0:49:32.200 --> 0:49:33.800 We're only going to get a two and a half. 0:49:34.120 --> 0:49:36.000 Yeah, and I just don't love it. Like I like it. 0:49:36.040 --> 0:49:37.319 I'm betting at two and a half, but I'm not 0:49:37.320 --> 0:49:39.680 crazy about it, especially wh where we don't know who 0:49:39.680 --> 0:49:42.040 the quarterrecsent. You don't know if it's me, Mac or Pretty. Still, 0:49:42.760 --> 0:49:44.640 the foty nitrews have been really quiet about it. So 0:49:45.320 --> 0:49:47.920 I look at this as Pretty was close last week, 0:49:48.560 --> 0:49:50.640 maybe he comes back this week. But last week we 0:49:50.640 --> 0:49:52.840 said last week that wasn't really a Mac Jones' fault. 0:49:53.239 --> 0:49:59.120 They lost that game. So another game where I was like, Okay, 0:49:59.360 --> 0:50:01.600 maybe I'll be on the under here because I just 0:50:01.640 --> 0:50:03.279 know the polks that are coming really heavy on the 0:50:03.360 --> 0:50:07.640 end over Again, it's only Tuesday here. I've seen three 0:50:07.680 --> 0:50:11.920 different books that give out their betting line info. Ninety 0:50:12.000 --> 0:50:13.960 five to one hundred percent of the money is on 0:50:14.000 --> 0:50:16.880 the over in this matchup, so people love it here. 0:50:17.000 --> 0:50:19.439 I just like this. As a divisional game, it's always 0:50:19.480 --> 0:50:21.440 a risky bet, especially if it's a high total of 0:50:21.520 --> 0:50:24.360 forty eight and a half. So another sneaky little playout, like, 0:50:24.400 --> 0:50:25.200 here's the under in. 0:50:25.160 --> 0:50:27.880 This game, Simon. 0:50:28.840 --> 0:50:32.919 The Baltimore Ravens are visiting the Cleveland Browns at hard 0:50:33.000 --> 0:50:37.080 Rock Bet. The Cleveland Browns are eight point underdogs. There 0:50:37.080 --> 0:50:39.839 are plenty of eight and a half's out there. I'm 0:50:39.880 --> 0:50:45.520 telling you right now, the Cleveland Browns plus eight are 0:50:45.600 --> 0:50:52.760 going to be Chad's Choice presented by hard Rock Bet. 0:50:53.200 --> 0:50:54.360 Are you sure you want to do this? 0:50:54.960 --> 0:50:58.200 Are you willing to make a choice? What choice? We 0:50:58.280 --> 0:51:02.040 can't run from a way out, sharp dudes can just 0:51:02.080 --> 0:51:03.239 see it, you know what I mean. 0:51:06.840 --> 0:51:13.320 I'm obviously hoping and praying that Dylan Gabriel can find 0:51:13.400 --> 0:51:15.759 a way to get into the end zone at some 0:51:15.920 --> 0:51:19.960 point in this game. But really, we've established a pattern 0:51:20.040 --> 0:51:22.719 here that has worked well for us, not because it's 0:51:22.719 --> 0:51:25.760 a trend, but because we actually see this with our eyes. 0:51:26.640 --> 0:51:29.799 The Browns defense is just a different team at home. 0:51:29.880 --> 0:51:32.319 This is going back two seasons now in which they 0:51:32.400 --> 0:51:35.400 continue to be able to dominate against much better teams 0:51:35.800 --> 0:51:38.319 at home and keep themselves in a position to win 0:51:38.360 --> 0:51:41.640 these games. And right now we're getting a Baltimore Ravens 0:51:41.680 --> 0:51:44.080 team that has won three in a row that now 0:51:44.120 --> 0:51:48.640 just looked great against the Vikings team that everyone expected 0:51:48.960 --> 0:51:52.120 might be a little bit closer of a game, and 0:51:52.440 --> 0:51:55.719 all of a sudden, it's a massive, massive number in 0:51:55.760 --> 0:51:59.160 the division against a still very stingy defense. 