1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,960 Speaker 1: Here you go. I was born ready. Oh Jesus, there 2 00:00:04,000 --> 00:00:09,119 Speaker 1: we go. Ah see, you're not even ready, man, What 3 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: the fuck? Welcome players, You're welcome. It's time now penny 4 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 1: versus the penny that it is as this the championship 5 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 1: weekend in the NFL and today, Hey, we're back on 6 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 1: the amazing podcast The Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard eight 7 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 1: podcast dedicated. This entire podcast dedityated to two games. Two games, I, 8 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:41,839 Speaker 1: of course the piro of many, and then we have 9 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 1: the coin represented by or the penny here David Gascon 10 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 1: affectionately known on Social pro effectually known on social media 11 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 1: is David Gagon and bro verk Satti there and so 12 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: since we only have two games, gast and I had 13 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: a brilliant idea here to look at some of the 14 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 1: other gambling news I've prop bets, you know, kill some 15 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:09,400 Speaker 1: more time. Why not before we actually get to handicapping 16 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:13,320 Speaker 1: the championship games this weekend. Exotics says they would call it. 17 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 1: You feel good about that? Uh? Well, I know that 18 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 1: some prop bets are money making opportunities. Others are a 19 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: sucker's place. You have to pick and shoes. You have 20 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: to be selective on what you do. But before we 21 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 1: get to those, even did you see the sports books 22 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 1: in New Jersey? The numbers came out this week that 23 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: the books in Jersey one almost three hundred million dollars 24 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:40,560 Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen. They're doing the accounting. The bean counters 25 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:45,039 Speaker 1: are taking over and they they really are the penny 26 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: that is that is amazing. Now is that just NFL 27 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: action or is that including college football as well? That 28 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 1: includes everything. That's the entire handle for the sports books 29 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 1: and the amazing. I was talking to some in Vegas 30 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 1: that I noticed in the gambling business, and they were 31 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 1: telling me that it's you know, it's not even close 32 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: that even though everyone and I grew up with Vegas 33 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 1: being the gambling mecca of the world, because there's so 34 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 1: many more people that are close right there in the 35 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:16,359 Speaker 1: New York, New Jersey metropolitan area, the Tri state area 36 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: also with Connecticut over there and whatnot, and and uh, 37 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 1: they will be the biggest gambling state, you know, until 38 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:27,079 Speaker 1: New York adds sports gambling, which with their politicians, god 39 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: knows when that's gonna be. But New Jersey, Uh, there 40 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 1: was four point five billion uh that was bet in 41 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: in last season. Most of it was on football is 42 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 1: almost almost a billion dollars on football. Basketball was actually 43 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,920 Speaker 1: a little bit, just a little bit behind that, and 44 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 1: then baseball was further down by like a couple hundred million, uh. 45 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 1: And a lot of people bet parlays, a lot of 46 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 1: like the they've noticed here that people love because like 47 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:56,240 Speaker 1: playing a lottery ticket, but you have to get all 48 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: three ride or you know, two or three or whatever 49 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: it is. But yeah, it's unfortunate too because and I 50 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: don't know how you feel about this, and correct me 51 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 1: if I'm wrong, but I think we were now in 52 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: the date that the day and age we're gambling is 53 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 1: much like dating. It's all online, and there's a novelty 54 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 1: that going out and meeting a woman grabbing a drink, 55 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:23,640 Speaker 1: you know, engaging and then obviously asking her out. Like 56 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 1: there's something to me that's great about when you drive 57 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:29,560 Speaker 1: to Vegas and you know this, like making the commute 58 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 1: to Vegas and then you see those towering lights from 59 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 1: the lux Or and you're like, I'm almost in Sin City, baby, 60 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: And then it's an opportunity to gamble a little bit. 61 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: You get your cops, you get some meals, you get 62 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: some drinks, and lay down some cash but everything now 63 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 1: is just so automated digitally that you just you forget 64 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 1: what you're doing and you just let things rip at 65 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 1: any given time. I don't know you feel about it, 66 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 1: but that's how I feel now with gambling these days. 67 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 1: Oh so you don't do online dating? Is that you 68 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: don't do that either? No, you don't know. Don't you know? 69 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 1: I don't know. It's just for me personally. You feel 70 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: like you you laid you out your particulars. It's like 71 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:09,640 Speaker 1: a menu I don't want to have. I love the research, right, 72 00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 1: It's like exactly what we do in this profession. It's 73 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 1: the research. It's it's getting to know somebody. It's getting 74 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 1: to find out who they're about, what they do, all 75 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 1: those things, and and having it right before your fingertips 76 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 1: just by you know, putting you know a location that 77 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: you have in any particulars like race, religion, hair color, 78 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: all that stuff I'm not down for. I