WEBVTT - NFL Week 14 Game Lines Reactions (Ep. 32) 0:00:09.880 --> 0:00:13.040 Hey there everyone, Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL podcast, 0:00:13.080 --> 0:00:16.040 brought to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris. 0:00:16.079 --> 0:00:18.239 You can find me on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. 0:00:18.640 --> 0:00:20.279 It is time to take an early look at the 0:00:20.280 --> 0:00:22.880 week fourteen NFL odds and with me to talk about 0:00:22.920 --> 0:00:25.760 it all is Matt Parral, host of Pushing the Odds 0:00:25.760 --> 0:00:28.960 on Espionation Radio and The Better Network and one of 0:00:29.000 --> 0:00:31.600 my favorite podcasts covering the number. You can find them 0:00:31.600 --> 0:00:33.480 on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. 0:00:33.479 --> 0:00:35.280 Matt. Thank you for joining me today. How's it going? 0:00:35.560 --> 0:00:37.720 Thank you for the intro. It's going great. Happy thanksgiving 0:00:37.760 --> 0:00:39.320 up your holidays it to you and everybody. 0:00:39.600 --> 0:00:39.960 Thanks. 0:00:39.960 --> 0:00:43.040 So you're out in Vegas, right, correct? But you're originally 0:00:43.120 --> 0:00:44.360 from Boston, is that correct? 0:00:44.440 --> 0:00:44.879 Correct? 0:00:45.000 --> 0:00:45.400 All right? 0:00:45.440 --> 0:00:47.000 Well, I am out here in New England and I 0:00:47.000 --> 0:00:49.199 can tell you that we are under roughly a foot of. 0:00:49.159 --> 0:00:50.240 Snow at the moment. 0:00:50.360 --> 0:00:52.559 So if you ever want to extend an invite to 0:00:52.600 --> 0:00:55.200 me to come join you out there, I'd be happy 0:00:55.200 --> 0:00:57.360 to meet you because it's getting rough. 0:00:57.600 --> 0:01:00.680 I always tell people, whatever they're like, so do the heat. 0:01:00.800 --> 0:01:04.920 I'm like, you can't shovel heat. So I'm Okay with 0:01:05.000 --> 0:01:08.039 July one hundred and fifteen. If I'm avoiding two feet 0:01:08.080 --> 0:01:11.280 of snow in December or in your case early December. 0:01:11.120 --> 0:01:14.080 Yeah, well we had to uh schools close today, late 0:01:14.160 --> 0:01:15.039 opening tomorrow. 0:01:15.080 --> 0:01:16.000 It's just joyful. 0:01:16.000 --> 0:01:18.040 So let's talk about something that's going to make us happy, 0:01:18.080 --> 0:01:21.520 and that is each game on the week fourteen NFL Slate. Now, 0:01:21.560 --> 0:01:23.200 Matt and I are going to be using the consensus 0:01:23.240 --> 0:01:25.640 odds over at bettingpros dot com. Those are the aggregate 0:01:25.680 --> 0:01:28.720 odds from a variety of sportsbook The lines are going 0:01:28.800 --> 0:01:30.360 to move throughout the week. That's part of what we're 0:01:30.400 --> 0:01:32.559 going to talk about. As bets come in, odds makers 0:01:32.600 --> 0:01:34.959 are going to adjust, So pay close attention in case, 0:01:35.080 --> 0:01:37.200 like us, you particularly like or. 0:01:37.120 --> 0:01:38.120 Do not like a line. 0:01:38.160 --> 0:01:40.280 All right, Matt, let's dive in here with the Thursday game, 0:01:40.400 --> 0:01:43.760 Cowboys visiting the Chicago Bears. Cowboys here laying three with 0:01:43.800 --> 0:01:46.200 an over under at forty three, both teams coming off 0:01:46.240 --> 0:01:48.640 the minibi. Here with the Thanksgiving games, Bears have to 0:01:48.680 --> 0:01:51.640 come from behind win against a hapless Lions team, while 0:01:51.640 --> 0:01:53.760 the Cowboys get pushed around a bit by the Bills. 0:01:53.840 --> 0:01:56.960 Dallas still controls its own destiny in the NFC East. 0:01:57.240 --> 0:01:59.920 The Bears need to basically win out and have some 0:02:00.320 --> 0:02:01.720 How do you feel here looking at it with the 0:02:01.760 --> 0:02:03.920 Cowboys laying three and the total at forty three. 0:02:04.200 --> 0:02:06.440 Look, I hate both these teams. I think both these 0:02:06.440 --> 0:02:10.440 teams are betting nightmares. But the thing with Dallas is, Look, 0:02:10.480 --> 0:02:12.440 they can control the clock and they can run the 0:02:12.440 --> 0:02:15.680 football with Elliott. So when it comes to betting on 0:02:15.720 --> 0:02:18.080 a road favorite, I don't always hate it with the 0:02:18.120 --> 0:02:21.640 Cowboys because, look, their defense is good enough. The Bears 0:02:21.680 --> 0:02:24.880 defense has been so inconsistent. And Mitchell Trubitsky, I mean, 0:02:25.160 --> 0:02:27.880 I think if you can get this thing under three, 0:02:27.960 --> 0:02:29.680 if it ever goes down to two and a half, 0:02:29.840 --> 0:02:31.239 jump on it. I know there's a book here, and 0:02:31.280 --> 0:02:33.200 there's one book here in Vegas that's got it at 0:02:33.200 --> 0:02:35.960 two and a half. I would love it at two 0:02:35.960 --> 0:02:37.920 and a half. Three, I'm okay with it, but I 0:02:37.960 --> 0:02:41.000 don't love it. I just think Dallas is a mess. 0:02:41.200 --> 0:02:43.320 I do believe they're gonna make a coaching change at 0:02:43.320 --> 0:02:45.280 the end of the year. I think there's gonna be 0:02:45.360 --> 0:02:47.760 some real questions about the future for Dak Prescott. He 0:02:47.760 --> 0:02:50.320 doesn't have the extension, so the team may actually move 0:02:50.360 --> 0:02:53.280 off of him. I mean, the Bears are stuck with Trubitsky. 0:02:53.440 --> 0:02:55.920 I don't believe Matt Nagy is a great football coach, 0:02:55.960 --> 0:02:58.000 a great head coach in the NFL. So I think 0:02:58.000 --> 0:03:00.600 there's potential there for changes in Chicago. So, I mean, 0:03:00.639 --> 0:03:03.080 both these teams I don't think are really gonna do anything. 0:03:03.160 --> 0:03:05.760 But if you have to bet this game, I would 0:03:05.760 --> 0:03:07.960 prefer Cowboys minus two and a half if you can 0:03:08.000 --> 0:03:08.320 get it. 0:03:08.639 --> 0:03:08.919 Yeah. 0:03:08.919 --> 0:03:11.000 For me, the total strikes me as something where I 0:03:11.080 --> 0:03:12.560 might look at the under. I mean, you're gonna be 0:03:12.560 --> 0:03:13.760 in Chicago. I'm sure it's. 0:03:13.639 --> 0:03:15.880 Gonna be windy. You know it's gonna be cold. 0:03:16.280 --> 0:03:18.560 Neither of these teams at this point have offenses that 0:03:18.600 --> 0:03:22.160 I'm particularly excited about. The Cowboys obviously have some explosion, 0:03:22.160 --> 0:03:24.239 but the Bears defense has you know, it's taken a 0:03:24.240 --> 0:03:27.160 step back, but it's remained overall solid. A Keem Hicks 0:03:27.240 --> 0:03:28.919 is back to practicing this week, so that's going to 0:03:29.000 --> 0:03:31.000 really help them in the run defense if is able. 0:03:30.800 --> 0:03:31.280 To show up. 0:03:31.320 --> 0:03:33.679 So I have no faith in Mitchell Trubisky to be 0:03:33.720 --> 0:03:35.680 able to move the ball, despite what he did against 0:03:35.720 --> 0:03:38.000 the Lions on Thanksgiving and again the Cowboys right now, 0:03:38.040 --> 0:03:39.880 they just you know, things seem a little disjointed to 0:03:39.960 --> 0:03:42.520 Mark Cooper fighting through injury. So if anything at this 0:03:42.680 --> 0:03:44.920 right now, I lean towards the under, but I don't 0:03:44.920 --> 0:03:47.720 expect this to move all that much either way. Let's 0:03:47.760 --> 0:03:50.120 move on to the Redskins at the Packers. Packers here 0:03:50.200 --> 0:03:52.560 laying a bunch thirteen and a half with the total 0:03:52.960 --> 0:03:55.280 at forty two and a half. So the Packers coming 0:03:55.280 --> 0:03:57.680 off the big and predictable win against the Giants in 0:03:57.720 --> 0:04:00.520 the snow, it really looked like they probably could one 0:04:00.560 --> 0:04:02.760 by forty points if they were so inclined to do so. 0:04:03.040 --> 0:04:05.280 They still don't really look to be hitting on all 0:04:05.360 --> 0:04:07.920 cylinders to me, at least on either side of the ball. 0:04:07.920 --> 0:04:10.280 They're a strong team, not quite as dominant as I 0:04:10.360 --> 0:04:13.400 looked early on. Meanwhile, the Redskins beat the Panthers relying 0:04:13.440 --> 0:04:16.480 primarily on their running game, with Darius Guice and Adrian 0:04:16.480 --> 0:04:19.080 Peterson combining for three rushing touchdowns. They will try to 0:04:19.080 --> 0:04:21.200 do the same thing here against the Packers team that 0:04:21.400 --> 0:04:23.600 isn't great against the run. So thirteen and a half 0:04:23.760 --> 0:04:25.880 at home over under a forty two and a half, 0:04:25.880 --> 0:04:26.440 what do you think. 0:04:26.560 --> 0:04:28.760 I opened up at fourteen and a half, it's come down. 0:04:29.200 --> 0:04:31.279 I would love if it goes back up. I doubt 0:04:31.320 --> 0:04:33.760 that's gonna happen. In all honesty, here in the month 0:04:33.760 --> 0:04:37.800 of December. Should anybody be laying two touchdowns? Anybody? I mean, 0:04:37.839 --> 0:04:39.919 I don't care who they are. This is professional football 0:04:40.040 --> 0:04:42.400 late in the year. Your system should be in place, 0:04:42.680 --> 0:04:45.320 your plays should be well known. I mean, it's just 0:04:45.480 --> 0:04:48.000 it's kind of crazy. I mean, there are two lines, 0:04:48.040 --> 0:04:49.960 and I know one's a look ahead line here with 0:04:50.040 --> 0:04:52.120 the Vikings game. We'll get to later with the Lions, 0:04:52.160 --> 0:04:55.320 but anybody, I mean, fourteen is nuts. Thirteen and a 0:04:55.360 --> 0:04:57.359 half is kind of nuts. I mean, this is almost 0:04:57.360 --> 0:04:59.760 an auto fire for me. I don't care who's playing. 0:05:00.000 --> 0:05:02.719 It's a NFL football team putting on a uniform with pros. 0:05:03.440 --> 0:05:06.719 I just think the Redskins, I kinda hold your nose 0:05:06.760 --> 0:05:09.240 and take the points just because. I mean, if if 0:05:09.240 --> 0:05:11.719 the Packers win, the back door could be open in 0:05:11.760 --> 0:05:14.279 this one. I just don't think you can lay this 0:05:14.360 --> 0:05:16.920 many points with anybody in the NFL this late into 0:05:16.920 --> 0:05:19.600 the season. So I know I'll be on the Redskins 0:05:19.600 --> 0:05:23.120 almost just as a system play. Taking the two touchdowns. 0:05:23.120 --> 0:05:24.880 But I mean, the Packers are the right side. They're 0:05:24.920 --> 0:05:26.520 gonna win this game. In my mind, it's just a 0:05:26.560 --> 0:05:28.440 matter of how many points are they gonna win it by. 0:05:28.480 --> 0:05:31.200 And I don't really trust the Packers to blow anybody 0:05:31.200 --> 0:05:34.039 out here unless the weather just is completely disastrous. But 0:05:34.080 --> 0:05:36.240 like you mentioned, the Redskins are running the football, so 0:05:36.720 --> 0:05:39.360 krummy weather actually might favor the dog here in this one. 0:05:39.680 --> 0:05:42.200 Yeah, I really, I completely agree with you. 0:05:42.240 --> 0:05:45.160 There's no circumstances where I would take the Packers given 0:05:45.200 --> 0:05:46.360 where the spread is at this point. 0:05:46.640 --> 0:05:48.360 But I have such a difficult time. 0:05:48.200 --> 0:05:50.039 Some of these teams with the Redskins, you know, for 0:05:50.080 --> 0:05:52.640 a while with the Dolphins are playing better now, it's 0:05:52.680 --> 0:05:55.120 so difficult to think about Dwayne Haskins going in there 0:05:55.120 --> 0:05:57.400 and scoring any points whatsoever. But I agree, you can't 0:05:57.440 --> 0:05:59.919 take the Packers with this number. It's just too my. 0:06:00.200 --> 0:06:01.960 But I mean, this is probably where I. 0:06:02.040 --> 0:06:04.200 Think it would stay, and in the end, there's even 0:06:04.240 --> 0:06:06.960 at this number, there's probably more value on the Redskins, 0:06:07.160 --> 0:06:08.840 but I doubt I'll be able to pull the trigger 0:06:08.880 --> 0:06:10.960 on it. And let's talk about the other game with 0:06:10.960 --> 0:06:13.880 the big spread that you mentioned. The Lions at the Vikings. Currently, 0:06:13.960 --> 0:06:16.600 Vikings are laying thirteen and a half the total at 0:06:16.600 --> 0:06:18.560 forty two and a half. You mentioned we're recording this. 0:06:18.800 --> 0:06:21.400 Actually we started at halftime of the Monday night game. 0:06:21.480 --> 0:06:24.320 So everybody's healthy for now, so that's all we're really 0:06:24.320 --> 0:06:26.440 looking for in the look ahead lines. So we don't 0:06:26.480 --> 0:06:27.720 know what the Vikings are going to come out of, 0:06:27.760 --> 0:06:30.320 assuming they come out healthy. Look, they've been playing extremely 0:06:30.360 --> 0:06:32.960 well on both sides of the ball, generally speaking. Once 0:06:32.960 --> 0:06:35.520 they've opened up the pass offense, even without Adam Feelin, 0:06:35.800 --> 0:06:38.360 they you know, the offense is scary with Dalvin Cook 0:06:38.360 --> 0:06:40.520 back there. For the Lions, it sounds like they're just 0:06:40.560 --> 0:06:42.839 going to have to roll with David Blau at this point. 