WEBVTT - American Beacon’s Cavazos on Durable Managers

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Inside Active, a podcast about active managers that

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<v Speaker 1>goes beyond sound bites and headlines and looks deeper into

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<v Speaker 1>their processes, challenges, and philosophies and security selection. I'm David Cohne,

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<v Speaker 1>I lead mutual fund and active Research at Bloomberg Intelligence.

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<v Speaker 1>Manager selection has become significantly more complex over the past decade.

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<v Speaker 1>Investors today have access to more strategies, more data, and

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<v Speaker 1>more managers than ever before. But without abundance comes a

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<v Speaker 1>different challenge. Distinguishing between performance driven by skill, process and

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<v Speaker 1>durability versus outcome shape by market environments factor exposure are

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<v Speaker 1>simply good timing today, I wanted to explore what separates

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<v Speaker 1>truly durable investment managers from those that may only look

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<v Speaker 1>compelling for a moment in time, and how experience allocators

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<v Speaker 1>approach that challenge. Joining me to discuss that is paulk

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<v Speaker 1>Senior Vice president and Chief Investment Officer of American Beacon Advisors. Paul,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you for joining me.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, great to be here, David, thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's start at the beginning. When you're you know,

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<v Speaker 1>when you begin researching a new manager, what are the

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<v Speaker 1>you know, first three things you look at before even

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<v Speaker 1>considering performance.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well hey, maybe just just quickly before getting into

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<v Speaker 2>kind of a response there might it may be helpful

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<v Speaker 2>to frame how American Beacon approaches manager selection as a firm. Sure,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, we were built around an open architecture model

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<v Speaker 2>with really like a long term partnership mindset. So what

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<v Speaker 2>our what our CEO Greg Greg Stumm would say was,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, we don't we don't date, we get married.

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<v Speaker 2>And so from the beginning we focus on, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>finding differentiated external managers that are that are very active,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, doing the work to understand whether their edge

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<v Speaker 2>is is real and durable like a consistent performer, and

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<v Speaker 2>then building you know, lasting relationships around you know, the

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<v Speaker 2>strongest opportunities for investors. So that's kind of philosophy. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>rigorous selection, you know, thoughtful product structuring and and really

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<v Speaker 2>a long term view are the backdrop for how we

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<v Speaker 2>think about, you know, evaluating managers today. But yeah, and

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<v Speaker 2>you know, look, so as you said, like performance, performance

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<v Speaker 2>is important, but the first things we really look at

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<v Speaker 2>our philosophy process and people you know behind it, and

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<v Speaker 2>and you know, we want to make sure you know,

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<v Speaker 2>the team has the experienced resources you know, discipline necessary

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<v Speaker 2>to execute on their on their process consistently. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>we also look at things like capacity, portfolio construction, whether

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<v Speaker 2>it's a good fit and role to play for the

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<v Speaker 2>broader product structure. And in our platform, certainly performance matters,

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<v Speaker 2>but we think it it really comes down to the

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<v Speaker 2>first things. We look at our philosophy process and the team.

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<v Speaker 1>How much of managed selection is quantitative versus qualitative today?

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<v Speaker 1>And you think it's kind of shifted it all over

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<v Speaker 1>the last decade.

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<v Speaker 2>So look, I think I think there's great managers, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>in in in both camps. I do think with with

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<v Speaker 2>AI lately, David, right, You're you're seeing more more data

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<v Speaker 2>and more kind of quant information. Quantitative is taken into

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<v Speaker 2>really like the front end of aspects of investing, and

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<v Speaker 2>you know some some call it kind of I kind

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<v Speaker 2>of don't like this term, but you know, quantumnal, so

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<v Speaker 2>you have quantitative combined with with fundamental. I think how

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<v Speaker 2>we look at it, maybe peeling that back a little bit,

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<v Speaker 2>is we really see you know, quantitative and qualitative outputs

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<v Speaker 2>as compliment mentory rather than competing. So we do think,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, quantitative work when we're looking at assessing kind

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<v Speaker 2>of a manager and underwriting them. We certainly look at

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<v Speaker 2>quantitative factors like performance, risk, you know, attribution, consistency, whether

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<v Speaker 2>you know results line up with the manager's stated approach.

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<v Speaker 2>And from a qualitative side, it's just as important because

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<v Speaker 2>you know, numbers, you know, can't tell you how decisions

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<v Speaker 2>are actually being made. So how does the team function?

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<v Speaker 2>Does the process hold up into certain environments you know,

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<v Speaker 2>why or why not? So we we do think, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>there's a there's a combination of both quantitative and qualitative

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<v Speaker 2>too to really factor in when when looking at a

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<v Speaker 2>manager holistically.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, you had touched upon a little bit,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, focusing on the process over the outcome first,

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<v Speaker 1>that's what you're looking at, you know, in practice, how

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<v Speaker 1>do you distinguish between you know, a repeatable process and

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<v Speaker 1>someone who just might have had a great cycle.

