WEBVTT - Leading Off: MLB Draft Special (Ep. 1090) 0:00:05.200 --> 0:00:07.280 Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. 0:00:07.520 --> 0:00:11.800 This is a Leading Off Live special MLB Draft edition. 0:00:11.880 --> 0:00:13.920 It is me Joey p Joepi's appear with me as 0:00:13.960 --> 0:00:16.079 the Welsh and we're here on our twitch Twitch dot 0:00:16.120 --> 0:00:19.280 tv slash Fantasy Pros. That's the place to be Monday 0:00:19.280 --> 0:00:21.520 through Friday for Leading Off Live and of course you 0:00:21.560 --> 0:00:24.240 can always watch on demand on our YouTube channel Fantasy 0:00:24.239 --> 0:00:25.200 Pros MLB. 0:00:25.440 --> 0:00:26.840 Subscribe today so you. 0:00:26.840 --> 0:00:31.160 Never miss a moment of fantasy Baseball action and Welsh. 0:00:31.240 --> 0:00:34.040 A few days ago was the MLB Draft and we 0:00:34.120 --> 0:00:36.720 are going to start picking it apart. And this is 0:00:36.720 --> 0:00:39.440 becoming something, you know, more and more important every single 0:00:39.520 --> 0:00:42.360 year as it passes, because it used to be just 0:00:42.400 --> 0:00:45.040 the dynasty managers who are interested in the MLB Draft 0:00:45.040 --> 0:00:46.879 for the most part. You know, back in the day, 0:00:46.920 --> 0:00:48.519 we went from all these are guys that will be 0:00:48.560 --> 0:00:50.360 in the big leagues in a couple of years too, 0:00:50.560 --> 0:00:52.400 All these are guys I should stash for the second 0:00:52.479 --> 0:00:54.360 half to oh my god, if I don't know who 0:00:54.360 --> 0:00:57.320 these guys are, I might be behind in my draft. 0:00:57.400 --> 0:00:58.840 Going forward into this season. 0:00:59.280 --> 0:01:03.040 And no, the names already who have already graced their 0:01:03.120 --> 0:01:05.839 presence or grace us with their presence, I should say 0:01:06.120 --> 0:01:09.320 on the MLB stage already, Jack kagleon Nick Kurtz has 0:01:09.319 --> 0:01:12.640 been terrific. Cam Smith, Ryan Johnson, Christian Moore, and Chase 0:01:12.640 --> 0:01:15.360 Burns all guys from last year's draft. 0:01:15.080 --> 0:01:17.319 Which I thought was a spectacular cast. 0:01:17.880 --> 0:01:20.760 We went over and over last year, we did this 0:01:20.800 --> 0:01:22.760 special last season, and I thought this was a class 0:01:22.800 --> 0:01:26.280 that was incredibly talented. I likened it to the nineteen 0:01:26.360 --> 0:01:29.559 eighty six draft that was just littered with superstar talent. 0:01:30.040 --> 0:01:32.520 I feel validated because a lot of that talent's already there, 0:01:32.520 --> 0:01:34.720 and some of that talent is still on the precipice. 0:01:34.959 --> 0:01:37.399 But this was a much, I would say, younger draft, 0:01:37.480 --> 0:01:40.720 especially with position players, not as many college bats at 0:01:40.720 --> 0:01:42.320 the top, a lot more high school bats, a lot 0:01:42.319 --> 0:01:45.360 of high school shortstops, and nobody I don't think really 0:01:45.400 --> 0:01:47.440 like I would say the best college hitter in this draft, 0:01:47.840 --> 0:01:49.320 I wouldn't have put him in the top ten. 0:01:49.240 --> 0:01:51.360 Hitters from last year. Would you agree or disagree? 0:01:51.720 --> 0:01:54.200 Yeah? I know, I think that's probably correct. And this 0:01:54.320 --> 0:01:59.960 draft lacks college bats and in a record setting short style. 0:02:00.360 --> 0:02:04.360 Fourteen of the twenty seven picks were shortstops, which is 0:02:05.120 --> 0:02:08.040 heard of, and you know, also from like a fantasy perspective, 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:10.080 it's not great because you're lacking college so it's gonna 0:02:10.120 --> 0:02:13.080 be And you know, I was saying this on CBS broadcast. 