0:06:43.240 --> 0:06:45.880 Jeff Triscoll has been placed on ir Stafford is still 0:06:45.920 --> 0:06:47.800 weak to week, but it's highly unlikely you're going to 0:06:47.800 --> 0:06:50.880 see him at least this week. Not overally impressive football team. 0:06:50.880 --> 0:06:53.279 So again, we just talked about it. Addiefield here almost 0:06:53.279 --> 0:06:55.520 two touchdowns, thirteen and a half over under at forty 0:06:55.520 --> 0:06:57.760 two and a half. Are you taking the Lions? Are 0:06:57.760 --> 0:06:58.520 you gonna buye the ball? 0:06:58.640 --> 0:07:02.640 Yes? Yes, system play. I mean it's it's December. The 0:07:03.040 --> 0:07:06.040 Detroit defense. I mean, I know it's a third string quarterback, 0:07:06.120 --> 0:07:11.000 but again, I don't think you can lay fourteen points 0:07:11.040 --> 0:07:13.560 with anybody. And we'll see what happens with the Vikings 0:07:13.720 --> 0:07:16.200 and whether this line changes at all, if there's an 0:07:16.200 --> 0:07:18.240 injury or something, if you know, Cousins were to get 0:07:18.280 --> 0:07:20.440 hurt or something in the second half of the game 0:07:20.440 --> 0:07:25.080 against the Seattle Seahawks. But it is a again, in December, 0:07:25.120 --> 0:07:27.760 we're talking about two teams. These teams know each other. 0:07:28.200 --> 0:07:30.520 I mean that this is not a situation where I'm 0:07:30.520 --> 0:07:36.120 comfortable laying two touchdowns and two dome teams playing in 0:07:36.160 --> 0:07:38.360 a dome. I know the Vikings defense is ferocious and 0:07:38.400 --> 0:07:40.360 tough to play at home, and the lines may have 0:07:40.400 --> 0:07:42.800 a difficult time scoring. So maybe the under is a 0:07:42.840 --> 0:07:45.240 better play with that one. You know, at forty two 0:07:45.320 --> 0:07:49.320 and a half, it's not the you know, anywhere near forty. 0:07:49.360 --> 0:07:52.400 I get nervous for unders. But I still think the 0:07:52.480 --> 0:07:54.600 dog is the side, just because it's too many. But 0:07:54.600 --> 0:07:59.040 it's two touchdowns, my goodness, fourteen points. It's crazy at 0:07:59.040 --> 0:07:59.360 this one. 0:07:59.440 --> 0:08:02.040 I honestly feel a little better about the Lions because 0:08:02.080 --> 0:08:02.880 there's still I. 0:08:02.840 --> 0:08:04.440 Mean, a competent football team. 0:08:04.480 --> 0:08:07.880 I mean, blow isn't it's certainly far from impressive, but 0:08:07.920 --> 0:08:11.080 they have playmakers at least on offense, you know, you know, 0:08:11.120 --> 0:08:13.440 with Kenny Galladay. Marvin Jones is still there. I mean, 0:08:13.440 --> 0:08:15.440 they did just place T. J. Alkinson on IR, so 0:08:15.520 --> 0:08:17.280 they are you know, dropping like flies a little bit. 0:08:17.320 --> 0:08:19.600 But I you know, same thing basically as the last game. 0:08:19.720 --> 0:08:21.480 There's no way I'm taking the Vikings. 0:08:21.080 --> 0:08:22.160 In this game. There's just no way. 0:08:22.240 --> 0:08:24.480 I mean that the spreads and it's a divisional game 0:08:24.480 --> 0:08:26.400 of all things, right, that two teams know each other well. 0:08:26.480 --> 0:08:30.120 So I agree that, you know, sort of grudgingly, I 0:08:30.160 --> 0:08:32.040 would take the Lions if I had to choose a side, 0:08:32.040 --> 0:08:34.000 but it's probably a game and I'm going to stay 0:08:34.000 --> 0:08:35.520 away from Let's movan go ahead. 0:08:35.559 --> 0:08:37.520 Sorry, it's it's a no play I mean, both those 0:08:37.559 --> 0:08:39.920 games are no play games. I mean to be quite honest. 0:08:39.960 --> 0:08:42.040 But you know, if you're if you're looking at you 0:08:42.160 --> 0:08:44.839 gotta play it. If if you if both these teams 0:08:44.840 --> 0:08:46.640 are left in your pick them in your in your 0:08:46.640 --> 0:08:48.520 survival pool or something, and you got to go ahead 0:08:48.520 --> 0:08:50.080 and play and play one of them. But I think 0:08:50.120 --> 0:08:51.360 the dog is desided to be on. 0:08:51.480 --> 0:08:53.600 All right, let's move on here to the Panthers at 0:08:53.600 --> 0:08:55.760 the Falcons. Falcons here are currently laying two and a 0:08:55.800 --> 0:08:58.360 half in our consensus odds with a high total of 0:08:58.400 --> 0:09:00.520 forty eight. The Panthers just try ending in the wrong 0:09:00.559 --> 0:09:03.360 direction here. They lose to the Redskins. Kyle Allen is 0:09:03.400 --> 0:09:05.640 showing very clearly that he is not the long term 0:09:05.640 --> 0:09:09.480 mantar quarterback for the Panthers. That defense has started to struggle. Meanwhile, 0:09:09.559 --> 0:09:11.920 after a brief resurgence, the Falcons have come back down 0:09:11.920 --> 0:09:14.280 to earth in their past two games, latest one against 0:09:14.280 --> 0:09:16.839 the Saints on Thanksgiving. There is some optimism that Julio 0:09:16.920 --> 0:09:18.600 Jones is going to return here. It sounds like they'll 0:09:18.600 --> 0:09:22.120 get their right guard, Chris Linstrom back. It's a divisional 0:09:22.160 --> 0:09:24.120 game between two teams. Both of them are out of it. 0:09:24.160 --> 0:09:26.040 What do you think Falcons under a field goal two 0:09:26.080 --> 0:09:27.600 and a half over under at forty eight. 0:09:27.800 --> 0:09:29.560 You know, the Falcons are the weirdest team in the 0:09:29.679 --> 0:09:32.880 NFL because so many professional betters them men the Lions. Really, 0:09:33.040 --> 0:09:36.160 professional betters have been on both these teams all year long, 0:09:36.480 --> 0:09:39.080 and whether whatever the number was, they've been taking them, 0:09:39.480 --> 0:09:42.480 betting them, and they've been burned consistently. But they don't care. 0:09:42.520 --> 0:09:44.200 They keep on going back to the well. And then 0:09:44.280 --> 0:09:46.520 last week they almost got depending on where you got 0:09:46.559 --> 0:09:48.160 the number opened up at nine and a half. It 0:09:48.200 --> 0:09:49.880 was bet all over down to six and a half 0:09:50.080 --> 0:09:53.320 against the Saints and they have those crazy, ridiculous on 0:09:53.440 --> 0:09:55.960 side kicks, and you know, I'm watching it in a 0:09:56.280 --> 0:09:58.640 bar in San Francisco and somehow I stumbled onto a 0:09:58.679 --> 0:10:01.240 Saints bar with my brother. We were like, where the 0:10:01.280 --> 0:10:03.800 hell are we in San Francisco, But it was you know, 0:10:03.840 --> 0:10:05.960 they were throwing up in their beer because of how 0:10:06.320 --> 0:10:07.800 here come the Falcons and so many of them, A 0:10:07.840 --> 0:10:10.360 bunch of them had nine plus and minus nine and 0:10:10.400 --> 0:10:13.840 to throwing their you know, there's really angry and the 0:10:13.920 --> 0:10:16.439 fact that the team can't cover the line, and it 0:10:16.520 --> 0:10:20.760 is it is tough to take Carolina here simply because 0:10:20.920 --> 0:10:23.920 Kyle Allen, as you mentioned, is regressing so fast and 0:10:24.440 --> 0:10:26.600 it is wild to see some of these guys who 0:10:26.600 --> 0:10:28.720 we thought were going to be taking the jobs of 0:10:29.000 --> 0:10:31.880 you know, former MVPs and oh my goodness, how in 0:10:31.920 --> 0:10:33.720 the world, you know, Cam Newton should be on the 0:10:33.720 --> 0:10:36.520 trading block and now everyone's like, well, wait a minute, 0:10:36.600 --> 0:10:39.079 maybe we should keep Cam Newton. Maybe this Kyle Allen 0:10:39.160 --> 0:10:41.760 guy is not actually you know, maybe he was undrafted 0:10:41.800 --> 0:10:45.240 for a reason. So this has been a weird couple 0:10:45.280 --> 0:10:48.400 of weeks for certain quarterbacks. To Kobe Brisett hasn't played well, 0:10:48.440 --> 0:10:50.880 you know, coming in to replace Andrew Luck with the Colts. 0:10:51.200 --> 0:10:53.160 I if I'm gonna take a side here, I think 0:10:53.160 --> 0:10:55.440 you gotta take the Falcons because dan Quinn's coaching for 0:10:55.520 --> 0:10:58.440 his job, and I think he has a defense that's 0:10:58.559 --> 0:11:01.880 you know, playing at least competently, and the offense is 0:11:02.080 --> 0:11:04.880 still you know, there's still better playmakers right now on 0:11:04.920 --> 0:11:08.160 the Atlanta offense than the Carolina offense overall. I know 0:11:08.240 --> 0:11:11.199 McCaffrey is an amazing player, but they're really one dimensional. 0:11:11.280 --> 0:11:13.360 If you can stop the run, you can stop the Panthers. 0:11:13.360 --> 0:11:16.560 So I'll probably if you can get it at one 0:11:16.920 --> 0:11:20.880 or even a pick, I would take Atlanta. The movements 0:11:20.880 --> 0:11:23.280 on the Falcons right now, some books here in Vegas 0:11:23.280 --> 0:11:24.720 are uped all the way to all up to three, 0:11:24.840 --> 0:11:27.439 So I'll lay the points. I don't want to go 0:11:27.520 --> 0:11:29.520 over three here, but I will lay the points to 0:11:29.600 --> 0:11:30.120 the Falcons. 0:11:30.200 --> 0:11:32.040 Yeah, one hundred percent agree. I'm not going to a 0:11:32.040 --> 0:11:33.920 field goal if you can get it. Our consensus odds 0:11:33.960 --> 0:11:35.679 are two and a half. I take it at that point. 0:11:35.679 --> 0:11:37.280 I mean the Panthers to me, just look click a 0:11:37.320 --> 0:11:39.719 team that's about ready to mail it in. I'm sure 0:11:39.800 --> 0:11:42.080 Ron Rivera is going to be done. You know they 0:11:42.520 --> 0:11:44.640 have playmakers. DJ Moore is one of my favorite players 0:11:44.679 --> 0:11:47.160 in football. Christian McCaffrey is awesome. But you know, the 0:11:47.200 --> 0:11:49.120 one thing is we all called for dan Quinn to 0:11:49.120 --> 0:11:51.480 be fired for several weeks and then the team, Look, 0:11:51.600 --> 0:11:53.960 they play hard. They may not get it done, but 0:11:54.040 --> 0:11:56.800 they are playing hard. And if Julio Jones comes back, 0:11:56.880 --> 0:11:58.880 I you know understand that he could easily shut it 0:11:58.920 --> 0:12:01.760 down just because you know it's a lost season. He's struggling, 0:12:01.800 --> 0:12:03.720 but he's a gamer. He wants to play. I think 0:12:03.760 --> 0:12:05.520 they're gonna put up a good effort here at home. 0:12:05.559 --> 0:12:06.959 So if you can get it under a field goal, 0:12:07.280 --> 0:12:08.880 I agree with you. I would lay the points. Once 0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:10.400 you get up to three and the key number, I 0:12:10.400 --> 0:12:11.200 get a little nervous. 0:12:11.559 --> 0:12:14.480 Yeah, it's true, but it also I am curious what 0:12:14.480 --> 0:12:17.160 happened during the bye for the Falcons because something changed. 0:12:17.200 --> 0:12:19.120 I don't know who said what to whom, but they 0:12:19.160 --> 0:12:21.160 came out much different. They won those two games right 0:12:21.160 --> 0:12:23.600 out right off the bye. You know something, at least 0:12:23.679 --> 0:12:26.640 dan Quinn showed signs of life with his team more 0:12:26.679 --> 0:12:29.120 than other coaches, so that may have kept his job. 0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:31.040 Oh yeah, one hundred percent. I mean, everybody was calling 0:12:31.080 --> 0:12:32.840 for him to be fired, couldn't believe he wasn't. And 0:12:32.840 --> 0:12:34.520 then somehow they come out and they put up these 0:12:34.559 --> 0:12:38.199 two kind of really big performances, particularly defensively. So it's 0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:39.560 good to see. I mean, it's good to see them 0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:41.520 putting in the effort. And that's really why, because I 0:12:41.520 --> 0:12:43.760 feel like the Panthers are three seconds away from just 0:12:43.760 --> 0:12:45.520 being like, all right, we're done. We'll just you know, 0:12:45.600 --> 0:12:47.800 go through the motions. Ronovero will be gone, We'll find 0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:49.880 a new quarterback and we'll move on there. 0:12:50.640 --> 0:12:52.000 Forty nine ers at the Saints. 0:12:52.000 --> 0:12:54.720 Ooh, this is a good one, Matt Saints slaying three. 0:12:54.840 --> 0:12:57.640 Currently in our consensus odds over under at forty four 0:12:57.640 --> 0:12:59.440 and a half, forty nine ers is a very tough 0:12:59.440 --> 0:13:01.960 game in the right whether to Baltimore. They remain one 0:13:02.000 --> 0:13:04.360 of the strongest all around teams in the NFL, as 0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:07.480 do the Saints, though their offense is not quite clicking 0:13:07.720 --> 0:13:10.120 right now. You know, they're more relying on their defense. 