WEBVTT - Ep 49 Eastern Equine Encephalitis: Triple EEEk!

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<v Speaker 1>On the seventh of September, my boy took her from

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<v Speaker 1>the pasture a little before sunset and harnessed her. While

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<v Speaker 1>standing at the door, I observed she slavered freely and

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<v Speaker 1>was stupid and downcast in her appearance. I observed that

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<v Speaker 1>she was loath to go faster than the walk, and,

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<v Speaker 1>although repeatedly urged forward by the whip, would shortly resume

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<v Speaker 1>the walk. Once or twice, on ascending a hill she

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<v Speaker 1>stopped for a second as if fatigued or in pain,

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<v Speaker 1>and several times in descending small pitches she appeared in

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<v Speaker 1>great danger of falling from the very bungling manner of

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<v Speaker 1>using her fore feet. I continued my ride without discovering

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<v Speaker 1>anything farther till the latter part of the evening, except

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<v Speaker 1>that whenever the whip was applied, a distinct interval was

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<v Speaker 1>obvious between the time I struck her and the time

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<v Speaker 1>she perceived the blow. When she did perceive it, the

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<v Speaker 1>effect was greater than expected, for she started off as

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<v Speaker 1>if surprise had been added to the usual effects of

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<v Speaker 1>the lash. On my return home in the latter part

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<v Speaker 1>of the evening, I experienced great difficulty in keeping her

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<v Speaker 1>in the road on account of an obstinate and constant

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<v Speaker 1>tendency to the left that required strong effort to counteract.

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<v Speaker 1>She could scarcely be urged out of a walk, and

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<v Speaker 1>it was perfectly evident that she was laboring under some

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<v Speaker 1>alarming disease. I now made a careful examination and found

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<v Speaker 1>the whole surface of the body cold and tremulous, countenance

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<v Speaker 1>dull and listless, a leaning and stepping to the left,

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<v Speaker 1>with so much appearance of general weakness as to induce

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<v Speaker 1>the fear that she would fall in the harness. With

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<v Speaker 1>much ado, I got her home, which was then but

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<v Speaker 1>a short distance. She, however, grew worse very fast, and

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<v Speaker 1>when she arrived home, did not recognize her own stable.

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<v Speaker 1>She was now well rubbed and a gallon of blood

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<v Speaker 1>taken from the neck. While this was doing, and afterwards

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<v Speaker 1>she often kicked violently with her left foot. About eleven

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<v Speaker 1>p m. I was called from home and did not

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<v Speaker 1>return until the next day, about two pm. When she

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<v Speaker 1>was down and incapable of rising. She was left in

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<v Speaker 1>care of a farrier, who had her blood again and

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<v Speaker 1>given her several cathartic medicines without effect. She lay stretched

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<v Speaker 1>out upon the floor with her head drawn back and

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<v Speaker 1>the muscles of the neck, abdomen and limbs frequently convulsed.

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<v Speaker 1>At short intervals. She would revive or attempt to get up,

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<v Speaker 1>but could only get upon her hind feet, for her

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<v Speaker 1>fore legs appeared to be completely paralyzed. She would, however,

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<v Speaker 1>make a powerful exertion to rise forwards and throw herself

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<v Speaker 1>several feet ahead, without regard to anything that might be

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<v Speaker 1>in her way. No material alteration took place till next morning,

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<v Speaker 1>except gradual diminution of strength and exertion. In the morning,

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<v Speaker 1>she commenced moving her legs backwards and forwards, was generally

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<v Speaker 1>convulsed and apparently in greatest distress. This state of things

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<v Speaker 1>continued till nine am when she expired. Oh, I know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's really sad. Also, that was about a.

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<v Speaker 2>Horse, that was Yeah, it wasn't.

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<v Speaker 1>It wasn't obviously clear right the firsthand.

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<v Speaker 2>But that was about a horse like taking her from

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<v Speaker 2>the pasture. Yeah, we four feet four feet.

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<v Speaker 1>So that was an account of the eighteen thirty one

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<v Speaker 1>Eastern equine encephalitis outbreak in Massachusetts, written by Gardner M. Peck,

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<v Speaker 1>and it was from a nineteen fifty seven article titled

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<v Speaker 1>in an Epizootic of Equine and Cephalomyelitis by RP.

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<v Speaker 2>Hanson.

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<v Speaker 1>Hi, I'm Aaron.

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<v Speaker 2>Welsh and I'm Erin omen Updyke.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is this podcast will kill you.

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<v Speaker 2>And they were talking about triple.

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<v Speaker 1>A triple A Eastern equine encephalitis.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, that's very exciting.

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<v Speaker 1>It is so we actually this is similar to our

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<v Speaker 1>Dangay episode. We have done this already in person at

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<v Speaker 1>the University of Michigan.

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<v Speaker 2>Whoop whoop.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>But just like Dangay, I've forgotten everything.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't remember. I didn't even remember Erin like my

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<v Speaker 2>own part of this. So when I went back to

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<v Speaker 2>my notes, I was like, oh, this is depressing.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah it is. And I yeah, I didn't remember

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<v Speaker 1>any part of a mind, which definitely means I remember

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<v Speaker 1>zero part of yours.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh no, I don't know the history of this, like

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<v Speaker 2>in the slightest.

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<v Speaker 1>So I feel like it's kind of alarming how hotly

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<v Speaker 1>we forget. Yes, but that was but it was super

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<v Speaker 1>fun to be in Michigan and we really liked hanging

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<v Speaker 1>out with Laura, So we wanted to give Laura and

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<v Speaker 1>that group a huge shout out to having us and

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<v Speaker 1>inviting us.

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<v Speaker 2>That was so fun. That was when we did like

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<v Speaker 2>actual chemistry. Remember that.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh my gosh, it was like such an action packed

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<v Speaker 1>fun day.

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<v Speaker 2>It really was.

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<v Speaker 1>We enjoyed meeting everyone and talking to everyone, and yes.

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<v Speaker 2>It was super fun. It was great.

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<v Speaker 1>Is so cute?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I know, I wish we got more time there. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe someday in the future we can go back. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>someday someday. All right, to be business to attend to, Aaron.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, we could just do the usual suspects one

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<v Speaker 1>more time. So we've got alcohol free episodes. You can

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<v Speaker 1>find them on this podcast will Kill You dot com

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<v Speaker 1>under the episodes tab. And we also have two things

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<v Speaker 1>related to books. One is a Goodreads list, so we

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<v Speaker 1>have a link to that on our website under the

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<v Speaker 1>books tab. And we also have an affiliate page on

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<v Speaker 1>bookshop dot org that is an online bookseller that works

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<v Speaker 1>with independent bookstores.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, now for the most important business of all,

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<v Speaker 2>it's quarantiny time.

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<v Speaker 1>It's quarantiney time.

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<v Speaker 2>What are we drinking today, Aaron?

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<v Speaker 1>We are drinking the Triple E Shot.

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<v Speaker 2>That's it's a straightforward name.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I know, I feel like I think at the

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<v Speaker 1>time we were like, oh, we'll come up with a

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<v Speaker 1>better one when the episode comes out, and then here

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<v Speaker 1>our creative juicies have just been dried up. I think

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<v Speaker 1>we're used up.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know both maybe, Well, what's in the triple

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<v Speaker 2>E shot?

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<v Speaker 1>The triple E shot has three things, of course, a

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<v Speaker 1>half an ounce of coffee tequila okay, delicious even on

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<v Speaker 1>its own, A half an ounce of hazel nut liqueur,

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<v Speaker 1>and a half an ounce of half and half fab

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<v Speaker 1>It's it's delicious, it's simple, it's easy.

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<v Speaker 2>There you go, all right, fabulous. Anything else that we

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<v Speaker 2>should cover or should we just jump straight into this

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<v Speaker 2>depressing episode?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think it's just let's just do it, Aaron,

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<v Speaker 1>Let's just let's just.

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<v Speaker 2>Dive right in. It's actually it's going to be very interesting. Okay.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, I'm excited to relearn everything that I've forgotten.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, me too.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, well, we will start doing that right after this break.

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<v Speaker 2>Eastern equine encephalitis aka triple E aka also sometimes called

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<v Speaker 2>sleeping sickness, but not to be confused with African sleeping

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<v Speaker 2>sickness or trepanasamiasis okay.

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<v Speaker 1>Or encephalitis lethargica, because I think at the time it

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<v Speaker 1>was also confused with that disease for at least the

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<v Speaker 1>early years.

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<v Speaker 2>Fascinating. Huh yeah, all right, well, this.

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<v Speaker 3>Is not that.

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<v Speaker 2>Eastern equine encephalitis is a viral infection. It is an

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<v Speaker 2>alpha virus, which I don't believe that we've covered any

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<v Speaker 2>alpha viruses thus far in this series. Triple E virus.

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<v Speaker 2>It's an RNA virus. It is round in shape, so

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<v Speaker 2>it's very kind of adorable when you look at it

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<v Speaker 2>under scanning electron microscopes. There are four major lineages of

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<v Speaker 2>this virus, so four major strains. But group one, which

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<v Speaker 2>is the one that's most common in North America, is

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<v Speaker 2>also the most virulent and the most common cause of

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<v Speaker 2>disease in humans. So that's the one that we'll focus

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<v Speaker 2>on just because that's the one that makes people sick. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>uh huh, all right. So I'm not going to talk

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<v Speaker 2>a lot about the evolutionary history or the ecological cycle

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<v Speaker 2>of this virus, because you're.

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<v Speaker 1>Going to do that right erin, I hope, so excellent.

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<v Speaker 2>But I will say, because we have to understand how

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<v Speaker 2>this virus is transmitted. Trips E. That's what I wrote

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<v Speaker 2>down is the name for it.

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<v Speaker 1>That's not going to be confusing at all.

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<v Speaker 2>Triply virus, it's mostly a bird virus, okay, So it

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<v Speaker 2>circulates enzootically among a number of different bird species, but

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<v Speaker 2>it can cause both epizootics, So that is an epidemic

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<v Speaker 2>in animals when it jumps from bird populations into for example,

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<v Speaker 2>horse populations equine populations, hence the name. And it can

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<v Speaker 2>also cause zoonotic outbreaks in humans if it jumps from

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<v Speaker 2>birds into humans. Okay, all right, So among birds, it's

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<v Speaker 2>primarily transmitted by mosquitos in the genus Cula seta, but

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<v Speaker 2>it can be transmitted by a number of different genera

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<v Speaker 2>of mosquitoes, including eighties mosquitoes and others.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, there's an asterisk to that statement that I'll go into.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh I can't wait to hear about it. I want

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<v Speaker 2>to know.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, do you know right now?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah? Kind of.

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<v Speaker 1>So basically they call these other mosquito species the bridge vectors.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh huh, okay, So, jumping a little bit into the

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<v Speaker 1>ecology side of things, Quelo seta, which is the genus well,

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<v Speaker 1>Kulo seta melanera, which is the main species that seems

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<v Speaker 1>to perpetuate this infection cycle in like, you know, birds,

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<v Speaker 1>they are not mammal biers or human biers, like very

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<v Speaker 1>very little, and so researchers are like, well, it might

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<v Speaker 1>be that there's either they occasionally bite humans and that's

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<v Speaker 1>how these things happen, or it's bridge vectors. But in

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<v Speaker 1>one study that looked at the like viral load of

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<v Speaker 1>other species of mosquito, some of the the proposed bridge

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<v Speaker 1>vector species, none of them had viral loads that were

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<v Speaker 1>high enough to actually cause infection. Fascinating, So it might

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<v Speaker 1>be that you can detect the virus because that mosquito

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<v Speaker 1>fed on an infected bird, but the virus might not

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<v Speaker 1>be able to replicate within that mosquito. But there's still

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of like question mark, question mark, question mark, right,

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<v Speaker 1>this sort of thing. So it's like that aspect of

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<v Speaker 1>the ecology is pretty not very well clarified yet in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of like the contributions of this mosquito species versus

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<v Speaker 1>this mosquito species species, and also geographically because that can

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<v Speaker 1>play a huge role.

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<v Speaker 2>So then it's like unclear exactly which mosquitoes might be

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<v Speaker 2>infecting humans.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, So basically, I think the takeaway that I got

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<v Speaker 1>from that article was that if even if you detect

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<v Speaker 1>this virus in a mosquito, it doesn't necessarily mean that

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be infected and able to transmit.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, because these viruses have to be able to replicate

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<v Speaker 2>within the mosquito and then leave the mosquito's gut and

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<v Speaker 2>travel to their salivary glands and then be there in

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<v Speaker 2>high enough concentration that when the mosquito bites its next host,

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<v Speaker 2>it's injecting enough virus to actually get that host sick.

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<v Speaker 2>So there, these are very complicated cycles within the mosquito.

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<v Speaker 2>So it makes sense that not every mosquito is going

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<v Speaker 2>to be able to transmit every virus, right. So, right,

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<v Speaker 2>even if you can detect it just when you smush

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<v Speaker 2>that mosquito, like, yeah, you found some virus, but where

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<v Speaker 2>was that virus within the mosquito and how much of

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<v Speaker 2>it was there? Cool? How interesting? All right, So we've

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<v Speaker 2>covered now that this is a disease transmitted by mosquitoes.

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<v Speaker 2>Will ignore the details of which mosquito it is for now,

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<v Speaker 2>So let's talk about how this virus makes you sick

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<v Speaker 2>once it gets inside you. Okay, So, like many arboviral diseases,

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<v Speaker 2>so virus is transmitted by arthropods like mosquitoes. When a

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<v Speaker 2>mosquito bites you, the first place that it spits that

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<v Speaker 2>virus is kind of towards your lymphatic system, right, so

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<v Speaker 2>it's kind of right under your skin. They don't spit

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<v Speaker 2>it necessarily directly into your bloodstream, but they spit it

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<v Speaker 2>under your skin, and that virus goes into your lymphatic system.

