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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Friday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host map paroltire off of bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: Opening Day was a lot of fun. One game got

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Speaker 1: shortened by rain. The other one went off with a

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Speaker 1: bunch of fireworks late, a lot of runs being scored late.

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Speaker 1: But boy, we had some fun yesterday. We're back at

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Speaker 1: it today with another Opening Day. This time everyone gets

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Speaker 1: to be involved across all of Major League Baseball. It's

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Speaker 1: not just four teams playing, it's everyone else who gets

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Speaker 1: going here. So Opening Day yesterday was very good for us.

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Speaker 1: We went three and oh, so that's a really nice

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Speaker 1: start to the week for us. The Yankee game maybe

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a benefit because of mother nature

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Speaker 1: getting involved. It was a run shortened game, six innings,

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Speaker 1: six and a third innings shortens the game down four

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Speaker 1: to one. The victory for the Yankees. We did get

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Speaker 1: it right though, with the first five over and runs

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Speaker 1: being scored off of the aces. Both Cole and Sures

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Speaker 1: are both getting hit around more sure than coal in

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Speaker 1: a four to one victory for the Yankees over the

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Speaker 1: Nationals on opening Day. So good start to baseball. Three

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Speaker 1: and zero Because the Dodgers come out of the woodwork late.

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Speaker 1: It was a tight game until they got into the bullpens,

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Speaker 1: and then the Dodgers just poured it on. They get

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Speaker 1: a big victory. The run line cash for us with

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers on that so good stuff. Earlier in the

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Speaker 1: day it wasn't so good for us because our head

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Speaker 1: to head the only bet on golf I'm going to make,

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Speaker 1: and I'm not going to go near golf because i

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Speaker 1: am not hot right now. I'm ice cold with golf.

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Speaker 1: But Tommy Fleetwood against Brooks Koepka was looking good. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what it is with me in the eighteenth hole,

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Speaker 1: but the last hole, the last three holes really for

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Speaker 1: Tommy Fleetwood. He was leading two stro glead. He goes

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Speaker 1: double par bogie on his way to a one to

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Speaker 1: an even par rather and Brooks Kepka shut one under

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Speaker 1: for his first round. So they're close their neck and neck.

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Speaker 1: My only hope is that Tommy Fleetwood hadn't played golf,

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Speaker 1: competitive golf for a while and he got tired at

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Speaker 1: the end of the round and that's why things didn't

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Speaker 1: go right for him late. And he'll turn that around.

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Speaker 1: Here on a Friday he'll play better, get to the

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Speaker 1: weekend and then really stretch out. I told you during

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Speaker 1: the podcast we were going back and forth between Tony

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Speaker 1: Fenow versus brooks Kopka or Tommy Fleetwood versus brooks Kopka.

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Speaker 1: I picked the wrong dude right now because Tony Fenow

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Speaker 1: leads the tournament. He shot a sixty five, so he

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Speaker 1: was tremendous. Bad pick by me. I didn't pick the

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Speaker 1: right guy. It's kind of the way we're going here

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Speaker 1: with golf, unfortunately. So the hope is that Tommy Fleetwood

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Speaker 1: turns it around. We got three more rounds to go

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Speaker 1: here and he'll get a victory over brooks Kepka. Tommy

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Speaker 1: Fleetwood being a little bit of a favorite, minus one

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Speaker 1: point fifteen there against brooks Kepka, so we'll see how

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Speaker 1: that head to head plays out. But a three and

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Speaker 1: ozero start an opening day really good stuff. Love to

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Speaker 1: see it. Exciting stuff for us here as we go

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Speaker 1: into the weekend and on Saturday morning tomorrow, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: do our UFC picks. So I'm gonna hold off of

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Speaker 1: my UFC picks till tomorrow. So if you like us

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Speaker 1: with the UFC, we've had some good runs with the UFC.

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Speaker 1: If you like what we do there, I'll make those

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Speaker 1: selections for the final Fight night over on Fight Island

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Speaker 1: Saturday Night, the headline fight being Darren Till against Robert

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Speaker 1: Whitaker about there's a couple of other fights in there

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Speaker 1: that I want to get into tomorrow morning. We would

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Speaker 1: be pretty much a UFC podcast, although we do have

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Speaker 1: NASCAR to talk about. With the Xfinity Series. We got

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Speaker 1: the third round of the three a m. There may

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Speaker 1: be a head to head or two. I'm trying to

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Speaker 1: stay away from it, but maybe I talk myself into it.

