WEBVTT - Benny vs The Penny, Championship Sunday 0:00:00.120 --> 0:00:03.960 Here you go. I was born ready. Oh Jesus, there 0:00:04.000 --> 0:00:09.119 we go. Ah see, you're not even ready, man, What 0:00:09.160 --> 0:00:19.520 the fuck? Welcome players, You're welcome. It's time now penny 0:00:19.920 --> 0:00:25.280 versus the penny that it is as this the championship 0:00:25.360 --> 0:00:28.680 weekend in the NFL and today, Hey, we're back on 0:00:28.720 --> 0:00:32.600 the amazing podcast The Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard eight 0:00:32.760 --> 0:00:38.960 podcast dedicated. This entire podcast dedityated to two games. Two games, I, 0:00:39.120 --> 0:00:41.839 of course the piro of many, and then we have 0:00:41.960 --> 0:00:46.960 the coin represented by or the penny here David Gascon 0:00:47.159 --> 0:00:51.320 affectionately known on Social pro effectually known on social media 0:00:51.360 --> 0:00:56.040 is David Gagon and bro verk Satti there and so 0:00:56.520 --> 0:00:58.720 since we only have two games, gast and I had 0:00:58.760 --> 0:01:02.720 a brilliant idea here to look at some of the 0:01:02.760 --> 0:01:06.360 other gambling news I've prop bets, you know, kill some 0:01:06.400 --> 0:01:09.400 more time. Why not before we actually get to handicapping 0:01:09.959 --> 0:01:13.320 the championship games this weekend. Exotics says they would call it. 0:01:13.560 --> 0:01:17.560 You feel good about that? Uh? Well, I know that 0:01:17.720 --> 0:01:20.800 some prop bets are money making opportunities. Others are a 0:01:20.800 --> 0:01:22.520 sucker's place. You have to pick and shoes. You have 0:01:22.560 --> 0:01:25.039 to be selective on what you do. But before we 0:01:25.040 --> 0:01:28.120 get to those, even did you see the sports books 0:01:28.160 --> 0:01:31.920 in New Jersey? The numbers came out this week that 0:01:32.120 --> 0:01:37.720 the books in Jersey one almost three hundred million dollars 0:01:37.800 --> 0:01:40.560 in twenty nineteen. They're doing the accounting. The bean counters 0:01:40.600 --> 0:01:45.039 are taking over and they they really are the penny 0:01:45.240 --> 0:01:50.000 that is that is amazing. Now is that just NFL 0:01:50.080 --> 0:01:53.080 action or is that including college football as well? That 0:01:53.080 --> 0:01:58.400 includes everything. That's the entire handle for the sports books 0:01:58.400 --> 0:02:00.560 and the amazing. I was talking to some in Vegas 0:02:00.560 --> 0:02:02.480 that I noticed in the gambling business, and they were 0:02:02.520 --> 0:02:04.320 telling me that it's you know, it's not even close 0:02:04.400 --> 0:02:07.120 that even though everyone and I grew up with Vegas 0:02:07.120 --> 0:02:10.280 being the gambling mecca of the world, because there's so 0:02:10.320 --> 0:02:13.160 many more people that are close right there in the 0:02:13.160 --> 0:02:16.359 New York, New Jersey metropolitan area, the Tri state area 0:02:16.360 --> 0:02:19.120 also with Connecticut over there and whatnot, and and uh, 0:02:19.800 --> 0:02:23.560 they will be the biggest gambling state, you know, until 0:02:23.680 --> 0:02:27.079 New York adds sports gambling, which with their politicians, god 0:02:27.120 --> 0:02:30.000 knows when that's gonna be. But New Jersey, Uh, there 0:02:30.120 --> 0:02:33.440 was four point five billion uh that was bet in 0:02:33.440 --> 0:02:36.480 in last season. Most of it was on football is 0:02:36.520 --> 0:02:41.000 almost almost a billion dollars on football. Basketball was actually 0:02:41.000 --> 0:02:43.920 a little bit, just a little bit behind that, and 0:02:43.960 --> 0:02:48.760 then baseball was further down by like a couple hundred million, uh. 0:02:48.800 --> 0:02:51.440 And a lot of people bet parlays, a lot of 0:02:51.480 --> 0:02:54.560 like the they've noticed here that people love because like 0:02:54.600 --> 0:02:56.240 playing a lottery ticket, but you have to get all 0:02:56.280 --> 0:02:58.360 three ride or you know, two or three or whatever 0:02:58.360 --> 0:03:03.160 it is. But yeah, it's unfortunate too because and I 0:03:03.200 --> 0:03:04.880 don't know how you feel about this, and correct me 0:03:04.919 --> 0:03:06.680 if I'm wrong, but I think we were