love I 79 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: love it. I love going to Vegas for the sheer 80 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 1: purpose to throw down some coin. Of course, I'm I'm 81 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,159 Speaker 1: big into crabs in blackjack. But of course, when you 82 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:40,160 Speaker 1: when you look at the sports side of things, going 83 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 1: to the Venetian and going to Lagasse Stadium and they 84 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 1: give you they give you comps, they give you drink tickets, 85 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 1: they give you other comps. Yeah. Yeah, because you know 86 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 1: you're gonna lose your money. I mean, I I go. 87 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 1: I love Vegas too, I mean I go all the time. 88 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 1: But I you know what you are. You're like a 89 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 1: horse and buggy guy. You're the guy when the automobile 90 00:04:58,160 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: came around. So you know what, I don't need to 91 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 1: I'm an old school guy. I like to smell the 92 00:05:02,200 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 1: feces of the horse's ass when I'm riding on the horse. 93 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:08,159 Speaker 1: I like to enjoy that. Uh, you're that guy. You're 94 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:10,479 Speaker 1: the horse and buggy guest. Gun. You're the guy when 95 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 1: the microwave came out and said no, I'd rather spend 96 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 1: more time staring at the stove. You're that guy. You're 97 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 1: you are today's modern day version of a tesla. Right. 98 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 1: You don't want to drive. You want some automated vehicle 99 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 1: to maneuver and put you around to wherever you're at, 100 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:28,720 Speaker 1: whether it's in Malibu or a Thousand Oaks, or or Calabasas. 101 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 1: And me, I prefer to cruise of my sixty nine 102 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: Mustang and kind of get toward you to be at 103 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:37,760 Speaker 1: my own pace. I appreciate that there's something refined about 104 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 1: what I do and gambling, and if you know, you'd 105 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: find you're I like that you you managed to pat 106 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 1: yourself on the back when because you know I won't 107 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,920 Speaker 1: and nobody else will, only you will do all right. 108 00:05:49,920 --> 00:05:52,720 Speaker 1: So let's get to some of these prop bets. Dumb, dumb, Okay, 109 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 1: you can reminisce about the glory days. Go down memory lane, 110 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 1: the good old days when when the Mob ruled Vegas. 111 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 1: That did a good job. In when the Mob controlled Vegas. 112 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:06,160 Speaker 1: You had so many more freebees. Everything was cheaper, you can, 113 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 1: you got free parking. We gotta get the mob back 114 00:06:08,680 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: into control of Vegas. That's what we got. Maybe the 115 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 1: Mexican drug cartels can take over Vegas and everything will 116 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 1: be free. You've got rooms comped, you got food comp do, 117 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:19,600 Speaker 1: you got nights outcom for alcohol and dining, the whole 118 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:22,479 Speaker 1: smash and now and now you're gonna spend hours and 119 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:24,640 Speaker 1: hours and hours in there, and you have a camera 120 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 1: above you that rates you on your plates. Bullshit. Be 121 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 1: sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller Show 122 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:34,599 Speaker 1: weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific on Fox 123 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 1: Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio app. No I listen, 124 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 1: I I agree with you. And plus, you know you 125 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 1: have to have that little card, the players Club card 126 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 1: that keeps track of everything. The police state has to 127 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 1: keep track. And you know, I have friends that work 128 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 1: at some of the casinos in Vegas, and you know, 129 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:50,880 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie. I mean, I've gotten some freebees 130 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 1: over the years. Um, just you know whatever. But it's 131 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:56,479 Speaker 1: not as easy as it used to be. It's not 132 00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 1: as easy. You can't just say, hey, get Mallard a room. No, 133 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 1: you gotta you know, it's a whole like loop hoops, 134 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: you gotta jump through. Anyway, some of the prop bets 135 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 1: for this weekend, we're gonna get into these problems. But 136 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 1: do you waste so much? What if we're gonna get 137 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:10,680 Speaker 1: into the prop bets for this week, why don't we 138 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 1: go back to last week to see how you did? 139 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:16,280 Speaker 1: I mean, is not fair to the audience that well, though, 140 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 1: we're gonna do that before we pick the games. If 141 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:21,160 Speaker 1: we have time, we might not have time because you 142 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: have an event you have to go to, and so 143 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:26,800 Speaker 1: we're unlimited time here, and so we must get to this. 144 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 1: But you hear the profits. So Derrick Henry, who's been 145 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:35,240 Speaker 1: the super nova for Tennessee, is the profit is rushing 146 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:39,160 Speaker 1: yards for Derrick Henry over a hundred eighty yards? Will 147 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 1: Henry run for over a hundred eighty yards? If you 148 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 1: say no, that is minus one thousand, minus one thousand 149 00:07:45,840 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 1: on that. If you say yes, it's plus five hundred. 150 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 1: So the only way Tennessee can win this game plausibly 151 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 1: is for Henry to go to about a d eighty yards. 