Speaker 1: Here you go. I was born ready. Oh Jesus, there
Speaker 1: we go. Ah see, you're not even ready, man, What
Speaker 1: the fuck? Welcome players, You're welcome. It's time now penny
Speaker 1: versus the penny that it is as this the championship
Speaker 1: weekend in the NFL and today, Hey, we're back on
Speaker 1: the amazing podcast The Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard eight
Speaker 1: podcast dedicated. This entire podcast dedityated to two games. Two games, I,
Speaker 1: of course the piro of many, and then we have
Speaker 1: the coin represented by or the penny here David Gascon
Speaker 1: affectionately known on Social pro effectually known on social media
Speaker 1: is David Gagon and bro verk Satti there and so
Speaker 1: since we only have two games, gast and I had
Speaker 1: a brilliant idea here to look at some of the
Speaker 1: other gambling news I've prop bets, you know, kill some
Speaker 1: more time. Why not before we actually get to handicapping
Speaker 1: the championship games this weekend. Exotics says they would call it.
Speaker 1: You feel good about that? Uh? Well, I know that
Speaker 1: some prop bets are money making opportunities. Others are a
Speaker 1: sucker's place. You have to pick and shoes. You have
Speaker 1: to be selective on what you do. But before we
Speaker 1: get to those, even did you see the sports books
Speaker 1: in New Jersey? The numbers came out this week that
Speaker 1: the books in Jersey one almost three hundred million dollars
Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen. They're doing the accounting. The bean counters
Speaker 1: are taking over and they they really are the penny
Speaker 1: that is that is amazing. Now is that just NFL
Speaker 1: action or is that including college football as well? That
Speaker 1: includes everything. That's the entire handle for the sports books
Speaker 1: and the amazing. I was talking to some in Vegas
Speaker 1: that I noticed in the gambling business, and they were
Speaker 1: telling me that it's you know, it's not even close
Speaker 1: that even though everyone and I grew up with Vegas
Speaker 1: being the gambling mecca of the world, because there's so
Speaker 1: many more people that are close right there in the
Speaker 1: New York, New Jersey metropolitan area, the Tri state area
Speaker 1: also with Connecticut over there and whatnot, and and uh,
Speaker 1: they will be the biggest gambling state, you know, until
Speaker 1: New York adds sports gambling, which with their politicians, god
Speaker 1: knows when that's gonna be. But New Jersey, Uh, there
Speaker 1: was four point five billion uh that was bet in
Speaker 1: in last season. Most of it was on football is
Speaker 1: almost almost a billion dollars on football. Basketball was actually
Speaker 1: a little bit, just a little bit behind that, and
Speaker 1: then baseball was further down by like a couple hundred million, uh.
Speaker 1: And a lot of people bet parlays, a lot of
Speaker 1: like the they've noticed here that people love because like
Speaker 1: playing a lottery ticket, but you have to get all
Speaker 1: three ride or you know, two or three or whatever
Speaker 1: it is. But yeah, it's unfortunate too because and I
Speaker 1: don't know how you feel about this, and correct me
Speaker 1: if I'm wrong, but I think we were now in
Speaker 1: the date that the day and age we're gambling is
Speaker 1: much like dating. It's all online, and there's a novelty
Speaker 1: that going out and meeting a woman grabbing a drink,
Speaker 1: you know, engaging and then obviously asking her out. Like
Speaker 1: there's something to me that's great about when you drive
Speaker 1: to Vegas and you know this, like making the commute
Speaker 1: to Vegas and then you see those towering lights from
Speaker 1: the lux Or and you're like, I'm almost in Sin City, baby,
Speaker 1: And then it's an opportunity to gamble a little bit.
Speaker 1: You get your cops, you get some meals, you get
Speaker 1: some drinks, and lay down some cash but everything now
Speaker 1: is just so automated digitally that you just you forget
Speaker 1: what you're doing and you just let things rip at
Speaker 1: any given time. I don't know you feel about it,
Speaker 1: but that's how I feel now with gambling these days.
Speaker 1: Oh so you don't do online dating? Is that you
Speaker 1: don't do that either? No, you don't know. Don't you know?
