WEBVTT - Are the Jets frauds? 0:00:04.339 --> 0:00:06.539 NFL Game de View is a production of the NFL 0:00:06.619 --> 0:00:14.899 in partnership with iHeartRadio. 0:00:16.339 --> 0:00:18.779 Everybody Welcome to Game Debut, present of by Mercedes Benz, 0:00:18.779 --> 0:00:22.179 Patrick Claibond. Here with Greg Rosenthal and Cynthia Freeland. Week five, 0:00:22.219 --> 0:00:24.219 The Lion's Share of It. We're gonna get you set 0:00:24.259 --> 0:00:27.459 for it because there's a big difference sometimes between like 0:00:27.499 --> 0:00:29.339 two and two and three and two. The season could 0:00:29.379 --> 0:00:31.299 turn on some of these games, guys. 0:00:31.419 --> 0:00:33.299 I mean this is I feel like now we kind 0:00:33.299 --> 0:00:35.259 of know a little bit about who these teams are. 0:00:35.579 --> 0:00:37.339 What are we looking at? Maybe maybe we just know 0:00:37.339 --> 0:00:39.099 a little bit more right now, after this first month 0:00:39.099 --> 0:00:39.819 of the season is over. 0:00:39.899 --> 0:00:41.379 I don't know much according to the pit. 0:00:41.699 --> 0:00:44.419 Yeah, here we'll show you exactly how much we know 0:00:44.779 --> 0:00:48.739 thus far. We know that Cynthia Freeland is wearing that crown. Meanwhile, 0:00:48.779 --> 0:00:51.219 I'm at five hundred. Greg is just about it. It's 0:00:51.259 --> 0:00:53.099 Cynthia's world. We're just we're just living in. 0:00:53.339 --> 0:00:56.019 I'm gonna be very honest with you. Until our producer 0:00:56.019 --> 0:00:56.739 told me, I didn't know, I. 0:00:56.699 --> 0:00:57.899 Don't I don't track anything. 0:00:57.939 --> 0:00:59.899 Oh yeah, I truly keep track. 0:00:59.779 --> 0:01:03.219 Of mind, nothing like fake combo. I don't know it's true. 0:01:03.219 --> 0:01:05.979 We're Freeland. She will tell you as she was beaten 0:01:05.979 --> 0:01:06.739 into me as a child. 0:01:07.739 --> 0:01:10.659 See this is Cynthia like bending the rim, hitting us 0:01:10.659 --> 0:01:12.339 in our chest with her knee as. 0:01:12.219 --> 0:01:14.499 The ball bounces off our heads. We'll jump right into it. 0:01:14.819 --> 0:01:17.819 The Texans making a big splash off season last offseason 0:01:17.859 --> 0:01:21.059 acquiring Pro Bowl receiver Stefon Diggs from the Bills. Spent 0:01:21.139 --> 0:01:23.819 four seasons in Buffalo, catching over one hundred balls for 0:01:23.899 --> 0:01:27.339 one thousand plus yards in every season the Bills traded Digs. 0:01:27.339 --> 0:01:31.539 Folks on the outside, we're speculating about bad vibes. Maybe 0:01:31.579 --> 0:01:34.979 one day somebody will provide specifics so what actually happened? 0:01:35.139 --> 0:01:36.979 But for now he gets this chance at revenge. 0:01:37.019 --> 0:01:39.579 The Bills and Texans squaring off in Houston, both teams 0:01:39.619 --> 0:01:42.339 three and one. Do the Bills bounce back Cynthia after 0:01:42.339 --> 0:01:44.099 they got throttled on the road Sunday night? 0:01:44.499 --> 0:01:47.979 Unfortunately, I just that injury report is too full of 0:01:48.139 --> 0:01:50.179 names for me, So I have Houston winning this game 0:01:50.259 --> 0:01:53.699 by two points, twenty five to twenty three. In this matchup, 0:01:53.819 --> 0:01:55.339 I want to give a little bit of love to 0:01:55.339 --> 0:01:57.859 see j Stroud when he's not facing the blitz. I mean, 0:01:57.979 --> 0:02:00.979 he has the most yards in the NFL on such passes, 0:02:01.179 --> 0:02:04.099 and they usually come off an inbreaker from Nico Collins. 0:02:04.339 --> 0:02:06.619 All of these things line up to deficiencies to the Bills. 0:02:06.619 --> 0:02:08.579 Are things or tendencies of the Bills that they don't do. 0:02:08.699 --> 0:02:10.699 They blitz at the lowest rate in the league, and 0:02:11.099 --> 0:02:13.819 some of the people who are potentially not playing, that's 0:02:13.859 --> 0:02:16.739 where those inbreaking routes would be caught. So it just 0:02:16.819 --> 0:02:20.339 lines up that the pluses for CJ. Stroud and this 0:02:20.499 --> 0:02:23.819 passing offense line up with the potential minuses for the 0:02:23.859 --> 0:02:25.019 Bills in this matchup. 