152 00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 1: But I'm not gonna you would have to be a 153 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:04,080 Speaker 1: fool to say yes on that, although you get better 154 00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: better odds. Obviously, I am gonna say that he does 155 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 1: not get over a hundred yards, So I'm gonna mark 156 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:14,320 Speaker 1: me down for no on that particular prop. Chock mallard 157 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 1: minus one thousand. Okay, Now, is that the penny gonna 158 00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 1: pick this? Or you? Maybe you can pick this guest 159 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 1: on that way? Oh, the penny is gonna How goody 160 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: the penny's gonna pick? How exciting is it? This? Look 161 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 1: up and she says, Derrick Henry, yes, plus five hundred, 162 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 1: put him down, plus five hundred. Put it on the board. Yeah, 163 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:37,000 Speaker 1: don't be stealing my material. Okay, I already stole it 164 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 1: from Hot Carrolson. You don't need to steal it from 165 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:42,240 Speaker 1: me now. But I am not gonna gonna take the 166 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:44,199 Speaker 1: as I said, I'm not gonna say he's gonna go 167 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 1: for over a hundred I think you have a hundred 168 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 1: and fifty five yards. How about that, Ryan Tannehill, here's 169 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:51,319 Speaker 1: a good one. Will he throw for under a hundred 170 00:08:51,400 --> 00:08:55,800 Speaker 1: yards and then win and Tennessee win the game? Now, 171 00:08:55,840 --> 00:08:58,560 Speaker 1: this has been a tradition here late for the Titans. 172 00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:02,560 Speaker 1: In these playoff games. Tannehill is not used much at all. 173 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 1: He's just kind of hanging around, hanging around, uh and 174 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 1: all that. Uh So, no is minus three thousand and 175 00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 1: if you're not a gambler, that implies a ninety six 176 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:22,000 Speaker 1: percent chance chance almost ninety seven percent, that that this 177 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 1: will will not happen, that that this is not gonna happen. 178 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 1: I would throw a couple of bucks down on yes, 179 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 1: because I think if Tannehill goes over a hundred yards passing, 180 00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: Tennessee likely will not be able to win the game, 181 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,959 Speaker 1: meaning he will f this game up. He will throw 182 00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: interceptions and be a disaster. But um, I'm not gonna 183 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:44,960 Speaker 1: bet on yes, because that's a sucker's play. Even at 184 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:48,000 Speaker 1: plus fifteen hundred, I mean hundred yards you can get 185 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:51,680 Speaker 1: in a half or a quarter, you know, a decent quarterback. 186 00:09:52,280 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna take no Ones. I'm again, I'm gonna 187 00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 1: go no. I'm gonna go chalk minus three thousand on Tanning. 188 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:01,240 Speaker 1: Penny will agree with you on that one, minus three 189 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 1: thousand on No. Alright, So the same concept on this prop, 190 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 1: bet on Benny versus the penny, which will be higher 191 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill's passing yards or Derrick Henry's rushing yards. That 192 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 1: is a good one, right, Tannehill's minus three fifty and 193 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 1: Henry because you obviously is easier to get passing yards. Uh, 194 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 1: Derrick Henry's plus two five. I'm gonna take Henry on this. 195 00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:28,440 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Henry. Tennessee is not gonna change what 196 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 1: they've done. Mike Rabel is not going to change the 197 00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 1: game plan here. You don't reinvent the wheel. It's working. 198 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 1: It's just human conditions. So I'm going with Henry. Henry 199 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:39,600 Speaker 1: is gonna have a hundred and fifty five something yards 200 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 1: and they're just gonna play keep away. And you know 201 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:44,439 Speaker 1: a few short passes, but there they'll mix the running 202 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:48,640 Speaker 1: backs up. So I'll take Henry it plus plus two five. 203 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 1: The odds should actually be little higher than that. But 204 00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:55,000 Speaker 1: Penny is going the other way with Tannehill. This isn't 205 00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 1: Peyton Manning two thousand fifteen. He can throw the ball 206 00:10:57,600 --> 00:11:00,680 Speaker 1: down the field. They don't throw He's attempt twenty nine 207 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: passes in two games. That's just because of how the 208 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 1: defense is playing them in the first couple of rounds. 209 00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 1: And you think they're gonna change it in this game, 210 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 1: of course, not pcent. All right, what are some of 211 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:13,640 Speaker 1: the other Most of these props are about the Tennessee 212 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:16,559 Speaker 1: Kansas City game. Let's see, let me just find another 213 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 1: good one. Well, Kansas City score fifty or more points? 214 00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 1: No is minus a thousand, plus is plus five hundred 215 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:27,680 Speaker 1: on yes? Rather yes this plus five? Well, no, they're 216 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 1: not gonna score fifty points in this game. Uh, not 217 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:34,200 Speaker 1: gonna happen. That's very rare. Once in a blue moon 218 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 1: does that happen. So I will take no on Kansas 219 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 1: City scoring fifty points or more. Penny is an agreement 220 00:11:42,200 --> 00:11:44,800 Speaker 1: with you on that one. No to fifty al right, Well, 221 00:11:44,840 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill have a reception of over fifty yards in 222 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:52,880 Speaker 1: this game, I know is minus five. Yes is plus 223 00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:57,640 Speaker 1: three hundred. I'm gonna go yes, he's so fast, he's 224 00:11:57,679 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 1: he's uh speedy Gonzalez out there. We're miss saying the monologue. 225 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:04,320 Speaker 1: This wee's like, it's like the auto bon with Tyreek Hills. 