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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Just about that action all.

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Speaker 1: Right? Here we go from throwing out so spect we're

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Speaker 1: sitting up to cash touchdown.

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Speaker 2: That's all we see.

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Speaker 1: Most gamblers when they go to gamble, they go just winning.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money. All right,

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Speaker 3: this is the ultimate kabation you want to and we

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Speaker 3: are underway.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 1: And today we have a very special NFL episode, As

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Speaker 1: he does every season, what of Action Network's most obsessive

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Speaker 1: experts scours betting landscape for the twenty twenty five team

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Speaker 1: or teams for that matter, that he's going to be

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Speaker 1: going from worst to first in their respective division everywhere

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Speaker 1: in the in the in.

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Speaker 2: The sports betting content. Face.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure you've heard, Hey Kansas City is going to

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Speaker 1: be pretty good. Hey Buffalo is going to be pretty good.

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Speaker 2: We're not. We're going dumpster diving here.

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Speaker 1: We're going to the bottom here to see who is

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Speaker 1: going to be going from worse to first, who is

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Speaker 1: going to be improved. There are always those teams that

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Speaker 1: were bad last year that end up having really good seasons.

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Speaker 1: Washington Commanders, perfect example, won four games last year or

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Speaker 1: two years ago, and then one twelve this year. But

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Speaker 1: by the way, if you're wondering who this voice is,

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Speaker 1: I'm new Action Network contributor Wes Reynold's been betting on

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Speaker 1: and covering NFL football for more years than I would

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Speaker 1: care to admit, and you'll be hearing me on a

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Speaker 1: number of Action shows this upcoming NFL season. But today

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Speaker 1: I'm delighted to be joined by Action Network veteran futures

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Speaker 1: expert Brandon Anderson, who has done a lot of the

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Speaker 1: leg work here on all the divisions, and we're going

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Speaker 1: to go division by division to see if we can

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Speaker 1: find somebody that's going to come from worse to first,

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Speaker 1: shall we say so? Brandon, welcome in. I'm excited to

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Speaker 1: be with you.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, glad to have you here at Action West, Glad

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Speaker 3: to get into the division worse to first. This is

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Speaker 3: one of my big ones each fall, when I look

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Speaker 3: forward to every year. This, this is our chance. This

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Speaker 3: is the island episode we'll be revealing at least my

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Speaker 3: first island of the year, hopefully a little better than

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Speaker 3: Panthers Island last year. We took water early and never

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Speaker 3: quite recovered. But what is the worst to first COUNTSPT

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Speaker 3: pretty simple. But you get a team like you said

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Speaker 3: that last year has, for whatever reason, the season from hell,

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Speaker 3: everything goes wrong. Get your top draft pick. We focus

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Speaker 3: on all their rookies. Then we spend the whole summer

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Speaker 3: writing them off. Nobody wants their fantasy players on their team, right,

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Speaker 3: and all of a sudden, it's November December and they're

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Speaker 3: in the division mix. You win the division, you're hosting

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Speaker 3: a playoff game. So since we got to the new

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Speaker 3: division format twenty two seasons, we have now the data

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Speaker 3: for it. Nineteen out of those twenty two seasons, eighty

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Speaker 3: six percent we have seen at least one team go

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Speaker 3: worse to first in the division from one year to

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Speaker 3: the next. So just check the last decade, just catch

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Speaker 3: you up on some examples. Here twenty sixteen Cowboys, they

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Speaker 3: go from four wins to thirteen Rookie Dak Rookie Zeke

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Speaker 3: all the way to the top. Twenty seventeen Eagles all

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Speaker 3: the way really to the top seven to nine Super

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Speaker 3: Bowl champions the next year. The year after that, Bears, Texans,

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Speaker 3: then Washington the following year we missed. The year Bengals

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Speaker 3: all the way to the Super Bowl off of a Division,

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Speaker 3: last place. Now the fun ones we started writing these up.

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Speaker 3: But Action Network twenty twenty two Jacksonville plus eight hundred

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Speaker 3: ticket cashes for US, we go right back to the

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Speaker 3: well in the division. The next year Texans Island. That

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Speaker 3: was a fun one. If you were along for the

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Speaker 3: ride man, that was a sweat and a half and

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Speaker 3: then some more sweat. Eleven hundred cashes for US on

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Speaker 3: Texans Island. Last year, Wes, you mentioned that Washington was great.

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Speaker 3: They jumped to twelve wins, no division Chargers. They went

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Speaker 3: from worse two playoffs, no division, no team went worse

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Speaker 3: to first last year. So it is one of those

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Speaker 3: three that didn't happen. But it means we're due, right,

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Speaker 3: that's a gambling words.

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Speaker 2: We're due for a win.

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Speaker 1: And yeah, last year, Brandon, pretty darn historic year just

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Speaker 1: on a game by game basis for favorites a seventy

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Speaker 1: one percent straight up, about fifty three and a half

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Speaker 1: against the number, and especially road favorites. Road favorites last year,

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Speaker 1: if you'd love to bet those, which I historically do not,

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Speaker 1: seventy three point four percent and uh and fifty three

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Speaker 1: point seven percent. It was a very good year for

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Speaker 1: the chalk last year. As you mentioned, no worse to

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Speaker 1: first last year. We'll see if if if Water so

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Speaker 1: and so finds its level this season and we get

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Speaker 1: a couple of those underdogs get in to the top.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: So since the new division format two thousand and two,

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Speaker 3: we've had twenty nine teams go worse to first, So

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Speaker 3: it's an average of about one point two to six

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Speaker 3: per season. Now, some books you can bet on just

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Speaker 3: some team goes worse to first. You don't have to

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Speaker 3: pick one, you can just skip the rest of the podcast.

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Speaker 2: Don't do that.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna do better today. But you can bet it

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Speaker 3: at like a minus something or outd there. Fair odds

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Speaker 3: would be something like minus six hundred, So probably that's

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Speaker 3: in our favor. Obviously it did not cash last year.

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Speaker 3: But I'm greedy. I'm on an island team. We're gonna

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Speaker 3: go through Like you said that the dregs of the

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Speaker 3: league really the reason these teams finished last We're gonna

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Speaker 3: go through a lot of like, oh, this team has

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Speaker 3: really improved this year. Yeah, you know why, because they

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Speaker 3: sucked last year. They're terrible. You have to be a

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Speaker 3: little better. And we're ranking these as always in tiers

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Speaker 3: how I do them, and we're gonna go from what

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Speaker 3: I think is the order of worst bet to best

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Speaker 3: bet that you can make, which means at the end

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Speaker 3: of the episode, it's Island time.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we got to go through the drag before we

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Speaker 1: get to get to the gold here. So let's go

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Speaker 1: ahead and start at Brandon. This is what you grade

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Speaker 1: is tier five? No way know how these teams in

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Speaker 1: the division that were last last year are going to

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Speaker 1: go to first. And let's go ahead and start in

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Speaker 1: the AFC North. Pretty good at the top there with

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Speaker 1: obviously we know Baltimore Super Bowl contender Cincinnati. They certainly

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Speaker 1: cooked on offense, but they looked cooked on defense. If

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Speaker 1: you watch that preseason game the other night against Washington,

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Speaker 1: and then the Pittsburgh Steelers just do what they do.

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Speaker 1: They've got the voodoo, as our colleague Stucky calls it.

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Speaker 1: You know that Tomlin voodoo. They find ways to win.

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Speaker 1: They get out yarded, but they forced plus three in

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Speaker 1: the turnover margin and somehow win. So that leaves us

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Speaker 1: with the Cleveland Browns. Give us the outlook in seatown bread.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the Browns are last for a reason. We don't

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Speaker 3: have to stay too long on this one. I would say,

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Speaker 3: when you're looking for an island, you got to check

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Speaker 3: the archipelago first, right, you gotta see what's the surrounding

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Speaker 3: look like. Because you're betting on the Browns, you are

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Speaker 3: also betting against the Ravens, Bengals and Steelers.

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Speaker 2: No, thank you.

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Speaker 3: I prefer not to bet against not just one of those.

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Speaker 3: The Browns have to beat all three of them to

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Speaker 3: win the Division. Of course, Ravens. For me, on my

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Speaker 3: number one team, you would argue, and I have argued,

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Speaker 3: really that the all three of those teams have a

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Speaker 3: top five offense or defense. I think the Ravens connected

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Speaker 3: with both of those things. So that's not great news

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Speaker 3: for the Browns who have to beat all three of

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Speaker 3: those teams. What is the good news for the Browns, Well,

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Speaker 3: there's not a lot. I like the defense. I think

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Speaker 3: the defense could surprise Miles Garrett as good as anyone

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Speaker 3: defensive Jim Schwartz had this unit looking awesome a couple

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Speaker 3: of years ago before they completely fell apart last year.

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Speaker 3: I think Mason Graham, the rookie on the line, he

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Speaker 3: could stabilize things a little bit. Let Garrett get outside

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Speaker 3: the wide nine and just get after the quarterback. They're

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Speaker 3: still gonna play offense, unfortunately, and I'm not really sure

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Speaker 3: how they're gonna do that. We're gonna, yeah, like over

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Speaker 3: under four point five Browns quarterbacks that play like twenty

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Speaker 3: snaps this year. I think you got to take the

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Speaker 3: over on it. We got like five on the roster,

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Speaker 3: not even counting Deshaun Watson, who's just like around. I

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Speaker 3: guess we kind of have retread skill players the line

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Speaker 3: that used to be so good they got old, man like,

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Speaker 3: they're just not what they were anymore. And then, just

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Speaker 3: in case you had some hope left, here's the first

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Speaker 3: five games for the Browns Bengals Ravens zero and two

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Speaker 3: in the division, then Packers, Lions, Vikings. Sounds like going

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Speaker 3: five to me, like anything even better than one and

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Speaker 3: four would be a stunning outcome. So that this to me,

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Speaker 3: I do NFL NBA. Also, this is a tank if

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Speaker 3: ever I've seen one like this is a quiet tank

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Speaker 3: in the NFL. We're just gonna see what happens here.

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Speaker 3: But you do not want to be in on the Browns,

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Speaker 3: and frankly, you don't want to be betting against the

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Speaker 3: rest of the division.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, certainly very top heavy, and I, like you, am

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Speaker 1: very high on our friend Stucky's Baltimore Ravens this year

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Speaker 1: to go very very far and perhaps even to the

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl. So Brandon, let's go with another another one

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Speaker 1: that you say no way know how, and that's the

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Speaker 1: NFC East. And this is a team that I've been

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Speaker 1: here in a little bit of buzz about that certainly

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Speaker 1: that there's the potential for them to be improved. And

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Speaker 1: then you look at the top, of course, the Philadelphia Eagles,

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Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders. Washington, by the way, was like nine

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Speaker 1: to two, I believe, in games decided by seven points

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Speaker 1: or less last year. So is there regression coming for

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Speaker 1: an overachieving Commanders team? Is it coming for Philadelphia? You

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Speaker 1: know with that with that Super Bowl hangover? And then

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Speaker 1: Dallas there's always drama in Dallas. Who knows what's gonna

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Speaker 1: happ And it's been two decades, by the way since

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Speaker 1: a division champ has repeated here.

