1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:02,320 Speaker 1: Hello everyone, I'm Matthew Freeman, Matt F. 2 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:02,840 Speaker 2: The Oracle. 3 00:00:02,840 --> 00:00:05,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros Podcast, brought to you by 4 00:00:05,040 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: bet MGM offering a risk free bet of up to 5 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 1: one thousand dollars with the promo code betting Pros on 6 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 1: first deposit. Here with me to talk NFL Week eighteen 7 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: best bets as Sean Green, host of the sports gambling 8 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:19,080 Speaker 1: podcast in the Daily Juice, which is our daily picks 9 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:22,640 Speaker 1: podcast here at Betting Pros. Sean, we were recording this 10 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:25,079 Speaker 1: on Thursday, and just a little bit earlier today we 11 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: got great news about Bill's safety DeMar Hamlin, who is awake. 12 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: He has movement in his hands and feet. He's been 13 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 1: able to communicate with hospital staff, so all that is fantastic, 14 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:38,520 Speaker 1: and obviously we continue to keep him in our thoughts 15 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:41,239 Speaker 1: as he recovers great news for him, his family, the 16 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:45,880 Speaker 1: Bills football fans in general. As we move towards week eighteen, Sean, 17 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 1: how is the new year going for you? 18 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 2: New year is going great? 19 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 3: I mean would be a little bit better if my 20 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 3: Eagles had locked up the number one seed by beating 21 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 3: the Saints. That was such an annoying game. I'm still 22 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 3: kind of annoyed. But now I'm trying to spin it. 23 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 3: I go, Okay, they got the Giants. This is a 24 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 3: good tune up game. Get the win, get the momentum back, 25 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 3: because loosen to in a row is so obviously you 26 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 3: don't want to go into the playoffs with that. But 27 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:15,760 Speaker 3: and to me again, Homer, but it really makes the 28 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:18,039 Speaker 3: case for Jalen Hurts being MVP, Like we saw the 29 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:21,160 Speaker 3: drop off of you know, with and without Hurt. So 30 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 3: I'm doing good. I'm enjoying the new year so far. 31 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:26,200 Speaker 3: But yeah, I really want the Eagles to lock up 32 00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 3: the number one seeds. I can relax a little bit. 33 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, of course I am the Cowboys fan here, 34 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 1: and we will be talking both about that Eagles game 35 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: and the Cowboys game. It definitely makes Week eighteen very interesting, 36 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: and really it's a it's a great time of year, 37 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:44,399 Speaker 1: you know for sports in general, you know, like a 38 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: really fascinating time like we've got you know, obviously NFL, 39 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:52,200 Speaker 1: we've got Monday, the National Championship Game with my TCU 40 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 1: horn Frogs, NBA college basketball, hockey, and you talk about 41 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 1: all of those sports, cover those sports on the Daily Juice, 42 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 1: and then Week eighteen it's it's an information week. You know, 43 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: it's one of the most fascinating weeks of the regular season. 44 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 1: For some teams, it's a little bit like a preseason game. 45 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 1: For other teams, you know, obviously everything is at stake 46 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: a spot in the playoffs or playoff seedings. And then 47 00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 1: for you know, still other teams, draft position is the priority, 48 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:19,639 Speaker 1: whether or not they're actually acknowledging it. So a lot 49 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: to talk about when we are analyzing these games. But 50 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 1: one game that is just remarkably straightforward. We have the 51 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 1: Titans at the Jags. You know, these both of these 52 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 1: teams wanting to win. This game. Winner is into the playoffs, 53 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 1: and I believe that in the spot you like the 54 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: Titans plus six at the Jags, and you also have 55 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: a and anytime touchdown bet that you're looking to parlay 56 00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 1: with it. Talk to me about what you see with 57 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 1: this game here. 58 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean there's a lot of reasons I like 59 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 3: the Titans here. For I like the value at six 60 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 3: for this division game, revenge spot for the Titans. They're 61 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 3: getting a lot of their guys back on the defensive side. 62 00:02:57,560 --> 00:02:59,679 Speaker 3: I mean, you really saw the Titans secondary kind of 63 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 3: fallow part due to the injuries. But other than that, 64 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:05,920 Speaker 3: like they're you know, getting the defensive players back are key. 65 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:09,280 Speaker 3: I like what I saw to Josh Dobbs against the Cowboys. 66 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 3: I mean again, Cowboys didn't really you know, they kind 67 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:14,640 Speaker 3: of were playing back a little bit. It felt like 68 00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 3: they were kind of playing a little sleepy. Made sense. 69 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:20,079 Speaker 3: It was like a non conference road game on Thursday night. 70 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:21,880 Speaker 3: It's a it's a tough get up spot for them. 71 00:03:21,880 --> 00:03:24,359 Speaker 3: But I liked what the fight out I saw of 72 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 3: this Titans team. And I think they're going to be 73 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 3: able to pass on the Jacksonville Jaguars. And I really 74 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:33,080 Speaker 3: like Chig A Konquo there, the rookie tight end who's 75 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 3: been just kind of like a fun guy to root for. 76 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 3: He's a freak athletically, he actually is great, like yards 77 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:43,120 Speaker 3: after the catch, he's he's kind of an explosive player, 78 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:45,119 Speaker 3: and they're oc Todd Downey went out of his way 79 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:48,120 Speaker 3: to say, we need more Chig, we need more Trailon Burks. 80 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 3: And we're just talking before the show, and you mentioned 81 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 3: that Traylon Burks was a late pop up on today's 82 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 3: injury report. So that's always scary and maybe there's a 83 00:03:56,560 --> 00:03:59,480 Speaker 3: chance trail on Burks doesn't play, which makes me even 84 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 3: like the chick anytime touchdown better. I tossed down the 85 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 3: Vetting Pros discord Bettingpros dot Com slash Chad hang out 86 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 3: in the Daily Juice section. A lot of great a 87 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 3: lot of great info in there. I gave it out 88 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 3: there at nine to one. I think FanDuel still has 89 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 3: it at seven to one, so he got a bunch 90 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 3: of targets with Dobbs. They they're mentioning that they're going 91 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 3: out of their way to get him involved. I think 92 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 3: it's a great formula, and I like Mike Vrabel as 93 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 3: a dog in a must win situation. 