226 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:05,840 Speaker 1: I think he will. I want to go yes, and 227 00:12:05,880 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 1: there's value in that. Make a couple of bucks. I'll 228 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:13,640 Speaker 1: go yes, that's a really good one. Anything to go 229 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:15,720 Speaker 1: with you to see we're doing prop bets is what 230 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,040 Speaker 1: we're doing. We're do these actual prop bets. Here's when 231 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 1: the Niners defense has been ridiculously good. Here very very 232 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 1: good over under sacks for your Nick Bosa and the 233 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 1: Niners over three total sacks, under three total sacks. Over 234 00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:39,079 Speaker 1: is minus one forty. Under is plus one hundred. So 235 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 1: I don't know how you bet the under. I know 236 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:44,320 Speaker 1: you win the under until they go over. But the 237 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:46,559 Speaker 1: way the Niners defense is played, combined with the I 238 00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 1: don't think the Packers are all that great. So I 239 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 1: I would take the over three and and again minus 240 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:54,880 Speaker 1: one forty. I'm going with the chalk on this, but 241 00:12:54,920 --> 00:13:00,280 Speaker 1: I would I would do that, not about shocking the swan. 242 00:13:00,400 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: Penny's going the other way with under three and a half. 243 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller 244 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:09,480 Speaker 1: Show weekdays at two am eastern pm Pacific. Now I 245 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:11,960 Speaker 1: look forward to next week on Benny Versus the Penny 246 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 1: because the real solid prop beds. Boy, are you know 247 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 1: the leading up to the I guess we won't actually 248 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:19,480 Speaker 1: have Benny Versus the Penny. Next week will be the 249 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:22,280 Speaker 1: week after I thought you're gonna start gambling on the 250 00:13:22,280 --> 00:13:25,600 Speaker 1: Pro Bowl. Well, I mean we have to kill some time, 251 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:28,320 Speaker 1: and we will. We have to get a second podcast 252 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:30,800 Speaker 1: out during the week. Maybe we'll do that, but do 253 00:13:30,880 --> 00:13:33,840 Speaker 1: not do not plan on doing that. But the the 254 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 1: other thing before we did get to the actual games, 255 00:13:36,440 --> 00:13:38,679 Speaker 1: which is why people are here. So the odds are 256 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 1: out on the hypothetical theoretical Super Bowl matchups. Right, there's 257 00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:45,400 Speaker 1: only a limited number of possibilities. There's four teams left, 258 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:50,080 Speaker 1: So what would the points spread be on each matchup? Now, 259 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:53,679 Speaker 1: let's say the chalk one out that the Niners and 260 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 1: Chiefs play in Miami in the Super Bowl. Did you 261 00:13:57,360 --> 00:13:58,920 Speaker 1: see this gas gun? Did you see what the point 262 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 1: spread is? No? But you didn't all make an educated 263 00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:04,360 Speaker 1: guess a right to be San Francisco minus two and 264 00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 1: a half. So you think the Niners would be a 265 00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:08,040 Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite over the Chiefs in 266 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: that matchup? No, according to super Book USA, the Chiefs 267 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:16,680 Speaker 1: would the game would be a pick up, the game 268 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: would be a pick um, and the total in the 269 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:21,560 Speaker 1: game would be fifty and a half, which that seems 270 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 1: like low to me with the Chiefs offense and whatnot, 271 00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 1: But they that's what they're They've they claimed the line 272 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 1: will be We'll see if that's true, depending on injury. 273 00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:31,560 Speaker 1: One other matter. We've got three other possible matchups. You 274 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 1: want to go through the three? Here, what the point 275 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:37,720 Speaker 1: spread would be Tennessee Green Bay, Tennessee green Bay? What 276 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 1: do you think the line would be? Green Bay minus four? No, 277 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:45,000 Speaker 1: green Bay only minus one and a half. The total 278 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 1: would only be forty four on that game, so they 279 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:49,280 Speaker 1: would they would expect not many points. So what are 280 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:51,760 Speaker 1: the other match of pat Packers Chiefs? Yeah, I think 281 00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 1: that would be Kansas City minus seven. Well, you should 282 00:14:55,960 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 1: bet on Kansas City then if that happens, But it's 283 00:14:57,920 --> 00:15:00,560 Speaker 1: the Chiefs are favored in the hypothetical matchup. They'll be 284 00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:03,200 Speaker 1: favored by four and a half over Aaron Rodgers and 285 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 1: the Packers in that Super Bowl one and the rematch, 286 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 1: and then the last possibly the forty Niners and the 287 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 1: tightness if Tennessee goes into Arrowhead and wins and the 288 00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:18,120 Speaker 1: Niners molly wop the team from Green Bay. The line up, 289 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 1: what do you think the line would be on forty 290 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 1: Niners tight San Francisco minor six with a total of 291 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 1: like forty two, You're pretty close. The Niners would be 292 00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 1: minus five and a half over Tennessee and the total 293 00:15:30,480 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 1: will be forty four. So it's in that same area. 294 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 1: Who do you like? I mean, amongst the four teams 295 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:40,200 Speaker 1: that are left, who do you like the most? I 296 00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:42,480 Speaker 1: like the chief so I don't love their divas. I 297 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 1: like the Chief so I love the Chiefs offense. And 298 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 1: I'd like to see Mahomes in the in the Super Bowl. 299 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 1: That'd be kind of cool. I was at the gym 300 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 1: earlier today and on three TVs. One of them showed 301 00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:56,720 Speaker 1: the a f C Championship game from last year, another 302 00:15:56,760 --> 00:15:59,640 Speaker 1: TV showed the Divisional round from last week, and then 303 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:03,400 Speaker 1: another one was showing him at Texas Tech. I forget 304 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 1: what game it was, but all Mahomes all day. It's 305 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:10,160 Speaker 1: said the Jim Alzato was awesome. It was kind of nauseating. 