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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Throwing spect We're saying it's a cash touchdown. That's all

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Speaker 1: we see. Most gamble is when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 1: they go to win. That's incredible.

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Speaker 2: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate combining and you want

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Speaker 1: to and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Hello everybody, Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by DraftKings.

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Speaker 2: I am your host, Evan Abrams, and I am joined

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Speaker 2: by Brandon Anderson for our NFL recap show for week three.

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Speaker 2: We will discuss what we saw today, look ahead briefly

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Speaker 2: to Monday night's game, Plus we will get Brandon's hot

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Speaker 2: read for next week. Brandon, what's going on? How are you?

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Speaker 2: Before we get to my big stut?

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Speaker 3: I mean, Carson Wentzes want to know the Vikings. I think,

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Speaker 3: just score another touchdown. We're flying high over here, rocking

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Speaker 3: the Wentz jersey again. I finally got a few picks

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Speaker 3: right this week. Kitchen Sink week went pretty well.

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Speaker 1: We're ready. We're ready to talk some football.

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Speaker 3: Weird, weird, weird witching hour in that early slate of games.

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Speaker 1: I'm excited to talk about some of these.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I've got a Bengals like sweatshirt on for you,

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Speaker 2: just you know, in remembrance for your game today. But

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Speaker 2: I yeah, exactly. The one big stat more or less

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Speaker 2: has to do with today's Witching Hour, Like you said,

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Speaker 2: I mean the Eagles, the Browns blocking field goal, the Jets,

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Speaker 2: the Browns again, the Bucks going up and down the field.

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Speaker 2: It was pretty much one of the wildest hours. There

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Speaker 2: was a where were you type moment for some of

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Speaker 2: those and it all started. It felt like with the

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Speaker 2: Packers and kind of just they were up ten nothing

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Speaker 2: and it felt like they just let them hang around.

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Speaker 2: So I'll give you this stat and we'll kind of

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Speaker 2: go from here. So, teams who lead entering the fourth

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Speaker 2: quarter this season are thirty and fourteen against the spread

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Speaker 2: sixty eight percent over the full game line. Okay, and

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Speaker 2: that is the worst mark through three weeks in the

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Speaker 2: Wildcard era. And to me, it all was in the

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Speaker 2: Witching Hour today, where I believe eight and five are

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Speaker 2: those teams against the spread this week. So you had

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Speaker 2: absolute chass where teams entering the fourth quarter just completely flipped.

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Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on that before we get into

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Speaker 2: the Giants Chiefs game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it just seems like, you know, we see this.

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Speaker 3: I feel like in the NBA too, just no lead

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Speaker 3: is safe anymore. And in an NBA it's like, well,

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Speaker 3: we're shooting all these threes. Now, what's the reason in

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Speaker 3: football is that it doesn't feel like offense is lighting

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Speaker 3: things up. There's a lot of blaming the kickoff rule

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Speaker 3: for everything. So maybe it's the kickoff rule, right, Like

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Speaker 3: that's different though you're starting on a shorter field. It's

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Speaker 3: just you know, you get the kickoff shorter, you get

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Speaker 3: like one first down, you're in field goal range already,

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Speaker 3: you get that late kick or something like that. Our

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Speaker 3: kickers are hitting fifty sixty yarders whenever they feel like it.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 3: This weird stuff is happening. And you know we said

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Speaker 3: it kitchen and week sink that kitchen sink week that.

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Speaker 3: This is like, you're some of these teams, Browns, Jets,

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Speaker 3: some of these crazy late comebacks. Our teams are just like,

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Speaker 3: we gotta save our season, Like what else is left

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Speaker 3: of the tank? Is there any play we have here?

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Speaker 3: And you know, I think favorites kind of taking their

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Speaker 3: foot off the gas a little bit. And football is weird, man,

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Speaker 3: Football is so weird sport, and today was a weird day.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I think a lot of us had predicted upsets this week.

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Speaker 2: Things weren't going to stay the same. Thirteen and zero

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Speaker 2: for favorites of over four points entering the slate today

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Speaker 2: with the Bills win on Thursday Night Football. But one

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Speaker 2: lead that didn't disappear was the Chiefs, so we went

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Speaker 2: to that. Chiefs win twenty two to nine. They cover

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Speaker 2: as minus six on the road under forty four and

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Speaker 2: a half. I mean, I guess watching this game, it

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Speaker 2: kind of started from right as the whistle kicked off,

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Speaker 2: you were like, where's Graham Guno? So the injury leads

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Speaker 2: to the Giants turnover on downs on the first possession,

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Speaker 2: and then Tyrone Tracy gets hurt, and from there it

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Speaker 2: felt like I was working on this show and almost

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Speaker 2: nothing happened in the game. I don't know exactly how

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Speaker 2: much I learned from this, but Chiefs end up going

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Speaker 2: up six to nothing early. Giants score a touchdown, missed

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Speaker 2: the extra point, and after that Mahomes throws the backward

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Speaker 2: pass and you're like, what am I actually watching on

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Speaker 2: Sunday Football right now? But it really to me, it's

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Speaker 2: the new Age Chiefs. It's like every single week this

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Speaker 2: is the version of the Chiefs games we tend to watch,

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Speaker 2: and at least tonight without Neighbors, their defense was suffocating.

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Speaker 2: It just felt like Russell Wilson I think of like

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Speaker 2: one hundred and forty passing yards. It was not pretty.

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Speaker 2: So what are your thoughts overall on? Because I was

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Speaker 2: trying to take something from this game that I thought

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Speaker 2: I could move forward with, and tonight I feel like

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Speaker 2: with the injuries on the Giant side and really seeing

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Speaker 2: the exact same thing from Kansas City I've seen over

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Speaker 2: the last three weeks, I just, you know, I take

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Speaker 2: what I am and I take it into at least

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Speaker 2: the Baltimore game with them.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I think, honestly, the less we take away from this

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Speaker 3: game for everybody's sake, for better, just not a lot here.

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Speaker 1: Cam Skataboo's fun. A few plays.

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Speaker 3: Taekwon Thornon catches the late pass orr after he drops

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Speaker 3: the other pass.

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Speaker 1: That was fun.

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Speaker 3: Malik Neighbors two catches thirteen yards on seven targets. That's unforgivable, Like,

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Speaker 3: what are you doing find a way to get Molik

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Speaker 3: Neighbors at ball? I understand how the Chiefs were defending him,

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Speaker 3: but be creative, like get him a screen, give him

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Speaker 3: a slant, do something to get the ball in his hands.

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Speaker 3: Very wearisome to me that the Chiefs actually found ways

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Speaker 3: to run the football like the Giants entered this game

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Speaker 3: dead last in DVA run defense. Yeah, you gotta be

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Speaker 3: pretty bad if the Chiefs are running the ball on you.

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Speaker 3: I came in with the note at halftime. Last year's

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Speaker 3: Chiefs were boring but efficient and good on defense. This

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Speaker 3: is just me yocre. The problem is, I think in

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Speaker 3: the second half that wasn't true anymore. The Chiefs actually

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Speaker 3: had over fifty percent success rate in this game. The

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Speaker 3: offense was still real boring, but actually like move the

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Speaker 3: ball in the second half and did some stuff.

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Speaker 1: The defense tightened up.

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Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes had two plays where he ended up accidentally

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Speaker 3: throwing it backwards to Isa and Pacheco. Both plays low key.

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Speaker 3: That second one, like the first one, is just kind

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Speaker 3: of weird and uh Pachecko just tossed it to the

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Speaker 3: raft or to his team whatever. That second one, I

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Speaker 3: think Patrick Mahomes, like legit saved the season on that play.

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Speaker 3: He goes flying in like no other quarterback even Ghosts

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Speaker 3: for that just like, oh, shoot, well there's a touchdown

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Speaker 3: for the defense. There he comes flying in literally steals

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Speaker 3: the ball away. That probably swings the game. And now

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs are tied for the eighth seed. They're one

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Speaker 3: out of the playoffs, and that is with the Jaguars, Steelers,

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Speaker 3: and Bengals ahead of them right now, like they're right

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Speaker 3: back in the thick of things as awful as it

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Speaker 3: all had felt so far. But like you said, Ravens

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Speaker 3: Chiefs next week, and the line says that's Ravens by

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Speaker 3: three right now, I have to believe I'm gonna at

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Speaker 3: least be looking at possible Escalator City because the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: have nothing explosive about this offense, Like think Ravens Bills

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Speaker 3: back Sunday night when we got real games to watch.

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Speaker 3: If the Ravens get some of those big plays, the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs don't have answers to that right now. They cannot

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Speaker 3: match score for score with teams, so I don't that

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Speaker 3: to me. Could be a game where some of these

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Speaker 3: chickens really come home to roost for the Chiefs. But

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Speaker 3: we'll see you next week on that one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Taekwon Thornton, Juju Smith Schuster in Hollywood Brown as

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Speaker 2: good as some of those seasons have been from those players.

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Speaker 2: I mean I expected Kelsey, I expected to see Worthy.

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Speaker 2: Those being the top three targets tonight, you just kind

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Speaker 2: of tell you what Casey is at the moment. And

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Speaker 2: I don't think we love anything from the running game.

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Speaker 2: That's why they're kind of going back and forth between

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Speaker 2: both backs depending on situation, hunt near the goal line,

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Speaker 2: Pacheco to try to get more yards. They're just trying

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Speaker 2: to figure out anything on a daily basis, and to me,

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Speaker 2: it's just very sloppy. So from week to week, they're

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Speaker 2: just nothing compared to Baltimore. So I'm really curious to

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Speaker 2: see where that line moves. I'll give you two just

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Speaker 2: ridiculous stats. So the Chiefs were up three to nothing

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Speaker 2: and of the first quarter, so they're now thirty and

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Speaker 2: oh last three seasons when leading after the first quarter,

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Speaker 2: and actually, interesting enough, they've actually lost five straight when

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Speaker 2: trailing after the first quarter. So I mean it kind

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Speaker 2: of says what we've seen, which is they're not coming

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Speaker 2: back because they don't have the offense, and when they

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Speaker 2: have the lead, their defense becomes suffocating behind spags. Ridiculous

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Speaker 2: from a Giant's point of view, that first two months

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Speaker 2: of the regular season September October under is now sixteen

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Speaker 2: to one in Giants home games twenty two and two

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Speaker 2: since twenty nineteen, and twenty seven and four since twenty seventeen.

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Speaker 2: And it's exactly what we've seen tonight, from quarterback after

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Speaker 2: quarterback after quarterback. And then the stat that I tweeted

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Speaker 2: out and I can read it right here because it

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Speaker 2: just seems absolutely impossible, which is thirty nine night games

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Speaker 2: Giants and Jets since twenty nineteen, they're five and thirty

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Speaker 2: four in those.

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Speaker 3: I was waiting for it. I knew the style was coming.

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Speaker 3: And by the way, the Jets are Monday Night next week.

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Speaker 2: Get excitedly, Yeah, I forgot good call. But again, I

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Speaker 2: feel like that one needs an asterisk when you talk

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Speaker 2: about the Dolphins, Like what really is that in terms

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Speaker 2: of an opponent? But I actually haven't looked Dolphins favorite

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Speaker 2: in that game.

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Speaker 1: The Dolphins are indeed favored.

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Speaker 3: So somehow, the second time this season the Dolphins are favored,

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Speaker 3: And then we all thought Mike McDaniel's getting fired on Thursday,

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Speaker 3: so fun times.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's move on here, all right, so I'm

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Speaker 2: this one's gonna take a little bit, a little bit

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Speaker 2: to get into here. But Eagles win the game thirty

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Speaker 2: three twenty six. They cover minus three and a half

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Speaker 2: unreal total goes over total goes over forty five and

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Speaker 2: a half. I had the rams in this game plus

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Speaker 2: three and a half logged in the app. It was

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Speaker 2: a win. I kind of turned this one away after

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Speaker 2: twenty six to nine, knowing Philly. Here's the thing as

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Speaker 2: a gambler, you know Philly can come back. You know

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Speaker 2: Philly can even win the game. And you're doing math

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Speaker 2: Better's math, and you're saying to yourself that, you know,

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Speaker 2: something really weird would have to happen for you to

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Speaker 2: get over that three and a half mark, Like we

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Speaker 2: were sitting there on the two point conversion, this, this

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Speaker 2: and that. But listen, we need to make room of

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Speaker 2: the hall of fame after this one, because we've seen

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Speaker 2: a lot of things as gamblers over the last few years.

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Speaker 2: You know, whooped de Doo's and all different types of

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Speaker 2: things that have turned point spreads. But this one, this

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Speaker 2: one was a toughie. So I'll let you kind of

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Speaker 2: go in terms of what you saw at the end

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Speaker 2: of this game. But again, Rams lead by nineteen points.

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Speaker 2: They're plus three and a half. Last twenty years, teams

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Speaker 2: to lead by nineteen plus three and a half or

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Speaker 2: higher one hundred and eighty five and five against the spread.

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Speaker 2: So I mean, this is this is what you get,

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Speaker 2: Philly's biggest comebacks ince twenty ten.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, just an all time bad beat if you're on

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Speaker 3: Rams in this game. So Stafford throws a pick right

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Speaker 3: off the bat, quick Philly touchdown, and then it's just

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Speaker 3: all Rams for an entire half of football after that.

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Speaker 3: Nineteen seven and a half time Eagles have thirty three

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Speaker 3: yards at the half. Thirty three yards for the Super

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Speaker 3: Bowl champions, lowest by any team in the first half

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Speaker 3: all season, lowess by the Eagles first half in a decade.

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Speaker 3: McVeigh shoot been up by more, but they settled for

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Speaker 3: two field goals in a red zone. And you know,

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Speaker 3: Eagles are ready to just fans are ready to just

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Speaker 3: get rid of Kevin Pattillo at halftime.

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Speaker 1: So that's where we're at.

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Speaker 3: And then we come out and Hurts gets stripsack is

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Speaker 3: second play out of a halftime Rams touchdown next play

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Speaker 3: twenty six to seven.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm like Okay, great, what other games are on?

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Speaker 1: We got nine?

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Speaker 3: What else is happening out here? Rest of the game,

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Speaker 3: Philly's offense wakes up. Five plays seven yards and a touchdown,

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Speaker 3: thirteen plays eighty seven and a touchdown, turnover and downs.

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Speaker 3: Then the seventeen play ninety one yard Philly staple.

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Speaker 1: That's just an Eagles raf. I've ever heard of one.