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<v Speaker 2>Sure, I think I think it really does come down

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<v Speaker 2>to whether you know there's that consistency there in the

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<v Speaker 2>outcome that you can trace back to kind of clear

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<v Speaker 2>discipline process, discipline process, does it follow their philosophy or

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<v Speaker 2>was it really helped by just some you know, macro

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<v Speaker 2>environment backdrop, right that happened to be favorable so we

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<v Speaker 2>do really try to look for evidence that the manager

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<v Speaker 2>can explain what drove results, you know, how those decisions

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<v Speaker 2>connect to their stated philosophy and process. And you know,

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<v Speaker 2>I would say though that we are also looking at

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<v Speaker 2>kind of factor analysis, right, so we use fact set

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<v Speaker 2>to kind of look at it. So before we even

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<v Speaker 2>go in and talk to them, we're kind of seeing, hey,

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<v Speaker 2>what were those factors, like, how is their portfolio construction constructed,

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<v Speaker 2>and what kind of benefit that that had. So we

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<v Speaker 2>go in there with kind of you know, that lens

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<v Speaker 2>to begin with, so then we can have more pointed

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<v Speaker 2>questions and kind of really see how they how they

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<v Speaker 2>respond to that.

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<v Speaker 1>So is that how you can kind of tell, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>whether the performance came from skill or just being positioned correctly.

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<v Speaker 2>We think that's we think that is really helpful. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>so we we do try to separate it. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>sometimes it's hard depending on the depending on the environment.

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<v Speaker 2>But you know, a strong market, a style tailwind, broad

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<v Speaker 2>factor exposure can can make a lot of managers look

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<v Speaker 2>good for a period of time. So so we do

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<v Speaker 2>spend you know a lot of time on that attribution again, construction,

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<v Speaker 2>consistency of the decision making you know, of course we

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<v Speaker 2>want to see that those excess returns are in fact

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<v Speaker 2>coming from kind of bottom up stock selection. If that's

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<v Speaker 2>what they claim to be their edge, right, if that's

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<v Speaker 2>supposed to be three quarters of their performance over rolling

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<v Speaker 2>market cycles, then we certainly want to make sure we're

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<v Speaker 2>we're seeing that because, as you know, then if if

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<v Speaker 2>stock selection is bad, you know, that's gonna that's gonna

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<v Speaker 2>hurt them then and in those cases where they're not

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<v Speaker 2>making good picks or or the market moves against them.

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<v Speaker 2>But yes, that repeatable, That repeatability and that consistency you know,

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<v Speaker 2>is really something that that we key in with with

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<v Speaker 2>every one of our our partner sub advisors.

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<v Speaker 1>So how I guess how long of a timeframe? Because

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things I think of is, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>some managers might have an edge, but you know, could

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<v Speaker 1>it be arbitraged away you know, when other folks are

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<v Speaker 1>kind of following that. You know, how do you kind

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<v Speaker 1>of evaluate that?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so we do tend to look at you know,

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<v Speaker 2>kind of rolling three in in five year periods. But

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<v Speaker 2>we think, you know, the durability of a manager is

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<v Speaker 2>really rooted in something structural or hard hard to replicate.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, so what are they doing differently than others

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<v Speaker 2>that can help them be you know, consistent over time.

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<v Speaker 2>It could be, you know, it could be a differentiated

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<v Speaker 2>research process. It could be you know, hey, they're just

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<v Speaker 2>really deep in expertise in the in the areas that

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<v Speaker 2>they play in. They might have a strong network that

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<v Speaker 2>that helps them get some insight. You know. The team

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<v Speaker 2>culture is also something we we look at, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>and do they have scale and flexibility? So if if

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<v Speaker 2>the edge does depend on something that can be easily

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<v Speaker 2>you know, copied or screened for, you know, we we

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<v Speaker 2>want to understand that and take that, take that seriously.

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<v Speaker 2>But you know, if it comes down to like their

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<v Speaker 2>overall judgment experience and a process that that's been refined

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<v Speaker 2>over time, you know that that tends to be more durable.

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<v Speaker 2>Doesn't mean that it's you know, week in or week

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<v Speaker 2>out or month in or month out that they're going

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<v Speaker 2>to outperform. But that's what we try to review and

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<v Speaker 2>and look we're we're reviewing these things on a on

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<v Speaker 2>a quarterly basis with all of our underlying managers. So yes,

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<v Speaker 2>we do a lot of due diligence on the front

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<v Speaker 2>end to onboard you know, a subadvisor partner. But it

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<v Speaker 2>it really comes down to that ongoing relationship and that

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<v Speaker 2>ongoing re underwriting of the managers that we think differentiates

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<v Speaker 2>what we do and helps us have a better understanding

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<v Speaker 2>and our view of how that manager should react in

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<v Speaker 2>certain market environments or not.

