WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2023 NFL Week 3 Guessing Lines Show 0:00:03.520 --> 0:00:09.000 Check it down, man. The numbers told the story, then 0:00:09.160 --> 0:00:12.399 he's down. Swando's idiots will believe in analytics. This is 0:00:12.440 --> 0:00:17.600 a numbers game with Gil Alexander gone Good Monday morning too. 0:00:17.640 --> 0:00:20.040 It is a numbers game and Visa the sports betting thatwork, 0:00:20.079 --> 0:00:22.960 Visa dot Com, the Visa app game, plus iHeartRadio, YouTube TV, 0:00:23.040 --> 0:00:26.560 and of course DK Network, all from the d Mark, 0:00:26.600 --> 0:00:30.560 Canada at the d specifically here Downtown Kill Alexander, Kelly Bidlin, 0:00:31.360 --> 0:00:36.879 Good Monday morning, after a chalk full of football Sunday 0:00:36.920 --> 0:00:38.880 and Saturday for that matter. But we're here to guess 0:00:38.880 --> 0:00:41.960 some lines on a Sunday Kelly Bidlin alongside, of course, 0:00:42.320 --> 0:00:44.080 good morning to you, sir, how are you? Good morning, 0:00:44.080 --> 0:00:47.440 Good morning. Giant Survivor, never in doubt is that how 0:00:47.520 --> 0:00:50.040 you had? You just had the Giants. That's it, Giants Survivor. 0:00:50.640 --> 0:00:53.640 I gave another one back on the Broncos. Broncos have 0:00:53.680 --> 0:00:56.800 gotten me two weeks in a row. Oh those bastards, 0:00:57.200 --> 0:00:59.880 Oh Survivor, Circus Survivor that is, we might as well 0:00:59.880 --> 0:01:03.160 start there. Another thirteen hundred and thirty nine go out, 0:01:03.520 --> 0:01:06.600 So over two weeks now three three hundred and twenty 0:01:06.640 --> 0:01:09.200 four out of two hundred sixty seven. That's thirty five 0:01:09.680 --> 0:01:13.800 point eight seven percent of survivor entries Gonzo in two weeks. 0:01:14.280 --> 0:01:18.000 About right. Sounds about right. Not a carnage best year. 0:01:19.120 --> 0:01:21.200 We did fifty six percent the first week last year. 0:01:21.280 --> 0:01:24.319 Last year fifty six percent were yes, we were hired 0:01:24.400 --> 0:01:27.520 last year. We'll have a carnage week coming up. The 0:01:27.560 --> 0:01:31.040 biggest culprit was the Broncos. Ultimately would have been the Giants. 0:01:31.040 --> 0:01:34.600 We'll get to every single game from yesterday. Uh and 0:01:34.680 --> 0:01:36.319 we will guess here. For those of you who are 0:01:36.400 --> 0:01:38.000 new to this what we do, and we've done this 0:01:38.040 --> 0:01:40.560 for over a decade, I'm in a cocoon. I don't 0:01:40.560 --> 0:01:43.120 actually know the lines for Week number two. I guess 0:01:43.200 --> 0:01:45.679 what they will be. Typically, over the years, it's been 0:01:45.760 --> 0:01:48.640 our buddy on my Misch Bocha, Christy Andrews telling us 0:01:48.680 --> 0:01:51.400 what he will put up. After the show, Kelly will 0:01:51.400 --> 0:01:53.720 inform us what the consensus line actually is, and hopefully 0:01:53.760 --> 0:01:58.640 in this exercise we extract value. Really not about my guess. 0:01:58.680 --> 0:02:01.080 You can play along its interact, so it's a first 0:02:01.160 --> 0:02:04.920 sort of salvo into trying to get winning bets for 0:02:05.040 --> 0:02:07.400 the upcoming week. Before we get into it before we 0:02:07.400 --> 0:02:10.160 get into game by game here, Kelly, two and O 0:02:10.320 --> 0:02:15.600 teams San Francisco, Atlanta, Miami, Washington, Baltimore, Dallas, Philly, and 0:02:15.720 --> 0:02:19.919 Tampa I guess Atlanta, Washington, and Tampa Bay not the 0:02:19.919 --> 0:02:22.200 three you'd expect of that group of eight. We could 0:02:22.240 --> 0:02:24.360 add some two and oh's and O and twos tonight, 0:02:24.400 --> 0:02:28.000 of course. And the O and twos so far Denver, 0:02:28.200 --> 0:02:33.760 the Chargers, the Vikings, the Patriots, the Texans, the Bears, 0:02:33.840 --> 0:02:40.560 the Cardinals and the Bengals. Bengals, Chargers, Vikings, and I 0:02:40.560 --> 0:02:42.760 guess for some of the Patriots and the Broncos amongst 0:02:42.760 --> 0:02:45.560 the O and two will revisit that and ask which 0:02:45.600 --> 0:02:48.040 we think is the uh the teams in the most 0:02:48.120 --> 0:02:50.359 desperate state of those O and twos coming up? Shall 0:02:50.360 --> 0:02:52.800 we begin with Thursday night? Thursday Night football? You're going 0:02:52.840 --> 0:02:57.399 to do this, let's do it week three? We guess. 