0:02:13.400 --> 0:02:17.800 One of the really telling things is baseball is a 0:02:17.880 --> 0:02:21.200 repetition game, not just obviously of just swing, swing, swing, 0:02:21.240 --> 0:02:24.320 but like you know, you see something, you repeat it, 0:02:24.800 --> 0:02:27.679 torpedo bats, everybody's doing it. Well, what was last year 0:02:28.400 --> 0:02:32.120 massive success with college players getting to the major So 0:02:32.200 --> 0:02:34.600 you would think, Okay, here we go, We're going to 0:02:34.680 --> 0:02:37.680 have more college players drafted, We're gonna have more position players, 0:02:37.960 --> 0:02:40.480 high school guys are gonna get pushed even further than before. 0:02:41.120 --> 0:02:44.120 It's exact opposite of what happened. And the reason behind 0:02:44.120 --> 0:02:46.799 that is because of the talent pool. Clearly, the talent 0:02:46.919 --> 0:02:49.320 is not remotely close on the college bats to what 0:02:49.360 --> 0:02:51.800 it was last year. So what was the rub? What 0:02:51.919 --> 0:02:54.839 was the change? I think you had multiple teams looking 0:02:54.919 --> 0:02:58.440 at taking deals and you had teams just saying screw it, 0:02:58.760 --> 0:03:02.800 playing high upside taking that battle. So we're not going 0:03:02.880 --> 0:03:06.040 to see the same amount of players we saw this 0:03:06.160 --> 0:03:08.760 year go into making the majors next year it's not 0:03:08.760 --> 0:03:10.520 to say that we're not going to see some because 0:03:10.560 --> 0:03:14.680 I think the I think the evaluation process and the 0:03:14.720 --> 0:03:19.120 prospecting build up process is going quicker and quicker, especially 0:03:19.120 --> 0:03:22.000 for college base hitters, even high school guys. They're just 0:03:22.000 --> 0:03:25.000 getting pushed up to levels faster and faster because they 0:03:25.000 --> 0:03:26.880 want these guys to the majors. Because, like you said, 0:03:27.160 --> 0:03:29.080 there was a time where it was like, all right, cool, 0:03:29.080 --> 0:03:32.200 that guy got drafted, see you in five years. That's 0:03:32.280 --> 0:03:34.520 not the case. I think timelines are like they want 0:03:34.560 --> 0:03:37.160 to see high school advance high school guys in two years, 0:03:37.200 --> 0:03:39.600 you want to see college guys in one year. So 0:03:39.880 --> 0:03:42.600 I thought this class was really weird and interesting and 0:03:42.640 --> 0:03:45.720 it was very telling because there was just so little 0:03:45.760 --> 0:03:49.480 college hitting. And yeah that college hitting, especially based on 0:03:49.520 --> 0:03:51.720 what we know now, would rank a lot lower. But 0:03:51.800 --> 0:03:55.800 I think the guy I have would probably at best 0:03:55.880 --> 0:03:59.680 be seventh or eighth at best versus the college hitters 0:03:59.680 --> 0:04:01.560 that we see last year. So there's a lot of 0:04:01.600 --> 0:04:04.080 depth here, but it is lacking the top end meat 0:04:04.280 --> 0:04:06.480 that we had in twenty twenty fours draft. 0:04:06.800 --> 0:04:08.400 All right, we're going to break down the first round 0:04:08.440 --> 0:04:09.880 and then Welsh is going to go through some of 0:04:09.920 --> 0:04:12.760 his favorite prospects from the draft, and maybe you talk 0:04:12.800 --> 0:04:15.640 about some ETAs, but look for me at the top. 0:04:16.400 --> 0:04:18.600 You know how I feel about the college versus the 0:04:19.440 --> 0:04:22.400 high school guys, especially the college versus high school arms. 0:04:22.480 --> 0:04:24.640 You know, I am always away from the high school arms. 0:04:24.680 --> 0:04:26.599 I want nothing to do. So much can happen in 0:04:26.640 --> 0:04:29.960 development over that time, and the stats are not on 0:04:30.000 --> 0:04:32.080 their side basically. You know, there's so many injuries, so 0:04:32.160 --> 0:04:35.200 many things that happened in those years as they grow. 0:04:35.320 --> 0:04:38.000 Where the hit rate of the high school pitcher has 0:04:38.000 --> 0:04:40.880 not been very good, the hit rate of the high 0:04:40.880 --> 0:04:44.560 school hitter is a little bit different. And Ethan Holiday 0:04:44.600 --> 0:04:46.839 to me, was the guy that if I had the 0:04:46.920 --> 0:04:50.280 number one pick, can't miss. That's where I would have gone. 0:04:50.560 --> 0:04:52.680 I've heard the Corey Seeger comp. I actually like the 0:04:52.680 --> 0:04:54.560 Cory Sieger comp. I tend to like to come up 0:04:54.600 --> 0:04:56.599 with my own, but I think that's kind of spot on. 0:04:57.120 --> 0:04:59.520 I like him more as a prospect than his brother, 0:04:59.560 --> 0:05:01.880 to be on with you. To me, I just think 0:05:01.920 --> 0:05:03.400 he's going to fill out a little bit more. I 0:05:03.400 --> 0:05:06.520 think he's got a little bit more of his dad's genetics. 0:05:06.640 --> 0:05:09.120 Just physically looking at him as a young player, because 0:05:09.160 --> 0:05:11.400 I'm old enough to remember his dad when he was 0:05:11.440 --> 0:05:12.120 a young player. 0:05:12.520 --> 0:05:13.839 So to me, that's where I would go. 0:05:13.880 --> 0:05:15.599 Now, this is not a knock on Eli Willitts, who's 0:05:15.600 --> 0:05:17.120 the first pick, and if we can look at the 0:05:17.640 --> 0:05:20.240 top ten here, will Its goes first overall to the Nats. 0:05:20.839 --> 0:05:23.520 To me, if I'm the Nats, though, I'm a team 0:05:23.520 --> 0:05:25.800 that's got James Wood, I've got a lot of good 0:05:25.839 --> 0:05:30.000 players here at the precipice of the major leagues. 0:05:30.760 --> 0:05:31.039 CJ. 0:05:31.160 --> 0:05:33.640 Abrams another good young player. You hope that you can 0:05:33.640 --> 0:05:36.560 get Dylan Cruz to turn things around. I would have 0:05:36.600 --> 0:05:40.200 taken Kate Anderson first if I was them, because Anderson. 0:05:39.800 --> 0:05:41.000 Might be able to get you. 0:05:41.200 --> 0:05:44.440 I would say, I don't know, in the next two years, 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:48.560 potentially contributing, if not, maybe a year in change. And 0:05:48.680 --> 0:05:50.479 will It's I think is still a couple of years away. 0:05:50.520 --> 0:05:52.479 I really like Eli Willis as a player. He's a 0:05:52.560 --> 0:05:55.280 strong kid, much stronger than I think people realize. Had 0:05:55.279 --> 0:05:57.880 a really good left handed swing. To me, Ethan Holliday 0:05:57.960 --> 0:06:01.680 was the hey can't miss and that kid so well. 0:06:02.279 --> 0:06:04.680 The top four here was Eli Willetts and then Tyler 0:06:04.720 --> 0:06:08.040 Bremer goes to the angels. You have Kate Anderson, the 0:06:08.120 --> 0:06:10.279 number one pitcher on a lot of boards, going to 0:06:10.320 --> 0:06:13.120 Seattle falling to three, and then Holiday falling to four. 0:06:13.440 --> 0:06:15.200 We'll get to Doyle in just a second, but let's 0:06:15.200 --> 0:06:17.880 talk about these top four, how they landed in these 0:06:17.880 --> 0:06:19.960 spots and what it means for their future. Let's start 0:06:20.000 --> 0:06:20.880 with Willets at the top. 0:06:21.160 --> 0:06:24.520 Yeah, so Willetts was a really interesting one because this, 0:06:25.160 --> 0:06:30.120 in my mind was clearly was clearly an underslot deal. 0:06:30.320 --> 0:06:36.040 This was them saving some money not dealing with Scott 0:06:36.080 --> 0:06:38.600 Boris and being able to cut a deal for a 0:06:38.600 --> 0:06:40.240 little bit later, which we did end up finding out 0:06:40.279 --> 0:06:42.640 that they took some guys later in the draft. That 0:06:42.720 --> 0:06:45.120 or high school that you know, can be some high value. So, 0:06:45.560 --> 0:06:49.480 Eli Willets is a very good shortstop. I think there's 0:06:49.520 --> 0:06:52.279 five tools in there. I even threw a comparison out 0:06:52.320 --> 0:06:54.960 that you know, there might be a Trey Turner in there, 0:06:55.040 --> 0:06:55.799 because dudes. 0:06:56.400 --> 0:06:58.359 I agree, one hundred so forty six. 0:06:58.240 --> 0:07:02.760 Bases in high school batting average, great contact skills, really 0:07:02.800 --> 0:07:06.520 good defender. He can do everything. So you know, in 0:07:06.560 --> 0:07:09.720 real life, like I can see what we're doing here, 0:07:09.760 --> 0:07:11.840 I can see why they would want a player like that, 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:15.120 but there's still some power projection, you know, long term, 0:07:15.120 --> 0:07:17.760 what's going to happen. You also have CJ. Abrams that's there. 0:07:18.200 --> 0:07:20.240 But at the end of the day, like this was, 0:07:20.240 --> 0:07:21.880 they didn't have to deal with Scott Boris. I believe 0:07:21.920 --> 0:07:24.559 he's one of the only clients and non Scott Boris 0:07:24.560 --> 0:07:27.760 clients that was out there. And Eli Willitts is just 0:07:27.800 --> 0:07:30.520 a nice, good, complete player. But I would have taken 0:07:31.240 --> 0:07:34.120 ethan holiday at one and I think that's where it's 0:07:34.640 --> 0:07:37.560 my problem is. And then Jim Bowden agreed with me 0:07:37.640 --> 0:07:39.720 on this, and I would have said, this is that 0:07:40.160 --> 0:07:43.080 usually you take a deal because you are going to 0:07:43.160 --> 0:07:46.080 spend that money or you're going to convince another really 0:07:46.120 --> 0:07:48.600 good player to fall. That's what they do. They want 0:07:48.640 --> 0:07:51.000 to spend that they didn't happen. As a matter of fact, 0:07:51.080 --> 0:07:52.600 all the guys that you would have tried to make 0:07:52.680 --> 0:07:55.240 fall to over pay for later they went. 0:07:55.400 --> 0:07:55.880 They all went. 0:07:55.920 --> 0:07:57.360 It was all high school shorts up. So I kind 0:07:57.360 --> 0:07:59.960 of thought they like, maybe overplayed their hand a tiny bit. 0:08:00.320 --> 0:08:03.239 But I like Eli Willetts. I think he's a solid player. 0:08:03.600 --> 0:08:06.360 But it started the kind of chaos of this draft 0:08:06.440 --> 0:08:11.000 because going in everybody thought it was Kate Anderson. Liam 0:08:11.040 --> 0:08:13.440 Doyle three was a little bit of a question in 0:08:13.560 --> 0:08:16.880 Ethan Holiday, but taking Eli Willets at one kind of 0:08:16.920 --> 0:08:21.320 set off a weird little cascade of a couple picks here. 0:08:21.400 --> 0:08:25.800 But you know, he's the number two high school shortstop 0:08:25.880 --> 0:08:28.480 on my board. Ethan Holiday is number one. We'll talk 0:08:28.480 --> 0:08:31.080 about the fantasy side a little bit later in the 0:08:31.120 --> 0:08:33.080 show where they go on first year player. But again, 0:08:33.280 --> 0:08:36.880 solid pick. It's a floor pick in a very scary draft. 0:08:36.920 --> 0:08:38.760 It was a really nice floor pick for them to 0:08:38.760 --> 0:08:40.960 build on, but it doesn't help them for the near future. 0:08:40.960 --> 0:08:42.800 And that's why Kate Anderson would have made a lot 0:08:42.800 --> 0:08:45.920 of sense as we're going to step into two pitchers 0:08:45.960 --> 0:08:46.960 that are dropping here. 0:08:47.160 --> 0:08:51.120 Yeah, Anderson reminds me of like almost a Cole Hamill's 0:08:51.200 --> 0:08:55.760 kind of guy. You know, he's got that lefty, big curveball. 0:08:56.040 --> 0:08:59.800 He's got that I mean, very repeatable delivery. This is 0:08:59.840 --> 0:09:02.160 the lot that I like about Kate Anderson. 0:09:02.920 --> 0:09:06.520 Agree, let me give you a different comp Okay, Max Freed. 0:09:06.960 --> 0:09:10.760 There's a Max Free because he's got a big Buckley 0:09:10.880 --> 0:09:14.640 curveball that he throws. This, by the way, is like 0:09:14.760 --> 0:09:18.640 my favorite landing spot. I thought Kate Anderson dodged a 0:09:18.840 --> 0:09:22.280 bullet because he didn't go one and oh my god, 0:09:22.559 --> 0:09:25.240 the angels are on the clock. That's the most terrified 0:09:25.640 --> 0:09:27.680 the angels. They're not going to develop anybody. They're going 0:09:27.760 --> 0:09:30.440 to throw you up there. Kate Anderson has got a 0:09:30.440 --> 0:09:33.880 slew of solid pitches. It's a good fastball. There's some 0:09:34.120 --> 0:09:36.200 you know, some good shape. It's it's not like an 0:09:36.240 --> 0:09:39.200 elite fastball like Liam Doyle or anything, but it's a 0:09:39.240 --> 0:09:43.600 really really good fastball. At the end of the day, 0:09:43.880 --> 0:09:47.600 like you know, where there might be some developmentally things 0:09:47.600 --> 0:09:49.559 that they're going to have to end up doing. This 0:09:49.600 --> 0:09:53.320 is a guy that led Division one in strikeouts. You know, 0:09:53.520 --> 0:09:56.720 he's got good spin numbers thirty I think thirty something 0:09:56.840 --> 0:10:00.840 k minus walk percentage, and he's going to pitching. He's 0:10:00.880 --> 0:10:03.840 going to go to Seattle now where all they have 0:10:03.920 --> 0:10:07.240 done is properly developed pictures and they've got, you know, 0:10:07.360 --> 0:10:10.400 just a host and a class of guys, whether they're 0:10:10.400 --> 0:10:13.520 all following track and doing their splitters and stuff or 0:10:13.720 --> 0:10:17.000 Brian Wo Brian Woo, George Kirby Logan, Gilbert Luis Castillo. 0:10:17.080 --> 0:10:19.960 It's an incredible class on and on and on. Yeah, 0:10:19.960 --> 0:10:23.000 and so this destination works really well. And this is 0:10:23.040 --> 0:10:25.640 where again we'll get into fantasy. The rubber meets the 0:10:25.679 --> 0:10:27.280 road of like do you want to invest in pitching? 0:10:27.360 --> 0:10:30.600 But yes, this is like my favorite destination outside of 0:10:30.600 --> 0:10:32.800 holiday for any of these like top picks. 0:10:32.840 --> 0:10:35.240 I like the Freed comp too. Gef somewhere in the 0:10:35.360 --> 0:10:37.800 hybrid between Hamils and Freedman if he can land there. 0:10:37.800 --> 0:10:39.760 And I do think he's gonna be a guy that 0:10:39.840 --> 0:10:45.000 goes quickly through this organization too, I really do. And look, Bremmers, 0:10:45.520 --> 0:10:47.200 it's funny if I gave a comp to Bremmer. And 0:10:47.200 --> 0:10:49.000 I don't want to stir the pot here, but like 0:10:49.040 --> 0:10:50.880 he reminds me of Trevor Bauer when he was young 0:10:50.880 --> 0:10:53.280 a little bit in terms of physically how he throws, 0:10:53.320 --> 0:10:54.000 in terms. 0:10:53.720 --> 0:10:56.120 Of his Actually, that's interesting you say that I saw 0:10:56.160 --> 0:10:56.800 that same thing. 0:10:57.160 --> 0:10:59.079 You see that little Trevor Bauer And oh yeah, I know, 0:10:59.160 --> 0:11:03.800 I saw that watch, very similar delivery, similar arsenal. He's 0:11:03.800 --> 0:11:05.600 got a little bit of a fire in him, you know, 0:11:05.679 --> 0:11:07.240 hopefully he's got less of a. 0:11:07.120 --> 0:11:08.839 Fire in him than Trevor Power. 0:11:09.400 --> 0:11:11.680 But speaking of guys with fire, and then Liam Doyle 0:11:11.720 --> 0:11:14.800 at five, another guy with you know again, arguably the 0:11:14.840 --> 0:11:17.800 best fastball. Right he goes to the Cardinals. But Liam 0:11:17.840 --> 0:11:19.760 Doyle is a kid that has a lot of maturity issues. 0:11:19.760 --> 0:11:22.240 In my opinion, you watch him pitch. I love a 0:11:22.240 --> 0:11:24.480 guy who's fiery, Don't get me wrong, I really do. 0:11:24.600 --> 0:11:26.840 I love a guy who is intense and all that stuff. 0:11:27.480 --> 0:11:30.439 Liam Doyle to me, reeks of too much. It rereaks 0:11:30.440 --> 0:11:32.440 of immaturity. It reaks up a little bit more of 0:11:32.520 --> 0:11:36.480 John Rocker syndrome than it does of Randy Meyer syndrome. 0:11:36.600 --> 0:11:37.000 You know what I mean. 0:11:37.080 --> 0:11:39.439 I do think he'll be an closer at some point. 0:11:39.800 --> 0:11:42.400 I don't know if he's going to stick as a 0:11:42.400 --> 0:11:44.120 starting pitcher, to be honest with you, I just don't 0:11:44.120 --> 0:11:45.520 know if he's built for it. 0:11:45.800 --> 0:11:48.240 He might be built as a closer. He has the 0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:48.960 screw loose. 0:11:49.240 --> 0:11:51.480 So if you can harness all of that attitude and 0:11:51.559 --> 0:11:53.920 all that demeanor, but the fact that he was a 0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:55.960 college kid and still with the antics on the mound 0:11:56.000 --> 0:11:58.600 and talking to the opposing coaches and doing It's like, bro, 0:11:58.760 --> 0:11:59.600 you're twenty years. 0:11:59.480 --> 0:12:00.640 Old, now stop it. 0:12:00.720 --> 0:12:03.640 Grow up a little bit and bad on the Tennessee 0:12:04.640 --> 0:12:06.400 manager for not being able to wrangle him. I know 0:12:06.760 --> 0:12:08.240 he had some other issues too where he was out 0:12:08.240 --> 0:12:09.679 of shape, and they were able to work with him 0:12:09.720 --> 0:12:11.360 on that, but that took a lot of doing too. 0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:14.280 So I did not love this selection here by the Cardinals, 0:12:14.280 --> 0:12:17.520 to be honest with you, Seth Hernandez. Another interesting selection 0:12:17.600 --> 0:12:19.800 here by the Pirates as they continue to look forward 0:12:19.960 --> 0:12:20.960 more pitching for them. 0:12:22.480 --> 0:12:24.680 I want to say it right, Is it iv a arquette? 0:12:24.720 --> 0:12:25.600 Am I saying it correctly? 0:12:25.720 --> 0:12:26.520 I have a arquette? 0:12:26.559 --> 0:12:27.079 It is Iva? 0:12:27.120 --> 0:12:30.640 Okay, now I've arquette. Everybody said it's the best college bat. 0:12:31.200 --> 0:12:32.920 That's not a guy that jump off the page to me. 0:12:33.080 --> 0:12:36.600 I watched him a ton. Jojo Parker also didn't really 0:12:36.720 --> 0:12:40.240 jump off the page. Steele Hall, Billy Carlson, all these 0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:42.480 guys I think are projects. I'll be honest with you. 0:12:42.520 --> 0:12:45.240 To me this first round, if you're looking dynasty wise, 0:12:45.760 --> 0:12:49.360 Holiday Anderson, that's where I'm putting my capital behind Welsh. 0:12:49.360 --> 0:12:51.440 What'd you make of the rest of this top ten 0:12:51.480 --> 0:12:52.360 here five through ten? 0:12:52.520 --> 0:12:54.839 Yeah, I'll just give you just a couple like quick 0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:58.480 little anecdotal things. Liam Doyle best fastball in the draft. 0:12:58.720 --> 0:13:01.199 He led college baseball in k per nine thirty four 0:13:01.280 --> 0:13:06.000 K minus walk percentage seventy five grade fastball a nineteen IVB, 0:13:06.600 --> 0:13:10.160 so that's that vertical break you know, throws like high stuff, 0:13:10.160 --> 0:13:12.240 got a splitter with big swift rate. So I actually 0:13:12.280 --> 0:13:16.120 think he's interesting. He'll be one of the top ish guys, 0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:19.320 whether there's maturity or not. Seth Rnandez is one of 0:13:19.320 --> 0:13:22.360 my favorites, but he's super risky just because, like he's 0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:24.800 a high school pitcher. But he has got probably the 0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:27.720 best changeup in this entire draft, him or Brimner, they're 0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:30.840 kind of similar. Brimner's maybe the college's version, but you've 0:13:30.880 --> 0:13:33.240 got three to four pitches for seth Rnandez, and he 0:13:33.280 --> 0:13:35.360 goes to the Pirates who do really, really well. So 0:13:35.760 --> 0:13:38.520 that's interesting, but it's risky. I've Arquette is the guy 0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:42.640 I told you I talked with Travis Bizana about. Yeah, 0:13:42.640 --> 0:13:44.800 he lacks some of the upside, but he is like 0:13:44.880 --> 0:13:48.800 six foot five, two twenty, he has power, he makes contact. 0:13:49.040 --> 0:13:51.040 You worry about some of the chase stuff out there. 0:13:51.559 --> 0:13:53.720 I think at the end of the day, he's still 0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:55.480 a really solid bet and he might be a better 0:13:55.559 --> 0:13:58.480 Colson Montgomery. So I like him. I've got him pretty high. 0:13:58.640 --> 0:14:01.240 Jojo Parker is probably the most well balanced of the 0:14:01.320 --> 0:14:04.880 high school guys that where Eli Willitts has a lot 0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:07.720 of the tools but lacks the power. Jojo Parker has 0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:10.280 that power, but he doesn't quite have the speed. Ethan 0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:12.640 Holliday has the power, maybe not the contact, So he's 0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:15.480 pretty good. I'm not as high on Steel Hall and 0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:18.000 Billy Carlson. Billy Carlson's a plus defender. I think his 0:14:18.120 --> 0:14:20.320 bat lacks So this is where when you get into 0:14:20.320 --> 0:14:22.960 fantasy things are going to start to unravel compared to 0:14:23.000 --> 0:14:24.760 where they went in the draft. But yeah, I think 0:14:24.880 --> 0:14:29.720 Ethan Holliday, Kate Anderson, Eli Willett, Seth Hernandez like those 0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:31.800 are like really main targets. And I would frankly say 0:14:31.840 --> 0:14:33.760 I have a Arquette. I might move I've Arkette down 0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:35.280 a little bit when we get to first year player. 0:14:35.360 --> 0:14:38.920 But as a college bat, like, he's a dude, he 0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:41.720 is a real okay like, but he's not Nick Kurtz's 0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:42.920 Nick Kurse. 0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:44.920 He's not Caglio, and he ain't Cam Smith. 0:14:45.080 --> 0:14:47.280 He might be Cam Smith, though I disagree. I think 0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:48.360 he could be Cam Smith. 0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:51.280 Well, there's a respectfully disagree there on that one. But 0:14:51.400 --> 0:14:52.440 I'm not saying he's bad. 0:14:53.000 --> 0:14:55.520 I'm just saying, like I saw Cam Smith, he jumped 0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:57.640 off the page to me, and Arquette just hasn't done. 0:14:57.560 --> 0:15:00.760 Ninety three point four average exit veloss city one oh 0:15:00.800 --> 0:15:04.400 eight on the ninetieth percentile, which is a huge, huge, 0:15:04.560 --> 0:15:07.280 really good number. Pulled the ball in the air, barrel 0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:09.040 the ball over thirty percent of the time, one of 0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:12.400 the best barrel rates in college, great launch angle. Like 0:15:12.560 --> 0:15:14.320 I think he could be Cam Smith. I'm just throwing 0:15:14.320 --> 0:15:15.080 that out there to people. 0:15:15.160 --> 0:15:17.080 All Right, there is a guy, though, who did go 0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:19.000 in the next grouping here that I really like. So 0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:21.000 let's take a look at the guys here outside the 0:15:21.000 --> 0:15:24.400 top ten. You have Arnold going to the athletics. The 0:15:24.440 --> 0:15:29.080 guy for me here Witherspoon, interesting pitcher, guy that I 0:15:29.160 --> 0:15:32.360 think is one to watch. But it's number twenty that 0:15:32.400 --> 0:15:35.320 I like the most personally, Andrew Fisher Milwaukee. 0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:38.080 I think got themselves a dude here. I love this kid. 0:15:38.080 --> 0:15:41.120 He has the ball hard, he's got a major league physique, 0:15:41.320 --> 0:15:43.640 already played for Tennessee last year if he didn't watch 0:15:43.680 --> 0:15:46.640 any college baseball last year. But like this guy, hits it. 0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:49.680 You know, it's out. I love that left handed strokes. 0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:52.320 He's got a ton of power. I don't know, man like, 0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:53.800 I don't know if he's going to stick at their base, 0:15:53.840 --> 0:15:55.520 if that's like his long term thing. But to me, 0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:57.520 this is like, you know, you talk about what they 0:15:57.560 --> 0:16:00.600 look like. I watch Andrew Fisher, and I watched it 0:16:00.680 --> 0:16:02.480 with Tennessee, and then I watched a lot of highlights 0:16:02.520 --> 0:16:04.400 of him, you know, trying to get ready for this 0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:05.960 show in the last couple of days. And let me 0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:07.880 tell you something, dude, that's the guy that I went. 0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:11.080 Wherever this guy lands, I'm going to be investing in 0:16:11.120 --> 0:16:12.560 fantasy because I do think he's going. 