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Speaker 3: They get the touchdown, they go up, and that's where

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Speaker 3: it gets interesting because suddenly now the Eagles are up

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Speaker 3: twenty seven to twenty six.

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Speaker 1: The Rams are driving. There's no time left.

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Speaker 3: Basically, well, so the Rams have already missed had a

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Speaker 3: field goal block on the previous possession. So just important context,

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Speaker 3: you are, we're watching block kicks everywhere today. I lost track, genuinely,

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Speaker 3: Like we're like six seven, eight block kicks today, insane

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Speaker 3: special teams. So the Rams have already just had a

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Speaker 3: kick block. They get the ball down to the twenty

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Speaker 3: six after the winning field goal, and again, like you said,

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Speaker 3: better's math.

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Speaker 1: The Eagles are up one. The cover is in the bag,

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Speaker 1: like either they hit the field goal and you win.

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Speaker 3: And maybe you played a little bit on the money

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Speaker 3: line too, but you know, like it's fine, at least

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Speaker 3: we get the cover.

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Speaker 1: Nothing can take the cover away except.

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Speaker 3: Jordan Davis three hundred and thirty six pound Jordan Davis

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Speaker 3: bus through the line, blocks the kick, and then apparently

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Speaker 3: runs the fastest of any three hundred pound man in

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Speaker 3: a game since twenty seventeen. Per Nate ties and rumbles

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Speaker 3: sixty one yards with zeros.

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Speaker 1: On the clock that the game is over. Fall on

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Speaker 1: the ball, Jordan, don't run sixty yards.

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Speaker 3: You're not getting paid for this. The game is done.

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Speaker 3: And then he goes sixty one yard. No extra point,

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Speaker 3: none needed because it's a seven point when the game

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Speaker 3: is done. And suddenly the Eagles win by seven. No

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Speaker 3: cover for the Rams, who again were up twenty six

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Speaker 3: to seven.

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Speaker 1: Earlier than half.

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Speaker 3: So just brutal beat for the Rams for Rams better

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Speaker 3: is brutal loss for the Rams. One in four in

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Speaker 3: the red zone, they settled for three field goal attempts,

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Speaker 3: one of which got blocked.

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Speaker 1: And the Eagles they they, to me, look a lot

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Speaker 1: like last year's Chiefs.

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Speaker 3: And you can decide whether you think that's good or bad.

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Speaker 3: They won this game on late downs, third and fourth downs,

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Speaker 3: that they won it with their tush push like usual,

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Speaker 3: they're not doing well on early downs. That was the

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Speaker 3: difference here. Eagles early downs minus point two epa per play,

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Speaker 3: late downs over half a point epa per play. So

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Speaker 3: they didn't do well early, but they made the plays

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Speaker 3: that matter. The Rams were the opposite. The Rams are

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Speaker 3: more efficient early downs, terrible on late downs. So that

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Speaker 3: was where things swung, even though there's way less plays

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Speaker 3: that way. The Eagles did enough. But here they are

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Speaker 3: three and oh. They could have lost the Cowboys in

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Speaker 3: the opener, we all watched it. We saw Celamb drop

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Speaker 3: like one hundred yards of balls. They could have lost

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs. Last week we saw the Kelsey tipped interception

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Speaker 3: that swung everything they could lost. They should have lost

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Speaker 3: this one. You can lose even after they comeback. You

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Speaker 3: can lose on the field goal. There you didn't.

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Speaker 1: You didn't lose. You're three and oh.

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Speaker 3: But isn't that what we saw with the Chiefs all

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Speaker 3: last years and now we saw with the Vikings like

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Speaker 3: multiple times in recent years. Is what we saw with

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Speaker 3: the Eagles a couple of years ago when they were

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Speaker 3: ten and one, and Eagles fans were adamant, No, they're

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Speaker 3: really good. It's a really good team. They're getting the wins,

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Speaker 3: that's all that matters. We it wasn't all that mattered

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Speaker 3: at the end of the season when everything fell apart

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Speaker 3: and everyone got fired, and they bounced back after that.

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Speaker 3: But man, I just can't buy this team right now.

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Speaker 3: And they got so lucky to get this when and

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Speaker 3: we'll get to the Bucks game next But Eagles at

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Speaker 3: Bucks next week both three and zero. That is a

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Speaker 3: fraud off to me, and I'm excited to see which

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Speaker 3: team is fraudier. And by the way, Jalen Hurts has

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Speaker 3: been horrendous against Todd Bowles and his career too, so

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Speaker 3: let's see maybe more than just the team's fraud off.

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Speaker 1: I can't wait for that one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I was gonna say. They're also kind of a

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Speaker 2: little bit their kryptonite. Tampa's had their number recently, and

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Speaker 2: especially after this win. I mean, Philly hasn't lost in

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Speaker 2: forever and their last loss, I believe, is Tampa, so

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Speaker 2: it should be a great matchup. I also think, and

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Speaker 2: I think this is important because I mentioned this with

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Speaker 2: Giants Chiefs, but it's like, what did I learn from

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Speaker 2: this game? I don't know necessarily how much I learned,

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Speaker 2: because I think a lot of things were confirmed. Yes

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Speaker 2: the Rams blew the game, and yes the Eagles came back.

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Speaker 2: I think your comparison with Chiefs last year and Eagles

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Speaker 2: this year is interesting and something that will now be

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Speaker 2: in my brain because I hadn't thought of it before.

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Speaker 2: But this really doesn't change much. I mean, the Rams

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Speaker 2: got into the rem zone, they just didn't convert a

333
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Speaker 2: lot of field goals. Philly's defense good, pass rush good.

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Speaker 2: You know, things of that nature can get in the way.

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Speaker 2: But listen, the Rams lead the NFL. I believe in

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Speaker 2: sacks at the moment with twelve, and sa Quan was

337
00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:30,680
Speaker 2: bottled up in this one, which is a good job

338
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Speaker 2: compared to the pass which has been back to back

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Speaker 2: two under yard games. I think certain things went right

340
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Speaker 2: in this one, and you know, DeVante looked good early.

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Speaker 2: Puka had a good game overall. Like I like the Rams,

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Speaker 2: I like the bat I would have made it again,

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Speaker 2: so I think going forward, I am good with the Rams.

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Speaker 2: I like them this week against the Colts, like I think,

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Speaker 2: it's just fun.

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Speaker 3: I'm excited to see Rams Colts like two teams that

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Speaker 3: have really impressed so far that I was not in

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Speaker 3: on before the season. I have the Rams right now

349
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Speaker 3: fifth power rated, and this is a team that I've

350
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Speaker 3: been betting multiple years in a row to miss the playoffs,

351
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Speaker 3: but they've been that good. Stafford is looking good right now,

352
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Speaker 3: I think too. Pukinaku and DeVonta Adams is like that,

353
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Speaker 3: is that the best receiver combo in the league? Like

354
00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:16,000
Speaker 3: everyone just assumed it was, you know, Tea and Chase

355
00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:18,919
Speaker 3: or whatever the other options are, But no one can

356
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Speaker 3: cover those two guys right now. So to me, this

357
00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:24,960
Speaker 3: is one we're kind of back to like Bills and

358
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Speaker 3: Ravens from Week one, where I'm like, Okay, I'm actually

359
00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,760
Speaker 3: a little more impressed with the losing team here big picture,

360
00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:33,240
Speaker 3: that the Rams didn't even just go toe to toe,

361
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Speaker 3: like they're putting it to a team that, let's give

362
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Speaker 3: them credit, has lost what once in like twenty twenty

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Speaker 3: one games at this point, So you keep doing that forever,

364
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:43,960
Speaker 3: you're going to get the credit. But look, the Chiefs

365
00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:46,159
Speaker 3: were doing that forever until they weren't, and then suddenly

366
00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:48,719
Speaker 3: they lost to this Eagles team and then two more

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Speaker 3: to start this season. So h yeah, it's it's two

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00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,000
Speaker 3: teams that I think we see a lot more of

369
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Speaker 3: going forward and the Rams. I think they have proven

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Speaker 3: that they belong in that up Rachelon of NFC contenders,

371
00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:03,119
Speaker 3: Lane Johnson got hurt for the Eagles, so keep an

372
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Speaker 3: eye on that. Interesting that the Eagles passing offense really

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Speaker 3: took off without Lane Johnson. I don't remember how much

374
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Speaker 3: he missed in that second half, but he's their best

375
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Speaker 3: pass blocker. So yeah, I think the big question with

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Speaker 3: the Eagles, especially with the Bucks next, did, as Eagles

377
00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:22,000
Speaker 3: fans like to point out, did they solve the passing

378
00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:25,119
Speaker 3: offense finally six halves into the season. Did they finally

379
00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:27,280
Speaker 3: take the training wheels off and figure.

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00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,720
Speaker 1: Out how to pass? Or was that one half and

381
00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:31,000
Speaker 1: the other five halves.

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Speaker 3: We've watched so far count more because that's five to one,

383
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Speaker 3: and let's see what looks like next week. I'm not

384
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Speaker 3: quite ready to say that it just all fixed now

385
00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:43,160
Speaker 3: because of one good half with three admittedly good drives.

386
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Speaker 2: And just for notees sake, Philly minus three right now

387
00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:49,520
Speaker 2: in Tampa Bay, the Rams minus three and a half

388
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Speaker 2: at home against the Colts. All right, let's keep rolling here.

389
00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:57,920
Speaker 2: Next game is Jets and Bucks Holy mackerel as well,

390
00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:00,920
Speaker 2: So Tampa Bay beats the Jets twenty nine twenty seven.

391
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Speaker 2: Jets cover all the numbers. Total goes over forty three

392
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Speaker 2: and a half. I think the easiest way to start

393
00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:09,600
Speaker 2: here is I just felt like there were so many

394
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Speaker 2: versions of this game it's hard to get my reaction straight.

395
00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:16,280
Speaker 2: So the Bucks went three and out three times in

396
00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:20,760
Speaker 2: the second quarter and still scored seventeen points. Somehow that's

397
00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:23,960
Speaker 2: actually true. They were up twenty to six at the half.

398
00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:28,560
Speaker 2: The Jets scored six points in the first three quarters,

399
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:32,960
Speaker 2: then twenty one in the fourth quarter on two ten

400
00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:37,359
Speaker 2: plus play drives. So I just think all around it

401
00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:42,000
Speaker 2: felt like completely different versions of the two different games.

402
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:45,119
Speaker 2: So I think, you know, like the other games we

403
00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:48,360
Speaker 2: were talking about what to take away, I'm not necessarily

404
00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:50,199
Speaker 2: sure I need to take much away from this one,

405
00:19:50,280 --> 00:19:54,479
Speaker 2: except the Bucks feel like cardiac pirates, as I'll call

406
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,040
Speaker 2: them right now, as they keep just figuring out ways

407
00:19:57,080 --> 00:19:59,240
Speaker 2: through Baker Mayfield to get things done at the end

408
00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:03,200
Speaker 2: of games. But I think an important thing to take

409
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:06,600
Speaker 2: away Bucks had fourteen penalties for a one hundred and

410
00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:11,359
Speaker 2: twenty four yards and one with one offensive touchdown. You

411
00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:14,680
Speaker 2: said it like Tampa Bay facing Philly next week. I

412
00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:18,360
Speaker 2: was all ready to roll on Tampa Bay. Now all

413
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 2: of a sudden, I want to fade them both, and

414
00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:22,920
Speaker 2: I feel like I have to take a different angle.

415
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,520
Speaker 2: So what do you even what is even the angle

416
00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:26,680
Speaker 2: here from Jets Bucks?

417
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:29,160
Speaker 1: Yeah? Bucks also one of five in the red zone.

418
00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:32,520
Speaker 3: So yeah, if you want to be optimistic, you have

419
00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:35,400
Speaker 3: none of your offensive linemen in the right position who

420
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,399
Speaker 3: you're supposed to be having. As the Bucks, you have

421
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,040
Speaker 3: no Mike Evans leaves her with the hamstring. That's not great,

422
00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 3: older player, long history of hamstring injuries. Right as egg

423
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:46,400
Speaker 3: because playing hurt and Godwin is finally about to come back,

424
00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:49,760
Speaker 3: maybe Kristen Wurz and maybe back next week. That was

425
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:52,480
Speaker 3: gonna be a huge swing in that game against the Eagles.

426
00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:55,639
Speaker 3: But if you're an optimist, for the Bucks to have

427
00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:59,600
Speaker 3: had all these injuries early and fourteen penalties one hundred

428
00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:01,400
Speaker 3: and twenty four yards one to five in the red

429
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:05,640
Speaker 3: zone and you get the mist the blocked kick back

430
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:08,560
Speaker 3: the other way, Jets steal the game from you out

431
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:11,680
Speaker 3: from under your nose and you win anyway. And this

432
00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:15,160
Speaker 3: is three games in a row. For the optimist, It's like, okay, great,

433
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:18,000
Speaker 3: we should be we could be owing three right now.

434
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:21,040
Speaker 3: But we've stolen these wins and we still get to

435
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:23,800
Speaker 3: play the terrible NFC South the rest of the year.

436
00:21:24,280 --> 00:21:26,960
Speaker 3: We still are getting healthy, We're gonna have Worfs back,

437
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:30,480
Speaker 3: and eventually Evans and Aguca and Godwin. That's the best

438
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:32,719
Speaker 3: wide receiver duo because it's a trio and you get

439
00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:36,080
Speaker 3: all three of those guys eventually. So three and oh

440
00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:41,720
Speaker 3: with a plus five point differential, it seems impossible, like

441
00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 3: it's they're literally two points away from winning by the

442
00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:48,200
Speaker 3: actual slimmest margin possible in these games.

443
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:49,879
Speaker 1: But they're three and oh.

444
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:53,159
Speaker 3: The Falcons are one and two now and zero and

445
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,280
Speaker 3: two in the division, and the Panthers and Saints are

446
00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:57,320
Speaker 3: the other two teams.

447
00:21:57,920 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 1: So they're sitting pretty right now.

448
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 3: They're four time division champions. They are cruising at this point,

449
00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:09,320
Speaker 3: even though I think for a second time the season,

450
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:12,600
Speaker 3: the Jets should have won this game Jets Steelers Week one.

451
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,720
Speaker 3: In this game here, Jets had a forty six percent

452
00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:19,040
Speaker 3: success rate. That's fine. The Bucks offense had a thirty

453
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:20,360
Speaker 3: two percent success rate.