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Speaker 1: There's a truck race as well that maybe I might

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Speaker 1: take a look at and take a run at. And

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Speaker 1: what's crazy about Opening Day? I was so jacked up,

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Speaker 1: in jazzed up about Opening Day that I totally didn't

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Speaker 1: even prepare or study or prep at all for the

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Speaker 1: NASCAR race at Kansas. And Denny Hamlin won the thing.

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Speaker 1: And I probably would have bet Kevin Harvick get a

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Speaker 1: head to head, and Kevin Harvick was okay, led the

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Speaker 1: race late. But Denny Hamlin wins this thing, and the

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Speaker 1: rivalry between Denny Hamlin and Kevin Harvick is awesome right now.

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Speaker 1: I mean, these two dudes just like trading back and forth.

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Speaker 1: You win, I win, you win, I win. It's the

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Speaker 1: best rivalry of twenty twenty right now in sports is

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Speaker 1: those two drivers going back at it. So I'm kind

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Speaker 1: of bummed. I didn't play anything on that and I

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Speaker 1: didn't even prepare for it because frankly, I didn't know

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Speaker 1: what was happening. I forgot. So that's what's gonna happen

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Speaker 1: here as we get just inundated with so many things

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Speaker 1: to bet on and so many sporting events to watch,

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Speaker 1: it's awesome. I mean, look, I much rather have it

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Speaker 1: this way than what it was two months ago when

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Speaker 1: we were sitting there going what are we gonna watch tonight?

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Speaker 1: And what's on TV tonight. I don't have a play.

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Speaker 1: I didn't play on NASCAR, And unfortunately for the sports

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Speaker 1: that have been sort of you know, the ones on

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Speaker 1: the margins, the UFCS, the Nascars, the PGA Tours, they're

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Speaker 1: gonna get shuffled to the back of the room here

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Speaker 1: as we get going with our Big four, first with baseball,

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Speaker 1: then with the NBA, then with the NHL, and I

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Speaker 1: don't know if you guys have been watching any of

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Speaker 1: the NBA preseason games, but it looks good. I mean,

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Speaker 1: give the NBA a lot of credit that looks that

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Speaker 1: court looks awesome. I mean I thought it might be

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Speaker 1: really weird without fans, and yeah, you can hear a

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Speaker 1: lot of stuff, but at the end of the day,

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Speaker 1: it's basketball, and sure the fans aren't there to create

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Speaker 1: an atmosphere, but at the end of the day, it's basketball,

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Speaker 1: and these guys are playing and they're gonna be ferocious

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Speaker 1: about it and they're gonna get after it trying to

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Speaker 1: win a championship. And I am one hundred percent excited

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Speaker 1: to watch and see how this is going to go.

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Speaker 1: So all right, after going three to zero on Thursday,

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Speaker 1: we are back with two plays for you here for

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice on Friday, both in Major League Baseball.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with everyone's favorite team, the Chicago White Sox.

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Speaker 1: This is going to be the Cleveland Browns of Major

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Speaker 1: League Baseball. Cleveland for a while, going into a year

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Speaker 1: two years ago, I mean, everybody in their mom was

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Speaker 1: betting on Cleveland. They had all these new players, they

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Speaker 1: had all this new hype. Everybody was in love with them,

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Speaker 1: and people pounded on the Cleveland Browns and they fell

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Speaker 1: on their face. Right, This is now what's gonna happen

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Speaker 1: with the Cleveland Sorry, with the Chicago White Sox. Everyone

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Speaker 1: is on them. They went from seventy five to one

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Speaker 1: down to twenty one to twenty to one to win

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Speaker 1: the World Series. It's incredible, winning the division, winning the

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Speaker 1: American League. Pennant, I mean, people have just come in

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Speaker 1: with both fists on this team. So what happens when

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Speaker 1: they play their first game of the twenty twenty season. Yep,

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Speaker 1: everyone's coming in with both fists and they're hammering the

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Speaker 1: over for this game, Opening Night, Twins at White Sox.

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Speaker 1: Jose Burrios to the mound for the Twins, Lucas Giolito

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Speaker 1: to the mound for the White Sox. This is interesting

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Speaker 1: because for Burrios, it's his second straight start on opening Day.

