1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,599 Speaker 1: Joining us now to discuss this some more. David string 2 00:00:02,640 --> 00:00:06,520 Speaker 1: At Bloomberg's Asia Energy Team leader, So, David, in terms 3 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:09,640 Speaker 1: of intervention from the EU, what tools are on the 4 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:14,520 Speaker 1: table and how effective might they be? Wonderful. It's been 5 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 1: quite an extraordinary weekend, I guess in the energy sector 6 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: in Europe. We've seen a number of interventions already and 7 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 1: as you mentioned, there are more measures being considered. Um 8 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 1: there should be a meeting, an emergency meeting of energy 9 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: ministers of the EU on Friday, and according to a 10 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 1: draft document that's been seen by Bloomberg News, that's going 11 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: to propose a number of things, you know, it'll it'll 12 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 1: suggest gas price caps, potentially a suspension of power derivatives trading, 13 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:44,760 Speaker 1: and also potentially a windfall tax on profit, all of 14 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 1: that aimed at trying to stem the gains and gas 15 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:51,559 Speaker 1: prices that we're seeing as a result of the you know, 16 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 1: the choking off of supply from Russia. Also an attempt 17 00:00:55,080 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 1: to boost liquidity of utility to a really struggling um, 18 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: you know, and ultimately drive down those costs for consumers, 19 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 1: for households in Europe who were were suffering now and 20 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: potentially going to suffer much more as we really get 21 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 1: into the most severe of the winter months. So there's 22 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:17,679 Speaker 1: europe wide efforts and then there's also some countries individually, 23 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:20,960 Speaker 1: like we saw from from Germany with sixty five billion 24 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: dollars of of relief. Are there any other moves like 25 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:28,840 Speaker 1: that coming from individual countries of note? Quite? Yeah, as 26 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 1: you as you mentioned there that sixty five billion dollar 27 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,320 Speaker 1: package announced over the weekend from Germany that that you know, 28 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 1: triggered seemingly in response to the Russian move to the 29 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:42,040 Speaker 1: choke off supply through that nord Stream pipeline. We also 30 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 1: saw Nordic authorities they moved specifically to aid utilities that 31 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 1: are struggling with collateral requirements. Authorities they're saying there's a 32 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: risk of a Lehman moment for those utilities. So yes, 33 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 1: we're definitely seeing individual countries take take action, you know, 34 00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 1: and and don't be surprised if we see something from 35 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: from the Czech Republic too. There were people out in 36 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 1: the streets protesting there this weekend. A real reminder of 37 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:08,080 Speaker 1: the kind of pressures on the politicians to act. Yeah, 38 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: Lord stream closed for maintenance, what is that maintenance? And 39 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 1: EU leaders aren't buying that story, Are they absolutely not? No. 40 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:18,960 Speaker 1: I mean the European Council president Sear Michelle. You know, 41 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:23,160 Speaker 1: he was saying this weekend, you know, essentially calling it 42 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:25,560 Speaker 1: what it was, which was the use of energy as 43 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:28,799 Speaker 1: a as a weapon. Yes, you know, gas Prom, the 44 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:32,200 Speaker 1: Russian supplier, has has put forward an argument that there's 45 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: yet another piece of maintenance that's required. But you know, 46 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: even even the company involved in the company that would 47 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 1: be carrying out that maintenance, Siemens, has said that there's 48 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: no actual reason, there's no factual basis on which they 49 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:50,880 Speaker 1: to justify them cutting off that flow of gas. So, um, 50 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:53,880 Speaker 1: it does look like, you know, a deliberate move by 51 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 1: Moscow just to to use its ability to flex the 52 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: energy supply to put pressure on Europe. I know this 53 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:03,200 Speaker 1: is not your beat, but we're seeing quite a lot 54 00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 1: of weakness in the euro this morning, which might suggest 55 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 1: that the crisis is going to cause the e c 56 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:14,119 Speaker 1: B to be less aggressive with with raising rates. Um. 57 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 1: So I just want to kind of get your feel 58 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 1: on how how difficult this is for people in Europe, 59 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:21,920 Speaker 1: because we had a guest on in the last hour 60 00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 1: who said, actually, the balance sheets are pretty strong for 61 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 1: Europeans and that they may fare better than what people fear. Yeah. Well, 62 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:33,799 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, I think what we've got to 63 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: expect is if this energy crunch intentifies, you know, if 64 00:03:37,760 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: that's going to put further pressure on these economies, if 65 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: it's going to continue to fuel that cost a living crisis, 66 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 1: then absolutely that's going to put more pressure on the 67 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,120 Speaker 1: Euro um. You know, and and certainly the move by 68 00:03:48,200 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 1: Russia this weekend to shut off those key gas taps, 69 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 1: absolutely that will put more pressure on We will see 70 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 1: a response to that from the e c B. Um, 71 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 1: you know, I guess we'll you know, we'll have to 72 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 1: wait and look for that. But this is not a 73 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 1: positive for the euro putting energy crisis. We haven't talked 74 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 1: about the OPE plus meeting which starts today or what 75 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 1: are the dynamics that opis balancing ahead of this. I 76 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: mean quite interesting really, and you know, I think a 77 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 1: lot of the focus UM in the past few months 78 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: has been on supply. It's been on you know, the 79 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 1: ability of those OPEC plus countries to bring on more production. UM. 80 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 1: As you say, OPEC and allies including Russia, they're going 81 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 1: to meet later later Monday. UM. I think We're just 82 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:36,039 Speaker 1: saying that the sort of balance of dynamics shift, A 83 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 1: lot of focus on China again, a lot of focus 84 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:40,800 Speaker 1: on the impact of those lockdowns in China. You know, 85 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 1: you've you've just been sort of talking about those yourselves. 86 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 1: You know, more restrictions in place and ching do covering 87 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 1: millions of people. Is that going to eat into demand again? 88 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:53,279 Speaker 1: Are you going to see weakness in demand for oil 89 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:56,040 Speaker 1: and how is that balanced out by these these plans 90 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:58,040 Speaker 1: to bring on more production. I think, you know, I 91 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:00,360 Speaker 1: think for this meeting, a majority of p will think 92 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 1: that plus could sort of stand pat But yeah, it's 93 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:06,320 Speaker 1: it's an interesting shift in dynamics, and I think we're 94 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:10,040 Speaker 1: very much back to focus on demand rather than supply. 95 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 1: All right, David, out of time. I do think another 96 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 1: shift is, um the weaponization of energy. That's something that 97 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 1: we hadn't really seen all that much of up until um, 98 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 1: the sanctions on Russia and Russia's response. Anyway, David, thanks 99 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: very much for being with us here live on