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Speaker 1: responsible gambling resources. All right, welcome to hoops tonight. You're

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Speaker 1: at the volume. Happy Wednesday, everybody, hop all if you

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Speaker 1: guys are having an incredible week. We got another major

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Speaker 1: NBA trade today, second one involving the Raptors as well

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Speaker 1: as Pascal Siakam is headed to the Indiana Pacers. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna bring that trade down from every angle, including some

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Speaker 1: of the teams who missed out on Pascal Siakam. Then

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Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about Joe Lumbiid solidifying his first place

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Speaker 1: position in the MVP race by out playing Yo Kitchen

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Speaker 1: beating the Nuggets last night. Specifically, he was incredibly impressive

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Speaker 1: on the defensive end of the floor. I want to

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Speaker 1: kind of break that concept down a little bit, and

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Speaker 1: then at the end of the show, like I said

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Speaker 1: we would, because the Clippers have made it through the Timberwolves,

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Speaker 1: and thunder Games. We're gonna place them in our contender tiers.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna do a deep dive on the Clippers and

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Speaker 1: talk about where they fit among the list of contenders. Also,

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Speaker 1: we did talk about doing a mail bag today, but

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Speaker 1: we're gonna push that one more day because the Siacam

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Speaker 1: trade kind of threw off my schedule today. So keep

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Speaker 1: dropping mailbag questions in the YouTube comments. I'll look through

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Speaker 1: all three shows this week and put together a nice

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Speaker 1: mail bag for tomorrow's show, and then don't forget that.

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Speaker 1: Later tonight, after the final buzzer of MAVs Lakers on ABC,

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Speaker 1: will be going live on YouTube, so I hope to

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Speaker 1: see you guys there as well. You guys are the

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Speaker 1: joefore we get started. Subscribe to our brand new YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: take a second to scroll down and hit that subscribe button.

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Speaker 1: Don't forget about a podcast feed wherever you get your

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Speaker 1: podcast under hoops tonight follow me on Twitter at underscore

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Speaker 1: JSNLT so you guys don't miss any show announcements. And then,

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Speaker 1: last but not out least, keep dropping mail bag questions. Also,

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk some basketball. So Pascal Siakam headed

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Speaker 1: to the Indiana Pacers. Bruce Brown is the trade piece

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Speaker 1: going back from the standpoint of salary filler. And then

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Speaker 1: there's three first round picks in the deal. That said,

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Speaker 1: I absolutely love this deal for Indiana on a couple

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Speaker 1: of different fronts. First of all, the two first round

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Speaker 1: picks that are coming from Indiana that were Indiana's own picks,

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Speaker 1: Indiana is gonna be good, Like they're gonna be a

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Speaker 1: mid to late round first laid to mid to late

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Speaker 1: first round pick. Those are picks that have a significantly

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Speaker 1: high miss rate, right, So like that part. And then

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Speaker 1: I guess the third pick is the worst out of OKC,

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Speaker 1: the Clippers, the Jazz, and the Rockets, Like that's probably

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Speaker 1: gonna end up being okac's pick. So that's another late

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Speaker 1: first rounder. So basically three most likely mid to late

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Speaker 1: first rounders. And Bruce Brown, who's a good player. Bruce

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Speaker 1: Brown's a good player, and we're gonna talk abou him

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Speaker 1: a little because I wouldn't surprised if he gets traded

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Speaker 1: again or if if they end up moving a different

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Speaker 1: one of those guys, because the Raptors have a bunch

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Speaker 1: of players at that position. But that was the position

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Speaker 1: that the Pacers were, and they have so many guards

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Speaker 1: Tyre Salliburt and Buddy Heald, Ben Mathren, TJ McConnell, Andrew Demhard,

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Speaker 1: Aaron E. Smith kind of can function as a two

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Speaker 1: as well. It does a lot of the same stuff

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Speaker 1: Bruce Brown does, so like literally, they just had a

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Speaker 1: redundancy at that position. That's not to say Bruce Brown

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Speaker 1: is not good or not valuable, but he's less valuable

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Speaker 1: to the Pacers than Pascal Siakam is to the Pacers, right, Obviously,

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Speaker 1: not to mention Pascal is just a much better player,

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Speaker 1: But specifically, Pascal is an awesome basketball fit with the Pacers,

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Speaker 1: and I want to dive into that concept for a

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Speaker 1: little bit. Let's start on the offensive end of the floor. So,

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Speaker 1: as I've said so many times on the show, I

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Speaker 1: think Tyr Saliburton is a transcendently great offensive engine. I

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Speaker 1: think he's on that trajectory with the Steph curries. The

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Speaker 1: Nikolajokich is the Luka. The Luka Dancic is the singularly

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Speaker 1: transcendent offensive engines that you just put out on the

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Speaker 1: floor and it's like a guaranteed great shot like ninety

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Speaker 1: percent of the possessions that he's on the floor. Right, Well,

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Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam helps him both on and off the ball.

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Speaker 1: I want to start on the ball first, and in

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Speaker 1: this case, meaning when Pascal Siakam has the ball, he

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Speaker 1: gives an additional type of offensive shot creation once you

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Speaker 1: go past that. Like a lot of the guys on

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Speaker 1: the pacers are good advantage extenders like Miles Turner can

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Speaker 1: hit picking pop jump shots, and he can attack close

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Speaker 1: outs and things along those lines. But he's not a

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Speaker 1: guy you're just gonna dump the ball to and have

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Speaker 1: him be an offensive engine. Obi Toppin is almost entirely

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Speaker 1: a transition runout guy and a back door cutter, right,

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Speaker 1: That's pretty much what Obi Topin did in this offense. Buddy,

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Speaker 1: healed a lot of ghost screens going to the three

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Speaker 1: point line. He's expecting to get set up with high

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Speaker 1: quality shots. So really isn't another guy on the roster

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Speaker 1: who's a high level individual shot creator. Not only is

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Speaker 1: Siakam that, he's a very different version of that. Haliburton

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Speaker 1: is very much like he can beat switches. He's a

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Speaker 1: great ISO player, but he's very much like a manipulator

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Speaker 1: of the defense to generate advantage situations for other players.

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Speaker 1: That's his best trait. He's a great pull up shooter,

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Speaker 1: really quick guard with an excellent floater, and great touch

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Speaker 1: around the rim with his like scooping layups and things

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Speaker 1: like that. So I don't want to act like I'm

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Speaker 1: I don't want you guys to think that I'm underplaying

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Speaker 1: how good Tyres is as an on ball scorer, but

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Speaker 1: his best trade is his ability to set up people

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Speaker 1: with advantage situations right well, Pascal Siakam is much more

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Speaker 1: of that classic mismatch attacking forward right posting up there

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Speaker 1: are He's getting one point one to two points per

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Speaker 1: possession in post up situations including passes. Among all the

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Speaker 1: players in the league who have done it at least

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty times, only Joel Embiid, Nikola Jokic,

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Speaker 1: and Anthony Davis have been better. So he's literally been

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Speaker 1: one of the very best post up shot creators in

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Speaker 1: the league this year, the best that's not one of

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Speaker 1: the three Titan centers that we have in the league.

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Speaker 1: Right isolation situation, Siakam gets one point zero eight points

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Speaker 1: per possession. That's twelve out of fifty players in the

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Speaker 1: league who have run at least seventy five. And then

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Speaker 1: a lot of talk about the jump shot with Pascal Siakam.

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Speaker 1: And don't get me wrong, it's not good, but it's

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Speaker 1: not really all that bad either. Like he's fifty five

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Speaker 1: percent on in effective field goal percentage on unguarded catch

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Speaker 1: and shoots. It's really not that bad. That's one point

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Speaker 1: zero nine points per shot. Like, so if some team

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Speaker 1: decides to leave him open, like he's gonna be able

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Speaker 1: to make him at a decent enough clip, right, that's

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Speaker 1: not a shot that's gonna necessarily hurt your offense. And

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Speaker 1: he's a solid closeout attacker. Gets one point zero one

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Speaker 1: points per spot up possession. That's firmly in the middle.

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Speaker 1: That's firmly average. So again it's it's appropriate to bring

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Speaker 1: it up in the sense that he's not a flamethrower,

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Speaker 1: but he's not a guy that's necessarily gonna hurt you

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Speaker 1: with his lack of shooting either. But where I'm most

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Speaker 1: excited with Siakam on the Pacers is off the ball.

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Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam is one of the very best transition players

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Speaker 1: in the NBA. He's made seventy eight field goals this

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Speaker 1: year in transition, that's the ninth most in the entire NBA.

