WEBVTT - The Paradox of Choice

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Trillians. My name is Droll and I'm Eric Beltis.

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<v Speaker 1>Last episode we talked about how ETFs have become such

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<v Speaker 1>a big deal. This time we're going to try and

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<v Speaker 1>make sense of the chaos that they've created. Because there's

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<v Speaker 1>t these things. Some of them might blow up and

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<v Speaker 1>make me rich, others might blow up and make me poor.

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<v Speaker 1>One a Day launches in the US. Eric, how am

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<v Speaker 1>I supposed to make sense of all that chaos? I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know. No, I do know. I see you next week. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's not easy. There's twenty Like you said, there's well,

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<v Speaker 1>there's two thousand eighty seven. But he was counting. Who's

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<v Speaker 1>got some good fact? Jack? Thank you? And my job

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg for half a decade was to make order

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<v Speaker 1>out of this chaos. I looked at myself in data

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<v Speaker 1>when I worked there before I got to research as

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<v Speaker 1>the guy running a Walmart, and instead of stuff, it

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<v Speaker 1>was E t F s, and I had to organize

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<v Speaker 1>them in like a taxonomy so that when you walked

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<v Speaker 1>into my proverbial et F store, you know exactly where

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<v Speaker 1>to go and could find the E T F that

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<v Speaker 1>you wanted and evaluate it within say ten to twenty seconds,

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<v Speaker 1>and so I'll share it a little bit about what

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<v Speaker 1>I did, but ultimately, you know, there are a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of E t F s. Let's bring in one of

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<v Speaker 1>the questions our listeners asked on Twitter because it was

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<v Speaker 1>literally about one of the topics that we're gonna get

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<v Speaker 1>to today. Yeah. So, and by the way, please tweet

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<v Speaker 1>it at at Eric Beltnis or at Joel Webber Show

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<v Speaker 1>if you have any questions. Will definitely pick some. This

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<v Speaker 1>one was from Ken Natal, who's a financial planner in

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<v Speaker 1>New York. He says, can you discuss the various structures

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<v Speaker 1>and E t F s? And he says, for example,

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<v Speaker 1>s P Y versus V O O versus IVV, which

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<v Speaker 1>are all really basic plane vanilla s t F H.

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<v Speaker 1>We actually touched on these in the first one, but

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<v Speaker 1>even those three that check the same index and they

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<v Speaker 1>do have small differences. We'll get to it later in

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<v Speaker 1>the show when we get to the equity aisle, so

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<v Speaker 1>to speak, but that I think is indicative of the

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<v Speaker 1>fact that there are a lot of small differences even

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<v Speaker 1>when you are in the same species. So this episode,

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<v Speaker 1>meet the E t F s. Okay, So I just

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<v Speaker 1>walked in to Eric's E t F store which looks

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit like a Walmart. And I've got my

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<v Speaker 1>grocery cart here and it's got a squeaky wheel. Can

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<v Speaker 1>you help fix that? No, I work at Walmart. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>well maybe you can help me make sense at this store.

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<v Speaker 1>What's your biggest department? Sure? So, if you think about

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<v Speaker 1>a department in terms of organizing E t F s,

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<v Speaker 1>we would say that mapping would be an asset class.

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<v Speaker 1>So when you think of departments in this E t

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<v Speaker 1>F store, think of them divided by asset classes. The

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<v Speaker 1>biggest asset class, by far as equities. In terms of

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<v Speaker 1>e t F S, about of the volume and assets

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<v Speaker 1>are an equity TF so these are ones that hold stocks,

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<v Speaker 1>and when you go to that section, there's different aisles

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<v Speaker 1>for different types of equity t s. So when I

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<v Speaker 1>think about how that responds for me, I think about

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<v Speaker 1>walking in to a grocery store when I was a kid,

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<v Speaker 1>and the cereal isle was a daunting place because my

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<v Speaker 1>mom wanna only let me have sugar cereal one day

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<v Speaker 1>a week, which was Saturday, and that was when I

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<v Speaker 1>watched Saturday morning cartoons. Poor guy, Poor Guy. So I

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<v Speaker 1>basically got to pick the one sugar cereal that I'd

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<v Speaker 1>have for that weekend, and it was like Lucky Charms,

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<v Speaker 1>Cocoa Puff, Captain Crunch, and they're all, so that was

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<v Speaker 1>your Monday through Friday days a week. So they're all

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<v Speaker 1>yelling at me for my attention. And that's sort of

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<v Speaker 1>how I feel about the equity aisle. Can you let

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<v Speaker 1>me make sense of the et F? Iile like it's

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<v Speaker 1>a cereal aisle? Sure, I mean, And it's a good

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<v Speaker 1>metaphor because some of the e t F is a

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<v Speaker 1>little healthier for you than others. I think a basic

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<v Speaker 1>way to divide equities is by market cap. So there

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<v Speaker 1>could be like a large cap aisle, a mid cap bile,

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<v Speaker 1>and a small cap bile, and within there there's different sections.