94 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 2: This to me feels like the spread should be three 95 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 2: and a half. 96 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:29,599 Speaker 3: So I think you're getting at the very least couple 97 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 3: couple points of line value there. 98 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, so Vrabel as a dog, that is historically the 99 00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: spot in which you want to bet him. And you know, 100 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: thinking about the the Chicoconquo touchdown situation with Dobbs, you know, 101 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:44,279 Speaker 1: you think that they are going to be throwing the 102 00:04:44,320 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 1: ball a little bit more, maybe a lot more than 103 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:50,400 Speaker 1: they would otherwise if Malik Willis we were quarterback for them, 104 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:52,919 Speaker 1: So you know, in terms of the acnquoi side of this, 105 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,119 Speaker 1: I think it's a good spot. You know, this number, 106 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 1: uh you know was six and a half earlier, bumped 107 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 1: down to six is still six at points. Bet has 108 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:03,480 Speaker 1: moved up to six and a half across the market. 109 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:05,560 Speaker 1: So if you are on the Tennessee side of this, 110 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:09,359 Speaker 1: you know, you know even better value that you're able 111 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: to get now with it back at six and a half. 112 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:14,160 Speaker 1: But it's you know, I think around six and a 113 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: half seven six, like it's gonna be fluctuating around that, 114 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 1: and I think it's gonna meet market resistance anytime it 115 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: goes to seven or anytime it goes to six. So 116 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 1: six and a half is probably where it's going to 117 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: be staying. I'm a little bit I'm a little bit 118 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:30,440 Speaker 1: conflicting on this. And one more thing on the chig 119 00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 1: a conqui situation. As you mentioned, you know, Treylon Burks 120 00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: practiced fully on Tuesday, so it was healthy limited on Wednesday. 121 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 1: Did not practice with a growing injury on Thursday. If 122 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:45,040 Speaker 1: I had to project this right now, I would say 123 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:47,600 Speaker 1: he's not playing, you know, like just that general. 124 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:51,920 Speaker 3: Bad formula where you're he's back, he's healthy, then limited. 125 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,800 Speaker 3: Something happened, and then not practicing on Thursday is a 126 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 3: horrible sign. Especially when you start out practicing earlier in 127 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 3: the week. That means he tweaked something. They're not gonna 128 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:03,040 Speaker 3: say that, but that's usually what it means. 129 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:05,760 Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely, So if I had to project this right now, 130 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: I would say he doesn't start or he doesn't play. 131 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 1: And if that's the case, man Chego con Quo suddenly 132 00:06:11,640 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 1: becomes much more intriguing because he will be seeing more 133 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 1: targets on a per route basis, and he's gonna be 134 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 1: out there running more routes. They will be using more 135 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:21,359 Speaker 1: two tight end sets, he will be on the field 136 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: playing more snaps, getting more usage. So that really makes 137 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:29,400 Speaker 1: him intriguing. That said, I am skeptical. I am skeptical 138 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 1: about the Titans team, Like I see a lot of 139 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:34,920 Speaker 1: why you would want to bet them, Like this spot 140 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: is good for them historically, especially because you know, they 141 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 1: didn't really give anything in that Cowboys game, which was 142 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 1: on a Thursday, so they've had a ton of time 143 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:46,040 Speaker 1: to rest and exterest. Yeah, and all of those players, 144 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:49,039 Speaker 1: the defensive players who were out for that Cowboys game, 145 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 1: all of them are returning in this game, so you 146 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:54,679 Speaker 1: know they are going to have reinforcements, but they're still 147 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:57,919 Speaker 1: significantly injured on the defensive side of the ball with 148 00:06:58,040 --> 00:07:01,360 Speaker 1: all of the players on IR so I had this 149 00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 1: more like eight eight and a half, So I haven't 150 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:06,800 Speaker 1: I'm just staying away, like I feel like I just 151 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 1: I need to stay away from it at this current number. 152 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 1: But the oconquo thing, that is really what kind of 153 00:07:14,040 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 1: hits my brain here. 154 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, yeah, I mean, you know, I'll probably put 155 00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:21,600 Speaker 3: one unit on each so if Chick gets a touchdown, 156 00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 3: it won't really matter to me if we get the 157 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 3: six and a half. But I do like to you 158 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 3: make a good point. I mean, this Titans team certainly 159 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 3: is trending in the wrong direction. Christian Fulton. I think 160 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 3: to me is a is a big boost in the secondary, 161 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:37,520 Speaker 3: So that to me is key because that's how I 162 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 3: think the Jags were able to pass on them so 163 00:07:39,360 --> 00:07:43,679 Speaker 3: easily last time, and again the Jags obviously are playing 164 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 3: great ball right now, so I could see the case 165 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:48,559 Speaker 3: for them. If I was playing the Jags, I'd probably 166 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:50,760 Speaker 3: put in a teaser. I just think these division must 167 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:53,280 Speaker 3: win games end up being closer to a field goal 168 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 3: than all blowout. 169 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:58,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, one game that I am on divisional game here, 170 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 1: Brown's on the road at the Steelers, and this number 171 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:06,040 Speaker 1: is fluctuated between two and a half and three for 172 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 1: the Browns here as underdogs on the road. I think 173 00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: just the Browns are the better team at this point. 