now in 0:03:06.680 --> 0:03:11.040 the date that the day and age we're gambling is 0:03:11.160 --> 0:03:16.480 much like dating. It's all online, and there's a novelty 0:03:16.520 --> 0:03:19.480 that going out and meeting a woman grabbing a drink, 0:03:19.919 --> 0:03:23.640 you know, engaging and then obviously asking her out. Like 0:03:23.720 --> 0:03:27.200 there's something to me that's great about when you drive 0:03:27.240 --> 0:03:29.560 to Vegas and you know this, like making the commute 0:03:29.600 --> 0:03:32.680 to Vegas and then you see those towering lights from 0:03:32.720 --> 0:03:36.640 the lux Or and you're like, I'm almost in Sin City, baby, 0:03:37.000 --> 0:03:39.200 And then it's an opportunity to gamble a little bit. 0:03:39.280 --> 0:03:41.320 You get your cops, you get some meals, you get 0:03:41.360 --> 0:03:43.960 some drinks, and lay down some cash but everything now 0:03:44.000 --> 0:03:47.120 is just so automated digitally that you just you forget 0:03:47.160 --> 0:03:48.880 what you're doing and you just let things rip at 0:03:48.920 --> 0:03:50.520 any given time. I don't know you feel about it, 0:03:50.520 --> 0:03:52.400 but that's how I feel now with gambling these days. 0:03:52.880 --> 0:03:54.880 Oh so you don't do online dating? Is that you 0:03:54.920 --> 0:03:59.600 don't do that either? No, you don't know. Don't you know? 0:03:59.640 --> 0:04:02.240 I don't know. It's just for me personally. You feel 0:04:02.280 --> 0:04:05.080 like you you laid you out your particulars. It's like 0:04:05.120 --> 0:04:09.640 a menu I don't want to have. I love the research, right, 0:04:09.680 --> 0:04:12.520 It's like exactly what we do in this profession. It's 0:04:12.560 --> 0:04:15.320 the research. It's it's getting to know somebody. It's getting 0:04:15.320 --> 0:04:18.120 to find out who they're about, what they do, all 0:04:18.160 --> 0:04:21.640 those things, and and having it right before your fingertips 0:04:21.680 --> 0:04:24.400 just by you know, putting you know a location that 0:04:24.520 --> 0:04:28.000 you have in any particulars like race, religion, hair color, 0:04:28.040 --> 0:04:30.800 all that stuff I'm not down for. I love I 0:04:30.880 --> 0:04:32.960 love it. I love going to Vegas for the sheer 0:04:33.000 --> 0:04:35.560 purpose to throw down some coin. Of course, I'm I'm 0:04:35.560 --> 0:04:38.159 big into crabs in blackjack. But of course, when you 0:04:38.200 --> 0:04:40.160 when you look at the sports side of things, going 0:04:40.200 --> 0:04:43.720 to the Venetian and going to Lagasse Stadium and they 0:04:43.760 --> 0:04:46.200 give you they give you comps, they give you drink tickets, 0:04:46.200 --> 0:04:48.320 they give you other comps. Yeah. Yeah, because you know 0:04:48.360 --> 0:04:51.240 you're gonna lose your money. I mean, I I go. 0:04:51.360 --> 0:04:53.320 I love Vegas too, I mean I go all the time. 0:04:53.360 --> 0:04:55.200 But I you know what you are. You're like a 0:04:55.200 --> 0:04:58.080 horse and buggy guy. You're the guy when the automobile 0:04:58.160 --> 0:04:59.760 came around. So you know what, I don't need to 0:05:00.080 --> 0:05:02.200 I'm an old school guy. I like to smell the 0:05:02.200 --> 0:05:05.200 feces of the horse's ass when I'm riding on the horse. 0:05:05.279 --> 0:05:08.159 I like to enjoy that. Uh, you're that guy. You're 0:05:08.200 --> 0:05:10.479 the horse and buggy guest. Gun. You're the guy when 0:05:10.480 --> 0:05:12.680 the microwave came out and said no, I'd rather spend 0:05:12.680 --> 0:05:16.160 more time staring at the stove. You're that guy. You're 0:05:16.240 --> 0:05:19.040 you are today's modern day version of a tesla. Right. 0:05:19.080 --> 0:05:21.960 You don't want to drive. You want some automated vehicle 0:05:22.040 --> 0:05:25.120 to maneuver and put you around to wherever you're at, 0:05:25.200 --> 0:05:28.720 whether it's in Malibu or a Thousand Oaks, or or Calabasas. 0:05:28.760 --> 0:05:31.320 And me, I prefer to cruise of my sixty nine 0:05:31.520 --> 0:05:33.760 Mustang and kind of get toward you to be at 0:05:33.800 --> 0:05:37.760 my own pace. I appreciate that there's something refined about 0:05:37.760 --> 0:05:40.080 what I do and gambling, and if you know, you'd 0:05:40.200 --> 0:05:43.440 find you're I like that you you managed to pat 0:05:43.480 --> 0:05:46.880 yourself on the back when because you know I won't 0:05:47.440 --> 0:05:49.920 and nobody else will, only you will do all right. 