454
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:21,439
Speaker 1: That is terrible.

455
00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:25,920
Speaker 3: The Jets housed this team box offense thirty two percent

456
00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:30,360
Speaker 3: success seventh percentile fifteen percent success on their run game

457
00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:33,080
Speaker 3: that was so good under Liam Cohen last year that

458
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:34,320
Speaker 3: wasn't good today.

459
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 1: But they got the win. So Toad Taylor, the.

460
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,640
Speaker 3: Whole thing with him was supposed to be, you don't

461
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:43,679
Speaker 3: make mistakes, take care of the ball well, and then

462
00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:45,159
Speaker 3: you get a pick six right before half and.

463
00:22:45,200 --> 00:22:46,800
Speaker 1: You basically lose for that reason.

464
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:51,400
Speaker 3: The Jets, I think, are the better team on this game,

465
00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:55,520
Speaker 3: but didn't get the win. And I believe I remember right,

466
00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:58,879
Speaker 3: the Bucks were number one in our luck rankings at

467
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 3: the site. I'm to get out ahead of Nick Giffin's formula,

468
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 3: and I'm gonna just guess the Bucks move even further

469
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:07,680
Speaker 3: into number one after this one, because you can't keep

470
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:09,160
Speaker 3: winning games like this forever.

471
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:11,919
Speaker 1: But look, we're gonna keep saying that about. There are

472
00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:12,560
Speaker 1: more teams to.

473
00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:15,600
Speaker 3: Say them about still, but wins is all that counts

474
00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:17,439
Speaker 3: at the end of the day. So I think if

475
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:19,760
Speaker 3: you're a Jets fan, I think it's fine. You kind

476
00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:21,360
Speaker 3: of want to lose games anyway and get the better

477
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,159
Speaker 3: draft pick for next year, so you wake up tomorrow

478
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:26,920
Speaker 3: and go on with life. The Bucks win games that

479
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,640
Speaker 3: they shouldn't be winning, but they're gonna be better later

480
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:31,240
Speaker 3: in the year, So I think that that matters.

481
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, a fun market that we had talked about a

482
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 2: bunch on our Exotics Pod was last undefeated. Well, next

483
00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:40,440
Speaker 2: week's game against Philly can go a decent way to

484
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:42,240
Speaker 2: trying to catch that Tampa tick. And I mean they

485
00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:45,040
Speaker 2: go to Seattle and then have home against San Francisco

486
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:48,159
Speaker 2: at Detroit, a brutal stretch, but they seem to just

487
00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:51,440
Speaker 2: keep figuring out. I think the one thing I'll say

488
00:23:51,520 --> 00:23:54,080
Speaker 2: on the Jets and before I get out of here

489
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:56,399
Speaker 2: and we can move on here, Jets three of twenty

490
00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 2: two on third down their last two games, ten to

491
00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 2: thirty twenty eight percent on the season. That would be

492
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:06,359
Speaker 2: bad if Houston wasn't twenty four percent. So I mean,

493
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,760
Speaker 2: at the moment, I think that's what the Jets are.

494
00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 2: They're struggling on offense until they find kind of magic

495
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 2: around either field or Tyrod. Tyrod turned it over in

496
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 2: this game, which we had talked about in our best

497
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,119
Speaker 2: Bets pot, was something I would hope he wouldn't do,

498
00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 2: and they still ended up covering anyway in the miraculous way.

499
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:28,359
Speaker 2: It also, I saw this quote from Baker. It seemed

500
00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 2: like this game was a bit personal, as he had

501
00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:33,440
Speaker 2: this quote. Their defensive coordinator, Steve Wilkes was the one

502
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 2: who cut me in Carolina. A lot of stuff was

503
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:38,879
Speaker 2: personal today, the sound reddick former jet A lot of

504
00:24:38,920 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 2: people end quote, I mean, Bakers seemed like he wanted

505
00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:46,399
Speaker 2: this one. But this one was truly wild. And Bucks

506
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:50,040
Speaker 2: three to zero first time since two thousand and five,

507
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:55,200
Speaker 2: which seems almost impossible. All right, Green Bay and Cleveland,

508
00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 2: Now these games just keep getting wild. They're like all

509
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,159
Speaker 2: these games at the top of our rundown. And this

510
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 2: was an easy one today in terms of choosing. So

511
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:07,400
Speaker 2: Cleveland beats green Bay, beats green Bay thirteen ten, cover

512
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:09,639
Speaker 2: all the numbers. They close it about plus seven and

513
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:11,960
Speaker 2: a half. They were tyas eight and a half. I

514
00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:14,200
Speaker 2: even saw some nines at some point in the week.

515
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:16,879
Speaker 2: So the total goes under forty and a half. So

516
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,760
Speaker 2: green Bay is up ten to nothing on Cleveland with

517
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:23,679
Speaker 2: nine minutes left in the fourth quarter, and this basically

518
00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:27,639
Speaker 2: ends up being green Bay can't score enough in the

519
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:32,080
Speaker 2: early quarters to basically put Cleveland away. And when you

520
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 2: keep Cleveland around, especially at home with that defense, I mean,

521
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:40,680
Speaker 2: everybody kind of saw this as a possibility coming when

522
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,439
Speaker 2: it was only ten nothing, but listen, green Bay had

523
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:47,360
Speaker 2: fourteen penalties. Green Bay goes ten to eighteen on third

524
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:52,399
Speaker 2: down and loses. So I mean ten drives ten points

525
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,400
Speaker 2: just isn't gonna do it. Now here's a great one

526
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:59,719
Speaker 2: for you. So this is Jordan Love's second loss when

527
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:02,520
Speaker 2: by ten plus entering the fourth quarter the way I

528
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,200
Speaker 2: found it, Rogers only had one in his time in

529
00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 2: Green Bay. So another loss there on Love's resume. But

530
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,560
Speaker 2: to me, this just felt like a bad spot, like

531
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:18,200
Speaker 2: overall this many points in this type of game with

532
00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:20,359
Speaker 2: I'll give you another stat on Cleveland in a minute.

533
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:23,679
Speaker 2: But Cleveland seems to just hold these really good teams

534
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:26,040
Speaker 2: down with their good defense. It happens every time.

535
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:30,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, Brown's defense looks legit. Mason Graham, their rookie forty

536
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:32,960
Speaker 3: three percent pass rush Win Ray was awesome. That's for

537
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:36,600
Speaker 3: a defensive tackle. Average d tackle from Berseth Walder is

538
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:40,480
Speaker 3: ninety percent, so he's getting to the quarterback almost half

539
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:41,359
Speaker 3: of his times.

540
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:42,719
Speaker 1: On pass rushes. That's crazy.

541
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:46,920
Speaker 3: Both teams combined for twenty seven percent success rate on

542
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 3: early downs.

543
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:48,640
Speaker 1: That's awful.

544
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:51,080
Speaker 3: I was on the under in this game, and I've

545
00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 3: never had an easier under in my life. Like, just

546
00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:57,920
Speaker 3: nothing's happening in this game. The Browns are scoreless with

547
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 3: under four minutes left. Here's their drive chart to that point. Punt, punt, punt, interception, halftime, punt, punt, punt,

548
00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,840
Speaker 3: and they're under tenth play from inside the fifteen yard line.

549
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:10,320
Speaker 1: Just let's not drive.

550
00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 3: That's ten plays inside the fifteen. They cannot get the

551
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:16,200
Speaker 3: ball into the end zone. They sell for a field goal,

552
00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:19,440
Speaker 3: so it's ten to three. Three plays later, Love throws

553
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:20,720
Speaker 3: an awful interception.

554
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:22,119
Speaker 1: Just what are you doing?

555
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:25,320
Speaker 3: The Browns can't move the ball, and the Browns score.

556
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:29,600
Speaker 3: One play later, we're tied Green Bay. Another blocked field goal.

557
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 3: We get into field goal range. I could have sworn

558
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 3: Josh Jacobs fumbles there like that ball is out, the

559
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 3: Browns recover. I don't know what the refs are seeing there.

560
00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:41,120
Speaker 3: The Browns block the field goal the most ball, don't

561
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 3: lie I've ever seen in a football game, Like that

562
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:45,200
Speaker 3: field goal never should.

563
00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:45,359
Speaker 1: Have gone in.

564
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 3: And then the Browns get their own field goal and

565
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:51,359
Speaker 3: steal the game. Neither team hit two hundred and thirty yards,

566
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,120
Speaker 3: neither team at fifteen first downs, neither team at four

567
00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:59,120
Speaker 3: yards per play just defense everywhere, and the Packers' offense

568
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:02,640
Speaker 3: just stall out because they can run hot and cold.

569
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:04,080
Speaker 3: That was the read on this game that if the

570
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,040
Speaker 3: explosives weren't there, could they disappear at times?

571
00:28:07,680 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 1: And they disappeared at times. So up next for the Packers.

572
00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:12,880
Speaker 3: The game we get to react to on this show

573
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 3: a week from now, Green Bay in Dallas, the Micap

574
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:16,920
Speaker 3: Parsons game.

575
00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 1: We'll come back to that one later on the high rate.

576
00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 1: I'll tell you that right now.

577
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:24,840
Speaker 2: To me, Cleveland's defense good, Cleveland's rush defense ridiculous. Two

578
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:28,160
Speaker 2: point twenty nine yards per carry this year, fifty seven

579
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 2: yards per game right now. Josh Jacobs sixteen of thirty

580
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:36,040
Speaker 2: one point nine yards per carry, worst game of his

581
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:40,840
Speaker 2: career considering the workload. Just really a clinic when you

582
00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 2: watched it, and you're right, the under was the easiest play.

583
00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:45,920
Speaker 2: I put Browns in the app. I was considering the

584
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:47,840
Speaker 2: under and I didn't do it, and I felt bad

585
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,440
Speaker 2: right away because you could just see this game being,

586
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:54,120
Speaker 2: you know, rudged up. It was dirty. The stat I

587
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 2: gave you was Dogs is seven points are more at

588
00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 2: home first nine weeks. I'll say that one more time.

589
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:02,320
Speaker 2: Dogs of seven points are more at home first nine

590
00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:05,600
Speaker 2: weeks now nineteen one and two against the spread, last

591
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:09,520
Speaker 2: three seasons thirty eight ten and two against spreads since

592
00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:13,400
Speaker 2: twenty twenty. Just way too many points in these matchups

593
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:16,360
Speaker 2: for teams who are really looking good early season. And

594
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:18,800
Speaker 2: here's just a fun one for you. So Flacco's won

595
00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:20,760
Speaker 2: two games as a dog of over a touchdown in

596
00:29:20,840 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 2: his career entering today, twenty thirteen playoffs versus Brady and

597
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 2: Manning and now today, so pretty decent resume there. Josh

598
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 2: Jacobs's touchdown streak ends at eleven as he has again

599
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 2: one of his worst days. And then this was the

600
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:38,400
Speaker 2: fun one. So Brown's at home and the Dog Pound

601
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:41,560
Speaker 2: have been a nightmare for teams recently. They're thirteen and

602
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:44,440
Speaker 2: five straight up at home versus teams above five hundred

603
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:47,040
Speaker 2: since twenty twenty. One hundred dollars better would be of

604
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,920
Speaker 2: almost thirteen hundred dollars in those games. So Cleveland very

605
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 2: difficult for good teams on the road. All right, You

606
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 2: ready to keep rolling Denver and the Chargers. So Chargers

607
00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:02,840
Speaker 2: be Denver twenty three to twenty in the afternoon window,

608
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,800
Speaker 2: so they mostly cover the two and a half. There

609
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 2: was a bunch of threes out there that could have

610
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:09,960
Speaker 2: pushed in terms of Denver, but twenty three to twenty

611
00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:14,320
Speaker 2: goes under forty six and a half. Probably start this

612
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:17,080
Speaker 2: one with the best wishes to Naji Harris. That injury

613
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 2: seemed absolutely brutal, and same with James Connor, which we're

614
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,000
Speaker 2: kind of going to roll over their game later since

615
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 2: it kind of stunk, But both running back injuries bad

616
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 2: this week. Obviously a lot of circumstances going forward. In

617
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 2: terms of the game itself, I feel like the main

618
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:38,400
Speaker 2: talking point would be bon Nicks didn't look great in

619
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 2: the game fourteen to twenty five, one fifty three touchdown,

620
00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:45,800
Speaker 2: no interceptions, but Tenver starts with four straight punts, ends

621
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:47,600
Speaker 2: the game with a punt on the last three or

622
00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:50,720
Speaker 2: four possessions. With that being said, it just felt kind

623
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 2: of dirty from Denver signon. Sutton ends up having some

624
00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 2: big catches, but overall, I feel like the Chargers defense

625
00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 2: did a pretty good job at bottling him up. Now,

626
00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 2: Chargers of beating the Broncos both straight up and against

627
00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:04,840
Speaker 2: the spread in their last three meetings. They hadn't done

628
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 2: that since twenty eleven. But what do you take away

629
00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 2: from this one.

630
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:10,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think you see the final score line here,

631
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 3: field goal walk off basically, and you're like, oh, coin flip.

632
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:15,600
Speaker 3: Pretty much what we expected. That's what the line was.

633
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:17,440
Speaker 3: That's the game that we got. That's not what the

634
00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:20,200
Speaker 3: numbers say. The numbers say the Chargers dominated this game.

635
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,880
Speaker 3: Broncos had thirty two fewer plays on the field, so

636
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:25,720
Speaker 3: the Chargers offense on the field all game.

637
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,800
Speaker 1: Denver had nine first downs.

638
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:30,760
Speaker 3: In this game, as the second few was by any

639
00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:33,520
Speaker 3: of the season Chargers twenty nine for reference, so they

640
00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 3: tripled them up on first downs. Denver on this game

641
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:39,680
Speaker 3: twenty five percent success rate, so one out of every

642
00:31:39,760 --> 00:31:42,800
Speaker 3: four plays they ran for the entire game was successful.