174 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: I have them power rated as the better team. They 175 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:17,480 Speaker 1: have really turned it around on defense over the last 176 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 1: six weeks. They have the better quarterback. Deshaun Watson hasn't 177 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 1: been great. He hasn't been sort of the Deshaun Watson 178 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 1: that we knew in Houston since he's returned, but he 179 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: started turning around in the second half last week and 180 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 1: he is still the better quarterback in this game. So 181 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:34,359 Speaker 1: I feel like I'm getting the better defense, the better quarterback, 182 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:37,680 Speaker 1: and teams with nothing to play for. Obviously the Browns 183 00:08:37,720 --> 00:08:40,440 Speaker 1: at this point out of playoff contention, but teams with 184 00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:43,679 Speaker 1: nothing to play for going against a team needing a 185 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:45,839 Speaker 1: win in the final week of the season, and that's 186 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:48,600 Speaker 1: where the Steelers are. They need a win to have 187 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 1: a shot at the playoffs. Here, those teams have around 188 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:54,280 Speaker 1: a sixty percent win rate against the spread over the 189 00:08:54,320 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 1: past five years. So even though the Browns don't have 190 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:00,199 Speaker 1: anything to play for and the Steelers do, and you 191 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:03,360 Speaker 1: think the motivation angle would tilt you towards the Steelers 192 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 1: in this spot. Just historically that hasn't been the case. 193 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:09,400 Speaker 1: I think like the market has probably overvalued the idea 194 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 1: of this team has nothing to play for. This team 195 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:14,679 Speaker 1: has something to play for. So I am on the 196 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:18,480 Speaker 1: Browns in this spot at plus two and a half. Sean, 197 00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 1: I don't know if you have any thoughts on this game. 198 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think. 199 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:27,160 Speaker 3: Historically small AFC North Dogs are just as it's just 200 00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:30,560 Speaker 3: a machine right forty four, twenty three and five when 201 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:33,959 Speaker 3: taking the AFC North Dog of three or less, I 202 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 3: guess what I would caution against or like, what has 203 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 3: me leaning on Pittsburgh is TJ. 204 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 2: Watt. Like they're a different team with and without TJ. Watt. 205 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:45,960 Speaker 3: Now, I think seven and two with TJ. Watt playing, 206 00:09:46,320 --> 00:09:50,560 Speaker 3: there just seems to be a momentum with this Pittsburgh team. Again, 207 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:53,559 Speaker 3: Mike Toalblin has never had a losing season, so that's 208 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 3: got to be in the back of his head trying 209 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:57,440 Speaker 3: to get this team to nine and eight. I'm just 210 00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:00,200 Speaker 3: stoked that they cash my over seven and a hal 211 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 3: for the Steelers because I went pig on that, so 212 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 3: it got pretty nervous earlier there in the season. So 213 00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 3: you lay out a good case for the Browns, I 214 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 3: guess to me, it's just like TJ. Watt is still 215 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:14,480 Speaker 3: the best player on the field and we're seeing just 216 00:10:14,520 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 3: a little momentum. 217 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 2: Out of this Steelers team. 218 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 3: But other than that, I'm with you, there's there's certainly 219 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 3: the case to be made and went in doubt AFC 220 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 3: Nords games historically taking the dog, and especially in that 221 00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:28,200 Speaker 3: like zero well obviously zero said not a dog, but 222 00:10:28,480 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 3: like the one to three point range is a good 223 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 3: spot for AFC North Dogs. 224 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:34,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, and you know, to your point about TJ Watt, 225 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:37,320 Speaker 1: something that we will want to monitor in this game. 226 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 1: Jack Conklin, you know, on the injury report with an 227 00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 1: ankle injury, so in the Denzel Ward on the injury 228 00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 1: report with the shoulder injury. But Jack Conklin specifically he 229 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:49,760 Speaker 1: would be going up against TJ Watt for a number 230 00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 1: of his pass rushing snaps. And so if Conklin is out, 231 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:55,679 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be adjusting my number right now. I have 232 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 1: it at point seventy five. So I do think that 233 00:10:58,160 --> 00:11:02,199 Speaker 1: there's some value here, But yeah, TJ. Watt, you know, 234 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 1: he certainly can can change how this game would look, 235 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 1: especially if Jack Conklin is out. One game here that 236 00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 1: you were looking at the Rams, let me see if 237 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 1: this number is still six and a half. I think 238 00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 1: it's actually moved to six across the market. But Rams 239 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:21,360 Speaker 1: plus yeah, Rams plus six still six and a half 240 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 1: a FanDuel, but Rams plus six at Seattle. I don't 241 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 1: know if you would still bet on the Rams at 242 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:29,440 Speaker 1: plus six, But you liked the Rams at plus six 243 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 1: and a half. What are your thoughts on them here 244 00:11:31,840 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 1: on the road in Seattle. 245 00:11:33,400 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I like it at six and a half. 246 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 3: I like it at six, and I think it's worth 247 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:41,200 Speaker 3: of small sprinkle on the money line. I think you 248 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:44,080 Speaker 3: know the Rams have, with the exception of the last 249 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 3: week game, have been playing strong for the most part. 250 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:49,280 Speaker 3: For me, there's a couple of guys I'm looking to 251 00:11:49,360 --> 00:11:51,559 Speaker 3: key on in this game. One is Bobby Wagner. I 252 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:53,600 Speaker 3: don't know if you remember the last time the Seattle 253 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 3: went down and played Los Angeles, like Bobby Wagner was 254 00:11:57,120 --> 00:12:01,079 Speaker 3: a man possessed like he takes this game very very personally, 255 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:03,760 Speaker 3: and I know Seattle beat that Jets team, but I 256 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:04,680 Speaker 3: don't think they looked. 257 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 2: I don't know. I guess I wasn't blown away. 258 00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:09,319 Speaker 3: And I still think Gino Smith is dealing with some 259 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 3: confidence issues. And on the other side, like this this 260 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 3: Rams team, they're almost like a It kind of reminds 261 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:18,120 Speaker 3: you in the action movie where it's like, hey, we 262 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 3: need a second story guy, we need a drive, or 263 00:12:20,000 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 3: we need an explosive guy. Like they're bringing together all 264 00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:26,160 Speaker 3: these different guys that are playing for their NFL lives, 265 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 3: like Baker Mayfield's playing to stay in the NFL. Cam Akers, 266 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 3: who like they were, they couldn't trade, they couldn't get 267 00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:35,079 Speaker 3: rid of all of a sudden, is running super super hard. 268 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 3: This is a division game. At six and a half points, 269 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:39,960 Speaker 3: the Rams have no reason to lay down. They have 270 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:42,319 Speaker 3: a bunch of guys that are playing for their careers, 271 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:45,559 Speaker 3: so I think they're gonna kind of be super motivated. 272 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:49,520 Speaker 3: And actually, in hindsight, may have been looking ahead past 273 00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:52,880 Speaker 3: that Chargers game towards this, being like, hey, division game, 274 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:55,640 Speaker 3: let's go out, let's give them a game. So I again, 275 00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:57,640 Speaker 3: this to me feels closer to a field goal than 276 00:12:57,720 --> 00:12:59,839 Speaker 3: like a dominant Seattle win. 277 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, and they don't even have the you know, quote 278 00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:07,600 Speaker 1: unquote motivation of draft position they picks their picks. 