0:05:49.920 --> 0:05:52.720 So let's get to some of these prop bets. Dumb, dumb, Okay, 0:05:52.880 --> 0:05:55.640 you can reminisce about the glory days. Go down memory lane, 0:05:56.000 --> 0:05:59.520 the good old days when when the Mob ruled Vegas. 0:05:59.680 --> 0:06:02.440 That did a good job. In when the Mob controlled Vegas. 0:06:02.600 --> 0:06:06.160 You had so many more freebees. Everything was cheaper, you can, 0:06:06.240 --> 0:06:08.640 you got free parking. We gotta get the mob back 0:06:08.680 --> 0:06:10.440 into control of Vegas. That's what we got. Maybe the 0:06:10.520 --> 0:06:13.160 Mexican drug cartels can take over Vegas and everything will 0:06:13.160 --> 0:06:15.760 be free. You've got rooms comped, you got food comp do, 0:06:15.800 --> 0:06:19.600 you got nights outcom for alcohol and dining, the whole 0:06:19.600 --> 0:06:22.479 smash and now and now you're gonna spend hours and 0:06:22.600 --> 0:06:24.640 hours and hours in there, and you have a camera 0:06:24.640 --> 0:06:28.320 above you that rates you on your plates. Bullshit. Be 0:06:28.440 --> 0:06:30.880 sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller Show 0:06:30.920 --> 0:06:34.599 weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific on Fox 0:06:34.640 --> 0:06:38.200 Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio app. No I listen, 0:06:38.240 --> 0:06:40.440 I I agree with you. And plus, you know you 0:06:40.440 --> 0:06:42.599 have to have that little card, the players Club card 0:06:42.680 --> 0:06:44.920 that keeps track of everything. The police state has to 0:06:45.000 --> 0:06:47.360 keep track. And you know, I have friends that work 0:06:47.360 --> 0:06:48.800 at some of the casinos in Vegas, and you know, 0:06:48.880 --> 0:06:50.880 I'm not gonna lie. I mean, I've gotten some freebees 0:06:50.920 --> 0:06:54.200 over the years. Um, just you know whatever. But it's 0:06:54.240 --> 0:06:56.479 not as easy as it used to be. It's not 0:06:56.560 --> 0:06:59.760 as easy. You can't just say, hey, get Mallard a room. No, 0:07:00.000 --> 0:07:02.159 you gotta you know, it's a whole like loop hoops, 0:07:02.160 --> 0:07:04.000 you gotta jump through. Anyway, some of the prop bets 0:07:04.000 --> 0:07:06.160 for this weekend, we're gonna get into these problems. But 0:07:06.480 --> 0:07:08.520 do you waste so much? What if we're gonna get 0:07:08.520 --> 0:07:10.680 into the prop bets for this week, why don't we 0:07:10.720 --> 0:07:13.120 go back to last week to see how you did? 0:07:13.200 --> 0:07:16.280 I mean, is not fair to the audience that well, though, 0:07:16.320 --> 0:07:18.200 we're gonna do that before we pick the games. If 0:07:18.240 --> 0:07:21.160 we have time, we might not have time because you 0:07:21.240 --> 0:07:23.640 have an event you have to go to, and so 0:07:23.680 --> 0:07:26.800 we're unlimited time here, and so we must get to this. 0:07:26.840 --> 0:07:29.960 But you hear the profits. So Derrick Henry, who's been 0:07:30.000 --> 0:07:35.240 the super nova for Tennessee, is the profit is rushing 0:07:35.320 --> 0:07:39.160 yards for Derrick Henry over a hundred eighty yards? Will 0:07:39.160 --> 0:07:41.360 Henry run for over a hundred eighty yards? If you 0:07:41.440 --> 0:07:45.760 say no, that is minus one thousand, minus one thousand 0:07:45.840 --> 0:07:49.360 on that. If you say yes, it's plus five hundred. 0:07:50.400 --> 0:07:54.520 So the only way Tennessee can win this game plausibly 0:07:55.560 --> 0:07:57.920 is for Henry to go to about a d eighty yards. 