WEBVTT - Musk Commits to Tesla CEO Role and Plans Political Pullback 

0:00:02.520 --> 0:00:10.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. This is Bloomberg Business

0:00:10.560 --> 0:00:14.440
<v Speaker 1>Week Daily reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders

0:00:14.480 --> 0:00:18.400
<v Speaker 1>stay ahead with insight on the people, companies, and trends

0:00:18.440 --> 0:00:23.440
<v Speaker 1>shaping today's complex economy, plus global business, finance and tech

0:00:23.480 --> 0:00:27.360
<v Speaker 1>news as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast

0:00:27.720 --> 0:00:32.559
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Masser and Tim Steneveek on Bloomberg Radio Well.

0:00:32.600 --> 0:00:35.440
<v Speaker 2>Elon Musk giving a wide ranging interview earlier today with

0:00:35.479 --> 0:00:39.440
<v Speaker 2>the Bloomberg's Michelle Hussain at the Qatar Economic Forum Some News.

0:00:39.760 --> 0:00:42.280
<v Speaker 2>Musks that he's committed to still leading Tesla five years

0:00:42.280 --> 0:00:44.640
<v Speaker 2>from now and expects to pair back his political spending,

0:00:44.960 --> 0:00:47.680
<v Speaker 2>assuaging some investors' concerns about the future of his most

0:00:47.760 --> 0:00:50.360
<v Speaker 2>valuable company. He also addressed the attacks on the Tesla

0:00:50.400 --> 0:00:53.440
<v Speaker 2>brand and the actual cars too. Here's part of the

0:00:53.440 --> 0:00:58.320
<v Speaker 2>conversation with Bloomberg's Michelle Hussain at the Qatar Economic Forum.

0:00:58.640 --> 0:01:01.560
<v Speaker 3>In terms of political spending, I'm going to do a

0:01:01.560 --> 0:01:02.520
<v Speaker 3>lot less in the future.

0:01:03.800 --> 0:01:04.480
<v Speaker 4>And why is that.

0:01:06.840 --> 0:01:07.800
<v Speaker 3>I think I've done enough?

0:01:11.000 --> 0:01:14.360
<v Speaker 4>Is it because of blowbuck Well?

0:01:14.400 --> 0:01:16.880
<v Speaker 5>If I see a reason to do political spending in

0:01:16.920 --> 0:01:17.840
<v Speaker 5>the future, I will do it.

0:01:18.120 --> 0:01:19.400
<v Speaker 3>I don't recurrently see a reason.

0:01:19.840 --> 0:01:22.560
<v Speaker 2>That was Elon Musk talking about pulling back on political

0:01:22.560 --> 0:01:26.040
<v Speaker 2>spending with Bloomberg's Michelle Assan at the Kaitar Economic Forum.

0:01:26.120 --> 0:01:28.479
<v Speaker 2>We've got Max Chafkin with us. He's the co host

0:01:28.959 --> 0:01:32.200
<v Speaker 2>of the new Bloomberg podcast Everybody's Business. He's also the

0:01:32.240 --> 0:01:35.080
<v Speaker 2>co host of the not so new podcast but still

0:01:35.080 --> 0:01:37.959
<v Speaker 2>pretty great podcast it's called Elon Ink, and a reporter

0:01:38.040 --> 0:01:41.360
<v Speaker 2>for Bloomberg BusinessWeek. When he's not doing the podcast so reporting,

0:01:41.360 --> 0:01:44.000
<v Speaker 2>he joins us here in the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio.

0:01:44.480 --> 0:01:47.600
<v Speaker 2>I'm glad that's what we played, because that's getting a

0:01:47.600 --> 0:01:51.040
<v Speaker 2>lot of attention right now. And I heard that, and

0:01:51.120 --> 0:01:53.400
<v Speaker 2>I went back to Elon's Twitter from March of twenty

0:01:53.440 --> 0:01:57.800
<v Speaker 2>twenty four, and that's when he posted on X this

0:01:57.840 --> 0:02:00.560
<v Speaker 2>is over a year ago, I will not tribute to

0:02:00.800 --> 0:02:03.880
<v Speaker 2>either political candidate, and we all saw what happened a

0:02:03.880 --> 0:02:07.680
<v Speaker 2>few months later. My point is he says stuff and

0:02:07.840 --> 0:02:09.760
<v Speaker 2>doesn't necessarily commit to it.

0:02:10.040 --> 0:02:12.600
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, and even here he's building himself an out right.

0:02:12.639 --> 0:02:17.600
<v Speaker 6>He's saying less money, which you'd kind of expect anyway. Right,

0:02:17.680 --> 0:02:22.240
<v Speaker 6>midterms are not as expensive as presidential years. So like

0:02:22.320 --> 0:02:25.720
<v Speaker 6>it would be very surprising if he dropped another three

0:02:25.760 --> 0:02:28.600
<v Speaker 6>hundred million dollars, which is roughly what he spent in

0:02:28.639 --> 0:02:31.600
<v Speaker 6>twenty twenty four on twenty twenty six. And he's also saying,

0:02:31.639 --> 0:02:33.680
<v Speaker 6>you know, I would it's it's I don't see a

0:02:33.680 --> 0:02:35.519
<v Speaker 6>reason now, But if I did see a reason in

0:02:35.560 --> 0:02:39.559
<v Speaker 6>the future, I could I see this as a public negotiation.

0:02:39.800 --> 0:02:39.960
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:02:40.040 --> 0:02:43.040
<v Speaker 6>This is the audience here, well, they aren't. There are

0:02:43.080 --> 0:02:47.000
<v Speaker 6>several different audiences. One of course is Tesla's shareholders trying

0:02:47.040 --> 0:02:49.720
<v Speaker 6>to say like, look, I'm I'm focused on the company.

0:02:49.760 --> 0:02:52.320
<v Speaker 6>I'm not getting sucked into Washington, going to try to

0:02:52.360 --> 0:02:54.600
<v Speaker 6>deal with some of the brand damage that my political

0:02:54.639 --> 0:02:58.280
<v Speaker 6>presidence has caused. But of course the other audience is Republicans. Right,

0:02:58.600 --> 0:03:01.239
<v Speaker 6>He's he's putting it out there that if they want

0:03:01.480 --> 0:03:03.760
<v Speaker 6>money from him, they're going to have to do stuff.

0:03:03.840 --> 0:03:07.040
<v Speaker 6>And you know, there's lots of stuff that has happened

0:03:07.120 --> 0:03:09.760
<v Speaker 6>in Washington since Donald Trump took office that I think

0:03:09.760 --> 0:03:12.359
<v Speaker 6>has made Elon Musk really happy. But Elon Musk is

0:03:12.360 --> 0:03:15.080
<v Speaker 6>a very long list, and not all those things have happened.

0:03:15.080 --> 0:03:18.600
<v Speaker 6>There are lots of opportunities for him to get contracts.

0:03:18.639 --> 0:03:21.160
<v Speaker 6>You know, the Golden Dome, as you were discussing, like

0:03:21.600 --> 0:03:25.600
<v Speaker 6>that's a potential revenue source for SpaceX. There are lots

0:03:25.600 --> 0:03:29.360
<v Speaker 6>of areas that Elon Musk stands to benefit. You also

0:03:29.440 --> 0:03:32.560
<v Speaker 6>have this in the bill right now, like they're plan

0:03:32.720 --> 0:03:35.680
<v Speaker 6>cutting these EV subsidies. Now, we will see where that

0:03:35.800 --> 0:03:38.640
<v Speaker 6>ends up. But if those EV subsidies are cut completely,

0:03:38.680 --> 0:03:41.680
<v Speaker 6>that could really hurt Tesla. So I think I think

0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:44.840
<v Speaker 6>it's to his advantage to say, hey, I'm you know,

0:03:44.920 --> 0:03:47.560
<v Speaker 6>I'm not a gimme for twenty twenty six. You have

0:03:47.600 --> 0:03:48.520
<v Speaker 6>to win my support.

0:03:48.760 --> 0:03:49.320
<v Speaker 3>Hey, listen.

0:03:49.360 --> 0:03:51.600
<v Speaker 7>One are the things that we noticed, Max. We got

0:03:51.760 --> 0:03:54.280
<v Speaker 7>went on air about two o'clock Wall Street time, and

0:03:54.320 --> 0:03:57.360
<v Speaker 7>then shortly thereafter we saw the market pull back and

0:03:57.400 --> 0:03:59.560
<v Speaker 7>go down to its lows. So we sell some selling.

0:04:00.080 --> 0:04:02.120
<v Speaker 7>We were talking about our Eric Wiener here, who covers

0:04:02.280 --> 0:04:03.880
<v Speaker 7>the equity marketing. So a lot of that was with

0:04:04.000 --> 0:04:09.120
<v Speaker 7>Tesla doing an interview with CNBC and talk about robotaxis

0:04:09.280 --> 0:04:12.400
<v Speaker 7>and saying that they will be a thousand robotoxies in

0:04:12.480 --> 0:04:15.680
<v Speaker 7>Austin within a few months, and part of his was

0:04:15.720 --> 0:04:17.760
<v Speaker 7>saying the cost of that, there's still a lot to

0:04:17.800 --> 0:04:21.000
<v Speaker 7>be worked out in terms of liabilities. So I'm just

0:04:21.120 --> 0:04:24.000
<v Speaker 7>curious some of the comments that we got from our

0:04:24.080 --> 0:04:27.080
<v Speaker 7>interview as well as just Elon talking a lot today.

0:04:27.320 --> 0:04:30.800
<v Speaker 6>So the Robotaxi thing, I think part of the challenge,

0:04:30.800 --> 0:04:34.400
<v Speaker 6>one of the challenges for Tesla is there's so much

0:04:34.800 --> 0:04:38.160
<v Speaker 6>sort of assumed in the stock. The Tesla bulls basically

0:04:38.200 --> 0:04:41.440
<v Speaker 6>believe that almost overnight they're going to be able to

0:04:41.520 --> 0:04:46.520
<v Speaker 6>turn this thing into a massive, massive business. And I

0:04:46.520 --> 0:04:50.120
<v Speaker 6>think everything we know from the history of other companies

0:04:50.120 --> 0:04:53.160
<v Speaker 6>trying to launch these robotaxi things, and I'm thinking particularly

0:04:53.200 --> 0:04:56.800
<v Speaker 6>of Waimo, Google's driverless car division, which has been doing

0:04:56.839 --> 0:05:00.080
<v Speaker 6>this for like ten years and has really struggled to commercialize,

0:05:00.240 --> 0:05:01.640
<v Speaker 6>is that it's going to take a long time. And

0:05:01.680 --> 0:05:03.719
<v Speaker 6>when you look closely at what Musk is saying is

0:05:03.760 --> 0:05:05.679
<v Speaker 6>going to happen in Austin, if you are not paying

0:05:05.680 --> 0:05:08.279
<v Speaker 6>that close attention, if you're just sort of buying this,

0:05:08.560 --> 0:05:10.920
<v Speaker 6>like on robin Hood, you hear Elon must say, you know,

0:05:11.000 --> 0:05:13.039
<v Speaker 6>robotax is going to heat over the world. You think

0:05:13.120 --> 0:05:14.520
<v Speaker 6>they're going to turn this on, They're going to be

0:05:14.760 --> 0:05:17.640
<v Speaker 6>huge fleets, It's going to be very small, you know.

0:05:17.720 --> 0:05:18.800
<v Speaker 2>On the during the earnings call.

0:05:18.839 --> 0:05:23.040
<v Speaker 6>We learned something like ten to twenty robotaxis with tele operation.

0:05:23.120 --> 0:05:26.279
<v Speaker 6>That's that's people, you know, sitting in command centers making

0:05:26.279 --> 0:05:27.599
<v Speaker 6>sure the cars don't hit anybody.

0:05:27.720 --> 0:05:30.160
<v Speaker 2>It's going to be certainly what WEIMO does by any.

0:05:29.960 --> 0:05:33.360
<v Speaker 6>Means, No, it's it's closer to it's maybe what WEIMO did,

0:05:33.520 --> 0:05:36.800
<v Speaker 6>you know, years ago, And it's just it's a realization.

0:05:36.920 --> 0:05:38.920
<v Speaker 6>I think that this is going to take a long time.

0:05:39.000 --> 0:05:41.599
<v Speaker 6>So I don't know. Elon Musk has this kind of

0:05:41.640 --> 0:05:44.880
<v Speaker 6>amazing ability to spin stories about the future to get

0:05:44.960 --> 0:05:47.360
<v Speaker 6>people excited about the future, and he may be able

0:05:47.400 --> 0:05:49.360
<v Speaker 6>to do that. But but like Tesla's stock has gone

0:05:49.440 --> 0:05:51.760
<v Speaker 6>up a lot in recent weeks, you know, And no,

0:05:51.839 --> 0:05:54.200
<v Speaker 6>some of that has to do with you know, terriff

0:05:54.200 --> 0:05:57.400
<v Speaker 6>expectations and so on. But this is a very valuable

0:05:57.440 --> 0:05:59.320
<v Speaker 6>company relative to the number of cars it sells.

0:06:00.120 --> 0:06:02.719
<v Speaker 2>Max in the interview that he gave to our team

0:06:02.920 --> 0:06:06.120
<v Speaker 2>at the Guitar Economic Forum earlier today, he was asked

0:06:06.120 --> 0:06:09.800
<v Speaker 2>about protesters or the Tesla brand damage, and what he

0:06:09.839 --> 0:06:13.400
<v Speaker 2>answered was he said, quote, they're on the wrong side

0:06:13.400 --> 0:06:15.599
<v Speaker 2>of history, and that's an evil thing to do. That's

0:06:15.760 --> 0:06:18.719
<v Speaker 2>referring to people damaging Tesla cars and showrooms. Something needs

0:06:18.760 --> 0:06:20.760
<v Speaker 2>to be done about them, and a number of them

0:06:20.760 --> 0:06:24.040
<v Speaker 2>are going to prison and they deserve it. It seems

0:06:24.040 --> 0:06:28.000
<v Speaker 2>like he's certainly there were reports of damage to Tesla

0:06:28.040 --> 0:06:30.640
<v Speaker 2>vehicles and damage to test Tesla shrooms, but there's also

0:06:30.720 --> 0:06:34.120
<v Speaker 2>been these protests that happened happening at Tesla showrooms all

0:06:34.160 --> 0:06:37.719
<v Speaker 2>over the country, especially during his work with Doge, that

0:06:37.880 --> 0:06:40.880
<v Speaker 2>were not violent. Yeah, it seems like he's He's also

0:06:40.920 --> 0:06:43.520
<v Speaker 2>in the past talked about these people being part of

0:06:43.520 --> 0:06:47.719
<v Speaker 2>some bigger movement. He's referred to them online as being paid.

0:06:48.040 --> 0:06:49.400
<v Speaker 2>Have we seen any evidence of that?

0:06:49.839 --> 0:06:53.000
<v Speaker 6>No, there's no evidence, no good evidence that the people

0:06:53.040 --> 0:06:55.440
<v Speaker 6>who are showing up at these Tesla protests are paid.

0:06:56.760 --> 0:06:59.719
<v Speaker 6>You know, I would say that there's a he's conflating

0:06:59.760 --> 0:07:02.200
<v Speaker 6>a couple of different things. But you know, and having talked,

0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:05.120
<v Speaker 6>we did a podcast episode on Eline a week and

0:07:05.160 --> 0:07:08.320
<v Speaker 6>a half ago with a former Tesla sales manager, and

0:07:08.360 --> 0:07:11.400
<v Speaker 6>who he's talking about is like, the real danger is

0:07:11.400 --> 0:07:14.080
<v Speaker 6>not these protesters, not somebody showing up to a protest,

0:07:14.480 --> 0:07:17.400
<v Speaker 6>It's just somebody not buying. And like that is a

0:07:17.440 --> 0:07:19.960
<v Speaker 6>thing that even if you remove the protests, the protests

0:07:19.960 --> 0:07:21.800
<v Speaker 6>are of course not good for the brand. They're an

0:07:21.800 --> 0:07:25.640
<v Speaker 6>expression of unhappiness and so on. It doesn't lead to

0:07:25.640 --> 0:07:29.600
<v Speaker 6>good headlines. Obviously, protests can sometimes get out of hand,

0:07:30.040 --> 0:07:32.600
<v Speaker 6>but also it's just a lot of people, I think,

0:07:32.840 --> 0:07:35.680
<v Speaker 6>do not want to be associate associate their car with

0:07:35.760 --> 0:07:38.640
<v Speaker 6>something this controversial. And what he was saying is that

0:07:38.680 --> 0:07:41.400
<v Speaker 6>when Musk started, what this Tesla manager was saying is

0:07:41.440 --> 0:07:44.000
<v Speaker 6>that when Must started getting involved in politics a couple

0:07:43.960 --> 0:07:46.000
<v Speaker 6>of years ago, they had people come into the Tesla

0:07:46.080 --> 0:07:49.840
<v Speaker 6>stores and argue and say, you know, I like the car,

0:07:49.920 --> 0:07:52.160
<v Speaker 6>but I don't like this. You know, still very engaged.

0:07:52.200 --> 0:07:54.560
<v Speaker 6>And when he said what changed as Must became more

0:07:54.600 --> 0:07:57.560
<v Speaker 6>and more engaged, is they just stopped coming. They just decided,

0:07:57.640 --> 0:07:59.920
<v Speaker 6>you know, screw this, Like I don't want to be

0:08:00.000 --> 0:08:02.480
<v Speaker 6>associated with something that's controversial. And when you look at

0:08:02.480 --> 0:08:04.600
<v Speaker 6>what's happening in the sales, like that's what's showing up.

0:08:04.840 --> 0:08:07.760
<v Speaker 6>It's not the protesters, it's just the people not buying.

0:08:08.080 --> 0:08:09.600
<v Speaker 6>And that's the thing that's going to be hard to

0:08:09.640 --> 0:08:10.200
<v Speaker 6>turn around.

0:08:10.240 --> 0:08:13.520
<v Speaker 7>I think in terms of Tesla, the business just real quickly.

0:08:13.640 --> 0:08:15.720
<v Speaker 7>I mean, I think you talked about things are turning around.

0:08:15.800 --> 0:08:16.280
<v Speaker 5>Is he right?

0:08:17.000 --> 0:08:20.200
<v Speaker 6>I think investors are certainly hoping, so we have not

0:08:20.400 --> 0:08:23.560
<v Speaker 6>in Again, in the publicly available data, there is very

0:08:23.560 --> 0:08:26.320
<v Speaker 6>little to support and that support this. Now Elon Musk

0:08:26.400 --> 0:08:30.200
<v Speaker 6>is saying it's happening, trust me, and he's citing the

0:08:30.240 --> 0:08:33.280
<v Speaker 6>stock price now. As I said earlier, the stock price.

0:08:34.080 --> 0:08:35.800
<v Speaker 6>Lots of things are driving the stock price, but one

0:08:35.840 --> 0:08:39.240
<v Speaker 6>of the big things is expectations around Trump's tariffs, in

0:08:39.320 --> 0:08:41.439
<v Speaker 6>other words, having nothing to do with sales. So he's

0:08:41.480 --> 0:08:44.400
<v Speaker 6>saying you should trust me that the business is turning around.

0:08:44.440 --> 0:08:47.200
<v Speaker 6>Because Tesla's stock is up substantially over the last month.

0:08:47.800 --> 0:08:50.440
<v Speaker 6>That doesn't to me suggest that sales are definitely up.

0:08:50.480 --> 0:08:53.400
<v Speaker 6>What we've seen is numbers out of Europe and numbers

0:08:53.440 --> 0:08:57.200
<v Speaker 6>out of China still not good. The US we don't

0:08:57.360 --> 0:09:01.440
<v Speaker 6>really know yet, so we will see. But this is

0:09:01.480 --> 0:09:03.360
<v Speaker 6>not the kind of thing I think that can be

0:09:03.400 --> 0:09:06.040
<v Speaker 6>turned around in a matter of days or weeks. People

0:09:06.080 --> 0:09:09.160
<v Speaker 6>make decisions about buying cars over a term of years.

0:09:09.200 --> 0:09:12.199
<v Speaker 6>That's why car companies like spend so much doing brand advertising.

0:09:12.600 --> 0:09:14.720
<v Speaker 6>And so this is going to be This is going

0:09:14.800 --> 0:09:18.520
<v Speaker 6>to have created damage with at least some subset of

0:09:18.920 --> 0:09:21.320
<v Speaker 6>consumer that may be hard to undo. Now Musk did

0:09:21.360 --> 0:09:26.040
<v Speaker 6>say during the interview this morning in Qatar that some

0:09:26.120 --> 0:09:29.160
<v Speaker 6>people are buying Teslas because of who he is, and

0:09:29.200 --> 0:09:31.160
<v Speaker 6>there's a very memorable quote he said, maybe they're buying

0:09:31.200 --> 0:09:33.240
<v Speaker 6>it the people who are putting the stickers on the cars,

0:09:33.280 --> 0:09:35.440
<v Speaker 6>saying I bought this before he was crazy. Maybe some

0:09:35.440 --> 0:09:37.640
<v Speaker 6>people are buying it because he was crazy or whatever.

0:09:37.920 --> 0:09:41.240
<v Speaker 6>So obviously making light of those stickers. Now, I don't

0:09:41.240 --> 0:09:43.600
<v Speaker 6>think we've really seen that show up in the data yet.

0:09:43.679 --> 0:09:46.720
<v Speaker 6>Cyber truck sales have not been great, although again this

0:09:46.760 --> 0:09:49.000
<v Speaker 6>stuff can take time. Maybe it will start to show up.

0:09:49.240 --> 0:09:50.520
<v Speaker 4>We'll see, We'll see, we'll see.

0:09:51.280 --> 0:09:53.880
<v Speaker 7>Always fun to listen from what Elon has to say,

0:09:53.920 --> 0:09:55.959
<v Speaker 7>but always fun to also get someone else's from. Max

0:09:56.040 --> 0:09:58.840
<v Speaker 7>Chafkin on all of It. Maxi crosco host of Everybody's Business,

0:09:59.240 --> 0:10:01.920
<v Speaker 7>senior reporter for Bloomberg News, author of The Contrarian Peter

0:10:02.000 --> 0:10:04.280
<v Speaker 7>Teal and Silicon Valley's Pursuit of Power, and of course,

0:10:04.880 --> 0:10:07.559
<v Speaker 7>one of the hosts of the Elon In podcast Check

0:10:07.559 --> 0:10:08.800
<v Speaker 7>It All Out at Bloomberg dot Com.

0:10:08.800 --> 0:10:09.920
<v Speaker 4>Are also on the Bloomberg Terminal.

0:10:09.960 --> 0:10:14.680
<v Speaker 1>Max, Thanks, you're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast.

0:10:14.880 --> 0:10:17.640
<v Speaker 1>Catch us live weekday afternoons from two to five East

0:10:17.679 --> 0:10:21.320
<v Speaker 1>during Listen on Applecarplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg

0:10:21.360 --> 0:10:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Business app, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:10:25.480 --> 0:10:29.439
<v Speaker 2>I want to talk about batteries because last night, Jean.

0:10:29.320 --> 0:10:31.440
<v Speaker 7>Nicol, for every time you said you want to talk

0:10:31.480 --> 0:10:32.959
<v Speaker 7>about batteries, I'd.

0:10:32.800 --> 0:10:33.400
<v Speaker 6>Be a rich woman.

0:10:33.559 --> 0:10:35.640
<v Speaker 2>You would be because you like batteries. Batteries are in

0:10:35.679 --> 0:10:37.679
<v Speaker 2>everything and they're super important, especially when we think of

0:10:37.720 --> 0:10:40.000
<v Speaker 2>the electrification of vehicles.

0:10:40.040 --> 0:10:40.640
<v Speaker 4>Super important.

0:10:40.640 --> 0:10:41.400
<v Speaker 7>So what do you want to tell me?

0:10:41.520 --> 0:10:43.840
<v Speaker 2>Well, last night c ATL jumped in its Hong Kong

0:10:43.880 --> 0:10:47.240
<v Speaker 2>trading debut last night our time, I should say, correct

0:10:47.320 --> 0:10:52.000
<v Speaker 2>today Hong Kong time. This after the Chinese battery Giant

0:10:52.000 --> 0:10:54.720
<v Speaker 2>wrapped up the world's biggest listing this year, raised four

0:10:54.760 --> 0:10:58.680
<v Speaker 2>point six billion dollars. This despite being blacklisted by the

0:10:58.679 --> 0:11:02.959
<v Speaker 2>Pentagon and grinding through political storms. CTL is the largest

0:11:03.000 --> 0:11:07.240
<v Speaker 2>maker of EV batteries. It supplies batteries to Tesla, VW, FOD, Mercedes,

0:11:07.280 --> 0:11:09.880
<v Speaker 2>Benz and more. Our next guest, though, is working on

0:11:09.920 --> 0:11:12.920
<v Speaker 2>a different type of battery. See U Wong is a

0:11:12.920 --> 0:11:16.400
<v Speaker 2>founder in CEO of Factorial Energy. This is a company

0:11:16.400 --> 0:11:20.840
<v Speaker 2>that's working on solid state batteries. She joins us from Massachusetts.

0:11:21.400 --> 0:11:23.720
<v Speaker 2>See you. Good to have you on the program today.

0:11:24.120 --> 0:11:26.719
<v Speaker 2>I started out by doing some research when it came

0:11:26.760 --> 0:11:28.880
<v Speaker 2>to different types of batteries, and I was just thinking

0:11:28.920 --> 0:11:31.320
<v Speaker 2>to myself, No, I'm just going to have you answer

0:11:31.400 --> 0:11:34.120
<v Speaker 2>the question for us. If we think about the batteries

0:11:34.120 --> 0:11:37.319
<v Speaker 2>that are prominently featured in EVS right now, how are

0:11:37.320 --> 0:11:39.760
<v Speaker 2>these different than the solid state batteries that you are

0:11:39.760 --> 0:11:40.600
<v Speaker 2>developing at.

0:11:40.440 --> 0:11:44.520
<v Speaker 8>Factorial solid state batteries like a traditional battery, but instead

0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:47.920
<v Speaker 8>of using a liquid insight, it uses solid state or

0:11:48.360 --> 0:11:52.480
<v Speaker 8>quasi solid state material. And this makes a battery safer,

0:11:52.880 --> 0:11:55.760
<v Speaker 8>longer lasting, and more powerful because you can't store more

0:11:55.880 --> 0:11:59.120
<v Speaker 8>energy and it's less likely to leak or catch on fire.

0:11:59.760 --> 0:12:02.960
<v Speaker 8>Also more efficient and safer for everything from your cell

0:12:03.000 --> 0:12:04.520
<v Speaker 8>phones to electric cars.

0:12:05.000 --> 0:12:06.240
<v Speaker 4>Plus, our unique.

0:12:06.000 --> 0:12:09.280
<v Speaker 8>Dry coding process makes manufacturing cleaner and more cost effective.

0:12:09.480 --> 0:12:11.680
<v Speaker 2>So why is it so difficult to make an EVY

0:12:11.760 --> 0:12:13.080
<v Speaker 2>battery a solid state battery?

0:12:13.559 --> 0:12:16.400
<v Speaker 8>Well, there are different part of the challenges coming to play.

0:12:16.480 --> 0:12:19.640
<v Speaker 8>The biggest challenges scale up. I mean that has been

0:12:20.200 --> 0:12:23.080
<v Speaker 8>uh that's value for a lot of battery companies, from

0:12:23.120 --> 0:12:27.040
<v Speaker 8>the first minimal viral product to the manufacturer with a

0:12:27.120 --> 0:12:31.280
<v Speaker 8>really good quality and cost effective product. And on top

0:12:31.320 --> 0:12:33.560
<v Speaker 8>of that, it's really the supply chain challenges. I think

0:12:33.600 --> 0:12:38.160
<v Speaker 8>that's definitely very central to all the battery players in

0:12:38.200 --> 0:12:38.600
<v Speaker 8>the world.

0:12:39.200 --> 0:12:40.240
<v Speaker 4>And last, butt of the.

0:12:40.280 --> 0:12:43.000
<v Speaker 8>Least, I think it's really coming down to the execution,

0:12:43.280 --> 0:12:47.560
<v Speaker 8>right from a startup to a giant supply chain player

0:12:47.679 --> 0:12:50.920
<v Speaker 8>in the value chain for the batteries really the big difference.

0:12:51.760 --> 0:12:54.200
<v Speaker 8>So I think that's really coming down to the execution

0:12:54.440 --> 0:12:56.800
<v Speaker 8>and also the conviction from the leadership team.

0:12:56.880 --> 0:13:01.480
<v Speaker 7>Wait, so help me understand to in turn of scaling up,

0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:08.120
<v Speaker 7>what's the biggest impediment? Is it resources? Financial, resources, materials?

0:13:08.280 --> 0:13:09.960
<v Speaker 7>I'm trying to understand because you guys have been working

0:13:10.040 --> 0:13:12.000
<v Speaker 7>on this for a while, and I understand there's development

0:13:12.040 --> 0:13:14.520
<v Speaker 7>and all of that takes some time. But tell us

0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:19.199
<v Speaker 7>what's kind of the biggest point or factor that's holding

0:13:19.240 --> 0:13:20.440
<v Speaker 7>you guys back at this point.

0:13:20.720 --> 0:13:23.640
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I would see there are probably mostly three areas.

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:26.320
<v Speaker 8>But I think the biggest hurdle when it comes from

0:13:26.320 --> 0:13:28.839
<v Speaker 8>a technology to a real product is really to scale

0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:31.800
<v Speaker 8>up the battery itself. You know, traditionally we have batteries

0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:33.959
<v Speaker 8>like with our cell phone size batteries when a lot

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:37.120
<v Speaker 8>of smaller started to de developing, even as small as

0:13:37.160 --> 0:13:41.079
<v Speaker 8>your watch battery, like a coy cell battery, and it's

0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:43.760
<v Speaker 8>a big hurdle scale from like small cell phone batteries

0:13:43.800 --> 0:13:45.920
<v Speaker 8>to like a big automotive sized battery.

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:49.040
<v Speaker 4>Actually, I brought up a post type that.

0:13:50.600 --> 0:13:53.480
<v Speaker 8>The audience today that this is actually one hundred empower

0:13:53.559 --> 0:13:57.079
<v Speaker 8>battery which is launched in twenty twenty three, and actually

0:13:57.120 --> 0:13:59.679
<v Speaker 8>we're brought into the b sample earlier last year as well,

0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:03.040
<v Speaker 8>So this is actually an automotive size battery, and it's

0:14:03.080 --> 0:14:06.760
<v Speaker 8>a huge from a cell phone size battery to automotive

0:14:06.800 --> 0:14:09.880
<v Speaker 8>size battery. It's a lot of work to put into

0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:13.800
<v Speaker 8>like manufacturing, design the battery, and also even to keep

0:14:13.800 --> 0:14:16.720
<v Speaker 8>the quality and cost on track. So I think that's

0:14:17.200 --> 0:14:21.880
<v Speaker 8>really the top biggest challenge for making a battery, alongside

0:14:21.920 --> 0:14:25.680
<v Speaker 8>with also the cost, the equality checking the.

0:14:25.600 --> 0:14:28.280
<v Speaker 2>Battery that you're holding right now that would be a

0:14:28.280 --> 0:14:30.160
<v Speaker 2>battery that would go into an electric vehicle.

0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:14:31.000 --> 0:14:34.920
<v Speaker 8>So actually we launched with Mercedes together earlier this year

0:14:35.120 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 8>the first solid state battery vehicle with the Global OEM,

0:14:39.360 --> 0:14:41.680
<v Speaker 8>and we're putting the lithium metal solid state battery that

0:14:41.720 --> 0:14:45.040
<v Speaker 8>we produced and we're able to power the vehicle of

0:14:45.160 --> 0:14:49.560
<v Speaker 8>EQS and with our battery which is bringing higher energy

0:14:50.000 --> 0:14:52.400
<v Speaker 8>and it's a denser energy, so it gives you a

0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:55.040
<v Speaker 8>less volume and also.

0:14:54.800 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 4>A lighter, smaller battery.

0:14:56.600 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 8>It actually delivers a longer range and also be able

0:14:59.680 --> 0:15:02.920
<v Speaker 8>to more caustic FUSHI ending the long run. So this

0:15:02.960 --> 0:15:05.600
<v Speaker 8>is what we have delivered with Mercedes earlier this year

0:15:05.640 --> 0:15:08.920
<v Speaker 8>in the EQS and it's actually powering the vehicle and

0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:10.520
<v Speaker 8>it was running on the street of Stutgart.

0:15:10.920 --> 0:15:14.000
<v Speaker 7>So just for those who are listening on radio, you

0:15:14.040 --> 0:15:15.640
<v Speaker 7>know CEU has been holding up.

0:15:15.920 --> 0:15:17.520
<v Speaker 4>We all know our car. You know what our cell

0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:18.720
<v Speaker 4>phone looks like in the small.

0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:20.320
<v Speaker 7>Batteries, but this one was about It looked like it

0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:22.240
<v Speaker 7>was about a foot and a half long, maybe four

0:15:22.280 --> 0:15:25.760
<v Speaker 7>inches wide. It was very light. Was that the actual

0:15:25.800 --> 0:15:30.240
<v Speaker 7>battery that batteries are heavy? Was that actually the weight

0:15:30.840 --> 0:15:34.760
<v Speaker 7>of an actual car battery, a solid state car battery.

0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:37.400
<v Speaker 8>Yes, that could be a much lighter compared with the

0:15:37.440 --> 0:15:42.160
<v Speaker 8>traditional lithium mind batteries. Right, we're using a lithium metal

0:15:42.200 --> 0:15:44.440
<v Speaker 8>in the anode, which is the lightest metal on.

0:15:44.480 --> 0:15:46.880
<v Speaker 4>Earth and also has a.

0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:50.040
<v Speaker 8>Lightest weight as ano material has highest capacity as an

0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:52.680
<v Speaker 8>ano material, so it does give you much higher energy

0:15:52.720 --> 0:15:57.960
<v Speaker 8>density from the volume metric age density to the guadametricity perspective.

0:15:58.640 --> 0:16:01.280
<v Speaker 4>So we're able to enable about fifty to eighty.

0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:04.640
<v Speaker 8>Percent higher energy do as they compare with traditional time batteries.

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:07.000
<v Speaker 8>And this means with the same size of battery you

0:16:07.000 --> 0:16:10.240
<v Speaker 8>can potentially give you like twenty thirty or even fifty

0:16:10.280 --> 0:16:13.920
<v Speaker 8>eighty percent longer range depends on the integration efficiency and

0:16:13.960 --> 0:16:17.000
<v Speaker 8>the same have the same energy battery, you potentially can

0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:20.120
<v Speaker 8>have like twenty to thirty percent lighter weight and potentially

0:16:20.320 --> 0:16:24.680
<v Speaker 8>lower weight and lower volume as well as a less

0:16:24.760 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 8>expensive vehicle compared to what you have today.

0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:29.680
<v Speaker 7>So kind of win win here, right, lighter weight can

0:16:29.760 --> 0:16:31.880
<v Speaker 7>go further. Hey, One thing, and this is actually coming

0:16:31.920 --> 0:16:33.920
<v Speaker 7>from the New York Times, which is also written about

0:16:33.960 --> 0:16:36.640
<v Speaker 7>what you guys are up to. It says that these

0:16:36.640 --> 0:16:38.640
<v Speaker 7>types of battery sales that are more prone to grow

0:16:38.720 --> 0:16:42.440
<v Speaker 7>spiky irregularities that cause short circuits best riches a weight

0:16:42.440 --> 0:16:44.400
<v Speaker 7>in a company that can overcome this problem develop a

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:47.720
<v Speaker 7>battery that is durable, safe and reasonably easy to manufacture.

0:16:47.760 --> 0:16:51.560
<v Speaker 7>But these spiky irregularity is a cause short circuits. Is

0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:54.160
<v Speaker 7>that still an issue of problem that needs to be overcome.

0:16:55.040 --> 0:16:58.400
<v Speaker 8>It is a fundamental physics issue when it comes to battery.

0:16:58.480 --> 0:17:02.560
<v Speaker 8>When this cycling and is performing, it does.

0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:02.960
<v Speaker 4>Tend to grow.

0:17:03.000 --> 0:17:06.200
<v Speaker 8>There's little dyn drites over the lifetime of the battery.

0:17:06.520 --> 0:17:10.280
<v Speaker 8>So the difference between solid state versus a liquid battery

0:17:10.440 --> 0:17:12.720
<v Speaker 8>is that we're able to use the solid state material

0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:15.800
<v Speaker 8>as well as electrolyze to suppress the dyn dried growth.

0:17:16.040 --> 0:17:17.240
<v Speaker 4>So that's the little.

0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:21.600
<v Speaker 8>Spiky lithium metal or the various materials will be able

0:17:21.640 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 8>to be suppressed when is being grown within the battery system.

0:17:27.600 --> 0:17:31.560
<v Speaker 8>So it's much lower risk of this short and also

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:34.439
<v Speaker 8>even when it happens, it's much less hazard compared to

0:17:35.400 --> 0:17:38.560
<v Speaker 8>the liquid battery because it's the liquid system is much

0:17:38.560 --> 0:17:40.920
<v Speaker 8>more volatile when there's a normal embent.

0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:44.200
<v Speaker 2>What about when it comes to charging and the ease

0:17:44.280 --> 0:17:50.160
<v Speaker 2>and quickness of charging range anxiety gives people well anxiety

0:17:50.640 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 2>and what about.

0:17:51.640 --> 0:17:55.320
<v Speaker 8>Charging, Yes, I know there has been a lot of fuzz,

0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:59.160
<v Speaker 8>like big buzz around the charging space. I would say

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:02.800
<v Speaker 8>for the solid state back the charging speed is very good.

0:18:02.960 --> 0:18:06.000
<v Speaker 8>Right now For our first generation causes only state battery,

0:18:06.200 --> 0:18:10.240
<v Speaker 8>we're able to deliver about eighteen eighteen minute fast charging

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:13.119
<v Speaker 8>from like ten to ninety percent, and we're also we

0:18:13.160 --> 0:18:15.879
<v Speaker 8>can do potentially fifteen from like twenty to eighty percent.

0:18:16.320 --> 0:18:20.160
<v Speaker 8>So that's very much in line with where the lead

0:18:20.200 --> 0:18:24.240
<v Speaker 8>inmind battery does. But one thing to remember is that

0:18:24.359 --> 0:18:28.959
<v Speaker 8>we do deliver higher energy density, which means it's longer

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:32.720
<v Speaker 8>driving range even as the same size as battery pack.

0:18:33.160 --> 0:18:35.919
<v Speaker 8>So with the same minutes of charging, even with the

0:18:35.960 --> 0:18:38.320
<v Speaker 8>same state of charge, you'll be able to deliver a

0:18:38.359 --> 0:18:41.080
<v Speaker 8>longer range per charge. So it's less about like how

0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:42.960
<v Speaker 8>many minutes you can fill up the battery, it's about

0:18:42.960 --> 0:18:45.359
<v Speaker 8>how many miles you can drive per charge.

0:18:46.160 --> 0:18:53.480
<v Speaker 7>So will you guys manufacture these batteries, what percentage are

0:18:53.840 --> 0:18:55.920
<v Speaker 7>without fault in other words, they work?

0:18:56.640 --> 0:18:58.040
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that's a really good question.

0:18:58.200 --> 0:19:01.439
<v Speaker 8>Like people in the industry usually colid yield, which is

0:19:01.440 --> 0:19:05.919
<v Speaker 8>a very characteristic to evaluate how much scrap and how

0:19:05.960 --> 0:19:08.919
<v Speaker 8>much faulty batteries it is coming out of the line.

0:19:09.480 --> 0:19:13.399
<v Speaker 8>So typically for a Gigo factory, which is a huge

0:19:13.520 --> 0:19:17.240
<v Speaker 8>battery factories, you spend a two three billion dollars into this,

0:19:17.800 --> 0:19:21.200
<v Speaker 8>and that's a state of art is about ninety five

0:19:21.240 --> 0:19:27.119
<v Speaker 8>percent or higher compared with traditional like smaller size of

0:19:27.160 --> 0:19:31.199
<v Speaker 8>the manufacturing presence, and with the POWERT line which is

0:19:31.480 --> 0:19:34.439
<v Speaker 8>usually about two hundred three hundred, like what our line

0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:36.399
<v Speaker 8>and if you get you can get to seventy to

0:19:36.440 --> 0:19:37.320
<v Speaker 8>eighty percent yield.

0:19:37.359 --> 0:19:39.359
<v Speaker 4>It's already state of art in the industry.

0:19:40.000 --> 0:19:42.520
<v Speaker 8>So our line, which is a prototyping line right now,

0:19:42.680 --> 0:19:46.680
<v Speaker 8>is already over eighty five percent yield from our current

0:19:46.720 --> 0:19:47.600
<v Speaker 8>production line.

0:19:48.440 --> 0:19:52.200
<v Speaker 2>What about when it comes to competition, as Carol and

0:19:52.240 --> 0:19:54.239
<v Speaker 2>I mentioned, there are a lot of companies working on

0:19:54.280 --> 0:19:57.840
<v Speaker 2>this technology, how do you differentiate yourself from what is

0:19:57.840 --> 0:20:00.720
<v Speaker 2>out there, what's being worked on by competitors now, including

0:20:00.800 --> 0:20:01.400
<v Speaker 2>c Ato.

0:20:02.160 --> 0:20:03.159
<v Speaker 4>And that's a great point.

0:20:04.240 --> 0:20:07.560
<v Speaker 8>I mean, it's a great thing that solid state has

0:20:07.560 --> 0:20:11.200
<v Speaker 8>been perceived as the next generation to go product for batteries.

0:20:11.320 --> 0:20:15.040
<v Speaker 8>I mean that's unprecedented an industry. Even among all the

0:20:15.040 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 8>top ten players in automotive industry have all seen that

0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:20.639
<v Speaker 8>this is coming up and it's going to be the

0:20:21.119 --> 0:20:24.919
<v Speaker 8>immediate next step from the Lindi min battery. And the

0:20:25.000 --> 0:20:27.080
<v Speaker 8>challenge for that is, like there's a lot of competition

0:20:27.160 --> 0:20:29.760
<v Speaker 8>around us, including c Atos. You said, yeah, so our

0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:34.800
<v Speaker 8>big advantage for our battery first of far, compared with

0:20:34.880 --> 0:20:36.160
<v Speaker 8>other solid state players.

0:20:36.280 --> 0:20:40.720
<v Speaker 4>Is that we have been leading industry with the first So.

0:20:40.760 --> 0:20:43.480
<v Speaker 8>We were the first one that scaled it up from

0:20:43.520 --> 0:20:46.600
<v Speaker 8>a small cell to one hundred empower solid state battery,

0:20:47.240 --> 0:20:49.760
<v Speaker 8>and we were the first one has the un test,

0:20:49.840 --> 0:20:53.639
<v Speaker 8>which is very important standard test for shipment with the

0:20:53.680 --> 0:20:54.639
<v Speaker 8>linked metal battery.

0:20:54.920 --> 0:20:56.240
<v Speaker 4>And we were the first one.

0:20:56.359 --> 0:21:00.200
<v Speaker 8>Deliver the b sample to a global automotive OEM just

0:21:00.280 --> 0:21:04.880
<v Speaker 8>for cities. And we were also the first one announced

0:21:04.880 --> 0:21:09.480
<v Speaker 8>that demol fleet and with the stolentis that's the first

0:21:09.480 --> 0:21:11.879
<v Speaker 8>fleet being announced by any Saudi state player.

0:21:12.080 --> 0:21:12.479
<v Speaker 2>Got it?

0:21:12.720 --> 0:21:13.080
<v Speaker 4>Heyns.

0:21:13.320 --> 0:21:16.560
<v Speaker 7>Can I just say we're running out of time? Fifteen seconds?

0:21:16.680 --> 0:21:19.760
<v Speaker 7>What does this thing cost? Is it more expensive than

0:21:19.760 --> 0:21:22.920
<v Speaker 7>other batteries? And just really quickly ten seconds?

0:21:23.040 --> 0:21:25.920
<v Speaker 4>It is very cost competitive at a cell level.

0:21:26.320 --> 0:21:28.760
<v Speaker 8>And then we're bleeding that is actually lower costs for

0:21:28.800 --> 0:21:30.760
<v Speaker 8>the vehicle because it's lighter and safer.

0:21:30.920 --> 0:21:33.000
<v Speaker 7>Interesting stuff. Hey, stay in touch and let us know

0:21:33.040 --> 0:21:35.679
<v Speaker 7>how things are going. See Huang she's founder and CEO

0:21:35.760 --> 0:21:39.720
<v Speaker 7>of Factorial Energy, a company that's working on those solid

0:21:39.760 --> 0:21:44.280
<v Speaker 7>state batteries. She's joining us from Massachusetts on this Tuesday.

0:21:44.320 --> 0:21:48.440
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Listen live

0:21:48.520 --> 0:21:51.600
<v Speaker 1>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Apple Corflay

0:21:51.640 --> 0:21:54.480
<v Speaker 1>and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can

0:21:54.520 --> 0:21:57.959
<v Speaker 1>also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New

0:21:58.040 --> 0:22:02.040
<v Speaker 1>York station. Just say Alexi play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:22:02.640 --> 0:22:05.400
<v Speaker 2>Risk off Trade. We also heard from the President right

0:22:05.480 --> 0:22:08.720
<v Speaker 2>when the markets closed. The big news is about the

0:22:08.760 --> 0:22:11.879
<v Speaker 2>Golden Dome. The President says that it will be operational

0:22:11.920 --> 0:22:14.240
<v Speaker 2>in three years. He vowed that a Golden Dome missile

0:22:14.240 --> 0:22:17.080
<v Speaker 2>defense shield would be fully operational by the end of

0:22:17.080 --> 0:22:19.080
<v Speaker 2>his term. He said it would be able to protect

0:22:19.119 --> 0:22:23.400
<v Speaker 2>the US from threats including ballistic missiles, hypersonics, and advanced

0:22:23.720 --> 0:22:27.240
<v Speaker 2>cruise missiles. Here's what he said, quote, we will truly

0:22:27.280 --> 0:22:30.120
<v Speaker 2>be completing the job President Reagan started forty years ago.

0:22:30.480 --> 0:22:32.520
<v Speaker 2>This is from the Oval Office and it referenced Ronald

0:22:32.560 --> 0:22:35.719
<v Speaker 2>Reagan's unfulfilled quest for a space based missile defense system

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:39.080
<v Speaker 2>that was widely known in the nineteen eighties as Star Wars.

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:43.680
<v Speaker 7>Gotta say it was something I actually remember as a kid,

0:22:44.400 --> 0:22:48.600
<v Speaker 7>that big announcement by Reagan, and it was, you know,

0:22:48.720 --> 0:22:51.879
<v Speaker 7>to be kind of this massive spending program, but to

0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:55.359
<v Speaker 7>build kind of a you know, Star wars like defense.

0:22:55.119 --> 0:22:58.240
<v Speaker 2>System in the sky that was during the Cold War.

0:22:58.400 --> 0:23:01.480
<v Speaker 2>The here of would'tay the height of tension, but during

0:23:01.480 --> 0:23:03.800
<v Speaker 2>a time of very much tensions. It was in the

0:23:03.800 --> 0:23:05.720
<v Speaker 2>Cuban missile crisis, but it was pretty tense.

0:23:05.600 --> 0:23:06.240
<v Speaker 3>Right all right.

0:23:06.320 --> 0:23:08.159
<v Speaker 7>I know someone who knows about this better than we do,

0:23:08.200 --> 0:23:10.760
<v Speaker 7>Bloomberg National Security Team leader Nik Wada. I'm sitting by

0:23:10.920 --> 0:23:13.919
<v Speaker 7>in DC. I don't know, Nick, we get so much

0:23:13.960 --> 0:23:17.639
<v Speaker 7>out of the White House. I am curious about this plan.

0:23:18.000 --> 0:23:20.960
<v Speaker 7>What struck you in terms of the President's announcement sitting

0:23:21.000 --> 0:23:23.480
<v Speaker 7>there of course and making talking about it with the

0:23:23.760 --> 0:23:25.760
<v Speaker 7>Defense Secretary as well, Pete Hesett.

0:23:25.760 --> 0:23:29.520
<v Speaker 5>Well, the big thing is that the president has essentially

0:23:29.600 --> 0:23:31.840
<v Speaker 5>set a timeline. I mean, he said this would be

0:23:31.880 --> 0:23:34.639
<v Speaker 5>operational by the time he leaves office, so in about

0:23:34.680 --> 0:23:38.440
<v Speaker 5>three years. But the technology at the heart of this system,

0:23:38.560 --> 0:23:43.400
<v Speaker 5>the idea of space based interceptors, is still totally unproven.

0:23:43.560 --> 0:23:48.199
<v Speaker 5>So you know, the US is capable of intercepting some

0:23:48.480 --> 0:23:52.080
<v Speaker 5>ground launched missiles, and you know it does have some

0:23:52.560 --> 0:23:56.040
<v Speaker 5>ability to knock down incoming threats, but the threats that

0:23:56.119 --> 0:23:59.280
<v Speaker 5>he really listed and the idea that they have of

0:23:59.560 --> 0:24:03.600
<v Speaker 5>developed this network of interceptors in space to be able

0:24:03.640 --> 0:24:09.159
<v Speaker 5>to neutralize threats before they even threaten the United States

0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:14.719
<v Speaker 5>is completely unproven and a massive gamble. The other element

0:24:14.760 --> 0:24:18.439
<v Speaker 5>of it. He said that the system would cost one

0:24:18.520 --> 0:24:23.719
<v Speaker 5>hundred and seventy five billion dollars overall, but the Congressional

0:24:23.760 --> 0:24:27.920
<v Speaker 5>Budget Office has estimated that it's going to cost about

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:31.800
<v Speaker 5>five hundred and forty two billion dollars over twenty years

0:24:31.800 --> 0:24:35.199
<v Speaker 5>to develop and launch the interceptors. So you know, no

0:24:35.400 --> 0:24:38.520
<v Speaker 5>surprise that the president would have a lower cost and

0:24:38.640 --> 0:24:41.520
<v Speaker 5>a truncated timeline, but that's out of whack with what

0:24:41.600 --> 0:24:44.639
<v Speaker 5>experts did even the Congressional Budget Office say are realistic.

0:24:44.800 --> 0:24:47.159
<v Speaker 2>Okay, that's a good point, Nick. I'm also wondering too

0:24:47.200 --> 0:24:50.680
<v Speaker 2>about the risk or the threats, rather that this protects

0:24:50.720 --> 0:24:53.520
<v Speaker 2>the United States from. As Carol and I were talking about,

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:58.159
<v Speaker 2>the Star Wars program was during the Reagan administration that

0:24:58.240 --> 0:25:00.720
<v Speaker 2>obviously did not end up happy, but it was at

0:25:00.760 --> 0:25:03.320
<v Speaker 2>a time when the US and the Soviet Union were

0:25:03.320 --> 0:25:06.159
<v Speaker 2>locked in the Cold War. I'm just wondering about the

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:08.560
<v Speaker 2>threats that the US faces right now. And look, nobody

0:25:08.560 --> 0:25:12.000
<v Speaker 2>can see the threats in the future, but what is

0:25:12.080 --> 0:25:14.080
<v Speaker 2>out there that he's so concerned about.

0:25:15.080 --> 0:25:19.200
<v Speaker 5>Well, I mean, you know, certainly the threats of intercontinental

0:25:19.200 --> 0:25:22.320
<v Speaker 5>ballistic missiles have not gone away. I mean, Russia retains

0:25:22.359 --> 0:25:25.800
<v Speaker 5>its arsenal and another concern is North Korea. But you know,

0:25:25.840 --> 0:25:31.119
<v Speaker 5>there is a sort of wing of experts who argue

0:25:31.160 --> 0:25:35.000
<v Speaker 5>that actually by creating this system, the administration might in

0:25:35.040 --> 0:25:38.000
<v Speaker 5>some ways actually spur even greater threats, that it would

0:25:38.080 --> 0:25:43.080
<v Speaker 5>essentially provoke an arms race or a new arms race

0:25:43.760 --> 0:25:47.040
<v Speaker 5>have you know, like we haven't seen since the Cold War.

0:25:47.119 --> 0:25:49.600
<v Speaker 5>But you know, then there's China as well. So there

0:25:49.640 --> 0:25:53.760
<v Speaker 5>are plenty of countries that retain these capabilities, and the

0:25:53.840 --> 0:25:56.600
<v Speaker 5>question is whether putting or trying to put a system

0:25:56.720 --> 0:26:00.000
<v Speaker 5>like this in place will only lead them to advance

0:26:00.040 --> 0:26:03.000
<v Speaker 5>it's those capabilities, or make it so that they can't

0:26:03.040 --> 0:26:06.000
<v Speaker 5>be intercepted. So there are all sorts of sort of

0:26:06.160 --> 0:26:10.520
<v Speaker 5>practical questions around this system, but also strategic ones as

0:26:10.520 --> 0:26:13.800
<v Speaker 5>well that you may actually be spurring innovation by your adversaries.

0:26:13.880 --> 0:26:14.920
<v Speaker 7>Nick, why is he doing this?

0:26:15.240 --> 0:26:15.960
<v Speaker 5>Why is he doing this?

0:26:16.080 --> 0:26:16.280
<v Speaker 3>Now?

0:26:17.560 --> 0:26:21.320
<v Speaker 5>Well, I think you know, this was an executive order

0:26:21.359 --> 0:26:24.520
<v Speaker 5>he signed, you know, on January twenty seventh, so a

0:26:24.520 --> 0:26:28.960
<v Speaker 5>couple days into his second administration. It's a big project.

0:26:29.119 --> 0:26:33.200
<v Speaker 5>It's a splashy project. It's a little bit like sort

0:26:33.240 --> 0:26:35.440
<v Speaker 5>of you know, declaring you're going to put a man

0:26:35.480 --> 0:26:37.240
<v Speaker 5>on the moon. I mean that's the sort of level

0:26:37.320 --> 0:26:41.160
<v Speaker 5>of technological achievement that is going to be required here.

0:26:42.440 --> 0:26:46.240
<v Speaker 5>And it's also something I mean, he hasn't explicitly said

0:26:46.280 --> 0:26:48.439
<v Speaker 5>this is why, but it's something that is going to

0:26:48.480 --> 0:26:51.800
<v Speaker 5>be a huge boon to defense contractors. You know, amid

0:26:51.800 --> 0:26:55.080
<v Speaker 5>all the talks about cutting waste and efficiency in the

0:26:55.119 --> 0:26:59.159
<v Speaker 5>government and looking to both increase the defense budget but

0:26:59.240 --> 0:27:01.919
<v Speaker 5>also cut back on wasteful programs. I mean, this is

0:27:01.960 --> 0:27:07.240
<v Speaker 5>going to be a mega program with you know, unlimited spending.

0:27:07.280 --> 0:27:09.800
<v Speaker 5>I mean, it's sort of extraordinary. Even as this has

0:27:09.920 --> 0:27:12.360
<v Speaker 5>just started to only get off the ground, you're already

0:27:12.400 --> 0:27:15.119
<v Speaker 5>seeing companies from all over the US saying, hey, we

0:27:15.240 --> 0:27:17.800
<v Speaker 5>have an idea, we have an idea, we have an idea.

0:27:18.240 --> 0:27:21.199
<v Speaker 5>And it's like, you know, it's just seen as this

0:27:21.800 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 5>essentially you know, cashapalooza, where they could just get tons

0:27:25.040 --> 0:27:27.400
<v Speaker 5>of funding to be able to work on these systems

0:27:27.440 --> 0:27:30.760
<v Speaker 5>and try to pursue technology, like I said, doesn't exist yet.

0:27:30.760 --> 0:27:33.160
<v Speaker 7>All right, So three years from now, we'll see what happens. NICKA,

0:27:33.320 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 7>I am curious you understand this stuff. What do you

0:27:37.040 --> 0:27:39.879
<v Speaker 7>think is going to get done first, the dome or

0:27:39.880 --> 0:27:42.879
<v Speaker 7>the retro fit on the plane that may come from Qatar.

0:27:45.080 --> 0:27:48.399
<v Speaker 5>Well, I mean it's a great question because in some

0:27:48.440 --> 0:27:51.200
<v Speaker 5>ways it shows you how truncated that timeline is. I mean,

0:27:51.240 --> 0:27:54.720
<v Speaker 5>the conversation around the plane from Qatar, you know that

0:27:54.800 --> 0:27:56.480
<v Speaker 5>they're saying they're not even going to be able to

0:27:56.480 --> 0:27:59.359
<v Speaker 5>get that plane retrofitted to be able to go into

0:27:59.400 --> 0:28:02.680
<v Speaker 5>service before or Trump leaves office in twenty twenty eight.

0:28:02.800 --> 0:28:06.840
<v Speaker 5>So you know, you have one plane that's the timeline

0:28:06.920 --> 0:28:09.800
<v Speaker 5>is already there saying it's going to be it's unrealistic

0:28:09.840 --> 0:28:12.000
<v Speaker 5>to have that done, and then you have a whole

0:28:12.040 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 5>space based interceptor system whose technology doesn't even exist, much

0:28:16.680 --> 0:28:21.199
<v Speaker 5>less less contracted, much less deployed. Three years is an

0:28:21.240 --> 0:28:22.640
<v Speaker 5>awfully short timeframe for.

0:28:22.640 --> 0:28:24.440
<v Speaker 7>That interesting times.

0:28:24.520 --> 0:28:25.760
<v Speaker 4>Hey, thank you so much.

0:28:25.840 --> 0:28:27.600
<v Speaker 7>We know a lot coming at you as always, but

0:28:27.720 --> 0:28:29.520
<v Speaker 7>Nick Wadams is a voice we always want to check

0:28:29.520 --> 0:28:32.560
<v Speaker 7>in with. He's Bloomberg News National Security Team leader joining

0:28:32.640 --> 0:28:33.119
<v Speaker 7>us from.

0:28:33.000 --> 0:28:33.840
<v Speaker 4>Our bureau in DC.

0:28:34.000 --> 0:28:34.920
<v Speaker 7>Nick, thank you so much.

0:28:35.680 --> 0:28:39.560
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch

0:28:39.600 --> 0:28:42.320
<v Speaker 1>us live weekday afternoons from two to five eas during

0:28:42.480 --> 0:28:46.440
<v Speaker 1>Listen on Applecarplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app,

0:28:46.600 --> 0:28:48.800
<v Speaker 1>or watch us live on YouTube.

0:28:49.960 --> 0:28:52.040
<v Speaker 2>The market's exactly where I want to go right now?

0:28:52.200 --> 0:28:54.320
<v Speaker 2>Is Carol mentioned near our session lows? Right now the

0:28:54.400 --> 0:28:56.320
<v Speaker 2>S and P five hundred down about nine tenths of

0:28:56.400 --> 0:28:59.120
<v Speaker 2>one percent. We've got with us Eric Wiener. He's Bloomberg

0:28:59.160 --> 0:29:01.719
<v Speaker 2>News Senior editor for Equities Americas. He joins us here

0:29:01.720 --> 0:29:03.720
<v Speaker 2>in the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio.

0:29:04.200 --> 0:29:04.360
<v Speaker 3>Eric.

0:29:04.400 --> 0:29:07.880
<v Speaker 2>When I was preparing our interview with you earlier today,

0:29:07.880 --> 0:29:10.600
<v Speaker 2>I was planning to talk about what happened yesterday because

0:29:10.600 --> 0:29:12.160
<v Speaker 2>it was a little bit of a wild day. We

0:29:12.200 --> 0:29:15.720
<v Speaker 2>all thought that equities would fall and that bond yields

0:29:15.720 --> 0:29:17.760
<v Speaker 2>would surge, and that happened in the early part of

0:29:17.760 --> 0:29:19.640
<v Speaker 2>the day. Then the dip buyers appeared to come in.

0:29:20.240 --> 0:29:21.800
<v Speaker 2>We could talk about that in a few minutes, but

0:29:21.840 --> 0:29:24.840
<v Speaker 2>first I want to talk about the reversal, not a reversal,

0:29:24.880 --> 0:29:26.280
<v Speaker 2>but sort of the leg lower that we saw in

0:29:26.320 --> 0:29:27.880
<v Speaker 2>the last hour. What do we attribute this to.

0:29:28.480 --> 0:29:33.160
<v Speaker 3>Well, probably the best place to look would be Tesla's chart.

0:29:34.400 --> 0:29:38.960
<v Speaker 3>If Musk has been out talking today, he's been talking

0:29:39.000 --> 0:29:43.360
<v Speaker 3>more about his companies and on a rival network, will

0:29:43.400 --> 0:29:47.880
<v Speaker 3>say he said something to the effect of the future.

0:29:47.920 --> 0:29:52.040
<v Speaker 3>He reiterated that the future is in robotaxis. And whereas

0:29:52.160 --> 0:29:57.160
<v Speaker 3>robotaxis were seen as a positive for the company, that's

0:29:57.240 --> 0:30:00.600
<v Speaker 3>kind of flipped because of the amount of some cost

0:30:01.200 --> 0:30:04.880
<v Speaker 3>that goes into developing it. And then a lot of

0:30:05.280 --> 0:30:07.600
<v Speaker 3>a lot of people who started asking the question about

0:30:07.640 --> 0:30:10.240
<v Speaker 3>regulating all of this and ensuring all of this. And

0:30:10.600 --> 0:30:13.959
<v Speaker 3>there are many, many, many pieces that go to creating

0:30:14.120 --> 0:30:19.280
<v Speaker 3>a robotaxi environment, and we don't know if Tesla is

0:30:19.280 --> 0:30:21.080
<v Speaker 3>going to be the company that does it and where

0:30:21.120 --> 0:30:21.840
<v Speaker 3>those costs go.

0:30:22.120 --> 0:30:24.240
<v Speaker 2>And I mean, if you go to Washington, d C. Well,

0:30:24.280 --> 0:30:25.560
<v Speaker 2>I won't say if you go to Washington, d C

0:30:25.680 --> 0:30:27.600
<v Speaker 2>now because I don't know if they're there yet, but

0:30:27.640 --> 0:30:28.960
<v Speaker 2>I know they're on their way there. These are the

0:30:29.000 --> 0:30:33.200
<v Speaker 2>waymo cars. Carol her mind blown last week.

0:30:33.240 --> 0:30:35.320
<v Speaker 7>The week closed my eyes and like on the whole

0:30:35.360 --> 0:30:36.600
<v Speaker 7>twenty twenty five minute run.

0:30:36.680 --> 0:30:37.920
<v Speaker 2>Once, I've been saying you got to try one of

0:30:37.920 --> 0:30:39.800
<v Speaker 2>these things. I tried one in San Francisco on the fall.

0:30:39.840 --> 0:30:40.480
<v Speaker 2>It was amazing.

0:30:40.680 --> 0:30:41.080
<v Speaker 3>Loved it.

0:30:41.960 --> 0:30:44.680
<v Speaker 7>At night, I'm like, would I feel comfortable? I was

0:30:44.720 --> 0:30:46.560
<v Speaker 7>kind of blown away by it, and I loved it

0:30:46.600 --> 0:30:49.600
<v Speaker 7>was clean, it was easy, no music if.

0:30:49.560 --> 0:30:50.080
<v Speaker 6>I didn't want it.

0:30:50.400 --> 0:30:52.479
<v Speaker 2>So you were in a Jaguar that was powered by

0:30:52.520 --> 0:30:55.880
<v Speaker 2>Google's technology. I was not in a Tesla. That's the point.

0:30:56.880 --> 0:30:58.800
<v Speaker 2>If I was in a Jaguar, would be happy. But

0:31:00.280 --> 0:31:00.880
<v Speaker 2>they are a nice cars.

0:31:01.440 --> 0:31:04.720
<v Speaker 3>The flip side of that, we can all see the

0:31:04.760 --> 0:31:07.720
<v Speaker 3>base case for it. You know you're out late, you

0:31:07.760 --> 0:31:11.320
<v Speaker 3>don't want to drive home, and your car just takes

0:31:11.320 --> 0:31:15.760
<v Speaker 3>you there, or you know the city is you know

0:31:15.880 --> 0:31:17.640
<v Speaker 3>has plenty of cabs and you don't have to worry

0:31:17.640 --> 0:31:21.200
<v Speaker 3>about anything. They come right over. The question is our

0:31:21.240 --> 0:31:25.640
<v Speaker 3>whole system is built on liability, right, So the whole

0:31:25.680 --> 0:31:28.480
<v Speaker 3>idea of ensuring something is being able to point the

0:31:28.480 --> 0:31:31.080
<v Speaker 3>finger it oo's to blame. So if you're in the

0:31:31.120 --> 0:31:34.160
<v Speaker 3>backseat having had you know, a couple too many drinks

0:31:35.200 --> 0:31:37.760
<v Speaker 3>and are just doing what you're supposed to do with

0:31:37.920 --> 0:31:39.840
<v Speaker 3>what you bought the car for and then it t

0:31:40.040 --> 0:31:44.080
<v Speaker 3>bones somebody else, who pays for that accident? Who's responsible?

0:31:44.240 --> 0:31:47.760
<v Speaker 2>It's such a basic question that I've never actually considered, well.

0:31:47.600 --> 0:31:50.840
<v Speaker 3>And this is where this is where a somebody who's

0:31:50.880 --> 0:31:55.280
<v Speaker 3>going to bet on that goes because if that infrastructure

0:31:55.320 --> 0:31:58.120
<v Speaker 3>is in place, then of course, yeah, you know, Waimo

0:31:58.280 --> 0:32:01.800
<v Speaker 3>and all of these things become national the idea of

0:32:01.920 --> 0:32:06.320
<v Speaker 3>us having self driving cars becomes completely you know, reliable.

0:32:06.800 --> 0:32:11.360
<v Speaker 3>But without that, we're still in a you got to

0:32:11.440 --> 0:32:14.680
<v Speaker 3>drive your own car world, or you need to figure

0:32:14.720 --> 0:32:17.040
<v Speaker 3>out who is going to be responsible to the company

0:32:17.080 --> 0:32:18.959
<v Speaker 3>take that, How do we how do we do the

0:32:19.000 --> 0:32:22.160
<v Speaker 3>insurance for that. We have to re regulate a whole

0:32:22.200 --> 0:32:25.560
<v Speaker 3>bunch of things before that can become a national reality.

0:32:25.920 --> 0:32:27.680
<v Speaker 3>And if you're putting if you're one of the most

0:32:27.680 --> 0:32:30.000
<v Speaker 3>important stocks in the market, and you're putting a bunch

0:32:30.040 --> 0:32:33.040
<v Speaker 3>of money behind this and there isn't that background there,

0:32:33.360 --> 0:32:36.520
<v Speaker 3>the risk of that turning into a sunken cost is

0:32:36.640 --> 0:32:37.120
<v Speaker 3>very real.

0:32:37.640 --> 0:32:38.640
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it's kind of fascinating.

0:32:38.680 --> 0:32:41.960
<v Speaker 7>It's funny because we do these gainers into winners and losers.

0:32:42.040 --> 0:32:44.600
<v Speaker 7>And Tessa was a gainer for me because it was

0:32:44.680 --> 0:32:46.840
<v Speaker 7>up you know, more than three percent earlier in the session.

0:32:46.880 --> 0:32:48.200
<v Speaker 7>And now I'm like, okay, I got to kind of

0:32:48.200 --> 0:32:51.000
<v Speaker 7>pull the yank this one, because it's just pretty much

0:32:51.080 --> 0:32:53.480
<v Speaker 7>sticking around unchanged or it's even got into the red

0:32:53.520 --> 0:32:55.240
<v Speaker 7>a little bit. But it's a really good point, I

0:32:55.280 --> 0:32:57.280
<v Speaker 7>do think about it. It was interesting when I was

0:32:57.280 --> 0:32:59.320
<v Speaker 7>in the Waimow and there was at a point where

0:32:59.320 --> 0:33:02.200
<v Speaker 7>a biker, know, kind of scooted alongside and then.

0:33:02.160 --> 0:33:06.040
<v Speaker 2>Terms we prefer the term cyclist unless you're talking about

0:33:06.080 --> 0:33:08.640
<v Speaker 2>a guy on a motorcycle, like it was a cyclist.

0:33:08.880 --> 0:33:11.360
<v Speaker 7>And I was watching how the car like navigated and

0:33:11.400 --> 0:33:13.360
<v Speaker 7>I was even watching it was impressive, wasn't it. It

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:16.040
<v Speaker 7>was pretty impressive And I was like, whoa, okay, saw

0:33:16.080 --> 0:33:18.960
<v Speaker 7>it like stayed around, you know, around also started there

0:33:19.000 --> 0:33:20.720
<v Speaker 7>like with yellow lights, like kind of went through some

0:33:20.840 --> 0:33:23.240
<v Speaker 7>yellow lights, and I was like, hmm, how did.

0:33:23.080 --> 0:33:23.840
<v Speaker 2>I feel about that?

0:33:23.960 --> 0:33:25.960
<v Speaker 4>But it was the ride was smooth.

0:33:26.040 --> 0:33:29.200
<v Speaker 7>But you're right, there's so many questions, right, and if

0:33:29.200 --> 0:33:31.000
<v Speaker 7>there's a lot more on the road, does that make

0:33:31.240 --> 0:33:34.160
<v Speaker 7>the road more safer or does it create more variable

0:33:34.200 --> 0:33:34.600
<v Speaker 7>But I don't know.

0:33:34.720 --> 0:33:39.080
<v Speaker 3>Poretically, theoretically, when you talk to people who are involved

0:33:39.080 --> 0:33:43.160
<v Speaker 3>in mass producing cars that that actually is safer because

0:33:43.520 --> 0:33:45.120
<v Speaker 3>they're all going to travel at the same speed and

0:33:45.120 --> 0:33:47.880
<v Speaker 3>they're going to keep the same gaps and everything track together.

0:33:48.160 --> 0:33:53.160
<v Speaker 3>But technology is not perfect, it is not infallible. So

0:33:53.640 --> 0:33:57.400
<v Speaker 3>when and it's not if, it's when a circuit goes

0:33:57.440 --> 0:34:00.600
<v Speaker 3>a little haywire, who catches the black aim for that?

0:34:00.840 --> 0:34:04.280
<v Speaker 3>And our society is very very clear on blame. And

0:34:04.360 --> 0:34:07.160
<v Speaker 3>so when you don't have that you and you have

0:34:07.240 --> 0:34:09.880
<v Speaker 3>something that's doing sixty miles an hour and can kill someone,

0:34:10.400 --> 0:34:13.000
<v Speaker 3>it becomes a much disier proposition.

0:34:13.400 --> 0:34:15.040
<v Speaker 7>Isn't a product liability? Yes?

0:34:15.280 --> 0:34:18.719
<v Speaker 3>It actually interested and personal and if you hurt somebody,

0:34:19.280 --> 0:34:19.759
<v Speaker 3>good luck.

0:34:19.880 --> 0:34:21.839
<v Speaker 2>And look, we've seen this happen over the last couple

0:34:21.840 --> 0:34:24.000
<v Speaker 2>of years as different companies have experimented. I mean there's

0:34:24.000 --> 0:34:26.520
<v Speaker 2>a company that doesn't even operate wait the way it

0:34:26.640 --> 0:34:28.960
<v Speaker 2>used to operate because of issues that happened when it

0:34:29.000 --> 0:34:31.520
<v Speaker 2>was testing these vehicles in San Francisco. And even on Reddit,

0:34:31.640 --> 0:34:36.560
<v Speaker 2>the weaimo reddit threads have examples of when the car

0:34:36.560 --> 0:34:39.520
<v Speaker 2>hasn't necessarily not necessarily crashed or anything, but when something

0:34:39.520 --> 0:34:41.160
<v Speaker 2>has gone wrong, like there's examples of it just going

0:34:41.200 --> 0:34:43.640
<v Speaker 2>around and around it for example, Yeah, yeah, yeah, we've

0:34:43.640 --> 0:34:44.120
<v Speaker 2>all clitched.

0:34:44.239 --> 0:34:46.560
<v Speaker 7>It's interesting even the pickup, you know, is that kind

0:34:46.560 --> 0:34:48.799
<v Speaker 7>of a for work a resort And it was like

0:34:49.160 --> 0:34:51.239
<v Speaker 7>the guys even there said, like, the car may just

0:34:51.320 --> 0:34:52.760
<v Speaker 7>kind of park somewhere.

0:34:52.760 --> 0:34:53.719
<v Speaker 3>Because it can.

0:34:53.840 --> 0:34:56.920
<v Speaker 2>You'll find it because it's not like a human. This

0:34:57.040 --> 0:34:59.120
<v Speaker 2>is why I talked to somebody who works in AI.

0:35:00.040 --> 0:35:02.319
<v Speaker 2>I was saying, I would love for this to come

0:35:02.360 --> 0:35:04.560
<v Speaker 2>to New York and he was like, the challenge with

0:35:04.560 --> 0:35:06.880
<v Speaker 2>this happening in New York is there aren't very many

0:35:07.320 --> 0:35:09.799
<v Speaker 2>legal safe places for them to pull over, yeah, and

0:35:09.880 --> 0:35:12.040
<v Speaker 2>pick people up. And it's the truth. I mean, if

0:35:12.040 --> 0:35:14.040
<v Speaker 2>you think about the way we pick up cabs and

0:35:14.120 --> 0:35:16.560
<v Speaker 2>ubers and lifts. Here, we're walking into the middle of

0:35:16.560 --> 0:35:19.400
<v Speaker 2>the street and they're stopping. It's all about I mean,

0:35:19.440 --> 0:35:22.200
<v Speaker 2>and you can't somebody do it but it's nuts. Well, no,

0:35:22.239 --> 0:35:24.200
<v Speaker 2>it's absolutely insane. No, that's what I mean.

0:35:24.239 --> 0:35:27.480
<v Speaker 3>Like, it's all about us interacting with the person who

0:35:27.520 --> 0:35:30.560
<v Speaker 3>picks us up. And when you have cars that are

0:35:30.560 --> 0:35:32.840
<v Speaker 3>just pulling in by themselves, you don't know how this

0:35:33.000 --> 0:35:35.120
<v Speaker 3>is going to work. And that's really what it's about.

0:35:35.400 --> 0:35:38.040
<v Speaker 3>If you're sinking your money and this is a company

0:35:38.040 --> 0:35:40.680
<v Speaker 3>that builds cars, you're sinking your money into something that

0:35:40.719 --> 0:35:43.480
<v Speaker 3>you don't know how it's going to work. That gets dangerous.

0:35:43.520 --> 0:35:45.320
<v Speaker 2>Okay, So this is all about Tesla.

0:35:45.640 --> 0:35:47.960
<v Speaker 3>Well, I think the last hour has been about Tesla.

0:35:48.000 --> 0:35:49.120
<v Speaker 2>That's interesting because there's the chart.

0:35:49.239 --> 0:35:54.040
<v Speaker 3>It's it's the one in the SMP that really it's almost.

0:35:53.760 --> 0:35:55.719
<v Speaker 7>Two percent of the S and P five hundred terms

0:35:55.719 --> 0:35:57.480
<v Speaker 7>of waiting, it's about a little bit more than it's

0:35:57.480 --> 0:36:00.640
<v Speaker 7>almost three point two percent of the Nasdaq one hundred

0:36:00.040 --> 0:36:02.040
<v Speaker 7>three at move.

0:36:02.120 --> 0:36:05.200
<v Speaker 3>On our system, you can see that like basically the

0:36:05.239 --> 0:36:08.520
<v Speaker 3>whole MAG seven is on is in the red. Google

0:36:08.560 --> 0:36:13.239
<v Speaker 3>got hammered earlier as well, so it's like sort of

0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:17.000
<v Speaker 3>a tech risk off. But like the big turn was

0:36:17.160 --> 0:36:20.279
<v Speaker 3>in Texa where it had it had gone down when

0:36:20.360 --> 0:36:24.600
<v Speaker 3>Musk was talking from to us and it went flying

0:36:24.680 --> 0:36:28.040
<v Speaker 3>down and then it came back up and now it

0:36:28.239 --> 0:36:29.480
<v Speaker 3>just dropped like a stone.

0:36:29.640 --> 0:36:32.160
<v Speaker 2>Okay, yeah, good point. I mean, look, six out of

0:36:32.200 --> 0:36:36.080
<v Speaker 2>the seven MAG seven are in the red. Tesla shares

0:36:36.120 --> 0:36:38.479
<v Speaker 2>were up earlier in the session. They're still up about

0:36:38.480 --> 0:36:40.200
<v Speaker 2>half a percentage point, but a far crytit.

0:36:40.320 --> 0:36:43.719
<v Speaker 3>They were like up three. Yeah, that's big, big move

0:36:43.760 --> 0:36:44.360
<v Speaker 3>on the SMP.

0:36:44.560 --> 0:36:46.359
<v Speaker 2>Hey, I want to go back in time a little

0:36:46.360 --> 0:36:48.720
<v Speaker 2>bit and talk yesterday, which was actually the plan before

0:36:48.840 --> 0:36:51.480
<v Speaker 2>we saw things move a little lower. What would happened

0:36:51.520 --> 0:36:55.600
<v Speaker 2>yesterday because we thought that because of this Moody's downgrade,

0:36:55.600 --> 0:36:57.720
<v Speaker 2>we'd see this certain tone with the trade that didn't

0:36:57.760 --> 0:36:58.760
<v Speaker 2>end up coming to fruition.

0:36:59.360 --> 0:37:04.040
<v Speaker 3>So well, the bond market is hard to figure because

0:37:04.680 --> 0:37:07.200
<v Speaker 3>that actually should have happened, and it did. I mean, yields,

0:37:07.440 --> 0:37:12.479
<v Speaker 3>you know, jumped, and stock sort of responded. What we

0:37:12.640 --> 0:37:17.880
<v Speaker 3>saw in the market was the highest retail buying that

0:37:17.960 --> 0:37:21.760
<v Speaker 3>we've seen in I think it was over a decade,

0:37:22.800 --> 0:37:28.000
<v Speaker 3>some absurdly strong amount of retail buying up until twelve thirty.

0:37:28.440 --> 0:37:33.680
<v Speaker 3>So basically as that market sold off, retail stepped in

0:37:33.800 --> 0:37:37.560
<v Speaker 3>and bought every inch of it. So whereas we were

0:37:38.000 --> 0:37:40.319
<v Speaker 3>positioning like you, we were thinking like you, you know, okay,

0:37:40.360 --> 0:37:42.400
<v Speaker 3>well it's a down day and it's probably going to

0:37:42.440 --> 0:37:45.000
<v Speaker 3>stay down. Instead, it turned into this you know, V

0:37:45.200 --> 0:37:49.239
<v Speaker 3>shape recovery where all of a sudden it sort of

0:37:49.320 --> 0:37:51.120
<v Speaker 3>gets this lift and by the end of the day

0:37:51.160 --> 0:37:55.520
<v Speaker 3>we're in the green. But there is so little conviction

0:37:55.680 --> 0:37:58.600
<v Speaker 3>in this market right now that everything's on a hair trigger.

0:37:58.760 --> 0:38:02.720
<v Speaker 3>So Musk saying something about robo taxis and suddenly everybody

0:38:02.800 --> 0:38:05.800
<v Speaker 3>sells it off. There's just this sort of waiting for

0:38:05.960 --> 0:38:09.399
<v Speaker 3>the other shoe to drop feel to everything, and then

0:38:10.160 --> 0:38:12.520
<v Speaker 3>you have retail buying their dip, and the question is

0:38:12.600 --> 0:38:16.240
<v Speaker 3>how much longer they can when the SMP is approaching

0:38:16.280 --> 0:38:22.439
<v Speaker 3>six thousand six, when you're at fifty nine and yeah,

0:38:22.680 --> 0:38:25.680
<v Speaker 3>and so you've come all the way back. How much

0:38:25.800 --> 0:38:28.880
<v Speaker 3>more strength does retail have to keep this going because

0:38:29.680 --> 0:38:33.560
<v Speaker 3>the institutional guys are on the sidelines and they cannot

0:38:33.600 --> 0:38:35.839
<v Speaker 3>buy in at these levels, so they have to sit

0:38:36.200 --> 0:38:39.120
<v Speaker 3>Why can't they buy in? Well, because if you're timing

0:38:39.280 --> 0:38:42.280
<v Speaker 3>this and you're questioning whether it's going to go higher,

0:38:42.400 --> 0:38:46.399
<v Speaker 3>your risk is enormous. Buying in right now. You're much

0:38:46.520 --> 0:38:52.000
<v Speaker 3>better off waiting for yesterday's one percent drop buy that

0:38:52.560 --> 0:38:55.680
<v Speaker 3>you know, you wait for some sort of announcement that

0:38:55.880 --> 0:38:58.320
<v Speaker 3>is going to temporarily take the market down two percent.

0:38:58.680 --> 0:39:02.040
<v Speaker 3>You buy there. But if you were looking at things

0:39:02.800 --> 0:39:04.680
<v Speaker 3>a month ago and you were like, if we get

0:39:04.760 --> 0:39:07.640
<v Speaker 3>up to six thousand, this is amazing, and then we

0:39:07.800 --> 0:39:11.400
<v Speaker 3>do it, well, now you buy in and you're at it.

0:39:11.480 --> 0:39:15.320
<v Speaker 3>You're buying in at a level where it's really dicey

0:39:15.360 --> 0:39:18.600
<v Speaker 3>whether you're going to go higher, and there's a strong

0:39:18.760 --> 0:39:21.000
<v Speaker 3>chance you're going to go lower, So the entry point

0:39:21.200 --> 0:39:24.560
<v Speaker 3>is not attractive. To somebody who's actually building a portfolio.

0:39:24.920 --> 0:39:27.960
<v Speaker 3>If you're just trading in and out during the day,

0:39:28.080 --> 0:39:30.319
<v Speaker 3>doesn't really matter, and that's what you see and you're

0:39:30.360 --> 0:39:33.279
<v Speaker 3>acting reacting to the way the charts look. But if

0:39:33.320 --> 0:39:36.640
<v Speaker 3>you're actually putting positions on in your portfolio, right now,

0:39:36.800 --> 0:39:38.560
<v Speaker 3>stocks are pretty fully.

0:39:38.400 --> 0:39:42.360
<v Speaker 7>Valued, right, It's like, Okay, what's the next catalyst you

0:39:42.440 --> 0:39:45.719
<v Speaker 7>can really trade on definitively? And I keep thinking about, Okay,

0:39:45.800 --> 0:39:48.000
<v Speaker 7>ninety days out in terms of the tariffs, like that's ticking.

0:39:48.080 --> 0:39:48.800
<v Speaker 2>We got to wait for that.

0:39:49.160 --> 0:39:50.480
<v Speaker 7>I mean, there's a lot of issues that we have

0:39:50.560 --> 0:39:53.439
<v Speaker 7>to wait for, right, Yes, Eric to kind of understand, Okay,

0:39:53.520 --> 0:39:56.640
<v Speaker 7>so what's kind of the next backdrop for It's the

0:39:56.719 --> 0:39:57.840
<v Speaker 7>economic term tread.

0:39:57.840 --> 0:40:00.320
<v Speaker 3>It's the economic data, right, So we're gonna have a

0:40:00.400 --> 0:40:03.480
<v Speaker 3>jobs report coming up, We're going to be having you know,

0:40:03.600 --> 0:40:07.880
<v Speaker 3>pc CPI all that sort of stuff coming. I don't

0:40:08.040 --> 0:40:11.359
<v Speaker 3>know that anybody is expecting a June rate cut from

0:40:11.560 --> 0:40:14.520
<v Speaker 3>the Fed anyhow. Yeah, I mean, I think we're down

0:40:14.600 --> 0:40:19.560
<v Speaker 3>to September if if at all. But it's really it

0:40:19.800 --> 0:40:23.879
<v Speaker 3>really feels like people are waiting. When I say people,

0:40:23.880 --> 0:40:26.880
<v Speaker 3>I mean Wall Street pros are kind of waiting for

0:40:27.800 --> 0:40:32.120
<v Speaker 3>the confirmation to come that the economy is weaker than

0:40:32.280 --> 0:40:33.160
<v Speaker 3>the market is playing.

0:40:33.360 --> 0:40:36.160
<v Speaker 2>We've been hearing for weeks about this idea of empty

0:40:36.200 --> 0:40:41.320
<v Speaker 2>shelves coming that hasn't materialized. And the pause that we

0:40:41.400 --> 0:40:44.000
<v Speaker 2>saw between the tension with the US and China could

0:40:44.040 --> 0:40:47.600
<v Speaker 2>perhaps be some sort of reprieve. But in the background,

0:40:47.719 --> 0:40:49.880
<v Speaker 2>Eric I can't help but think we're still in a

0:40:49.920 --> 0:40:50.359
<v Speaker 2>trade war.

0:40:51.239 --> 0:40:54.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. Well, and it's see so we go back to

0:40:54.520 --> 0:40:56.399
<v Speaker 3>COVID and it's like, we remember.

0:40:56.080 --> 0:40:57.759
<v Speaker 2>What that was like, and everybody says, oh, we don't

0:40:57.760 --> 0:40:58.520
<v Speaker 2>want to go back to that.

0:40:59.360 --> 0:41:02.000
<v Speaker 3>But if if you look at like the seventies or

0:41:02.080 --> 0:41:06.520
<v Speaker 3>like periods where there was very slow growth and high inflation,

0:41:06.920 --> 0:41:10.120
<v Speaker 3>it does mean that certain things, there are shocks and

0:41:10.239 --> 0:41:14.319
<v Speaker 3>certain things, but overall, it's just the economy doesn't move,

0:41:14.920 --> 0:41:17.480
<v Speaker 3>and that's what people are fearing. It's not so much.

0:41:17.840 --> 0:41:20.640
<v Speaker 3>I mean, obviously, you know, walking into Target and just

0:41:20.680 --> 0:41:23.960
<v Speaker 3>seeing empty shelves, well that's you know, that's a huge problem.

0:41:24.239 --> 0:41:29.600
<v Speaker 3>But just you're paying ten percent more on everything. Nothing

0:41:29.760 --> 0:41:34.560
<v Speaker 3>is on sale. Your meat is more expensive, your groceries

0:41:34.560 --> 0:41:38.399
<v Speaker 3>are more expensive. Everything you buy everywhere you go, it's

0:41:38.520 --> 0:41:42.200
<v Speaker 3>more expensive. And what happens then, is people just with trench.

0:41:42.440 --> 0:41:46.359
<v Speaker 3>You know, It's like each individual decision happens and people go, Okay,

0:41:46.400 --> 0:41:49.400
<v Speaker 3>well I'm gonna pull back, and that hits earnings and

0:41:49.600 --> 0:41:53.280
<v Speaker 3>that's when it starts spreading. So too, if you're a trader,

0:41:53.400 --> 0:41:56.040
<v Speaker 3>you're looking at the clues that are going to get

0:41:56.120 --> 0:41:58.680
<v Speaker 3>you to those earnings that are then going to send

0:41:58.719 --> 0:41:59.160
<v Speaker 3>you lower.

0:41:59.280 --> 0:42:02.480
<v Speaker 7>Yes, okay, off to the next earning cycle. But I

0:42:02.520 --> 0:42:04.759
<v Speaker 7>think about what Lebby Cantralla, Pimco's at two, the same

0:42:04.800 --> 0:42:07.279
<v Speaker 7>thing like Tyris. We're going to be in a higher

0:42:07.360 --> 0:42:09.480
<v Speaker 7>tariff environment and that's that's going to have an impact.

0:42:09.640 --> 0:42:12.000
<v Speaker 7>Eric Wiener, thank you, as always, Bloomberg New Senior Editor

0:42:12.040 --> 0:42:13.040
<v Speaker 7>of Equities Americas.

0:42:14.080 --> 0:42:19.480
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:42:19.680 --> 0:42:23.720
<v Speaker 1>and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday

0:42:23.760 --> 0:42:27.719
<v Speaker 1>afternoons from two to five pm Eastern on Bloomberg dot Com,

0:42:28.080 --> 0:42:31.799
<v Speaker 1>the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business App.

0:42:32.080 --> 0:42:34.880
<v Speaker 1>You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube

0:42:35.160 --> 0:42:37.320
<v Speaker 1>and always on the Bloomberg Terminal