0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:11.960 They are home here, so laying the field, go, what 0:13:11.960 --> 0:13:14.000 do you think Saints playing three total at forty four 0:13:14.040 --> 0:13:14.440 and a half. 0:13:14.679 --> 0:13:17.600 You know, this is the stretch for the forty nine 0:13:17.720 --> 0:13:19.400 ers where we get to know and find out a 0:13:19.480 --> 0:13:21.439 lot about them. So you know a lot of their 0:13:21.480 --> 0:13:23.920 wins early in the year were against teams like the 0:13:23.920 --> 0:13:26.800 Redskins and the Bengals and the Box and the Panthers, 0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:28.880 and it's kind of like, all right, they're running through 0:13:28.920 --> 0:13:31.200 some people, and then they get beat by the Seahawks 0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:34.600 and you're like, okay, Seahawks. They turn around and they 0:13:34.600 --> 0:13:36.640 have a tough game against the Cardinals. They have that 0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:39.240 ridiculous you know, depending where you got the line, but 0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:41.280 that lineman for the Cardinals chucking the ball in the 0:13:41.360 --> 0:13:43.800 end zone lately either a push at ten or maybe 0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:45.240 you had a ten and a half like I did. 0:13:45.440 --> 0:13:47.720 You won, But that game was ridiculous that the review 0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:50.600 never happened. We all learned a lesson about instant replay 0:13:50.760 --> 0:13:53.280 at the end of that game. And sports gamblers, look, 0:13:53.400 --> 0:13:55.480 you should review every scoring play. I don't care when 0:13:55.559 --> 0:13:57.559 it is okay if you're taking money, and the NFL 0:13:57.600 --> 0:13:59.240 is in bed with sports books. What the hell are 0:13:59.240 --> 0:14:01.439 you doing that review that play? That's got to be Yes, 0:14:01.480 --> 0:14:04.120 I'm still mad and bitter about that. But then you 0:14:04.200 --> 0:14:08.160 go Packers, Ravens, Saints, right, I mean, you're starting to 0:14:08.200 --> 0:14:10.120 get into into this. You know, you're going all right, 0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:13.560 you know, And this is the last game here on 0:14:13.600 --> 0:14:16.400 the road at New Orleans. They end with the Falcons 0:14:16.480 --> 0:14:20.280 Rams and at the Seahawks. I this is a big 0:14:20.320 --> 0:14:22.360 game for the Saints. This is a big game for 0:14:22.440 --> 0:14:24.160 them to kind of get back up into the home 0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:28.400 field homefield advantage conversation. This is hard for me. I mean, 0:14:28.480 --> 0:14:30.600 I think the forty nine ers are the better team, 0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:32.960 but I think at home in the Dome, I think 0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:35.240 this is a monster game for the Saints, a chance 0:14:35.280 --> 0:14:38.560 to kind of send a message. I'm okayle in three 0:14:38.600 --> 0:14:41.480 here and taking New Orleans and and and I think 0:14:41.480 --> 0:14:43.400 it could be back to back losses for the forty 0:14:43.480 --> 0:14:46.000 nine er. It's in particular Jimmy Garoppolo on the road 0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:50.040 in the Dome. Uh oh, I'm petrified about some some 0:14:50.120 --> 0:14:53.560 turnovers and interceptions and mistakes from Garoppolo that might lead 0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:55.640 to the victory for the Saints. So I'm gonna lay 0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:57.080 the three points here. This is a game I probably 0:14:57.080 --> 0:14:58.880 will play with New Orleans at home. 0:14:59.320 --> 0:15:00.960 Yeah, I don't think think I'm gonna play it. If 0:15:00.960 --> 0:15:03.200 I had to pick a side, I would take the Saints. Actually, 0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:05.320 what I kind of like here, by the way, depending 0:15:05.360 --> 0:15:07.200 on what happens to night, and you know, we at halftime, 0:15:07.200 --> 0:15:08.440 we don't know if the Seews are gonna win. 0:15:08.440 --> 0:15:09.920 The forty nine Ers might be looking. 0:15:09.680 --> 0:15:12.240 At the five seed right now, especially if they don't win, 0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:14.520 So they're gonna be desperate just as well both teams. 0:15:14.560 --> 0:15:17.520 It's just it's a wonderful game rightly, just to watch 0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:20.320 because both teams are good teams. Both teams are going 0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:22.240 to be desperate for the win. The thing I like 0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:23.960 a little bit is I lean a little bit towards 0:15:24.000 --> 0:15:25.520 the under. It's forty four and a half. It's not 0:15:25.560 --> 0:15:27.440 a huge number, but you know, the Saints do not 0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:30.000 turn the ball over ever, and you know they're on 0:15:30.080 --> 0:15:33.520 pace right now with potentially the lowest amount of turnovers 0:15:33.560 --> 0:15:36.280 I think for any team in the NFL ever, maybe 0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:39.480 unless I misread that, but in the end, I think 0:15:39.480 --> 0:15:42.800 the forty nine Ers defense, you know they're opportunistic right, 0:15:42.960 --> 0:15:45.640 they cause turnovers, the forty nine Ers get some short fields, 0:15:45.680 --> 0:15:47.320 are able to score. I think with the lack of that, 0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:49.480 with the Saints tough defense, and again the forty nine 0:15:49.560 --> 0:15:52.520 ers strong defense, Saints offense is not what it once was. 0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:53.920 I kind of see. 0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:56.120 This as a close, low scoring game. I don't think 0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:58.240 either team. I agree with what you said about Garoppolo. 0:15:58.320 --> 0:16:00.680 So to me, the under is the even though it's 0:16:00.720 --> 0:16:02.560 not a huge number, it sticks out to me as 0:16:02.640 --> 0:16:05.120 maybe the play that I would like more than the total. 0:16:05.160 --> 0:16:07.240 I just I feel like, man, I don't have both 0:16:07.280 --> 0:16:10.160 these teams are just gonna be absolutely not desperate for 0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:10.560 this win. 0:16:10.720 --> 0:16:12.160 So it makes me a little nervous. 0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:13.640 It could be a I mean, there could be an 0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:16.800 NFTY Championship preview. I mean the heat, the heat is 0:16:17.120 --> 0:16:20.440 definitely on Garoppolo here, and you know, to go into 0:16:20.440 --> 0:16:22.800 a hostile environment and play well and not turn the 0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:25.840 football over. I just think that the Saints in that 0:16:25.880 --> 0:16:28.520 home field advantage. I'm always it's kind of like the 0:16:28.520 --> 0:16:31.200 Patriots in Foxborough. If I'm looking at three or less 0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:33.640 and it's a quality Saints team, I have a tough 0:16:33.680 --> 0:16:35.600 time saying they're not gonna win that game out right. 0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:37.480 Well, that's a little preview of what you're gonna be 0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:39.640 thinking when we get to the Patriots game later then. 0:16:39.840 --> 0:16:42.360 But first, let's get to the Bengals at the Browns. 0:16:42.400 --> 0:16:45.600 Browns here are currently laying eight and a half, the 0:16:45.680 --> 0:16:48.120 total at forty and a half. This has moved significantly 0:16:48.160 --> 0:16:49.680 from the Look headline. From what I could see, it 0:16:49.720 --> 0:16:51.600 looks like the Look headline was seven and a half. 0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:53.880 It's eight and a half. The total was forty three 0:16:54.040 --> 0:16:55.800 from what I'm seeing, and now it's forty and a half. 0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:58.160 Let's just break up the Bengals here. They beat up 0:16:58.160 --> 0:17:01.040 on my hapless Jets. Andy Dalton understand they should get 0:17:01.080 --> 0:17:03.840 John Ross back. They add another layer to their passing offense. 0:17:03.840 --> 0:17:06.600 The offensive line is a little bit healthier, you know. 0:17:06.640 --> 0:17:08.800 All the Browns los a tough one to the Steelers. 0:17:08.800 --> 0:17:11.200 Baker Mayfield bangs up his hand. He's supposed to be fine. 0:17:11.480 --> 0:17:13.840 Didn't have his best day against an admittedly tough defense. 0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:15.720 How do you feel here about the Browns laying eight 0:17:15.760 --> 0:17:18.200 and a half with the total at forty and a half? 0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:20.600 Just a clown show for the Jets. By the way, 0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:22.320 how do you lose that game. I mean, this is 0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:26.280 just not that's the Jets. That's just the Jets. You 0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:29.520 just can't lose that game. I mean, there's just absolutely nothing. 0:17:29.760 --> 0:17:31.000 You can't lose that game. 0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:34.720 Yes, when you score thirty four points in three straight games, 0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:37.320 you're bound to just put up six against a tough 0:17:37.359 --> 0:17:39.960 defense like the Bengals. Man, I mean, get on board. 0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:41.600 This is my life, by the way. It's a Jets fan. 0:17:41.840 --> 0:17:43.119 It's fun to do it, by the way, in the 0:17:43.160 --> 0:17:45.880 betting context, so that I can have betters who sort 0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:47.920 of want to back the Jets understand what my life 0:17:47.960 --> 0:17:50.280 has been like for the last forties or so years. 0:17:50.720 --> 0:17:53.680 Yeah, I mean I had just some typical for fun 0:17:53.760 --> 0:17:55.639 things going and I'm like, yeah, I'll just throw the 0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:57.720 Jets game in there, you know, for the hell of 0:17:57.760 --> 0:18:00.359 it on a money line. They're not gonna what like, 0:18:00.560 --> 0:18:03.200 how do you lose that game? Just my I mean 0:18:03.280 --> 0:18:05.879 my fall for not you know, expecting the Jets to 0:18:05.920 --> 0:18:07.639 be the Jets. But you know that this is a 0:18:07.840 --> 0:18:09.879 I mean, the Browns are the side right because the 0:18:09.880 --> 0:18:13.360 Browns are five and seven, they're fighting for a playoff opportunity. 0:18:13.400 --> 0:18:15.399 They're probably not gonna make it, but you know, they 0:18:15.480 --> 0:18:17.840 they've got to end this year on an upswing after 0:18:18.040 --> 0:18:20.560 all the nastiness and all the crap they've gone through. 0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:23.240 You know, I'm not a very big Baker Mayfield fan anymore. 0:18:23.359 --> 0:18:26.239 I like guys that you know who kind of go 0:18:26.400 --> 0:18:30.200 quietly through the NFL. And sure, he's being offered contracts 0:18:30.200 --> 0:18:32.320 to do commercials and whatnot. So I would say yes 0:18:32.359 --> 0:18:34.040 to it too if I was getting paid that much money. 0:18:34.119 --> 0:18:36.040 But you know, it's really put a big bulls out 0:18:36.040 --> 0:18:37.560 on his back, and he's not lived up to the 0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:39.760 hype by any means. But you know, if they end 0:18:39.800 --> 0:18:41.399 the year and they wound up eight and eight till 0:18:41.440 --> 0:18:43.760 they wind up nine and seven, I think the Browns 0:18:43.760 --> 0:18:46.520 can save some face here. But you know, the Bengals. 0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:49.080 This is a classic fate spot, right because the Bengals 0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:51.359 get their first win. Zach Taylor, who is the worst 0:18:51.359 --> 0:18:53.679 coach in the NFL. He's thirty six years old. I 0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:55.720 harp on this all the time. Kid never should have 0:18:55.720 --> 0:18:58.439 gotten the job. I covered him at Nebraska. Bill Callahan 0:18:58.440 --> 0:19:01.080 shouldn't be a head coach. Zach shouldn't be a head coach. 0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:03.160 They're both head coaches in the NFL right now, which 0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:06.720 is absolutely ridiculous, But fade the Bengals for the rest 0:19:06.720 --> 0:19:09.520 of the year, and look, eight and a half's a 0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:11.920 little high, but as long as you're not going near 0:19:12.000 --> 0:19:14.560 double digits, I think the Browns of the safe side. 0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:16.600 Yeah, I'm inclined to agree. I think the Bengals got 0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:18.280 their win and now they're good to just sort of 0:19:18.320 --> 0:19:21.159 sit back and enjoy it. And again, their win was 0:19:21.280 --> 0:19:24.040 as kind of you alluded to, far less about them 0:19:24.160 --> 0:19:25.840 and much more about the Jets. 0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:27.639 So I agree with you here. 0:19:27.640 --> 0:19:29.920 I think the Browns bounce back in a big time 0:19:29.960 --> 0:19:31.879 when and if you can get it for under double digits. 