WEBVTT - Bankman-Fried's Fall as Crypto King

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>story in our world when we create a daily, running

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<v Speaker 1>and constantly updating report on the Bloomberg and we have

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<v Speaker 1>and are when it comes to the dramatic collapse of

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<v Speaker 1>Sam bankman Fried's FTX crypto exchange, which wiped out about

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<v Speaker 1>two hundred billion in crypto market value. So let's get

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<v Speaker 1>the latest on this constantly evolving story. We got with

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<v Speaker 1>us Katie graifel Che's Bloomberg and the News senior markets reporter,

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<v Speaker 1>also the co host of Crypto I r L on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg quick take. She's with us right now in the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio. So, Katie, over the weekend, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know about you, but I was glued to Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>in a really unhealthy way. Why, I know, more so

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<v Speaker 1>than usual. I mean, wait, you you were, You knew

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<v Speaker 1>that I was. I think it for both of us

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<v Speaker 1>more so than usual, glued to Twitter in an unhealthy way.

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<v Speaker 1>Part of the reason why is because Sam Bankman Freed

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<v Speaker 1>is tweeting's tweeting right now. I know he's tweeting this

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<v Speaker 1>kind of cryptic thing, write the word what, and then

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<v Speaker 1>he's spelling out in one letter at a time, H

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<v Speaker 1>A P P, which seems to be you know what happened? Yeah, yeah, So,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean it makes sense that you're glued to Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>because a lot of this is playing out over Twitter.

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<v Speaker 1>You think back to this time last week, you had

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<v Speaker 1>CZ and Sam Bankman Freed s SPF tweeting at each other.

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<v Speaker 1>That's where this all started. And uh, it's just such

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<v Speaker 1>an evolving, fast evolving story. It's hard to keep up.

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<v Speaker 1>But where are we? Where are we right now? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>we know that f t X is under investigation. We

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<v Speaker 1>know that regulators or rather enforcement in the Bahamas have

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<v Speaker 1>spoken to Sam Bankman Freed. If you look at what's

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<v Speaker 1>happening over at buying Nance CEO, c Z is apparently

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<v Speaker 1>setting up this recovery funds, but he hasn't really offered

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<v Speaker 1>any details on what that means. It's a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of a victory. I heard somebody in the newsroom whose

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<v Speaker 1>name will will not be mentioned. So what is it

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<v Speaker 1>like all of a sudden finances like the Federal Reserve

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<v Speaker 1>for like, alright, the lender of last resort? Is this

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<v Speaker 1>like their duty to do this? I don't know, But

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<v Speaker 1>in any case, cz is definitely taking a bit of

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<v Speaker 1>a victory lap here calling out the bad actors. But

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<v Speaker 1>the question everyone wants to know is what is the

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<v Speaker 1>next shoe to drop? And no one really knows what

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<v Speaker 1>do you mean by that, like another crypto firm to

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<v Speaker 1>go under layoffs? What are you talking about that exactly?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean A lot of attention is being paid to

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<v Speaker 1>crypto dot com for example, that's another exchange mistakenly sent

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<v Speaker 1>something to the tune of four hundred million. I think

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<v Speaker 1>it was worth of ether to the wrong addressed. So

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<v Speaker 1>people are watching all the other exchanges right now. You

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<v Speaker 1>have a lot of attention being paid to the lenders

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<v Speaker 1>such as Block five, which is owned by ft X

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<v Speaker 1>or not owned by They had gotten a rescue line

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<v Speaker 1>for um F t X. So right after this news broke,

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<v Speaker 1>everyone was looking at blocked by. They did halt withdrawals.

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<v Speaker 1>What happens with Genesis, one of the biggest remaining lenders

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<v Speaker 1>remains to be seen. And just who has exposure? I

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<v Speaker 1>mean that's the drip feed of news. Uh. The crypto market.

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<v Speaker 1>If I look at our monitor on the Bloomberg, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>it looks like it has stabilized, at least for the moment. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>We're not losing ground today. We've got what bitcoin. I know,

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<v Speaker 1>you were on air with me and just watching bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, go down and down go, you know further,

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<v Speaker 1>it's below seventeen thousand, but above sixteen thousand. See, that's

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<v Speaker 1>the thing. I think that's one of the I don't know.

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<v Speaker 1>Everything is interesting right now, but it's more maybe one

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<v Speaker 1>of the more puzzling things is why isn't bitcoin down more? Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>there's it's obviously down a lot. It's already fallen a lot.

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<v Speaker 1>This here, but I don't know. I have said this

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<v Speaker 1>a few different times. If you had told me that

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<v Speaker 1>f t X was going to file for bankruptcy, I

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<v Speaker 1>would have said, okay, that I mean bitcoin below ten

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<v Speaker 1>thousand obviously did not happen. I was wrong. What does

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<v Speaker 1>this mean for? I mean, I don't They've been articles

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<v Speaker 1>over the weekend about potential repercussions at Sam Bateman Freed

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<v Speaker 1>could see. But I'm thinking bigger picture here, Katie, like

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<v Speaker 1>what it means for Since he was the face of crypto,

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<v Speaker 1>his face was literally on advertisements in San Francisco. F

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<v Speaker 1>f t X was on the Miami Stadium. Crypto dot

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<v Speaker 1>com is on the Staples formerly known as the Staple

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<v Speaker 1>Centers Crypto dot com. I mean, what does it all mean.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's important to watch what's happening. In terms

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<v Speaker 1>of the exchanges. There was a story on the Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>today that exchanges of seeing billions of dollars in outflows.

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<v Speaker 1>I think you're seeing a big retreat among holders. They

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<v Speaker 1>want to take their money off exchanges, they want a

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<v Speaker 1>gold to cold storage, they want control of their keys.

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<v Speaker 1>This big centralization that we've seen in crypto, which you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there's been a lot of jokes like, oh, it's not

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<v Speaker 1>so decentralized after all. But maybe you're seeing sort of

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<v Speaker 1>the unraveling of that because you are seeing this big

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<v Speaker 1>push that people don't want to be on exchanges anymore.

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<v Speaker 1>They want to have control of their keys, control of

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<v Speaker 1>their bitcoins. What I thought it was supposed to be

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<v Speaker 1>about initially, When I think about it, when you start

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<v Speaker 1>to get other players involved, it becomes a different thing exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>I think. I think it was part of the growing

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<v Speaker 1>pains of trying to create new investors in the cryptosphere,

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<v Speaker 1>was this push towards centralization. So I think that's going

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<v Speaker 1>to be one of the storylines to watch over the

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<v Speaker 1>next few months. I also wonder what it means for

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<v Speaker 1>the other firms that SPF and f t X went

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<v Speaker 1>to quote unquote rescued right. He was seen as the

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<v Speaker 1>white Knight, and with the collapse of three arrows, for example, Voyager,

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<v Speaker 1>and you know what happens to those firms. Yeah, I

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<v Speaker 1>wish I had an answer. One of the ways I

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<v Speaker 1>phrased it, maybe it was one of you earlier today

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<v Speaker 1>I can't even remember. Is basically it would be easier

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about the projects that SPF or Alimato or

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<v Speaker 1>f t X wasn't involved with if you think about

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<v Speaker 1>not involved exactly, if you think about the extent he

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<v Speaker 1>had so many he had tentacles in almost every corner

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<v Speaker 1>of the space. And there's a great you know, right

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<v Speaker 1>up in the Financial Times over the weekend. And then

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<v Speaker 1>Matt Levine took it on today with the balance sheet

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<v Speaker 1>of Serum I had not even heard of. I had neither.