0:07:58.000 --> 0:08:01.400 But I'm not gonna you would have to be a 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:04.080 fool to say yes on that, although you get better 0:08:04.280 --> 0:08:07.360 better odds. Obviously, I am gonna say that he does 0:08:07.400 --> 0:08:10.800 not get over a hundred yards, So I'm gonna mark 0:08:10.880 --> 0:08:14.320 me down for no on that particular prop. Chock mallard 0:08:14.640 --> 0:08:18.400 minus one thousand. Okay, Now, is that the penny gonna 0:08:18.440 --> 0:08:20.640 pick this? Or you? Maybe you can pick this guest 0:08:20.840 --> 0:08:23.080 on that way? Oh, the penny is gonna How goody 0:08:23.160 --> 0:08:25.520 the penny's gonna pick? How exciting is it? This? Look 0:08:25.640 --> 0:08:29.520 up and she says, Derrick Henry, yes, plus five hundred, 0:08:29.600 --> 0:08:33.160 put him down, plus five hundred. Put it on the board. Yeah, 0:08:33.559 --> 0:08:37.000 don't be stealing my material. Okay, I already stole it 0:08:37.000 --> 0:08:38.920 from Hot Carrolson. You don't need to steal it from 0:08:38.960 --> 0:08:42.240 me now. But I am not gonna gonna take the 0:08:42.640 --> 0:08:44.199 as I said, I'm not gonna say he's gonna go 0:08:44.240 --> 0:08:45.800 for over a hundred I think you have a hundred 0:08:45.800 --> 0:08:49.160 and fifty five yards. How about that, Ryan Tannehill, here's 0:08:49.200 --> 0:08:51.319 a good one. Will he throw for under a hundred 0:08:51.400 --> 0:08:55.800 yards and then win and Tennessee win the game? Now, 0:08:55.840 --> 0:08:58.560 this has been a tradition here late for the Titans. 0:08:58.600 --> 0:09:02.560 In these playoff games. Tannehill is not used much at all. 0:09:02.720 --> 0:09:07.040 He's just kind of hanging around, hanging around, uh and 0:09:07.120 --> 0:09:11.120 all that. Uh So, no is minus three thousand and 0:09:11.160 --> 0:09:15.400 if you're not a gambler, that implies a ninety six 0:09:16.040 --> 0:09:22.000 percent chance chance almost ninety seven percent, that that this 0:09:22.040 --> 0:09:26.520 will will not happen, that that this is not gonna happen. 0:09:26.480 --> 0:09:29.760 I would throw a couple of bucks down on yes, 0:09:29.760 --> 0:09:33.000 because I think if Tannehill goes over a hundred yards passing, 0:09:33.400 --> 0:09:36.000 Tennessee likely will not be able to win the game, 0:09:36.400 --> 0:09:38.959 meaning he will f this game up. He will throw 0:09:39.160 --> 0:09:43.040 interceptions and be a disaster. But um, I'm not gonna 0:09:43.080 --> 0:09:44.960 bet on yes, because that's a sucker's play. Even at 0:09:44.960 --> 0:09:48.000 plus fifteen hundred, I mean hundred yards you can get 0:09:48.040 --> 0:09:51.680 in a half or a quarter, you know, a decent quarterback. 0:09:52.280 --> 0:09:54.040 But I'm gonna take no Ones. I'm again, I'm gonna 0:09:54.040 --> 0:09:56.880 go no. I'm gonna go chalk minus three thousand on Tanning. 0:09:59.240 --> 0:10:01.240 Penny will agree with you on that one, minus three 0:10:01.240 --> 0:10:04.160 thousand on No. Alright, So the same concept on this prop, 0:10:04.240 --> 0:10:06.840 bet on Benny versus the penny, which will be higher 0:10:07.000 --> 0:10:12.520 Ryan Tannehill's passing yards or Derrick Henry's rushing yards. That 0:10:13.520 --> 0:10:17.240 is a good one, right, Tannehill's minus three fifty and 0:10:17.480 --> 0:10:20.600 Henry because you obviously is easier to get passing yards. Uh, 0:10:20.600 --> 0:10:24.400 Derrick Henry's plus two five. I'm gonna take Henry on this. 0:10:25.600 --> 0:10:28.440 I'm gonna take Henry. Tennessee is not gonna change what 0:10:28.520 --> 0:10:30.400 they've done. Mike Rabel is not going to change the 0:10:30.440 --> 0:10:32.800 game plan here. You don't reinvent the wheel. It's working. 0:10:33.559 --> 0:10:37.160 It's just human conditions. So I'm going with Henry. Henry 0:10:37.200 --> 0:10:39.600 is gonna have a hundred and fifty five something yards 0:10:39.600 --> 0:10:42.000 and they're just gonna play keep away. And you know 0:10:42.280 --> 0:10:44.439 a few short passes, but there they'll mix the running 0:10:44.480 --> 0:10:48.640 backs up. So I'll take Henry it plus plus two five. 0:10:48.760 --> 0:10:52.760 The odds should actually be little higher than that. But 0:10:53.000 --> 0:10:55.000 Penny is going the other way with Tannehill. This isn't 0:10:55.040 --> 0:10:57.600 Peyton Manning two thousand fifteen. He can throw the ball 0:10:57.600 --> 0:11:00.680 down the field. They don't throw He's attempt twenty nine 0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:03.480 passes in two games. That's just because of how the 0:11:03.559 --> 0:11:05.920 defense is playing them in the first couple of rounds. 