306 00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 1: But yeah, I'd love to see my Homes versus San 307 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 1: Francisco's defense. Remember last year in the NFC Championship game, 308 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:18,240 Speaker 1: the game went to overtime, the Chiefs put up thirty 309 00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:22,520 Speaker 1: one points. Mahomes had three touchdowns and no interceptions. He 310 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 1: he was you know, he wasn't great. He had he 311 00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 1: had a fair amount of incompletions in the game. I 312 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: think he was about fifty percent passing or something like that, 313 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:32,600 Speaker 1: I remember, but he was right around three hundred yards 314 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 1: and three touchdowns. Yeah, well, don't forget it was fourteen 315 00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:36,560 Speaker 1: nothing new England at the end of the first half. 316 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:39,840 Speaker 1: So yeah, so yeah, yeah, yeah, I mean he played 317 00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:42,720 Speaker 1: in the second half of that game. He he went 318 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:48,000 Speaker 1: two turbo time. I can't even say it's good. It's 319 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:49,960 Speaker 1: a bad job. And didn't you yeah, I think you 320 00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: last year you had in Benny versus A Penny, all 321 00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:59,760 Speaker 1: said Kansas City. So um, Penny had But what was 322 00:16:59,800 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 1: this a random flip here? What happened? Penny had the 323 00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:04,600 Speaker 1: Patriots last year in the NC Championship. Okay, all right, 324 00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,560 Speaker 1: let's get through the actual games here. It is the 325 00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:09,680 Speaker 1: Benny Versus the Penny podcast, which will not be along geated, 326 00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:13,959 Speaker 1: will not be along good. Alright. So the early game 327 00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 1: on Sunday Championship Sunday Tennessee now eleven and seven, including 328 00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:22,000 Speaker 1: the playoffs from the ANFC South and Kansas City thirteen 329 00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 1: and four from the a f C West. It's on 330 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: CBS with Jim Nance and Tony Romo on the call. Now, 331 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:34,840 Speaker 1: the Chiefs opened a seven and a half point favorite, 332 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:38,400 Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite for Kansas City. And uh, 333 00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 1: let's get the updated number. I gonna click a couple 334 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:43,720 Speaker 1: of buttons here because it's all everything's online here and 335 00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:47,560 Speaker 1: see where the numbers are. Uh and uh, let's see 336 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:51,240 Speaker 1: here the line has it's at seven now, so the 337 00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 1: Chiefs minus seven. That's the current line. Where's the money 338 00:17:55,840 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: at It's about about six of the wagers are on 339 00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:05,159 Speaker 1: the home team, Kansas City in this game minus seven 340 00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:08,119 Speaker 1: after what they did to Houston last week. It'll be 341 00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:12,879 Speaker 1: sunny twenty one degrees at kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium. I 342 00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:16,200 Speaker 1: am going to take the Tennessee Titans plus the points 343 00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 1: in this game now. And here's why. A if it's 344 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:21,120 Speaker 1: not broke, you don't fix it, right, that's the old line. 345 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,800 Speaker 1: We all learned that growing up. Mike Rabel has cooked 346 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 1: up a winning formula in recent weeks. The Titans are 347 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:31,120 Speaker 1: going to try to ride the express train of Derrick Henry. 348 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 1: That's gonna be. They're gonna ride or die with Derrick 349 00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:37,160 Speaker 1: Henry here. It's a very straightforward game plan. There's not 350 00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:40,640 Speaker 1: any deception. If Ray will learn from Belichick, you don't 351 00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 1: do the funny business. The same things that won football 352 00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:47,840 Speaker 1: games forty years ago still win football games today. Tennessee 353 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 1: is gonna try to play the four corners offense, keep 354 00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:55,840 Speaker 1: the ball away, slow the game down because if this 355 00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:58,959 Speaker 1: is a grinder game, okay, if this is a grinder 356 00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:02,640 Speaker 1: game long with thodical drives a lot of third down conversions, 357 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 1: every second is so precious for the Titans because they 358 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 1: don't have the firepower of Kansas City, and you you 359 00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:12,919 Speaker 1: gotta keep that Chief's offense, which is like a fire 360 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:15,960 Speaker 1: hose of playmakers off the field as long as you can. 361 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 1: Armageddon for Tennessee would obviously be of the Chiefs jump 362 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:22,919 Speaker 1: out to an early fourteen nothing lead, uh, something like that, 363 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:26,280 Speaker 1: and that that forces Ryan Tannehill into the center of 364 00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:29,879 Speaker 1: the ring and that ain't gonna go. Well, you have 365 00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:33,160 Speaker 1: to be mentally deranged to to want to put your 366 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:37,200 Speaker 1: money on Tannehill trailing early and have to to lead 367 00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 1: Tennessee back. Now, is that the flukey things happened? Maybe 368 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:42,520 Speaker 1: he could, but I ain't betting on that. So I 369 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:44,720 Speaker 1: think this. They obviously keep part of the whole game, 370 00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:48,720 Speaker 1: but early in the game Tennessee to establish himself. Now, 371 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 1: U Tannehill has been a useful idiot. He has been 372 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 1: a decoy and the place I mentioned twenty nine pass attempts. 373 00:19:56,840 --> 00:20:00,159 Speaker 1: In terms of defense, the Titans, they don't have have 374 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,080 Speaker 1: the sex appeal. There's not any real big names on there. 