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Speaker 1: He's had some really good stuff on opening Day. He

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Speaker 1: went four and one with a two point eight to

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Speaker 1: eight er in five starts against the White Sox in

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Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. Gilito on the other side, making his first

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Speaker 1: career start an opening Day, but last year two and

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Speaker 1: two with a three point twenty five e RA against

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Speaker 1: the Twins, including according to MLB dot Com, a three hit,

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Speaker 1: twelve strikeout shutout at Target Field in late August. This

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Speaker 1: number opened up at seven and a half. It's now

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Speaker 1: nine nine and still climbing. Okay, everyone's coming in here heavy.

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Speaker 1: These are two aces on the mound for both the

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Speaker 1: White Sox and the Twins. And I just kept on

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Speaker 1: watching this and going what am I missing? I mean,

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Speaker 1: how everyone is on the over because why? Because the

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Speaker 1: White Sox have this great lineup. I got it at

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty, I got the under nine runs for

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Speaker 1: this game. And I'm simply gonna go ahead and play this.

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Speaker 1: I mean, burials is two to one with a three

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Speaker 1: point five to four ERA at us Elular Field. This

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Speaker 1: is opening day. Okay, this is going to be new,

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Speaker 1: different environment. It's tough to get used to it. And

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Speaker 1: you have both ace is going to the mountain for

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Speaker 1: these teams. We're expecting a lot of runs here. I

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Speaker 1: don't think so I'm gonna go with the under nine

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Speaker 1: here with the White Sox and the Twins. And again

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Speaker 1: I might be missing something, but everyone, it just feels

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Speaker 1: like the public is so much into these White Sox.

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Speaker 1: They just it's all Luise Robert, and it's all these

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Speaker 1: young stars are gonna hit Grand Slams every game. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna score all these runs. These are real games now,

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Speaker 1: it's not scrimmages. This is real games. And you've got

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Speaker 1: real pitchers and you've got real bullpens, and this is

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Speaker 1: a real game. No, I'm gonna take the under here

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Speaker 1: under nine runs at minus one twenty for the Twins

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Speaker 1: and the White Sox on opening Day, and expect the

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Speaker 1: bullpens not to get all wacko and blow up here

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Speaker 1: and give up a ton of runs late. I think

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Speaker 1: both starters will keep their teams in the game. So

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Speaker 1: play number one for us here on Friday under Twins,

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Speaker 1: White Sox under nine at minus one twenty second play.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna spend a little juice here. I'm gonna spend

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Speaker 1: a little bit of the winnings and number that I

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Speaker 1: don't love the consensus odds for the Reds and the Tigers.

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Speaker 1: The Reds are favored minus one seventy five. I got

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Speaker 1: it at minus one seventy four, so pretty much the

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Speaker 1: same price you can find it at most books. A

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Speaker 1: little bit around minus one eighty was the highest I saw,

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Speaker 1: but it's gonna be an interesting game because Sonny Gray

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Speaker 1: goes to the mound for the Reds. Sonny Gray pitched

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Speaker 1: opening day for the A's in twenty fourteen and twenty fifteen.

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Speaker 1: Now it's a little while ago, okay, but he has

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Speaker 1: experience as an opening day He had fourteen shutout innings

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Speaker 1: in those two starts for the A's. Now this is

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Speaker 1: a different Sunny Gray, but it's still Sonny Gray, who

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Speaker 1: hasn't allowed more than six hits in any of his

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Speaker 1: last thirty three starts. That is the longest streak in

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Speaker 1: Major League Baseball right now. So he's a guy who

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Speaker 1: you hand the ball to, you expect you're going to

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Speaker 1: be in the game. You expect that you're going to

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Speaker 1: be competitive because of what he's done in opening Day

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Speaker 1: and what he's capable of doing as well. So I

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Speaker 1: like Sonny Gray getting this spot here for the Reds

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Speaker 1: or other options potentially for the Reds. And they handed

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Speaker 1: to a guy who was a veteran who has been

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Speaker 1: throwing the ball very well. And the Reds are a

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Speaker 1: team that also is getting a lot of attention, and

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Speaker 1: people like the Reds a lot to potentially win this division.