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Speaker 2: But do you think that the New York Giants can

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Speaker 2: challenge for this division this year? Yeah?

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Speaker 3: So the Giants are plus three thousand, so certainly they

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Speaker 3: should have our attention a little bit because there's real

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Speaker 3: talent here at least again on defense, that defensive line.

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Speaker 3: If you're going to be in on the Giants, that

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Speaker 3: absolutely is where you're starting.

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Speaker 2: Dexter Lawrence.

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Speaker 3: If you're in the Giants, you gotta be in on

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Speaker 3: him as a defensive Player of the Year candidate. He's

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Speaker 3: played as well as anybody for what three years, at

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Speaker 3: least running now and then get the pass rushers they

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Speaker 3: draft Abdul Carter. Now they have him plus Brian Burns

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Speaker 3: plus cave On Thibodeau. This defense I rated as number twelve,

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Speaker 3: and frankly, I'm a little low on Shane Bohen, the coordinator.

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Speaker 3: I'm not a super believer in the guys they add

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Speaker 3: in the secondary. If I'm wrong about those things, maybe

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Speaker 3: it's the top five defense and maybe you know, we

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Speaker 3: get every year. It feels like we talked with the

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Speaker 3: Steelers already one or two of those teams where it's like,

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Speaker 3: oh my gosh, how is this a ten win team?

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Speaker 3: It's like there's no offense happening, but the defense, they

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Speaker 3: just keep pulling the rabbits out of their hat.

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Speaker 1: Don't They always have a good defensive line though, I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is this looks like, you know, Strahan and Tuck

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Speaker 1: and Kiwi and Ocu Minora. Guene had those guys many

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Speaker 1: many years ago. This is a puck into those names.

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Speaker 1: This is a really damn good defensive line.

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Speaker 3: Yeah it is. And you know, Giants fans would remind

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Speaker 3: us that two of those really good defensive lines went

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Speaker 3: on to win the Super Bowl, even coming out of

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Speaker 3: a wild card spot, taking down the Patriots, which you know,

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Speaker 3: we can be thankful for one thing at least. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 3: those defensive lines can only play half the game, and

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Speaker 3: like the Browns, we still have to play offense. And

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Speaker 3: I'm not sure the Giants offense we a bunch better

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Speaker 3: than the Browns. I had both offenses bottom tier, bottom

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Speaker 3: three in the NFL. Now, obviously we got Milik Neighbors.

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Speaker 3: He's awesome. I think he's like Tura Owens two point

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Speaker 3: zero left tackle Andrew Thomas is a star. But both

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Speaker 3: of those dudes cannot stay healthy. And there's nothing on

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Speaker 3: this offense outside of those two. And as soon as

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Speaker 3: one of those guys goes out, I think this is

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Speaker 3: the number thirty two offense with the bullet which is

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Speaker 3: saying something in a league with the Browns and the Saints, around.

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Speaker 3: It's ross to start out. It's eventually going to be

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Speaker 3: Jackson Dark who frankly has looked pretty good in preseason,

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Speaker 3: but it's still a rookie. I honestly, I might feel

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Speaker 3: better about a Giants bet if I knew Jamis was

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Speaker 3: gonna play all year. Just give me the volatility like

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Speaker 3: the Bads, but the upside also. I'd rather have the

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Speaker 3: upside there. But even if you're kind of into the Giants,

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Speaker 3: I think you check the schedule. That's the end because

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Speaker 3: here's where we go. First four games Washington, Dallas, Kansas City,

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Speaker 3: and the Chargers doesn't sound great, but I'll make a

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Speaker 3: case if we're in because of the defensive line. Those

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Speaker 3: are four beatable offensive lines. Washington's not very good, Dallas

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Speaker 3: has lost a lot of their guys. Kansas City, we

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Speaker 3: know that that's kind of in flux. The Chargers lost later.

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Speaker 3: If you like the Giants, get better like that stretch,

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Speaker 3: because soon after that, here's a seven week in a

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Speaker 3: row stretch. They have no breaks, no bi weeks. This

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Speaker 3: is just back to back to back Eagles, Broncos, Eagles, Niners, Bears, Packers, Lions,

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Speaker 3: Holy crap, no, thank you. The Giants have to play

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Speaker 3: the entire NFC North, the entire AFCU West, and like

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Speaker 3: you said, at the top, pretty tough division. They got

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Speaker 3: Super Bowl champs Washington their eyes. Heck, Dallas won twelve

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Speaker 3: wins three seasons in a row before they fell apart

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Speaker 3: last year, so maybe they're in the mix.

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Speaker 2: Two.

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Speaker 3: Can't get there with the Giants. I like the defensive front,

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Speaker 3: but you know, like you said, the gem Men always

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Speaker 3: have the defensive front, but you know, not a lot

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Speaker 3: in the playoffs, so I think we'll pass.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's still a tough division, even though it seems

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Speaker 1: like maybe there's regression for teams in front of them.

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Speaker 1: But how much regression is is there going to be?

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Speaker 1: So time will tell on that.

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Speaker 2: Brandon.

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Speaker 1: Let's transition to Tier four, which you title maybe if

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Speaker 1: you squint, but I can't get there. And the NFC South,

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Speaker 1: but both the South divisions really in the NFL, I

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Speaker 1: think the saving grace for every Sea team in those

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Speaker 1: divisions is it's the South and that seemingly is all

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Speaker 1: it is, maybe a little bit more on the AFC side,

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Speaker 1: certainly in the NFC side in recent years, but the

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Speaker 1: New Orleans Saints in the NFC South had the distinction

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Speaker 1: of being last, even though tied record with Carolina, but

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Speaker 1: Saints officially were the last team in the division. And boy,

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Speaker 1: the quarterback situation doesn't really give you a lot to

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Speaker 1: write home about down there on Bourbon Street.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a mess. The Saints come in at plus

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Speaker 3: sixteen hundred and man. Almost any other team here in

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Speaker 3: the NFL, like twenty nine teams, I'd probably have them

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Speaker 3: at least like top three in our rankings. Any chance

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Speaker 3: to bet against the NFC South, I'm in. I have

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Speaker 3: all four teams in this division A ranked bottom ten

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Speaker 3: in the NFL, including the Bucks because of their injuries

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Speaker 3: right now where I'm really worried about them. I ranked

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Speaker 3: all the offenses. I ranked all the defenses. Neither team

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Speaker 3: or in the division has an offense or defense. It's

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Speaker 3: even top half of the league. The only one was

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Speaker 3: the Bucks offense. But now Wurfs has hurt, Godwin's hurt,

295
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Speaker 3: McMillan is hurt. They got a tough schedule start the year.

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Speaker 3: That path is open, Like you could be three and

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Speaker 3: four and leading the division halfway through the season here,

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Speaker 3: but it's the Saints. I have the Saints as the

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Speaker 3: worst team in the NFL by margin. The offense I

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Speaker 3: ranked dead last. There's really no strength on the offense.

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Speaker 3: I have the worst quarterback room in the league. Tyler

302
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Speaker 3: Shuck and Spencer Rattler. I'm not high on either guy.

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Speaker 3: And if you're Tyler Shuck and you are like fifty

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Speaker 3: five years old already and still can't beat out Spencer

305
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Speaker 3: Ratler to win the job, I'm not really optimistic about you.

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Speaker 3: The defense, there's talent there, but it's old and has

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Speaker 3: been slowly faltering. Now you lose Dennis Allen, they kind

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Speaker 3: of get the coaching leftovers out of the cycle. There's

309
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Speaker 3: just not a lot to see here. The Saints open

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Speaker 3: the season six of their first seven games against the

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Speaker 3: defense I had in my top twelve. So if you're

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Speaker 3: the worst offense and you're facing all these great defenses,

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Speaker 3: that's just not going to go.

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Speaker 2: Oh. While I will say this, they.

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Speaker 3: Do have, by dv away, the softest schedule in the

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Speaker 3: second half of the season, So I can't tell you

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Speaker 3: never bet the Saints. Never say never in the NFL.

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Speaker 3: We've seen that happen. But again, New Orleans is sixteen

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Speaker 3: to one. A team this bad should be like fifty

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Speaker 3: to one. To win the division. They're not because the

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Speaker 3: NFC South is terrible. So I won't hate you if

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Speaker 3: you want to bet on just randomness, and I don't

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Speaker 3: want to play on the NFC South. But I think

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Speaker 3: you can wait and try that later on, And frankly,

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Speaker 3: I might be looking to wait and invest in a

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Speaker 3: team like the Buccaneers later on. If they do start slow,

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Speaker 3: they're gonna have a pretty soft schedule later on as well.

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Speaker 3: I know you are kind of interested in the Panthers

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Speaker 3: here technically did tie for a last I don't know

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Speaker 3: if I can do Panthers Island again. Man, I did

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Speaker 3: it last year and Bryce Young sunk me. We lost

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Speaker 3: Derek Brown the first game of the season. What do

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Speaker 3: you like about the Panthers this year?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think a lot of us.

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Speaker 1: Maybe we were a little bit of a year early,

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Speaker 1: because of course Dave Canalis came in and we're like, well,

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Speaker 1: look at what he did with Baker Mayfield. He finally

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Speaker 1: found Baker Mayfield a home there and he had his

339
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Speaker 1: career year. And then what happens Canallis leaves and Liam

340
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Speaker 1: Cohen comes in and Baker Mayfield he has even a

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Speaker 1: better year in Tampa Bay so you know, maybe I

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Speaker 1: gave too much credit to Canalis because I really thought

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Speaker 1: that he was going to turn around their fortunes. And

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Speaker 1: Bryce Young obviously struggled out of the gate, and then

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Speaker 1: you had Andy Dalton in the middle of the season.

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Speaker 1: But Bryce Young took back over in week eight. He

347
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Speaker 1: only went four and six in those ten games, but

348
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Speaker 1: you look, the touchdown interception ratio was fifteen to six,

349
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Speaker 1: sixty two percent completion rate. Was able to use his

350
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Speaker 1: legs and run the ball a little bit. Now a

351
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Speaker 1: lot of that, to be fair, Brandon was the short

352
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Speaker 1: passing game. However, he seemed to get like a better

353
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Speaker 1: grasp of this offense. So it's like, and I've never

354
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Speaker 1: really been a huge Bryce Young guy, but it's like,

355
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Speaker 1: maybe there's something here, maybe there's something salvageable. And he's got,

356
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Speaker 1: i think, a pretty solid receiving core with Xavier. We

357
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Speaker 1: get McMillan out of Arizona, the first round pick Adam Thielen,

358
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Speaker 1: so he's got some big targets out there. The backfield,

359
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Speaker 1: you not only have Chewbe Hubbard, but the South Carolina

360
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Speaker 1: product Rico Dwdel who had over a thousand yards last year.

