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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: It's the most wonderful time.

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Speaker 1: What's up, Degenerate Nation, Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: It's the College Football Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Bet I'm Stucky in with me, as always is Colin Wilson.

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Speaker 2: It's ball season, baby, ladies and gentlemen, It's ball season.

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Speaker 2: It's the greatest time of the year.

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Speaker 3: You get out the Christmas Scotch, crack it open a

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Speaker 3: little early. You know, you get some of the worst

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Speaker 3: teams in college football. The maybe shouldn't have made a

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Speaker 3: ball they had a run there at the end. We

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Speaker 3: got marijuana, we got misdemeanors, We've got coaches on the move,

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Speaker 3: we've got motivation, we got everything.

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Speaker 2: I love it. If you hate ball games, go listen

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Speaker 2: to NPO.

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Speaker 1: The greatest time of the year, maybe maybe second greatest

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Speaker 1: March is coming in. This March is going to be epic.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm the college basketball guy. You're the college

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Speaker 1: football guy. So I'll let you have it for this podcast.

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Speaker 2: By the way, what Bowl? What bowls Arkansas playing? And

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Speaker 2: I didn't see them on them? You know what. First off,

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Speaker 2: we're in baseball school.

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Speaker 3: I thought we made that clear and second off, we

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Speaker 3: finished I think a half a point ahead of Princeton

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Speaker 3: and recruiting.

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Speaker 2: Good job, Razorbacks, well done, well done. All right. For

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Speaker 2: those not familiar, we are going to cover.

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Speaker 1: Every bowl on this podcast, well not this podcast exactly.

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Speaker 2: It's five part series.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna go chronologically, So today we will cover nine

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Speaker 1: bowls that start on Friday. If you're listening to this

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Speaker 1: on Friday, we're starting today with the two bowls that

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Speaker 1: are today, one in the afternoon.

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Speaker 2: We'll kick things off. What better way to kick things off.

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Speaker 1: Them with the Bahamas Bowl, where there have been moose

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Speaker 1: abound and horrible beats over the past couple of years,

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Speaker 1: especially in regards to totals. I'll never forget when I

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Speaker 1: was like two points and that miraculous comeback and who

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Speaker 1: was a Western Kentucky and somebody.

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Speaker 2: Yeah the last year, and last year was Toledo too.

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Speaker 1: In the total there was like twenty four points in

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Speaker 1: last five minutes. Just chaos ensues in the Bahamas Bowl.

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Speaker 2: We'll get to that. We'll start there.

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Speaker 1: We'll go all the way through Monday and finish up

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Speaker 1: in Tampa with the Gasparilla Bad Boy Mewers Bowl is

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Speaker 1: at that bowl with Morth Marshall and UCF.

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Speaker 3: Is it still the bad Boy Mewers Bowl. It's still

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Speaker 3: the Bad Boy Mower's Bowl. Gasparilla is still around. I've

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Speaker 3: seen Bad Boy Mowers on a few sporting events, like

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Speaker 3: I don't know, it wasn't World Axe Throwing, but it

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Speaker 3: was something I think. I think Bad Boy Mowers is

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Speaker 3: trying to get their name out there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so we'll go all the way through. I mean

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Speaker 1: in the middle. We'll cover teams like Arkansas State. So look,

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Speaker 1: there's there's some representation from your state. A good by you,

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Speaker 1: and the Chamellia Bowl. I believe the Kamella Bowl doesn't

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Speaker 1: have a sponsor. By the way, one of these bowls

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Speaker 1: doesn't have a spot sponsorless. And one of these days,

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Speaker 1: one of these years, I should say the Action Network

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Speaker 1: maybe Radio dot Com will sponsor pot Bowl. Eventually it's

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Speaker 1: comic one day. But before we dive into the first ball,

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Speaker 1: I did want I also mentioned we'll touch on maybe

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Speaker 1: our favorite NFL play at the end. We'll also touch

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Speaker 1: on the FCS games as we did last week, and

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Speaker 1: we'll give our favorite money line dog for the weekend

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Speaker 1: as well, so be let's just dive right in here column.

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Speaker 1: We'll start in the Bahamas Bowl NASA Al Bahamas, two

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Speaker 1: pm Eastern on ESPN.

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Speaker 2: We have Charlotte taking on Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: You know, right now the line is sitting at Buffalo

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Speaker 1: minus six and a half over under his drop a ton.

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Speaker 1: It's you know, it was I think fifty eight fifth

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Speaker 1: and it was sitting around fifty six and it was

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Speaker 1: sitting on fifty four and one of fifty one.

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Speaker 2: A lot of that is weather.

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Speaker 1: There's going to be twenty eight thirty mile an hour

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Speaker 1: wins potential rain as well. You know, when I first

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Speaker 1: looked at this game, it's a Mac. There's a Mac team,

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Speaker 1: by the way. And something to keep in mind, just overall,

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Speaker 1: last couple of years, Big twelve is crushed in bowls.

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Speaker 1: MAC has historically been really bad in bowls, especially the

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Speaker 1: last couple of years.

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Speaker 2: Pac twelve has been bad the last couple of years.

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Speaker 1: Money lines, no money line dogs come into play in

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Speaker 1: a higher frequency in bowl season, and you know, keep

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Speaker 1: in mind this so I always give this tip every

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Speaker 1: single year during bowl season. If you have a one

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Speaker 1: point favorite or a one and a half point favorite,

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Speaker 1: just me are a two point favorite.

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Speaker 2: Go with the money line because there are these teams

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Speaker 2: at the.

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Speaker 1: End of the game who are much more likely in

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Speaker 1: the Bad Boy Mower's Meaningless Bowl to go for two

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Speaker 1: in the win instead of tying it up.

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Speaker 2: Same with the dog.

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Speaker 1: If the dog comes back and at the end ties

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Speaker 1: it or you think they're going to tie, they'll.

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Speaker 2: Just go for two.

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Speaker 1: It's so but it's a meaningless bowlgain. It's different than

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Speaker 1: college wall playoff. But just keep that in mind when

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Speaker 1: you're betting these bulls that the you know, these teams

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Speaker 1: just want to go for the win as Yeah, there's

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Speaker 1: no reason to play overtimes.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and it's funny we mentioned you mentioned that, which

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Speaker 3: is a great strategy, and I one hudred percent back it.

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Speaker 3: I feel like air force and washing his state in

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Speaker 3: the Cheese Bowl is going to be the one that

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Speaker 3: bites us on the ass with that. But I mean,

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Speaker 3: it's funny you mentioned that because Sunny Dykes loves to

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Speaker 3: go for two at the end of the game, and

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Speaker 3: with coaches more and more going for going for two,

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Speaker 3: I think we're going to see a lot more of

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Speaker 3: that here during this bowl season.

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Speaker 1: Well, looking at this Charlotte Buffalo game. Look when I

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Speaker 1: first look at it, like, I'm all right, can I

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Speaker 1: find a reason to fade the Mac team? And you know,

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Speaker 1: I look at it and I personally make this line four.

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Speaker 1: So you know it's sitting at six and a half,

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Speaker 1: potentially seven. I think if it gets to seven, I

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Speaker 1: may have to dabble with Charlotte. And by the way,

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Speaker 1: you could throw we're gonna talk about motivation, We're gonna

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Speaker 1: talk about matchups, We're going to talk about coaching and

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Speaker 1: players being out. You could throw motivation out the window

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Speaker 1: in this game, both teams will be highly motivated. Neither

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Speaker 1: program has ever won a Bowl game. This is Charlotte's

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Speaker 1: first ever Bowl appearance and this is Buffalo's fourth. They're

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Speaker 1: zero and three in their three prior Bowl appearances.

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Speaker 2: But when I look at.

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Speaker 1: This, you know, Buffalo has an outstanding rushing it's a

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Speaker 1: standing offensive line. They have, you know, a great software

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Speaker 1: running back in Jared Patterson. He's only one of seven

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Speaker 1: backs on the year that have rushed for over fifteen

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Speaker 1: hundred yards. And Charlotte's defensive line, you know then they

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Speaker 1: have run for you know, they played a bunch of

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Speaker 1: Mac teams weren't the best run defenses in the country.

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Speaker 1: And if you look at some of the splits for Buffalo,

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Speaker 1: you know they average six and a half yards per

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Speaker 1: carry in conference, but only four and a half yards

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Speaker 1: per carry out of conference. But Charlotte kind of profiles

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Speaker 1: like a MAC team, especially on their defensive line. You know,

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Speaker 1: if you look at the MAC eight of the eleven

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Speaker 1: other MAC teams not named Buffalo ranked eighty fifth or

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Speaker 1: worse in yards per rush allowed. So I do think

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Speaker 1: the Buffalo should have some success running the ball. You know,

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Speaker 1: Charlotte also likes to run the ball, but they're going

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Speaker 1: against a much stiffer Buffalo front seven. You know, the

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Speaker 1: were one of the eight teams in FBS to allow

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Speaker 1: fewer than three yards per carry, you know, and Charlotte

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Speaker 1: allowed five, which is one hundred and.

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Speaker 2: Tenth in the nation.

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Speaker 1: So you know, it's worth mentioning Charlotte have a big

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Speaker 1: advantage on special teams. But you know, Buffalo is one

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Speaker 1: of the worst special teams units in the country. But

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Speaker 1: you know, Charlotte actually has a more capable aerial attack

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Speaker 1: than Buffalo, but the wins might negate that. So then

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Speaker 1: you know, if you look twenty miles for our wins,

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Speaker 1: then you know potential rain and if it comes down

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Speaker 1: to which rushing attacks is going to have more success,

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Speaker 1: you have to lean towards Buffalo, which is why you

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Speaker 1: might see this why you might be seeing this line

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Speaker 1: move up.

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Speaker 2: What are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 3: The motivational angle, like you mentioned, could be played both ways,

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Speaker 3: and I think it's overhyped in a lot of balls

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Speaker 3: unless you're actually connected into the locker room to know

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Speaker 3: what these kids are going through. I think you know

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Speaker 3: a lot of people are just guessing, maybe to create

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Speaker 3: contents or whatever, but really trying to find motivation in

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Speaker 3: teams is really hard to do.

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Speaker 2: You kind of need to have a connection.

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Speaker 3: I mean there are things like Buffalo has never won

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Speaker 3: a Bowl, this is Charlotte's first ever Charlotte players, and

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Speaker 3: some I think the band, the band didn't have any passports.

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Speaker 3: Charlotte can't afford to send their band down there.

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Speaker 2: We're top right now, amazing, We're getting a band. We're

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Speaker 2: going to get a band. Handicap.

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Speaker 3: I told you I read everything. So I mean, so

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Speaker 3: they're going to Charlotte's gona ge two hundred twenty five

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Speaker 3: thousand dollars for this Bowl game. But all of that

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Speaker 3: gets absorbed by Conference USA, which I think is still broke.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they're just a broke conference. They don't have

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Speaker 3: any money, so the Spirit squads have to get passports,

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Speaker 3: they have to pay for their own instruments to go,

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Speaker 3: and the school is just not going to pay for that.

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Speaker 3: So I think there's going to be like a rogue

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Speaker 3: thirteen to eighteen kids. Maybe a French horn in the

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Speaker 3: stands for Charlotte. So well, we'll have to keep our

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Speaker 3: eyes out for the size of the band. But no,

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Speaker 3: I mean, motivation is hard to cap here. I mean,

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Speaker 3: both these teams should be want to be in this.

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Speaker 3: I think this is an extremely slow paced game. So

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Speaker 3: not only the reason I hit fifty eight early in

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Speaker 3: the week. Once a forecast gets to about seven days

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Speaker 3: in advance, they have a pretty good idea of what

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Speaker 3: it's going to be like.

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Speaker 2: Once you get three days away.

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Speaker 3: You can really trust aci weather in places in like

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Speaker 3: the National Weather Service. So once I saw that like

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Speaker 3: sustained wins over twenty five miles an hour, I knew

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Speaker 3: in the back of my head that both these teams

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Speaker 3: are top twenty five and run rate.

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Speaker 2: They love to run the ball. It's like a seventy

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Speaker 2: thirty split.

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Speaker 3: There's not a lot of pass attempts going on, and

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Speaker 3: they're outside the top one hundred and pace that is

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Speaker 3: seconds per play, So seconds per play is like how

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Speaker 3: quick am I getting up to the center and how

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Speaker 3: quick am I going to snap the ball? And not

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Speaker 3: only these teams outside the top one hundred, they love

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Speaker 3: to run all the time. So I just see the

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Speaker 3: clock just ticking like crazy in this game, and considering

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Speaker 3: the wins, you're probably not going to get a whole

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Speaker 3: bunch of you know, you're not gonna get a whole

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Speaker 3: bunch of throwing. Now you mentioned the special teams advantage

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Speaker 3: to go even deeper into special teams. Charlotte is tenth

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Speaker 3: in the country and field goal efficiency, but Buffalo is

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Speaker 3: one hundred and sixteenth, So that has me looking at

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Speaker 3: Charlotte too. If I can get it up to seven,

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Speaker 3: I'm going to end up playing Charlotte. I have it

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Speaker 3: lined at five and a half the MAC. Notoriously, I think,

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Speaker 3: you know what fourteen and twenty against the spread over

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Speaker 3: I don't know. I think since the college football playoff era,

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Speaker 3: and you know, I mean, I think they've played against

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Speaker 3: the spread like around five hundred ball the last three years.

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Speaker 3: But I mean, like I said in the Bull Confidence

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Speaker 3: piece over in the Action Network, if you guys haven't

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Speaker 3: checked it out, Ohio is the only MAC team to

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Speaker 3: actually win a Bull straight up since twenty sixteen, and

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Speaker 3: they're the only program. So it's tough to you know,

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Speaker 3: it's tough to take a team out right from the MAC.

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Speaker 3: But you know, I think Stuck mentioned it. It's the

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Speaker 3: rush defense of Buffalo that kind of makes the difference here.

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Speaker 3: Charlotte's ninety ninth and finishing drives, Buffalo's forty third and

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Speaker 3: finishing drives. That's a big advantage for Buffalo. Each defense

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Speaker 3: is better than the offensive opponent and finishing drives, So

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Speaker 3: the defenses should stand out here. And you know the

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Speaker 3: wind is going to rerek havoc on Buffalo's kicking. The

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Speaker 3: Bulls are top thirty in defensive rushing success rate. So

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Speaker 3: as great as Charlotte is, even when Benny LeMay was

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Speaker 3: out behind this offensive line, they still had multiple backs

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Speaker 3: that were clocking over one hundred yards a game. So

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Speaker 3: Charlotte can run the ball. The problem is is Buffalo's

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Speaker 3: defense is excellent. It's stopping the rush, so I see

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Speaker 3: a lot of clock getting burned. I see a lot

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Speaker 3: of running. You know, I projected the game at fifty four,

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Speaker 3: so I can't say, go ahead and take fifty one.

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Speaker 3: Maybe if there's a quick score, play a live under.

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Speaker 3: But I do like Charlotte, especially once it gets to

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Speaker 3: the seven. And if I can't get the seven, if

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Speaker 3: I get a minus one fifteen, if I get a

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Speaker 3: minus one fifteen on the seven, I'll take it pregame.

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Speaker 2: If not, I'll play it live to get the seven, and.

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Speaker 1: I'll put you on the spot here if you want

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Speaker 1: to pull up your piece.

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Speaker 2: We didn't. I didn't mention this before, which I should have.

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Speaker 1: Well, maybe just for at the end of each of

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Speaker 1: these games mentioned where you have which team you ended

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Speaker 1: up taking and for how many points in your confidence pool.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, for the confidence pool.

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Speaker 3: It's a Buffalo at fourteen, so I'm not real comfortable

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Speaker 3: taking a MAC team to win. But you know, Buffalo's

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Speaker 3: defense should stand out here. Their field goal kicking is

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Speaker 3: what makes me think Charlotte's going to cover. So I'm

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Speaker 3: playing it awful tight here. Low confidence on Buffalo to

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Speaker 3: win Charlotte at the seven.

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Speaker 2: I like, yeah, I agreed.

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Speaker 1: I mean because the thing is is that Charlotte's field

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Speaker 1: goal and their ability to pass more, pass better, I

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Speaker 1: should say, could be completely negated by the wind, which

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Speaker 1: is the big factor here and really favors Buffalo and

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Speaker 1: how they want to play. I have this around. If

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Speaker 1: you get seven at a pool, I would go with Charlotte.

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Speaker 1: If you get under seven, I might go to Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: I have this at number five in my confidence pool.

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Speaker 2: And so yeah, and something to mention too about the wind.