279 00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:08,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, they're screwed. 280 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:11,200 Speaker 1: Yeah. So yeah, I mean, you're right, they have no 281 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:13,680 Speaker 1: reason not to go out there, and uh, you know 282 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 1: Bobby Wagner in particular, but that whole team in general, 283 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:20,439 Speaker 1: I think would probably take great pleasure, uh in beating 284 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:23,199 Speaker 1: the Seahawks and knocking them out of playoff contention. 285 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:27,439 Speaker 3: Yeah, no, to your point, like there's in these situations, 286 00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:29,760 Speaker 3: especially division games. I always like to look at the 287 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:32,760 Speaker 3: division game ones as well, where it's like one team 288 00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:35,280 Speaker 3: just needs to win or they need to win and 289 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:37,000 Speaker 3: maybe a little bit of help, and the other team 290 00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:39,839 Speaker 3: quote unquote has nothing to play for. To your point, 291 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:42,199 Speaker 3: like the market seems to lean towards the team who 292 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 3: has the motivation. But again, this is like this is 293 00:13:44,800 --> 00:13:48,120 Speaker 3: the NFL. You can't you can't do the NFL twenty 294 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:51,600 Speaker 3: five percent, Like it just doesn't play out like that. 295 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:54,000 Speaker 3: So I think you're gonna see a pretty spirited effort 296 00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 3: from the Rams and. 297 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:57,880 Speaker 2: That Seattle defense. Again, I don't know if. 298 00:13:57,760 --> 00:14:01,040 Speaker 3: Mike White wasn't completely healthy or whatever, but I still 299 00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 3: think there's opportunities against the Seattle defense. 300 00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:05,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I don't think Mike White was healthy 301 00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 1: with the I mean, I think he was healthy enough 302 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:09,480 Speaker 1: to be out there, but I don't think he was comfortable. 303 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 1: We saw, you know, Justin Yeah, we saw Justin Herbert 304 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 1: returning early in the season from the rib injury. How 305 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: he didn't look like his normal self for at least 306 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 1: the first game out there, and really more like two 307 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:22,680 Speaker 1: or three games. So I think that's the situation with 308 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:25,080 Speaker 1: with Mike White. And it's hard to, uh, you know, 309 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:28,600 Speaker 1: say that the Seahawks were the reason for why Mike 310 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:32,080 Speaker 1: White underperformed. I have this projected at five point five, 311 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:33,800 Speaker 1: so pretty close to the number that's out there in 312 00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 1: the market. But you know, I'd lean more towards the 313 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 1: Rams in this spot a game here that I'm going 314 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:45,480 Speaker 1: against your Eagles, you know, apologize apologies in advance, you know, 315 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:48,560 Speaker 1: Giants plus fourteen at the Eagles, And I gotta say 316 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 1: I bet this early on Monday when the number was 317 00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:55,200 Speaker 1: eleven and a half, and so obviously like it much better, uh, 318 00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:58,240 Speaker 1: you know, just in terms of like thinking about am 319 00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:00,480 Speaker 1: I on the sharp side of this, but you know, 320 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 1: since the market has moved against me, you know, obviously 321 00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:08,360 Speaker 1: there's more value now, but man, I feel I don't know, 322 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 1: I'm kind of I'm kind of conflicted about this, and 323 00:15:10,680 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 1: we'll talk about it. By the way, I just gotta say, 324 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 1: I log this in the Betting pros app where you 325 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 1: can sync up with sportsbooks, get free betting advice and picks, 326 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 1: track different experts in your own bets, and you can 327 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:22,040 Speaker 1: set alerts. We monitor all the major sportsbooks, so when 328 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:23,640 Speaker 1: one of them has a line move that it's a 329 00:15:23,760 --> 00:15:26,320 Speaker 1: threshold you have set, you get an alert that tells 330 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:28,640 Speaker 1: you where you can make the bet. All right, So 331 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 1: Giants plus fourteen is the number in the market right now. 332 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:36,320 Speaker 1: I think that this number is assuming that we see 333 00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:41,040 Speaker 1: almost no Daniel Jones or see very few of the 334 00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:45,720 Speaker 1: Giants starters, and that is probably the case. But there 335 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:48,240 Speaker 1: is a chance that we see Daniel Jones for a 336 00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 1: little bit, you know, and he's sixteen and five against 337 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 1: the spread as a road dogs, even if we don't 338 00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:58,600 Speaker 1: see him. Tyrod Taylor is a pretty good professional backup quarterback. 339 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,200 Speaker 1: Like out out of the ranks of backups. He's a 340 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 1: guy who's had multiple seasons as a starter. Thirty twenty 341 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:06,840 Speaker 1: one to three against this Bread for his career and 342 00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 1: pretty good as a dog eighteen twelve and two against 343 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:11,520 Speaker 1: this Bread as a dog. So I think this number 344 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:15,000 Speaker 1: is pricing it as if no Giant starters are playing. 345 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:17,560 Speaker 1: Even if that is the case, I think we could 346 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:19,920 Speaker 1: see a backdoor cover in a game where the Eagles 347 00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 1: get out to a pretty big lead and then they 348 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 1: rest some of their players in the fourth quarter, especially 349 00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts who's still recovering from an injury. So no 350 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 1: guarantee that Hurts plays the entirety of this game. And 351 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:35,760 Speaker 1: fourteen is just such a big number when you consider 352 00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 1: that even the team that doesn't have motivation is still 353 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 1: a playoff team and this is still a divisional matchup. 354 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:47,720 Speaker 1: So fourteen, even if I'm adjusting for the assumption that 355 00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:50,560 Speaker 1: we are going to see a lot of backups for 356 00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:54,000 Speaker 1: the Giants, I still have this projected around twelve and 357 00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 1: a half. This is just such a big number. I 358 00:16:57,120 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 1: know you're the Eagles homer here, what are your thoughts here? 359 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:04,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I'm contractually OBLIGINGNA to pick the Eagles 360 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:05,560 Speaker 3: every week, But. 361 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 2: I think the case for the Giants is pretty easy 362 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:09,840 Speaker 2: to make. 363 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:13,040 Speaker 3: Like, again, it's fourteen points in any sort of division 364 00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 3: game is a great starting point, let alone to your 365 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:19,399 Speaker 3: point a team that was in the playoffs. There's certainly 366 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:21,200 Speaker 3: a world where the Eagles get out to a decent 367 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 3: sized lead, and I think they will put the foot 368 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 3: on the gas, especially early. But you know, you saw 369 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:30,359 Speaker 3: that mince you got in the game they played against 370 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:33,160 Speaker 3: the Giants the first time. Now they ended up winning 371 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 3: the game by twelve points in you know, in the 372 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:39,679 Speaker 3: Giants stadium. But I think fourteen points is a lot 373 00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:42,960 Speaker 3: again hurts, maybe a little bit rusty. The offense may 374 00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 3: not fire in all cylinders. They're still missing Lane Johnson. 