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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest betting podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go. We're throwing out job spect.

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Speaker 2: We're setting it to cash toucht.

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Speaker 3: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money. All right, this is the

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Speaker 2: ultimate kabine.

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Speaker 4: You want to pull, and we are underway.

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm your host, Chris Raybon,

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Speaker 3: and this is your NFL Week six betting preview. I'm

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Speaker 3: joined as always by my Action Network colleague and the

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Speaker 3: Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation. My dude, Stucky, Stucky? What

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Speaker 3: is going on? How was your week five?

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Speaker 2: It was a good week five. It was a profitable

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Speaker 2: week five thanks to the Vikings, which was my number

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Speaker 2: one pick. Here's my biggest play of the weekend. And yes,

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Speaker 2: somehow they ended up going down eight. And I said, yah, man,

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Speaker 2: the Seahawks are gonna win by eight because it's the

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Speaker 2: only way they could ever, that's the highest amount of

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Speaker 2: points they could win a game by eight. And I

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Speaker 2: had seven and a half. But the Vikings made a

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Speaker 2: nice come back, and of course the Seahawks win in

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Speaker 2: the last second miracle fashion. So it was a good weekend.

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Speaker 2: There's no Seahawks this week on though, so I got

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Speaker 2: to find some other winners, fading some other teams.

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Speaker 3: You're still up. I believe it's fifteen to ten. Now.

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Speaker 3: We both lost on our totals again. Totals continue to

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Speaker 3: be kind of confusing this year.

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Speaker 2: Man.

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Speaker 3: We'll talk about it, but before we kick things off

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Speaker 3: and get right into our Sunday six pack, because remember

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Speaker 3: there's no Thursday Night football this week. Two very quick reminders.

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Speaker 3: Number one, if you plan to have been on the

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Speaker 3: NFL this season and have it downloaded, the free award

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Speaker 3: winning Action Network app What are you doing? It's got

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Speaker 3: betting tools analysis for myself, Stucky and the whole Action

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Speaker 3: Network team, and it lets you track every bet that

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Speaker 3: you make. And number two, if you want a chance

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Speaker 3: at a free Vegas vacation, don't forget to enter the

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Speaker 3: Action Pods Tournament of Champions presented by bet MGM. This

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Speaker 3: is the sixth week of this free Yahoo DFS tournament.

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Speaker 3: Top five each week get a chance to play for

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Speaker 3: a free Vegas vacation valued at over five thousand dollars

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Speaker 3: courtesy of bet MGM. Fifty spots in the wild Card

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Speaker 3: Weekend Grand Finale are still up for grabs and you've

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Speaker 3: got nothing to lose. Just imagine yourself on that free

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Speaker 3: Vegas vacation. You're gambling drinking, you run into Derek Carr

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Speaker 3: at the Pigal poker table, you start chatting, and fifteen

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Speaker 3: minutes later, you're sneaking onto John Gruden's porch together to

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Speaker 3: drop off a flaming bag of dog turts. Anything's possible,

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Speaker 3: so sign up now using the link in this episode description.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's get into it, Duck. We have no

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Speaker 3: Thursday night football. Chiefs Bills is moved to Monday.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, there is no Thursday foot What we do have

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Speaker 2: two Monday night games which could have both of them

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Speaker 2: could have playoff implications. We'll cover both of them on

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Speaker 2: the Weekend Recap episode that'll be out Monday morning. We'll

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Speaker 2: talk about the weekend that was in both college and NFL,

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Speaker 2: and then we'll talk about both Monday night games. Also,

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Speaker 2: just a quick plug for our Power ratings, which you

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Speaker 2: can now find on Action network dot com and the

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Speaker 2: Action app. You can just you can you know, for

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Speaker 2: any NFL game, you can go and you can see myself,

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Speaker 2: you can see my ratings, you can see Raven's ratings.

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Speaker 2: It's a really cool feature now, so make sure you

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Speaker 2: check that out. So what would you little maniacs like

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Speaker 2: to do?

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Speaker 3: First? We're gonna go right into the Sunday six pack,

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Speaker 3: which is where we draft our three top bets each

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Speaker 3: of the Sunday sleep.

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Speaker 1: Thursday for action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 3: All right, stuck, so well, again, a pretty good week

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Speaker 3: for both of us. You hit two of three, including

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Speaker 3: your two pointer. I hit three of three. Fifteen to

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Speaker 3: ten is the score for the first pick in the

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Speaker 3: week six Sunday six pack. I am going with the

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Speaker 3: Detroit Lions as three and a half point favorites over

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Speaker 3: the Jacksonville Jaguars in Jacksonville. That line courtesy of bet MGM,

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Speaker 3: the official odds provider of the podcast.

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Speaker 2: Back and your Boy, Patricia Wow backwards for two points.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, back in Patricia here. And the reason is these Jaguars.

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Speaker 3: You called it last week. I mean, these Jaguars, they're

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Speaker 3: just bad. And I thought they were going to be

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Speaker 3: better than this. I thought their offense, you know, was

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Speaker 3: decent enough that they could kind of stay in games

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Speaker 3: even with a defense that's probably the worst in the

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Speaker 3: in the week. But they've really struggled over these past

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Speaker 3: few weeks. And the teams they've lost to, you know,

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Speaker 3: in zero to four Texas team to get blown out,

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Speaker 3: but they didn't even keep it close. These the Dolphins,

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Speaker 3: the an O for Bengals team at the time, it's

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Speaker 3: three straight.

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Speaker 2: Teams picked up their first win against the Jags.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and listen, this Lions team. I don't think they are,

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Speaker 3: you know, quite weak worst. I think they're a little

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Speaker 3: bit below average, but coming off a bye, I think

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Speaker 3: they should be able to handle this Jaguars team. And

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Speaker 3: I think it deletes a bunch of the you know

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Speaker 3: whatever home field advantage the Jags may have, which is

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Speaker 3: not much to begin with. But if you look at

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Speaker 3: road favorites coming off of bye going back to two

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Speaker 3: thousand and three, sixty two and twenty eight with two pushes,

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Speaker 3: sixty nine percent against the spread according to our bet

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Speaker 3: Labs database. Yeah, so usually it's tough when you're you're

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Speaker 3: facing a team coming off of bye and they're the

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Speaker 3: superior team, even though in the Lions probably wouldn't stand

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Speaker 3: out in many other weeks. When I saw this line,

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Speaker 3: actually jumped on it at two and a half. But

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Speaker 3: for the purpose of this contest, whether it's three or

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Speaker 3: three and a half doesn't really matter, because they have

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Speaker 3: to win by four for me to get the point.

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Speaker 3: Anyway I would I would prefer for anyone out there,

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Speaker 3: if you can get like a three juiced up a

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Speaker 3: little bit, I would prefer that to taking the straight

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Speaker 3: up three and a half, just because you know key number.

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Speaker 3: But either way, you have a really good margin for

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Speaker 3: error with that sixty two twenty eight and two record

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Speaker 3: for road favorites off of BUYE covering by an average

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Speaker 3: of four point three point so you do have some

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Speaker 3: margin for error with this. But still would prefer to

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Speaker 3: get the three. But again, it just comes down to

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Speaker 3: the Jacksonville Jaguars defense, one of the worst in the

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Speaker 3: National Football He actually rated worst by DVOA. The team

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Speaker 3: as a whole is ranked twenty eighth in the league

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Speaker 3: in DVOA. And you know, the offense just hasn't been

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Speaker 3: good enough, and this Lion's team, what they really needed

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Speaker 3: was this buy You know, it kind of sucks to

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Speaker 3: get a buy this early in the year. I think

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Speaker 3: long term. But this Lions team with a team that

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Speaker 3: just started off the year with a rash of injuries.

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Speaker 3: Gallaud they missed a couple of games, their whole secondary

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Speaker 3: was was banged up at one point. But now they're

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Speaker 3: getting healthier. Galladay's back in there. He was productive, and

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Speaker 3: the d defenses getting a little healthier. So, you know,

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Speaker 3: betting on Patricia, but Doud Marone's not exactly a coach

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Speaker 3: I hate betting against. So I'm okay with it here

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Speaker 3: going Detroit three and a half against Jacksonville for my

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Speaker 3: number one pick.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a good spot to back the lines. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they needed to get healthier and they're better than their

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Speaker 2: record is indicated so far. I still hope that they

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Speaker 2: showed some more variety on defense. I mean they don't

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Speaker 2: get any pressure and they just sit back and man,

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Speaker 2: they played just pure man cover one sixty percent of

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Speaker 2: the time and without getting pressure. Hard in the NFL

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Speaker 2: to cover that long. But getting their secondary healthy, getting

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Speaker 2: their offense healthy across the board I think will help.

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Speaker 2: And then on the other side, lock that I agree with,

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Speaker 2: the Jaguars defense is the train wreck. I haven't rated

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Speaker 2: as the worst in the NFL. I think CJ. Anderson

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Speaker 2: has a lot of promises a corner, it's still a

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Speaker 2: rookie corner. There are only two other really good players,

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Speaker 2: and think about it, it makes sense. The Jaguars defense. I mean,

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Speaker 2: this is a team back in what twenty seventeen, just

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Speaker 2: three years ago, that came up short of the Super

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Speaker 2: Bowl a one drive short. They had six Pro bowlers

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Speaker 2: on that defense. They are now all gone, so I

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Speaker 2: mean both their star corners, all their defensive linemen, everyone

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Speaker 2: is gone. Their two best players by far are Josh

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Speaker 2: Allen off the edge and Miles Jack, who's playing at

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Speaker 2: the all pro level this year. If both of them

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Speaker 2: were out last week, and they're both questionable again this week,

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Speaker 2: so especially if you don't if they don't play, the

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Speaker 2: Lion shouldn't have any issue moving the ball. I personally

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Speaker 2: probably won't bet this game, but I do leave the lines.

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Speaker 2: I would just like to see some more variety on

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Speaker 2: both sides of the ball from the choice. So maybe

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Speaker 2: they do after the buy on defense, switch it up

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Speaker 2: a little bit, bring a little more pressure and on offense,

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Speaker 2: like stop handing the ball to Adrian Peterson so much.

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Speaker 3: I don't know where that came from. Like he was

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Speaker 3: signed with what a week before the season, and it's

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Speaker 3: like they just forgot about.

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Speaker 2: They use all these high draft picks on running backs too. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: so you don't even need to do that. You don't

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Speaker 2: even you could have Adrian Peterson, but just throw the ball.

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Speaker 2: But you're but you're wasting all your What are you

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Speaker 2: doing with all your high driticks on running backs? This

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Speaker 2: is what Week six?

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Speaker 3: This may be the last time on this podcast that

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Speaker 3: I back Matt Patricia, either because the spots just never

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Speaker 3: called for it again or because he gets fired. So

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Speaker 3: one way or the other, I'm just I'm just pointing

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Speaker 3: that up, and it's fucked up. But that is the

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Speaker 3: way it.

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Speaker 2: Is fair enough, all right. For my first pick and

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Speaker 2: the second pick of the Sunday six pack, I am

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Speaker 2: going with the Houston Texans plus three and a half

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Speaker 2: at bet MGM. This card is not my favorite card

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Speaker 2: in the world. I only had two side plays. I

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Speaker 2: have a couple of the leans that I'm going to

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Speaker 2: get to. One of them was you took as your

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Speaker 2: first as the first thing in our draft. It wasn't

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Speaker 2: the Lions. It's a play coming up, and I was

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Speaker 2: just like, please don't pick this team, Please don't pick

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Speaker 2: the team, and you did. So my second pick is

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Speaker 2: the second play that I have in the Action Network AP,

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Speaker 2: which is the Houston Texans. Look, the first thing I

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Speaker 2: have to say is this is a horrible, horrible situational

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Speaker 2: spot for the Titans. It's almost unprecedent, not quite, but

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Speaker 2: they played on a Tuesday night and now they're gonna

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Speaker 2: have to turn around and play on a Sunday. That's

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Speaker 2: only happened two other times in the last fifty years.

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Speaker 2: It's when the Vikings played the Eagles in twenty eleven.

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Speaker 2: Because of a snow game, they got moved to Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: Both those teams lost the following week. As short favorites

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Speaker 2: are short dogs from a preparation standpoint, I mean, they

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Speaker 2: are just so disadvantaged, and you would think that the

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Speaker 2: market prices us in. But it's really interesting. I went

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Speaker 2: back and look and I looked at games where teams

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Speaker 2: have seven regular rest. So you played last Sunday, You're

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Speaker 2: gonna play against Nday against a team that just came

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Speaker 2: off of Monday or in this case, a Tuesday. The

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Speaker 2: teams with the regular rest against the teams with less

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Speaker 2: rest were two hundred and fifty seven two hundred and

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Speaker 2: nine and twelve against the spread. That's fifty five point

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Speaker 2: two percent against the spread six and one this year.

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Speaker 2: Just think back to last week. The Chiefs off of

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Speaker 2: Monday Night lost outright to the Raiders. The Falcons off

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Speaker 2: a Monday night game, they lost to the Panthers. Would

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Speaker 2: you might say, Okay, that's over the twenty years, it's

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Speaker 2: about fifty six percent. They're covering by like an average

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Speaker 2: margin of about point eight points per game. And that's

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Speaker 2: what I adjust this situation for about a point. And

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Speaker 2: you know, but the market hasn't adjusted over the last

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Speaker 2: four years teams with this extra day of rest in

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Speaker 2: this case it's two fifty one to thirty and two

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Speaker 2: against the spread, sixty three percent over the past four seasons.

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Speaker 2: But let me talk about the matchup. So obviously, from

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Speaker 2: a preparation standpoint, rest standpoint, Houston has a big advantage.

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Speaker 2: But Tennessee has just been running like gods all year.

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Speaker 2: I mean they've been lucky in turnovers, lucky in field position.