0:02:25.259 --> 0:02:26.899 I agree. I'm gonna go ahead and give them one 0:02:26.939 --> 0:02:27.299 more point. 0:02:27.459 --> 0:02:30.659 I got twenty six twenty three looking at this game, 0:02:31.099 --> 0:02:34.539 really because the Buffalo Bills are going up against this 0:02:34.619 --> 0:02:36.659 Texans team that has a good defense. What about the 0:02:36.659 --> 0:02:39.299 Texans and the defenses that they faced? If you're concerned 0:02:39.299 --> 0:02:43.379 about CJ. Stroud this season, the Bills, I mean, excuse me, 0:02:43.459 --> 0:02:46.859 the Bears, the Vikings as well. I don't know if 0:02:46.899 --> 0:02:51.699 defensive wise, talent wise, Buffalo presents as many problems for 0:02:52.179 --> 0:02:55.099 Houston as some of these other teams on their schedule. Meanwhile, 0:02:55.259 --> 0:02:57.099 the Bills lose Von Miller for a group of games, 0:02:57.139 --> 0:02:59.259 I started to get concerned about this Bills defense, as 0:02:59.259 --> 0:03:01.819 is Cynthia, considering the volume of injuries they're dealing with. 0:03:02.259 --> 0:03:03.539 I've got the Texans. 0:03:03.139 --> 0:03:06.099 Here, Greg, Oh love this. We are starting off the 0:03:06.179 --> 0:03:09.539 show feeling right. We're starting off with a big Bills 0:03:09.619 --> 0:03:12.659 victory twenty seventh to twenty one. That means we're starting 0:03:12.659 --> 0:03:16.019 off with a just Greg two and zero on just 0:03:16.139 --> 0:03:16.979 Greg last week. 0:03:17.059 --> 0:03:18.139 The Bills are gonna get it done. 0:03:18.139 --> 0:03:20.979 Look, there were my Super Bowl team this year because 0:03:21.019 --> 0:03:23.819 of Josh Allen, because of the pass protection that matches 0:03:23.899 --> 0:03:27.059 up well against this Houston pass rush. This is the 0:03:27.099 --> 0:03:29.619 best offensive line in the league. They are leading the 0:03:29.659 --> 0:03:32.659 league in pass block win rate. Yes, I know they're 0:03:32.739 --> 0:03:35.019 left tackle Dion Dawkins a little banged up. 0:03:35.019 --> 0:03:36.219 The rest of the line is great. 0:03:36.259 --> 0:03:38.699 We'll see if he suits up either way. I trust 0:03:38.819 --> 0:03:41.499 Josh Allen back there. I'm on this team. I had 0:03:41.499 --> 0:03:44.139 them losing last week to the Ravens, so I got 0:03:44.139 --> 0:03:46.299 the vibe of what they do. And sometimes you got 0:03:46.299 --> 0:03:47.899 to just look at the teams. When I watch these 0:03:47.899 --> 0:03:51.579 two teams, I think the Bills are a better offense. Overall, 0:03:51.619 --> 0:03:55.299 They're both good defenses. Here, the Texans good pass rushers 0:03:55.299 --> 0:03:57.299 aren't getting home. They're not gonna get Josh Allen on 0:03:57.299 --> 0:03:57.859 the I see a. 0:03:57.859 --> 0:03:59.859 Lot of Dion Dawkins and those clips that we picked 0:03:59.899 --> 0:04:01.539 for your okayro. 0:04:02.019 --> 0:04:05.339 Might be on the field. It's good coaching the offensive line. 0:04:05.339 --> 0:04:06.379 They get it done, all right. 0:04:06.419 --> 0:04:09.539 We'll keep a track on Greg's vibe. Match with the 0:04:09.539 --> 0:04:11.539 Buffalo Bills. We got two of the best quarterbacks in 0:04:11.539 --> 0:04:13.619 the League of fun, and let's do some math on 0:04:13.659 --> 0:04:16.619 this fun game. Will Stefan Diggs have over fifty five 0:04:16.659 --> 0:04:18.899 receiving yards on a path to revenge? I don't know 0:04:18.899 --> 0:04:21.059 if fifty five is revenge, but he's gonna give fifty fives. 