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<v Speaker 1>But take large cap but that's probably I mean five

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<v Speaker 1>six seven billion dollars somewhere in the ballpark. So I'd

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<v Speaker 1>say a quarter of all assets are going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a large cups. So maybe there's two aisles, but you

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<v Speaker 1>get the idea. So large caps are going to hold

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<v Speaker 1>names like Apple and Google and and those are very

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<v Speaker 1>popular have a lot of assets, but again there's differences

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<v Speaker 1>between each of the products. And again the biggest large

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<v Speaker 1>caps are ones that we've talked about before and that

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<v Speaker 1>we had a question about, which are sp These are

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<v Speaker 1>perfect example for why you need to Basically we say

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<v Speaker 1>in the industry, open the hood, or in this case,

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<v Speaker 1>look on the back of the cereal box. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>forget about the cartoon character that's like, you know, jazz

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<v Speaker 1>handsing on the front. Yeah, that's like making you lose

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<v Speaker 1>your mind. You turn the box over and you look

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<v Speaker 1>at the ingredients, right, and this is sort of like

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<v Speaker 1>looking at Okay, what are the holdings. So when you

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<v Speaker 1>take the SMP five hundred, you're gonna see Apple X on.

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<v Speaker 1>It's gonna make you feel very safe because you're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>recognize all the companies because in the smptfs and most

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<v Speaker 1>ETFs in general, they market cap wait the stocks, so

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<v Speaker 1>the bigger ones get the biggest waiting, and so ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>when you look over at smp F t F, you're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna see those companies. Now, the difference in the question

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<v Speaker 1>that was asked is that s p Y is the

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<v Speaker 1>biggest oldest e t F. Right, It's got two hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and fifty billion dollars. It's a giant I called the

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<v Speaker 1>King of ETFs. You could argue it's the king of

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<v Speaker 1>equities because it trades four times more than Apple, the

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<v Speaker 1>second most trade equity anyway. S p Y is structured

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<v Speaker 1>as a unit investment trust. That was how the first

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<v Speaker 1>couple of e ts were designed the mid nineties, and

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<v Speaker 1>the other ones I VV which is I shares, and

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<v Speaker 1>VOO which is Vanguard are structured is open end companies.

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<v Speaker 1>Now for you out there, if you haven't fallen asleep already,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not going to spend much time in these structures,

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<v Speaker 1>but it does make a difference in small ways. Unit

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<v Speaker 1>investment trust s p Y can't invest the dividends back

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<v Speaker 1>into the fund every day, and it can't do securities, Lenny,

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<v Speaker 1>there's there's small little things on the margins. It's not

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<v Speaker 1>a big deal. What I was gonna say about this.

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<v Speaker 1>It reminds me of vanilla. There are different types of vanilla.

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<v Speaker 1>There's vanilla being there's fringe vanilla, and that's sort of

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<v Speaker 1>what these are. Yeah, exactly. And if you pick SPY

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<v Speaker 1>I V V your VO and you held a ten years,

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<v Speaker 1>it doesn't make a difference really. I mean, you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to get the SMPF having to return minus a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of basis points. So large cap we're talking cheerios, grape nuts,

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<v Speaker 1>raisin brand a little bit, maybe good one. Let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>about MidCap, sure, mid caps a little little you know.

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<v Speaker 1>I always refer to mid cap as the Jan Brady

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<v Speaker 1>of market cap. Well, it's overlooked all the time. It's

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<v Speaker 1>the middle child. Large caps are the biggest, and small

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<v Speaker 1>caps are like you know, they're a little more volatile,

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<v Speaker 1>they're more fun, you can make or lose more money.

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<v Speaker 1>Midcaps are kind of stuck in the middle, and you

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<v Speaker 1>know there you don't hear a lot about They have

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<v Speaker 1>a hundred billion dollars. That's a pretty big section. They

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<v Speaker 1>could be their own aisle for sure. And mid caps

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<v Speaker 1>will be companies that I would say, if you opened

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<v Speaker 1>up a mid cap etf and you looked or you

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<v Speaker 1>want to turn with the box over and looked at

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<v Speaker 1>what's in it, you probably would only recognize a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of companies, like something like Urban Outfitters. I believe is

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<v Speaker 1>a mid cap. I shopped there, But some of these

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<v Speaker 1>other companies that are in the energy business and industrials.