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Speaker 2: I mean, this is a team that's start average starting

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Speaker 2: field positions, like the thirty four to thirty five yard line,

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Speaker 2: which leads the NFL. But let's let's look back to

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Speaker 2: who they've defeated. They beat the Bills. That score was

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Speaker 2: one of the most misleading scores. And I was on

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Speaker 2: the Titans forty two to sixteen. I think the Bills

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Speaker 2: out gained them. Yards for play were dead even there

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Speaker 2: was just a bunch of turnovers the Bills, ad field position,

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Speaker 2: other stuff. The Vikings they have one win, the Jaguars

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Speaker 2: one win, and the Broncos one win. And those wins

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Speaker 2: over the Vikings, Jaguars of Broncos came by a combined

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Speaker 2: six points. They were out gained in three or four

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Speaker 2: games this year yards per play. They have yet to

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Speaker 2: beat an opponent and they've played three, you know, not

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Speaker 2: great teams and then the Bills, so they've just been

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Speaker 2: over performing. The defense is still bad. If they don't

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Speaker 2: get pressure, they have injuries in the secondary, and you

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Speaker 2: can run on them. I mean, they're I think dead

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Speaker 2: last in yards for yards per rush. This isn't so

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Speaker 2: they're not getting pressure. You can find holes in the secondary,

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Speaker 2: and you can also run on this defense from you know,

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Speaker 2: so if I look just from a yards per play perspective,

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Speaker 2: Houston is third in the NFL and on offense Tennessee's

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Speaker 2: twenty fifth defense, Houston's sixteenth, Tennessee's twenty sixth net yards

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Speaker 2: per play. Houston's like a positive yard Tennessee's negative point seven.

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Speaker 2: They're they're all there. I mean they're thirty six and

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Speaker 2: adjusted Sachery. With this banged up secondary, Watson's gonna have

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Speaker 2: time to throw. He's gonna be able to find receivers

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Speaker 2: against the secondary, and he's not gonna get pressure. The

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Speaker 2: offensive line is actually playing well for him this year.

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Speaker 2: He's still taking a lot of sacks. He just holds

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Speaker 2: onto the ball a lot, but he's getting over four

269
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Speaker 2: seconds as an average time to sacks about four seconds,

270
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Speaker 2: which is top five NFS. So he has plenty of

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Speaker 2: time and you don't really have to worry about that

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Speaker 2: with Tennessee. So I think that Houston's gonna be able

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Speaker 2: to move the ball that well. On the other side

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Speaker 2: of the ball, I think Houston can get the Tannhill some.

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Speaker 2: They are number six in Justin Zachray, but they're gonna

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Speaker 2: put They're gonna put Roby on AJ Brown. He's I

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Speaker 2: think everyone has heard this about now. Roby is the

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Speaker 2: only player, the only corner in the NFL this year

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Speaker 2: it's to shadow to travel with the opposing receiver every

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Speaker 2: single down of the year. He's traveled with Tyreek Kill,

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Speaker 2: Marquise Brown, Deontaey Johnson, Adam Feeln, and DJ Hark. They

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Speaker 2: combined for fifteen targets, ten catches eighty four yards on

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Speaker 2: seventy nine routes, so he's done a really good job.

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Speaker 2: Last year, AJ Brown eate them alive. He had eight

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Speaker 2: for one fourteen and four for one twenty four. But

286
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Speaker 2: Roby wasn't shadowing When he runs seventeen routes against Roby,

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Speaker 2: he had three catches for twenty seven yards. So Roby's

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Speaker 2: gonna follow Brown around, which means you avoid Hargreaves on him,

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Speaker 2: which is the most important thing that you can avoid

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Speaker 2: in this game. It's not that like Roby is the

291
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Speaker 2: greatest corner in the history of the NFL, but he's

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Speaker 2: playing well and you can avoid their other corners on

293
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Speaker 2: AJ Brown, which means you get Hargreve's on Corey Davis

294
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Speaker 2: if he plays. He still have some COVID questions with

295
00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:32,440
Speaker 2: Tennessee upfront with Simmons as well, but I just think

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Speaker 2: Houston has been look you number. They started out with Pittsburgh,

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Speaker 2: Baltimore and the Chiefs fire Bill O'Brien. Last week we

298
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Speaker 2: start to see some positive signs. We start to see

299
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Speaker 2: Deshaun Watson take more deep shots, which this which he

300
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Speaker 2: needs to do and this offense needs to do. Their

301
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Speaker 2: play action rate went up to thirty percent. It was

302
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Speaker 2: sixteen percent under O'Brien, So they're more That was the

303
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Speaker 2: third lowest in the NFL. So they're more aggressive now,

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Speaker 2: not just from a play calling perspective, but that fourth

305
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Speaker 2: down call said so much about what this stat's going

306
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Speaker 2: to do. Watson has hinted that he's given more leeway

307
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Speaker 2: now and more freedom. So I think the Bill O'Brien

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Speaker 2: loss is a big addition by subtraction. But this team

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Speaker 2: beat Tennessee in their only meeting last year in Tennessee

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Speaker 2: in their only meeting where AJ mccaron wasn't playing in

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Speaker 2: Week seventeen, and it was a meetingless game for one

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Speaker 2: of the teams. So give me Houston here. This Tennessee

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Speaker 2: team defense has a lot of questions. I'm sure Derrek

314
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Speaker 2: Henry will eat and get his but I actually think

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Speaker 2: Houston wins this game. So I'll take the Texas plus

316
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Speaker 2: three and a half in a game I make under

317
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Speaker 2: a field goal after adjusting for this Tuesday to Sunday

318
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Speaker 2: quick turnaround, I think Watson's going to have a clean pocket,

319
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Speaker 2: and this year in a clean pocket, he's been outstanding,

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Speaker 2: So I think he'll make enough plays through the air.

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Speaker 2: Roby will do enough against Brown and some regression it's

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Speaker 2: coming for both these teams. Negative to tennis See, positive

323
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Speaker 2: to Houston. So this this game is pretty much for

324
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Speaker 2: Houston season. I think you get their best effort here

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Speaker 2: and they end up pulling out this win.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. When I first had this power rated, I had

327
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Speaker 3: it like a five to five and a half and

328
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Speaker 3: I had to go back into Justin and I agree

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Speaker 3: with your points. I mean, you look at DVOA, Houston's twelfth,

330
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Speaker 3: Tennessee's tenth. I don't know how Tennessee keeps pulling out

331
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Speaker 3: these wins. I was surprised to see the scorers a

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Speaker 3: lotsided as it was against Buffalo. I know, you know,

333
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Speaker 3: it didn't tell the whole story, but they it's kind

334
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Speaker 3: of almost like Seattle, like at some point you just

335
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Speaker 3: expect them to come back down to earth. And I agree.

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Speaker 3: I think you know this is a spot for them

337
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Speaker 3: division game, and usually you know Tennessee's covering by an

338
00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:41,600
Speaker 3: average of more than five points per game. It's been

339
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Speaker 3: profitable to fade those teams according to bet Labs ninety

340
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Speaker 3: eight fifty two and four sixty five percent success rate

341
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Speaker 3: against the spread when you're fading those teams from Week

342
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Speaker 3: five on a team that's covering my an average of

343
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Speaker 3: five points or more, so a good situational spot to

344
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Speaker 3: back the Texans here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we'll see. We'll shoot that with this total too,

346
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Speaker 2: because almost every single game that Ryan Tannehill plays, the

347
00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,359
Speaker 2: game total gets over. I think he started fourteen or

348
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Speaker 2: sixteen games and only two of them have gone under.

349
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Speaker 2: But yeah, I like the Texans here. Anything over three,

350
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Speaker 2: which you should be able to get.

351
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Speaker 3: Yeah to the home at home for Tannehills sixteen and

352
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Speaker 3: four going back to twenty and sixteen when he's at home,

353
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Speaker 3: so something about just being at home. And then yeah,

354
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Speaker 3: with Tennessee, it's just it almost never missed. I'll take

355
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Speaker 3: any motherfucker's money if he given it away, all right.

356
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Speaker 3: For the third pick in the Week six Sunday six pack,

357
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Speaker 3: and my second pick I am going with the San

358
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Speaker 3: Francisco forty nine ers two and a half point underdogs

359
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Speaker 3: at home against the La Rams. I know this is

360
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Speaker 3: one that you wanted to take, the one that you

361
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Speaker 3: referenced early, and I could reely agree. I think this

362
00:17:48,800 --> 00:17:51,760
Speaker 3: wine is off to the point where we're probably looking

363
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Speaker 3: at a situation where the wrong team is favored. I mean,

364
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Speaker 3: I know San Francisco had a melt down last week

365
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Speaker 3: against Miami. I think that we all have underrated Miami

366
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Speaker 3: a little bit, especially considering who their coaches and Brian Flores. Uh,

367
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Speaker 3: you know, I think one of the better, uh if

368
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Speaker 3: not best Belichick, you know, kind of disciples members of

369
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Speaker 3: that coach and treat that's gone on to another team,

370
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Speaker 3: and that that makes this Miami team really tough. And uh,

371
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Speaker 3: I'm not reading too much into this that San Francisco collapse.

372
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Speaker 3: I think it was just one of those weeks. Both

373
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Speaker 3: sides of the ball were just off. They're still at home.

374
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Speaker 3: Is their second straight home game now, Uh, you know

375
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Speaker 3: l A not like they okay, yeah, so third straight

376
00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:38,879
Speaker 3: home game. You know, I think that that puts them

377
00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,320
Speaker 3: at a situational advantage, even though l A not not

378
00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:45,040
Speaker 3: really traveling far, you know, to play them. They were

379
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Speaker 3: in d C last week to play the Washington football team,

380
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Speaker 3: So I think it's a good situational spot for San

381
00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:56,280
Speaker 3: fran I don't make this number. Uh, I don't have

382
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Speaker 3: these teams rated, you know more than you know about

383
00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:03,800
Speaker 3: two to have points apart to where uh, the Rams

384
00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:06,359
Speaker 3: should be a road favorite much less a you know,

385
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Speaker 3: two and a half to I've seen through up to

386
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Speaker 3: three and a half. I actually got this at four.

387
00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,400
Speaker 3: For the Rams to be a road favorite, I don't

388
00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:15,720
Speaker 3: think they should be by that much. I think that

389
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Speaker 3: you know, Sean mcray has done a great job, Kyle

390
00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:22,679
Speaker 3: Shanahan will do He'll get his team right. And you

391
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Speaker 3: look at the defense, it's gonna be an inn issue

392
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Speaker 3: I think for for longer in the year. But the offense, uh,

393
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Speaker 3: you know, I don't even know if it was really

394
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Speaker 3: Jimmy G's ankle bothering him or he was just having

395
00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:35,480
Speaker 3: a bad game. I mean, he has those games every

396
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Speaker 3: once in a while. Looks like he's probably going to

397
00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:42,359
Speaker 3: start this week. He is practicing, But even if he doesn't,

398
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Speaker 3: I think like at this point, whether you have beth Er,

399
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,479
Speaker 3: whether you have Moens, whether you have Jimmy g This

400
00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:51,160
Speaker 3: offense has enough weapons. The running game is good enough

401
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:53,640
Speaker 3: for you to stay in this game against the Rams,

402
00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:56,000
Speaker 3: and I expect this the forty nine ers coming off

403
00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:58,080
Speaker 3: two games where I mean, you go from the forty

404
00:19:58,160 --> 00:19:59,520
Speaker 3: nine ers, what are they favorite? What are they closed

405
00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:03,800
Speaker 3: against Phil? Nine point favorites with Mowens at quarterback. Then

406
00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:07,000
Speaker 3: you go to the Dolphins and they close as nine

407
00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:09,359
Speaker 3: point favorites, and they're still at home, and all of

408
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:11,800
Speaker 3: a sudden they're closing is you know, like three three

409
00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:15,640
Speaker 3: point dogs with probably their starting quarterback. It's too much,

410
00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:19,719
Speaker 3: too much of an overreaction. Give me the Niners as

411
00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:21,800
Speaker 3: two and a half point dogs. I think this is

412
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Speaker 3: the spot that they show up. They're better than they've

413
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Speaker 3: played the last couple of weeks. They caught bad breaks

414
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:31,160
Speaker 3: against Philly, had just a really poor game against Miami,

415
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Speaker 3: but I'm not buying it. I think this is still

416
00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:35,760
Speaker 3: a team that could beat any team on any giver

417
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Speaker 3: on Sunday.

418
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I completely agree. This was actually my favorite that

419
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Speaker 2: of the weekend. I got some three and a half.

420
00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:46,000
Speaker 2: You should get Moseley and Witherspoon back at corner. Witherspoon

421
00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:48,080
Speaker 2: came in the game yet last week, but even started

422
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Speaker 2: like a bunch of practice guys starting at corner. Yeah,

423
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Speaker 2: Brian now fran I mean it was bad and obviously

424
00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:55,439
Speaker 2: have injuries all over, but their offense is finally healthy.

425
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Speaker 2: I think the difference here is the linebacker position. So

426
00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:02,159
Speaker 2: the the Rams are running flash and fifty percent of

427
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:04,679
Speaker 2: place that would be an NFL record. I think the

428
00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:07,239
Speaker 2: record is like forty percent for a full season, and

429
00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:09,240
Speaker 2: they're just getting golf is. I mean they're running the

430
00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:12,000
Speaker 2: ball while the Goth's getting rid of the ball very quickly.

431
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Speaker 2: And he's when he's under pressure, he still stinks. I

432
00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:16,080
Speaker 2: mean the under pressure. He's two touchdowns, two picks, and

433
00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:19,040
Speaker 2: he's fifty five percent of JUSTIC completion percent. He's twenty

434
00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:22,560
Speaker 2: seventh out of thirty quarterbacks minimum hundred completions clean pocket.

435
00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:25,720
Speaker 2: The JUSTIC completion percent is ninety two percent, six touchdowns,

436
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:28,560
Speaker 2: one pick. He's just throwing these little short passes. There's

437
00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:31,240
Speaker 2: no depth to their passing game. There's no deep threat.

438
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:33,800
Speaker 2: Well what does San France still do really well, you

439
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 2: know they don't have Sherman. You know they don't have

440
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:38,560
Speaker 2: Williams in the slot, but they should get mostly in

441
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,479
Speaker 2: with it's been back with. Regardless, they still cover, they

442
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,080
Speaker 2: still can get pressure even with their injuries to both

443
00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:46,520
Speaker 2: send Ford, so I think they'll get the golf a

444
00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 2: couple times to cause him to throw into some mistakes.