0:04:21.139 --> 0:04:23.739 Yeah, I mean, if fifty five is number for revenge, 0:04:23.819 --> 0:04:25.419 I sign up for that. I think he's going to 0:04:25.499 --> 0:04:28.059 have more yards than that. In a lot of ways, 0:04:28.099 --> 0:04:30.139 this comes down to the fact of where the routes 0:04:30.179 --> 0:04:31.859 he's been running are and where are some of the 0:04:31.859 --> 0:04:34.739 holes Again in the Bill's secondary happens to be some 0:04:34.899 --> 0:04:37.779 of those Bills defensive numbers. Patrick, you brought it up. 0:04:37.899 --> 0:04:41.219 They were against like something horrible happening with Miami something 0:04:41.259 --> 0:04:44.899 not like they're just kind of a little misleading. It's 0:04:44.899 --> 0:04:46.459 not to say that they aren't a good defense, but 0:04:46.499 --> 0:04:48.619 they are more generous to the past than what we've seen. 0:04:48.779 --> 0:04:50.619 All Right, we'll move on to the team that ended 0:04:50.619 --> 0:04:53.099 the Bills perfect season last week, the Baltimore Ravens. 0:04:53.139 --> 0:04:54.499 Dereck Henry playing a big. 0:04:54.419 --> 0:04:57.379 Role in that thirty five to ten beat down of Buffalo, 0:04:57.419 --> 0:04:59.459 the King going for one hundred and ninety nine yards, 0:04:59.499 --> 0:05:02.859 including a franchise record eighty seven yard touchdown run. A 0:05:02.859 --> 0:05:05.459 big win for Baltimore last week, got new picking against 0:05:05.499 --> 0:05:08.499 the workout. They've won two straight games. They've now got 0:05:08.499 --> 0:05:12.099 Burrow in the Bengals. Who do you see winning here, Cynthia. 0:05:11.939 --> 0:05:14.899 I have Baltimore and it's because of that guy. Why 0:05:15.139 --> 0:05:17.819 what are the trends we're seeing for Derrick Henry this year? Well, 0:05:17.899 --> 0:05:20.219 this is the most generous teams have been with him 0:05:20.339 --> 0:05:23.219 on yards before contact meeting, He's able to get a 0:05:23.259 --> 0:05:25.419 full head of steam. He's almost running ten point three 0:05:25.499 --> 0:05:28.099 miles per hour by the time he even crosses the 0:05:28.139 --> 0:05:31.699 lineups troops. What number two? They're also giving him a 0:05:31.739 --> 0:05:34.499 light box at the highest rate of his career. What 0:05:34.539 --> 0:05:37.779 are people doing? But here's the thing, ultimately in this 0:05:37.819 --> 0:05:40.819 one the Bengals defense is most efficient they're banged up. 0:05:40.859 --> 0:05:43.299 Is Sheldon Rankan's gonna play? I don't know. They don't 0:05:43.299 --> 0:05:45.779 have anyone that really stops the run, especially in the 0:05:45.819 --> 0:05:47.899 middle of the field. So this one is just a 0:05:47.939 --> 0:05:50.339 big mismatch in front of in favor of the run 0:05:50.379 --> 0:05:52.899 game kind of both by the quarterback and by of 0:05:52.899 --> 0:05:54.019 course Derrick Henry. 0:05:54.219 --> 0:05:56.859 Yeah, I have the Ravens winning this game by quite 0:05:56.859 --> 0:06:00.419 a bit, thirteen seven to twenty four, and I think 0:06:00.619 --> 0:06:03.859 that's disrespectful. Look when the when the Bengals offense is 0:06:03.859 --> 0:06:05.539 on the field, gonna be a nice matchup. When the 0:06:05.619 --> 0:06:08.059 Ravens offense on the field, it's no match at all. 0:06:08.099 --> 0:06:11.699 This Bengals defense is not playing well. They're disrespecting lou 0:06:11.739 --> 0:06:14.979 Anarrumo's name like they're gonna make me forget how good. 0:06:14.899 --> 0:06:15.499 They used to be. 0:06:15.539 --> 0:06:18.899 They're missing tackles all over the place. You can't set 0:06:18.939 --> 0:06:21.979 the edge against Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders. You think 0:06:22.019 --> 0:06:24.819 you're gonna do it against Lamar Jackson and Derek Henry. 0:06:24.899 --> 0:06:29.579 This is the worst matchup possible. This Bengals offense too, 0:06:29.699 --> 0:06:32.379 like they haven't played a defense as good as the Ravens. 