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<v Speaker 1>You are so an an outfitter shopper says it all.

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<v Speaker 1>I love that about you. Yeah, the ironic T shirts.

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<v Speaker 1>At least the Urban Afters has those ironic T shirts

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<v Speaker 1>before they make it a target two years before. So

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<v Speaker 1>small cap this is like the spicy stuff. Okay, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>this is like the stuff you had on Saturday. Maybe

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<v Speaker 1>not that bad, but definitely raise raisin brand, a little

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<v Speaker 1>sugar on it. Whatever. Right, small caps, there's actually more

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<v Speaker 1>of them. So like a typical small cap ETF like

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<v Speaker 1>i WM or VV, those are the tickers for two

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<v Speaker 1>big small cap ETFs. They're gonna have two thousand plus

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<v Speaker 1>or stocks and they might even dip into what's called

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah that's good though, because remember we talked about diversification.

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<v Speaker 1>You definitely want to be diversified there if you pick

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<v Speaker 1>the right small cap small caps are ultimately like investing

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<v Speaker 1>in like Toddler's, you know what I mean? They you know,

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<v Speaker 1>they haven't really like they're not mature. I know about Toddler's.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, I know, me too. That's why my voices scratchy.

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<v Speaker 1>My two year old God knows what he's bringing home

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<v Speaker 1>from daycare. You know, as long as we're hanging out

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<v Speaker 1>in this serial aisle. Remember those little combo packs that

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<v Speaker 1>you could get like eight different types of cereal like

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<v Speaker 1>apple jacks and everything in one, and they'll always be

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<v Speaker 1>like one leftover. Yeah that nobody ever wanted geaties usually, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it was all the fun ones. And then that's like

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<v Speaker 1>the freed to lays of the cereal pack. What is

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<v Speaker 1>that combo pack in your world? Great metaphor if what

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<v Speaker 1>we just said about going through different aisles and picking

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<v Speaker 1>large caps, what a lot of people do is say

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<v Speaker 1>the hell with it. I just want the whole thing

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<v Speaker 1>in one shot. And that's called broad market ETFs. They're

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<v Speaker 1>very popular. So here's where you get the best bang

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<v Speaker 1>for your buck in my opinion, because you're gonna get

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<v Speaker 1>the whole stock market. We're talking about four thousand stocks

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<v Speaker 1>roughly for point oh four percent or point oh five percent.

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<v Speaker 1>So if we talk about that ten thousand dollars proverbly

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<v Speaker 1>that you put into an ETF, here, you're gonna get

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<v Speaker 1>one thousand stocks per dollar per year, and that is

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<v Speaker 1>that's almost free basically. I mean that talk about the

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<v Speaker 1>pizza slice that I could that's even cheaper than pizza

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<v Speaker 1>in like Kansas, let alone penn Station. And then you're

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<v Speaker 1>invested across all equities, right, not just large cap, mid cap,

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<v Speaker 1>small cap. But again back to the whole diversification paradox.

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<v Speaker 1>If you do that, you're so diversified, you're certainly not

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<v Speaker 1>going to hit the lottery. You're just gonna slowly move

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<v Speaker 1>with the whole market. And again, some people like to

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<v Speaker 1>the juice of picking an individual name, but for most

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<v Speaker 1>people that is really a good a good deal, a

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<v Speaker 1>good method. So broad market ETFs are hugely popular. They

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<v Speaker 1>don't make the press a lot because they're so boring,

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<v Speaker 1>but they're they're very popular. Eric, that's my my cart.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm ready to go check out the next biggest section

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<v Speaker 1>of your store, which is which is what Yeah, good

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<v Speaker 1>because I thought you were sick or something. Anyway, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>the next biggest section easily fixed income, which is bonds. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>so bonds can be boring, do not fall asleep, you know.

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<v Speaker 1>The way I try to explain bonds of people are

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<v Speaker 1>exciting them about them is that fixed income is really

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<v Speaker 1>like like a three dimensional game. It's like chess, whereas

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<v Speaker 1>equities are like checkers because bonds have a maturity date,

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<v Speaker 1>so there's an extra time element in valuing them and stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>But the good news about e t F s is

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<v Speaker 1>you don't really need to worry about a ton of that. Ultimately,

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<v Speaker 1>in the fixed income section, it's the same thing. There's

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<v Speaker 1>highly popular areas where they just throw a bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>the bonds into one shot, and that's called aggregate bonds.