0:19:31.920 --> 0:19:33.359 Look, you knew, I mean that game. 0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:34.760 You knew they were going to go in there, there's 0:19:34.800 --> 0:19:36.800 all the bad blood. You knew that they were just 0:19:36.880 --> 0:19:39.399 going to put up a stinker offensively going into there. 0:19:39.440 --> 0:19:40.199 It was really whether or. 0:19:40.200 --> 0:19:41.760 Not Duck Hodge was going to be able to put 0:19:41.800 --> 0:19:44.080 up any points, and he did just enough. But I 0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:45.600 agree with you here. I think the Browns are going 0:19:45.640 --> 0:19:48.480 to be you know, whatever faint playoff hopes that they 0:19:48.640 --> 0:19:50.760 still have, I think they're going to come through here 0:19:50.800 --> 0:19:53.320 and keep it going with a big win again under 0:19:53.320 --> 0:19:56.040 double digits. Completely agree with you. It is a big line, 0:19:56.080 --> 0:19:58.639 but for me, I'm okay with it. Let's move on 0:19:58.680 --> 0:20:00.639 to the Colts at the Bucks, Buck here are currently 0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:02.959 laying two and a half with the over under at 0:20:03.000 --> 0:20:04.679 forty seven and a half. Again, both of these have 0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:06.439 moved from what I can tell from the look ahead, 0:20:06.680 --> 0:20:08.480 it was Bucks laying three and a half and the 0:20:08.480 --> 0:20:11.240 total at fifteen and a half. So down there, Colt's 0:20:11.240 --> 0:20:13.120 starting to fall apart. At the seams here, they're dealing 0:20:13.160 --> 0:20:15.320 with a ton of injuries on the offensive side, including 0:20:15.359 --> 0:20:17.480 Marlon Mack and t Y Hilton, though at least Mack 0:20:17.800 --> 0:20:19.600 may return in this game, although not sure he'll be 0:20:19.640 --> 0:20:21.479 able to do all that much against the bucks vaunted 0:20:21.560 --> 0:20:24.000 run defense. They like to run the ball. That's tough 0:20:24.000 --> 0:20:25.600 to do against the Bucks. I mean, while the Bucks 0:20:25.640 --> 0:20:27.719 they come up with a strong win against Jacksonville, you 0:20:27.800 --> 0:20:29.120 know they're going to be able to move the ball 0:20:29.119 --> 0:20:30.919 with Jameis Winston. You know there's going to be at 0:20:31.000 --> 0:20:33.680 least one critical turnover, and you know that their pass 0:20:33.760 --> 0:20:35.440 defense is pretty weak. So how do you feel here 0:20:35.560 --> 0:20:37.120 under a field goal? Bucks laying two and a half 0:20:37.160 --> 0:20:39.720 at home total at forty seven and a half. 0:20:40.040 --> 0:20:43.000 Yeah, I think this team was holding things together post 0:20:43.040 --> 0:20:46.600 Andrew luck retirement with a lot of hope and optimism, 0:20:46.680 --> 0:20:49.520 and I think their will got broken last week. I 0:20:49.560 --> 0:20:52.399 don't know how three guys get through the line of 0:20:52.400 --> 0:20:55.560 scrimmage to block Adam Vinteri's kick, but they somehow managed 0:20:55.600 --> 0:20:57.879 to do it, and then I only blocked the damn thing. 0:20:57.880 --> 0:21:00.000 They returned it for a touchdown and ended the game. 0:21:00.119 --> 0:21:02.480 And then Ryan Tannehill all of a sudden has just 0:21:02.960 --> 0:21:05.760 I mean he is wally pipped Marcus Mariota. I mean, 0:21:06.160 --> 0:21:08.880 I mean, you are not going back to Marcus Mariota 0:21:08.960 --> 0:21:12.080 unless Tannehill just throws up all over himself. With the 0:21:12.080 --> 0:21:14.480 way he's passing him. He's the best quarterback in the 0:21:14.480 --> 0:21:16.920 division right now. And that's I know Watson is there, 0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:19.440 but this means on paper, Ryan Tannehill is the best 0:21:19.480 --> 0:21:23.320 quarterback in the division. So I don't understand what's going 0:21:23.359 --> 0:21:27.280 on with the Colts, but I think everything, including the injuries, 0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:29.520 I think t Y Hilton's done. I mean they thought 0:21:29.560 --> 0:21:31.439 he was done if you go back, and not to 0:21:31.480 --> 0:21:34.159 combine basketball and football, but remember when Kevin Durant had 0:21:34.160 --> 0:21:35.959 the calf injury and they thought it was a it 0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:37.280 was a calf. It was a calf, and it turned 0:21:37.320 --> 0:21:41.040 into a into a pretty significant injury to his achilles. Well, 0:21:41.080 --> 0:21:42.600 this goes back to a statement that was made to 0:21:42.640 --> 0:21:45.240 me by an injury expert on my radio show, where 0:21:45.280 --> 0:21:47.879 he said, there is no right now, there's no scientific 0:21:47.960 --> 0:21:50.480 data that determines when the calf ends and where the 0:21:50.520 --> 0:21:54.000 achilles begins. So if it's somewhere in that range, it 0:21:54.080 --> 0:21:56.280 might be both. And I think that's what t Wise got, 0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:58.320 and he's gotten achilles. I think that they're going to 0:21:58.359 --> 0:22:00.560 shut him down and not risk it for or long 0:22:00.640 --> 0:22:02.840 term injury, much like what happened with Kevin Durant coming 0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:05.720 back and finally snapping the damn thing. So I think 0:22:05.920 --> 0:22:08.199 t Y is gonna be done. I don't know if 0:22:08.240 --> 0:22:09.879 they rushed back back. I mean, the dude had a 0:22:09.920 --> 0:22:12.320 broken hand, he had surgery, he's trying to play on it. 0:22:12.400 --> 0:22:15.359 So I think this is a team that just is 0:22:15.400 --> 0:22:18.239 too banged up in the wake of Andrew luck. I 0:22:18.480 --> 0:22:23.040 on the road at Tampa, I can't back Indianapolis here. 0:22:23.280 --> 0:22:25.840 I think Tampa Bay, even though they're five and seven 0:22:26.040 --> 0:22:28.959 at home, I think the Colts might be toast and 0:22:29.000 --> 0:22:30.520 I think the Buccaneers of the side. 0:22:30.960 --> 0:22:34.240 Yeah, everything you're saying is correct. And they also lost 0:22:34.280 --> 0:22:36.200 Erik key Brown, Let's not forget that. So they're really 0:22:36.240 --> 0:22:39.639 down offensively. And you know, Hilton was not only battling 0:22:39.640 --> 0:22:41.399 the cav injury, but early in this season he was 0:22:41.400 --> 0:22:44.080 battling the quad injury, so he's really been dealing with. 0:22:44.040 --> 0:22:45.639 A lot of stuff. I agree with you. 0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:47.480 If there is a side, I think it's the Bucks, 0:22:47.520 --> 0:22:50.199 particularly under three, but I'm not willing to risk it. 0:22:50.440 --> 0:22:52.879 I've lost too much money on the Bucks this season, 0:22:53.000 --> 0:22:53.639 you know, going on. 0:22:53.720 --> 0:22:55.679 It's just one of these things where I don't know. 0:22:55.800 --> 0:22:58.119 I could see certainly them coming out in Winston just 0:22:58.119 --> 0:23:01.000 throwing like two pick sixes or something, but I can't. 0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:02.560 You can't back the Cults at this point. They also, 0:23:02.640 --> 0:23:05.000 I mean, Frank Reich, you know, is one of, if 0:23:05.000 --> 0:23:06.359 not the best coach in the NFL. 0:23:06.400 --> 0:23:08.280 I won't, of course, you're Bill Belichick. 0:23:08.320 --> 0:23:10.560 I want you know bad about that, but you know, 0:23:10.600 --> 0:23:11.240 Reig is great. 0:23:11.800 --> 0:23:13.359 He's gonna hold them together enough. 0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:14.840 But I just don't think they have the talent at 0:23:14.880 --> 0:23:17.360 this point to keep it going, especially with the division 0:23:17.640 --> 0:23:19.359 slipping away from them. So if there is a side, 0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:21.119 I'm inclined to agree with you that it's the bucks. 0:23:21.160 --> 0:23:23.320 It's not one that I'm gonna play, even under a 0:23:23.320 --> 0:23:25.560 field goal. Before we move on, I want to tell 0:23:25.600 --> 0:23:28.840 everyone about the sponsor of today's show, bet MGM. 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And 0:24:25.640 --> 0:24:28.000 although you can sign up an easily deposit money anywhere, 0:24:28.000 --> 0:24:29.639 you must be in the state of New Jersey to 0:24:29.680 --> 0:24:33.119 place a sports bet, and certain restrictions apply. Visit BETMGM 0:24:33.160 --> 0:24:35.320 dot com for the full list of terms and conditions. 0:24:35.440 --> 0:24:37.639 And if you've got a gambling problem called one eight 0:24:37.720 --> 0:24:40.399 hundred gambler. All right, man, let's move on to the 0:24:40.400 --> 0:24:44.000 Broncos at the Texans. As you might expect, the spread 0:24:44.080 --> 0:24:47.040 moves a little bit after last night's big win by 0:24:47.040 --> 0:24:49.680 the Texans. It's currently Texans laying nine and a half. 0:24:49.720 --> 0:24:51.919 The look ahead was eight total stays, where it is 0:24:51.920 --> 0:24:54.639 at forty one and a half. The Broncos look they 0:24:55.359 --> 0:24:58.760 took one from the Chargers, but Drew Locke was hardly impressive. 0:24:58.800 --> 0:25:02.760 The defense continues to play, you know, fine, as well 0:25:02.800 --> 0:25:05.399 as they can the Texans, though, you know that's the 0:25:05.400 --> 0:25:08.159 big story. They really took it to your Patriots on 0:25:08.240 --> 0:25:11.240 Sunday Night football. The secondary is healthier they're playing well. 0:25:11.240 --> 0:25:13.159 They've got all their wide receivers healthy. How do you 0:25:13.160 --> 0:25:14.800 feel here about a big number nine and a half 0:25:14.840 --> 0:25:16.399 with the total of forty one and a half? 0:25:16.840 --> 0:25:20.960 Fade the Houston Texans. This is one of my favorite 0:25:21.000 --> 0:25:23.760 plays of the week. All right, Look the Broncos. They 0:25:23.840 --> 0:25:28.160 have covered for the last five weeks. The Broncos defense, 0:25:28.200 --> 0:25:32.000 with Vic Fangio really maligned for most of the season, 0:25:32.280 --> 0:25:35.360 they have come around. I know the offense has got 0:25:35.359 --> 0:25:38.920 some real issues, but they've got two very good running backs. Look, 0:25:38.960 --> 0:25:42.359 this number is approaching double digits. I'm sorry, No way 0:25:42.359 --> 0:25:45.400 are the Texans. No way should they be laying ten, 0:25:46.040 --> 0:25:48.760 ten points, nine and a half points. The Broncos might 0:25:48.800 --> 0:25:50.280 be four and eight, but they've got a lot of 0:25:50.280 --> 0:25:52.280 fight in them, and they got a lot of pride 0:25:52.400 --> 0:25:55.400 with some great veterans on that defensive side of the football. 0:25:55.840 --> 0:25:57.679 Texans are gonna win the game, I think, But I 0:25:57.680 --> 0:26:00.280 think they're gonna be in for an absolute war here 0:26:00.320 --> 0:26:03.040 with the Broncos. Give me the points plus nine and 0:26:03.080 --> 0:26:05.040 a half with the Broncos. I love it, and I 0:26:05.040 --> 0:26:07.040 would even wait because I think the public's gonna come 0:26:07.040 --> 0:26:10.560 in with both fists on the Texans. It's it's classic, 0:26:10.840 --> 0:26:13.119 what have you done for me lately? I think the 0:26:13.119 --> 0:26:17.240 Texans it's recency bias, Broncos plus ten or more. Give 0:26:17.280 --> 0:26:18.840 it to me, it's Denver all day. 0:26:19.320 --> 0:26:19.520 Man. 0:26:19.600 --> 0:26:22.119 I was legitimately, I was about to jump in with 0:26:22.200 --> 0:26:24.960 if you do like the Texans, just don't bet it yet, 0:26:25.080 --> 0:26:28.240 because there's the the I mean, I think this is 0:26:28.240 --> 0:26:30.720 gonna be probably the game where there's gonna be the 0:26:30.760 --> 0:26:34.240 biggest differential between the number of bets that are placed 0:26:34.280 --> 0:26:36.400 and the money that's actually placed. Right because the sharp 0:26:36.440 --> 0:26:38.440 betters are gonna come in. They're gonna take the points. 0:26:38.440 --> 0:26:40.840 That Texans have a thing where they like to just 0:26:40.880 --> 0:26:42.800 sort of lay an egg right after you start to 0:26:42.880 --> 0:26:45.080 dress them. This is the prime spot for them. That's 0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:47.600 a huge win. This is gonna be a massive letdown 0:26:47.600 --> 0:26:48.040 for them. 0:26:48.720 --> 0:26:49.439 So I agree. 