0:06:32.419 --> 0:06:34.459 So I think they could struggle a little bit. But again, 0:06:34.819 --> 0:06:37.899 you're watching the highlights of Cam Taylor Britt getting beat 0:06:37.939 --> 0:06:38.539 over and over. 0:06:38.659 --> 0:06:39.499 He's gotten bench. 0:06:39.579 --> 0:06:42.299 The Ravens offense is pretty efficient in the passing game 0:06:42.379 --> 0:06:43.619 so far this season. 0:06:43.659 --> 0:06:43.819 Two. 0:06:43.939 --> 0:06:47.099 I think it's a total mismatch. It's not gonna be close. 0:06:47.299 --> 0:06:48.859 You know what we didn't see on that Act of 0:06:48.899 --> 0:06:51.539 Mike segment. You didn't see any Bengals players going you're great, 0:06:51.819 --> 0:06:54.499 You're great, because there's been no greatness for the Bengals. 0:06:54.859 --> 0:06:55.579 It was the Ravens. 0:06:55.699 --> 0:06:58.419 Yeah, it's a tough situation for the Bengals this season. 0:06:58.459 --> 0:07:01.579 Thirteen points feels like a lot from Greg the games 0:07:01.579 --> 0:07:02.139 in Cincinnati. 0:07:02.139 --> 0:07:04.259 I'm gonna say it's a two point Baltimore. 0:07:03.899 --> 0:07:06.979 Ravens when but I think we can't feel good about 0:07:06.979 --> 0:07:11.579 this Ravens defense, especially the pass rushers because, especially as 0:07:11.619 --> 0:07:14.499 of late that game against the Bills and Josh Allen, 0:07:14.739 --> 0:07:17.619 one of only three teams in the entire NFL right 0:07:17.659 --> 0:07:20.419 now that has four players with ten or more pressures. 0:07:20.459 --> 0:07:22.539 That means they're versatile. They hit you from plenty of 0:07:22.539 --> 0:07:25.699 different places, and they can do so quickly. Look at 0:07:25.699 --> 0:07:28.379 Adafe Oh wait getting to Josh Allen there on that 0:07:28.459 --> 0:07:31.219 particular play. The Ravens are a team that I think 0:07:31.219 --> 0:07:34.539 can win, and you guys are granted with a mimulert 0:07:34.539 --> 0:07:35.219 a meme alert. 0:07:35.419 --> 0:07:37.779 Many mean, what are words? 0:07:37.939 --> 0:07:40.539 From London at nine to thirty am Eastern, exclusively on 0:07:40.659 --> 0:07:43.739 NFL Network, Aaron Rodgers and the Jets taking them on 0:07:43.899 --> 0:07:47.259 Justin Jefferson and the undefeated Vikings at Tottenham Hotspurs Stadium 0:07:47.299 --> 0:07:50.939 in London. Rise, shine and watch Jets versus Vikings NFL 0:07:51.019 --> 0:07:52.619 Network streaming on NFL Plus. 0:07:52.619 --> 0:07:55.539 Subscription is required for NFL Plus. 0:07:55.619 --> 0:07:58.339 Let's jump right in to this big matchup at Tottenham 0:07:58.339 --> 0:08:01.419 Hotspurs Stadium. The Vikings looking to remain undefeated, and I 0:08:01.539 --> 0:08:05.139 believe that they will winning by the really fun score 0:08:05.379 --> 0:08:08.899 of twenty one to fifteen. It feels a little conservative 0:08:09.099 --> 0:08:12.179 because I look at these Sam Donald pockets that he 0:08:12.299 --> 0:08:13.659 is slinging from. 0:08:13.659 --> 0:08:15.099 And they look great. 0:08:15.299 --> 0:08:17.859 The rates stats on terms of pressure show one thing, 0:08:18.019 --> 0:08:20.499 but look at all the big plays the Minnesota Vikings 0:08:20.539 --> 0:08:22.899 have made this season, Like, what do you notice? 0:08:23.179 --> 0:08:24.979 It's just Surm, It's just. 0:08:24.979 --> 0:08:26.899 Sam back there picking his spots. 0:08:27.059 --> 0:08:30.819 Josh Oliver touchdowns one a performance from Jordan Addison. Last week, 0:08:31.099 --> 0:08:34.099 the Jets defense had the team on its back against 0:08:34.099 --> 0:08:38.459 the Broncos, and I'll paraface Justin Jefferson's my favorite. Justin 0:08:38.539 --> 0:08:41.339 Jefferson quoted this season, with all due respect to the 0:08:41.379 --> 0:08:43.499 Denver Broncos, this ain't the Denver Broncos. 0:08:43.539 --> 0:08:45.259 Ew I got the Minnesota Vikings here. 0:08:46.579 --> 0:08:49.739 I got the Minnesota Vikings as well in this game. 0:08:49.779 --> 0:08:52.379 And yeah, I think Garrett Wilson, maybe he'll get going. 