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<v Speaker 2>From there, it travels to you lymph nodes, and in

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<v Speaker 2>the case of eastern equine and stephalitis virus, it infects

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<v Speaker 2>our white blood cells. Okay, so those are the cells

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<v Speaker 2>that it goes into, and that's where it replicates. Remember

0:14:13.920 --> 0:14:17.079
<v Speaker 2>that viruses have to replicate inside of our cells. They

0:14:17.080 --> 0:14:19.840
<v Speaker 2>don't replicate on their own. So it turns out that

0:14:20.120 --> 0:14:24.240
<v Speaker 2>triple E replicates inside of our white blood cells. White

0:14:24.240 --> 0:14:28.480
<v Speaker 2>blood cells can travel pretty much anywhere in our body,

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:33.160
<v Speaker 2>including crossing the blood brain barrier and making it into

0:14:33.240 --> 0:14:38.440
<v Speaker 2>our nervous system. All right, so let's go through kind

0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:42.000
<v Speaker 2>of how this makes you sick. This is a bit

0:14:42.040 --> 0:14:46.800
<v Speaker 2>of a spoiler, but this is a horrible, horrible disease.

0:14:47.080 --> 0:14:51.440
<v Speaker 1>Okay, So that much I do remember, yes, from Michigan, if.

0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:53.560
<v Speaker 2>You if you had like a magic eight ball, and

0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 2>you shook it, it would say, outlook not so good? Yeah, okay.

0:14:58.880 --> 0:15:00.400
<v Speaker 2>One of the questions that I like to try and

0:15:00.440 --> 0:15:03.120
<v Speaker 2>answer when we look at a disease that causes such

0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:08.520
<v Speaker 2>terrible outcomes is how does it do that? We are

0:15:08.680 --> 0:15:12.280
<v Speaker 2>usually very good at fighting off infections, So how can

0:15:12.360 --> 0:15:16.000
<v Speaker 2>this virus kind of beat our own immune system?

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:16.440
<v Speaker 3>Right? Like?

0:15:16.520 --> 0:15:19.720
<v Speaker 2>How can it make us so very sick? M okay?

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:20.280
<v Speaker 3>So.

0:15:22.080 --> 0:15:24.560
<v Speaker 2>The other reason that it's important to understand how this

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:27.680
<v Speaker 2>virus makes us so sick is because, in theory, if

0:15:27.680 --> 0:15:30.200
<v Speaker 2>we can understand how it makes us so sick, we

0:15:30.240 --> 0:15:33.000
<v Speaker 2>could maybe try and do something about it, right, We

0:15:33.040 --> 0:15:36.320
<v Speaker 2>can try and counteract that. Okay. So I found a

0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:38.520
<v Speaker 2>few different studies that tried to shed some light on

0:15:38.600 --> 0:15:41.880
<v Speaker 2>exactly how this virus makes us so sick. One of

0:15:41.880 --> 0:15:45.440
<v Speaker 2>the important things is that this virus is very good

0:15:45.520 --> 0:15:49.960
<v Speaker 2>at evating our immune system. Specifically, it seems to do

0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:53.360
<v Speaker 2>a very good job of inhibiting one of our major

0:15:53.600 --> 0:15:58.520
<v Speaker 2>responses to viral infections, and that is something called interferon.

0:16:00.040 --> 0:16:04.960
<v Speaker 2>Talked about in like the hepatitis episode. Probably I don't remember,

0:16:06.000 --> 0:16:09.800
<v Speaker 2>but anyways, Interferon is a protein that we make that

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:13.520
<v Speaker 2>helps to stimulate our immune response specifically to target and

0:16:13.640 --> 0:16:16.280
<v Speaker 2>kill viruses and virallly infected cells.

0:16:16.840 --> 0:16:17.240
<v Speaker 1>Gotcha.

0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:22.120
<v Speaker 2>So Triple E, like many other viruses and a lot

0:16:22.160 --> 0:16:28.320
<v Speaker 2>of arboviruses, specifically targets and shuts down the production of interferon,

0:16:28.520 --> 0:16:34.440
<v Speaker 2>it seems like in us. And what's really interesting is

0:16:34.440 --> 0:16:37.440
<v Speaker 2>that there have been some other studies I found that

0:16:37.520 --> 0:16:43.560
<v Speaker 2>compared the effectiveness of interferon on actually killing virus infected cells.

0:16:43.760 --> 0:16:47.520
<v Speaker 2>So like, even if you gave someone a bunch of interferon, like,

0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:50.560
<v Speaker 2>if that's the problem the virus is blocking this production,

0:16:51.160 --> 0:16:56.680
<v Speaker 2>give them interfer on. This virus actually like inhibits the

0:16:56.720 --> 0:16:58.119
<v Speaker 2>action of interferon.

0:16:58.560 --> 0:16:59.480
<v Speaker 1>That's wild.

0:17:00.880 --> 0:17:02.920
<v Speaker 2>And here's where it gets even cooler. This is why

0:17:02.920 --> 0:17:05.719
<v Speaker 2>I get excited about this. Remember I said, there are

0:17:05.720 --> 0:17:08.440
<v Speaker 2>many different strains of this virus, like at least four,

0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:11.720
<v Speaker 2>and it's only the North American strain that tends to

0:17:11.720 --> 0:17:15.520
<v Speaker 2>be the most virulent and cause infection in humans. So

0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:20.800
<v Speaker 2>this one study compared North American strains to South American strains,

0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:25.240
<v Speaker 2>and what they found was that across the board, all

0:17:25.240 --> 0:17:28.960
<v Speaker 2>cells infected with Triple E viruses North American or South

0:17:28.960 --> 0:17:32.520
<v Speaker 2>American had very low levels of interferon so they blocked

0:17:32.520 --> 0:17:36.760
<v Speaker 2>the production of interferon. But on top of that, the

0:17:36.800 --> 0:17:40.280
<v Speaker 2>North American strains were the ones that were also resistant

0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 2>to the effects of interferon. Ah, So, like, no matter

0:17:45.800 --> 0:17:47.879
<v Speaker 2>how much interferre on you had in your body, it

0:17:47.960 --> 0:17:50.919
<v Speaker 2>was going to be lower within triple E infection than

0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:54.080
<v Speaker 2>with other viral infections. But the interfere on that you

0:17:54.160 --> 0:17:57.679
<v Speaker 2>do have works to kill that South American virus but

0:17:57.760 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 2>not the North American strains.

0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:02.440
<v Speaker 1>Wow, that's very interesting.

0:18:02.040 --> 0:18:02.359
<v Speaker 3>I know.

0:18:04.640 --> 0:18:08.800
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so that's how it causes disease and why at

0:18:08.920 --> 0:18:11.880
<v Speaker 2>least part of the reason why it probably causes such

0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:16.439
<v Speaker 2>severe disease. Okay, now let's start to talk about the

0:18:16.480 --> 0:18:20.320
<v Speaker 2>really depressing part, which is the actual symptoms. Okay, the

0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:25.520
<v Speaker 2>one good news I have this is it it's estimated

0:18:25.560 --> 0:18:29.440
<v Speaker 2>that only about four to five percent of human infections

0:18:29.560 --> 0:18:32.960
<v Speaker 2>actually result in symptomatic disease. So, like I'm just about

0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:37.520
<v Speaker 2>to ask that, oh good, I preempted you. Ninety six

0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:42.280
<v Speaker 2>percent of people who get infected with triple E virus

0:18:42.680 --> 0:18:46.639
<v Speaker 2>will never have symptomatic disease. They're going to be just fine. Okay,

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:47.640
<v Speaker 2>that's the.

0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:50.000
<v Speaker 1>Estimates, But that's I feel like that's a trend that

0:18:50.040 --> 0:18:52.880
<v Speaker 1>we see a lot in rble viral diseases, that there's

0:18:52.920 --> 0:18:58.479
<v Speaker 1>a huge rate of asymptomatic individuals. Yeah, do these people

0:18:58.800 --> 0:19:03.200
<v Speaker 1>have immunity? Do they develop immunity to treat question?

0:19:03.520 --> 0:19:06.040
<v Speaker 2>I did see in several review papers just sort of

0:19:06.040 --> 0:19:10.440
<v Speaker 2>talking about the symptoms in general, that it is thought that, yes,

0:19:10.600 --> 0:19:13.080
<v Speaker 2>when you are exposed to this virus, you develop long

0:19:13.160 --> 0:19:17.320
<v Speaker 2>lasting immunity. Remember that point because it will become very

0:19:17.320 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 2>interesting when we talk about the vaccine. Yes, okay, but yes,

0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:24.360
<v Speaker 2>it is thought that if you get infected with this virus,

0:19:24.480 --> 0:19:29.439
<v Speaker 2>whether you're symptomatic or not, you do generate long lasting immunity. Okayes,

0:19:29.880 --> 0:19:30.480
<v Speaker 2>that's the thought.

0:19:30.880 --> 0:19:31.639
<v Speaker 1>That's good news.

0:19:31.800 --> 0:19:34.320
<v Speaker 2>It is good news. That's the end of the good news. Okay.

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:37.680
<v Speaker 2>So let's talk about the symptoms of this virus. It's

0:19:37.720 --> 0:19:43.399
<v Speaker 2>called Eastern equine encephalitis. Encephalitis. We've talked about this before, right,

0:19:43.560 --> 0:19:49.119
<v Speaker 2>This is inflammation in your actual brain. It's not good news.

0:19:50.119 --> 0:19:54.920
<v Speaker 2>So this causes a viral encephalitis. In theory, almost any

0:19:55.040 --> 0:19:59.280
<v Speaker 2>virus could potentially cause an encephalitis if it gets into

0:19:59.320 --> 0:20:04.040
<v Speaker 2>your brain causes infection there. For most viruses, that's a

0:20:04.160 --> 0:20:10.000
<v Speaker 2>very uncommon manifestation, but for some reason, a lot of arboviruses,

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:16.200
<v Speaker 2>so mosquito born viruses do cause viral encephalitis. And we've

0:20:16.240 --> 0:20:18.960
<v Speaker 2>also talked on this podcast about one of the most

0:20:18.960 --> 0:20:21.520
<v Speaker 2>famous causes of viral encephalitis, that is.

0:20:23.119 --> 0:20:26.320
<v Speaker 1>Rabies. Oh I saw.

0:20:26.160 --> 0:20:28.280
<v Speaker 2>Your face just being completely blank, and I was like,

0:20:28.440 --> 0:20:33.160
<v Speaker 2>don't worry. So rabies is like the most probably famous

0:20:33.280 --> 0:20:38.280
<v Speaker 2>viral encephalitis I think. So let's talk about the characteristic

0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:44.560
<v Speaker 2>symptoms of viral encephalitis. There's three Number one fever. This

0:20:44.600 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 2>fever tends to be quite high and it tends to

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:51.679
<v Speaker 2>come on very rapidly. Number two headache because your brain

0:20:51.760 --> 0:20:58.720
<v Speaker 2>is inflamed. Number three altered level of consciousness. Now, that

0:20:58.760 --> 0:21:03.520
<v Speaker 2>doesn't necessarily mean that you will go unconscious, although as

0:21:03.560 --> 0:21:06.120
<v Speaker 2>you'll see, it often leads to that, but it does

0:21:06.200 --> 0:21:10.080
<v Speaker 2>mean that, like overall, you can have fluctuating levels of

0:21:10.200 --> 0:21:15.560
<v Speaker 2>consciousness okay, and kind of awareness. And then, because viral

0:21:15.680 --> 0:21:19.760
<v Speaker 2>encephalitis is a viral infection of your brain, you will

0:21:19.800 --> 0:21:24.240
<v Speaker 2>often have specific neurological symptoms that can be very varied,

0:21:24.760 --> 0:21:28.919
<v Speaker 2>and they tend to depend. The specific symptoms you see

0:21:29.119 --> 0:21:31.359
<v Speaker 2>tend to depend on what part of your brain is

0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:37.920
<v Speaker 2>the most infected. Okay, so let's talk about triple E specifically.

0:21:39.400 --> 0:21:41.960
<v Speaker 2>If you have symptomatic infection with triple E, which again

0:21:42.000 --> 0:21:44.040
<v Speaker 2>it is only four to five percent of people, so

0:21:44.080 --> 0:21:48.120
<v Speaker 2>that's the good news. The symptoms begin with a prodrome,

0:21:48.960 --> 0:21:53.639
<v Speaker 2>which essentially means nonspecific symptoms before the real bad symptoms.

0:21:54.840 --> 0:21:59.520
<v Speaker 2>This is like that fever, maybe headache, maybe even some

0:21:59.600 --> 0:22:03.280
<v Speaker 2>abdom o pain, just very non specific symptoms. And then

0:22:03.320 --> 0:22:08.280
<v Speaker 2>about five days later is when the neurologic symptoms begin.

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:12.639
<v Speaker 2>And in the case of triple E, this can be

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:17.879
<v Speaker 2>anything from a mild confusion to maybe some focal weakness,

0:22:17.920 --> 0:22:22.439
<v Speaker 2>like your arm feels weak or your leg feels weak. Okay,

0:22:22.960 --> 0:22:27.480
<v Speaker 2>you might have seizures. Seizures are actually very common in

0:22:28.359 --> 0:22:33.440
<v Speaker 2>triply Okay. You might have peristigias, so like weird tingling

0:22:33.560 --> 0:22:38.360
<v Speaker 2>feelings or just like sort of sensory things that aren't normal.

0:22:38.880 --> 0:22:41.480
<v Speaker 1>Is this just because your brain is inflamed?