0:11:06.240 --> 0:11:08.280 And you think they're gonna change it in this game, 0:11:08.280 --> 0:11:11.240 of course, not pcent. All right, what are some of 0:11:11.280 --> 0:11:13.640 the other Most of these props are about the Tennessee 0:11:13.720 --> 0:11:16.559 Kansas City game. Let's see, let me just find another 0:11:16.640 --> 0:11:19.240 good one. Well, Kansas City score fifty or more points? 0:11:19.760 --> 0:11:24.760 No is minus a thousand, plus is plus five hundred 0:11:24.800 --> 0:11:27.680 on yes? Rather yes this plus five? Well, no, they're 0:11:27.679 --> 0:11:30.800 not gonna score fifty points in this game. Uh, not 0:11:30.840 --> 0:11:34.200 gonna happen. That's very rare. Once in a blue moon 0:11:34.320 --> 0:11:37.240 does that happen. So I will take no on Kansas 0:11:37.280 --> 0:11:42.160 City scoring fifty points or more. Penny is an agreement 0:11:42.200 --> 0:11:44.800 with you on that one. No to fifty al right, Well, 0:11:44.840 --> 0:11:49.000 Tyreek Hill have a reception of over fifty yards in 0:11:49.320 --> 0:11:52.880 this game, I know is minus five. Yes is plus 0:11:52.920 --> 0:11:57.640 three hundred. I'm gonna go yes, he's so fast, he's 0:11:57.679 --> 0:12:01.480 he's uh speedy Gonzalez out there. We're miss saying the monologue. 0:12:01.520 --> 0:12:04.320 This wee's like, it's like the auto bon with Tyreek Hills. 0:12:04.360 --> 0:12:05.840 I think he will. I want to go yes, and 0:12:05.880 --> 0:12:08.600 there's value in that. Make a couple of bucks. I'll 0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:13.640 go yes, that's a really good one. Anything to go 0:12:13.720 --> 0:12:15.720 with you to see we're doing prop bets is what 0:12:15.720 --> 0:12:18.040 we're doing. We're do these actual prop bets. Here's when 0:12:18.080 --> 0:12:21.600 the Niners defense has been ridiculously good. Here very very 0:12:21.600 --> 0:12:27.120 good over under sacks for your Nick Bosa and the 0:12:27.240 --> 0:12:32.960 Niners over three total sacks, under three total sacks. Over 0:12:33.520 --> 0:12:39.079 is minus one forty. Under is plus one hundred. So 0:12:39.240 --> 0:12:41.800 I don't know how you bet the under. I know 0:12:41.880 --> 0:12:44.320 you win the under until they go over. But the 0:12:44.360 --> 0:12:46.559 way the Niners defense is played, combined with the I 0:12:46.679 --> 0:12:49.000 don't think the Packers are all that great. So I 0:12:49.000 --> 0:12:53.240 I would take the over three and and again minus 0:12:53.240 --> 0:12:54.880 one forty. I'm going with the chalk on this, but 0:12:54.920 --> 0:13:00.280 I would I would do that, not about shocking the swan. 0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:03.160 Penny's going the other way with under three and a half. 0:13:03.440 --> 0:13:05.760 Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller 0:13:05.840 --> 0:13:09.480 Show weekdays at two am eastern pm Pacific. Now I 0:13:09.520 --> 0:13:11.960 look forward to next week on Benny Versus the Penny 0:13:11.960 --> 0:13:16.040 because the real solid prop beds. Boy, are you know 0:13:16.040 --> 0:13:18.040 the leading up to the I guess we won't actually 0:13:18.040 --> 0:13:19.480 have Benny Versus the Penny. Next week will be the 0:13:19.520 --> 0:13:22.280 week after I thought you're gonna start gambling on the 0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:25.600 Pro Bowl. Well, I mean we have to kill some time, 0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:28.320 and we will. We have to get a second podcast 0:13:28.360 --> 0:13:30.800 out during the week. Maybe we'll do that, but do 0:13:30.880 --> 0:13:33.840 not do not plan on doing that. But the the 0:13:33.840 --> 0:13:36.160 other thing before we did get to the actual games, 0:13:36.440 --> 0:13:38.679 which is why people are here. So the odds are 0:13:38.679 --> 0:13:42.800 out on the hypothetical theoretical Super Bowl matchups. Right, there's 0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.400 only a limited number of possibilities. There's four teams left, 0:13:46.160 --> 0:13:50.080 So what would the points spread be on each matchup? Now, 0:13:50.160 --> 0:13:53.679 let's say the chalk one out that the Niners and 0:13:53.840 --> 