0:08:52.579 --> 0:08:54.739 But you know who's really gonna make Sam Donald look good? 0:08:54.819 --> 0:08:57.419 Aaron Jones. A lot of those yards Sam Donald is 0:08:57.459 --> 0:09:00.619 getting is off these screen passes. Last year, the Vikings 0:09:00.619 --> 0:09:03.619 were one of the least effective screen teams in the 0:09:03.779 --> 0:09:07.739 entire NFL. Now they're the third best team in terms 0:09:07.779 --> 0:09:10.219 of yards per catch on screens. And you know why 0:09:10.259 --> 0:09:12.699 that is because they got one of the best screen 0:09:13.179 --> 0:09:16.339 running backs in NFL history. Last year, the Packers were 0:09:16.339 --> 0:09:18.899 one of the best screen teams because Aaron Jones was 0:09:18.939 --> 0:09:21.779 getting it done. Look, it's getting blocked up really well. 0:09:21.859 --> 0:09:24.219 It's called at the right times. I think Kevin O'Connell 0:09:24.339 --> 0:09:27.339 has a really good feel of when to call these screens, 0:09:27.499 --> 0:09:30.139 and Aaron Jones is one of the best running backs 0:09:30.139 --> 0:09:32.739 in the league at doing everything. It's running, it's the 0:09:32.779 --> 0:09:35.779 receiving game, it's blocking. He's tough, and I think this 0:09:35.939 --> 0:09:38.979 Jets run defense and the screen defense is going to 0:09:39.059 --> 0:09:39.899 just get washed out. 0:09:40.379 --> 0:09:43.499 Oh meme it up, because I too have the Vikings 0:09:43.539 --> 0:09:47.939 winning this game, but by two points, a little bit 0:09:47.979 --> 0:09:50.459 close to here, twenty two to twenty. I want to 0:09:50.499 --> 0:09:52.579 point out something that I feel like maybe you've got 0:09:52.579 --> 0:09:54.539 a little confusing this week, and that's the fact that 0:09:54.819 --> 0:09:57.579 you've never seen Brian Flores actually go up against an 0:09:57.579 --> 0:10:02.179 Aaron Rodgers quarterbacks team as the defensive coordinator or head coach. Right, 0:10:02.259 --> 0:10:04.859 neither thing You've alays seen him as a lot coach. 0:10:04.939 --> 0:10:06.819 That is the last time. So when you're looking at 0:10:06.819 --> 0:10:08.739 the run game and how to stop it, we saw 0:10:08.819 --> 0:10:12.299 the prescription last week from the Sean Payton from everything 0:10:12.299 --> 0:10:14.739 that's going on with those Denver Broncos. They're the number 0:10:14.779 --> 0:10:17.179 one blitzing team. This is the number two blitzing team. 0:10:17.419 --> 0:10:20.419 Shutting down Breese Hall feels like it's the right thing 0:10:20.459 --> 0:10:22.779 to do to shut down everything else that they want 0:10:22.819 --> 0:10:24.939 to do. That was the key last week. I think 0:10:24.939 --> 0:10:27.179 that will be a key again this week. 0:10:27.059 --> 0:10:29.619 And if things go wrong for the Jets, then we 0:10:29.699 --> 0:10:32.459 start looking at the team a whole lot differently. 0:10:32.859 --> 0:10:34.299 Considering last week's loss. 0:10:34.659 --> 0:10:37.579 The Saints have the Chiefs on Monday Night Football, Casey 0:10:37.779 --> 0:10:40.739 just one of two remaining undefeated teams. They just put 0:10:40.819 --> 0:10:44.339 Rashid Rice on ir Can they win without Rice? 0:10:44.339 --> 0:10:47.099 Cynthia, Yeah, they can win it without Rice. Twenty five 0:10:47.219 --> 0:10:50.099 to twenty one is my final score in this matchup. 