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Speaker 1: And like we all know, Tyree's is an excellent kick

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Speaker 1: ahead passer. He's constantly That's how Obi Toppin. Obi Toppin

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Speaker 1: has basically made himself a functional starter for the Pacers

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Speaker 1: based purely on the fact that he's a good cutter

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Speaker 1: and a good good a guy that can run out

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Speaker 1: and transition right and that he provides real vertical spacing right.

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Speaker 1: That's something Ziakam is going to come in and do

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Speaker 1: right away at a really high level. Also, a very

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Speaker 1: good cutter. Scored on a cut thirty four times so

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Speaker 1: far the season. It's like the thirty second most in

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Speaker 1: the NBA, I think, which is definitely a lot right,

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Speaker 1: Like not one of the top cutters in the league,

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Speaker 1: but a very good cutter. He's also set eighty second

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Speaker 1: percentile for efficiency cutting and again with Tyre Saliburton running

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Speaker 1: your lane in transition cut with real vertical spacing out

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Speaker 1: of the weak side corner. These are things that are

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Speaker 1: highly highly valuable alongside a passer of his caliber. It's

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Speaker 1: another form of spacing. When you combine that with the

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Speaker 1: pretty solid, unguarded catch and shoot shooting, I don't think

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Speaker 1: he's going to be a bad off player for them

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Speaker 1: at all. That's it. We haven't even got to the

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Speaker 1: defensive end of the flour. This is a team that

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Speaker 1: severely lacked in interior physicality in defense. Right. Miles Turner

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Speaker 1: is a really really good defensive player as like a

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Speaker 1: shot blocker right, and he can do a little switching

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Speaker 1: as well. The thing with Miles, though, is what we've

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Speaker 1: seen around the league is like it's no longer protecting

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Speaker 1: the rim with your one guy, like it's that four

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Speaker 1: or five is so important. The main reason why is

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Speaker 1: as pull up jump shooting has gotten become more and

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Speaker 1: more prevalent in the league, your big man's had to

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Speaker 1: come higher and higher up to the level of the screen,

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Speaker 1: which creates an opening on that backside right, and that's

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Speaker 1: where the lowman comes in, the guy that can tag

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Speaker 1: the roller and pick and roll situations, help at the

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Speaker 1: rim in the event that your big man has to

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Speaker 1: step up and help elsewhere, right, cleaning up the defensive glass,

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Speaker 1: extra efforts. When a guy pump fakes and gets the

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Speaker 1: big man off the ground, that second wave is typically

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Speaker 1: the low man rotating back out to the perimeter. You

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Speaker 1: need an athlete that can bother things on the inside

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Speaker 1: and then do you know, two steps in a drop

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Speaker 1: step and close out and get a good contest on

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Speaker 1: a corner three point shooter. These are all things that

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Speaker 1: Sam is going to be a massive, massive upgrade for

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Speaker 1: this team. The entire physical profile of the team changes

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Speaker 1: with this move. I would presume there. I mean, they

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Speaker 1: might stay with Buddy Heel that it could be Ben Matherin.

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Speaker 1: But if it's Haliburton and it ends up being something

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Speaker 1: along the lines of like a Aaron Nesmith Siakam Turner

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Speaker 1: front line, that just becomes way more physically imposing than

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Speaker 1: what we've seen elsewhere this season, right, So like it

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Speaker 1: just adds a new dynam to the defensive physicality of

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Speaker 1: the team. By the way, he's great rebounder to average

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Speaker 1: eight rebounds a game over the last five years. Pascal

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Speaker 1: Siakam and the Pacers are a bottom five defensive rebounding

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Speaker 1: team this year. Seacom's also a very good offensive rebounder,

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Speaker 1: so that'll help them on that end of the floor

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Speaker 1: as well. But bottom line is like fundamentally increases your

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Speaker 1: physical profile on both ends of the floor, improves your

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Speaker 1: defensive rebounding, improves your rimp protection and overall defensive capability,

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Speaker 1: gives you an additional shot creator that can add some

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Speaker 1: variety to what you do offensively, not to mention just

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Speaker 1: making tyrese Aliburton's job easier and then in off ball

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Speaker 1: situations he is a seamless fit with Tyres Aliburton. Absolutely

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Speaker 1: loved the move. Didn't really have to give up anything

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Speaker 1: of real consequence. Round of applause to the Pacers. Really

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Speaker 1: really well done. Wouldn't be surprised if they're not done either.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised if they look to shore up

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Speaker 1: that two or that three spot before the deadline as well,

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Speaker 1: although salary matching is a little tough there, so we'll

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Speaker 1: see how that goes. On the Raptors front, they already

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Speaker 1: have RJ. Barrett and Gary Trent Junior, who both like

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Speaker 1: r J. Barrett, can play the three, can play the two.

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Speaker 1: But to me from a size perspective, and he's actually

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Speaker 1: a pretty good point of attack defender. I look at

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Speaker 1: him more as a two. Gary Trent Junior is a

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Speaker 1: decent point of attack defenders, a pretty solid offensive player

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Speaker 1: as well. So different archetype. Bruce Brown obviously different than

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Speaker 1: both of them, but very good point of attack defender,

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Speaker 1: guy that can provide some rim pressure and transition, decent

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Speaker 1: ball handler, really versatile, kind of Swiss army knife type

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Speaker 1: of player. But they all kind of play that two

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Speaker 1: to three hybrid type of spot right. And so although

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Speaker 1: Garry trans Junior is more of a two, So the

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Speaker 1: question is is like, at that point, do you want

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Speaker 1: to have, you know, two of those guys making twenty

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Speaker 1: plus million, you know what I mean? And especially if

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Speaker 1: you don't plan on playing both of them together. Bruce

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Speaker 1: is having a little bit of a down shooting year,

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Speaker 1: and so is RJ. Barrett. So although he's been shooting

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Speaker 1: really well with the Raptors, is RJ. Barret's been playing

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Speaker 1: so well with the Raptors that they may kind of

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Speaker 1: prioritize him. But point being, it might be that Bruce

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Speaker 1: Brown is available now at the deadline in a way

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Speaker 1: that he might not have been otherwise if he was

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Speaker 1: just on the Pacers. Not sure the Pacers would have

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Speaker 1: got rid of him, but they had to get rid

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Speaker 1: of him to get Pascal Siakam. The Raptors might have

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Speaker 1: more need for whatever they could get back from Bruce

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Speaker 1: Brown than Bruce Brown himself. I personally, as someone who

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Speaker 1: roots for the Lakers, would absolutely love to have Bruce Brown.

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Speaker 1: D'Angelo Russell is a redundancy on the Lakers, but he's

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Speaker 1: actually a good basketball player. He makes an affordable salary,

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Speaker 1: makes less than twenty million a year, excellent passer, excellent

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Speaker 1: off ball shooter. He's a guy that could actually kind

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Speaker 1: of connect provide some connectivity and leadership for that Raptors team.

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Speaker 1: I think he's a I think Delo is very much

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Speaker 1: a middle of the ground asset. Like he's a guy that,

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Speaker 1: like some teams would view as a negative asset and

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Speaker 1: some teams have view as a positive asset, but only

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Speaker 1: slightly so in either direction. And no one would really

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Speaker 1: complain if he was in the trade if they were

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Speaker 1: getting something else that that's more of like the sweetener, right, So, like,

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Speaker 1: what if the Lakers were to give him, like you know,

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Speaker 1: D'Angelo Russell and Jalen Hood Schafino and Maxwell Lewis. That's

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Speaker 1: like literally a first round pick from last year who

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Speaker 1: hasn't been able to play for the Lakers, right, And

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Speaker 1: then Maxwell lewis an interesting little undrafted guy, although I

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Speaker 1: think you might have been a second round pick if

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Speaker 1: I remember correctly. And then d Lo a veteran that

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Speaker 1: could help, and maybe they throw in some second round

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Speaker 1: picks or something like that, or maybe maybe if it

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Speaker 1: push comes to shove and the Lakers really want him,

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Speaker 1: they could throw in a first round pick because they

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Speaker 1: have one that they could trade. But Bruce Brown, to

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Speaker 1: me is a guy that like is a really useful

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Speaker 1: playoff weapon. Specifically, the reason why I'd be so excited

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Speaker 1: with him on the Lakers is he would just add

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Speaker 1: an entire physical element to this team that they haven't

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Speaker 1: had since Alex Crusoe was on the roster. You can

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Speaker 1: imagine a lineup that hasn't engaged Lebron James in his

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Speaker 1: playoff mode with Anthony Davis and Bruce Brown on the

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Speaker 1: floor just being so much more physically imposing than some

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Speaker 1: of these lineups that we've seen from the Lakers this year,

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Speaker 1: although his shooting has been a little bit of an issue,

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Speaker 1: which I you know, obviously would be worried about a