643
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 3: That's without Khalil Mack. By the way, I thought the

644
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:48,120
Speaker 3: Chargers defense might struggle a bit without him. Denver is

645
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 3: now for the season thirty first in success rate, ahead

646
00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 3: of only the Texans, who we all know can't even

647
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 3: get a first down to save their lives. That's the

648
00:31:57,080 --> 00:32:00,440
Speaker 3: only team Denver's offense hasn't better. Then, So you look

649
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 3: at this game. I forget there was a college team

650
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 3: last year that had the thing they called it like

651
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,560
Speaker 3: the four minute window or I forget the number was,

652
00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 3: but it was like the two minutes right before halftime,

653
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:12,920
Speaker 3: the two minutes right after halftime. In that window, Denver

654
00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:15,880
Speaker 3: won seventeen to nothing. They got a long touchdown on

655
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:20,240
Speaker 3: fourth and two. Then they got JK. Dobbins, got revenge

656
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 3: on his old team, got a couple of nifty plays

657
00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:26,600
Speaker 3: long tipto touchdown, seventeen to nothing. Outside of that, that's

658
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,479
Speaker 3: the real game, Chargers twenty three to three. The other

659
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:32,400
Speaker 3: fifty six minutes and it all counts, but that's why

660
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:35,240
Speaker 3: they dominated in that part. Chargers now three to zero,

661
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 3: all three in the division, so they have dominated all

662
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 3: those games. They up next get the Giants, Commanders, and Dolphins,

663
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 3: So this team could really be looking at six and

664
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 3: oh quite easily here. I think justin Herbert at this

665
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,280
Speaker 3: point has to be considered and it is in the odds.

666
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 3: It is a three man MVP race right now. There

667
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:58,400
Speaker 3: isn't really an NFC contender. I don't think Mahomes can

668
00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:00,960
Speaker 3: be a contender at this point. It's Lamar and Josh,

669
00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:03,000
Speaker 3: we know that. But I think Herbert is the third

670
00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:04,960
Speaker 3: guy right now, and he looked the part. He was

671
00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:06,480
Speaker 3: under a lot of pressure of this game. He did

672
00:33:06,560 --> 00:33:09,280
Speaker 3: take five sacks, but he made those big plays late

673
00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:11,719
Speaker 3: and made a couple huge throws for them get them

674
00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 3: in a position.

675
00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 1: Denver is one and two.

676
00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:20,440
Speaker 3: Their only win was Week one cam Ward Road debut

677
00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:24,520
Speaker 3: by one score. That remember, was not an easy one

678
00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 3: for them. Denver hosts the Bengals Monday Night a.

679
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:30,080
Speaker 1: Week from now. They're big favorites.

680
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:32,800
Speaker 3: They need that one, and they have not necessarily done

681
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:34,720
Speaker 3: well against Jamar Chason t Higgins.

682
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:38,280
Speaker 1: Then it's at the Eagles after that. If you blow

683
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 1: the game against the Bengals and then.

684
00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 3: You're big underdogs in Philly, you're one and four for

685
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:46,880
Speaker 3: a team that Sean Payton thought was a Super Bowl contender.

686
00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 3: It's not looking great right now for Denver.

687
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,360
Speaker 2: I'll be honest. I saw that line. I like Cincinnati.

688
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:54,239
Speaker 2: I think that's a little bit Timney points. I think

689
00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:57,120
Speaker 2: that's an overreaction for what we just saw. Plus kind

690
00:33:57,160 --> 00:34:00,280
Speaker 2: of like teams off of that blowout situation. Anyway, I

691
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 2: think the so bo nix is on one side. I

692
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:04,960
Speaker 2: think that's the initial part of the conversation in terms

693
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 2: of just today, but overall picture, it's justin Herbert much

694
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:12,759
Speaker 2: better story leading the league currently in passing yards, six touchdowns,

695
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:16,200
Speaker 2: one interception this year, and I think worth noting he's

696
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:18,400
Speaker 2: eight zero to one against the spread versus the AFC

697
00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 2: West since it started last season. So I feel like

698
00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:25,719
Speaker 2: it's like you're the Chargers are almost turning into what

699
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:28,960
Speaker 2: the Chiefs were in like a very mini type way.

700
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:30,800
Speaker 2: I mean, I think a lot needs to come. But

701
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:33,799
Speaker 2: there's domination on the defensive side of the ball. They're

702
00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:37,920
Speaker 2: efficient on offense. Their coaching seems very good. I like

703
00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 2: their coordinators, like I really do like what the Chargers

704
00:34:41,120 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 2: put to the table every week, and they're difficult to beat.

705
00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:46,160
Speaker 2: They travel well. I just there's a lot to like

706
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,560
Speaker 2: on this side. And again, easy schedule coming up. All

707
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 2: signs pointing kind of up with this team. So that's

708
00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,879
Speaker 2: the thought there. Anything else, I don't think so. All right,

709
00:34:58,000 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 2: So before we move on, do not forget to sign

710
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:02,839
Speaker 2: up for Action Pro for real time pick alerts from

711
00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:06,480
Speaker 2: experts like Brandon Anderson, myself, our entire Action Network team.

712
00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:10,080
Speaker 2: Plus you can access our pro projections powered by Sean

713
00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:14,359
Speaker 2: Kerner and our predictive analytics squad. Just go to actionurk

714
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:18,160
Speaker 2: dot com slash Pro get twenty dollars off the annual

715
00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:22,839
Speaker 2: price with the promo Code Pod twenty Pod twenty. Don't

716
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 2: miss out on the best bets at the best prices.

717
00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:29,000
Speaker 2: Visit Action hour dot com slash Pro use Promo code

718
00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:32,719
Speaker 2: Pod twenty Pod twenty to get twenty dollars off a

719
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,839
Speaker 2: year of Action Pro. All right, we're gonna go through

720
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:38,760
Speaker 2: four games now, a little bit quicker than we were before.

721
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:42,680
Speaker 2: Dalla oh, we're gonna go Sorry. We're starting with Pittsburgh first,

722
00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:46,920
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh at New England. Pittsburgh beats New England twenty one

723
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:51,520
Speaker 2: fourteen closes minus one and a half cover that total

724
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 2: goes under forty four and a half. I mean, Patriots

725
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:58,560
Speaker 2: out gaining the Steelers three hundred and forty nine yards

726
00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 2: to one oh one over the final three quorders and lost.

727
00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:04,640
Speaker 2: How the heck did that happen? Well, New England turned

728
00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:08,320
Speaker 2: it over five times, four fumbles lost, Teams three and

729
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:10,839
Speaker 2: thirty six straight up with four fumbles lost twenty years.

730
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:14,000
Speaker 2: It's just you can't put it on the ground, and

731
00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 2: when you put it on the ground, it's complete luck

732
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:19,680
Speaker 2: in terms of who recovers it. So four fumbles lost

733
00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:24,000
Speaker 2: in general, you know you can't win that way, Not possible,

734
00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:26,840
Speaker 2: so well. To me, what does this say about Pittsburgh

735
00:36:26,840 --> 00:36:29,640
Speaker 2: and New England. I still kind of like what I

736
00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:31,920
Speaker 2: see out of New England. I felt like up and

737
00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 2: down from a box score point of view, and what

738
00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:36,439
Speaker 2: I saw on the field, they were the better team. Now, listen,

739
00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:38,759
Speaker 2: I bet on them and I lost, But I feel

740
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:41,440
Speaker 2: like going forward now next week is Carolina. I think

741
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:44,160
Speaker 2: a little tricky there. I think the numbers, the trends,

742
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:46,879
Speaker 2: different things like that would tell you to probably take

743
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:49,399
Speaker 2: New England off the loss with Carolina off a thirty

744
00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:52,920
Speaker 2: nothing win, but a little bit of a tricky situation.

745
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:56,120
Speaker 2: What do you kind of take away from Pittsburgh New England?

746
00:36:56,640 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that you have to take away that

747
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:00,800
Speaker 3: New England was the much better team this game. So

748
00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 3: going forward, the Steelers defense is just not happening. This year,

749
00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 3: we finally hit a Steelers under. This was my third

750
00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:10,520
Speaker 3: time betting it. I should have taken the l. That

751
00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:11,600
Speaker 3: was not a good bet.

752
00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:13,640
Speaker 1: This should not have hit as an under. I know

753
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:14,399
Speaker 1: it's thirty five.

754
00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:17,000
Speaker 3: We went under by like ten points from the closing line.

755
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:21,080
Speaker 3: Should now have gone under. Five turnovers. Rmondre Stevenson turns

756
00:37:21,080 --> 00:37:23,960
Speaker 3: it over on the one May I think had a

757
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:28,319
Speaker 3: there was another turnover like in the end zone as well. Yeah,

758
00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:32,080
Speaker 3: interception at the two late in the game the Patriots,

759
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:33,840
Speaker 3: they throw to Pop Douglas and it looks like he

760
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:35,800
Speaker 3: maybe has the first down. Then he kind of spins

761
00:37:35,840 --> 00:37:38,080
Speaker 3: backwards to get more yards and then get stopped and

762
00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:40,600
Speaker 3: that's it. So we kind of have two Steelers games

763
00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:42,839
Speaker 3: ending that way. Now we had the Jalen Ramsey hit

764
00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:46,799
Speaker 3: from the first game against the Jets. Those games are

765
00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:49,399
Speaker 3: kind of similar, I think where Pittsburgh. The numbers don't

766
00:37:49,400 --> 00:37:51,160
Speaker 3: say Pittsburgh was a better team either one of those

767
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 3: through two to one, but two pretty fraudy wins against

768
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:56,239
Speaker 3: teams we don't even know if we're good, the Jets

769
00:37:56,280 --> 00:37:58,399
Speaker 3: and the Patriots. And then they have a bad loss

770
00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:01,680
Speaker 3: to Seattle. So Pittsburg now goes they play the Vikings

771
00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 3: next week. That's the game in Dublin Sunday morning. And

772
00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:07,520
Speaker 3: the Steelers defense just has not shown up right now.

773
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:08,879
Speaker 1: And credit where it's due.

774
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:12,160
Speaker 3: Rogers talked after the game about, man, the Steelers, our

775
00:38:12,200 --> 00:38:15,080
Speaker 3: defense saved us. Okay, well, defense is forced turnovers, so

776
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:19,120
Speaker 3: the turnovers save them. Win probability on those five turnovers

777
00:38:19,520 --> 00:38:23,000
Speaker 3: seventy six percent swing to Pittsburgh's favor. That tells you

778
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:26,239
Speaker 3: how much the Patriots were dominating the rest of the

779
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:29,800
Speaker 3: game when they were that clearly going to win except

780
00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:32,600
Speaker 3: for the five turnovers, and turnovers are not sticky and

781
00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:36,560
Speaker 3: don't keep happening. Stevenson straight into the doghouse after that,

782
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:40,320
Speaker 3: Antonio Gibson, he fumbles, he goes in the doghouse. We

783
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:43,200
Speaker 3: haven't brought up the rookies. You mentioned Najie Harris with

784
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:47,160
Speaker 3: the Chargers. Big opportunity for Marion Hampton. I'm definitely looking

785
00:38:47,200 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 3: for him for a possible rookie the year stock We'll

786
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:53,440
Speaker 3: see where his price opens. Patriots, big opportunity for Trevian Henderson.

787
00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:56,520
Speaker 3: He got almost all the running back snaps because after

788
00:38:56,600 --> 00:38:59,040
Speaker 3: Stevenson and Gibson did their fumbles, it was like, Okay,

789
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:01,319
Speaker 3: I guess it's for the rookie, and he wasn't good.

790
00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,520
Speaker 3: He'll even rushes for twenty eight yards. But we haven't

791
00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:08,799
Speaker 3: really seen any rookies step up. Trous Hunter is barely

792
00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:12,000
Speaker 3: playing offense these days. Cam Ward's throwing pick sixes like

793
00:39:12,040 --> 00:39:15,080
Speaker 3: three plays into the game. That race feels pretty open,

794
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:18,279
Speaker 3: and running backs, you know, can steal the show in

795
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:21,040
Speaker 3: a hurry scatterboo tonight. He was like, maybe he'll jump

796
00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:23,400
Speaker 3: up into the race. I think some of these running

797
00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:25,920
Speaker 3: backs into the offensive Rookie of the Year race. Is

798
00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:27,799
Speaker 3: another takeaway for me coming out of this game.

799
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, Meca Buca as well kind of stepped up. You're right, Yeah,

800
00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:34,560
Speaker 2: he's probably the kid he was probably Yeah, I think

801
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:37,360
Speaker 2: he probably is, But I think in this game. The

802
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:39,680
Speaker 2: other thing that caught my eye was the running game

803
00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 2: abysmal from leuse Pittsburgh's point of view. Two point eight

804
00:39:43,719 --> 00:39:46,760
Speaker 2: two yards per carry this year's second worst in the NFL.

805
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 2: When I checked earlier, Cincinnati was worse at two four

806
00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:56,040
Speaker 2: and then Traveon Henderson, I mean, other than the I

807
00:39:56,120 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 2: think he would return the kick in Week one or

808
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 2: was that the preseason? Preseason? Yeah, I mean this year

809
00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:05,880
Speaker 2: he is minus two rush yards over expected per attempt,

810
00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:09,480
Speaker 2: second worst of any running back in the league. So

811
00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:12,279
Speaker 2: some of the events metrics are kind of showing you

812
00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:15,520
Speaker 2: why he's not getting some of the carries. But overall,

813
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:19,680
Speaker 2: between both of these teams, it felt very messy and

814
00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:22,800
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh was lucky kind of again to come away with

815
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 2: a victory. All Right, let's keep rolling here, Houston and Jacksonville.

816
00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:30,279
Speaker 2: So jackson will be to Houston seventeen to ten. Cover

817
00:40:30,560 --> 00:40:33,359
Speaker 2: covers all the small numbers, total goes under forty two

818
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 2: and a half. I think a few people had tweeted this,

819
00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,759
Speaker 2: but it felt like nobody was wanting to win this

820
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:42,600
Speaker 2: game and nobody deserved a victory in this game based

821
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:46,840
Speaker 2: off of how it ended. The last quarter or so

822
00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 2: was just absolutely terrible. This is how it went. So

823
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:54,960
Speaker 2: it went punt missfield goal interception, punt punt interception that

824
00:40:55,080 --> 00:40:58,280
Speaker 2: a touchdown on one fifty yard play, then a turnover

825
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:02,560
Speaker 2: on downs, fumble, touch down interception, end of game. It

826
00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:05,600
Speaker 2: just literally felt like at any given moment, both of

827
00:41:05,680 --> 00:41:08,640
Speaker 2: these quarterbacks could have stepped up and they showed you

828
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 2: exactly who they are. From Houston's point of view, Holy mackerel.

829
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:14,600
Speaker 2: I think they have like thirty eight points all season.

830
00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:16,960
Speaker 2: They're oh of four in the red zone this year,

831
00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:19,759
Speaker 2: four in the red zone? What is going They're three

832
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:22,480
Speaker 2: and oh to the under because they haven't scored any points.