361
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Speaker 2: What I really like about this offense.

362
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Speaker 1: I think this is one of the better offensive line

363
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Speaker 1: groups in the league that doesn't get a lot of

364
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Speaker 1: ink because it's Carolina. They were top ten in yards

365
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Speaker 1: for Carrie, they were top twelve in sack percentage, and

366
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Speaker 1: they made a lot of moves to upgrade this last

367
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Speaker 1: year on the interior Damian Lewis and Robert Hunt, and

368
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Speaker 1: I think that that gives a young quarterback a chance.

369
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Speaker 1: When you've got an offensive line that a young quarterback

370
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Speaker 1: that's going to make some mistakes, that's still kind of

371
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Speaker 1: trying to figure it out. When you have that offensive line, boy,

372
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Speaker 1: that's a good security blanket. But unfortunately, on the other

373
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Speaker 1: side of the trenches, that's really where the weakness is.

374
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Speaker 1: Unless Derek Brown can come back healthy from that injury

375
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Speaker 1: and be a real beast man. This defensive line, I

376
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Speaker 1: thought the defense was really everybody points to the offense.

377
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Speaker 1: I thought the defense was disappointing because I thought everro

378
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Speaker 1: was a solid defensive coordinator in Denver, so I thought, Okay,

379
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Speaker 1: he's going to be good in Carlina.

380
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Speaker 2: They didn't get to the quarterback hardly at all.

381
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Speaker 1: I think, you know, couldn't sack the quarterback couldn't stop

382
00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:09,399
Speaker 1: the run. They got beat five point two yards to carry,

383
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Speaker 1: So this defense could be what holds him back. I'm

384
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Speaker 1: not even as worried about necessarily the offense. Now the

385
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Speaker 1: bye week comes late too. There, I believe Week fourteen,

386
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Speaker 1: I want to say, is that bye week. So if

387
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Speaker 1: the young kid young gets off to a slow start,

388
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,399
Speaker 1: you worry a little bit about that. But I just

389
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Speaker 1: look at this division and I think like this is

390
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Speaker 1: maybe the take a shot division because Carolina, you know, Atlanta,

391
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Speaker 1: even though Michael Pennix didn't play at Indiana University, he's

392
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Speaker 1: still essentially a rookie quarterback, you know, as full as

393
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Speaker 1: a full time starter. And Tampa Bay you wonder, you know,

394
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Speaker 1: if just regression is coming. I think they're the default favorite,

395
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Speaker 1: no question about it. And you know, went ten and

396
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Speaker 1: seven early exit in the playoffs, a really good offense

397
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Speaker 1: that that can certainly cook.

398
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Speaker 2: But I think this is division maybe take a shot.

399
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Speaker 1: Like if I was going to take a shot, it

400
00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:06,520
Speaker 1: wouldn't be New Orleans, it would certainly be with Carolina

401
00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:09,400
Speaker 1: four and a quarter or somewhere in that price range.

402
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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that makes a lot of sense. It's

403
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Speaker 3: definitely to me, a division I want to take a

404
00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:16,800
Speaker 3: shot at. I have plenty of doubts on Tampa, as

405
00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:19,960
Speaker 3: heavy a favorite as they are, and with all the injuries,

406
00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:23,360
Speaker 3: I really think, I know folks are talking about Tristan Wurfs,

407
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,359
Speaker 3: think about some of the other tackles of his caliber,

408
00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:31,080
Speaker 3: like Trent Williams, Tron Armstead. When that guy goes out,

409
00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:34,320
Speaker 3: the entire offense crumbles around them. Look what happened with

410
00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:36,400
Speaker 3: Trent Williams got hurt last year the ninerser every time

411
00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:38,919
Speaker 3: he gets hurt, Tron Armstead, he goes out and the

412
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:41,680
Speaker 3: Dolphins can't block anybody, and the offense suddenly.

413
00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:42,520
Speaker 2: Just completely disappears.

414
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Speaker 3: To me, like we did offensive line rankings, the Chargers

415
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:48,800
Speaker 3: lost Ray Shawn Slater, who is a worse player than

416
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Speaker 3: Tristan Wurfs, and they dropped from top ten to bottom

417
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:54,399
Speaker 3: ten in my offensive line rankings. I think the Bucks

418
00:19:54,480 --> 00:19:57,639
Speaker 3: healthy are like a top three offensive line, and the

419
00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:01,360
Speaker 3: Bucks healthy with receivers are top seven offense. Last year

420
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:04,000
Speaker 3: they were a top seven offense. They were awesome. And

421
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Speaker 3: you mentioned Dave Canalis. I think we have to ding

422
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,960
Speaker 3: him a little bit because Canalis leaves the Bucks and

423
00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,879
Speaker 3: they got better. They were a better offense under Liam Cohen,

424
00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,359
Speaker 3: but he's gone now now it's Josh Grizzard, and we

425
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:18,160
Speaker 3: did see Canallos get some results late with the Panthers.

426
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Speaker 3: So if the Bucks ever get back to what they're

427
00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:25,040
Speaker 3: supposed to be in October November in this division, it

428
00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:28,840
Speaker 3: might still be enough. But I think right now I

429
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:31,199
Speaker 3: don't mind kind of buying low on a team that

430
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:33,120
Speaker 3: you like, and if you need to, you can buy

431
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Speaker 3: back with the Bucks later on. Maybe just have both

432
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Speaker 3: sides and ride it out. I have been wanting to

433
00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:42,040
Speaker 3: fade the Bucks for years in this division, which means

434
00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:45,040
Speaker 3: I have been losing money betting against the Bucks savision

435
00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:47,560
Speaker 3: because they always find a way at the end. Samolo

436
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:50,040
Speaker 3: has a tant but you're right. Saints are definitely not

437
00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:51,879
Speaker 3: what's going to entice me to wait into the waters

438
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:52,320
Speaker 3: this year.

439
00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's going to be a rough year

440
00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:59,359
Speaker 1: down in New Orleans. So they've got that loud crowd

441
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:01,399
Speaker 1: in the Dome. Maybe that's enough to steal a game

442
00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:04,040
Speaker 1: because they still have a very good home field advantage,

443
00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 1: but they don't have a very good team on that

444
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:09,479
Speaker 1: field for that home field advantage. But a team that

445
00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 1: maybe there's a little bit of optimism about I don't

446
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,840
Speaker 1: think this team. You know, living here Brandon, you know

447
00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:18,600
Speaker 1: the team hasn't taken over the town or anything because

448
00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:21,919
Speaker 1: there's a lot of road fans that come here. You know,

449
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:24,879
Speaker 1: it's it's a tourist destination. It's not like this team

450
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:27,960
Speaker 1: as I think, you know, built a fan base like

451
00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:29,919
Speaker 1: certainly the Golden Knights did. And it helps that you

452
00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 1: get to the Stanley Cup finals in your first year

453
00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 1: and have won one since. And so it hasn't taken

454
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,760
Speaker 1: Las Vegas by storm. But there is a little bit

455
00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:40,880
Speaker 1: more buzz and a little bit more news about the

456
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 1: Raiders in the AFC West. So tell us what your

457
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:46,200
Speaker 1: outlook on the Silver and Black.

458
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, And honestly there should be some more buzz for

459
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:50,920
Speaker 3: the Raiders. Finally we made it to a team number

460
00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:53,159
Speaker 3: five on our list. I had to actually make a

461
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:55,919
Speaker 3: positive case for the team, not just argue against the

462
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:59,400
Speaker 3: other teams in the division. So the Raiders three things

463
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:02,320
Speaker 3: you love about them this year is big floor making

464
00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:07,439
Speaker 3: floor raising move at running back quarterback coaching. So running

465
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,840
Speaker 3: back were running running backs don't matter, It might matter.

466
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,159
Speaker 3: It turns out when Zimir White is your guy and

467
00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:14,760
Speaker 3: like runs into the line and falls over. Now you

468
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,520
Speaker 3: got Ashton Genty, who's going to be we know already

469
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:20,960
Speaker 3: almost certainly a great back and in chip Kelly's system.

470
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:23,640
Speaker 3: I mentioned chip Kelly, he comes in to run the offense.

471
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:27,280
Speaker 3: Did great job at Ohio State. Pete Carroll an awesome coach,

472
00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 3: definitely on the older side, but has had great results

473
00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:33,880
Speaker 3: and great with team culture, which the Raiders badly need,

474
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:36,760
Speaker 3: and great with developing young guys with this team needs

475
00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 3: a lot. And then that quarterback from whatever the mess was,

476
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:42,359
Speaker 3: They threw it last year to Gino Smith, who I

477
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 3: had ranked top ten in my quarterbacks this year, which

478
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 3: I know is a hot take, but I think at

479
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 3: the very least he is a top half of the

480
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:53,640
Speaker 3: league quarterback. So you have probably bottom three runners quarterbacks

481
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:55,879
Speaker 3: and coaching staff from a year ago at this time

482
00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:58,240
Speaker 3: to top half of the league at least.

483
00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:00,800
Speaker 2: That's a huge, just floor.

484
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 3: Raising move on the team that everything has to be

485
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:06,919
Speaker 3: a little better. And in the division there are some

486
00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 3: reasons to doubt. Right all three other teams made the playoffs.

487
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,199
Speaker 3: You don't love that as a starting point, but we

488
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:15,199
Speaker 3: know the Chiefs offense regular season at least is sliding

489
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 3: a little bit. You mention their line, their receivers. There's

490
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:21,679
Speaker 3: some reasons to doubt still the Homes, but we're looking

491
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 3: here the Chargers. We talked with this later injury. I

492
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:27,840
Speaker 3: think their defense is really lacking talent. I've been very

493
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:31,439
Speaker 3: skeptical on the Broncos throughout all the rankings podcasts that

494
00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 3: we've done. I'm down on just, frankly, everything about them

495
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:39,080
Speaker 3: compared to consensus. The problem with the Raiders is you

496
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:41,600
Speaker 3: get the floor raising stuff and you get maybe some

497
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 3: opportunity the division, But what we haven't said is anything

498
00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:47,960
Speaker 3: about the defense. And this defense I think is the

499
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 3: bottom two defense on paper. I hate to say my

500
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 3: other one is the Carolina Panthers, but these two teams

501
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:55,600
Speaker 3: on paper just don't have a lot of talent. And

502
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:59,159
Speaker 3: similar to the Panthers, I like the coordinator, Patrick Graham

503
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:02,440
Speaker 3: is pretty good, good at his job, and frankly had

504
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:04,840
Speaker 3: this defense playing pretty well late in the season. Well

505
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:07,720
Speaker 3: no one cared anymore. But the guys that were playing

506
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 3: well they're gone now. Robert Spilane gone, Divine, Diablo Gaunt,

507
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:15,640
Speaker 3: Christian Wilkins, Jack Jones, Trevon Moehrick, they're all gone off

508
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,679
Speaker 3: of the team and talent wise, this is not a

509
00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:23,359
Speaker 3: lot left for the Raiders defensively, and even if the

510
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 3: offense is better, they're still maybe optimistically the third best

511
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:30,840
Speaker 3: offense in the division. And even if Patrick Graham finds

512
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:34,719
Speaker 3: some defense, they're still maybe optimistically the third best defense

513
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,919
Speaker 3: in the division. Saw even my best scenario have to

514
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 3: have the third best offense and defense.