375 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:05,359 Speaker 1: You know. Of all the teams left, the Niners have 376 00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:08,879 Speaker 1: the big names on defense, but Tennessee has bunker down. 377 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:12,920 Speaker 1: They're allowing just thirteen points per game the last three weeks, 378 00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:16,439 Speaker 1: all of those games against playoff opponents. Now that obviously 379 00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:19,680 Speaker 1: the last two against Baltimore and New England. They also 380 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 1: did a very good job last game of the regular 381 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:27,159 Speaker 1: season against the Houston Texans, and so they've also been 382 00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:29,800 Speaker 1: the beneficiary. I'm not gonna hide from it. There's been 383 00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:32,880 Speaker 1: a lot of mistakes by the Patriots and the Ravens, 384 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 1: and how much of that is because of good football 385 00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:38,320 Speaker 1: from Tennessee and how much of that is just sloppy 386 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:42,360 Speaker 1: football from the opposition. But the word here is opportunistic. 387 00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,800 Speaker 1: The Titans have been an opportunistic defense. And does that 388 00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:48,159 Speaker 1: continue here We're gonna find out now. Part B of 389 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:54,720 Speaker 1: this Patrick Mahomes, who had another magnum opus last week 390 00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:58,399 Speaker 1: against the Texans. This is another opportunity for him to 391 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:02,440 Speaker 1: lead Andy read Like and carry him on his back 392 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,440 Speaker 1: like a sack of potatoes back to the super Bowl. 393 00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:10,280 Speaker 1: The Chiefs have no excuse, no excuse here. They lose 394 00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:14,359 Speaker 1: this game, they will be destroyed. They should be destroyed. 395 00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:18,640 Speaker 1: They've got the creature comforts of home, home, cooking, your sleep, 396 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:20,480 Speaker 1: number bed. You don't have to steal none of that 397 00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 1: other stuff. Uber talented offense, right, uber talented offense, better 398 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:30,639 Speaker 1: team top to bottom, talent wise, more experienced, seasoned head coach, 399 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 1: if that matters. Also, they don't have to play Tom 400 00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:39,000 Speaker 1: Brady on the other side and Bill Belichick. They're playing 401 00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:42,359 Speaker 1: the disciple of Belichick, but not Belichick. The sequel should 402 00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:44,720 Speaker 1: not be the equal. I would expect a close game here. 403 00:21:44,760 --> 00:21:48,720 Speaker 1: That's what I'm expecting here, Uh, closer than many anticipate. 404 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:52,359 Speaker 1: The better team does not always win the game, but 405 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:56,720 Speaker 1: this week Kansas City is going to prevail with the 406 00:21:56,840 --> 00:22:00,719 Speaker 1: pyrotechnic show that will be limited. The Titans are not 407 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:05,320 Speaker 1: going to surrender without scratching and crawling and clawing and 408 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:08,800 Speaker 1: all that stuff. So I would expect a grueling, exhausting 409 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:12,320 Speaker 1: type game. A lot of points will be scored and 410 00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:16,880 Speaker 1: Mahomes will pull it out in the end. Chiefs thirty 411 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:25,040 Speaker 1: one Titans, A petty is tailing you on this One's 412 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:29,000 Speaker 1: go a Tennessee. Wow. Alright, so we both liked the 413 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:34,000 Speaker 1: dog Doggie MCDOGG. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports 414 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows 415 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 1: at Fox sports Radio dot com and within the I 416 00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:43,119 Speaker 1: Heart Radio app search f s R to listen live. 417 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 1: Let's get trivial Gascon. You want to get trivial alright. 418 00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:51,640 Speaker 1: Green Bay's Matt le Fleur is the first rookie head 419 00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 1: coach to reach the conference championship game since blank. Since blank, 420 00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:02,199 Speaker 1: you have to fill in the blank. That's how this works, 421 00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:05,040 Speaker 1: all right? The answer coming up late game Green Bay 422 00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:08,719 Speaker 1: fourteen and three in the NFC North at Santa Clair. 423 00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 1: That that includes the PLAYFFS and Santa Clair fourteen and 424 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,840 Speaker 1: three as well. In the NFC West. It's on Fox, 425 00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:18,440 Speaker 1: so you better watch with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman 426 00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 1: and my friend Chris Myers, part of the Fox Sports 427 00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:24,840 Speaker 1: Radio Alumni Association. I'm surprised you haven't reached out to him, 428 00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 1: but Chris Myers will be on the sidelines there. What nothing, Okay, 429 00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 1: I haven't talked to you. I gotta send text Chris, 430 00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:35,879 Speaker 1: Chris and text. You know sometimes when I'm watching the 431 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:38,520 Speaker 1: game it's like really cold, I'll send him, you know, 432 00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:40,199 Speaker 1: he says a game. You know, this game is in 433 00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:42,600 Speaker 1: Northern California, but if it's in Green Bay, I'd be like, hey, 434 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:44,919 Speaker 1: you look pretty good there. How many layers of clothing 435 00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:47,400 Speaker 1: do you have? And you're like text back during the game, 436 00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:49,359 Speaker 1: want me to want me to shoot him a text 437 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:53,800 Speaker 1: for you? No, No, he didn't know you. We're colleagues. 438 00:23:53,800 --> 00:23:55,840 Speaker 1: I did a show with him for for like a year. 439 00:23:56,040 --> 00:24:00,320 Speaker 1: Did you guys get fired or kicked off that time slot? Uh? No, no, 440 00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:03,000 Speaker 1: he well he got fired. Well we both actually technically 441 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:06,680 Speaker 1: got fired out to the Ben and Dave show. Well 442 00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:08,480 Speaker 1: that's that was This is the Ben and what was 443 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 1: the drive with Chris Myers, just because I was just 444 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:17,560 Speaker 1: resigning all the shows that you've been punted off of. Yeah, 445 00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:19,679 Speaker 1: it's better to be it has been than it never was, 446 00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:22,120 Speaker 1: you know, I just point that out. Yeah, w e 447 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 1: I piece out again. That's because of the termination in 448 00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:29,200 Speaker 1: the Sports Hub now, which is a great radio station 449 00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:34,240 Speaker 1: in Boston. Unfortunately not all right, let's get to the 450 00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:38,359 Speaker 1: damn game. So the Niners opened up a six point favorite. 