833
00:41:23,520 --> 00:41:26,440
Speaker 2: So Texans are the only team, the only team in

834
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:29,520
Speaker 2: the last twenty seasons start zero to three allowing fewer

835
00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:32,960
Speaker 2: than fifty five points as well. Defense looks great. We

836
00:41:33,120 --> 00:41:35,680
Speaker 2: talked about that in the preseason. We love their defense,

837
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 2: and we were saying, well, listen, Nico Collins gonna have

838
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:40,719
Speaker 2: a great year, and this, this and that. None of

839
00:41:40,800 --> 00:41:43,640
Speaker 2: that's happening, and they're only three for a reason. And Houston,

840
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:47,840
Speaker 2: I mean not Houston, Indian that the Colts look like

841
00:41:48,560 --> 00:41:53,480
Speaker 2: beaters right now. They're going crazy. So the only thing

842
00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 2: I think that's absolutely different in this game, or at

843
00:41:57,200 --> 00:42:00,840
Speaker 2: least different from Jacksonville standpoint, they're playing better at the early.

844
00:42:01,640 --> 00:42:04,760
Speaker 2: They're three to zero first half ats this year. Historically,

845
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:08,839
Speaker 2: Lawrence had been terrible early in games, So least that's better.

846
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:13,080
Speaker 2: But I'm curious what you thought from at least Houston's

847
00:42:13,080 --> 00:42:14,560
Speaker 2: point of view, Like where do they go next? They

848
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:18,160
Speaker 2: faced Tennessee. I think they'll lay in seven points next week.

849
00:42:18,640 --> 00:42:20,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's even above seven as some books, unless it's

850
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:23,279
Speaker 3: gone down a little bit. But I literally had my notes.

851
00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:27,040
Speaker 3: Both teams deserve to lose this game. Just terrible offense everywhere.

852
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:30,520
Speaker 3: Houston missed the field goal, there is a bad interception

853
00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:33,480
Speaker 3: by Stroud inside what would have been the red zone.

854
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,719
Speaker 3: Nico fumbles the ball inside of what would have been

855
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:39,759
Speaker 3: the red zone. There's an interception at the Jacksonville four.

856
00:42:39,920 --> 00:42:43,920
Speaker 3: So yeah, there's three times in this game that they

857
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:45,879
Speaker 3: would have made the red zone instead turn it over

858
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:47,759
Speaker 3: on that play. You said one to four in the

859
00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:48,279
Speaker 3: red zone.

860
00:42:48,640 --> 00:42:49,319
Speaker 1: The zero is a.

861
00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:51,480
Speaker 3: Problem, but the four is a bigger problem. How do

862
00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:53,359
Speaker 3: you have four times in the red zone the entire

863
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:58,640
Speaker 3: season so far? Lawrence and Stroud both quarterbacks that we

864
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:01,919
Speaker 3: want to like, you guys, they sucked in this game.

865
00:43:02,040 --> 00:43:05,640
Speaker 3: Like they just look lost right now. I thought the

866
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:08,439
Speaker 3: Jacksonville offense honestly looked worse a lot of the game,

867
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:12,200
Speaker 3: Like they looked completely on different pages. You get Lawrence

868
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:14,640
Speaker 3: gets the snap and throws just like eight yards out

869
00:43:14,680 --> 00:43:17,160
Speaker 3: of bounds where it's like looking as a receiver, and

870
00:43:17,320 --> 00:43:20,200
Speaker 3: Brian Thomas did get one leg catch, but he's on

871
00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:21,320
Speaker 3: a totally different page.

872
00:43:21,880 --> 00:43:22,800
Speaker 1: It's kind of a mess.

873
00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:25,480
Speaker 3: And then they win the game anyway, So yeah, I

874
00:43:25,520 --> 00:43:28,080
Speaker 3: have the note about thirty eight points all three for

875
00:43:28,160 --> 00:43:31,640
Speaker 3: the Texans all one score games. They're on three Jacksonville's

876
00:43:31,680 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 3: two and one. Colts are three and zero. Their season

877
00:43:34,680 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 3: might be over in Houston. Like I saw a lot

878
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 3: of people posting the graphic of Houston eliminated from the playoffs,

879
00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:41,960
Speaker 3: like not actually, but the whole thing with the Texans

880
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:46,680
Speaker 3: was defense, special teams coaching, and by the way, the division's.

881
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:49,239
Speaker 1: Terrible, Well, the division might not be terrible as.

882
00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:52,239
Speaker 3: It turns out, and if Houston's terrible instead, that's not

883
00:43:52,320 --> 00:43:55,200
Speaker 3: gonna be a very good formula for them. So yeah,

884
00:43:55,840 --> 00:43:58,160
Speaker 3: I'm gonna have a hard time not wanting to back

885
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:00,520
Speaker 3: them against the Titans because they seem like the much

886
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:01,080
Speaker 3: better team.

887
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:03,279
Speaker 1: But I had a hard time not backing them today.

888
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:05,359
Speaker 3: I bet them, and then they were like the one

889
00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:07,879
Speaker 3: kitchen sink team that just didn't show up and didn't

890
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:09,640
Speaker 3: they don't have a kitchen sink.

891
00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:12,440
Speaker 1: They sold the kitchen. There's nothing left. The house is empty.

892
00:44:14,000 --> 00:44:18,040
Speaker 2: Jacksonville now has San Francisco and Kansas City coming up

893
00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:20,560
Speaker 2: and back to back weeks. I mean, I felt like,

894
00:44:20,840 --> 00:44:22,640
Speaker 2: you know, like you said, they're lucky to come away

895
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:25,680
Speaker 2: with this one. But Travis Hunter ten receptions seventy six

896
00:44:25,800 --> 00:44:29,360
Speaker 2: yards and three games BTJ seven receptions one hundred and

897
00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:32,600
Speaker 2: fifteen yards in three games. I mean, I'm almost positive

898
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:34,200
Speaker 2: this is right because I looked it up. But right now,

899
00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:37,160
Speaker 2: Trey Tucker has more receiving yards than both of them combined.

900
00:44:37,480 --> 00:44:40,080
Speaker 2: I mean, this is where we are right now through

901
00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:42,080
Speaker 2: three weeks, and I feel like they just need to

902
00:44:42,120 --> 00:44:45,160
Speaker 2: figure it out. And a brutal schedule coming up with

903
00:44:45,239 --> 00:44:48,520
Speaker 2: both of those two games. All right, let's keep rolling here.

904
00:44:49,680 --> 00:44:55,520
Speaker 2: So we've got Arizona and San Francisco coming up next year.

905
00:44:56,920 --> 00:45:02,439
Speaker 2: San Francisco wins sixteen fIF fifteen, Arizona covers every number

906
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:06,000
Speaker 2: total goes under forty four and a half. I mean,

907
00:45:06,840 --> 00:45:09,880
Speaker 2: I feel like I can't really take too much away

908
00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:12,479
Speaker 2: from anything in this game, because I feel like most

909
00:45:12,600 --> 00:45:16,200
Speaker 2: things that I knew beforehand were confirmed, Like I'm not

910
00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 2: necessarily sure that I mean, Bosa got heard from San Francisco,

911
00:45:20,160 --> 00:45:23,080
Speaker 2: which is probably a bigger story than anything I'll actually

912
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:25,719
Speaker 2: learn in the game, because Mac Jones felt like he

913
00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:28,560
Speaker 2: just barely held on to give Kyle Shanahan the win

914
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:31,839
Speaker 2: and Kyler Murray didn't do enough in the end, which

915
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:35,000
Speaker 2: tends to happen often. Now, I'll give you one stat

916
00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:37,280
Speaker 2: before I just toss it to you, which is Kylo's

917
00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:39,520
Speaker 2: now eight and twenty one straight up versus the NFC

918
00:45:39,640 --> 00:45:43,399
Speaker 2: West when he's coming off a win facing an NFC

919
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:47,240
Speaker 2: West opponent. He is now four and ten, losing seventh straight.

920
00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 2: His last win was in twenty twenty one. This just

921
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:55,360
Speaker 2: continues to happen for Arizona every single weekend. This couldn't

922
00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:57,840
Speaker 2: have been a better opportunity, right, I mean, you're an

923
00:45:57,920 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 2: underdog on a short number against me Jones in San Francisco,

924
00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:03,920
Speaker 2: where it feels like people are getting injured on every

925
00:46:03,960 --> 00:46:06,120
Speaker 2: other plan. I know you lost James Connor in this game,

926
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:09,239
Speaker 2: but I think Trey Benson's just fine, and he does

927
00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:11,439
Speaker 2: exactly what you need to do, and he looked better

928
00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:14,000
Speaker 2: honestly when Connor went down. So it's not really an excuse.

929
00:46:14,320 --> 00:46:16,239
Speaker 2: I just don't know what to say other than it's

930
00:46:16,239 --> 00:46:17,680
Speaker 2: the exact same thing every single time.

931
00:46:18,840 --> 00:46:21,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Arizona plays Thursday night against Seattle, so a

932
00:46:21,680 --> 00:46:23,960
Speaker 3: pretty big game for both of those teams, because this

933
00:46:24,200 --> 00:46:27,440
Speaker 3: entire division is above five hundred right now. Arizona's still

934
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:29,600
Speaker 3: two in one. Seattle and the Rams are two and one,

935
00:46:29,920 --> 00:46:32,160
Speaker 3: the Niners are three and oh, and they kind of

936
00:46:32,320 --> 00:46:34,200
Speaker 3: have to fall into that same fraud off three and

937
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:36,279
Speaker 3: oh group. Like my article in a couple of days,

938
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:38,719
Speaker 3: I was right about, Okay, what about the three and

939
00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:41,560
Speaker 3: oh teams. Historically, three and oh teams make the playoffs

940
00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:44,759
Speaker 3: about seventy five percent of the time. More recently that

941
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:47,200
Speaker 3: has dropped down to more like two thirds of the time.

942
00:46:47,640 --> 00:46:49,680
Speaker 3: We've got six this year, and a whole lot of

943
00:46:49,719 --> 00:46:52,759
Speaker 3: them look pretty fraudy. The Niners are three to oh

944
00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:56,320
Speaker 3: against Seattle, New Orleans and Arizona by ten points.

945
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:59,480
Speaker 1: So it's like, who is the good three and oh team?

946
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:01,640
Speaker 3: We haven't got out there yet from all these games.

947
00:47:01,719 --> 00:47:05,640
Speaker 3: But I think similar to the Bucks, the optimist says, Okay,

948
00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:09,640
Speaker 3: everybody is hurt for San fran Now, Nick Bosa is

949
00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:13,200
Speaker 3: hurt their most important defensive player. They said after the game,

950
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:16,520
Speaker 3: it's hopefully not his ACL Well, that sounds great, but

951
00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:18,920
Speaker 3: I'd love to not say those three letters at all.

952
00:47:19,040 --> 00:47:21,040
Speaker 3: I'd love to just be like, yeah, he's fine, let's

953
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:24,960
Speaker 3: not even talk about that. So for the Niners, like

954
00:47:25,400 --> 00:47:28,760
Speaker 3: they lose this game last year, they lose this exact

955
00:47:28,840 --> 00:47:33,040
Speaker 3: sort of game where Mac Jones gets the safety with

956
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:35,759
Speaker 3: like three four minutes left, you lose by two, Like

957
00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:38,560
Speaker 3: that's such a Niners loss where they're stalling in the

958
00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:40,560
Speaker 3: red zone and not like they were the better team

959
00:47:40,640 --> 00:47:44,239
Speaker 3: on the metrics, but they would lose this game. We

960
00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:46,320
Speaker 3: said that about one of the other games earlier. It

961
00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:49,560
Speaker 3: matters like the Bucks that they're three and oh, it

962
00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:52,600
Speaker 3: matters like the Eagles that they're three and oh in

963
00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:56,799
Speaker 3: San fran and Tampa's case, both of those teams are

964
00:47:56,920 --> 00:47:59,520
Speaker 3: just like this, I think is the worst the Niners

965
00:47:59,560 --> 00:48:02,799
Speaker 3: will be all year. Party should be back now. They're

966
00:48:02,840 --> 00:48:05,879
Speaker 3: going to start getting healthier. Juwan Jennings out, you could

967
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:09,680
Speaker 3: be back eventually. McCaffrey is still just having huge volume.

968
00:48:10,160 --> 00:48:14,040
Speaker 3: Hopefully Bosa is okay and comes back. They're still transitioning

969
00:48:14,080 --> 00:48:17,000
Speaker 3: to the new defensive coordinator with Sala in town. To

970
00:48:17,120 --> 00:48:20,040
Speaker 3: be three and oh, despite all of that, it's pretty

971
00:48:20,040 --> 00:48:22,600
Speaker 3: impressive if you want to be optimistic about it. So

972
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:24,840
Speaker 3: that's the hard part now is how do we parse

973
00:48:24,920 --> 00:48:27,440
Speaker 3: through these three and oh teams where it's like, man,

974
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:30,839
Speaker 3: it hasn't really impressed me that much, but like, who

975
00:48:31,000 --> 00:48:33,640
Speaker 3: can you beat to impress? It's early in the season

976
00:48:33,680 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 3: and if you beat somebody like, oh, well, they must

977
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:37,799
Speaker 3: have sucked, so it's not really impressive that you beat

978
00:48:37,840 --> 00:48:39,960
Speaker 3: them anymore. And that's kind of where we're at on

979
00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:40,920
Speaker 3: these teams right now.

980
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:46,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was looking forward to what Arizona could possibly

981
00:48:46,200 --> 00:48:48,360
Speaker 2: do in that Seattle game, because I thought this was

982
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:52,279
Speaker 2: a decent opportunity. But more or less, I'm just keep

983
00:48:52,320 --> 00:48:54,680
Speaker 2: being wrong about San Francisco if you listen to any

984
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:57,919
Speaker 2: of our preseason bots, because I feel like every single

985
00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:00,120
Speaker 2: week they could have lost each of these games on

986
00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:03,560
Speaker 2: some level and they're the walking dead at the moment,

987
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:06,800
Speaker 2: but they continue to figure it out at home against

988
00:49:06,880 --> 00:49:10,200
Speaker 2: Jacksonville and then at the Rams, which is I believe

989
00:49:10,320 --> 00:49:13,759
Speaker 2: Thursday night and should be a very entertaining one after that.