0:26:49.480 --> 0:26:51.760 I don't think you know, we've moved from eight to 0:26:51.840 --> 0:26:54.040 nine and a half. I'm sure that movement is not 0:26:54.119 --> 0:26:56.399 done yet. The public, especially on a you know, a 0:26:56.480 --> 0:26:59.440 nationally televised game beating the Patriots, they're gonna pound the 0:26:59.480 --> 0:27:03.280 Texans up at least another half point, if not you know, 0:27:03.880 --> 0:27:05.560 a full point, a point and a half something like that. 0:27:05.600 --> 0:27:08.200 So it's gonna get larger. So if you like the Texans, diagree, 0:27:08.280 --> 0:27:10.200 is the right side. If you like the Broncos, I'm sorry, 0:27:10.240 --> 0:27:12.200 which I agree is the right side in this game. 0:27:12.280 --> 0:27:15.640 I don't feel as confident quite as you do, just because, man, 0:27:15.680 --> 0:27:18.200 I watched that Broncos game closely, and you know, Courtland 0:27:18.240 --> 0:27:22.000 Sutton is incredible, but Drew Locke really just you know, 0:27:22.280 --> 0:27:24.040 sort of, you know, I didn't see all that much 0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:26.160 of a difference between him and you know, David Blau 0:27:26.320 --> 0:27:28.240 basically when when they first came out and stuff like that. 0:27:28.280 --> 0:27:30.199 I'm sure his career will be a little brighter. So 0:27:30.240 --> 0:27:32.080 it makes me a little nervous. But I agree sharp 0:27:32.080 --> 0:27:34.720 side is certainly the Broncos. But I would wait. I'd 0:27:34.760 --> 0:27:36.760 wait because I do think, as you said, that the 0:27:36.760 --> 0:27:39.159 spread is going to continue to rise. Let's move on 0:27:39.200 --> 0:27:40.720 here to the Dolphins at the Jets. 0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:43.199 Jets who he needs to Yes, we have to. 0:27:43.400 --> 0:27:46.439 I am contractually obligated to discuss every game on this slate. 0:27:47.119 --> 0:27:50.240 Jets laying six total of forty four. The Dolphins with 0:27:50.320 --> 0:27:53.959 the big win over the Eagles, they led primarily by 0:27:54.000 --> 0:27:56.720 Ryan Fitzpatrick and Devonte Parker. They continue to play hard 0:27:56.760 --> 0:27:59.359 despite an immense lack of talent. 0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:00.680 While we have. 0:28:00.720 --> 0:28:03.520 Talked about the Jets, they squander all their goodwill a 0:28:03.640 --> 0:28:07.800 lifeless performance there. They scored just six points. Jamal Adams 0:28:07.800 --> 0:28:10.280 also hurts his angle. His status is a little bit unclear. 0:28:10.600 --> 0:28:13.320 Dolphins won the last game these two teams played, and 0:28:13.359 --> 0:28:14.719 now they're getting six points. 0:28:14.760 --> 0:28:15.520 How do you feel here? 0:28:16.040 --> 0:28:19.240 Look, this is Dolphins football in December in New England 0:28:19.320 --> 0:28:23.480 slash New York. All right, this is fade Dolphin City 0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:26.159 in particular after their win. I mean, this is a 0:28:26.200 --> 0:28:28.159 game I'm going to play. I'm going to be on 0:28:28.200 --> 0:28:30.919 your Jets, and I love it that it's under a 0:28:30.960 --> 0:28:32.920 touchdown here. I don't like it at six and a 0:28:32.960 --> 0:28:35.040 half or seven, but at six I think you gotta 0:28:35.119 --> 0:28:37.520 roll with the Jets here. And look, the weather will 0:28:37.520 --> 0:28:40.040 watch it. I mean nor'easter is blasting through New England. 0:28:40.040 --> 0:28:42.120 We'll see what the backside of that looks like. Normally 0:28:42.160 --> 0:28:44.760 it's a cold front that makes it frigid. So if 0:28:44.760 --> 0:28:47.520 that's happening, you've got Dolphin football players who just are 0:28:47.600 --> 0:28:50.760 basking in all that Miami sunshine and their victory, their 0:28:50.840 --> 0:28:53.600 third win, which was monstrous for the books, that had 0:28:53.600 --> 0:28:55.160 that at one and a half or two for a 0:28:55.200 --> 0:28:58.280 win total for Miami. So now they're at three. So 0:28:58.400 --> 0:29:02.800 here they go up to New York. Jets got embarrassed. Look, 0:29:02.920 --> 0:29:05.240 I don't think Adam Gay should be a head coach 0:29:05.240 --> 0:29:07.360 in the NFL. He was bad in Miami, but this 0:29:07.440 --> 0:29:10.560 is a rivalry game for him. He mentioned the first loss. 0:29:11.040 --> 0:29:13.040 I just think the Jets are gonna play for pride here. 0:29:13.200 --> 0:29:14.880 Not much of it with the Jets this year, but 0:29:14.920 --> 0:29:16.680 I think this is a pride game for the Jets 0:29:16.680 --> 0:29:18.200 and they do wind up winning and covering. 0:29:18.560 --> 0:29:21.080 Yes, that is correct. All of what you said is correct. 0:29:21.160 --> 0:29:22.920 The Jets are gonna win the game. They're going to 0:29:23.000 --> 0:29:24.560 cover it. This is what the Jet and Adam Gay 0:29:24.560 --> 0:29:26.440 should not be a head coach. Everything you said I 0:29:26.760 --> 0:29:29.000 will double down on. Yeah, No, I completely agree. 0:29:29.000 --> 0:29:30.360 This is what the Jets do. 0:29:30.480 --> 0:29:32.760 If you trust them, they're certainly going to break your 0:29:32.760 --> 0:29:34.880 heart and put up a complete stinker. It has been 0:29:34.960 --> 0:29:37.720 my entire life as a Jets fan. But this is 0:29:37.760 --> 0:29:39.320 also what they're gonna do. It's gonna be a game 0:29:39.320 --> 0:29:41.240 where some people are gonna look at look that people 0:29:41.280 --> 0:29:42.920 are gonna like the Dolins. It's not gonna get back 0:29:43.000 --> 0:29:44.120 up to seven. By the way, I think the look 0:29:44.120 --> 0:29:45.760 headline might have been seven. It's not gonna get back 0:29:45.800 --> 0:29:47.920 up there. It's gonna stay below the touchdown, in which 0:29:47.960 --> 0:29:49.840 case I will be all over the Jets as well. 0:29:49.840 --> 0:29:52.240 They're gonna bounce back in this game. They're not nearly 0:29:52.280 --> 0:29:54.640 as bad as they look. Sam Darnold's gonna have a 0:29:54.680 --> 0:29:56.880 good game. Le'Veon Bell is gonna probably have his last 0:29:56.960 --> 0:29:58.800 hurrah before the Lake. You don't really want to face 0:29:58.880 --> 0:30:01.160 the Ravens or any like that. Let's just you know, 0:30:01.520 --> 0:30:03.160 relax you here. So I agree, this is gonna be 0:30:03.200 --> 0:30:04.480 a big game. I think the Jets are going to 0:30:04.520 --> 0:30:05.240 come out and play well. 0:30:05.280 --> 0:30:06.640 So if you can stomach. 0:30:06.320 --> 0:30:08.640 It, I agree the Jets at the right side, and 0:30:08.680 --> 0:30:11.080 I'll certainly be playing it this weekend. Let's move on 0:30:11.120 --> 0:30:12.720 to the Ravens at the Bills. 0:30:12.760 --> 0:30:13.880 A really good game. 0:30:13.720 --> 0:30:16.560 Here, Ravens laying five down from six and the total 0:30:16.560 --> 0:30:18.120 at forty three and a half. This is gonna be 0:30:18.120 --> 0:30:20.280 a fun one. It's in Buffalo, both teams coming off 0:30:20.280 --> 0:30:23.040 big wins. The Ravens win against the forty nine ers 0:30:23.120 --> 0:30:25.840 in the nasty weather. They continue to hit on all cylinders. 0:30:25.880 --> 0:30:28.120 They've got the top seed now, as you know in 0:30:28.160 --> 0:30:30.960 the AFC. Meanwhile, the Bills, look, they make a statement 0:30:31.040 --> 0:30:33.239 against the Cowboys. They are on the pats heels. They 0:30:33.240 --> 0:30:36.360 are headed home. That is a very difficult place to play. 0:30:36.400 --> 0:30:38.720 But their achilles heel is the run. That's what the 0:30:38.760 --> 0:30:40.920 Ravens strength is. So how do you feel here about 0:30:40.920 --> 0:30:42.920 the Ravens laying five with the total at forty three 0:30:42.920 --> 0:30:43.360 and a half. 0:30:44.000 --> 0:30:47.360 All right, So this has been a ongoing Twitter battle 0:30:47.360 --> 0:30:49.800 I've been having with Bills mafia because I don't believe 0:30:49.840 --> 0:30:52.720 the Bills are any good. And so last week I 0:30:52.760 --> 0:30:54.720 had a bunch of people say, Okay, if we beat 0:30:54.760 --> 0:30:58.760 the Cowboys, will you finally acknowledge that the Bills are good? 0:30:58.960 --> 0:31:01.280 I said, yeah, this game in primetime, you beat the 0:31:01.280 --> 0:31:03.040 Cowboys on the road, I'm gonna say, yes, the Bills 0:31:03.080 --> 0:31:04.640 are good. So the Bills win that game. So they 0:31:04.680 --> 0:31:06.640 showed it. They showed me a little bit that they've 0:31:06.720 --> 0:31:10.080 got more going on to maybe I'm giving them credit for. However, 0:31:10.680 --> 0:31:13.800 if the Ravens lose to the Buffalo bleeping Bills, okay, 0:31:14.120 --> 0:31:17.840 I'm gonna lose my mind. This game should be a blowout. 0:31:18.000 --> 0:31:21.040 The Ravens should take the Bills behind the woodshed and 0:31:21.080 --> 0:31:23.440 beat the living tar out of them coming up. So 0:31:23.800 --> 0:31:26.800 if this game is even close in the fourth quarter, 0:31:26.920 --> 0:31:30.320 I will be irate. So the Ravens should kill Buffalo, 0:31:30.480 --> 0:31:33.520 and as a Patriot fan, I need the help. Okay, 0:31:33.640 --> 0:31:35.920 So I need to bleed the breathing room here because 0:31:35.960 --> 0:31:37.680 the chief game, which we'll get to here in a second, 0:31:37.800 --> 0:31:41.040 I need the help. So Ravens big it. It better 0:31:41.080 --> 0:31:43.560 happen because if it doesn't, I'm gonna hear it, and 0:31:43.560 --> 0:31:45.360 I'm gonna have a lot of explaining to do it 0:31:45.400 --> 0:31:49.160 at my hatred of Bill's mafia in the Buffalo Bills. 0:31:50.080 --> 0:31:52.680 Okay, Well, a lot of Ravens players listen to this podcast, 0:31:52.680 --> 0:31:54.280 so you're in luck that they're gonna be all fired 0:31:54.360 --> 0:31:56.840 up now you've got them ready to go. Look, I look, 0:31:57.080 --> 0:31:59.360 you know, I've been agreeing with you a lot on 0:31:59.400 --> 0:32:01.560 this podcast by but I'm not going to pretend that 0:32:01.600 --> 0:32:03.680 I don't. Just to make it, you know, sort of 0:32:03.680 --> 0:32:04.240 a fun show. 0:32:04.360 --> 0:32:04.840 I agree. 0:32:04.880 --> 0:32:06.840 I've been fading the Bills a lot this year, and 0:32:06.880 --> 0:32:09.640 it hasn't really worked out for me all that well, 0:32:09.680 --> 0:32:12.520 They've they've just continued. I had a nice big preseason 0:32:12.520 --> 0:32:13.680 bet on them. I think there were six and a 0:32:13.680 --> 0:32:15.920 half wins. I thought they'd sail over that. But you 0:32:15.960 --> 0:32:19.800 know this, they're They're better than I expected. But look, 0:32:20.000 --> 0:32:22.560 I do not think that they were in the Ravens class. 0:32:22.600 --> 0:32:26.000 I mean, realistically, you can beat the Bills pretty handily 0:32:26.080 --> 0:32:28.640 on the ground. That's a real big Achilles heel, and 0:32:28.680 --> 0:32:30.000 that is what the Ravens are going to do. And 0:32:30.040 --> 0:32:32.520 they're just they're unstoppable. 0:32:31.960 --> 0:32:32.520 At the moment. 0:32:32.840 --> 0:32:35.160 And I think, you know, the Bills will be able 0:32:35.200 --> 0:32:38.200 to put up some points, but realistically, Josh Allen, you know, 0:32:38.240 --> 0:32:41.040 continues he hasn't thrown them any picks, but he's, you know, 0:32:41.160 --> 0:32:44.680 hardly the most accurate quarterback. The Ravens can stop the run. 0:32:44.800 --> 0:32:46.520 I don't think John Brown's gonna be able to do 0:32:46.560 --> 0:32:48.920 all that much. I just don't see the Bills really 0:32:48.960 --> 0:32:51.520 being able to hang with this team, so especially getting 0:32:51.520 --> 0:32:54.640 it under a touchdown. Yeah, I'm all over it. I'm 0:32:54.640 --> 0:32:56.240 certainly going to be in on it right now. I 0:32:56.240 --> 0:32:58.160 think you're on the right side. But again, you know, 0:32:58.280 --> 0:32:59.920 Ravens players, all of you guys who are listening to 0:33:00.880 --> 0:33:02.680 Matt's big on this. He needs the help, So get 0:33:02.720 --> 0:33:04.840 on it there. Let's move on to the Chargers that 0:33:04.920 --> 0:33:07.520 the Jaguars. Chargers here are laying two and a half 0:33:07.560 --> 0:33:09.200 the over under at forty three and a half. If 0:33:09.240 --> 0:33:12.400 you can back the Chargers in any game, you're probably 0:33:12.440 --> 0:33:14.520 a better man than I am. Both these teams look 0:33:14.560 --> 0:33:17.080 dead in the water. Philip Rivers just looks dune. 0:33:17.120 --> 0:33:17.400 See. 0:33:17.400 --> 0:33:20.680 The offense is stagnant, the defense is far from imposing. 0:33:20.800 --> 0:33:21.720 Ditto with the Jaguars. 0:33:21.760 --> 0:33:23.600 They're going to turn back here to Gardner Minsho has 0:33:23.600 --> 0:33:26.360 already been announced after the Nick Bolls run goes nowhere. 0:33:26.440 --> 0:33:29.080 They do have pieces on offense, but they're not explosive. 0:33:29.080 --> 0:33:31.240 Their run defense is highly beatable. So how do you 0:33:31.240 --> 0:33:33.640 feel here about the Chargers on the road laying two 0:33:33.680 --> 0:33:35.160 and a half of the total of forty three and 0:33:35.200 --> 0:33:35.520 a half. 0:33:35.760 --> 0:33:39.240 See this is why sports gambling is so necessary for football, 0:33:39.680 --> 0:33:43.560 because there is nothing about this game that's attractive. There's 0:33:43.640 --> 0:33:46.760 nothing about this game that's interesting. Both these teams suck. 0:33:47.080 --> 0:33:50.280 Both these teams are boring. Both these teams blow games 0:33:50.360 --> 0:33:53.640 like crazy. They turn the ball over crazy. Philip rivers career, 0:33:53.760 --> 0:33:57.480 for all intentsive purposes, is over. Okay, correct, and he 0:33:57.920 --> 0:34:00.120 might be back next year because they're moving in to 0:34:00.160 --> 0:34:02.640 a new stadium, But this Charger team is not gonna 0:34:02.720 --> 0:34:05.200 do anything. I'm with you. I don't know how you 0:34:05.320 --> 0:34:08.080 back the Chargers. I think the Jaguars have quit, but 0:34:08.160 --> 0:34:11.480 I think the La Chargers also have quit. I mean, 0:34:11.520 --> 0:34:14.200 they just lost to the Broncos. I just don't I 0:34:15.080 --> 0:34:17.960 just can't get behind either one of these two teams. 