WEBVTT - Conservative Court Would Strike Down Progressive Legislation

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox.

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<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Bramowitz. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store

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<v Speaker 1>or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p m L

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. The

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<v Speaker 1>Trumpet administration aims to have a replacement for retiring Supreme

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<v Speaker 1>Court Justice Anthony and Kennedy confirmed in time to join

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<v Speaker 1>the Court for its new term in October. This according

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<v Speaker 1>to the White House Today. Joining us now to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about this Noah Feldman, Professor of law at Harvard University,

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<v Speaker 1>also a Bloomberg opinion columnist, also a former clerk to

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<v Speaker 1>u S Supreme Court Justice David Suitor. Uh no, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much for being with us. I just want

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<v Speaker 1>to start with your view of kind of how are

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<v Speaker 1>going to proceed going forward? Who you think the front

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<v Speaker 1>runner will be for this Supreme Court vacancy. Well, the

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<v Speaker 1>Trump administration has publicized a list of potential nominees, and

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<v Speaker 1>rumors have that list cut down to further to five people,

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<v Speaker 1>and until now, the administration has been as good as

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<v Speaker 1>its word in nominating people from its public lists. So

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<v Speaker 1>based on prior experience, it's almost certain to be one

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<v Speaker 1>of those five. But they have in common is that

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<v Speaker 1>they're all died in the wool conservative um. In age.

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<v Speaker 1>They range from middle forties to late fifties, and most,

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<v Speaker 1>though not all, have some experience on the federal appeals courts.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, died in the wool conservative can take

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<v Speaker 1>different forms when you're talking about constitutional law, whether their originalists,

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<v Speaker 1>whether they're more sort of ideological. What's your impression of

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<v Speaker 1>these particular candidates. I think nearly all of these, perhaps

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<v Speaker 1>of them would have asked say that their constitutional philosophy

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<v Speaker 1>is broadly originalist. I don't think any would say that

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<v Speaker 1>they had some other view, and none would say that

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<v Speaker 1>they supported the idea of a living constitution, Noah Felton.

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<v Speaker 1>Based on what you know in terms of the court's

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<v Speaker 1>current voting pattern, and based on what you've just described

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of the kind of person there, they're legal

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<v Speaker 1>perspective that will join the court. What kinds of rulings

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<v Speaker 1>do you expect when the court reconvenes in October. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest issue, which will be watching most closely and

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<v Speaker 1>debated most intensely over the next few months is certainly

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<v Speaker 1>abortion rights. Several states UM have either passed or on

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<v Speaker 1>the verge of passing laws that are extremely restrictive of

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<v Speaker 1>abortion rights, much beyond the current legal standard, and those

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<v Speaker 1>are the ones that will be focused on UM And

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<v Speaker 1>for that reason, I think one of the crucial issues

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<v Speaker 1>over the next few months in the public debate about

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<v Speaker 1>this is whether several of the more moderate Republicans in

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<v Speaker 1>the Senate, including Senators Collins and Murkowski, both of whom

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<v Speaker 1>were formally pro choice rather than pro life, would cast

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<v Speaker 1>their votes to confirm a nominee who would be very

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<v Speaker 1>likely to vote to overrule Roe v. Wade. And so

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<v Speaker 1>you know that is very much at issue here. It

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<v Speaker 1>could well be that this justice would provide the decisive

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<v Speaker 1>fifth vote. We don't know absolutely for short, because we

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<v Speaker 1>don't know how Chief to stuff just as Roberts would vote.

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<v Speaker 1>But we know that Justice Kennedy, who has just retired,

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<v Speaker 1>cast the decisive vote to preserve Roe v. Wade back

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<v Speaker 1>and I ninety two. And we know that whoever is

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<v Speaker 1>likely to be confirmed sending a confirmation is probably someone

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<v Speaker 1>who will think that that case should be overworld. Well, Noah,

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<v Speaker 1>is it likely that whoever is the nominee will answer

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<v Speaker 1>a direct question on this topic. I'd say it's totally unlikely.

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<v Speaker 1>Clothes to zero. I mean in theory, of course, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>with a guarantee that republic all Republicans would vote to

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<v Speaker 1>confirm the person could actually go up there and do it.

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<v Speaker 1>Almost no nominee in modern history has done, namely, be

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<v Speaker 1>honest and say yes, I would vote on that and

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<v Speaker 1>this is how I would vote. But there's a strong

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<v Speaker 1>precedent now for nominees saying I can't answer that because

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<v Speaker 1>that issue may come before the court and I don't

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<v Speaker 1>want to disqualify myself in the future, and so therefore

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<v Speaker 1>I decline to answer. And so my guess is that

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<v Speaker 1>you not just a guess that My overwhelming prediction is

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<v Speaker 1>we won't hear any direct answers to that question. So Noah,

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<v Speaker 1>the shift here. Anthony Kennedy's retirement has been portrayed, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>pretty dramatically on both sides, both as a political boon

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<v Speaker 1>to the GOP and as a sort of uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>catastrophe on the left. Um, And I'm just wondering, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's definitely. Pretty broadly, people agree this is the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>change or shift potentially in American jurisprudence since arguably since

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<v Speaker 1>ro versus Wade. Would you agree first of all with

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<v Speaker 1>that statement, and how do you think it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>change the nature of Supreme Court rulings going forward? Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to mean a very significant and potentially vast shift.