0:02:59.520 --> 0:03:04.240 Maybe Thursday start with those j Ben back at it 0:03:04.720 --> 0:03:07.480 two days later. Giants at forty nine Ers eight fifteen 0:03:07.560 --> 0:03:08.520 Eastern Thursday Night. 0:03:08.560 --> 0:03:11.519 Oh, that's not very fun. That game is not good, obviously, 0:03:11.560 --> 0:03:14.800 with Saquon Barkley being hurt on the closing sequence for 0:03:14.800 --> 0:03:16.960 the Giants, which turned out to be the winning closing sequence. 0:03:17.480 --> 0:03:19.880 This could be an ugly line Giants, in case you 0:03:19.919 --> 0:03:22.560 missed it yesterday, And for those who had them in Survivor, 0:03:23.120 --> 0:03:27.919 only only the UH the more selected team, the onliest 0:03:27.880 --> 0:03:30.520 team more selected than them with the Buffalo Bills. So 0:03:30.680 --> 0:03:32.799 a lot of people eleven point six percent of the 0:03:32.840 --> 0:03:35.040 remaining pool would have gone out and circuit and Survivor. 0:03:35.240 --> 0:03:37.920 But the Giants, they start out just where they left 0:03:37.960 --> 0:03:42.680 off the previous week, where they just were just absolutely 0:03:42.680 --> 0:03:45.920 horrible against Dallas, lost forty to nothing. Prater missed a 0:03:45.920 --> 0:03:48.280 fifty five yard goal. Fifty five yard field goal to 0:03:48.280 --> 0:03:50.560 start things for Arizona, but then a three and own 0:03:50.600 --> 0:03:53.040 for the Giants, followed by an eighty six yard touchdown 0:03:53.120 --> 0:03:55.680 drive for the Cardinals. It was seven to nothing, a 0:03:55.720 --> 0:03:58.240 Giants punt, an eighty yard drive for the Cardinals. It's 0:03:58.280 --> 0:04:01.560 fourteen to nothing on a Dot twenty three yard touchdown run. 0:04:01.680 --> 0:04:03.640 We're still talking the beginning of the second quarter. Here 0:04:03.680 --> 0:04:06.320 another three and own, Parader kicks a field goal. Seventy 0:04:06.400 --> 0:04:10.080 to nothing. Arizona Giants actually got three first downs after that, 0:04:10.160 --> 0:04:13.200 but then Jones, picked by Jalen Thompson, off a deflection 0:04:13.600 --> 0:04:16.200 that led to another Parader field goal, twenty to nothing 0:04:16.240 --> 0:04:19.279 at the half. Twenty to nothing at the half. That 0:04:19.440 --> 0:04:22.360 meant that in the first six quarters of the NFL season, 0:04:22.560 --> 0:04:25.480 the New York Football Giants were trailing sixty to nothing. 0:04:25.920 --> 0:04:30.120 Sixty to nothing, incredible. Arizona had fifteen first downs. The 0:04:30.160 --> 0:04:32.280 Giants had won in the first half, sixty to nothing 0:04:32.320 --> 0:04:36.000 after three halves of football. I wasn't None of us 0:04:36.040 --> 0:04:37.719 were thinking are they the worst team in the NFL. 0:04:37.839 --> 0:04:39.760 We're thinking are they the worst team that's ever played 0:04:39.760 --> 0:04:44.279 an NFL game? Yep, And immediately I went to the 0:04:44.279 --> 0:04:48.320 whole thing about oh my alternate season win total underlooks quaint. 0:04:48.400 --> 0:04:51.039 Now I missed a massive opportunity, by the way, I 0:04:51.040 --> 0:04:54.720 still might have anyway. Second half it all changed. First 0:04:54.760 --> 0:04:57.360 play from scribbage third quarter Jones Jalen highlight for fifty eight. 0:04:57.360 --> 0:04:59.640 Two plays later, Jones for fourteen out, twenty to seven. 0:05:00.000 --> 0:05:02.720 Words did come back though, seventy five yard touchdown drive 0:05:02.880 --> 0:05:05.320 Dobs to mar Marquise Brown from three out. They got 0:05:05.320 --> 0:05:08.640 a two point conversion. It was twenty eight to seven Arizona, 0:05:08.720 --> 0:05:11.400 nine thirty four left in the third quarter, and then 0:05:11.720 --> 0:05:14.760 here came the Giants seventy five yards sake one in 0:05:14.800 --> 0:05:18.359 from one twenty eight to fourteen Cardinals eventually punt. Giants 0:05:18.360 --> 0:05:20.919 go down Fiel fourth and what the Arizona six? Still 0:05:20.960 --> 0:05:24.400 early third