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<v Speaker 1>So you said something and that that was interesting, which

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<v Speaker 1>was maturity date, which speaks to the bonds duration. In

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<v Speaker 1>a grocery store, that would be probably the vegetable section

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<v Speaker 1>right where this vegetable is going to go bad. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>So let's think about this, because bonds are boring. Vegetables

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<v Speaker 1>are boring. I don't really want to eat them, but

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to. They're totally good for diversification, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>why most the older you get more more people have

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<v Speaker 1>more bonds than stocks. And here's the thing. E t

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<v Speaker 1>f s have transformed fixed income because on e t

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<v Speaker 1>F is an equity. Before you couldn't really like interact

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<v Speaker 1>with fixed incoming in the same way. You're You're right.

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, stocks trade on exchanges, bonds don't. It's called

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<v Speaker 1>over the county. You gotta call people literally, yeah, And

0:11:19.800 --> 0:11:22.520
<v Speaker 1>I always tell people I think the fixed income et

0:11:22.760 --> 0:11:26.800
<v Speaker 1>F showed the hunger that people had for a bond exchange.

0:11:27.240 --> 0:11:30.120
<v Speaker 1>People want to trade bonds like stocks. In fact, that's

0:11:30.160 --> 0:11:33.120
<v Speaker 1>again back to e t f s. They're big advantages.

0:11:33.160 --> 0:11:35.760
<v Speaker 1>They've standardized everything, just like a U S P port

0:11:35.840 --> 0:11:38.400
<v Speaker 1>or a gas pump. Everything now trades like equities, and

0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:40.480
<v Speaker 1>that's what people like trading the most. It's the best,

0:11:40.800 --> 0:11:44.720
<v Speaker 1>most transparent way to trade. So yes, that's a huge benefits.

0:11:44.760 --> 0:11:47.120
<v Speaker 1>So there's a lot of volume in fixed income ETFs,

0:11:47.440 --> 0:11:50.120
<v Speaker 1>but there's also a lot of long term investors, and

0:11:50.400 --> 0:11:53.440
<v Speaker 1>the most popular areas aggregate bond ETFs, where they basically

0:11:53.840 --> 0:11:57.240
<v Speaker 1>take a bunch of bonds, different types of treasuries. We're

0:11:57.240 --> 0:12:00.040
<v Speaker 1>talking how many bonds are we talking here? Somehow have

0:12:00.080 --> 0:12:03.319
<v Speaker 1>as much as seventeen thousand bonds and they charge the

0:12:03.400 --> 0:12:06.080
<v Speaker 1>six or seven basis points. So in a way those

0:12:06.120 --> 0:12:08.600
<v Speaker 1>are even a better bang for the buck per bond

0:12:09.080 --> 0:12:11.760
<v Speaker 1>than the broad market equities. So you've got an equity

0:12:11.800 --> 0:12:15.880
<v Speaker 1>wrapper wrapped around seventeen thousand vegetables. I don't know what

0:12:16.040 --> 0:12:18.880
<v Speaker 1>that is, maybe something like a crate a V eight

0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:22.480
<v Speaker 1>juice from Costco or something. That's basically what an aggregate

0:12:22.520 --> 0:12:24.559
<v Speaker 1>bond is. Just to kind of like talk about this

0:12:24.720 --> 0:12:27.240
<v Speaker 1>time thing, the thing about an e t F is

0:12:27.320 --> 0:12:29.640
<v Speaker 1>is the bond gets close from maturing, the e t

0:12:29.800 --> 0:12:32.559
<v Speaker 1>F has a goal and it would kick out the

0:12:32.600 --> 0:12:34.520
<v Speaker 1>bond as it gets closer. It's almost like the way

0:12:34.600 --> 0:12:36.599
<v Speaker 1>Walmart would just get rid of the old vegetables and

0:12:36.640 --> 0:12:39.160
<v Speaker 1>put new ones on the stand. That is again back

0:12:39.200 --> 0:12:41.719
<v Speaker 1>to the regeneration process of an index, and index is

0:12:41.800 --> 0:12:45.040
<v Speaker 1>not fixed in time. It's always regenerating because it looks

0:12:45.080 --> 0:12:48.319
<v Speaker 1>through criteria. Do bonds check off all these boxes? Yes,

0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:50.160
<v Speaker 1>they do, they're in the index if they don't boom

0:12:50.160 --> 0:12:52.959
<v Speaker 1>there out, So that is something that we need to, like,

0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:55.559
<v Speaker 1>I think, make clear. So my cart only has the

0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:59.079
<v Speaker 1>good vegetables in it. Yes, okay, what other kind of

0:12:59.160 --> 0:13:02.280
<v Speaker 1>bond E t F are there? So big pop there

0:13:02.360 --> 0:13:07.400
<v Speaker 1>is treasuries. Um again, boring is dirt, but they're very popular.