0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:14.000 To rise through the ranks pretty quickly. 0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:16.480 I'd love to hear your thoughts on Fisher and this 0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:19.200 group here, in this next ten through twenty group, and 0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:20.000 who stood out to you. 0:16:20.240 --> 0:16:23.640 Yeah, so Fisher is super interesting. I'm kind of torn 0:16:23.680 --> 0:16:25.480 on one hundred percent where I want to go with it. 0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:29.400 He's spoiler. He didn't make to my top fifteen, but 0:16:29.440 --> 0:16:30.720 I think he's run on the press office. I think 0:16:30.760 --> 0:16:32.080 a lot of people like him because he was one 0:16:32.080 --> 0:16:35.680 of those huge, one of those few college bats, great 0:16:35.800 --> 0:16:39.920 bat speed, good power. Data Wise, in college, he had 0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:43.920 the best of the first rounders EV ninety five plus, 0:16:43.960 --> 0:16:46.360 so he had a sixty two percent rate where he 0:16:46.360 --> 0:16:49.240 was hitting the ball ninety five or harder, which is ridiculous. 0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:52.560 His contact in the zone was around eighty four percent, 0:16:52.640 --> 0:16:55.920 that's well above average. He also pulled the ball in 0:16:55.920 --> 0:16:58.640 the air almost more than anybody and had the highest 0:16:58.640 --> 0:17:00.600 barrel rate. So, I mean, all of those things really 0:17:00.640 --> 0:17:02.880 do work out. Frankly, talking about it out loud again 0:17:03.240 --> 0:17:05.320 does make me think that's a guy that you do 0:17:05.440 --> 0:17:07.400 need to consider pushing even higher. 0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:11.000 He has advanced physically, Like you look at some of 0:17:11.040 --> 0:17:13.120 these kids, you know, you see the high school kids 0:17:13.119 --> 0:17:15.639 for instance, You're like, Okay, there's a lot of growing 0:17:15.720 --> 0:17:17.800 left to do into the frame. He's gonna have to 0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:19.840 put on, you know, twenty pounds of muscle over the 0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:21.679 next two years in order to get to where he 0:17:21.680 --> 0:17:23.760 needs to be physically to play in the major leagues. Yeah, 0:17:23.880 --> 0:17:26.640 this kid looks like he plays already for the Milwaukee Brewer. 0:17:26.920 --> 0:17:28.880 I mean yeah, and not like in a big way 0:17:28.920 --> 0:17:32.360 where he's like, oh, he's an overwaker. He is strong, 0:17:32.640 --> 0:17:35.640 he has got strong lower half, He gets great hip 0:17:35.760 --> 0:17:39.240 rotation through the baseball, a nice left handed swing. When 0:17:39.359 --> 0:17:41.440 he like I said, when this guy hits a ball, 0:17:41.720 --> 0:17:42.560 it stays a hit. 0:17:43.240 --> 0:17:46.480 I wish, yeah, I wish I had his batspeed data because 0:17:46.480 --> 0:17:49.119 it's pretty sick. The rest of these guys just some 0:17:49.240 --> 0:17:53.000 quick nuggets. Jamie Arnold is like a spin monster. At 0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:54.920 one point he was seen as a first overall pick. 0:17:54.960 --> 0:17:57.480 He went to the Athletics. He's got a problem. It's 0:17:57.520 --> 0:17:59.879 a lefty throwing sweepers into righty, so they might have 0:17:59.880 --> 0:18:02.000 to figure that out. But some people think he might 0:18:02.000 --> 0:18:04.479 have been one of the steals of the draft. Kaisan 0:18:04.520 --> 0:18:07.000