quarter Jones Toukas bushes. The other teams do it, Kelly, 0:05:24.520 --> 0:05:26.960 other teams do the tokres Bush converts. Three plays later 0:05:26.960 --> 0:05:29.280 after fall start, Jones to Barkley from nine out eylon 0:05:29.600 --> 0:05:32.880 twenty eight to twenty. Now note this, Brian dabol put 0:05:32.960 --> 0:05:35.720 him in the column of coaches that went down fourteen, 0:05:35.880 --> 0:05:38.600 get to eight, go for two to try to get 0:05:38.640 --> 0:05:40.919 the six, but the Giants false start as they had 0:05:40.960 --> 0:05:42.839 to kick him. I was so confused. Ben and I 0:05:42.880 --> 0:05:44.599 were on the air during that. I was like, I 0:05:44.640 --> 0:05:46.320 was like, Ben, he's doing the right thing going out 0:05:46.320 --> 0:05:47.960 there to go for two. And then I looked over, 0:05:48.000 --> 0:05:49.320 I'm like, wait a second, ho was at a seven 0:05:49.320 --> 0:05:51.479 point game? What I miss? Yeah? Twenty eight twenty one, 0:05:51.640 --> 0:05:54.160 Arizona three and out. Giants go downfield, culminating at a 0:05:54.240 --> 0:05:56.719 Jones to Isaiah Hodges' eleven yard score twenty eight, twenty 0:05:56.760 --> 0:05:58.880 eight four to twenty five left. Did you believe at 0:05:58.880 --> 0:06:01.400 this point that your survivor gonna get through No, still 0:06:01.400 --> 0:06:04.000 didn't no, not at all. Cardinals three and out again. 0:06:04.400 --> 0:06:06.360 Giants start out on twenty eight, two thirty one left 0:06:06.440 --> 0:06:10.400 high game gano from thirty four good, good, twenty four 0:06:10.480 --> 0:06:13.679 unanswered points, first lead of the season with nineteen seconds left, 0:06:13.880 --> 0:06:16.400 thirty one to twenty eight. It holds. Giants win their 0:06:16.400 --> 0:06:20.480 first twenty one plus point comeback since the nineteen forties matches, 0:06:20.520 --> 0:06:23.520 the biggest comeback in Giants' history, lost the previous one 0:06:23.600 --> 0:06:26.080 hundred and fifty games in franchise history, went down twenty 0:06:26.120 --> 0:06:29.240 one and then they're they're at the Niners. You say, oh, boy, 0:06:29.400 --> 0:06:30.880 by the way, let me just say this. We'll get 0:06:30.880 --> 0:06:32.480 to the Cardinals. There they could be two and oh 0:06:32.760 --> 0:06:35.920 they really could. Yeah, it's totally be two out And 0:06:35.960 --> 0:06:36.839 now look at their schedule. 0:06:37.040 --> 0:06:40.120 And the Giants made Josh Dobbs, at least in the 0:06:40.160 --> 0:06:44.240 first half, look like the All Star quarterback and he's 0:06:44.240 --> 0:06:46.159 been on the team for one a month like something 0:06:46.200 --> 0:06:46.400 like that. 0:06:46.600 --> 0:06:51.000 Barely barely Niners beat the Rams. They do so in 0:06:51.279 --> 0:06:53.920 how can I put this? Not as convincing of fashion 0:06:53.920 --> 0:06:56.440 as some might have thought. But they do ultimately get 0:06:56.440 --> 0:06:58.640 the win, but not the cover because all of these 0:06:58.640 --> 0:07:03.040 games are plinko. You know. Led this game ten to 0:07:03.120 --> 0:07:05.599 three thirteen thirty two left in the second quarter. The 0:07:05.680 --> 0:07:08.600 Rams then went sixty yards Stafford du Kyraen Williams from 0:07:08.600 --> 0:07:11.320 six out. It was tied to ten early second quarter, 0:07:11.560 --> 0:07:13.520 then a San Francisco plot, the Rams went eighty eight 0:07:13.560 --> 0:07:16.160 yards Kyen Williams in from four. The Rams led this 0:07:16.280 --> 0:07:19.600 game seventeen to ten. With one forty five left in 0:07:19.640 --> 0:07:22.200 the first half of the Niners came right downfield. They 0:07:22.200 --> 0:07:23.640 had a second in goal at the one after a 0:07:23.640 --> 0:07:25.720 PI in the end zone set them up there one 0:07:25.800 --> 0:07:29.360 second left, they eschew the field goal Kelly. They eschew 0:07:29.400 --> 0:07:33.520 it Perty in from one gutsy seventeen seventeen into the half. 0:07:33.800 --> 0:07:37.520 They eventually took a twenty seventeen lead and then got 0:07:37.560 --> 0:07:40.440 it to twenty seven to seventeen on a party to 0:07:40.480 --> 0:07:42.960 dbo eleven yard touchdown pass that was after perty