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<v Speaker 1>But also the Robin Hood Steak, which is, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>among the most valuable assets of the company has It's amazing.

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<v Speaker 1>I believe it was nine hundred nine billion dollars in liabilities,

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<v Speaker 1>nine hundred million nine million in liquid assets. I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>great at maths, but it doesn't seem to add up.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a hole there. Well, and you do wonder if

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<v Speaker 1>there was more regulatory oversight would this have happened. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't say the R word degulation. I mean, we're not

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<v Speaker 1>even talking about the U S company. That's another question.

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<v Speaker 1>I have not enough for the time we have left.

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<v Speaker 1>Bahamas Based filed in the US for bankruptcy. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>know why, how does that work? I don't know. God,

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<v Speaker 1>the world is a funny place. As Katie said, a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of things interesting in this one Katy Greifeld, Thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much. She is Bloomberg New Senior Markets reporter

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<v Speaker 1>and so much more. This is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. We'll walk into an Apple store

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<v Speaker 1>and you know what, You're going to get, white oak

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<v Speaker 1>tables and eat rows at stores all around the globe.

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<v Speaker 1>And yet what we're starting to see some differences actually

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<v Speaker 1>at some stores as Apple retail workers, Tim are starting

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<v Speaker 1>to union. Not interestingly enough, it's kind of mirroring what's

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<v Speaker 1>happening at other companies and other stores around the country.

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<v Speaker 1>We got Josh Idolson all over it in Bloomberg business Week.

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<v Speaker 1>His story is featured in the upcoming issue of Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week magazine. You can read it now though on the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg terminal and at bloomberg dot com slash of business Week.

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<v Speaker 1>Josh joins us on the phone from San Francisco. He's

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<v Speaker 1>a labor reporter for Bloomberg News. Also with us right

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<v Speaker 1>now is Joel Webber. He's the editor of Bloomberg Business Week.

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<v Speaker 1>He's with us in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker's studio So, Joel,

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<v Speaker 1>what happened here? I thought the Apple Genius Bar and

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<v Speaker 1>the Apple store were great places to work. So Apple

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<v Speaker 1>obviously the world's most valuable UH company. UM. And the

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<v Speaker 1>thing that I think we've all assumed with that UM

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<v Speaker 1>is that it is this great place to work UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And the stores themselves, UM. You know, there's corporate and

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<v Speaker 1>then there's store. UM has never really felt like a

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<v Speaker 1>retail environment. It's felt like a high concept UH store

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<v Speaker 1>where you know, you you have these objects of desire

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<v Speaker 1>that are on display in a very curated place, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, obviously if you have a problem with those products,

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<v Speaker 1>you have to go there. But it's never really felt

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<v Speaker 1>like a retail job. But now the thing that's happened,

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<v Speaker 1>and what Josh is reporting is based on, is that

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<v Speaker 1>rit large corporate America is going through this thing with

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<v Speaker 1>labor and unionization has really stepped up. And we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>it at Amazon, We've seen it at Starbucks, as Josh

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<v Speaker 1>writes about UH, and now we're even beginning to see

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<v Speaker 1>it at Apple specifically in the stores. So Josh, bring

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<v Speaker 1>us up to speed what's changed in the stores. Workers

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<v Speaker 1>who have been in these stories a long time. Today,

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<v Speaker 1>the culture has really transformed, and that these jobs in

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<v Speaker 1>Apple stores have started to feel a lot more like

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<v Speaker 1>retail jobs, in particular because of concerns about understaffing, an

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<v Speaker 1>issue that workers say gets blamed by management on workers

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<v Speaker 1>for calling out up sick and with upselling, this pressure

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<v Speaker 1>to get people to spend more money, including getting people

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<v Speaker 1>who came in with the device they wanted fix too

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<v Speaker 1>instead traded in and buy something new what the company

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<v Speaker 1>calls an ownership opportunity, and workers have described ways that

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<v Speaker 1>that performance on selling stuff to customers is measured, and

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<v Speaker 1>that those measurements actually are shared with coworkers, whether it's

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<v Speaker 1>an email or on the wall in the break room

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<v Speaker 1>and can be marked and read. If you're say statistics

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<v Speaker 1>are below where the company wants them to be. What

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<v Speaker 1>was that a shift that happened recently or is it

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<v Speaker 1>a shift that's just coming into relief right now? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>where do we attribute this to and when? So? Workers

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<v Speaker 1>say that things began to change after Tim Cook took

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<v Speaker 1>over in two thousand eleven and have changed in a

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<v Speaker 1>more accelerated way since Dear Joe O'Brien, the head of

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<v Speaker 1>retail for Apple, took that position. In workers describe things

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<v Speaker 1>like bingo game to try to get you to sell

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<v Speaker 1>Apple devices, like the stylists, and the experience of being

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<v Speaker 1>chided or having your commitment to the company question because

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<v Speaker 1>you missed a chance to upsell a customer about purchasing

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<v Speaker 1>Apple Care. And some workers who've been there a long

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<v Speaker 1>time really feel like unionization is the path to try

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<v Speaker 1>to protect the values that the company is supposed to

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<v Speaker 1>stand for and the vision of what that worked places

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<v Speaker 1>like for workers and for customers that drew them to

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<v Speaker 1>the company in the first place. I gotta say, Josh,

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<v Speaker 1>it feels like, you know, going to buy a car

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<v Speaker 1>like a million years ago, and they, you know, were

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<v Speaker 1>selling you the roof, the rust undercoding, you know, make

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<v Speaker 1>sure you kind of throw it in. That's what it

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<v Speaker 1>felt like, and it felt so on Apple. Having said

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<v Speaker 1>that in your story, you say Apple's overall control over

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<v Speaker 1>its workforce um as having problems. It's really on multiple fronts.

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<v Speaker 1>What's going on at Apple more broadly, you know, whether

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<v Speaker 1>it's Fox Con, whether it's you talk about the maps

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<v Speaker 1>at there's a lot of stuff going on. It feels

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<v Speaker 1>like when it comes to Apple workers, there's been scrutiny

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<v Speaker 1>for a long time about Apple's international supply chain. More recently,

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen Apple contract workers speaking up, including at an

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<v Speaker 1>office that they call a black site, where workers said

0:11:51.080 --> 0:11:54.640
<v Speaker 1>there were restrictions on even talking to direct employees of Apple.