0:51:59.239 --> 0:52:02.560 So give me the stingy defense. You know. 0:52:02.640 --> 0:52:04.680 I like to bet a team when I feel like 0:52:04.680 --> 0:52:07.759 they're massive underdogs and I know they can have at. 0:52:07.719 --> 0:52:10.080 Least one dominant. 0:52:11.719 --> 0:52:15.880 Area of the game between offense, defense and special teams. 0:52:16.160 --> 0:52:19.000 They've got a unit, and I think their defensive unit 0:52:19.080 --> 0:52:19.880 can be dominant. 0:52:21.320 --> 0:52:24.359 Yeah, it's a game we both pick Sunday night, and 0:52:24.400 --> 0:52:25.960 I knew right away. It's like, Okay, this is a 0:52:26.000 --> 0:52:28.080 good game. We're probably gonna be talking Sunday morning, but 0:52:28.239 --> 0:52:30.560 we just everything about it. We love, love the matchup 0:52:30.640 --> 0:52:34.880 of the scheme. Wise, like you said, these teams already 0:52:34.880 --> 0:52:39.840 played Ravens won forty one to seventeen much earlier in 0:52:39.840 --> 0:52:42.160 this season. And as much as you want to take 0:52:42.160 --> 0:52:44.120 away from that game that this Brown seam, maybe it 0:52:44.120 --> 0:52:46.600 doesn't match up well for them, Like we said, that's 0:52:46.600 --> 0:52:49.080 on the road. It's a difference. They're just a different 0:52:49.120 --> 0:52:52.520 team at home this season. Believe the most points they've 0:52:52.560 --> 0:52:55.919 lost by is four. So we've just seen they play 0:52:55.960 --> 0:52:58.480 close games at home. It's a really tough team to 0:52:58.480 --> 0:53:02.120 beat at home, you know, the Browns. As bad as 0:53:02.160 --> 0:53:06.000 that loss was against that Juts team. You know, we 0:53:06.080 --> 0:53:09.080 said it's special teams. Like Gabriel wasn't that terrible. It 0:53:09.080 --> 0:53:11.920 seems like he's getting more comfortable in this offense as 0:53:12.320 --> 0:53:15.560 the season is going along here, So like we need one, 0:53:15.719 --> 0:53:17.320 we need one from him. Needn't get a one or 0:53:17.360 --> 0:53:20.120 two touchdows from at least because Lamar will eventually get 0:53:20.160 --> 0:53:22.200 his just the way it is, he's one of the 0:53:22.239 --> 0:53:25.640 best players in all football. So matchup wise, can they 0:53:25.680 --> 0:53:28.480 take away the run? Can they keep a little more contained? 0:53:28.880 --> 0:53:31.520 They got the guys like that's this front is just 0:53:31.560 --> 0:53:36.080 so impressive, so dominant, So both love it, can't avoid it. 0:53:36.480 --> 0:53:37.840 Like you said, shop around for the eight and a 0:53:37.880 --> 0:53:40.279 half people, it's such a key number, go get it. 0:53:40.880 --> 0:53:42.640 Could see this being like Miami though, could see this 0:53:42.680 --> 0:53:44.880 get into seven seven and a half by kickoff as 0:53:44.920 --> 0:53:47.080 a professional when he comes in. But it's gonna be 0:53:47.080 --> 0:53:49.160 funny see what the Brooks do with it, because it's 0:53:49.200 --> 0:53:53.360 gonna be huge parlays, huge teasers. Everyone's just fully comfortable 0:53:53.360 --> 0:53:55.480 all in on this Ravens team, especially after last week 0:53:55.640 --> 0:53:57.680 where they won so big for us and the public. 0:53:57.760 --> 0:53:59.680 It was a big win in a cover by them. 0:53:59.680 --> 0:54:01.600 I think everyone's slowly bought in now at this point 0:54:01.640 --> 0:54:02.520 on this Ravens team. 0:54:03.239 --> 0:54:08.440 Yeah, totally true, all true. Everything you just said, Cleveland 0:54:08.480 --> 0:54:11.959 Browns Chat Choice presented by hard Rock Bet Kansas City 0:54:11.960 --> 0:54:14.200 at Denver. You like this one on Sunday Night? You 0:54:14.280 --> 0:54:17.719 like Kansas City. You said Kansas City minus three. It 0:54:17.760 --> 0:54:19.400 has now moved to three and a half. 0:54:19.600 --> 0:54:20.640 No way, did I really? 