went 0:07:42.960 --> 0:07:45.160 to Juwan Jennings for thirty one. Rams got a field 0:07:45.160 --> 0:07:46.600 goal cut it to twenty seven to twenty seven to 0:07:46.640 --> 0:07:49.520 thirteen left, Niners were forced to pont so The Rams 0:07:49.520 --> 0:07:51.720 had the ball with the chance to tie this, but 0:07:51.960 --> 0:07:54.320 Stafford third and five at their own twenty five, picked 0:07:54.320 --> 0:07:57.760 by diamidor Lenowar. Love that name, you name your child 0:07:57.800 --> 0:08:00.720 the Yamador, Oh yeah, diameteror bidlip. Niners set up the 0:08:00.800 --> 0:08:03.920 Rams at the fifteen yard line four forty eight left 0:08:04.160 --> 0:08:06.280 up seven. They settled for a moody twenty six yard 0:08:06.320 --> 0:08:08.840 field goal thirty to twenty San Francisco to fifty nine left. 0:08:08.880 --> 0:08:11.280 You know what that means, back door open Rams fourth 0:08:11.280 --> 0:08:13.200 and one, two twenty eight left at their own thirty nine. 0:08:13.280 --> 0:08:15.000 Williams was tripped up for a one yard loss. For 0:08:15.000 --> 0:08:17.760 all intensive purposes, the ball game was over, but a 0:08:17.920 --> 0:08:20.280 thirty eight yard Rams field goal to cut the deficit 0:08:20.360 --> 0:08:24.200 to seven at the buzzer determines yet another Plinko cover. 0:08:24.560 --> 0:08:27.320 Niners win it thirty to twenty three. Rams Ats get 0:08:27.320 --> 0:08:29.480 the money. And by the way, the reason that that's 0:08:29.480 --> 0:08:32.360 so frustrating for all Niners betters is what was Sean 0:08:32.440 --> 0:08:35.560 mcvayh doing on that last drive. Man, Either kick it 0:08:35.600 --> 0:08:37.520 early and try to get an outside kick so you 0:08:37.600 --> 0:08:41.000 leave time, or just there's only a few seconds left 0:08:41.080 --> 0:08:42.959 at that point, just go for it. What are you 0:08:43.040 --> 0:08:43.719 kicking the field goal? 0:08:44.080 --> 0:08:46.079 So, like dude Ben and I were discussing this a 0:08:46.120 --> 0:08:48.520 little bit on air. I was so confused in the 0:08:48.520 --> 0:08:50.520 moment because we're trying to figure out, okay, they you 0:08:50.559 --> 0:08:52.880 got to kick set up the on side kick, and 0:08:52.960 --> 0:08:54.599 you know by the time they go line up for that, 0:08:54.600 --> 0:08:57.360 I'm like, this game's over as soon as they kick this, 0:08:57.720 --> 0:09:00.640 like the clock is gonna run. This doesn't make any sense. 0:09:00.920 --> 0:09:02.880 And then of course our brains start to go to like, 0:09:03.400 --> 0:09:05.400 what do the coaches know what the spread is? Do 0:09:05.520 --> 0:09:08.480 you take some kind of moral victory by covering against 0:09:08.480 --> 0:09:09.079 the Niners? 0:09:09.120 --> 0:09:10.600 If there's seven and alves out there? 0:09:10.720 --> 0:09:12.600 Right said the thousands of times on this show. We 0:09:12.679 --> 0:09:14.640 bet on this stuff, We bet on this stuff, And 0:09:14.640 --> 0:09:16.920 in yeah, I don't like, so what do you do? 0:09:16.960 --> 0:09:19.280 You treat that as you're padding stats, as like a 0:09:19.320 --> 0:09:21.079 head coach, But why are you padding stats with a 0:09:21.160 --> 0:09:24.080 kicker and not letting Stafford chuck it down field? It 0:09:24.240 --> 0:09:27.760 was very bizarre to me, Gil, very bizarre. Brent. I 0:09:27.840 --> 0:09:30.520 was honored to be on Brent Musburger Show yesterday right 0:09:30.520 --> 0:09:32.920 before football. Brent asked me who I think the best 0:09:32.920 --> 0:09:34.240 team in the NFL was, if I just had to 0:09:34.280 --> 0:09:36.480 get I said the Niners. But he said, which, you're 0:09:36.480 --> 0:09:38.000 not laying the points. I was like, no, because there's 0:09:38.000 --> 0:09:39.920 a spider sense here on this game where I think 0:09:39.960 --> 0:09:42.920 the Rams could keep it close. Rams might have might be, 0:09:42.960 --> 0:09:45.920 as we look back now, the most underrated team of 0:09:45.920 --> 0:09:46.960 the entire offseason. 0:09:47.040 --> 0:09:48.200 Yeah, yeah, I think you're right. 