0:22:41.760 --> 0:22:47.320
<v Speaker 2>Yes, absolutely, okay, yep. But in the case of triple E,

0:22:47.440 --> 0:22:51.480
<v Speaker 2>once any of these neurologic symptoms tend to start, even

0:22:51.640 --> 0:22:55.639
<v Speaker 2>just sort of confusion and maybe like coming in and

0:22:55.680 --> 0:22:59.040
<v Speaker 2>out of being very aware, you know, like not being

0:22:59.040 --> 0:23:03.359
<v Speaker 2>able to focus, that kind of thing, very rapidly. In

0:23:03.400 --> 0:23:06.280
<v Speaker 2>the case of Tripoli, people progress to coma.

0:23:07.080 --> 0:23:08.960
<v Speaker 1>Okay, what's the timeline of this.

0:23:09.000 --> 0:23:11.240
<v Speaker 2>Like hours to a couple of days.

0:23:11.720 --> 0:23:13.040
<v Speaker 1>Oh wow, yeah.

0:23:13.119 --> 0:23:16.399
<v Speaker 2>So once people develop these neurologic symptoms, after this like

0:23:16.520 --> 0:23:19.480
<v Speaker 2>five day prodrome of kind of feeling cruddy, having a fever,

0:23:19.600 --> 0:23:25.240
<v Speaker 2>having a headache, people deteriorate very, very rapidly, and then

0:23:26.160 --> 0:23:30.359
<v Speaker 2>once they're in a coma. The mortality rate is between

0:23:30.400 --> 0:23:31.399
<v Speaker 2>thirty and forty percent.

0:23:33.520 --> 0:23:36.879
<v Speaker 1>Okay, So what proportion of people go into a coma

0:23:36.960 --> 0:23:39.159
<v Speaker 1>like develop these severe neurological symptoms.

0:23:39.520 --> 0:23:46.439
<v Speaker 2>So almost everyone. So if you become symptomatic, almost certainly

0:23:46.440 --> 0:23:50.080
<v Speaker 2>you're going to go into a coma. Of those that survive,

0:23:50.520 --> 0:23:54.879
<v Speaker 2>about a third of them will have significant neurologic impairment

0:23:55.080 --> 0:23:56.919
<v Speaker 2>permanently as a result of this infection.

0:23:57.520 --> 0:24:06.360
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, I have a question. Okay, these unlucky four percent.

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:11.240
<v Speaker 2>Why such a good question, Aaron, I have no idea,

0:24:12.480 --> 0:24:17.560
<v Speaker 2>and I think part of the reason that so okay,

0:24:17.680 --> 0:24:21.560
<v Speaker 2>some of the literature says children under age fifteen and

0:24:21.800 --> 0:24:26.000
<v Speaker 2>adults over age fifty they are more likely to actually

0:24:26.000 --> 0:24:29.800
<v Speaker 2>get the encephalitis form of triple E. That's the most

0:24:29.880 --> 0:24:32.560
<v Speaker 2>that I've seen in terms of like who is it

0:24:32.720 --> 0:24:36.760
<v Speaker 2>that ends up getting triple E versus just getting infected

0:24:36.760 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 2>and not showing symptoms. I think we have to remember

0:24:40.080 --> 0:24:44.520
<v Speaker 2>that this is a very very rare infection, so it's

0:24:44.640 --> 0:24:47.920
<v Speaker 2>really hard to understand exactly who is the most at

0:24:47.960 --> 0:24:50.719
<v Speaker 2>risk and why, Like, what is it about the characteristics

0:24:50.720 --> 0:24:53.160
<v Speaker 2>of these people that make them more likely to have

0:24:53.280 --> 0:24:56.360
<v Speaker 2>this neurologic manifestation versus never having symptoms?

0:24:57.280 --> 0:24:58.000
<v Speaker 1>Right, exactly.

0:24:58.200 --> 0:25:02.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So of all the ARBA viral encephalitis viruses in

0:25:02.640 --> 0:25:07.800
<v Speaker 2>the United States, this is by far the worst one, Like, yeah,

0:25:07.920 --> 0:25:11.600
<v Speaker 2>mortality rate is so much higher. It's possibly even worse

0:25:11.640 --> 0:25:16.199
<v Speaker 2>than Japanese encephalitis, although that's more common. That's not in

0:25:16.240 --> 0:25:19.760
<v Speaker 2>the United States, it's in like China and Japan. But

0:25:20.560 --> 0:25:23.479
<v Speaker 2>there's a vaccine for Japanese encephalitis.

0:25:23.840 --> 0:25:28.240
<v Speaker 1>So why isn't there a vaccine then for triple A virus?

0:25:28.280 --> 0:25:30.560
<v Speaker 2>Oh, Aaron, I was going to talk about all of

0:25:30.560 --> 0:25:33.399
<v Speaker 2>this in more detail in the future, in the current events.

0:25:33.480 --> 0:25:39.600
<v Speaker 1>Let's just wait for the future then, Yeah, do you.

0:25:39.600 --> 0:25:40.760
<v Speaker 2>Want me to talk about it now or do you

0:25:40.800 --> 0:25:42.359
<v Speaker 2>want me to talk about it in the future.

0:25:42.440 --> 0:25:43.120
<v Speaker 1>Up to your girl.

0:25:43.440 --> 0:25:45.280
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about it later because we'll talk in more

0:25:45.320 --> 0:25:49.000
<v Speaker 2>detail about the research that is being done. Okay, But

0:25:49.080 --> 0:25:51.760
<v Speaker 2>one thing that I think is really interesting is, uh,

0:25:52.040 --> 0:25:54.879
<v Speaker 2>although there are small case numbers, there have been a

0:25:54.880 --> 0:25:58.560
<v Speaker 2>few good studies like grouping all of these cases and

0:25:58.600 --> 0:26:02.560
<v Speaker 2>trying to understand like what is affected in the brain

0:26:02.680 --> 0:26:06.679
<v Speaker 2>when you get infected with eastern neck wine encephalitis. And

0:26:06.760 --> 0:26:10.639
<v Speaker 2>it tends to actually be the basal ganglia, which is

0:26:10.640 --> 0:26:14.080
<v Speaker 2>part of the brain we talked about that's affected in Parkinson's.

0:26:14.160 --> 0:26:19.120
<v Speaker 2>It's also infected in encephalitis lethargica if you remember, yeah, Okay,

0:26:19.320 --> 0:26:22.560
<v Speaker 2>and it also infects like your mid brain and that's

0:26:22.600 --> 0:26:25.400
<v Speaker 2>part of your brain stem. And so it's really interesting

0:26:25.440 --> 0:26:28.080
<v Speaker 2>because you know, when I am looking at this, I

0:26:28.160 --> 0:26:30.920
<v Speaker 2>want to think, like why do we see the symptoms

0:26:30.920 --> 0:26:34.240
<v Speaker 2>that we see. So if you have a virus like

0:26:34.600 --> 0:26:37.280
<v Speaker 2>rabies that infects your brain, it affects a part of

0:26:37.320 --> 0:26:40.960
<v Speaker 2>your brain that changes the way that you behave right

0:26:41.040 --> 0:26:43.159
<v Speaker 2>and your mood. And then we see that in the

0:26:43.200 --> 0:26:47.000
<v Speaker 2>symptoms right where you get angry et cetera. If you

0:26:47.119 --> 0:26:50.439
<v Speaker 2>get a herpes encephalitis, which is actually the most common

0:26:50.480 --> 0:26:54.320
<v Speaker 2>cause of encephalitis viral encephalitis in the US. It infects

0:26:54.320 --> 0:26:57.520
<v Speaker 2>the temporal lobe, which is where your language centers are.

0:26:57.840 --> 0:27:01.280
<v Speaker 2>So your symptoms are like having trouble finding words, which

0:27:01.320 --> 0:27:05.400
<v Speaker 2>is called aphasia. Okay, So for me, I'm like, okay,

0:27:05.600 --> 0:27:07.600
<v Speaker 2>so we know that it infects this part of the brain,

0:27:07.640 --> 0:27:10.680
<v Speaker 2>But how come we don't see these symptoms like maybe

0:27:10.880 --> 0:27:14.920
<v Speaker 2>shakiness like in Parkinson's or these certain types of symptoms.

0:27:15.800 --> 0:27:16.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:27:16.600 --> 0:27:20.439
<v Speaker 2>My guess is because it causes lesions in these areas

0:27:20.480 --> 0:27:23.640
<v Speaker 2>like your brain stem, that are so important for generally

0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:30.359
<v Speaker 2>being alive. Then you progress so rapidly and deteriorate so

0:27:30.520 --> 0:27:33.959
<v Speaker 2>quickly that there's no time to have those specific isolated

0:27:34.040 --> 0:27:40.160
<v Speaker 2>neurologic findings right right, So it makes me pressing. Yeah, yeah,

0:27:40.160 --> 0:27:44.320
<v Speaker 2>it makes sense. We can talk quickly about treatment if

0:27:44.359 --> 0:27:44.679
<v Speaker 2>you'd like.

0:27:45.840 --> 0:27:47.919
<v Speaker 1>There isn't any I was gonna say, is it just

0:27:47.960 --> 0:27:48.760
<v Speaker 1>supportive care?

0:27:49.200 --> 0:27:53.719
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it is. There are no anti virals, even in

0:27:53.760 --> 0:27:56.520
<v Speaker 2>screening studies that have been shown to be effective against

0:27:56.640 --> 0:28:00.879
<v Speaker 2>Tripoli virus. Okay, that's a bummer. I did find a

0:28:00.880 --> 0:28:04.399
<v Speaker 2>few case reports where they've been using iv ig, which

0:28:04.440 --> 0:28:11.200
<v Speaker 2>is intravenous pooled concentrated human immunoglobulin, which is used a

0:28:11.240 --> 0:28:14.320
<v Speaker 2>lot in autoimmune disorders. It's used in the treatment of

0:28:14.440 --> 0:28:21.359
<v Speaker 2>neurologic disorders. Whether or not it works, who knows, because

0:28:21.359 --> 0:28:23.800
<v Speaker 2>I found two case reports that were like, we used

0:28:23.800 --> 0:28:25.680
<v Speaker 2>this and they survived and did great. And then I

0:28:25.720 --> 0:28:28.120
<v Speaker 2>found one that said we used this and they died,

0:28:29.040 --> 0:28:32.760
<v Speaker 2>but that person also had lymphoma, So like, who knows.

0:28:33.240 --> 0:28:37.159
<v Speaker 2>But we have such little data on any of this,

0:28:37.320 --> 0:28:40.360
<v Speaker 2>and it's so difficult to study because we have so

0:28:40.520 --> 0:28:44.600
<v Speaker 2>few cases that we really have no idea if iv

0:28:44.720 --> 0:28:47.080
<v Speaker 2>ig would be actually an effective treatment or not at

0:28:47.080 --> 0:28:47.520
<v Speaker 2>this point.

0:28:47.840 --> 0:28:54.800
<v Speaker 1>But gotcha. But what about with other of the encephalitis viruses.

0:28:54.960 --> 0:29:00.560
<v Speaker 2>Whether we have antivirals, Yeah, good question. I don't know. Yeah, yeah,

0:29:00.600 --> 0:29:03.280
<v Speaker 2>I don't believe we have any for dengay, which can

0:29:03.320 --> 0:29:07.760
<v Speaker 2>cause encephalitis. The more common ones like Saint Louis and

0:29:07.840 --> 0:29:12.400
<v Speaker 2>cephalitis West Nile virus, I honestly don't know. I haven't

0:29:12.400 --> 0:29:17.800
<v Speaker 2>done the research on those yet. Yeah.

0:29:18.080 --> 0:29:19.560
<v Speaker 1>Interesting, But we.

0:29:19.560 --> 0:29:22.320
<v Speaker 2>Will talk in more detail about the vaccine in a bit.

0:29:22.520 --> 0:29:27.400
<v Speaker 2>But first, Aaron, First, what the heck where did this

0:29:27.400 --> 0:29:29.880
<v Speaker 2>thing come from? And why does it invade our brains

0:29:29.920 --> 0:29:31.800
<v Speaker 2>and kill us? So rapidly.

0:29:32.400 --> 0:29:33.920
<v Speaker 1>Oh, I don't know if I can answer the why

0:29:34.080 --> 0:29:37.440
<v Speaker 1>to that. I think we're just sort of a bystander.

0:29:37.480 --> 0:29:40.080
<v Speaker 1>I mean, once again, this is we did not plan this.

0:29:40.200 --> 0:29:43.280
<v Speaker 1>But coincidentally we're talking about two things for which humans

0:29:43.280 --> 0:29:46.400
<v Speaker 1>seem to be a bystander, and for which birds are

0:29:46.440 --> 0:29:53.800
<v Speaker 1>heavily involved, birds killing us. I will answer those, no,

0:29:53.920 --> 0:29:57.280
<v Speaker 1>I will. I will attempt to answer those right after

0:29:57.480 --> 0:30:27.680
<v Speaker 1>this break. Okay, ready, Yes, the year was nineteen thirty three.

0:30:27.880 --> 0:30:30.560
<v Speaker 2>I love it when your sections start like this, Aaron.