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Speaker 1: I do too. I think they win the Central. Now

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Speaker 1: Matthew Boyd is going on the other side. Matthew Boyd

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Speaker 1: making his first career start on opening Day. He gets

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Speaker 1: this nod because he pitched well at the end of

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Speaker 1: last year. He's a southpawl finished sixth in the American

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Speaker 1: League with two hundred and thirty eight strikeouts and fourth

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Speaker 1: with eleven point five to six strikeouts per nine. Now

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Speaker 1: the record wasn't great, nine to twelve with a four

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Speaker 1: point five to six ERA in thirty two starts, and

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Speaker 1: he also led the American League in home runs given

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Speaker 1: up with thirty nine given up thirty nine. I looked

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Speaker 1: at the first five over and I feel like I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna attempt fate here because maybe Matthew Boyd gets

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Speaker 1: up to a good start early. He gets a big

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Speaker 1: strikeout pitcher. This is a strikeout lineup for the Cincinnati Reds.

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Speaker 1: They will strike out a lot. But I mean Gray

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Speaker 1: has had a nice run here. Who's eight and three

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Speaker 1: with a one point nine to nine ERA or a

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Speaker 1: fifteen starts from June twenty eighth on last year. So

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Speaker 1: he's been in Nashville. He's been pitching the hitters in Nashville,

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Speaker 1: and he's been working out. So this is not a

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Speaker 1: guy who hasn't been working hasn't been getting ready for

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Speaker 1: the season. Sunny Gray is gonna be get you know,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be good to go here. So I like

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Speaker 1: Sunny Gray and the Reds laying a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a price here at minus one seventy five. But I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take the Reds to beat the Tigers on opening Day.

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Speaker 1: It's a bad baseball team, great American ballpark. I think

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Speaker 1: this is a chance for the Reds to get off

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Speaker 1: to on a good start against a bad team, much

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Speaker 1: like the Dodgers against the Giants, which I don't hate.

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Speaker 1: If you want to go back to the well and

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Speaker 1: pick pit the Dodgers to beat the Giants, I don't

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Speaker 1: hate that. I mean, I'm gonna stay away from this

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Speaker 1: one day because I don't love the pitching matchup, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be back on it, probably on Saturday again,

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Speaker 1: because the Giants are a really bad baseball team. The

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Speaker 1: Giants are really bad, the Tigers are really bad, and

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Speaker 1: in a sixty game season, you know, the Royals are

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Speaker 1: really bad. I mean, look at the Royal, the Indians

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Speaker 1: and the Royals at some point coming up. There's just

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Speaker 1: some really bad baseball teams out there that will provide

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Speaker 1: you some opportunity when the really good teams are playing

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Speaker 1: against them, Astros and the Mariners for instance, coming up

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Speaker 1: this weekend. You know, I will go back to the

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Speaker 1: well here with the run line once in a while.

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Speaker 1: You know. I did buck the betting trend a little

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Speaker 1: bit on Thursday night because I bet on a team

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Speaker 1: on the run line getting plus money, also getting plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half runs. There's a betting philosophy of saying, Okay,

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Speaker 1: we're just gonna go ahead. And I was talking to

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Speaker 1: a sportsbook friend of mine on my radio show and

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Speaker 1: he said, look, that's it's an old betting trend of

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Speaker 1: if you get plus money on you know, plus one

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Speaker 1: and a half runs on plus money, you just bet

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Speaker 1: it blindly and it cashes more often than not, and

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Speaker 1: you can, you know, make some pretty good money doing

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Speaker 1: something like that. So maybe you want to adapt that

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Speaker 1: by looking at that when it comes to the run line,

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Speaker 1: and we'll kind of poke around a little bit on

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Speaker 1: that to see if that's how we're gonna wind up,

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Speaker 1: you know, and chances to do that the only number

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Speaker 1: I saw on Thursday. That's like that is at Circus Sports.

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Speaker 1: You can take the Mariners plus one and a half

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Speaker 1: runs at plus one twenty five. That's the only game

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Speaker 1: against the Astros. That's the only game that's got that situation.

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Speaker 1: But that's a recommendation from a sportsbook friend of mine

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Speaker 1: to go ahead and lay that. I went against it.