375 00:17:45,840 --> 00:17:49,040 Speaker 3: So there's a lot of ways this Eagles team doesn't 376 00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:52,399 Speaker 3: cover that fourteen and your points. We were debating this 377 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:56,080 Speaker 3: on my show last night, where we're going back and forth. 378 00:17:56,119 --> 00:17:59,000 Speaker 3: If they officially ruled Daniel Jones out, what does the 379 00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 3: line move to. I don't know if you can make 380 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:04,200 Speaker 3: it much higher than fourteen points. You're like Teddy Bridgewater 381 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:09,359 Speaker 3: is a competent backup quarterback. They have players on both sides, 382 00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:12,040 Speaker 3: like you're gonna get a decent effort. At the very least, 383 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:14,640 Speaker 3: I think they're probably gonna split the difference, or maybe 384 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,840 Speaker 3: Jones plays a series. Some of the bigger guys like 385 00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:21,080 Speaker 3: Saquon or guys with anything close to an injury, they're 386 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,560 Speaker 3: just going to sit. So I think this is where, 387 00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:26,600 Speaker 3: you know, the odds makers kind of split the difference. 388 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 3: But I think if they even if they announce Daniel 389 00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 3: Jones sits, maybe you get to fourteen and a half. 390 00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:33,680 Speaker 3: But again, this is a division game between two rivals, 391 00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:36,440 Speaker 3: Like you really can't hang it higher than fourteen. 392 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:39,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, to your point, if Daniel Jones is 393 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:42,879 Speaker 1: announced out the line, it feels like it has to 394 00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:45,920 Speaker 1: move a little bit towards the Eagles. But how much 395 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:48,760 Speaker 1: can it really move? Like I can't imagine it getting 396 00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:51,760 Speaker 1: to seventeen or something like that. That just that would 397 00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:55,479 Speaker 1: feel like way too far. Another game here, you know, 398 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:58,920 Speaker 1: looking at the NFC East at the same time, when 399 00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:00,919 Speaker 1: the Giants and Eagles are play, we will have the 400 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:04,040 Speaker 1: Cowboys at the Commanders and you know, these two games 401 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 1: they're you know, they're intertwined here and Cowboys are seven 402 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 1: point favorites on the road here and you know, the 403 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 1: Cowboys they're still playing for playoff seeding. They still have 404 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:19,480 Speaker 1: a shot at the number one seed. If the Eagles 405 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:22,880 Speaker 1: somehow don't win that game. And I'm on the Cowboys here, 406 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:27,280 Speaker 1: you know, because historically they have not liked resting players 407 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:29,600 Speaker 1: in the final week of the season. So even if 408 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:32,080 Speaker 1: they get out to a lead, or even if they 409 00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:34,600 Speaker 1: see that the Eagles are going to clinch the number 410 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 1: one seed, I still don't think they're going to be 411 00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:40,680 Speaker 1: resting starters for all that long of the game. And 412 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 1: Sam Howell for the Commanders is a late round, third 413 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:49,360 Speaker 1: string rookie making his first NFL start. Regardless of what 414 00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:53,800 Speaker 1: your opinion might be of Carson Wentz or Taylor Heinike, 415 00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 1: those guys are still an upgrade over Sam Howell, at 416 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,040 Speaker 1: least at his stage of of the career right now. 417 00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:04,439 Speaker 1: So I think it's a downgrade for Howell as the starter. 418 00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:07,200 Speaker 1: The Cowboys I think are going to go out there, 419 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:09,840 Speaker 1: and even if they're not playing for the number one seed, 420 00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:12,679 Speaker 1: I think they are, you know, playing to tune up 421 00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:16,359 Speaker 1: for the playoffs and get right in seven, you know, 422 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,280 Speaker 1: for a divisional game. Sure it's kind of a bigger number, 423 00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:21,640 Speaker 1: especially with them being on the road, but I don't 424 00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,520 Speaker 1: think the Commanders have that grade of a home field advantage. 425 00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:26,639 Speaker 1: I have this projected at nine, So. 426 00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:29,040 Speaker 3: Well they got they got major tunny going. So now 427 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:32,080 Speaker 3: that's really did you factor that into your line? I 428 00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:32,399 Speaker 3: did not. 429 00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:36,080 Speaker 1: I did not. If anything, it would be more of 430 00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:38,919 Speaker 1: a negative for them than a positive. But what are 431 00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:40,600 Speaker 1: your thoughts here on the Cowboys? 432 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:44,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean again, I'm I'm I'm an auto fan 433 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,920 Speaker 2: on the Cowboys, But I think what you have going 434 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:48,640 Speaker 2: for you on the Cowboys side. 435 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,080 Speaker 3: To your point, yeah, you're going up against a third 436 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 3: round rookie should be a good spot for you. This 437 00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:57,960 Speaker 3: Commander's team in general just feels like they lost all 438 00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 3: the momentum right, Like they had a nice little spark, 439 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,680 Speaker 3: but Taylor heinickey, they were rallying around him, They beat 440 00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,119 Speaker 3: the Eagles, they had some quality wins. He kind of 441 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:08,159 Speaker 3: lost their mojo. They brought in Carson Wentz and it 442 00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:12,680 Speaker 3: just completely folded. So I kind of like the Cowboys 443 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 3: more if Carson Wentz plays in the idea that Carson 444 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:19,359 Speaker 3: Wentz creates some crazy turnovers. I think what Sam how 445 00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:22,080 Speaker 3: has going for him is the element of surprise, Like 446 00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,800 Speaker 3: you don't know what he's going to look like. So 447 00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 3: maybe they get something going there, or maybe they get 448 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 3: something go with Brian Robinson on the ground. It's tough 449 00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:34,800 Speaker 3: to make the case for the Commanders because every sort 450 00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:38,160 Speaker 3: of matchup you would give a nice edge towards the Cowboys. 