0:30:32.600 --> 0:30:34.840
<v Speaker 1>I'll do it each time. I also love the little

0:30:34.880 --> 0:30:38.240
<v Speaker 1>cherry picked things that I have here. I'm like, why, okay,

0:30:38.360 --> 0:30:42.320
<v Speaker 1>well whatever, anyway, lots of bad things were happening in

0:30:42.400 --> 0:30:47.280
<v Speaker 1>nineteen thirty three in the US. The Depression was in

0:30:47.320 --> 0:30:52.720
<v Speaker 1>its worst year. Hitler became German Chancellor. The dust Bowl

0:30:52.800 --> 0:30:56.120
<v Speaker 1>was still raging in the Midwest. In the US, an

0:30:56.120 --> 0:30:59.520
<v Speaker 1>earthquake in California caused massive damage in Long Beach. There

0:30:59.520 --> 0:31:03.840
<v Speaker 1>were four fires in Oregon, and horses were dying by

0:31:03.880 --> 0:31:09.600
<v Speaker 1>the dozens. In pockets of the Northeast, particularly along coastal

0:31:09.680 --> 0:31:13.960
<v Speaker 1>or swampy areas of New Jersey, Delaware, and Maryland. Horses

0:31:14.000 --> 0:31:19.719
<v Speaker 1>started acting strange. They started to walk clumsily, their heads

0:31:19.760 --> 0:31:23.280
<v Speaker 1>were only able to look in one direction, and that

0:31:23.400 --> 0:31:27.760
<v Speaker 1>led to them walking in circles and gradually losing mobility

0:31:27.960 --> 0:31:35.920
<v Speaker 1>before dying. About ninety percent of the one thousand horses

0:31:37.280 --> 0:31:42.560
<v Speaker 1>roughly that were affected by this illness died during this epizootic.

0:31:42.720 --> 0:31:47.760
<v Speaker 2>Wow, yeah, that's a lot. That's bad.

0:31:48.320 --> 0:31:53.760
<v Speaker 1>It's really bad. And because this was nineteen thirty three,

0:31:54.000 --> 0:31:57.440
<v Speaker 1>germ theory and microbiology had advanced enough to the point

0:31:57.480 --> 0:32:01.040
<v Speaker 1>where researchers were kind of like, you know, quickly mobilized

0:32:01.080 --> 0:32:04.360
<v Speaker 1>on the case, taking brain samples from these horses that

0:32:04.400 --> 0:32:07.800
<v Speaker 1>had died and seeing if they could isolate whatever pathogen

0:32:07.920 --> 0:32:12.440
<v Speaker 1>was causing this damage. And they figured out pretty quickly

0:32:12.480 --> 0:32:17.280
<v Speaker 1>that it was a transmissible filterable agent, which is essentially

0:32:17.360 --> 0:32:22.120
<v Speaker 1>code for a virus most of the time, or a preon,

0:32:22.320 --> 0:32:27.400
<v Speaker 1>not case, not a preon. And they discovered that it

0:32:27.560 --> 0:32:30.560
<v Speaker 1>was this transmissible filterable agent because they were able to

0:32:30.600 --> 0:32:35.120
<v Speaker 1>successfully inject it, whatever it was, into guinea pigs who

0:32:35.200 --> 0:32:38.080
<v Speaker 1>also died as a result of the same sort.

0:32:37.920 --> 0:32:43.080
<v Speaker 4>Of symptoms, acting like guinea pigs, and the researchers gave

0:32:43.160 --> 0:32:47.920
<v Speaker 4>this virus a name Eastern equine encephalitis virus Eastern.

0:32:47.960 --> 0:32:50.240
<v Speaker 1>Of course, like the etymology is not very exciting for

0:32:50.280 --> 0:32:54.760
<v Speaker 1>this one Eastern because it was in the Eastern US

0:32:55.800 --> 0:32:59.400
<v Speaker 1>equine to indicate that it was found in horses. As

0:32:59.440 --> 0:33:02.920
<v Speaker 1>you've mentioned, encephalitis for all the reasons that you've mentioned,

0:33:04.920 --> 0:33:06.240
<v Speaker 1>like the least exciting.

0:33:05.880 --> 0:33:07.840
<v Speaker 2>Of all of the most are I think boring?

0:33:08.040 --> 0:33:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yep. So, at the time when this virus was

0:33:11.640 --> 0:33:15.480
<v Speaker 1>isolated and named, and many researchers were treating it as

0:33:15.520 --> 0:33:18.680
<v Speaker 1>a new infection that had never been seen before. But

0:33:19.480 --> 0:33:22.640
<v Speaker 1>it didn't take long for people to realize that triple

0:33:22.680 --> 0:33:26.240
<v Speaker 1>E virus had shown up in the northeastern US previously,

0:33:27.240 --> 0:33:30.160
<v Speaker 1>and it only took a few more years to realize

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:34.719
<v Speaker 1>that this epizootic wasn't an isolated one off, that there

0:33:34.720 --> 0:33:38.120
<v Speaker 1>would actually be another outbreak, even within the same decade.

0:33:39.440 --> 0:33:42.760
<v Speaker 1>In nineteen thirty eight, which is five years after this

0:33:42.960 --> 0:33:48.120
<v Speaker 1>massive outbreak in horses took place, another outbreak of TRIPLEY began,

0:33:48.680 --> 0:33:51.600
<v Speaker 1>but this time it wasn't just in horses. Although horses

0:33:51.640 --> 0:33:56.320
<v Speaker 1>were affected, humans especially children, were showing signs of infection

0:33:57.040 --> 0:34:01.720
<v Speaker 1>and also dying at extremely high rate. So in late

0:34:01.800 --> 0:34:05.400
<v Speaker 1>summer and early fall in Massachusetts, particularly the southeastern part

0:34:05.440 --> 0:34:08.560
<v Speaker 1>of the state, there were thirty four cases in humans

0:34:08.880 --> 0:34:12.879
<v Speaker 1>and twenty five deaths. Oh so, oh man, pretty high

0:34:13.600 --> 0:34:14.640
<v Speaker 1>case fatality rate.

0:34:15.160 --> 0:34:17.560
<v Speaker 2>And that's a lot of cases for just a couple

0:34:17.640 --> 0:34:20.120
<v Speaker 2>of months in one state. Like that's a lot.

0:34:20.600 --> 0:34:24.040
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, And like you said, the handful of people that

0:34:24.120 --> 0:34:28.120
<v Speaker 1>did survive had these long term effects. And so because

0:34:28.160 --> 0:34:32.440
<v Speaker 1>of the severity of the disease and the really like

0:34:33.000 --> 0:34:36.080
<v Speaker 1>horrible side effects in the people who did survive, this

0:34:36.200 --> 0:34:40.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of gained really widespread national attention.

0:34:40.719 --> 0:34:44.000
<v Speaker 2>I imagine too because it was primarily affecting children that.

0:34:43.880 --> 0:34:46.319
<v Speaker 1>That way, m hm, yeah, it was when it kind

0:34:46.360 --> 0:34:48.799
<v Speaker 1>of really became apparent that like children were a very

0:34:48.880 --> 0:34:52.160
<v Speaker 1>high risk group for this. Yeah. And so because of

0:34:52.200 --> 0:34:56.000
<v Speaker 1>the severity of this illness, people were started to put

0:34:56.040 --> 0:34:59.640
<v Speaker 1>in the hours to do research. They started to look

0:34:59.640 --> 0:35:03.680
<v Speaker 1>in the past, asked for old epidemics, and they also

0:35:03.840 --> 0:35:07.120
<v Speaker 1>started looking around them to see whether they could determine

0:35:07.120 --> 0:35:10.520
<v Speaker 1>what the source of this current disease outbreak was. And

0:35:10.560 --> 0:35:15.880
<v Speaker 1>people started noticing some unusual deaths among pigeons and ringed

0:35:15.920 --> 0:35:18.879
<v Speaker 1>neck pheasants in the same places that people were getting sick.

0:35:19.640 --> 0:35:22.239
<v Speaker 1>And then researchers were able to isolate the virus from

0:35:22.280 --> 0:35:29.919
<v Speaker 1>some of these birds, and researchers were suspicious that mosquitoes

0:35:29.960 --> 0:35:34.520
<v Speaker 1>were responsible for transmitting the virus or the transmitsible filterable agent,

0:35:35.120 --> 0:35:36.919
<v Speaker 1>but it would take a little bit of time before

0:35:36.920 --> 0:35:40.000
<v Speaker 1>they could pin down the exact species that seemed to

0:35:40.040 --> 0:35:43.360
<v Speaker 1>be the culprit. And part of the reason is because

0:35:43.440 --> 0:35:46.680
<v Speaker 1>a hurricane washed away all of these mosquito collection sites

0:35:46.680 --> 0:35:49.600
<v Speaker 1>in nineteen thirty eight when they were fear at the

0:35:49.640 --> 0:35:50.600
<v Speaker 1>height of their research.

0:35:51.040 --> 0:35:52.840
<v Speaker 2>Just on things on top of things.

0:35:52.920 --> 0:35:57.680
<v Speaker 1>Huh, things on top of things. Okay, So, as I mentioned,

0:35:57.760 --> 0:36:00.839
<v Speaker 1>researchers also realized, hey, this is not and brand new

0:36:00.880 --> 0:36:06.160
<v Speaker 1>disease to humans or to horses. So let's go back

0:36:06.560 --> 0:36:11.760
<v Speaker 1>to eighteen thirty one. Yes, the year was eighteen thirty one,

0:36:12.400 --> 0:36:17.239
<v Speaker 1>just kidding, but just like in nineteen thirty three and

0:36:17.360 --> 0:36:21.040
<v Speaker 1>eighteen thirty one, lots of horses were dying in the Northeast,

0:36:21.200 --> 0:36:25.640
<v Speaker 1>particularly Massachusetts. Not as many as in the nineteen thirty

0:36:25.680 --> 0:36:29.400
<v Speaker 1>three epizootic, but about seventy five horses died in total,

0:36:30.000 --> 0:36:33.359
<v Speaker 1>which you know, thinking about in eighteen thirty one and

0:36:33.520 --> 0:36:36.879
<v Speaker 1>how people you know, used to use horses so much

0:36:36.920 --> 0:36:38.799
<v Speaker 1>more than they did in nineteen thirty three. It would

0:36:38.840 --> 0:36:44.200
<v Speaker 1>have been devastating to the horse's owners and also devastating emotionally.

0:36:44.680 --> 0:36:48.279
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, in terms of like economics and losing a

0:36:48.320 --> 0:36:52.880
<v Speaker 1>horse would have been hugely, hugely devastating, right, And like

0:36:53.040 --> 0:36:57.000
<v Speaker 1>in the nineteen thirty three episolotic the one in eighteen

0:36:57.040 --> 0:37:00.960
<v Speaker 1>thirty one, and horses also occurred in late and had

0:37:01.000 --> 0:37:03.880
<v Speaker 1>a very high mortality rate as well, again close to

0:37:03.960 --> 0:37:09.120
<v Speaker 1>ninety percent. Why is it higher in horses than in humans, Sarin, Uh.

0:37:09.000 --> 0:37:11.239
<v Speaker 2>It's a good question. I've been thinking a lot about

0:37:11.239 --> 0:37:13.400
<v Speaker 2>that ever since you mentioned that, and also you were

0:37:13.440 --> 0:37:15.919
<v Speaker 2>mentioning the like symptoms that you see in horses where

0:37:15.960 --> 0:37:18.359
<v Speaker 2>they have a lot more motor symptoms and like huh

0:37:18.560 --> 0:37:23.439
<v Speaker 2>trouble walking and leaning. Yeah, it's a really good question.

0:37:23.440 --> 0:37:25.640
<v Speaker 2>I don't know enough about veterinary medicine to know, like

0:37:25.680 --> 0:37:29.040
<v Speaker 2>what the differences are in their immune response maybe or what.

0:37:29.320 --> 0:37:34.080
<v Speaker 2>But I wonder if they like have a longer period

0:37:34.200 --> 0:37:37.400
<v Speaker 2>before they deteriorate and that's why you see those motor symptoms,

0:37:37.440 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 2>as it affects their basal ganglia and things like that.

0:37:42.280 --> 0:37:44.840
<v Speaker 2>But yeah, I don't know, maybe they have this interfere

0:37:44.880 --> 0:37:46.840
<v Speaker 2>on or something to begin with. Maybe they just have

0:37:46.920 --> 0:37:52.319
<v Speaker 2>a different I don't know anything about horse immunology, so

0:37:52.400 --> 0:37:55.040
<v Speaker 2>I have no idea, but it's a really interesting question.

0:37:55.560 --> 0:38:01.480
<v Speaker 1>Interesting interesting. So it's also interesting to contrast the eighteen

0:38:01.560 --> 0:38:05.400
<v Speaker 1>thirty one epizootic and the nineteen thirty three epizootic in

0:38:05.480 --> 0:38:10.359
<v Speaker 1>terms of the response, like the scientific response, because if

0:38:10.360 --> 0:38:14.920
<v Speaker 1>you think about eighteen thirty one, germ theory wasn't really

0:38:15.680 --> 0:38:17.719
<v Speaker 1>a thing yet, and so people were like, we have

0:38:17.800 --> 0:38:21.279
<v Speaker 1>no idea what's causing this, And so some of the

0:38:21.360 --> 0:38:25.240
<v Speaker 1>guesses were like, well, the horses that fed on grass

0:38:25.360 --> 0:38:27.360
<v Speaker 1>were the ones who got sick, so there was maybe

0:38:27.400 --> 0:38:28.400
<v Speaker 1>something in the grass.

0:38:28.440 --> 0:38:32.839
<v Speaker 2>What have another thought? Okay, because it sounded like from

0:38:32.880 --> 0:38:35.400
<v Speaker 2>what you were saying, like twenty five out of thirty

0:38:35.680 --> 0:38:39.360
<v Speaker 2>kids died in Massachusetts. That's a lot higher than today.

0:38:39.440 --> 0:38:41.560
<v Speaker 2>So I wonder if it could too have to do

0:38:41.640 --> 0:38:45.440
<v Speaker 2>with supportive care, like today the mortality rate is thirty percent,

0:38:46.040 --> 0:38:49.719
<v Speaker 2>maybe in humans because we have some supportive care in

0:38:49.760 --> 0:38:53.520
<v Speaker 2>the hospital, whereas you're not going to probably intubate a

0:38:53.560 --> 0:38:56.600
<v Speaker 2>horse and try and keep them alive if they've got

0:38:56.600 --> 0:38:59.680
<v Speaker 2>TRIPI I don't know, just a thought.