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Speaker 1: I took the Dodgers. You know, the Giants were getting

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Speaker 1: plus one and a half in plus money. It was

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Speaker 1: a blowout victory for the Dodgers, and we went up

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Speaker 1: and when up cashing our run line bet on the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: Now that was made before we knew that Clayton Kershaw

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Speaker 1: was gonna get scratched. So that was not fun. Okay,

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Speaker 1: learning that, seeing that that's the first time that happened.

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Speaker 1: Didn't realize that was gonna happen, and that was nuts.

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Speaker 1: Remember to check your house rules because if it is

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Speaker 1: action Kershaw getting scratched, that meant all bets are action

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Speaker 1: regardless where previously that would have been a refund of

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Speaker 1: your instead curser gets hurt, guess what your bet is live,

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Speaker 1: So check those house rules real quick here before we

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Speaker 1: wrap the podcast, I have an article out on betting pros.

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Speaker 1: It will come out today here on what the books

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Speaker 1: are doing with future wagers. Given the fact that Major

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Speaker 1: League Baseball right before opening Day decided to change the

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Speaker 1: playoff format and go from ten teams to sixteen teams

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Speaker 1: and add a whole extra round of the postseason with

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Speaker 1: the best of three, I can't believe the books are

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Speaker 1: just going action here and they're saying, Nope, we're not

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Speaker 1: going to refund anyone's wager, even though we go from

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Speaker 1: ten teams to sixteen teams and it's fundamentally more difficult

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Speaker 1: for the favorites to win. And yes, I'm talking as

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Speaker 1: a better who bet both the Rays to win the

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Speaker 1: American League Pennant and the Dodgers to win it. All

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Speaker 1: those odds are going to be totally different now because

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Speaker 1: you're adding more teams, you're adding more wins. You have

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Speaker 1: to get two more wins now than you did before

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Speaker 1: to win the World Series. Means more arms, more innings,

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Speaker 1: more at bats, more potential for injury, more games. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's just ridiculous. I am fundamentally against what the sportsbooks

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Speaker 1: have been decided to do here, and they're all going

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Speaker 1: to their house rules and saying whoever the commissioner says

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Speaker 1: is the champion is the champion. They're not gonna worry

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Speaker 1: about how they got there. It's just nope, that's it.

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Speaker 1: A bunch of them on Thursday took their odds down

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Speaker 1: for a little bit and put their odds back up again,

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Speaker 1: and that's infuriating to me, and I think everybody's reaction

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Speaker 1: was up. They're gonna have to totally do this over.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna have to totally, you know, take down their

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Speaker 1: wagers and you know, refund all their bets. And I

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Speaker 1: talked to four bookmakers today and all them across the

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Speaker 1: board to the same thing. Nope, we're not doing that.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna leave it as is. It's action in a

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Speaker 1: way we go most books in Vegas. Doesn't matter who's pitching,

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Speaker 1: it's action, and it doesn't matter how they decide the

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Speaker 1: World Series champion. If you bet a future wager, it's action. Okay,

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Speaker 1: better than not having action, but still frustrating and still

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Speaker 1: something I fundamentally disagree with with what the sportsbooks are

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Speaker 1: doing for future wagers, no refunds if you bet a

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Speaker 1: future bet, at least in Vegas. Maybe there's an offshore

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Speaker 1: book or two that might be doing that, but at

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Speaker 1: least in Las Vegas and across the country, Nope, House

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Speaker 1: rules dictate it. They're not gonna refund your future bet

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Speaker 1: and I'm with you. I'm with you. They should do it,

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Speaker 1: but they're not going to. All right, that's gonna do it.

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Speaker 1: For the Friday morning Pocamann fifteen minutes goes fast huh.

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Speaker 1: For the Friday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast

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Speaker 1: here off of Bettingpros dot com. I'm your host, Matt Paroltz.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt Again. We're

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Speaker 1: taking the under for the White Sox and the Twins

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Speaker 1: and the Reds on the money line at minus one

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Speaker 1: seventy five one seventy four, depending on where you're gonna

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Speaker 1: get it. For a Friday Baseball Picks. We're back tomorrow

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Speaker 1: morning with a UFC card to get into it with

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Speaker 1: the final fight Night Fight Island, Till and Whittaker in

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Speaker 1: the headline fight will break it down tomorrow morning on

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Speaker 1: a Saturday. I will talk to you then for Saturday

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Speaker 1: mornings Daily Juice of Betting Crows dot com