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's just for me personally. You feel
Speaker 1: like you you laid you out your particulars. It's like
Speaker 1: a menu I don't want to have. I love the research, right,
Speaker 1: It's like exactly what we do in this profession. It's
Speaker 1: the research. It's it's getting to know somebody. It's getting
Speaker 1: to find out who they're about, what they do, all
Speaker 1: those things, and and having it right before your fingertips
Speaker 1: just by you know, putting you know a location that
Speaker 1: you have in any particulars like race, religion, hair color,
Speaker 1: all that stuff I'm not down for. I love I
Speaker 1: love it. I love going to Vegas for the sheer
Speaker 1: purpose to throw down some coin. Of course, I'm I'm
Speaker 1: big into crabs in blackjack. But of course, when you
Speaker 1: when you look at the sports side of things, going
Speaker 1: to the Venetian and going to Lagasse Stadium and they
Speaker 1: give you they give you comps, they give you drink tickets,
Speaker 1: they give you other comps. Yeah. Yeah, because you know
Speaker 1: you're gonna lose your money. I mean, I I go.
Speaker 1: I love Vegas too, I mean I go all the time.
Speaker 1: But I you know what you are. You're like a
Speaker 1: horse and buggy guy. You're the guy when the automobile
Speaker 1: came around. So you know what, I don't need to
Speaker 1: I'm an old school guy. I like to smell the
Speaker 1: feces of the horse's ass when I'm riding on the horse.
Speaker 1: I like to enjoy that. Uh, you're that guy. You're
Speaker 1: the horse and buggy guest. Gun. You're the guy when
Speaker 1: the microwave came out and said no, I'd rather spend
Speaker 1: more time staring at the stove. You're that guy. You're
Speaker 1: you are today's modern day version of a tesla. Right.
Speaker 1: You don't want to drive. You want some automated vehicle
Speaker 1: to maneuver and put you around to wherever you're at,
Speaker 1: whether it's in Malibu or a Thousand Oaks, or or Calabasas.
Speaker 1: And me, I prefer to cruise of my sixty nine
Speaker 1: Mustang and kind of get toward you to be at
Speaker 1: my own pace. I appreciate that there's something refined about
Speaker 1: what I do and gambling, and if you know, you'd
Speaker 1: find you're I like that you you managed to pat
Speaker 1: yourself on the back when because you know I won't
Speaker 1: and nobody else will, only you will do all right.
Speaker 1: So let's get to some of these prop bets. Dumb, dumb, Okay,
Speaker 1: you can reminisce about the glory days. Go down memory lane,
Speaker 1: the good old days when when the Mob ruled Vegas.
Speaker 1: That did a good job. In when the Mob controlled Vegas.
Speaker 1: You had so many more freebees. Everything was cheaper, you can,
Speaker 1: you got free parking. We gotta get the mob back
Speaker 1: into control of Vegas. That's what we got. Maybe the
Speaker 1: Mexican drug cartels can take over Vegas and everything will
Speaker 1: be free. You've got rooms comped, you got food comp do,
Speaker 1: you got nights outcom for alcohol and dining, the whole
Speaker 1: smash and now and now you're gonna spend hours and
Speaker 1: hours and hours in there, and you have a camera
Speaker 1: above you that rates you on your plates. Bullshit. Be
Speaker 1: sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller Show
Speaker 1: weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific on Fox
Speaker 1: Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio app. No I listen,
Speaker 1: I I agree with you. And plus, you know you
Speaker 1: have to have that little card, the players Club card
Speaker 1: that keeps track of everything. The police state has to
Speaker 1: keep track. And you know, I have friends that work
Speaker 1: at some of the casinos in Vegas, and you know,
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie. I mean, I've gotten some freebees
Speaker 1: over the years. Um, just you know whatever. But it's
Speaker 1: not as easy as it used to be. It's not
Speaker 1: as easy. You can't just say, hey, get Mallard a room. No,
Speaker 1: you gotta you know, it's a whole like loop hoops,
Speaker 1: you gotta jump through. Anyway, some of the prop bets
Speaker 1: for this weekend, we're gonna get into these problems. But
Speaker 1: do you waste so much? What if we're gonna get
Speaker 1: into the prop bets for this week, why don't we
Speaker 1: go back to last week to see how you did?
Speaker 1: I mean, is not fair to the audience that well, though,
Speaker 1: we're gonna do that before we pick the games. If
Speaker 1: we have time, we might not have time because you
Speaker 1: have an event you have to go to, and so
Speaker 1: we're unlimited time here, and so we must get to this.
Speaker 1: But you hear the profits. So Derrick Henry, who's been
Speaker 1: the super nova for Tennessee, is the profit is rushing
Speaker 1: yards for Derrick Henry over a hundred eighty yards? Will
Speaker 1: Henry run for over a hundred eighty yards? If you
Speaker 1: say no, that is minus one thousand, minus one thousand
Speaker 1: on that. If you say yes, it's plus five hundred.
Speaker 1: So the only way Tennessee can win this game plausibly
Speaker 1: is for Henry to go to about a d eighty yards.
Speaker 1: But I'm not gonna you would have to be a
Speaker 1: fool to say yes on that, although you get better
Speaker 1: better odds. Obviously, I am gonna say that he does
Speaker 1: not get over a hundred yards, So I'm gonna mark
Speaker 1: me down for no on that particular prop. Chock mallard
Speaker 1: minus one thousand. Okay, Now, is that the penny gonna
Speaker 1: pick this? Or you? Maybe you can pick this guest
Speaker 1: on that way? Oh, the penny is gonna How goody
Speaker 1: the penny's gonna pick? How exciting is it? This? Look
Speaker 1: up and she says, Derrick Henry, yes, plus five hundred,
Speaker 1: put him down, plus five hundred. Put it on the board. Yeah,
Speaker 1: don't be stealing my material. Okay, I already stole it
Speaker 1: from Hot Carrolson. You don't need to steal it from
Speaker 1: me now. But I am not gonna gonna take the
Speaker 1: as I said, I'm not gonna say he's gonna go
Speaker 1: for over a hundred I think you have a hundred
Speaker 1: and fifty five yards. How about that, Ryan Tannehill, here's
Speaker 1: a good one. Will he throw for under a hundred
Speaker 1: yards and then win and Tennessee win the game? Now,
Speaker 1: this has been a tradition here late for the Titans.
Speaker 1: In these playoff games. Tannehill is not used much at all.
Speaker 1: He's just kind of hanging around, hanging around, uh and
Speaker 1: all that. Uh So, no is minus three thousand and
Speaker 1: if you're not a gambler, that implies a ninety six
Speaker 1: percent chance chance almost ninety seven percent, that that this
Speaker 1: will will not happen, that that this is not gonna happen.
Speaker 1: I would throw a couple of bucks down on yes,
Speaker 1: because I think if Tannehill goes over a hundred yards passing,
Speaker 1: Tennessee likely will not be able to win the game,
Speaker 1: meaning he will f this game up. He will throw
Speaker 1: interceptions and be a disaster. But um, I'm not gonna
Speaker 1: bet on yes, because that's a sucker's play. Even at
Speaker 1: plus fifteen hundred, I mean hundred yards you can get
Speaker 1: in a half or a quarter, you know, a decent quarterback.
Speaker 1: But I'm gonna take no Ones. I'm again, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: go no. I'm gonna go chalk minus three thousand on Tanning.
Speaker 1: Penny will agree with you on that one, minus three
Speaker 1: thousand on No. Alright, So the same concept on this prop,
Speaker 1: bet on Benny versus the penny, which will be higher
Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill's passing yards or Derrick Henry's rushing yards. That
Speaker 1: is a good one, right, Tannehill's minus three fifty and
Speaker 1: Henry because you obviously is easier to get passing yards. Uh,
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry's plus two five. I'm gonna take Henry on this.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Henry. Tennessee is not gonna change what
Speaker 1: they've done. Mike Rabel is not going to change the
Speaker 1: game plan here. You don't reinvent the wheel. It's working.
Speaker 1: It's just human conditions. So I'm going with Henry. Henry
Speaker 1: is gonna have a hundred and fifty five something yards
Speaker 1: and they're just gonna play keep away. And you know
Speaker 1: a few short passes, but there they'll mix the running
Speaker 1: backs up. So I'll take Henry it plus plus two five.
Speaker 1: The odds should actually be little higher than that. But
Speaker 1: Penny is going the other way with Tannehill. This isn't
Speaker 1: Peyton Manning two thousand fifteen. He can throw the ball
Speaker 1: down the field. They don't throw He's attempt twenty nine
Speaker 1: passes in two games. That's just because of how the
Speaker 1: defense is playing them in the first couple of rounds.
Speaker 1: And you think they're gonna change it in this game,
Speaker 1: of course, not pcent. All right, what are some of
Speaker 1: the other Most of these props are about the Tennessee
Speaker 1: Kansas City game. Let's see, let me just find another
Speaker 1: good one. Well, Kansas City score fifty or more points?
Speaker 1: No is minus a thousand, plus is plus five hundred
Speaker 1: on yes? Rather yes this plus five? Well, no, they're
Speaker 1: not gonna score fifty points in this game. Uh, not
Speaker 1: gonna happen. That's very rare. Once in a blue moon
Speaker 1: does that happen. So I will take no on Kansas
Speaker 1: City scoring fifty points or more. Penny is an agreement
Speaker 1: with you on that one. No to fifty al right, Well,
Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill have a reception of over fifty yards in
Speaker 1: this game, I know is minus five. Yes is plus
Speaker 1: three hundred. I'm gonna go yes, he's so fast, he's
Speaker 1: he's uh speedy Gonzalez out there. We're miss saying the monologue.
Speaker 1: This wee's like, it's like the auto bon with Tyreek Hills.
Speaker 1: I think he will. I want to go yes, and
Speaker 1: there's value in that. Make a couple of bucks. I'll
Speaker 1: go yes, that's a really good one. Anything to go
Speaker 1: with you to see we're doing prop bets is what
Speaker 1: we're doing. We're do these actual prop bets. Here's when
Speaker 1: the Niners defense has been ridiculously good. Here very very
Speaker 1: good over under sacks for your Nick Bosa and the
Speaker 1: Niners over three total sacks, under three total sacks. Over
Speaker 1: is minus one forty. Under is plus one hundred. So
Speaker 1: I don't know how you bet the under. I know
Speaker 1: you win the under until they go over. But the
Speaker 1: way the Niners defense is played, combined with the I
Speaker 1: don't think the Packers are all that great. So I
Speaker 1: I would take the over three and and again minus
Speaker 1: one forty. I'm going with the chalk on this, but
Speaker 1: I would I would do that, not about shocking the swan.
Speaker 1: Penny's going the other way with under three and a half.
Speaker 1: Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller
Speaker 1: Show weekdays at two am eastern pm Pacific. Now I
Speaker 1: look forward to next week on Benny Versus the Penny
Speaker 1: because the real solid prop beds. Boy, are you know
Speaker 1: the leading up to the I guess we won't actually
Speaker 1: have Benny Versus the Penny. Next week will be the
Speaker 1: week after I thought you're gonna start gambling on the
Speaker 1: Pro Bowl. Well, I mean we have to kill some time,
Speaker 1: and we will. We have to get a second podcast
Speaker 1: out during the week. Maybe we'll do that, but do
Speaker 1: not do not plan on doing that. But the the
Speaker 1: other thing before we did get to the actual games,
Speaker 1: which is why people are here. So the odds are
Speaker 1: out on the hypothetical theoretical Super Bowl matchups. Right, there's
Speaker 1: only a limited number of possibilities. There's four teams left,
Speaker 1: So what would the points spread be on each matchup? Now,
Speaker 1: let's say the chalk one out that the Niners and
Speaker 1: Chiefs play in Miami in the Super Bowl. Did you
Speaker 1: see this gas gun? Did you see what the point
Speaker 1: spread is? No? But you didn't all make an educated
Speaker 1: guess a right to be San Francisco minus two and
Speaker 1: a half. So you think the Niners would be a
Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite over the Chiefs in
Speaker 1: that matchup? No, according to super Book USA, the Chiefs
Speaker 1: would the game would be a pick up, the game
Speaker 1: would be a pick um, and the total in the
Speaker 1: game would be fifty and a half, which that seems
Speaker 1: like low to me with the Chiefs offense and whatnot,
Speaker 1: But they that's what they're They've they claimed the line
Speaker 1: will be We'll see if that's true, depending on injury.
Speaker 1: One other matter. We've got three other possible matchups. You
Speaker 1: want to go through the three? Here, what the point
Speaker 1: spread would be Tennessee Green Bay, Tennessee green Bay? What
Speaker 1: do you think the line would be? Green Bay minus four? No,
Speaker 1: green Bay only minus one and a half. The total
Speaker 1: would only be forty four on that game, so they
Speaker 1: would they would expect not many points. So what are
Speaker 1: the other match of pat Packers Chiefs? Yeah, I think
Speaker 1: that would be Kansas City minus seven. Well, you should
Speaker 1: bet on Kansas City then if that happens, But it's
Speaker 1: the Chiefs are favored in the hypothetical matchup. They'll be
Speaker 1: favored by four and a half over Aaron Rodgers and
Speaker 1: the Packers in that Super Bowl one and the rematch,
Speaker 1: and then the last possibly the forty Niners and the
Speaker 1: tightness if Tennessee goes into Arrowhead and wins and the
Speaker 1: Niners molly wop the team from Green Bay. The line up,
Speaker 1: what do you think the line would be on forty
Speaker 1: Niners tight San Francisco minor six with a total of
Speaker 1: like forty two, You're pretty close. The Niners would be
Speaker 1: minus five and a half over Tennessee and the total
Speaker 1: will be forty four. So it's in that same area.
Speaker 1: Who do you like? I mean, amongst the four teams
Speaker 1: that are left, who do you like the most? I
Speaker 1: like the chief so I don't love their divas. I
Speaker 1: like the Chief so I love the Chiefs offense. And
Speaker 1: I'd like to see Mahomes in the in the Super Bowl.