0:11:55.040 --> 0:11:58.000
<v Speaker 1>We saw during the pandemic some of the software workers

0:11:58.400 --> 0:12:03.840
<v Speaker 1>becoming outspoken about issues from sexual harassment to return to

0:12:03.880 --> 0:12:08.720
<v Speaker 1>work pressure, to safety, and these struggles are connected. In fact,

0:12:09.160 --> 0:12:12.360
<v Speaker 1>some of the software workers who alleged they were forced

0:12:12.400 --> 0:12:14.600
<v Speaker 1>out of the company took road trips and went and

0:12:14.679 --> 0:12:18.640
<v Speaker 1>visited the Apple stores and gave out cards with QR

0:12:18.720 --> 0:12:21.520
<v Speaker 1>codes to encourage the retail workers to get in touch

0:12:21.600 --> 0:12:24.880
<v Speaker 1>with union organizers. So, Josh, I know some of this

0:12:25.000 --> 0:12:28.280
<v Speaker 1>is uh opique, but you know the stores themselves, Like,

0:12:28.320 --> 0:12:32.680
<v Speaker 1>how big of a of a of a portion of

0:12:32.679 --> 0:12:36.200
<v Speaker 1>the company's bottom line do the stores account for? Because ultimately,

0:12:36.880 --> 0:12:39.520
<v Speaker 1>one of the reasons that I thought this story was significant,

0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:41.839
<v Speaker 1>He's like, look like, we're almost in the holidays here.

0:12:41.960 --> 0:12:45.160
<v Speaker 1>You're gonna go holiday shopping an Apple store. You're gonna

0:12:45.240 --> 0:12:49.480
<v Speaker 1>between air pods and you know iPads, and you know,

0:12:49.520 --> 0:12:52.400
<v Speaker 1>more often than not you might find yourself walking through

0:12:52.400 --> 0:12:56.520
<v Speaker 1>an Apple store. So, so how much of the company's revenue,

0:12:56.559 --> 0:13:00.240
<v Speaker 1>which is considerable um gets broken out into sort of

0:13:00.280 --> 0:13:05.079
<v Speaker 1>the retail bucket in general. So Apple does not disclose

0:13:05.120 --> 0:13:07.880
<v Speaker 1>how much of its sales happen in the stores versus

0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:12.400
<v Speaker 1>online and or other people's stores, but it reported record

0:13:12.840 --> 0:13:17.080
<v Speaker 1>fourth quarter revenue, most of it from selling products, and

0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:21.360
<v Speaker 1>as the story discusses, these stores have played a pivotal

0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:25.760
<v Speaker 1>role in getting people comfortable with and excited about Apple's

0:13:25.760 --> 0:13:28.240
<v Speaker 1>products and building a sense of loyalty and connection to

0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:32.240
<v Speaker 1>the brand. As one expert it to me, the store

0:13:32.280 --> 0:13:34.800
<v Speaker 1>is also a temple to worship at the altar of

0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:39.000
<v Speaker 1>the Apple brand. I in researching this story, read an

0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:42.760
<v Speaker 1>article about the launch of the Apple store in taws

0:13:42.760 --> 0:13:45.880
<v Speaker 1>in Maryland, the one that now more than a decade later,

0:13:45.960 --> 0:13:50.920
<v Speaker 1>has unionized. Where Apple is talking about these stores is

0:13:51.160 --> 0:13:53.679
<v Speaker 1>a place for people to get to know this company

0:13:53.679 --> 0:13:56.199
<v Speaker 1>that at the time had a much smaller market share.

0:13:56.280 --> 0:14:01.319
<v Speaker 1>Now Apple's market share has shot up for personal computers,

0:14:01.320 --> 0:14:04.679
<v Speaker 1>and more importantly, they now have a majority market share

0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:09.319
<v Speaker 1>in the US for that iPhone, And there's an incalculable

0:14:09.440 --> 0:14:12.520
<v Speaker 1>role that the Apple store has played in building that

0:14:12.600 --> 0:14:17.079
<v Speaker 1>relationship with customers. And it's a relationship that some workers

0:14:17.240 --> 0:14:21.080
<v Speaker 1>feel is being undermined by this pressure to squeeze more

0:14:21.120 --> 0:14:23.800
<v Speaker 1>money out of those customers and at the same time

0:14:23.840 --> 0:14:28.520
<v Speaker 1>to squeeze more labor out of these overstretched workers. Well,

0:14:28.600 --> 0:14:31.120
<v Speaker 1>it's a great story, and I know in the upcoming

0:14:31.160 --> 0:14:33.440
<v Speaker 1>issue of Bloomberg Business Week untill be out later on

0:14:33.560 --> 0:14:37.240
<v Speaker 1>this week or thanks to Josh Idolson, Josh's labor reporter,

0:14:37.320 --> 0:14:39.800
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News with us on the phone and via zoom

0:14:39.840 --> 0:14:42.400
<v Speaker 1>from San Francisco, and of course our thanks to the

0:14:42.480 --> 0:14:44.560
<v Speaker 1>editor of Bloomberg Business Week, Joel Webber. And again you

0:14:44.560 --> 0:14:47.360
<v Speaker 1>can also find this story at Bloomberg dot com Slash

0:14:47.400 --> 0:14:50.480
<v Speaker 1>business Week can always on the Bloomberg terminal. But interesting

0:14:50.480 --> 0:14:52.440
<v Speaker 1>in terms of the evolution of what we're seeing here

0:14:52.440 --> 0:14:54.720
<v Speaker 1>at Apple, Yeah, and also just interesting seeing in the

0:14:54.720 --> 0:14:57.240
<v Speaker 1>broader context of what's happening with the other companies that

0:14:57.400 --> 0:14:59.680
<v Speaker 1>Josh mentioned, including what's going on in Amazon, what's going

0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 1>on Starbucks, um Stars especially another one of those places

0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:04.840
<v Speaker 1>where widely seen is a great place to work. You're

0:15:04.880 --> 0:15:08.840
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg

0:15:08.920 --> 0:15:12.840
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Fill among our

0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:16.480
<v Speaker 1>most read today how Presidents Joe Biden Jim Ping of

0:15:16.640 --> 0:15:19.240
<v Speaker 1>China gree to a series of goodwill gestures intended to

0:15:19.280 --> 0:15:22.400
<v Speaker 1>improve ties between their countries after the first in person

0:15:22.400 --> 0:15:24.640
<v Speaker 1>meeting between the leaders of the U S and China

0:15:24.920 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 1>since the pandemic began. Well. President Biden, speaking earlier today

0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:31.880
<v Speaker 1>from Bali, on the possibility of China taking over Taiwan,

0:15:33.120 --> 0:15:36.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm absolutely believe there's need not be a new Cold War.