0:34:18.480 --> 0:34:20.640 If I'm gonna play it, I probably would play the 0:34:20.719 --> 0:34:22.719 under because I don't think either team wants to be 0:34:22.760 --> 0:34:25.240 a part of this game. So forty three and a half, 0:34:25.280 --> 0:34:27.560 I probably will say it's like a twenty to seventeen 0:34:27.600 --> 0:34:29.920 type of victory for one of these two teams. But 0:34:30.000 --> 0:34:32.440 this is a disgusting game between two teams I have 0:34:32.520 --> 0:34:33.600 no interest in watching. 0:34:33.960 --> 0:34:36.719 Yeah, I'm avoiding this game entirely because I'm not going 0:34:36.760 --> 0:34:39.239 to be forced to have an interest in this game, 0:34:39.280 --> 0:34:42.439 where otherwise I could just enjoy many other games. Yeah, 0:34:42.480 --> 0:34:44.360 there's no way i'd back either one of these teams, 0:34:44.400 --> 0:34:46.640 regardless of the spread. You could do whatever you want. 0:34:46.719 --> 0:34:49.279 I'm just staying far away from it. On the spread, yeah, 0:34:49.280 --> 0:34:51.320 I agree. If there is a play, it's probably the 0:34:51.400 --> 0:34:53.080 under at forty three and a half because I think 0:34:53.120 --> 0:34:55.880 both teams are gonna heavily rely on the run. I 0:34:55.920 --> 0:34:57.839 mean that's where you attack the Jaguars, so you'll see 0:34:57.840 --> 0:34:59.719 a lot of Melvin Gordon, and I think you know 0:34:59.800 --> 0:35:03.400 that they've committed to giving Leonard Fournette a ton of carries, 0:35:03.440 --> 0:35:05.000 So that's going to eat up into the clock. That's 0:35:05.000 --> 0:35:07.480 going to have longer drives, and so I think probably 0:35:07.520 --> 0:35:09.600 the under is the play, if there is one. But 0:35:10.040 --> 0:35:11.880 I'm just avoiding it all together and I'm going to 0:35:11.920 --> 0:35:14.000 be a happier man for it. Let's move on to 0:35:14.040 --> 0:35:16.560 the Titans at the Raiders. Titans here are laying three 0:35:16.920 --> 0:35:19.120 with a total of forty seven and a half. Two 0:35:19.160 --> 0:35:20.680 teams head in opposite directions. Here. 0:35:20.800 --> 0:35:21.920 You mentioned it earlier. 0:35:22.120 --> 0:35:25.400 Ryan Tannehill is playing about as well as any quarterback 0:35:25.440 --> 0:35:29.240 in the NFL right now. I mean, it's good to see. 0:35:29.320 --> 0:35:30.960 I don't know whether or not this is the same 0:35:30.960 --> 0:35:32.840 guy that was in Miami and he just needed to 0:35:32.840 --> 0:35:36.080 get out of there, but he's playing like really, really 0:35:36.120 --> 0:35:38.520 really solid football. Not just the fact that they're winning. 0:35:38.600 --> 0:35:41.360 I mean, his passes are crisp, they are accurateies fitting 0:35:41.360 --> 0:35:44.160 it into tight windows. He's just playing extremely well, and 0:35:44.200 --> 0:35:47.040 then it's getting colder and no one really wants to 0:35:47.080 --> 0:35:50.520 tackle Derek Henry, so their offense is clicking on all cylinders. 0:35:50.520 --> 0:35:53.960 The defense remains solid. Meanwhile, the Raiders record is finally 0:35:54.000 --> 0:35:56.840 catching up to their point differential. They've had a brutal 0:35:56.880 --> 0:35:59.200 schedule with all the road games. Derek Carr never plays 0:35:59.239 --> 0:36:00.840 well in the cold, as it has been shown recently. 0:36:00.840 --> 0:36:02.959 But they are going back to Oakland here things seem 0:36:03.000 --> 0:36:05.799 to be falling apart a bit. It struck me as 0:36:05.920 --> 0:36:08.880 I thought the spread would climb higher toward the Titans, 0:36:08.880 --> 0:36:10.960 but right now they're laying three with a total of 0:36:11.000 --> 0:36:12.000 forty seven and a half. 0:36:12.320 --> 0:36:14.760 Yeah, they're owned three the last three games against the spread, 0:36:14.800 --> 0:36:16.480 going back to that win over the Bengals where they 0:36:16.520 --> 0:36:19.000 didn't cover, and then they've scored twelve points in the 0:36:19.080 --> 0:36:21.120 last two weeks. The loss to the Jets was the 0:36:21.160 --> 0:36:24.080 real eye opener, losing thirty four to three on the road, 0:36:24.120 --> 0:36:26.600 and you know that that's just kind of you can 0:36:26.680 --> 0:36:29.040 excuse the loss to the Chiefs. And you know, the 0:36:29.040 --> 0:36:31.360 second of the weather forecast came out, you know, I 0:36:31.400 --> 0:36:32.960 you know, here in Vegas we get a lot of 0:36:33.000 --> 0:36:35.320 Raiders stuff because they're moving here next year. So you 0:36:35.360 --> 0:36:37.760 know Derek Carr's record when the temperature is below forty 0:36:37.760 --> 0:36:40.200 it's pretty well documented. So I you know, I laid 0:36:40.200 --> 0:36:42.279 the eleven points pretty quickly with the Chiefs once I 0:36:42.280 --> 0:36:44.600 saw the weather forecast for the game, and you know that, 0:36:44.719 --> 0:36:46.080 you know, it was over pretty much up to the 0:36:46.080 --> 0:36:49.720 first quarter and turnovers, fumbles, interceptions, it was just really ugly. 0:36:50.120 --> 0:36:52.520 I I really don't know what to make of the 0:36:52.600 --> 0:36:54.600 Raiders except that if I'm gonna bet this, I think 0:36:54.600 --> 0:36:57.200 the Titans are the side. They're alive in the division. 0:36:57.480 --> 0:37:00.440 They've got a defense that travels, they can run the football, 0:37:00.840 --> 0:37:04.200 and I feel like the Raiders are starting to kind 0:37:04.200 --> 0:37:06.279 of mail it in. He mentioned all the travel. I 0:37:06.320 --> 0:37:09.160 think they're getting a little tired of John Gruden, and 0:37:09.239 --> 0:37:12.920 I don't really know what Gruden thinks again of Derek Carr. So, 0:37:13.360 --> 0:37:15.480 I mean, things are not going well with the offense. 0:37:15.480 --> 0:37:17.360 They're not moving the football the way they used to. 0:37:17.480 --> 0:37:19.640 And look, Jacobs is a phenomenal rookie. You only had 0:37:19.680 --> 0:37:22.160 an a one hundred yard game basically last week. But 0:37:22.640 --> 0:37:24.759 you know, they just are Injuries are catching up to them. 0:37:25.239 --> 0:37:27.759 Raiders are gonna be an interesting team for the next 0:37:27.800 --> 0:37:30.040 couple of years because I do like the young Corps, 0:37:30.040 --> 0:37:34.120 but injuries and I just don't think they're that good. 0:37:34.280 --> 0:37:36.640 I think the Titans on the right side here, even 0:37:36.640 --> 0:37:38.640 though it's a road road favorite here. 0:37:39.680 --> 0:37:43.440 No, absolutely, I laying three. I'm all over the Titans. Absolutely, 0:37:43.480 --> 0:37:45.759 I'd probably feel fine with it up to four, maybe 0:37:45.800 --> 0:37:47.719 even four and a half. I think they're they're gonna 0:37:47.760 --> 0:37:48.399 have a big game here. 0:37:48.440 --> 0:37:48.800 I agree. 0:37:48.840 --> 0:37:51.040 I look the Raiders, you know, they they the future 0:37:51.400 --> 0:37:54.840 is not you know, it's fairly bright. I really do 0:37:54.960 --> 0:37:57.400 like Jacob's Waller has shown that he's a real player, 0:37:57.719 --> 0:38:00.360 but you know, without Hunter renfro and you know, they're 0:38:00.400 --> 0:38:02.879 just not you know, they just they weren't as good 0:38:02.880 --> 0:38:05.319 as they looked, essentially from the beginning. So when they 0:38:05.360 --> 0:38:07.840 struggle to run the ball and the Titans run defenses 0:38:08.000 --> 0:38:10.319 solid overall, it's hard for them to get stuff going. 0:38:10.320 --> 0:38:12.640 But they kind of and I think people actually started 0:38:12.640 --> 0:38:14.520 to take them seriously. I think part of the thing 0:38:14.600 --> 0:38:16.560 was that people weren't really taking the Raiders seriously and 0:38:16.640 --> 0:38:18.319 kind of thought, oh, that's an automatic victory, and then all 0:38:18.320 --> 0:38:20.400 of a sudden they were playing hard. Because I do 0:38:20.440 --> 0:38:22.600 think they've got young talent. I mean Cluton Ferrell, their 0:38:22.880 --> 0:38:25.920 top pick, has played pretty well from the defensive line perspective, 0:38:25.960 --> 0:38:28.160 and Abram there could I missip be state the safety 0:38:28.200 --> 0:38:30.360 that got hurt early in the year was a big blow. 0:38:30.440 --> 0:38:33.920 But you know, they've got some guys that play hard 0:38:33.960 --> 0:38:36.600 and like playing football. I like what Mayock is doing. 0:38:36.719 --> 0:38:40.080 I think next year, moving into the new stadium, I 0:38:40.120 --> 0:38:42.560 think they'll probably be an over five hundred football team. 0:38:42.600 --> 0:38:44.640 But I just think right now, late in the year, 0:38:44.680 --> 0:38:47.560 in December, knowing the playoffs are a long shot, and 0:38:47.600 --> 0:38:50.640 the injuries and the travel and the opponents, I just 0:38:50.640 --> 0:38:53.040 think they're not gonna I don't think players want to, 0:38:53.160 --> 0:38:55.080 you know, make a business decision as to whether or 0:38:55.120 --> 0:38:57.200 not they want to tackle Derrick Henry on Sunday. So 0:38:57.680 --> 0:39:00.200 I just think the Titans of the right side. 0:39:00.400 --> 0:39:02.520 No, I completely agree. And again, remember, you know, just 0:39:02.600 --> 0:39:05.400 kudos to the Raiders. Remember they lost Antonio Brown right 0:39:05.440 --> 0:39:08.200 before the season start, right right, I mean Tyroll Williams suddenly, 0:39:08.320 --> 0:39:12.239 who by the way, is battling Planter Vasciitis has been 0:39:12.280 --> 0:39:14.880 their number one wide receiver and he's not a number 0:39:14.880 --> 0:39:16.879 one wide receiver at all. And they lost Hunter Rent 0:39:16.880 --> 0:39:18.840 for so kudos to them for hanging in there, but 0:39:19.200 --> 0:39:21.640 I agree, they just look like they're about to completely 0:39:21.680 --> 0:39:23.680 fall off a cliff. And again, it's as much about 0:39:23.719 --> 0:39:25.560 the fact that I really like what the Titans are 0:39:25.600 --> 0:39:26.040 doing right now. 0:39:26.080 --> 0:39:28.200 I think they're really dangerous with Tennail back there. 0:39:28.280 --> 0:39:30.520 So before we finish up, I want to let everyone 0:39:30.520 --> 0:39:32.440 know that we are going to be randomly selecting the 0:39:32.480 --> 0:39:36.200 winner of our Odell Beckham Junior helmet giveaway on Thursday's show. 0:39:36.320 --> 0:39:38.719 But good news, we already have a new giveaway and. 0:39:38.680 --> 0:39:41.520 It is a signed Michael Thomas Saint's helmet. To be 0:39:41.640 --> 0:39:43.400 entered into the contest, just leave a review for the 0:39:43.400 --> 0:39:47.040 show on Apple Podcasts or Stitcher and sent a screenshot 0:39:47.040 --> 0:39:50.200 of that review to contest at bettingpros dot com. And remember, 0:39:50.239 --> 0:39:53.640 an entry into any contest gets too automatically entered into 0:39:53.680 --> 0:39:56.320 all future contests. All right, let's move on to the 0:39:56.320 --> 0:39:59.799 big one here. Matt Chiefs at Patriots Patriots Laying three, 0:40:00.000 --> 0:40:02.080 already know what you're gonna do because you basically said it. 0:40:02.360 --> 0:40:04.240 The total at forty eight and a half. 0:40:04.640 --> 0:40:07.399 Look, Patrick Mahomes, he looks healthy coming off the buy 0:40:07.520 --> 0:40:09.839 the Chiefs running backs are dropping like flies, and their 0:40:09.880 --> 0:40:11.840 defense still is are very good, but they're able to 0:40:11.840 --> 0:40:14.600 put up points. Meanwhile, you saw it last night the 0:40:14.640 --> 0:40:17.880 Patriots defense struggled against the Texans. It's kind of becoming 0:40:17.960 --> 0:40:20.280 a little bit of a thing for them against mobile quarterbacks. 0:40:20.280 --> 0:40:22.200 They play a lot of man so their backs there. 0:40:22.840 --> 0:40:25.080 Their offense looks a little out of swords here, Matt, 0:40:25.120 --> 0:40:26.560 So what do you think you're the Pats fan? You 0:40:26.600 --> 0:40:28.680 said you take them at home lank three or less, 0:40:28.719 --> 0:40:30.759 So laying three forty eight and a half, you're all 0:40:30.800 --> 0:40:31.520 over the Pats here. 0:40:31.760 --> 0:40:34.720 Yeah, this is the classic bounce back spot. Everyone says, 0:40:34.800 --> 0:40:38.239 this guy is falling. Tom Brady's angry. Look, this is 0:40:38.400 --> 0:40:41.600 on paper, one of the worst Patriot offenses in the 0:40:41.680 --> 0:40:44.279 last twenty years. I just if you look up and down, 0:40:44.920 --> 0:40:48.880 what they're asking for Mohammed Sanu and you know, Julian 0:40:48.960 --> 0:40:52.960 Edelman to do is quite remarkable. But I think this 0:40:53.120 --> 0:40:56.000 is a team that when they go back home, their 0:40:56.040 --> 0:40:59.560 defense tends to score, they tend to turn the football over. 0:41:00.040 --> 0:41:03.040 The Patriots run the ball more aggressively. They're just a 0:41:03.080 --> 0:41:06.319 different team at home. And look, the Patriots are known 0:41:06.400 --> 0:41:08.440 to do this. They last year, they were twelve and 0:41:08.560 --> 0:41:10.880 four and they won it all. They dropped back to 0:41:10.920 --> 0:41:13.200 back road games late in the year. Everyone thought they 0:41:13.200 --> 0:41:15.520 were done. They dropped two games early in the year, 0:41:15.560 --> 0:41:18.120 everyone said, oh, here comes to the cliff for Tom Brady again. 