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<v Speaker 1>So when you're meeting with managers, you know, what are

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<v Speaker 1>the types of questions you ask them or you think

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<v Speaker 1>that you know, they tend to reveal most about how

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<v Speaker 1>they really think.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, look, you know, the best questions are usually the

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<v Speaker 2>ones that force the manager to move beyond you know,

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<v Speaker 2>their their polished narrative and explain what actually how they

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<v Speaker 2>actually make decisions. And we've all been part of those

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<v Speaker 2>meetings where you get some kind of slick, very smart

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<v Speaker 2>and also very talented at presenting and you're kind of like, wow,

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<v Speaker 2>that's that's fantastic, But you really have to look, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>beneath that that veneer. I think one of the best

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<v Speaker 2>things is like, hey, talk to us about your highest

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<v Speaker 2>conviction ideas, what mistakes have you made, what are they

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<v Speaker 2>debating like internally right now, and what would cause them

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<v Speaker 2>to change their mind in a position. So you learn

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<v Speaker 2>a lot when you're when you walk through a decision

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<v Speaker 2>from beginning to end and what they saw, what they waited,

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<v Speaker 2>what risk were considered. You know, did they ever think

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<v Speaker 2>about doing something and they didn't, why not? And I

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<v Speaker 2>think that's where you get a lot of good information

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<v Speaker 2>from that. I also think being able to talk to

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<v Speaker 2>different team members, not just kind of the polished you

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<v Speaker 2>know client PM or or you know, the real good

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<v Speaker 2>marketer and sometimes even the lead pms are are very

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<v Speaker 2>good at sometimes they're just they're really smart, but not

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<v Speaker 2>the best at giving the message. But some are very good.

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<v Speaker 2>And then you have the polished marketing person. We like

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<v Speaker 2>to talk to the lieutenant, the junior PM, the analyst,

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<v Speaker 2>And what we really like to do, David, is if

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<v Speaker 2>we can let's get some of those you know, more

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<v Speaker 2>junior folks like an analyst or senior analyst alone and

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<v Speaker 2>talk to them. So to us, that can be extremely

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<v Speaker 2>beneficial because as you might be surprised what they share

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<v Speaker 2>or sometimes when you're like the executive on the thing

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<v Speaker 2>and you say, well, here's how we do it, and

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<v Speaker 2>then you talk to the people that are kind of

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<v Speaker 2>really doing the analysis and a lot of the quantitative

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<v Speaker 2>stuff on the front end and everything you can learn,

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<v Speaker 2>you can learn some interesting things.

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<v Speaker 1>So if we talk about what you're looking for it,

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<v Speaker 1>do you think is any part of the process that's overrated?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, is it just kind of people focusing on

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<v Speaker 1>performance alone or.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Look, I would say I'll go back to one

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<v Speaker 2>of the things I just mentioned, Like, I think some people,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, it's overrated if you're just doing due diligence

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<v Speaker 2>and you're just talking to those polished people and the

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<v Speaker 2>polish presentation. So and I also think the other aspect

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<v Speaker 2>of that is short term performance. I think, Look, we're

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<v Speaker 2>all human, and I do think like retail folks in general,

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<v Speaker 2>I know you know this, David, but like they'll tend

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<v Speaker 2>to chase performance, right, and that's probably not what you

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<v Speaker 2>want to do. I think. I think both of those

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<v Speaker 2>things can be useful, but neither tells us enough on

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<v Speaker 2>their own. And so, you know, kind of a great

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<v Speaker 2>presentation to make a process sound more differentiated than it

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<v Speaker 2>really is, or a recent short term track record might

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<v Speaker 2>not reflect, you know, kind of the true skill. So

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<v Speaker 2>in our experience, it's it's it's better to look kind

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<v Speaker 2>of under that surface. Again, rolling three and five year periods,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, in and through and out of market cycles

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<v Speaker 2>is what we want to see. And we also want

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<v Speaker 2>to see obviously risk adjusted performance, not just top line performance,

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<v Speaker 2>like how much risk are they taking to get that?

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<v Speaker 2>And yeah, I think I think that's really you know,

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<v Speaker 2>and tell us those three to five year periods are

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<v Speaker 2>really what folks should be looking at. And you could

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<v Speaker 2>you could say, hey, a market cycle, now, Paul has

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<v Speaker 2>been a lot longer, you know, with kind of financial

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<v Speaker 2>and monetary policies and everything like that. But in general,

0:12:57.240 --> 0:12:59.080
<v Speaker 2>if you get beyond three and five, people are going

0:12:59.160 --> 0:13:01.440
<v Speaker 2>to say, well, why would I look at ten? So

0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:03.120
<v Speaker 2>that's why we tend to focus in on three and

0:13:03.160 --> 0:13:05.400
<v Speaker 2>five and we do think that can give you Again,

0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:08.600
<v Speaker 2>rolling cycles of three and five can be we think

0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:09.640
<v Speaker 2>can be very meaningful.

0:13:10.520 --> 0:13:13.480
<v Speaker 1>What about red flags? I mean, you know, you mentioned risk.

0:13:13.600 --> 0:13:15.679
<v Speaker 1>Are there other kind of red flags that would kind

0:13:15.679 --> 0:13:18.520
<v Speaker 1>of immediately move a manager that's you know, probably not

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:19.600
<v Speaker 1>the best fit for you.

0:13:21.280 --> 0:13:24.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think there's a number of them. I think it.

0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:27.720
<v Speaker 2>You know, for us, the biggest ones come back to inconsistency,

0:13:28.559 --> 0:13:33.040
<v Speaker 2>you know, lack of transparency or communication or a process

0:13:33.080 --> 0:13:36.480
<v Speaker 2>that just doesn't match up with the outcomes. That we

0:13:36.520 --> 0:13:39.319
<v Speaker 2>would think you would get from that market. So we

0:13:39.400 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 2>had as an example, a value manager. Now we do

0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:45.440
<v Speaker 2>kind of like different flavors of value within our multi

0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:48.720
<v Speaker 2>managed value products, and so we have kind of a deep,

0:13:48.880 --> 0:13:52.280
<v Speaker 2>a core, and a relative and that relative value manager,

0:13:52.800 --> 0:13:56.000
<v Speaker 2>David was becoming a lot more growth leaning, and this

0:13:56.120 --> 0:13:58.280
<v Speaker 2>was at a time when it was beneficial from a

0:13:58.280 --> 0:14:01.560
<v Speaker 2>performance standpoint, and so I think when you when you

0:14:01.600 --> 0:14:04.080
<v Speaker 2>see that, you know, there's there's a lot of questions

0:14:04.080 --> 0:14:05.840
<v Speaker 2>we had, and we did move on from that manager

0:14:05.840 --> 0:14:08.719
<v Speaker 2>even though they were they did lights out, but they

0:14:08.760 --> 0:14:12.280
<v Speaker 2>weren't sticking to the discipline in the space that we

0:14:12.360 --> 0:14:15.160
<v Speaker 2>needed them to be in. And so it was the

0:14:15.200 --> 0:14:18.920
<v Speaker 2>right decision for us because when we offer something to

0:14:18.920 --> 0:14:22.240
<v Speaker 2>to a client, to an investor, we wanted to stay true. Right.

0:14:22.760 --> 0:14:25.160
<v Speaker 2>So I guess if they if they can't clearly explain

0:14:25.280 --> 0:14:28.680
<v Speaker 2>how decisions are made, if the team appears unstable, if

0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:32.880
<v Speaker 2>risk controls are our secondary, and if the story you know,

0:14:33.440 --> 0:14:36.360
<v Speaker 2>continues to change on how they're doing things, that's you know,

0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:38.080
<v Speaker 2>obviously that's a problem that's going those are going to

0:14:38.120 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 2>be red flags.

0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:41.440
<v Speaker 1>So I could have a follow up to that, you know,

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:43.640
<v Speaker 1>just talking about actually value kind of brought up a

0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:45.280
<v Speaker 1>good point. And you know, there were a lot of

0:14:45.360 --> 0:14:47.760
<v Speaker 1>I think value managers that were picking up I guess

0:14:47.800 --> 0:14:52.120
<v Speaker 1>discounted tech stocks after you know, the bear market, and

0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:55.520
<v Speaker 1>then you know, if they're holding it too long once

0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:57.880
<v Speaker 1>they become growth stocks. Is that kind of something you'd

0:14:57.880 --> 0:14:58.880
<v Speaker 1>be looking at?

0:14:59.560 --> 0:15:04.320
<v Speaker 2>We would, we would, And you know, look, you know

0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:07.320
<v Speaker 2>how these these indices are are created, and you guys

0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:10.520
<v Speaker 2>have some good ones, but maybe some other firms don't have.

0:15:10.600 --> 0:15:13.640
<v Speaker 2>You know, it's kind of like how it's divided up.

0:15:13.840 --> 0:15:19.840
<v Speaker 2>You have really big, large megacap kind of growth names

0:15:19.840 --> 0:15:23.640
<v Speaker 2>that are in the large cap value index. So it

0:15:23.680 --> 0:15:27.040
<v Speaker 2>does become hard. So look if our if our deep

0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:29.560
<v Speaker 2>value guys are looking at that in that same kind

0:15:29.600 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 2>of multi managed portfolio structure that I alluded to earlier,

0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:35.880
<v Speaker 2>that that could be a problem. It's that if it's

0:15:35.880 --> 0:15:38.280
<v Speaker 2>the relative value manager and then they are trimming it

0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:40.760
<v Speaker 2>when it once it does get you know that that

0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:44.760
<v Speaker 2>maybe makes some sense. But certainly, like in the large

0:15:44.760 --> 0:15:47.600
<v Speaker 2>cap space right, it's been it's been tough to be

0:15:48.360 --> 0:15:51.360
<v Speaker 2>an active manager with with the whole AI, you know,

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:54.400
<v Speaker 2>and the mag seven and all that going on, and

0:15:54.440 --> 0:15:57.400
<v Speaker 2>I suspect that's still going to be somewhat of a

0:15:57.880 --> 0:16:03.280
<v Speaker 2>of a talking point right here here going for but yeah,

0:16:03.320 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 2>you do, you do see that.

0:16:05.640 --> 0:16:07.320
<v Speaker 1>So that kind of brings up to another question of

0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:09.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, we kind of talk about when you're kind

0:16:09.400 --> 0:16:12.640
<v Speaker 1>of your meeting managers and kind of doing your due diligence,

0:16:12.720 --> 0:16:15.720
<v Speaker 1>what does the ongoing due diligence look like an American beacon,

0:16:15.840 --> 0:16:18.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, while you're kind of continuing to monitor them.