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Speaker 3: I know, I know that that we talk about crosswind

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Speaker 3: orientation like places like Kansas, it's really bad in the

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Speaker 3: stadium how it whips around. So with the Bahamas, it's

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Speaker 3: more it's not really from sideline to sideline. It's more

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Speaker 3: at a forty five degree angle as far as the

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Speaker 3: sideline to the end zone. So what you need to

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Speaker 3: look at and with and with sustained wins at twenty

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Speaker 3: five miles an hour and gus over thirty, what you

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Speaker 3: really need to look for is not really who gets

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Speaker 3: the ball first, but who's going to get the direction

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Speaker 3: of the wind in the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 2: That's going to play.

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Speaker 3: To me, you're going to be able to live bet

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Speaker 3: on teams that have the wind at their back and

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Speaker 3: serve quarters and live bet the other team in the

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Speaker 3: second and fourth quarter, you know, because the field goal

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Speaker 3: kicking can only be helped when the wind is blown

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Speaker 3: that way.

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Speaker 1: Yep, great point there, all right, So let's move on

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Speaker 1: to Look, we're gonna go from the Bahamas at two

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Speaker 1: in the afternoon to Frisco, Texas at seven thirty eastern

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Speaker 1: on the ESPN two in the Frisco Bowl.

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Speaker 2: This is between Utah State and Oh boyd.

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Speaker 1: We have news on this game and kent to see

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Speaker 1: our boys are Kent State boys. I can tell you

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Speaker 1: that I wrote up a piece on Action network dot

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Speaker 1: Com in the act Snap early about the numbers that

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Speaker 1: I was targeting, and Kent State was one of them

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Speaker 1: above a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: You know, I made it four without.

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Speaker 1: News, and I was thinking that the news might be

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Speaker 1: that Jordan Love, you know, might declare for the NFL

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Speaker 1: Draft and sit out. I didn't anticipate. And then, you know,

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Speaker 1: I didn't anticipate marijuana coming into play with three of

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Speaker 1: their key players who now look like they're going to play.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, Utah State, come on, I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: the Frisco Bowl. You can't set a standard of your program.

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Speaker 1: I don't mean, but Jordan Loveman just continues to crush

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Speaker 1: his draft stock. So as of right now, it looks

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Speaker 1: like everyone is going to play for Utah State. I

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Speaker 1: still think the line is too high. Utah State just

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Speaker 1: you know, down the stretch, they didn't really close well

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Speaker 1: to me, and Kent State just charged out of nowhere.

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Speaker 1: This is a team that was three and six on

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Speaker 1: the season down you know, they needed a couple miracle wins.

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Speaker 1: I mean they're down the Buffalo, They're down twenty seven

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Speaker 1: to three, I believe in going into the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: and they won thirty to twenty seven or twenty four

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Speaker 1: to three. Some crazy they won thirty to twenty seven

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Speaker 1: in regulation. You know, they got to six and six.

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Speaker 1: This means a lot for their program.

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Speaker 2: That Sean Lewis is slowly turning around.

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Speaker 1: So I think you know, from where they were, uh

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Speaker 1: in the you know, just three and six looking there's

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Speaker 1: no shot at a ball. I think they'll really be

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Speaker 1: excited to be here in Frisco. I'm not really sure

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Speaker 1: how you excited Utah State will be. And look, you

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Speaker 1: said it with the motivation a lot of times you're guessing,

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Speaker 1: but these kids are.

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Speaker 2: You know, I have a lot of.

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Speaker 1: Reasons to believe that Kent State will care. And I

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Speaker 1: actually have some friends who are friends with some friends

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Speaker 1: of the Kent State program who said, think they are

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Speaker 1: jacked for this. But on the other side, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I don't have any inside information on Utah State, but

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Speaker 1: just look at it. On the surface, there's you know,

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Speaker 1: you're getting drug kids in trouble for weed, and I

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Speaker 1: mean weed is in the end of the world. But

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Speaker 1: it's just like a it's a focus thing. I mean,

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Speaker 1: how much are they really caring right now? So I

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Speaker 1: think the motivational angle here, there's enough for me to

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Speaker 1: say this heavily favorite Kent State. I think at Kent

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Speaker 1: State at seven or above is definitely a play sprinkle

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Speaker 1: a little money line.

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Speaker 2: What do you see here?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the motivation thing is a weird one, especially with

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Speaker 3: this Utah State team because one year ago we all

354
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Speaker 3: sat around and we said, Matt Wells has left Utah State.

355
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Speaker 3: He's on his way down to Texas Tech. We don't

356
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Speaker 3: know who's coaching. They've left some assistant coaches behind to

357
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Speaker 3: try to get them through the bull We don't think

358
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Speaker 3: that there's going to be any motivation for the Utah

359
00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:11,720
Speaker 3: State team. They're going up against Setheler Treill and North

360
00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:14,360
Speaker 3: Texas and the Mean Green and oh yeah, Setlo Trail's

361
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Speaker 3: being considered for the Kansas State job. And this is

362
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Speaker 3: a great coach that you just you know, you got

363
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Speaker 3: to get behind him and take the Mean Green. Next thing,

364
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Speaker 3: you know, Utah States, I don't know what they have

365
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Speaker 3: fifty by the third quarter. I mean, Utah State bolt

366
00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:32,360
Speaker 3: raced North Texas last year on an interim. A bunch

367
00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:35,080
Speaker 3: of assistants around I'm even sure who the interim was lost.

368
00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:38,800
Speaker 3: Our coach embarrassed them so to sit there and say that, well,

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Speaker 3: now we've got Jordan Love with the marijuana, you know,

370
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Speaker 3: and Gary Anderson, the first year coach. We don't really

371
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Speaker 3: know what's going on inside that program. I can tell

372
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Speaker 3: you what I'm reading from local beat writers is that

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Speaker 3: there are some that argue, give me a break a

374
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Speaker 3: marijuana bust. You know, our state is next to Colorado

375
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Speaker 3: and between Washington. It's legalized in so many different places.

376
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Speaker 3: You know, why why should Jordan Love be penalized for this?

377
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Speaker 3: And then there's other beat writers that kind of shake

378
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Speaker 3: their finger and say, we have a student Code of Conduct.

379
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Speaker 3: He absolutely And the leading rusher, by the way, was

380
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Speaker 3: also Gerald Bright. He was also involved in this. So

381
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Speaker 3: you know, there are some that think that they should

382
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Speaker 3: sit and I don't know, And that leads me to

383
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Speaker 3: believe that there could be a decision made by Utah State, somebody,

384
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Speaker 3: you know, outside of the athletic program that can make

385
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Speaker 3: the decision.

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00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:27,520
Speaker 2: The NCAA could make a decision.

387
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Speaker 3: Jordan Love's court date is set for later this month,

388
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Speaker 3: so there's not going to be anything decided like legally

389
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Speaker 3: for a while.

390
00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:37,120
Speaker 2: So to me, you're right.

391
00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:39,919
Speaker 3: You got to set multiple point spreads, and right now

392
00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:41,600
Speaker 3: we're sitting at six and a half in the market.

393
00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:44,760
Speaker 3: Before the game was in, I made this game five

394
00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:46,760
Speaker 3: and a half, and that's why when openers came out,

395
00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:48,280
Speaker 3: I saw nine and a half. I was happy to

396
00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:50,639
Speaker 3: hit nine and a half, and I think everybody should

397
00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:53,560
Speaker 3: have hit it up until seven. And then since I

398
00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:56,479
Speaker 3: make it five and a half without Jordan Love his

399
00:17:56,600 --> 00:17:59,359
Speaker 3: drop off to Henry Columbia, the backup I would gauge

400
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:01,640
Speaker 3: at about three and a half points. So I don't

401
00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:03,200
Speaker 3: think if the news comes out, I don't think I

402
00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:05,240
Speaker 3: would take Kent State below three and a half. So

403
00:18:05,320 --> 00:18:07,159
Speaker 3: let's just set the you know, let's just set the

404
00:18:07,160 --> 00:18:09,560
Speaker 3: bar right here. Jordan Love is out. I wouldn't go

405
00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:11,679
Speaker 3: past three and a half. Otherwise I'd sit around and

406
00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:14,080
Speaker 3: try to wait to get a seven. So that's kind

407
00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:15,640
Speaker 3: of how you got to play this whole Jordan Love

408
00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:18,560
Speaker 3: News and all that, And you're right, Kent State should

409
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Speaker 3: be completely motivated.

410
00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:20,560
Speaker 2: They've just been.

411
00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:23,560
Speaker 3: They've been the you know, the kids down the stretch

412
00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:25,359
Speaker 3: that are on a hot streak. And Sean Lewis is

413
00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:27,240
Speaker 3: he's had a vision for this program since the second

414
00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:29,560
Speaker 3: he got there. The pace of play in this game

415
00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:34,359
Speaker 3: should be unbelievable. Second, yeah, seconds per play. Kent State

416
00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,600
Speaker 3: eighth in the country. Seconds per play, Utah State second

417
00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:40,000
Speaker 3: in the country, second and eighth in the country. So

418
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,120
Speaker 3: I mean, this is this is going to be up

419
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Speaker 3: and down the field.

420
00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:45,120
Speaker 2: I you know.

421
00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:47,280
Speaker 3: The problem is is my projection is lower than the

422
00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:49,080
Speaker 3: sixty seven and a half sixteen And as I'm looking

423
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Speaker 3: at it looks like we're going to get some movement

424
00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:53,479
Speaker 3: here on the total. But I mean, I just can't see.

425
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Speaker 3: The thing that bothers me about the total is Utah

426
00:18:56,920 --> 00:19:00,000
Speaker 3: State has had such a problem in the red zone

427
00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:02,840
Speaker 3: they have been abysmal and if you followed us all

428
00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:04,920
Speaker 3: season long, we've been on some Utah State unders this

429
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:07,399
Speaker 3: year because Jordan Love and the entire offense has been

430
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,000
Speaker 3: terrible in the red zone. They've been one hundred and

431
00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,560
Speaker 3: twenty six and points per attempt. Their defense is one

432
00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:14,280
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty six and opponent points per attempt. So

433
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:16,160
Speaker 3: that makes it hard for me to go over. But yeah,

434
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Speaker 3: I like can't hear anything seven in below. You know,

435
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Speaker 3: it's going to be tough to say if they win

436
00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:23,160
Speaker 3: this thing outright, because you know it is a MAC team,

437
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Speaker 3: But you know, kid's playing differently than any MAC team

438
00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:28,400
Speaker 3: we've seen in years. They don't really fit the mold.

439
00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:30,679
Speaker 3: They're you know they I think Sean Lewis is going

440
00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:32,240
Speaker 3: to bring a different brand up there to the Mac.

441
00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:36,080
Speaker 1: Well, and you mentioned that they don't play like any

442
00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:40,840
Speaker 1: other MAC team. Also unlike most Mac teams. They also

443
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,119
Speaker 1: they have a great special teams Kent State, which is

444
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:46,280
Speaker 1: worth mentioning they have. I think if you go by

445
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:49,320
Speaker 1: S and P there top fifteen unit Utah State isn't bad.

446
00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:51,879
Speaker 1: They're you know, around fiftieth, so Ken State should have

447
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,359
Speaker 1: advantage on special teams as well. One of the only

448
00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:57,440
Speaker 1: games of this weekend that I chose for over twenty

449
00:19:57,480 --> 00:20:00,840
Speaker 1: five points with Kent State. Now, if you can't find

450
00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 1: a seven out there, one of the things that you

451
00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:06,160
Speaker 1: could do is potentially play Kent State for the first half.

452
00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:09,480
Speaker 1: The thinking behind that that a Utah State say that

453
00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:11,959
Speaker 1: Jordan Love and Bright and everyone is allowed to play.

454
00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:15,640
Speaker 1: The coaches, you know, wanting to set a standard that, look,

455
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:19,160
Speaker 1: we care about discipline in student athletes. You could see

456
00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:22,080
Speaker 1: maybe them get suspended for the first quarter, maybe a

457
00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:23,280
Speaker 1: couple drives.

458
00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:25,000
Speaker 2: Maybe the first half. I don't know, but if they're

459
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:25,840
Speaker 2: going to play.

460
00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:30,600
Speaker 1: Maybe you see you know, a coach's self imposed punishment

461
00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:33,480
Speaker 1: early in the game, which then obviously would have a

462
00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 1: bigger impact on the first half. If you can't get seven,

463
00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 1: maybe look at the first half of Kent State.

464
00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:40,399
Speaker 3: Yeah, I completely agree. I mean, and I mean, if

465
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:42,680
Speaker 3: there is suspension, then you're gonna get value on that number.

466
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,399
Speaker 3: But you know, this Utah State defense, they've got to

467
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,360
Speaker 3: adjust to the pace that Kent State is going to play.

468
00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:49,240
Speaker 3: And don't think for second that Shawn Lewis is not

469
00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,239
Speaker 3: going to have some special plays diagrammed up for this

470
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:55,199
Speaker 3: Bowl Game. So you know, I like Kent State, but

471
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 3: you know I think the number is good. Down to

472
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,200
Speaker 3: about three and half. Yeah, all right, so let's move

473
00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 3: on to Saturday. We'll get things kicked off.

474
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:06,160
Speaker 2: Why not at noon?

475
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 1: By the way, don't We're going to start two bowls

476
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:11,560
Speaker 1: at two and two thirty, not one at noon, which.

477
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,359
Speaker 2: I'm not a fan of. But look, we have balls

478
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:16,080
Speaker 2: on Saturday.

479
00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:19,040
Speaker 1: We have six I think six bowls on Saturday, so

480
00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:20,640
Speaker 1: I'm not going to complay too much. And we also

481
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,360
Speaker 1: have some college basketball as well to hold you over

482
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:26,960
Speaker 1: from noon until to eastern. But we'll start at two

483
00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:31,200
Speaker 1: eastern in Albuquerque in the New Mexico Bowl between Central

484
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:36,600
Speaker 1: Michigan and San Diego State. This line right now is

485
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:41,119
Speaker 1: currently sitting at San Diego State now minus three and

486
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:44,320
Speaker 1: a half. This line opened at six and a half

487
00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:48,160
Speaker 1: and it's now dropped to three and a half. Over

488
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:50,439
Speaker 1: unders dropped from forty one and a half to forty

489
00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:51,000
Speaker 1: and a half.

490
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:53,080
Speaker 2: This is one of those games where, look, it's a

491
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:54,720
Speaker 2: MAC team. How good is Central Michigan?

492
00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,120
Speaker 1: A lot of their advanced numbers are okay, but their

493
00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:00,959
Speaker 1: schedule was pretty easy. They played in the so how

494
00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:05,399
Speaker 1: much does that translate out, you know, into a bowl game.

495
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 1: It's is one of the reasons why maybe the MAC

496
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:10,119
Speaker 1: hasn't performed well in the years pass is they don't

497
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,359
Speaker 1: you know, they're usually worse than you know, there a

498
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:16,120
Speaker 1: lot of their numbers State because the MAC competition isn't

499
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 1: as great. But when you're looking at San Diego State,

500
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 1: the first thing you have to look at here is their.

501
00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:26,359
Speaker 2: Offense is just absolutely horrendous.

502
00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 1: I mean, I was looking at some of the stats

503
00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 1: today and you should have agnew back I believe at quarterback.

504
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,200
Speaker 1: But let me just throw this out there. San Diego

505
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 1: State this year had eight plays of thirty plus yards.

506
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 2: Eight.

507
00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:44,200
Speaker 1: That's it, not that's the entire year. That's dead last

508
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:48,320
Speaker 1: that The second worst is Northwestern. So picture in Northwestern's offense.

509
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 1: That's probably a team that you've seen more often than

510
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 1: San Diego State. Northwestern have an old dominion. I don't

511
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 1: know if in many of you have seen them, but

512
00:22:56,000 --> 00:23:00,280
Speaker 1: those offenses are dreadful. Both of those offen this is

513
00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 1: at thirteen those are the second that's the second fewest.

514
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 1: This San Diego State offense is really bad. It's a

515
00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:08,760
Speaker 1: pain to watch. They're one of the worst probably the

516
00:23:08,760 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 1: worst Bowl offense that we have Central Michigan. You know,

517
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:15,440
Speaker 1: San Diego is a special teams are really good and

518
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:17,520
Speaker 1: their defense is really good. I mean, this defense is

519
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 1: awesome across the board. You know, they only allowed four

520
00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:24,480
Speaker 1: point six yards per play, which is top ten nationally.

521
00:23:24,520 --> 00:23:26,960
Speaker 2: And by the way, that's what their offense averages, four

522
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 2: point six yards per.