451 00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 3: I think the way the Commanders get this cover is 452 00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:43,600 Speaker 3: that for whatever reason, they get fired up. This is 453 00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:46,959 Speaker 3: a hey, we should have been playing Sam Howe. What 454 00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:49,199 Speaker 3: were we doing not starting an earlier game where he 455 00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,879 Speaker 3: shows We see rookies sometimes come in and show some 456 00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:53,760 Speaker 3: flashes because they don't know how to play him, they 457 00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:55,760 Speaker 3: have no tape on him, that kind of thing. And 458 00:21:56,200 --> 00:21:58,560 Speaker 3: Dak maybe throwing a couple of picks because you know 459 00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 3: Dak has throwing some interceptions at turnovers. I think if 460 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:05,600 Speaker 3: that scenario comes, that's that's how the Commanders get the cover. 461 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 2: But again, I think you laid out a good case 462 00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:08,920 Speaker 2: for the Cowboys. 463 00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:12,200 Speaker 1: All right, one game here, I think he's gonna be 464 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:15,240 Speaker 1: a really intriguing matchup. We have the Lions on the 465 00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:19,320 Speaker 1: road for Sunday Night football. The Packers are favored by 466 00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 1: four and a half and this line is actually bumped 467 00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,640 Speaker 1: up to five at points bet so you know, maybe 468 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:28,359 Speaker 1: still some movement in the market going towards the Packers here, 469 00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,480 Speaker 1: you I believe, are on the Packers at four and 470 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:33,399 Speaker 1: a half. Talk to me about what you're seeing in 471 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:35,880 Speaker 1: this game. I'm I'm conflicted. I'm conflicted on it. 472 00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:38,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I mean the lines have been a fun 473 00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:41,560 Speaker 3: team to me. They're like a there they're home road splits. 474 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:44,920 Speaker 3: I think, especially with the defense, are still something to 475 00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 3: keep an eye on. You know, we saw what the 476 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,479 Speaker 3: Panthers were able to do against that Lion's defense. Now 477 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:51,760 Speaker 3: it's weird because there the run defense was playing pretty 478 00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:54,480 Speaker 3: well and then Carolina just you know, smash it down 479 00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 3: their throat and destroyed them on the ground. They had 480 00:22:57,080 --> 00:23:00,199 Speaker 3: a nice, you know, bounce back spot at home. But 481 00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:02,800 Speaker 3: I just think they're a different team home and road. 482 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 3: You look at Jared Goff historically and freezing temperatures zero 483 00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:10,400 Speaker 3: and four. This feels like Aaron Rodgers last Hurrah kind 484 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:13,600 Speaker 3: of rallying the troops. Looks like they're getting Christian Watson back, 485 00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,879 Speaker 3: which clearly opens up a lot of stuff for that offense, 486 00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:18,960 Speaker 3: and I think they're gonna be able to move the 487 00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,840 Speaker 3: ball on the Lions. They also this is a revenge 488 00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:24,320 Speaker 3: spot for the Packers as well, Like there's a lot 489 00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:27,240 Speaker 3: going for the Packers here, and in a weird way, 490 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 3: I kind. 491 00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:33,159 Speaker 2: Of like so the the as far as the motivation factor. 492 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:37,359 Speaker 3: If Seattle wins, they officially eliminate the Lions, but in 493 00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:40,919 Speaker 3: a weird way. I kind of like this more on 494 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:45,200 Speaker 3: the Packers' side. If Detroit is playing for a playoff spot. 495 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:47,960 Speaker 3: The idea is, if there's a lot of pressure going 496 00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:50,720 Speaker 3: into that Sunday night game, I like the I like 497 00:23:50,800 --> 00:23:55,360 Speaker 3: the Packers even better if you know Seattle. So if 498 00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:58,600 Speaker 3: Seattle wins and Detroit is playing with house money and 499 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:00,880 Speaker 3: they're like, hey, our seasons are already over, we got 500 00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:04,160 Speaker 3: nothing to lose, you know, playing reckless like that, I'm 501 00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:07,159 Speaker 3: almost more nervous as the Packers better either way. I 502 00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:10,639 Speaker 3: like this line at four four and a half just 503 00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:13,919 Speaker 3: because I think the pedigree honestly, and I think we 504 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,199 Speaker 3: saw something out of that green Bay defense which was 505 00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:20,080 Speaker 3: missing previously against Minnesota. So I think this is a 506 00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:22,560 Speaker 3: good spot to fade Jared Goff on the road in 507 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:23,600 Speaker 3: freezing temperatures. 508 00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:27,520 Speaker 1: So entering the year, I was higher than the market 509 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 1: on the Lions, and you know, we saw them last 510 00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:35,920 Speaker 1: year totally heroic against the spread, especially against winning teams, 511 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,560 Speaker 1: and they've been pretty strong against the spread this year 512 00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:41,320 Speaker 1: as well. They started the season pretty terribly just in 513 00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:43,440 Speaker 1: terms of wins and losses, but you know, they've been 514 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 1: on a hot streak, you know, for the second half 515 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:49,960 Speaker 1: of the season. And so like part of me wants 516 00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: to be on Dan Campbell as an underdog in this 517 00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,080 Speaker 1: spot just because his team has been able to cover 518 00:24:56,320 --> 00:25:00,159 Speaker 1: very well for two consecutive years. Here that said, he 519 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,280 Speaker 1: hasn't been all that great on their own, He's been 520 00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:05,960 Speaker 1: much better at home. And Aaron Rodgers, this is the 521 00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:09,320 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers spot. You know, Rogers at lambeau Field is 522 00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:13,320 Speaker 1: an assassin a lot of quarterbacks. You know, the market 523 00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:18,040 Speaker 1: just tends to benefit quarterbacks who are underdogs. So you 524 00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:21,840 Speaker 1: don't see many quarterbacks who outperform the spread very significantly 525 00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,960 Speaker 1: as a favorite. But Rogers has done that for his career. 526 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 1: And then Rogers in division, like he has crushed in division. 527 00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:33,439 Speaker 1: He's better against the spread versus the teams that he 528 00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:36,840 Speaker 1: knows in comparison to you know, teams that he plays 529 00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:39,919 Speaker 1: maybe once every two or four years. So this is 530 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:43,160 Speaker 1: this is the spot trend wise that tends to line 531 00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:45,399 Speaker 1: up for Aaron Rodgers. And then just in terms of 532 00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 1: like the momentum, like I don't pay all that much 533 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:50,439 Speaker 1: attention to that, But that is something that kind of 534 00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:53,000 Speaker 1: gets factored into my power ratings because you know, I 535 00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:56,440 Speaker 1: make adjustments each week based on how teams are performing. 