0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:21.880
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so as I, as I mentioned a little bit

0:16:21.920 --> 0:16:24.400
<v Speaker 2>earlier that you know, we do think this is a

0:16:24.400 --> 0:16:26.960
<v Speaker 2>differentiator for us and for our firm, We don't. We

0:16:27.000 --> 0:16:30.000
<v Speaker 2>don't believe a lot of other folks are kind of

0:16:30.520 --> 0:16:33.880
<v Speaker 2>re underwriting you know, their subadvisor partners on a on

0:16:33.920 --> 0:16:37.880
<v Speaker 2>a quarterly basis. So we do that quarter in and

0:16:37.960 --> 0:16:41.160
<v Speaker 2>quarter out, and it does take a lot of time. Again,

0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:44.280
<v Speaker 2>doesn't mean we're going to be perfect in finding you know,

0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:49.080
<v Speaker 2>pivots or issues, but I think it provides definitely a

0:16:49.080 --> 0:16:51.720
<v Speaker 2>better lens. So we're just not peripherally looking at, oh,

0:16:51.800 --> 0:16:55.560
<v Speaker 2>this was their performance, you know, for the period, we're

0:16:55.560 --> 0:16:59.040
<v Speaker 2>really looking at again that people process. You know, is

0:16:59.040 --> 0:17:02.200
<v Speaker 2>there any changes to the FLAWPIA is the culture still

0:17:02.760 --> 0:17:04.880
<v Speaker 2>you know, intact from what we can see, and again

0:17:04.920 --> 0:17:08.280
<v Speaker 2>that that helps in talking to different levels of folks

0:17:08.320 --> 0:17:13.280
<v Speaker 2>on the team. You know, are there organizational changes outside

0:17:13.280 --> 0:17:15.840
<v Speaker 2>of the investment team that we should be concerned about?

0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:19.920
<v Speaker 2>What about from an operational perspective, So we we try

0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:25.760
<v Speaker 2>to be as fully encompassing as we can. And again

0:17:25.840 --> 0:17:28.640
<v Speaker 2>we we think that, you know, it's very helpful then,

0:17:28.680 --> 0:17:31.720
<v Speaker 2>like even capacity, So we look at capacity all the time,

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:34.520
<v Speaker 2>particularly in those areas that you would expect that are

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:38.560
<v Speaker 2>more capacity constrained. But we're constantly talking to them about

0:17:38.600 --> 0:17:41.280
<v Speaker 2>even those aspects to say, hey, if we can sell

0:17:41.760 --> 0:17:44.000
<v Speaker 2>a half a billion dollar more in a small are

0:17:44.000 --> 0:17:46.199
<v Speaker 2>we okay, Like is that good? Is this amount that

0:17:46.240 --> 0:17:48.800
<v Speaker 2>you gave us before still accurate? Or can we get

0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 2>more at that same price point? So all of those

0:17:51.840 --> 0:17:55.240
<v Speaker 2>things are coming up, and you know, we do think

0:17:55.280 --> 0:17:58.679
<v Speaker 2>it's it's been helpful for us to identify some some

0:17:58.840 --> 0:18:00.200
<v Speaker 2>problems in.

0:18:00.160 --> 0:18:03.320
<v Speaker 1>The past, so you know, what would actually cause you

0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:05.800
<v Speaker 1>to lose conviction and a manager?

0:18:07.640 --> 0:18:12.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so yeah, we I think when something changes and

0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:15.920
<v Speaker 2>we can no longer kind of explain that the strategy

0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:18.840
<v Speaker 2>with the same clarity we we once could, so that

0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:22.760
<v Speaker 2>might be a shift in in people, a drift in process,

0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:28.160
<v Speaker 2>unexpected risk taking, inconsistency between you know, what is said

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:32.120
<v Speaker 2>and what is done, or results that no longer line

0:18:32.200 --> 0:18:33.880
<v Speaker 2>up with the state of philosophy. Like you know, hey,

0:18:34.160 --> 0:18:36.800
<v Speaker 2>you're a relative value manager and all of a sudden

0:18:36.800 --> 0:18:40.120
<v Speaker 2>they're kind of like a heavy growth manager. So from

0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:45.520
<v Speaker 2>a style perspective, under performance by itself, I guess i'd

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:49.080
<v Speaker 2>say is not usually enough, because good managers will go

0:18:49.119 --> 0:18:52.719
<v Speaker 2>through difficult periods. But the bigger issue is when the

0:18:52.760 --> 0:18:55.800
<v Speaker 2>reasons we believed in the manager to begin you know

0:18:56.000 --> 0:18:59.440
<v Speaker 2>with to begin with, start to eroad and we no

0:18:59.480 --> 0:19:02.679
<v Speaker 2>longer fell you know, the process is as coherent or

0:19:02.680 --> 0:19:05.880
<v Speaker 2>repeatable or trustworthy as it needs to be. Is when

0:19:05.960 --> 0:19:06.879
<v Speaker 2>when we lose conviction.

