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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: All the work, all the talk, all the handicapping is done.

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Speaker 1: It's time for history. They're on in live.

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Speaker 2: We're ready for this time.

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Speaker 1: They're all rank another two links more back to win.

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Speaker 1: Wind on the turn, beginning to pick up drive near

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Speaker 1: the bank of the back.

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Speaker 2: As the field turns for home, Hendy burst on and

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Speaker 2: opening on the inside. It's trying first drive as they

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Speaker 2: come to the final prolong kick, fedling on what room

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Speaker 2: down to the line and.

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Speaker 1: A possible result here? What's going on? Everybody?

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Speaker 3: Getting you set for the weekend? Here are the Action

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Speaker 3: Network Podcast. We are presented by bet MGM. I'm your host,

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Speaker 3: Brendan Glasheen. Today's episode we are getting you set for

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Speaker 3: the fortieth annual Breeders' Cup Classic, the richest horse race

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Speaker 3: in North America. I'm happy to be joined by.

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Speaker 1: Horse racing expert at Action Network. His name is Mike.

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Speaker 1: You've heard him before.

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Speaker 3: He's joined us for video content in the past, and

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Speaker 3: he's joining us here on the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 1: We're going to go through a couple of races.

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Speaker 3: Mike, just general thoughts heading in to the weekend for

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Speaker 3: the Breeders Cup and what has you excited from a

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Speaker 3: betting perspective.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, great to be here, Brendan. Thanks. You know, listen,

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Speaker 2: it's it's the richest weekend of horse racing in the world.

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Speaker 2: It's one of my favorite weekends of the year as

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Speaker 2: it pertains to the horses. You've got top quality horses

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Speaker 2: at every level, dirt, turf, sprint, route, young, old, and

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Speaker 2: there always seems to be plenty of money to be made,

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Speaker 2: upsets galore. So really looking forward to the weekend, love.

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Speaker 1: It, love it. So there's a couple of races we

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Speaker 1: want to hit on.

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Speaker 3: There was a scratch earlier in the week that one

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Speaker 3: that we want to focus on especially, so we'll get

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Speaker 3: to that or work our way through. So let's begin

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Speaker 3: with Classic Race nine in Santonito. Again, this has taken

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Speaker 3: place in California. So what's our outlook for the Classic?

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Speaker 3: What might jump out to you from this race?

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Speaker 1: In particular for those.

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Speaker 2: That remember, you know my Belmont pick was Arcangelo. He

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Speaker 2: went on to win the Belmont. He was training up

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Speaker 2: unto this point. He won the Travers over the summer,

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Speaker 2: unfortunately had a hoof issue. He scratched. He will be retired,

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Speaker 2: So that changed my whole betting perspective of the Classic.

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Speaker 2: I mentioned in the opening that I, you know, it's

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Speaker 2: a great weekend to try to find some prices, and

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Speaker 2: I'm doing that right here, right now in the Classic.

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Speaker 2: My top choice in here is going to be number

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Speaker 2: two zand In twelve to one on the morning line.

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Speaker 2: This horse always seems to run his race. Does he

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Speaker 2: love to win? Not necessarily, but he's coming in in

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Speaker 2: some of the best form of his career. Very interesting

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Speaker 2: that he gets Hall of Famer and one of the

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Speaker 2: best jockeys in the world in Frankie to Tori. You know,

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Speaker 2: trainer Chad Brown always has his horses ready to go

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Speaker 2: and the distance is not going to be an issue.

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Speaker 2: He's proven that he can compete in Grade one company.

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Speaker 2: So he's going to be my top choice in the Classic.

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Speaker 3: Okay, very good, And I think another component, and I

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Speaker 3: apologize if you just said this. I'm just trying to

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Speaker 3: get caught up to speed because when you mentioned Archangelo,

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Speaker 3: it did bring me back.

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Speaker 2: I know.

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Speaker 3: I hope the audience did too, because they know it's

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Speaker 3: been a while sin to be last chatted. But Zanden,

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Speaker 3: now leaving from the rail has some experience there too.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure that's beneficial too.