0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:39.400
<v Speaker 1>I do not think there's any imminent of attempt on

0:15:39.440 --> 0:15:43.280
<v Speaker 1>the part of China to invade Taiwan, and I made

0:15:43.280 --> 0:15:46.040
<v Speaker 1>it clear that our policy in Taiwan has not changed

0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:49.280
<v Speaker 1>at all. That was President Biden, speaking to the press

0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:52.480
<v Speaker 1>after meeting with China's President Shi jing Ping earlier today.

0:15:52.520 --> 0:15:55.040
<v Speaker 1>I got a great guest with us. Dexter Tiff Roberts

0:15:55.120 --> 0:15:57.160
<v Speaker 1>is back with us. He's senior Fellow for the Mansfield

0:15:57.200 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 1>Center at the University of Montana, also senior Fellow at

0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 1>the Antic Council's Asian Security Initiative. Also former Bloomberg Business

0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:05.920
<v Speaker 1>Week China bureau chief and the author of the book

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:08.600
<v Speaker 1>The Myth of Chinese Capitalism, The Worker, the Factory, in

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:11.280
<v Speaker 1>the Future of the World. He joins us via zoom

0:16:11.320 --> 0:16:13.680
<v Speaker 1>from a Zola this afternoon. Dexter, good to have you

0:16:13.840 --> 0:16:16.200
<v Speaker 1>back with us. What did you make of President Biden's

0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:20.040
<v Speaker 1>comments following his first in person meeting UH since in

0:16:20.240 --> 0:16:24.360
<v Speaker 1>years with President Chijin Ping. Yeah, well, clearly he's trying

0:16:24.400 --> 0:16:29.000
<v Speaker 1>to reassure Beijing that the policy hasn't changed. And you

0:16:29.080 --> 0:16:32.280
<v Speaker 1>have to keep in mind this comes after I think

0:16:32.320 --> 0:16:36.840
<v Speaker 1>maybe seven separate statements by Biden that the US would

0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:40.040
<v Speaker 1>come to the defense of Taiwan in the case of

0:16:40.080 --> 0:16:45.240
<v Speaker 1>an invasion by Beijing and UH so that not surprisingly

0:16:45.360 --> 0:16:48.880
<v Speaker 1>has gotten Beijing very riled up. So Beijing, I think

0:16:49.000 --> 0:16:52.520
<v Speaker 1>they would welcome this comment, this UH support for the

0:16:52.560 --> 0:16:55.520
<v Speaker 1>one child policy. On the other hand, Beijing has been

0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:58.400
<v Speaker 1>saying for a while, you say one thing, you you

0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.840
<v Speaker 1>the United States and Biden say one thing, but you

0:17:01.840 --> 0:17:05.040
<v Speaker 1>you actually act in a different way, and they along

0:17:05.080 --> 0:17:08.080
<v Speaker 1>with those other comments by Biden about supporting Taiwan in

0:17:08.080 --> 0:17:11.560
<v Speaker 1>the military situation, there have been the repeated high level

0:17:11.640 --> 0:17:15.400
<v Speaker 1>visits by various first by backing the Trump administration officials,

0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:18.399
<v Speaker 1>and now those have continued a course, most recently with

0:17:18.880 --> 0:17:23.879
<v Speaker 1>Pelosi's visit to Taiwan. Hey, you know, Tiff you've written

0:17:23.880 --> 0:17:26.520
<v Speaker 1>about China. You know China really well, and we talked

0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:29.400
<v Speaker 1>about the book, your book, The Myth of Chinese Capitalism,

0:17:29.400 --> 0:17:32.840
<v Speaker 1>and you know about the divisive system that was there

0:17:32.920 --> 0:17:37.560
<v Speaker 1>that ultimately you know, would be very challenging to the

0:17:37.600 --> 0:17:41.120
<v Speaker 1>country's development going forward. How do you see it? I mean,

0:17:41.240 --> 0:17:44.200
<v Speaker 1>is is Chinese capitalism working or do you see this

0:17:44.280 --> 0:17:47.480
<v Speaker 1>is a big undoing kind of the news flow that

0:17:47.520 --> 0:17:50.240
<v Speaker 1>we've seen out of China over the last month or so.

0:17:52.000 --> 0:17:55.040
<v Speaker 1>I think they're unfortunately, you know, they have not made

0:17:55.080 --> 0:17:58.840
<v Speaker 1>progress on getting the economy to work better, nor nor

0:17:58.920 --> 0:18:02.280
<v Speaker 1>marketize it war I mean, really we've seen the opposite

0:18:02.760 --> 0:18:05.760
<v Speaker 1>under Sijing Ping for a number of years now, actually

0:18:05.760 --> 0:18:10.080
<v Speaker 1>going back earlier, which is this increasing imposition of state

0:18:10.119 --> 0:18:14.400
<v Speaker 1>control over the economy, continuing crackdown on the private sector.

0:18:14.680 --> 0:18:17.880
<v Speaker 1>And you know today what they're really dealing with is, uh,

0:18:17.920 --> 0:18:20.920
<v Speaker 1>they're sort of the economy is suffering under the twin

0:18:21.000 --> 0:18:25.439
<v Speaker 1>weights of both the continuing COVID zero policy, which is

0:18:25.560 --> 0:18:29.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, been good at preserving life in China, which

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:32.000
<v Speaker 1>is important, but it's been deadly for the for the economy,

0:18:32.240 --> 0:18:35.520
<v Speaker 1>and then also the continuing property crackdown. So I would

0:18:35.520 --> 0:18:39.399
<v Speaker 1>say you know, you they continue to uh struggle with

0:18:39.440 --> 0:18:42.159
<v Speaker 1>the economy and the policy really hasn't been going in

0:18:42.160 --> 0:18:44.159
<v Speaker 1>the right direction. Well, how do you take because we

0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:46.440
<v Speaker 1>actually talked about how Chinese a d R as a

0:18:46.520 --> 0:18:48.720
<v Speaker 1>train in the US. Today we're rallying and this is

0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:51.640
<v Speaker 1>because we saw a couple of things, um, some easing

0:18:51.840 --> 0:18:56.120
<v Speaker 1>and help for the troubled and indebted Chinese property sector.

0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:57.920
<v Speaker 1>And then on Friday we got news about maybe easing

0:18:57.920 --> 0:19:00.240
<v Speaker 1>of COVID nineteen. But it does feel like a back

0:19:00.240 --> 0:19:04.480
<v Speaker 1>and forth with policy. So how are we as observers

0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:07.280
<v Speaker 1>not in China, how are we as investors supposed to

0:19:07.320 --> 0:19:12.600
<v Speaker 1>kind of read sometimes and move forward sometimes a step backward. Well, yeah,

0:19:12.640 --> 0:19:14.680
<v Speaker 1>I think that's that's what you keep seeing, and maybe

0:19:14.720 --> 0:19:17.920
<v Speaker 1>unfortunately it's too often one step forward and two steps back.

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:21.680
<v Speaker 1>And I think with the first with the COVID zero policy,

0:19:22.040 --> 0:19:26.040
<v Speaker 1>I know, or the some signs of easing, obviously they're welcomed.

0:19:26.359 --> 0:19:31.800
<v Speaker 1>People uh have referred to them as baby steps um.

0:19:31.840 --> 0:19:36.280
<v Speaker 1>And ultimately the challenge they face there is they you know,

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:39.800
<v Speaker 1>they announced the easy, the slight easings in COVID zero.

0:19:40.480 --> 0:19:44.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, meanwhile, we've seen COVID surging across the country Beijing,

0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:49.040
<v Speaker 1>uh Jung Joe, where the world's largest iPhone factory is,

0:19:49.320 --> 0:19:53.040
<v Speaker 1>and down in Guangzhou. And they simply can't ease up

0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:55.919
<v Speaker 1>on these policies until first of all, they have a

0:19:56.000 --> 0:19:59.800
<v Speaker 1>much broader vaccination program across the country, particularly with elderly

0:19:59.840 --> 0:20:02.440
<v Speaker 1>p people who have a low level of vaccination there,

0:20:02.880 --> 0:20:05.639
<v Speaker 1>and uh and and and it's it's not gonna you know,

0:20:05.680 --> 0:20:08.760
<v Speaker 1>no matter what they say about easing, They're gonna have

0:20:08.800 --> 0:20:11.560
<v Speaker 1>to pull back until they actually start to get COVID

0:20:11.640 --> 0:20:14.720
<v Speaker 1>under control. I think the art money to bet maybe

0:20:14.720 --> 0:20:18.479
<v Speaker 1>on certainly no serious easing until after the National People's

0:20:18.520 --> 0:20:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Congress next March. Wow, that's quite a bit of time,

0:20:20.960 --> 0:20:22.920
<v Speaker 1>although it has been you know, close to three years

0:20:22.920 --> 0:20:25.440
<v Speaker 1>at this point that they've been dealing with this. Hey, Dexter,

0:20:25.520 --> 0:20:27.119
<v Speaker 1>just in the last minute that we have. You know,

0:20:27.160 --> 0:20:29.800
<v Speaker 1>you lived in Beijing for what two decades when you

0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:33.400
<v Speaker 1>were with Bloomberg Business Week and writing your book, Um,

0:20:33.760 --> 0:20:35.879
<v Speaker 1>did what do you hear from people on the ground

0:20:36.080 --> 0:20:38.359
<v Speaker 1>there right now, people you're in touch with about what

0:20:38.400 --> 0:20:41.280
<v Speaker 1>life is like and how things have shifted over the

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:44.800
<v Speaker 1>last couple of years. Well, you know, first of all,

0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:47.119
<v Speaker 1>I think there is a concern as that we were

0:20:47.119 --> 0:20:52.439
<v Speaker 1>discussing about COVID zero, the rolling lockdowns of cities are continuing.

0:20:52.760 --> 0:20:56.000
<v Speaker 1>I think there's growing frustration about that, even though there

0:20:56.000 --> 0:20:59.200
<v Speaker 1>has been you know, there has been support earlier for

0:20:59.200 --> 0:21:01.720
<v Speaker 1>for the gun Ru's efforts to try to keep people safe,

0:21:01.880 --> 0:21:05.160
<v Speaker 1>but we're starting to see that, start to see fishers

0:21:05.160 --> 0:21:07.600
<v Speaker 1>in that, if you will. I think the economy is

0:21:07.640 --> 0:21:11.000
<v Speaker 1>a real worry about people, and there's also a growing

0:21:11.040 --> 0:21:14.399
<v Speaker 1>concern about this politicization of the economy, this feeling that

0:21:14.800 --> 0:21:18.640
<v Speaker 1>uh that politics comes first and you know, the private private,

0:21:18.800 --> 0:21:21.280
<v Speaker 1>private entrepreneurs and else where. I have to bend to that. Hey, Ti,

0:21:21.280 --> 0:21:22.720
<v Speaker 1>if I want to ask you kind of some rapid

0:21:22.720 --> 0:21:25.720
<v Speaker 1>fire questions if I can so China and the U S.

0:21:25.720 --> 0:21:27.760
<v Speaker 1>How would you describe the relationship in the way forward?

0:21:27.840 --> 0:21:31.280
<v Speaker 1>Is it a good one? Oh? I think it's actually

0:21:31.600 --> 0:21:36.160
<v Speaker 1>a troubled relationship. Unfortunately, you know it's there. It's really

0:21:36.200 --> 0:21:40.800
<v Speaker 1>a competitive relationship. They are both see each other very

0:21:40.880 --> 0:21:45.200
<v Speaker 1>much as their number one rival for for global superpower status.

0:21:45.600 --> 0:21:47.639
<v Speaker 1>And you know, despite what they might say in meetings

0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:51.000
<v Speaker 1>like the one yesterday between Biden, Biden and She, that

0:21:51.000 --> 0:21:54.000
<v Speaker 1>that is the reality so the Chinese economy, will it

0:21:54.080 --> 0:21:55.800
<v Speaker 1>still be the end in the world has relied on

0:21:57.320 --> 0:22:00.679
<v Speaker 1>I think the again, you know, not not great news there.

0:22:00.720 --> 0:22:02.840
<v Speaker 1>I think that, you know, because of some of the

0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:06.200
<v Speaker 1>things we discussed earlier, COVID zero policy, of the crackdown

0:22:06.200 --> 0:22:10.439
<v Speaker 1>on the property sector, but then larger structural issues. China's

0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:13.919
<v Speaker 1>trying to make this transition from uh a you know,

0:22:13.960 --> 0:22:16.960
<v Speaker 1>factory to the world model, which was investment in debt

0:22:17.040 --> 0:22:20.240
<v Speaker 1>driven to a much more one driven by its own consumers,

0:22:20.280 --> 0:22:23.280
<v Speaker 1>one driven by household consumption. And that's a really tough

0:22:23.320 --> 0:22:28.200
<v Speaker 1>transition that is going to mean uh, probably slowing growth

0:22:28.200 --> 0:22:30.200
<v Speaker 1>for a number of years to come. Are we seeing

0:22:30.200 --> 0:22:34.280
<v Speaker 1>the world divided up US and its allies China and

0:22:34.320 --> 0:22:36.080
<v Speaker 1>its allies at this point or was it kind of

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:40.119
<v Speaker 1>divided up aforehand. I mean, I think that, you know,

0:22:40.200 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 1>it has been divided up, but I think, uh, it's

0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:47.760
<v Speaker 1>it's yeah, we're seeing it slide further in in that direction.