451 00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:41,520 Speaker 1: They are seven and a half point favorites. So you 452 00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:44,639 Speaker 1: got the hook on the forty Niners. And the reason 453 00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:46,439 Speaker 1: you got the hook here is because everyone of their 454 00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:49,520 Speaker 1: mother is betting on the forty Niners. And I'm gonna 455 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:51,560 Speaker 1: go with the sheep here. I'm gonna take the forty 456 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,679 Speaker 1: Niners in the game. The weather mostly cloudy, fifty eight 457 00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:58,080 Speaker 1: degrees of kick off at Levi's Stadium for all the 458 00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:02,880 Speaker 1: Google and Twitter and Facebook executives and YouTube that will 459 00:25:02,880 --> 00:25:06,200 Speaker 1: be hanging out. So I got the Niners. Now, the 460 00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 1: Niners defense we saw last week again unshackled against the Vikings, 461 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:14,400 Speaker 1: I would expect more of that. This week, Nick Bosa 462 00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 1: and friends have been as lethal as a barracuda of 463 00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:21,320 Speaker 1: late on defense, and they are going to give Aaron 464 00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:25,440 Speaker 1: Rodgers heartburn and anxiety and all that stuff. The forty 465 00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:29,399 Speaker 1: Niners defense has allowed only five point two yards per 466 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:34,200 Speaker 1: attempt for the season. I read this earlier, and that's 467 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 1: that's against combined offenses that average six point seven yards 468 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 1: per attempt. That is a minus one and a half 469 00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:44,760 Speaker 1: yard margin. You said, well, that doesn't matter, who cares. 470 00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:47,200 Speaker 1: That's just a bunch of numbers. That's a bunch of gibbers. Well, 471 00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 1: that is the best statistic for any team in the 472 00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 1: NFL in over a decade. You're gonna go back to 473 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:59,920 Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers. It has been breathtaking, is what it's been. 474 00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:04,199 Speaker 1: And that's twelve seasons of football, and so essentially the 475 00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:07,639 Speaker 1: Niners defense has been a once in a decade type 476 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:10,720 Speaker 1: of defense. Now I'm not as smitten with the forty 477 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:15,679 Speaker 1: Niners offense, but the gold rush attack of led by 478 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:22,359 Speaker 1: Tevin Coleman should provide enough punch in in side by 479 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 1: side with the defense, you know, in in you know, 480 00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:28,520 Speaker 1: working together, uh, synergy, whatever term you want to use here, 481 00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:32,440 Speaker 1: The nightmare here in this game for the forty Niners 482 00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,920 Speaker 1: would be if Green Bay is able to break through 483 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:39,639 Speaker 1: somehow and score some points, and then this becomes a 484 00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:43,040 Speaker 1: back and forth game and you're depending on Jimmy Garoppolo 485 00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:47,320 Speaker 1: to go punch for punch with a Aaron Rodgers type 486 00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:50,280 Speaker 1: guy who's hot, who's playing well, with confidence and all 487 00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:54,360 Speaker 1: this stuff. That would be a disaster for the forty Years. 488 00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:56,000 Speaker 1: I don't expect that to happen. I think this game 489 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:59,680 Speaker 1: will be decided by the fourth quarter. Uh, and the 490 00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:01,720 Speaker 1: path Sers do have some holes in their secondary, but 491 00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:04,320 Speaker 1: you don't want to have Garoppolo be this siding factory 492 00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 1: because that means a lot of things have gone wrong 493 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,840 Speaker 1: for the forty Niners. Now. The second Green Bay to 494 00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:12,399 Speaker 1: me continues to be one of the great mysteries of 495 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:15,520 Speaker 1: the season. I want to point out that last week 496 00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:19,159 Speaker 1: I had a bad beat. If Seattle had converted a 497 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:21,880 Speaker 1: two point conversion, I would have been fine in that game. 498 00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:24,919 Speaker 1: They did not, so I was my handicapping was actually 499 00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:27,720 Speaker 1: right on the Green Bay Seattle game. Just an odd 500 00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,679 Speaker 1: thing took place there. But as far as the Packers, 501 00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:33,080 Speaker 1: the eyeball test says to me, this is a slightly 502 00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:35,160 Speaker 1: better than average team. I've said it before, I'll say 503 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,439 Speaker 1: it again. They look to me like a ten and 504 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:42,440 Speaker 1: six team. Yet they have now won fourteen games, including 505 00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:45,639 Speaker 1: the playoffs. It is so bizarre that they continue to 506 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:49,760 Speaker 1: win these games. Aaron Rodgers had an embarrassing performance the 507 00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:53,520 Speaker 1: first time he played the Niners this year, and obviously 508 00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:55,720 Speaker 1: now the stakes have been raised and all that stuff. 509 00:27:56,440 --> 00:28:00,960 Speaker 1: Is he gonna do better in the sequel? Many say, oh, yeah, 510 00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 1: of course, Aaron fucking Rogers. Of course he's gonna do 511 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,760 Speaker 1: But I say, now, I expect the forty Niners to 512 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:11,000 Speaker 1: mess up the rhythm of that Green Bay passing attack again. 513 00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 1: And also the problem the Packers are gonna have is 514 00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:17,960 Speaker 1: that the Niners are going to hog tie any running 515 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:21,800 Speaker 1: back to Packers throughout. They shut down Dalvin Cook and 516 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 1: despite my you know, enthusiasm for the Vikings, they couldn't 517 00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:27,400 Speaker 1: do anything right. Aaron Jones is a good running back. 518 00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 1: He's in for some tough sledding here. Packers offense will 519 00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:33,879 Speaker 1: be bogged down in this game. It is going to 520 00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:37,439 Speaker 1: be a slaughter. A lot of cheese will be flying 521 00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:39,280 Speaker 1: in the air everywhere, but not in a good way. 522 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:46,120 Speaker 1: It's Limburger cheese, forty Niners thirty four Packers seventeen. That's right, 523 00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:50,480 Speaker 1: that's the super Bowl. It's gonna be the forty Niners 524 00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:53,240 Speaker 1: in the chiefs and a revenge game. The penny is 525 00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:56,880 Speaker 1: going with the Green Bay Packers. Bad job, bad job. 526 00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 1: Now you want to look back at last week before 527 00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:00,840 Speaker 1: we put the baby to bed here again scar AFC 528 00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 1: and NFC Division round matchups, you went one and three again. 