990
00:49:13,960 --> 00:49:17,800
Speaker 2: All right, let's keep rolling here, Dallas and Chicago. So

991
00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:21,359
Speaker 2: Chicago beats Dallas thirty one to fourteen, the cover plus

992
00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:23,799
Speaker 2: one and a half totals under fifty and a half,

993
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:29,839
Speaker 2: believe right now, Caleb and Aaron Rogers and Williams lead

994
00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:33,520
Speaker 2: the league in passing touchdowns, which just funny in itself.

995
00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:36,719
Speaker 2: Lamar and Goff and there's others with six, so you

996
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:39,600
Speaker 2: assume Lamar and GoF on Monday Night football will take that.

997
00:49:39,800 --> 00:49:42,440
Speaker 2: But at the moment, I think that tells an interesting story,

998
00:49:43,040 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 2: except for the fact that the over under in this

999
00:49:45,120 --> 00:49:48,680
Speaker 2: game is probably the story. Cowboys Bears stand to the

1000
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:51,400
Speaker 2: total of fifty and a half after thirty eight combined

1001
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:54,800
Speaker 2: points in the first half. Tweeted this one out. But

1002
00:49:54,880 --> 00:49:57,480
Speaker 2: this is the second game with thirty eight plus first

1003
00:49:57,520 --> 00:49:59,719
Speaker 2: half points to go under a total of fifty one

1004
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 2: or one US in the first three weeks of this

1005
00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:05,880
Speaker 2: season with Cowboys and Eagles, which happened in the opener.

1006
00:50:06,200 --> 00:50:09,360
Speaker 2: We've only had nine such games like that in the

1007
00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:12,520
Speaker 2: previous twenty five years, and we have had two in

1008
00:50:12,600 --> 00:50:17,160
Speaker 2: the first three weeks. So brutal beats there. I think

1009
00:50:17,200 --> 00:50:20,799
Speaker 2: the storyline is simple. Caleb four touchdowns, zero picks, two

1010
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:23,920
Speaker 2: hundred and ninety nine ninety eight passing yards, probably his

1011
00:50:24,080 --> 00:50:27,640
Speaker 2: most in best start obviously as a Bear. But I

1012
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:30,160
Speaker 2: think the most important is no sacks in the game.

1013
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:32,719
Speaker 2: That to me is most important. So how do you

1014
00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:35,800
Speaker 2: like this one? Bears have only had one performance of

1015
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:40,799
Speaker 2: four touchdowns, zero picks and zero sacks with this many

1016
00:50:40,840 --> 00:50:45,000
Speaker 2: passing yards. Eric Kramer nineteen ninety five. This was a

1017
00:50:45,080 --> 00:50:48,279
Speaker 2: performance that I think Chicago has been waiting at least

1018
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:48,920
Speaker 2: twenty years for.

1019
00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:53,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, this one more than twenty years. Chicago a lot

1020
00:50:53,960 --> 00:50:56,640
Speaker 3: of these sort of games. Yeah, first sack was game

1021
00:50:56,680 --> 00:50:59,560
Speaker 3: of his career. Is crazy. The difference here is just

1022
00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:02,719
Speaker 3: Dallas mistakes four turnovers one to four in the red zone,

1023
00:51:02,920 --> 00:51:06,319
Speaker 3: three of eleven on third down. You know, the game

1024
00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:09,120
Speaker 3: wasn't close, but it should have been closer without those

1025
00:51:09,239 --> 00:51:12,120
Speaker 3: huge mistakes there. Both offenses moved the ball pretty well.

1026
00:51:12,560 --> 00:51:14,640
Speaker 3: Dallas just didn't move it well enough when it had

1027
00:51:14,680 --> 00:51:17,440
Speaker 3: to on those kind of key spots. And of course

1028
00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 3: no CD Lamb's stats if you running one happened. Yeah,

1029
00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:22,520
Speaker 3: Dallas decided, Hey, you know it'd be cool, let's run

1030
00:51:22,640 --> 00:51:25,160
Speaker 3: the ball with CD Lamb and he leaves hurt and

1031
00:51:25,239 --> 00:51:26,839
Speaker 3: he's got a high ankle. I don't know if we're

1032
00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:29,320
Speaker 3: gonna even get to see him in that big Sunday

1033
00:51:29,400 --> 00:51:32,120
Speaker 3: night game against the Packers next week. We'll see how

1034
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:35,200
Speaker 3: much Lamb will be ready. And again a little teaser.

1035
00:51:35,360 --> 00:51:36,759
Speaker 3: We're gonna get back to that one in the High

1036
00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:37,480
Speaker 3: Rey Chorly here.

1037
00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:40,319
Speaker 2: I'll give you one step before we move on here.

1038
00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:43,000
Speaker 2: Dallas has allowed five hundred and sixty seven passing yards

1039
00:51:43,040 --> 00:51:46,320
Speaker 2: in the first half of the three games, four touchdowns,

1040
00:51:46,440 --> 00:51:50,640
Speaker 2: zero picks, almost seventy seven percent completion percentage for opposing

1041
00:51:50,719 --> 00:51:54,160
Speaker 2: quarterbacks in the first half, twelve point one yards per attempt,

1042
00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:57,520
Speaker 2: all feels on video game and made up. But that

1043
00:51:57,760 --> 00:52:01,799
Speaker 2: is exactly what opposing quarterbacks are doing against Dallas pass defense. Ridiculous.

1044
00:52:02,160 --> 00:52:04,080
Speaker 2: Before we get out of here, we've got to get

1045
00:52:04,160 --> 00:52:07,759
Speaker 2: to Brandon's hot red. But first we've got to get

1046
00:52:08,480 --> 00:52:13,000
Speaker 2: to the rest of the games here. So let's go

1047
00:52:13,520 --> 00:52:18,680
Speaker 2: one by one Indy and Tennessee. Indy wins forty one

1048
00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:21,560
Speaker 2: to twenty covers all numbers on the road, total goes

1049
00:52:21,640 --> 00:52:24,319
Speaker 2: over forty two and a half. The Titans have now

1050
00:52:24,440 --> 00:52:27,600
Speaker 2: lost ten straight games at home against the spread. They

1051
00:52:27,640 --> 00:52:31,720
Speaker 2: are three and seventeen against the spreading their last twenty games. Overall.

1052
00:52:32,840 --> 00:52:35,120
Speaker 2: You should really get two to one odds for getting

1053
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:40,160
Speaker 2: a Titans ats bet these days. Raiders commanders. Washington wins

1054
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:42,600
Speaker 2: forty one to twenty four covers minus seven and a

1055
00:52:42,640 --> 00:52:47,279
Speaker 2: half open and minus three close over forty three and

1056
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:49,759
Speaker 2: a half. On the game, Washington had one hundred and

1057
00:52:49,960 --> 00:52:52,880
Speaker 2: seventy four rushing yards in the first half. And I

1058
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:55,239
Speaker 2: think the other storyline is ash and genty What about

1059
00:52:55,280 --> 00:52:57,640
Speaker 2: this one? Only sixty six percent of his carries so

1060
00:52:57,719 --> 00:53:00,680
Speaker 2: far this season have gone for a yard or more,

1061
00:53:01,120 --> 00:53:04,280
Speaker 2: just getting stuffed at the line. Only running back wheres

1062
00:53:04,320 --> 00:53:06,800
Speaker 2: is Zach Sharp and I had sixty three percent, so

1063
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:11,600
Speaker 2: not great for the early start. With genty Bengals Vikings

1064
00:53:11,680 --> 00:53:14,200
Speaker 2: Minnesota wins forty eight to ten, and it wasn't even

1065
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:17,720
Speaker 2: that close. They cover minus three total goes over forty

1066
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:19,959
Speaker 2: two and a half. Just the Vikings went over forty

1067
00:53:20,000 --> 00:53:22,919
Speaker 2: two and a half. The Vikings twenty four first half

1068
00:53:23,000 --> 00:53:25,479
Speaker 2: points off of turnovers is the most in the first

1069
00:53:25,520 --> 00:53:29,320
Speaker 2: half since twenty twelve, and the Patriots did it. This

1070
00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:34,719
Speaker 2: one was just embarrassing. Falcons Panthers Carrot. Speaking of embarrassing,

1071
00:53:34,800 --> 00:53:39,560
Speaker 2: Carolina wins thirty nothing. People were calling for Arthur Blank

1072
00:53:39,640 --> 00:53:42,880
Speaker 2: and Michael Pennix. It was very, very bad game. They

1073
00:53:42,920 --> 00:53:45,239
Speaker 2: cover all the numbers as the underdog total goes under

1074
00:53:45,320 --> 00:53:48,200
Speaker 2: forty four. How about this one? So Michael Pennix had

1075
00:53:48,200 --> 00:53:52,279
Speaker 2: a completion percentage over expected of minus six point four

1076
00:53:52,680 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 2: entering today, which was the third worst of any quarterback

1077
00:53:55,960 --> 00:54:01,200
Speaker 2: with cam Ward and JJ McCarthy. Pennix's CPO today minus

1078
00:54:01,280 --> 00:54:05,279
Speaker 2: twelve point five. So it just got worse. And then

1079
00:54:05,600 --> 00:54:10,759
Speaker 2: Saints Seahawks. Speaking of that, Seattle wins forty four to thirteen.

1080
00:54:11,080 --> 00:54:13,359
Speaker 2: They cover minus seven and a half total goes over

1081
00:54:13,480 --> 00:54:16,640
Speaker 2: forty one and a half again, just with the Seahawks,

1082
00:54:16,640 --> 00:54:19,120
Speaker 2: who go over forty one and a half themselves. A

1083
00:54:19,200 --> 00:54:23,200
Speaker 2: bad game overall, but worth noting Saints trail thirty nothing

1084
00:54:23,440 --> 00:54:26,960
Speaker 2: in the first quarter of this season, so not starting fast,

1085
00:54:27,920 --> 00:54:31,080
Speaker 2: trailed at the half at all three games, Spencer Rattler

1086
00:54:31,640 --> 00:54:35,040
Speaker 2: zero to nine straight up. And also, if you're looking ahead,

1087
00:54:35,080 --> 00:54:37,480
Speaker 2: and I am actually gonna double check this before I

1088
00:54:37,600 --> 00:54:40,520
Speaker 2: say it, the New Orleans Saints play in the Buffalo

1089
00:54:40,680 --> 00:54:44,759
Speaker 2: Bills next week and that line is sixteen and a

1090
00:54:44,840 --> 00:54:47,160
Speaker 2: half at the moment, and I tweeted this out. That

1091
00:54:47,200 --> 00:54:49,920
Speaker 2: would be the biggest line in a Saints game as

1092
00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:55,000
Speaker 2: them as an underdog since nineteen seventy five Archie Manning

1093
00:54:55,200 --> 00:54:58,160
Speaker 2: against fran Tarkenton. Is how far you have to go

1094
00:54:58,239 --> 00:54:59,960
Speaker 2: back to find the Saints at this big of an underdo.

1095
00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:03,200
Speaker 2: But listen, forty four to thirteen, I'll give it to you.

1096
00:55:03,400 --> 00:55:07,600
Speaker 2: So that is where we sit, all right, Monday night. Well,

1097
00:55:07,640 --> 00:55:09,040
Speaker 2: first of all, do you have anything to say on

1098
00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:10,760
Speaker 2: any of those god forsaken games?

1099
00:55:11,880 --> 00:55:14,080
Speaker 1: Now, the less we say, the better. Let's do Monday Night.

1100
00:55:14,520 --> 00:55:25,640
Speaker 2: Thank God, this is a great one. I mean, for

1101
00:55:25,760 --> 00:55:30,919
Speaker 2: all the sloppy, ridiculous unbelievable. Week three Sunday, we get

1102
00:55:31,160 --> 00:55:35,680
Speaker 2: Lions and Ravens on Monday Night. I mean, at this point,

1103
00:55:35,880 --> 00:55:38,160
Speaker 2: I feel like I'll just give you two stats, I'll

1104
00:55:38,200 --> 00:55:39,719
Speaker 2: hear what you have to say, and then I'll give

1105
00:55:39,719 --> 00:55:42,560
Speaker 2: you a few bets. But at home and night games,

1106
00:55:42,640 --> 00:55:46,120
Speaker 2: John Harbaugh twenty three and four straight up as coach

1107
00:55:46,200 --> 00:55:49,320
Speaker 2: of the Ravens. Ravens and in November earlier he is

1108
00:55:49,520 --> 00:55:52,120
Speaker 2: nineteen and one straight up in those games. And then

1109
00:55:52,320 --> 00:55:55,160
Speaker 2: I found this one insane. This one kind of shows

1110
00:55:55,680 --> 00:55:57,880
Speaker 2: how dominant against the spread the Lions have been, at

1111
00:55:57,960 --> 00:56:01,160
Speaker 2: least in recent history. But they'srottle the Bears last week,

1112
00:56:01,239 --> 00:56:03,839
Speaker 2: winning by thirty one most of the time. That would

1113
00:56:03,880 --> 00:56:07,000
Speaker 2: tell you to fade Detroit. The next week under Dan Campbell,

1114
00:56:07,160 --> 00:56:10,799
Speaker 2: Detroit is sixteen and four against the spread in their

1115
00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:14,440
Speaker 2: game directly after winning by eleven plus points. They just

1116
00:56:14,520 --> 00:56:16,719
Speaker 2: keep their foot on the pedal. Pretty impressive. So what

1117
00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:19,560
Speaker 2: are you doing here with Detroit and Baltimore?

1118
00:56:20,120 --> 00:56:22,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, these teams played two years ago and the Ravens

1119
00:56:22,560 --> 00:56:25,799
Speaker 3: absolutely demolished them thirty eight to six, twenty and nothing

1120
00:56:25,880 --> 00:56:30,040
Speaker 3: in halftime. Last week, the Browns stacked the box against

1121
00:56:30,080 --> 00:56:33,000
Speaker 3: Derrick Henry really shut down Derrick Henry and Darreed Baltimore

1122
00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:36,160
Speaker 3: to pass, and I think Detroit probably will try something similar.

1123
00:56:36,200 --> 00:56:38,440
Speaker 3: They like to play a lot of man. But the

1124
00:56:38,760 --> 00:56:42,279
Speaker 3: problem here at the Lions are bottom five and explosive

1125
00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:47,160
Speaker 3: play rate allowed in their second worst in passing. Explosive

1126
00:56:47,200 --> 00:56:50,280
Speaker 3: play rate, well, guess what. The Ravens are pretty darn explosive.