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Speaker 3: Again, we feel bad arcangelou Lt, but that does pave

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Speaker 3: way for Zanden.

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Speaker 1: To be in a pretty good spot.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a good call, you know, with Zanden now

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Speaker 2: breaking from the rail. In all honesty, it depends now

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Speaker 2: for Xanden it shouldn't be an issue because he's going

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Speaker 2: to be a stalking type of a horse, so he

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Speaker 2: wasn't going to be a need to lead. He may

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Speaker 2: actually have to use some more early pace to ensure

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Speaker 2: that he doesn't get trapped down on the rail, but

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Speaker 2: that rail should not impact his running style much at all.

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Speaker 2: But it is definitely something to note.

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Speaker 3: Okay, very good, so potential to preserve some energy and

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Speaker 3: you're get a pretty good price. Let's go to race

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Speaker 3: a Breeders Cup Turf. This is a mile and a

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Speaker 3: half downhill race. This is at five forty eastern, so

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Speaker 3: we're going backwards folks if you're keeping track at home,

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Speaker 3: and then we'll have some exotics at the end. So

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Speaker 3: what is our outlook for the Breeders Cup Turf.

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Speaker 2: I think in here again earlier this year for those listeners,

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Speaker 2: a horse who I absolutely loved earlier this year on

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Speaker 2: Belmont Day as well, was up to the mark. I

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Speaker 2: loved him on Derby Day, I loved him on Belmont Day.

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Speaker 2: And I'm going right back to the old well here,

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Speaker 2: back to up to the mark, number eight five to

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Speaker 2: one morning line. He should get more than enough pace

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Speaker 2: in this race to run at and I think five

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Speaker 2: to five to one is a really square price. Irad

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Speaker 2: Todd Pletcher Ripoli who for those that remember, Rapoli is

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Speaker 2: the owner of Forte as well. He's got a pretty

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Speaker 2: great string of horses up to the mark, being his

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Speaker 2: best turf horse in my opinion, So I'm really excited.

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Speaker 2: I think again we're gonna get a really nice price

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Speaker 2: at five to one. They got him a warm up

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Speaker 2: if you will, in the Grade one turf mile at

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Speaker 2: Keenland back in early October, so this is second off

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Speaker 2: the layoff. He's primed and ready to go. He's won

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Speaker 2: three in a row. He's won five of his last

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Speaker 2: six and I expect to see it be six of

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Speaker 2: his last seven after this race on Saturday. The other

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Speaker 2: horse though, that I think that needs to be talked

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Speaker 2: about in here is number five, Auguste Rudin, who is

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Speaker 2: one of the aid and O'Brien shippers. If you want

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Speaker 2: to see a cool video, just go google aid and

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Speaker 2: O'Brien horses warming up at Santa Anita. There's just a

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Speaker 2: string of horses that Aidan O'Brien sends over four Breeders

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Speaker 2: Cup weekend. They always seem to fire and run really well.

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Speaker 2: I believe this is the best of the bunch in

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Speaker 2: this race. Also, Aidan O'Brien's top jockey is Ryan Moore.

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Speaker 2: Ryan Moore ends up here on August Day. Who's three

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Speaker 2: to one? I don't love that price. The horse has

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Speaker 2: done nothing wrong, six wins nine starts, has one Grade

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Speaker 2: one overseas, but is never run in the States. So

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Speaker 2: you know, we'll have to see, and I'm going to

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Speaker 2: take a wait and see approach. I will be including

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Speaker 2: him in my bets, but up to the mark will

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Speaker 2: be the top choice.

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Speaker 3: Are there other prices out and up to the mark

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Speaker 3: that you can find? I'm seeing an eight to one

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Speaker 3: out there.

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Speaker 2: You know, there are some fixed odds markets for horse racing.

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Speaker 2: You obviously have to be in certain states to get

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Speaker 2: those fixed odds. So if you can get something like

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Speaker 2: up to the mark what Brendan's seeing right now, I

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Speaker 2: would personally jump all over that. I do expect that

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Speaker 2: five to one morning line to come down. Anything frankly

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Speaker 2: above five to two, three to one is a really

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Speaker 2: square price to get on up to the mark.