Speaker 1: That'd be kind of cool. I was at the gym
Speaker 1: earlier today and on three TVs. One of them showed
Speaker 1: the a f C Championship game from last year, another
Speaker 1: TV showed the Divisional round from last week, and then
Speaker 1: another one was showing him at Texas Tech. I forget
Speaker 1: what game it was, but all Mahomes all day. It's
Speaker 1: said the Jim Alzato was awesome. It was kind of nauseating.
Speaker 1: But yeah, I'd love to see my Homes versus San
Speaker 1: Francisco's defense. Remember last year in the NFC Championship game,
Speaker 1: the game went to overtime, the Chiefs put up thirty
Speaker 1: one points. Mahomes had three touchdowns and no interceptions. He
Speaker 1: he was you know, he wasn't great. He had he
Speaker 1: had a fair amount of incompletions in the game. I
Speaker 1: think he was about fifty percent passing or something like that,
Speaker 1: I remember, but he was right around three hundred yards
Speaker 1: and three touchdowns. Yeah, well, don't forget it was fourteen
Speaker 1: nothing new England at the end of the first half.
Speaker 1: So yeah, so yeah, yeah, yeah, I mean he played
Speaker 1: in the second half of that game. He he went
Speaker 1: two turbo time. I can't even say it's good. It's
Speaker 1: a bad job. And didn't you yeah, I think you
Speaker 1: last year you had in Benny versus A Penny, all
Speaker 1: said Kansas City. So um, Penny had But what was
Speaker 1: this a random flip here? What happened? Penny had the
Speaker 1: Patriots last year in the NC Championship. Okay, all right,
Speaker 1: let's get through the actual games here. It is the
Speaker 1: Benny Versus the Penny podcast, which will not be along geated,
Speaker 1: will not be along good. Alright. So the early game
Speaker 1: on Sunday Championship Sunday Tennessee now eleven and seven, including
Speaker 1: the playoffs from the ANFC South and Kansas City thirteen
Speaker 1: and four from the a f C West. It's on
Speaker 1: CBS with Jim Nance and Tony Romo on the call. Now,
Speaker 1: the Chiefs opened a seven and a half point favorite,
Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite for Kansas City. And uh,
Speaker 1: let's get the updated number. I gonna click a couple
Speaker 1: of buttons here because it's all everything's online here and
Speaker 1: see where the numbers are. Uh and uh, let's see
Speaker 1: here the line has it's at seven now, so the
Speaker 1: Chiefs minus seven. That's the current line. Where's the money
Speaker 1: at It's about about six of the wagers are on
Speaker 1: the home team, Kansas City in this game minus seven
Speaker 1: after what they did to Houston last week. It'll be
Speaker 1: sunny twenty one degrees at kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium. I
Speaker 1: am going to take the Tennessee Titans plus the points
Speaker 1: in this game now. And here's why. A if it's
Speaker 1: not broke, you don't fix it, right, that's the old line.
Speaker 1: We all learned that growing up. Mike Rabel has cooked
Speaker 1: up a winning formula in recent weeks. The Titans are
Speaker 1: going to try to ride the express train of Derrick Henry.
Speaker 1: That's gonna be. They're gonna ride or die with Derrick
Speaker 1: Henry here. It's a very straightforward game plan. There's not
Speaker 1: any deception. If Ray will learn from Belichick, you don't
Speaker 1: do the funny business. The same things that won football
Speaker 1: games forty years ago still win football games today. Tennessee
Speaker 1: is gonna try to play the four corners offense, keep
Speaker 1: the ball away, slow the game down because if this
Speaker 1: is a grinder game, okay, if this is a grinder
Speaker 1: game long with thodical drives a lot of third down conversions,
Speaker 1: every second is so precious for the Titans because they
Speaker 1: don't have the firepower of Kansas City, and you you
Speaker 1: gotta keep that Chief's offense, which is like a fire
Speaker 1: hose of playmakers off the field as long as you can.
Speaker 1: Armageddon for Tennessee would obviously be of the Chiefs jump
Speaker 1: out to an early fourteen nothing lead, uh, something like that,
Speaker 1: and that that forces Ryan Tannehill into the center of
Speaker 1: the ring and that ain't gonna go. Well, you have
Speaker 1: to be mentally deranged to to want to put your
Speaker 1: money on Tannehill trailing early and have to to lead
Speaker 1: Tennessee back. Now, is that the flukey things happened? Maybe
Speaker 1: he could, but I ain't betting on that. So I
Speaker 1: think this. They obviously keep part of the whole game,
Speaker 1: but early in the game Tennessee to establish himself. Now,
Speaker 1: U Tannehill has been a useful idiot. He has been
Speaker 1: a decoy and the place I mentioned twenty nine pass attempts.
Speaker 1: In terms of defense, the Titans, they don't have have
Speaker 1: the sex appeal. There's not any real big names on there.
Speaker 1: You know. Of all the teams left, the Niners have
Speaker 1: the big names on defense, but Tennessee has bunker down.
Speaker 1: They're allowing just thirteen points per game the last three weeks,
Speaker 1: all of those games against playoff opponents. Now that obviously
Speaker 1: the last two against Baltimore and New England. They also
Speaker 1: did a very good job last game of the regular
Speaker 1: season against the Houston Texans, and so they've also been
Speaker 1: the beneficiary. I'm not gonna hide from it. There's been
Speaker 1: a lot of mistakes by the Patriots and the Ravens,
Speaker 1: and how much of that is because of good football
Speaker 1: from Tennessee and how much of that is just sloppy
Speaker 1: football from the opposition. But the word here is opportunistic.
Speaker 1: The Titans have been an opportunistic defense. And does that
Speaker 1: continue here We're gonna find out now. Part B of
Speaker 1: this Patrick Mahomes, who had another magnum opus last week
Speaker 1: against the Texans. This is another opportunity for him to
Speaker 1: lead Andy read Like and carry him on his back
Speaker 1: like a sack of potatoes back to the super Bowl.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs have no excuse, no excuse here. They lose
Speaker 1: this game, they will be destroyed. They should be destroyed.
Speaker 1: They've got the creature comforts of home, home, cooking, your sleep,
Speaker 1: number bed. You don't have to steal none of that
Speaker 1: other stuff. Uber talented offense, right, uber talented offense, better
Speaker 1: team top to bottom, talent wise, more experienced, seasoned head coach,
Speaker 1: if that matters. Also, they don't have to play Tom
Speaker 1: Brady on the other side and Bill Belichick. They're playing
Speaker 1: the disciple of Belichick, but not Belichick. The sequel should
Speaker 1: not be the equal. I would expect a close game here.
Speaker 1: That's what I'm expecting here, Uh, closer than many anticipate.
Speaker 1: The better team does not always win the game, but
Speaker 1: this week Kansas City is going to prevail with the
Speaker 1: pyrotechnic show that will be limited. The Titans are not
Speaker 1: going to surrender without scratching and crawling and clawing and
Speaker 1: all that stuff. So I would expect a grueling, exhausting
Speaker 1: type game. A lot of points will be scored and
Speaker 1: Mahomes will pull it out in the end. Chiefs thirty
Speaker 1: one Titans, A petty is tailing you on this One's
Speaker 1: go a Tennessee. Wow. Alright, so we both liked the
Speaker 1: dog Doggie MCDOGG. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports
Speaker 1: talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows
Speaker 1: at Fox sports Radio dot com and within the I
Speaker 1: Heart Radio app search f s R to listen live.
Speaker 1: Let's get trivial Gascon. You want to get trivial alright.
Speaker 1: Green Bay's Matt le Fleur is the first rookie head
Speaker 1: coach to reach the conference championship game since blank. Since blank,
Speaker 1: you have to fill in the blank. That's how this works,
Speaker 1: all right? The answer coming up late game Green Bay
Speaker 1: fourteen and three in the NFC North at Santa Clair.
Speaker 1: That that includes the PLAYFFS and Santa Clair fourteen and
Speaker 1: three as well. In the NFC West. It's on Fox,
Speaker 1: so you better watch with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman
Speaker 1: and my friend Chris Myers, part of the Fox Sports
Speaker 1: Radio Alumni Association. I'm surprised you haven't reached out to him,
Speaker 1: but Chris Myers will be on the sidelines there. What nothing, Okay,
Speaker 1: I haven't talked to you. I gotta send text Chris,
Speaker 1: Chris and text. You know sometimes when I'm watching the
Speaker 1: game it's like really cold, I'll send him, you know,
Speaker 1: he says a game. You know, this game is in
Speaker 1: Northern California, but if it's in Green Bay, I'd be like, hey,
Speaker 1: you look pretty good there. How many layers of clothing
Speaker 1: do you have? And you're like text back during the game,
Speaker 1: want me to want me to shoot him a text
Speaker 1: for you? No, No, he didn't know you. We're colleagues.
Speaker 1: I did a show with him for for like a year.
Speaker 1: Did you guys get fired or kicked off that time slot? Uh? No, no,
Speaker 1: he well he got fired. Well we both actually technically
Speaker 1: got fired out to the Ben and Dave show. Well
Speaker 1: that's that was This is the Ben and what was
Speaker 1: the drive with Chris Myers, just because I was just
Speaker 1: resigning all the shows that you've been punted off of. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's better to be it has been than it never was,
Speaker 1: you know, I just point that out. Yeah, w e
Speaker 1: I piece out again. That's because of the termination in
Speaker 1: the Sports Hub now, which is a great radio station
Speaker 1: in Boston. Unfortunately not all right, let's get to the
Speaker 1: damn game. So the Niners opened up a six point favorite.
Speaker 1: They are seven and a half point favorites. So you
Speaker 1: got the hook on the forty Niners. And the reason
Speaker 1: you got the hook here is because everyone of their
Speaker 1: mother is betting on the forty Niners. And I'm gonna
Speaker 1: go with the sheep here. I'm gonna take the forty
Speaker 1: Niners in the game. The weather mostly cloudy, fifty eight
Speaker 1: degrees of kick off at Levi's Stadium for all the
Speaker 1: Google and Twitter and Facebook executives and YouTube that will
Speaker 1: be hanging out. So I got the Niners. Now, the
Speaker 1: Niners defense we saw last week again unshackled against the Vikings,
Speaker 1: I would expect more of that. This week, Nick Bosa
Speaker 1: and friends have been as lethal as a barracuda of
Speaker 1: late on defense, and they are going to give Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers heartburn and anxiety and all that stuff. The forty
Speaker 1: Niners defense has allowed only five point two yards per
Speaker 1: attempt for the season. I read this earlier, and that's
Speaker 1: that's against combined offenses that average six point seven yards
Speaker 1: per attempt. That is a minus one and a half
Speaker 1: yard margin. You said, well, that doesn't matter, who cares.
Speaker 1: That's just a bunch of numbers. That's a bunch of gibbers. Well,
Speaker 1: that is the best statistic for any team in the
Speaker 1: NFL in over a decade. You're gonna go back to
Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers. It has been breathtaking, is what it's been.
Speaker 1: And that's twelve seasons of football, and so essentially the
Speaker 1: Niners defense has been a once in a decade type
Speaker 1: of defense. Now I'm not as smitten with the forty
Speaker 1: Niners offense, but the gold rush attack of led by
Speaker 1: Tevin Coleman should provide enough punch in in side by
Speaker 1: side with the defense, you know, in in you know,
Speaker 1: working together, uh, synergy, whatever term you want to use here,
Speaker 1: The nightmare here in this game for the forty Niners
Speaker 1: would be if Green Bay is able to break through
Speaker 1: somehow and score some points, and then this becomes a
Speaker 1: back and forth game and you're depending on Jimmy Garoppolo
Speaker 1: to go punch for punch with a Aaron Rodgers type
Speaker 1: guy who's hot, who's playing well, with confidence and all
Speaker 1: this stuff. That would be a disaster for the forty Years.
Speaker 1: I don't expect that to happen. I think this game
Speaker 1: will be decided by the fourth quarter. Uh, and the
Speaker 1: path Sers do have some holes in their secondary, but
Speaker 1: you don't want to have Garoppolo be this siding factory
Speaker 1: because that means a lot of things have gone wrong
Speaker 1: for the forty Niners. Now. The second Green Bay to
Speaker 1: me continues to be one of the great mysteries of
Speaker 1: the season. I want to point out that last week
Speaker 1: I had a bad beat. If Seattle had converted a
Speaker 1: two point conversion, I would have been fine in that game.
Speaker 1: They did not, so I was my handicapping was actually
Speaker 1: right on the Green Bay Seattle game. Just an odd
Speaker 1: thing took place there. But as far as the Packers,
Speaker 1: the eyeball test says to me, this is a slightly
Speaker 1: better than average team. I've said it before, I'll say
Speaker 1: it again. They look to me like a ten and
Speaker 1: six team. Yet they have now won fourteen games, including
Speaker 1: the playoffs. It is so bizarre that they continue to
Speaker 1: win these games. Aaron Rodgers had an embarrassing performance the
Speaker 1: first time he played the Niners this year, and obviously
Speaker 1: now the stakes have been raised and all that stuff.
Speaker 1: Is he gonna do better in the sequel? Many say, oh, yeah,
Speaker 1: of course, Aaron fucking Rogers. Of course he's gonna do
Speaker 1: But I say, now, I expect the forty Niners to
Speaker 1: mess up the rhythm of that Green Bay passing attack again.
Speaker 1: And also the problem the Packers are gonna have is
Speaker 1: that the Niners are going to hog tie any running
Speaker 1: back to Packers throughout. They shut down Dalvin Cook and
Speaker 1: despite my you know, enthusiasm for the Vikings, they couldn't
Speaker 1: do anything right. Aaron Jones is a good running back.