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Speaker 1: little bit for the lakers sake, But he did make

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Speaker 1: a lot of threes in the postseason last year. But

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Speaker 1: Lakers aren't the only team. There are a bunch of

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Speaker 1: other teams that could potentially look at Bruce Brown as

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Speaker 1: an option. He's going to be a little bit tough

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Speaker 1: to match salaries into a Ford, especially if the Raptors

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Speaker 1: want draft compensation. So it'll be interesting to see if

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Speaker 1: any team gets in on that race. But he's a

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Speaker 1: guy keep an eye on the other team I wanted

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Speaker 1: to look at here is the Golden State Warriors, because

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Speaker 1: the Golden State Warriors kind of felt like the clubhouse

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Speaker 1: favorite for Siakam at least that's what it seemed like

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Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago. And now he's off the table,

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Speaker 1: right and I don't think they can afford Lori Markinen

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Speaker 1: and I've Jeremy Grant. I'm not even sure if he's

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Speaker 1: going to be available, not even sure if he wants

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Speaker 1: to go play for a winning team. I'm not even

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Speaker 1: sure he wants to leave Portland. Under any circumstances. So

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Speaker 1: I'm not really sure what the deal is there, and

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Speaker 1: so the options are getting loose. But at the end

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Speaker 1: of the day, like what I look at with Golden State,

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Speaker 1: We've talked about this issue before, but to me, you're

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Speaker 1: trying to make one last run at this thing with

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Speaker 1: Steph and Draymond as your brackets at the one in five.

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Speaker 1: I think Clay at the two is fine as long

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Speaker 1: as you're three and four are really good basketball players.

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Speaker 1: And so I was actually looking at this today and

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Speaker 1: I wonder, because there's a specific guy that I have

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Speaker 1: my eye on here from the Brooklyn Nets. What I

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Speaker 1: would do is I call Brooklyn and I'd offer them

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Speaker 1: Andrew Wiggins, and I'd offer them Jonathan Kaminga, and I'd

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Speaker 1: offer them Moses Moody, and i'd offer them draft compensation,

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Speaker 1: and I'd ask for mckal bridges and Dorian Finney Smith.

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Speaker 1: And I know that that we haven't really heard much

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Speaker 1: about mckail bridges being available, but he's now in his

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Speaker 1: late twenties, and the Brooklyn Nets thing has been a

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Speaker 1: pretty clear, you know, description of the fact that mckail

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Speaker 1: bridges is not going to be like a foundational, franchise

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Speaker 1: altering type of talent. He's a really, really, really good

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Speaker 1: role player who makes a lot of money, because really

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Speaker 1: really good role players cost a lot of money. Jonathan

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Speaker 1: Kaminga has the potential to be a franchise altering player

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Speaker 1: right and certainly has a higher ceiling than what we

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Speaker 1: That's not to say he will reach that secene, but

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Speaker 1: certainly has a higher ceiling than what McHale Bridges has

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Speaker 1: been able to reach here heading into his late twenties.

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Speaker 1: This is a guy that if you've got those two guys,

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Speaker 1: that's two guys that can both defend on the perimeter

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Speaker 1: at a really high level, that can both shoot the basketball.

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Speaker 1: McKale Bridges provides some legitimate second side creation. He's not

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Speaker 1: an excellent passer, but he's a good pull up jump shooter.

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Speaker 1: He's a guy that can score when you put him

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Speaker 1: on an island a little bit. Now we're looking at

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Speaker 1: a lineup with you're foregoing your future, right, You're moving

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Speaker 1: on from Moses Moody and Jonathan Kaminga. That's obviously a

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Speaker 1: significant loss. I think the team is probably done with

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Speaker 1: Andrew Wiggins at this point. With everything that's gone down

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Speaker 1: since he left the team last year, he'd be basically

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Speaker 1: functioning as salary filler in that situation. If you're Brooklyn,

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Speaker 1: you're getting a legitimate potential future All Star in Jonathan

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Speaker 1: Kaminga and Andrew Wiggins, who's a starting level NBA wing. Right,

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Speaker 1: So you're turning two wings into two wings except for

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Speaker 1: one that you don't really have much use for, but

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Speaker 1: Jonathan Kaminga, who has legitimate long term potential. It's just

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Speaker 1: a more of a forward thinking move in terms of

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn's perspective. Then I'm working out there with Stephan Clay

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Speaker 1: with two excellent perimeter defenders, an additional shot creator in

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Speaker 1: Michale Bridges slots, Klay Thompson on easier achievable perimeter defense roles,

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Speaker 1: and Draymond Grain anchoring things in the front court. That

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Speaker 1: to me, is an example of a type of deal

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Speaker 1: that I would make. But I think the Warriors need

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Speaker 1: to be aggressive. I think they need to make something

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Speaker 1: significant change here. One of the nice things about that

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Speaker 1: specific deal too, is it keeps Chris Paul in the fold,

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Speaker 1: which allows you to kind of maintain your offensive organization

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Speaker 1: and just kind of steadiness in those non steph minutes

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Speaker 1: when he gets back from his injury, obviously, But yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's an example of a ne move that I'd be

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Speaker 1: looking for. But the options are running out. OG's off

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Speaker 1: the board, Pascal Siakam's off the board. Options are running out.

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Speaker 1: The Warriors got to find something, all right. Moving on

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Speaker 1: to Sixers Nuggets, So weird game because neither guy wanted

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Speaker 1: to guard each other until the very end. In terms

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Speaker 1: of jokicen Embiid, I want to start on the defensive

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Speaker 1: end of the floor though, because really, like I think

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Speaker 1: if these two teams were to happen to meet in

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Speaker 1: an NBA Finals series, they would go down guarding each other.

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Speaker 1: They would that keeping them off each other for the

407
00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:21,159
Speaker 1: most part was very much a regular season innings eating

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Speaker 1: type of thing. And what do you know, push comes

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Speaker 1: to shoves, tie game late, they both start guarding each other, right.

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Speaker 1: But I want to start on the defensive end for

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Speaker 1: Philly because the Sixers made the Nuggets do something last

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Speaker 1: night that you don't see the Nuggets do very often.

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Speaker 1: They made them rush and they made them make mistakes.

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Speaker 1: The Nuggets played seven and a half minutes excuse me

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Speaker 1: with Jokic on the fourth quarter last night and amounted

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Speaker 1: a sixty two point five offensive rating, about half worthy.

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Speaker 1: You'd like to see them be in that situation, right,

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Speaker 1: force them into five turnovers in the fourth quarter, And

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Speaker 1: it all comes down to, in my opinion, the job

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Speaker 1: they did, specifically Patrick Beverley and Joel Embiid guarding the

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Speaker 1: Jokich Murray actions two on two really quickly. On Patrick

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Speaker 1: Beverley just did an awesome job on Jamal Murray, specifically

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Speaker 1: with back pressure. Early in the fourth quarter. He had

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Speaker 1: a block on Jamal Murray late clock situation where he

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Speaker 1: kind of stripped him from behind, and that's one of

426
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:21,160
Speaker 1: those plays where like it was a late clock situation too,

427
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:24,240
Speaker 1: Like Jamal probably misses that shot just because it's a

428
00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:27,639
Speaker 1: really tough shot, but Pat makes an extra effort and

429
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:30,160
Speaker 1: most importantly plants a seed up here, plants a seed

430
00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:32,640
Speaker 1: that says like, you can't see me, but I'm right

431
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:35,840
Speaker 1: behind you and I'm coming. I'm gonna be swiping at

432
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,960
Speaker 1: the basketball. I'm gonna be contesting your shot from behind.