515
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:40,960
Speaker 2: Out of four.

516
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:43,640
Speaker 3: It's a little too far from me. I will say this.

517
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 3: I didn't mention the odds at DraftKings. The Raiders are

518
00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:50,200
Speaker 3: plus twenty two hund so twenty two to one. At

519
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 3: FanDuel they're literally half that at eleven to one. Just

520
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,439
Speaker 3: playing the market alone. I don't mind if you nibble

521
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:58,719
Speaker 3: the twenty two to one, just get a little position,

522
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,400
Speaker 3: you know. I think this division stays a little more compact.

523
00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 3: You know, for years now the Chiefs just run away

524
00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:07,320
Speaker 3: with it. I don't know that that will happen this year.

525
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 3: So I don't mind just taking the long play as

526
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 3: a market play twenty two to one. But it's not

527
00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:14,760
Speaker 3: going to be a team that I can believe too far.

528
00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 3: I believe in their improvement, but division is too big

529
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,000
Speaker 3: of an ask maybe just like an over game to

530
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:21,600
Speaker 3: game as the way to go with the Raiders.

531
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, certainly improvement. I think definitely with the coaching staff,

532
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 1: with Pete Carroll coming out of retirement seeing if he

533
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,720
Speaker 1: can get the silver and Black back as a matter

534
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,119
Speaker 1: of fact, and really for the first time here in

535
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:34,879
Speaker 1: Las Vegas.

536
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,440
Speaker 2: So looking forward to that season, No surprises, folks.

537
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,919
Speaker 1: NFL season, by the way, kicks off in two weeks,

538
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:41,840
Speaker 1: and to get the most out of the award winning

539
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 1: Action App, you'll won an Action Pro subscription because only

540
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 1: Pro subscribers are going to get the real time pick

541
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:51,920
Speaker 1: alerts from experts like Brandon Anderson, Stuckey, Chris Raybond, Sean Kerner, myself,

542
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,680
Speaker 1: and our entire Action Network team. And you can also

543
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 1: get those pro projections powered by the aforementioned Sean Kerner.

544
00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 1: If you're betting NFL, you'll want to be paying attention

545
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:04,320
Speaker 1: to what Sean's putting out on the site and also

546
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:05,760
Speaker 1: on the app. And plus you get a ton of

547
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,479
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548
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549
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550
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551
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552
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553
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 1: to get twenty dollars off a year of Action Pro. Brandon,

554
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 1: we're back here, and let's go to that middle tier

555
00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 1: that you're looking at from worse to first. Perhaps, but

556
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 1: only if you're going to take on the favorite only

557
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:41,560
Speaker 1: as a direct bet against the favorite in the division.

558
00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 1: And we know who the favorite is in the AFC South.

559
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 1: It is the Houston Texans. But like I've said, and

560
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:50,880
Speaker 1: being an Indianapolis Colts fan, everything you hear.

561
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 2: How do you feel about your team?

562
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:54,800
Speaker 1: Well, it's the AFC South, so it feels like there's

563
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:57,720
Speaker 1: always a chance, even though Houston's kind of had control

564
00:26:57,760 --> 00:27:01,160
Speaker 1: of this division over the last couple of years, Brandon,

565
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 1: the team that was at the bottom of this division

566
00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 1: last year under then first year coach Brian Callahan were

567
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans, who are at eight to one at

568
00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:15,119
Speaker 1: various shops out there, including Caesars to go ahead and

569
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:17,960
Speaker 1: win the AFC stuff. So break it down why you

570
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 1: might have at least some scintilla of optimism about the

571
00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:22,360
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans.

572
00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna start with the optimism, but then I'll

573
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:27,199
Speaker 3: give you some pessimism as well. So it starts with

574
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,119
Speaker 3: the division, of course, because I didn't really need to

575
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,439
Speaker 3: say a whole lot about the Colts and Jaguar just

576
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 3: not super inspiring. I think a lot of folks are

577
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 3: not super inspired by the Texans. But maybe the floor

578
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 3: is a little higher than people think, just because they're

579
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 3: my number one defense, but I think everyone thinks at

580
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 3: least the top five type defense. They are a great

581
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 3: special teams unit year after year with coaching, and then

582
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:51,040
Speaker 3: the coaching staff has proven to be one of the

583
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 3: best as well, So I get it. The offense disappointed,

584
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 3: the offensive line maybe is worse than the league, and

585
00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,840
Speaker 3: it could stay live in the division it's been live

586
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,960
Speaker 3: last Coupier is another one here where I want my sleeper.

587
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:05,520
Speaker 3: I got my Texans Island money, and I've been chasing

588
00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:07,639
Speaker 3: who's going to beat them now? And I lost some

589
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,760
Speaker 3: bets last year chasing. They do play six of their

590
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:13,880
Speaker 3: first eight games, the Texans against ten win teams from

591
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 3: last year, ten or more, so I think that alone

592
00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 3: could keep the division live and the Titans are another

593
00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 3: one of those most improved teams in the league. Again,

594
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:25,320
Speaker 3: when you're terrible, you get to improve a lot, right,

595
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,440
Speaker 3: all right, Well, let me give you some sexy talk

596
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:31,760
Speaker 3: about offensive line and special teams. Bill Callahan, not Brian,

597
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:35,560
Speaker 3: Brian's dad, Bill, that's the offensive line guru. So they

598
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:38,200
Speaker 3: go out and they bring in Dan Moore and Kevin Zeiler,

599
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:43,560
Speaker 3: just veteran quality, good starters. You get back Senator Lloyd

600
00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,880
Speaker 3: Cushion Berry, who's healthy. Again, you already invested a lot

601
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 3: in the line. This was the worst line in the

602
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 3: league a couple of years ago. I think they could

603
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 3: threaten top ten once they get things together, especially once

604
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 3: Callahan gets his hands on them, so that can rise

605
00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 3: the tide of the offense. Dennard Wilson defensive corner. I

606
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:02,640
Speaker 3: thought he did a pretty good job last year, even

607
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 3: with a relatively average group. And then under the radar,

608
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,920
Speaker 3: I think this team could have a monster special teams

609
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:12,880
Speaker 3: swing in their favor. Last year, the Titans were dead

610
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 3: last and dva special teams. They had impossibly bad punting numbers,

611
00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 3: They were terrible returning kicks.

612
00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:20,959
Speaker 2: They knew it.

613
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:24,920
Speaker 3: They went to Dallas and hired John fossil who's had

614
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 3: a top ten special teams unit five years in a row.

615
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:29,920
Speaker 3: That's hard to do. And they got a new punter,

616
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:34,080
Speaker 3: a new kicker, new kick returners. Everything is gone and

617
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 3: the starting over. They knew just how bad it was. Historically,

618
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 3: special teams make up like one eighth of what your

619
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:44,600
Speaker 3: team's overall rating is. That's not huge, but that's not nothing.

620
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 3: That's twelve point five percent is one to eighth. And

621
00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 3: if you were literally a negative version of that last

622
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,200
Speaker 3: year and might even be a positive this year, that's

623
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 3: a huge, huge margin that they can get better. So

624
00:29:56,880 --> 00:29:59,640
Speaker 3: the stuff we don't pay a lot of attention to defense,

625
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:03,360
Speaker 3: a little bet offensive line and special teams, I can

626
00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:05,520
Speaker 3: get there on the improvement case. Does any of that

627
00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:07,000
Speaker 3: excite you at all about Tennessee?

628
00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:11,560
Speaker 1: I feel like Tennessee might be like last year's Carolina,

629
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,720
Speaker 1: where there were a lot of things to kind of

630
00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 1: like and saying, hey, this division might be there for

631
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:20,840
Speaker 1: the taking because there's nobody there that really, you know,

632
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:25,320
Speaker 1: strikes fear in your heart necessarily in the division. But

633
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:28,360
Speaker 1: we saw that with Carolina last year and you mentioned it.

634
00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 1: I like them as well, and they were a great disappointment,

635
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 1: and I think maybe that could be Tennessee because this

636
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:38,840
Speaker 1: is an attackable division because you have Houston, who you know,

637
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 1: for the aforementioned reasons why there might be some room

638
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,440
Speaker 1: for them to decline a little bit. Jacksonville has a

639
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 1: new coach. Is this finally the coach in Jacksonville, William

640
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:50,440
Speaker 1: Cohen that gets it right with Trevor Lawrence where this

641
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 1: offense can be really productive and if Trevor Lawrence can

642
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:55,680
Speaker 1: take care of the football, that would certainly help. And

643
00:30:55,720 --> 00:31:00,680
Speaker 1: then Indianapolis, who knows, they have some good weapons on offense,

644
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:04,200
Speaker 1: but it is Daniel Jones that's gonna be h taking

645
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 1: the reins there at starting quarterback and not Anthony Richardson.

646
00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:10,040
Speaker 1: So a transition year for the Colts too, with the

647
00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 1: change in ownership, with the sad passing of Jim Mersay,

648
00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:15,480
Speaker 1: and you have a coach and you have a GM

649
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:18,280
Speaker 1: in Indianapolis very much on the hot seat. So I

650
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 1: understand why maybe that there's a little bit of optimism

651
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 1: for Tennessee. But you might be right this this this

652
00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 1: might be a year early for them, and maybe it's

653
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 1: next year. You know that third year, right that third

654
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,400
Speaker 1: year of the of the new regime where where you

655
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 1: see a lot of that improvement. We'll see what we

656
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 1: see in the second year. I don't know if I

657
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:40,120
Speaker 1: can get there. On the Titans, I certainly think that

658
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,760
Speaker 1: they're gonna have at least some improvement. So I think

659
00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:45,480
Speaker 1: maybe for an overseason wins bet because this is a

660
00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 1: team that I think may struggle, but then they'll keep

661
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 1: playing hard every single week even if they're long eliminated

662
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:55,000
Speaker 1: from playoff contention, and they're gonna knock a couple teams

663
00:31:55,040 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 1: off late in the season, and that's kind of what

664
00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 1: I perceee for Tennessee, where they leave you with a

665
00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:02,680
Speaker 1: good feeling and then there's the big time optimism for

666
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 1: year three in the twenty twenty six season.