0:10:50.219 --> 0:10:52.299 I just want to talk about the tight ends in general, 0:10:52.379 --> 0:10:55.179 not just that one who did have a much better game, 0:10:55.219 --> 0:10:58.459 more fantasy points if that's what you're into. No Grey week, 0:10:58.659 --> 0:11:01.259 but look, no Gray, he's there too, Okay, right, you're 0:11:01.259 --> 0:11:03.379 going to have to figure out all the different ways 0:11:03.379 --> 0:11:05.659 to survive without or she Rice. He was your number 0:11:05.659 --> 0:11:07.979 one by far. So now you've got to look at 0:11:08.059 --> 0:11:10.499 where are the vulnerable points in the Saints defense, and 0:11:10.539 --> 0:11:12.499 it happens to be to the tight end position. They're 0:11:12.499 --> 0:11:15.179 giving up lots of yards to that specific position where 0:11:15.219 --> 0:11:17.499 those routes are run. So not only will it be 0:11:17.739 --> 0:11:20.579 Travis Kelcey, but you've also got Noah Gray or whomever 0:11:20.619 --> 0:11:23.419 else they're going to run in those slot like tight 0:11:23.499 --> 0:11:26.979 end like places. So that to me, that is the 0:11:27.019 --> 0:11:29.979 Saints defense is good, very good. This is an opportunity 0:11:30.059 --> 0:11:32.539 for the Chiefs to kind of get back on track 0:11:32.579 --> 0:11:33.899 and figure out what they're going to look like without 0:11:33.939 --> 0:11:35.299 Rashi Rice for however long he's gone. 0:11:35.379 --> 0:11:37.579 Yeah, I second that, Cynthy. The Saints defense very good. 0:11:37.579 --> 0:11:40.139 The problem for the Saints. The Chiefs defense is also 0:11:40.859 --> 0:11:43.019 very good. So I've got Casey winning in a close one, 0:11:43.059 --> 0:11:46.619 because that's apparently what they do now is win close games. 0:11:46.619 --> 0:11:49.019 Four games this season they're four and oh every single 0:11:49.099 --> 0:11:51.819 one of them within a score. The Saints are zero 0:11:51.819 --> 0:11:54.099 to two in that category. And the very first person 0:11:54.139 --> 0:11:57.019 that would tell you that would be one Alvin Kamara. 0:11:57.099 --> 0:11:59.899 Shout out to Alvin Kamara. That's the entire point of 0:11:59.899 --> 0:12:01.539 what I want to talk about here for this game. 0:12:01.619 --> 0:12:03.819 He's number three in the league in Russian. He's got 0:12:03.819 --> 0:12:07.619 morrisceptions than Jalen Waddle, Jayden Breed and Amari Cooper. Oh 0:12:07.659 --> 0:12:10.979 and by the way, he's playing right now with broken ribs. 0:12:11.219 --> 0:12:14.619 What just saying, Shout out to the dude, one of 0:12:14.659 --> 0:12:16.819 the best during his era in the NFL. 0:12:17.259 --> 0:12:19.459 So I like it when we're all aligned, we all 0:12:19.459 --> 0:12:22.579 have the Saints covering. We clearly all believe in the 0:12:22.619 --> 0:12:24.939 Saints that they're gonna cover this spread, but one of 0:12:24.979 --> 0:12:27.739 us believes in them for real. The Saints are gonna 0:12:27.779 --> 0:12:30.459 win this game. I got the guts. We're just going 0:12:30.619 --> 0:12:33.059 just greg again. They wanted to do it, they didn't 0:12:33.099 --> 0:12:35.659 do it, and they're gonna regret it because that Saint's 0:12:35.699 --> 0:12:39.059 secondary is gonna be all over this Chief's wide receiver 0:12:39.219 --> 0:12:41.619 group and their tight ends. I don't care that they're 0:12:41.619 --> 0:12:44.059 giving up numbers to tight ends. They should be good 0:12:44.139 --> 0:12:46.699 up the middle. Tyron Matthew hopefully back for this game. 0:12:47.219 --> 0:12:50.259 I like Alante Taylor in the slot, Paulson Adebo. We 0:12:50.299 --> 0:12:54.059 got Marshawn Laddimore healthy, and I think to beat the Chiefs, 0:12:54.299 --> 0:12:57.539 you gotta have a great secondary because Patrick Mahomes just 0:12:57.619 --> 0:13:00.579 neutralizes the pass rush and they'll probably protect him pretty well. 0:13:00.619 --> 0:13:03.619 The Saints past russ isn't amazing, but they can cover, 0:13:03.899 --> 0:13:06.339 They can stick to these wide receivers, and they can 0:13:06.379 --> 0:13:09.299 force Patrick Mahomes into some bad decisions a lot of 0:13:09.339 --> 0:13:12.379 interceptions this year. I think the Saints defense gets it done. 0:13:12.539 --> 0:13:15.459 They go into arrowhead. I've never made this mistake before, 0:13:15.459 --> 0:13:16.139 doubting the Chiefs. 