433
00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:42,800
Speaker 1: I'd like it gets in the ball handler's head. And

434
00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:44,800
Speaker 1: what ended up happening is when Jamal was coming off

435
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 1: those ball screens, He's typically a very He's typically a

436
00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:52,440
Speaker 1: very methodical shot creator, right, He's typically a guy that's

437
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,879
Speaker 1: gonna put you in jail uses size, get to spots

438
00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:58,679
Speaker 1: that are like fifteen feet away from the basket. But

439
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:00,680
Speaker 1: in his two man game the end of the game,

440
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:04,440
Speaker 1: he was just going downhill. The reason being he's terrified

441
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:07,240
Speaker 1: that Patrick Beverly's coming from behind, right, because he's just

442
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:10,000
Speaker 1: such a scrappy player with the way that he competes

443
00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:12,120
Speaker 1: over the top of screens and can provide that rear view,

444
00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,639
Speaker 1: you know, that back pressure, right, And he ended up

445
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:19,119
Speaker 1: turning the ball over twice on these bounce passes where

446
00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:21,119
Speaker 1: he's just going one hundred miles an hour and just

447
00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:23,399
Speaker 1: throwing like a super quick bounce pass at the guy's

448
00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 1: knees and like that. That's that. I want to give

449
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:28,960
Speaker 1: Patrick Beverly credit for that, because I just haven't seen

450
00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:32,159
Speaker 1: many players kind of speed up Jamal Murray like that,

451
00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 1: especially in a high profile game like that. And then

452
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:37,639
Speaker 1: on the embied front, one of the things he was

453
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:39,200
Speaker 1: doing in the fourth quarter that I thought was really

454
00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:42,280
Speaker 1: really smart was he was denying him his usual spots

455
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:44,240
Speaker 1: where he catches the ball. We talked about this when

456
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:47,320
Speaker 1: the Clippers played the Lakers a few weeks ago when

457
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 1: Lebron did the same thing to Kawhi Leonard. A lot

458
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 1: of these super strong players, they are really good at

459
00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:57,240
Speaker 1: creating easy passing windows. Right Like, if you asked me,

460
00:22:57,280 --> 00:22:59,639
Speaker 1: and I'm a relatively big guy, if you asked me

461
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:02,359
Speaker 1: to try to deny Nicole Jokic to basketball, I would

462
00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 1: have no chance. I've try to get in front of

463
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:05,200
Speaker 1: him and just push down in my back. He'd create

464
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,960
Speaker 1: an easy over the top angle, right like. Or he'd

465
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,280
Speaker 1: swim move around and create another angle, and like a

466
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 1: two hundred and thirty pounds right like. He's just so

467
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 1: damn big that he makes other big humans look small.

468
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:20,439
Speaker 1: But the thing is is Joel Embiid's one of the

469
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:23,200
Speaker 1: few guys in the league who's actually big enough to

470
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,199
Speaker 1: contend with Jokic physically, and so he was able to

471
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:28,399
Speaker 1: get in front and make it so that there was

472
00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 1: no passing angle when he was denying those entries like

473
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:36,560
Speaker 1: to the elbow or on the post. He basically threw

474
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:38,880
Speaker 1: the Nuggets offense off and they bailed out of those

475
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 1: plays and tried to do other things. There was a

476
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:45,280
Speaker 1: play where Jokic was trying to catch the ball at

477
00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:48,520
Speaker 1: the elbow and Be denies him, and so Reggie Jackson goes,

478
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:50,720
Speaker 1: oh shit, I gotta do something, and he tries to

479
00:23:50,800 --> 00:23:53,239
Speaker 1: drive downhill and ends up and then e Be. This

480
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:55,720
Speaker 1: is the crazy part about it. He would be able

481
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:59,960
Speaker 1: to deny Jokic and then recover to the rint. He didn't.

482
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:03,080
Speaker 1: I Jokic at the elbow, Reggie decides to drive, he

483
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:06,120
Speaker 1: just swim moves off. Jokic gets back and meets him

484
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 1: at the rint, blocks the shot or forces a really

485
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:13,199
Speaker 1: ugly miss. There's another one. He's fronting Jokic in the post,

486
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:17,080
Speaker 1: denies the post entry ball gets worked around. Jokic runs

487
00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:19,640
Speaker 1: up to the perimeter and beat just makes an impromptu

488
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 1: switch back onto Aaron Gordon Patrick Beverly rotates back out

489
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 1: to Michael Porter Junior and then he's back at the rim.

490
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,080
Speaker 1: And that was one of the ones where Jamal Murray

491
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:32,600
Speaker 1: ended up forcing one of those rushed bounce passes, even

492
00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:36,040
Speaker 1: though Jamal turned the corner simply because Embiid was waiting

493
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:40,439
Speaker 1: at the rim. Again. So that concept of denying Jokic's

494
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 1: normal touches and his normal spots on the floor and

495
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 1: then also getting back and protecting the rim that literally

496
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:52,240
Speaker 1: just threw Denver's offense for a loop. And so again

497
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:53,919
Speaker 1: we can talk about the offense and we're going to,

498
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 1: but like, to me, the end of that game came

499
00:24:56,760 --> 00:25:00,359
Speaker 1: down to Joel Embiid, specifically with Patrick Beverly's help, just

500
00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:05,400
Speaker 1: single handedly throwing a giant wrench into Denver's offensive process,

501
00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:08,679
Speaker 1: and that allowed the other three guys to kind of

502
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,400
Speaker 1: just like gap and recover, right, so like play kind

503
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:14,119
Speaker 1: of in that middle ground where they feel comfortable closing

504
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:16,760
Speaker 1: out to a shooter while also you know, digging down

505
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 1: and kind of disrupting things inside, and again held the

506
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 1: Nuggets to a sixty two point five offensive rating with

507
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 1: Yokic on the floor over the final seven and a

508
00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:27,880
Speaker 1: half minutes of the game. On the other end, continues

509
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,240
Speaker 1: to handle doubles really well. Another tennisis night. That's his

510
00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:32,360
Speaker 1: third time this year that he's had at least ten assists.

511
00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 1: Last year, Joel Embiid had just nine games with at

512
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:40,199
Speaker 1: least seven assists. He already has thirteen this year. Just

513
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:44,119
Speaker 1: halfway through the year, Denver was doubling one pass away

514
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:48,240
Speaker 1: and a lot of Embiid's like face up situations, which

515
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,119
Speaker 1: we'll talk about a minute because it's a strategy I

516
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 1: don't necessarily agree with. But he was just taking what

517
00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 1: the defense was given him, throwing those quick one handed

518
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:56,399
Speaker 1: passes to the guy one passed away, and they were

519
00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 1: playing off of that. And then it really came down

520
00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,520
Speaker 1: to the face up game. Nuggets down the stretch with

521
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:04,520
Speaker 1: these like face up jab step jumpers. It's a specific shot.

522
00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:06,640
Speaker 1: He's been making it a really high clip this year.

523
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:10,639
Speaker 1: He's thirty five for sixty five, so well over fifty

524
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 1: percent on face up no dribble jump shots this year.

525
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:19,360
Speaker 1: And like he just just just absolutely picked him apart

526
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:20,640
Speaker 1: at the end of the game, was doing it there

527
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:24,480
Speaker 1: and Gordon was doing it to nicolea Jokic from three.

528
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,600
Speaker 1: It was incredibly dominant. Had a big euro step in

529
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:30,800
Speaker 1: transition around Nikole Jokic for a layup. It was just

530
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:34,440
Speaker 1: an unbelievably dominant game from Joel Embiid. And here's the thing,

531
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,600
Speaker 1: like he said after the game to Nicole Jokic, and

532
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:39,679
Speaker 1: I appreciated this because it's a respect to the banner.

533
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:41,960
Speaker 1: You know, you guys know here shout out logan swam

534
00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:43,399
Speaker 1: had a content here at the volume. He calls me

535
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:46,399
Speaker 1: a loyalist the banner, but like Embiid was being a

536
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:49,679
Speaker 1: loyalist to the banner, he goes, Jokic is the best player,

537
00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 1: and then he said something like I'll see you in

538
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 1: a couple of weeks, which was awesome. It's gonna be

539
00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:59,360
Speaker 1: excited to see that matchup in Denver. But here's the thing.

540
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:04,200
Speaker 1: He's by far the best regular season player in the league,

541
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:08,680
Speaker 1: and it's not particularly close. There's nobody in the league

542
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 1: right now impacting winning on a night to night basis

543
00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:13,440
Speaker 1: the way that Joel Embiide is over the course of

544
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,960
Speaker 1: the eighty two He is far and away the MVP

545
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:19,320
Speaker 1: front runner right now. The next step is go beat

546
00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:23,560
Speaker 1: the allegations. He has a reputation of being a playoff underperformer.

547
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,480
Speaker 1: It's a combination of two things, in my opinion, injuries

548
00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:30,480
Speaker 1: in his jump shot failing him. They probably are connected

549
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:34,080
Speaker 1: to some extent, right and Sixers fans are constantly pointing

550
00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:37,880
Speaker 1: that out, like give him a healthy playoff run. He

551
00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 1: just hasn't really had a chance to show what he

552
00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:41,840
Speaker 1: can do when he's healthy in that phase and that

553
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 1: may or may not be true, but that's the reputation.