0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:10.040
<v Speaker 1>Treasuries don't yield a lot right now, so they're you

0:13:10.080 --> 0:13:11.400
<v Speaker 1>know a lot of people come in and out of

0:13:11.440 --> 0:13:14.840
<v Speaker 1>them based on where where rates are going. But treasuries

0:13:14.880 --> 0:13:17.160
<v Speaker 1>are really good as a buffer. You know, they can

0:13:17.480 --> 0:13:20.760
<v Speaker 1>provide a hedge in a portfolio. Typically treasuries go up

0:13:20.800 --> 0:13:22.439
<v Speaker 1>when you know the s H I T hits the

0:13:22.520 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 1>fan and everybody's like running around like crazy. Treasuries are

0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:29.439
<v Speaker 1>usually what the flight to quality. So people have a

0:13:29.440 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 1>little treasury. Even though it slows you down a little

0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:34.280
<v Speaker 1>in the rough days, they can really come in handy

0:13:34.400 --> 0:13:37.240
<v Speaker 1>and limit the losses on the equity side of the portfolio.

0:13:37.559 --> 0:13:39.679
<v Speaker 1>What have e t f s done for them? Right?

0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:42.079
<v Speaker 1>So treasuries, there's all kinds. You can get a treasury

0:13:42.120 --> 0:13:44.360
<v Speaker 1>e t F where the bonds are all maturing within

0:13:44.559 --> 0:13:46.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, six months to a year. That's called ultra

0:13:46.800 --> 0:13:48.520
<v Speaker 1>short term, then their short term, which is you know

0:13:48.600 --> 0:13:51.120
<v Speaker 1>one year to three years about, then there's intermediate, and

0:13:51.160 --> 0:13:53.520
<v Speaker 1>then down the line there's all all the way ones

0:13:53.559 --> 0:13:55.959
<v Speaker 1>that mature in twenty years. So it just depends on

0:13:56.160 --> 0:13:58.400
<v Speaker 1>what your time frame is and what you want to have.

0:13:58.600 --> 0:14:00.880
<v Speaker 1>The further you go out, the more they typically yield.

0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:04.320
<v Speaker 1>But that also means that they're more sensitive interest rates.

0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:07.480
<v Speaker 1>There's always a cost benefit you need to decide. And

0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:09.520
<v Speaker 1>by the way, we're not advisors here, you know, this

0:14:09.600 --> 0:14:12.839
<v Speaker 1>is definitely not but I think ultimately in the bond space,

0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:15.600
<v Speaker 1>this is where I shares rules. Vanguard's pretty big too,

0:14:15.640 --> 0:14:17.480
<v Speaker 1>but I shares really they came out with the first

0:14:17.520 --> 0:14:19.920
<v Speaker 1>bond ETFs l q D, which is the corporate bond

0:14:19.960 --> 0:14:23.080
<v Speaker 1>ETF t L t H y G, which is high yeled.

0:14:23.680 --> 0:14:26.720
<v Speaker 1>They really, I think innovated on the bond section, and

0:14:27.160 --> 0:14:28.600
<v Speaker 1>when you come out first with an e t F,

0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:31.480
<v Speaker 1>you typically get almost all the assets, and it's hard

0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:34.040
<v Speaker 1>to unseat the first to market products. So when you

0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:37.440
<v Speaker 1>look at I shares, they dominate, and so most people

0:14:37.600 --> 0:14:40.240
<v Speaker 1>use I shares for fixed income, but Vanguards coming up

0:14:40.320 --> 0:14:43.640
<v Speaker 1>and Schwab in State Street, they definitely have their little niches,

0:14:44.000 --> 0:14:47.400
<v Speaker 1>but that's definitely the dominant brand. So the egg bonds

0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:51.160
<v Speaker 1>all that that's plain vanilla stuff, there's also some stuff

0:14:51.200 --> 0:14:53.520
<v Speaker 1>that's not so plaint vanilla. That's right, you know. E

0:14:53.640 --> 0:14:56.360
<v Speaker 1>t F s. Again, they've they've wrapped up everything, and

0:14:56.400 --> 0:14:58.120
<v Speaker 1>that means sometimes they wrapped them some things that are

0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:01.320
<v Speaker 1>a little um more danger than others. And one area

0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:03.440
<v Speaker 1>that I think, I don't know, I think it's a

0:15:03.480 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 1>little bit more of a bad rap than it deserves,

0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:07.480
<v Speaker 1>but it definitely you should tread with caution is high

0:15:07.520 --> 0:15:11.000
<v Speaker 1>yield debt otherwise known as junk bonds. These are wrapped

0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:12.880
<v Speaker 1>up in our e t fs, and some people are