0:39:00.120 --> 0:39:05.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean that seems definitely possible. Possible, I don't know. Yeah, yeah,

0:39:05.960 --> 0:39:09.960
<v Speaker 1>so like the nineteen thirty eight outbreak was around seventy

0:39:10.160 --> 0:39:12.120
<v Speaker 1>four percent of people.

0:39:12.400 --> 0:39:15.200
<v Speaker 2>Okay, yeah, yeah, so maybe it's just the difference in

0:39:15.280 --> 0:39:19.759
<v Speaker 2>supportive care or something. Yeah, I don't know. Yeah, we're

0:39:20.280 --> 0:39:20.919
<v Speaker 2>guessing here.

0:39:21.880 --> 0:39:26.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, we should stand on not so shaky ground.

0:39:26.480 --> 0:39:29.719
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:39:29.760 --> 0:39:31.560
<v Speaker 1>And so part of the reason that one of the

0:39:31.560 --> 0:39:34.000
<v Speaker 1>guesses was, oh, well, the horses that fed on grass

0:39:34.000 --> 0:39:35.799
<v Speaker 1>were the ones who got sick as opposed to like

0:39:35.880 --> 0:39:38.839
<v Speaker 1>hay in the stables, okay, is because what they were

0:39:38.840 --> 0:39:41.200
<v Speaker 1>seeing was that horses that were kept on the pasture

0:39:41.520 --> 0:39:44.000
<v Speaker 1>seemed to be more likely to be sick than the

0:39:44.000 --> 0:39:47.560
<v Speaker 1>ones who stayed in the stable. And so the miasma

0:39:47.680 --> 0:39:51.799
<v Speaker 1>explanation almost kind of worked in this case. But you know,

0:39:51.960 --> 0:39:56.000
<v Speaker 1>let's go to the treatments. So treatments were not helpful

0:39:56.360 --> 0:39:59.800
<v Speaker 1>for horses. Mostly, as you heard in the first hand account,

0:40:00.160 --> 0:40:02.360
<v Speaker 1>it was to drain the horse of a couple of

0:40:02.400 --> 0:40:03.360
<v Speaker 1>gallons of blood.

0:40:04.200 --> 0:40:07.680
<v Speaker 2>The one and only thing I remember from our Michigan day, Aaron,

0:40:07.840 --> 0:40:11.040
<v Speaker 2>was that we had someone in the middle of our presentation,

0:40:11.239 --> 0:40:13.799
<v Speaker 2>Google how money gallons of blood does a horse have?

0:40:14.480 --> 0:40:19.280
<v Speaker 1>Yeah? I loved that. I think that they also googled,

0:40:19.320 --> 0:40:23.560
<v Speaker 1>like several other things for us. Yeah, an auto fact checker.

0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:25.920
<v Speaker 1>But do you remember how many gallons of blood a

0:40:25.960 --> 0:40:26.399
<v Speaker 1>horse has?

0:40:26.680 --> 0:40:28.360
<v Speaker 2>No? Now I'm gonna have to google it for myself.

0:40:28.880 --> 0:40:35.799
<v Speaker 1>Okay, twelve point three. Did you get that from the

0:40:35.840 --> 0:40:37.080
<v Speaker 1>horse dot com?

0:40:37.120 --> 0:40:43.160
<v Speaker 2>I got it, Yeah, the horse dot com. It's gotta

0:40:43.200 --> 0:40:44.680
<v Speaker 2>be a legit website. Right.

0:40:46.440 --> 0:40:50.120
<v Speaker 1>Oh see, now I'm seeing different responses here. Okay, so

0:40:50.160 --> 0:40:52.920
<v Speaker 1>it seems like, I mean, horses aren't coming all different

0:40:52.920 --> 0:40:55.880
<v Speaker 1>shapes and sizes. So if you have a massive horse,

0:40:56.239 --> 0:40:59.000
<v Speaker 1>it could be fifteen gallons fifteen gallons, let's say like

0:40:59.040 --> 0:41:00.000
<v Speaker 1>ten to fifteen gallons.

0:41:00.400 --> 0:41:01.600
<v Speaker 2>Sure, that sounds reasonable.

0:41:01.760 --> 0:41:03.120
<v Speaker 1>So a fifth of your blood.

0:41:03.520 --> 0:41:04.600
<v Speaker 2>That's a lot of blood.

0:41:04.920 --> 0:41:07.960
<v Speaker 1>It's a lot of blood, and it's not going to

0:41:08.040 --> 0:41:15.000
<v Speaker 1>do you any good. Okay. But after this relatively short

0:41:15.000 --> 0:41:19.120
<v Speaker 1>lived epizootic ran its course, it kind of just faded

0:41:19.160 --> 0:41:22.880
<v Speaker 1>from memory because it showed up again in eighteen forty

0:41:22.920 --> 0:41:26.000
<v Speaker 1>seven in horses again and people were like, oh my gosh,

0:41:26.040 --> 0:41:28.920
<v Speaker 1>there's this new disease. It's horrible. It's killing our horses.

0:41:29.000 --> 0:41:30.440
<v Speaker 1>We don't know where it came from.

0:41:30.400 --> 0:41:33.200
<v Speaker 2>So interesting that it fades from memory so quickly.

0:41:34.160 --> 0:41:36.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean, but it's so I think it was so

0:41:36.560 --> 0:41:39.240
<v Speaker 1>localized in eighteen thirty one.

0:41:39.560 --> 0:41:43.000
<v Speaker 2>It didn't happen to the same individual people that second time.

0:41:43.040 --> 0:41:45.520
<v Speaker 1>Maybe right, And I don't think I mean it maybe

0:41:45.520 --> 0:41:47.399
<v Speaker 1>it did happen in the same region, but I also

0:41:47.440 --> 0:41:51.560
<v Speaker 1>don't think that's like, you know, you can't google if

0:41:51.560 --> 0:41:55.000
<v Speaker 1>you're in eighteen forty seven, you can't google horse disease. Yes,

0:41:55.440 --> 0:41:58.960
<v Speaker 1>it's true, So there were probably many other things on

0:41:59.000 --> 0:42:02.520
<v Speaker 1>their minds as well. Okay, so all of this had

0:42:02.560 --> 0:42:07.400
<v Speaker 1>happened before, meaning Triple E outbreaks in humans and in horses,

0:42:07.880 --> 0:42:10.640
<v Speaker 1>But what had taken so long for it to return?

0:42:11.360 --> 0:42:13.800
<v Speaker 1>And since the nineteen thirty three outbreak in horses in

0:42:13.840 --> 0:42:17.160
<v Speaker 1>the nineteen thirty eight outbreak in humans, Triple E virus

0:42:17.560 --> 0:42:21.759
<v Speaker 1>has continued an upward climb in human cases, or at

0:42:21.840 --> 0:42:25.480
<v Speaker 1>least in the frequency of outbreaks, which is, you know,

0:42:25.520 --> 0:42:28.120
<v Speaker 1>a pretty big concern for the people who live in

0:42:28.160 --> 0:42:32.799
<v Speaker 1>these high risk areas, right, Okay, So, but in order

0:42:32.840 --> 0:42:37.240
<v Speaker 1>to answer why it seemingly disappeared for about one hundred years,

0:42:37.560 --> 0:42:40.439
<v Speaker 1>because from eighteen forty seven to nineteen thirty three. There's

0:42:40.480 --> 0:42:43.600
<v Speaker 1>not There doesn't seem to be any outbreaks, or at

0:42:43.640 --> 0:42:47.000
<v Speaker 1>least notable outbreaks that I could find. And so to

0:42:47.040 --> 0:42:49.279
<v Speaker 1>answer why it disappeared and then also why it's on

0:42:49.320 --> 0:42:52.800
<v Speaker 1>the rise now, we have to look back at history.

0:42:53.320 --> 0:42:56.719
<v Speaker 1>But we have to do that through the lens of ecology, which.

0:42:56.520 --> 0:42:59.600
<v Speaker 2>Is our favorite, our favorite.

0:42:59.800 --> 0:43:02.520
<v Speaker 1>All right, So we already talked a little bit about

0:43:02.560 --> 0:43:07.279
<v Speaker 1>the ecology of triple E virus, but let's kind of

0:43:07.680 --> 0:43:10.719
<v Speaker 1>go into it again in a little more detail. Yeah,

0:43:10.960 --> 0:43:12.640
<v Speaker 1>all right, So, first of all, we know about the

0:43:12.640 --> 0:43:16.040
<v Speaker 1>triple virus itself. We don't need to cover that again.

0:43:16.880 --> 0:43:20.400
<v Speaker 1>The mosquito. The mosquito species that's most closely associated with

0:43:20.600 --> 0:43:26.120
<v Speaker 1>triple virus again is Cula seta melanura. And we have

0:43:26.280 --> 0:43:30.000
<v Speaker 1>not talked about this mosquito on any other episodes of

0:43:30.040 --> 0:43:34.080
<v Speaker 1>the podcast before, even though we've done like a fair

0:43:34.200 --> 0:43:37.360
<v Speaker 1>number of mosquito born diseases at this point. And the

0:43:37.400 --> 0:43:39.479
<v Speaker 1>reason for that is kind of what I've already said.

0:43:39.520 --> 0:43:42.160
<v Speaker 1>This is not a human biter, and so it's not

0:43:42.239 --> 0:43:47.640
<v Speaker 1>really associated with many human diseases like Danngey, yellow fever, Zeka, etcetera.

0:43:47.719 --> 0:43:49.880
<v Speaker 1>Some of the ones that we've covered and so we

0:43:49.920 --> 0:43:51.719
<v Speaker 1>haven't really had much of a reason to talk about

0:43:51.719 --> 0:43:55.600
<v Speaker 1>it before. Yeah, but this mosquito isn't really even a

0:43:55.680 --> 0:43:59.200
<v Speaker 1>mammal biter at all. Like I said, it feeds on birds.

0:44:00.120 --> 0:44:03.040
<v Speaker 1>And so this mosquito species can be found over a

0:44:03.120 --> 0:44:07.400
<v Speaker 1>pretty wide range geographically, so from like the southeastern provinces

0:44:07.400 --> 0:44:11.080
<v Speaker 1>of Canada, throughout the eastern US and some southern states

0:44:11.120 --> 0:44:15.960
<v Speaker 1>along the Gulf. They require fresh water, wooded swamps or

0:44:16.040 --> 0:44:19.920
<v Speaker 1>Sphagnum bogs with little water filled hollows in fallen trees

0:44:20.680 --> 0:44:24.200
<v Speaker 1>in order to lay eggs for the larvae to develop.

0:44:24.920 --> 0:44:29.400
<v Speaker 1>Interesting trees and water right typically standing water or at

0:44:29.480 --> 0:44:32.759
<v Speaker 1>least water at like the soil level. And after the

0:44:32.840 --> 0:44:35.880
<v Speaker 1>larva develop these little nooks and crannies, adult mosquitoes then

0:44:35.960 --> 0:44:40.120
<v Speaker 1>happily emerge to feed on whatever birds are around, and

0:44:40.719 --> 0:44:46.719
<v Speaker 1>those birds tend to be water dwelling birds, although not

0:44:47.440 --> 0:44:50.200
<v Speaker 1>one hundred percent of the time. There was a study

0:44:50.200 --> 0:44:53.480
<v Speaker 1>in Massachusetts that examined the blood meals of mosquitoes. Of

0:44:53.520 --> 0:44:56.880
<v Speaker 1>these mosquitoes both inside and outside of a swamp, and

0:44:56.920 --> 0:45:00.600
<v Speaker 1>in both times, nearly ninety nine percent of blood meals

0:45:00.640 --> 0:45:03.640
<v Speaker 1>were from a bird host. Okay, so it's like a

0:45:03.800 --> 0:45:07.120
<v Speaker 1>very specific feeding patterns, very very specific.

0:45:07.480 --> 0:45:08.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:45:08.600 --> 0:45:11.480
<v Speaker 1>So then the virus basically continues in this natural cycle,

0:45:11.600 --> 0:45:15.480
<v Speaker 1>so in birds in mosquitoes, and birds and mosquitoes, So

0:45:15.560 --> 0:45:20.640
<v Speaker 1>from year to year, it's not really entirely clear how

0:45:20.680 --> 0:45:25.960
<v Speaker 1>it overwinters. It either overwinters in birds, although that seems

0:45:26.040 --> 0:45:29.120
<v Speaker 1>less likely because birds do recover from infection or they die.

0:45:30.200 --> 0:45:32.840
<v Speaker 1>There are like some birds, some birds don't seem to

0:45:32.880 --> 0:45:35.560
<v Speaker 1>be affected at all, and some birds die within a

0:45:35.560 --> 0:45:38.719
<v Speaker 1>few days of being infected, at least experimentally, So.

0:45:38.640 --> 0:45:39.799
<v Speaker 2>It's a lot like West Nile.