0:13:16.219 --> 0:13:20.139 Let's go a Saints road win at Arrowhead. It's a 0:13:20.139 --> 0:13:20.579 fun pick. 0:13:20.779 --> 0:13:24.499 Let's check out some player props from this game between 0:13:24.539 --> 0:13:27.459 the Saints and the Chiefs. Derek Carr sitting at one 0:13:27.459 --> 0:13:30.139 and a half passing touchdown, Patrick Mahomes at two thirty 0:13:30.179 --> 0:13:33.459 one and a half, Alvin at over fifty three and 0:13:33.459 --> 0:13:36.859 a half, Travis Kelce getting five and a half receptions, 0:13:36.899 --> 0:13:41.019 and say, if you're worthy with she Rice out forty 0:13:41.099 --> 0:13:43.019 and a half receiving yards. So let's do some math 0:13:43.099 --> 0:13:45.619 on this one. Cynthia Well Mahomes throw for over two 0:13:45.739 --> 0:13:48.379 hundred and thirty two and a half yards Monday in Arrowhead. 0:13:48.579 --> 0:13:51.219 Yeah, I do think he will. For a couple of reasons. 0:13:51.299 --> 0:13:53.259 Number One, the Saints happen to be one of the 0:13:53.339 --> 0:13:55.659 four teams that have scored on their opening drive in 0:13:55.779 --> 0:13:58.979 every single game this season, and the Chiefs they have not. 0:13:59.379 --> 0:14:00.979 What we've seen from the Chiefs is a bit of 0:14:00.979 --> 0:14:03.779 a slower start, which would dictate more passing yards. This 0:14:03.819 --> 0:14:05.979 is a low number, two hundred and thirty two point 0:14:05.979 --> 0:14:08.219 but it's not like three hundred and thirty two point five. 0:14:08.219 --> 0:14:10.259 It's two hundred and thirty two point five. So if 0:14:10.299 --> 0:14:13.859 you're looking at that threshold, and figuring things out without Rashiver. 0:14:14.019 --> 0:14:15.699 I mean, and by the way, that Davier Worthy one 0:14:15.739 --> 0:14:17.139 forty point that could be one catch. 0:14:17.339 --> 0:14:18.819 So what you're saying is the Chiefs are going to 0:14:18.859 --> 0:14:20.099 be trailing a lot in this game. 0:14:20.179 --> 0:14:21.739 I don't think that the game script. 0:14:21.419 --> 0:14:22.899 Will be I see what you're saying. 0:14:23.019 --> 0:14:27.339 Okay, okay, Passing numbers that league wide as folks are 0:14:27.379 --> 0:14:28.859 kind of getting adjusted to that. 0:14:28.939 --> 0:14:30.499 Moving on to the Dallas Cowboys. 0:14:30.659 --> 0:14:33.019 Dak and the Boys got a much needed win last 0:14:33.019 --> 0:14:34.179 week against the g Men. 0:14:34.699 --> 0:14:36.299 Sunday night, we're getting a classic. 0:14:36.459 --> 0:14:39.699 It's the Cowboys and the Steelers in Pittsburgh, Dak versus Fields. 0:14:39.819 --> 0:14:40.939 I'm gonna kick us off here. 0:14:40.979 --> 0:14:44.299 I like the Steelers by two points because I've seen 0:14:44.299 --> 0:14:44.939 it at all. 0:14:44.859 --> 0:14:46.259 Against this Cowboys defense. 0:14:46.419 --> 0:14:49.179 It's dealing with injuries at both Edges has to chase 0:14:49.339 --> 0:14:51.939 justin fields around. He's had rushing touchdowns in the past 0:14:51.979 --> 0:14:55.179 few weeks. But here's the twenty twenty four fields. The 0:14:55.179 --> 0:14:58.939 Steelers are a top twelve passing efficiency offense. Arthur Smith's 0:14:58.979 --> 0:15:02.219 team is trying to get the rushing efficiency it catch 0:15:02.259 --> 0:15:05.299 up to the passing efficiency, and better team to try 0:15:05.339 --> 0:15:07.979 to do that against than the twenty twenty four Dallas 0:15:08.019 --> 0:15:09.019 Cowboys run defense. 0:15:09.059 --> 0:15:11.259 Greg, Yeah, I agree with you. I have the Steelers 0:15:11.299 --> 0:15:13.459 winning this game. I think it's going to be very close. 0:15:13.499 --> 0:15:16.299 It's twenty two to twenty one. Because everything is so 0:15:16.499 --> 0:15:19.339 hard for the Cowboys right now. When you watch Dak Prescott, 0:15:19.379 --> 0:15:22.139 his throws have to be absolutely perfect. 