0:15:12.920 --> 0:15:14.840
<v Speaker 1>concerned that the e t F trades like an equity,

0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:17.120
<v Speaker 1>but the bonds aren't his liquid, and that's called a

0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:20.080
<v Speaker 1>liquidity mismatch. You know, high yield bond e t f

0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:22.560
<v Speaker 1>s have been around for eleven years and have survived

0:15:22.600 --> 0:15:25.360
<v Speaker 1>many sort of market spasms and sell offs, and you know,

0:15:25.480 --> 0:15:28.360
<v Speaker 1>people keep using them. The road tested. But I just

0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:30.400
<v Speaker 1>think it's important to note you are holding junk bonds.

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 1>But keep in mind, this is the world we're living in.

0:15:33.160 --> 0:15:36.240
<v Speaker 1>The FED has suppressed rates and force people to look

0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:39.280
<v Speaker 1>for yield in some unusual places. I love the fact

0:15:39.720 --> 0:15:44.480
<v Speaker 1>that these things are called high yield by professionals and

0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:47.800
<v Speaker 1>junk bonds by everybody else. Junk bonds gets you more

0:15:47.840 --> 0:15:50.320
<v Speaker 1>reads if you're a reporter, so you know, if you

0:15:50.400 --> 0:15:52.400
<v Speaker 1>put that in your headline, you get like double the hits.

0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:55.200
<v Speaker 1>So you see junk bonds more. But really, professionals call

0:15:55.240 --> 0:15:57.840
<v Speaker 1>them high yield. High yield means the company is more

0:15:57.880 --> 0:16:00.440
<v Speaker 1>likely to default, but also means they yield more, so

0:16:01.040 --> 0:16:03.680
<v Speaker 1>you know you got that going for you. Yeah, So

0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:06.840
<v Speaker 1>again there's the risk reward thing in all this. But

0:16:07.080 --> 0:16:08.920
<v Speaker 1>h y G is the big high yield one from

0:16:08.920 --> 0:16:11.480
<v Speaker 1>my shares Spider has J and K it's the junk

0:16:12.040 --> 0:16:15.680
<v Speaker 1>and these yield about five So compared to a treasury

0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:18.280
<v Speaker 1>right now that which is like what two point two

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:21.440
<v Speaker 1>percent something like that, it's about double the yield. So

0:16:21.560 --> 0:16:24.120
<v Speaker 1>because rates have been low, especially from the FED and

0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:26.880
<v Speaker 1>the you know, the QI, over the years, it's pushed

0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:30.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of regular people into high yield e t F.

0:16:30.080 --> 0:16:33.560
<v Speaker 1>But keep in mind high yield mutual funds have way

0:16:33.640 --> 0:16:36.320
<v Speaker 1>more in assets than high yield ETFs, but it's important

0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:39.640
<v Speaker 1>to determine it. High yield ETFs, in particular, most of

0:16:39.680 --> 0:16:41.480
<v Speaker 1>the things we talked about today and every day are

0:16:41.520 --> 0:16:44.040
<v Speaker 1>going to be playing vanilla. I would not consider high

0:16:44.080 --> 0:16:48.440
<v Speaker 1>yield ETFs playing vanilla. So Eric, we checked out the

0:16:48.520 --> 0:16:52.320
<v Speaker 1>two most popular sections of your store. My toddlers crying

0:16:52.360 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 1>at me. I've got this squeaky wheel on this grocery cart.

0:16:55.960 --> 0:16:59.360
<v Speaker 1>Where else can I go? Well, there are smaller sections

0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:01.560
<v Speaker 1>in the store, for sure, but for some people those

0:17:01.560 --> 0:17:04.040
<v Speaker 1>are important. International, I think is when we missed. I

0:17:04.119 --> 0:17:06.000
<v Speaker 1>guess that would be in the equity section, but sort

0:17:06.000 --> 0:17:08.520
<v Speaker 1>of like connected, It wouldn't be really part of it

0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:11.400
<v Speaker 1>because international some people invested in naturally, some people don't,

0:17:11.480 --> 0:17:14.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, but international could mean like a NETF to

0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:18.640
<v Speaker 1>invest in developed markets were emerging or single countries. That's

0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:20.959
<v Speaker 1>a pretty big area. We're talking upwards of maybe four

0:17:21.800 --> 0:17:25.440
<v Speaker 1>dollars as well. Um, that's a chunk right there. And

0:17:25.560 --> 0:17:28.200
<v Speaker 1>then you could look at something like commodities that really

0:17:28.320 --> 0:17:31.080
<v Speaker 1>is at its asset class unto its own and in