0:09:48.200 --> 0:09:49.920 I mean I think there's I think there's big time 0:09:49.960 --> 0:09:52.319 similarities with them in the Buccaneers right where you're talking 0:09:52.320 --> 0:09:54.680 about two teams that are Super Bowl champions that have 0:09:54.720 --> 0:09:57.160 had pieces stripped away and they're not quite at that level, 0:09:57.160 --> 0:10:01.400 but we we've over exact and I think they're they're 0:10:01.559 --> 0:10:04.480 full of where the teams are fully at. 0:10:04.559 --> 0:10:05.840 Yeah, I think there's Rams team. 0:10:06.160 --> 0:10:09.719 I mean, look, Stafford's back to doing Detroit like Stafford things, right, 0:10:09.760 --> 0:10:12.600 He's chucking the ball around a ton, He's got these 0:10:12.640 --> 0:10:14.320 young wide receivers that are playing great. 0:10:14.360 --> 0:10:17.319 I know, good bet by you and last week, right, 0:10:18.200 --> 0:10:19.920 we can't. We'll get to that a little later. But 0:10:19.960 --> 0:10:22.240 this is this is the Giants at the Niners here. 0:10:22.679 --> 0:10:25.280 I mean with the Saquon question, I got the Niners 0:10:25.320 --> 0:10:28.440 by fourteen? Am I too high? Yeah you're a little 0:10:28.440 --> 0:10:31.120 too high. Ten and a half, ten and a half, 0:10:31.320 --> 0:10:35.160 forty nine ers, that's it. Yeah, Yeah, ten and a half. 0:10:35.559 --> 0:10:37.320 You ain't gonna get rich laying ten and a half 0:10:37.360 --> 0:10:40.079 in the NFL. This tick it off ten, This was 0:10:40.160 --> 0:10:43.760 ten this morning. Ten and a half. Now, Uh, that 0:10:43.840 --> 0:10:45.920 seems low to me. But again, do I want to 0:10:46.000 --> 0:10:47.520 lay the ten and a half? I'm not so sure 0:10:47.640 --> 0:10:49.880 you you agree. The Niners are probably the best through 0:10:49.920 --> 0:10:52.560 two weeks anyway, at least two weeks minus two games tonight, 0:10:52.920 --> 0:10:56.319 which we'll touch on. Best team in the league, probably 0:10:56.400 --> 0:10:59.960 top to bottom. I think the Dallas Cowboys got so 0:11:00.160 --> 0:11:01.640 to say about it. They do, yeah, they do, And 0:11:01.720 --> 0:11:02.000 I don't know. 0:11:02.000 --> 0:11:03.800 I think it's really I think it's still really tough 0:11:03.800 --> 0:11:06.199 for those three NFC teams. Yeah, I think you all 0:11:06.240 --> 0:11:08.000 three of them, you want to put any of them 0:11:08.000 --> 0:11:09.240 in any order right now? 0:11:09.320 --> 0:11:10.840 They all three of those look like the best teams 0:11:10.840 --> 0:11:11.560 in the NFL too. 0:11:11.600 --> 0:11:14.400 Me. Yeah, Cowboys might have played two bottom feeders sorry Jets, 0:11:14.400 --> 0:11:16.240 sorry Giants at this point, but yeah, not not that 0:11:16.280 --> 0:11:19.360 the Niners have played a murderers row either, But certainly, Uh, 0:11:19.440 --> 0:11:21.880 when we do the power rankings, those teams are both 0:11:22.440 --> 0:11:25.959 at the top, if not one and two, I'm high 0:11:26.040 --> 0:11:28.120 on that one. That doesn't mean I want to rush 0:11:28.160 --> 0:11:29.640 to the counter to bet the Niners. We'll see if 0:11:29.640 --> 0:11:31.760 there's more value in some of these other games. We'll 0:11:31.760 --> 0:11:34.040 do them two by two. Coming up Week three in 0:11:34.040 --> 0:11:38.559 the National Football League Guessing lines, trying to extract value. 0:11:38.960 --> 0:11:41.040 Did you have that at ten and a half yourself? 0:11:41.240 --> 0:11:42.520 Did you have it lower? Did you have it as 0:11:42.559 --> 0:11:46.640 high as I did? Fourteen seems more appropriate to me? 0:11:46.920 --> 0:11:48.920 Would Chrissy have said I like your number better on 0:11:48.920 --> 0:11:51.280 that one? That was one? Probably I'm gonna say he would. 0:11:51.559 --> 0:11:53.959 Coming back Week three, Guessing Lines, Numbers Game Visa these 0:11:53.960 --> 0:12:03.200 Sports Betting Network Numbers game on the Sports Betting Network, 0:12:03.240 --> 0:12:05.240 but the Vison experts to work for you this football season. 