554
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 1: The allegations are that he's a playoff underperformer. Go beat them,

555
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:55,320
Speaker 1: Go show everybody that they're wrong, and everything will flip

556
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:59,000
Speaker 1: like that. Go show everyone that they're wrong. It's all

557
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:02,680
Speaker 1: he needs to do. And if it is as simple

558
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,200
Speaker 1: as him being injured, take care of yourself. Who cares

559
00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:07,359
Speaker 1: about the MVP this year. Do what you gotta do

560
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:09,200
Speaker 1: to make sure you're healthy in April. And then when

561
00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:12,359
Speaker 1: he gets there, it's that jump shot because he's shooting

562
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:14,480
Speaker 1: extremely well on those jab step jumpers or the no

563
00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:17,000
Speaker 1: dribble jumpers, but the jumper is basically where it was

564
00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:20,119
Speaker 1: last year. Overall, last year zero point nine to seven

565
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:23,480
Speaker 1: points per Joel emb jump shot. This year zero point

566
00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:27,119
Speaker 1: nine to eight, so he's one percent better than he

567
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:29,479
Speaker 1: was last year. The difference is last year he went

568
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:31,520
Speaker 1: from zero point nine to seven points per jump shot

569
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:33,760
Speaker 1: in the regular season down to zero point five to

570
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,239
Speaker 1: nine points per jump shot in the playoffs. This has

571
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:39,480
Speaker 1: been a consistent theme on and Beats longer playoff runs.

572
00:28:39,920 --> 00:28:41,960
Speaker 1: Doesn't shoot the jump shot as well as he did

573
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:44,960
Speaker 1: in the regular season, which becomes a cascading effect. Guys

574
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:47,240
Speaker 1: no longer have to stunt and deal with that shot

575
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 1: makes them be able to beat him to the spot better.

576
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:52,080
Speaker 1: When he makes his post moves, it just causes things

577
00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:54,280
Speaker 1: to fall apart for him offensively, and that's why he

578
00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:57,440
Speaker 1: goes from looking like the MVP to looking like something

579
00:28:57,520 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 1: significantly worse than that when he gets to that point.

580
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:03,560
Speaker 1: And again, injuries play a big role, but get there,

581
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:06,880
Speaker 1: get their healthy, beat the allegations. That's the next step

582
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:09,120
Speaker 1: for Joel Embid. I thought Tyree s Maxy had another

583
00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 1: big night for a high profile game. I always want

584
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 1: to keep an eye on these kinds of games for

585
00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 1: the for the young up and coming stars, because they're,

586
00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:19,240
Speaker 1: you know, reasonable fac similes of what playoff games look like.

587
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 1: He went for twenty five points and nine assists with

588
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:23,960
Speaker 1: just one turnover, had a big driving layup to tie

589
00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:26,040
Speaker 1: the game in the in the fourth quarter when they

590
00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:29,320
Speaker 1: weren't matched up in transition. Good showing. And then Tyrese

591
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 1: excuse me, Tobias Harris. The Nuggets without Nikole Jokis were

592
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,320
Speaker 1: making a little run there in the early fourth quarter,

593
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 1: and Tobias Harris literally single handedly kept the Sixers in

594
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 1: the game just by attacking the smaller Nuggets players in

595
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:46,840
Speaker 1: the post and hitting little short jump shots and shots

596
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:49,720
Speaker 1: around the rim. That matchup attacking forward is such an

597
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:53,200
Speaker 1: important role in the NBA for that reason, because there

598
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 1: are so many guys on these floor on these courts

599
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 1: most of the time, especially in those like kind of

600
00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:00,880
Speaker 1: bridge moments like end of the third, early fourth, end

601
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 1: of the first, early second quarter, where there's like bench

602
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:05,640
Speaker 1: players on the floor, there's lots of these smaller players

603
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:07,080
Speaker 1: on the floor that you can attack if you have

604
00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,800
Speaker 1: a matchup, a matchup attacking forward that can get a

605
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:11,880
Speaker 1: high quality shot close to the rim or draw double

606
00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:13,240
Speaker 1: team and allow you to play out of that. I

607
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,160
Speaker 1: thought Tobias Harris did a really, really nice job of

608
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:19,280
Speaker 1: that in the early fourth quarter on the Nuggets front

609
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:23,160
Speaker 1: a lot of really uncharacteristic mistakes that Reggie Jackson drivery

610
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:25,680
Speaker 1: challenged Joel Embiid at the rim. There are twelve seconds

611
00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 1: on the shot clock, and when he missed it and

612
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 1: fell on the floor, the Sixers ran out. That was

613
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:34,440
Speaker 1: when Embiid had the euro step for the layup. And specifically,

614
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:37,520
Speaker 1: like I think I saw what Reggie was thinking on

615
00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 1: that play, because so think of it like this, if

616
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:42,960
Speaker 1: I'm in a drop coverage, I know even if I

617
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:45,200
Speaker 1: get off of the screen, if they're in a drop coverage.

618
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:46,520
Speaker 1: If I get off the screen, I know this guy

619
00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 1: waiting for me. But I think he saw Embiid denying

620
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,479
Speaker 1: and was like, oh shit, if I can get around

621
00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:56,040
Speaker 1: this screen and beats down at the rim, he's denying,

622
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:57,280
Speaker 1: So all I have to do is get over the

623
00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:00,240
Speaker 1: top of the screen and then I'll be at the rim. Well, well,

624
00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:04,200
Speaker 1: he underestimated I think Embiid's speed. And what was crazy

625
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:05,840
Speaker 1: is as he kind of turned the corner, Embid was

626
00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 1: already there and then he still decided to go into

627
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 1: him with so much time on the shot clock. So

628
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:12,600
Speaker 1: I thought that was bad process, right, he should have

629
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:14,200
Speaker 1: just pulled it out, not to mention it ended in

630
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:16,720
Speaker 1: a switch and Tyree Smacksy was on Jokic, so he

631
00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:19,960
Speaker 1: could have just you know, Yokic should have probably crashed

632
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 1: there too, because he probably could have got offensive rebound

633
00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:23,880
Speaker 1: put back or you know that how Jamal Murray always

634
00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:25,400
Speaker 1: does that thing where he kind of gets really deep

635
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 1: into the lane and then just kind of floats it

636
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:28,720
Speaker 1: up in front of the rim and Yogic will go

637
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:30,680
Speaker 1: grab it and then shoot his little pop shot. Right,

638
00:31:31,080 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 1: So that was kind of a challenging possession Jamal threw

639
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 1: two really bad bounce passes on plays where Patrick Beverley

640
00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:42,200
Speaker 1: was rushing him from behind. On the second one, it

641
00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:44,880
Speaker 1: was the play where Embiid was denying yokicch in the

642
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:48,080
Speaker 1: post and the ball got worked around and ended up

643
00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:51,640
Speaker 1: in a Jamal Murray Aaron Gordon ball screen. But Joel

644
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 1: Embiid made an impromptu switch back onto Aaron Gordon at

645
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 1: the last second and Patrick Beverly had to rotate out

646
00:31:57,600 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 1: to Michael Porter Jr. There was like a two second

647
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,960
Speaker 1: indo there where they ran to jokicch at the top

648
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:05,040
Speaker 1: of the key and Michael Porter Jr. Was wide open

649
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 1: on the right wing and Jamal Murray just missed him

650
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 1: before he ran in and turned it over. Jokic transitioned possession.

651
00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:14,040
Speaker 1: There was a play where Jamal Murray tried to backcut

652
00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 1: on I think Tyree s Maxi and Jokic just threw

653
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 1: a really bad bounce pass. First of all, the back

654
00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:22,680
Speaker 1: cut wasn't open, and then he also threw a bad

655
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 1: pass and so it just went out of bound. So

656
00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 1: that was sloppy again. Five turnovers for the Nuggets in

657
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter, and then the defense wasn't very good

658
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:31,520
Speaker 1: they had two possessions where they didn't get matched up

659
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:34,480
Speaker 1: in transition the first one, Like I clipped both of

660
00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:36,640
Speaker 1: these plays. I took this entire stretch run by the

661
00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:38,440
Speaker 1: Way and did a clip by clip analysis of it

662
00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:40,440
Speaker 1: on my Twitter feed at underscore json lts. You guys

663
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: can find that there. But like, because I've had a

664
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:45,440
Speaker 1: lot of people in the comment say, you know, hey,

665
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,320
Speaker 1: ja's gonna be really nice if we had video underneath

666
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 1: the clips, and this is what I'm gonna say, I

667
00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 1: know that I'd love to have that right now, We're

668
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,160
Speaker 1: not set up for that. That's just the reality. So

669
00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:59,640
Speaker 1: my counter is every morning when I'm doing a film session,

670
00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:03,160
Speaker 1: I catalog this. Not every morning, but most of the

671
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,760
Speaker 1: mornings that I do a film session, I'm cataloging these

672
00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:09,360
Speaker 1: plays in threads on the feed, and so there you

673
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 1: can go to try to see some more visual examples

674
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 1: of the things I'm talking about. I really hope and

675
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 1: I believe that in the long run, we will be

676
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 1: able to do that on the show. We're just not

677
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,880
Speaker 1: at that point right now. So I appreciate the feedback.