0:13:57.360 Chiefs play in Miami in the Super Bowl. Did you 0:13:57.360 --> 0:13:58.920 see this gas gun? Did you see what the point 0:13:58.960 --> 0:14:01.280 spread is? No? But you didn't all make an educated 0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:04.360 guess a right to be San Francisco minus two and 0:14:04.360 --> 0:14:06.520 a half. So you think the Niners would be a 0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:08.040 two and a half point favorite over the Chiefs in 0:14:08.040 --> 0:14:13.360 that matchup? No, according to super Book USA, the Chiefs 0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:16.680 would the game would be a pick up, the game 0:14:16.720 --> 0:14:18.440 would be a pick um, and the total in the 0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:21.560 game would be fifty and a half, which that seems 0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:23.800 like low to me with the Chiefs offense and whatnot, 0:14:23.880 --> 0:14:26.400 But they that's what they're They've they claimed the line 0:14:26.400 --> 0:14:29.200 will be We'll see if that's true, depending on injury. 0:14:29.520 --> 0:14:31.560 One other matter. We've got three other possible matchups. You 0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:33.000 want to go through the three? Here, what the point 0:14:33.040 --> 0:14:37.720 spread would be Tennessee Green Bay, Tennessee green Bay? What 0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:41.320 do you think the line would be? Green Bay minus four? No, 0:14:41.640 --> 0:14:45.000 green Bay only minus one and a half. The total 0:14:45.080 --> 0:14:47.160 would only be forty four on that game, so they 0:14:47.200 --> 0:14:49.280 would they would expect not many points. So what are 0:14:49.280 --> 0:14:51.760 the other match of pat Packers Chiefs? Yeah, I think 0:14:51.800 --> 0:14:55.960 that would be Kansas City minus seven. Well, you should 0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:57.800 bet on Kansas City then if that happens, But it's 0:14:57.920 --> 0:15:00.560 the Chiefs are favored in the hypothetical matchup. They'll be 0:15:00.640 --> 0:15:03.200 favored by four and a half over Aaron Rodgers and 0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:07.800 the Packers in that Super Bowl one and the rematch, 0:15:07.880 --> 0:15:10.120 and then the last possibly the forty Niners and the 0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:12.360 tightness if Tennessee goes into Arrowhead and wins and the 0:15:12.480 --> 0:15:18.120 Niners molly wop the team from Green Bay. The line up, 0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:19.400 what do you think the line would be on forty 0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:22.720 Niners tight San Francisco minor six with a total of 0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:26.600 like forty two, You're pretty close. The Niners would be 0:15:26.840 --> 0:15:30.440 minus five and a half over Tennessee and the total 0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:33.160 will be forty four. So it's in that same area. 0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:35.560 Who do you like? I mean, amongst the four teams 0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:40.200 that are left, who do you like the most? I 0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:42.480 like the chief so I don't love their divas. I 0:15:42.520 --> 0:15:44.720 like the Chief so I love the Chiefs offense. And 0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:48.280 I'd like to see Mahomes in the in the Super Bowl. 0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:50.080 That'd be kind of cool. I was at the gym 0:15:50.120 --> 0:15:53.920 earlier today and on three TVs. One of them showed 0:15:53.920 --> 0:15:56.720 the a f C Championship game from last year, another 0:15:56.760 --> 0:15:59.640 TV showed the Divisional round from last week, and then 0:15:59.680 --> 0:16:03.400 another one was showing him at Texas Tech. I forget 0:16:03.440 --> 0:16:06.720 what game it was, but all Mahomes all day. It's 0:16:07.000 --> 0:16:10.160 said the Jim Alzato was awesome. It was kind of nauseating. 