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:33.480
<v Speaker 1>there you've got stuff like gold is very popular, there's

0:17:33.480 --> 0:17:37.840
<v Speaker 1>even silver, platinum, palladium. Then you've got like oil, there's

0:17:37.840 --> 0:17:41.720
<v Speaker 1>even a corny TF But you say those things, A

0:17:41.840 --> 0:17:45.280
<v Speaker 1>lot of that stuff it makes me really scared because

0:17:45.960 --> 0:17:49.480
<v Speaker 1>what business do I have buying oil? You probably don't

0:17:49.520 --> 0:17:51.560
<v Speaker 1>have any. So what you're bringing up, I think is

0:17:51.640 --> 0:17:53.520
<v Speaker 1>something I talk about a lot, which is the difference

0:17:53.560 --> 0:17:58.760
<v Speaker 1>between investment vehicles and trading tools and t F assets

0:17:58.800 --> 0:18:02.399
<v Speaker 1>are investment vehicles, again plain vanilla stuff that normal people use,

0:18:02.680 --> 0:18:05.000
<v Speaker 1>but ten percents in trading tools. I would put oil

0:18:05.200 --> 0:18:07.560
<v Speaker 1>in the trading tool category, but I put gold g

0:18:07.760 --> 0:18:11.000
<v Speaker 1>l D in the investment vehicles category. So when you're

0:18:11.040 --> 0:18:14.240
<v Speaker 1>in the commodities aisle, you really that's an extra care aisle.

0:18:14.880 --> 0:18:16.919
<v Speaker 1>In fact, in my book, I had two sections. One

0:18:17.080 --> 0:18:19.720
<v Speaker 1>was physically backed commodities, which is like gold and silver

0:18:19.960 --> 0:18:23.200
<v Speaker 1>more safe, and then futures based or derivatives. So in

0:18:23.240 --> 0:18:26.280
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg we have a field called derivatives based or not,

0:18:27.119 --> 0:18:29.600
<v Speaker 1>and that's where I would separate them so fewer. In

0:18:29.680 --> 0:18:32.600
<v Speaker 1>my store, one of the aisles would be futures commodities

0:18:33.000 --> 0:18:35.560
<v Speaker 1>and one would be physically back commodities, and the one

0:18:35.640 --> 0:18:37.800
<v Speaker 1>that was future commodities would have like a dark curtain. Yeah,

0:18:37.840 --> 0:18:41.240
<v Speaker 1>I was gonna say, there's a guy standing the gatekeeper

0:18:41.440 --> 0:18:43.760
<v Speaker 1>allowing you entrance into that section. It's sort of like

0:18:43.840 --> 0:18:47.119
<v Speaker 1>the video store, which is a knock on ets. You

0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:49.600
<v Speaker 1>can trade these things as much as you want any

0:18:49.680 --> 0:18:53.880
<v Speaker 1>of it. And as an investor, and especially if I'm

0:18:53.920 --> 0:18:56.440
<v Speaker 1>not a professional investor, really all I should be doing

0:18:56.560 --> 0:19:00.159
<v Speaker 1>is buying and holding good products. Yeah, if you can

0:19:00.359 --> 0:19:02.320
<v Speaker 1>do that and withstand the temptation to trade a lot,

0:19:02.440 --> 0:19:05.639
<v Speaker 1>you'll do great. And that it's hard though, and this

0:19:05.840 --> 0:19:09.199
<v Speaker 1>is one of the criticism, especially from Vanguard's founder John Bogel.

0:19:10.040 --> 0:19:12.280
<v Speaker 1>He thinks e t f s trade a lot, and

0:19:12.359 --> 0:19:14.719
<v Speaker 1>therefore people are doing the wrong thing, which is trading,

0:19:14.800 --> 0:19:17.920
<v Speaker 1>and he's not wrong. He's not wrong. But there's also

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:19.680
<v Speaker 1>a lot of buying and holding going on in e

0:19:19.760 --> 0:19:22.440
<v Speaker 1>t f s. So again, if you can withstand the

0:19:22.480 --> 0:19:25.399
<v Speaker 1>temptation to trade, and you can buy and hold. You

0:19:25.480 --> 0:19:28.320
<v Speaker 1>can benefit from the low cost, the lack of capital

0:19:28.359 --> 0:19:31.000
<v Speaker 1>gains which is good, and the diversification, so you get

0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:33.359
<v Speaker 1>all the benefits if you can just sort of, you know,

0:19:33.520 --> 0:19:38.480
<v Speaker 1>hold back from trading a lot. So Eric, it's time

0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:41.880
<v Speaker 1>for me to escape from your E. T. F fun