529 00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:08,720 Speaker 1: I just explained that, really I was right about the 530 00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:11,600 Speaker 1: Seattle Green Bay game. Two point conversion did me? Nobody 531 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:15,200 Speaker 1: cares one in three. That's awful. That's not a it's 532 00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 1: one in three, that's not awful. You're batting too again. 533 00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 1: I know you're not that bright, you don't understand nuance, 534 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:25,240 Speaker 1: but the handicapping was right. You're a twenty. The way 535 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:28,920 Speaker 1: I anticipated the games I had. Listen, you're talking about 536 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:33,280 Speaker 1: a bad weekend. I had the Texans twenty for nothing 537 00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:36,640 Speaker 1: getting nine and a half, and those assholes from Houston 538 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,320 Speaker 1: that screwed up and lost the game, didn't even cover 539 00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:42,080 Speaker 1: the spread. And you're twenty four nothing league getting almost 540 00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:45,479 Speaker 1: a double digits, and you can't cover the fucking spread. 541 00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:48,920 Speaker 1: Fire Bill O'Brien, that piece of HyET. You fire him. 542 00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,520 Speaker 1: You know who had Kansas City minus nine and a 543 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 1: half the penny. That doesn't matter. I was right about 544 00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 1: that game. I was right about the Texas I was 545 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,160 Speaker 1: right about the Seattle Green Bay game. So really I 546 00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:03,360 Speaker 1: went three and one? Fuck you? Okay, horrendous? All right, 547 00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:07,520 Speaker 1: I gotta pay off the let's get trivial. So Matt 548 00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:11,000 Speaker 1: la Fleur is the first rookie head coach to reach 549 00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:14,960 Speaker 1: the conference championship games since blank. I'm gonna go with 550 00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:19,760 Speaker 1: the great John Madden. John Madden Wow, way back in 551 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:23,920 Speaker 1: the day the Madden Mobile. Yes, no, you're wrong, jeb 552 00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 1: By your guest gun you do not know Kep talking 553 00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: about your phony. My second guest was Dick for Meal, 554 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:33,840 Speaker 1: but believe it or not, it was Jim Harball. Jim 555 00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:37,800 Speaker 1: Harball just almost a decade ago. Now it's hard to 556 00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:41,240 Speaker 1: believe it's been almost a decade. But after the eleven 557 00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:45,160 Speaker 1: season with the forty niners, with the forty niners, so 558 00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:48,360 Speaker 1: this is now. This is a leaning mean benny versus 559 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:49,920 Speaker 1: the penny. This is leaning to me. Do you think 560 00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:53,760 Speaker 1: the downloads will be higher because the show's shorter, or 561 00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:56,600 Speaker 1: will they be the same. If it's any indication of 562 00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,520 Speaker 1: what your followers and suck ups and boot liquors were 563 00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:01,880 Speaker 1: like the two weeks when you lost two bets to me, 564 00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:06,560 Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it is probably lower than expectations, So 565 00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:10,160 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the under no, I think it 566 00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:12,520 Speaker 1: will be about the same, because why would it change. 567 00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:15,440 Speaker 1: It's it's you can listen to more of it. Well, 568 00:31:15,560 --> 00:31:17,640 Speaker 1: I'm yeah, what's true. But you can always fast forward 569 00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:19,800 Speaker 1: when you want to get to the point. So on 570 00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,440 Speaker 1: on the get to the point, please on the iTunes 571 00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:24,400 Speaker 1: and I heart radio app you can always fast forward. 572 00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:26,600 Speaker 1: I thought the biggest indictment on all this is Benny 573 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:30,320 Speaker 1: versus the Penny doesn't get as many downloads as your 574 00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:34,200 Speaker 1: original Fifth Our with Ben Mallory podcast. Well, hold on sake, 575 00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:37,120 Speaker 1: that's the first time that's happened. Now, that is the 576 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:40,600 Speaker 1: first time. Last week was the first time that happened. 577 00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:42,480 Speaker 1: And I'm sure what you did is you you send 578 00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:45,480 Speaker 1: an email out to the Gascon family, the Gagon family 579 00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:47,120 Speaker 1: and said, hey, you might want to download the but 580 00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:49,600 Speaker 1: it's probably a reason for that. A little bit more me, 581 00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:54,480 Speaker 1: a little bit less of you, and you're hated you're 582 00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:57,760 Speaker 1: a hell. People despise you, they can't stand You's not 583 00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:00,480 Speaker 1: true alright anyway, listen, that's it. Well with the baby 584 00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:03,440 Speaker 1: to bed. Guscon's busy. Guys, got crap to do. I 585 00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,960 Speaker 1: don't have anything to do but have a great, wonderful, 586 00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:11,560 Speaker 1: glorious weekend. Enjoy the games and make sure to download 587 00:32:11,600 --> 00:32:13,680 Speaker 1: the other podcast as we'll have a great weekend. We'll 588 00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:16,640 Speaker 1: catch you on the radio Sunday night into Monday to 589 00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:18,880 Speaker 1: tell you kind of like what Cowherd does right, what 590 00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:20,920 Speaker 1: we got right, what we got wrong? Um, we'll whip 591 00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,640 Speaker 1: that off. Why not because you love Cowherd Anyway, that'd 592 00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:26,160 Speaker 1: be coming up. Have a great weekend, Sayonara.