0:22:47.840 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 1>Two separate polls, I would say though that, uh, you know,

0:22:51.880 --> 0:22:54.480
<v Speaker 1>the US has made some progress in in the last

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:58.600
<v Speaker 1>year two in terms of bringing more allies together, and

0:22:58.680 --> 0:23:01.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, China's helped and in its own way on

0:23:01.880 --> 0:23:05.600
<v Speaker 1>that as well by you know, just one example, its

0:23:05.680 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 1>support for Russia related relative support for Russia related to

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:12.840
<v Speaker 1>the invasion of Ukraine has turned a lot of European

0:23:12.880 --> 0:23:15.719
<v Speaker 1>countries away from China and made them feel that they

0:23:15.760 --> 0:23:17.960
<v Speaker 1>have more in common with the US. So, given the

0:23:17.960 --> 0:23:20.800
<v Speaker 1>answers to your rapid fire questions from Carol just now, Tiff,

0:23:21.240 --> 0:23:23.800
<v Speaker 1>what does it mean for investors? As I mentioned, we're

0:23:23.800 --> 0:23:28.880
<v Speaker 1>getting earnings from Ali Baba and j D later this week. Uh,

0:23:29.000 --> 0:23:32.680
<v Speaker 1>the stocks in that traded here in the US, the A,

0:23:32.800 --> 0:23:34.960
<v Speaker 1>d R s of Chinese companies have really been getting

0:23:35.000 --> 0:23:37.480
<v Speaker 1>beaten up over the last year and a half, although

0:23:37.520 --> 0:23:40.240
<v Speaker 1>they've rallied recently. What does it mean for investors who

0:23:40.600 --> 0:23:44.240
<v Speaker 1>want to be in the space? Well, I'm afraid we're

0:23:44.240 --> 0:23:46.439
<v Speaker 1>going to see more beating up of stocks. You know,

0:23:46.520 --> 0:23:48.880
<v Speaker 1>Ali Baba for the first time ever, they just had

0:23:48.920 --> 0:23:51.840
<v Speaker 1>their their massive singles Day, you know, our sort of

0:23:51.840 --> 0:23:55.399
<v Speaker 1>our Black Friday of retail online retail sales, and this

0:23:55.480 --> 0:23:57.800
<v Speaker 1>is the first time Ali Baba did not announce what

0:23:57.880 --> 0:24:01.480
<v Speaker 1>the figures were because they weren't very good apparently. Um,

0:24:01.520 --> 0:24:04.119
<v Speaker 1>I think that we're going to see, as I said,

0:24:04.840 --> 0:24:07.640
<v Speaker 1>a continued slow down in the Chinese economy. We're gonna

0:24:07.800 --> 0:24:10.680
<v Speaker 1>see pressures on big multinationals. Are already seen it with

0:24:10.720 --> 0:24:14.640
<v Speaker 1>companies like Apple to diversify their supply chain out of

0:24:15.160 --> 0:24:18.400
<v Speaker 1>out of China. The latest you know, lockdowns in Jung

0:24:18.520 --> 0:24:21.840
<v Speaker 1>Joe on the world's largest iPhone factory just show that.

0:24:21.920 --> 0:24:24.040
<v Speaker 1>So I think we're gonna have to have to see

0:24:24.080 --> 0:24:27.880
<v Speaker 1>a sort of a re reckoning with global portfolios and

0:24:28.640 --> 0:24:31.040
<v Speaker 1>the realization that China won't be the growth driver that

0:24:31.080 --> 0:24:33.719
<v Speaker 1>it has been in terms of global supply chains. Right,

0:24:33.760 --> 0:24:35.919
<v Speaker 1>it's been as you mentioned Apple, it's been such an

0:24:35.960 --> 0:24:39.679
<v Speaker 1>important part. It's given American consumers for many years ability

0:24:39.680 --> 0:24:42.520
<v Speaker 1>to pay, you know, not a lot for a lot

0:24:42.560 --> 0:24:44.960
<v Speaker 1>of things that we all need. And we know it's

0:24:44.960 --> 0:24:47.159
<v Speaker 1>been shifting to some extent over the last you know,

0:24:47.200 --> 0:24:48.960
<v Speaker 1>a few years, as China doesn't want to be kind

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:52.800
<v Speaker 1>of the manufacturer necessarily to the world. But does that

0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:57.200
<v Speaker 1>mean in terms of global inflation, maybe it does stay

0:24:57.280 --> 0:25:00.840
<v Speaker 1>higher because China is going to be very de going forward.

0:25:02.200 --> 0:25:06.119
<v Speaker 1>I think there's definitely going to be related global inflation.

0:25:06.440 --> 0:25:10.879
<v Speaker 1>There's you know, as companies feel the pressure to diversify

0:25:10.920 --> 0:25:13.879
<v Speaker 1>their supply chains, partially because of the pandemic, partially because

0:25:13.880 --> 0:25:16.800
<v Speaker 1>of the U S China tensions um, and partially just

0:25:16.880 --> 0:25:18.879
<v Speaker 1>now the realization that it's not so smart to have

0:25:18.920 --> 0:25:21.720
<v Speaker 1>all your eggs in one basket. Uh, They're gonna be

0:25:21.720 --> 0:25:24.679
<v Speaker 1>costs associated with that, and ultimately those costs will have

0:25:24.840 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 1>to be passed onto the consumer as well. All Right,

0:25:27.520 --> 0:25:29.720
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna leave it there. Hey listen, Tiff, thank you

0:25:29.800 --> 0:25:33.560
<v Speaker 1>so much. I always appreciate Dexter Tiff Roberts, Senior fellow

0:25:33.560 --> 0:25:37.000
<v Speaker 1>with the Atlanta Council's Asia Security Initiative. As we mentioned,

0:25:37.280 --> 0:25:40.480
<v Speaker 1>a former Bloomberg Business Week China bureau chief, and his

0:25:40.560 --> 0:25:43.360
<v Speaker 1>book is about the myth of Chinese capitalism, the work

0:25:43.359 --> 0:25:44.720
<v Speaker 1>of the factor in the future of the world, and

0:25:44.800 --> 0:25:46.639
<v Speaker 1>really gets into I feel like some of these issues

0:25:46.640 --> 0:25:48.960
<v Speaker 1>that maybe are also coming through when it comes to

0:25:49.000 --> 0:25:58.560
<v Speaker 1>the longer term story for China specifically. Journal Now, but

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:03.440
<v Speaker 1>you let me drive? Oh no, no, no no, no, who's leave,

0:26:03.560 --> 0:26:10.040
<v Speaker 1>I'll do vel. I want to drive. It's a good question.

0:26:13.800 --> 0:26:20.240
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the globe on blue Bird Radio.