0:12:05.240 --> 0:12:08.000 To start betting smarter with a Vison Pro subscription, sign 0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:10.120 up now and save ten percent off of Vson Pro 0:12:10.160 --> 0:12:13.120 annual subscription when you use promo code a n G 0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:16.079 that's a Numbers game. A n G get full access 0:12:16.080 --> 0:12:17.800 to everything we do, including our daily best bets, with 0:12:17.800 --> 0:12:20.240 a leaderboard to see which Visa expert has the hot hand, 0:12:20.360 --> 0:12:21.920 betting splits to show you where the money and bets 0:12:21.960 --> 0:12:24.640 are moving for every game, plus betting systems, premium analysis 0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:27.000 and twenty four to seven video access. Remember to use 0:12:27.040 --> 0:12:30.400 promo code a n G to save ten percent off 0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:34.199 of Vson Pro subscription. That's a Vson Pro annual subscription today. 0:12:34.400 --> 0:12:37.160 Sign up today at vison dot com slash subscribe. Gil 0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:40.000 Alexander Kelly Bidlin live from bar Canada at the d 0:12:40.080 --> 0:12:42.600 guessing lines for week number three in the National Football League. 0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:49.000 I went two and three ultimately in millions. You three 0:12:49.000 --> 0:12:50.720 and two, dude. You're having a great year so far. 0:12:50.920 --> 0:12:53.160 Seven o seven to three seven. It's a good start. 0:12:53.320 --> 0:12:55.720 It's a good start. Yeah. Like Matt said on Friday, 0:12:55.760 --> 0:12:58.400 it's the like you know, you're like, you're out of 0:12:58.440 --> 0:13:01.520 it already, right, See a quarter that's out of it. 0:13:02.080 --> 0:13:03.720 Let's see the next And then you're like, what do 0:13:03.800 --> 0:13:05.800 I I just got to go like eighty five percent 0:13:05.840 --> 0:13:07.200 for the rest of the year, you know, maybe that 0:13:07.240 --> 0:13:08.360 I'm in the running for somebody. 0:13:08.440 --> 0:13:11.720 Yeah, no problem, no problem, all right? What's first? On 0:13:11.760 --> 0:13:15.720 Sunday morning? Sunday one o'clock Eastern Titans at Browns. Titans 0:13:15.720 --> 0:13:18.480 at Browns. Okay, Brown's played tonight there at Pittsburgh. So 0:13:18.600 --> 0:13:20.439 sight unseen on the Browns, who are one and no 0:13:20.559 --> 0:13:22.760 heading into this one tennessee yesterday. Oh we're gonna talk 0:13:22.760 --> 0:13:24.880 more about the Chargers than we are the Titans. There. Ultimately, 0:13:25.640 --> 0:13:29.559 Titans beat the Chargers. They beat them in overtime. Good God. 0:13:30.520 --> 0:13:32.760 Let's pick it up. Fourth and fourth at Tennessee eight. 0:13:33.679 --> 0:13:37.160 It is three to nothing Chargers. We're in the second quarter. 0:13:37.520 --> 0:13:42.000 Trey Pipkins the third tackle eligible touchdown, Chargers eleven and nothing. 0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:45.240 That was on the two point conversion after Darius Davis 0:13:46.080 --> 0:13:50.600 touchdown or Darius Davis play set up a touchdown. It 0:13:50.760 --> 0:13:53.640 was eleven to nothing Chargers at that point. First play 0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:57.200 in suing drive Tannehill to Treylon Burgs for seventy What's 0:13:57.240 --> 0:13:59.720 what the Chargers defense that immediately when they had the Okay, 0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:01.920 it's a eleven and nothing. We actually have a good 0:14:01.920 --> 0:14:05.440 moment in a game. Let's mess this up immediately. We 0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:08.560 are not allowed to have two seconds of a good time. 0:14:09.160 --> 0:14:11.640 Treylon Bergs for seventy. Two plays later, Henry in from one, 0:14:11.640 --> 0:14:14.080 eleven to seven Chargers. Then a twenty seven yard field 0:14:14.080 --> 0:14:16.400 goal from Cameron Dicker fourteen to seven, the hard way, 0:14:16.720 --> 0:14:19.440 by the way that score. Then Tennessee adds a Nick 0:14:19.480 --> 0:14:21.600 Folk thirty three yard It's fourteen to ten Chargers at 0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:24.000 the half. Opening drive second half, Titans go seventy five, 0:14:24.040 --> 0:14:26.720 culminating with a Tannahill twelve yard touchdown run. The Titans 0:14:26.760 --> 0:14:29.440 take the lead for the first time seventeen to fourteen, 0:14:29.480 --> 0:14:31.040 and you're like, for those of us who have the 0:14:31.160 --> 0:14:35.520 Chargers get laying the points, really, is this really happening again? 