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<v Speaker 1>We should keep in mind that part of that is

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<v Speaker 1>because the Republican Senate blocked Barack Obama's nominee, a Merrick Garland,

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<v Speaker 1>who would have replaced Justice Scalia if he If Garland

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<v Speaker 1>had gone through and then Kennedy had retired, we would

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<v Speaker 1>be back in a position of balance between the sides.

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<v Speaker 1>But because the Senate blocked Garland, and as a result,

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump was able to nominate and confirm the of

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<v Speaker 1>coursu that makes this the decisive decisive vote. And the

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<v Speaker 1>thing is Justice Kennedy was a conservative in many ways,

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<v Speaker 1>but on a handful of hot button issues, including gay

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<v Speaker 1>rights and abortion and Guantanamo, he actually voted with the liberals,

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<v Speaker 1>and for that reason, his retirement opens the possibility of

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<v Speaker 1>a durable conservative majority for a whole generation, and that

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<v Speaker 1>is potentially a sea change in the U. S. Constitution

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<v Speaker 1>has interpreted. Are there any precedents that are being broken

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<v Speaker 1>or created because of the unusual circumstance of President Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump and the Mueller investigation simultaneous to this potential appointment, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we don't know yet. Um Certainly, Donald stun's goal and

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<v Speaker 1>his success in fact, has been in breaking all the

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<v Speaker 1>unwritten rules, and even when he's pressed the boundaries of

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<v Speaker 1>the written rules, he's more or less gotten away with it.

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<v Speaker 1>The travel ban was struck down by the lower courts

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<v Speaker 1>in at first two forms, but as you know, in

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<v Speaker 1>its final version three point now, it was upheld by

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<v Speaker 1>by the Supreme Court just just earlier this week. It's

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<v Speaker 1>hard to remember that it was so recently, but it

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<v Speaker 1>was just really in this week before that the Candy's

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<v Speaker 1>retirement was announced. So yeah, there's a kind of pressure

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<v Speaker 1>on the boundaries of constitutional law right now, and we

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<v Speaker 1>can expect that pressure to continue because Donald Trump is

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<v Speaker 1>obviously inclined to try to put the envelope, and a

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<v Speaker 1>court dominated by conservatives, and with two of his nominees

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<v Speaker 1>on it would probably be much more likely to uphold

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<v Speaker 1>those actions than with another court. So no, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there has been a lot of focus on abortion rights

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<v Speaker 1>that Row versus Wade, and possibly that getting overturned. But

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<v Speaker 1>aside from sort of the hot button issues, is there

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<v Speaker 1>another place that people should be focusing where we could

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<v Speaker 1>see a major shift that would have an impact in

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<v Speaker 1>people's life in terms of how the constitutionalist constitution is interpreted. Yes. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>One question is whether the right to gain marriage, which

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<v Speaker 1>the court established, would be preserved or overturned. We don't

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<v Speaker 1>know the answer to that. Another area of importance is

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<v Speaker 1>environmental law, where if there were to be a democratic

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<v Speaker 1>president in the future and the Democratic controlled e p

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<v Speaker 1>a aggressive pro environmental restrictions could potentially be struck down

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<v Speaker 1>by a court. Um. Yet another area is the freedom

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<v Speaker 1>of speech, where a conservative activist court could use the

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<v Speaker 1>freedom of speech as a tool to strike down relatively

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<v Speaker 1>progressive laws, which we actually already saw happening over the

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<v Speaker 1>last week or ten days in several importance between court opinions.

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<v Speaker 1>So yeah, there are there are a whole There are

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<v Speaker 1>a whole host of areas in which there could be

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<v Speaker 1>a real difference. And I would say, most broadly, again,

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<v Speaker 1>should the Democrat get elected present and should there be

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<v Speaker 1>a Democratic House and Senate in the future, UM major

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<v Speaker 1>progressive legislation. Again, hypothetically, if it would be passed along

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<v Speaker 1>the lines of Obamacare, would stand a good probability of

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<v Speaker 1>being struck down by a conservative court. Thank you very much,

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<v Speaker 1>Noah Feldman, Harvard Law Professor, Bloomberg Opinion a columnist. Steel, aluminum, whiskey, mustard,

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<v Speaker 1>toilet paper, washing machines, motor boats, even maple syrup. These

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<v Speaker 1>are all subject to tariffs from Canada as it celebrates

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<v Speaker 1>its one and fifty one birthday on Sunday. And here

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<v Speaker 1>to tell us about tariffs trade wars in the United

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<v Speaker 1>States and Canada is Clay Lowry. He is managing director

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<v Speaker 1>of Rock Creek Global Advisors. They're based in Washington, d C.