0:54:21.160 --> 0:54:22.360 I think you did? Didn't you? 0:54:22.480 --> 0:54:23.120 Oh man? 0:54:23.800 --> 0:54:25.240 I could have sworn you did. 0:54:26.200 --> 0:54:27.840 Oh By the way, I do have one more stat 0:54:28.000 --> 0:54:32.360 for the Browns that I forgot to mention from Killer Sports. 0:54:32.719 --> 0:54:36.320 Teams playing their third straight road game, coming off a 0:54:36.320 --> 0:54:38.840 straight up and against the spread wind like the Ravens, 0:54:39.280 --> 0:54:41.120 the opposing team is sixty five. 0:54:40.960 --> 0:54:45.319 Percent against the spread. I'm wrong. You like Denver. I'm 0:54:45.360 --> 0:54:47.200 looking at right now. You like Denver. 0:54:47.480 --> 0:54:50.480 This was like a Denver line Denver game in a 0:54:50.480 --> 0:54:53.120 million different ways where I knew this time would be 0:54:53.160 --> 0:54:56.000 semi inflated, thought it would be four four and a half, 0:54:56.840 --> 0:54:59.360 maybe we get there, And we always talked about we 0:54:59.440 --> 0:55:02.600 just don't try my homes as more than a three 0:55:02.640 --> 0:55:05.839 point favorite, especially in divisional against these type of games 0:55:05.840 --> 0:55:08.000 where we just know it's gonna be grueling, ugly close 0:55:08.120 --> 0:55:11.960 type of games. So not shockingly everyone hates Denver now, 0:55:12.080 --> 0:55:16.399 I mean, that was painful to watch last Thursday. Costs 0:55:16.600 --> 0:55:18.880 a bunch of people, a bunch of money. And you know, 0:55:18.960 --> 0:55:21.600 the Chiefs still look like one of the best teams 0:55:21.640 --> 0:55:24.120 in all football right when it's clicking for them offensive. 0:55:24.160 --> 0:55:25.759 I know the record doesn't reflect it, but we all 0:55:25.840 --> 0:55:27.880 view them this is one of the better teams. So 0:55:29.160 --> 0:55:31.759 I hope this gets higher. I was gonna make this, 0:55:31.960 --> 0:55:34.120 Simon says, but I didn't just because I do think 0:55:34.360 --> 0:55:36.040 we could get a four to four and a half here. 0:55:36.080 --> 0:55:38.319 I just could see a ton of public love for 0:55:38.360 --> 0:55:40.279 this Chiefs team, and I could see the professionals being 0:55:40.320 --> 0:55:43.120 patient because this won't dip back to three. There's just 0:55:43.160 --> 0:55:45.000 no way the books take a stand that way. So 0:55:45.880 --> 0:55:48.319 I do like Denver here, but I'm not gonna make 0:55:48.360 --> 0:55:49.920 it better yet. I do think we can get some 0:55:49.960 --> 0:55:51.520 fours here poping up pretty soon. 0:55:52.000 --> 0:55:52.359 All right. 0:55:53.080 --> 0:55:56.080 To be clear, you did say Denver on Sunday night. 0:55:56.280 --> 0:55:58.800 I misremembered. 0:55:58.960 --> 0:56:00.440 It is weak. It was late. 0:56:00.480 --> 0:56:03.239 It was late at the end of those days. I'm 0:56:03.280 --> 0:56:06.359 a mass man. I'm tired, I'm a little dehydrated. 0:56:06.400 --> 0:56:08.839 My head starts to hurt a little bit. You know, 0:56:09.200 --> 0:56:13.719 you're not yourself on Sunday mornings. Sunday night. I'm a 0:56:13.760 --> 0:56:14.359 morning guy. 0:56:15.280 --> 0:56:18.000 You're an evening guy. 0:56:18.200 --> 0:56:19.560 Yeah. I think it's the fact I've been up twenty 0:56:19.600 --> 0:56:21.680 four hours straight. By that point, I'm already kind of loopy, 0:56:22.239 --> 0:56:24.760 ye until living my mind by. 0:56:24.600 --> 0:56:26.719 Then could be well. By that point, I've been up, 0:56:26.920 --> 0:56:30.360 you know, thirteen hours straight, and so I'm exhausted. 