678
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:23,800
Speaker 1: I promise you guys, it's something that I really want

679
00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:26,120
Speaker 1: to do. It's just a question of logistics at this point,

680
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 1: and we'll see when we get to that point. Anyway, though,

681
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:32,840
Speaker 1: you can see on this particular transition possession, you can

682
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:35,280
Speaker 1: see Yokic screaming to Reggie Jackson, like go pick up

683
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,360
Speaker 1: Tyres Maxie, what are you doing? Go pick him up?

684
00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:39,960
Speaker 1: And he just didn't get there in time. Reggie Jackson

685
00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 1: or Tyris Maxy just shot down the lane and got

686
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 1: a right in a lamp. That was the one that

687
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 1: Michael Porter Junior goaltended. Then there was another one where

688
00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 1: this one was Jokic's fault running out in transition. It

689
00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 1: was the it was after the Reggie Jackson forced layup

690
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 1: that he missed. Jokic in transition defense is supposed to

691
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:57,360
Speaker 1: run to the rim. Instead he ran out to Patrick

692
00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 1: Beverley in the corner and when no one was at

693
00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:01,680
Speaker 1: the rim, and so then he had to sprint back

694
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 1: into the play when he saw Embiid coming and it

695
00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 1: was like a close out situation in transition. It's just

696
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:09,120
Speaker 1: there's no chance. If he's waiting there, he can probably

697
00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 1: force him Bead to pull it out. He wasn't waiting there,

698
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 1: he was sprinting there. That was when embiad hit him

699
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:15,520
Speaker 1: with that eurostep and got to the basket. So two

700
00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:20,200
Speaker 1: bad transition defense possessions led to led to easy layups.

701
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,640
Speaker 1: It just again and then the jumpers you got to

702
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 1: live with. But like there was, they were just sloppy

703
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,080
Speaker 1: on both ends of the floor. It was an uncharacteristic

704
00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:30,040
Speaker 1: Nuggets performance. That said, I do want to credit the

705
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:33,400
Speaker 1: Sixers because I thought they kind of played the Nuggets

706
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:36,560
Speaker 1: into those bad tendencies with really really good defense, especially

707
00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:40,640
Speaker 1: by Joel Embiid. Here's the reality. The Sixers are a

708
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:43,000
Speaker 1: little bit of a tough matchup for Denver. Embiid is

709
00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:45,800
Speaker 1: big enough to challenge Jokic physically, like we mentioned earlier,

710
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:48,359
Speaker 1: in a way that most NBA centers aren't. There were

711
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:51,480
Speaker 1: only two possessions in the game where Yokic actually posted

712
00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:54,640
Speaker 1: up Joel Embiid individually, and he got good looks on both.

713
00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:56,080
Speaker 1: There's a up and under where he had a left

714
00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:57,960
Speaker 1: handed layup that he missed, and then there was a

715
00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:00,000
Speaker 1: right handed hook shot that he got that was relatively

716
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:04,239
Speaker 1: easily So hard to say exactly how that matchup would

717
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 1: look in a bigger picture of this phase of their

718
00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:09,600
Speaker 1: careers because they didn't guard each other that much. That said, like,

719
00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:11,880
Speaker 1: there's no doubt that mb does match up better with

720
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 1: Jokic than most of these centers around the league. And

721
00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:16,560
Speaker 1: then on the other end of the floor, there's just

722
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:19,600
Speaker 1: nobody on Denver that can guard Joel Embiid. But the

723
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:22,759
Speaker 1: question is that doesn't matter if Philly's not good enough

724
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:24,560
Speaker 1: to get out of the Eastern Conference, because right now

725
00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:27,919
Speaker 1: I would pick Boston and Milwaukee over Philly. So like, yeah,

726
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:31,359
Speaker 1: it's a bad matchup for Denver, but unless Philly makes

727
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:33,640
Speaker 1: some sort of trade to provide some more perimeter talent,

728
00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:36,720
Speaker 1: I just don't necessarily think they're good or or unless

729
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:39,840
Speaker 1: Joel emb just goes transcendently great in the postseason, I

730
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,279
Speaker 1: don't necessarily see them making the finals, which puts them

731
00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:45,480
Speaker 1: in a situation where where Denver might not even have

732
00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:48,439
Speaker 1: to see that specific matchup. And outside of that, there's

733
00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 1: just like, he doesn't have any problems with Anthony Davis.

734
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:53,000
Speaker 1: I mean, maybe we'll see if Anthony Davis can reverse

735
00:35:53,040 --> 00:35:54,720
Speaker 1: that trend this year, but he didn't have any problems

736
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:57,799
Speaker 1: with Anthony Davis, doesn't have any problems with any of

737
00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:00,919
Speaker 1: these other centers out West. It's the one guy who's

738
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:03,080
Speaker 1: kind of big enough to kind of challenge him in

739
00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 1: that sense. Hopefully we'll get to see more examples of

740
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:08,520
Speaker 1: them on each other one on one when they play

741
00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:11,360
Speaker 1: in a couple of weeks. A playoff series would be

742
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 1: fun to see between those two, wouldn't it. They would

743
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:16,640
Speaker 1: get nasty. I think they would end up guarding each

744
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,319
Speaker 1: other for the most part. That's a series i'd love

745
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:21,120
Speaker 1: to see. One other note with Denver, if there was

746
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:24,760
Speaker 1: one kind of crack in the armor that's worth calling

747
00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:28,680
Speaker 1: attention to, it's Jokic's jump shot down the stretch of

748
00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:32,960
Speaker 1: the game. Nicola had I think two wide open threes.

749
00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:34,520
Speaker 1: There was at least one in the corner, one at

750
00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:36,920
Speaker 1: the top, and then maybe one more. But like he

751
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:38,719
Speaker 1: had some wide open looks and he missed him both.

752
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:42,320
Speaker 1: And here's the thing. Last year, in the regular season,

753
00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 1: a Jokic jumper was worth one point one to seven

754
00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:47,479
Speaker 1: points per shot. In the playoffs, it was worth one

755
00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:51,640
Speaker 1: point two to one points per shot. And as I've

756
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,919
Speaker 1: talked so much about on the show, over the Top,

757
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:58,080
Speaker 1: shot making was a huge part of Denver winning, like

758
00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:00,280
Speaker 1: the Lakers were in every single game of that Western

759
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:03,120
Speaker 1: Conference Finals. And then Jokic and Murray shot them out

760
00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:04,640
Speaker 1: of it at the end. That was a big part

761
00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:06,760
Speaker 1: of it. There's a highlight rail going around of Jokic

762
00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:10,239
Speaker 1: just bombing crazy jumpers over the top on their way

763
00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:12,160
Speaker 1: to winning the title. That was a big part of one,

764
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:14,479
Speaker 1: the only part so much more that Denver does well,

765
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:17,239
Speaker 1: but that is one of the things that helped them

766
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:19,680
Speaker 1: get over the top this year. Or Yokiics jump shot

767
00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:22,560
Speaker 1: is worth just one point zero four points per jump shot.

768
00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:26,600
Speaker 1: That's in that like Lebron James territory, right for the record,

769
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:30,319
Speaker 1: that's seventeen percent down from where it was last year

770
00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:34,000
Speaker 1: in the postseason. Not seventeen percent shooting, but seventeen percent

771
00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 1: relative to where it was last year, from one point

772
00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:39,120
Speaker 1: two to one down to one point oh four. That's

773
00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:42,759
Speaker 1: roughly seventeen percent, right. So there's a significant decline in

774
00:37:42,840 --> 00:37:45,520
Speaker 1: Yokic's jump shot, and we saw that the year before

775
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:49,360
Speaker 1: last two, and so I would like to see Jokic

776
00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:52,839
Speaker 1: have an extended stretch of hot shooting before the postseason

777
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:55,120
Speaker 1: just to demonstrate that he still has that in his bag,

778
00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:57,319
Speaker 1: because I do think it's a very very important thing

779
00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:00,880
Speaker 1: to kind of add to that margin and margin of

780
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:03,400
Speaker 1: error that Denver has all right, before we get out here,

781
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:06,160
Speaker 1: it's hot Clippers. Big win against Oklahoma City last night,

782
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:07,960
Speaker 1: as I expected, As I told you guys after this

783
00:38:08,000 --> 00:38:12,239
Speaker 1: Minnesota Timberwolves win, my initial kind of interpretation interpretation of

784
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:14,919
Speaker 1: the Clippers is they're kind of matchup dependent, and they're

785
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:16,359
Speaker 1: going to struggle a lot with a lot of these

786
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:18,520
Speaker 1: bigger teams that can kind of bully them. And then

787
00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:21,000
Speaker 1: they're going to especially the ones that have good perimeter defenders,

788
00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 1: that can make long perimeter defenders that can challenge Paul

789
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:25,759
Speaker 1: George and Qui pull up jump shots. And then I

790
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:28,440
Speaker 1: thought they would kind of throttle the other perimeter teams,

791
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:32,479
Speaker 1: the other finesse teams right, and they kind of handled Okay.