0:41:18.440 --> 0:41:21.040 I mean, they've been predicting this for five years now 0:41:21.200 --> 0:41:23.880 that the Patriots were going to be done. The Chiefs 0:41:23.920 --> 0:41:26.920 are definitely a dangerous team here. But the Chiefs defense 0:41:27.000 --> 0:41:29.560 is still garbage. Okay, it's still not a good defense. 0:41:29.560 --> 0:41:32.680 And the Patriots are gonna need to play, you know, 0:41:33.040 --> 0:41:35.520 don't turn the ball over, don't do what they did 0:41:35.560 --> 0:41:37.520 early in the game against the Texans where they threw 0:41:37.520 --> 0:41:40.120 an interception. Ni kil Harry needs to learn how to 0:41:40.160 --> 0:41:43.160 run routes with Tom Brady. That was a horrible play. 0:41:43.920 --> 0:41:47.160 It's just one of those situations where I think going 0:41:47.280 --> 0:41:49.920 home is a monster game. And remember I mean that 0:41:50.040 --> 0:41:52.319 entire coaching staff, the entire team. Basically, it's like the 0:41:52.320 --> 0:41:55.120 Patriots south in Houston. That was their super Bowl, so 0:41:55.400 --> 0:41:57.920 they were geared up primetime game. They walked in with 0:41:57.960 --> 0:42:00.920 that stupid whatever, you know outfit that the defense that 0:42:00.960 --> 0:42:03.480 we're wearing before the game that was shown on Twitter. 0:42:03.880 --> 0:42:06.480 I think this is a spot for the Patriots to 0:42:06.560 --> 0:42:09.640 get right. And it's a short line. It's only gonna 0:42:09.680 --> 0:42:12.359 be three. Everyone's gonna be on the Chiefs. You might 0:42:12.400 --> 0:42:13.799 even get it a two and a half. I was 0:42:13.800 --> 0:42:15.759 talking to a book maker today saying that you know 0:42:16.000 --> 0:42:17.960 they're not getting off of three because they know what 0:42:18.040 --> 0:42:20.600 happens if they do. But you know a lot of 0:42:20.640 --> 0:42:22.759 people are gonna be on Kansas City here. It's gonna 0:42:22.760 --> 0:42:25.400 be a big public play. Patriots are gonna be the 0:42:25.400 --> 0:42:29.239 professional side, and I'll stick with the Patriots at Foxborough. 0:42:29.480 --> 0:42:32.880 Yeah, I completely understand where you're coming from. And again, 0:42:33.040 --> 0:42:35.160 as a Jets fan, you can imagine how many texts 0:42:35.200 --> 0:42:37.200 I get every year to round this time saying this 0:42:37.320 --> 0:42:39.799 is the end. Finally you know Britty's going and every 0:42:39.840 --> 0:42:42.920 year he bounces back. I'm probably not gonna get involved 0:42:42.920 --> 0:42:46.480 in it. Everything you're saying is correct, But I'm a 0:42:46.520 --> 0:42:49.400 little nervous. I really, I admit I'm a little nervous 0:42:49.440 --> 0:42:51.120 right now about the offense and what they're able to do. 0:42:51.160 --> 0:42:54.120 I mean justifiably, of course, but I really don't know 0:42:54.400 --> 0:42:56.080 what they're gonna be able to do. I actually like 0:42:56.160 --> 0:42:58.720 the total and I think the defense is is gonna 0:42:58.760 --> 0:43:00.520 play well. But I think you know, when you go 0:43:00.600 --> 0:43:03.840 back to the AFC Championship game, you know, they completely 0:43:03.840 --> 0:43:05.839 shut down the Chiefs for the first half, and then 0:43:05.880 --> 0:43:08.319 you know Mahomes and Tyreek Hill they're able to just 0:43:08.320 --> 0:43:10.520 put up points. So I think the Patriots are going 0:43:10.560 --> 0:43:12.560 to score in this game. I think there's gonna be 0:43:12.560 --> 0:43:15.120 a lot of scoring, frankly from the Patriots offense, but 0:43:15.160 --> 0:43:16.400 I think the Chiefs are going to find a way 0:43:16.440 --> 0:43:18.920 to hang with them because a healthy Mahomes always finds 0:43:18.920 --> 0:43:20.719 a way to put a point. So for me, even 0:43:20.760 --> 0:43:22.360 with the high number at forty eight and a half, 0:43:22.600 --> 0:43:25.280 I like the over here. I think I'm probably staying 0:43:25.360 --> 0:43:27.880 away from the spread. I get it though. You know, 0:43:28.200 --> 0:43:30.239 I certainly I would not back the Chiefs. I will 0:43:30.239 --> 0:43:33.000 say that because there's no way the Patriots laying three 0:43:33.040 --> 0:43:36.200 to anybody at home. You know, there's just no way 0:43:36.239 --> 0:43:37.799 I would get on it. But I really I don't 0:43:37.800 --> 0:43:39.960 feel comfortable back in the Pats at that number. So 0:43:40.000 --> 0:43:41.640 for me, I'm going to be looking more at the total. 0:43:41.840 --> 0:43:43.560 But I get where you're coming from, and everybody's got 0:43:43.600 --> 0:43:45.759 it now he you know, Matt is big on the 0:43:45.800 --> 0:43:47.479 paths as long as it stays at three. And again, 0:43:47.680 --> 0:43:49.359 it's not gonna move up. I mean, it's not going 0:43:49.480 --> 0:43:51.600 past three for sure, if anything, going to move down. 0:43:51.640 --> 0:43:54.279 But well, it's funny too because because the unfortunately the 0:43:54.280 --> 0:43:56.920 Bills and the Ravens play before the Patriots. They're in 0:43:56.960 --> 0:44:00.160 the the late afternoon slot on CBS, so that I 0:44:00.239 --> 0:44:03.000 don't like because if the Bills lose, the Patriots will 0:44:03.000 --> 0:44:04.920 know that, hey, even if we win, we still have 0:44:04.960 --> 0:44:07.520 a game in hand over Buffalo, So I don't like that. 0:44:07.560 --> 0:44:11.480 I would rather had that game be played simultaneously. But 0:44:11.480 --> 0:44:13.799 but the Patriots in this spot, this is the prime 0:44:13.880 --> 0:44:15.759 time spot. This is you know, it gets dark in 0:44:15.840 --> 0:44:18.799 New England at basically four thirty in December, so that 0:44:18.840 --> 0:44:21.080 this is essentially a night game, and fans are going 0:44:21.120 --> 0:44:23.879 to be tailgating all game long. And the Chiefs they're 0:44:23.920 --> 0:44:26.239 not afraid to play in cold weather. But it's never 0:44:26.280 --> 0:44:27.800 fun to go on the road when it's cold. 0:44:28.200 --> 0:44:28.399 Yeah. 0:44:28.400 --> 0:44:31.160 Absolutely, let's move on here to these Steelers at the Cardinals. 0:44:31.400 --> 0:44:34.239 Steelers here laying two over, by the way, every every 0:44:34.239 --> 0:44:36.279 single game that we get to, by the way, your 0:44:36.320 --> 0:44:37.920 first reaction is, oh man. 0:44:37.760 --> 0:44:40.480 Because there's some real crap games. This this is one 0:44:40.480 --> 0:44:42.640 of them. I mean, what the hell happened to Kyler 0:44:42.719 --> 0:44:43.560 Murray last week? 0:44:43.880 --> 0:44:46.319 It was really a disaster, which is why the line 0:44:46.320 --> 0:44:48.680 has moved from Pickham to Steelers laying two and the 0:44:48.760 --> 0:44:51.160 total from forty five and a half to forty three 0:44:51.200 --> 0:44:52.560 and a half. I mean, you talked about it, the 0:44:52.560 --> 0:44:55.040 Cardinals embarrassed by the rounds. Oh look to me, I 0:44:55.040 --> 0:44:58.000 don't know. I saw that game. That was my top 0:44:58.040 --> 0:44:59.880 pick on the Thursday show is the Rams laying three 0:45:00.160 --> 0:45:02.440 the Cardinals. It just seemed like an obvious spot for 0:45:02.520 --> 0:45:04.439 the Rams to have sort of a get right game 0:45:04.440 --> 0:45:06.520 with their offense. But the Cardinals were embarrassed on both 0:45:06.560 --> 0:45:09.080 sides of the ball. Their defense has always been weak. Murray, 0:45:09.200 --> 0:45:12.120 you know, he is a special talent, but he clearly 0:45:12.160 --> 0:45:14.800 cannot get anything done there. The Steelers, meanwhile, as we 0:45:14.840 --> 0:45:17.000 talked about the big win over the Browns, they're right 0:45:17.040 --> 0:45:19.560 in the playoff mix. Doc Hodges is not special. He 0:45:19.680 --> 0:45:21.800 does enough to keep them in the game with that defense. 0:45:21.840 --> 0:45:23.759 So what do you think here? Steelers going on the 0:45:23.840 --> 0:45:26.760 road to Arizona laying two forty three and a half. 0:45:27.239 --> 0:45:28.640 I just have a tough time and I did it 0:45:28.680 --> 0:45:30.880 last week. I have a tough time backing a quarterback 0:45:30.960 --> 0:45:33.920 named Duck. I just don't It's just like something out 0:45:33.960 --> 0:45:36.200 of like a bad fifties sitcom. I just can't stand it, 0:45:36.239 --> 0:45:38.120 like of all the nicknames you can pick, like, what 0:45:38.160 --> 0:45:38.879 the hell duck? 0:45:39.239 --> 0:45:39.319 No? 0:45:39.719 --> 0:45:42.360 But fine, Look, the only side to play is the 0:45:42.400 --> 0:45:45.560 Steelers here, because I think the Cardinals whatever happened during 0:45:45.600 --> 0:45:49.120 the bye week. This is what everyone said about the 0:45:49.200 --> 0:45:52.919 Arizona Cardinals this year. Every win they get is gonna 0:45:52.920 --> 0:45:56.160 happen before the bye because they have an absolutely horrific 0:45:56.200 --> 0:45:59.480 schedule after their bye week, starting with the Rams last week. 0:46:00.040 --> 0:46:02.480 So the team bought into it and listen to the hype, 0:46:02.960 --> 0:46:06.000 or Kyler Murray is still on vacation, or they're sick, 0:46:06.480 --> 0:46:10.400 kind of Cliff Kingsbury's crap already. I don't know what happened, 0:46:10.440 --> 0:46:12.719 but that's a team that came back from a bye 0:46:12.760 --> 0:46:15.760 week and was still on vacation. And I think taking 0:46:15.800 --> 0:46:18.000 on a Pittsburgh Steelers team that knows it to play 0:46:18.000 --> 0:46:21.399 in December, this is a bad recipe for the Cardinals here. 0:46:21.480 --> 0:46:24.600 This is a bad matchup for the Cardinals. One team's hungry, 0:46:24.760 --> 0:46:27.359 one team's done. You know, I think the line, as 0:46:27.360 --> 0:46:30.400 long as it's under three, I'll take the road favorite 0:46:30.400 --> 0:46:31.279 here in Pittsburgh. 0:46:31.360 --> 0:46:34.919 Correct under three Steelers is certainly the play for me. Look, 0:46:35.000 --> 0:46:37.919 I love Kyler Murray. I really like watching him play. 0:46:37.920 --> 0:46:39.719 But you know the fact that they were able to 0:46:39.880 --> 0:46:41.480 cover that first game with the big sp I mean, 0:46:41.520 --> 0:46:43.760 they were getting blown out in that first game against 0:46:43.800 --> 0:46:45.440 the forty nine Ers, they came back late. I think 0:46:45.480 --> 0:46:47.560 the forty nine Ers took their foot off the gas, 0:46:47.600 --> 0:46:48.919 and then you know the fact that they were able 0:46:48.960 --> 0:46:50.640 to keep it close in that second game. Again, I 0:46:50.680 --> 0:46:53.200 think it was a lot more about the fact that 0:46:53.239 --> 0:46:55.880 the forty nine Ers really just weren't clicking on all Sellmers. 0:46:55.960 --> 0:46:57.759 I just do not try. I have not trusted the 0:46:57.800 --> 0:47:00.200 Cardinals all year. I don't trust them now against any 0:47:00.239 --> 0:47:03.000 semblance of a strong defense. Again, love Murray as a player, 0:47:03.080 --> 0:47:04.799 but I do not expect them to come out on 0:47:04.840 --> 0:47:06.640 top of this game. So as long as it is 0:47:06.719 --> 0:47:09.640 under three, I'm totally willing to back the Steelers here, 0:47:09.680 --> 0:47:12.000 and I'm fine. Just want it on record, I'm completely 0:47:12.040 --> 0:47:15.080 fine with the Duck nickname. Okay, I mean it's fine. 0:47:15.160 --> 0:47:16.799 I mean I really don't mind it. Let's move on 0:47:16.840 --> 0:47:19.439 to the Seahawks at the Rams. Seahawks here are laying 0:47:19.440 --> 0:47:21.279 two and a half, the total at forty six and 0:47:21.320 --> 0:47:23.600 a half. Again, we were recording this right in the 0:47:23.640 --> 0:47:27.720 middle of halftime at the Seahawks Vikings game. So assuming 0:47:27.880 --> 0:47:30.600 nothing crazy happens tonight, I mean, you know, look, the 0:47:30.600 --> 0:47:33.279 Seahawks are not quite as good as their record has been. 0:47:33.320 --> 0:47:36.080 Russell Wilson has really been making some magic happen. They 0:47:36.120 --> 0:47:38.800 find ways to win pretty much every game. The Rams 0:47:38.880 --> 0:47:41.200 keep their faint playoff hopes alive here with that big 0:47:41.200 --> 0:47:43.319 win over the Cardinals. We just talked about Jared Goff. 0:47:43.680 --> 0:47:46.319 He plays well because there's no pressure getting to him, 0:47:46.320 --> 0:47:50.080 which is really what causes him to completely fold tight 0:47:50.160 --> 0:47:52.040 game the first time these two teams met. Now you're 0:47:52.040 --> 0:47:53.480 in Los Angeles, how do you feel here about the 0:47:53.480 --> 0:47:55.279 Seahawks laying two and a half with the total of 0:47:55.320 --> 0:47:56.319 forty six and a half. 0:47:56.600 --> 0:47:59.080 Yeah, just real quick to kind of update earlier when 0:47:59.080 --> 0:48:01.359 we were talking about the low and the Vikings. So 0:48:01.440 --> 0:48:03.640 Dalvin Cook has left this game with a with a 0:48:03.680 --> 0:48:08.480 shoulder injury, so that could really impact what happens next 0:48:08.480 --> 0:48:11.160 week for the Vikings and the Lions. Just FYI to 0:48:11.239 --> 0:48:13.400 kind of scroll back on that line being you know, 0:48:13.440 --> 0:48:15.400 you may want to take the Lions right now at 0:48:15.440 --> 0:48:18.000 plus thirteen and a half plus fourteen if Dalvin Cook 0:48:18.040 --> 0:48:20.120 is going to be out for any length of time 0:48:20.440 --> 0:48:23.080 for Minnesota. But you know, nothing really serious happening for 0:48:23.120 --> 0:48:26.279 the Seahawks on an injury perspective at this point. Look, 0:48:26.680 --> 0:48:28.480 this is the game of the year for the Rams. 0:48:28.640 --> 0:48:30.879 This is Sunday night football. This is we find out 0:48:30.880 --> 0:48:33.000 whether or not the Rams are any good. I don't 0:48:33.000 --> 0:48:35.560 think the Rams are any good, and I think the Seahawks, 0:48:35.640 --> 0:48:38.040 you know, win or lose here. You know, hard fought 0:48:38.080 --> 0:48:40.239 game against the Vikings. They will either be ten and 0:48:40.280 --> 0:48:43.239 two or nine and three, and they're playing for a 0:48:43.280 --> 0:48:45.280 lot and they got to keep pace with the forty 0:48:45.360 --> 0:48:49.440 nine ers I under three. I think Russell Wilson and 0:48:49.480 --> 0:48:51.800 the Seahawks are the side here. I just can't trust 0:48:51.800 --> 0:48:53.600 the Rams. I know they've blew what they blew out 0:48:53.640 --> 0:48:56.040 the Cardinals last week, but I'm just not a fan 0:48:56.160 --> 0:48:58.520 of what's going on with this team. I think Gurley's 0:48:58.719 --> 0:49:00.719 not going to be the same player again due to 0:49:00.760 --> 0:49:03.840 the arthritis in his knee. I think everybody overvalued what 0:49:03.880 --> 0:49:06.479 happened with Jared Goff last year. Overvalued being b Sean 0:49:06.560 --> 0:49:09.600 McVay even I like the Seahawks here. 0:49:10.080 --> 0:49:11.879 Yeah, despite the fact that they're going to be coming 0:49:11.880 --> 0:49:14.680 off a short week. Look at the bottom line is this. 0:49:15.200 --> 0:49:18.279 There's no team I mentioned the Cardinals a team that 0:49:18.840 --> 0:49:22.000 I cannot trust. The Rams are right up there, other 0:49:22.040 --> 0:49:24.680 than when they played the Cardinals. You know, irresistible force 0:49:24.719 --> 0:49:28.160 meets immovable object. You get pressure on Jared Goff and 0:49:28.200 --> 0:49:30.799 he completely folds. At this point, it's basically been like 0:49:30.840 --> 0:49:34.239 this for a full season. The offensive line is abysmal. 0:49:34.680 --> 0:49:37.640 The Seahawks are slowly but surely upping their pass rush 0:49:37.640 --> 0:49:40.480 at this point, so I think just offensively, they're not 0:49:40.520 --> 0:49:42.680 going to be able to do very much. I have 0:49:42.840 --> 0:49:45.279 no problem backing the Seahawks here at anything less than 0:49:45.320 --> 0:49:47.080 the field goal without questioning. But gets above a field goal, 0:49:47.160 --> 0:49:48.440 I think the game is probably going to be tight 0:49:48.480 --> 0:49:50.640 because the Seahawks always played tight game, So if you're 0:49:50.680 --> 0:49:53.000 pushing the field goal or over, I'd get a little worried. 0:49:53.000 --> 0:49:54.319 But under a field goal like it is right now 0:49:54.400 --> 0:49:56.360 two and a half, I'm all over the Seahawks right now. 0:49:56.360 --> 0:49:58.880 I'm not trusting the Rams whatsoever. Let's move on to 0:49:58.960 --> 0:50:00.880 the final game of the the Monday Night Game, the 0:50:00.920 --> 0:50:01.840 Giants at the Eagles. 0:50:01.840 --> 0:50:03.799 This one deserves enough if you want to throw it 0:50:03.800 --> 0:50:04.120 out there. 0:50:04.160 --> 0:50:07.280 The Eagles here currently laying eight total at forty seven. 0:50:07.680 --> 0:50:11.880 The Eagles blow an absolutely golden opportunity here against the Dolphins. 0:50:12.040 --> 0:50:14.360 They've dealt with injuries all year, but there's just something 0:50:14.600 --> 0:50:17.239 not clicking with the team. Meanwhile, the Giants, they get 0:50:17.239 --> 0:50:19.320 beat up pretty good by the Packers. They're not a 0:50:19.360 --> 0:50:22.560 great football team. Daniel Jones is battling a mild ankle injury, 0:50:22.560 --> 0:50:22.960 but he'll play. 0:50:23.000 --> 0:50:23.560 How do you feel here? 0:50:23.560 --> 0:50:25.720 A divisional game obviously a must win for the Eagles, 0:50:25.760 --> 0:50:28.440 who also control their own destiny because they play the 0:50:28.480 --> 0:50:31.320 Cowboys or I'm not sure actually if they do anymore. 0:50:31.320 --> 0:50:33.520 But Eagles laying eight total of forty seven. 0:50:33.920 --> 0:50:37.200 So this is like a harken back to remember, like 0:50:37.320 --> 0:50:39.800 for a couple of years that ESPN's Monday Night Football 0:50:39.840 --> 0:50:43.040 had nothing but horrible football games and we all were like, 0:50:43.200 --> 0:50:45.719 my god, another awful game. Well, they had the pretty 0:50:45.760 --> 0:50:48.279 good games, like sign's a good game. This is one 0:50:48.280 --> 0:50:50.600 of those games where you're just like, really, this is 0:50:50.640 --> 0:50:54.600 the game we have to watch the Giants against the Eagles, 0:50:54.760 --> 0:50:57.200 Like we have to sit through this in primetime of 0:50:57.239 --> 0:50:59.839 all the game, Like this is horrible, Like flex this, 0:51:00.200 --> 0:51:03.120 give me Monday night football. Flex my gosh. But so 0:51:03.160 --> 0:51:05.880 the Giants. The Eagles are playing with the Giants, Redskins, 0:51:05.960 --> 0:51:08.000 Cowboys at home and then at the Giants to end 0:51:08.040 --> 0:51:10.239 the year, so they've got nothing about divisional games left. 0:51:10.239 --> 0:51:13.480 So you're right about controlling their own destiny. But I 0:51:13.560 --> 0:51:15.400 just feel like this is too heavy of a number. 0:51:15.480 --> 0:51:18.839 I mean, I eight just feels too too much. And 0:51:19.200 --> 0:51:21.800 I can't believe I'm saying this. But the Giants, I 0:51:22.520 --> 0:51:24.680 don't know what to make of this team. I you know, 0:51:24.840 --> 0:51:29.040 both offensively defensively. Pat Shermer's probably getting fired. I mean, 0:51:29.080 --> 0:51:31.200 who knows where that team is going right now. I 0:51:31.239 --> 0:51:34.040 don't mind Daniel Jones. I like Saquon Barkley a lot, 0:51:34.080 --> 0:51:37.680 but I I don't know. If I had to play 0:51:37.719 --> 0:51:40.640 this game, I probably would take the eight points. But 0:51:41.160 --> 0:51:43.800 I'm most likely just gonna have to, you know, shut 0:51:43.800 --> 0:51:45.600 this game, or have this game all in the background 0:51:45.640 --> 0:51:47.440 while I'm doing other stuff around the house and I 0:51:47.600 --> 0:51:49.759 have it on mute and this jacket to check in 0:51:49.800 --> 0:51:51.880 once in a while, because I really have no interest 0:51:51.920 --> 0:51:53.040 in this game on Monday. 0:51:53.400 --> 0:51:53.720 Yeah. 0:51:54.000 --> 0:51:55.880 Really, the only thing I could say here is that, 0:51:56.000 --> 0:51:59.000 under no circumstances would I back the Eagles. That's the 0:51:59.000 --> 0:52:01.080 only conclusion I can dry here, either on the total 0:52:01.160 --> 0:52:04.319 or on the spread. After what they did against the 0:52:04.360 --> 0:52:07.319 Dolphins in a game that was basically like you, you 0:52:07.480 --> 0:52:09.560 have to win this game, and it's against the Dolphins 0:52:09.600 --> 0:52:12.239 who are quote unquote plucky but not really going to 0:52:12.280 --> 0:52:13.799 be able to get it done. I don't see how 0:52:13.880 --> 0:52:16.719 you can back them at this number. It's sound like 0:52:16.760 --> 0:52:19.960 I love the Giants at this number. I could see 0:52:20.080 --> 0:52:23.400 talking myself into playing them, given that it's over a touchdown. 0:52:23.560 --> 0:52:26.200 But the only thing I know for certain is that 0:52:26.200 --> 0:52:29.120 there is no way you could take the Eagles laying 0:52:29.239 --> 0:52:32.920 a touchdown or more. It's just impossible. I whatever is 0:52:32.960 --> 0:52:36.040 missing with that football team, something is missing. And you know, 0:52:36.200 --> 0:52:37.600 I don't even know how healthy they're going to be, 0:52:37.600 --> 0:52:39.920 Asheon Jeffrey at the very end of that game walked 0:52:39.960 --> 0:52:43.280 off limping. He's battled injuries all year, so he could 0:52:43.280 --> 0:52:45.480 be down. You know, Jordan Howard is still out. They're 0:52:45.520 --> 0:52:46.839 just they're just not getting it done. 0:52:46.880 --> 0:52:49.520 So for me, it's probably a stay away. If anything, 0:52:49.520 --> 0:52:50.160 it's the Giants. 0:52:50.160 --> 0:52:52.120 But whatever you do, do not take the Eagles. 0:52:52.239 --> 0:52:54.759 Yeah, I mean, I'm a big believer. I don't know 0:52:54.800 --> 0:52:56.799 how you feel about two team teasers, but I'm a 0:52:56.800 --> 0:52:59.719 big believer in two team teasers in the NFL. After 0:52:59.719 --> 0:53:02.759 which it's a week nine and how difficult these lines are, 0:53:02.960 --> 0:53:04.800 and the fact that I mean when I tease the 0:53:04.840 --> 0:53:06.880 Eagles down to four and a half, the fact that 0:53:06.880 --> 0:53:09.080 I was like, they have to be able to beat 0:53:09.080 --> 0:53:11.160 the Dolphins. It's a must win game. I mean, maybe 0:53:11.200 --> 0:53:13.920 they win by three and I get burned, but teasing 0:53:13.960 --> 0:53:16.440 down to four and a half under no circumstances they 0:53:16.480 --> 0:53:19.080 ever say, Well, the Eagles are gonna lose the game 0:53:19.160 --> 0:53:21.719 outright to the Miami Dolphins, and they're gonna lose it 0:53:21.760 --> 0:53:23.960 with a bunch of trick plays and they're gonna be 0:53:24.080 --> 0:53:28.720 made to look like fools by Brian Flores. I completely 0:53:28.920 --> 0:53:31.480 that was of all we've had a bunch of like, 0:53:31.480 --> 0:53:33.840 oh my gosh moments in the NFL. That game was 0:53:33.920 --> 0:53:36.680 right up there where with everything on the line. The 0:53:36.719 --> 0:53:39.680 Eagles are now fourteen and fourteen since the Super Bowl, 0:53:40.080 --> 0:53:43.759 and Carson Wentz. I mean, I think we got to 0:53:43.760 --> 0:53:47.040 start at least beginning to ask ourselves questions about Cartson 0:53:47.080 --> 0:53:49.040 Wentz a little bit and what this team looks like 0:53:49.080 --> 0:53:50.920 with him out the quarterbacks spot going forward. I know 0:53:50.960 --> 0:53:53.680 injuries have played a huge role in the offense this year, 0:53:53.719 --> 0:53:57.360 but this entire team under Doug Peterson, I don't know 0:53:57.360 --> 0:54:00.319 what to make of the Eagles. It's quite embarrassing happened 0:54:00.400 --> 0:54:00.879 last week. 0:54:01.160 --> 0:54:03.560 I mean I was on them laying the ten. I 0:54:03.600 --> 0:54:05.800 mean really I was. I was like, they are gonna 0:54:05.840 --> 0:54:08.520 smash this team right now. Their offensive line had gotten 0:54:08.560 --> 0:54:10.880 back healthy, Alshon Jefrey was gonna play. 0:54:10.719 --> 0:54:11.960 Elsewhich was healthy. 0:54:12.320 --> 0:54:15.040 I know, I know, I know, just ridiculous. 0:54:15.040 --> 0:54:17.560 So yeah, I'm completely off the Eagles at this point, 0:54:17.680 --> 0:54:20.600 especially when you're at a number remotely close to this high. 0:54:20.680 --> 0:54:22.640 All right, that's gonna do it for today's show, Matt, 0:54:22.680 --> 0:54:24.719 it was great having you back on. Remind everyone where 0:54:24.719 --> 0:54:25.919 they can find more of you in your. 0:54:25.800 --> 0:54:30.200 Work best way at Sports Talk Matt on Twitter, I 0:54:30.520 --> 0:54:33.399 Link Everything Radio show is ten to one Pacific time, 0:54:33.440 --> 0:54:36.000 one to four Eastern Espianation Radio and the better network 0:54:36.000 --> 0:54:38.360 called Pushing the Odds. We have a lot of fun. Basically, 0:54:38.400 --> 0:54:39.880 what we just did is very similar to what I 0:54:39.920 --> 0:54:41.319 do on the show every day, so we just break 0:54:41.320 --> 0:54:44.200 down games from a from a betting perspective. So thanks 0:54:44.239 --> 0:54:46.040 for having me on again. A lot of fun. Anytime 0:54:46.080 --> 0:54:47.600 you need to be, I'm glad to do it all. 0:54:47.560 --> 0:54:49.560 Right, great, Thanks again to the sponsor of today's show, 0:54:49.600 --> 0:54:52.600 bet MGM. Remember to download the bet mgm Sports app 0:54:52.719 --> 0:54:55.560 use the promo code Harris to get your risk free 0:54:55.600 --> 0:54:58.279 first wager of up to five hundred dollars, and don't 0:54:58.280 --> 0:55:00.880 forget to rate and review the podcast. Send a screenshot 0:55:00.920 --> 0:55:03.520 of that review to contest at bettingpros dot com for 0:55:03.600 --> 0:55:06.520 your chance to win a signed Michael Thomas helmet. We 0:55:06.560 --> 0:55:08.319 will be back later this week giving you some of 0:55:08.360 --> 0:55:10.920 our best bets for Week fourteen. I'll talk to you 0:55:11.000 --> 0:55:21.120 then