523
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:30,600
Speaker 1: Play, which is the worst among all Bowl teams, one

524
00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty third of the nation. So I think

525
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:35,920
Speaker 1: that that. You know, they also don't even average. They're

526
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 1: the only Bowl team that doesn't average at least twenty

527
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:40,639
Speaker 1: points per game. You mass average more points than San

528
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:42,920
Speaker 1: Diego State. So you know, I think that four point

529
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:46,119
Speaker 1: six sums it up perfectly because you know, it shows

530
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:48,640
Speaker 1: you all and Napplit's a bottom ten offense from yards

531
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:50,720
Speaker 1: to play perspective and a top ten defense.

532
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:52,040
Speaker 2: Good special teams.

533
00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:55,440
Speaker 1: You know, I think Central Michigan has the I mean,

534
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,480
Speaker 1: anyone has the defense to slow the San Diego State

535
00:23:57,520 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 1: team down.

536
00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:00,639
Speaker 2: They won, they beat Weber, stayed at home nothing.

537
00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:03,160
Speaker 1: You know, it's a team that hasn't given up more

538
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:04,640
Speaker 1: than twenty four points all year.

539
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:10,200
Speaker 2: The San Diego State defense. But I think Central Michigan.

540
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 1: They have enough firepower to maybe break through a couple

541
00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:18,959
Speaker 1: times with Dormandy. They have two thousand yard backs and

542
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 1: some talented receivers on the outside, you know, Plympton and Sullivan.

543
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:27,080
Speaker 1: So I'm leading the Central Michigan here, especially if I

544
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:29,439
Speaker 1: can get four. But the whole mac thing is scaring me.

545
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:31,680
Speaker 1: And then the question comes to San Diego State care.

546
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:34,720
Speaker 1: Maybe I'm just being a little biased because the last

547
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,119
Speaker 1: couple of years, and you know, if you look back

548
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:40,119
Speaker 1: last five six years, they haven't been great performances in

549
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:42,439
Speaker 1: bowls and last year they lost twenty seven nothing to

550
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 1: a macke in Ohio.

551
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:45,639
Speaker 2: So what do you see here in this Bowl?

552
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:48,520
Speaker 3: Well, the play for me on this Bowl is going

553
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:51,240
Speaker 3: to be first half under. You know, there's a couple

554
00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 3: of reasons here, like this is going to be the

555
00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:55,159
Speaker 3: first time that Dormandy is going to see a three

556
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:58,919
Speaker 3: three five defense. So the Central Michigan quarterback, you know,

557
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:00,720
Speaker 3: he's going to see a three three to five front

558
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:02,880
Speaker 3: from San Diego State that they have just been able

559
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,600
Speaker 3: to shut down everybody that they've played. You know, the

560
00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:09,040
Speaker 3: San Diego State defense and special teams, they're just going

561
00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 3: to dictate and enforce field position and tons of punts.

562
00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:14,719
Speaker 3: So I think the number is already low enough at

563
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:17,480
Speaker 3: forty one forty and a half to where I think

564
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 3: the better value is going to be on the first

565
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 3: half under specifically until Central Michigan gets comfortable looking at

566
00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 3: San Diego State's front and you're right. I mean those

567
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 3: number of plays that they had, what is it eight

568
00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:30,800
Speaker 3: total plays that have gone for that long, I think

569
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:33,439
Speaker 3: they all came against Presno State. That's when Ryan Agnew

570
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 3: had a three hundred yard passing game. It was the

571
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,359
Speaker 3: first time San Diego State had had a three hundred

572
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:41,480
Speaker 3: yard passing game since twenty sixteen. And you know, Central

573
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:45,679
Speaker 3: Michigan is sixty eighth then opponent passing success rate, So listen,

574
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:47,240
Speaker 3: San Diego State is going to have to go to

575
00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 3: the air. There are one hundred and thirtieth in rushings.

576
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,320
Speaker 3: They don't have Juwan Washington. He's been hurt and beat

577
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:54,000
Speaker 3: up and banged up and hamstrings and all kinds of stuff.

578
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 3: You know, the Aztecs are one hundred and eighteenth and

579
00:25:56,680 --> 00:26:00,399
Speaker 3: rushing success rate one hundred and thirtieth and rushing explosiveness,

580
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,520
Speaker 3: and that's something that Central Michigan is really good to defend,

581
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,680
Speaker 3: so you know they're in defensively, Central Michigan's eleventh in

582
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 3: line yards, first in the nation, and stuff rate. So

583
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:11,920
Speaker 3: you know, if Rocky Long wants to get any points

584
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:13,439
Speaker 3: on the board, he's going to have to go to

585
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,919
Speaker 3: the air in this spread RPO offense that he put in.

586
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:20,200
Speaker 3: It just it hasn't translated to any points whatsoever. Now,

587
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:23,880
Speaker 3: having said all that, the Aztecs went eleven and one

588
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:27,000
Speaker 3: to the under on the season. Vegas just can't set

589
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,920
Speaker 3: a number low enough for these guys. I think that

590
00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 3: that's what's kind of made this number as low as

591
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,439
Speaker 3: it is, because my projection on this game is at

592
00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:37,320
Speaker 3: least a touchdown higher. So I think, you know, Vegas

593
00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:39,960
Speaker 3: knows exactly how everybody thinks that San Diego State is

594
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:42,479
Speaker 3: going to be so low in scoring. But with this

595
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:44,520
Speaker 3: number at forty, it's the same thing as we had

596
00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:48,639
Speaker 3: with Army and Navy last week. I mean, you have

597
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:52,399
Speaker 3: one special teams or one defensive score here and it

598
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 3: could blow it open. So I do like the first

599
00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:56,359
Speaker 3: half under based upon the three three five. Look the

600
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 3: dormity the quarterback for Central Michigan is going to see

601
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:01,720
Speaker 3: for the first time. You know, and Central Michigan's top

602
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:05,240
Speaker 3: twenty and plenty of defensive areas the thing you have

603
00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:06,680
Speaker 3: to watch out for, like I said, at San Diego

604
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:10,639
Speaker 3: State's eleventh and SPPLUS special teams, so there could be

605
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:12,640
Speaker 3: a score on that front, you know, And I look

606
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:14,880
Speaker 3: at Central Michigan. I'm not a believer in these guys whatsoever.

607
00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:16,800
Speaker 3: The strength of schedule of these two teams is like

608
00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:19,359
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty first, one hundred and seventeenth, So

609
00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:21,439
Speaker 3: it's not like they've been world beaters or anything. But

610
00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 3: Central Michigan hasn't been a single Bowl team except for

611
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:26,760
Speaker 3: Eastern Michigan, and Eastern Michigan I think was the very

612
00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:28,560
Speaker 3: last team it was selected to go to a bowl.

613
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:31,679
Speaker 3: Central Michigan's three game hot streak in November was against

614
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 3: Northern Illinois, Ball State, and Toledo. They were hammered by

615
00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:39,520
Speaker 3: Western Michigan, they were hammered by Wisconsin. They had a

616
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,159
Speaker 3: close game with Miami of Florida. But who isn't these days,

617
00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:46,000
Speaker 3: So you know, for me, first half under, I think

618
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:47,879
Speaker 3: they get it figured out at some point, some points

619
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 3: start to come in at some point, so maybe a

620
00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:52,359
Speaker 3: second half over or maybe a live over. But for me,

621
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,399
Speaker 3: it's a first half under As for a confidence pool,

622
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:56,919
Speaker 3: I took San Diego State on a low confidence of

623
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 3: fifteen in this game, not comfortable with it whatsoever. But

624
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:01,600
Speaker 3: when you get it down, you know start. You know,

625
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:04,080
Speaker 3: trying to have confidence in these games at the bottom

626
00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:06,280
Speaker 3: half is tough to find. But I do think San

627
00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 3: Diego State's defense is good enough and Rocky Long should

628
00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:13,440
Speaker 3: have some sort of revenge or motivation in his brain.

629
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:16,280
Speaker 3: He got blanked by Ohio last year twenty seven to zero,

630
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:18,919
Speaker 3: which is a bit embarrassing, but that takes me back

631
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:22,600
Speaker 3: to this early signing period. Rocky Long mentioned multiple times

632
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:24,679
Speaker 3: last year that he just didn't have time to get

633
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:26,639
Speaker 3: the practices in to get ready for Ohio, and I

634
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:28,240
Speaker 3: think that was the same case this year, as he

635
00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:30,399
Speaker 3: cares more about the recruiting for San Diego State and

636
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 3: the long term in the long run to spend most

637
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 3: of his time doing that instead of getting all these

638
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:37,359
Speaker 3: practices in getting ready for Central Michigan. So we're going

639
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 3: to find out Rocky Long's lost the last two Bowl games,

640
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 3: and they were both before Christmas against Army and then

641
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:44,720
Speaker 3: last year against Ohio, and he may treat this new

642
00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:47,680
Speaker 3: signing period. You know that happens like a week before Christmas.

643
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:50,160
Speaker 3: That may be his priority over these bowl games. So

644
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:51,280
Speaker 3: we're going to find out here too.

645
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:52,320
Speaker 2: Yeah.

646
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:54,280
Speaker 1: I mean, look, the way that I capped the motivation

647
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 1: of bowls is, you know, ultimately the number is the king.

648
00:28:57,480 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 1: So if i'm if I know that you know, one

649
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 1: team is really motivating, the other team doesn't care. But

650
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:06,440
Speaker 1: the line is seven points off towards the team that

651
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 1: I know doesn't care, I'm not going to play, you know,

652
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 1: against that team. But what I do is I usually

653
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 1: think there's like three or four Bowl games where I

654
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 1: can confidently say, okay, I think that this team is

655
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:19,440
Speaker 1: going to have a motivational edge, and then there's about

656
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,520
Speaker 1: you know, maybe ten or so that I say, all right,

657
00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 1: I think that maybe a little bit so it might

658
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:27,800
Speaker 1: push me over the edge to a play, and then

659
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 1: the rest I just assume that there's no edge, you know,

660
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:32,480
Speaker 1: especially when you gets to the college wall playoffs the

661
00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,600
Speaker 1: more meaningful ball games. But in this game, I think

662
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 1: that you can lean towards maybe Central Michigan. Guy know,

663
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:40,080
Speaker 1: Central Michigan will care. This is a team that won

664
00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:43,680
Speaker 1: one game last year, right, and you know, they've lost

665
00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:46,520
Speaker 1: all four bowl appearances in twenty twelve. Meanwhile, San Diego

666
00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:48,720
Speaker 1: State they're eight nine all time of bowls, but this

667
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:51,400
Speaker 1: is their tenth straight year of being in a Bowl.

668
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:55,000
Speaker 1: And you know, this is a team that was in

669
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:58,000
Speaker 1: the hunt for division championship to go to the mount

670
00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 1: West Conference championship up until you know, the final week

671
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:05,800
Speaker 1: of the final weeks of the season. So you know,

672
00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 1: are they really excited to play a MAC team in

673
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:13,040
Speaker 1: New Mexico? You could argue, no. You know, one other

674
00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:16,200
Speaker 1: thing I'll mention is Central Michigan. Just I don't know

675
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,080
Speaker 1: if it's I think it's more luck than anything, but

676
00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 1: they had they lost fifteen fumbles this year out of

677
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 1: twenty three total. So if you're looking for a fumble

678
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:27,720
Speaker 1: luck regression candidate in the positive way, it would be

679
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 1: Central Michigan. All right, So yeah, I have this game,

680
00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 1: you know, around ten for confidence, we can get four.

681
00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 1: I may look Central Michigan. I'm sorry, I have this

682
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 1: at number four in my confidence pool. So a game

683
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 1: that I don't think that there's I'm not that confident

684
00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,040
Speaker 1: in from a confidence pool perspective.

685
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:48,720
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on on.

686
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 1: Saturday to two thirty Eastern. So we'll have two bowls

687
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 1: going on at once, and then a little bit we'll

688
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 1: get a third one coming in here. But this is

689
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:59,880
Speaker 1: the Cure Bowl in Orlando, between Georgia Southern and Liberty.

690
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 1: You call it the Cure Bowl. I call it the

691
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 1: Contrast Bowl. These are two completely different, completely different teams

692
00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 1: from a scheme perspective. You know, you have Georgia Southern,

693
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 1: a triple option team, and then Liberty and they're very

694
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 1: slow and methodical, snail like. And then you have Liberty,

695
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:22,960
Speaker 1: which is this fast paced aerial tack led by Buckshot Calvert,

696
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 1: Antonio Gandy Golden, one of the best receivers in the nation.

697
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:29,440
Speaker 2: They love to air it out. Now.

698
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:32,920
Speaker 1: One of the things that you know in Liberty this

699
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:37,400
Speaker 1: this should Obviously, these are two newer programs, two FBS.

700
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:40,400
Speaker 1: Obviously Liberty is a little newer and this is their

701
00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:43,200
Speaker 1: you know, I think both teams will be motivated because

702
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:46,200
Speaker 1: it's important for these newer programs. So I don't think

703
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 1: this is a motivational game. Georgia Southern's been around a

704
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 1: little longer. They have prior Bowl victories, including last year,

705
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:55,280
Speaker 1: But this is Liberty's first Bowl appearance. You know, that

706
00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:59,720
Speaker 1: they will be extremely excited for this game. But from

707
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:04,200
Speaker 1: a perspective, look, I think that you had. The first

708
00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:05,720
Speaker 1: thing you have to look at here, and it's keeping

709
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,320
Speaker 1: me off Liberty is because I make this game closer

710
00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:13,240
Speaker 1: to a pick, is that there's rain in the forecast.

711
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: Potential wins seventeen to eighteen miles per hour, And that's

712
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,760
Speaker 1: the only reason that I haven't that Liberty and I

713
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:20,720
Speaker 1: took actually a piece of the under at fifteen and

714
00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:22,640
Speaker 1: a half, which I thought got way too high, because

715
00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 1: if the Liberty passing attack is limited, you know, that's

716
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 1: really going to hurt them, and then you're going to

717
00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:31,120
Speaker 1: have Georgia Southern with the ball just controlling the clock.

718
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:34,120
Speaker 1: It's more of a ground game. And then if that's

719
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:37,800
Speaker 1: the case, this total is way too high.

720
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:38,040
Speaker 2: You know.

721
00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:39,920
Speaker 1: One of the things you have to mention with Liberty

722
00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 1: always is because the normal weather conditions, Liberty would be able.

723
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:45,640
Speaker 2: To throw in this secondary.

724
00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 1: It's an exploitable secondary, but the weather really throws a

725
00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:50,880
Speaker 1: wrench into it. But one of the things you have

726
00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:53,800
Speaker 1: to mention with Liberty is, all right, what am I

727
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,200
Speaker 1: seeing here with them? Like, are are there how much

728
00:32:56,320 --> 00:32:59,800
Speaker 1: not to discount their numbers because there's seven wins, but

729
00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 1: the the only team that they beat that with a

730
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 1: poles is Buffalo. Here are their other six wins, mass

731
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 1: New Mexico, New Mexico State twice and two FCS teams.

732
00:33:12,640 --> 00:33:15,200
Speaker 1: Those were six of the wins. As bad of wins

733
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:18,080
Speaker 1: as you could possibly have. But I know they'll be motivated.

734
00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:20,480
Speaker 1: I think that they can throw the ball, but I

735
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 1: know that they could throw the ball in Georgia's on

736
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:25,120
Speaker 1: the normal weather conditions, but the rain and wind makes

737
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:28,600
Speaker 1: it tough. I like the under here, especially with the weather.

738
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 1: What do you see in the Cure Bowl.

739
00:33:30,560 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, actually I think I'm gonna put some money

740
00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:34,239
Speaker 3: in on the under. I meant to do that as well.

741
00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 3: I mean I project this game in around fifty one.

742
00:33:36,680 --> 00:33:39,680
Speaker 3: So yeah, there's definitely value here, and I know my

743
00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:42,880
Speaker 3: projection is being dragged down by Georgia Southern, their pace

744
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,400
Speaker 3: of play, their yards per play, just the triple option offense.

745
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 3: You're never going to get a really high projection for

746
00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:50,440
Speaker 3: a team total on a Georgia on a triple option

747
00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 3: team that runs as slow as they do. This is

748
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,960
Speaker 3: the biggest game. I mean, I'll due respect to the

749
00:33:56,960 --> 00:33:59,640
Speaker 3: New Mexico Bowl. But my attention is going to be

750
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 3: so much on new Freeze Buckshot Calvert, a team that

751
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 3: you and I have loved for two years. We've had

752
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:06,959
Speaker 3: to put them down a couple of times and not,

753
00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:08,840
Speaker 3: you know, not bet on them for a while. They've

754
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:10,520
Speaker 3: done his dirty a couple of times. But man, when

755
00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:12,759
Speaker 3: they're on, they're on, and they've been a lot of

756
00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:14,759
Speaker 3: fun to watch, and I would argue that they're not

757
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 3: even a seven and five team if Hugh Freeze is

758
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:19,719
Speaker 3: on the sidelines. During the first couple of games, he

759
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:21,799
Speaker 3: mentioned it a ton. I mean, he was in the

760
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:25,160
Speaker 3: h he was in the hospital bed, in the press

761
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 3: box for Syracuse, he was in the dental chair down

762
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:33,120
Speaker 3: for Louisiana Lafayette, and he mentioned it a couple of times.