0:45:40.000 --> 0:45:44.799
<v Speaker 1>I feel like, right, there's very varying susceptibility among abi

0:45:44.840 --> 0:45:49.439
<v Speaker 1>and host birds. Okay, yeah, and some birds contribute more

0:45:49.560 --> 0:45:57.160
<v Speaker 1>than to the viral prevalence. Yeah, but yeah, humans, horses, pigs,

0:45:57.320 --> 0:45:59.000
<v Speaker 1>so I don't think I don't think you mentioned pigs,

0:45:59.000 --> 0:46:00.960
<v Speaker 1>but pigs have also been shown to be infected with

0:46:01.040 --> 0:46:03.480
<v Speaker 1>triple A virus. These are all dead and hosts, as

0:46:03.480 --> 0:46:05.759
<v Speaker 1>we talked about, so they don't contribute to the circulation

0:46:06.000 --> 0:46:09.319
<v Speaker 1>of the virus in the environment. So like, basically what

0:46:09.360 --> 0:46:11.600
<v Speaker 1>that means is that if a mosquito, let's say that

0:46:11.640 --> 0:46:14.120
<v Speaker 1>a horse got infected with the virus, and then a

0:46:14.200 --> 0:46:18.160
<v Speaker 1>mosquito that was uninfected bit that horse, it probably wouldn't

0:46:18.160 --> 0:46:21.239
<v Speaker 1>get enough virus to be able to replicate in that mosquito,

0:46:21.840 --> 0:46:26.839
<v Speaker 1>And then it would also take the appropriate mosquito species

0:46:27.280 --> 0:46:30.760
<v Speaker 1>to bite that horse, which tends to be unlikely given

0:46:30.880 --> 0:46:36.200
<v Speaker 1>the low biting frequency outside of birds. Right, Okay, so

0:46:36.239 --> 0:46:39.040
<v Speaker 1>how on earth do humans or horses or pigs ever

0:46:39.080 --> 0:46:42.000
<v Speaker 1>get infected? And it turns out the answer is not

0:46:42.080 --> 0:46:45.840
<v Speaker 1>that straightforward, as I mentioned earlier, because the disagreement on

0:46:45.840 --> 0:46:51.360
<v Speaker 1>whether these bridge vector species actually contribute to infection. Okay,

0:46:51.400 --> 0:46:53.600
<v Speaker 1>but first let's talk about sort of this year to

0:46:53.719 --> 0:46:58.440
<v Speaker 1>year variation in outbreaks, because some years we see a

0:46:58.480 --> 0:47:01.560
<v Speaker 1>big increase in case some years we see none at all,

0:47:02.120 --> 0:47:06.000
<v Speaker 1>And because this is so rare, it's kind of we

0:47:06.040 --> 0:47:08.520
<v Speaker 1>don't have good enough data to kind of make clear

0:47:08.520 --> 0:47:10.680
<v Speaker 1>cut answers on this. But what it seems to be

0:47:11.080 --> 0:47:14.279
<v Speaker 1>is that it comes down to, you know, mosquito ecology.

0:47:14.440 --> 0:47:18.279
<v Speaker 1>So mosquitoes, because they live outside, are super dependent on

0:47:18.440 --> 0:47:21.719
<v Speaker 1>environmental conditions and the weather. So let's say that there

0:47:21.880 --> 0:47:24.080
<v Speaker 1>was like a super rainy season last year and a

0:47:24.120 --> 0:47:27.600
<v Speaker 1>hot and humid and early summer this year, and that

0:47:27.680 --> 0:47:32.200
<v Speaker 1>could mean, you know, higher warm water for these mosquitoes

0:47:32.320 --> 0:47:35.000
<v Speaker 1>to lay their eggs in the little nooks and crannies

0:47:35.040 --> 0:47:39.279
<v Speaker 1>of the trees and then develop more quickly. And then

0:47:39.400 --> 0:47:44.960
<v Speaker 1>the viral replication itself also depends on external temperature, and

0:47:45.040 --> 0:47:46.879
<v Speaker 1>so that could mean, you know, so let's say last

0:47:46.920 --> 0:47:51.719
<v Speaker 1>year twenty nineteen was rainy and hot in some of

0:47:51.800 --> 0:47:56.120
<v Speaker 1>these more you know, swampy or boggy areas, then maybe

0:47:56.160 --> 0:47:58.160
<v Speaker 1>this year we would have a higher cases of triple

0:47:58.160 --> 0:48:03.120
<v Speaker 1>A virus. And then geographically, the variation has a lot

0:48:03.160 --> 0:48:07.279
<v Speaker 1>to do with these larger weather or climate patterns and

0:48:07.400 --> 0:48:10.080
<v Speaker 1>also just how much mosquito habitat there is for this

0:48:10.120 --> 0:48:13.360
<v Speaker 1>particular mosquito. All right, but let's look at some of

0:48:13.400 --> 0:48:16.920
<v Speaker 1>these larger overall trends in the frequency of outbreaks, so

0:48:17.000 --> 0:48:20.960
<v Speaker 1>like more on this larger time time scale. Okay, okay,

0:48:21.000 --> 0:48:23.720
<v Speaker 1>So remember people get infected by the bite of mosquito,

0:48:23.760 --> 0:48:26.560
<v Speaker 1>whether it's Keela seta melenura or this bridge vector species.

0:48:26.840 --> 0:48:29.920
<v Speaker 1>But in either case, those mosquitoes have to be infected

0:48:30.480 --> 0:48:34.319
<v Speaker 1>by a bird, and these birds tend to live in

0:48:34.360 --> 0:48:37.200
<v Speaker 1>these boggy, swampy areas. And so you think, as a

0:48:37.239 --> 0:48:39.520
<v Speaker 1>human you'd have to be pretty close to those in

0:48:39.600 --> 0:48:42.839
<v Speaker 1>order to get infected, right, all right, So let's talk

0:48:42.880 --> 0:48:45.880
<v Speaker 1>about the history of swamps and bogs in the northeast,

0:48:46.040 --> 0:48:50.760
<v Speaker 1>particularly Massachusetts. And I'm using Massachusetts as a case study

0:48:50.800 --> 0:48:55.080
<v Speaker 1>because that's where triple E cases have been the highest

0:48:55.239 --> 0:48:58.520
<v Speaker 1>and the outbreaks that seemed to impact the most. All right,

0:48:58.560 --> 0:49:01.560
<v Speaker 1>So during the two hundred year pero from around sixteen

0:49:01.640 --> 0:49:07.040
<v Speaker 1>fifty to eighteen fifty, European settlers essentially stripped the land

0:49:07.360 --> 0:49:11.680
<v Speaker 1>of forest and wetlands. They used pines for masts on ships.

0:49:11.719 --> 0:49:15.680
<v Speaker 1>These cedar swamps were destroyed to make shingles, posts, barrels.

0:49:16.280 --> 0:49:20.319
<v Speaker 1>Other forests were used for lumber, firewood, and charcoal, or

0:49:20.400 --> 0:49:24.120
<v Speaker 1>they were cleared entirely to make room for agricultural fields.

0:49:25.120 --> 0:49:28.640
<v Speaker 1>And by the mid eighteen hundreds, deforestation was at its

0:49:28.760 --> 0:49:33.839
<v Speaker 1>peak in Massachusetts and the countryside was like naked It

0:49:33.880 --> 0:49:38.760
<v Speaker 1>was nothing left. Henry David Threaux, who wrote Walden, said

0:49:38.920 --> 0:49:44.040
<v Speaker 1>about conquered Massachusetts around this time, of the primitive wood woodland,

0:49:44.040 --> 0:49:47.240
<v Speaker 1>which was woodland when the town was settled, I know none,

0:49:48.400 --> 0:49:51.360
<v Speaker 1>and so as you can guess, this massive deforestation caused

0:49:51.600 --> 0:49:57.000
<v Speaker 1>enormous cascading ecological effects and especially relevant to triple E

0:49:57.719 --> 0:50:02.320
<v Speaker 1>bird numbers and species richness declined, and Kulasata melanura also

0:50:02.480 --> 0:50:06.560
<v Speaker 1>lost the swampy habitat that it needed to survive, and

0:50:06.680 --> 0:50:09.799
<v Speaker 1>starting in the second half of the eighteen hundreds, reforestation

0:50:09.920 --> 0:50:12.760
<v Speaker 1>picked back up because people were like, uh, we can't

0:50:13.440 --> 0:50:17.640
<v Speaker 1>continue to over exploit the land because there's nothing left,

0:50:17.760 --> 0:50:20.880
<v Speaker 1>like we have really you know, put ourselves in a

0:50:20.960 --> 0:50:25.240
<v Speaker 1>very bad situation by doing this already. And also people

0:50:25.280 --> 0:50:29.200
<v Speaker 1>were started to abandon these unproductive farms to move to cities.

0:50:29.719 --> 0:50:31.960
<v Speaker 1>So it sort of both the conscious decision of we

0:50:32.040 --> 0:50:36.480
<v Speaker 1>need to reforest and also just sort of it happened

0:50:36.520 --> 0:50:41.040
<v Speaker 1>naturally as people stopped using the wood for farms and whatnot.

0:50:41.680 --> 0:50:44.920
<v Speaker 1>And so this meant that forest cover increased greatly throughout

0:50:44.960 --> 0:50:48.640
<v Speaker 1>the early twentieth century, with wetland restoration lagging a bit

0:50:48.680 --> 0:50:52.759
<v Speaker 1>behind deciduous forests. But ultimately what this meant was more

0:50:52.840 --> 0:50:57.839
<v Speaker 1>habitat for birds and mosquitoes and thus triple A virus,

0:50:58.200 --> 0:51:02.080
<v Speaker 1>and several researchers point towards this large scale landscape change

0:51:02.160 --> 0:51:05.000
<v Speaker 1>as being a cause of the reappearance of the virus

0:51:05.000 --> 0:51:08.040
<v Speaker 1>in the nineteen thirties and why it has stuck around

0:51:08.080 --> 0:51:12.960
<v Speaker 1>ever since then. But before you take up your chainsaws

0:51:13.440 --> 0:51:17.000
<v Speaker 1>to reclearcut the forest of New England and drain the

0:51:17.040 --> 0:51:21.520
<v Speaker 1>swamps and bogs, consider please that it's not the mere

0:51:21.600 --> 0:51:24.920
<v Speaker 1>existence of these habitats that leads to these triple the outbreaks.

0:51:25.400 --> 0:51:28.880
<v Speaker 1>But really it's sort of the way that we develop

0:51:29.000 --> 0:51:35.400
<v Speaker 1>suburban communities, especially the residential ones with these areas. And

0:51:35.440 --> 0:51:38.560
<v Speaker 1>so these a lot of these suburban neighborhoods tend to

0:51:38.719 --> 0:51:43.440
<v Speaker 1>creep into and on the borders of these wetlands, and

0:51:43.480 --> 0:51:46.840
<v Speaker 1>so that's where you have this Like once you do that,

0:51:46.880 --> 0:51:49.680
<v Speaker 1>once you get closer to that, that means that you're

0:51:49.719 --> 0:51:53.480
<v Speaker 1>just more likely to come into contact with these infected

0:51:53.520 --> 0:51:59.520
<v Speaker 1>mosquito species. And also, wetland conservation is hugely important for

0:51:59.560 --> 0:52:02.920
<v Speaker 1>flood pre protection and healthy water supply, and they provide

0:52:02.920 --> 0:52:06.600
<v Speaker 1>these amazing habitats for diverse and unique communities of plants

0:52:06.600 --> 0:52:10.640
<v Speaker 1>and animals. And so by the time this episode comes out,

0:52:11.200 --> 0:52:14.839
<v Speaker 1>it will have been roughly a week after Earth Day.

0:52:15.560 --> 0:52:19.480
<v Speaker 1>Oh cool, Earth is April twenty second, tomorrow, a couple

0:52:19.560 --> 0:52:22.520
<v Speaker 1>days from now, a couple days from now and Earth Day,

0:52:22.680 --> 0:52:24.680
<v Speaker 1>it'll be the fiftieth anniversary of Earth Day.

0:52:25.280 --> 0:52:26.040
<v Speaker 2>How exciting.

0:52:26.160 --> 0:52:30.040
<v Speaker 1>Wow, Happy late Earth Day everyone, So let's just keep

0:52:30.040 --> 0:52:30.840
<v Speaker 1>that spirit going.

0:52:31.280 --> 0:52:35.239
<v Speaker 2>Yes, we are certainly not anti wetland. No, no, no

0:52:35.880 --> 0:52:37.960
<v Speaker 2>pro forest pro wetland over here.

0:52:38.040 --> 0:52:40.200
<v Speaker 1>I think it's I think it's just a really interesting

0:52:40.239 --> 0:52:44.600
<v Speaker 1>example of how large scale landscape change can influence disease transmission,

0:52:44.760 --> 0:52:46.160
<v Speaker 1>particularly zoonotic diseases.

0:52:46.440 --> 0:52:47.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, definitely.

0:52:47.960 --> 0:52:50.640
<v Speaker 1>So from these outbreaks on nineteen thirties to the last

0:52:50.640 --> 0:52:54.240
<v Speaker 1>decade or so, we've seen sporadic human cases here and there,

0:52:54.520 --> 0:52:57.919
<v Speaker 1>largely restricted to the northeastern US, but we have seen

0:52:57.960 --> 0:53:02.000
<v Speaker 1>more horse outbreaks. But since that time we've seen both

0:53:02.000 --> 0:53:04.239
<v Speaker 1>an increase in the frequency of cases and in their

0:53:04.239 --> 0:53:07.840
<v Speaker 1>geographic distribution. And because this is a vector born disease,

0:53:08.040 --> 0:53:11.040
<v Speaker 1>teasing apart, the cause of this re emergency is tricky

0:53:11.320 --> 0:53:13.680
<v Speaker 1>because it depends on so many factors. So, like I

0:53:13.719 --> 0:53:17.480
<v Speaker 1>talked about increased rainfall one year, re establishment of wetlands,

0:53:17.640 --> 0:53:20.959
<v Speaker 1>or development of human dwellings in close proximity to these

0:53:21.360 --> 0:53:23.879
<v Speaker 1>wetland areas, or any sort of habitat where a quela

0:53:23.920 --> 0:53:27.760
<v Speaker 1>seta melinura likes to lay its eggs, So many things

0:53:27.760 --> 0:53:30.719
<v Speaker 1>can play a role in this, and although this is

0:53:30.760 --> 0:53:33.879
<v Speaker 1>a rare disease, it can be extremely deadly and that

0:53:33.920 --> 0:53:36.880
<v Speaker 1>can lead to a fear response, sometimes out of proportion

0:53:36.960 --> 0:53:41.160
<v Speaker 1>to the actual risk. A lot of controversy surrounds the

0:53:41.239 --> 0:53:46.000
<v Speaker 1>control measures that are often used to try to prevent infections,

0:53:46.640 --> 0:53:49.359
<v Speaker 1>and there are these questions like should there be widespread

0:53:49.400 --> 0:53:53.080
<v Speaker 1>aerial spraying with insecticides or is that just asking for

0:53:53.120 --> 0:53:58.040
<v Speaker 1>another ecological disaster? Is public education effective or is it

0:53:58.080 --> 0:54:00.719
<v Speaker 1>even enough? Are we in for a bad year of

0:54:00.719 --> 0:54:04.880
<v Speaker 1>triple A virus? Aaron, what do you think? Where do

0:54:04.960 --> 0:54:06.360
<v Speaker 1>we stand with tripoli today?