0:19:08.000 --> 0:19:11.160
<v Speaker 1>So, I mean, you know, my focus is active, and

0:19:11.320 --> 0:19:13.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, well, I think you know the general thing

0:19:13.280 --> 0:19:15.480
<v Speaker 1>is when people think of active is they tend to

0:19:15.520 --> 0:19:18.320
<v Speaker 1>do or they tend to really show their merit during

0:19:18.480 --> 0:19:21.400
<v Speaker 1>down periods. And so, yeah, what do you think separates

0:19:21.440 --> 0:19:25.760
<v Speaker 1>managers who do do well or survive difficult periods? You know,

0:19:25.800 --> 0:19:27.920
<v Speaker 1>what separates them from the ones that kind of unravel

0:19:27.920 --> 0:19:30.080
<v Speaker 1>when the market turns against them?

0:19:30.440 --> 0:19:34.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So I do think the managers that navigate you know,

0:19:35.040 --> 0:19:38.880
<v Speaker 2>tough periods best are usually the ones with the process

0:19:38.880 --> 0:19:41.239
<v Speaker 2>they really understand and believe in. Right, they combine with

0:19:41.920 --> 0:19:47.160
<v Speaker 2>the discipline importantly to stay thoughtful under pressure. So they

0:19:47.200 --> 0:19:50.359
<v Speaker 2>tend to know, you know, kind of like what they know,

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:52.720
<v Speaker 2>why they know it, and what what kinds of environment

0:19:52.760 --> 0:19:56.600
<v Speaker 2>should or should not favor them. You know, they're not improvising,

0:19:56.760 --> 0:19:59.520
<v Speaker 2>you know, in difficult markets. They they really stay true

0:19:59.560 --> 0:20:02.960
<v Speaker 2>to what is it we do and have to believe

0:20:03.800 --> 0:20:06.040
<v Speaker 2>the fact that, hey, when quality as you know David

0:20:06.040 --> 0:20:08.200
<v Speaker 2>as a factor. Last year was one of the worst

0:20:08.760 --> 0:20:14.520
<v Speaker 2>periods to have quality as as a key discipline. Uh,

0:20:14.520 --> 0:20:16.639
<v Speaker 2>in the last one decade and a half or so,

0:20:17.520 --> 0:20:22.240
<v Speaker 2>we have some managers that absolutely are have outperformed like

0:20:22.359 --> 0:20:25.520
<v Speaker 2>last year and are continuing to struggle a bit, but

0:20:25.560 --> 0:20:27.840
<v Speaker 2>they're staying true to what they do and that's and

0:20:27.880 --> 0:20:30.520
<v Speaker 2>that's actually very meaningful. If we saw them veer off

0:20:30.560 --> 0:20:33.240
<v Speaker 2>that course, we would have concerns. And by the way,

0:20:33.320 --> 0:20:37.000
<v Speaker 2>now if quality comes back and they're not participating, we're

0:20:37.000 --> 0:20:40.159
<v Speaker 2>gonna have some other you know, challenging discussions. But somebody

0:20:40.160 --> 0:20:42.960
<v Speaker 2>that really knows who they are and stays true to it.

0:20:43.480 --> 0:20:46.720
<v Speaker 2>That that's you know, that's what we think separates uh,

0:20:46.840 --> 0:20:47.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, the good managers.

0:20:48.119 --> 0:20:50.880
<v Speaker 1>Okay, I also want to ask you about concentration because

0:20:50.880 --> 0:20:53.679
<v Speaker 1>we all know, you know, what's happening with you know,

0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:56.480
<v Speaker 1>the large and megacap companies, you know, making up such

0:20:56.480 --> 0:20:59.040
<v Speaker 1>a huge part of some of the large indexes. If

0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:02.320
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about concentrate risk, are you being more cautious

0:21:02.359 --> 0:21:05.000
<v Speaker 1>about highly concentrated managers or you do or do you

0:21:05.080 --> 0:21:07.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of view it more as evidence of conviction?

0:21:09.359 --> 0:21:12.639
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, look, I think I think the latter. Yeah, So

0:21:12.680 --> 0:21:15.720
<v Speaker 2>we really we do have you know, we have a

0:21:15.720 --> 0:21:19.639
<v Speaker 2>lot of different you know products on our platform right

0:21:19.680 --> 0:21:24.160
<v Speaker 2>that that very greatly but those that have high conviction,

0:21:25.359 --> 0:21:27.959
<v Speaker 2>I mean, we like that. So we are an active shop,

0:21:28.080 --> 0:21:31.399
<v Speaker 2>right and so the title of what you want to

0:21:31.440 --> 0:21:34.359
<v Speaker 2>talk about is just write up our power alley. We

0:21:34.359 --> 0:21:36.760
<v Speaker 2>we strongly believe in it, and so we do have

0:21:36.800 --> 0:21:41.359
<v Speaker 2>a lot of managers that are very concentrated and have

0:21:41.440 --> 0:21:46.120
<v Speaker 2>great conviction around that. And there's there's certainly risk aspects

0:21:46.200 --> 0:21:49.080
<v Speaker 2>to that that you have to make sure you're you're

0:21:49.080 --> 0:21:54.040
<v Speaker 2>discipline from the perspective as well, But we think that

0:21:54.040 --> 0:21:57.679
<v Speaker 2>that can you know, that can be a great a

0:21:57.760 --> 0:22:02.600
<v Speaker 2>great philosophy and strategy to have have certainly in definitely

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:06.520
<v Speaker 2>some some you know, specific asset classes, right, and so