0:14:35.720 --> 0:14:38.640 Chargers punt, Titans punt after Bosa sack Tannehill. Then the 0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:40.840 Chargers go eighty yards, bridging the third and fourth quarters 0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:43.840 Herbert Allen for twelve touchdown. Chargers regain the lead twenty 0:14:43.840 --> 0:14:46.960 one to seventeen, fourteen thirty eight left. Titans punt. Chargers punt. 0:14:47.040 --> 0:14:49.840 Titans punt after Tannehill sack for the fifth time, this 0:14:49.880 --> 0:14:53.560 one by Tui Poloto, but the Chargers eventually forced to 0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:57.080 punt with six minutes left. Kelly, and again, if you 0:14:57.160 --> 0:14:59.000 have the Chargers and you have the lead and they're 0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:01.240 forced to punt with six men that's left, your comment 0:15:01.240 --> 0:15:03.640 inevitably is or your thought in your head is they 0:15:03.680 --> 0:15:07.080 can never just do the kill shot. It is We're 0:15:07.120 --> 0:15:09.920 gonna We're gonna let you have every opportunity to win 0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:12.240 this game, and eventually the opponent always takes it. Tannehill 0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:15.520 to Chris Moore immediately for forty nine right off the bat. 0:15:15.800 --> 0:15:18.240 Really another one of those the very first play of 0:15:18.240 --> 0:15:20.240 the drive. Six plays later, Tannehill to West book a 0:15:20.280 --> 0:15:22.560 Kine for four out and the Titans lead twenty four 0:15:22.560 --> 0:15:24.760 to twenty one to twenty two left, but the Chargers 0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:26.920 have all three timeouts on the two minute warning, Chargers 0:15:26.960 --> 0:15:28.960 get all the way to first and tend the Tennessee 0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:32.040 fourteen with fifty one seconds left. What are you thinking there? 0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:34.120 If you have the Chargers, You're like, oh, could they 0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:38.080 possibly score a touchdown and win this? In regulation? Of course? 0:15:38.160 --> 0:15:40.400 Of course, they end up with a Dicker thirty three 0:15:40.440 --> 0:15:42.640 yard field goal twenty four to twenty four, forcing overtime. 0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:45.840 Chargers win the coin flip in overtime, and they're like, well, 0:15:45.960 --> 0:15:49.240 there's another of course they're gonna go downfield and score 0:15:49.280 --> 0:15:52.280 a touchdown, right, No, because of the Chargers. Are they 0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:54.880 gonna go downfield and kick a field goal to force 0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:57.920 the other team's hand at least no. Three and out. 0:15:58.600 --> 0:16:01.800 It's exactly what happens in last week, albeit in regulation 0:16:01.840 --> 0:16:04.360 of the Dolphins. All of a sudden, the Dolphins defense 0:16:04.400 --> 0:16:06.280 showed up at the end. Titans forced the three and 0:16:06.320 --> 0:16:08.640 oun Titans come down full forty one yard field goal 0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:13.120 ballgame Tennessee twenty seven, charges twenty four, same all Chargers. 