Speaker 1: He's in for some tough sledding here. Packers offense will
Speaker 1: be bogged down in this game. It is going to
Speaker 1: be a slaughter. A lot of cheese will be flying
Speaker 1: in the air everywhere, but not in a good way.
Speaker 1: It's Limburger cheese, forty Niners thirty four Packers seventeen. That's right,
Speaker 1: that's the super Bowl. It's gonna be the forty Niners
Speaker 1: in the chiefs and a revenge game. The penny is
Speaker 1: going with the Green Bay Packers. Bad job, bad job.
Speaker 1: Now you want to look back at last week before
Speaker 1: we put the baby to bed here again scar AFC
Speaker 1: and NFC Division round matchups, you went one and three again.
Speaker 1: I just explained that, really I was right about the
Speaker 1: Seattle Green Bay game. Two point conversion did me? Nobody
Speaker 1: cares one in three. That's awful. That's not a it's
Speaker 1: one in three, that's not awful. You're batting too again.
Speaker 1: I know you're not that bright, you don't understand nuance,
Speaker 1: but the handicapping was right. You're a twenty. The way
Speaker 1: I anticipated the games I had. Listen, you're talking about
Speaker 1: a bad weekend. I had the Texans twenty for nothing
Speaker 1: getting nine and a half, and those assholes from Houston
Speaker 1: that screwed up and lost the game, didn't even cover
Speaker 1: the spread. And you're twenty four nothing league getting almost
Speaker 1: a double digits, and you can't cover the fucking spread.
Speaker 1: Fire Bill O'Brien, that piece of HyET. You fire him.
Speaker 1: You know who had Kansas City minus nine and a
Speaker 1: half the penny. That doesn't matter. I was right about
Speaker 1: that game. I was right about the Texas I was
Speaker 1: right about the Seattle Green Bay game. So really I
Speaker 1: went three and one? Fuck you? Okay, horrendous? All right,
Speaker 1: I gotta pay off the let's get trivial. So Matt
Speaker 1: la Fleur is the first rookie head coach to reach
Speaker 1: the conference championship games since blank. I'm gonna go with
Speaker 1: the great John Madden. John Madden Wow, way back in
Speaker 1: the day the Madden Mobile. Yes, no, you're wrong, jeb
Speaker 1: By your guest gun you do not know Kep talking
Speaker 1: about your phony. My second guest was Dick for Meal,
Speaker 1: but believe it or not, it was Jim Harball. Jim
Speaker 1: Harball just almost a decade ago. Now it's hard to
Speaker 1: believe it's been almost a decade. But after the eleven
Speaker 1: season with the forty niners, with the forty niners, so
Speaker 1: this is now. This is a leaning mean benny versus
Speaker 1: the penny. This is leaning to me. Do you think
Speaker 1: the downloads will be higher because the show's shorter, or
Speaker 1: will they be the same. If it's any indication of
Speaker 1: what your followers and suck ups and boot liquors were
Speaker 1: like the two weeks when you lost two bets to me,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it is probably lower than expectations, So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the under no, I think it
Speaker 1: will be about the same, because why would it change.
Speaker 1: It's it's you can listen to more of it. Well,
Speaker 1: I'm yeah, what's true. But you can always fast forward
Speaker 1: when you want to get to the point. So on
Speaker 1: on the get to the point, please on the iTunes
Speaker 1: and I heart radio app you can always fast forward.
Speaker 1: I thought the biggest indictment on all this is Benny
Speaker 1: versus the Penny doesn't get as many downloads as your
Speaker 1: original Fifth Our with Ben Mallory podcast. Well, hold on sake,
Speaker 1: that's the first time that's happened. Now, that is the
Speaker 1: first time. Last week was the first time that happened.
Speaker 1: And I'm sure what you did is you you send
Speaker 1: an email out to the Gascon family, the Gagon family
Speaker 1: and said, hey, you might want to download the but
Speaker 1: it's probably a reason for that. A little bit more me,
Speaker 1: a little bit less of you, and you're hated you're
Speaker 1: a hell. People despise you, they can't stand You's not
Speaker 1: true alright anyway, listen, that's it. Well with the baby
Speaker 1: to bed. Guscon's busy. Guys, got crap to do. I
Speaker 1: don't have anything to do but have a great, wonderful,
Speaker 1: glorious weekend. Enjoy the games and make sure to download
Speaker 1: the other podcast as we'll have a great weekend. We'll
Speaker 1: catch you on the radio Sunday night into Monday to
Speaker 1: tell you kind of like what Cowherd does right, what
Speaker 1: we got right, what we got wrong? Um, we'll whip
Speaker 1: that off. Why not because you love Cowherd Anyway, that'd
Speaker 1: be coming up. Have a great weekend, Sayonara.