667
00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so, And I think even more year

668
00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 3: two of cam Ward, who we haven't talked about yet

669
00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 3: and everyone wants to get excited about the number one pick. Weirdly,

670
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 3: not a lot of buzz about cam Mord I think

671
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:19,520
Speaker 3: among recent number one quarterback picks, one of the underdiscussed

672
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:22,800
Speaker 3: sort of guys. But a caution of betting on Tennessee

673
00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 3: this year. Over the last decade, we've had eight number

674
00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:30,680
Speaker 3: one pick quarterbacks. They averaged three point four wins as rookies.

675
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:34,040
Speaker 3: Three point four is not a lot of wins saw

676
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:38,360
Speaker 3: four season eight point three, that's a big jump. But

677
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:41,960
Speaker 3: those rookie quarterbacks, eight of them, not one has won

678
00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 3: more than six games as a rookie. Even in the

679
00:32:44,600 --> 00:32:46,400
Speaker 3: AFC South, you got to win more than six to

680
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:49,360
Speaker 3: win the division. Like mathematically, I'm pretty sure he's still

681
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 3: got to get to seven wins somehow. And then Brian Callahan,

682
00:32:53,160 --> 00:32:56,520
Speaker 3: last year the Titans go two to fifteen against the spread,

683
00:32:57,080 --> 00:33:00,200
Speaker 3: Why does that matter? The spread is changing as the

684
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 3: games go on in the season. We knew the Titans

685
00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:06,280
Speaker 3: were bad, we kept making the bar lower, and he's

686
00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:09,000
Speaker 3: still kept going under He's like the limbo champion of

687
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:14,200
Speaker 3: the spread. That if you keep underperforming expectations game after game,

688
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:16,520
Speaker 3: and that's what the market is telling us. I do

689
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:19,440
Speaker 3: think that's a real data point. And then last thing here,

690
00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:21,760
Speaker 3: even if you like Tennessee, even if you want to

691
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:27,280
Speaker 3: invest in the AFC South, Week one, Tennessee goes at Denver.

692
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,720
Speaker 3: That's your debut for your number one quarterback, your new

693
00:33:30,760 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 3: offensive line at Denver where nobody wants to play at

694
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:39,760
Speaker 3: vance Joseph's defense, That aggressive attacking defense against your brand

695
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:43,080
Speaker 3: new quarterback with no interior protection figuring it out. Yet

696
00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 3: you're going to lose value on your bet right off

697
00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 3: the bat in all likelihood with the likely loss there

698
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:52,040
Speaker 3: at Houston, I think week three or four. This is

699
00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 3: a team that keep your eye on them. Maybe they

700
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:57,400
Speaker 3: can get there. Maybe it's later in the year. But

701
00:33:57,600 --> 00:34:00,480
Speaker 3: similar to the Saints there were sixteen to one, the

702
00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:03,080
Speaker 3: Titans are only eight to one. A team with this

703
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 3: type of roster should be longer than eight to one,

704
00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 3: but they can't because it's the AFC South. But if

705
00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:11,279
Speaker 3: Houston wins some of these early games, it looks like

706
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:14,640
Speaker 3: we think they should. Titans lose and look ugly against

707
00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:18,239
Speaker 3: Denver and Houston, now you get a better price. Now

708
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:20,040
Speaker 3: maybe you nibble a little bit later. So I'm not

709
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:22,719
Speaker 3: ruling Tennessee out. We said a lot of positive things

710
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:23,279
Speaker 3: about them.

711
00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 2: They'll get there.

712
00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:28,480
Speaker 3: I think when in time, I'm not sure, but I

713
00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:30,919
Speaker 3: need a better price to find out on them.

714
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:33,440
Speaker 1: There are some folks out there that think that this

715
00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:35,440
Speaker 1: team is going to get there, and now I don't

716
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:37,839
Speaker 1: know if it's maybe by default, but that's in the

717
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:41,520
Speaker 1: AFC East with the new England Patriots at a little over

718
00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:44,560
Speaker 1: six to one, six and a quarter to win this division.

719
00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:47,120
Speaker 1: Now they've got the eight hundred pound gorilla in the

720
00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 1: division with Buffalo, but with not a lot of optimism

721
00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:56,520
Speaker 1: about Miami and the Jets per se New England. You know,

722
00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:58,319
Speaker 1: we've been looking at them and it's like, man, it

723
00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:02,439
Speaker 1: feels like they're overpriced, but there's only one team kind

724
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:04,480
Speaker 1: of standing in their way maybe in this division.

725
00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:08,520
Speaker 3: Brand Yeah, Unfortunately, it's a gorilla of a team. The

726
00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:13,520
Speaker 3: Josh Allen last five years, thirteen wins, eleven thirteen, eleven thirteen,

727
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:15,399
Speaker 3: So that's what we're looking at. We got to get

728
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:18,799
Speaker 3: to at least eleven wins. Josh Allen virtually guarantees you

729
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:22,600
Speaker 3: have top three DVA offense unless he's injured. And frankly,

730
00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:25,200
Speaker 3: Sean McDermott he's had that high of a floor as well.

731
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:28,200
Speaker 3: So I'm not really looking for ways to have to

732
00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 3: bet against McDermott and Josh Allen. But unfortunately, that's what

733
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:33,520
Speaker 3: this whole podcast is about. We have to bet against

734
00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:37,560
Speaker 3: the favorites. Probably a Patriots bet either needs Allen to

735
00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:40,560
Speaker 3: get hurt or you got to beat him, probably twice.

736
00:35:40,640 --> 00:35:42,760
Speaker 3: So that's the bet that's where you have to start here.

737
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:45,680
Speaker 3: But I think there's a lot to like about the

738
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 3: Patriots this year. I think they are one of the

739
00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 3: most improved teams, maybe even more than Tennessee or the Raiders.

740
00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:54,399
Speaker 3: They remind me a lot of last year's Commanders. They

741
00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:56,920
Speaker 3: use a ton of cap room on floor, raising talent,

742
00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,640
Speaker 3: just adding dudes all over the roster. You bring in

743
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:03,440
Speaker 3: the culture changing coach Dan Quinn, Mike Rabel, You're bringing

744
00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:07,680
Speaker 3: the retrade offensive coordinator Cliff Kingsbury, Josh McDaniels. Maybe there's

745
00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:11,000
Speaker 3: something there. Maybe they've found some new tricks. Can Drake

746
00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 3: may be Jane Daniels. That sounds crazy. I'm really high

747
00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:17,319
Speaker 3: on Drake Man. I have him top of half of

748
00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:19,520
Speaker 3: the league right now. I think by the end of

749
00:36:19,560 --> 00:36:22,320
Speaker 3: the season, if things go well, he could be considered

750
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:25,560
Speaker 3: a top ten, top eight type quarterback for this team.

751
00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:28,759
Speaker 3: And I'm really high on the defense. I had them

752
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:31,279
Speaker 3: top ten in my rankings. I mentioned the guys they

753
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 3: went out signed. Carlton Davis, really good corner with Christian

754
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:38,040
Speaker 3: Zalez now maybe a top five corner pairing Milton Williams.

755
00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:40,720
Speaker 3: We saw him in the playoff run for the Eagles healthy,

756
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:43,960
Speaker 3: Christian Barmore already on the roster. Great, we're great up

757
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:48,200
Speaker 3: the middle now, Robertsplane, Herold Landry, just more dudes that

758
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:52,359
Speaker 3: are starters and eat up some bad minutes, basically on

759
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:56,960
Speaker 3: your roster, some bad snaps. We already got all those weapons. Defensively, Jabrill,

760
00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:59,440
Speaker 3: Peppery's a lot of other dudes. I think there's a

761
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:02,880
Speaker 3: lot to work with defensively on the roster. The offense,

762
00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:05,000
Speaker 3: they get a long way to go, but they improve too.

763
00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:07,719
Speaker 3: The line is going to start two rookies, so not

764
00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:11,279
Speaker 3: great early, but heck, their line was terrible last year,

765
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,600
Speaker 3: as good as bad as anybody. So they get two

766
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:16,279
Speaker 3: new starters on the left, they get Garrett Bradbury and

767
00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:19,239
Speaker 3: Morgan Moses. They're fine, but fine is better than what

768
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 3: they've had. So four new starters will take some time

769
00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:25,800
Speaker 3: but end up in a better place. You get Trevian Henderson,

770
00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:29,120
Speaker 3: great preseason, buzzy name for him, shooting up fantasy boards.

771
00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:32,880
Speaker 3: Kyle Williams in the third round at receiver, Stefan Diggs

772
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 3: hopefully healthy now again not exactly singing the praises of

773
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:41,239
Speaker 3: this team, but hey, let's not be bottom three in

774
00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:43,560
Speaker 3: skill position. Can we just have some guys? Can we

775
00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:47,279
Speaker 3: be like twenty third rather than thirtieth here? That's kind

776
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,080
Speaker 3: of where the offense goes. So if you like the Patriots,

777
00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:57,839
Speaker 3: you gotta buy now. I think, because here's the opening month, Raiders, Dolphins, Steelers, Panthers. Hey,

778
00:37:57,840 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 3: I can win those games if I have a top

779
00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:02,479
Speaker 3: ten of defense, if I can figure things out while

780
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:05,200
Speaker 3: my line is gelling while my young quarterback's getting going,

781
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:07,880
Speaker 3: I could maybe do that. Then they play the Bills,

782
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 3: and that's your kind of swing point. Obviously on the division,

783
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:13,040
Speaker 3: the Bills are pretty soft scheduled early on as well.

784
00:38:13,080 --> 00:38:15,800
Speaker 3: They played the Ravens Week one, but then they're soft

785
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:18,560
Speaker 3: throughout honestly, so I think if you want to bet

786
00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 3: on the Patriots, it probably would need to be now.

787
00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 3: I wanted this one. I wanted Patriots. I'm in on

788
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:28,520
Speaker 3: the defense. I love Drake May. I do think we

789
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:31,799
Speaker 3: have to remember that even if their last year's commanders

790
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:34,799
Speaker 3: last year's commanders did not go worse to first, they

791
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:37,080
Speaker 3: made the playoffs, they would have lost our bet if

792
00:38:37,120 --> 00:38:40,759
Speaker 3: we bet them. So at six and a quarter, it's

793
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:42,640
Speaker 3: not quite juicy enough. I think this is the one

794
00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:45,759
Speaker 3: where a decade ago. The Patriots are terrible, and maybe

795
00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:47,480
Speaker 3: they're like a twelve to one, and we're like, oh,

796
00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 3: you know who, I like the Patriots, and I feel

797
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:51,839
Speaker 3: like books have maybe got a little bit ahead on

798
00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:55,000
Speaker 3: the Patriots and robbed the value. So I don't see

799
00:38:55,080 --> 00:38:58,480
Speaker 3: much value on the number, even if I like the idea.

800
00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:02,319
Speaker 1: So let's go to tier two here, and this one

801
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,239
Speaker 1: I think probably the most obvious one. This is a

802
00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:09,120
Speaker 1: team I'm certainly high on, and for good reason, they

803
00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:11,200
Speaker 1: went It's hard to imagine this team went six and

804
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:14,239
Speaker 1: eleven last year, but with the amount of injuries that

805
00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:16,600
Speaker 1: they had, not only on the offensive side of the ball,

806
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:18,680
Speaker 1: but on the defensive side of the ball, they were

807
00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 1: just a bare bones team at the end of the season.

808
00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:25,360
Speaker 1: But we know that this team has a lot of success,

809
00:39:25,400 --> 00:39:27,759
Speaker 1: and it seems like it's almost like every other year

810
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:31,200
Speaker 1: something goes wrong, this team has injuries or you know,

811
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:34,200
Speaker 1: something happened, and then the very next year they're one

812
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 1: of the best teams in the league. And then maybe

813
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:39,440
Speaker 1: that's going to happen this year with the San Francisco

814
00:39:39,680 --> 00:39:40,720
Speaker 1: forty nine ers.

815
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, so not hard to imagine the Niners going worse

816
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:46,040
Speaker 3: to first they're the favorites in the division right now

817
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:48,880
Speaker 3: by the betting odds, around plus one fifty one sixty

818
00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:50,719
Speaker 3: five at bet MGM is the best number.

819
00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:51,240
Speaker 2: I see.

820
00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:53,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, you kind of said what when you say about

821
00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:55,640
Speaker 3: the Niners in a lot of ways. They lost so

822
00:39:56,160 --> 00:39:59,279
Speaker 3: many injury guys last year, multiple injury games. Let me

823
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:01,600
Speaker 3: just read through the here. At least two games lost

824
00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:06,160
Speaker 3: to Brock Purty, Christian McCaffrey, Trent Williams, Nick Bosa, Brandon Ayu, Deebo,

825
00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:11,400
Speaker 3: Samuel George Kill, Javon Hargrave, Drake Greenlaw, Cherria Sward, Atilo Hufanga.

826
00:40:11,760 --> 00:40:15,919
Speaker 3: Eighty three games lost to those guys I just read off,

827
00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:18,680
Speaker 3: most of whom are healthy now now. Not the last

828
00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:21,759
Speaker 3: four names on the defense. Those guys are gone. But

829
00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:23,600
Speaker 3: are they really a lost to the team when they

830
00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 3: barely played last year? Anyway, I'm not sure that they

831
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:30,239
Speaker 3: are healthy this team. If healthy, they're as good as

832
00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:33,440
Speaker 3: anybody in the NFC. Kyle Shanahan has made five of

833
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:37,040
Speaker 3: the last nine NFC championships as a coach. He's the

834
00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:40,040
Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes of the NFC. As I've been saying, now,

835
00:40:40,080 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 3: they're not healthy already. Unfortunately, Brandon Ayuk not ready yet,

836
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:47,520
Speaker 3: Juwan Jennings already hurt, that guard that they found last year,

837
00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:50,399
Speaker 3: Dominic Putty already injured in the line, and really only

838
00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:53,080
Speaker 3: the second starter besides Trent Williams that's healthy. And we

839
00:40:53,160 --> 00:40:56,040
Speaker 3: know Trent's probably gonna miss a couple games at some point,

840
00:40:56,360 --> 00:40:58,440
Speaker 3: Christian McCaffrey probably go to miss a couple games at

841
00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:02,960
Speaker 3: some point. But if healthy, this team is loaded. I

842
00:41:03,120 --> 00:41:06,160
Speaker 3: love Robert Salah coming back to lead the defense. They're

843
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:09,640
Speaker 3: definite weaknesses there at tackle and the secondary, but that's

844
00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:13,240
Speaker 3: the name I've been excited about since February when honestly,

845
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:15,799
Speaker 3: this was my first bet of the season forty nine

846
00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:17,920
Speaker 3: ors Super Bowl ticket. So that's the case here is

847
00:41:18,600 --> 00:41:20,279
Speaker 3: we don't need to sell you on the Niners. I'm

848
00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:22,680
Speaker 3: in last year in we're high on the Niners. Yeah,

849
00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:25,280
Speaker 3: I don't think this is the way to bet the Niners.

850
00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 3: I don't think you want. This is kind of like

851
00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:30,320
Speaker 3: a median outcome. Frankly, it's not for the other teams

852
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:34,120
Speaker 3: on here. But if the Niners win the division, that

853
00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:36,880
Speaker 3: probably means they're pretty healthy and back to being the Niners.

854
00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:39,320
Speaker 3: And if they win the division, you should be betting

855
00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:41,880
Speaker 3: more aggressively, and plus one sixty five does not do

856
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:44,520
Speaker 3: it for me. Now you want an NFC ticket or

857
00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:47,200
Speaker 3: Super Bowl ticket, and now you gotta believe in the

858
00:41:47,280 --> 00:41:50,480
Speaker 3: long tail high end outcomes. I don't think you want

859
00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 3: to invest in a division ticket. Either it goes wrong

860
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:55,319
Speaker 3: and it's not there, or you get the really good

861
00:41:55,320 --> 00:41:58,320
Speaker 3: part at the end. We know the schedule is crazy easy.

862
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:00,200
Speaker 3: They get to play the whole NFC South in the

863
00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:02,960
Speaker 3: AFC South, Thank you very much for those eight games.

864
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:06,279
Speaker 3: We get Saints Jaguars in September, so it probably looks

865
00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:09,640
Speaker 3: good early. I will say the run defense was terrible

866
00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:13,320
Speaker 3: last year Week one in Seattle, that new Clint Kubiak

867
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:15,919
Speaker 3: run game that could expose a little bit. You don't

868
00:42:15,920 --> 00:42:18,640
Speaker 3: want to bet at a plus one sixty five and

869
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:21,360
Speaker 3: lose to a division rival right out of the gates.

870
00:42:21,560 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 3: That's killer for a ticket like that. You don't need

871
00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:28,360
Speaker 3: that risk. So to me, easy obvious pick. Too boring

872
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:31,200
Speaker 3: for an island. We can't do Niners Island. That's that's

873
00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:33,680
Speaker 3: not an island like Niners Nation. There's way too much

874
00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 3: Niners hype. We'll bet them for other things more aggressively,

875
00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:39,919
Speaker 3: for high end outcomes. Divisions not the way to go.

876
00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:42,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have that same super Bowl ticket that you

877
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:45,120
Speaker 1: have on the forty nine ers. I think if you're

878
00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:48,520
Speaker 1: looking at a division bet, like if you're looking for value,

879
00:42:48,880 --> 00:42:51,640
Speaker 1: that doesn't necessarily mean Okay, this ticket is is going

880
00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:54,359
Speaker 1: to cash, Like there are good bets that don't win.

881
00:42:55,239 --> 00:42:57,440
Speaker 1: I actually think the value in the division is the

882
00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:01,120
Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals. If you're wanting to just totally bet a

883
00:43:01,239 --> 00:43:04,480
Speaker 1: division here here in the West, I think it would

884
00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:08,520
Speaker 1: be Arizona because the Rams look even before the injuried

885
00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 1: to Stafford, I had some concerns a little bit about

886
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:16,319
Speaker 1: that team, even though I really like their defensive front.

887
00:43:16,320 --> 00:43:18,759
Speaker 1: We were talking about how good the Giants defensive front is,

888
00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:21,319
Speaker 1: so as the Rams, but I.

889
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:23,240
Speaker 2: Was a little I was a little bit concerned about

890
00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:23,800
Speaker 2: these guys.

891
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:26,880
Speaker 1: You have an older quarterback who's now dealing with injuries,

892
00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:29,239
Speaker 1: so I felt like the Rams, and they're still a

893
00:43:29,239 --> 00:43:31,520
Speaker 1: pretty young roster by the way, I think they had

894
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:34,840
Speaker 1: sixteen rookies on their active rosters, so this is a

895
00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 1: there's not a lot like in the middle. They're either

896
00:43:37,200 --> 00:43:40,319
Speaker 1: older guys like Stafford, or they're really super young guys

897
00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:43,240
Speaker 1: and then plus the travel only second to the Chargers.

898
00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:45,959
Speaker 1: They cross forty four time zones for the last six

899
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:48,360
Speaker 1: on the road. So I was a little bit down

900
00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:50,760
Speaker 1: on the Rams, not saying they can't make the playoffs,

901
00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:52,040
Speaker 1: but I was a little bit down on them for

902
00:43:52,120 --> 00:43:57,440
Speaker 1: the division. But Arizona is a team maybe that they

903
00:43:57,440 --> 00:43:59,560
Speaker 1: could get going. They have a good opportunity to get

904
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,320
Speaker 1: off to a good start with three home games against

905
00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:04,759
Speaker 1: non playoff teams road opener in New Orleans also in

906
00:44:04,800 --> 00:44:07,440
Speaker 1: their first five games. So it's gonna be that middle

907
00:44:07,480 --> 00:44:10,160
Speaker 1: that determines. And we saw that last year with Arizona.

908
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:12,920
Speaker 1: They were right there to maybe make a playoff run

909
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:15,560
Speaker 1: and then they lose inexplicably to to a Carolina team

910
00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:18,080
Speaker 1: that had really been struggling. So we'll see if they

911
00:44:18,080 --> 00:44:20,000
Speaker 1: start off well again and then sputter at the end.

912
00:44:20,040 --> 00:44:23,080
Speaker 1: But I think, just from a pure value standpoint, Arizona

913
00:44:23,160 --> 00:44:24,560
Speaker 1: in the West, yeah.

914
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:26,160
Speaker 3: I think the Niners are not the way to go

915
00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:28,200
Speaker 3: from value and like that's what we're all looking for,

916
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:30,600
Speaker 3: is not. I don't want a winning ticket. I want

917
00:44:30,600 --> 00:44:32,520
Speaker 3: to make some money. I want to get some value

918
00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:35,040
Speaker 3: on my ticket and roch to find to win. So

919
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:38,040
Speaker 3: that's where we end up with our Island team kind

920
00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:40,920
Speaker 3: of right in the middle there. I'm just gonna jump

921
00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:43,439
Speaker 3: into it. I get to reveal my island. Now let's go.

922
00:44:43,680 --> 00:44:46,359
Speaker 1: This is cheer number one, by the way, Yes, cheer

923
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:51,760
Speaker 1: number one Bears Island all aboard Baby plus five Bears.

924
00:44:51,840 --> 00:44:55,240
Speaker 3: Yes, that's right, Van Duel Bet MGM plus five fifty,

925
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:58,800
Speaker 3: get your ticket in. I've long said my two favorite

926
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:03,000
Speaker 3: biggest edges on NFL, especially in futures market, are coaching

927
00:45:03,080 --> 00:45:05,960
Speaker 3: an offensive line. So of course I got to be

928
00:45:06,080 --> 00:45:08,920
Speaker 3: in on Chicago this season because they have two huge

929
00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:12,240
Speaker 3: swings in those areas. The offensive line long a weakness

930
00:45:12,280 --> 00:45:14,840
Speaker 3: for the Bears. They go out and get Joe Tooney,

931
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:18,520
Speaker 3: Drew Dolman, Jonah Jackson. Tooney is the best guard in

932
00:45:18,560 --> 00:45:21,840
Speaker 3: the league. Drew Dolman top five center. Giving a great

933
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:25,120
Speaker 3: center to a young quarterback, that's huge. Giving a great

934
00:45:25,120 --> 00:45:28,160
Speaker 3: center to Ben Johnson who just had one in Frank

935
00:45:28,200 --> 00:45:31,480
Speaker 3: greg Now that's huge as well. That goes weakness to strength.

936
00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 3: Out of the Bears top five offensive line this season.

937
00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:36,200
Speaker 3: And I mentioned his name already and I mentioned in

938
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:40,880
Speaker 3: a few more times. Ben Johnson, the guy that everyone wanted,

939
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:44,400
Speaker 3: not just this coaching cycle, the last like three coaching cycles.

940
00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:47,960
Speaker 3: Everyone wanted Ben Johnson. We don't know yet how he

941
00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:50,880
Speaker 3: has as a head coach. I admit that we know

942
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:53,160
Speaker 3: how he as a play call He's top three, He's

943
00:45:53,200 --> 00:45:55,760
Speaker 3: a good z anybody call on the plays. We get

944
00:45:56,000 --> 00:46:00,800
Speaker 3: offensive coordinator Ben Johnson and we get defensive coordinator Dennis Allen.

945
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:05,759
Speaker 3: Love to hire my rejected failed head coaches going back

946
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:09,200
Speaker 3: to the thing they know best, calling plays and leaving

947
00:46:09,239 --> 00:46:10,640
Speaker 3: the other stuff to the other guys.

948
00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:13,320
Speaker 1: Isn't that like a drop in class in horse racing

949
00:46:13,400 --> 00:46:15,600
Speaker 1: right with her when they're in those big stakes race

950
00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:18,239
Speaker 1: and then they go back in the allowances and then

951
00:46:18,239 --> 00:46:21,760
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, you know, run like their thoroughbreds.

952
00:46:21,440 --> 00:46:24,440
Speaker 3: Exactly, And that the coaching was so bad for this

953
00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:27,359
Speaker 3: team last year. We get a rookie quarterback going through

954
00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:30,600
Speaker 3: three different play callers in the year the defense disappointed

955
00:46:30,680 --> 00:46:33,520
Speaker 3: under eber Flues. Now I think you have what we

956
00:46:33,560 --> 00:46:36,240
Speaker 3: don't know the head coach, but just on play calling,

957
00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:40,160
Speaker 3: top five combo Ben Johnson Dennis Allen. So that is

958
00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:43,439
Speaker 3: a floor razor and a ceiling razer that's rising tied

959
00:46:43,520 --> 00:46:46,640
Speaker 3: for the whole team. That's better news for Roma Doonsay,

960
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:50,719
Speaker 3: Dj Moore. I love rookie tight end tight Colston Loveland.

961
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:54,239
Speaker 3: We got Luther Borden, more weapons in the offense. And

962
00:46:54,280 --> 00:46:56,480
Speaker 3: of course the better news for Caleb Williams. Now a

963
00:46:56,560 --> 00:46:59,000
Speaker 3: bit ago we talked about Cam Moore. Don't bet on

964
00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:01,839
Speaker 3: the number one quarterback. Okay, don't bet on the number

965
00:47:01,880 --> 00:47:05,600
Speaker 3: one quarterback yet. But in year two, the guy that

966
00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:07,840
Speaker 3: won three point four games as a rookie over the

967
00:47:07,920 --> 00:47:10,880
Speaker 3: last decade jumps to eight point three one hundred and

968
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:14,560
Speaker 3: forty four percent increase in the wins. Caleb Williams feels

969
00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:18,000
Speaker 3: disappointing from last season. He got no blocking, no coaching.

970
00:47:18,040 --> 00:47:21,200
Speaker 3: His pet's head was falling off. He won five games.

971
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:24,080
Speaker 3: That's actually pretty good for number one rookie quarterback. It's

972
00:47:24,080 --> 00:47:26,760
Speaker 3: only one off the best season in the last decade

973
00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:30,239
Speaker 3: for a number one pick quarterback. Five wins at one

974
00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:32,840
Speaker 3: hundred and forty four percent increase gets you to twelve

975
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:36,600
Speaker 3: and that might win the division. Trevor Lawrence, Joe Burrow,

976
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:40,400
Speaker 3: Jared goff All number one picks. Those guys as rookies

977
00:47:40,760 --> 00:47:44,640
Speaker 3: combined for five wins and then then won the division

978
00:47:44,680 --> 00:47:47,399
Speaker 3: the next year. That's what we want Caleb Williams to do.

979
00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:50,400
Speaker 3: He got five wins himself. Let's go win the division.

980
00:47:50,880 --> 00:47:54,480
Speaker 3: Ben Johnson, I think is a force multiplayer for this team.

981
00:47:54,680 --> 00:47:58,359
Speaker 3: What I mean is Ben Johnson's play calling makes the

982
00:47:58,400 --> 00:48:01,120
Speaker 3: line look better because they're more they're more comfortable.

983
00:48:01,200 --> 00:48:01,480
Speaker 2: Great.

984
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:05,040
Speaker 3: The line makes Kleb Williams look better. He's more confident,

985
00:48:05,040 --> 00:48:08,279
Speaker 3: he's getting the ball out. Caleb Williams makes the playmakers

986
00:48:08,280 --> 00:48:10,520
Speaker 3: look better. They get the ball, they're in the right spot,

987
00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:14,360
Speaker 3: they're actually throwing DJ Moore djmore passes rather than whatever

988
00:48:14,400 --> 00:48:16,680
Speaker 3: the heck they were doing with them last year, and

989
00:48:16,800 --> 00:48:21,360
Speaker 3: everything adds on to itself and gets better. We saw

990
00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:26,120
Speaker 3: with the Lions they went from twenty ninth in DVA

991
00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:30,200
Speaker 3: offensively to fifth in Ben Johnson's first season calling plays

992
00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:33,319
Speaker 3: with them. So why not the Bears get the same

993
00:48:33,360 --> 00:48:36,520
Speaker 3: thing as the Lions. Great play from the line, rookie

994
00:48:36,560 --> 00:48:41,359
Speaker 3: Ted end, breakout, improve playmaking, and that confident quarterback. That's

995
00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:44,799
Speaker 3: the big question. Can they get the quarterback play? And

996
00:48:45,360 --> 00:48:47,160
Speaker 3: I haven't said much about the defense, but I think

997
00:48:47,200 --> 00:48:49,600
Speaker 3: they have top ten potential as well with Dennis Allen.

998
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:54,200
Speaker 3: They go out and restock the trenches. Grady Jarrett Shamar Turner.

999
00:48:54,600 --> 00:48:57,800
Speaker 3: They've already invested a lot in the defensive front. Jalen Johnson,

1000
00:48:57,840 --> 00:48:59,480
Speaker 3: I think is a star corner that not a lot

1001
00:48:59,480 --> 00:49:02,600
Speaker 3: of people know, but will This year, the Bears ended

1002
00:49:02,719 --> 00:49:06,920
Speaker 3: up in my rankings top ten offense, top ten defense.

1003
00:49:07,480 --> 00:49:10,480
Speaker 3: Five teams in the NFL did that, the Super Bowl

1004
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:13,160
Speaker 3: CHAMPI Eagles, the other team that was best in the

1005
00:49:13,200 --> 00:49:15,920
Speaker 3: league last year, the Ravens, the Niners, who we just

1006
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:20,120
Speaker 3: talked about, my Vikings, and the Bears. That's a pretty

1007
00:49:20,120 --> 00:49:22,520
Speaker 3: good class of teams to be in. If your top

1008
00:49:22,520 --> 00:49:25,800
Speaker 3: ten offense and top ten defense, you can win the division.

1009
00:49:26,440 --> 00:49:29,320
Speaker 3: I'm all in on the Bears team. What do you think, Brandon?

1010
00:49:29,560 --> 00:49:32,040
Speaker 1: I love the case that you're making here, and especially

1011
00:49:32,040 --> 00:49:34,439
Speaker 1: what you mentioned about Ben Johnson. By the way, there's

1012
00:49:34,440 --> 00:49:37,280
Speaker 1: a reason why the Lions, who are certainly very talented,

1013
00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:40,040
Speaker 1: are getting steamed to the under on the season wins.

1014
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 1: I know I have a ticket on that already, because

1015
00:49:42,640 --> 00:49:45,319
Speaker 1: you're going from Ben Johnson to John Morton as an

1016
00:49:45,320 --> 00:49:49,120
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator. That is a major dropoff in my opinion

1017
00:49:49,160 --> 00:49:51,640
Speaker 1: for Detroit. So I agree with all the case you

1018
00:49:51,680 --> 00:49:55,920
Speaker 1: made about Caleb Williams development about Ben Johnson about the defense.

1019
00:49:56,200 --> 00:49:59,360
Speaker 1: But the one thing that holds me back on this team.

1020
00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:03,239
Speaker 1: The schedule doesn't look very easy really, up and down

1021
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:03,800
Speaker 1: the lineup.

1022
00:50:04,640 --> 00:50:07,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, schedule is rough. So let's talk with the schedule.

1023
00:50:07,680 --> 00:50:10,160
Speaker 3: So it's Minnesota and Detroit to start. So you can

1024
00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:12,040
Speaker 3: make a case like I have on some other teams,

1025
00:50:12,200 --> 00:50:14,880
Speaker 3: why now don't invest Now let's let them feel a

1026
00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:15,600
Speaker 3: little bit early.

1027
00:50:15,800 --> 00:50:17,720
Speaker 2: Well, bad news.