445
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 2: But they defend the short pass really well. Their linebackers

446
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:55,000
Speaker 2: are really strong in coverage, and if you just look

447
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:58,399
Speaker 2: from a DVA perspective, San have friend's corner injuries. This

448
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,639
Speaker 2: is where this shows up. They're thirtieth the NFL against

449
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 2: the deep pass. Doesn't really bother you against the Rams.

450
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:07,000
Speaker 2: They're not a deep throwing team. Their second against the

451
00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 2: short pass. They're six against tight ends. So these are

452
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,239
Speaker 2: the things that the Rams want to do. Kupp can

453
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:15,879
Speaker 2: give them some problems in the slot, I think, but

454
00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 2: I think overall San Franz defense can have a much

455
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:20,800
Speaker 2: better showing here and they match up really well on

456
00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:22,800
Speaker 2: the other side of the ball. You know, the Rams

457
00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 2: are really vulnerable at linebacker. You have Kenny Young and

458
00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:29,400
Speaker 2: Troy They lost Littleton Kaiser's hurt. I mean he's been bad,

459
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:31,560
Speaker 2: but Kenny Young and Troy Reader, I mean, these guys

460
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:33,959
Speaker 2: are these are awful in coverage, and then if you're

461
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:36,199
Speaker 2: putting them in if you're only playing one of them,

462
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 2: and then you're playing a safety, you're very vulnerable against

463
00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 2: the run. So I mean the Rams are vulnerable against

464
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:44,440
Speaker 2: tight ends, the Rams are vulnerable against power running games,

465
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:46,720
Speaker 2: and then these passes over the middle. And that's where

466
00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:49,840
Speaker 2: saying that's why I think Shanahan's going to thrive here. Look,

467
00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:51,879
Speaker 2: the Rams have played well. I give them credit. I

468
00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:53,920
Speaker 2: bumped them, but they played. Their wins came all over

469
00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:57,880
Speaker 2: the NFC East Philly Giants in Washington. I mean, bad

470
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:02,120
Speaker 2: old line, bad line that, bad linebackers, bad safeties, bad

471
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:05,159
Speaker 2: quarterback play, and they easily could have lost to Dallas.

472
00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 2: But like, that's it. They just beat the NFC East.

473
00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:09,320
Speaker 2: So and then on top of that, you throw in

474
00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:12,720
Speaker 2: some travel. The Rams have gone September thirteenth, a one

475
00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 2: month ago exactly. They were in La they played the Cowboys.

476
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 2: They go to Philly, across the country, come back, go back,

477
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:25,120
Speaker 2: play Buffalo, come back, go back play Washington, come back,

478
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 2: and I'll go to San France. So they've had six

479
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 2: trips across the country, So, I mean, they've had a

480
00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 2: lot of travel here. Maybe that catches up to them,

481
00:23:32,760 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 2: but I just think it's a good matchup. I think

482
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:36,600
Speaker 2: we say linebackers don't matter, and in a lot of

483
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:40,200
Speaker 2: NFL games, they don't. Linebackers matter against the forty nine ers.

484
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:42,359
Speaker 2: So I think you're gonna see a big game from Kittle.

485
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 2: You're gonna see the forty nine ers have a lot

486
00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:47,239
Speaker 2: of success running the ball. And then this forty nine

487
00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:52,639
Speaker 2: Ers defense can generate enough pressure naturally even without some

488
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 2: of their pieces up front, to for scoff and the mistakes.

489
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:58,000
Speaker 2: And more importantly, they can defend their tight ends in

490
00:23:58,040 --> 00:24:00,440
Speaker 2: the short passing game, which is how you beat thereat.

491
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:02,359
Speaker 2: So there's a great spot to buy low on the

492
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:03,720
Speaker 2: forty nine ers. I completely agree.

493
00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, and to your point about the pressure and the

494
00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:10,639
Speaker 3: short pass game. San Francisco still and they've been missing

495
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:12,400
Speaker 3: most of their key guys for most of the year.

496
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:14,920
Speaker 3: At this point, uh, there's still third in pressure rate

497
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:18,280
Speaker 3: at twenty nine and a half percent, and their defensive

498
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 3: average depth of target, which again and they've been missing

499
00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:22,840
Speaker 3: most of their guys for the whole year, so six

500
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 3: point six that is number one in the league the

501
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:28,639
Speaker 3: shortest depth of target. So you know, this is this

502
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 3: is exactly what what you were talking about with you know,

503
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:33,359
Speaker 3: this is not a great matchup for golf, and it

504
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:35,960
Speaker 3: wasn't last year, and it continues not to be.

505
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:37,680
Speaker 2: Yep, completely agree.

506
00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:41,719
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524
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:38,199
Speaker 2: For my second pick and the fourth overall for the

525
00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:41,920
Speaker 2: Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

526
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:47,080
Speaker 2: minus one at BETMGM. I've said before that I only

527
00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:50,159
Speaker 2: played two sides of our the Niners and the Texans,

528
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 2: And one of those reasons we'll get to this later

529
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 2: is it's like an elite teaser week. So I have

530
00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:57,840
Speaker 2: so many teaser pieces that you can tease through the

531
00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:01,160
Speaker 2: three and seven the box. One of them, I tease

532
00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:03,040
Speaker 2: the Bucks early in the early in the week, they

533
00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,359
Speaker 2: were plus two and a half. I tease them up

534
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:07,159
Speaker 2: to plus eight and a half, which I love. So

535
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:09,399
Speaker 2: depending on what you can find out there, if you

536
00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:12,439
Speaker 2: can tease us up over seven, I love that, but

537
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:14,000
Speaker 2: I make you know, and especially if you can get

538
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 2: the Bucks as an underdog throughout the week shop around,

539
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 2: I like that as well. I make the Bucks about

540
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:23,199
Speaker 2: a one point favorite here. Look, I've said it before.

541
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 2: I'm not yet fully buying into this Packers team. I've

542
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:29,960
Speaker 2: upgraded him from last year. Aaron Rodgers is playing really well.

543
00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 2: There's he looks different, the offense looks different. His you

544
00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 2: know drop back how quick he's getting rid of the ball.

545
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:39,480
Speaker 2: There's real things here with this offense. But the defense

546
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 2: is still really, really vulnerable. And it looks like Davante

547
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:46,880
Speaker 2: Adams and Chriscottland are both gonna play. That's my assumption

548
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:50,199
Speaker 2: as of now. They both were practicing today. Can we

549
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,080
Speaker 2: talk about who the Packers? Well, first talk about the

550
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:55,160
Speaker 2: Packers have beat the Falcons and all of their secondary

551
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:58,120
Speaker 2: got hurt. All of their secondary. They played the Vikings

552
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:02,040
Speaker 2: in Week one with like fifteen rookie corners. They played

553
00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 2: the Lions Week two, all of their corners were out,

554
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,040
Speaker 2: and then they played the Saints. Like the Saints is

555
00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:07,760
Speaker 2: the one game that I give them credit for, and

556
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,240
Speaker 2: they they gotta and the Saint sounds been great. Marshall

557
00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:12,320
Speaker 2: Latimoh has been the worst corner of the NFL, so,

558
00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:14,119
Speaker 2: you know, but I give them credit. But they have

559
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:17,400
Speaker 2: four wins over teams. Their four wins came against four teams.

560
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:19,560
Speaker 2: With the combined five wins, It's not like the Saints

561
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:21,960
Speaker 2: have been world beaters this year. So this is the

562
00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:25,240
Speaker 2: first real defense they're going up against Tampa Bay. Their

563
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:27,880
Speaker 2: defense is legit their top five DV way against the run,

564
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:32,359
Speaker 2: against the pass, overall, they also defend backs really well,

565
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:35,040
Speaker 2: they defend the short pass really well, and they have

566
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,800
Speaker 2: a couple corners on the outside who are playing really,

567
00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 2: really good football in Jamal Dean and Carlton Davis. They're

568
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:45,640
Speaker 2: playing really well. Both these teams excel against guarding number

569
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 2: one receivers. They're both top ten. The Bucks are actually

570
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:49,919
Speaker 2: number two in the NFL guarding number one receivers. So

571
00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:52,240
Speaker 2: even if the Von Dadams comes back, the Bucks can

572
00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:53,840
Speaker 2: you know, they're not going to shut them down, but

573
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:56,160
Speaker 2: they can contain them. Same with the Packers. They could

574
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:58,679
Speaker 2: contain say Mike Evans or Chris Cowen, which I hear

575
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:01,200
Speaker 2: Alexander he's been arguing the best corner in the NFL

576
00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:04,480
Speaker 2: this year, But there are other options at corner aren't great.

577
00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:07,159
Speaker 2: So one of the biggest advantages in this game to

578
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:10,000
Speaker 2: me is you have two teams that aren't allowing a

579
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:14,240
Speaker 2: lot of pressure and the quarterbacks I will have time

580
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:16,000
Speaker 2: to throw it. They're gonna get rid of the ball

581
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:18,560
Speaker 2: quick at other times. But the biggest advantage will be

582
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:22,120
Speaker 2: that second elite receiver for the Bucks that the Packers

583
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:24,560
Speaker 2: do not have. So at the end of the day,

584
00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:26,840
Speaker 2: I think that's gonna end up being the difference. And

585
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 2: just look defensively, everyone's all about green Bay, Green Bay,

586
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:34,600
Speaker 2: Green Bay. Tampa Bay's number Twoba defense four verus pass

587
00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:37,120
Speaker 2: three vers rush green Bay twenty nine, twenty five verse

588
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 2: past twenty five verse rush. This defense, this defense you

589
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,680
Speaker 2: can still run on. There's opportunities to throw on them.

590
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 2: I love the way the Tampa offensive line has played

591
00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:47,239
Speaker 2: this year, So I think Brady's gonna get time, and

592
00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 2: I think having guy went back is going to make

593
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,959
Speaker 2: all the difference. And ultimately, I think the Tampa defensive

594
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:57,200
Speaker 2: front six or seven is going to make more plays

595
00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:00,680
Speaker 2: than Green Bays. I mean Green Bay's linebacker, their interier

596
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:03,720
Speaker 2: defensive line. It's just it's basically Zadarias Smith trying to

597
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:06,200
Speaker 2: make place. That's it. And look, this is a great

598
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:09,680
Speaker 2: matchup on paper. Tampa Bay d number one and yards

599
00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:13,080
Speaker 2: per drive allowed at about twenty eight, Green Bay number

600
00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 2: one in yards per drive on offense about fifty one.

601
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 2: But strength on strength here. The one thing that you

602
00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:21,120
Speaker 2: have to be concerned about is Vita Vea is out,

603
00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:24,400
Speaker 2: which is huge in a number of ways. I mean,

604
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:26,800
Speaker 2: he just he can get pressure up the middle, but

605
00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 2: he also eats blocks in that nose position, and he

606
00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 2: requires a double team a lot of the time. Now

607
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:36,360
Speaker 2: the Packers have a great center in Lindsley, who would

608
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,000
Speaker 2: have done it's good of a job with anyone on him.

609
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:42,280
Speaker 2: But he eats blocks and prevents those linebackers. You know,

610
00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 2: Levonte David, who might be one of the most underrated

611
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,160
Speaker 2: defenders in the NFL. From just moving all around. It

612
00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 2: gives them the ability at such an important position in

613
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:53,040
Speaker 2: the three to four base defense. So how will they

614
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 2: replace him? It remains to be seen. Tampa Bay's run

615
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:59,360
Speaker 2: defense has been elite for the last two years because

616
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,840
Speaker 2: one of the reasons. So how much do we see

617
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:06,320
Speaker 2: a drop off of Sue and of Golston up front

618
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:10,000
Speaker 2: end of the offensive lineman getting to the second level

619
00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:12,960
Speaker 2: to get a hat on those linebackers. That remains to

620
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:16,080
Speaker 2: be seen. Now, he's still just a defensive lineman. He's

621
00:30:16,080 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 2: not worth three points two points. I downgraded the Bucks

622
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:24,240
Speaker 2: about point seven points. I think it's somewhere between a

623
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:26,280
Speaker 2: half a point a point. I still have to see

624
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 2: where it is. So even after downgrading, I still make

625
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 2: Tampa a favorite here. So if you can get them

626
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:34,800
Speaker 2: as a dog, especially or tease them up over seven.

627
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,640
Speaker 2: I think it's a good opportunity to buy them low

628
00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:40,520
Speaker 2: here after that game against the Bears. Yes, the Packers

629
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,520
Speaker 2: are coming off of a buy, but they couldn't have

630
00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 2: been playing any better than they were on offense. And

631
00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 2: Tampa played on Thursday night, so they have extra time

632
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 2: here too, so that advantage kind of gets washed out.

633
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:55,840
Speaker 2: Give me the Tampa defense and their corners and that

634
00:30:56,120 --> 00:30:59,600
Speaker 2: second elite receiver. Look, I know Rogers have been thrown

635
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:03,800
Speaker 2: it to every one. Anyone, doesn't matter, Bob Ponga, you name,

636
00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 2: it doesn't matter. But he's played the worst set of

637
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:10,600
Speaker 2: corners in the NFL. I like the Bucks here to

638
00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 2: get a don at home. All this love for the

639
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 2: Packers finally ends.

640
00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is clear. He's like recency bias. I mean

641
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,960
Speaker 3: the Bucks had a meltdown in that Chicago game. I

642
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 3: mean it was great for your cover and that was

643
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:24,040
Speaker 3: a We didn't even talk about your call of your

644
00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 3: pep talk call for Cairo Sonsos last week, which was

645
00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 3: spot on.

646
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:32,640
Speaker 2: That's right. We can't have anyone freak out out there. Okay,

647
00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 2: we've got a k bark at Polser. We've got too far.

648
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 2: It's too much a little came poser.

649
00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:42,760
Speaker 3: But the Bucks had a meltdown, you know, on an

650
00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:45,640
Speaker 3: offense in that game in a couple of ways I

651
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 3: don't say.

652
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:49,720
Speaker 2: Also, they statistically dominated the game. I touched this on Twitter.

653
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 2: The game changed when the Bucks were up seventeen three

654
00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:56,960
Speaker 2: third and twelve false start and the Bears they accidentally

655
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 2: called him the defense instead of third and seventeen in

656
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:02,360
Speaker 2: a likely punt becomes thirty seven, Bears convert, score a touchdown,

657
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:06,280
Speaker 2: Tampa fumble yet another touchdown that it's seventeen seventeen. That

658
00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:07,520
Speaker 2: could have easily been a blowout.

659
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:09,600
Speaker 3: It was kind of an odd game, one of those

660
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:11,800
Speaker 3: Thursday games, as you mentioned, both of them coming off

661
00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:14,320
Speaker 3: of bye or both of them coming off longer rest

662
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:17,800
Speaker 3: than usual. And you do have some situational spots. You know,

663
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:20,120
Speaker 3: Bruce Arians in his career coming off a straight up

664
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 3: loss twenty four and fifteen against the spread one to oh.

665
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:25,800
Speaker 3: This year, Tom Brady in his career coming off and

666
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 3: against the spread loss is fifty six and thirty three

667
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 3: with two pushes in the next game. Since three, tom

668
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 3: Brady coming off a straight up wells thirty one and

669
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:38,600
Speaker 3: twelve seventy two percent. So you have some spots here

670
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:42,360
Speaker 3: for the Bucks, and nothing is popping for you know,

671
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 3: trend wise for me for the Packers. I got not

672
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 3: even one trend popping for the Packers on bet labs

673
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:50,520
Speaker 3: for me. So I bet the Bucks as well at

674
00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 3: plus two, and I agree I have them as a

675
00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 3: small favorite. So uh yeah, white Get thinks this defense

676
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 3: is for real losing Bay Hurtz, but toughest match up

677
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 3: the Packers of hope.

678
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 4: You're enjoying this great action network podcast, I want to

679
00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 4: make sure you know about the Locked On podcast network

680
00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 4: Locked On as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

681
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,240
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

682
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:12,280
Speaker 2: own of the Dallas.

683
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:15,040
Speaker 3: Marriage everybody, so the Locked On Lakers podcast Let's Go.

684
00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:18,240
Speaker 4: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

685
00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:20,520
Speaker 4: know your team better than anyone and give you the

686
00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 4: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

687
00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:27,840
Speaker 4: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

688
00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 3: All right for the fifth pick in the Sunday six

689
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:38,320
Speaker 3: pack and my third pick overall, going with the Pittsburgh

690
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:43,080
Speaker 3: Steelers as field goal favorites over the Cleveland Browns, and

691
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:45,840
Speaker 3: you kind of alluded to it. Earlier stuck. This is

692
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:49,080
Speaker 3: not I think the best card that we've had so far.

693
00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:51,400
Speaker 3: It's a little bit tougher. There's kind of like a

694
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 3: couple of tiers of types of games. There's like these

695
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 3: games in that touchdown range, and there's the games in

696
00:33:56,840 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 3: these field goal and like these closer games. I went

697
00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 3: with the Steelers because this is a time of year

698
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:06,320
Speaker 3: where I think the market starts to get pretty efficient.

699
00:34:06,360 --> 00:34:07,880
Speaker 3: For the most part, I think they're off in a

700
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 3: couple of spots, namely those two games we just mentioned,

701
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,399
Speaker 3: But I think you really have to start looking into

702
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:16,360
Speaker 3: the coaching and the old line play and situation. So

703
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:21,799
Speaker 3: offensive line and pressure mooms large here. Like if this

704
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,120
Speaker 3: was just any normal two teams, maybe this would be

705
00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:27,520
Speaker 3: about about three, three and a half four points for

706
00:34:27,560 --> 00:34:30,719
Speaker 3: the Steelers. But I actually make this five. And the

707
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:35,520
Speaker 3: reason is Baker Mayfield against pressure is not the situation

708
00:34:35,640 --> 00:34:38,000
Speaker 3: you want to be backing the Browns in the Steelers

709
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:42,080
Speaker 3: number one in the league in pressure rate at forty percent.

710
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:47,200
Speaker 3: That is ungodly forty percent pressure rate for the Steelers

711
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 3: Baker Mayfield. If you look at US numbers this season,

712
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:56,239
Speaker 3: Pro Football Focus has thirty four qualified quarterbacks that meet

713
00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:59,760
Speaker 3: the minimum drop back requirement for passer rating under pressure.

714
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:03,880
Speaker 3: Baker Mayfield is thirty three of thirty four with a

715
00:35:04,000 --> 00:35:09,200
Speaker 3: thirty point nine passer rating under pressure this season. This

716
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 3: is just not the spot. One touchdown, three picks, not

717
00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 3: the spot that you want Baker Mayfield going against the

718
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 3: Steelers defense, everything else. I think, you know, offensively, both

719
00:35:18,600 --> 00:35:21,799
Speaker 3: of these teams playing well. The Browns are actually better,

720
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:24,600
Speaker 3: I think a little better without Chubb. He's been middling

721
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 3: in success rate. Kareem Hunt's been near the top of

722
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:30,399
Speaker 3: the league. The Steelers, I mean, remember remember stuck when

723
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:32,279
Speaker 3: they told us that rookies, this was not a good

724
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 3: year for rookies, and and you know, rookie receivers weren't

725
00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:37,520
Speaker 3: gonna weren't gonna do well. Chase Klaypoo said, forget that,

726
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 3: forget all that shit. I mean, just like yeah, like yeah, oh,

727
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:44,200
Speaker 3: Rugs had a long touchdown. It is a difference in

728
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:47,560
Speaker 3: the game for the Raiders. Last week, the Steelers got

729
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:52,799
Speaker 3: sixty rushing yards two carries from Ray Ray McCloud. They're

730
00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:55,800
Speaker 3: a special teamer, like the Steelers are quicken on offense.

731
00:35:56,280 --> 00:35:58,399
Speaker 3: I think that you know, having like an extra buy

732
00:35:58,520 --> 00:36:01,680
Speaker 3: early in the season really helped them because their defense

733
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:04,200
Speaker 3: was already really good and and their offense they're kind

734
00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,359
Speaker 3: of getting it together and they've been able to weather

735
00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:08,040
Speaker 3: the storm. They're gonna be able to weather the storm

736
00:36:08,080 --> 00:36:10,520
Speaker 3: even if Deontay Johnson, you know, who we thought was

737
00:36:10,520 --> 00:36:12,840
Speaker 3: gonna be one of their top three receivers, is out.

738
00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 3: Because of how well Claypool was playing and now Ray

739
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 3: Ray McLoud even they're getting productive snaps out of him.

740
00:36:19,080 --> 00:36:21,279
Speaker 3: You have you have McFarland starting to do some things

741
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:23,400
Speaker 3: in the backfield. So it's not just Connor, you have

742
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:26,280
Speaker 3: you have four backs you can throw in there. Roethlisberger

743
00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 3: is getting it done. It's you know, out of all

744
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:31,360
Speaker 3: these kind of older quarterbacks, you know, him and Rogers

745
00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:34,839
Speaker 3: are really i think, looking the best. So the Steelers team,

746
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:37,480
Speaker 3: like I keep feeling like there's a time that I'm

747
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:40,520
Speaker 3: gonna want to bet against them. But this line has,

748
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 3: you know, moved a little bit in uh, you know,

749
00:36:42,600 --> 00:36:45,680
Speaker 3: toward the Browns front, you know, and against the Steelers.

750
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:48,160
Speaker 3: And so I got it at I got it. I

751
00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:49,560
Speaker 3: bet it at four, then I bet it again at

752
00:36:49,560 --> 00:36:52,800
Speaker 3: two and a half, and bet MGM the officials provider

753
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:55,160
Speaker 3: of the podcast has it at three. I like it

754
00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 3: at three. This is a completely a play on Baker

755
00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:02,799
Speaker 3: mayfield struggle against pressure. Not the type of matchup for him,

756
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:05,279
Speaker 3: especially against a team that you really can't knock it

757
00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:10,160
Speaker 3: like for any major weaknesses in the Steelers, Whereas the Browns,

758
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:13,800
Speaker 3: They've been playing well, especially an offense, but the defense

759
00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:15,640
Speaker 3: has been a liitt of shaky. Philip Rivers gave them

760
00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 3: nine points last week. I knew that was going to

761
00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 3: happen eventually, and it came out. We were both on

762
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:21,759
Speaker 3: the on the Colts on that one. I mean on

763
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:24,080
Speaker 3: the Browns on that one, luckily, but you know that

764
00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 3: that's not gonna happen every week. I don't think it

765
00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:28,239
Speaker 3: happens this week. So going with the Steelers the field

766
00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:28,800
Speaker 3: go favorites.

767
00:37:29,239 --> 00:37:31,360
Speaker 2: I've been high on the Browns of the market all

768
00:37:31,640 --> 00:37:34,440
Speaker 2: year long, you know, going back to the Bengals game

769
00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:35,680
Speaker 2: when I bet them when I had a mate and

770
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 2: a half. They should have covered them, so on and

771
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 2: over that. You know, the win against the Colts was

772
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:44,120
Speaker 2: impressive to me, and I still want They have been

773
00:37:44,200 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 2: running pretty lucky in turnovers, so there could be some

774
00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:52,200
Speaker 2: regression there. The Steelers look They've beat the Giants like ten,

775
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:56,400
Speaker 2: the Broncos and their backups by five, the Texans by seven,

776
00:37:57,200 --> 00:38:00,360
Speaker 2: and then the Eagles by nine. So like I, you know,

777
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:02,879
Speaker 2: I can't get too impressive with the Steelers have done

778
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 2: so far against teams. They haven't beat a team with

779
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:09,600
Speaker 2: more than one win yet this year. Their offensive line

780
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:12,480
Speaker 2: isn't as good and as it's been in the past

781
00:38:12,560 --> 00:38:15,120
Speaker 2: for a variety of reasons. I want to see first.

782
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:17,120
Speaker 2: One thing I want to watch is with Miles Garrett

783
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:19,400
Speaker 2: and how that all goes down. Last year there was

784
00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:21,200
Speaker 2: all that drama. We can see how the chippy it's

785
00:38:21,200 --> 00:38:23,719
Speaker 2: going to get. But I make so I've been higher

786
00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:26,400
Speaker 2: on on the Browns than the market all year, and

787
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:28,680
Speaker 2: I'm high on the Steelers too. But I actually make

788
00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:30,640
Speaker 2: this two and a half. We're going to learn a

789
00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:35,000
Speaker 2: lot about both teams and especially the Steelers. And yeah,

790
00:38:35,440 --> 00:38:38,480
Speaker 2: look your I don't think your handicap is wrong about

791
00:38:38,480 --> 00:38:40,520
Speaker 2: saying Mayfield to struggle on approssate you at one touchdown,

792
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 2: three picks, forty two and a half percent completion percentage

793
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:46,320
Speaker 2: when he's kept clean his eight touchdowns, one interception, sixty

794
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:51,280
Speaker 2: eight percent completion percentage. So Ken baked the Cleveland offensive

795
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:53,800
Speaker 2: line keep him clean. And Cleveland's offense line has been awesome,

796
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:55,359
Speaker 2: one of the best in the NFL. They're number one

797
00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:58,120
Speaker 2: in adjusted lineyard, so their run blocking is great too,

798
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:02,200
Speaker 2: and that they're going up against a pit defensive line.

799
00:39:02,200 --> 00:39:03,839
Speaker 2: It's number one and ad justin line yards and number

800
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:06,439
Speaker 2: one and adjusted Zachary, so it's strength on strength here.

801
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:09,560
Speaker 2: One of the things that might swing this battle is

802
00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:13,560
Speaker 2: Whyatt Teller might be out for the Browns. He's arguably

803
00:39:13,600 --> 00:39:17,400
Speaker 2: been the best guard in the NFL this year, So yeah,

804
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,680
Speaker 2: I have this line spot on. I think it'll be

805
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:22,440
Speaker 2: a really good game. But I can't disagree with your

806
00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:25,160
Speaker 2: cap because that's basically what's happening this year with the

807
00:39:25,160 --> 00:39:29,359
Speaker 2: Browns is twofold. They it's their offensive line, so they

808
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:33,600
Speaker 2: address their offensive line via the draft, via offseason acquisitions,

809
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:37,520
Speaker 2: and the coaching changes. Probably stay away from me, though, like.

810
00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:39,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, real quick, I mean yeah, I agree with you

811
00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 3: on the Steelers. I think they're they're a quality of opponent.

812
00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:43,440
Speaker 3: It hasn't been good, but you look at the Browns,

813
00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:47,000
Speaker 3: I mean they beat the football team. The Bengals, they bear,

814
00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:49,200
Speaker 3: they don't cover against. They beat the football team they

815
00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,279
Speaker 3: wrack up the score. They get Dallas, who, let's be real,

816
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 3: they were way overrated coming into the year, and then

817
00:39:55,200 --> 00:39:57,560
Speaker 3: the Coats give them not Phil Riverons gives them nine points.

818
00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 3: The one opponent that has, like would say, an above

819
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:03,360
Speaker 3: average offense above average defense, because I don't consider the

820
00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:06,480
Speaker 3: Coast having above average offense really not with Rivers playing

821
00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:08,120
Speaker 3: like that, I think they came in number twenty four

822
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:10,840
Speaker 3: and DVA. The only team that really does that they

823
00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:13,239
Speaker 3: played was the Ravens that was on opening Day. Now

824
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 3: maybe it's COVID and you know, preparation, but they got

825
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:18,640
Speaker 3: born out thirty eight to six. So you know, in

826
00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:20,960
Speaker 3: this situation, I kind of I'm not ready to give

827
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:23,040
Speaker 3: the Browns all that credit yet. I think they've had

828
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:25,080
Speaker 3: a they've They're just another one of these teams kind

829
00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:27,279
Speaker 3: of like the Packers that they've run into some really

830
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:29,279
Speaker 3: favorable opponents, and you're right, we will learn a lot

831
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:31,360
Speaker 3: about them. But at a field though, I think I

832
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:33,319
Speaker 3: have to I have to go serious like that that

833
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:35,960
Speaker 3: I think the opener was a widow closer and you

834
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:37,680
Speaker 3: maybe you may prove right though, because you know it's

835
00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:39,360
Speaker 3: a division game, anything can happen. We saw it with

836
00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:41,680
Speaker 3: the Raiders, but yeah, I'm not I'm not impressed with

837
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:44,520
Speaker 3: the Browns opponents either, Cleveland Rocks.

838
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 2: Cleveland rocks fair enough. For my final pick and the

839
00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:52,840
Speaker 2: sixth pick of the Sunday six pack, I'm going with

840
00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 2: the Atlanta Falcons plus four. Oh boy, no Qui Minnesota Vikings. Look,

841
00:40:59,480 --> 00:41:01,400
Speaker 2: I don't I don't love any other games. This is

842
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:04,640
Speaker 2: the closest one that comes to value for me. And

843
00:41:04,960 --> 00:41:07,600
Speaker 2: I have an article up on Action network dot com,

844
00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:12,000
Speaker 2: the Action Network ap about how teams have overperformed slightly

845
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:13,920
Speaker 2: after the coaching. Jason, I think what a lot of

846
00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:16,799
Speaker 2: that is is usually the coaches bad, so you're getting

847
00:41:16,840 --> 00:41:18,880
Speaker 2: rid of them is usually a good thing. The team's

848
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:22,640
Speaker 2: also bad. But the second that the next week you

849
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:25,759
Speaker 2: can usually your tendencies will change a little bit. You

850
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:27,399
Speaker 2: can all right, let's try to do this this week.

851
00:41:27,440 --> 00:41:29,040
Speaker 2: Let's try to do this. And then the other team

852
00:41:29,040 --> 00:41:31,080
Speaker 2: doesn't have film on you for that, right, so they're

853
00:41:31,120 --> 00:41:33,800
Speaker 2: preparing for everything they've seen before. We saw it with

854
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:35,840
Speaker 2: Houston last week. One of the reasons I was on

855
00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 2: them against Jacksonville and we saw their play action rate

856
00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:40,920
Speaker 2: almost double, more aggressive shots down the field, they were

857
00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:44,520
Speaker 2: more aggressive on fourth downs, So I think that's gonna work.

858
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:48,080
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna work in Atlanta's favor. These two

859
00:41:48,080 --> 00:41:51,000
Speaker 2: teams are really similar in the fact that their their

860
00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 2: defenses have been poor, specifically in the secondaries, so they're

861
00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:56,960
Speaker 2: giving up a ton of plays. They're dead last in

862
00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:59,880
Speaker 2: the NFL and giving up twenty plus yard plays. I

863
00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:04,279
Speaker 2: imagine both offenses are gonna have plenty of shots downfield.

864
00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:08,440
Speaker 2: They have a number of capable receivers that can make

865
00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:11,600
Speaker 2: the plays Dalvin cooks out for Minnesota. I know they

866
00:42:11,600 --> 00:42:15,160
Speaker 2: have capable backups, but it's still a bit of a

867
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:18,279
Speaker 2: drop off for going into last week the NFL's leading rusher,

868
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:22,120
Speaker 2: leading broken tackler. There's a lose a little bit of explosiveness.

869
00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:26,120
Speaker 2: Not a huge downgrade, but just worth mentioning. I think

870
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:31,120
Speaker 2: Grady Jarrett can actually create some havoc up the middle

871
00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:33,319
Speaker 2: and blow up that pocket and maybe create a couple

872
00:42:33,520 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 2: big plays on defense that might end up being the difference.

873
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:39,880
Speaker 2: I mean this total sitting at fifty five. Look, if

874
00:42:39,920 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 2: you're gonna get Atlanta's best effort, new coach, they're zero

875
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:45,799
Speaker 2: and five, you're gonna see some new things for them,

876
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:48,320
Speaker 2: which works to their advantage. I make this line closer

877
00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:50,640
Speaker 2: to three, and I think it's just gonna come down

878
00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:54,600
Speaker 2: to who can make a couple more explosive plays downfield.

879
00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:58,759
Speaker 2: Atlanta is just as capable here as Minnesota, who's still

880
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:01,640
Speaker 2: not generating as much pressures they usually do, and their

881
00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:04,120
Speaker 2: corners are so young, and you might have to go

882
00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:07,799
Speaker 2: up against Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley. I don't love it,

883
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,640
Speaker 2: But at plus four here, with the new coach and

884
00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:13,200
Speaker 2: potential for some of the new things that you'll see,

885
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:16,960
Speaker 2: I think in the game of where the offenses should shine,

886
00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:19,759
Speaker 2: I'll take the plus four.

887
00:43:20,040 --> 00:43:21,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's a new day.

888
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:21,520
Speaker 2: You know.

889
00:43:21,600 --> 00:43:24,240
Speaker 3: You have the piece up on Action Network. Everybody should

890
00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:27,120
Speaker 3: go read it about the coaches and the coaching changes,

891
00:43:27,120 --> 00:43:29,960
Speaker 3: and that cashed for Houston last week. And I have

892
00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:32,680
Speaker 3: a piece up as well about Dan Quinn and just

893
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:35,439
Speaker 3: how we should judge NFL head coaches, and I think

894
00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:37,680
Speaker 3: we should pay a lot more attention to against the

895
00:43:37,719 --> 00:43:40,920
Speaker 3: spread record for head coaches because it's kind of the

896
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:44,080
Speaker 3: one thing that you know somewhat efficiently gauge as a

897
00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:46,359
Speaker 3: coach against the talent level he has and you know,

898
00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:49,000
Speaker 3: is he able to outperform that over time, and dan

899
00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:51,879
Speaker 3: Quinn repeatedly was just unable to. I mean, you look

900
00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:54,799
Speaker 3: at pretty much any situation for the Falcons when they

901
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:58,480
Speaker 3: were like favorites before December nine and twenty seven against

902
00:43:58,480 --> 00:44:01,480
Speaker 3: the spread. You know, after a loss, he was fifteen

903
00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:04,040
Speaker 3: and twenty five against the spread. Like it was just

904
00:44:04,160 --> 00:44:07,120
Speaker 3: bad for dan Quinn, just not getting this team prepared.

905
00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:08,920
Speaker 3: So I think you see kind of a shot to

906
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:11,399
Speaker 3: the system. Marris did some good things when he took

907
00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:13,719
Speaker 3: over the defense last year, so you'd hope that can

908
00:44:13,800 --> 00:44:16,440
Speaker 3: kind of come together quickly because I mean, they just weren't.

909
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:18,439
Speaker 3: They could have beat the I mean, can't you say

910
00:44:18,480 --> 00:44:22,040
Speaker 3: you're gonna give up, you know, sixteen points in the

911
00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:24,440
Speaker 3: first fifty two minutes of the game to the Panthers,

912
00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:27,840
Speaker 3: And you're telling me a Falcons team at home against

913
00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:30,239
Speaker 3: that defense shouldn't win that game. And granted I was

914
00:44:30,239 --> 00:44:31,920
Speaker 3: on the Panthers, but like you're telling me a Falcons

915
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:35,279
Speaker 3: team shouldn't win that game. That's absurd. But you know,

916
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:37,960
Speaker 3: they can't get stops they make. They made Mike Davis

917
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:42,400
Speaker 3: look like Christian McCaffrey, and you know, I think that

918
00:44:42,440 --> 00:44:44,880
Speaker 3: should improve. So you know, getting it at more than

919
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:47,319
Speaker 3: a field goal. I don't hate it. A tough game

920
00:44:47,360 --> 00:44:49,720
Speaker 3: for me to cap. Falcons still don't have much talent

921
00:44:50,600 --> 00:44:52,480
Speaker 3: on on the defensive side of the ball, I don't think.

922
00:44:52,520 --> 00:44:54,840
Speaker 3: But they can't keep playing as bad an offense. That

923
00:44:55,000 --> 00:44:57,959
Speaker 3: that that that just surprises me that, you know, Matt

924
00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:00,959
Speaker 3: Ryan's becoming part of the problem. Maybe Julio Johnes played

925
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:03,080
Speaker 3: this week and that'll help, all right. So that wraps

926
00:45:03,080 --> 00:45:05,560
Speaker 3: it up for our Sunday six pack. Let's get right

927
00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:08,239
Speaker 3: into our favorite total of the week. We continue to

928
00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 3: misfire on totals here. I think you had the Steelers under,

929
00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:14,240
Speaker 3: I had the Falcons over. Both of those did not cash.

930
00:45:14,280 --> 00:45:15,280
Speaker 3: Where are you going this week?

931
00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm still trying to adjust to totals, and I've

932
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:24,520
Speaker 2: made adjustments. I had a big article about why totals,

933
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:29,200
Speaker 2: why points are up, penalties pace, communication, et cetera, et cetera.

934
00:45:29,480 --> 00:45:32,120
Speaker 2: I'm still it's almost a different game this year, so

935
00:45:32,120 --> 00:45:35,160
Speaker 2: I'm still I've kept keeping my totals volume low. I

936
00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:37,839
Speaker 2: did play one this weekend, which is the one I'm

937
00:45:37,960 --> 00:45:43,520
Speaker 2: going to use here, and that is the Broncos Patriots

938
00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:49,799
Speaker 2: under forty four and a half. At that MGM. The

939
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:52,359
Speaker 2: Broncos might actually get aj Boyer back this week, which

940
00:45:52,360 --> 00:45:54,560
Speaker 2: could only help. But let's just say that he doesn't play.

941
00:45:54,560 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 2: It did just come off ir and they were expecting

942
00:45:57,160 --> 00:45:59,319
Speaker 2: the play once he did. This New England team, though,

943
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 2: there's a lot of uncertainty and weirdness about this game.

944
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:03,759
Speaker 2: It was supposed to be played last week and the

945
00:46:03,760 --> 00:46:06,359
Speaker 2: Patriots didn't even practice day. There hasn't been a lot

946
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:10,600
Speaker 2: of practicing. But and Drew Locke might play for the Broncos,

947
00:46:10,600 --> 00:46:12,760
Speaker 2: he might not. The Patriots are coming off a loss.

948
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,880
Speaker 2: They've had all this time to prepare for the Broncos offense,

949
00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:18,680
Speaker 2: which is all banged up at receiver a tight end.

950
00:46:19,040 --> 00:46:21,400
Speaker 2: I don't think New England is gonna have any issues

951
00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:24,520
Speaker 2: shutting down this Denver offense and the other side of

952
00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:26,719
Speaker 2: the ball. Look, I think that you're gonna see a

953
00:46:26,760 --> 00:46:29,640
Speaker 2: heavy rushing attack from New England and presumably Cam Newton

954
00:46:29,680 --> 00:46:32,360
Speaker 2: at quarterback, but they don't really have the weapons to

955
00:46:32,480 --> 00:46:35,000
Speaker 2: beat beat to, you know, take advantage of some of

956
00:46:35,000 --> 00:46:38,319
Speaker 2: the questions if Denver has in the secondary, especially if

957
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 2: Waye doesn't play, and Fangio really just wants to keep

958
00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:45,680
Speaker 2: everything in front of him. I haven't despised how Denver

959
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:49,279
Speaker 2: is defended against the run so this year. So I

960
00:46:49,320 --> 00:46:52,120
Speaker 2: think that you're gonna see a heavy rush game script

961
00:46:52,200 --> 00:46:54,920
Speaker 2: from the Patriots. You're gonna see them get up, kind

962
00:46:54,920 --> 00:46:56,400
Speaker 2: of sit on the ball. I don't think they'll have

963
00:46:56,440 --> 00:47:00,600
Speaker 2: any issues shutting down this Denver offense wardless of who

964
00:47:00,680 --> 00:47:03,920
Speaker 2: plays at quarterback. They are just so beat up. So

965
00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:10,759
Speaker 2: this smells to me like, you know, twenty four thirteen

966
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:13,080
Speaker 2: ish Patriots win. So give me the under there.

967
00:47:13,719 --> 00:47:15,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's the best under of the week.

968
00:47:15,760 --> 00:47:17,720
Speaker 3: I mean, I don't think the Patriots have any interest

969
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:19,440
Speaker 3: in throwing the ball around. If you look at some

970
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:22,319
Speaker 3: of their key their losses and the interceptions that came

971
00:47:22,360 --> 00:47:24,399
Speaker 3: in key spots. I mean, Cam Newton throwing that pick

972
00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:27,440
Speaker 3: to Dunbar kind of changed the complexion of that Seattle game.

973
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:31,880
Speaker 3: And then you know Hoyer making those ridiculous mistakes in

974
00:47:31,920 --> 00:47:34,520
Speaker 3: that Kansas City game, you know, kind of took them

975
00:47:34,520 --> 00:47:36,799
Speaker 3: out of that game and then you know things went

976
00:47:36,880 --> 00:47:39,800
Speaker 3: downhill from there. So I think they have no interest

977
00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:42,240
Speaker 3: in running and throwing the ball around the yard against

978
00:47:42,239 --> 00:47:44,719
Speaker 3: the inferioror opponent that as you said, they know they

979
00:47:44,719 --> 00:47:47,040
Speaker 3: can shut down on the other side of the ball.

980
00:47:47,280 --> 00:47:49,440
Speaker 3: I think this defense is still going a little underrated.

981
00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:51,440
Speaker 3: You know, they played Seattle, who's going to put up

982
00:47:51,440 --> 00:47:54,279
Speaker 3: points on everyone? They held casey basically a check. If

983
00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:57,120
Speaker 3: Julian Edelman doesn't drop the ball into the defender's lap,

984
00:47:57,440 --> 00:48:00,400
Speaker 3: they allow a touchdown less than that game well, so

985
00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:02,320
Speaker 3: great defense for New England.

986
00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:03,279
Speaker 2: I like it.

987
00:48:03,360 --> 00:48:06,839
Speaker 3: Here for me, I'm going I jumped around a bit,

988
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:09,799
Speaker 3: I played a few overs. I did play this under

989
00:48:09,800 --> 00:48:11,960
Speaker 3: that you just mentioned. I played a few overs. This week.

990
00:48:12,280 --> 00:48:16,600
Speaker 3: I played the Giants and football team over at forty three.

991
00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:18,600
Speaker 3: I thought that was too well for especially for two

992
00:48:18,640 --> 00:48:22,359
Speaker 3: bad teams. But for this pick, I'm going Lions Jaguars

993
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:26,160
Speaker 3: over fifty three and a half. And this is a

994
00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:29,480
Speaker 3: spot where I'm looking at the Lions and they, as

995
00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:32,080
Speaker 3: you mentioned their defense, they're gonna sit back, they don't

996
00:48:32,080 --> 00:48:34,600
Speaker 3: get much pressure. And then on the other end, the

997
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:37,319
Speaker 3: Jaguars are the worst defense in the league. So just

998
00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:39,560
Speaker 3: two teams I expect to be able to put up

999
00:48:39,600 --> 00:48:43,200
Speaker 3: some points. The Jaguars, if they have anything going for them,

1000
00:48:43,560 --> 00:48:47,319
Speaker 3: it's that their offense hasn't been completely terrible. They are

1001
00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:52,000
Speaker 3: number ten in offensive Dvoa. So I think the Jaguars

1002
00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:54,600
Speaker 3: can at least move the ball, and I think this

1003
00:48:54,600 --> 00:48:58,240
Speaker 3: will turn into somewhat of a back and forth affair,

1004
00:48:58,480 --> 00:49:00,560
Speaker 3: or at least the Jaguars kind of chase in the Lions.

1005
00:49:00,600 --> 00:49:04,000
Speaker 3: So like the over here, in this one, it's been

1006
00:49:04,040 --> 00:49:05,560
Speaker 3: bet up a little bit. I think I got it

1007
00:49:05,560 --> 00:49:07,879
Speaker 3: at fifty two and a half, but I make it

1008
00:49:08,280 --> 00:49:11,360
Speaker 3: around fifty five. So taking the over fifty three and

1009
00:49:11,400 --> 00:49:17,040
Speaker 3: a half in Jags Lions donated. All right, So to

1010
00:49:17,160 --> 00:49:22,319
Speaker 3: recap for the six pack, Stuck has Houston plus three

1011
00:49:22,400 --> 00:49:25,640
Speaker 3: and a half, the Bucks minus one, and Atlanta plus four.

1012
00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:29,680
Speaker 3: I have San Francisco plus two and a half, the

1013
00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:33,120
Speaker 3: Lions minus three and a half, and Pittsburgh minus three.

1014
00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:37,720
Speaker 3: And then for our totals, Stuck has the Patriots Broncos

1015
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:40,200
Speaker 3: under forty four and a half, and I have the

1016
00:49:40,239 --> 00:49:43,279
Speaker 3: Lions Jags over fifty three and a half. Now, let's

1017
00:49:43,280 --> 00:49:46,960
Speaker 3: get in to our favorite teaser play of the week.

1018
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:50,760
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

1019
00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:53,799
Speaker 3: All right, Stuck, I know that this is a great

1020
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:57,040
Speaker 3: teaser week. You teased it earlier in the show, So

1021
00:49:57,520 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 3: talk to me about teasers this week. I'll just tell

1022
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:03,400
Speaker 3: the people for anyone out there, it's unfamiliar. If you're teasing,

1023
00:50:03,440 --> 00:50:05,480
Speaker 3: it's usually you can bind two or more bets you

1024
00:50:05,520 --> 00:50:09,600
Speaker 3: get six points is a standard additionally toward the spread

1025
00:50:09,600 --> 00:50:11,680
Speaker 3: of each bet. So for example, if you're teasing an

1026
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:14,560
Speaker 3: eight point favorite, they become a two point favorite, and

1027
00:50:14,600 --> 00:50:16,719
Speaker 3: if you're teasing an eight point underdog, they become a

1028
00:50:16,840 --> 00:50:20,160
Speaker 3: fourteen point underdog. Stuck, talk to me about all the

1029
00:50:20,160 --> 00:50:22,680
Speaker 3: teaser spots you likee this week and where you decided

1030
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:24,359
Speaker 3: to go with your pick for the pot.

1031
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:27,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, base if you tease across three and seven. And

1032
00:50:27,400 --> 00:50:29,680
Speaker 2: I have a piece out on Action Network dot com

1033
00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:34,040
Speaker 2: and Action Network AP updated teaser guide rules and specifically

1034
00:50:34,640 --> 00:50:39,480
Speaker 2: talking about teaser options this week. And there's six six

1035
00:50:39,520 --> 00:50:42,840
Speaker 2: options this week that allow you to tease through the

1036
00:50:42,960 --> 00:50:46,840
Speaker 2: three and seven. If you include Monday Night with the Cowboys,

1037
00:50:46,840 --> 00:50:50,359
Speaker 2: which you can tease to over seven, I should say five.

1038
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:53,560
Speaker 2: Now look out for the Bucks. The Bucks now have

1039
00:50:53,680 --> 00:50:56,399
Speaker 2: kind of come down a little bit, but you have

1040
00:50:56,840 --> 00:50:59,880
Speaker 2: you know, the Bengals you can tease down. You have

1041
00:51:00,160 --> 00:51:03,160
Speaker 2: the Ravens. You can tease down, the Bears, you can

1042
00:51:03,200 --> 00:51:07,000
Speaker 2: tease up, the Washington football team you can tease up.

1043
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:10,879
Speaker 2: I've used all of them and the Bucks and the

1044
00:51:10,880 --> 00:51:13,880
Speaker 2: Cardinals in my teezer in some form or fashion. But

1045
00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:16,520
Speaker 2: for this my favorite teaser of the week is going

1046
00:51:16,560 --> 00:51:20,799
Speaker 2: to be the Ravens minus one and a half with

1047
00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:25,800
Speaker 2: the Bears plus seven and a half currently at bet MGM.

1048
00:51:25,960 --> 00:51:28,319
Speaker 2: Keep in mind, if you can or you want to wait,

1049
00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:31,440
Speaker 2: try to look for to get over eight. I talk

1050
00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:34,080
Speaker 2: about that in the article. You might see more eights

1051
00:51:34,120 --> 00:51:36,480
Speaker 2: start to pop up than seven's as far as final

1052
00:51:36,480 --> 00:51:39,000
Speaker 2: score margins, as these teams start to go for too

1053
00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:42,239
Speaker 2: late when they're down fourteen, so instead of just automatically

1054
00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:45,040
Speaker 2: I will kick the extra point and then seven. Now

1055
00:51:45,080 --> 00:51:48,480
Speaker 2: you go for two early and it either ends eight

1056
00:51:48,520 --> 00:51:51,200
Speaker 2: or six. But anyway, it's still very valuable to get

1057
00:51:51,239 --> 00:51:55,680
Speaker 2: over the seven. That's just one off instance. But the

1058
00:51:55,719 --> 00:51:59,520
Speaker 2: Bears here, Look, the Bears are a fraudulent four in

1059
00:51:59,560 --> 00:52:02,600
Speaker 2: one team. The Panthers are also kind of a fraudulent

1060
00:52:02,680 --> 00:52:05,240
Speaker 2: three and two team. They've had a couple fortunate wins.

1061
00:52:05,520 --> 00:52:08,719
Speaker 2: It played a lot better than I thought. These two

1062
00:52:08,760 --> 00:52:12,799
Speaker 2: teams are rated fairly similar to me, so getting the

1063
00:52:12,840 --> 00:52:17,640
Speaker 2: Bears up over seven is very appealing to me, especially

1064
00:52:17,640 --> 00:52:21,440
Speaker 2: when you consider that the Panthers have a number of

1065
00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:25,480
Speaker 2: key defensive injuries this year. Short is out for the year.

1066
00:52:25,800 --> 00:52:28,400
Speaker 2: Not a huge loss. He'll make headlines. He has been

1067
00:52:28,400 --> 00:52:30,520
Speaker 2: playing great. He's kind of passed his prime, but he

1068
00:52:30,560 --> 00:52:32,800
Speaker 2: has a big body in the middle of that defense.

1069
00:52:32,800 --> 00:52:38,520
Speaker 2: But more importantly, Ghost Matos and Brian Burns are both

1070
00:52:38,719 --> 00:52:41,960
Speaker 2: very very questionable play this week. And those two are

1071
00:52:42,000 --> 00:52:45,040
Speaker 2: their best edge rushers, so that would be a big

1072
00:52:45,080 --> 00:52:46,840
Speaker 2: loss for both of them. They have injuries in the

1073
00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:49,480
Speaker 2: secondary as well, with a couple guys backed up, so

1074
00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:51,560
Speaker 2: that only helps the Bears case. I think the Bears

1075
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:54,560
Speaker 2: will be able to run the ball against this Panthers defense,

1076
00:52:54,600 --> 00:52:57,160
Speaker 2: which is still not a great defense by any stretch

1077
00:52:57,200 --> 00:53:00,360
Speaker 2: of the imagination. Look, I gotta give right at the

1078
00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:04,040
Speaker 2: Mike Danas. He leads the NFL in yards after contact

1079
00:53:04,200 --> 00:53:07,400
Speaker 2: for attempt like four and a half. It leads the

1080
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:10,160
Speaker 2: NFL in elusive rating. It's crazy. He's playing so well

1081
00:53:10,840 --> 00:53:13,640
Speaker 2: well running backs. I don't matter if crowd loves that,

1082
00:53:14,520 --> 00:53:16,920
Speaker 2: but I think the two teams are really similar, So

1083
00:53:16,960 --> 00:53:19,359
Speaker 2: give me. I could see this game going either way.

1084
00:53:20,000 --> 00:53:22,560
Speaker 2: I'll take over seven, which should be a close game.

1085
00:53:22,560 --> 00:53:25,799
Speaker 2: And another thing is this game lower total So that's

1086
00:53:25,880 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 2: another thing with Washington too. You tease a team, you know,

1087
00:53:28,560 --> 00:53:31,280
Speaker 2: round a two to three point underdog over seven becomes

1088
00:53:31,320 --> 00:53:34,160
Speaker 2: even more valuable those points when the total is low,

1089
00:53:34,960 --> 00:53:38,600
Speaker 2: with you know, scoring and points at a premium, and

1090
00:53:38,640 --> 00:53:41,000
Speaker 2: then the Ravens look up. I'll take them at minus

1091
00:53:41,000 --> 00:53:43,399
Speaker 2: one and a half here against the Eagles. I think

1092
00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:46,439
Speaker 2: it's a really good matchup for the Ravens. Eagles still

1093
00:53:46,520 --> 00:53:48,720
Speaker 2: so bagged up, I mean, where they have one healthy

1094
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:51,840
Speaker 2: offensive lineman and from the beginning of the year and

1095
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:56,240
Speaker 2: Jason Kelcey at center. Wentz is still playing terribly. The receivers,

1096
00:53:56,239 --> 00:53:57,960
Speaker 2: I don't care if the Sean Jackson comes back or

1097
00:53:57,960 --> 00:54:00,439
Speaker 2: al Shon Jeffrey. Maybe they do, maybe they don't. Zach

1098
00:54:00,520 --> 00:54:02,600
Speaker 2: Gertz looks like he's done. I mean, he couldn't break

1099
00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:04,520
Speaker 2: a tackle if I was trying to tackle him at

1100
00:54:04,560 --> 00:54:06,799
Speaker 2: this point. That's one of the weak areas of the

1101
00:54:06,880 --> 00:54:09,960
Speaker 2: Ravens defense right now. With their young linebackers, they haven't

1102
00:54:09,960 --> 00:54:12,160
Speaker 2: guarded tight ends well. So if there was Goddard here

1103
00:54:12,520 --> 00:54:15,120
Speaker 2: and Ertz maybe it would be a concernive mine. But

1104
00:54:15,280 --> 00:54:18,640
Speaker 2: speaking of bad linebackers and the safeties, that's what the

1105
00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:22,239
Speaker 2: Eagles are. That's what the Ravens can exploit Eagles thirty

1106
00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:24,760
Speaker 2: if the NFL guarding tight ends, they have no linebackers,

1107
00:54:24,840 --> 00:54:26,800
Speaker 2: have no safeties. Yeah, they're gonna get some pressure with

1108
00:54:26,840 --> 00:54:29,520
Speaker 2: the defensive line. Lamar is gonna take off. They have

1109
00:54:29,600 --> 00:54:32,319
Speaker 2: no linebackers, they have no safeties to catch up with them,

1110
00:54:32,440 --> 00:54:34,560
Speaker 2: to guard the tight ends, to guard over the middle

1111
00:54:34,560 --> 00:54:36,319
Speaker 2: of the field, which is where the Ravens and Lamar

1112
00:54:36,400 --> 00:54:39,960
Speaker 2: Jackson want to live. He practiced fully today, said he's

1113
00:54:40,080 --> 00:54:42,120
Speaker 2: one hundred percent from all the reports that I read.

1114
00:54:42,239 --> 00:54:43,719
Speaker 2: So I think he hasn't been running as much. I

1115
00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:46,680
Speaker 2: think you're gonna see him run more on Sunday. And

1116
00:54:46,719 --> 00:54:48,680
Speaker 2: now the Ravens are gonna blitz Wentz. He's gonna make

1117
00:54:48,680 --> 00:54:51,200
Speaker 2: some mistakes. They can match up with whatever receivers they

1118
00:54:51,280 --> 00:54:53,960
Speaker 2: have on the outside. Uh, this what the Ravens do.

1119
00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:55,839
Speaker 2: They're gonna get a lead. They beat up on these

1120
00:54:55,840 --> 00:54:58,440
Speaker 2: bad teams and they just they just get a lead,

1121
00:54:58,480 --> 00:55:01,600
Speaker 2: blitzy to depth, make force you in the mistakes, and

1122
00:55:01,640 --> 00:55:04,480
Speaker 2: then blow you out. So I'll take the Ravens and

1123
00:55:04,520 --> 00:55:05,080
Speaker 2: the Bears.

1124
00:55:05,440 --> 00:55:06,880
Speaker 3: This might also be a spot if you want to

1125
00:55:06,960 --> 00:55:10,400
Speaker 3: chase your h you're under from last week with the Eagles.

1126
00:55:10,440 --> 00:55:12,319
Speaker 3: I told you on the for some reason, their road

1127
00:55:12,360 --> 00:55:15,920
Speaker 3: games go over. They're home games twenty six and eleven

1128
00:55:15,960 --> 00:55:18,520
Speaker 3: towards the under, so it's been getting bet up. Some

1129
00:55:18,640 --> 00:55:20,759
Speaker 3: money is coming in on the on the number. So

1130
00:55:21,560 --> 00:55:23,680
Speaker 3: if the Ravens blow them out, like I think we

1131
00:55:23,719 --> 00:55:25,880
Speaker 3: both think they probably will, you know, likely because the

1132
00:55:25,880 --> 00:55:27,440
Speaker 3: Eagles just aren't putting up many points.

1133
00:55:27,480 --> 00:55:30,640
Speaker 2: So I can only stomach one under a week right now,

1134
00:55:30,760 --> 00:55:33,000
Speaker 2: so until until I see more.

1135
00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:35,399
Speaker 3: Just just just putting that out there. But yeah, I'm

1136
00:55:35,400 --> 00:55:37,040
Speaker 3: going with the Ravens as well for all the reasons

1137
00:55:37,040 --> 00:55:40,080
Speaker 3: you mentioned, and going with the Washington football team up

1138
00:55:40,080 --> 00:55:42,359
Speaker 3: to eight and a half for my other one, you know,

1139
00:55:42,480 --> 00:55:44,360
Speaker 3: getting them, you know, teasing them through the three to

1140
00:55:44,440 --> 00:55:46,640
Speaker 3: seven and the eight I think is a good spot.

1141
00:55:46,760 --> 00:55:47,920
Speaker 2: Listen, the Giants.

1142
00:55:48,239 --> 00:55:49,680
Speaker 3: Both of these teams are moving by an average of

1143
00:55:49,760 --> 00:55:52,800
Speaker 3: ten points a game plus. But the difference is the

1144
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:55,440
Speaker 3: football team actually was able to pull out a divisional

1145
00:55:55,480 --> 00:55:59,680
Speaker 3: win against the Eagles here and the Giants we haven't

1146
00:55:59,680 --> 00:56:02,520
Speaker 3: seen that yet. So I don't think either of these

1147
00:56:02,560 --> 00:56:04,960
Speaker 3: teams is going to pull away from each other, but

1148
00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:07,799
Speaker 3: you know, if it is, I think it's more likely

1149
00:56:07,840 --> 00:56:09,880
Speaker 3: to be the Washington side. So getting them up to

1150
00:56:09,920 --> 00:56:11,759
Speaker 3: eight and a half is for a team that I

1151
00:56:11,800 --> 00:56:14,759
Speaker 3: think could very well win the game. Is a good spot.

1152
00:56:14,840 --> 00:56:18,560
Speaker 3: So going with both DMV teams, the Ravens the Beltway,

1153
00:56:18,680 --> 00:56:21,200
Speaker 3: the Beltway, Here you go, there you go, the Ravens

1154
00:56:21,239 --> 00:56:23,920
Speaker 3: down to one and a half, the football team up

1155
00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:25,680
Speaker 3: to eight and a half, and of course stuck. You

1156
00:56:25,719 --> 00:56:27,799
Speaker 3: have the Ravens one and a half and the Bears

1157
00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:28,760
Speaker 3: seven and a half.

1158
00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:33,400
Speaker 2: Daniel Jones under pressure forty four percent of dropbacks. Giants

1159
00:56:33,440 --> 00:56:35,840
Speaker 2: have a lot of league high eighty four pressures and

1160
00:56:35,840 --> 00:56:38,120
Speaker 2: they're going against that Washington defensive line. It's number two

1161
00:56:38,120 --> 00:56:40,960
Speaker 2: and adjusted Zachery. That might be the difference in the game.

1162
00:56:41,040 --> 00:56:42,520
Speaker 2: Love that teaser piece as well.

1163
00:56:42,520 --> 00:56:44,399
Speaker 3: All right, and so let's get right into our money

1164
00:56:44,400 --> 00:56:45,440
Speaker 3: line underdog.

1165
00:56:45,080 --> 00:56:53,239
Speaker 1: Parley turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

1166
00:56:53,400 --> 00:56:54,920
Speaker 1: the money line parlay.

1167
00:56:56,640 --> 00:57:00,160
Speaker 3: We almost hit last week a point short for those Vikings,

1168
00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:03,799
Speaker 3: but they you know, they still covered for you. But

1169
00:57:03,960 --> 00:57:05,920
Speaker 3: where are you going with your dog for this week?

1170
00:57:06,360 --> 00:57:09,520
Speaker 2: One? You say one point short one half of a yard,

1171
00:57:09,880 --> 00:57:13,480
Speaker 2: I think would have got that yard. Unbelievable. Yeah for mine,

1172
00:57:13,600 --> 00:57:15,360
Speaker 2: I already mentioned it. I think that I have this

1173
00:57:15,440 --> 00:57:18,160
Speaker 2: team favored, and they're at home in a great bi

1174
00:57:18,200 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 2: low spot, and I think they match up well on

1175
00:57:20,400 --> 00:57:23,320
Speaker 2: both sides of the ball. So give me the forty

1176
00:57:23,400 --> 00:57:26,160
Speaker 2: nine ers in a bounce back divisional spot here.

1177
00:57:26,880 --> 00:57:29,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I totally agree. I like the forty nine ers,

1178
00:57:29,880 --> 00:57:32,240
Speaker 3: you know, have them favored as well. So a little

1179
00:57:32,280 --> 00:57:35,040
Speaker 3: bit of an overreactional last week because ugly, as shocking

1180
00:57:35,080 --> 00:57:37,600
Speaker 3: as it may have been for them to drop one

1181
00:57:37,640 --> 00:57:39,920
Speaker 3: to the Dolphins, I think it's it's important not to

1182
00:57:40,000 --> 00:57:42,720
Speaker 3: overreact this early in a year. So I like them

1183
00:57:42,800 --> 00:57:45,680
Speaker 3: as well. I am going with the Chicago Bears, and

1184
00:57:45,840 --> 00:57:47,640
Speaker 3: you kind of mentioned it. Both the Bears and the

1185
00:57:47,680 --> 00:57:51,200
Speaker 3: Panthers a little lucky to be where they are record wise,

1186
00:57:51,240 --> 00:57:54,200
Speaker 3: with the Bears form one the Panthers three and two.

1187
00:57:55,120 --> 00:57:58,960
Speaker 3: But I think that the Panthers in this spot are

1188
00:57:59,000 --> 00:58:00,840
Speaker 3: going to struggle a little bit more. You know, they

1189
00:58:01,120 --> 00:58:03,760
Speaker 3: they've run it. They've they've run really hot in terms

1190
00:58:03,800 --> 00:58:07,800
Speaker 3: of playing against defenses that they can kind of get

1191
00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:09,880
Speaker 3: it done against. You know, they played the Raiders, they

1192
00:58:09,880 --> 00:58:14,800
Speaker 3: played the Falcons, they played the Yeah, the Chargers actually

1193
00:58:14,840 --> 00:58:16,600
Speaker 3: have a good defense and the Panthers, Yeah, the Panthers

1194
00:58:16,640 --> 00:58:18,720
Speaker 3: were lucky to win that game, and then you know,

1195
00:58:18,800 --> 00:58:22,160
Speaker 3: the Cardinals pretty shaky game. I think they had a

1196
00:58:22,160 --> 00:58:24,960
Speaker 3: bunch of their safeties out, So the Panthers have been

1197
00:58:25,120 --> 00:58:27,600
Speaker 3: getting kind of lucky. I think. I think they'll struggle

1198
00:58:27,600 --> 00:58:31,120
Speaker 3: against a team like Chicago who's number five in DVOA

1199
00:58:32,080 --> 00:58:36,200
Speaker 3: on defense. And you know, for you know, the Panthers

1200
00:58:36,200 --> 00:58:38,840
Speaker 3: still only put up twenty point twenty three points in

1201
00:58:38,840 --> 00:58:41,000
Speaker 3: that game against the Falcons. I think you would have

1202
00:58:41,080 --> 00:58:44,560
Speaker 3: wanted and expected a little bit more from them. The

1203
00:58:44,640 --> 00:58:48,800
Speaker 3: defense still twenty third in DVOA. So I don't expect

1204
00:58:48,960 --> 00:58:52,440
Speaker 3: the Bears to, you know, struggle as much as they

1205
00:58:52,440 --> 00:58:54,200
Speaker 3: have against some of these other teams that they played,

1206
00:58:54,240 --> 00:58:56,480
Speaker 3: you know, the Bucks, the Coats, who have been some

1207
00:58:56,520 --> 00:58:59,240
Speaker 3: of the better teams. And yeah, I make this a

1208
00:58:59,560 --> 00:59:02,800
Speaker 3: coin whip game, and you're getting points with the Bears,

1209
00:59:02,840 --> 00:59:06,160
Speaker 3: you're getting plus money with the Bears here. So as

1210
00:59:06,200 --> 00:59:08,280
Speaker 3: crazy as it sounds, I expect the Bears to be

1211
00:59:08,400 --> 00:59:11,479
Speaker 3: five and one by the time this weekend is over.

1212
00:59:11,840 --> 00:59:15,919
Speaker 3: Taking the Bears at plus one five here. So if

1213
00:59:15,920 --> 00:59:20,120
Speaker 3: you parway the Niners plus one thirty five and the

1214
00:59:20,160 --> 00:59:24,480
Speaker 3: Bears plus one oh five, you would win three hundred

1215
00:59:24,520 --> 00:59:28,680
Speaker 3: and eighty one dollars on a one hundred dollar bet

1216
00:59:28,720 --> 00:59:30,880
Speaker 3: for a total payout of four hundred and eighty one.

1217
00:59:31,360 --> 00:59:35,760
Speaker 3: So hopefully those guys hit for you this week. Now

1218
00:59:35,880 --> 00:59:37,520
Speaker 3: let's get into the best of the rest, which are

1219
00:59:37,520 --> 00:59:41,600
Speaker 3: the games that we did not discuss in any other segment.

1220
00:59:42,040 --> 00:59:46,360
Speaker 3: So let's start with those Dolphins. They are hosting the Jets.

1221
00:59:46,720 --> 00:59:50,000
Speaker 3: They are nine and a half point favorites. Seems like

1222
00:59:50,040 --> 00:59:52,800
Speaker 3: a lot for the Dolphins. Forty seven and a half

1223
00:59:53,280 --> 00:59:58,560
Speaker 3: is the total. But talked about Adam Gase and I

1224
00:59:58,640 --> 01:00:01,360
Speaker 3: have a trend set up in bet Labs where I

1225
01:00:01,400 --> 01:00:04,800
Speaker 3: get no work to fade Adam Gaze anytime he is

1226
01:00:04,840 --> 01:00:08,000
Speaker 3: a road dog of five and a half points or more.

1227
01:00:08,600 --> 01:00:13,880
Speaker 3: That system a cool sixteen and four eighty percent in

1228
01:00:13,960 --> 01:00:17,760
Speaker 3: Gase's career, including two and zero this year. On the

1229
01:00:17,800 --> 01:00:21,040
Speaker 3: other side, Brian Flores, he eats these teams alive that

1230
01:00:21,120 --> 01:00:24,920
Speaker 3: have bad offenses. Flora's versus offenses that average five and

1231
01:00:24,960 --> 01:00:27,720
Speaker 3: a half yards per play or below twelve and three

1232
01:00:27,760 --> 01:00:31,960
Speaker 3: against the spread in his career three and zero this season.

1233
01:00:32,440 --> 01:00:34,160
Speaker 3: Tell people how to lane the points with the Dolphins

1234
01:00:34,160 --> 01:00:35,040
Speaker 3: here and stuff.

1235
01:00:35,320 --> 01:00:38,400
Speaker 2: I make that I mean, it's Fitzpatrick, right, so maybe

1236
01:00:38,400 --> 01:00:40,400
Speaker 2: as a favorite he doesn't do as well as when

1237
01:00:40,400 --> 01:00:43,520
Speaker 2: he's underdog. You expect them to win and then so maybe.

1238
01:00:43,200 --> 01:00:48,000
Speaker 1: That fits Magic smagic snatchic.

1239
01:00:48,920 --> 01:00:50,680
Speaker 2: I make it around a touchdown, so I can't lay

1240
01:00:50,760 --> 01:00:52,520
Speaker 2: the ten. But don't bet the Jets. I'm saying it

1241
01:00:52,520 --> 01:00:55,920
Speaker 2: all year their own five against the spread, but you

1242
01:00:55,960 --> 01:00:58,880
Speaker 2: can try to buy them low. You're trying to catch

1243
01:00:58,920 --> 01:01:03,240
Speaker 2: an anvil that's fall the sky. A complete pass for me, past,

1244
01:01:03,320 --> 01:01:05,040
Speaker 2: past past, Don't bet the Jets.

1245
01:01:06,280 --> 01:01:09,520
Speaker 3: I mean. On that note, we didn't do our coaches

1246
01:01:09,560 --> 01:01:12,880
Speaker 3: pet talk for Thursday Night Football this week, so we're

1247
01:01:12,880 --> 01:01:16,920
Speaker 3: gonna do the segment here. This week's pep talk comes

1248
01:01:16,960 --> 01:01:21,680
Speaker 3: to us from the twenty fifteen film Pixels, and we're

1249
01:01:21,680 --> 01:01:24,640
Speaker 3: dedicating it to Adam Gase and New York Jets.

1250
01:01:25,680 --> 01:01:28,240
Speaker 6: Looks to me like someone forgot to send us the

1251
01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:32,040
Speaker 6: best of the best oops and instead dropped off a

1252
01:01:32,080 --> 01:01:38,360
Speaker 6: bunch of incontinent adult dighter wearing candy ass cries himself

1253
01:01:38,440 --> 01:01:43,040
Speaker 6: to sleep women, baby man, people, What am I looking

1254
01:01:43,080 --> 01:01:46,280
Speaker 6: at right now? Are you guys soldiers for the Castle?

1255
01:01:46,320 --> 01:01:49,280
Speaker 3: Magic Mike, You're gonna fight for.

1256
01:01:49,520 --> 01:01:55,040
Speaker 6: Dan Naked from now on you maggots, when you poop

1257
01:01:55,120 --> 01:01:57,600
Speaker 6: your pants, you're gonna be thinking.

1258
01:01:57,400 --> 01:02:01,160
Speaker 2: Of me, you know what I mean? Yeah, I mean, look,

1259
01:02:01,360 --> 01:02:04,000
Speaker 2: he's trying to facing his old team. He's zero and five.

1260
01:02:04,080 --> 01:02:06,840
Speaker 2: He's probably out the door. That's probably the best he

1261
01:02:06,880 --> 01:02:08,960
Speaker 2: could do in the locker room. I mean, what it's

1262
01:02:08,960 --> 01:02:13,200
Speaker 2: gonna be Flaco again, and what an absolute train wreck

1263
01:02:13,280 --> 01:02:16,120
Speaker 2: that team is. I want no part of them, but

1264
01:02:16,120 --> 01:02:18,280
Speaker 2: I would like I would love to hear what Gase

1265
01:02:18,680 --> 01:02:20,240
Speaker 2: is gonna say to them in the locker room, like

1266
01:02:20,480 --> 01:02:22,360
Speaker 2: to pump them up, because I'm sure he wants this

1267
01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:25,440
Speaker 2: game against his old team, but the talent's just not there.

1268
01:02:25,640 --> 01:02:28,080
Speaker 3: He's just got a he's got a poster with the

1269
01:02:28,120 --> 01:02:30,760
Speaker 3: next coach fire, with the first coach fired odds and

1270
01:02:30,880 --> 01:02:33,440
Speaker 3: during the year, and he's just got like Dan Quinn's

1271
01:02:33,520 --> 01:02:36,840
Speaker 3: name crossed off in blood and Joe O'Ryan's name crossed

1272
01:02:36,880 --> 01:02:41,560
Speaker 3: off like green green paint, Green Jets painter. This is like,

1273
01:02:41,840 --> 01:02:44,760
Speaker 3: it's like, yeah, I showed I showed them. That's about

1274
01:02:44,760 --> 01:02:48,040
Speaker 3: the only positive thing that's happened for Adam Case this year. Uh.

1275
01:02:48,040 --> 01:02:50,880
Speaker 3: And the other game that we didn't talk about. Uh,

1276
01:02:50,960 --> 01:02:54,080
Speaker 3: this one just does not seem like a very intriguing game.

1277
01:02:54,680 --> 01:02:58,280
Speaker 3: But the Cincinnati Bengals going on the road to face

1278
01:02:58,440 --> 01:03:03,160
Speaker 3: the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts are seven and a half

1279
01:03:03,160 --> 01:03:06,960
Speaker 3: point favorites at bet MGM, the official odds provider of

1280
01:03:07,000 --> 01:03:09,840
Speaker 3: the Action Network podcast, The totals forty six and a half.

1281
01:03:10,000 --> 01:03:13,160
Speaker 3: I like the under anything on this one stuff.

1282
01:03:14,280 --> 01:03:16,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I kind of leaned the under since he's been

1283
01:03:16,080 --> 01:03:20,360
Speaker 2: playing a little faster than they were early in the season. Yeah,

1284
01:03:20,400 --> 01:03:23,800
Speaker 2: they can't score, and it's and River. The Cults are

1285
01:03:23,800 --> 01:03:25,960
Speaker 2: going to be a snail with Rivers. He takes forever

1286
01:03:26,120 --> 01:03:27,720
Speaker 2: and if they get a lead, they're just going to

1287
01:03:27,880 --> 01:03:29,800
Speaker 2: run it. And I'm sure there's gonna be a heavy

1288
01:03:29,840 --> 01:03:33,680
Speaker 2: run script here after the mistakes last week. And the

1289
01:03:33,720 --> 01:03:35,760
Speaker 2: Colts keep an eye on injury to Darius Leonard is

1290
01:03:35,800 --> 01:03:39,200
Speaker 2: an important injury. But the Colts look Joe Burrow this

1291
01:03:39,320 --> 01:03:42,040
Speaker 2: he's one of twenty four for twenty three yards on

1292
01:03:42,120 --> 01:03:44,080
Speaker 2: passes twenty yards or more, one of.

1293
01:03:44,120 --> 01:03:46,120
Speaker 3: Twenty four for I thought you were going to say

1294
01:03:46,120 --> 01:03:48,360
Speaker 3: to win targeting AJ Green probably the same.

1295
01:03:48,840 --> 01:03:51,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean AJ Green is not even running routes anymore,

1296
01:03:52,840 --> 01:03:55,920
Speaker 2: and the Cults are They're defense. They can get pressure,

1297
01:03:56,040 --> 01:04:00,440
Speaker 2: and that's been a really big issue for the Bengals

1298
01:04:00,480 --> 01:04:02,880
Speaker 2: and the culture number one in the NFL against short passes,

1299
01:04:02,920 --> 01:04:07,200
Speaker 2: and that's all this Bengals team is. Uh, So, do

1300
01:04:07,280 --> 01:04:09,000
Speaker 2: I want to lay eight with Philip Rivers.

1301
01:04:09,040 --> 01:04:09,080
Speaker 3: No.

1302
01:04:09,560 --> 01:04:12,920
Speaker 2: I tease the Bengals to two, which I feel comfortable with,

1303
01:04:12,960 --> 01:04:14,080
Speaker 2: And I don't hate you're under.

1304
01:04:15,200 --> 01:04:17,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, man, Philip Rivers. And this this kind of goes

1305
01:04:17,320 --> 01:04:20,000
Speaker 3: back to even when he's with the Chargers but at home.

1306
01:04:20,320 --> 01:04:23,120
Speaker 3: Uh thisyea, this season two and O is the under.

1307
01:04:23,600 --> 01:04:27,920
Speaker 3: But just going back to twenty ten, forty nine towards

1308
01:04:27,960 --> 01:04:29,880
Speaker 3: the under, and I think it is kind of because

1309
01:04:29,920 --> 01:04:32,200
Speaker 3: of the way he plays, where when you're at home,

1310
01:04:32,240 --> 01:04:34,080
Speaker 3: you generally have a little more of an edge, you

1311
01:04:34,120 --> 01:04:36,760
Speaker 3: can play a little run heavier. Uh. I wouldn't hate

1312
01:04:36,760 --> 01:04:40,440
Speaker 3: the Philip Rivers underpassing yards prop because, uh, if things

1313
01:04:40,480 --> 01:04:42,160
Speaker 3: do get a little bit out of hand, you could

1314
01:04:42,160 --> 01:04:44,200
Speaker 3: see some Dakobe Bresett in this game. I would not

1315
01:04:44,280 --> 01:04:47,400
Speaker 3: be surprised if Rivers make some mistakes, if we saw

1316
01:04:47,440 --> 01:04:49,840
Speaker 3: some Preset. So, uh yeah, that's where I am with

1317
01:04:49,880 --> 01:04:53,480
Speaker 3: that one. Let's get into our survivor pool.

1318
01:04:53,560 --> 01:04:59,160
Speaker 1: Pick one peck, one chance, to advance.

1319
01:05:00,960 --> 01:05:08,160
Speaker 3: Survivor all right, stuck Incredibly, we both both got knocked

1320
01:05:08,160 --> 01:05:11,960
Speaker 3: out last week with two different teams. Much less that

1321
01:05:12,000 --> 01:05:15,280
Speaker 3: stops the streak for me of twenty straight no, twenty

1322
01:05:15,280 --> 01:05:18,400
Speaker 3: one straight weeks I think with the you know, undefeated

1323
01:05:18,480 --> 01:05:22,720
Speaker 3: last year. So the chiefs of all teams knocked me out.

1324
01:05:22,880 --> 01:05:24,320
Speaker 2: The chief stalked me all last year.

1325
01:05:25,800 --> 01:05:28,760
Speaker 3: And then yeah, the Niners, of course, we talked about that.

1326
01:05:29,800 --> 01:05:34,120
Speaker 3: Just no showed against the Miami Dolphins. So sorry to

1327
01:05:34,120 --> 01:05:36,040
Speaker 3: everyone out there. If you followed either of our picks,

1328
01:05:36,080 --> 01:05:39,520
Speaker 3: you were over two. So that's where that is. We're

1329
01:05:39,520 --> 01:05:42,440
Speaker 3: gonna pick it up again. Though, for anyone that happens

1330
01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:44,840
Speaker 3: to still be alive that didn't use the Chiefs of

1331
01:05:44,480 --> 01:05:48,360
Speaker 3: the Niners last week, where would you go this week?

1332
01:05:48,600 --> 01:05:51,360
Speaker 3: We will still count the teams we already used. So

1333
01:05:52,000 --> 01:05:55,400
Speaker 3: I used the Steelers, the Titans, the Colts, the Rams,

1334
01:05:55,400 --> 01:05:59,120
Speaker 3: and the Chiefs used the Bills, Browns, Colts, Rams, Niners.

1335
01:06:00,560 --> 01:06:03,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm devastated that game was, I mean close to Niners.

1336
01:06:03,640 --> 01:06:05,640
Speaker 2: I didn't use the Chiefs all the contests that I'm

1337
01:06:05,640 --> 01:06:10,080
Speaker 2: in out in Vegas and elsewhere going down, It would

1338
01:06:10,120 --> 01:06:12,120
Speaker 2: have been such a good spot after the Chiefs lost,

1339
01:06:12,360 --> 01:06:15,560
Speaker 2: but it is what it is. And oh, by the way,

1340
01:06:15,680 --> 01:06:17,920
Speaker 2: look the Chiefs, this is this is kind of a

1341
01:06:18,680 --> 01:06:21,000
Speaker 2: notice to my to my Ravens. Look, they should have

1342
01:06:21,080 --> 01:06:24,480
Speaker 2: lost to the Chargers. They lost to the Raiders last year,

1343
01:06:24,560 --> 01:06:26,960
Speaker 2: the survivor, they lost the Colts. These teams that and

1344
01:06:26,960 --> 01:06:29,840
Speaker 2: the Colts never blitz. Don't these teams that don't blitz,

1345
01:06:29,880 --> 01:06:32,000
Speaker 2: sit back. It's the only shot you have against the Chiefs.

1346
01:06:32,880 --> 01:06:34,600
Speaker 2: Just trying to get that out in the atmosphere. And

1347
01:06:35,160 --> 01:06:37,760
Speaker 2: the Ravens played the Chiefs in the playoffs again, but

1348
01:06:38,080 --> 01:06:39,920
Speaker 2: this week, Yeah, I gotta go with the Dolphins. What

1349
01:06:40,000 --> 01:06:41,680
Speaker 2: else are you really gonna trust them? And they're playing

1350
01:06:41,680 --> 01:06:43,040
Speaker 2: the Jets so Miami.

1351
01:06:43,480 --> 01:06:46,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, same here, and was I could This is probably

1352
01:06:47,000 --> 01:06:49,480
Speaker 3: a pick I wouldn't normally make with the Jets are

1353
01:06:49,520 --> 01:06:54,200
Speaker 3: just running so bad and I feel like kind of

1354
01:06:54,200 --> 01:06:56,440
Speaker 3: playing with house many years since we already got eliminated.

1355
01:06:56,520 --> 01:06:59,040
Speaker 3: So I don't see a reason not to use the Dolphins.

1356
01:06:59,080 --> 01:07:00,800
Speaker 3: You're probably not gonna I want to use them again,

1357
01:07:00,880 --> 01:07:02,560
Speaker 3: even if they turn out to be a lot better

1358
01:07:03,200 --> 01:07:05,280
Speaker 3: than we thought entering the year. So yeah, Dolphins for

1359
01:07:05,400 --> 01:07:08,400
Speaker 3: me as well, that is going to do it. For

1360
01:07:08,480 --> 01:07:12,160
Speaker 3: the Week six Action Network NFL podcast. Hope you enjoyed it.

1361
01:07:12,600 --> 01:07:15,760
Speaker 3: Of course again, be sure to check out Stucky and

1362
01:07:15,840 --> 01:07:19,480
Speaker 3: Colin Wilson on the Weekend Recap episode this Monday, will

1363
01:07:19,800 --> 01:07:23,680
Speaker 3: They will preview both Monday Night football games. We have

1364
01:07:23,920 --> 01:07:28,080
Speaker 3: the Cards and the Cowboys, and we also have the

1365
01:07:28,160 --> 01:07:31,320
Speaker 3: Chiefs and the Buffalo Bill so two all the more

1366
01:07:31,320 --> 01:07:33,760
Speaker 3: interesting games of the week on Monday Night. Of course,

1367
01:07:33,800 --> 01:07:36,840
Speaker 3: we have the Fancy Flex Pod out every Wednesday and

1368
01:07:36,960 --> 01:07:40,440
Speaker 3: Colin and Stuck with the College Football Pod every Friday,

1369
01:07:40,480 --> 01:07:42,960
Speaker 3: so be sure to check out all of the podcasts

1370
01:07:42,960 --> 01:07:45,600
Speaker 3: on this channel. You can find Stucky on the Action

1371
01:07:45,680 --> 01:07:47,960
Speaker 3: Network app and on Twitter at Stucky Too. And you

1372
01:07:48,000 --> 01:07:50,840
Speaker 3: can find me on the app and on Twitter at

1373
01:07:50,960 --> 01:07:54,320
Speaker 3: Chris Raybond. Good luck in week six. We'll be back

1374
01:07:54,360 --> 01:07:56,840
Speaker 3: next week. Until then, let's get this money

1375
01:07:58,000 --> 01:08:16,040
Speaker 2: Cos we're finished talking