763
00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:33,799
Speaker 2: And it's true.

764
00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 3: If he'd have been on the sidelines with Buckshot Calvert,

765
00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:39,480
Speaker 3: the games would have been a lot closer there, but

766
00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:42,839
Speaker 3: it would have been better offensive output because once Buckshot

767
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:45,320
Speaker 3: got through his first three drives, there just wasn't that

768
00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:47,719
Speaker 3: communication with him and Hugh Freeze about adjustments in the

769
00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:50,400
Speaker 3: middle of the game that guy relieved. Once h Freeze

770
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:53,120
Speaker 3: got into some sort of hell in the cell cage

771
00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:54,799
Speaker 3: that they put on the sideline for like their third

772
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:57,799
Speaker 3: or fourth game, so that all relieved itself and then

773
00:34:57,840 --> 00:34:59,640
Speaker 3: Liberty took off and here we are in the Cureball.

774
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:02,440
Speaker 3: So I do think they're better than a seven and

775
00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:05,520
Speaker 3: five team, But you know, this is the biggest game

776
00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:08,600
Speaker 3: in Liberty history. This is a team that was Naia

777
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:12,160
Speaker 3: Independent in nineteen eighty and here we are FBS level

778
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 3: trying to get into the Conference USA, trying to get

779
00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:16,440
Speaker 3: into the Sun Belt. I mean, I've said this a

780
00:35:16,440 --> 00:35:19,279
Speaker 3: billion of times. They tried to play Conference USA twenty

781
00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:21,640
Speaker 3: four million dollars to get in Conference USA said no.

782
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:24,759
Speaker 3: They offered sun Belt a whole bunch of money. It's undisclosed,

783
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:26,319
Speaker 3: we don't know how much it was, but sun Belt

784
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:28,759
Speaker 3: said no, They're not going to take what Liberty is

785
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,000
Speaker 3: and in their university and their beliefs, and they don't

786
00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:33,520
Speaker 3: want them in the conference. So Hugh free signed a

787
00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:37,600
Speaker 3: multi year extension just within this past week, you know,

788
00:35:37,960 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 3: and I think that that plays really big into what

789
00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:41,560
Speaker 3: he's trying to build their at Liberty, or at least

790
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 3: set himself up for his next job, possibly in the SEC.

791
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 3: Hugh Freeze his three and two lifetime in bowls. He

792
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 3: last won the twenty fifteen Sugar against Oklahoma States, so

793
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:52,920
Speaker 3: definitely the Cure Bowl is going to be the biggest

794
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:55,800
Speaker 3: on his resume. You mentioned two different teams in pace

795
00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:58,279
Speaker 3: and style of play, Georgia southerns one hundred and twenty

796
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:01,680
Speaker 3: ninth and seconds per play Liberties thirty fifth. So really

797
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:03,560
Speaker 3: there's going to be kind of a tug of war

798
00:36:03,600 --> 00:36:05,600
Speaker 3: here about how what the pace of the game is

799
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:09,040
Speaker 3: going to be. Ull rang up Liberty for four hundred

800
00:36:09,120 --> 00:36:10,680
Speaker 3: yards on the ground, and that did give me some

801
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 3: pause because Liberty's game against Rutgers, Liberty's game against Louisiana,

802
00:36:15,800 --> 00:36:18,879
Speaker 3: it showed that a decent rushing attack can really get

803
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:21,279
Speaker 3: something done against Liberty. But Georgia Southern's one hundred and

804
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:24,040
Speaker 3: twenty third on third down conversions, and that's backed by

805
00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:27,320
Speaker 3: a power success rate of eighty fifth. Liberty on defense

806
00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:30,200
Speaker 3: is actually really good in third and fourth downs when

807
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:33,400
Speaker 3: it's just within two yards. Liberty sixteenth in power success

808
00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:35,760
Speaker 3: rate on defense, which means that they should stop Georgia

809
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,400
Speaker 3: Southern when it matters on third and fourth downs.

810
00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 2: Eagles are eighty six.

811
00:36:39,560 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 3: Then defensive passing success you mentioned that that is something

812
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:45,640
Speaker 3: that's going to be exposed. They're seventy fifth against explosive passing.

813
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:48,200
Speaker 3: So if buck SHOT's accurate, which we know he likes

814
00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 3: to throw over and around people, if he's accurate, he's

815
00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:52,439
Speaker 3: going to get some points on the board. I would

816
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:53,719
Speaker 3: back Liberty down to four.

817
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:55,399
Speaker 2: I think there.

818
00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:57,160
Speaker 3: I mean I bought them at nine and a half

819
00:36:57,200 --> 00:36:58,840
Speaker 3: eight and a half eight seven, and I put some

820
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:00,359
Speaker 3: money line down. This is one of the those games

821
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:02,200
Speaker 3: you're going to buy a dog get some money lined

822
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:04,799
Speaker 3: down to think. I think Liberty is going to be

823
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:07,080
Speaker 3: I don't. I mean, I know, I've talked about motivation,

824
00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:09,759
Speaker 3: but this is an all time game for Liberty because

825
00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:12,319
Speaker 3: they've never played an FBS Bowl before and they had

826
00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:15,040
Speaker 3: a specific contract written out just for the Cure Bowl.

827
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:16,000
Speaker 2: So this is.

828
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:18,120
Speaker 3: Something that's been talked about and wanted for a long time,

829
00:37:18,120 --> 00:37:22,160
Speaker 3: and they're going up against a Sunbell conference the administrators despise,

830
00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:25,799
Speaker 3: So big time game for Liberty here. But yeah, I'm

831
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:27,640
Speaker 3: back in Liberty, and I think you're right on the

832
00:37:27,680 --> 00:37:28,759
Speaker 3: under and I'm going to get in on some of

833
00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:29,960
Speaker 3: that action here while we podcast.

834
00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:32,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, a couple of things worth mentioning Liberties

835
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 1: run defensive numbers. They are ugly, which is pause for concern.

836
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:38,560
Speaker 1: It's the reason for concern. I mean they have rushing

837
00:37:38,560 --> 00:37:40,680
Speaker 1: success for eighty second, they're one hundred and fifteenth in

838
00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:45,080
Speaker 1: line yards, so it's there's some things there that worry you.

839
00:37:45,120 --> 00:37:48,479
Speaker 1: But you have to remember that there's some extra preparation time,

840
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:51,960
Speaker 1: which always will help when you're playing a triple option team.

841
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:54,560
Speaker 1: You know, it's not like during the season when you

842
00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:56,479
Speaker 1: have to just a quick turnaround and then you're playing

843
00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 1: a unique offense that you're not used to seeing.

844
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:01,800
Speaker 2: The time off will help Liberty.

845
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:03,840
Speaker 1: And then you know, I would be remiss without mentioning

846
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,480
Speaker 1: the special teams. Georgia Southern will have a major special

847
00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:09,919
Speaker 1: teams advantage. They have the kicker advantage. They end then

848
00:38:09,960 --> 00:38:13,160
Speaker 1: in the field position could be tipped in their favor

849
00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 1: because they're a lot better on punts and punt returning.

850
00:38:16,600 --> 00:38:18,160
Speaker 2: So worth mentioning there. But keep an eye on the

851
00:38:18,200 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 2: weather because that's what I have.

852
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:21,680
Speaker 1: My eye on from a side perspective, because if it's

853
00:38:21,719 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 1: not too terrible, I want Liberty as well.

854
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 2: And I'm already in on the under. So let's move on.

855
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:28,320
Speaker 2: We're gonna bring a third Bowl.

856
00:38:28,040 --> 00:38:30,520
Speaker 1: Game in at the same time, and so everything's probably

857
00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:33,080
Speaker 1: either going to be going well or awful for you.

858
00:38:33,960 --> 00:38:35,919
Speaker 1: But this is a rare time on what three bowl

859
00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:39,319
Speaker 1: games going on simultaneously, because at three thirty Eastern we

860
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:42,760
Speaker 1: will bring in the bulk overtone Bowl. And I believe

861
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:45,160
Speaker 1: we've been pretty We've agreed on a lot of you

862
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:46,960
Speaker 1: but I think we're going to disagree on this one.

863
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,960
Speaker 1: And by the way, I think a book overtone with

864
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:52,160
Speaker 1: an E on the end, because that's how you pronounce it.

865
00:38:52,200 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 1: So if it's our at O n E, you hear

866
00:38:55,640 --> 00:39:00,080
Speaker 1: a lot of people say Bratton, no or Ratting. If

867
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:05,120
Speaker 1: you're from somewhere in the Midwest, I've heard people say Ratten.

868
00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:08,400
Speaker 1: But now it spoke over Tone, which is home to FAU.

869
00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:11,680
Speaker 1: They're hosting this game. They're ten and three hosting ten

870
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 1: and two SMU.

871
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:14,560
Speaker 2: I think I'm going.

872
00:39:14,520 --> 00:39:18,360
Speaker 1: To completely disagree with you here because I like FAU,

873
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:21,719
Speaker 1: and you know, I think then you're based on some

874
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:23,719
Speaker 1: of your notes that I've seen, you're going to make

875
00:39:23,719 --> 00:39:26,920
Speaker 1: a good case for SMU. But so to keep an

876
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:29,440
Speaker 1: eye on is Roberson. Has Robertson's status been announced? I

877
00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:30,880
Speaker 1: just keep hearing his question.

878
00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 2: About for SMU, Yeah, it has not.

879
00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:34,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would think that he's leaning towards No. I

880
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:37,160
Speaker 1: mean he's coming back for a senior year. This bowl

881
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:40,400
Speaker 1: was early, so they were initially leading to maybe not playing,

882
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,680
Speaker 1: but that will really hurt their passing attack and then

883
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:46,439
Speaker 1: return game and Florida Atlantic on special teams is much better.

884
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:48,840
Speaker 1: The SMU special teams are hard, which is something to

885
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,720
Speaker 1: keep in mind. But what I'm looking at here is SMU.

886
00:39:52,160 --> 00:39:53,800
Speaker 1: You know, they did get fortunate in a couple of

887
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:56,680
Speaker 1: games early on in the season, and they had bigger

888
00:39:56,760 --> 00:40:00,200
Speaker 1: dreams than this then going to Florida Atlantic. So you know,

889
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:02,640
Speaker 1: and you're gonna tell me about Sonny Dike's and how

890
00:40:02,640 --> 00:40:04,640
Speaker 1: excited he was about going to this bowl, which might

891
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:06,920
Speaker 1: be there, but you got it. You have to mention that,

892
00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:10,480
Speaker 1: you know, SMU, earlier in the season they had aspirations

893
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:12,640
Speaker 1: of maybe going to New Yores six Bowl. This is

894
00:40:12,640 --> 00:40:14,719
Speaker 1: a team that was ranked high, was our favorite team

895
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:17,160
Speaker 1: or the people's number one, you know, Florida Lantic. You

896
00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:19,799
Speaker 1: also have to mention that Lane Kiffin is leaving. But

897
00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:21,759
Speaker 1: I do think from some of the quotes that I'm

898
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:24,319
Speaker 1: reading that the team is a fan of uh, you

899
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:27,479
Speaker 1: know who's stepping in for him for this Bowl game,

900
00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:29,080
Speaker 1: So I think that they'll play for him. And they're

901
00:40:29,120 --> 00:40:32,279
Speaker 1: at home, uh and you know, defend paradise. I think

902
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,480
Speaker 1: that's what they call it down there. So but what

903
00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:36,239
Speaker 1: the thing that I keep going back to in this

904
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:41,960
Speaker 1: game is the explosiveness and SMU gives up a ton

905
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:46,440
Speaker 1: of explosive plays. They are outside the top one hundred

906
00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:52,280
Speaker 1: in both rushing and passing explosiveness allowed. Well, Florida Atlantic

907
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:55,360
Speaker 1: branks in the top twenty five and both on offense,

908
00:40:56,040 --> 00:40:58,719
Speaker 1: you know, so their offensive line has struggled a lot,

909
00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:02,400
Speaker 1: so maybe SMU can find some success there. I also

910
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:05,440
Speaker 1: think that the Florida Atlantic defensive line can compete with

911
00:41:05,600 --> 00:41:08,560
Speaker 1: SMU's offensive line on the other side.

912
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:08,960
Speaker 2: You know.

913
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:12,719
Speaker 1: And then if I look at Florida Atlantics on defense,

914
00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:14,680
Speaker 1: they give up a ton of big runs, but that

915
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:17,279
Speaker 1: is not SMU's game, so I likes and then throwing

916
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:21,200
Speaker 1: the special team's advantage and at home, our numbers are

917
00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:23,879
Speaker 1: as wildly off here you make this six, I make

918
00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:25,040
Speaker 1: this pick.

919
00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:27,520
Speaker 2: Which is what sm P makes it as well.

920
00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:34,680
Speaker 1: So catching three here with Florida Atlantic give me the

921
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:39,000
Speaker 1: home owls make your case for the Stangs, gonna make.

922
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:41,560
Speaker 3: My case for the Stangs, and then I'm gonna talk

923
00:41:41,560 --> 00:41:44,480
Speaker 3: about how the market says I'm completely wrong. This feels

924
00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:47,040
Speaker 3: like when you and I talked about Texas TC earlier

925
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:51,120
Speaker 3: this year, where I could sit there and weave a

926
00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:55,920
Speaker 3: story of mathematics and advanced stats and this and that

927
00:41:55,960 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 3: and this and that. But I can tell you that

928
00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:59,360
Speaker 3: the market has just got their feet dug in and

929
00:41:59,400 --> 00:42:03,400
Speaker 3: it's not moved and whatsoever. So you know, listen, as

930
00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:05,920
Speaker 3: far as motivation goes, Sunny Dyke's and the rest of

931
00:42:05,960 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 3: the team were just elated that they got to go

932
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:10,840
Speaker 3: to this Bowl. I know that they had higher aspirations

933
00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:13,200
Speaker 3: to go to one of the bigger Bowls, but this

934
00:42:13,360 --> 00:42:15,640
Speaker 3: was on their short list of destinations that they did

935
00:42:15,680 --> 00:42:18,760
Speaker 3: want to go to. There was a pouring of emotion

936
00:42:19,040 --> 00:42:22,319
Speaker 3: on social media, if you happen to use things other

937
00:42:22,360 --> 00:42:26,239
Speaker 3: than Twitter, of players and coaches that were excited about

938
00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 3: going to this. So you know, they want to be

939
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:31,320
Speaker 3: in this Bowl game. And that's good. You know, Florida Atlantic.

940
00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:34,359
Speaker 3: I mean the narrative around everyone. You know, a lot

941
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:37,439
Speaker 3: of content I've seen other places is Lane Kiffin's gone

942
00:42:37,600 --> 00:42:39,719
Speaker 3: Florida Atlantic has smoked. Oh and by the way, they

943
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:41,520
Speaker 3: have a whole bunch of home field advantage. So at

944
00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:44,920
Speaker 3: the Action Network we actually make home field advantage for

945
00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:49,359
Speaker 3: the Owls in bocrotone one point three, so it's not

946
00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:51,719
Speaker 3: that great. They're actually one of the worst in home

947
00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:54,440
Speaker 3: field advantage that we have. Homefield advantage for us for

948
00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:58,480
Speaker 3: Action Network is determined on ten years worth of covering

949
00:42:58,520 --> 00:43:01,680
Speaker 3: against the spread data at home and it's weighted in

950
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:04,640
Speaker 3: a thing called the Taylor series with a three year

951
00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:07,480
Speaker 3: sample of what they've done recently, So it kind of

952
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 3: looks at how good have you been the last three years,

953
00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:10,600
Speaker 3: how good have you been the last ten years at home?

954
00:43:10,640 --> 00:43:13,120
Speaker 3: And if you're consistently beating Vegas, then you deserve to

955
00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 3: have a bump in your home field advantage. Well, Florida

956
00:43:15,680 --> 00:43:18,640
Speaker 3: Atlantic doesn't really beat Vegas at home, so they've been

957
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:21,000
Speaker 3: one point three, which shows for a long term they

958
00:43:21,040 --> 00:43:23,400
Speaker 3: haven't been very good at home. So small advantage to

959
00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:27,280
Speaker 3: FAU for being at home, not really that much. Glenn

960
00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:29,680
Speaker 3: Spencer has taken over his interim he was a defensive coordinator.