0:15:22.219 --> 0:15:23.499 Now I'm going to show you the good. 0:15:23.899 --> 0:15:27.579 Dak Prescott's a baller, but all these receivers are catching 0:15:27.939 --> 0:15:32.139 passes in tight windows. He actually leads the league in 0:15:32.259 --> 0:15:36.379 percentage of tight windows thrown into. They also are dead 0:15:36.459 --> 0:15:39.299 last in the league in terms of average separation from 0:15:39.299 --> 0:15:41.859 their wide receivers. So it feels like Mike McCarthy, he's 0:15:41.859 --> 0:15:44.259 just sending his wide receivers out there, go get open. 0:15:44.299 --> 0:15:46.939 I remember this back in Green Bay. It's close. 0:15:46.979 --> 0:15:49.619 I'm threading the needle here where I'm picking the Steelers 0:15:49.619 --> 0:15:51.699 to win, but the Cowboys to cover. It's a little 0:15:51.699 --> 0:15:53.299 bit of a I'm not sure what's gonna happen, but 0:15:53.299 --> 0:15:54.699 I trust the Steelers a little more. 0:15:55.019 --> 0:15:57.059 I mean I trust the Steelers probably the most of 0:15:57.099 --> 0:15:59.899 anyone here because I have the biggest difference between their score. 0:15:59.939 --> 0:16:02.299 I have twenty four to twenty one in this matchup, 0:16:02.499 --> 0:16:04.099 I do want to point out on the other side, 0:16:04.219 --> 0:16:06.939 so poor CD Lamb, he's out here all by himself. 0:16:06.979 --> 0:16:09.619 No Brandon Cooks in this matchup. Of course, there's Jake Ferguson. 0:16:09.659 --> 0:16:11.299 If you're a fantasy player, you can use him too. 0:16:11.539 --> 0:16:14.499 But ultimately, he has a streak of thirty seven games 0:16:14.499 --> 0:16:17.819 with four or more receptions. That is the third longest 0:16:17.899 --> 0:16:22.219 active streak since nineteen seventy. That forecast to absolutely continue 0:16:22.259 --> 0:16:24.099 to talk about those tight window throws. You know why 0:16:24.139 --> 0:16:27.739 they're turning into receptions, CD Lamb, Yeah, Dak Prescott, he's 0:16:27.739 --> 0:16:30.139 got the best passer rating under pressure this year. You 0:16:30.179 --> 0:16:32.979 know why guys like Ceedee Lamb catching it in really 0:16:33.019 --> 0:16:35.979 really tough situations. So just a little love to ceed 0:16:36.099 --> 0:16:37.739 Lamb in this one because he's gonna get a lot 0:16:37.779 --> 0:16:40.499 of attention from the Steelers secondary, but he will also 0:16:40.499 --> 0:16:42.459 get a lot of attention from Dak Prescott and. 0:16:42.379 --> 0:16:44.419 We will get a lot of attention for Cowboys fans. 0:16:44.579 --> 0:16:47.659 If this does not go right, we would deserve it. 0:16:47.739 --> 0:16:49.019 Then, we would deserve it. 0:16:49.139 --> 0:16:52.179 Yeah, we want it. Enjoying the games. Everybody stile to 0:16:52.179 --> 0:16:53.739 the count after dropping two in. 0:16:53.699 --> 0:16:56.139 A row, party and the Niners got back on track 0:16:56.299 --> 0:16:58.779 last week. They've got Kyler in the high flying Cardinals 0:16:58.859 --> 0:17:02.379 coming to town. A monster NFC West showdown. Who's gonna win? 0:17:02.659 --> 0:17:04.459 We're gonna try to find out. 0:17:04.499 --> 0:17:13.779 On game debut Thomas. 0:17:13.419 --> 0:17:16.179 See is the Season presented by Caesars Sports book, brock 0:17:16.219 --> 0:17:18.179 Perty was miked up. He said, George, as soon as 0:17:18.179 --> 0:17:20.779 he threw that fall and got it. 0:17:20.779 --> 0:17:21.659 That was a fun clip. 0:17:21.739 --> 0:17:25.019 These are the first touchdown score odds according to Caesar Sports. 0:17:25.019 --> 0:17:26.819 But they got Jordan Mason at the top at plus 0:17:26.819 --> 0:17:29.739 three twenty five, then Debo James Connor, George Kittle, and 0:17:29.779 --> 0:17:32.299 Brandon Au to round out that list. 0:17:32.419 --> 0:17:35.499 Only one Cardinal there in the top five. 0:17:35.859 --> 0:17:39.059 Big NFC West showdown between the Cardinals and the forty 0:17:39.139 --> 0:17:41.379 nine Ers in Santa Clair. Both squads are currently looking 0:17:41.499 --> 0:17:44.619