1028
00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:20,040
Speaker 3: The schedule doesn't really get any better. They got to

1029
00:50:20,040 --> 00:50:23,400
Speaker 3: play the WHOLEFC North, they gotta play the whole NFC East. However,

1030
00:50:23,840 --> 00:50:26,720
Speaker 3: let's talk this one through. Ever won the division also

1031
00:50:26,760 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 3: has to play that same schedule. Your schedule is the

1032
00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:32,840
Speaker 3: same for fourteen out of seventeen games in the division.

1033
00:50:33,400 --> 00:50:36,960
Speaker 3: The three games that are different. The Bears get the Niners.

1034
00:50:36,960 --> 00:50:39,279
Speaker 3: That's unlucky. You got a fourth place team happens to

1035
00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:41,880
Speaker 3: be the Niners. But they also get the Saints and

1036
00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:45,080
Speaker 3: the Raiders. All right, thanks very much, Detroit. By a reference,

1037
00:50:45,560 --> 00:50:48,840
Speaker 3: their three variable games are the Box, the Rams, and

1038
00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:51,200
Speaker 3: the Chiefs. No, thank you. I'll take the Saints on

1039
00:50:51,239 --> 00:50:54,560
Speaker 3: the Raiders, thanks very much. So the schedule is tough,

1040
00:50:54,880 --> 00:50:56,719
Speaker 3: but it's tough for the three teams we have to

1041
00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:58,920
Speaker 3: bet against on this one as well. And let's check

1042
00:50:58,920 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 3: the beginning schedule again. Let's think of it through a

1043
00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:08,160
Speaker 3: Bears Lens Vikings. Week one, Monday Night in Chicago. JJ

1044
00:51:08,280 --> 00:51:12,760
Speaker 3: McCarthy is a rookie quarterback, basically first game ever against

1045
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:17,319
Speaker 3: Dennis Allen and their debuting not just McCarthy, but three

1046
00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:21,600
Speaker 3: brand new interior linemen, new center, new everything for JJ McCarthy.

1047
00:51:22,160 --> 00:51:25,560
Speaker 3: Maybe not so bad for the Bears. Week two the Lions,

1048
00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:29,080
Speaker 3: three brand new interior alignments, second week in a row.

1049
00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:31,680
Speaker 3: They're missing guys on the d line. Aleem McNeil and

1050
00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:34,759
Speaker 3: some of the others are out. They're debuting two new coordinators,

1051
00:51:34,880 --> 00:51:38,840
Speaker 3: John Morton and Kelvin Shepard. Great, let's play the Lions

1052
00:51:38,880 --> 00:51:41,840
Speaker 3: early while they're pretty weak. Let's let the Bears be

1053
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:44,400
Speaker 3: two to zero in the division and have a huge

1054
00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:49,520
Speaker 3: head start early on Week three, Dallas again, two new coordinators,

1055
00:51:49,600 --> 00:51:53,440
Speaker 3: new offensive line names, early injuries on that team. Schedule

1056
00:51:53,920 --> 00:51:57,319
Speaker 3: isn't alla's who you play, sometimes it's when you play them.

1057
00:51:57,600 --> 00:51:59,960
Speaker 3: And I think actually the schedule is really dune your

1058
00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:03,800
Speaker 3: accidentally some favors here. Get past those three games and

1059
00:52:03,840 --> 00:52:07,560
Speaker 3: it's Raiders, Commanders, Bears, fans remember that one that did

1060
00:52:07,600 --> 00:52:09,680
Speaker 3: not go well last year. They're gonna be robbed for

1061
00:52:09,719 --> 00:52:11,960
Speaker 3: that one that was the Hail mary It turned the

1062
00:52:11,960 --> 00:52:13,239
Speaker 3: whole season around.

1063
00:52:13,040 --> 00:52:15,360
Speaker 2: The Hail Maryland as they say, yes.

1064
00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:17,480
Speaker 3: Correct, Yeah, well that's not what they say around here

1065
00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:23,200
Speaker 3: in Chicago. If I may face though, so Raiders, Commanders,

1066
00:52:23,400 --> 00:52:24,279
Speaker 3: Saints up next.

1067
00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:24,680
Speaker 2: This team.

1068
00:52:24,719 --> 00:52:27,680
Speaker 3: If they win those early division games, so only they're

1069
00:52:27,680 --> 00:52:30,480
Speaker 3: four and two, five and one, they're rolling. You could

1070
00:52:30,560 --> 00:52:34,239
Speaker 3: actually argue I think that the schedule is why you

1071
00:52:34,239 --> 00:52:38,200
Speaker 3: should bet division for Chicago. We're evening the playing field.

1072
00:52:38,520 --> 00:52:41,040
Speaker 3: The Vikings, Lions, Packers, they all go to play all

1073
00:52:41,040 --> 00:52:44,239
Speaker 3: those tough games as well, just like Chicago. So the

1074
00:52:44,280 --> 00:52:47,560
Speaker 3: whole division I have top half of the league offense

1075
00:52:47,640 --> 00:52:48,920
Speaker 3: and top half of the league defense.

1076
00:52:48,960 --> 00:52:49,480
Speaker 2: That's crazy.

1077
00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:51,800
Speaker 3: I don't remember every a division like that, but that

1078
00:52:51,920 --> 00:52:55,040
Speaker 3: includes Chicago. They're right in the mix. I don't think

1079
00:52:55,080 --> 00:52:57,240
Speaker 3: that they are clearly the best team in the division.

1080
00:52:57,239 --> 00:52:58,839
Speaker 3: I think that'd be an insane thing to say. Even

1081
00:52:58,840 --> 00:53:01,040
Speaker 3: as high as I am on the t it's a

1082
00:53:01,080 --> 00:53:03,560
Speaker 3: really good division. I'm low on the Lions, and I

1083
00:53:03,560 --> 00:53:05,800
Speaker 3: still have them like a top twelve team in the league,

1084
00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:08,520
Speaker 3: even though they're last in my division, but at the

1085
00:53:08,560 --> 00:53:11,640
Speaker 3: Bears right in the mix of things, and the schedule

1086
00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:13,959
Speaker 3: actually breaks right for them out of the gates here

1087
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:16,760
Speaker 3: and they could be on the front foot Ben Johnson

1088
00:53:16,840 --> 00:53:19,919
Speaker 3: Lee in the way, why not Chicago plus five point

1089
00:53:19,920 --> 00:53:21,920
Speaker 3: fifty is a good number for a team as good

1090
00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:25,320
Speaker 3: as anyone else in the division. All board, Bearrys Island,

1091
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:26,719
Speaker 3: next stop, playoffs, Let's go.

1092
00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:30,680
Speaker 1: It's It's been a tough time in the Windy City,

1093
00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:33,200
Speaker 1: with the exception of your Cubs this season. As we

1094
00:53:33,680 --> 00:53:36,160
Speaker 1: see that Cubs jersey if you're watching us on video,

1095
00:53:37,080 --> 00:53:40,080
Speaker 1: likely to be in the playoffs. Twub Man hasn't been

1096
00:53:40,120 --> 00:53:43,760
Speaker 1: promising for the Bulls or the Blackhawks or the White Socks.

1097
00:53:44,320 --> 00:53:46,800
Speaker 1: Chicago is one of the great sports towns in America,

1098
00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:49,920
Speaker 1: and it's especially good when the Monsters are the Midway

1099
00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:53,640
Speaker 1: are performing. So certainly going to be a better team

1100
00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:56,200
Speaker 1: in Chicago. We'll see if they're good enough to go

1101
00:53:56,239 --> 00:53:58,920
Speaker 1: ahead and go from worse to first in that division.

1102
00:53:59,080 --> 00:54:01,839
Speaker 1: Like you say, we do have a favorite at the

1103
00:54:01,880 --> 00:54:04,880
Speaker 1: top that we could certainly, I think attack in Detroit.

1104
00:54:05,040 --> 00:54:07,920
Speaker 1: Just some declines in the coaching staff and maybe just

1105
00:54:07,920 --> 00:54:11,359
Speaker 1: some natural regression coming. So you know, what, I'll go

1106
00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:13,600
Speaker 1: aboard Bears Island with you, Brandon. I want to put

1107
00:54:13,600 --> 00:54:14,960
Speaker 1: a ticket. I'm going to put a ticket in on

1108
00:54:15,040 --> 00:54:17,880
Speaker 1: Chicago to go ahead and win and win that division.

1109
00:54:18,000 --> 00:54:21,160
Speaker 1: So excited to get to the season and was excited

1110
00:54:21,160 --> 00:54:24,000
Speaker 1: to talk to Brandon here. So I want to thank

1111
00:54:24,080 --> 00:54:26,960
Speaker 1: to the audience for listening to our NFL Worst to

1112
00:54:27,239 --> 00:54:30,279
Speaker 1: first episode from the Outhouse to the Bent House. We'll

1113
00:54:30,320 --> 00:54:32,880
Speaker 1: see if Chicago or any of these teams are going

1114
00:54:32,960 --> 00:54:35,719
Speaker 1: to get there. So thank you Brandon for joining me.

1115
00:54:36,160 --> 00:54:38,200
Speaker 1: Coming up this week, by the way, you're going to

1116
00:54:38,239 --> 00:54:40,560
Speaker 1: see more of Brandon because we got our final NFL

1117
00:54:40,600 --> 00:54:44,680
Speaker 1: preseason episodes. Brandon is breaking down all the position rankings

1118
00:54:44,680 --> 00:54:48,680
Speaker 1: from quarterback to secondary, to offensive line, defensive line, what

1119
00:54:48,800 --> 00:54:51,000
Speaker 1: have you. He's also going to have a pot on

1120
00:54:51,040 --> 00:54:53,239
Speaker 1: his upcoming awards pick, so you definitely don't want to

1121
00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:56,400
Speaker 1: miss that. And also NFL exotics through the upcoming season.

1122
00:54:56,520 --> 00:54:58,880
Speaker 1: So a lot of exciting things, a lot of exciting

1123
00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:01,160
Speaker 1: content coming to Action Network here in a couple of

1124
00:55:01,160 --> 00:55:02,839
Speaker 1: weeks that were just two weeks away.

1125
00:55:02,840 --> 00:55:04,160
Speaker 2: We've been waiting all summer for.

1126
00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:07,680
Speaker 1: The NFL and now it's finally here. So Brandon, thanks again.

1127
00:55:07,719 --> 00:55:09,839
Speaker 1: For joining me and want to wish our audience best

1128
00:55:09,840 --> 00:55:11,520
Speaker 1: of luck on all your bets and we're going to

1129
00:55:11,560 --> 00:55:13,839
Speaker 1: see you. He back here next time on the Action

1130
00:55:13,920 --> 00:55:35,279
Speaker 1: Network podcast Where's Ireland. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1131
00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:38,520
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1132
00:55:38,800 --> 00:55:41,440
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1133
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:42,320
Speaker 2: hundred gambler