961
00:43:30,239 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 3: He's really turned around this Florida Atlantic team on defensive

962
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:36,080
Speaker 3: year the number three in defensive rushing success rate, their

963
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:39,799
Speaker 3: eighteenth or sixteenth in line yards twenty three top twenty five,

964
00:43:39,840 --> 00:43:42,759
Speaker 3: and defensive finishing drives. And that's where I start to

965
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:45,800
Speaker 3: get a little worrisome about SMU because they've been scoring

966
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:47,960
Speaker 3: at a high pace this year, but the Owl's defense

967
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:50,680
Speaker 3: has been just the unspoken part of their team this year.

968
00:43:50,719 --> 00:43:53,120
Speaker 3: It's all been about Kiffin and the offense. But Glenn

969
00:43:53,120 --> 00:43:55,920
Speaker 3: Spencer has been fantastic as a defensive coordinator for the Owls.

970
00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:59,680
Speaker 3: He was taken from Charlotte, I believe last year. Before that,

971
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:02,480
Speaker 3: he was fired at Oklahoma State by Mike Gundy. But

972
00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:04,440
Speaker 3: he's done a great job. But he may be on

973
00:44:04,480 --> 00:44:05,839
Speaker 3: the move after this game too. We don't know if

974
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:07,640
Speaker 3: he's gonna end up at all miss or where he's

975
00:44:07,680 --> 00:44:09,520
Speaker 3: going to go. And then you know, Charlie Weis junior

976
00:44:09,560 --> 00:44:11,280
Speaker 3: is calling the plays here. It's the first time he'll

977
00:44:11,440 --> 00:44:14,480
Speaker 3: be calling plays without Kiffing next to him, and you

978
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:16,080
Speaker 3: know he's twenty six years old, so we're going to

979
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:18,480
Speaker 3: see what kind of game plan he has. Fau's offense

980
00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:20,799
Speaker 3: is all boom or busts. I mean, they're success rate

981
00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:24,960
Speaker 3: in rushings ninety seventh, but their twelfth and explosiveness. Passing

982
00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:27,759
Speaker 3: success rate is sixty fourth, but they're twenty third in explosiveness,

983
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:30,160
Speaker 3: So it's really, you know, can they hit the big play.

984
00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:32,200
Speaker 3: It's not really a move the chains kind of offense.

985
00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:35,640
Speaker 3: And you know, explosive play is what SMU's defense gives up.

986
00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:37,879
Speaker 3: They're really good at success rate, but they do give

987
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:40,440
Speaker 3: up the big play. So I hear you and seeing

988
00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:42,600
Speaker 3: the advanced numbers on Florida Atlantic, and they're going to

989
00:44:42,680 --> 00:44:45,120
Speaker 3: be able to put points up. And I agree, And

990
00:44:45,640 --> 00:44:48,000
Speaker 3: you know, my projection did make this six and the

991
00:44:48,080 --> 00:44:50,320
Speaker 3: number has just not come off three whatsoever. As a

992
00:44:50,360 --> 00:44:53,080
Speaker 3: matter of fact, from what I can see, the entire world,

993
00:44:53,120 --> 00:44:55,799
Speaker 3: all the tickets and the money and that everything is

994
00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:58,719
Speaker 3: on the SMU in this case, and anytime a three

995
00:44:58,719 --> 00:45:00,719
Speaker 3: and a half comes up, it gets back to three

996
00:45:00,800 --> 00:45:03,840
Speaker 3: on Florida Atlantic. So if you're a market player, just

997
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:06,279
Speaker 3: on market alone, you're going to play Florida Atlantic from

998
00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:10,000
Speaker 3: an advanced statistics Thus, things are top twenty in past explosiveness,

999
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:13,360
Speaker 3: OWLS are fifty eighth in defensive pass explosiveness. SMU should

1000
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:15,200
Speaker 3: be able to hit the deep pass all day now.

1001
00:45:15,280 --> 00:45:17,600
Speaker 3: Roberson has listened is very questionable. He's coming back. He's

1002
00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:18,680
Speaker 3: not going to go to the NFL. He's going to

1003
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:20,680
Speaker 3: come back for next season, but a foot injury has

1004
00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:22,520
Speaker 3: kept him out and looks like he's what they call

1005
00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:25,480
Speaker 3: very questionable. I'm not sure what that category that falls

1006
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:29,880
Speaker 3: in SMU. This is like the biggest gap in HAVOC ratings.

1007
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:32,520
Speaker 3: This is the game with the biggest gap. SMU's defensive

1008
00:45:32,520 --> 00:45:36,120
Speaker 3: HAVOC rating is eighteenth. Florida Atlantic on offense is ninety third.

1009
00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:38,359
Speaker 3: They allow a lot of teams into the backfield. They

1010
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,000
Speaker 3: don't take care of the ball, Like I said, they're

1011
00:45:40,040 --> 00:45:42,480
Speaker 3: boom or bust. So it just depends on what kind

1012
00:45:42,480 --> 00:45:45,120
Speaker 3: of day Florida Atlantic has in protecting the ball. What

1013
00:45:45,239 --> 00:45:47,680
Speaker 3: kind of game plan does Charlie West Junior have on

1014
00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:51,040
Speaker 3: his own without Lane Kiffin? You know Will sunny Dyke's

1015
00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:55,080
Speaker 3: make adjustments at halftime against a makeshift interim staff. So

1016
00:45:55,080 --> 00:45:56,879
Speaker 3: there's a lot of things going on here. I took

1017
00:45:56,880 --> 00:46:00,520
Speaker 3: an under seventy mostly because of everything I said about Spencer.

1018
00:46:00,600 --> 00:46:03,319
Speaker 3: You know, he's led FAU to a rank of top

1019
00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:06,719
Speaker 3: twenty five rank in defensive finishing drives. You know, these

1020
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:09,840
Speaker 3: teams are top fifteen and seconds per play. But I

1021
00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:11,440
Speaker 3: still think the total is just way too high up

1022
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:13,240
Speaker 3: at seventy. I think it should be more around sixty

1023
00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:15,799
Speaker 3: two sixty three. So yeah, I'm going to stick with SMU.

1024
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:17,480
Speaker 3: I'm gonna stick with my bet on SMU if I

1025
00:46:17,520 --> 00:46:19,319
Speaker 3: need to get out of it at some point, if

1026
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:21,360
Speaker 3: it looks like it's a game where you know, FAU

1027
00:46:21,600 --> 00:46:24,359
Speaker 3: is going to be able to hang around and maybe

1028
00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:27,560
Speaker 3: SMU can you know, not allow explosive plays we're going

1029
00:46:27,640 --> 00:46:29,040
Speaker 3: to see, maybe I'll buy out of it live. But

1030
00:46:29,080 --> 00:46:30,839
Speaker 3: I do feel comfortable about the under as well.

1031
00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:33,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's a scary under by the way,

1032
00:46:34,080 --> 00:46:37,880
Speaker 1: with the SMU over machine and then against Florida Atlantic.

1033
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:40,799
Speaker 1: But yeah, I agree that the total is a little high. Yeah,

1034
00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:42,359
Speaker 1: but it's a good It's probably a lot good live

1035
00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:46,719
Speaker 1: betting game that should be back and forth now finishing drives.

1036
00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 1: Florida Atlantic has been really good, SMU has been really good.

1037
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:50,600
Speaker 1: But if you focus just down on the red zone

1038
00:46:50,600 --> 00:46:52,920
Speaker 1: and then specifically inside the ten. But in the red zone,

1039
00:46:53,200 --> 00:46:56,520
Speaker 1: SMU's outside the top one hundred on offense, So I

1040
00:46:56,520 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 1: do think that they're gonna be able to hit some

1041
00:46:57,920 --> 00:46:59,319
Speaker 1: plays through the air and.

1042
00:46:59,320 --> 00:46:59,839
Speaker 2: Move the ball.

1043
00:47:00,120 --> 00:47:02,400
Speaker 1: They might struggle in the red zone here. It's one

1044
00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:04,520
Speaker 1: of the things that's hurt them all year.

1045
00:47:04,640 --> 00:47:04,799
Speaker 2: You know.

1046
00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:07,360
Speaker 1: It's an offense that likes space and likes to operate

1047
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:09,280
Speaker 1: in space. So if they're not hitting these big plays

1048
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:12,319
Speaker 1: for touchdowns. They've struggled in the red zone at times

1049
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:15,920
Speaker 1: this year, that could be an issue. And keep an

1050
00:47:15,920 --> 00:47:20,200
Speaker 1: eye out on the Florida Atlantic tight end Harrison Brian,

1051
00:47:20,200 --> 00:47:23,200
Speaker 1: who is one of the best tight ends in all

1052
00:47:23,280 --> 00:47:24,240
Speaker 1: of college football.

1053
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:27,960
Speaker 2: He could have a big day up the scene. All right,

1054
00:47:28,000 --> 00:47:28,719
Speaker 2: So let's move on.

1055
00:47:28,840 --> 00:47:31,759
Speaker 1: Those three bowls will be going on at the same time,

1056
00:47:31,800 --> 00:47:32,480
Speaker 1: which is awesome.

1057
00:47:32,480 --> 00:47:33,720
Speaker 2: We'll have the New.

1058
00:47:33,560 --> 00:47:35,800
Speaker 1: Mexico Ball at two, the Cure Bowl at two thirty,

1059
00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:38,120
Speaker 1: and the book over Ton Bull at three thirty Eastern.

1060
00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:41,000
Speaker 1: But at five point thirty we'll bring in the Chamellia

1061
00:47:41,080 --> 00:47:43,560
Speaker 1: Bowl and everyone will be wanting to bet this because

1062
00:47:43,560 --> 00:47:46,759
Speaker 1: it'll be on an island by itself. As the book

1063
00:47:46,760 --> 00:47:51,880
Speaker 1: over Toonebull is finishing up Florida International taking on Arkansas

1064
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:56,839
Speaker 1: State right now. This line, I believe this was one

1065
00:47:56,880 --> 00:48:01,399
Speaker 1: that was floating around a field goal. It came down

1066
00:48:01,440 --> 00:48:04,520
Speaker 1: to two and a half. The oh what's the over

1067
00:48:04,640 --> 00:48:06,920
Speaker 1: under sitting at right now. Yeah, it looks like sixteen

1068
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:08,759
Speaker 1: and a half, so that's come down as well. But

1069
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:10,840
Speaker 1: Arkansas State is a two and a half point favorite.

1070
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:11,040
Speaker 2: Here.

1071
00:48:11,760 --> 00:48:13,360
Speaker 1: You know what I'll mention here is I played Florida

1072
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,000
Speaker 1: in an international at plus three.

1073
00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:17,239
Speaker 2: Now. They've had a fairly disappointing year.

1074
00:48:17,239 --> 00:48:19,320
Speaker 1: This is a team that we thought could compete for

1075
00:48:19,840 --> 00:48:22,360
Speaker 1: a conference title. They did get that huge win, upset

1076
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:25,879
Speaker 1: win over Miami, But if you look at this team,

1077
00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:30,239
Speaker 1: you know it's it underperformed all year. But I think

1078
00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:33,840
Speaker 1: that all of their numbers are understated. And the reasons

1079
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:36,759
Speaker 1: for that is James Morgan was hurt. He got hurt

1080
00:48:36,800 --> 00:48:38,040
Speaker 1: in the second game of the year, was wearing a

1081
00:48:38,160 --> 00:48:41,160
Speaker 1: knee brace, and the offense just wasn't as explosive all year.

1082
00:48:41,160 --> 00:48:43,399
Speaker 1: He wore a knee brace for like two straight months,

1083
00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:45,440
Speaker 1: and you know, he just wasn't the same quarterback as

1084
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:48,080
Speaker 1: we saw last year. The offensive line, which had some

1085
00:48:48,160 --> 00:48:51,239
Speaker 1: new pieces, was really struggling early in the year and

1086
00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:53,680
Speaker 1: mid middle of the year. It really started the gel

1087
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:55,480
Speaker 1: at the end of the year. It's one of the

1088
00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:57,840
Speaker 1: reasons they could beat Miami in that great front seven

1089
00:48:58,760 --> 00:49:01,680
Speaker 1: and you know, they have backs and Jones and Maxwell

1090
00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:04,120
Speaker 1: that I think can hit enough explosive runs against an

1091
00:49:04,160 --> 00:49:04,799
Speaker 1: Arkansas defense.

1092
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 2: It gets up a ton of big plays in the ground.

1093
00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:09,359
Speaker 1: So I think this offense is you know, is going

1094
00:49:09,400 --> 00:49:11,520
Speaker 1: to look a lot more like the offensive we saw

1095
00:49:11,640 --> 00:49:15,839
Speaker 1: last year than this year. And then on the defensive side,

1096
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:19,640
Speaker 1: their best defender Sage Lewis and middle linebacker. He was

1097
00:49:19,719 --> 00:49:21,120
Speaker 1: hurt for a lot of the year and banged up,

1098
00:49:21,160 --> 00:49:22,840
Speaker 1: but he really came on the last two games of

1099
00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:24,800
Speaker 1: the year. He's a leader that defense great and coverage.

1100
00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:27,360
Speaker 1: Probably will play at the next level. So he was

1101
00:49:27,440 --> 00:49:28,600
Speaker 1: hurt for a lot of the years, so I think

1102
00:49:28,640 --> 00:49:30,359
Speaker 1: his presence will be big now.

1103
00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:31,560
Speaker 2: You know.

1104
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:33,560
Speaker 1: The one of the things that keep in mind when

1105
00:49:33,560 --> 00:49:35,520
Speaker 1: your Arkansas State, they have one of the best receivers

1106
00:49:35,560 --> 00:49:40,840
Speaker 1: in the country in Omar Bayless. He's unbelievable and I

1107
00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:44,080
Speaker 1: think he was All American, could have been the first

1108
00:49:44,120 --> 00:49:47,280
Speaker 1: team All American. But the strength of this Florida international

1109
00:49:47,280 --> 00:49:50,680
Speaker 1: team is their secondary. Keep your eye out on Stantley

1110
00:49:50,680 --> 00:49:53,360
Speaker 1: Thomas Oliver. He's shot to play at the next level.

1111
00:49:53,760 --> 00:49:55,719
Speaker 1: He'sn't invited. I think there's Senior Bowl or one of

1112
00:49:55,760 --> 00:50:01,440
Speaker 1: the the pro evaluation games after the season. Isaiah Brown

1113
00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:04,000
Speaker 1: is a good corner. They also have a hybrid in

1114
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:06,960
Speaker 1: Richard Dames who leads the team in picks. And then

1115
00:50:06,960 --> 00:50:09,480
Speaker 1: they have a great nickel corner in Josh Turner. He's

1116
00:50:09,520 --> 00:50:11,239
Speaker 1: one of the best nickel corners in the country. And

1117
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:15,840
Speaker 1: then throwing a ridiculously good group of safeties Cushion and

1118
00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:18,759
Speaker 1: Dorian Hall. I think Dorian Hall was first team All

1119
00:50:18,840 --> 00:50:22,400
Speaker 1: PFF at safety. And you have I think one of

1120
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:26,680
Speaker 1: the best two or three defensive backfields in the entire

1121
00:50:26,719 --> 00:50:29,759
Speaker 1: group of five. So this is I mean they ranked

1122
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:32,600
Speaker 1: top twenty five and passing yards per attempt, completion percentage,

1123
00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:36,640
Speaker 1: passing explosiveness, and then also you know, seventh in passing

1124
00:50:36,719 --> 00:50:39,400
Speaker 1: yards per game allowed. So I think that you know,

1125
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:41,640
Speaker 1: this offense is a lot healthier and they're better than

1126
00:50:41,640 --> 00:50:43,560
Speaker 1: their numbers have showed due to some health and their

1127
00:50:43,560 --> 00:50:47,960
Speaker 1: offensive line coming together. Their defense with Sage lewis now healthier,

1128
00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:51,479
Speaker 1: and they match up well here because what Arkansas State

1129
00:50:51,520 --> 00:50:54,640
Speaker 1: wants to do is throw the ball. And you know,

1130
00:50:54,680 --> 00:50:57,920
Speaker 1: the strength of this fi FIU team is their secondary.

1131
00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:00,880
Speaker 1: The FIU ren zone offense is scary and concern but

1132
00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:03,440
Speaker 1: I like where this offense is trending, and I love

1133
00:51:03,480 --> 00:51:06,080
Speaker 1: the matchup on the other side of the ball. So

1134
00:51:06,160 --> 00:51:08,239
Speaker 1: give me FIU as a dog here. I had to

1135
00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:10,440
Speaker 1: take him at three. If you can get three, that's great.

1136
00:51:10,800 --> 00:51:12,480
Speaker 1: If not, I still like them as a dog here

1137
00:51:12,520 --> 00:51:14,480
Speaker 1: in the game. I make a coin flip with Fu

1138
00:51:14,560 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 1: trending in the right direction.

1139
00:51:15,560 --> 00:51:16,200
Speaker 2: What do you see here?

1140
00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:18,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I think all the reasons that you talked

1141
00:51:18,680 --> 00:51:20,760
Speaker 3: about is the reason why you you know, the threes

1142
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:23,160
Speaker 3: just keep disappearing every time it gets up that high.

1143
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:26,880
Speaker 3: I don't expect much more steam on Arkansas State. There's also,

1144
00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:29,120
Speaker 3: you know, the narrative out there about the bull records,

1145
00:51:29,120 --> 00:51:31,520
Speaker 3: Blake Anderson's one and four against the spread and bowl games.

1146
00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:34,520
Speaker 3: His loan cover was a win against Central Florida in

1147
00:51:34,560 --> 00:51:37,320
Speaker 3: twenty sixteen. And then if you look at Butch Davis,

1148
00:51:37,360 --> 00:51:39,120
Speaker 3: He's like, I think, what eight and one against the

1149
00:51:39,160 --> 00:51:40,799
Speaker 3: spread and bulls. I mean we would talk about him

1150
00:51:40,800 --> 00:51:43,520
Speaker 3: more than we would say Doc Holliday and Marshall, which

1151
00:51:43,520 --> 00:51:46,080
Speaker 3: we'll get to later, but I mean, he always has

1152
00:51:46,080 --> 00:51:47,719
Speaker 3: his team prepared for me.

1153
00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:49,160
Speaker 2: This was a really tough cap.

1154
00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:51,520
Speaker 3: I have no investment down, I have no money on

1155
00:51:51,560 --> 00:51:54,520
Speaker 3: this whatsoever, because I make the game too and it

1156
00:51:54,600 --> 00:51:57,239
Speaker 3: sits on two and a half, you know, so I'm

1157
00:51:57,239 --> 00:51:58,840
Speaker 3: not really sure if I'm going to get involved in

1158
00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:00,640
Speaker 3: this game. It was a low con finance game that

1159
00:52:00,680 --> 00:52:03,160
Speaker 3: I put in on Arkansas State, you know, and I

1160
00:52:03,200 --> 00:52:05,120
Speaker 3: mentioned Lane Hatcher to Omar Bayless has been one of

1161
00:52:05,160 --> 00:52:07,760
Speaker 3: the best duos in the nation. Eighty four catches almost

1162
00:52:07,840 --> 00:52:11,920
Speaker 3: fifteen hundred yards. I mean, but I mean you look

1163
00:52:11,960 --> 00:52:13,440
Speaker 3: at the strength of schedules on these guys. I mean,

1164
00:52:13,440 --> 00:52:15,720
Speaker 3: Florida Internationals is one hundred and twenty second in Arkansas

1165
00:52:15,760 --> 00:52:18,080
Speaker 3: State's eighty ninth. So it just hasn't been you know,

1166
00:52:18,120 --> 00:52:20,960
Speaker 3: like Murder's row of teams that they've gone up against.

1167
00:52:20,960 --> 00:52:25,359
Speaker 3: Although you know FIU's victory at you know, at at

1168
00:52:25,400 --> 00:52:28,319
Speaker 3: Martlin's Park over Miami, that was, you know, it's just

1169
00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:31,520
Speaker 3: a program defining win considering all the players at FIU

1170
00:52:31,560 --> 00:52:34,040
Speaker 3: were from the Miami area. Butch Davis coach in Miami,

1171
00:52:34,120 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 3: that was you know, I just wonder if there's a

1172
00:52:36,560 --> 00:52:39,879
Speaker 3: hangover effect of we won our super Bowl. I mean,

1173
00:52:39,880 --> 00:52:42,200
Speaker 3: that was Butch Davis's personal super Bowl. That was the

1174
00:52:42,200 --> 00:52:44,880
Speaker 3: player's personal super Bowl. And now we're being shipped off

1175
00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:46,959
Speaker 3: to the Camellia Bowl to go up against Arkansas State,

1176
00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:51,160
Speaker 3: who has been an emotionally charged and taxed team the

1177
00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:55,440
Speaker 3: entire season, even before when players reported to camp in August.

1178
00:52:55,800 --> 00:52:57,799
Speaker 3: There's just been so much for this team to deal

1179
00:52:57,840 --> 00:53:00,759
Speaker 3: with as far as supporting its head coach and what

1180
00:53:00,800 --> 00:53:02,960
Speaker 3: he's had to deal with off the field.

1181
00:53:03,040 --> 00:53:05,319
Speaker 2: You know, I don't know if that's good or that's bad.

1182
00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:07,719
Speaker 3: I know that you know they had a breakdown in

1183
00:53:07,760 --> 00:53:11,919
Speaker 3: last year's bowl game, so you know that we'll see

1184
00:53:11,920 --> 00:53:14,160
Speaker 3: how it goes. But you know, FIU is forty six

1185
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:17,080
Speaker 3: and passes defense, that is something I know. You mentioned

1186
00:53:17,120 --> 00:53:18,800
Speaker 3: that they have a couple of players in the secondary

1187
00:53:18,840 --> 00:53:21,400
Speaker 3: that they can play at the next level. But you know,

1188
00:53:21,440 --> 00:53:24,960
Speaker 3: from a passes defense perspective, you know, they're closer to

1189
00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:27,560
Speaker 3: midpack of the of the FBS than they are anywhere

1190
00:53:27,600 --> 00:53:30,000
Speaker 3: close to the top twenty five. So neither team is

1191
00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:34,520
Speaker 3: havoc minded. Neither team is good you know that great

1192
00:53:34,719 --> 00:53:37,600
Speaker 3: and kick offered, and then certain areas of the special teams.

1193
00:53:38,719 --> 00:53:41,239
Speaker 3: You know they're not good at field position. Neither team

1194
00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:45,160
Speaker 3: is that good defensively and finishing drives. Specifically, Arkansas State

1195
00:53:45,200 --> 00:53:47,560
Speaker 3: is one hundred and twenty first and defensive finishing drives.

1196
00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:50,879
Speaker 3: So you know, it's just a game where I think

1197
00:53:50,880 --> 00:53:53,800
Speaker 3: the number is correct. There's no investment from me. I

1198
00:53:53,800 --> 00:53:56,799
Speaker 3: don't think I'm going to be playing it live. And

1199
00:53:56,840 --> 00:53:59,239
Speaker 3: it's just low confidence on Arkansas State based on the

1200
00:53:59,239 --> 00:54:01,880
Speaker 3: fact that I think that they're you know, the Bayless

1201
00:54:01,920 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 3: and Hatcher connection can probably get something done well.

1202
00:54:05,719 --> 00:54:07,080
Speaker 1: I mean, one thing I will mention one of the

1203
00:54:07,120 --> 00:54:09,279
Speaker 1: reasons that I love FIU going into the season was

1204
00:54:09,320 --> 00:54:11,840
Speaker 1: they're leaders on both sides of the ball and Sage

1205
00:54:11,880 --> 00:54:15,080
Speaker 1: Lewis at the middle linebacker and James Morgan at quarterback,

1206
00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:16,839
Speaker 1: and both of them were hurt for long stretches, which

1207
00:54:16,880 --> 00:54:19,040
Speaker 1: is why I think FIU is undervalued here in the

1208
00:54:19,080 --> 00:54:21,680
Speaker 1: market and better than a lot of their numbers. But

1209
00:54:22,400 --> 00:54:24,239
Speaker 1: on that same side, now that they're healthy, I do

1210
00:54:24,320 --> 00:54:27,480
Speaker 1: trust them to have their units fired up. Sage Lewis

1211
00:54:27,520 --> 00:54:29,239
Speaker 1: now is healthy to fire up the defense. And then

1212
00:54:29,360 --> 00:54:32,359
Speaker 1: keep in mind James Morgan, fifthier senior, this is his

1213
00:54:32,400 --> 00:54:34,879
Speaker 1: first Bowl that will play and he was hurt last

1214
00:54:34,960 --> 00:54:38,120
Speaker 1: year for the Bowl, so I think he'll relish the

1215
00:54:38,120 --> 00:54:40,640
Speaker 1: opportunity here. All right, So let's move on and by

1216
00:54:40,640 --> 00:54:43,040
Speaker 1: the way well have in depth previous for every single

1217
00:54:43,080 --> 00:54:45,560
Speaker 1: Bowl game up on Action Network dot Com in the

1218
00:54:45,600 --> 00:54:47,640
Speaker 1: Action Network Gap. But let's move on to the night

1219
00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:51,600
Speaker 1: slate on Saturday. We'll start in sin City at seven

1220
00:54:51,640 --> 00:54:55,160
Speaker 1: thirty eastern ABC, the Las Vegas Bowl between Boise State

1221
00:54:55,200 --> 00:54:59,160
Speaker 1: and Washington. This is the Chris Peterson Farewell Bowl. He

1222
00:54:59,239 --> 00:55:02,640
Speaker 1: has not been and bowls at Washington. He's one in four,

1223
00:55:03,360 --> 00:55:07,040
Speaker 1: oh for his last three. Something to note here is

1224
00:55:07,080 --> 00:55:10,320
Speaker 1: that Washington will be without two of its better players

1225
00:55:10,360 --> 00:55:15,399
Speaker 1: on offense, Tackle Trey Adams, and then there they're tight end.

1226
00:55:15,719 --> 00:55:19,839
Speaker 1: He's officially out right Hunderbryant. Yeah, Hunter Bryant officially out too.

1227
00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:22,480
Speaker 1: Both of them will play at the next level, So

1228
00:55:22,480 --> 00:55:24,240
Speaker 1: they're sitting out with their futures in mind.

1229
00:55:24,800 --> 00:55:24,920
Speaker 2: Now.

1230
00:55:24,960 --> 00:55:27,400
Speaker 1: When I look at this game, by the way, you know,

1231
00:55:27,400 --> 00:55:29,520
Speaker 1: from a motivational perspective, I think, you know, you could

1232
00:55:29,600 --> 00:55:31,279
Speaker 1: argue Bois wanted to be in a New Year six Bowl,

1233
00:55:31,320 --> 00:55:33,360
Speaker 1: but they're playing Washington, a Power five team, and I

1234
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:35,440
Speaker 1: think Washington is going to be really up for this

1235
00:55:35,480 --> 00:55:37,520
Speaker 1: game as well, even though they had a disappointing year.

1236
00:55:37,560 --> 00:55:38,800
Speaker 2: They want to send Pierson out.

1237
00:55:38,640 --> 00:55:43,040
Speaker 1: On top, you know, And I think Washington's actually I

1238
00:55:43,040 --> 00:55:45,200
Speaker 1: think we're going to disagree in this game. Washington, if

1239
00:55:45,200 --> 00:55:47,279
Speaker 1: you look at their losses, they had five losses on

1240
00:55:47,320 --> 00:55:47,719
Speaker 1: this game.

1241
00:55:47,960 --> 00:55:49,600
Speaker 2: Excuse me, five losses on the season.

1242
00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:52,000
Speaker 1: I think four were by six or fewer points, so

1243
00:55:52,040 --> 00:55:54,160
Speaker 1: they were right there in a lot of games. I

1244
00:55:54,160 --> 00:55:56,560
Speaker 1: think they have the better offense, the better defense, and

1245
00:55:56,640 --> 00:55:58,279
Speaker 1: they have the better special teams is one of the

1246
00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:01,800
Speaker 1: best special teams units in all of college football.

1247
00:56:01,840 --> 00:56:03,080
Speaker 2: Keep a close eye on the punting.

1248
00:56:03,400 --> 00:56:07,640
Speaker 1: The punting edge is huge or field position for U

1249
00:56:08,280 --> 00:56:11,440
Speaker 1: for Washington here, so you know, I think both teams

1250
00:56:11,480 --> 00:56:14,120
Speaker 1: will want to be here. So it's not a motivational

1251
00:56:14,160 --> 00:56:16,760
Speaker 1: thing for me, even without Adams. I like the Washington

1252
00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:20,960
Speaker 1: offensive line that I think, can you know, contain that

1253
00:56:21,040 --> 00:56:24,319
Speaker 1: Boise pass rush. Washington gives up no exposive plays on

1254
00:56:24,400 --> 00:56:28,040
Speaker 1: defense none, And I just don't trust Boise enough to

1255
00:56:28,120 --> 00:56:31,640
Speaker 1: consistently put together drives against his Washington defense that I

1256
00:56:31,680 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 1: think will be fired up.

1257
00:56:33,280 --> 00:56:36,640
Speaker 2: I think that this is a little cheap in the market.

1258
00:56:36,840 --> 00:56:39,840
Speaker 1: Washington is severely undervalued for a lot of their you know,

1259
00:56:39,960 --> 00:56:41,840
Speaker 1: bad luck and just something in.

1260
00:56:41,880 --> 00:56:43,240
Speaker 2: A couple disappointing results.

1261
00:56:43,800 --> 00:56:48,000
Speaker 1: It's you know, against Stanford in particular, but I like

1262
00:56:48,160 --> 00:56:49,799
Speaker 1: Washington there minus three or better.

1263
00:56:49,920 --> 00:56:52,240
Speaker 2: You disagree, right, I disagree.

1264
00:56:52,239 --> 00:56:53,640
Speaker 3: And I took Boise at three and a half, and

1265
00:56:53,680 --> 00:56:55,200
Speaker 3: I would suggest trying to get a three and a half.

1266
00:56:55,200 --> 00:56:57,239
Speaker 3: There's a couple out there in the market. I would

1267
00:56:57,280 --> 00:56:59,759
Speaker 3: try to search for that and get that, you know,

1268
00:56:59,760 --> 00:57:02,200
Speaker 3: becase is I like Boising this game, even though our

1269
00:57:02,239 --> 00:57:04,600
Speaker 3: Action Network projections make this game five and a half.

1270
00:57:04,800 --> 00:57:07,919
Speaker 1: Washington is one hundred and thirtieth in power success rate.

1271
00:57:08,440 --> 00:57:10,279
Speaker 2: This is a defense set.

1272
00:57:10,320 --> 00:57:14,080
Speaker 1: You know at Vitevea recently vaminating the line one hundred

1273
00:57:14,080 --> 00:57:14,359
Speaker 1: and thirty.

1274
00:57:14,360 --> 00:57:15,840
Speaker 2: I bet you're gonna mention that, right.

1275
00:57:15,640 --> 00:57:17,880
Speaker 3: They are one hundred and thirtyeth in power success Right,

1276
00:57:17,880 --> 00:57:20,160
Speaker 3: there's seventy eighth and stuff right on defense. The defense

1277
00:57:20,240 --> 00:57:22,520
Speaker 3: is just the defensive. The defensive front seven has just

1278
00:57:22,560 --> 00:57:25,000
Speaker 3: not been very good. Now, you're right, they do limit explosiveness,

1279
00:57:25,040 --> 00:57:26,680
Speaker 3: and they have been good at that. They keep everything

1280
00:57:26,680 --> 00:57:29,600
Speaker 3: in front of them. But from a success rate perspective,

1281
00:57:29,960 --> 00:57:32,720
Speaker 3: from a ground thing, from a ground perspective of what

1282
00:57:32,760 --> 00:57:35,640
Speaker 3: they've been able to do against teams against the rush

1283
00:57:35,680 --> 00:57:37,560
Speaker 3: in the front seven, it's been one of the worst

1284
00:57:37,640 --> 00:57:40,400
Speaker 3: Washington defenses that we've seen in years. And that's just

1285
00:57:40,400 --> 00:57:42,040
Speaker 3: giving a lot of respect to what we've seen out

1286
00:57:42,080 --> 00:57:43,760
Speaker 3: of Jimmy Lake, the defensive corrier who is now the

1287
00:57:43,760 --> 00:57:46,400
Speaker 3: head coach. But they still are, you know, ninth and

1288
00:57:46,480 --> 00:57:50,200
Speaker 3: finishing drives, washing defenses. But I just I get this

1289
00:57:50,320 --> 00:57:52,000
Speaker 3: feeling that they don't want to be there. Like I

1290
00:57:52,040 --> 00:57:53,960
Speaker 3: don't think Chris Peterson is that fired up to be

1291
00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:55,720
Speaker 3: playing Boise. I don't think he's that fired up to

1292
00:57:55,720 --> 00:57:58,560
Speaker 3: play Brian Harrison. And you know, this is not a

1293
00:57:58,680 --> 00:58:00,480
Speaker 3: rival to him. These teams have played each other four

1294
00:58:00,480 --> 00:58:02,680
Speaker 3: times in the last thirteen years, and they don't It's

1295
00:58:02,680 --> 00:58:06,080
Speaker 3: not a heated rivalry. You know, Chris Peterson got done

1296
00:58:06,120 --> 00:58:07,760
Speaker 3: playing Boise a couple of years ago and then he

1297
00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:09,760
Speaker 3: went into like the locker room to talk to all

1298
00:58:10,000 --> 00:58:11,120
Speaker 3: the players and the coaches.

1299
00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:12,520
Speaker 2: I mean, this is there's.

1300
00:58:12,360 --> 00:58:14,120
Speaker 3: Nothing about this these I don't think these teams want

1301
00:58:14,120 --> 00:58:15,920
Speaker 3: to play each other. Boise wanted to be in the

1302
00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:18,560
Speaker 3: Cotton Bowl, so I mean that works both ways. But

1303
00:58:19,000 --> 00:58:21,560
Speaker 3: from a motivation perspective, I'm just not sure these teams

1304
00:58:21,600 --> 00:58:24,240
Speaker 3: are that fired up to be here. Nine members of

1305
00:58:24,280 --> 00:58:27,600
Speaker 3: the current Washington staff were coaches at Boise, so, I mean,

1306
00:58:27,640 --> 00:58:29,520
Speaker 3: there's a lot of familiarity going on here. But I

1307
00:58:29,520 --> 00:58:31,840
Speaker 3: think that that loss of Trey Adams at left tackle,

1308
00:58:32,240 --> 00:58:34,320
Speaker 3: I think that's really the most important thing. Him sitting

1309
00:58:34,320 --> 00:58:36,960
Speaker 3: out for the NFL is big because Washington has not

1310
00:58:36,960 --> 00:58:39,080
Speaker 3: been able to keep teams out of the backfield whatsoever.

1311
00:58:39,120 --> 00:58:41,120
Speaker 3: They have not had a clean pocket for Jacob Eeson

1312
00:58:41,160 --> 00:58:45,160
Speaker 3: all season, you know, Jacobson, who's pending an NFL draft grade,

1313
00:58:45,640 --> 00:58:48,120
Speaker 3: which is interesting because I'm waiting for my NFL draft

1314
00:58:48,160 --> 00:58:51,040
Speaker 3: grade too. I assume that Easan, you know, is gonna

1315
00:58:52,200 --> 00:58:54,800
Speaker 3: not probably get drafted by the NFL, but he hasn't

1316
00:58:54,840 --> 00:58:57,160
Speaker 3: had a clean pocket all year. And you know, Boise

1317
00:58:57,280 --> 00:58:59,280
Speaker 3: has a slight advantage in sack rate, but I think

1318
00:58:59,280 --> 00:59:02,080
Speaker 3: those numbers in with the loss of Adams, you know,

1319
00:59:02,120 --> 00:59:03,720
Speaker 3: and I just think the Washington offensive line is going

1320
00:59:03,760 --> 00:59:06,360
Speaker 3: to have a problem here. Broncos are twenty second defensive

1321
00:59:06,400 --> 00:59:08,840
Speaker 3: havoc their top twenty five and tackles for loss, so

1322
00:59:08,920 --> 00:59:10,840
Speaker 3: you know, I mean, they're they're just going to consistently

1323
00:59:10,840 --> 00:59:13,840
Speaker 3: be in the Huskies face offensively, and I think that's

1324
00:59:13,840 --> 00:59:18,160
Speaker 3: going to really limit Washington's scoring. You know, Like I said,

1325
00:59:18,240 --> 00:59:20,480
Speaker 3: Washington's defense taking a huge step back. They're ninety fourth

1326
00:59:20,520 --> 00:59:23,800
Speaker 3: and havoc. They're not causing anything on defense. They don't

1327
00:59:23,800 --> 00:59:26,080
Speaker 3: have any takeaways whatsoever. And you're right, I got it

1328
00:59:26,120 --> 00:59:27,560
Speaker 3: right here in my notes one hundred and thirtieth in

1329
00:59:27,600 --> 00:59:30,480
Speaker 3: power success right what means Boise is going to convert

1330
00:59:30,520 --> 00:59:32,640
Speaker 3: every third and fourth and short. They're always going to

1331
00:59:32,680 --> 00:59:34,000
Speaker 3: be able to make it here because we're going up

1332
00:59:34,000 --> 00:59:35,960
Speaker 3: against the worst defense in the nation when it comes

1333
00:59:35,960 --> 00:59:38,920
Speaker 3: to stopping third and two, fourth and one. So, like

1334
00:59:38,960 --> 00:59:40,240
Speaker 3: I said, I make a five and a half, but

1335
00:59:40,320 --> 00:59:43,520
Speaker 3: the loss of Trey Adams, I just like Boising the

1336
00:59:43,560 --> 00:59:45,600
Speaker 3: spot a lot more. I don't think I would go

1337
00:59:46,120 --> 00:59:48,320
Speaker 3: at three or below three, but I definitely like it

1338
00:59:48,360 --> 00:59:49,920
Speaker 3: at three and a half or above for Bois Well.

1339
00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:51,640
Speaker 1: It just shows you on important numbers. I wouldn't go

1340
00:59:51,640 --> 00:59:56,120
Speaker 1: above three for Washington. It's not a major edge.

1341
00:59:56,320 --> 00:59:58,720
Speaker 2: This is a very low investment weekend. I just want

1342
00:59:58,760 --> 00:59:59,760
Speaker 2: I just want to get that out there.

1343
01:00:00,120 --> 01:00:03,160
Speaker 3: I am not throwing as much investment out of my

1344
01:00:03,560 --> 01:00:06,160
Speaker 3: wallet into this weekend as much as I will be

1345
01:00:06,280 --> 01:00:09,600
Speaker 3: post Christmas. There's so much going on for these coaches

1346
01:00:09,600 --> 01:00:12,240
Speaker 3: now with this early signing period, and they can't use

1347
01:00:12,280 --> 01:00:14,360
Speaker 3: all fifteen bull practices. Generally, you get done with your

1348
01:00:14,360 --> 01:00:17,240
Speaker 3: regular season, you can start your fifteen Bowl practices. But

1349
01:00:17,320 --> 01:00:20,560
Speaker 3: there's finals for the players, there's this early signing period

1350
01:00:20,600 --> 01:00:24,240
Speaker 3: for the coaches. There's coaches moving around, assistants moving around,

1351
01:00:24,280 --> 01:00:26,200
Speaker 3: everybody's trying to put their house up on the market.

1352
01:00:26,680 --> 01:00:32,160
Speaker 3: It's just it's the first weekends is more unpredictable, I

1353
01:00:32,160 --> 01:00:34,200
Speaker 3: think than the rest of the bowl season. So I

1354
01:00:34,280 --> 01:00:35,960
Speaker 3: just want to say to everybody, like, you know that

1355
01:00:36,320 --> 01:00:37,840
Speaker 3: you know I would take it easy here. This is

1356
01:00:38,840 --> 01:00:41,439
Speaker 3: a This is not a simple, you know, five k race.

1357
01:00:41,520 --> 01:00:43,680
Speaker 3: This is a marathon. And we got about a month

1358
01:00:43,720 --> 01:00:47,520
Speaker 3: worth of games and lasting out until January, second, third, fourth, sixth,

1359
01:00:48,080 --> 01:00:50,760
Speaker 3: So you know, the investments are low this weekend. I

1360
01:00:50,760 --> 01:00:52,680
Speaker 3: think the hammer really comes after Christmas.

1361
01:00:53,120 --> 01:00:53,520
Speaker 2: Fair enough.

1362
01:00:53,520 --> 01:00:55,360
Speaker 1: I just to mention the Pac twelve, the last we mentioned.

1363
01:00:55,360 --> 01:00:58,400
Speaker 1: There's struggles the last three years. They're three seventeen and

1364
01:00:58,440 --> 01:01:01,400
Speaker 1: one against the spread, seventeen and one. The MAC is four,

1365
01:01:01,560 --> 01:01:03,960
Speaker 1: ten and three and two and fifteen straight up, the

1366
01:01:04,000 --> 01:01:07,160
Speaker 1: Big twelve thirteen and six against the spread and thirteen

1367
01:01:07,200 --> 01:01:07,800
Speaker 1: and six straight up.

1368
01:01:07,840 --> 01:01:09,200
Speaker 2: Guess what, I think, they're all dogs.

1369
01:01:09,600 --> 01:01:11,680
Speaker 1: The Big twelve is every Big twelve team is a

1370
01:01:11,720 --> 01:01:15,760
Speaker 1: dog here, all right. So let's move on to the

1371
01:01:16,240 --> 01:01:21,720
Speaker 1: last game on Saturday, which is the New Orleans or

1372
01:01:21,760 --> 01:01:24,919
Speaker 1: New Orleans Bowl nine pm Eastern on ESPN between UAB

1373
01:01:25,040 --> 01:01:29,080
Speaker 1: and APT State. Look, this UAB offense is ugly. The

1374
01:01:29,120 --> 01:01:31,520
Speaker 1: offensive line is ugly. Spencer Browns had a bad year

1375
01:01:31,680 --> 01:01:33,520
Speaker 1: in part due to that offense line. The weapons on

1376
01:01:33,560 --> 01:01:35,520
Speaker 1: the outside are ugly, and if you look at a

1377
01:01:35,560 --> 01:01:38,520
Speaker 1: lot of the numbers, they are ugly as you would expect,

1378
01:01:38,600 --> 01:01:40,400
Speaker 1: even though they had one of the easiest schedules in

1379
01:01:40,400 --> 01:01:42,080
Speaker 1: the country. So it just speaks to how bad this

1380
01:01:42,200 --> 01:01:45,360
Speaker 1: UAB offense is. They're also a snail. They play really slow.

1381
01:01:45,640 --> 01:01:47,800
Speaker 1: The other side of the ball. Up State doesn't play fast.

1382
01:01:48,160 --> 01:01:50,520
Speaker 1: I do think that they'll have some success on offense,

1383
01:01:50,560 --> 01:01:52,280
Speaker 1: but you know, an app State, by the way, they're

1384
01:01:52,320 --> 01:01:53,920
Speaker 1: one week of some defense, they can give up some

1385
01:01:54,000 --> 01:01:55,920
Speaker 1: big plays, but that is not UAB at all. So

1386
01:01:55,920 --> 01:01:57,600
Speaker 1: I think app State we will be able to shut down

1387
01:01:57,920 --> 01:02:00,360
Speaker 1: this UAB offense. To the other side of the ball. Yeah,

1388
01:02:00,400 --> 01:02:04,160
Speaker 1: the UAB defensive line is legit, and I believe in them,

1389
01:02:04,160 --> 01:02:05,919
Speaker 1: and I think they're going to be able to compete here.

1390
01:02:06,120 --> 01:02:09,240
Speaker 1: I think they can, you know, play well enough to

1391
01:02:09,360 --> 01:02:11,840
Speaker 1: make sure that this game doesn't get completely out of hand.

1392
01:02:11,840 --> 01:02:13,320
Speaker 1: And what I mean by completely that ad is like

1393
01:02:13,600 --> 01:02:15,680
Speaker 1: fifty to ten because I like the under here at

1394
01:02:15,680 --> 01:02:16,240
Speaker 1: forty eight.

1395
01:02:16,360 --> 01:02:18,680
Speaker 2: There's also rumors swirling around if you search on.

1396
01:02:18,640 --> 01:02:26,760
Speaker 1: Twitter about uab's quarterback potentially being ineligible for I think academics.

1397
01:02:26,920 --> 01:02:28,720
Speaker 2: It's not drug related. I think it's academics.

1398
01:02:28,800 --> 01:02:31,320
Speaker 1: So that's not announced or anything, but if you search Twitter,

1399
01:02:31,400 --> 01:02:34,760
Speaker 1: there's people asking people about it. So if that happens,

1400
01:02:34,800 --> 01:02:37,560
Speaker 1: their backup is dreadful. The offense just goes to nothing,

1401
01:02:38,640 --> 01:02:40,760
Speaker 1: even worse than it already is. So, you know, and

1402
01:02:40,840 --> 01:02:44,000
Speaker 1: like I said, Appstate doesn't play that fast. You know,

1403
01:02:44,240 --> 01:02:45,880
Speaker 1: we have to mention the app State coaching change here.

1404
01:02:45,880 --> 01:02:46,760
Speaker 1: But I like the under here.

1405
01:02:46,960 --> 01:02:48,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't blame you. I kind of like the

1406
01:02:48,440 --> 01:02:50,080
Speaker 3: under here too. I know the projection is just a

1407
01:02:50,080 --> 01:02:52,720
Speaker 3: little tad higher than this, but Apple app State probably,

1408
01:02:52,720 --> 01:02:54,680
Speaker 3: I think they're number thirty eight in the confidence pool

1409
01:02:54,720 --> 01:02:57,160
Speaker 3: out of forty. I'll focus more on the UAB side,

1410
01:02:57,160 --> 01:02:59,200
Speaker 3: whether Tyler Johnson plays or not. If they don't play,

1411
01:02:59,240 --> 01:03:02,760
Speaker 3: their backup quarter is all ground game. When he played

1412
01:03:02,760 --> 01:03:04,920
Speaker 3: earlier this season, which I don't know why. You know,

1413
01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:07,000
Speaker 3: Tyler Johnsons have an issue with grades. He sat out

1414
01:03:07,040 --> 01:03:09,600
Speaker 3: most of them from like mid October to mid November.

1415
01:03:09,640 --> 01:03:11,800
Speaker 3: He had plenty of time to get his grades up.

1416
01:03:11,840 --> 01:03:14,200
Speaker 3: But uh yeah, I think there from what I read

1417
01:03:14,240 --> 01:03:17,560
Speaker 3: off message boards, Uh, he's taking his finals here these

1418
01:03:17,640 --> 01:03:19,480
Speaker 3: last couple of days, and the grades are really going

1419
01:03:19,520 --> 01:03:22,640
Speaker 3: to termine whether he's going to play if not. Uab's

1420
01:03:22,680 --> 01:03:26,040
Speaker 3: backup quarterback has was basically not allowed to throw. He

1421
01:03:26,080 --> 01:03:28,760
Speaker 3: had a couple i iNTS when he took over earlier

1422
01:03:28,960 --> 01:03:31,760
Speaker 3: in November and he was not allowed to throw anymore.

1423
01:03:31,800 --> 01:03:34,240
Speaker 3: And Bill Clark went to an absolute one hundred percent

1424
01:03:34,360 --> 01:03:37,000
Speaker 3: rushing offense. So what does that mean to you if

1425
01:03:37,040 --> 01:03:39,360
Speaker 3: Tyler Johnson has announced out take the under because this

1426
01:03:39,400 --> 01:03:41,640
Speaker 3: is going to be a complete rushing attack from UAB.

1427
01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:44,120
Speaker 3: They were successful with it, but they were playing like

1428
01:03:44,240 --> 01:03:46,560
Speaker 3: utep UTSA those kind of teams. Is going to be

1429
01:03:46,600 --> 01:03:48,800
Speaker 3: a little bit different against app State front seven that

1430
01:03:49,000 --> 01:03:52,400
Speaker 3: was really good and decent and was you know, causing

1431
01:03:52,440 --> 01:03:54,560
Speaker 3: havoc against North Carolina and South Carolina.

1432
01:03:54,920 --> 01:03:56,080
Speaker 2: Uh and some victories there.

1433
01:03:56,200 --> 01:03:58,520
Speaker 3: So look for that. I'm going to make a case.

1434
01:03:58,720 --> 01:04:00,840
Speaker 3: I know I'm going to make a case of why

1435
01:04:01,000 --> 01:04:03,720
Speaker 3: you should not take UAB, even maybe if we get up.

1436
01:04:03,600 --> 01:04:06,240
Speaker 2: To seventeen a half, and I will say that this

1437
01:04:06,320 --> 01:04:09,360
Speaker 2: number is pretty high. I mean I had at twelve.

1438
01:04:09,160 --> 01:04:11,920
Speaker 3: And a half, but you know, an SPPLUS has US

1439
01:04:11,920 --> 01:04:14,560
Speaker 3: at fourteen, so it's above the projections. But I still

1440
01:04:14,600 --> 01:04:16,680
Speaker 3: don't think anybody should be taking UAB. I think app

1441
01:04:16,680 --> 01:04:18,960
Speaker 3: State is the play. It's what I got in on.

1442
01:04:19,640 --> 01:04:22,040
Speaker 3: Besides all the advanced numbers which are completely going to

1443
01:04:22,040 --> 01:04:24,560
Speaker 3: be an Apple app States favor, you have to think

1444
01:04:24,560 --> 01:04:27,720
Speaker 3: about how UAB got into this situation. They remind me

1445
01:04:27,920 --> 01:04:30,920
Speaker 3: of Akron two years ago. Akron got into the MAC

1446
01:04:31,000 --> 01:04:35,600
Speaker 3: Championship Game because Ohio just completely just stabbed themselves in

1447
01:04:35,600 --> 01:04:37,479
Speaker 3: the eye with a pencil two years ago and knocked

1448
01:04:37,520 --> 01:04:40,760
Speaker 3: themselves out of the Mac East Race. Akron by default

1449
01:04:40,800 --> 01:04:44,160
Speaker 3: got into the MAC Championship Game and just got you know,

1450
01:04:44,320 --> 01:04:47,800
Speaker 3: boat raced. And then because of that, the Bold Ties

1451
01:04:47,920 --> 01:04:51,680
Speaker 3: or what sent Akron down to fau to what played

1452
01:04:51,720 --> 01:04:54,240
Speaker 3: the Owls and they lost by fifty. They got a

1453
01:04:54,280 --> 01:04:56,640
Speaker 3: fifty burger put on them in the Boca Raton Bowl

1454
01:04:56,680 --> 01:04:58,920
Speaker 3: two years ago. They had no business being the Mac

1455
01:04:58,960 --> 01:05:01,479
Speaker 3: championship game. They had no business being in a tie

1456
01:05:01,480 --> 01:05:04,840
Speaker 3: in game where the MAC loser goes automatically to the

1457
01:05:04,840 --> 01:05:09,040
Speaker 3: Boker rotona Bull. So this is exactly what uab's situation is.

1458
01:05:09,440 --> 01:05:12,280
Speaker 3: They only beat Louisiana Tech by six. Louisiana techs spinned,

1459
01:05:12,320 --> 01:05:15,560
Speaker 3: their quarterback was missing their star wide receiver. They barely

1460
01:05:15,560 --> 01:05:17,800
Speaker 3: got a six point win over Louisiana Tech, and then

1461
01:05:17,800 --> 01:05:20,200
Speaker 3: they were gifted a pick six to Mason Fine. That's

1462
01:05:20,200 --> 01:05:22,480
Speaker 3: what put them in the Conference USA championship game against

1463
01:05:22,480 --> 01:05:25,920
Speaker 3: Florida Atlantic where they had a fifty murder put up

1464
01:05:25,920 --> 01:05:27,440
Speaker 3: against them. Because they shouldn't have been there in the

1465
01:05:27,440 --> 01:05:30,680
Speaker 3: first place. Now because they lost that game because they

1466
01:05:30,800 --> 01:05:33,760
Speaker 3: kind of lucked their way into the conference championship game

1467
01:05:33,960 --> 01:05:35,960
Speaker 3: and they lost that game. That's how they get into

1468
01:05:36,000 --> 01:05:38,040
Speaker 3: the New Orleans Bowl and they get the Sunbelt champion.

1469
01:05:38,040 --> 01:05:40,360
Speaker 3: They should not be in this game. I think Appalachian

1470
01:05:40,440 --> 01:05:43,320
Speaker 3: State is absolutely going to destroy this team. Who was

1471
01:05:43,400 --> 01:05:46,240
Speaker 3: behind their new head coach Sean Clark, He was an

1472
01:05:46,400 --> 01:05:49,160
Speaker 3: interim They took that interim tag off of him. This

1473
01:05:49,200 --> 01:05:51,600
Speaker 3: is a guy that wasn't there just for Eli Drinkwitz

1474
01:05:51,640 --> 01:05:53,680
Speaker 3: stay over the last year. He was there through the

1475
01:05:53,720 --> 01:05:56,880
Speaker 3: Scott Saderfield days. The players love this guy. This is

1476
01:05:56,960 --> 01:06:00,360
Speaker 3: an upperclassman dominated roster. They were one of the buguest

1477
01:06:00,840 --> 01:06:03,120
Speaker 3: highest ranked teams in returning production and they want to

1478
01:06:03,160 --> 01:06:06,320
Speaker 3: go out. This team has won four straight bowl games

1479
01:06:06,320 --> 01:06:08,520
Speaker 3: in a row, and for the fifth year seniors on

1480
01:06:08,560 --> 01:06:10,160
Speaker 3: this squad, they have a chance to do something I

1481
01:06:10,160 --> 01:06:11,840
Speaker 3: don't think any program's ever done, which just go five

1482
01:06:11,840 --> 01:06:14,960
Speaker 3: and oh and bowls consecutively. And they know that they've

1483
01:06:14,960 --> 01:06:16,880
Speaker 3: spoken about it. So I just think this is a

1484
01:06:17,000 --> 01:06:17,920
Speaker 3: route from the start.

1485
01:06:18,120 --> 01:06:21,320
Speaker 1: Fair enough. Yeah, I like the under. You think it's raal.

1486
01:06:21,440 --> 01:06:23,200
Speaker 1: You lean towards the under as well. Keep your eye

1487
01:06:23,200 --> 01:06:26,720
Speaker 1: out on the UAB quarterback situation. All right, before we

1488
01:06:26,720 --> 01:06:29,160
Speaker 1: get out of here, let's go three and out.

1489
01:06:32,120 --> 01:06:37,040
Speaker 2: Let's make it a quick three and out on first down.

1490
01:06:37,120 --> 01:06:42,080
Speaker 2: Let's talk Monday Day football? Is it day?

1491
01:06:42,360 --> 01:06:46,880
Speaker 1: This is what I've been waiting for, Monday afternoon football.

1492
01:06:46,920 --> 01:06:50,120
Speaker 1: Once I become the bettings Are of the US, I

1493
01:06:50,160 --> 01:06:52,680
Speaker 1: will mandate that there should be a bowl every Monday

1494
01:06:52,680 --> 01:06:55,720
Speaker 1: in December. Yes, every Monday doesn't matter, but this will

1495
01:06:55,720 --> 01:06:58,440
Speaker 1: be our first Monday after Noon ball. This is the

1496
01:06:58,520 --> 01:07:02,200
Speaker 1: Gasparilla Bowl. The boy Mower's bowling Tampa, Florida between Marshall

1497
01:07:02,440 --> 01:07:05,680
Speaker 1: and UCF. The problem is, and UCF, I believe, is

1498
01:07:05,680 --> 01:07:08,800
Speaker 1: sitting around a seventeen seventeen nin point favor against Marshall.

1499
01:07:08,840 --> 01:07:10,520
Speaker 1: The problem is, I don't have a good feel here.

1500
01:07:11,080 --> 01:07:14,200
Speaker 1: Does UCFK I know Marshall has been great against the spread?

1501
01:07:14,400 --> 01:07:15,360
Speaker 2: Help us out here.

1502
01:07:15,720 --> 01:07:17,200
Speaker 3: I'm sitting back. I haven't made a play on this

1503
01:07:17,240 --> 01:07:18,680
Speaker 3: in the action appen. I haven't put any money into

1504
01:07:18,680 --> 01:07:20,880
Speaker 3: it because my projection is nineteen and sp plus is

1505
01:07:20,920 --> 01:07:23,440
Speaker 3: at twenty. And I think once the public gets into

1506
01:07:23,520 --> 01:07:25,600
Speaker 3: bull betting, they're going to have their say in this game,

1507
01:07:25,760 --> 01:07:27,960
Speaker 3: and somebody's going to come in on Central Florida and

1508
01:07:28,000 --> 01:07:30,040
Speaker 3: it's going to push the number up above the seventeen

1509
01:07:30,120 --> 01:07:32,320
Speaker 3: seventeen and a half. I'd be shocked if this thing

1510
01:07:32,400 --> 01:07:35,480
Speaker 3: closed below seventeen. So that being said, I'm just sitting

1511
01:07:35,520 --> 01:07:36,920
Speaker 3: back until the day of the game, and if I

1512
01:07:36,960 --> 01:07:38,600
Speaker 3: can get this thing to run on game day, like

1513
01:07:38,640 --> 01:07:41,640
Speaker 3: we've seen crazy bulls like this, like just a team

1514
01:07:41,680 --> 01:07:44,280
Speaker 3: like Central Florida that the public loves, I've I can

1515
01:07:44,320 --> 01:07:46,920
Speaker 3: see the number just running outrageously. So I'm just going

1516
01:07:46,960 --> 01:07:48,680
Speaker 3: to sit around and go back on that because not

1517
01:07:48,680 --> 01:07:50,480
Speaker 3: a lot of people realize that Doc Holliday is six

1518
01:07:50,520 --> 01:07:53,120
Speaker 3: and zero against the spread. He loves playing in the

1519
01:07:53,160 --> 01:07:55,040
Speaker 3: state of Florida. He was in the Bad Boy Mowers

1520
01:07:55,120 --> 01:07:57,800
Speaker 3: last year, had no problems winning that game. He loves

1521
01:07:57,800 --> 01:07:59,160
Speaker 3: going to Florida because that's where he gets all of

1522
01:07:59,200 --> 01:08:01,760
Speaker 3: his recruits. He is one of the best when it

1523
01:08:01,800 --> 01:08:03,960
Speaker 3: comes to coming off of a buye or going to

1524
01:08:04,000 --> 01:08:06,720
Speaker 3: a bowl game. He always has his teams completely prepared.

1525
01:08:06,920 --> 01:08:09,560
Speaker 3: So I'm looking to play Marshall here and the Herd.

1526
01:08:10,080 --> 01:08:11,840
Speaker 3: I want a much better number. I want a number

1527
01:08:11,880 --> 01:08:14,120
Speaker 3: above my productive projections. I want a number above this

1528
01:08:14,240 --> 01:08:16,280
Speaker 3: P plus projections. And I think the public's going to

1529
01:08:16,320 --> 01:08:18,840
Speaker 3: get involved Sunday night or Monday morning and get it

1530
01:08:18,880 --> 01:08:22,280
Speaker 3: that way. Now, remember to take this. Marshall beat Florida

1531
01:08:22,280 --> 01:08:25,280
Speaker 3: Atlantic earlier this season. Florida Lantic's a team that runs

1532
01:08:25,320 --> 01:08:29,240
Speaker 3: a similar pace of play, has explosiveness just like Central Florida.

1533
01:08:29,320 --> 01:08:32,479
Speaker 3: The Herd hit eight different targets for reception in that game.

1534
01:08:32,880 --> 01:08:35,920
Speaker 3: Expect this to be slower paced. Expect Marshall, who's top

1535
01:08:35,920 --> 01:08:38,479
Speaker 3: twenty five and sacarate on defense, to take advantage of

1536
01:08:38,520 --> 01:08:41,000
Speaker 3: what I think is going to be a disinterested Central

1537
01:08:41,000 --> 01:08:44,200
Speaker 3: Florida team. They played in two New Year's Six Bowl

1538
01:08:44,240 --> 01:08:46,800
Speaker 3: games straight and now they're just making a quick one

1539
01:08:46,840 --> 01:08:50,200
Speaker 3: hour bus ride down to Tampa. So I don't see

1540
01:08:50,200 --> 01:08:52,240
Speaker 3: how UCF wants to be in this game. It should

1541
01:08:52,240 --> 01:08:54,120
Speaker 3: be a grind of a game and Doc Holiday gets

1542
01:08:54,160 --> 01:08:55,759
Speaker 3: the cover here, but wait for it to steam.

1543
01:08:56,120 --> 01:08:59,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, keep in mind, I believe my guy obi Allo,

1544
01:08:59,240 --> 01:09:01,360
Speaker 1: their best receiver, be playing too, and he wasn't available

1545
01:09:01,360 --> 01:09:05,320
Speaker 1: most of the year. So all right, so let's move

1546
01:09:05,360 --> 01:09:07,439
Speaker 1: on here and we'll have a write up for that game.

1547
01:09:07,520 --> 01:09:09,599
Speaker 1: I'm going to dig in a little more. That is Monday,

1548
01:09:10,760 --> 01:09:13,800
Speaker 1: so we have a little more time to dig for.

1549
01:09:13,800 --> 01:09:17,320
Speaker 1: It's second down. Let's just talk really quickly, FCS. So

1550
01:09:17,439 --> 01:09:20,559
Speaker 1: you have two you know, we're all expecting. James Madison

1551
01:09:20,640 --> 01:09:23,680
Speaker 1: versus North Dakota State. They are both hosting games this week.

1552
01:09:23,680 --> 01:09:26,719
Speaker 1: In North Kota State's hosting Montana State. They're laying seventeen

1553
01:09:26,760 --> 01:09:29,760
Speaker 1: and a half. James Madison is hosting Weaver State, They're

1554
01:09:29,800 --> 01:09:30,640
Speaker 1: laying sixteen.

1555
01:09:31,200 --> 01:09:32,200
Speaker 2: I like James Madison.

1556
01:09:32,200 --> 01:09:34,439
Speaker 1: I think they have this Weber State offense and away

1557
01:09:34,479 --> 01:09:37,439
Speaker 1: from home, the Weeper State offense is just James Madison

1558
01:09:37,520 --> 01:09:40,240
Speaker 1: is so complete special teams, defense, offense. I think they're

1559
01:09:40,240 --> 01:09:41,559
Speaker 1: the best team in the country. I think they're better

1560
01:09:41,560 --> 01:09:44,720
Speaker 1: than North Dakota State. So I'm thinking of laying it here.

1561
01:09:44,720 --> 01:09:47,080
Speaker 1: I'll probably stay off the North Dakota State game. You

1562
01:09:47,080 --> 01:09:47,720
Speaker 1: see anything here.

1563
01:09:47,800 --> 01:09:50,080
Speaker 3: The markets at sixteen right now, so I don't really

1564
01:09:50,120 --> 01:09:52,559
Speaker 3: see the value in the number. But that being said,

1565
01:09:52,600 --> 01:09:55,200
Speaker 3: because of what happening against Northern Iowa last week and

1566
01:09:55,240 --> 01:09:58,280
Speaker 3: the low scoring and the weather and the fact that

1567
01:09:58,439 --> 01:10:00,120
Speaker 3: you know they could just sit on the ball, I

1568
01:10:00,120 --> 01:10:02,200
Speaker 3: think that's the reason for the low score. So I

1569
01:10:02,240 --> 01:10:04,160
Speaker 3: would back to James Madison here, and I would take

1570
01:10:04,200 --> 01:10:07,240
Speaker 3: an over Weaver State. It's a different team away from home,

1571
01:10:07,280 --> 01:10:08,840
Speaker 3: so I think that's the play fair enough.

1572
01:10:08,880 --> 01:10:10,639
Speaker 1: And then before we get out of your third down,

1573
01:10:10,720 --> 01:10:13,400
Speaker 1: favorite money line dog of the weekend through Monday, we

1574
01:10:13,520 --> 01:10:17,559
Speaker 1: got I'm taking Boise, I'm going Kent State. Thanks for listening, everyone,

1575
01:10:17,560 --> 01:10:18,360
Speaker 1: Thanks for joining me.

1576
01:10:18,400 --> 01:10:18,639
Speaker 2: Colin.

1577
01:10:18,760 --> 01:10:22,280
Speaker 1: Again, keep in mind that we will have a Bowl.

1578
01:10:22,320 --> 01:10:24,200
Speaker 1: We have four more Bowl previews to go. The second

1579
01:10:24,200 --> 01:10:26,320
Speaker 1: one will come out on Monday. We'll cover the weekday

1580
01:10:26,320 --> 01:10:28,280
Speaker 1: bowls and then again another episode of Friday.

1581
01:10:28,000 --> 01:10:29,439
Speaker 2: Same schedule. We have five.

1582
01:10:29,479 --> 01:10:31,439
Speaker 1: Eventually we're going to get to the college football Playoff.

1583
01:10:31,920 --> 01:10:34,519
Speaker 1: We'll be out in Vegas for the National Championship. Bowl

1584
01:10:34,640 --> 01:10:37,840
Speaker 1: season is here. Subscribe on subscribe, tell a friend, tell

1585
01:10:37,880 --> 01:10:40,160
Speaker 1: an enemy, leave a review that helps us a ton.

1586
01:10:40,400 --> 01:10:42,960
Speaker 1: I'm going to be sending out prize packs chargers, and

1587
01:10:43,479 --> 01:10:47,080
Speaker 1: anybody who say it's bullseason, baby or Monday Bowls mentioned

1588
01:10:47,080 --> 01:10:49,960
Speaker 1: Monday Bowls forever. You'll get into running for this latest

1589
01:10:49,960 --> 01:10:51,360
Speaker 1: prize that I'll do at the end of bowl season.

1590
01:10:51,400 --> 01:10:53,599
Speaker 1: So thanks for listening again. Good luck on the bowls

1591
01:10:53,600 --> 01:10:56,519
Speaker 1: this weekend. We'll catch you all later. Cheers, peace out.

1592
01:10:57,760 --> 01:11:00,559
Speaker 2: It's the time.

1593
01:11:01,280 --> 01:11:09,000
Speaker 1: It's the most quanuple time all the most quanercle time

1594
01:11:10,000 --> 01:11:19,880
Speaker 1: are the we're finished talking.