0:19:42.000 --> 0:19:47.960
<v Speaker 1>house and headed towards the door. As I'm heading to

0:19:48.080 --> 0:19:53.040
<v Speaker 1>the door, you're picturing me in a clown outfit, absolutely

0:19:53.119 --> 0:19:59.360
<v Speaker 1>picturing Thanks for coming. Did you enjoy your time? Anyways,

0:19:59.400 --> 0:20:02.639
<v Speaker 1>you're you're leaving. My my, why did I come here

0:20:02.680 --> 0:20:06.400
<v Speaker 1>in the first place? Because this is again we're gonna

0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:09.480
<v Speaker 1>basically go way down right here, we're gonna break it

0:20:09.520 --> 0:20:13.160
<v Speaker 1>all down, break it down. Ultimately, investing is about participating

0:20:13.280 --> 0:20:17.400
<v Speaker 1>and benefiting from capitalism. Right, if you hold all these stocks,

0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:20.680
<v Speaker 1>all these bonds, really what you're doing is you're just

0:20:20.840 --> 0:20:23.479
<v Speaker 1>benefiting from the value created every day by people who

0:20:23.520 --> 0:20:26.440
<v Speaker 1>go to work at these companies, make products, sell the products,

0:20:26.880 --> 0:20:28.800
<v Speaker 1>and a lot of that value has passed on through

0:20:29.000 --> 0:20:31.920
<v Speaker 1>dividends and the price of the stock going up. So

0:20:32.520 --> 0:20:34.760
<v Speaker 1>if you do that, you know, on average, the SMP

0:20:34.880 --> 0:20:37.680
<v Speaker 1>goes about eight percent a year on average, it's gone

0:20:37.760 --> 0:20:40.080
<v Speaker 1>up a little more than that lately. But that is

0:20:40.160 --> 0:20:43.120
<v Speaker 1>what you're doing it. The value created by all these

0:20:43.200 --> 0:20:45.720
<v Speaker 1>companies doing these things is what you're essentially doing. And

0:20:45.760 --> 0:20:47.520
<v Speaker 1>why are you doing that? Because if you held the

0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:51.080
<v Speaker 1>money under your mattress a, you wouldn't make any money

0:20:51.119 --> 0:20:53.439
<v Speaker 1>and be you would lose money because inflation would make

0:20:53.440 --> 0:20:56.520
<v Speaker 1>that money worth less. Yeah, so this is so you

0:20:56.600 --> 0:20:59.560
<v Speaker 1>can retire, get your Winnebago or in your case, and

0:20:59.680 --> 0:21:03.240
<v Speaker 1>jets right and go and play all the bingo you want.

0:21:03.960 --> 0:21:08.520
<v Speaker 1>I will take my jet ski to Florida and hit

0:21:08.640 --> 0:21:11.080
<v Speaker 1>the jackpot. I'm just you know, I can't help the

0:21:11.119 --> 0:21:13.080
<v Speaker 1>picture you with with a nice mullet. I love that

0:21:13.200 --> 0:21:14.720
<v Speaker 1>you think I'm going to be on a jet ski.

0:21:14.800 --> 0:21:16.919
<v Speaker 1>That's just like two. I think of you as being

0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:19.959
<v Speaker 1>in a Winnebago. I wouldn't mind that. I actually think

0:21:20.000 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 1>that seems like a good lifestyle writing the next great

0:21:21.760 --> 0:21:27.880
<v Speaker 1>American novel, you know, just going to general stores. General stores. Yeah,

0:21:27.960 --> 0:21:30.520
<v Speaker 1>I like general stores. You can't get away from the competition. Dan,

0:21:31.760 --> 0:21:33.680
<v Speaker 1>It's like check out what they got in their store.

0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:36.399
<v Speaker 1>Loo kind of etf she got over here over yonder.

0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:44.359
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening. To Trillions until next time. You can

0:21:44.400 --> 0:21:48.080
<v Speaker 1>find us on the Bloomberg Terminal, Bloomberg dot com, Apple Podcasts,

0:21:48.760 --> 0:21:50.840
<v Speaker 1>and probably a bunch of other places I haven't heard

0:21:50.840 --> 0:21:52.760
<v Speaker 1>about yet. We'd love to hear from you on Twitter.

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:58.280
<v Speaker 1>He's at Eric Baltunus, I'm at Joe Webber Show. Trillions

0:21:58.359 --> 0:22:01.879
<v Speaker 1>is produced by Jordan Bell with help from Magnus Henrickson.

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:07.440
<v Speaker 1>Francesca Levie is the head of Bloomberg Podcasts. By m

0:22:07.680 --> 0:22:10.480
<v Speaker 1>H m H