0:56:30.560 --> 0:56:33.440 There you go, all right, Primetime Spotlight. We got some 0:56:33.520 --> 0:56:35.360 island games, standalone games. 0:56:35.680 --> 0:56:39.160 Let's talk about it. Detroit plus two at Philadelphia. 0:56:39.680 --> 0:56:42.520 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, famous for the. 0:56:42.480 --> 0:56:45.319 Liberty Bell, Blue Laws soft pretzels. 0:56:45.840 --> 0:56:50.000 True Philadelphia fan learns daboo before he learns to speak. 0:56:50.400 --> 0:56:50.640 I think. 0:56:50.680 --> 0:56:53.600 On Sunday night, we both talked about liking Detroit, but 0:56:53.680 --> 0:56:55.200 we wanted to wait to see what happened in the 0:56:55.200 --> 0:56:57.600 Monday night game because we thought the line would move. 0:56:57.680 --> 0:56:59.880 It was at one and a half, it's two at hard. 0:57:00.360 --> 0:57:03.520 It's two and a half in a lot of other places. 0:57:04.000 --> 0:57:07.200 I still like Detroit here. I feel like it's a 0:57:07.200 --> 0:57:09.920 pretty good spot for them. And I don't know that 0:57:09.960 --> 0:57:13.680 what we saw offensively from the Eagles last night was 0:57:13.719 --> 0:57:17.400 an anomaly. It seems to be how they play the 0:57:17.440 --> 0:57:20.080 game with a lot a lot of rhythm, with some 0:57:20.160 --> 0:57:24.600 weird play calling, and they win. They find ways to win. 0:57:25.600 --> 0:57:31.840 But I think Detroit's offense, with Dan Campbell calling the plays, 0:57:32.520 --> 0:57:36.320 might have a better chance to find their rhythm as well. 0:57:36.760 --> 0:57:41.200 Huge, huge mistake. No, I'm not gonna give you two 0:57:41.200 --> 0:57:43.560 more of a time about it. I did like the Lions. 0:57:43.600 --> 0:57:47.560 I thought it was probably a good spot, but already 0:57:47.600 --> 0:57:51.120 took some shit about my love for the lines and 0:57:51.160 --> 0:57:54.480 how I'm stepping in it, walking in really a little bit. 0:57:54.880 --> 0:57:59.400 And it is fair like they've faced one good defense 0:57:59.440 --> 0:58:01.640 this year, this Lion's team, and they put up seventeen 0:58:01.680 --> 0:58:05.280 points against the Chiefs. This is not a good matchup 0:58:05.280 --> 0:58:08.320 for golf. Like you just saw that front now Phillips 0:58:08.360 --> 0:58:11.320 on this Eagles team, they got some guys now Befron, 0:58:11.360 --> 0:58:13.520 they can get pressure and one on one matchups against 0:58:14.040 --> 0:58:19.320 other teams quarterbacks, So I'll be patient here. I hate 0:58:19.320 --> 0:58:21.360 when I do get flipped all these type of games 0:58:21.400 --> 0:58:22.920 and the number has gone against me. Like if this 0:58:23.040 --> 0:58:25.840 was one and a half, I've said, I still feel 0:58:25.880 --> 0:58:27.440 much better about the Eagles team, Like you said, now 0:58:27.440 --> 0:58:29.480 it's up to two to two and a half. I 0:58:29.520 --> 0:58:31.280 don't know how much I'm gonna really dig in here, 0:58:31.680 --> 0:58:34.080 but it seems like Eagles might be the wrong side 0:58:34.120 --> 0:58:37.400 this Lions team, as good as they are, they do 0:58:37.480 --> 0:58:40.920 have some flaws. Defensively, they are banged up, and I 0:58:40.960 --> 0:58:43.439 don't know if Campbell call on your offenses