536 00:25:56,920 --> 00:26:00,120 Speaker 1: And you have seen this Packers team over the past 537 00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:03,800 Speaker 1: month really start to come on. The defense is improving, 538 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 1: the offense is. They're not playing quickly, so it's not 539 00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 1: as if they're putting up a ton of points, but 540 00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:13,520 Speaker 1: on a per play basis, they are playing pretty efficiently. 541 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 1: And you've just seen the Packers, like you, you kind 542 00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:19,160 Speaker 1: of saw the path to them being able to get 543 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:22,000 Speaker 1: into the playoffs even though they were I think four 544 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,040 Speaker 1: and eight. Uh, and you know they they have walked 545 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:28,760 Speaker 1: the path every point to this spot. And now it's 546 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:33,240 Speaker 1: you know, at home, favored home, you know, going against 547 00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:37,760 Speaker 1: a divisional opponent, win and in ah Man like I 548 00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:41,679 Speaker 1: have this projected exactly at four point twenty five, so 549 00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:44,240 Speaker 1: I am very close to the market. I haven't bet 550 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,719 Speaker 1: on this game. I'm probably not going to bet on 551 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,040 Speaker 1: this game, but I want to bet on this game, 552 00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:51,480 Speaker 1: and the thing is, I'm just conflicted about which side 553 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:53,720 Speaker 1: I would actually want to bet, So I'm probably not 554 00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:54,680 Speaker 1: going to bet it, but I. 555 00:26:54,640 --> 00:27:00,639 Speaker 3: Think dog I mean again, I think the Aaron Rodg something. 556 00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:02,720 Speaker 3: I think there really was something going on with that, 557 00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 3: because you've seen like in these past few weeks. I 558 00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,439 Speaker 3: don't know if it's just his thumb it's completely healed, 559 00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:11,600 Speaker 3: or he's getting chemistry with those young receivers. 560 00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:12,360 Speaker 2: It's tough to. 561 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:15,480 Speaker 3: Like tell I tests what is really but guys are 562 00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:17,640 Speaker 3: in the right spaces right Like we've saw so many 563 00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:20,040 Speaker 3: of like Aaron Rodgers, like throwing his hands up and 564 00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 3: stuff like that, and a lot. 565 00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:23,080 Speaker 2: Of that has gone gone away. 566 00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 3: And last but not least, like the return game for 567 00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,320 Speaker 3: the Packers has been crazy like that. You know, I 568 00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 3: was on the Vikings and part of my handicap was 569 00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:34,119 Speaker 3: it seemed like the return guy was going to be out, 570 00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:36,239 Speaker 3: he was injured. He was I was like, all right, 571 00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:38,080 Speaker 3: if he plays, he's not gonna be one hundred percent. 572 00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:40,359 Speaker 3: Of course he plays and then takes one to the house, 573 00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:42,240 Speaker 3: so apparently he's not all. 574 00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:42,840 Speaker 2: That banged up. 575 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:46,159 Speaker 3: And again, you give this Packers team a short field, 576 00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:48,640 Speaker 3: you add that to their arsenal, and I think they're 577 00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:50,720 Speaker 3: just a They're gonna be a really really tough out 578 00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:54,040 Speaker 3: for a Lion's team, who again, like I think regardless 579 00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 3: of this result, the Lions as a team. 580 00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:59,480 Speaker 2: Feels like this was a successful season, right, Like they don't. 581 00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:01,720 Speaker 3: They can kind of almost get their butts kicked here 582 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:04,280 Speaker 3: and still hang their heads pretty high with like. 583 00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:06,080 Speaker 2: Hey, we had a we had a pretty good season. 584 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:08,000 Speaker 3: We're in the in the hunt for the playoffs still 585 00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:10,040 Speaker 3: the very end, you know, we did a lot of 586 00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:15,000 Speaker 3: things right, they were responding to Campbell, So I think 587 00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:17,760 Speaker 3: they can still be happy with the season and and 588 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:19,280 Speaker 3: not get the cover to. 589 00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:22,000 Speaker 1: Your point about the thumb injury, I think that was 590 00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:26,720 Speaker 1: a very underappreciated aspect of why the Packers struggled in 591 00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:30,080 Speaker 1: the middle of the season. And a week fourteen bye 592 00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:33,760 Speaker 1: is just so ridiculous in today's NFL, but you know, 593 00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:35,639 Speaker 1: that's what the Packers had, and so they had to 594 00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:38,720 Speaker 1: struggle up to that point. But since the bye week, 595 00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,480 Speaker 1: you know, I think Rogers really had a chance to 596 00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:44,440 Speaker 1: uh to recover with the hand injury during that bye week, 597 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,360 Speaker 1: and since then, uh, you know, they've been much better 598 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,920 Speaker 1: on offense. So uh yeah, the Packers really intriguing spot 599 00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,000 Speaker 1: here one more game kind of quickly, I want to 600 00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:57,800 Speaker 1: get your thoughts on the Bills against the Patriots. Here 601 00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:00,800 Speaker 1: the Bills are minus seven, and you know, there's so 602 00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:04,760 Speaker 1: much uncertainty because of the situation with the Bills. You know, 603 00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,840 Speaker 1: how the Bengals game is going to be handled, what 604 00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:11,000 Speaker 1: the NFL is going to do with playoff seating in 605 00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:14,880 Speaker 1: the AFC if that game doesn't play. And so I 606 00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:18,000 Speaker 1: have this projected at Bills minus eleven. But that's not 607 00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:21,520 Speaker 1: taking any of these other things into account, you know, 608 00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:24,720 Speaker 1: not adjusting for the possibility that the Bills could rest 609 00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:28,080 Speaker 1: players in this game, which certainly could happen depending on 610 00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:31,440 Speaker 1: the outcome of the Chiefs game on Saturday. And so, 611 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:33,560 Speaker 1: and by the way, I should just mention we're giving 612 00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:36,800 Speaker 1: away a free signed Isaah McKenzie Buffalo Bill's mini helmet 613 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:38,640 Speaker 1: from Pristine Auction. If you want a chance to win it, 614 00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:41,200 Speaker 1: subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel right now, comment 615 00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:43,080 Speaker 1: below on the video, and we will announce a winner 616 00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:47,040 Speaker 1: in a future episode. The Bills have any thoughts on 617 00:29:47,080 --> 00:29:49,880 Speaker 1: this game, because you know, there are certainly playoff ramifications, 618 00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:52,440 Speaker 1: both for the Bills and for the Patriots. It's just 619 00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:54,360 Speaker 1: a hard it's a slippery game. It's hard to get 620 00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:55,120 Speaker 1: your mind around this. 621 00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know you mentioned a bunch of great points there, obviously, 622 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:01,720 Speaker 3: like if the Chiefs lack up the one seed by winning, 623 00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:05,480 Speaker 3: but then it seems like they're leaning towards not rep 624 00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:10,040 Speaker 3: not redoing that game. You hear all these rumors about oh, hey, 625 00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:12,360 Speaker 3: we're gonna do an extra week and move the playoffs 626 00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:15,080 Speaker 3: all around or a neutral sight AFC, it still seems 627 00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:18,000 Speaker 3: like they haven't. They just keep leaking these different ideas 628 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:21,360 Speaker 3: and seeing how people react to it. We'll see where 629 00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:23,960 Speaker 3: they actually end up on. To me, the simplest solution 630 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:28,240 Speaker 3: is it stinks. There's no real good solution but to 631 00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:30,840 Speaker 3: just grade it as a no game and just hey, 632 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:34,520 Speaker 3: the Bills and the Bengals played sixteen games, will go 633 00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:36,840 Speaker 3: by winning percentage and kind of just take it from there. 