0:54:06.800 --> 0:54:38.520
<v Speaker 2>Oh, let's talk about it right after this break. So

0:54:39.560 --> 0:54:44.840
<v Speaker 2>TRIPLEI is unsurprisingly a nationally notifiable disease, right because it's

0:54:45.040 --> 0:54:50.319
<v Speaker 2>pretty devastating. So let's talk about how many cases we

0:54:50.360 --> 0:54:55.279
<v Speaker 2>tend to see in the US per year. From two

0:54:55.320 --> 0:54:59.640
<v Speaker 2>thousand and nine to twenty eighteen, so about the last

0:54:59.680 --> 0:55:04.600
<v Speaker 2>ten y, on average, there were seven cases per year,

0:55:05.000 --> 0:55:08.520
<v Speaker 2>and that ranged from three in two thousand and nine

0:55:08.640 --> 0:55:13.960
<v Speaker 2>to fifteen in twenty twelve. Okay, okay, So like pretty

0:55:14.080 --> 0:55:17.520
<v Speaker 2>rare and like not a huge amount of variation year

0:55:17.560 --> 0:55:21.920
<v Speaker 2>to year from two thousand and nine to twenty eighteen. Now,

0:55:22.800 --> 0:55:24.920
<v Speaker 2>in total. I will say that entire period there was

0:55:24.920 --> 0:55:27.560
<v Speaker 2>only seventy two cases in total.

0:55:28.600 --> 0:55:33.000
<v Speaker 1>Could you extrapolate upwards and say, if that's four percent,

0:55:33.640 --> 0:55:35.439
<v Speaker 1>then there were X number of people who were likely

0:55:35.480 --> 0:55:36.560
<v Speaker 1>exposed to the virus?

0:55:37.560 --> 0:55:38.320
<v Speaker 2>Sure, let's do that.

0:55:38.600 --> 0:55:40.640
<v Speaker 1>Is that Is that a reasonable extrapolation?

0:55:41.120 --> 0:55:45.120
<v Speaker 2>That's a good question theoretically? Why not? If we think

0:55:45.120 --> 0:55:48.800
<v Speaker 2>that ninety six percent of people are asymptomatic, then yeah,

0:55:48.840 --> 0:55:52.120
<v Speaker 2>if there were seventy two known cases that were reported,

0:55:52.880 --> 0:55:56.880
<v Speaker 2>then how many cases is that total over that time period?

0:55:57.560 --> 0:55:59.680
<v Speaker 2>I actually have no idea how you do that math?

0:56:00.560 --> 0:56:04.000
<v Speaker 1>Seventy six over ax equals four over one hundred and

0:56:04.040 --> 0:56:04.560
<v Speaker 1>then find the.

0:56:04.680 --> 0:56:11.680
<v Speaker 3>X seventy two terms one hundred divided by four eighteen

0:56:11.760 --> 0:56:15.359
<v Speaker 3>hundred cases over about ten years.

0:56:15.400 --> 0:56:17.239
<v Speaker 1>Still pretty low prevalence.

0:56:16.840 --> 0:56:21.279
<v Speaker 2>Pretty low? Yeah, absolutely, Now that was two thousand and

0:56:21.360 --> 0:56:28.120
<v Speaker 2>nine to twenty eighteen. What about twenty nineteen. There's a

0:56:28.200 --> 0:56:31.840
<v Speaker 2>reason that we did this as a live episode in Michigan,

0:56:32.040 --> 0:56:36.400
<v Speaker 2>and that is that twenty nineteen was far and away

0:56:37.239 --> 0:56:40.480
<v Speaker 2>the worst year of Triple E in a very long time.

0:56:41.440 --> 0:56:44.840
<v Speaker 2>As of December seventeenth, twenty nineteen, there were a total

0:56:44.840 --> 0:56:47.920
<v Speaker 2>of thirty eight confirmed cases of triple e in the

0:56:48.000 --> 0:56:53.920
<v Speaker 2>United States, including fifteen deaths. Wow, yep, that is more

0:56:54.000 --> 0:56:57.400
<v Speaker 2>than twice the maximum of the last ten years.

0:56:57.719 --> 0:57:01.320
<v Speaker 1>That's very okay, why great question.

0:57:02.520 --> 0:57:05.439
<v Speaker 2>I don't know. I mean, it likely was a lot

0:57:05.480 --> 0:57:07.560
<v Speaker 2>of what you said, right, like a bad year for

0:57:07.680 --> 0:57:09.959
<v Speaker 2>rainfall the year before or something like that. But what's

0:57:10.040 --> 0:57:15.680
<v Speaker 2>interesting is that these cases happened in number of different areas.

0:57:15.680 --> 0:57:18.960
<v Speaker 2>It wasn't just all in one spot. The two states'

0:57:18.960 --> 0:57:25.640
<v Speaker 2>most hardest hit last year were Massachusetts and Michigan. So

0:57:25.840 --> 0:57:30.040
<v Speaker 2>in Massachusetts there were twelve confirmed human cases and ten

0:57:30.080 --> 0:57:34.080
<v Speaker 2>confirmed deaths. Now, there was also a large increase in

0:57:34.120 --> 0:57:38.200
<v Speaker 2>the number of animal cases last year as well. There

0:57:38.240 --> 0:57:41.320
<v Speaker 2>were in Michigan forty eight cases of tripoli and animals

0:57:41.520 --> 0:57:46.960
<v Speaker 2>last year. So yeah, it's a good question. I don't

0:57:46.960 --> 0:57:50.480
<v Speaker 2>think that we have a full handle on exactly how

0:57:50.520 --> 0:57:52.720
<v Speaker 2>to predict which years are going to be the worst.

0:57:53.040 --> 0:57:57.800
<v Speaker 2>Like Fauci said in that article, right, he wasn't the

0:57:57.840 --> 0:58:00.520
<v Speaker 2>first author, but it was Moran's at all. Come on,

0:58:00.600 --> 0:58:03.800
<v Speaker 2>Born at all said in that article, we need to

0:58:03.840 --> 0:58:06.160
<v Speaker 2>do better research to be able to answer those types

0:58:06.160 --> 0:58:08.400
<v Speaker 2>of questions, right, We need to have a better handle

0:58:08.440 --> 0:58:11.560
<v Speaker 2>on what are the factors that contribute to whether or

0:58:11.600 --> 0:58:14.160
<v Speaker 2>not we're going to have a bad year. Right now,

0:58:14.240 --> 0:58:18.280
<v Speaker 2>the only good news about this is that, so you

0:58:18.440 --> 0:58:21.640
<v Speaker 2>kind of mentioned where this tends to be a disease

0:58:21.720 --> 0:58:23.880
<v Speaker 2>that's common, right, It's on the East Coast, a lot

0:58:23.880 --> 0:58:26.640
<v Speaker 2>of it in the Northeast, but also along the East

0:58:26.640 --> 0:58:29.600
<v Speaker 2>Coast and the Gulf Coast as well as the Great

0:58:29.640 --> 0:58:30.280
<v Speaker 2>Lakes region.

0:58:30.880 --> 0:58:31.160
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:58:31.600 --> 0:58:34.360
<v Speaker 2>So the other states that had reported cases last year

0:58:34.440 --> 0:58:40.800
<v Speaker 2>include Alabama, Connecticut, Georgia, Indiana, New Jersey, North Carolina, Rhode Island,

0:58:40.840 --> 0:58:42.880
<v Speaker 2>and Tennessee.

0:58:43.120 --> 0:58:44.240
<v Speaker 1>What's the good news in.

0:58:44.240 --> 0:58:51.360
<v Speaker 2>This most most of those areas have like a mosquito season, gotcha, Okay,

0:58:51.480 --> 0:58:55.960
<v Speaker 2>So at least it's over for now effectively, right, although

0:58:56.000 --> 0:58:58.640
<v Speaker 2>now it's springtime, so welcome back.

0:58:59.360 --> 0:59:00.320
<v Speaker 1>Yep.

0:59:01.920 --> 0:59:03.720
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So that's that's the only good news is like,

0:59:03.760 --> 0:59:06.160
<v Speaker 2>at least it's over for now, we can hope that

0:59:06.200 --> 0:59:07.240
<v Speaker 2>this year is going to be better.

0:59:07.720 --> 0:59:09.640
<v Speaker 1>And that's the other thing too, is that it seems

0:59:09.680 --> 0:59:12.520
<v Speaker 1>to be based on when these cases happen, It does

0:59:12.520 --> 0:59:16.480
<v Speaker 1>seem to be like in a very narrow time window

0:59:16.560 --> 0:59:19.760
<v Speaker 1>throughout the year, particularly in the northern in the more

0:59:19.800 --> 0:59:23.560
<v Speaker 1>northern places where mosquito season is so concentrated.

0:59:23.800 --> 0:59:25.360
<v Speaker 2>Yep, which makes sense.

0:59:25.880 --> 0:59:29.000
<v Speaker 1>You can sort of heighten your vigilance during that time,

0:59:29.040 --> 0:59:30.720
<v Speaker 1>I guess.

0:59:30.880 --> 0:59:33.920
<v Speaker 2>So that's where we stand in terms of the number

0:59:33.920 --> 0:59:39.600
<v Speaker 2>of cases of tripoli. You asked about a vaccine.

0:59:39.600 --> 0:59:40.960
<v Speaker 1>Because there's one for horses.

0:59:41.280 --> 0:59:44.800
<v Speaker 2>There is one for horses. It is a whole killed

0:59:45.120 --> 0:59:51.440
<v Speaker 2>virus vaccine. It's not great even for horses, so from

0:59:52.040 --> 0:59:55.160
<v Speaker 2>what I have gathered. For some reason, and this is

0:59:55.240 --> 1:00:00.320
<v Speaker 2>very interesting considering that we believe that if you are

1:00:00.400 --> 1:00:05.280
<v Speaker 2>infected with tripolei virus, you do mount a good immune

1:00:05.320 --> 1:00:10.120
<v Speaker 2>response and are then prevented from getting infected again. But

1:00:10.240 --> 1:00:13.280
<v Speaker 2>for some reason, the vaccine that we've tried to develop

1:00:13.320 --> 1:00:15.560
<v Speaker 2>for humans, and that we even have for horses and

1:00:15.640 --> 1:00:20.920
<v Speaker 2>other animals, it doesn't generate a very good immune response

1:00:21.040 --> 1:00:26.520
<v Speaker 2>and the immunity that it provides is not very long lasting. Huh,

1:00:27.040 --> 1:00:30.000
<v Speaker 2>even in horses. Yeah, so I'm not sure. Like the

1:00:30.040 --> 1:00:32.880
<v Speaker 2>schedule for if you have a horse, how often you

1:00:33.000 --> 1:00:35.120
<v Speaker 2>have to give that horse boosters? It might be something

1:00:35.160 --> 1:00:37.200
<v Speaker 2>like I have to give my dog the rabies shot

1:00:37.240 --> 1:00:38.960
<v Speaker 2>like every year or something like that, So it might

1:00:38.960 --> 1:00:40.040
<v Speaker 2>be the same for horses.

1:00:40.440 --> 1:00:41.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, they do do boosters.

1:00:42.200 --> 1:00:45.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but so that's it's really interesting, right, Like, why

1:00:45.240 --> 1:00:48.240
<v Speaker 2>is it that we can't develop a vaccine that is

1:00:48.680 --> 1:00:52.080
<v Speaker 2>more immunogenic that provides us with a longer lasting immune response.

1:00:52.680 --> 1:00:55.400
<v Speaker 1>Is part of it in the funding and that this

1:00:55.440 --> 1:00:56.360
<v Speaker 1>is a rare disease.

1:00:57.240 --> 1:00:59.520
<v Speaker 2>You put the nail on the head.

1:00:59.280 --> 1:00:59.760
<v Speaker 1>There.

1:01:01.360 --> 1:01:01.600
<v Speaker 2>Is that.

1:01:01.640 --> 1:01:03.200
<v Speaker 1>How that goes, How that goes?

1:01:04.760 --> 1:01:10.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, there is no market for a triple E vaccine, right.

1:01:11.200 --> 1:01:13.360
<v Speaker 2>We still don't even have a West Nile vaccine, and

1:01:13.400 --> 1:01:16.200
<v Speaker 2>that causes a lot more infection in humans every year

1:01:16.240 --> 1:01:21.560
<v Speaker 2>than this does. So if you want proof that there's

1:01:21.760 --> 1:01:24.400
<v Speaker 2>really not a market for it, I have found papers

1:01:24.400 --> 1:01:26.520
<v Speaker 2>of people doing research on this. So in two thousand

1:01:26.520 --> 1:01:29.240
<v Speaker 2>and seven, there was a really interesting paper that made

1:01:29.320 --> 1:01:34.080
<v Speaker 2>a hybrid attenuated vaccine. So instead of doing a killed virus,

1:01:34.480 --> 1:01:37.080
<v Speaker 2>they made a hybrid virus out of triple E virus

1:01:37.160 --> 1:01:41.400
<v Speaker 2>and some other virus, don't remember which one, and they

1:01:41.480 --> 1:01:44.000
<v Speaker 2>tested it in mice and they found that it was

1:01:44.160 --> 1:01:50.000
<v Speaker 2>highly immunogenic. That was in two thousand and seven. Nothing else, okay,

1:01:50.080 --> 1:01:53.240
<v Speaker 2>So in theory, in theory, it's possible. I did check

1:01:53.280 --> 1:01:56.240
<v Speaker 2>clinicaltrial dot gov, which again is where you can find

1:01:56.320 --> 1:01:58.840
<v Speaker 2>all the clinical trials that are happening, and there are

1:01:59.400 --> 1:02:06.560
<v Speaker 2>studies for triple E. Two of them were USA mrid

1:02:06.960 --> 1:02:09.280
<v Speaker 2>Us zamord I don't know how you say it. The

1:02:09.440 --> 1:02:13.560
<v Speaker 2>US Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases. They had

1:02:13.560 --> 1:02:16.960
<v Speaker 2>two vaccine trials that are now concluded. One of them

1:02:17.000 --> 1:02:21.479
<v Speaker 2>had results posted, which are actually very difficult to sort

1:02:21.520 --> 1:02:27.360
<v Speaker 2>through on clinical trials. By the way, overall, it's hard

1:02:27.400 --> 1:02:31.640
<v Speaker 2>to get an estimate on exactly how long lasting the

1:02:31.680 --> 1:02:34.280
<v Speaker 2>immunity was from this virus that they tested, but it

1:02:34.320 --> 1:02:37.680
<v Speaker 2>was somewhere between like twenty eight to seventy percent of

1:02:37.720 --> 1:02:41.480
<v Speaker 2>people depending on the timeframe that you looked at it.

1:02:41.520 --> 1:02:44.120
<v Speaker 2>So like seventy percent of people that they tested had

1:02:44.160 --> 1:02:48.560
<v Speaker 2>an immune response like right after their second booster. But

1:02:48.680 --> 1:02:51.160
<v Speaker 2>then of the people they were able to test out

1:02:51.160 --> 1:02:53.320
<v Speaker 2>a one year follow up, only twenty eight percent of

1:02:53.360 --> 1:02:59.240
<v Speaker 2>them still had high tiders of antibodies. So they mounted

1:02:59.280 --> 1:03:02.240
<v Speaker 2>an immune response, but it wasn't very long lasting, right,

1:03:02.400 --> 1:03:06.080
<v Speaker 2>just like the horse that Yeah, And so that makes

1:03:06.120 --> 1:03:07.960
<v Speaker 2>it even harder to try and get funding for a

1:03:08.040 --> 1:03:10.080
<v Speaker 2>vaccine like this. If you think like this is a

1:03:10.200 --> 1:03:15.600
<v Speaker 2>very very very rare infection and you'd have to get

1:03:15.600 --> 1:03:18.040
<v Speaker 2>a vaccine for it what like every year, Like that's

1:03:18.240 --> 1:03:21.640
<v Speaker 2>very difficult to try and sort of convince funders or

1:03:21.760 --> 1:03:23.959
<v Speaker 2>people to get a vaccine like that, right.

1:03:24.080 --> 1:03:27.280
<v Speaker 1>Right, So then a lot more so it comes down

1:03:27.320 --> 1:03:30.400
<v Speaker 1>a lot more to the prevention and surveillance aspect.

1:03:30.440 --> 1:03:37.880
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely, yeah, yeah, definitely. So yeah, that's where we stand

1:03:38.920 --> 1:03:40.800
<v Speaker 2>with tripoly virus.

1:03:42.320 --> 1:03:45.960
<v Speaker 1>Well, do you know what the predictions are for this year?

1:03:46.720 --> 1:03:49.760
<v Speaker 1>It was identy in places? Was it hot? Let's see,

1:03:49.840 --> 1:03:52.480
<v Speaker 1>they're in early summer. It's snowed in Chicago like two

1:03:52.560 --> 1:03:53.320
<v Speaker 1>days ago, so.

1:03:53.840 --> 1:03:55.960
<v Speaker 2>You know, I've been thinking about that. And it snows

1:03:56.000 --> 1:03:59.720
<v Speaker 2>every April in Illinois. Every April. I go, I can't

1:03:59.760 --> 1:04:03.000
<v Speaker 2>believe that it's snowing, but it does it every April.

1:04:03.280 --> 1:04:08.080
<v Speaker 1>I remember my prom in Kentucky. It snowed. That's wonderable.

1:04:08.480 --> 1:04:08.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

1:04:08.920 --> 1:04:10.400
<v Speaker 1>I got out of the prom and there was snow

1:04:10.440 --> 1:04:12.800
<v Speaker 1>in my car. I was like, I'm in a hot,

1:04:12.840 --> 1:04:16.240
<v Speaker 1>pink sleeveless dress.

1:04:16.600 --> 1:04:18.760
<v Speaker 2>Oh, I can't believe I've never seen pictures of your

1:04:18.800 --> 1:04:20.760
<v Speaker 2>prom dress.

1:04:22.480 --> 1:04:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Now I'm not what you'd expect.

1:04:24.320 --> 1:04:28.080
<v Speaker 2>Oh, I really want to see it now, hot pink sleeveless,

1:04:28.120 --> 1:04:32.960
<v Speaker 2>I love it. Let's see. According to this news article,

1:04:33.040 --> 1:04:36.840
<v Speaker 2>I just found health experts believe TRIPLEI will rise again

1:04:36.880 --> 1:04:40.880
<v Speaker 2>next year. Uh. I guess normally these cycles tend to

1:04:40.960 --> 1:04:42.680
<v Speaker 2>last for two to three years. So you have two

1:04:42.680 --> 1:04:46.800
<v Speaker 2>to three years in a row of bad year and

1:04:47.520 --> 1:04:52.120
<v Speaker 2>it was very wet and rainy in twenty nineteen, so great, great.

1:04:53.120 --> 1:04:56.000
<v Speaker 2>You know, like how with with lime disease and ticks,

1:04:56.040 --> 1:04:59.840
<v Speaker 2>there's like that distinct like the mast and the mice

1:05:00.160 --> 1:05:02.320
<v Speaker 2>and then the deer and then the ticks.

1:05:02.480 --> 1:05:04.760
<v Speaker 1>Right now, there's sequence of events that lead to these

1:05:04.840 --> 1:05:09.720
<v Speaker 1>high outbreaks or these like outbreak years. They're just not

1:05:09.800 --> 1:05:12.200
<v Speaker 1>well known. And I think it's because the outbreaks themselves

1:05:12.200 --> 1:05:15.360
<v Speaker 1>are so small, so small, and so it's sort of

1:05:15.400 --> 1:05:19.040
<v Speaker 1>now we're playing like you know, retrospective detective, trying to

1:05:19.160 --> 1:05:22.960
<v Speaker 1>pick apart the pieces. And that's right challenging because ecology

1:05:23.040 --> 1:05:28.160
<v Speaker 1>is ecology. Things don't happen according to some I don't

1:05:28.200 --> 1:05:34.040
<v Speaker 1>know plan or so hard. Yeah. Yeah, there's so much

1:05:34.360 --> 1:05:37.760
<v Speaker 1>like random noise in the system, and so trying to

1:05:37.840 --> 1:05:41.600
<v Speaker 1>say is this noise or is this a component is

1:05:41.760 --> 1:05:44.480
<v Speaker 1>really challenging, particularly when when you have such a low

1:05:44.520 --> 1:05:45.480
<v Speaker 1>incidence of disease.

1:05:46.440 --> 1:05:47.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

1:05:47.640 --> 1:05:50.000
<v Speaker 2>Well, and if you have so many different hosts, you

1:05:50.000 --> 1:05:52.200
<v Speaker 2>have so many different bird species that can be affected,

1:05:52.200 --> 1:05:55.600
<v Speaker 2>and they're affected so differentially that it also you know,

1:05:55.680 --> 1:05:58.120
<v Speaker 2>that plays a big part of it too. That's really

1:05:58.200 --> 1:06:01.160
<v Speaker 2>difficult to get a handle on. Is easy college here.

1:06:01.040 --> 1:06:04.400
<v Speaker 1>In Yeah, it's, I mean part of it's. It's why

1:06:04.440 --> 1:06:06.520
<v Speaker 1>I love it and also why it can be so frustrating.

1:06:06.760 --> 1:06:12.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, okay, well that was fun. Hopefully it wasn't too depressing.

1:06:13.280 --> 1:06:15.360
<v Speaker 2>Oh I don't know.

1:06:16.320 --> 1:06:20.720
<v Speaker 1>See, I don't think I can judge it anymore.

1:06:21.200 --> 1:06:25.760
<v Speaker 2>Okay, sources, sources, All right, So.

1:06:25.880 --> 1:06:27.320
<v Speaker 1>I want to shout out a few. I have a

1:06:27.360 --> 1:06:30.640
<v Speaker 1>bunch of papers that I liked, but a few that

1:06:30.720 --> 1:06:34.440
<v Speaker 1>I leaned more heavily on. One is titled or one

1:06:34.480 --> 1:06:37.720
<v Speaker 1>is my Armstrong at All from twenty thirteen called Eastern

1:06:37.760 --> 1:06:42.400
<v Speaker 1>equineencephalitis virus Old Enemy, New Threat. And then there was

1:06:42.560 --> 1:06:45.560
<v Speaker 1>that a rego at All paper titled Evolutionary patterns of

1:06:45.560 --> 1:06:50.000
<v Speaker 1>Eastern Equine andcephalitis virus and North versus South America. There's

1:06:50.080 --> 1:06:51.840
<v Speaker 1>more to that title, but it's very long, so I'm

1:06:51.880 --> 1:06:54.560
<v Speaker 1>not going to keep going. Oh and then another one

1:06:54.840 --> 1:06:56.800
<v Speaker 1>where I got a lot of the ecological sort of

1:06:56.840 --> 1:07:00.600
<v Speaker 1>timeline of re emergence in Massachusetts is from a paper

1:07:00.800 --> 1:07:04.800
<v Speaker 1>by Comar and Spielman from nineteen ninety four titled Emergence

1:07:04.840 --> 1:07:08.840
<v Speaker 1>of Eastern Encephalitis in Massachusetts Excellent.

1:07:10.600 --> 1:07:13.400
<v Speaker 2>There are a bunch of different papers that I used

1:07:13.440 --> 1:07:16.760
<v Speaker 2>for different parts. We'll post all of these online if

1:07:16.800 --> 1:07:21.480
<v Speaker 2>you'd like. Kind of the most cited source of the

1:07:21.600 --> 1:07:26.160
<v Speaker 2>clinical aspects of Eastern equin encephalitis, there's a paper from

1:07:26.200 --> 1:07:30.600
<v Speaker 2>nineteen ninety seven called Clinical and neuro Radiographic Manifestations of

1:07:30.600 --> 1:07:34.160
<v Speaker 2>Eastern equin Encephalitis. But again, we'll post all of our

1:07:34.200 --> 1:07:37.040
<v Speaker 2>sources from this episode in all of our episodes online

1:07:37.440 --> 1:07:39.360
<v Speaker 2>under the episode's tab. You can find all of our

1:07:39.400 --> 1:07:42.439
<v Speaker 2>sources listed there, as well as links to bookshop dot

1:07:42.560 --> 1:07:45.280
<v Speaker 2>org if you like to purchase the books yep.

1:07:45.880 --> 1:07:49.520
<v Speaker 1>And also, we neglected to say it earlier, but you

1:07:49.600 --> 1:07:52.920
<v Speaker 1>can find the recipe for our quarantiny and our non

1:07:52.960 --> 1:07:56.640
<v Speaker 1>alcoholic La Siberta on our website this podcast will Kill

1:07:56.640 --> 1:07:59.919
<v Speaker 1>You dot com under the quarantinis tab, and we also

1:08:00.160 --> 1:08:03.080
<v Speaker 1>posts on social media, so if you'd like to see them,

1:08:03.440 --> 1:08:04.040
<v Speaker 1>follow us.

1:08:04.560 --> 1:08:04.880
<v Speaker 2>Yep.

1:08:06.440 --> 1:08:08.960
<v Speaker 1>Thank you to Bloodmobile for providing the music for this

1:08:09.040 --> 1:08:11.280
<v Speaker 1>episode in all of our episodes.

1:08:10.960 --> 1:08:14.680
<v Speaker 2>And thank you to you for listening. Hope you enjoyed

1:08:14.680 --> 1:08:18.800
<v Speaker 2>this episode. Yeah, and I hope you always anyone who

1:08:18.880 --> 1:08:21.479
<v Speaker 2>was at the show in Michigan, First of all, thanks

1:08:21.520 --> 1:08:23.840
<v Speaker 2>so much for coming. We had so much fun there.

1:08:24.120 --> 1:08:26.479
<v Speaker 2>And second of all, hope you still learned something new

1:08:26.560 --> 1:08:27.400
<v Speaker 2>from this episode.

1:08:27.960 --> 1:08:30.639
<v Speaker 1>Yeah. Thanks again to everyone at Michigan who, yeah, helped

1:08:30.720 --> 1:08:33.479
<v Speaker 1>us make that trip one of just the most amazing

1:08:33.840 --> 1:08:39.760
<v Speaker 1>days ever. Awesome. All right, Well, until next time, wash

1:08:39.760 --> 1:08:40.720
<v Speaker 1>your hands.

1:08:40.600 --> 1:08:41.639
<v Speaker 3>You filthy animals.

1:09:01.200 --> 1:09:01.400
<v Speaker 1>Ou