0:16:10.200 --> 0:16:11.960 But yeah, I'd love to see my Homes versus San 0:16:11.960 --> 0:16:15.320 Francisco's defense. Remember last year in the NFC Championship game, 0:16:15.360 --> 0:16:18.240 the game went to overtime, the Chiefs put up thirty 0:16:18.280 --> 0:16:22.520 one points. Mahomes had three touchdowns and no interceptions. He 0:16:22.520 --> 0:16:24.560 he was you know, he wasn't great. He had he 0:16:24.600 --> 0:16:28.160 had a fair amount of incompletions in the game. I 0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:30.480 think he was about fifty percent passing or something like that, 0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:32.600 I remember, but he was right around three hundred yards 0:16:32.600 --> 0:16:34.720 and three touchdowns. Yeah, well, don't forget it was fourteen 0:16:34.760 --> 0:16:36.560 nothing new England at the end of the first half. 0:16:36.800 --> 0:16:39.840 So yeah, so yeah, yeah, yeah, I mean he played 0:16:40.120 --> 0:16:42.720 in the second half of that game. He he went 0:16:43.120 --> 0:16:48.000 two turbo time. I can't even say it's good. It's 0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:49.960 a bad job. And didn't you yeah, I think you 0:16:50.120 --> 0:16:52.560 last year you had in Benny versus A Penny, all 0:16:52.560 --> 0:16:59.760 said Kansas City. So um, Penny had But what was 0:16:59.800 --> 0:17:02.360 this a random flip here? What happened? Penny had the 0:17:02.360 --> 0:17:04.600 Patriots last year in the NC Championship. Okay, all right, 0:17:04.680 --> 0:17:06.560 let's get through the actual games here. It is the 0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:09.680 Benny Versus the Penny podcast, which will not be along geated, 0:17:09.960 --> 0:17:13.959 will not be along good. Alright. So the early game 0:17:14.200 --> 0:17:18.840 on Sunday Championship Sunday Tennessee now eleven and seven, including 0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:22.000 the playoffs from the ANFC South and Kansas City thirteen 0:17:22.080 --> 0:17:24.520 and four from the a f C West. It's on 0:17:24.760 --> 0:17:29.520 CBS with Jim Nance and Tony Romo on the call. Now, 0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:34.840 the Chiefs opened a seven and a half point favorite, 0:17:34.960 --> 0:17:38.400 seven and a half point favorite for Kansas City. And uh, 0:17:38.480 --> 0:17:40.560 let's get the updated number. I gonna click a couple 0:17:40.560 --> 0:17:43.720 of buttons here because it's all everything's online here and 0:17:43.800 --> 0:17:47.560 see where the numbers are. Uh and uh, let's see 0:17:47.600 --> 0:17:51.240 here the line has it's at seven now, so the 0:17:51.320 --> 0:17:55.720 Chiefs minus seven. That's the current line. Where's the money 0:17:55.840 --> 0:18:01.040 at It's about about six of the wagers are on 0:18:01.119 --> 0:18:05.159 the home team, Kansas City in this game minus seven 0:18:05.200 --> 0:18:08.119 after what they did to Houston last week. It'll be 0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:12.879 sunny twenty one degrees at kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium. I 0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:16.200 am going to take the Tennessee Titans plus the points 0:18:16.600 --> 0:18:19.240 in this game now. And here's why. A if it's 0:18:19.280 --> 0:18:21.120 not broke, you don't fix it, right, that's the old line. 0:18:21.160 --> 0:18:23.800 We all learned that growing up. Mike Rabel has cooked 0:18:23.920 --> 0:18:27.280 up a winning formula in recent weeks. The Titans are 0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:31.120 going to try to ride the express train of Derrick Henry. 