634 00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:40,040 Speaker 3: There's no real fair way to handle it. But as 635 00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:43,120 Speaker 3: far as the game itself, I like the Bills. I 636 00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:46,880 Speaker 3: like any sort of running mobile quarterback against a Bill 637 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,479 Speaker 3: Belichick defense, whenever it is, they just seem to not 638 00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:51,640 Speaker 3: be able to match up with them. The only thing 639 00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 3: that would concern me is Josh Allen has moments where 640 00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:59,960 Speaker 3: he's pressing and he throws bad turnover, Its creates bad picks. 641 00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:03,440 Speaker 3: New England's second half defense has been dominant as of late, 642 00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:06,120 Speaker 3: like really shutting down teams in the second half. But 643 00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:11,000 Speaker 3: I think a motivated Bills team, assuming they're playing for something, 644 00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:13,080 Speaker 3: and I would assume they're going to be playing for 645 00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:17,440 Speaker 3: the very least the second seed there because again, like 646 00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,400 Speaker 3: in all these discussions, I don't think people are factoring 647 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,320 Speaker 3: in how valuable the two seed is because the two seed, 648 00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:25,760 Speaker 3: you're playing home games until you face off against the 649 00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:27,960 Speaker 3: one seed. The one seed gets snocked out, you're playing 650 00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:30,680 Speaker 3: home games until the playoffs. So I don't think people 651 00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:33,560 Speaker 3: are factoring that in, like how much teams would want 652 00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 3: a two seed. And again I like Josh Allen as 653 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:40,040 Speaker 3: a mobile quarterback against the Bill Belichick defense, and this 654 00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:44,960 Speaker 3: Patriots offense seems incredibly out of sorts. I know, we 655 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:48,560 Speaker 3: didn't have any shots of Mac Jones yelling at Matt 656 00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:51,640 Speaker 3: Patricia on the sidelines from last game. But again, they 657 00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:55,400 Speaker 3: they're getting wins with like, you know, pick sixes. I 658 00:31:55,440 --> 00:32:00,400 Speaker 3: mean they knocked they knocked the Dolphins quarterback out of 659 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:02,800 Speaker 3: the game and got a pick six and only won 660 00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:05,760 Speaker 3: by two points. So it's like they even in their wins, 661 00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 3: it's like they're they're getting outcomes that are very hard 662 00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:10,640 Speaker 3: to maintain and sustain. 663 00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:12,280 Speaker 2: So I like the Bills here. 664 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:15,520 Speaker 3: I think Bills Stadium is going to be kind of 665 00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 3: an electric atmosphere. 666 00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:19,640 Speaker 2: So it's going to be must watch TV. 667 00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 3: I'm sure there's gonna be a ton of emotions, and again, 668 00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:26,080 Speaker 3: that stuff is hard to handicap. But all things being equal, 669 00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:27,440 Speaker 3: I'm taking the Bills behind a seven. 670 00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:31,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you pushed me in that direction pretty strong, 671 00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:33,000 Speaker 1: and I'm already leaning in that direction. But I think 672 00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:36,200 Speaker 1: you made a lot of great points there. And yeah, 673 00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,960 Speaker 1: but the strength of the number two seed, even though 674 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:40,480 Speaker 1: it's not as strong as it used to be with 675 00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:42,760 Speaker 1: the bye week, there's still a lot to play for there. 676 00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:45,680 Speaker 1: And I think the Bills, you know, given the emotion 677 00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:47,680 Speaker 1: of the situation and given the fact that they didn't 678 00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,640 Speaker 1: have I mean, they played, but they didn't have a 679 00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:54,320 Speaker 1: full game, So I think it would almost be detrimental 680 00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:57,760 Speaker 1: for them to enter the playoffs without having had, you know, 681 00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:01,840 Speaker 1: kind of like an actual of tune up game before 682 00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:05,920 Speaker 1: the games really start to matter for the future. So yeah, 683 00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:08,640 Speaker 1: the Bills here, I think this number just fills off. 684 00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:10,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Bills go full bore. 685 00:33:10,720 --> 00:33:13,640 Speaker 3: I think like you know the Vikings forty nine ers, 686 00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:15,960 Speaker 3: you're cowboys. I think they're all going to be going 687 00:33:16,080 --> 00:33:18,040 Speaker 3: full bore jocking for that two seed. 688 00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:19,680 Speaker 2: I don't see. 689 00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:22,200 Speaker 3: They could be maybe doing a little scoreboard watching and 690 00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:24,880 Speaker 3: stuff like that, but I think the fact that the 691 00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:26,560 Speaker 3: two seed is up for grabs in a lot of 692 00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:29,280 Speaker 3: these situations are going to keep people pretty motivated. 693 00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:31,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you there, all right, Sean, thanks 694 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:34,200 Speaker 1: for joining us. Tell the people where to follow you 695 00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:35,800 Speaker 1: on social and where to find your work. 696 00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:38,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, check me out at Seawan T. 697 00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:43,360 Speaker 3: Green over on Twitter, do a daily podcast aka The 698 00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:44,080 Speaker 3: Daily Juice. 699 00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:47,160 Speaker 2: Type it in wherever you find podcasts. Also sports game. 700 00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:49,480 Speaker 3: On the podcast and appreciate you Gil you have me 701 00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:50,840 Speaker 3: on mayor a lot of fun. 702 00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:54,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, awesome, Hugh Sean Green. I'm Matthew Freeman at matt 703 00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:57,160 Speaker 1: f The Oracle. Check out Benny Pros and Fantasy Pros 704 00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:59,040 Speaker 1: for all my work. If you like the show, please 705 00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:02,080 Speaker 1: rate and review your favorite podcast app that is going 706 00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:04,760 Speaker 1: to do it for this week eighteen Best Bets edition 707 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:06,960 Speaker 1: of the Betting Pros Pod. Thanks for tuning in, good 708 00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:19,480 Speaker 1: luck and see you next episode.