0:26:20.320 --> 0:26:22.720
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's get to it. We've got just gottening

0:26:22.720 --> 0:26:24.639
<v Speaker 1>on in a half minutes left in today's trading session.

0:26:24.720 --> 0:26:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Charlie talking about you. Noticing too, Tim, just the rollover

0:26:27.400 --> 0:26:29.639
<v Speaker 1>that we've seen in the equity trade. I described it.

0:26:29.680 --> 0:26:32.239
<v Speaker 1>We described it as wobbly at the beginning of our

0:26:32.280 --> 0:26:34.600
<v Speaker 1>broadcast and it continues to be that way. And we're

0:26:34.640 --> 0:26:37.040
<v Speaker 1>definitely off our best levels of the session right across

0:26:37.080 --> 0:26:39.320
<v Speaker 1>the board. Yeah, starts moving between games and losses more

0:26:39.359 --> 0:26:41.440
<v Speaker 1>than a dozen at times today, but certainly seeing the

0:26:41.480 --> 0:26:44.320
<v Speaker 1>downside with the S and P down time. Yeah, that's

0:26:44.359 --> 0:26:47.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot searching for direction. Right, Let's get into it

0:26:47.320 --> 0:26:50.360
<v Speaker 1>with Dan Eron's managing director and portfolio manager and Advisor

0:26:50.400 --> 0:26:52.800
<v Speaker 1>Shares Investment Dan this afternoon joining us on the phone

0:26:52.840 --> 0:26:56.560
<v Speaker 1>from Texas. Dan, how are you doing well? Thanks for

0:26:56.600 --> 0:26:58.760
<v Speaker 1>having me on. It's good to have you back. Hey. Um,

0:26:58.800 --> 0:27:00.560
<v Speaker 1>you've got a few plays that we want to talk about,

0:27:00.880 --> 0:27:02.600
<v Speaker 1>and it's good to talk to you again. By the way, Um,

0:27:02.680 --> 0:27:05.359
<v Speaker 1>you've got the Advisor Shares, pure Us, Cannabis et F

0:27:05.400 --> 0:27:07.639
<v Speaker 1>and some other vice holdings. But I want to get

0:27:07.640 --> 0:27:10.320
<v Speaker 1>a big picture from you before we get to those holdings. Um,

0:27:10.359 --> 0:27:12.200
<v Speaker 1>where are we do you think? Because we're getting sort

0:27:12.200 --> 0:27:15.040
<v Speaker 1>of different narratives from different FED speakers over the last

0:27:15.040 --> 0:27:19.000
<v Speaker 1>twenty four hours, and investors certainly don't know what direction

0:27:19.040 --> 0:27:22.800
<v Speaker 1>things should be going in. Yes, we see a lot

0:27:22.840 --> 0:27:27.680
<v Speaker 1>of that. UM when there's is a lot of confusion,

0:27:27.840 --> 0:27:31.880
<v Speaker 1>when there's lack of direction and people don't know what

0:27:32.000 --> 0:27:35.800
<v Speaker 1>to do. I do think people should look at non

0:27:35.920 --> 0:27:41.560
<v Speaker 1>correlated assets like perhaps cannabis, but more than that, often UM,

0:27:41.920 --> 0:27:47.959
<v Speaker 1>consumer staples, UM, things that might be recession resistant, stock

0:27:48.000 --> 0:27:52.639
<v Speaker 1>market resistant, things that people are going to spend money

0:27:52.720 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 1>on or consume no matter what's going on with the

0:27:56.320 --> 0:28:00.719
<v Speaker 1>economy or the stock market. Because is I'm not going

0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:04.040
<v Speaker 1>to give you predictions on the future, especially when we

0:28:04.080 --> 0:28:07.840
<v Speaker 1>see from the Fed and everywhere else lack of direction.

0:28:08.800 --> 0:28:12.360
<v Speaker 1>People shouldn't be trying to guestimate that stuff. Hey, when

0:28:12.359 --> 0:28:14.720
<v Speaker 1>you think about because you've got, as you mentioned, UM

0:28:15.000 --> 0:28:16.920
<v Speaker 1>different ways to play the market, and you do have

0:28:17.600 --> 0:28:20.359
<v Speaker 1>a pure US cannabisy t F M s O S

0:28:20.440 --> 0:28:23.800
<v Speaker 1>is the ticker UH down so far this year, but

0:28:23.840 --> 0:28:27.000
<v Speaker 1>it's up about over the past month. How did the

0:28:27.240 --> 0:28:31.919
<v Speaker 1>recent midterms perhaps help UH that space or kind of

0:28:31.960 --> 0:28:35.160
<v Speaker 1>just keep it neutral. Yeah, well, I can't shy away

0:28:35.200 --> 0:28:37.800
<v Speaker 1>from the fact of those down numbers for the year,

0:28:37.920 --> 0:28:41.720
<v Speaker 1>like you said, but cannabis until the past months has

0:28:41.760 --> 0:28:46.520
<v Speaker 1>been in pretty much an eighteen or nineteen month draw down. Heck,

0:28:46.560 --> 0:28:50.280
<v Speaker 1>ever since Biden was elected. They made promises back then,

0:28:51.200 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 1>but a lot of people are pointing to these most

0:28:55.200 --> 0:29:01.280
<v Speaker 1>recent mid terms. There's some ballot initiatives. Maryland just approved

0:29:02.000 --> 0:29:04.920
<v Speaker 1>past adult use in the state of Maryland. That's a

0:29:04.960 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 1>pretty populous state. Same thing in Missouri. So additional states

0:29:09.360 --> 0:29:13.760
<v Speaker 1>continue to come online with cannabis. That increases sales yet again,

0:29:14.920 --> 0:29:20.160
<v Speaker 1>but again we had politicians promising us various levels of

0:29:20.200 --> 0:29:23.440
<v Speaker 1>cannabis reform. I would like to say reform, because I

0:29:23.480 --> 0:29:25.400
<v Speaker 1>don't think we're ever going to have a coast to

0:29:25.520 --> 0:29:30.880
<v Speaker 1>coast full legalization everywhere. If you really drill down, alcohol

0:29:30.960 --> 0:29:35.640
<v Speaker 1>is not even legal everywhere. It's a very convoluted um legalization. Wait,

0:29:35.680 --> 0:29:38.280
<v Speaker 1>hold on, what are you talking about it? I can

0:29:38.920 --> 0:29:40.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I know you can't buy it in the

0:29:40.360 --> 0:29:45.000
<v Speaker 1>grocery store in certain states. What do you mean by that? Um?

0:29:45.480 --> 0:29:49.440
<v Speaker 1>Great question. Um, there's cities and counties that don't have

0:29:49.480 --> 0:29:53.520
<v Speaker 1>package stores. You have to go to the border to

0:29:53.600 --> 0:29:57.600
<v Speaker 1>find a liquor store. Uh. Some states sell liquor on Sundays,

0:29:57.640 --> 0:30:01.160
<v Speaker 1>some don't. Some it's beer and wine on you can't talk.