0:18:31.200 --> 0:18:34.280 That's gonna be. They're gonna ride or die with Derrick 0:18:34.320 --> 0:18:37.160 Henry here. It's a very straightforward game plan. There's not 0:18:37.240 --> 0:18:40.640 any deception. If Ray will learn from Belichick, you don't 0:18:40.640 --> 0:18:43.840 do the funny business. The same things that won football 0:18:43.920 --> 0:18:47.840 games forty years ago still win football games today. Tennessee 0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:50.960 is gonna try to play the four corners offense, keep 0:18:51.040 --> 0:18:55.840 the ball away, slow the game down because if this 0:18:55.920 --> 0:18:58.959 is a grinder game, okay, if this is a grinder 0:18:59.000 --> 0:19:02.640 game long with thodical drives a lot of third down conversions, 0:19:02.680 --> 0:19:06.080 every second is so precious for the Titans because they 0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:10.000 don't have the firepower of Kansas City, and you you 0:19:10.080 --> 0:19:12.919 gotta keep that Chief's offense, which is like a fire 0:19:13.000 --> 0:19:15.960 hose of playmakers off the field as long as you can. 0:19:16.440 --> 0:19:20.000 Armageddon for Tennessee would obviously be of the Chiefs jump 0:19:20.000 --> 0:19:22.919 out to an early fourteen nothing lead, uh, something like that, 0:19:23.000 --> 0:19:26.280 and that that forces Ryan Tannehill into the center of 0:19:26.320 --> 0:19:29.879 the ring and that ain't gonna go. Well, you have 0:19:29.920 --> 0:19:33.160 to be mentally deranged to to want to put your 0:19:33.160 --> 0:19:37.200 money on Tannehill trailing early and have to to lead 0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:40.560 Tennessee back. Now, is that the flukey things happened? Maybe 0:19:40.600 --> 0:19:42.520 he could, but I ain't betting on that. So I 0:19:42.560 --> 0:19:44.720 think this. They obviously keep part of the whole game, 0:19:44.760 --> 0:19:48.720 but early in the game Tennessee to establish himself. Now, 0:19:49.080 --> 0:19:52.080 U Tannehill has been a useful idiot. He has been 0:19:52.119 --> 0:19:56.240 a decoy and the place I mentioned twenty nine pass attempts. 0:19:56.840 --> 0:20:00.159 In terms of defense, the Titans, they don't have have 0:20:00.480 --> 0:20:03.080 the sex appeal. There's not any real big names on there. 0:20:03.119 --> 0:20:05.359 You know. Of all the teams left, the Niners have 0:20:05.440 --> 0:20:08.879 the big names on defense, but Tennessee has bunker down. 0:20:09.320 --> 0:20:12.920 They're allowing just thirteen points per game the last three weeks, 0:20:12.960 --> 0:20:16.439 all of those games against playoff opponents. Now that obviously 0:20:16.440 --> 0:20:19.680 the last two against Baltimore and New England. They also 0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:22.320 did a very good job last game of the regular 0:20:22.320 --> 0:20:27.159 season against the Houston Texans, and so they've also been 0:20:27.200 --> 0:20:29.800 the beneficiary. I'm not gonna hide from it. There's been 0:20:29.840 --> 0:20:32.880 a lot of mistakes by the Patriots and the Ravens, 0:20:33.359 --> 0:20:35.720 and how much of that is because of good football 0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:38.320 from Tennessee and how much of that is just sloppy 0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:42.360 football from the opposition. But the word here is opportunistic. 0:20:42.720 --> 0:20:45.800 The Titans have been an opportunistic defense. And does that 0:20:45.840 --> 0:20:48.159 continue here We're gonna find out now. Part B of 0:20:48.200 --> 0:20:54.720 this Patrick Mahomes, who had another magnum opus last week 0:20:54.760 --> 0:20:58.399 against the Texans. This is another opportunity for him to 0:20:58.920 --> 0:21:02.440 lead Andy read Like and carry him on his back 0:21:02.520 --> 0:21:05.440 like a sack of potatoes back to the super Bowl. 0:21:05.560 --> 0:21:10.280 The Chiefs have no excuse, no excuse here. They lose 0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:14.359 this game, they will be destroyed. They should be destroyed. 0:21:14.400 --> 0:21:18.640 They've got the creature comforts of home, home, cooking, your sleep, 0:21:18.720 --> 0:21:20.480 number bed. You don't have to steal none of that 0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:25.200 other stuff. Uber talented offense, right, uber talented offense, better 0:21:25.359 --> 0:21:30.639 team top to bottom, talent wise, more experienced, seasoned head coach, 0:21:30.720 --> 0:21:34.600 if that matters. Also, they don't have to play Tom 0:21:34.640 --> 0:21:39.000 Brady on the other side and Bill Belichick. They're playing 0:21:39.040 --> 0:21:42.359