1127
00:56:50,640 --> 00:56:53,000
Speaker 3: They lead the league in explosive and we've seen it plenty.

1128
00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:56,400
Speaker 3: And by the way, in hindsight, the Ravens dropping forty

1129
00:56:56,440 --> 00:56:58,960
Speaker 3: on the Browns looks pretty good, it turns out when

1130
00:56:58,960 --> 00:57:02,560
Speaker 3: the Packers only get the ten. So I like the

1131
00:57:02,680 --> 00:57:06,040
Speaker 3: Ravens a lot here, it's not a great spot on

1132
00:57:06,200 --> 00:57:09,080
Speaker 3: the number two back them. Historically, Lamar as a home

1133
00:57:09,160 --> 00:57:11,800
Speaker 3: favorite of three to ten points eight nineteen and a

1134
00:57:11,880 --> 00:57:14,440
Speaker 3: one ats, so that's a little bit of a bit

1135
00:57:14,480 --> 00:57:16,720
Speaker 3: of a red flag here. I think they'll wait to

1136
00:57:16,760 --> 00:57:20,080
Speaker 3: bet the Ravens if you like them old faithful Lamar

1137
00:57:20,240 --> 00:57:23,040
Speaker 3: first half. We know the stats sixty thirty four and two,

1138
00:57:23,560 --> 00:57:26,400
Speaker 3: sixty four percent ats in the first half for his career,

1139
00:57:26,480 --> 00:57:30,560
Speaker 3: two and zero ats this year and first half numbers

1140
00:57:30,640 --> 00:57:32,360
Speaker 3: mine's two and a half, So you can get under

1141
00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:34,919
Speaker 3: the key number that way, don't worry about the back

1142
00:57:35,000 --> 00:57:37,560
Speaker 3: door that sort of thing. Just play for the Ravens

1143
00:57:37,600 --> 00:57:40,000
Speaker 3: to come out quickly. A lot of trends like the

1144
00:57:40,160 --> 00:57:44,800
Speaker 3: under here. That's the hater bet. I suppose this total

1145
00:57:44,800 --> 00:57:46,480
Speaker 3: has been bet up. It was fifteen and a half.

1146
00:57:46,560 --> 00:57:49,640
Speaker 3: It's now like fifty three and a half non Thursday

1147
00:57:49,760 --> 00:57:54,040
Speaker 3: Prime time under sixty one percent. Since twenty nineteen, Goff

1148
00:57:54,240 --> 00:57:57,600
Speaker 3: has actually been the most profitable active quarterback to the

1149
00:57:57,680 --> 00:58:01,040
Speaker 3: under on totals fifty one and above three percent there.

1150
00:58:01,600 --> 00:58:03,680
Speaker 3: And this is a luck under as well, So I

1151
00:58:03,760 --> 00:58:06,080
Speaker 3: think an under is a good play. And then one

1152
00:58:06,160 --> 00:58:08,880
Speaker 3: prop for you. I like Zay Flowers a lot in

1153
00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:11,800
Speaker 3: this game. He's getting a wide receiver one volume. And

1154
00:58:11,920 --> 00:58:14,080
Speaker 3: again we think they're probably gonna have to pass in

1155
00:58:14,160 --> 00:58:18,000
Speaker 3: this game. So they've actually been pretty run heavy Baltimore

1156
00:58:18,120 --> 00:58:21,040
Speaker 3: so far, only forty eight passes in two games. Given

1157
00:58:21,240 --> 00:58:24,840
Speaker 3: that Zay's had seven catches each week for one hundred

1158
00:58:24,840 --> 00:58:27,280
Speaker 3: and forty three and seventy five yards, that's pretty huge. Actually,

1159
00:58:27,720 --> 00:58:31,000
Speaker 3: he's getting forty three percent of the targets in Baltimore,

1160
00:58:31,040 --> 00:58:33,760
Speaker 3: forty two percent of the receptions. That's nearly half of

1161
00:58:33,840 --> 00:58:36,520
Speaker 3: all the passing Baltimore is doing is going to Zay

1162
00:58:36,600 --> 00:58:40,680
Speaker 3: Flowers still more likely in this game. And Detroit allowed

1163
00:58:40,720 --> 00:58:44,560
Speaker 3: the most yards to any receivers last season fourteen games

1164
00:58:44,600 --> 00:58:47,480
Speaker 3: out of seventeen that the team's wide receiver one had

1165
00:58:47,480 --> 00:58:50,280
Speaker 3: at least sixty four yards. They averaged ninety one yards

1166
00:58:50,320 --> 00:58:53,280
Speaker 3: a game. And we saw Dunesay light up the Lions

1167
00:58:53,320 --> 00:58:56,040
Speaker 3: last week. Also, that's kind of just Detroit's going to

1168
00:58:56,120 --> 00:58:58,720
Speaker 3: live with that. If you can beat them, throw into

1169
00:58:58,720 --> 00:59:01,080
Speaker 3: your wide receiver one, beat them Manda Man coverage, They'll

1170
00:59:01,120 --> 00:59:01,480
Speaker 3: live with that.

1171
00:59:01,680 --> 00:59:03,840
Speaker 1: So I think Baltimore lived with it as well.

1172
00:59:04,720 --> 00:59:07,400
Speaker 3: Seventy yards hits the over for Jay Flowers, just the

1173
00:59:07,480 --> 00:59:10,120
Speaker 3: traditional and I'll play a little bit of ninety yards

1174
00:59:10,160 --> 00:59:11,600
Speaker 3: at two to one odds as well.

1175
00:59:11,960 --> 00:59:12,400
Speaker 1: Do you trade?

1176
00:59:12,400 --> 00:59:15,080
Speaker 3: Allowed ninety yards and more eleven times last year and

1177
00:59:15,280 --> 00:59:18,560
Speaker 3: Zay Flowers hit that six times himself, and I think

1178
00:59:18,600 --> 00:59:20,520
Speaker 3: he's gonna take another step up with the way they're

1179
00:59:20,520 --> 00:59:24,040
Speaker 3: playing this year. And if Detride hangs around a little bit,

1180
00:59:24,440 --> 00:59:26,720
Speaker 3: that's probably even better because they may have to actually

1181
00:59:26,800 --> 00:59:28,400
Speaker 3: keep passing and not just run the ball off the

1182
00:59:28,440 --> 00:59:29,200
Speaker 3: whole second half.

1183
00:59:29,920 --> 00:59:31,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Flowers look all right, let me

1184
00:59:32,120 --> 00:59:34,000
Speaker 2: roll through some bets here. Don't ever say I didn't

1185
00:59:34,040 --> 00:59:36,520
Speaker 2: do anything for you, especially just getting me some ideas

1186
00:59:36,600 --> 00:59:38,400
Speaker 2: ready for Monday night football, because I got some fun

1187
00:59:38,480 --> 00:59:42,200
Speaker 2: stuff here. I already logged Montgomery touchdown in the app.

1188
00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:45,120
Speaker 2: I was splitting it with Kareem Hunt, assuming I liked

1189
00:59:45,160 --> 00:59:47,000
Speaker 2: both of them at plus money, and I thought at

1190
00:59:47,120 --> 00:59:48,760
Speaker 2: least one would get in the end zone. Well, let's

1191
00:59:48,800 --> 00:59:52,480
Speaker 2: hope they both do. I like the Sam Laporta look.

1192
00:59:53,680 --> 00:59:57,080
Speaker 2: Fannin and Najoku went nine of eighty eight against Baltimore,

1193
00:59:57,480 --> 01:00:02,400
Speaker 2: Kinkaiden Knox go six of sixty eight. Laporta four receptions,

1194
01:00:02,560 --> 01:00:06,280
Speaker 2: forty plus receiving yards is minus one ten on DraftKings.

1195
01:00:06,560 --> 01:00:09,120
Speaker 2: I think that is a decent look in this game.

1196
01:00:09,400 --> 01:00:11,600
Speaker 2: I'll give you a few more here. So I like

1197
01:00:11,840 --> 01:00:15,560
Speaker 2: the Lions team total over twelve and a half in

1198
01:00:15,680 --> 01:00:20,040
Speaker 2: the second half. So they've played seventeen straight games Detroit

1199
01:00:20,280 --> 01:00:23,439
Speaker 2: where they've scored seven plus points in the second half.

1200
01:00:24,000 --> 01:00:28,880
Speaker 2: It's close enough where I feel like Brandon's Baltimore first

1201
01:00:28,960 --> 01:00:33,360
Speaker 2: half look has been Lamar's staple. And I think the

1202
01:00:33,440 --> 01:00:36,560
Speaker 2: ability for Detroit to have to put the foot on

1203
01:00:36,640 --> 01:00:38,800
Speaker 2: the pedal and score some points in the second half

1204
01:00:39,360 --> 01:00:41,920
Speaker 2: is a decent look. I believe their first half total

1205
01:00:42,080 --> 01:00:44,760
Speaker 2: is ten and a half, second half twelve and a half,

1206
01:00:45,240 --> 01:00:46,840
Speaker 2: So I will take the twelve and a half and

1207
01:00:46,880 --> 01:00:51,680
Speaker 2: I'll give you three long shots here. So Brandon likes

1208
01:00:51,720 --> 01:00:54,640
Speaker 2: the Ravens early, I think that's again the right call.

1209
01:00:54,800 --> 01:00:57,560
Speaker 2: So I will look at Baltimore to score first and

1210
01:00:57,640 --> 01:01:00,760
Speaker 2: then lose the game at five to one. The only

1211
01:01:00,880 --> 01:01:04,760
Speaker 2: thing I'll say is this, if Baltimore scores first, open

1212
01:01:04,840 --> 01:01:08,400
Speaker 2: up DraftKings, go to the scoreboard, check out what the

1213
01:01:08,560 --> 01:01:11,680
Speaker 2: Lions are on the money line, because I think it's

1214
01:01:11,800 --> 01:01:14,320
Speaker 2: interesting to see how depends on depending on how quick

1215
01:01:14,360 --> 01:01:17,600
Speaker 2: Baltimore scores, what the situation is. We're assuming it's not

1216
01:01:17,720 --> 01:01:19,400
Speaker 2: going to be that high, So I think this price

1217
01:01:19,520 --> 01:01:21,560
Speaker 2: is decent at least in that moment, especially if it's

1218
01:01:21,600 --> 01:01:25,400
Speaker 2: a back and forth and two more a first team touchdown.

1219
01:01:25,840 --> 01:01:28,000
Speaker 2: Like I said, I like Laporte in this spot, but

1220
01:01:28,120 --> 01:01:31,439
Speaker 2: I think an early fun look is brock right, first

1221
01:01:31,480 --> 01:01:34,000
Speaker 2: team touchdown for the Lions a twenty two to one

1222
01:01:34,560 --> 01:01:37,960
Speaker 2: and then one fundsie since this game could get absolutely

1223
01:01:38,040 --> 01:01:40,200
Speaker 2: wild with both offenses and the fact that it is

1224
01:01:40,320 --> 01:01:42,800
Speaker 2: fifty three and a half on the total each team

1225
01:01:42,880 --> 01:01:45,600
Speaker 2: to score a rush pass touchdown in each half at

1226
01:01:45,680 --> 01:01:48,720
Speaker 2: draft games fifty to one. I think it's worth a

1227
01:01:48,760 --> 01:01:50,960
Speaker 2: few dollars in this type of game. Listen, you just

1228
01:01:51,040 --> 01:01:54,439
Speaker 2: sat through twenty two to nine case Giants. At least

1229
01:01:54,480 --> 01:01:56,200
Speaker 2: you could do is put a fifty to one job

1230
01:01:56,480 --> 01:01:59,280
Speaker 2: and hope for some rushing passing touchdowns. Maybe you get

1231
01:01:59,280 --> 01:02:01,400
Speaker 2: a little bit close. So those are the looks that

1232
01:02:01,520 --> 01:02:04,600
Speaker 2: I have here, some fun stuff, some you know, you know,

1233
01:02:04,840 --> 01:02:07,920
Speaker 2: less higher odd stuff, But those are my los any

1234
01:02:07,920 --> 01:02:08,360
Speaker 2: thoughts there.

1235
01:02:08,720 --> 01:02:11,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, it's an exciting game. We don't get

1236
01:02:11,040 --> 01:02:13,320
Speaker 3: a lot of great Monday night games anymore. We stacked

1237
01:02:13,360 --> 01:02:14,480
Speaker 3: the deck on Sunday.

1238
01:02:14,200 --> 01:02:17,280
Speaker 1: Nights usually, so I feel like we should we should

1239
01:02:17,640 --> 01:02:19,800
Speaker 1: not take for granted. You know, the following week we

1240
01:02:19,880 --> 01:02:20,880
Speaker 1: get a doubleheader with.

1241
01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:24,200
Speaker 3: Jets Dolphins, and then Jake Browning, Jake Brownie and bow

1242
01:02:24,320 --> 01:02:27,400
Speaker 3: Nicks and Tua and Justin Fields or Toad or whoever.

1243
01:02:27,480 --> 01:02:30,040
Speaker 1: Like, let's watch some real good football.

1244
01:02:29,680 --> 01:02:33,120
Speaker 3: Teams tomorrow and yeah, hopefully between we just gave you

1245
01:02:33,240 --> 01:02:34,960
Speaker 3: like twelve bats to find something good in there and

1246
01:02:35,000 --> 01:02:36,920
Speaker 3: have a little fun watching a good game on Monday night.

1247
01:02:37,600 --> 01:02:40,400
Speaker 2: You mentioned Jaguars Chiefs in primetime coming up? You get

1248
01:02:40,440 --> 01:02:43,400
Speaker 2: those are some scary primetime games potentially. All right, If

1249
01:02:43,440 --> 01:02:45,280
Speaker 2: you want to tell some of these bets we gave

1250
01:02:45,320 --> 01:02:47,280
Speaker 2: out today for Monday night's game, make sure to look

1251
01:02:47,320 --> 01:02:49,520
Speaker 2: for the quick slip link in the podcast and video

1252
01:02:49,600 --> 01:02:52,800
Speaker 2: description or go to action eery dot com slash bet

1253
01:02:53,000 --> 01:02:56,080
Speaker 2: now b e t n OW. You can also find

1254
01:02:56,080 --> 01:02:59,000
Speaker 2: those quick slips in the live YouTube chat if you're

1255
01:02:59,000 --> 01:03:01,720
Speaker 2: still hanging out with us. All right, Brandon, I think

1256
01:03:01,800 --> 01:03:05,000
Speaker 2: we tease them long enough. What are your hot replays

1257
01:03:05,360 --> 01:03:06,360
Speaker 2: for Week four?