792
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 1: See last night, albeit okay, see on the tail end

793
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:37,759
Speaker 1: of a back to back Paul George was absolutely magnificent

794
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:39,439
Speaker 1: down the stretch. Hit a huge pull up jump shot

795
00:38:39,480 --> 00:38:42,880
Speaker 1: over Jaln Williams, a couple of nasty, tough, tight windows,

796
00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:46,160
Speaker 1: short opening catch and shoot jump shots at a big

797
00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:48,080
Speaker 1: reverse dunk and transition at the end of it. Was

798
00:38:48,200 --> 00:38:51,840
Speaker 1: crazy Paul George performance. But as I said before the

799
00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:54,879
Speaker 1: Minnesota game, after these two games, I want to add

800
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:57,439
Speaker 1: the Clippers to my contender list, and I just wanted

801
00:38:57,440 --> 00:38:59,480
Speaker 1: to see those two games before we got there. In

802
00:38:59,520 --> 00:39:01,560
Speaker 1: those two game, Sames kind of legitimize most of my

803
00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,320
Speaker 1: beliefs about this team at this point in the season.

804
00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:07,839
Speaker 1: So let's talk Clippers big picture first, and let's start

805
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:11,040
Speaker 1: with the good. They have diversity of shot creation. That's

806
00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:13,080
Speaker 1: a major thing for me. They have a finesse wing,

807
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:15,439
Speaker 1: a power wing, and a pick and roll maestro. Right.

808
00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:18,359
Speaker 1: Paul George is your you know, a dribble dribble drible

809
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:21,440
Speaker 1: dribble pull up shooter guy. Kawhi Leonard is your fight

810
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:24,279
Speaker 1: for short range pull up jump shots close to the

811
00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 1: basket that are a little more high percentage, super super efficient. Right.

812
00:39:27,560 --> 00:39:29,759
Speaker 1: I think James Harden is a guy that can set

813
00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:31,879
Speaker 1: them up in advantage situations out of pick and roll.

814
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:35,200
Speaker 1: They also are an excellent shooting team. They get one

815
00:39:35,239 --> 00:39:37,399
Speaker 1: point one to two points per spot up possession, which

816
00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:39,440
Speaker 1: is the fifth best in the league, and they shoot

817
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:42,200
Speaker 1: thirty nine point six percent from three, which is the

818
00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:45,560
Speaker 1: best in the league. And play types, they are the

819
00:39:45,640 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 1: fourth most efficient post up team in the league. They

820
00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:50,440
Speaker 1: are the second most efficient ISO team in the league,

821
00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:52,960
Speaker 1: and they are the seventh most efficient pick and roll

822
00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:56,040
Speaker 1: team in the league. On the defensive end, they are

823
00:39:56,120 --> 00:39:59,200
Speaker 1: fourteenth in defensive rating. But it's kind of confusing because

824
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:01,880
Speaker 1: they're the fourth best half court defense according to Cleaning

825
00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:05,680
Speaker 1: the Glass, but they're the third worst transition defense according

826
00:40:05,719 --> 00:40:06,919
Speaker 1: to Cleaning and the Glass. So there are a good

827
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 1: half court defense an atrocious transition defense, which combines to

828
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:14,720
Speaker 1: make for an average defense. That said, typically the transition

829
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:17,279
Speaker 1: defense is something that can get cleaned up in the postseason.

830
00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:21,640
Speaker 1: They're excellent on the perimeter, they're excellent on help recover situations.

831
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 1: They're just not great in rim protection, but they do

832
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:26,880
Speaker 1: protect the paint reasonably well. They are eleventh in points

833
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:29,399
Speaker 1: in the paint allowed. They are also twelfth and three

834
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:32,240
Speaker 1: pointers made allowed. And again, there are a lot of noise

835
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:35,600
Speaker 1: there in terms of transition defense. Here's the beat. I

836
00:40:35,640 --> 00:40:38,440
Speaker 1: have three main concerns, and before we go any further,

837
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:42,000
Speaker 1: every team I have major concerns for except for Denver,

838
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:45,239
Speaker 1: and even with them, I have the Yokics jump shot thing,

839
00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:47,040
Speaker 1: which I talked about earlier, which is a little bit

840
00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:49,600
Speaker 1: of a concern. Like Boston and Denver, I have little concerns.

841
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:52,439
Speaker 1: I'm a little concerned about Boston's late game decision making

842
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:55,759
Speaker 1: and just overall offensive process. I'm a little bit concerned

843
00:40:56,120 --> 00:40:58,880
Speaker 1: about Denver as it pertains to Jokic's jump shooting and

844
00:40:58,880 --> 00:41:00,359
Speaker 1: whether or not he can reach the level he did

845
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:02,719
Speaker 1: last year in the postseason. But all the other teams

846
00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:06,400
Speaker 1: have major concerns. Like Milwaukee's not as good offensively in

847
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 1: my opinion, as they need to be in order to

848
00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:10,440
Speaker 1: make up for their defensive deficiencies, and their pick and

849
00:41:10,520 --> 00:41:12,680
Speaker 1: roll or their point of attack defense stuff is a

850
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 1: real problem. The Lakers are just lifeless right now, so

851
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:18,080
Speaker 1: it's hard to even tell what they're good and bad at.

852
00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:20,520
Speaker 1: They look terrible one night, awesome the next, and they

853
00:41:20,560 --> 00:41:23,040
Speaker 1: certainly need to make a trade. They're weak in overall

854
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,440
Speaker 1: offensive skill, They're weak in kind of perimeter speed. They've

855
00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:27,480
Speaker 1: got a lot of stuff they got to address at

856
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:30,160
Speaker 1: the deadline right Like the Phoenix Suns, physicality is a

857
00:41:30,200 --> 00:41:32,920
Speaker 1: major issue. They fall apart offensively in the fourth quarter

858
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:36,400
Speaker 1: as well. Minnesota is a terrible half court offense, so

859
00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:38,720
Speaker 1: they're an excellent defensive team, but they can really struggle

860
00:41:38,760 --> 00:41:40,200
Speaker 1: in the chess match stuff at the end of game.

861
00:41:40,280 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 1: So like or in slow down environments. So like every

862
00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:44,839
Speaker 1: team has major issues. So when I talk about these

863
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:47,120
Speaker 1: major issues for the Clippers, don't take it as like

864
00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:49,000
Speaker 1: me trying to pick them apart. I'm trying to pick

865
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:50,600
Speaker 1: everybody apart. That's the point. I'm trying to get to

866
00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:52,160
Speaker 1: the point where I can have a better understanding of

867
00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:55,160
Speaker 1: this when we get to April. Here are my three

868
00:41:55,200 --> 00:41:59,040
Speaker 1: concerns for the Clippers. One, they take the second most

869
00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:01,920
Speaker 1: pull up jump shots in the league. Two, they're a

870
00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:05,840
Speaker 1: bottom ten defensive rebounding team. They give up an offensive

871
00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:08,640
Speaker 1: rebound on forty three point three percent of their opponents

872
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:12,360
Speaker 1: misses in clutch situations too, that's second worst in the league.

873
00:42:12,520 --> 00:42:15,840
Speaker 1: So there are a bad defensive rebounding team who's incredibly

874
00:42:15,880 --> 00:42:19,080
Speaker 1: bad in close game situations late. And Then three, they

875
00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:21,480
Speaker 1: do not score in the paint. They're seventeenth in points

876
00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:23,680
Speaker 1: in the paint per game. Now, let's elaborate that on

877
00:42:24,040 --> 00:42:26,439
Speaker 1: that a little bit. Number one, they take the second

878
00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:27,799
Speaker 1: most pull up jump shots in the league. Why does

879
00:42:27,880 --> 00:42:31,800
Speaker 1: that matter Because they hunt and depend on difficult shot

880
00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:34,920
Speaker 1: making and that's just a tough way to win in

881
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:37,360
Speaker 1: the playoffs. We've seen that with Phoenix, We've seen that

882
00:42:37,840 --> 00:42:41,839
Speaker 1: with the nets teams, right, like when you rely on

883
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:45,120
Speaker 1: difficult shot making, not as a counter, not like late

884
00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:49,000
Speaker 1: clock situations, you know, being really picky about when you

885
00:42:49,040 --> 00:42:51,560
Speaker 1: take pull up jump shots based on the coverage, but

886
00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:55,040
Speaker 1: like you lean on interior shot making and advantage creation

887
00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:57,479
Speaker 1: and the shots close to the rim and wide open

888
00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:00,720
Speaker 1: catch and shoot situations and stuff like that. It should

889
00:43:00,760 --> 00:43:02,920
Speaker 1: be the other way around, Like you should rely on

890
00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:05,440
Speaker 1: that stuff and then have the pull up shooting be

891
00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 1: a counter or something you're more selective with. That, to me,

892
00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:10,640
Speaker 1: is the best shot profile for a playoff team. The

893
00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:13,719
Speaker 1: Clippers are the other way around. They depend and lean

894
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:18,239
Speaker 1: into and hunt and rely on difficult shot making, and

895
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:20,200
Speaker 1: just what ends up happening a lot of times is

896
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:22,040
Speaker 1: like guys that you see make tough shots in the

897
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:25,279
Speaker 1: regular season gets more physical, guys start to wear down,

898
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:27,440
Speaker 1: the grind of the playoffs takes a toll over two

899
00:43:27,440 --> 00:43:29,600
Speaker 1: to three series, and then suddenly it's like he's just

900
00:43:29,640 --> 00:43:31,279
Speaker 1: not quite getting as much lyft on that pull up

901
00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:33,200
Speaker 1: jump shot and he starts to miss him. Right. So

902
00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:35,720
Speaker 1: that's something that's not unique to the Clippers. That's something

903
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:39,360
Speaker 1: I talk about around the league. For example, four of

904
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:42,719
Speaker 1: the five champions since Kevin Durant and Steph Curry were

905
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 1: playing together for the Warriors in one in twenty eighteen,

906
00:43:46,040 --> 00:43:48,680
Speaker 1: four of the five champions were low volume pull up

907
00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:52,799
Speaker 1: shooting teams. The one high volume pull up shooting team

908
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:56,760
Speaker 1: was Milwaukee, and they had Giannis bulldozing to the rim

909
00:43:56,880 --> 00:43:59,319
Speaker 1: throughout the entire playoff run. It was Chris and Drew

910
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:02,880
Speaker 1: taking all the pull up jump shots. So, like NBA

911
00:44:03,040 --> 00:44:07,600
Speaker 1: history tells us, typically high volume jump shooting teams aren't

912
00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:09,799
Speaker 1: going to be the ones who hoisted the trophy at

913
00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:11,759
Speaker 1: the end of the day. Also, Milwaukee wasn't second in

914
00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:15,719
Speaker 1: the league in attempts there. Secondly, rebounding, four of the

915
00:44:15,800 --> 00:44:18,560
Speaker 1: five teams that won the title since Kevin Durant Steph

916
00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:21,840
Speaker 1: hoisted the trophy in twenty eighteen were eleventh or better

917
00:44:22,000 --> 00:44:26,359
Speaker 1: in defensive rebounding percentage, and the Clippers are bottom ten

918
00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:29,520
Speaker 1: and absolutely atrocious and clutch situations. Like we talked about

919
00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:31,919
Speaker 1: the one exception, the one team out of that five

920
00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:35,320
Speaker 1: was Toronto with Kawhi Leonard. They were eighteenth in defensive

921
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:38,279
Speaker 1: rebounding and they were a much better defensive rebounding team

922
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:42,439
Speaker 1: than this particular Clippers team. Is. Lastly, lack of paint

923
00:44:42,440 --> 00:44:45,000
Speaker 1: scoring is pretty simple. They don't get a lot of

924
00:44:45,040 --> 00:44:48,480
Speaker 1: easy shots close to the rim. They depend on guys

925
00:44:48,480 --> 00:44:52,360
Speaker 1: making jump shots. There's more variance in jump shooting. You

926
00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:56,120
Speaker 1: can control jump shooting for the most part, but there

927
00:44:56,160 --> 00:44:59,080
Speaker 1: is a variance element to it. And that variance element

928
00:44:59,160 --> 00:45:00,840
Speaker 1: is not there with a round the rim shooting, or

929
00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:04,040
Speaker 1: at least to a much much smaller extent. So NBA

930
00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:07,239
Speaker 1: history tells us that this kind of team construct typically

931
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:10,239
Speaker 1: doesn't win. That doesn't mean they won't win, doesn't mean

932
00:45:10,280 --> 00:45:14,480
Speaker 1: they can't win, just means it's less likely. Right as

933
00:45:14,520 --> 00:45:17,680
Speaker 1: far as like the you know, the the other narrative stuff,

934
00:45:17,760 --> 00:45:21,640
Speaker 1: like everyone's saying James Harden isn't just called a playoff choker,

935
00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:24,960
Speaker 1: you know, as as some sort of caricature of himself

936
00:45:25,560 --> 00:45:28,040
Speaker 1: like it's it's a basketball thing. He at this phase

937
00:45:28,080 --> 00:45:30,440
Speaker 1: of his career struggles to be people off the dribble

938
00:45:30,440 --> 00:45:32,120
Speaker 1: and finish around the rim in a playoff setting when

939
00:45:32,120 --> 00:45:35,160
Speaker 1: the intensity and physicality goes up a level. Last year

940
00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:38,520
Speaker 1: outside of two games, was downright atrocious in the in

941
00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:41,400
Speaker 1: the playoffs. And so that doesn't mean it can't happen.

942
00:45:41,440 --> 00:45:43,239
Speaker 1: And again, Philly fans will tell you he was hurt

943
00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:46,239
Speaker 1: coming off of an achilles thing that was bothering him

944
00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:47,920
Speaker 1: during the regular season. I don't want to deny that,

945
00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:50,360
Speaker 1: but we have a long extended sample that when we

946
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:53,359
Speaker 1: get to that level, James's efficacy drops a level it's

947
00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:56,239
Speaker 1: worth mentioning. Doesn't not the end all be all, but

948
00:45:56,320 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 1: it's worth mentioning. So the question is where do they

949
00:45:59,600 --> 00:46:02,439
Speaker 1: go in my list of contenders. So right now I've

950
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:06,640
Speaker 1: Denver at one, Boston at two, Milwaukee at three. I've

951
00:46:06,640 --> 00:46:10,280
Speaker 1: decided that the teams below that have bigger question marks.

952
00:46:10,360 --> 00:46:13,640
Speaker 1: The Lakers have to nail their trade, have to rebuy in.

953
00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:16,840
Speaker 1: By tricking off the regular season, they put themselves in

954
00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:19,680
Speaker 1: a situation where if Lebron or Anthony Davisucker suffer a

955
00:46:19,760 --> 00:46:23,840
Speaker 1: significant injury, they will miss the playoffs, so they've removed

956
00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:26,360
Speaker 1: their margin for air. The Warriors same thing, have to

957
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:28,840
Speaker 1: nail a bunch of trades. Minnesota's half court offense, I

958
00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:31,160
Speaker 1: think is a real issue. I think they're gonna run

959
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:33,560
Speaker 1: into some problems where they get absolutely shut down at

960
00:46:33,560 --> 00:46:35,920
Speaker 1: some phases of the playoffs. So I'm putting the Clippers

961
00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 1: in at number four. Also, I want to add Oklahoma

962
00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 1: City and Philly to this list eventually, but I want

963
00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:44,320
Speaker 1: to do some deep dives on film and some numbers

964
00:46:44,320 --> 00:46:47,440
Speaker 1: with them, so I'm gonna wait until further down the

965
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:49,240
Speaker 1: line to do so. But I will be adding Oklahoma

966
00:46:49,320 --> 00:46:51,600
Speaker 1: City and Philly to that as well. But Clippers right

967
00:46:51,640 --> 00:46:56,040
Speaker 1: now my fourth leading championship contender. All right, guys, that

968
00:46:56,080 --> 00:46:57,920
Speaker 1: is all I have for today is always. I sincerely

969
00:46:57,960 --> 00:47:01,160
Speaker 1: appreciate you supporting the show. Don't forget. Tonight after Mavericks,

970
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:04,240
Speaker 1: Lakers will be going live on YouTube and then tomorrow

971
00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:06,160
Speaker 1: will pick like one or two. But I think I'm

972
00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:08,919
Speaker 1: gonna hit I think it's a Bucks Calves tonight too

973
00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:11,520
Speaker 1: on ESPN, So I'll hit like Bucks Calves tomorrow and

974
00:47:11,560 --> 00:47:13,319
Speaker 1: we'll do a mail bag as well, so I will

975
00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:16,000
Speaker 1: see you guys. Then. I appreciate you guys, See you tomorrow.

976
00:47:42,960 --> 00:47:43,640
Speaker 1: The volume