0:22:07.240 --> 0:22:09.840
<v Speaker 2>we we value that we you know, we try to

0:22:09.840 --> 0:22:13.600
<v Speaker 2>find managers that have high conviction. And some would say, hey,

0:22:13.960 --> 0:22:16.800
<v Speaker 2>conviction is if you have you know, in a large

0:22:16.800 --> 0:22:19.440
<v Speaker 2>cap you know, forty to sixty names or even maybe

0:22:19.480 --> 0:22:21.479
<v Speaker 2>a little bit more than that. And then we have

0:22:21.560 --> 0:22:24.520
<v Speaker 2>some that are you know, in small cap or or

0:22:24.640 --> 0:22:27.440
<v Speaker 2>high yield or or in large cap growth that are

0:22:27.800 --> 0:22:31.600
<v Speaker 2>you know, twenty five to thirty five names. So it's

0:22:31.640 --> 0:22:35.320
<v Speaker 2>it's all in how we gain comfort in each of

0:22:35.320 --> 0:22:38.639
<v Speaker 2>those managers in those spaces that they play in and

0:22:38.960 --> 0:22:43.720
<v Speaker 2>results speak for themselves. And sometimes in a multimanaged type

0:22:43.720 --> 0:22:46.959
<v Speaker 2>of type of products that that we have, we have

0:22:47.040 --> 0:22:51.639
<v Speaker 2>one of those managers that is very opportunistic, very concentrated. Look,

0:22:51.800 --> 0:22:54.400
<v Speaker 2>they can they can ebb and flow. They're a lot

0:22:54.440 --> 0:22:57.399
<v Speaker 2>more volatile than the other managers, but in that context

0:22:57.440 --> 0:23:01.720
<v Speaker 2>of a multi managed product, it works extremely well.

0:23:01.960 --> 0:23:04.000
<v Speaker 1>Okay, And there's another topic I want to ask you about.

0:23:04.040 --> 0:23:06.040
<v Speaker 1>It's also kind of top of mind in the fun

0:23:06.119 --> 0:23:08.480
<v Speaker 1>world is private markets. And so I was just curious

0:23:08.520 --> 0:23:11.400
<v Speaker 1>how much of your manager research today kind of extends

0:23:11.400 --> 0:23:14.680
<v Speaker 1>into private markets versus you know, typical public strategies.

0:23:14.840 --> 0:23:19.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Yeah, so we do have a fair amount you know,

0:23:19.160 --> 0:23:22.320
<v Speaker 2>for sure in private markets that we do from a

0:23:22.320 --> 0:23:29.200
<v Speaker 2>diligence standpoint. We are also so our team, my team

0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:32.560
<v Speaker 2>acs as an outsourced CIO as well, and so we've

0:23:32.560 --> 0:23:36.959
<v Speaker 2>been doing private markets since the late eighties and and

0:23:37.200 --> 0:23:42.480
<v Speaker 2>thankfully very successfully. So so we have that backdrop that

0:23:42.560 --> 0:23:44.480
<v Speaker 2>maybe not a lot of people, that a lot a

0:23:44.480 --> 0:23:47.480
<v Speaker 2>lot of people know about. And so yeah, as there's more,

0:23:48.040 --> 0:23:51.840
<v Speaker 2>you know, kind of the democratization of of of private markets,

0:23:51.880 --> 0:23:53.399
<v Speaker 2>we are looking at that and how we can be

0:23:53.520 --> 0:23:58.040
<v Speaker 2>helpful and really call on our our expertise of multimanager

0:23:58.320 --> 0:24:05.159
<v Speaker 2>differentiated active you know kind of types of portfolios that

0:24:05.200 --> 0:24:08.919
<v Speaker 2>we can construct and really call on. That's a you know,

0:24:08.960 --> 0:24:11.760
<v Speaker 2>we believe offer products that are going to be useful

0:24:12.280 --> 0:24:16.840
<v Speaker 2>in specifically like the wealth in retail channels. So yes,

0:24:16.880 --> 0:24:20.000
<v Speaker 2>we we're doing a lot in that space and you know,

0:24:20.040 --> 0:24:22.240
<v Speaker 2>you might see more to come here in the not

0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:23.439
<v Speaker 2>so distant future.

0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:27.000
<v Speaker 1>So when you're doing that, though, is does your evaluation

0:24:27.119 --> 0:24:28.600
<v Speaker 1>process change between the two.

0:24:28.840 --> 0:24:33.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? No, thanks, thanks, Look, I think there's some aspects

0:24:33.440 --> 0:24:35.560
<v Speaker 2>of it that are different, right, just from the different

0:24:35.560 --> 0:24:40.240
<v Speaker 2>structures and from liquidity management and all that. So that

0:24:40.480 --> 0:24:43.760
<v Speaker 2>is absolutely you have to dive into that more and

0:24:43.840 --> 0:24:45.960
<v Speaker 2>make sure you have the right structure and the right

0:24:46.000 --> 0:24:48.200
<v Speaker 2>product for the right type of client. And we've seen

0:24:48.240 --> 0:24:52.000
<v Speaker 2>some of those issues kind of happening here where you

0:24:52.040 --> 0:24:54.720
<v Speaker 2>want to have full transparency there. But from the standpoint

0:24:54.760 --> 0:25:00.680
<v Speaker 2>of evaluating, you know, again kind of people, process, philosophy

0:25:00.840 --> 0:25:03.360
<v Speaker 2>and all that, a lot of that can be the same, right,

0:25:05.040 --> 0:25:07.360
<v Speaker 2>But again you do spend typically a little bit more

0:25:07.359 --> 0:25:12.119
<v Speaker 2>time on sourcing. What's their underwriting discipline, how is the

0:25:12.160 --> 0:25:16.760
<v Speaker 2>portfolio constructed, what is the governance structure, how the firm

0:25:16.800 --> 0:25:21.480
<v Speaker 2>behaves across longer you know, time horizons, right, and less

0:25:22.080 --> 0:25:25.360
<v Speaker 2>pricing points, less frequent pricing points. You have to understand

0:25:25.359 --> 0:25:28.960
<v Speaker 2>that and appreciate that. And then from an operational standpoint,

0:25:29.000 --> 0:25:31.520
<v Speaker 2>just to bring that side. And even though I'm the CEO,

0:25:31.680 --> 0:25:34.280
<v Speaker 2>I'm not the operations guy, but you better have good

0:25:34.280 --> 0:25:38.679
<v Speaker 2>operations folks that understand everything ties together, the right trustee,

0:25:38.720 --> 0:25:42.000
<v Speaker 2>you know, custodian and really can you value these things

0:25:42.040 --> 0:25:46.040
<v Speaker 2>properly and accurately, and how do you how are you,

0:25:46.040 --> 0:25:49.040
<v Speaker 2>you know, communicating that in a in a relevant and

0:25:49.240 --> 0:25:50.200
<v Speaker 2>transparent manner.

0:25:50.720 --> 0:25:53.200
<v Speaker 1>Okay, I just have one more question before we go.

0:25:53.640 --> 0:25:55.960
<v Speaker 1>You know, with your experience, uh, with you know, with

0:25:56.000 --> 0:26:00.240
<v Speaker 1>manager research and oversight, what lesson do you believe most

0:26:00.280 --> 0:26:01.440
<v Speaker 1>allocators learn too late?

0:26:01.960 --> 0:26:05.199
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's a great question. I mean, I think what

0:26:05.359 --> 0:26:08.679
<v Speaker 2>many allocators might learn too late is that manager selection

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:13.800
<v Speaker 2>is not just about picking a good manager. It's picking

0:26:14.600 --> 0:26:20.359
<v Speaker 2>the right manager for the job. Right. So a strong

0:26:20.520 --> 0:26:24.679
<v Speaker 2>track record might be attractive, but if you misunderstand the

0:26:24.760 --> 0:26:28.800
<v Speaker 2>role that they play, or the risk profile, or how

0:26:28.840 --> 0:26:32.879
<v Speaker 2>that strategy behaves in difficult markets, it can still maybe

0:26:32.920 --> 0:26:36.919
<v Speaker 2>not be a great decision. Right. So that's where I

0:26:36.960 --> 0:26:41.440
<v Speaker 2>think those multi managed value funds that I've been kind

0:26:41.440 --> 0:26:44.600
<v Speaker 2>of mentioning a couple of times here, I think that

0:26:44.680 --> 0:26:46.720
<v Speaker 2>makes a lot of sense. So those those in essence,

0:26:46.720 --> 0:26:49.359
<v Speaker 2>again we have relative, we have deep, we have and

0:26:49.920 --> 0:26:52.520
<v Speaker 2>then kind of core traditional, and then in small cap

0:26:52.560 --> 0:26:54.920
<v Speaker 2>we have kind of an opportunistic manager that can go

0:26:55.240 --> 0:26:58.199
<v Speaker 2>wherever the deals are, and that's that highly concentrated manager.

0:26:58.280 --> 0:27:01.000
<v Speaker 2>So I think you have to understand what role are

0:27:01.040 --> 0:27:05.600
<v Speaker 2>you looking specifically for that manager you know, to play

0:27:06.280 --> 0:27:10.960
<v Speaker 2>and and that's that's, that's you know, of paramount importance.

0:27:11.560 --> 0:27:13.879
<v Speaker 1>Okay, well, thank you. Unfortunately we need to end here,

0:27:13.920 --> 0:27:15.400
<v Speaker 1>but this is a lot of fun, Paul. I really

0:27:15.400 --> 0:27:16.600
<v Speaker 1>appreciate you joining me today.

0:27:16.920 --> 0:27:19.480
<v Speaker 2>Now, well, thanks a lot, Thanks a lot, David.

0:27:20.000 --> 0:27:21.720
<v Speaker 1>I also want to thank our listeners. If you like

0:27:21.800 --> 0:27:24.280
<v Speaker 1>the episode, please share it, subscribe and leave a review.

0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:25.840
<v Speaker 1>And if you'd like to see more of our research

0:27:25.880 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 1>on the terminal, go to b I Fund, Go for

0:27:28.080 --> 0:27:30.960
<v Speaker 1>Fund and Active Research until our next episode. This is

0:27:31.040 --> 0:27:32.600
<v Speaker 1>David Cohne with Inside Active