to where 0:58:43.440 --> 0:58:46.040 you want to be. I really don't like that. When 0:58:46.080 --> 0:58:49.520 I heard that, I was like, ah Man, Campbell's now 0:58:49.600 --> 0:58:53.640 they're offensive coordinator, Like Chad's gonna get his wish A 0:58:53.680 --> 0:58:55.520 lot of runs up the middle and fourth and one. 0:58:55.600 --> 0:58:58.200 I guarantee you that even if you could stop three 0:58:58.200 --> 0:59:01.560 times in a row. So I don't know, Like this 0:59:01.640 --> 0:59:04.560 is a team that, like we said, they got embarrassed 0:59:05.200 --> 0:59:08.600 with that Chiefs game, then they we loved them in 0:59:08.640 --> 0:59:11.120 the spot they beat up on the Bucks at home, 0:59:11.880 --> 0:59:16.040 had to buy a week, lost to JJ McCarthy, and 0:59:16.080 --> 0:59:18.280 then just beat up on a Washington team. So I 0:59:18.320 --> 0:59:19.640 just have a lot of questions that much be a 0:59:19.720 --> 0:59:23.000 question about this Eagles team. It's a good number for them. 0:59:23.040 --> 0:59:26.320 They're at home under a field goal, catching a team 0:59:26.360 --> 0:59:30.000 that might be overvalued and overrated publicly just because they 0:59:30.040 --> 0:59:32.240 already forgot about that bad Vikings loss and they just 0:59:32.280 --> 0:59:34.520 come off a dominant win. So I just have some 0:59:35.200 --> 0:59:38.200 little questions here about why the pros hit me up 0:59:38.240 --> 0:59:39.880 so hard about beating on the Eagles. And they were 0:59:39.920 --> 0:59:41.800 right once again last night about the Eagles team. That 0:59:41.960 --> 0:59:44.360 was a game they covered from the minute the game 0:59:44.440 --> 0:59:46.400 kicked off to the very end. They covered the entire 0:59:46.400 --> 0:59:49.520 way through. So yeah, we might be understanding this Eagles 0:59:49.520 --> 0:59:51.600 team that just it doesn't look pretty Chad, but they 0:59:51.680 --> 0:59:53.880 keep winning. And I think they're six and one down 0:59:53.960 --> 0:59:57.040 one score games this season. It's under a field goal, 0:59:57.080 --> 0:59:58.560 so this might be an Eagles line. 0:59:58.920 --> 1:00:05.720 All right, Look, I can be agreeable, and uh, look 1:00:05.840 --> 1:00:07.720 what I thought about this last night. There was one 1:00:07.720 --> 1:00:11.560 of the plays where Jalen Hurts was pushed out of 1:00:11.600 --> 1:00:14.800 the pockets scrambling right early in the game to convert 1:00:14.800 --> 1:00:17.960 a third down. I forgot who he hit and Shipley 1:00:18.000 --> 1:00:19.760 I think Will Shipley, Yeah, and. 1:00:21.760 --> 1:00:22.360 He was so. 1:00:23.920 --> 1:00:30.960 Relaxed and smooth and unbothered, and that's how he's always 1:00:31.000 --> 1:00:33.520 playing as quarterback of the Eagles. 1:00:33.600 --> 1:00:37.720 Like it just all seems as though he's seen it, 1:00:38.000 --> 1:00:38.680 he gets it. 1:00:39.120 --> 1:00:41.040 He understands how to win, which he has done his 1:00:41.200 --> 1:00:44.760 entire career going back to college, so I get it. 1:00:44.800 --> 1:00:45.760 Like it's a hard team. 1:00:45.840 --> 1:00:48.400 Took him a quarter to shake that fumble, though instantly enough, 1:00:48.400 --> 1:00:51.240 like you're saying, frustrated, he did seem after that he 1:00:51.320 --> 1:00:54.360 was like forcing throws that usually doesn't force and it's 1:00:54.440 --> 1:00:56.240 like they need again in his ear tell him to 1:00:56.280 --> 1:01:00.320 kind of bring it back. So yeah, like, I will 1:01:00.360 --> 1:01:01.760 not be shocked if this is one of the most 1:01:01.760 --> 1:01:04.040 public dogs of the week Detroit. The Eagles looks so 1:01:04.760 --> 1:01:07.919 bad on a short week now facing the Detroit team 1:01:07.960 --> 1:01:09.960 that looks so good in the eyes of the public. 1:01:10.040 --> 1:01:13.479 So yeah, it's an interesting line that the book's opened 1:01:13.520 --> 1:01:13.840 here with. 1:01:22.040 --> 1:01:24.000 We still low with Simon says, and there's only one 1:01:24.040 --> 1:01:26.720 game left. It's Dallas at Las Vegas. 1:01:26.800 --> 1:01:28.720 Vegas is a three and a half point dog. By 1:01:28.720 --> 1:01:33.480 the way, this line on Sunday Monday was Dallas minus 1:01:33.520 --> 1:01:36.960 one and a half, so it's gone up two points 1:01:37.320 --> 1:01:38.000 at this point. 1:01:38.360 --> 1:01:40.080 Simon, what say you. 1:01:40.960 --> 1:01:43.439 Chad knows me so well. Simon says, give me Las 1:01:43.560 --> 1:01:46.000 Vegas or A eight is plus three and a half. 1:01:46.280 --> 1:01:49.960 I want to play a game. Simon says, I feel 1:01:50.000 --> 1:01:52.080 like all year, I'm gonna keep telling people you fade 1:01:52.160 --> 1:01:54.200 Dallas when they're more than a three point favorite, and 1:01:54.240 --> 1:01:56.640 it's hit every game. I'm trying to think what game 1:01:56.680 --> 1:01:59.680 we lost this year on it. There was some stupid 1:01:59.680 --> 1:02:03.720 game that one. But yeah, like just this matchup, it 1:02:03.720 --> 1:02:05.520 feels like the same with the Panthers. Panthers were three 1:02:05.560 --> 1:02:07.920 and a half. They covered it. Cardinals are three and 1:02:07.920 --> 1:02:10.560 a half against this Dallas team covered went out right. 1:02:10.600 --> 1:02:14.920 It's just an offense that you know, the Broncos were 1:02:14.960 --> 1:02:18.040 a really good defense and they did what we thought 1:02:18.080 --> 1:02:19.760 they would do right. Like again, I can't believe we 1:02:19.760 --> 1:02:21.840 didn't cover that. If you would have told me the 1:02:21.920 --> 1:02:25.600 Raiders road score seven points out of block field goal, 1:02:25.680 --> 1:02:30.080 block punt, you know, nine penalties, you would think you 1:02:30.080 --> 1:02:32.520 would have covered that one. But this Raiders team is 1:02:32.520 --> 1:02:35.000 still playing hard, I mean as bad as I thought 1:02:35.040 --> 1:02:37.560 they would look. It's a team that has been playing 1:02:37.560 --> 1:02:40.720 hard for their coach, and when you look at this matchup, 1:02:41.240 --> 1:02:44.160 I think they're under rating this, you know, getting rid 1:02:44.160 --> 1:02:47.880 of Myers and the fact that this offense, you know, 1:02:48.200 --> 1:02:50.000 people look are just so downplaying them because of that 1:02:50.000 --> 1:02:53.360 Broncos game where you know, getting Brock Bowers back. It's 1:02:53.400 --> 1:02:55.040 a huge upgrade to this team. I know they didn't 1:02:55.120 --> 1:02:57.680 use them in the previous week, but against Dallas, who 1:02:57.680 --> 1:02:59.760 cannot cover the middle of the field, this is the 1:03:00.440 --> 1:03:03.600 matchup for him. So, you know, Dak, this is a 1:03:03.600 --> 1:03:05.120 get right game for him. He can put up a 1:03:05.120 --> 1:03:06.760 ton of points. But I just see this this team 1:03:06.840 --> 1:03:08.920 keeping up with them and this being a closer game 1:03:08.960 --> 1:03:11.800 than people realize. So as a city here right now, 1:03:12.120 --> 1:03:13.680 there's a couple of threes out there. I'm seeing a 1:03:13.720 --> 1:03:15.360 lot of books move to three and a half. So 1:03:16.200 --> 1:03:17.760 getting well you can Hard Rock is one of the 1:03:17.800 --> 1:03:19.240 first books to get to three and a half. I 1:03:19.480 --> 1:03:21.440 do think I'll go back down as professionals coming on 1:03:21.440 --> 1:03:23.320 this Raiders team. But we'll see, you know, like we 1:03:23.360 --> 1:03:25.840 always say, the Monday night games, the public is a 1:03:25.920 --> 1:03:27.960 ton of users, tuple of money line parlay is all 1:03:28.000 --> 1:03:30.960 tied to that money line that Monday game. So right 1:03:31.000 --> 1:03:33.520 now we're looking at a Dallas team on the road, 1:03:34.200 --> 1:03:36.800 probably even getting by kickoff eighty percent of the money, 1:03:36.840 --> 1:03:39.120 eighty percent of the tickets. Like that's I just think 1:03:39.120 --> 1:03:42.680 the public's gonna hammer them this matchup. So a dog 1:03:42.840 --> 1:03:44.840 at home getting that least amount of money like that, 1:03:44.880 --> 1:03:46.840 I just love this matchup for this Raiders team. 1:03:47.280 --> 1:03:47.920 All right, Look, we. 1:03:48.000 --> 1:03:52.560 Got a lot of games to talk about on Thursday. 1:03:52.600 --> 1:03:56.040 We're gonna have to talk about the Browns. We're probably 1:03:56.080 --> 1:03:59.439 gonna have to talk about Cincinnati. We're gonna talk about 1:03:59.480 --> 1:04:03.440 Houston because we want to know who's playing quarterback. We'll 1:04:03.480 --> 1:04:06.880 be curious about Green Bay to see how that number moves. 1:04:06.720 --> 1:04:08.680 And the Houston there is there is a six and 1:04:08.720 --> 1:04:10.320 a half out there. Now. People are gonna hear this 1:04:10.640 --> 1:04:11.600 six and a half half. 1:04:11.440 --> 1:04:13.280 Pop Now, we gotta go bet six and a half 1:04:13.320 --> 1:04:17.640 on Houston the box. We're very curious to see how 1:04:17.640 --> 1:04:20.720 the line moves on the Bears and the Vikings, the Jags. 1:04:20.720 --> 1:04:22.360 We're not going to talk about it Seattle. 1:04:22.680 --> 1:04:25.880 We're interested in Arizona if we can get it to three. 1:04:26.000 --> 1:04:30.000 We're interested in Denver plus three and a half. We 1:04:30.040 --> 1:04:32.160 want more on the Philly Detroit game in Las Vegas 1:04:32.200 --> 1:04:36.040 plus three and a half. A Simon says, man it 1:04:36.160 --> 1:04:37.560 is gonna be busy. 1:04:38.280 --> 1:04:41.000 Another and one more line shift before we go. Jets 1:04:41.080 --> 1:04:43.919 up to twelve and a half now, so oh my god, 1:04:43.960 --> 1:04:45.920 probably gonna have probably gonna get the thirteen shot. We're 1:04:45.960 --> 1:04:47.720 not gonna have a choice, but the bettt come Thursday 1:04:47.840 --> 1:04:49.040 night once I get to thirteen. 1:04:49.840 --> 1:04:52.080 Poor jets, Poor jets. 1:04:52.720 --> 1:04:54.800 All right, this has been Sharper Square, part of the 1:04:54.880 --> 1:04:58.040 Volume podcast network. We'll be back on Thursday with the 1:04:58.040 --> 1:05:00.680 games we're zeroing in on, plus our head to head battle, 1:05:01.440 --> 1:05:03.640 our brass balls better the week, so much more. Watch 1:05:03.720 --> 1:05:09.280 or listen on YouTube at Sharp or Square. Like the video, 1:05:09.440 --> 1:05:12.640 subscribe to the channel. Also Donald's from Spotify, Apple Pods, 1:05:12.680 --> 1:05:16.840 where video pods rate review, subscribe feedback is a gift 1:05:16.960 --> 1:05:19.320 to leave us five stars until next time. 1:05:20.080 --> 1:05:26.440 Love you, Hey, let's recare for