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Speaker 1: Okay, very good.

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Speaker 3: And then the last trace we want to focus on

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Speaker 3: before we go into some exotics and some other picks

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Speaker 3: that you want to get creative with too, bet the Breeders'

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Speaker 3: Cup Classic. The Classic race as well as some other races,

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Speaker 3: but the Breeders' Cup overall. Let's go to the Distaff

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Speaker 3: race seven.

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Speaker 1: What do you got?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? You know? The Distaff is honestly always one of

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Speaker 2: my favorite races of the weekend for phillies and mayors.

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Speaker 2: It's essentially right. It's the female version of the Classic,

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Speaker 2: my top choice. In here, again, I'm going against another

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Speaker 2: favorite in here. I'm going to number five, a Dari

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Speaker 2: Minoir Bob Bafford trainee. For those that follow the sport,

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Speaker 2: you know that Bafford always has his horses primed and

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Speaker 2: ready to go. She is. She loves this Santa Anita dirt.

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Speaker 2: She has six wins and three seconds from nine starts,

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Speaker 2: means that she's never run worse than second in any

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Speaker 2: of her nine starts. Will she need to move up

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Speaker 2: from a buyer's speed figure perspective, Yes, but I do

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Speaker 2: think that she has the ability to do that in

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Speaker 2: here and at four to one, I will to take

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Speaker 2: that chance with her being my top pick.

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Speaker 1: Okay, very good.

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Speaker 3: Any other long shots that you might be interested in it?

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Speaker 3: Unlike so with the turf race, you're eyeing two horses.

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Speaker 3: Is in this situation, is there anyone.

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Speaker 1: Down the board that you might want to consider too?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you know there's another horse at six to one.

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Speaker 2: Randomize number eight. I think what's interesting in here is

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Speaker 2: there looks to be a decent amount of speed. Randomize

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Speaker 2: another one of those speed horses. Chad Brown is the trainer,

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Speaker 2: Jose Ortiz is a board. The horse hasn't done anything wrong,

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Speaker 2: rattled off three wins in a row, the last two

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Speaker 2: being very impressive, one of them being at Saratoga in

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Speaker 2: the A Grade one Alabama, so clearly she knows how

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Speaker 2: to win. Last time, she beat older horses for the

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Speaker 2: first time, which is which is great to see her

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Speaker 2: step up against that older competition and win there. So listen,

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Speaker 2: she's gonna be one that's gonna gun for the lead.

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Speaker 2: And can she hold on is going to be the

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Speaker 2: big question.

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Speaker 3: Okay, excellent, Mike, how abou So we'll wrap and this

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Speaker 3: kind of encapsulates all three of these races.

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Speaker 1: Why don't you give us a pick three?

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Speaker 3: And also, when you give some of these out, if

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Speaker 3: you could tell the audience if if they're new to

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Speaker 3: horse racing, because as you know, like more and more

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Speaker 3: states are becoming legalized, so there's more and more folks

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Speaker 3: that might be betting horse racing for the first time.

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Speaker 3: It might include the host that's on this particular program

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Speaker 3: with you today. But just help folks understand the process

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Speaker 3: into going into how to make selections.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a great question, Brennan. So we're, as Brennan said,

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Speaker 2: we're going to talk about a pick three. A pick

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Speaker 2: three is like a three race parlay. The interesting thing

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Speaker 2: with horse racing though, is that you can pick multiple

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Speaker 2: horses in each race. It just makes your bet that

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Speaker 2: much more expensive, so you're cutting into your profit margin

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Speaker 2: if that bet hits by doing is so. So in

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Speaker 2: a pick three, what I typically look to do is

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Speaker 2: I look to say, Okay, is there a horse I

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Speaker 2: want to build this ticket around that I'm willing to

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Speaker 2: single or maybe just go too deep in one leg.

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Speaker 2: If every leg is going to be four or five deep,

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Speaker 2: it may not make sense. Now I'm going to be

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Speaker 2: a little bit of a contrarian and say that this

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Speaker 2: weekend is the weekend that if you're like you want

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Speaker 2: to go three deep, by five deep, by five deep,

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Speaker 2: this is the weekend to do it, because of how

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Speaker 2: the chance of having some longer priced horses and getting

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Speaker 2: a bigger score. All that being said, here's what my

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Speaker 2: ticket structure is going to look like for the pick three,

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Speaker 2: starting in the distaff, which is RaSE seven. As we

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Speaker 2: just talked about my top choices number five a dare manner,

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Speaker 2: I'm also going to include the morning line favorite in

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Speaker 2: four idiomatic and then also who I mentioned earlier, number

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Speaker 2: eight randomized. When we go to the turf, we discuss

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Speaker 2: two horses to really get some significant value. I am

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Speaker 2: going to single up to the mark in this race

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Speaker 2: again top choice. Love this horse, you know I've been

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Speaker 2: on him every step of the way five to one.

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Speaker 2: Morning line horse number eight up to the mark will

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Speaker 2: be the single in race eight. And then in the Classic,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna use three horses. The horse that we talked

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Speaker 2: about before, Zanden number two at twelve to one, right

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Speaker 2: to his outside horse number three, White a Barrio at

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Speaker 2: four to one, and then gonna go all the way

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Speaker 2: towards the outside in number twelve, Arabian Night. I will

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Speaker 2: be betting this pick three, so it will be three

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Speaker 2: by one by three, so it'll cost you nine dollars

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Speaker 2: for every dollar. I will most likely be playing one

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Speaker 2: hundred dollars pick three. It'll cost me nine hundred bucks.

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Speaker 2: I would hope that in this situation I would easily

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Speaker 2: be able to get back somewhere in the ballpark of

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Speaker 2: fifty to seventy to one on my bet.

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Speaker 1: Gay Yeah, and on Arabian Night.

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Speaker 3: Nice bounce back for Arabian Night last time out after

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Speaker 3: a loss, So I'm sure that's going to make you

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Speaker 3: feel good as far as getting back on the hun

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Speaker 3: intended on the right.

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Speaker 2: Track big time, and we talked about it before right.

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Speaker 2: Bafford is a West Coast trainer. This is one of

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Speaker 2: his horses, Arabian Night arguably the best of his horses

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Speaker 2: right now. We actually saw Arabian Night last year on Breeders'

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Speaker 2: Cup weekend at Kingland. He broke his maiden earlier in

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Speaker 2: the card, so kind of coming full circle now for

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Speaker 2: Arabian Night, trying to win the biggest race on Breeders'

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Speaker 2: Cup weekend. You know, he's going to be a horse

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Speaker 2: that will be either on or really darn close to

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Speaker 2: the lead, really lightly raced, which is something that I

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Speaker 2: like to see at three to one. You know, I'm

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Speaker 2: not going to make my top choices we talked about earlier,

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Speaker 2: but a horse that you have to use and you

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Speaker 2: must respect in this spot.

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Speaker 1: Okay, very good.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Bafford's looking for his fifth success here at the Breeders'

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Speaker 3: Cup class. Mike CONTI where else can people find you

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Speaker 3: if they're tuning in on a Friday maybe they're tuning

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Speaker 3: in Saturday morning of but where else can people find

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Speaker 3: you if they need up to date information?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so I'll have articles out for Friday's races as

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Speaker 2: well as Saturday races on Action Network. Any changes that

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Speaker 2: are made or any late scratches, anything, you can find

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Speaker 2: me on Twitter at mcanti ten twenty three and I'll

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Speaker 2: be posting some tickets on there for people to follow

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Speaker 2: along with as well.

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Speaker 3: All right, Mike, great stuff, We appreciate it, and we

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Speaker 3: look forward to the Breeders' Cup Classic and the other races,

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Speaker 3: and it should be a good weekend. This is one

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Speaker 3: of your favorites. I can tell by your enthusiasm, So

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Speaker 3: thanks for stopping by. From Mike Conti, Brendan glass Sheen,

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Speaker 3: thanks for listening everybody to our Breeders' Cup Best Bets

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Speaker 3: preview on the Action Network podcast. We are presented by

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Speaker 3: our friends at BETMGM good Luck.

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Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

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