0:30:01.240 --> 0:30:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes you can't buy it before noon. Sometimes, Uh, there's

0:30:05.080 --> 0:30:08.480
<v Speaker 1>locations that have bars. Some places you have to buy

0:30:08.480 --> 0:30:12.880
<v Speaker 1>a membership. Some places don't have any. It's very complicated stuff.

0:30:13.560 --> 0:30:18.400
<v Speaker 1>So at the most cannabis might be something resembling that

0:30:18.440 --> 0:30:23.200
<v Speaker 1>type of model. But we we digress um in the

0:30:23.400 --> 0:30:27.160
<v Speaker 1>slame duck session, you know, we just had these elections.

0:30:27.960 --> 0:30:30.600
<v Speaker 1>What we ended up with. It looks like it's not

0:30:30.640 --> 0:30:35.560
<v Speaker 1>even done yet. It's probably Republican controlled house. It looks

0:30:35.600 --> 0:30:38.400
<v Speaker 1>like the Democrats are going to continue to control the Senate,

0:30:39.080 --> 0:30:41.840
<v Speaker 1>and a lot of the experts feel that is good

0:30:42.760 --> 0:30:47.960
<v Speaker 1>that the current members of the Senate will finally finally

0:30:48.120 --> 0:30:51.360
<v Speaker 1>roll over and do what's right, what they've been promising

0:30:51.360 --> 0:30:54.360
<v Speaker 1>for the past two years, with the House of Representatives

0:30:54.360 --> 0:30:58.880
<v Speaker 1>already already approved, and that some level of cannabis reforms

0:30:58.960 --> 0:31:01.000
<v Speaker 1>such as safe banking not gonna hold my breath. And

0:31:01.000 --> 0:31:02.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm not trying to like rein on your parade, but

0:31:02.600 --> 0:31:04.640
<v Speaker 1>i feel like I've had this conversation a million times,

0:31:04.680 --> 0:31:08.480
<v Speaker 1>and I'm thinking, depending on what comes at the world

0:31:08.960 --> 0:31:11.760
<v Speaker 1>next year, which could be maybe a recession some other

0:31:11.800 --> 0:31:14.200
<v Speaker 1>hard times, I don't know. Hey, I just want to

0:31:14.200 --> 0:31:16.600
<v Speaker 1>say something about the Safe Banking Act since it's on

0:31:16.640 --> 0:31:18.040
<v Speaker 1>the tip of my tongued in and you can probably

0:31:18.040 --> 0:31:20.080
<v Speaker 1>speak to this too. But I was in California over

0:31:20.120 --> 0:31:23.920
<v Speaker 1>the weekend, um, and I rode my bike by a

0:31:23.960 --> 0:31:27.720
<v Speaker 1>cannabis store. Uh. And I think because of the lack

0:31:27.760 --> 0:31:30.040
<v Speaker 1>of a Safe Banking Act, they deal only in cash

0:31:30.560 --> 0:31:33.760
<v Speaker 1>and there were there was armed security outside of it

0:31:33.880 --> 0:31:37.560
<v Speaker 1>as a result of what they're doing with cash because

0:31:37.560 --> 0:31:39.080
<v Speaker 1>they have to. And I thought to myself, wait a second,

0:31:39.120 --> 0:31:41.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, if we do finally see because they're worried

0:31:41.720 --> 0:31:44.200
<v Speaker 1>about getting robbed because everything is in cash, it's kind

0:31:44.240 --> 0:31:45.880
<v Speaker 1>of crazy like and this is you know, they're they're

0:31:45.960 --> 0:31:50.680
<v Speaker 1>very very much on point with worrying about being robbed.

0:31:51.360 --> 0:31:57.360
<v Speaker 1>There's been armed robberies and murders happen in dispensaries because

0:31:57.360 --> 0:32:02.640
<v Speaker 1>it's all cash business. It is out rageous, especially when

0:32:02.840 --> 0:32:07.160
<v Speaker 1>these politicians have been playing games with people's lives over

0:32:07.160 --> 0:32:11.120
<v Speaker 1>the last couple of years, when the Democrats have had

0:32:11.160 --> 0:32:16.680
<v Speaker 1>control of the Senate this whole time, promised to reform

0:32:16.880 --> 0:32:19.960
<v Speaker 1>hasn't happened yet. That's why we think it's finally going

0:32:20.040 --> 0:32:22.240
<v Speaker 1>to happen in the lame Duck session. I mean, we

0:32:22.280 --> 0:32:25.280
<v Speaker 1>have the American Bankers Association in favor of safe banking.

0:32:25.360 --> 0:32:30.520
<v Speaker 1>Janet Yellen's a favor of safe banking, se the populations

0:32:30.520 --> 0:32:34.400
<v Speaker 1>in favor of safe banking, and a lot of people

0:32:34.760 --> 0:32:38.560
<v Speaker 1>are finally pointing to and again I've founded like a

0:32:38.600 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 1>broken record for the last two years because I foolishly

0:32:41.520 --> 0:32:46.040
<v Speaker 1>believed in politicians a little bit. But we think we

0:32:46.280 --> 0:32:48.640
<v Speaker 1>might finally get it in the safe in the safe

0:32:49.080 --> 0:32:52.400
<v Speaker 1>excuse me, the lame duck session. And if you look

0:32:52.440 --> 0:32:55.960
<v Speaker 1>at history, awful lot of legislation has passed in the

0:32:56.040 --> 0:33:00.479
<v Speaker 1>lame duck session because they're not most politicians is important

0:33:00.520 --> 0:33:03.840
<v Speaker 1>goals to get elected or get re elected, and um

0:33:03.880 --> 0:33:08.360
<v Speaker 1>that is finally lifted off during this little lame duck session.

0:33:08.520 --> 0:33:11.160
<v Speaker 1>We shall see, we shall see, um what will happen.

0:33:11.720 --> 0:33:14.080
<v Speaker 1>But good to check in with you. Dan Aaron's managing

0:33:14.080 --> 0:33:17.280
<v Speaker 1>director portfolio manager at the actively managed E t F

0:33:17.360 --> 0:33:21.600
<v Speaker 1>Investment Management from Advisor Shares Investments, joining us on the

0:33:21.640 --> 0:33:25.440
<v Speaker 1>phone from Texas. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:33:25.560 --> 0:33:29.120
<v Speaker 1>Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com,

0:33:29.160 --> 0:33:30.840
<v Speaker 1>and you can also listen to our radio show at

0:33:30.840 --> 0:33:33.920
<v Speaker 1>two pm Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, or watch US on YouTube.

0:33:34.040 --> 0:33:35.520
<v Speaker 1>Search to Bloomberg Global News