WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off June 21st, 2023 (Ep. 695) 0:00:06.080 --> 0:00:09.360 Welcome into Fantasy Bros. MLB. This is Leading Off Live, 0:00:09.400 --> 0:00:11.840 brought to you by Prize Big. Sign up today. Use 0:00:11.880 --> 0:00:14.079 that promo code leading Off. When you do, it's me 0:00:14.240 --> 0:00:16.680 Joey p. That of course is the Welsh, and it's 0:00:16.680 --> 0:00:20.800 too the Peanuts, the Crackerjacks, the things that make this 0:00:21.000 --> 0:00:23.439 crazy little show work. All of you out there who 0:00:23.480 --> 0:00:26.080 listen and watch, and this this thing that we call 0:00:26.200 --> 0:00:29.680 Leading Off from Fantasy Bros. MLB. Welsh. I was watching 0:00:29.680 --> 0:00:31.800 some of the Combine. This is the third year of 0:00:31.840 --> 0:00:35.960 the combine for Major League Baseball prospects, and I gotta 0:00:36.000 --> 0:00:39.320 say it's not quite as exciting as the NFL Combine. 0:00:39.400 --> 0:00:42.839 I recorded it, hoping to watch more of it than 0:00:42.880 --> 0:00:44.760 I did. I got about an hour in and I 0:00:44.840 --> 0:00:47.839 just said, no, I don't like what they're doing. I 0:00:47.960 --> 0:00:51.760 want people analyzing swings. These guys are all hanging out 0:00:51.800 --> 0:00:54.600 behind the battter cage, you know, playing grab ass, and 0:00:54.680 --> 0:00:56.120 all I want them to do is talk about the 0:00:56.160 --> 0:00:58.360 prospects and they seem to have no idea who the 0:00:58.360 --> 0:01:00.800 guys were that we're hitting, what was going on. I 0:01:00.840 --> 0:01:02.480 was not happy about this. I think they should let 0:01:02.480 --> 0:01:03.960 you do the Combine next year. Your thoughts. 0:01:04.200 --> 0:01:06.760 It's a little ass grabby, for sure. There's definitely a 0:01:06.800 --> 0:01:07.119 lot of. 0:01:07.040 --> 0:01:08.960 Ass grab it. There's a lot of the asses out 0:01:09.000 --> 0:01:09.640 there to be grabbed. 0:01:09.760 --> 0:01:12.399 To be fair, to be fair, similar to like what 0:01:12.560 --> 0:01:15.440 happens at like first pitch. If someone were like really 0:01:15.440 --> 0:01:18.000 excited to be around a bunch of you know, analysts 0:01:18.040 --> 0:01:19.840 and be like, Oh, they're gonna talk about all this 0:01:19.920 --> 0:01:22.760 great fantasy stuff and guys, and then everybody is just 0:01:22.800 --> 0:01:26.040 talking about you know, like IPA's and where they're going 0:01:26.080 --> 0:01:27.840 to go, you know, play poker later in the night 0:01:27.880 --> 0:01:30.000 and stuff like you get all these old guys in 0:01:30.360 --> 0:01:33.680 and they are just like BBBBB, like you're right, they're 0:01:33.800 --> 0:01:36.200 nine do it in between, just don't do it while 0:01:36.240 --> 0:01:38.800 the guys are in no, I agree, and taking bping, 0:01:38.959 --> 0:01:39.840 taking grounders. 0:01:40.080 --> 0:01:42.119 I watch, that's the point where I want somebody else 0:01:42.160 --> 0:01:43.800 to talk. I don't even watch a guy taking ground balls, 0:01:43.800 --> 0:01:44.360 for God's sakes. 0:01:44.480 --> 0:01:46.960 I feel like you and I actually were watching at 0:01:47.000 --> 0:01:50.520 the same time because I was watching as uh yeah, 0:01:50.560 --> 0:01:53.440 I know. To be fair, I was watching a BP 0:01:53.960 --> 0:01:56.280 and this guy, a couple guys are hitting and it's 0:01:56.320 --> 0:01:59.120 just Adrian Belchray Harold and they're just talking and they're 0:01:59.120 --> 0:02:01.320 not talking about baseball. They're not talking about baseball anything. 0:02:01.360 --> 0:02:04.640 They're just I'm actually going today, So maybe I'll just 0:02:04.640 --> 0:02:07.919 start yelling at hey, hit you on, stop grabbing the asses. 0:02:07.680 --> 0:02:10.640 Stop playing grab ass. I mean, and look, I don't 0:02:10.680 --> 0:02:12.640 I like those conversations, just to be clear, And I 0:02:12.680 --> 0:02:15.480 love all those guys, like they're all great and I 0:02:15.560 --> 0:02:18.440 want to hear those stories about whose kid is doing what, 0:02:18.680 --> 0:02:21.239 like all that stuff is fine, But you have these 0:02:21.280 --> 0:02:23.880 prospects and you're building this as the combine, and you're 0:02:23.919 --> 0:02:27.959 putting it on television. With the way these prospects have 0:02:28.040 --> 0:02:29.920 been going through to Major League Baseball in now a 0:02:29.919 --> 0:02:31.720 three year window where you usuld be like a five 0:02:31.800 --> 0:02:34.520 year window or a six year window, these players are 0:02:34.560 --> 0:02:36.360 more relevant to what's going on. It's not quite as 0:02:36.400 --> 0:02:38.280 relevant as the NFL, where they're coming in and starting 0:02:38.360 --> 0:02:40.960 day one. It's not like that. It's never going to 0:02:41.000 --> 0:02:44.400 be like that, at least I don't think times are changing. 0:02:45.080 --> 0:02:47.760 But I just felt during batting practice especially, that's the 0:02:47.760 --> 0:02:50.720 one time where you can grab people talk about these players. 0:02:50.480 --> 0:02:52.359 Let's hype them up, Let's talk about what you see 0:02:52.400 --> 0:02:54.160 in the swing. I'd rather hear what Adrian Belcher has 0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:56.079 to say about that kids swing. Yeah, I want to 0:02:56.080 --> 0:02:57.760 hear about his kids twelve U tournament. 0:02:58.000 --> 0:03:01.000 To your point, what's really weird about the whole thing, too, 0:03:01.400 --> 0:03:03.280 is it's like we came off of that day one 0:03:03.760 --> 0:03:06.320 and there's nothing to talk about, Like there's no like clue. 0:03:06.560 --> 0:03:08.799 Like in the NFL Combine, people like this guy did 0:03:08.800 --> 0:03:10.960 this and he ran this route, and you'll show, but 0:03:11.240 --> 0:03:14.000 there's nothing coming out from that day one. I do 0:03:14.040 --> 0:03:16.600 think it was a little high school heavy. Today, I'm 0:03:16.639 --> 0:03:19.000 hoping it's a little a little bit more college heavy 0:03:19.000 --> 0:03:21.720 because that's where I'll be out there get some videos. 0:03:21.760 --> 0:03:24.280 But yeah, it definitely needs a little bit more breakdown 0:03:24.360 --> 0:03:28.079 coverage than nostalgia. You know, hey, these kids are eighteen. 0:03:28.120 --> 0:03:31.400 Isn't this hilarious? I like nostalge, I like all that stuff. 0:03:31.440 --> 0:03:33.560 I love all those guys. I love the concept of 0:03:33.600 --> 0:03:36.080 putting the combine on TV. It's just come on. I 0:03:36.120 --> 0:03:38.040 couldn't even watch it anymore. I was like, I don't 0:03:38.040 --> 0:03:39.480 even know who's taken batting practice. 0:03:39.520 --> 0:03:41.080 You want to pick up the nuggets, you want the 0:03:41.160 --> 0:03:43.600 nuggets dipping sauces. 0:03:43.680 --> 0:03:46.400 I want the whole thing. That's what I want. I also, 0:03:46.560 --> 0:03:48.640 I'm happy that Robert. I'm gonna be happy now for 0:03:48.680 --> 0:03:51.440 a second Robert Russell, first time, long time, first time 0:03:51.520 --> 0:03:54.800 joining us live. Welcome Robert to the show. I love 0:03:54.880 --> 0:03:56.600 this too. I love that we still get people joining 0:03:56.680 --> 0:03:58.160 us for the first time. In cases says, I look 0:03:58.200 --> 0:04:00.160 extra ball today. I don't know why that. 0:04:00.240 --> 0:04:03.000 Actually, as the show started, for some reason, I saw 0:04:03.040 --> 0:04:05.200 that comment and that made me laugh. 0:04:05.200 --> 0:04:06.520 How does one look extra bald? 0:04:06.520 --> 0:04:09.200 I don't use your lighting is a little bit different 0:04:09.200 --> 0:04:12.680 to it's actually good. It's it's not good before. That's 0:04:12.680 --> 0:04:14.320 something my wife would say to me. By the way, 0:04:14.680 --> 0:04:15.920 she did that to me the other day when I 0:04:15.960 --> 0:04:19.880 was editing the show and she looked over and she's like, wow, 0:04:19.960 --> 0:04:22.400 you actually look good on video. And I'm like, all right, 0:04:22.560 --> 0:04:25.520 good bye, bye, slam the door. Thanks. No, your lighting 0:04:25.560 --> 0:04:27.560 is a little bit brighter. You do have an extra 0:04:27.640 --> 0:04:30.039 baldness to you today. It's a glow. 0:04:30.480 --> 0:04:33.600 Maybe it's because I was having fun talking betting with 0:04:33.920 --> 0:04:36.560 our friend from MW network, aerl Epstein, so we just 0:04:36.600 --> 0:04:39.120 recorded that. If you haven't subscribed to the Betting Pros 0:04:39.160 --> 0:04:41.520 podcast or the Betting Pros YouTube, that's probably the smarter 0:04:41.600 --> 0:04:44.160 place because we're gonna be crushing NFL season in a 0:04:44.200 --> 0:04:47.640 couple weeks. But we did a whole half hour talking 0:04:47.680 --> 0:04:50.120 about the state of the Union halfway through the season, 0:04:50.160 --> 0:04:52.400 what's going on there with the props. She had a 0:04:52.440 --> 0:04:56.800 fascinating take on the Luis Arise potential for MVP, which 0:04:56.800 --> 0:05:01.600 I thought was wild and interesting too. She's like, but 0:05:01.600 --> 0:05:03.800 but she's like, what if he hits four h six 0:05:03.880 --> 0:05:05.640 or four oh seven? Like what if he does that? 0:05:06.040 --> 0:05:09.280 Does that become this crazy national story? And like, I 0:05:09.320 --> 0:05:12.000 still say no, and I still would I still thought 0:05:12.000 --> 0:05:14.520 her about it. Yeah, but I see where she's coming from, 0:05:14.560 --> 0:05:16.720 and stranger things have happened. So go check that out. 0:05:16.720 --> 0:05:19.560 Should be up later today, definitely by tomorrow. I would 0:05:19.600 --> 0:05:21.599 imagine that'll be up there. Let's get to the headlines, 0:05:22.200 --> 0:05:24.400 and let's talk about the Reds. Why not TJ friedel 0:05:24.680 --> 0:05:28.440 three four two run homer on Tuesday's game and now 0:05:28.480 --> 0:05:30.840 they have won ten in a row. They're plus four 0:05:30.839 --> 0:05:32.839 to forty to win the division. We talked about this 0:05:33.040 --> 0:05:35.440 actree on the show. I heard I both agree it's 0:05:35.440 --> 0:05:37.560 probably a better bet to bet the Reds to make 0:05:37.600 --> 0:05:40.239 the playoffs than it is for them to win the division. 0:05:40.279 --> 0:05:41.400 Do you agree with that sentiment? 0:05:41.800 --> 0:05:44.240 Yeah, I think the division run is going to be 0:05:44.240 --> 0:05:46.880 pretty tough. We also haven't seen like what is this 0:05:46.960 --> 0:05:49.800 team going to do as far as acquisitions go, How 0:05:49.839 --> 0:05:52.000 are they going to look long term? So for them 0:05:52.040 --> 0:05:54.880 to make the playoffs with the wild card much better 0:05:54.880 --> 0:05:57.040 bet than taking the division down. Even if you're in 0:05:57.120 --> 0:05:59.280 June and they're at the top spot, I can tell 0:05:59.279 --> 0:06:01.720 you I think it's the Diamondbacks. It's still a tough 0:06:01.800 --> 0:06:03.600 bet for them to win the division. As good as 0:06:03.640 --> 0:06:06.000 they are at this point, I wouldn't feel like that 0:06:06.160 --> 0:06:09.280 is a complete lockdown with the Padres and Dodgers breathing 0:06:09.360 --> 0:06:09.920 down their neck. 0:06:10.560 --> 0:06:15.440 Jerry says, I'm glowing. Bill worried about Tyler Glass and 0:06:15.440 --> 0:06:16.839 now we'll get to him a little air. In the 0:06:16.839 --> 0:06:20.440 show Bill, he's on the three down because I was invested. 0:06:21.080 --> 0:06:25.280 Not happy, not happy. Also, this is from Michael. Michael says, 0:06:25.279 --> 0:06:29.160 watching the show ruin the podcast for me. There's more. 0:06:29.279 --> 0:06:31.760 There's more of the commet now. I still subscribe, but 0:06:31.800 --> 0:06:33.560 I can't go back. If I miss it live, I 0:06:33.600 --> 0:06:36.200 have to watch on YouTube. That's right, because we are fun. 0:06:36.680 --> 0:06:38.720 So he's saying he's saying it didn't ruin it for 0:06:38.800 --> 0:06:41.440 him in a bad way. It means like the audio 0:06:41.560 --> 0:06:42.960 only just ain't enough. 0:06:43.360 --> 0:06:45.160 Yeah, I thought this was gonna be one of those 0:06:45.279 --> 0:06:47.240 like like backhand kind of like what I just did 0:06:47.240 --> 0:06:49.160 to you, like that guy he said, I didn't. 0:06:48.920 --> 0:06:50.200 Know Joe was a bald guy with him. 0:06:50.240 --> 0:06:52.600 Yeah. Yeah, it's one of those backhanded things where someone's like, wow, 0:06:52.640 --> 0:06:54.640 I had a picture of what I thought Welsh looked like, 0:06:54.760 --> 0:06:57.200 and I looked and he's a big, fat monster and 0:06:57.240 --> 0:06:57.839 I hate everything. 0:06:57.960 --> 0:07:02.400 I didn't realize Joe was Italian. No idea like what, Yeah, exactly. 0:07:02.400 --> 0:07:04.680 I thought the re aliens all right right after the 0:07:04.680 --> 0:07:07.480 show yesterday, which pissed me off because you had the 0:07:07.520 --> 0:07:10.720 opportunity to manifest the prospect you didn't. But the Guardians 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:14.840 Gavin Williams called up starting today against the A's this 0:07:14.880 --> 0:07:16.960 is a cushy first start. Tristan McKenzie, you talked about 0:07:16.960 --> 0:07:20.240 going in the IL. We did mention the possibility of Williams. 0:07:20.280 --> 0:07:21.680 I don't think any of us thought it was going 0:07:21.720 --> 0:07:25.320 to be the next day necessarily. We thought maybe it 0:07:25.440 --> 0:07:27.880 go through a rotation cycle and then maybe by the 0:07:27.920 --> 0:07:30.200 weekend we would start to get some news, but no, 0:07:30.440 --> 0:07:33.920 he's here two three eight ERA zero point nine to 0:07:33.960 --> 0:07:37.280 eight whip, eighty one strikeouts to twenty four walks in 0:07:37.360 --> 0:07:39.560 just sixty innings, so big strikeout numbers, we can double 0:07:39.640 --> 0:07:41.560 triple A. He's twenty three. Welsh give with a low 0:07:41.600 --> 0:07:44.560 down on Gavin Williams because you've been waiting for this, yeah, 0:07:44.640 --> 0:07:46.040 and now it's here. Yeah. 0:07:46.040 --> 0:07:47.680 Well I don't know if I mentioned it here, but 0:07:47.840 --> 0:07:50.200 like within the last week, I've been saying preemptively pick 0:07:50.360 --> 0:07:52.680 you know, pick him up, hold him. I had someone 0:07:52.720 --> 0:07:55.520 tell me that because of the Tristan McKenzie injury, that 0:07:55.560 --> 0:07:58.160 this looked like a possibility that Gavin Williams is going 0:07:58.200 --> 0:08:01.240 to be up really, really soon. He struggled a little 0:08:01.280 --> 0:08:04.120 bit since he's gone to triple A, but that's only 0:08:04.160 --> 0:08:07.600 like relative from being absolutely dominated at double A. He's 0:08:07.600 --> 0:08:10.960 got a sub three whip in Triple A ks around 0:08:11.080 --> 0:08:14.200 twelve his last start, So he pitched like a week ago, 0:08:14.520 --> 0:08:18.760 a full week ago, and it was sixty percent fastball. 0:08:18.840 --> 0:08:21.000 Because this is like a guy that's gonna lock out 0:08:21.000 --> 0:08:25.800 with four really solid pitches, big slider, big curveball, and 0:08:25.920 --> 0:08:29.280 huge fastball. He was sixty percent fastball. Where he had 0:08:29.320 --> 0:08:31.800 a twenty percent whiff rate but a twenty three percent 0:08:31.880 --> 0:08:35.960 CSW wasn't his best slider twenty percent that didn't have 0:08:36.000 --> 0:08:38.320 a big wiff rate had a better CSW at twenty 0:08:38.400 --> 0:08:41.080 nine percent. But the curveball, which he threw seventeen percent 0:08:41.120 --> 0:08:44.320 of the time, a forty three percent wiff rate and 0:08:44.400 --> 0:08:48.040 a thirty three percent CSW. So when he gets that 0:08:48.080 --> 0:08:51.520 fastball in the zone and being not hit able, I mean, 0:08:51.559 --> 0:08:53.840 this is a this is a crazy one too. The 0:08:54.000 --> 0:08:57.200 inside the zone swing percent's only sixty five percent on 0:08:57.280 --> 0:09:01.880 the fastball and a pretty relative lower contact percentage. This 0:09:01.880 --> 0:09:03.280 is all on his last start, and this is all 0:09:03.280 --> 0:09:04.959 to tell you this is a guy that's gonna be 0:09:04.960 --> 0:09:07.520 able to go deeper into games. He's got a big 0:09:07.600 --> 0:09:11.200 pitch arsenal, and he had a decent amount of innings 0:09:11.280 --> 0:09:15.920 last year, which could justify him going up to one thirty. Maybe, 0:09:15.960 --> 0:09:17.959 you know, this could be like the house Spencer Strider 0:09:18.240 --> 0:09:19.319 played through the years. 0:09:19.360 --> 0:09:21.679 To be clear, you mean one thirty total, not one 0:09:21.720 --> 0:09:23.360 thirty remaining obviously. 0:09:23.679 --> 0:09:25.319 No, No, I'm saying last year at one hundred and 0:09:25.360 --> 0:09:28.720 fifteen innings pitched, So this year is the possibility to 0:09:28.760 --> 0:09:32.960 go yeah, So if he goes one thirty, you're looking 0:09:33.000 --> 0:09:36.000 at what's the quick mat seventy innings? Could they push 0:09:36.040 --> 0:09:38.800 a little bit more? Here's what this goes with. Gavin 0:09:38.840 --> 0:09:41.480 Williams is the type of guy that his stuff is 0:09:41.480 --> 0:09:43.320 good enough to keep him there. He's got the innings 0:09:43.320 --> 0:09:45.240 to keep him here. We're all worried about the Ury 0:09:45.280 --> 0:09:48.600 Perez stuff. Eury Perez the innings, the innings. Though he 0:09:48.800 --> 0:09:51.400 looks like one of the best pitchers in baseball, Gavin 0:09:51.400 --> 0:09:54.480 Williams is in this tier of those players. So when 0:09:54.480 --> 0:09:56.440 you're asking the questions, that's like the big thing to 0:09:56.440 --> 0:09:59.240 take away here. Where does Gavin Williams sit? Do I 0:09:59.360 --> 0:10:02.760 drop Biby Yes? Do I drop Alan Yes? Do I 0:10:02.880 --> 0:10:03.800 drop Emmit Shean? 0:10:04.200 --> 0:10:04.440 Yes? 0:10:04.800 --> 0:10:08.319 I want Gavin Williams in the TAJ Bradley Yuri Perez range. 0:10:08.520 --> 0:10:11.400 I would even take Gavin over Bobby Miller right now, 0:10:11.480 --> 0:10:12.520 but they're kind of closer. 0:10:13.120 --> 0:10:15.280 Well, because we have so much day baseball, we got 0:10:15.360 --> 0:10:17.599 to talk about this right now. It's the top of 0:10:17.640 --> 0:10:20.400 the second inning and Sandy al Contra has now given 0:10:20.480 --> 0:10:23.000 up five earned runs and seven hits in the first 0:10:23.040 --> 0:10:27.400 two winnings, five in the second alone. Something is rotten 0:10:27.800 --> 0:10:30.960 in the state of Denmark or the state of Florida. Well, 0:10:31.000 --> 0:10:32.160 we know a lot of things are rotten in the 0:10:32.160 --> 0:10:35.240 state of Florida, but in particular, something's rotten in Miami 0:10:35.240 --> 0:10:38.440 with Sandy al Contra Welsh going what is going on? 0:10:38.520 --> 0:10:40.679 I don't I asked the question first. No, I asked it. 0:10:40.800 --> 0:10:43.400 No, I mean, I don't. I think all of us 0:10:43.440 --> 0:10:44.920 are looking at the same time. We've tried to make 0:10:44.920 --> 0:10:47.560 excuses about Is it the pitch clock. Is it the 0:10:48.080 --> 0:10:51.880 combination of that along with the the changes in which 0:10:51.880 --> 0:10:54.640 you're ons do with the shift? Is it is he 0:10:54.760 --> 0:10:57.040 just not feeling right because he did have that biceps 0:10:57.040 --> 0:10:58.840 I think it was a biicep injury earlier in the season. 0:10:59.040 --> 0:11:00.600 Is he just one hundred percent he's trying to gut 0:11:00.679 --> 0:11:02.840 it out. I don't know, man, but I think the 0:11:02.960 --> 0:11:05.880 concept of the by low or the turnaround for Sandi 0:11:05.920 --> 0:11:09.839 al Contra, it is halfway. I'm out for the rest 0:11:09.840 --> 0:11:10.160 of the team. 0:11:10.240 --> 0:11:14.960 I'm out, and I was in semi deficiency of like 0:11:15.000 --> 0:11:18.120 you see really talented players go through struggles. I want 0:11:18.160 --> 0:11:21.559 to have buys, even sometimes when there's not great data 0:11:21.600 --> 0:11:23.800 to back it up. And this is when I just eat. 0:11:23.840 --> 0:11:26.360 But it comes back to it's that change up. Man. 0:11:26.440 --> 0:11:28.840 The changeup has been so less efficient. It threw it 0:11:28.960 --> 0:11:31.360 twenty seven percent of the time, is the number one pitch. 0:11:31.679 --> 0:11:35.400 Last year it held batters to a one forty five 0:11:35.480 --> 0:11:39.240 batting average twenty four percent with rate. This year he's 0:11:39.440 --> 0:11:42.240 lowered its not necessarily lower the usage. He's been throwing 0:11:42.240 --> 0:11:46.160 his sinker more, not relying on the changeup, because batters 0:11:46.160 --> 0:11:49.520 are hitting three thirteen against his change up this year, 0:11:49.559 --> 0:11:53.440 which is bonkers. And here's another one, the ev on it. 0:11:53.600 --> 0:11:56.199 Last year, the average EV against his change up was 0:11:56.240 --> 0:11:58.800 eighty four miles an hour. This year it is the 0:11:58.920 --> 0:12:03.240 number two hard hit at eighty nine miles per hour. 0:12:03.800 --> 0:12:06.600 And in this game that's going on right now, zero 0:12:06.640 --> 0:12:10.080 whiffs on the change up. It's inefficient. That looks like 0:12:10.160 --> 0:12:12.680 it's probably the core of a lot of the problems 0:12:12.760 --> 0:12:15.080 is that changeup isn't going so it's not setting up 0:12:15.120 --> 0:12:19.319 other pitches and he's just getting banged around. It stinks, 0:12:19.880 --> 0:12:21.679 And I just moved him down pretty decently in my 0:12:21.760 --> 0:12:22.680 dynasty ranks too. 0:12:22.800 --> 0:12:25.880 So looking at the last couple of starts here so far, 0:12:26.360 --> 0:12:29.640 let's see on the twenty fourth of May two earned runs, 0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:31.880 then four and runs five and runs one and run 0:12:31.960 --> 0:12:35.400 five and runs and then today he's got five already. 0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:40.200 So yikes. Yeah, it ain't good, folks, It ain't good. 0:12:40.480 --> 0:12:42.880 It's a big old power change up. But it just 0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:46.440 ain't doing it. Ain't changing the change. 0:12:46.280 --> 0:12:49.000 Up, ain't changing. It's up and now oh it's upen 0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:52.160 Naiti of all the gave up four runs, six innings, 0:12:52.240 --> 0:12:55.200 not very naighty of allD esque. His velo was at 0:12:55.240 --> 0:12:58.120 a season low nine point three to eight. Now that's 0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:00.640 still pretty good, but it's not quite where was. And 0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:03.040 he concerns, you're a little bit of fatigue for Nadie Evaldi. 0:13:03.520 --> 0:13:05.880 Uh for me, No, I'm not gonna like have massive 0:13:05.920 --> 0:13:09.320 concerns outside of you know, I will say that bagman 0:13:09.360 --> 0:13:10.920 did this to me a couple of times, like, and 0:13:11.000 --> 0:13:12.760 I've seen some other people do this. Where No, but 0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:15.520 when people talk about me Adivaldi, they had been putting 0:13:15.600 --> 0:13:18.480 him in like the close to elite tier of pitchers 0:13:18.480 --> 0:13:20.200 this year, and I'm like, no, let's not do that. 0:13:20.240 --> 0:13:23.120 He's pitt really well. But if he's being put in 0:13:23.200 --> 0:13:25.680 that because he had those great starts, he's been putting 0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:27.760 in this really really high tier. I would be more 0:13:27.800 --> 0:13:30.400 concerned because I think he's going to like median out 0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:33.439 a little bit. But this start, let's monitor it. Let's 0:13:33.440 --> 0:13:36.000 see if the Villo continues going down. One start, Villo 0:13:36.120 --> 0:13:38.079 down with poor results isn't something where I'm going to 0:13:38.120 --> 0:13:41.199 freak out. Two or three. Then you're going from Nati 0:13:41.240 --> 0:13:44.280 Evaldi as like must start every single week to maybe 0:13:44.320 --> 0:13:46.599 you do have to start looking at streaming him or 0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:47.280 something like that. 0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:50.160 I'm still okay with it, I do. I mean, he 0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:52.240 has been elite this year, so I am giving him 0:13:52.240 --> 0:13:54.120 the credit for being elite, but I understand. 0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:55.280 I don't think he will be elite the rest of 0:13:55.280 --> 0:13:56.920 the year though. That's like my kind you know, who's 0:13:57.000 --> 0:13:57.880 never going to be elite. 0:13:57.920 --> 0:14:01.480 Byron Buxton. He is physically unable to play the outfield 0:14:01.480 --> 0:14:03.840 for the rest of the season due to limitation stemming 0:14:03.840 --> 0:14:06.800 from last September's knee surgery. He is now twenty nine. 0:14:07.160 --> 0:14:09.760 He has gone hitless oh for his last sixteen, with 0:14:09.880 --> 0:14:14.160 ten strikeouts in his last five games. And I'm I'm 0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:20.560 officially I'm calling it yesterday. It's over over. I'm out. 0:14:20.560 --> 0:14:21.760 I don't care if you had a homer yet, Like 0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:26.480 the Byron Buxton, the whatever you're hoping, the late bloomer, 0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:29.480 the maybe he's finally healthy. I know this is personal. 0:14:29.560 --> 0:14:30.520 I know this is tough, but. 0:14:30.800 --> 0:14:32.800 Man, we're sitting here having a great time. By the way, 0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:35.120 and you said Byron Buckston and then we needed the 0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:39.880 curb theme that on my face and my yeah. 0:14:39.960 --> 0:14:43.240 I mean, look, I think this is a twenty twenty three. 0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:45.640 You're already screwed. It's over. But I think what you're 0:14:45.640 --> 0:14:48.680 gonna look for is if you have dynasty shares, if 0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:51.160 you have keeper League shares, that's it. I think it's 0:14:51.240 --> 0:14:55.760 time to just move on. Whatever you can, whatever, Just 0:14:55.760 --> 0:14:57.320 just move on however it works. 0:14:57.360 --> 0:15:00.440 Just read I'm not going to dis with you in 0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:02.400 the redraft stand like this is what this is gonna 0:15:02.400 --> 0:15:04.840 be one of those last years. It's been trash, it's garbage. 0:15:04.880 --> 0:15:06.080 You can't play the outfield. 0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:09.320 That just means, as it look at, Wonky Buxton isn't 0:15:09.480 --> 0:15:10.480 Fantasy relevant. 0:15:10.520 --> 0:15:12.800 He's really not. And I mean, you know, it's one 0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:15.360 turn of second base from being injured now, so it 0:15:15.360 --> 0:15:18.360 doesn't even matter if he's not in the outfield. Dynasty 0:15:18.400 --> 0:15:21.200 I pushed back because it's like he's bottom barrel he's 0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:24.840 absolutely bottom barrel right now. So but maybe you can 0:15:24.880 --> 0:15:27.200 go get a nice, you know, package of prospects, two 0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:29.240 prospects that are a little bit further away. That might 0:15:29.280 --> 0:15:31.840 be how I approach Byron Buckson if I'm out of it. 0:15:32.240 --> 0:15:34.680 But you know, there's that small part of me that's like, 0:15:34.680 --> 0:15:37.240 I'm not looking to sell him for for nothing. You 0:15:37.280 --> 0:15:39.400 know you're gonna sell Byron Buckson for TJ Friedel in 0:15:39.520 --> 0:15:40.320 Dynasty right now? 0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:45.880 Yeah? Yeah, TJ Fridle plays, Yeah he does, you know 0:15:45.920 --> 0:15:48.600 what on a good team he does play. I mean, 0:15:49.560 --> 0:15:52.520 he plays. I'm not accounting that. I know why you're 0:15:52.560 --> 0:15:54.280 not doing that, but I am. I'm done. I'm out, 0:15:54.440 --> 0:15:56.520 I'm out, or I'm just trying to get picks for 0:15:56.560 --> 0:15:58.440 next year in a keeper league. I'm trying to get 0:15:58.440 --> 0:16:01.400 whatever I can and just I'm out. Tristan McKenzie. He's 0:16:01.400 --> 0:16:03.160 also gonna be out for a while, diagnosed with a 0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:06.520 UCL sprain in his right elbows, so we'll see how 0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:08.200 long that's gonna take him to get back on the mound. 0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:11.240 Let's do the rookie lookie, David Hamilton is gonna join 0:16:11.280 --> 0:16:15.480 the Red Sox. Hamilton, which everybody knows and big fans 0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:16.480 of musicals, and now. 0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:18.000 I was just waiting for you to do it. Sing 0:16:18.040 --> 0:16:19.400 the song, sing one of the songs. 0:16:19.440 --> 0:16:23.080 How does a prospect born from the Red Sox get 0:16:23.120 --> 0:16:26.360 to the big leaks? Now, he's got twenty seven steals 0:16:26.360 --> 0:16:30.040 in Triple A this year, so just putting that out there, 0:16:30.160 --> 0:16:33.120 seventy last year in Double A. If you're in need 0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:35.280 of some stolen bases, you think this is another guy. 0:16:35.320 --> 0:16:36.960 We mentioned the guy from the Royals like it was 0:16:37.040 --> 0:16:39.520 last week. Another guy. We're getting these like little stolen 0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:42.520 based guys popping up here. You think Hamilton gets enough 0:16:42.520 --> 0:16:44.640 airtime here? You think they're going to give him his 0:16:45.240 --> 0:16:48.240 shot to play every day. 0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:51.800 I think he's worth a look. He made some big changes. 0:16:51.880 --> 0:16:53.680 I got hit up about him a lot. I didn't 0:16:53.720 --> 0:16:56.280 like him as a Brewers prospect, and that's where I 0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:58.240 saw him coming over to the Red Sox. A lot 0:16:58.240 --> 0:16:59.760 of people were on my case this year because he's 0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:02.720 had big success, But the team was also working on 0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:05.960 some I think some weighted vest changes, some barreling changes. 0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:09.440 He's made, you know, some strides. He started, lowered his 0:17:09.480 --> 0:17:13.040 strikeout percentage eleven homers in fifty two games, which is 0:17:13.040 --> 0:17:15.119 one lesson he did in more than double last year. 0:17:15.160 --> 0:17:17.919 He's already get twenty seven stolen bases. He's hitting two 0:17:18.000 --> 0:17:21.760 fifty five with a pretty good ISO number. In general, 0:17:21.960 --> 0:17:24.119 it's worth the shot to see if the changes have 0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:25.960 pushed him. He's a little bit of a late bloomer. 0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:28.280 I struggle with late bloomer sometimes he's almost twenty six 0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:31.320 years old. But big speeds in there. The power has 0:17:31.359 --> 0:17:34.240 pushed this year, and some of that, you know whatever, 0:17:34.240 --> 0:17:36.439 that battyball training that they've been working on kind of 0:17:36.440 --> 0:17:39.200 as an organization and the miners may have paid off. 0:17:39.240 --> 0:17:43.320 So I would speculate simply because of that those big 0:17:43.359 --> 0:17:45.040 speed numbers that he can put out. 0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:47.680 There, something that hasn't happened in a long time. Because 0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:50.160 we used to the show early in the morning back 0:17:50.200 --> 0:17:52.600 in the day. Is the lawn guys are here still 0:17:53.359 --> 0:17:55.760 every every always get the long guys coming. So they're 0:17:55.800 --> 0:17:58.119