1258
01:03:06,680 --> 01:03:11,280
Speaker 1: Hot wraps on ice rights ice cream?

1259
01:03:16,960 --> 01:03:19,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've teased it both ways. Let's go right to

1260
01:03:19,280 --> 01:03:21,960
Speaker 3: Sunday night for that Micah Parsons game. Give me the

1261
01:03:22,040 --> 01:03:24,720
Speaker 3: Packers minus five if you can find it. I grabbed

1262
01:03:24,760 --> 01:03:26,360
Speaker 3: it earlier. I still see a minus five and a

1263
01:03:26,400 --> 01:03:30,439
Speaker 3: half at DraftKings our sponsor Packers at the Cowboys. Look,

1264
01:03:31,120 --> 01:03:32,520
Speaker 3: do I really want to tell you why we're gonna

1265
01:03:32,520 --> 01:03:34,560
Speaker 3: be the Packers in this game? It's the Micah Parsons game.

1266
01:03:34,920 --> 01:03:37,720
Speaker 3: Packers defense has been awesome. Even though they lost today,

1267
01:03:37,800 --> 01:03:40,800
Speaker 3: the defense still was awesome. They were number one DBA

1268
01:03:41,040 --> 01:03:43,920
Speaker 3: entering the weekend. Cowboys o line. How many sacks are

1269
01:03:43,960 --> 01:03:45,880
Speaker 3: they going to give up to Micah Parsons. It's gonna

1270
01:03:45,920 --> 01:03:49,680
Speaker 3: be multiple. It seems like Packers offense struggled, but that

1271
01:03:49,920 --> 01:03:54,160
Speaker 3: was the Browns. The Cowboys are, you know, charitably a

1272
01:03:54,280 --> 01:03:58,040
Speaker 3: top five defense right now, like they are turning. I

1273
01:03:58,120 --> 01:04:01,080
Speaker 3: see in the comments here, h Town d d says

1274
01:04:01,200 --> 01:04:04,440
Speaker 3: quarterbacks play Dallas and have career games. That's what's happening

1275
01:04:04,560 --> 01:04:07,720
Speaker 3: right now. We got Russell Wilson puts up you know,

1276
01:04:07,920 --> 01:04:11,200
Speaker 3: career high four and fifty whatever yards now, Caleb Williams

1277
01:04:11,240 --> 01:04:14,240
Speaker 3: has his career game, an all time Bears quarterback game.

1278
01:04:14,640 --> 01:04:18,480
Speaker 3: That's who the Cowboys are right now. Bottom ten explosive

1279
01:04:18,520 --> 01:04:22,640
Speaker 3: play rate allowed meaning bad bottom ten. Packers are explosive

1280
01:04:22,720 --> 01:04:25,280
Speaker 3: plays and the Cowboys corners are hurt right now too.

1281
01:04:25,320 --> 01:04:27,840
Speaker 3: I think Green Bay can pretty much name its number

1282
01:04:27,880 --> 01:04:29,560
Speaker 3: in this game, and I think they're gonna want to

1283
01:04:29,960 --> 01:04:32,919
Speaker 3: They'm gonna want to come out embarrassed after this game,

1284
01:04:33,080 --> 01:04:35,360
Speaker 3: losing to the Browns. The head into the bye week

1285
01:04:35,440 --> 01:04:38,680
Speaker 3: after this, and this is the game you always bet

1286
01:04:38,720 --> 01:04:41,800
Speaker 3: the Packers on. The Packers have beat the Cowboys ten

1287
01:04:41,880 --> 01:04:44,280
Speaker 3: of eleven times since two thousand and nine. This is

1288
01:04:44,360 --> 01:04:48,240
Speaker 3: not a rivalry, This is a beatdown. Packers have won

1289
01:04:48,320 --> 01:04:50,640
Speaker 3: five in a row with at least thirty points all

1290
01:04:50,720 --> 01:04:53,320
Speaker 3: five games, and maybe you just want a Packers team

1291
01:04:53,400 --> 01:04:56,920
Speaker 3: total over once that post as well, and again ceedee

1292
01:04:57,000 --> 01:04:58,520
Speaker 3: Lamb not even a certainty to play.

1293
01:04:58,360 --> 01:04:58,880
Speaker 1: In this game.

1294
01:04:58,960 --> 01:05:02,080
Speaker 3: He got the ankle, so we'll see if he's even

1295
01:05:02,120 --> 01:05:05,560
Speaker 3: to go. Matt Lafler sixty three percent ts after a loss.

1296
01:05:06,040 --> 01:05:08,840
Speaker 3: So we're grabbing it now that both are plays today,

1297
01:05:09,160 --> 01:05:12,200
Speaker 3: all right? Minus five and a half? That matters because

1298
01:05:12,280 --> 01:05:15,440
Speaker 3: we know three is a key. We know seven these days,

1299
01:05:15,600 --> 01:05:18,680
Speaker 3: six is probably the next key number. With the way

1300
01:05:19,040 --> 01:05:21,400
Speaker 3: field goals are going in the way two pointers are

1301
01:05:21,440 --> 01:05:23,320
Speaker 3: out there, five and a half matters.

1302
01:05:23,400 --> 01:05:24,840
Speaker 1: Grab it now, is going to get to six.

1303
01:05:25,080 --> 01:05:27,280
Speaker 3: I wouldn't even be surprised if this one pushes towards

1304
01:05:27,280 --> 01:05:29,919
Speaker 3: seven as bad as Dallas has looked. And then let's

1305
01:05:29,960 --> 01:05:32,960
Speaker 3: go right to the other one. Chargers minus five and

1306
01:05:33,000 --> 01:05:36,000
Speaker 3: a half at the Giants. We just watched the Giants.

1307
01:05:36,080 --> 01:05:37,440
Speaker 3: Do I need to tell you why we're not betting

1308
01:05:37,480 --> 01:05:38,240
Speaker 3: on the Giants here?

1309
01:05:38,640 --> 01:05:40,920
Speaker 1: The Chargers looked apart. They're three to zero in the division.

1310
01:05:41,000 --> 01:05:43,720
Speaker 3: They dominated Denver today, They've been clearly the better team

1311
01:05:44,200 --> 01:05:48,080
Speaker 3: all their games. Jesse Minters defense has been awesome. Herbert

1312
01:05:48,200 --> 01:05:52,200
Speaker 3: looks like an MVP candidate. I don't love the Chargers

1313
01:05:52,280 --> 01:05:54,640
Speaker 3: O line against the pass rush here, but Herbert has

1314
01:05:54,680 --> 01:05:56,880
Speaker 3: handled the pressure and I think if he can get

1315
01:05:56,920 --> 01:05:59,840
Speaker 3: the pass off, those receivers can slice up the secondary.

1316
01:06:00,360 --> 01:06:03,920
Speaker 3: I mentioned know Marion Hampton Giants dead last in run

1317
01:06:04,040 --> 01:06:06,680
Speaker 3: defense by DVA. Maybe this is the rookie breakout game.

1318
01:06:06,720 --> 01:06:08,480
Speaker 3: If you want that Rookie of the Year ticket, you

1319
01:06:08,600 --> 01:06:11,240
Speaker 3: might need it before this game kicks off. And how

1320
01:06:11,320 --> 01:06:14,080
Speaker 3: are the Giants gonna score? Will they ever score again?

1321
01:06:14,320 --> 01:06:17,560
Speaker 3: Like we watch them just now. Hopefully they'll have a

1322
01:06:17,640 --> 01:06:19,840
Speaker 3: kicker by then, but I don't know if Andrew Thomas

1323
01:06:19,920 --> 01:06:20,520
Speaker 3: will play.

1324
01:06:20,360 --> 01:06:21,080
Speaker 1: The left tackle.

1325
01:06:21,560 --> 01:06:24,600
Speaker 3: Kansas City showed how to take Milik Neighbors away. We

1326
01:06:24,720 --> 01:06:27,720
Speaker 3: saw the Giants hanging thirty seven on the Cowboys.

1327
01:06:27,800 --> 01:06:29,680
Speaker 1: That doesn't count. That's not a real team.

1328
01:06:30,080 --> 01:06:33,560
Speaker 3: You scored fifteen points the other two games against Washington

1329
01:06:33,600 --> 01:06:36,400
Speaker 3: and Kansas City, who by the way, aren't great defenses.

1330
01:06:36,960 --> 01:06:39,360
Speaker 3: This to me is the worst offense in the league,

1331
01:06:39,440 --> 01:06:42,120
Speaker 3: the Giants and the Chargers. We get a bargain here

1332
01:06:42,200 --> 01:06:44,919
Speaker 3: below the six again with the key number. And here's

1333
01:06:44,960 --> 01:06:48,480
Speaker 3: a crazy stat for you. Jim Harbaugh for his career

1334
01:06:48,640 --> 01:06:51,320
Speaker 3: in the NFL, when his team is favored by under

1335
01:06:51,400 --> 01:06:56,360
Speaker 3: six points, twenty eight and seven ats eighty percent hit rate.

1336
01:06:56,920 --> 01:06:59,520
Speaker 3: The man does not blow games. Now, I don't think

1337
01:06:59,560 --> 01:07:01,840
Speaker 3: that's that it's going to come into play here, because

1338
01:07:01,840 --> 01:07:03,320
Speaker 3: I think the number is going to rise. That's why

1339
01:07:03,360 --> 01:07:05,080
Speaker 3: we're grabbing it now, and then the stat won't end

1340
01:07:05,160 --> 01:07:09,400
Speaker 3: up happening. But undefeated teams against winless teams after Week

1341
01:07:09,480 --> 01:07:12,680
Speaker 3: three seventy two percent cover rate by about five points

1342
01:07:12,720 --> 01:07:16,000
Speaker 3: a game. So grab the Chargers minus five and a half,

1343
01:07:16,200 --> 01:07:17,360
Speaker 3: Packers minus five and a half.

1344
01:07:17,400 --> 01:07:19,320
Speaker 1: Get them both before we get to some key numbers.

1345
01:07:20,600 --> 01:07:22,360
Speaker 2: I like another bet in these two games, and I'll

1346
01:07:22,400 --> 01:07:24,600
Speaker 2: just tell you this right now. They've allowed nine rushing

1347
01:07:24,720 --> 01:07:30,400
Speaker 2: touchdowns the Giants and Cowboys. I think Hampton and Jacobs

1348
01:07:30,440 --> 01:07:32,400
Speaker 2: getting the end zone. I would honestly take them both

1349
01:07:32,400 --> 01:07:35,800
Speaker 2: in a parlay for two touchdowns each and just have

1350
01:07:35,880 --> 01:07:37,520
Speaker 2: a little fun there. I feel like the Giants and

1351
01:07:37,560 --> 01:07:40,360
Speaker 2: Cowboys can allow some touchdowns, but I agree both those

1352
01:07:40,440 --> 01:07:43,160
Speaker 2: numbers are going to rise again. If you want to

1353
01:07:43,240 --> 01:07:46,240
Speaker 2: tail Brandon's hot rate, find the quick slip link in

1354
01:07:46,360 --> 01:07:49,680
Speaker 2: the podcast and video description, or go to Action network

1355
01:07:49,840 --> 01:07:53,360
Speaker 2: dot com slash b e t n ow bet Now

1356
01:07:53,720 --> 01:07:55,840
Speaker 2: all right, that'll do it Here on the Action Howork

1357
01:07:55,840 --> 01:07:59,600
Speaker 2: podcast for our NFL Week three recap episode presented by

1358
01:07:59,720 --> 01:08:02,480
Speaker 2: Draft Kings, give us a like on the YouTube video

1359
01:08:02,600 --> 01:08:05,760
Speaker 2: before you take off. We really appreciate it. Don't forget

1360
01:08:05,800 --> 01:08:08,880
Speaker 2: to download the award winning free Action Network app to

1361
01:08:08,920 --> 01:08:12,080
Speaker 2: see more from all our Action Nework contributors. Sign up

1362
01:08:12,120 --> 01:08:15,560
Speaker 2: for Action Howork Pro for immediate notifications every time one

1363
01:08:15,600 --> 01:08:18,400
Speaker 2: of our action experts tracks a pick. Go to actionework

1364
01:08:18,439 --> 01:08:21,840
Speaker 2: dot com slash pro use the promo code pod twenty

1365
01:08:21,920 --> 01:08:24,519
Speaker 2: for twenty hours off a year of Action Pro. If

1366
01:08:24,520 --> 01:08:26,960
Speaker 2: you're on Twitter, we have an awesome new feature. If

1367
01:08:27,000 --> 01:08:30,519
Speaker 2: you see a bet from any of our favorite action

1368
01:08:30,720 --> 01:08:33,880
Speaker 2: experts or anyone on gambling Twitter, you can now tag

1369
01:08:34,000 --> 01:08:36,479
Speaker 2: at playbook and tell our bot to build you a

1370
01:08:36,600 --> 01:08:39,479
Speaker 2: bet slip at a book of your choice. It will

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01:08:39,520 --> 01:08:41,640
Speaker 2: build it for you with a quick slip link that

1372
01:08:41,800 --> 01:08:44,960
Speaker 2: opens right up to your sportsbook. So go check out

1373
01:08:45,040 --> 01:08:48,360
Speaker 2: our new tool at Playbook on Twitter. We will be

1374
01:08:48,479 --> 01:08:52,120
Speaker 2: back for Action Island before Monday night's game. Right here

1375
01:08:52,320 --> 01:08:55,639
Speaker 2: on Action Networks YouTube page, as well as more NFL

1376
01:08:55,760 --> 01:08:59,920
Speaker 2: best bets from Brandon Raybond and Stucky's six Pack app

1377
01:09:00,000 --> 01:09:03,439
Speaker 2: episode Anytime Touchdowns and more on the podcast week all

1378
01:09:03,560 --> 01:09:06,240
Speaker 2: of next week. Thank you for listening, Good luck with

1379
01:09:06,320 --> 01:09:25,240
Speaker 2: all your bets. Let's get the week four. Enjoy Action

1380
01:09:25,439 --> 01:09:29,800
Speaker 2: Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone

1381
01:09:29,920 --> 01:09:32,840
Speaker 2: you care about has a gambling problem, help is available

1382
01:09:32,920 --> 01:09:35,400
Speaker 2: twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler