1 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: Hey everybody, Welcome back to the Betting Pros podcast, brought 2 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:19,640 Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris. 3 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: Find me on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. It is 4 00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: week nine. It is time to talk about our best 5 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 1: bets for the weekend. And to do that with me 6 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 1: is Andrew Cayley, senior betting analyst over at Covers. Find 7 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:34,080 Speaker 1: him at Twitter at Underscore. No wait, sorry, Saratt, what's 8 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: your Twitter handle? And I totally messed up Covered? 9 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 2: Kley is out Underscore, Kaylee. 10 00:00:40,200 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 1: I totally messed it up. I totally messed it up 11 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 1: Covers Underscore Kaylee c A l e Y. We're off 12 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: to a brilliant start, Andrew, despite me mangling your Twitter handle? 13 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:51,640 Speaker 3: How are you? Thanks for joining me. 14 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 2: I'm doing very well. I'm happy that I could figure 15 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 2: out all my technology. I was away for a couple 16 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 2: of weeks from from the betting boards for my wedding 17 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 2: and a little honeymoons. So ready to get back into 18 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:04,960 Speaker 2: the action right now. So hopefully I don't disappoint a 19 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 2: little rusty. 20 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:08,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, apologies again. 21 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:10,400 Speaker 1: I know you had me asked me to be your 22 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: best man. 23 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 2: I couldn't make it. 24 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: I'm really sorry, a very busy weekend for me just 25 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 1: with the NFL, you know, so well, it's great to 26 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: have you back. Congratulations like getting married. I'm kidding, obviously, 27 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: I'm kidding. And again, you know we've got some Aaron 28 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: Rodgers drama. Last time you were here back in probably 29 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:29,320 Speaker 1: week two, and we were doing it during the Monday 30 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:32,679 Speaker 1: night football game and before things turned around, which they 31 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 1: ultimately did in that game. While we were watching, they 32 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: looked like they were about to lose again and it 33 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:40,399 Speaker 1: was the Is Rogers tanking. And now we have the 34 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: whole thing with him going to miss this game with 35 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 1: COVID nineteen. So this might be your last time on 36 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:46,880 Speaker 1: the podcast if our Green Bay fans. 37 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 3: Had anything to do with it, because they're going to 38 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 3: be pretty pick Yea. 39 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:52,080 Speaker 2: I guess I'm unlucky. I'm sorry, I'm sorry. 40 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 1: No, no, no, it's all right, it's all right, don't 41 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 1: worry about it. All right, So let's get to it. 42 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 1: Three best bets of the weekend for each of us, 43 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 1: whether we're doing spreads, totals, teamed totals, money line, whatever 44 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 1: we want. Then we'll very quickly run through the remaining 45 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 1: spreads and just talk about if we have a lean 46 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: or if it's a total stay away for both of us. 47 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:10,720 Speaker 1: But first, our latest offware from bet MGM. New customers 48 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 1: can bet ten dollars on any team to win an 49 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 1: NFL game and win two hundred dollars in free bets. 50 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:20,399 Speaker 1: If the team they bets on scores a touchdown. That's 51 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 1: it again, bet ten dollars win two hundred dollars in 52 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:26,800 Speaker 1: free bets at the team that you bet on scores 53 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 1: a touchdown. 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That's 56 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:42,640 Speaker 1: the promo code to be able to get that offer again. 57 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 1: Juice one hundred from our podcast, The Daily Juice Daily 58 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: every single day with Matt Prault. 59 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 3: All right, very quickly, let's run through last week. 60 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 1: Our guest Ryan Noonan had a nice week two and 61 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 1: one hit on the Cowboys, getting one and a half 62 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 1: from the Vikings the Rams team total over thirty and 63 00:02:56,240 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 1: a half, but he did miss on the Bucks slaying 64 00:02:58,480 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 1: five and a half to the Saints. 65 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 3: I went one and two again. 66 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 1: Unfortunately, I did hit on the Steelers, getting three and 67 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:05,839 Speaker 1: a half from the Browns, which was my favorite bet, 68 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 1: but I missed on both my totals, the under fifteen 69 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:10,359 Speaker 1: and a half in the Bucks and the Saints and 70 00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 1: the under fifty one on the Colts and Titans. That 71 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:14,760 Speaker 1: puts me at fourteen and ten on the season fifty 72 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: eight percent. So that's fine, but let's do better this time. 73 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: Remember I'm going to be using the Betting prosconsensus line 74 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot Com consensus lines that'll show you lines available 75 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 1: at all the various books, but also the aggregate of 76 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 1: all the lines that are there. You can fade us, 77 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: you can follow us, you can do whatever you want. 78 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: Let's get started. Andrew, you are our guests. Please your 79 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 1: first selection. 80 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 2: I am going with the Chiefs team total over twenty 81 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 2: seven and a half. I'd take it over twenty eight. 82 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 2: That's a juice to about minus one depending on the book. 83 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 2: I know the Chiefs look broken right now. It's it's 84 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 2: as a guy. I have many shares in Patrick Mahomes 85 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 2: in my Dynasty Fantasy football leagues, and it's been a 86 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 2: little iffy recently. But there's no Aaron Rodgers this week, 87 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 2: and the total immediately dropped from about fifty five and 88 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 2: a half to forty eight and a half forty eight ish, 89 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:10,440 Speaker 2: So a better touchdown he's worth a better touchdown. But 90 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 2: I'm trying not to look at what the Rogers being 91 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:16,919 Speaker 2: gone will mean to the game overall, and I'm just 92 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 2: going to try to focus on the Chiefs and that 93 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:22,159 Speaker 2: makes it a little easier for me. Like as they said, 94 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 2: the Chiefs obviously look broken on offense, but I'm going 95 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 2: to give them a little bit more faith for at 96 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 2: least one more week. The Packers have already lost several 97 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 2: key guys on defense this year, and that's a defense 98 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 2: that rings twenty second in Dvoa right now. And now 99 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 2: they have the several more guys who are questionable over 100 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:40,760 Speaker 2: Elier this week, and now we get the Jordan Love experience, 101 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,040 Speaker 2: and I'm not sure what we're gonna get out of 102 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 2: the pan. If we get I expect him to give 103 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:50,279 Speaker 2: the Chiefs at least one, if not multiple short fields, 104 00:04:50,279 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 2: So I think that could help their scoring a bit 105 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:55,800 Speaker 2: in this game as well, And I think they're going 106 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 2: to want to show that they're not broken anymore. But 107 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:00,599 Speaker 2: what I've seen My biggest issue from what I've seen 108 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:03,720 Speaker 2: from the Chiefs right now is that Pafrick Mahomes is 109 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 2: me moving out of the pocket too quickly right now. 110 00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 2: And I understand why. I get it. That offensive line 111 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,360 Speaker 2: has been pretty terrible, but it's been so terrible to 112 00:05:12,400 --> 00:05:15,160 Speaker 2: point now. He's moving before the pressure gets there, and 113 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:19,280 Speaker 2: he's running around and he's forcing frozy. He's always forced 114 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 2: throw tea shut and he has that ability and he 115 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:23,760 Speaker 2: trusts his arm a little too much at times, but 116 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 2: it's been to the extreme at this point. So I 117 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:29,159 Speaker 2: think that the Packers aren't going to get much of 118 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 2: a pass rush on him in this game, so he'll 119 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 2: be able to settle down a little bit more and 120 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:36,560 Speaker 2: just trust his arm a bit, and they'll be able 121 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 2: to show that there's still a team that needs to 122 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 2: fear on offense this week. So we're gonna go over 123 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:41,839 Speaker 2: twenty seven and a half team total. 124 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 3: I can't try you on this one. 125 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:49,040 Speaker 1: And really, I well, here's the thing. Why didn't they 126 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 1: show it this week? I mean a Monday night football 127 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 1: game at home against the Giants. That seems like the shot, right, 128 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 1: That seems like this is where they're gonna get, right, 129 00:05:57,800 --> 00:06:00,160 Speaker 1: this is what they're gonna do, and they looked as 130 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:03,720 Speaker 1: broken as ever. I mean, is this just the you know, 131 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:06,279 Speaker 1: the Packers don't get a great pass rush the Giants 132 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 1: zone either generally speaking, but the Packers don't get a 133 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 1: great pass rush and they're injured, and you just kind 134 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 1: of expect, because you have so much faith in what 135 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:15,840 Speaker 1: they've done in the past, that they're just gonna happen 136 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 1: to get right in this. 137 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 2: But the Leonard Williams is that's the type of thing 138 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 2: that the Bucks did well. You go right up the 139 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:22,360 Speaker 2: middle and you get them, you get them out of 140 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,239 Speaker 2: the pocket right away. And I agree, yes, they probably 141 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:27,880 Speaker 2: should have done it against the Giants as well, but 142 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:30,920 Speaker 2: this is I think this is just a spot where 143 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 2: this is a get right spot for them, and I 144 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 2: think they'd do it. And I it's still trust what 145 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:37,719 Speaker 2: I see in the talent on that team. I still 146 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:40,039 Speaker 2: think they're well coached. I think Andy Reid is kind 147 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:42,359 Speaker 2: of like overthinking things a little bit with some of 148 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:45,839 Speaker 2: these goal line plays at times that that does trouble 149 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 2: me a little bit. Like they'll be running these draws 150 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 2: on first and goal from the nine where they get 151 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 2: zero yards and then they do a trick play and 152 00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:56,279 Speaker 2: then you're like, oh, it's just a regular pass, Like, 153 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 2: just do your regular play. Sets in the goal to 154 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:01,440 Speaker 2: go situation and they'll be fine. That they have the 155 00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 2: talent they have that they can do it. They just 156 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 2: have to trust themselves a little more, and I think 157 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 2: I think they do that well. 158 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:10,280 Speaker 1: I certainly hope you are correct. I'm going to be 159 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 1: watching this from the sidelines. I'd like the Chiefs to 160 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 1: get right, and again I have faith that they will eventually, 161 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: like because Mahomes is too good, Read. 162 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:18,800 Speaker 3: Is too good. 163 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 1: But for now, I'm just going to watch it from 164 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 1: the sidelines. But I am really interested to see what 165 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 1: this game looks like right now. I think the spread 166 00:07:25,160 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 1: has jumped from one and a half to seven and 167 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 1: a half when the move is made there at the quarterback, 168 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:33,680 Speaker 1: So I look forward to watching. I'm going to take 169 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: a game that I know you were on as well, 170 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 1: so you know, I feel good that I took it, 171 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 1: except for the fact that the spread is moving in 172 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 1: a crazy fashion, which isn't surprising given the injuries. So 173 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 1: I will take where the consensus line is at the 174 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:53,520 Speaker 1: time that we make this pick, which is the. 175 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 3: Forty nine ers. Now laying two to the Cardinals. 176 00:07:58,120 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 1: Now, I will tell you that I have so much 177 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: action on this game because it was originally the Cardinals 178 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 1: laying two and a half to the forty nine Ers. 179 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 1: So I have teased the forty nine ers up already 180 00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 1: twice in two different teasers to eight and a half. 181 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:14,160 Speaker 1: Then when it went to one and a half, I 182 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 1: tease them up to seven and a half. Now, when 183 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 1: I was doing this this morning, it was the forty 184 00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:21,240 Speaker 1: nine ers laying one. The consensus line is now two. 185 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 1: There are still some ones out there, some one and 186 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: a half. 187 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 3: It's at two. 188 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 1: That's fine. I'm willing to do it, but it takes 189 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 1: away my money line bet. So again it's moving because 190 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 1: of the injury concerns. I'm sure again we're doing this 191 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 1: on Thursday, before the Thursday night football game. Neither Kyler 192 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 1: Murray nor DeAndre Hopkins practice this week. There was a 193 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,240 Speaker 1: report earlier in the week did they expect Kyler Murray 194 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:44,800 Speaker 1: to go? But even if he goes, he's going to 195 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: be extremely limited. But even without that, okay, like take 196 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: that away, give them full strength. I still kind of 197 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:54,800 Speaker 1: think the forty nine ers are going to win this game. Regardless. First, 198 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 1: they should have beaten them last game, right, I mean, 199 00:08:57,320 --> 00:08:59,679 Speaker 1: that's the thing. They had Trey Lance right starting his 200 00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:03,080 Speaker 1: first start. They almost scored, you know, they got stuffed 201 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:05,240 Speaker 1: at the goal line. They couldn't convert a fourth down. 202 00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:08,079 Speaker 1: They were very close throughout that. They wound up losing 203 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 1: seventeen to ten, but easily a game that they could win. 204 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 1: The forty nine ers are getting healthier. Everything I've seen 205 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:14,960 Speaker 1: suggest that George Kittle is going to be able to 206 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,160 Speaker 1: make it back for this game, which not only helps 207 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:20,560 Speaker 1: their passing game, but also helps their running game because 208 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:23,319 Speaker 1: he's such a good blocker. Elijah Mitchell returned to practice today. 209 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel is still working on the side, but again 210 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:28,200 Speaker 1: he was battling the calf thing last and last week, 211 00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:30,439 Speaker 1: and he did play. Jim and Garoppolo look good. Brandon 212 00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: Ayukuz coming along a little bit more so. I think 213 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 1: their offense here is just getting better and there is 214 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:38,600 Speaker 1: regression coming for the Cardinals, and we started started seeing 215 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 1: it last week. JJ Watson jury actually is you know, 216 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:44,360 Speaker 1: does have an impact, especially on the run. Cliff Kingsbury 217 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:46,960 Speaker 1: entire his entire career is based around tanking in the 218 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 1: second half, like you look at his college career, look 219 00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 1: at his pro career. This is what his teams do. 220 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:54,200 Speaker 1: It's like, all right, we're just gonna basically play, you know, 221 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:56,719 Speaker 1: you know, a three you know, win one out of 222 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 1: every three games down the stretch here and then we 223 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 1: But again, the injury concerns are really massive, because even 224 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 1: if I thought Somer Francisco was going to win this game, regardless, 225 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:07,160 Speaker 1: it's not as much Hopkins. 226 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 3: I think that's a big deal. 227 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 2: A J. 228 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:09,960 Speaker 1: Green's obviously on the COVID list. We don't know if 229 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 1: he's gonna play, but it's Murray, and it's the fact 230 00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:15,679 Speaker 1: that it's his ankle, and if you take away Murray's mobility, 231 00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 1: that's worth so many points in a spread, which is 232 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:22,240 Speaker 1: why it's moving so significantly. So you know, for me, 233 00:10:22,400 --> 00:10:24,720 Speaker 1: this is a spot where it just feels like the 234 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:27,000 Speaker 1: forty nine ers are gonna kind of go on a 235 00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:29,000 Speaker 1: mini run here. They got the Rams next week, so 236 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:32,040 Speaker 1: who knows, But it just feels right now like the 237 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 1: bill is coming due a little bit for the Cardinals 238 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:36,439 Speaker 1: and with a bang up Murray, as long as it 239 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 1: stays under a field goal, please come on. 240 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going on the bad side of doubtful Murray. 241 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:45,480 Speaker 2: I mean, and it's just the backup I believe is 242 00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:48,720 Speaker 2: still a little inside of it is Chris Streveler, the 243 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 2: former CFL quarterback and the last he is. He was 244 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:58,679 Speaker 2: on the Gray Cup champion Winnipeg Blue Bombers before Kingsbury 245 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:00,960 Speaker 2: signed him. But he's like he has a big arm, 246 00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:03,560 Speaker 2: but he's mostly they used him on the goal line 247 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 2: to like rush in touchdowns and he had twelve touchdowns 248 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 2: in Uh. Is it still is McCoy the number two listed? 249 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 3: Okay, I think it's I was just chelling. 250 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:15,200 Speaker 1: I was like, oh god, I had it wrong because 251 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 1: I thought it was Colt McCoy. 252 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:17,280 Speaker 3: He is on the team. 253 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I I I don't know. 254 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:21,760 Speaker 3: Actually, to be fair, I guess that's true. 255 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:22,880 Speaker 1: I don't know whether or not. 256 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 3: That's true. 257 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:27,560 Speaker 1: But regardless, I think we can safely say that it's 258 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 1: a minor downgrade from Kyler Murray. Whoever it is. Yeah, 259 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 1: that's really what it is. And again, yeah, I was 260 00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:33,480 Speaker 1: I mean. 261 00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:34,199 Speaker 3: His his week. 262 00:11:34,320 --> 00:11:37,000 Speaker 1: His injury was originally called like a one to three 263 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:38,800 Speaker 1: week thing. So the fact that they thought he was 264 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 1: going to play is fine. And if you're the Cardinals, 265 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 1: really because you're seven and one, this is a spot 266 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:46,280 Speaker 1: to rest him, I think, even against the divisional opponent. 267 00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 1: I know you want to hold off the Rams, but 268 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 1: you've got long term plans here. This isn't the spot 269 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:53,200 Speaker 1: I think where you let that defensive line go after 270 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 1: him and possibly injure him more. 271 00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:55,760 Speaker 3: So if he sits. 272 00:11:55,800 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 1: But even if he plays at this point, you know 273 00:11:57,400 --> 00:11:59,200 Speaker 1: he's not going to be anywhere close to one hundred percent. 274 00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:00,679 Speaker 1: So if you were listening to this and the spread 275 00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:04,160 Speaker 1: is still under a field goal pounded and again God 276 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 1: helped me. If the forty nine ers lose this game 277 00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:09,040 Speaker 1: now with yeah, I have and if they lose it 278 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 1: badly because I have so many teasers Andrew that I 279 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 1: got just past when it was until it got past one, 280 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 1: I was like, give me seven, give me them getting 281 00:12:17,040 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 1: seven and a half, give me them an eight and 282 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:18,720 Speaker 1: a half. 283 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 2: Another one that I know we discussed a little bit 284 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:22,560 Speaker 2: off there that we were both on the same side here. 285 00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:25,480 Speaker 2: So I'm going Chargers and I I have it down 286 00:12:25,480 --> 00:12:27,440 Speaker 2: as minus too because it's the same thing less than 287 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:31,959 Speaker 2: a field goal. But now I'm seeing minus one a 288 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:35,520 Speaker 2: lot of places. I don't know if that okay, Yeah, 289 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 2: it's still too okay. But I have been hearing that 290 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 2: Sharps have been all over the Eagles the last few weeks, 291 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 2: and it seems like the trend is continuing this week 292 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:46,520 Speaker 2: because I just saw the line. I saw it too, 293 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 2: and I was like, that seems wrong to me. It 294 00:12:49,400 --> 00:12:52,319 Speaker 2: just it just felt wrong. The Chargers are the better 295 00:12:52,360 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 2: coach team by a mile. I think I have no 296 00:12:55,880 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 2: way to Nick Sirianni at all when it comes to 297 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 2: leading that team. They have a better quarterback than Justin Herbert. Yes, 298 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,160 Speaker 2: he's been struggling, I give him a little pass. Like 299 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:07,280 Speaker 2: the Phil Checks just seems to have the Chargers number, 300 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 2: and he just knows how to deal with young quarterbacks 301 00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:13,320 Speaker 2: better than most, or at least coaching against young quarterbacks 302 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:16,280 Speaker 2: better than most. And I think this is another guy 303 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:18,760 Speaker 2: who's gonna get a bit of a get right spot 304 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 2: against an Eagles defense that I think is a little 305 00:13:21,280 --> 00:13:26,200 Speaker 2: overrated and also a little banged up. At the same time, 306 00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:29,200 Speaker 2: the Chargers also don't even have to deal with the 307 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:31,760 Speaker 2: West Coast. Hey, we've got to play early, and we 308 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 2: have a morning game that it's in the late time slot, 309 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,280 Speaker 2: so it's a normal two pm start for them. Sort 310 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 2: of thing, so I don't really get it. So obviously 311 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:44,080 Speaker 2: it's a very square play, and I've seen a lot 312 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 2: of early public people on it. Call me square, I guess, 313 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 2: but I just love this number. I think the Chargers 314 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 2: win it by by at least a fuel goal, so 315 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 2: I'm happy. I'll happily take the minus two minus one. 316 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:58,800 Speaker 2: Whatever you're gonna give me, I'll take it with them. 317 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 1: It strikes me as just kind of a very very 318 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 1: classic Bilo sell high. Right, everybody's off the Chargers because 319 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,760 Speaker 1: they look bad last week against New England. The Eagles 320 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:12,760 Speaker 1: finally dominated a game, you know, against the Lions. So look, 321 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:16,160 Speaker 1: that's right, it's got to count as half a win 322 00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 1: at best. I like the Eagles, I always have. I 323 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 1: feel like they should be better. It was nice to 324 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:25,000 Speaker 1: see them win. But yeah, this is very simple, and 325 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 1: you're right. I mean the four o'clock time, you know, 326 00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 1: the start for that. It's a pretty big deal because 327 00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:32,760 Speaker 1: it is a thing for West Coast teams a lot 328 00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 1: of times to come east and take a one o'clock game. 329 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:38,520 Speaker 1: Their internal clocks just aren't right. This makes it a 330 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:40,840 Speaker 1: little easier, and I do think that the Chargers are 331 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 1: just a better team. And again they're four and three. 332 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 3: That's fine. 333 00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 1: They've lost a couple here, but Staley's great and he 334 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 1: has them playing the right way. So you know, I 335 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 1: don't think that the Eagles defense is strong enough to 336 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:54,680 Speaker 1: kind of, you know, make Herbert uncomfortable. So I think 337 00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 1: with that, I do think that they win by more 338 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 1: than field goal. I agree, as long as it's thunderfield goal, 339 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 1: I would have taken it. Yeah, the way it works, 340 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:03,600 Speaker 1: I've told everybody, like I get from our guests ever 341 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:06,360 Speaker 1: since week one, where Sean was sort of doubling up 342 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 1: on all the same picks. I get the guests just 343 00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: today three, so I don't have it. And then when 344 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 1: you get we can tell the public. I mean, were 345 00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:17,120 Speaker 1: you were gonna take Miami laying six and a half, 346 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 1: But then, of course we learned that Tarrod Taylor is 347 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 1: going to start. 348 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 3: That changed the equation. 349 00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:23,080 Speaker 1: So in between I said, all right, well you were 350 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 1: gonna change I said, all right, well I'm taking San 351 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: Francisco and I saw that one from you. But you 352 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 1: did mention this, and I would have taken this as well, 353 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 1: So we are on the same side. I'm interested in 354 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 1: hearing your thoughts on my next pick, because this one 355 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:37,240 Speaker 1: was something where when I first saw the line, I 356 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 1: was on the other side, and then I dug into 357 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 1: it a little bit and I came out with the 358 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 1: Browns getting two and a half from the Bengals. This 359 00:15:45,640 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: feels like the line is out there begging you to 360 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 1: take the Bengals right Like maybe they think that the 361 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 1: public's going to be a little off the Bengals because 362 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:55,440 Speaker 1: they lost to the Jets, but I feel like it's 363 00:15:55,520 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 1: much more about how can anybody want to back the 364 00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 1: Browns right now because of all the drama they lost 365 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:02,520 Speaker 1: to the Steelers and you've got the Odell Beckham junior 366 00:16:02,560 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 1: stuff going on. So this strikes me as if you're 367 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 1: giving a team like the Bengals, who I think the 368 00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:09,840 Speaker 1: public's really excited about despite the Jets loss and laying 369 00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:12,160 Speaker 1: less than field goal to the Browns who are in disarray, 370 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 1: it's just begging you to take the Bengals. And that's 371 00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 1: why I'm gonna take the rounds. I'm gonna wait because 372 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:22,160 Speaker 1: I mean, it's not gonna move anywhere. I'm gonna hope 373 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:24,080 Speaker 1: that it gets to three. I don't think it will. 374 00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 1: But if I'm gonna wait, so if you're in on this, 375 00:16:26,520 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 1: I would wait. 376 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 2: So if they're I haven't seen. I haven't seen the 377 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 2: actual betting numbers, so these are for These are free 378 00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 2: play numbers for anyone who doesn't know. So it's not actual, 379 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 2: it's not actual money wagers, but it's still a gauge. 380 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 2: Like we have a pretty advanced, advanced community, and I 381 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 2: would say an intelligent betting community, and they're they're on 382 00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:47,800 Speaker 2: the Bengals right now. But it was something I noticed 383 00:16:47,840 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 2: about the Bengals and that losses that they did not 384 00:16:50,160 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 2: actle very well in that Jets game, and I expect 385 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 2: that the Browns are just say here you go, Nick 386 00:16:56,960 --> 00:16:59,680 Speaker 2: Chubb and let them let him do. 387 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: His You are, you're doing my work for me, man, 388 00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:04,560 Speaker 1: I love it well. 389 00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:05,960 Speaker 3: I will say that again. 390 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:08,400 Speaker 1: We have the bet analyser over at Betting Pros as well, 391 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:10,639 Speaker 1: and we've got a bunch of people from around the 392 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,440 Speaker 1: industry who make picks and submit picks, including me, and 393 00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:15,760 Speaker 1: they're right in line with what you have from covers, 394 00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:19,119 Speaker 1: which is seventy six percent are taking the Bengals. So 395 00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:20,159 Speaker 1: I don't mind that. 396 00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:21,359 Speaker 3: I don't mind being there. 397 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:23,520 Speaker 1: But again, there's no reason not to wait, like it's 398 00:17:23,560 --> 00:17:26,200 Speaker 1: not going anywhere. It's it's certainly not going down. Maybe 399 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 1: it gets to three. So again, wait and if it 400 00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:30,320 Speaker 1: gets to three, that's gonna be my official player, right 401 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:32,919 Speaker 1: because I have said that you should wait everybody for 402 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:35,080 Speaker 1: the record. It's on there, and if I tell you 403 00:17:35,119 --> 00:17:37,119 Speaker 1: if it goes down to two, that'll be my wherever 404 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:38,960 Speaker 1: it is by the time we close, That's where I'm 405 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:41,480 Speaker 1: gonna take it. But I think what it is is 406 00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:43,800 Speaker 1: I think the Bengals are overrated, man like that. That's 407 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:47,480 Speaker 1: what it boils down to. I think the Browns just 408 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:50,400 Speaker 1: as a whole, like looking at the entire team versus 409 00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 1: the entire team, I think the Browns are a better team. 410 00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:54,280 Speaker 1: And you look at just DVOA, right, not the be 411 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,239 Speaker 1: all end all, but the total overall DVA Browns are 412 00:17:57,320 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 1: six and the Bengals are twenty first. And then you know, 413 00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:01,320 Speaker 1: so the Brown's a had a lot of injuries that 414 00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:03,280 Speaker 1: they've dealt with for most of the season, but they're 415 00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:05,480 Speaker 1: getting a lot healthier. I think their offense plays well, 416 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:07,959 Speaker 1: you mentioned it, you know, I think that you know, 417 00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: the Bengals have issues tackling. I think that they're going 418 00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:11,760 Speaker 1: to be a lot of Nick Chubb here as he's 419 00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 1: healthier after coming back last week. And I think I 420 00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 1: don't want to put too much stock into like the 421 00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:20,119 Speaker 1: mental part of it, but Odo Beckham Junior is not 422 00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:20,840 Speaker 1: going to play here. 423 00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 3: It's been a huge distraction. 424 00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,280 Speaker 1: It strikes me as a rallying cry for a team 425 00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 1: that's very good and needs sort of a point to 426 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,680 Speaker 1: come together, and that kind of is what I think 427 00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:30,680 Speaker 1: we're going to see here. 428 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:33,680 Speaker 3: And again, I backed the Steelers correctly. 429 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:34,960 Speaker 1: Against the Browns last week, and one of the big 430 00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:36,919 Speaker 1: things I had was that the Steelers are able to 431 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 1: get pressure without blitzing. That is something that really messes 432 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 1: up Baker Mayfield. You've just seen it throughout his career. 433 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 1: That's not what the Bengals do. The Bengals don't get 434 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:47,080 Speaker 1: a ton of pressure. Twenty four point nine percent pressure rate, 435 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 1: that's like middle of the road. And again, with the 436 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 1: Browns getting a little healthier on the offensive line, at least, 437 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 1: I think their offense is going to do well. Conversely, 438 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:58,119 Speaker 1: again selling the Bengals a little bit, you know, I 439 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:01,040 Speaker 1: think really their you know, their record is good obviously, 440 00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 1: but I think their reputation is inflated a little bit 441 00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 1: because of that beatdown of the Ravens. They've lost to 442 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:08,560 Speaker 1: the Jets, they beat the Jaguars by three, and they've 443 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 1: lost to the Bears. Okay, this is not a dominant 444 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:13,480 Speaker 1: team by any means. And Burrow is sort of like 445 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield, by the way, is that he struggles when 446 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:18,480 Speaker 1: you get pressure without blitzing, sort of, you know, like 447 00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:20,960 Speaker 1: I figured the Steelers would. The Browns are pretty much 448 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,760 Speaker 1: the same. Twenty seven point eight percent pressure rate that's 449 00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:26,160 Speaker 1: fifth in the league, but just a twenty one point 450 00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:28,720 Speaker 1: seven percent blitz rate that's eleventh lowest in the league. 451 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:31,719 Speaker 1: So that's how you get to Burrow. Javian Clowney didn't practice. 452 00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:33,959 Speaker 1: I don't know if he's gonna play, but Miles Garrett 453 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:35,240 Speaker 1: is gonna play, and that's really what you need to 454 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 1: get the pressure. So I don't know, man, this is 455 00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 1: a spot for me for the Browns. The money line 456 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:41,879 Speaker 1: is plus one fifteen. It's you know whatever. I'll probably 457 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:43,399 Speaker 1: sprinkle on that because if you're going to take a 458 00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:44,200 Speaker 1: short dog, you might. 459 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:46,240 Speaker 3: As well sprinkle the money line. But I'm gonna go 460 00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:46,760 Speaker 3: with the Browns. 461 00:19:46,760 --> 00:19:48,920 Speaker 1: And I realize, like you said, I'm in the minority here, 462 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:50,919 Speaker 1: but I don't know, man, After looking at it for 463 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:52,680 Speaker 1: a while, I actually think the Browns escape here. And 464 00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:54,440 Speaker 1: again the homefield advantage, by the way, it doesn't really 465 00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:57,359 Speaker 1: mean anything when it's Cincinnati versus Cleveland in the divisional game. 466 00:19:57,440 --> 00:19:59,240 Speaker 3: So anyway, so. 467 00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 2: I'm going to money football and I am We've you 468 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,840 Speaker 2: talked a bit about the Steelers there a second ago, 469 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:06,160 Speaker 2: and I'm actually going to fade the Steelers this week. Again, 470 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:11,960 Speaker 2: I think these are two okay teams. That's a good 471 00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 2: way to do. I think the Steelers are a little 472 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:16,680 Speaker 2: more okay than the Bears at this point. Obviously, the 473 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,760 Speaker 2: Steelers got their big win last week, but their big 474 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:21,880 Speaker 2: win it's the stead of them scoring to fifteen points 475 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:24,840 Speaker 2: and he's on his He's said it looked to me 476 00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:26,679 Speaker 2: it looks like his arms hanging by a thread for 477 00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:30,880 Speaker 2: the most part. And I just don't see them covering 478 00:20:31,040 --> 00:20:32,600 Speaker 2: six and a half points they've been at the Sealers 479 00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:34,280 Speaker 2: have been a terrible bet as a favorite so far, 480 00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:38,600 Speaker 2: and I expect that to continue against a team like 481 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:41,359 Speaker 2: the Bears. And while they do get the Steelers do 482 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:43,840 Speaker 2: get good pressure. Some One who can handle pressure is 483 00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:47,400 Speaker 2: a guy like Justin Fields, who can improvise and make 484 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:49,639 Speaker 2: things happen with his legs like we saw last week. 485 00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:54,359 Speaker 2: And I expect this to be another low scoring game. Obviously, 486 00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:56,520 Speaker 2: the total is only forty, so it's expected to be 487 00:20:56,560 --> 00:21:01,719 Speaker 2: a low scoring game, and will them there is Obviously 488 00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 2: it's not a double digit. But you're getting almost a feel, 489 00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:07,679 Speaker 2: almost a touchdown with the Bears, and that's pretty much 490 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:09,520 Speaker 2: as simple as it as it is for me. I 491 00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 2: like getting all these points with the Bears. I like 492 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:13,880 Speaker 2: the dynamic play of Justin Fields. I'm a big Justin 493 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:17,280 Speaker 2: Fields guy. I really hope they start. Oh I was. 494 00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:20,840 Speaker 2: I was really big coming with him coming into the draft. 495 00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:22,920 Speaker 2: I thought he should have been the number two guy 496 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 2: taken after after Lawrence. But hopefully I didn't mind not 497 00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 2: seeing Maggie on the sideline. I think he would benefit 498 00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:35,800 Speaker 2: from a little another guy who would benefit from a 499 00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 2: different head coach as well. But if they just let him, 500 00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:42,200 Speaker 2: I think so as well. But if they just kind 501 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:44,879 Speaker 2: of like let him loose, I think he can do 502 00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 2: do enough against this Steelers defense to keep this one 503 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 2: close and to cover that six and a half point spread. 504 00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:56,200 Speaker 2: So I just don't have it mostly a Steelers offense thing. Don't. 505 00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:58,080 Speaker 2: I don't see them being able to cover a six 506 00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:00,840 Speaker 2: and a half point spread at this point. So that's 507 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,200 Speaker 2: why I'm on the dogs in this one. 508 00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:05,200 Speaker 3: I'm not on the other side. 509 00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:07,479 Speaker 1: I will promise you that there's no way you can 510 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:10,320 Speaker 1: back the Steelers as six and a half point favorites. 511 00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:11,879 Speaker 3: I mean, follow Mike Tomlin. 512 00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 1: That's not a spot you back a Mike Tomalin mud 513 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,720 Speaker 1: Steelers team, for sure. And I agree they can't score, 514 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:20,920 Speaker 1: you know, and the Bears still have a passable defense. 515 00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:23,000 Speaker 1: I think it's going to be a close game here, 516 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:24,679 Speaker 1: and I like the under as well. Like I understand 517 00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 1: the unders low, I'm not betting it, but at forty 518 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,160 Speaker 1: I still think it's going to be low. 519 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:31,119 Speaker 3: And you're right. Whenever you see a spread that's creeping 520 00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 3: up towards. 521 00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:35,400 Speaker 1: A touchdown with a total that low, something is off there, 522 00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:37,560 Speaker 1: and I agree with you there. So if I had 523 00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,159 Speaker 1: to pick a side, I would go with the Bears 524 00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:42,960 Speaker 1: for sure, and again hopefully even with naggy back, they 525 00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:45,680 Speaker 1: continue to roll out fields and let him use his 526 00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:47,480 Speaker 1: legs because the game plan last week was a game 527 00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:51,120 Speaker 1: changer for him and clearly accentuated his strength. So I'm 528 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:52,840 Speaker 1: not gonna run away from it. I'm going to a 529 00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:56,880 Speaker 1: total for my last one. It's not exciting, but I've 530 00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 1: been recommending a lot of unders on this podcast, as 531 00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:03,000 Speaker 1: our our listeners remind me, So I am going to 532 00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 1: go over, and I missed a couple in a row, 533 00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:06,080 Speaker 1: so I'm going to go with an over one here, 534 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:09,480 Speaker 1: and it's the Vikings and the Ravens over forty nine 535 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:11,879 Speaker 1: and a half. This whole thing just strikes me as 536 00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,439 Speaker 1: a high scoring game when I looked into it. The 537 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:16,600 Speaker 1: Ravens should put up a ton of points after the bye. 538 00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:19,679 Speaker 1: They're always good under Harbaugh after a bye, the offense 539 00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:21,920 Speaker 1: getting healthier. Rashad Bateman is fully there. I guess Sammy 540 00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:25,200 Speaker 1: Watkins probably will come back, and the Minnesota defense, and 541 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:26,240 Speaker 1: this is really what doesn't for me. 542 00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:28,760 Speaker 3: They're just absolutely destroyed by injuries, like they're. 543 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:32,119 Speaker 1: Just forget about how how poorly they had played. Regardless 544 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 1: no Daniel Hunter. That's a huge loss for them, obviously. 545 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:38,119 Speaker 1: Patrick Peterson already on I don't think Cam Downson is 546 00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 1: going to suit uphu miuspractice again today. Michael Pierce may 547 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,159 Speaker 1: still not play. They're just they're devastated. I see the 548 00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:46,800 Speaker 1: Ravens basically being able to score almost at will. And 549 00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,879 Speaker 1: the Vikings obviously had a tough game offensively, you know, 550 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:52,480 Speaker 1: last week there, but this is sort of a good 551 00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:54,919 Speaker 1: matchup for them because the one thing that Kirk Cousins 552 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 1: really does well is he does very well against the blitz. 553 00:23:57,640 --> 00:23:59,680 Speaker 1: That's just kind of his m O. And the Ravens 554 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:01,680 Speaker 1: they don't really care. They're not going to stop blitzing 555 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:03,960 Speaker 1: because a quarterback does well. They blitz all the time, 556 00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:07,160 Speaker 1: fifth highest clip in the league. And this is sort 557 00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:10,280 Speaker 1: of when I buy Kirk Cousins and the Vikings when 558 00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:12,680 Speaker 1: they look like crap the week before and it looks 559 00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:14,320 Speaker 1: like they can't do anything, and then they're gonna come 560 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:16,040 Speaker 1: up and they're gonna put up thirty two points. So 561 00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 1: not taking them against spread, but I think there's a 562 00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:20,200 Speaker 1: lot of scoring in this one, So I'm going to 563 00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:21,760 Speaker 1: go with the over forty nine and a half. 564 00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:22,919 Speaker 3: There are some fifties out there. 565 00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,359 Speaker 1: I'm okay with fifty as well, but my official play 566 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 1: is forty nine and a half. 567 00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:28,440 Speaker 3: All right, quickly, what do you think of that one? 568 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:33,800 Speaker 2: He's instant pressure on a team for a team, and 569 00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:36,680 Speaker 2: it's just it's really tough to see that, and while 570 00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:40,080 Speaker 2: I am not a Kirk Cousins guy, that's the numberson 571 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:43,160 Speaker 2: saying that he's been at least okay, this is yearlight, 572 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:50,160 Speaker 2: so yeah, and this is not the Ravens defense we've 573 00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:52,639 Speaker 2: been we've been accustomed to over there, So if you 574 00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:54,560 Speaker 2: had to make me take a bed here, it'd probably 575 00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:55,000 Speaker 2: be the over. 576 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:57,120 Speaker 3: I am making you take a bet, and you are 577 00:24:57,160 --> 00:25:00,679 Speaker 3: taking the over, so we're good, all right. Very quickly, 578 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:01,400 Speaker 3: let's recap. 579 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:04,200 Speaker 1: You've got the Chiefs team total over twenty seven and 580 00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:06,159 Speaker 1: a half, the Chargers laying two to the Eagles, and 581 00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 1: the Bears getting six and a half from the Steelers. 582 00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:11,399 Speaker 1: I'm taking the forty nine Ers now laying two to 583 00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:14,680 Speaker 1: the Cardinals, which just keeps moving right now, the Browns 584 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:17,120 Speaker 1: plus two and a half against the Bengals, but again, 585 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:18,679 Speaker 1: if it goes to three, I get it because I'm 586 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:21,440 Speaker 1: not betting it yet. And the Vikings and Ravens over 587 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:23,440 Speaker 1: forty nine and a half. Very quickly, let's run through 588 00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 1: the remaining spreads. How do you feel about the Bills 589 00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:29,000 Speaker 1: laying fourteen and a half to the Jaguars in Jacksonville? 590 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,520 Speaker 2: Probably have to take the flour or lay the points. There. 591 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,879 Speaker 2: Jacksonville is a complete stay away from me, like you 592 00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 2: can Faye Jacksonville, I think can just be pretty happy 593 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,120 Speaker 2: with that to the way the situation is going there. 594 00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 2: I just no faith in what the Jags are doing 595 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,600 Speaker 2: right now. So and the Bills, I think, obviously Josh 596 00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,399 Speaker 2: Allen is going to try to make a little noise 597 00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 2: about whether or not he should actually be the MVP 598 00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:54,679 Speaker 2: of the league this year. So you see a big 599 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:56,120 Speaker 2: game from Josh Allen, I expect. 600 00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:57,640 Speaker 3: I'm in agreeing with you. 601 00:25:57,680 --> 00:26:01,640 Speaker 1: There's no way I could back the whereas under any circumstances. 602 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,720 Speaker 1: I will also say that eighty nine percent of our 603 00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 1: experts are taking the Bills laying the points. So there 604 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:11,280 Speaker 1: you go, Tennessee visiting the Rams on Monday night football. 605 00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:13,399 Speaker 1: I believe no Sunday Night football seven and a half 606 00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:14,880 Speaker 1: the Rams are laying What. 607 00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:18,880 Speaker 2: Do you think there is another one of these weird ones, 608 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:20,399 Speaker 2: Like I don't think the Titans will be able to 609 00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:22,840 Speaker 2: stop the Rams, but I still think it's too many 610 00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 2: points of probably getting more than a touchdown. The team 611 00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:30,160 Speaker 2: that I think is probably better than that, Like I'll 612 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,760 Speaker 2: probably I'll side with the underdog here. Well, I'll just 613 00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:34,600 Speaker 2: say it. We're taking the underdog plus seven and a half. 614 00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:36,760 Speaker 2: I like more than the touchdown in this spot. 615 00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:38,879 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like it when it first came out. It 616 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,080 Speaker 1: with seven and I had the rams there and more 617 00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:43,679 Speaker 1: in a touchdown. I need to dig into it. Just 618 00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:46,359 Speaker 1: that Titans have some magic man. Even without Derek Henry, 619 00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:48,520 Speaker 1: they managed to keep things close. So I'm going to 620 00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:50,880 Speaker 1: sit out for now on it. I need to rethink. 621 00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:54,240 Speaker 1: But more than a touchdowns really hard to refuse. He 622 00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 1: already talked about the Chargers and the Eagles. We already 623 00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:59,359 Speaker 1: talked about the Browns and the Bengals. How about an 624 00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:00,920 Speaker 1: interesting one. It's a lot tough because we don't know 625 00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 1: who's going to be a quarterback. But the Patriots are 626 00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:06,720 Speaker 1: visiting the Panthers, and the Patriots are laying three and 627 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:08,119 Speaker 1: a half points. 628 00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:11,399 Speaker 2: Probably the pass Darnald just has, even if he is 629 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:14,040 Speaker 2: able to go in this game, he has taken. He 630 00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:17,280 Speaker 2: has reverted to your Sam Donald of the Jets, and 631 00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:19,840 Speaker 2: as it looked so great to the last I still 632 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:22,640 Speaker 2: don't understand why they don't try to get Robbie Anderson 633 00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:28,000 Speaker 2: the ball more. Obviously, Tuba Hubbard is not Christian McCaffrey 634 00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,280 Speaker 2: and that hurts, and they've had some injuries on defense 635 00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:33,200 Speaker 2: as well. So the Patriots are playing well, they're gonna 636 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,120 Speaker 2: have a shot out of playoff spot, so it would 637 00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:36,760 Speaker 2: probably be the past. I'd like it to be three. 638 00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:38,800 Speaker 2: I'd prefer three, and I think it was three at 639 00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:42,200 Speaker 2: one point. Yeah, but some paths was come in obviously, 640 00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,439 Speaker 2: so a little less happy about that. Yeah. 641 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:47,000 Speaker 3: I mean, if it's p J. 642 00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:53,240 Speaker 1: Walker, I can't back that. I mean, really, how much 643 00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:55,560 Speaker 1: of a downgrade could he be from Donald at this point? 644 00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:58,400 Speaker 3: But I think I lean towards the Panthers. 645 00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:00,960 Speaker 1: I think just their defense right now, well as it's 646 00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:03,639 Speaker 1: getting so much healthier. I really think it's going to 647 00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:05,960 Speaker 1: be tough for the page. I mean, I wouldn't mind 648 00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,880 Speaker 1: the under. It's a low total, obviously, but I think 649 00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:10,520 Speaker 1: if I had to pick, I might just take the 650 00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:13,200 Speaker 1: hook with the Panthers. But it's it's certainly a stay 651 00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:14,879 Speaker 1: away from me. We didn't talk about the side on 652 00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 1: this one, but Baltimore laying six to. 653 00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:20,760 Speaker 2: The Vikings, I'd stay away. 654 00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I would stay away as well. And this could 655 00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:26,600 Speaker 1: strike me as a game that the Vikings could keep close. 656 00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:28,280 Speaker 1: It's going to be high scoring, that's the one thing 657 00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:30,680 Speaker 1: I think, so we'll go with that. Dallas is laying 658 00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:33,600 Speaker 1: ten points to the underdog. 659 00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:38,400 Speaker 2: There's I know, I know the Broncos have been a 660 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 2: bit of a disaster in the in the second month season. 661 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:46,200 Speaker 2: But the Cowboys, I guess the Cowboys, I know they're good, 662 00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:49,560 Speaker 2: and I know Dak is back, and it's just I 663 00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,200 Speaker 2: don't have faith in them to cover a double digit spread. 664 00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:54,200 Speaker 2: So we're gonna go with the underdogs. And I know 665 00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:56,160 Speaker 2: the they just got rid of Bond Miller. The Broncos 666 00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:57,320 Speaker 2: got rid of von Miller, but. 667 00:28:57,480 --> 00:28:58,959 Speaker 3: And Bryce Calaan is injured. 668 00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:01,880 Speaker 1: But still, I just think it's too many points. 669 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:04,080 Speaker 3: I don't want to have to take them. 670 00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:06,480 Speaker 1: I probably won't, but it's a hold your nose and 671 00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:08,640 Speaker 1: take the Broncos, right, Yeah. 672 00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, This one's an interesting one. 673 00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:13,640 Speaker 1: The Raiders, who obviously, you know, are dealing with everything 674 00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:16,240 Speaker 1: that they've got there visiting the Giants and they're laying 675 00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:17,680 Speaker 1: three points to the Giants. 676 00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:20,800 Speaker 2: Do you think that brings them together? They have kind 677 00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:23,720 Speaker 2: of a bringing together move for the team, Like obviously 678 00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:26,880 Speaker 2: they're not trying to win it for Henry Ruggs or 679 00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:31,160 Speaker 2: anything like that, but it could gell them a bit 680 00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:34,440 Speaker 2: and the Giants obviously a bit of a letdown. They're 681 00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:36,440 Speaker 2: coming up a bit of a letdown, almost beating the Chiefs, 682 00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,520 Speaker 2: and then you come home. Sometimes that's the spot where 683 00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:42,280 Speaker 2: you kind of get spanked. I probably side with the 684 00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:46,960 Speaker 2: Raiders here. They have played well since or played better 685 00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:50,920 Speaker 2: again since Gruden's been gone, so I probably lean that way. 686 00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:53,239 Speaker 3: I'm surprised. I mean, I don't know. 687 00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,320 Speaker 1: I didn't you didn't know how the Raiders were going 688 00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:58,920 Speaker 1: to react when Gruden left, and they rallied so they 689 00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:01,000 Speaker 1: could rally here. But are a much better team than 690 00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 1: the Giants. I mean, that's the bottom line. Giants are 691 00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,520 Speaker 1: in a short week, and regardless of who is or 692 00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:07,760 Speaker 1: is not healthy, I mean, we assume Saquon Barkley's not 693 00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:10,000 Speaker 1: gonna be able to play this game regardless. 694 00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:12,360 Speaker 3: So I have to go with their Raiders. 695 00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,600 Speaker 1: But it does feel a little bit like a trap, 696 00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:16,240 Speaker 1: Like I feel like the spread should be more like 697 00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:18,080 Speaker 1: four or four and a halfs, So I feel like 698 00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:20,080 Speaker 1: it's asking us to take the Raiders. But I'm gonna 699 00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:21,880 Speaker 1: walk into the trap. It's fine if I have to. 700 00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:24,120 Speaker 1: H What do you think about the Saints at home? 701 00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:26,200 Speaker 1: Link six and a half to the Falcons. 702 00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:28,480 Speaker 2: I'm actually looking at the under there. This was the 703 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:30,640 Speaker 2: other one I was tossing up before, and I was like, 704 00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:32,760 Speaker 2: you were saying all your unders, though, I was like this, Oh, 705 00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:34,480 Speaker 2: I was wondering if he was gonna take this one 706 00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:40,480 Speaker 2: because I don't know what. The Saints weren't exactly electric 707 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:44,960 Speaker 2: with Jamis Wilson under which with Jameis Winston under center, 708 00:30:45,320 --> 00:30:48,720 Speaker 2: and now it's it sounds like Taysom Hill is gonna 709 00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:52,600 Speaker 2: be the guy obviously. I mean, played pretty well last 710 00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:55,640 Speaker 2: week in their win against the Bucks, but I'm not 711 00:30:55,840 --> 00:31:00,400 Speaker 2: expecting that to really continue. And Matt Ryan as obviously, 712 00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 2: that's no Calvin Ridley for him anymore. It's the Falcons 713 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,600 Speaker 2: offenses has been an absolute mess. So I think this 714 00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:10,440 Speaker 2: is like a twenty to seventeen kind of game, and 715 00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:12,480 Speaker 2: I will happily take the under. 716 00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:14,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't argue with that. I don't want any 717 00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:16,880 Speaker 1: piece of this of the side at all. I'm staying 718 00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:18,600 Speaker 1: far away from it. What do you think about the 719 00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:21,520 Speaker 1: Chiefs link seven and a half to the Jordan Love 720 00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:23,200 Speaker 1: lead Packers been. 721 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,520 Speaker 2: Just such a bad bath. It's so terrible, like they 722 00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:28,920 Speaker 2: should like they should cover, they should have covered last 723 00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:30,920 Speaker 2: week we did. We were talking about this. I don't 724 00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:35,040 Speaker 2: I would stay away from this. I'll maybe u I'll 725 00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,440 Speaker 2: maybe put a few chiefs teezers, like. 726 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:40,680 Speaker 1: You got to tease it down, exactly, you got it's 727 00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:43,360 Speaker 1: begging you to tease it down. I don't care. I've 728 00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 1: got to tease it down, which I have in several 729 00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:51,360 Speaker 1: spots I've teased it down. Ah, the Dolphins laying I 730 00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:53,160 Speaker 1: think it's our last game. Yeah, the Dolphins like five 731 00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 1: and a half now with with Torod Taylor there to 732 00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:57,520 Speaker 1: the Texans in that. 733 00:31:57,840 --> 00:32:00,720 Speaker 2: Like you mentioned, I liked the Dolphins when it was 734 00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:04,520 Speaker 2: gonna be Davis Mills there because the exits haven't been 735 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:08,920 Speaker 2: defending the pass that well recently. And two was actually 736 00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:12,280 Speaker 2: thrown the ball well against bad teams. When he has 737 00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:14,320 Speaker 2: not played the Bills of the Patriots this year, he's 738 00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:16,840 Speaker 2: played fairly well, and I thought he would have kind 739 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:21,320 Speaker 2: of a nice like comeback game for him. But with mister, 740 00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:25,240 Speaker 2: I think Tyron's covered eight straight games that he started 741 00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:28,280 Speaker 2: and you're giving him all those points. He lost a 742 00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:32,040 Speaker 2: couple there, but it's a weird. The Dolphins now give 743 00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:33,920 Speaker 2: me a weird feeling, and it's a big stay away 744 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:34,280 Speaker 2: for me. 745 00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:37,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm staying away from it too. 746 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:40,239 Speaker 1: I like some props in this game, like I've got 747 00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:42,880 Speaker 1: the over Devonte Parker receiving props. That's where I think 748 00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:44,400 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go, Oh yeah, we didn't. 749 00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:44,760 Speaker 3: Talk about that. 750 00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:46,320 Speaker 1: Did you want to give a prop? Because I know 751 00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:47,800 Speaker 1: we had said, oh do we want to? We want 752 00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:48,920 Speaker 1: to stay away from it right now. 753 00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 2: I don't think I didn't dive deep enough into any 754 00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:53,960 Speaker 2: of this year to really to really get ones that 755 00:32:53,960 --> 00:32:55,280 Speaker 2: I feel really confident about. 756 00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 1: If you want more props, okay, if you want props, 757 00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 1: I do as video that I recorded earlier today with 758 00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:05,080 Speaker 1: my five favorite props at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. 759 00:33:05,080 --> 00:33:07,600 Speaker 3: Go ahead and subscribe. And also I give Matt Perolt. 760 00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:08,840 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be able to be on the Betting 761 00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:11,520 Speaker 1: Pros livestream on Sundays at eleven this week. 762 00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:12,800 Speaker 3: I've got to do a Fantasy Pros one. 763 00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:15,200 Speaker 1: Sorry about that, but I will give Matt a couple 764 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:18,240 Speaker 1: of my favorite player props. But Devonte Parker receiving yards prop, 765 00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:20,720 Speaker 1: that's the over that you want on that one? All right, 766 00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:23,360 Speaker 1: very good? I like your picks. Let me recap them 767 00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:27,040 Speaker 1: one more time, just so everybody has everything together. 768 00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:29,320 Speaker 3: You've got the Chiefs team total over. 769 00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:30,880 Speaker 1: Twenty seven and a half, the Chargers laying two to 770 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:32,680 Speaker 1: the Eagles, and the Bears getting six and a half 771 00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:35,080 Speaker 1: from the Steelers. I've got the forty nine Ers laying 772 00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:38,640 Speaker 1: two to the Cardinals, the Browns getting two and a 773 00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:42,200 Speaker 1: half from the Bengals, and the Vikings. 774 00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:44,480 Speaker 3: And the Ravens over forty nine and a half. 775 00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:47,200 Speaker 1: Andrew, you have a very busy Thursday night football ahead 776 00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:49,560 Speaker 1: of you, as I know, so just very quickly tell 777 00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:52,040 Speaker 1: everybody where they check out all your great work, and 778 00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:55,520 Speaker 1: then let's schedule another time where we want Aaron Rodgers 779 00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:57,040 Speaker 1: to have some sort of drop perfect. 780 00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:59,800 Speaker 2: You can find me on Twitter at Covers Underscore Kaylee. 781 00:34:00,880 --> 00:34:04,680 Speaker 2: Lots of football at this point obviously, and some Raptors 782 00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:07,520 Speaker 2: stuff as well. And I'm covering the Raptors pretty exclusively 783 00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:10,880 Speaker 2: from a betting perspective as well. So if you if 784 00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:13,120 Speaker 2: you're into the NBA and the Raptors, I'm gonna be 785 00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:13,520 Speaker 2: your guy. 786 00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:16,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's too bad I'm missing out on all your 787 00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,120 Speaker 1: Blue Jays bets, but that was a favorite part of 788 00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:23,239 Speaker 1: my baseball season. In the meantime. Congratulations so much on 789 00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:26,560 Speaker 1: getting married and your honeymoon. Again, very sorry I missed it. 790 00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:30,120 Speaker 1: I hopefully you know I can be there when you 791 00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:30,600 Speaker 1: need a. 792 00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:33,560 Speaker 3: Godfather for your future child. You're on the short list, 793 00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:34,560 Speaker 3: all right, my friend. 794 00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:37,920 Speaker 1: I love it of course. Again, thank you for joining us. 795 00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:41,640 Speaker 1: Everybody again. Check out the live stream on Sunday morning, 796 00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:45,960 Speaker 1: eleven am to noon Eastern on YouTube dot com slash 797 00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:47,960 Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Until then, I'll talk to you again on 798 00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:52,440 Speaker 1: Monday when we look at the early week ten NFL lines. 799 00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:53,319 Speaker 3: I will talk to you though 800 00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:01,120 Speaker 2: It is