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<v Speaker 1>And he is also a former Assistant Secretary for International

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<v Speaker 1>Affairs at the US Treasury Department. And he also chaired

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<v Speaker 1>the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States known

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<v Speaker 1>as Syphius. Clay Lowry, thank you very much for being

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<v Speaker 1>with us. Uh. You know, when Prime Minister Justin Trudeau

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<v Speaker 1>celebrates Canada's birthday, he's going to be doing it under

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<v Speaker 1>this cloud of trade wars with the United States. What

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<v Speaker 1>effects do you think is going to have on a

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<v Speaker 1>long lasting relationship between the United States and Canada, and

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<v Speaker 1>what do you think the economic fallout is going to be. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>first of all, thanks for having me, UM. In terms

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<v Speaker 1>of the UH our relationship with Canada, it's based on

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<v Speaker 1>one mutual respect that we've had for a long time

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<v Speaker 1>between our two countries. So UM. I worry obviously that

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<v Speaker 1>the trade war aspect that you mentioned, UM could affect

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<v Speaker 1>specific businesses. UM, but I'm hopeful that UM, while there

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<v Speaker 1>has been some pretty um, not so great rhetoric between

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<v Speaker 1>our two leaders of our country over the last few months,

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<v Speaker 1>that uh, you know, cooler heads will prevail and we'll

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<v Speaker 1>be able to start coming to agreement on how we

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<v Speaker 1>want our relationship to go forward. So I have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of respect for the Canada, obviously respect my own country,

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<v Speaker 1>and so I think I'm hopeful that that will work

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<v Speaker 1>out in the end. As to the specific economic issues,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's much more going to be a microeconomic story,

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<v Speaker 1>which is a problem because, of course, UM, it's going

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<v Speaker 1>to hit specific businesses. You mentioned a bunch of different

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<v Speaker 1>industries at the lead into this story, UM, and they're

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<v Speaker 1>being hit. They're not just being hit by Canada, they're

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<v Speaker 1>being they're getting tariffs by a lot of other countries

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<v Speaker 1>around the world, and there's a lot of businesses that export,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's not exactly surprising that the countries are hitting

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<v Speaker 1>back when we're putting tariffs on them for fairly dubious reasons.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, claim, I'm so glad you're with us today

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<v Speaker 1>because you have the deep experience with some of these

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<v Speaker 1>trade relationships that will actually give us an informed view

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<v Speaker 1>of fairness. You know, we hear a lot about how

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<v Speaker 1>the US has an unfair trading partnership with the rest

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<v Speaker 1>of the world. Where do you see the biggest inequities

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<v Speaker 1>and are we moving closer to solving those? So? UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not look, I think that having an unfair trading relationship,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure we actually have that. UM. I know

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<v Speaker 1>that that is the president's contention, and there's other people

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<v Speaker 1>that believe very strongly in what he says, and I

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<v Speaker 1>give them due credit for that. But the UM, I

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<v Speaker 1>think what we should be always striving to do is

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<v Speaker 1>to try to better ourselves by making you know, opening

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<v Speaker 1>up our opening up markets, making sure we have good

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<v Speaker 1>rules of the road so that we can figure out

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<v Speaker 1>how do we get our products into other countries and

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, allow their their products to get into

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<v Speaker 1>our country because that actually helps our consumer um and

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<v Speaker 1>it helps our exporters. So I think that what I

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<v Speaker 1>would be doing and I'm not is I'd be focusing

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<v Speaker 1>on how to work with those countries in a way

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<v Speaker 1>to actually get better and more positive as opposed to

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<v Speaker 1>what we're right now doing, which is much more negative,

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<v Speaker 1>which is we're putting caraffs on a number of countries

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<v Speaker 1>around the world. We did it on steel and aluminum,

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<v Speaker 1>We're threatening to do it on auto imports. UM. And

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<v Speaker 1>the one country that really has been probably most most

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<v Speaker 1>problematic has been China. And instead of actually trying to

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<v Speaker 1>take a coordinated approach with a lot of our allies

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<v Speaker 1>who have some of the same similar problems with China,

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<v Speaker 1>were instead hitting those same allies UM. And I that

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<v Speaker 1>that part of the negotiating tactics I don't get. But

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not the president and I'm not his negotiators, Clay Lowry.

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<v Speaker 1>While we're having these war of trade uh words, I

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<v Speaker 1>guess because nothing is set in stone, at at least

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<v Speaker 1>not in the moment um, China seems to be moving

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<v Speaker 1>just as rapidly ahead with its trade ties, let's say

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<v Speaker 1>with Latin America. Indeed, I believe if you go to

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<v Speaker 1>Panama right now at the sort of promontory right at

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<v Speaker 1>the opening of the newly widened Panama Canal in which

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<v Speaker 1>the first ship was a Chinese to go through it, Uh,

0:14:01.760 --> 0:14:06.040
<v Speaker 1>the Chinese have secured land to build their new embassy.

0:14:06.080 --> 0:14:08.920
<v Speaker 1>Is that going to be emblematic of what happens in

0:14:08.960 --> 0:14:14.480
<v Speaker 1>the future if this trade war continues. It's not exactly surprising.

0:14:14.559 --> 0:14:18.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if if a, if your country is being

0:14:18.160 --> 0:14:24.360
<v Speaker 1>hit by the United States on certain exports, um, why

0:14:24.440 --> 0:14:29.960
<v Speaker 1>would you not instead try to find new sources of

0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:35.680
<v Speaker 1>of of exports that yourself, um what expert markets yourself? Um.

0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:40.680
<v Speaker 1>For instance, I remember talking to a Canadian company which

0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:43.560
<v Speaker 1>basically was saying, boy, these steel tariffs are really going

0:14:43.600 --> 0:14:45.880
<v Speaker 1>to hit us hard because we import from the United

0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:49.240
<v Speaker 1>States and we won't be able to do that anymore. Instead,

0:14:49.280 --> 0:14:51.560
<v Speaker 1>what we're going to do is try to find other sources.

0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:53.000
<v Speaker 1>And it turns out there are a lot of other

0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:57.720
<v Speaker 1>steel producers in the world, and so uh, they're now

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.640
<v Speaker 1>going to be instead of h buying US deal, which

0:15:01.720 --> 0:15:04.720
<v Speaker 1>was easy because of course there weren't really tariffs and

0:15:04.760 --> 0:15:08.560
<v Speaker 1>it's right next door. Now that there's a tariff on that,

0:15:08.600 --> 0:15:10.560
<v Speaker 1>they were like, well, we can pay for the shipping

0:15:10.560 --> 0:15:13.160
<v Speaker 1>costs to come from other parts of the world instead.

0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:16.040
<v Speaker 1>And so what you were saying about Panama is not

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:19.800
<v Speaker 1>surprising that people are looking elsewhere than just the United States.

0:15:19.880 --> 0:15:21.800
<v Speaker 1>We're still the biggest player out there, but we're not

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:24.680
<v Speaker 1>the only player. So just about a minute left here,

0:15:24.760 --> 0:15:28.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm just wondering you advise clients on the trade backdrop,

0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:34.000
<v Speaker 1>what do you tell them, Well, we're I mean, the

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:35.840
<v Speaker 1>main thing is, look, it's been a it's been a

0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:39.840
<v Speaker 1>very bumpy ride, and I think trade clients are very

0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:45.160
<v Speaker 1>concerned about uncertainty, and the uncertainty is hurting their business.

0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:47.200
<v Speaker 1>So in some respects, a lot of the tariffs have

0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:50.480
<v Speaker 1>not actually gone into place yet, but the threat of

0:15:50.480 --> 0:15:53.920
<v Speaker 1>tariffs has happened and that is actually already affecting their business.

0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:57.040
<v Speaker 1>So now with the tariffs in place, it will affect

0:15:57.040 --> 0:16:00.800
<v Speaker 1>that more directly. Um And the only thing we can

0:16:00.840 --> 0:16:03.880
<v Speaker 1>say is, right now, it's hard to see the plan

0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:07.520
<v Speaker 1>that is in place from the administration, So continue to

0:16:07.560 --> 0:16:12.760
<v Speaker 1>prepare for alternatives um U as the administration thinks to

0:16:12.880 --> 0:16:17.400
<v Speaker 1>its plans. But Basically, there is very little consistency. So

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:20.760
<v Speaker 1>because of that, you have to kind of prepare for inconsistency.

0:16:21.120 --> 0:16:23.400
<v Speaker 1>Clay Lowery, thank you so much for being with us.

0:16:23.440 --> 0:16:27.640
<v Speaker 1>Clay Lowry as Managing director of Rock Creek Global Advisors

0:16:27.640 --> 0:16:32.840
<v Speaker 1>in Washington, d C. His resume is very full of

0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:37.120
<v Speaker 1>government experience with trade, both with chairing the Committee on

0:16:37.120 --> 0:16:39.960
<v Speaker 1>Foreign Investment in the United States known as Cyphius, as

0:16:39.960 --> 0:16:43.560
<v Speaker 1>well as serving as the Assistant Secretary for International Affairs

0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:46.800
<v Speaker 1>the US Treasury Department from two thousand five to two

0:16:46.840 --> 0:17:06.360
<v Speaker 1>thousand and nine. I want to turn our attention now

0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:12.119
<v Speaker 1>to video games and bringing Felix Gillette. He's a writer

0:17:12.200 --> 0:17:15.359
<v Speaker 1>for Bloomberg business Week, and he wrote a story that

0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:17.639
<v Speaker 1>caught my attention. First of all, was a cover story

0:17:17.800 --> 0:17:20.840
<v Speaker 1>for Bloomberg Business Week and it has to do with Nintendo,

0:17:20.960 --> 0:17:22.720
<v Speaker 1>and I gotta say, Felix, first of all, thank you

0:17:22.800 --> 0:17:25.840
<v Speaker 1>very much for coming in. I did not know that

0:17:25.880 --> 0:17:28.680
<v Speaker 1>the company was a hundred and thirty years old, and

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:31.560
<v Speaker 1>I really found it was fascinating that you managed to

0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:36.560
<v Speaker 1>go to the Nintendo headquarters. Maybe just describe what you

0:17:36.720 --> 0:17:38.960
<v Speaker 1>experienced when you went there, and then we'll talk about

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:41.840
<v Speaker 1>Super Mario and video games. Yeah, I had the opportunity

0:17:41.880 --> 0:17:45.359
<v Speaker 1>to go to Kyoto and interview uh, top executives and

0:17:45.480 --> 0:17:49.000
<v Speaker 1>gamemakers at at Nintendo. They don't do this very often.

0:17:49.000 --> 0:17:50.760
<v Speaker 1>I mean the whole setup is basically, if you're a

0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:53.000
<v Speaker 1>Western reporter and you say, hey, I want to write

0:17:53.000 --> 0:17:54.960
<v Speaker 1>about the company, and say, oh, great, go talk to

0:17:55.040 --> 0:17:57.240
<v Speaker 1>the head of Nintendo of America's of the you're in

0:17:57.280 --> 0:17:59.080
<v Speaker 1>the U S or bere in Europe, They'll say, oh,

0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 1>go to our executive is in Europe. Um. They don't

0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:05.359
<v Speaker 1>do too much individual press. So it was a great experience.

0:18:05.440 --> 0:18:07.560
<v Speaker 1>I will say. In the you know, fifteen years I've

0:18:07.600 --> 0:18:10.399
<v Speaker 1>been a journalist, this story took longer to set up

0:18:10.440 --> 0:18:12.920
<v Speaker 1>the interviews than any other story I've ever worked on.

0:18:13.400 --> 0:18:16.800
<v Speaker 1>So but but described so I got there and uh,

0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:19.359
<v Speaker 1>it was not what I expected. I mean, it's this essentially,

0:18:19.359 --> 0:18:22.199
<v Speaker 1>you go to the headquarters and the R and D building,

0:18:22.240 --> 0:18:24.359
<v Speaker 1>which is these two buildings a couple of blocks away.

0:18:24.760 --> 0:18:31.000
<v Speaker 1>They're these white minimalist cubes and they're so perfectly quiet,

0:18:31.600 --> 0:18:35.720
<v Speaker 1>and you know, just there's no Mario stuff anywhere. There's

0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:39.159
<v Speaker 1>no uh post donkey cough, there's just nothing. It's just

0:18:39.600 --> 0:18:43.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's very, um, you know, quiet serene environment

0:18:44.280 --> 0:18:47.480
<v Speaker 1>from which all of these crazy, this huge fountain of

0:18:47.600 --> 0:18:50.639
<v Speaker 1>games has been flowing now for you know, hundred and

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:53.000
<v Speaker 1>thirty years. One thing that I thought was so interesting

0:18:53.600 --> 0:18:55.880
<v Speaker 1>full disclosure is a mother of two boys. I think

0:18:55.880 --> 0:18:58.800
<v Speaker 1>of video games is sort of mindless and a place

0:18:58.800 --> 0:19:01.440
<v Speaker 1>where you go and sort lose yourself with a little

0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:06.800
<v Speaker 1>sort of redeeming value. I'm totally exploring my bias now publicly. Um.

0:19:07.000 --> 0:19:11.120
<v Speaker 1>But the feeling of whimsy and and creativity and and

0:19:11.200 --> 0:19:14.840
<v Speaker 1>just sort of rooted in history that you really captured here. Yeah,

0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:19.639
<v Speaker 1>I mean it's got Nintendo has this incredibly rich gamemaking culture, um.

0:19:19.720 --> 0:19:23.440
<v Speaker 1>And the company was there at the start of this,

0:19:24.320 --> 0:19:27.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, this whole art form of video game making,

0:19:27.920 --> 0:19:31.439
<v Speaker 1>uh in the late nineties seventies, and their first you know,

0:19:31.640 --> 0:19:37.440
<v Speaker 1>very talented GameMaker, UH Shigeru Miyamoto, who made Donkey Kong,

0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:42.200
<v Speaker 1>which was their first globally huge, hugely successful game. He's

0:19:42.240 --> 0:19:45.800
<v Speaker 1>still at the company, he hasn't left, and he just mentors,

0:19:45.880 --> 0:19:48.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, generation after generation of these game makers they

0:19:48.560 --> 0:19:51.640
<v Speaker 1>come in and in some ways it's very reminiscent of

0:19:51.720 --> 0:19:56.399
<v Speaker 1>the entire artisanal culture for which Kyoto is known. I

0:19:56.400 --> 0:19:58.159
<v Speaker 1>mean you can go around Kyoto and you can go

0:19:58.280 --> 0:20:03.280
<v Speaker 1>visit these studios and see these classical crafts of you know, um,

0:20:03.400 --> 0:20:07.280
<v Speaker 1>bamboo making, whatever it is that go back centuries, and

0:20:07.320 --> 0:20:10.320
<v Speaker 1>it's a similar system. There's a master craftsman and there's

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:13.800
<v Speaker 1>always an apprentice learning. And it's very much this system,

0:20:14.240 --> 0:20:17.639
<v Speaker 1>this tension between you know, learning the traditional craft but

0:20:17.720 --> 0:20:20.080
<v Speaker 1>also pushing it forward. And the same thing happens in

0:20:20.160 --> 0:20:23.080
<v Speaker 1>Nintendo basically. And when you talk to the senior gamemakers

0:20:23.080 --> 0:20:26.760
<v Speaker 1>and Nintendo, they all say they always differ the praise

0:20:26.880 --> 0:20:29.080
<v Speaker 1>down to the newcomers. They say, no, you know, this

0:20:29.080 --> 0:20:31.159
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't be possible. Yeah, you know, we've been part of

0:20:31.200 --> 0:20:35.560
<v Speaker 1>these franchises Mario, Zelda that have been around for thirty

0:20:35.600 --> 0:20:38.480
<v Speaker 1>years now, but it really wouldn't be possible. We didn't

0:20:38.520 --> 0:20:43.680
<v Speaker 1>have these young gamemakers coming in and pushing these traditions

0:20:43.760 --> 0:20:47.680
<v Speaker 1>forward with each new console. Tell us about one of these.

0:20:47.880 --> 0:20:51.680
<v Speaker 1>Tell us about Switch. So Switches the console that Nintendo

0:20:51.760 --> 0:20:54.600
<v Speaker 1>came out with last year. It's been very successful. It's

0:20:54.640 --> 0:20:56.919
<v Speaker 1>a more it's a hybrid system. You can hook it

0:20:57.000 --> 0:20:58.760
<v Speaker 1>up to your TV and then you can also take

0:20:58.800 --> 0:21:00.600
<v Speaker 1>it with you out, you know, in the subway or

0:21:00.600 --> 0:21:03.639
<v Speaker 1>the airplane or whatever. UM, and it's been hugely successful.

0:21:03.640 --> 0:21:06.439
<v Speaker 1>And Nintendo is this kind of fascinating company where it

0:21:06.480 --> 0:21:09.800
<v Speaker 1>goes through these big boom and bus cycles. And before

0:21:09.800 --> 0:21:12.159
<v Speaker 1>the Switch came out, you know, they've been in one

0:21:12.200 --> 0:21:14.920
<v Speaker 1>of these lulls where people were saying, Ah, these guys

0:21:14.920 --> 0:21:18.200
<v Speaker 1>are you know, they're like BlackBerry, They're like Sega their doom.

0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:21.040
<v Speaker 1>They can't keep up with you know, the mobile phone era.

0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:24.040
<v Speaker 1>They're never going to have another hit product. And lo

0:21:24.160 --> 0:21:27.960
<v Speaker 1>and behold, Switch comes out and gamers go crazy for it. Um.

0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:30.280
<v Speaker 1>And it's been the biggest thing in video game industry

0:21:30.320 --> 0:21:32.639
<v Speaker 1>for the past year and a half. And now you know,

0:21:32.760 --> 0:21:35.880
<v Speaker 1>Nintendo's kind of back on top. The revenue more than

0:21:35.920 --> 0:21:39.280
<v Speaker 1>doubled during this past fiscal year. UM. They had this

0:21:39.359 --> 0:21:44.879
<v Speaker 1>incredible lineup of very popular games. Again, these re reimagined

0:21:45.000 --> 0:21:48.199
<v Speaker 1>versions of these franchises that have now been going for

0:21:48.280 --> 0:21:51.080
<v Speaker 1>third years. I played as a kid in nineteen eighties. Uh,

0:21:51.160 --> 0:21:54.720
<v Speaker 1>their new versions now the kids are playing. Felix to Lett.

0:21:54.760 --> 0:21:56.280
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much for being with us. It's a

0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:59.280
<v Speaker 1>really terrific story. And uh, I'd love to hear more

0:21:59.320 --> 0:22:02.800
<v Speaker 1>about your trip Frankly feelings to let writer for Bloomberg

0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:06.600
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. Joining us here in our eleven three oh studios,

0:22:19.600 --> 0:22:22.120
<v Speaker 1>we talked a lot about Amazon and it's foury into

0:22:22.119 --> 0:22:25.840
<v Speaker 1>the pharmaceutical business. A lot of the shares of possible

0:22:25.880 --> 0:22:29.560
<v Speaker 1>competitors sold off today. Interestingly, the sell off is continuing,

0:22:29.600 --> 0:22:32.920
<v Speaker 1>at least with respect to CVS and Express Scripts. Joining

0:22:32.960 --> 0:22:36.359
<v Speaker 1>us now to talk about the consequences of Amazon UH

0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:40.280
<v Speaker 1>in just lowering drug prices is Michael Ray, pharmacist, founder

0:22:40.320 --> 0:22:44.639
<v Speaker 1>and chief executive officer of our X Savings Solutions. Michael,

0:22:44.680 --> 0:22:47.600
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for being back with us. I

0:22:47.640 --> 0:22:50.560
<v Speaker 1>just want to get your view from the outset. When

0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:54.560
<v Speaker 1>you heard that Amazon was getting into this industry with

0:22:54.640 --> 0:22:58.240
<v Speaker 1>its latest purchase UH, did you think that this would

0:22:58.400 --> 0:23:01.760
<v Speaker 1>materially lower drug prices in a near term. Well, I

0:23:01.840 --> 0:23:03.520
<v Speaker 1>think that it will, and I think that the way

0:23:03.680 --> 0:23:07.240
<v Speaker 1>the angle that they've decided to take into the market

0:23:07.400 --> 0:23:10.520
<v Speaker 1>is UH is going to make that a swift more swift,

0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:14.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, opportunity to do something in the near term.

0:23:14.600 --> 0:23:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Buying a group like Tillpack that really is is centered

0:23:18.040 --> 0:23:22.600
<v Speaker 1>around convenience and logistics. UM with pharmacy licenses in place

0:23:22.600 --> 0:23:26.280
<v Speaker 1>allows them to make a big move quickly. Why do

0:23:26.320 --> 0:23:30.800
<v Speaker 1>you think that someone else didn't scoop up pill Pack previously. Well,

0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:33.639
<v Speaker 1>I know there was rumors that that Walmart was was

0:23:33.760 --> 0:23:37.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of in the hunt. In the hunt, Um, you

0:23:37.080 --> 0:23:38.359
<v Speaker 1>know why they didn't. I don't know if it came

0:23:38.400 --> 0:23:40.480
<v Speaker 1>down to price or or what the what the deal

0:23:40.640 --> 0:23:44.199
<v Speaker 1>structure looked like. But it's a tremendous asset for anybody

0:23:44.240 --> 0:23:48.560
<v Speaker 1>that's looking to materially affect the affect the pharmacy game,

0:23:49.119 --> 0:23:51.480
<v Speaker 1>especially as it relates to to being you know, home

0:23:51.520 --> 0:23:56.480
<v Speaker 1>delivery inconvenience for for seniors. Yeah, we actually Bloomberg News

0:23:56.520 --> 0:24:00.840
<v Speaker 1>did report that Walmart actually stole it a our got

0:24:00.840 --> 0:24:04.640
<v Speaker 1>it stolen away from it the pill pack purchase when

0:24:04.680 --> 0:24:07.639
<v Speaker 1>Amazon came along and outbid them. Um, I just do

0:24:07.760 --> 0:24:11.639
<v Speaker 1>want to get your sense, Michael about exactly how Amazon

0:24:11.720 --> 0:24:16.400
<v Speaker 1>will lower prices materially given this purchase. Well, I think

0:24:16.400 --> 0:24:18.960
<v Speaker 1>that you know, the famous Jeff Bezos quote of your

0:24:19.000 --> 0:24:23.000
<v Speaker 1>margin is my opportunity really rings true here. Amazon is

0:24:23.119 --> 0:24:28.359
<v Speaker 1>a tremendous, tremendously big company. Uh. They don't enter markets. Uh,

0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:31.080
<v Speaker 1>they're small or with the intent of doing things in

0:24:31.119 --> 0:24:35.159
<v Speaker 1>business as usual. There's also this you know, uh strong

0:24:35.200 --> 0:24:38.880
<v Speaker 1>belief that there's a tremendous amount of excess uh waste

0:24:38.880 --> 0:24:42.240
<v Speaker 1>in the supply chain when it comes to pharmacy. So

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:45.240
<v Speaker 1>I believe that is what they will attack. UM. You know,

0:24:45.280 --> 0:24:48.639
<v Speaker 1>Amazon has such a strong brand with consumers, you know,

0:24:49.000 --> 0:24:53.359
<v Speaker 1>the ability to capitalize on the brand that they've already

0:24:53.359 --> 0:24:56.040
<v Speaker 1>built and add drugs to that allows them to just

0:24:56.200 --> 0:24:59.439
<v Speaker 1>you know, service more and more people and and and

0:24:59.600 --> 0:25:02.360
<v Speaker 1>do so in a way that's convenient and easy. Can

0:25:02.440 --> 0:25:04.600
<v Speaker 1>you just give us a sense of what that access

0:25:04.800 --> 0:25:07.520
<v Speaker 1>is in the pharmaceutical industry? Well, if you look at

0:25:07.560 --> 0:25:10.760
<v Speaker 1>the supply chain you've got you know, your manufacturers, your wholesaler's,

0:25:10.880 --> 0:25:14.480
<v Speaker 1>your your pharmacy benefit managers, and your retailers um. Each

0:25:14.520 --> 0:25:17.440
<v Speaker 1>of those depending on the drug you know, there's there's

0:25:17.480 --> 0:25:19.960
<v Speaker 1>profit built into each of those transactions. Is as the

0:25:20.040 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 1>drugs move um, how much is enough is a question

0:25:24.040 --> 0:25:26.800
<v Speaker 1>that's often asked. I think, you know, like I said,

0:25:26.800 --> 0:25:29.359
<v Speaker 1>Amazon will come in and attack those those high margin

0:25:29.440 --> 0:25:31.840
<v Speaker 1>areas UM and do so in a way that could

0:25:32.000 --> 0:25:34.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, really affect the pharmacy landscape and in a

0:25:34.760 --> 0:25:37.720
<v Speaker 1>short amount of time. Michael, what role do you think

0:25:37.760 --> 0:25:42.679
<v Speaker 1>Alexa and Whole Foods will be playing in this, you know,

0:25:43.280 --> 0:25:45.080
<v Speaker 1>I don't think Whole Foods, I don't. I don't think

0:25:45.119 --> 0:25:47.679
<v Speaker 1>they're looking to create another retail network. I think that