0:16:13.160 --> 0:16:17.000 Sam is Brandon Staley on the proverbial hot seat, is 0:16:17.000 --> 0:16:20.240 hell on the hottest seat of absolutely the hottest of them. 0:16:20.080 --> 0:16:20.920 All in the NFL? 0:16:21.080 --> 0:16:25.120 Yes, absolutely no in life. Yeah yeah, like right now 0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:27.240 of all the teams. Yes, this guy, and I think 0:16:27.240 --> 0:16:30.360 he is. I mean, things keep going this way. See 0:16:30.400 --> 0:16:32.600 you you're in season out here it is. I was 0:16:32.600 --> 0:16:34.800 listening to Adam Tronoff's pod today. I think he described 0:16:34.800 --> 0:16:37.560 this very well. You always talk about Brandon Staley being 0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:40.160 a defensive guy. Yes, brought in for this reason, designed 0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:43.520 this defense to be a bend, but don't break. Defense 0:16:43.600 --> 0:16:47.239 has played and you've got Ryan Tannehill making big. 0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:50.040 Play after big play over top. You can't happen with 0:16:50.080 --> 0:16:53.400 how you've designed this defense. And real quick, just real 0:16:53.480 --> 0:16:56.200 quick on this game. Look, I trash Ryan Tannehill all 0:16:56.240 --> 0:16:59.480 the time. I am his biggest critic about once a year, 0:16:59.560 --> 0:17:02.200 I feel like I gotta say Ryan Tannehill. 0:17:01.760 --> 0:17:03.640 Looked like a real NFL quarterback in this game. 0:17:03.760 --> 0:17:05.800 Twenty for twenty, you know, twenty for twenty four touchdown 0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:08.560 two forty six. Guy made big play after big play 0:17:08.600 --> 0:17:10.520 when it mattered. Bravo to him. 0:17:10.640 --> 0:17:13.119 And you know what, me and you were probably pretty 0:17:13.160 --> 0:17:14.240 you know, pretty dismissive. 0:17:14.280 --> 0:17:14.520 I was. 0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:16.960 I didn't really think about it. With Austin Ecklers bring 0:17:17.000 --> 0:17:18.679 out for this game. How big of a difference. 0:17:18.440 --> 0:17:18.840 Would it make? 0:17:18.880 --> 0:17:19.600 That didn't bother me? 0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:22.359 Yeah, I mean it didn't bother me going into the game. 0:17:22.400 --> 0:17:24.520 You look back afterward, though, I don't know how much 0:17:24.520 --> 0:17:25.439 of a difference they had. 0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:27.560 Every opportunity they had, every opt they had, every opportunity. 0:17:27.560 --> 0:17:28.800 By the way, this has nothing to do with the Charges. 0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:31.000 What was the game Tennessee at Cleveland? You said, yes, 0:17:32.880 --> 0:17:36.600 you're right, this just hard not to talk about the Chargers. 0:17:36.640 --> 0:17:39.000 I put Cleveland in no man's land against sight unseen. 0:17:39.000 --> 0:17:40.720 We haven't seen him tonight, I said minus five and 0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:41.119 a half. 0:17:41.480 --> 0:17:44.440 Yeah, right now, that is four and a half over 0:17:44.520 --> 0:17:46.760 at Draft Kings. But you're seeing it, seeing it right 0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:48.280 in that dead number. Well, we'll see what happens to 0:17:48.320 --> 0:17:50.760 the four and a half, pretty much like Squeeze in 0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:53.639 one Falcons at Lions Sunday one the two and oh 0:17:54.040 --> 0:17:58.280 Atlanta Falcons YEP at the one and one Detroit Lions 0:17:58.440 --> 0:18:01.679 Atlanta uh in this I don't know. This was the 0:18:01.680 --> 0:18:03.440 one game of the eight you know how there is 0:18:03.480 --> 0:18:05.680 eight in the morning and you're like, Okay, one of 0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:07.560 these games, inevitably, I'm not gonna be able to pay 0:18:07.560 --> 0:18:09.200 attention to as much as the rest of them. 0:18:09.359 --> 0:18:11.040 This might have been it. But it was twenty four 0:18:11.080 --> 0:18:14.960 to twelve Packers, fifty six seconds left in the third quarter, 0:18:15.240 --> 0:18:17.679 after green Bay went sixty five yards loved to Jalen 0:18:17.760 --> 0:18:19.960 Reid for ten, and you're like, all right, green Bay 0:18:20.000 --> 0:18:22.920 is gonna be two and zero. How about that after 0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:25.919 Aaron Rodgers, But nope, Atlanta drives seventy five yards ridder 0:18:25.920 --> 0:18:28.880 in from six twenty four to nineteen green Bay eleven 0:18:29.000 --> 0:18:31.600