0:25:47.720 --> 0:25:50.439
<v Speaker 1>they're trying to build on what their core strengths are,

0:25:50.480 --> 0:25:53.480
<v Speaker 1>and that's logistics and moving moving products and making it

0:25:53.560 --> 0:25:56.760
<v Speaker 1>easy for consumers. Um as far as Alexa, I think,

0:25:56.800 --> 0:25:59.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, voices definitely something you know, we've worked a

0:25:59.760 --> 0:26:02.679
<v Speaker 1>lot on at our company and have that function in

0:26:02.720 --> 0:26:05.080
<v Speaker 1>our app. It's something that people like to use, and

0:26:05.359 --> 0:26:09.200
<v Speaker 1>as those technologies get better, doctors will use them, consumers

0:26:09.200 --> 0:26:11.240
<v Speaker 1>will use them much more than they do today. I

0:26:11.240 --> 0:26:13.800
<v Speaker 1>think we'll look back in five years and say, alex

0:26:13.960 --> 0:26:18.840
<v Speaker 1>or similar products I have have really taken uh taken

0:26:19.040 --> 0:26:23.920
<v Speaker 1>a huge uh really added convenience to the to the process. Michael,

0:26:23.960 --> 0:26:27.399
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious what you think Amazon's next step will be

0:26:27.480 --> 0:26:32.080
<v Speaker 1>in terms of its fore into the health care industry. Well,

0:26:32.160 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 1>I can only speculate, um, Yeah, but you can speculate

0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:39.360
<v Speaker 1>from an educated place, knowing exactly how much information and

0:26:39.800 --> 0:26:42.560
<v Speaker 1>access you have once you get into the drug the

0:26:42.640 --> 0:26:46.040
<v Speaker 1>drug supply chain. Yeah, I mean I would I would

0:26:46.040 --> 0:26:48.800
<v Speaker 1>guess that they'll start out with you know some of

0:26:48.800 --> 0:26:52.320
<v Speaker 1>the some of the easier components of of managing drug benefits.

0:26:52.320 --> 0:26:55.239
<v Speaker 1>I think that you know, cash cash generics have been

0:26:55.240 --> 0:26:58.000
<v Speaker 1>floated around in the markets as something that you know,

0:26:58.040 --> 0:27:00.240
<v Speaker 1>would be the kind of easy first step. I think

0:27:00.240 --> 0:27:04.280
<v Speaker 1>that makes sense. Um. But you know, they're they're sophisticated,

0:27:04.320 --> 0:27:07.919
<v Speaker 1>very smart organization. UM. I think they could attack it

0:27:07.960 --> 0:27:11.680
<v Speaker 1>in a variety of ways. But this retail piece interfacing

0:27:11.720 --> 0:27:15.399
<v Speaker 1>with the consumer, uh, is a good first step. Michael,

0:27:15.440 --> 0:27:17.800
<v Speaker 1>If you happen to be running a pharmacy right now,

0:27:18.080 --> 0:27:21.040
<v Speaker 1>what do you take away from this week's announcement and

0:27:21.080 --> 0:27:23.800
<v Speaker 1>what should you do? Give you that thirty seconds. Yeah,

0:27:23.840 --> 0:27:28.120
<v Speaker 1>I think there's going to be tremendous margin compression on profits.

0:27:28.600 --> 0:27:32.800
<v Speaker 1>How quickly that happens is to be seen. But you know,

0:27:32.840 --> 0:27:35.040
<v Speaker 1>I think as we've seen, CVS and Walgreens are both

0:27:35.080 --> 0:27:39.520
<v Speaker 1>down ten um in the market, and that I think

0:27:39.560 --> 0:27:42.040
<v Speaker 1>that's indicative. And if I was running my own, you know,

0:27:42.080 --> 0:27:44.920
<v Speaker 1>kind of independent pharmacy, I'd feel the same pressure that

0:27:45.080 --> 0:27:47.840
<v Speaker 1>those guys are experiencing in the public market. Thanks very

0:27:47.880 --> 0:27:50.080
<v Speaker 1>much for being with us. Michael Ray is a pharmacist.

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:52.880
<v Speaker 1>He's also the founder and the chief executive of our

0:27:53.080 --> 0:27:58.600
<v Speaker 1>ex savings solutions, talking about drug prices, pharmacies, and the

0:27:58.640 --> 0:28:03.159
<v Speaker 1>effects of Amazon dot Com purchasing a pill pack to

0:28:03.200 --> 0:28:06.880
<v Speaker 1>see what happens to the brick and mortar pharmacies as

0:28:06.880 --> 0:28:14.720
<v Speaker 1>a result of this acquisition as well. Thanks for listening

0:28:14.800 --> 0:28:17.679
<v Speaker 1>to the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe

0:28:17.720 --> 0:28:21.280
<v Speaker 1>and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whatever

0:28:21.359 --> 0:28:24.840
<v Speaker 1>podcast platform you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm on Twitter

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:28.640
<v Speaker 1>at pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's

0:28:28.680 --> 0:28:31.719
<v Speaker 1>one before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide

0:28:31.720 --> 0:28:32.680
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio