1 00:00:00,760 --> 00:00:04,880 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris 2 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: here with my good friend Bau mcbraer, and we are 3 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:09,480 Speaker 1: going to give you a full betting preview today of 4 00:00:09,520 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: the Rocket Mortgage Classic. We will also quickly recap Scottie 5 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:16,960 Speaker 1: Scheffler's win at the Travelers Championship, and at the end 6 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:17,560 Speaker 1: of the show. 7 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 2: We'll give you our one and done picks for the week. 8 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:23,760 Speaker 1: The Betting pros PGA Podcast is sponsored by Underdog Fantasy. 9 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 1: Underdog is the place to go for best ball fantasy 10 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:29,479 Speaker 1: football contest, but you might not have known that Underdog 11 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:33,480 Speaker 1: is golf contest too. Visit Underdog dot com or find 12 00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: Underdog in the app store, and don't forget to register 13 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:40,240 Speaker 1: with the promo code b p Golf to get your 14 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: special pick and to get a first time deposit offer 15 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:46,200 Speaker 1: up to two hundred and fifty dollars in bonus cash. 16 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:49,160 Speaker 1: More on Underdog in its golf contest. A little bit later, 17 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: Scottie Scheffler wins again. The number one player in the 18 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 1: world banked his sixth win of the season. He's won 19 00:00:56,760 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: six of fifteen events he's entered in twenty twenty five. 20 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:05,320 Speaker 1: That's an astounding winning percentage of forty percent. This was 21 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 1: Scotty's first playoff victory of twenty twenty four. He had 22 00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:13,080 Speaker 1: to outlast Tom Kim after a wild seventy second hole. 23 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 1: Scotty took a one shot lead to the eighteenth hit 24 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:19,759 Speaker 1: his approach shot to about twenty six feet. Tom Kim 25 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,720 Speaker 1: hid his approach shot to just over ten feet. Then 26 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:27,040 Speaker 1: a surreal scene with climate protesters storming the eighteenth green. 27 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 1: They were arrested and removed, and after Scotty missed his 28 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:35,320 Speaker 1: twenty six footer, Kim calmly rolled in his ten foot birdie. 29 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 2: Pott to force the playoff. 30 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: They started the playoff in the eighteenth and after both 31 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:43,399 Speaker 1: finding the fairway, Scotty hit his approach shot to eleven feet, 32 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 1: Kim put his one hundred and ten yard wedge into 33 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 1: the bunker, where he wound. 34 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 2: Up with a really bad lie. 35 00:01:49,880 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 1: Couldn't get a fried egg big time, couldn't get it close, 36 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 1: got it to about thirty six feet, missed that par 37 00:01:56,720 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 1: Pott and Scotty had an easy two pot for the victory. 38 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 1: We expected a birdie fest at the Travelers Bow, and 39 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: we got it. Scotty was a metronome of excellence at 40 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 1: TPC River Highlands with rounds of sixty five, sixty four, 41 00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:14,959 Speaker 1: sixty four and sixty five. Cameron Young shot a fifty 42 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 1: nine on Saturday. His round included seven birdies and not 43 00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:22,080 Speaker 1: one but two eagles on par fours. He hold a 44 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 1: one hundred and forty two yard approach on number three 45 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:28,520 Speaker 1: and his t shot on the very drivable fifteenth hole 46 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 1: stopped four feet from the cup, leading to a second eagle. 47 00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 1: Sepstraca had a sixty one on Sunday. Several players had 48 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: rounds of sixty two in the tournament, including Tom Kim 49 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 1: on Thursday. A four round score of sixteen under par 50 00:02:43,760 --> 00:02:46,800 Speaker 1: left you out of the top ten at the Travelers 51 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: Championship this year. So it was indeed a birdie fest. 52 00:02:49,800 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: But what were your takeaways from the Travelers. 53 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 3: It was the consistency in which Scottie Scheffler put himself 54 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 3: in scoring opportunities and converted them. His putter came back 55 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 3: to life. Obviously, the greens at River Highlands were nowhere 56 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:08,359 Speaker 3: near as complicated or tricky as at Pinehurst, so Scottie 57 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 3: Hums had himself a week. I mean, you just tip 58 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 3: your cap to him and it's amazing that we've hit 59 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 3: any outrights this season. With him out on the field. 60 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 3: It's hard out here for golf betters because it doesn't 61 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 3: really pay to bet him to win unless you're just 62 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 3: throwing around heavyweights of money, and you just have to 63 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 3: You have to acknowledge that he's gonna win most of 64 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 3: the time with the way he's playing right now, and 65 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 3: that's just the way it goes in for me. That's 66 00:03:36,080 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 3: why I do placement betting, or I do non Scotty bets. 67 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 3: You might not get as good at the odds as 68 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:49,160 Speaker 3: obviously concluding Scotty in your bets, but having top ten 69 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:52,840 Speaker 3: bets on Ox, Shavatilla and Patrick Cantley really paid off. 70 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 3: It helped me not get completely skunked by another Scotty win, 71 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 3: and some of my friends out there had some tom 72 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 3: him with no Scotti involved. So there are lines on 73 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 3: the books where you can say, Okay, other than Scotty, 74 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 3: who's gonna win or who's gonna have the nons the 75 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 3: best non Scotty finished, And that's that's kind of what 76 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 3: we're dealing with. Is it's almost like he needs to 77 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:21,719 Speaker 3: give strokes to other professional golfers. It's like it's a 78 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 3: stroke play handicap event, where like it's it's it's a 79 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 3: two man scramble out there where he's it's almost like 80 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 3: he's playing like two golfers who get to play scramble 81 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 3: and he's just that good and tip your cap to him. Again. 82 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 3: It hurts as a golf better, but it also means 83 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 3: that there's opportunities in weeks like this for us us 84 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 3: to get good values on some long shots that have 85 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 3: every bit as good of a chance to win as 86 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 3: some of these favorites that are hyper inflated on the lines. 87 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, no, Scotty for a couple of weeks. He won't 88 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: be playing again until either the Scottish Open or possibly 89 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: the British Open next month, depending on whether he decides 90 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:04,680 Speaker 1: to go to North Barrack. So yeah, I mean, like 91 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 1: and any fears about the wheels coming off for Scotty 92 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: after the uncharacteristically scruffy performance at Pinehurst, he got those 93 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 1: wheels back on as if he was having an ACE 94 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: Formula one pit crew working on his vehicle. So now 95 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:22,919 Speaker 1: we will move on to the Rocket Mortgage Classic in 96 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 1: just a moment. But first our friends at Underdog Fantasy 97 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 1: are letting you make picks on your favorite golfers all 98 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:31,560 Speaker 1: season long. Just pick higher or lower on selected stats 99 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: for two to five golfers and you can win up 100 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,279 Speaker 1: to twenty times your money in a single day. You 101 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 1: can also make rivals picks, choosing, for example, which of 102 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,039 Speaker 1: two golfers will shoot a better score in a round. 103 00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:44,800 Speaker 1: Golf picks can be combined with player stats from other 104 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 1: sports too. Go sign up an underdog Fantasy with the 105 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 1: promo coud VP Golf to claim your special pick and 106 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:52,479 Speaker 1: to get a first time deposit offer of up to 107 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 1: two hundred and fifty dollars in bonus cash. Yeah, so 108 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 1: no Scotty in Detroit, Michigan this week, so someone else 109 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 1: is going to be in the winner circle. And this 110 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:04,200 Speaker 1: is not an elevated event. It is a full field 111 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 1: event with the standard thirty six hole cut, and in fact, 112 00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:10,679 Speaker 1: this field does not include a single player in the 113 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 1: top twenty of the world rankings. So the Rocket Mortga 114 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 1: Mortgage Classic will once again be hosted by the Detroit 115 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:21,599 Speaker 1: Golf Club. It is a seven three hundred and seventy 116 00:06:21,640 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 1: yard par seventy two. It is another Donald Ross design. 117 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:30,040 Speaker 1: It's a bomb and gouge course, fairways are relatively wide 118 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,840 Speaker 1: and flat, and the rough is not especially penal, and 119 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:37,600 Speaker 1: as with last week's host course, TPC River Highlands, the 120 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:40,000 Speaker 1: Detroit Golf Club features greens that are a blend of 121 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 1: bent grass and poa. Those greens are small and undulating, 122 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 1: so it's probably going to take a pretty good week 123 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 1: of putting to win the Rocket Mortgage. It also seems 124 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:51,320 Speaker 1: as if the big hitters will have an advantage, and 125 00:06:51,400 --> 00:06:54,760 Speaker 1: since thirty percent of approach shots are from fifty yards 126 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:57,839 Speaker 1: to one hundred and twenty five yards wedge play, it's. 127 00:06:57,720 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 2: Going to be very important this week. 128 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:03,480 Speaker 1: Ricky follow the defending Rocket Mortgage Classic champion Follower one 129 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 1: a playoff against Colin Morikawa and Adam Hadwin last year, 130 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 1: they all finished at twenty four under par. Other past 131 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 1: winners of this relatively young PGA Tour events, Tony Fenale 132 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 1: won by five shots in twenty twenty two, finishing twenty 133 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: six under par. Cam Davis won in twenty twenty one 134 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 1: at eighteen under, beating Joaque Neeman and Troy Merritt in 135 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 1: a playoff. Bryce and d Chambeau finished minus twenty three 136 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 1: to win in twenty twenty and Nate Lashley won the 137 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 1: inaugural Rocket Mortgage Classic in twenty nineteen, finishing twenty five 138 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 1: under The weather forecast calls for temperatures ranging from the 139 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 1: mid seventies to mid eighties all week, significant chance of 140 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:45,400 Speaker 1: rain Saturday, and we could see some breezy conditions on 141 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 1: the weekend with wins in the ten to twenty mile 142 00:07:47,560 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 1: an hour range Saturday and Sunday. Bow your thoughts on 143 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:53,280 Speaker 1: the Detroit Golf Club and the kind of players you 144 00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 1: think will do well on this course. 145 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 3: It is a bomb and gougch course, but a lot 146 00:07:57,360 --> 00:07:59,520 Speaker 3: of these guys can bomb and gougch this course even 147 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 3: if they're not bomber. And that's that's kind of the 148 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 3: thing with Detroit Golf Club is it's devoid of a 149 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 3: lot of hazards. There's not a lot of water hazards, 150 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 3: there's not a lot of bunkers. The rough is light, 151 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 3: it's wide open, straightforward. If you play good golf and 152 00:08:14,520 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 3: you get get going on the greens and make enough 153 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 3: birdies to keep yourself at pace, kind of like last week, 154 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:24,760 Speaker 3: just with a different field, you really have to keep 155 00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 3: your foot on the gas here and it's really a 156 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 3: ball striker's paradise. I think that because the distance advantage 157 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 3: kind of gives give some of those guys a shorter 158 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:37,280 Speaker 3: club in Obviously that has to account in in your 159 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:41,439 Speaker 3: in your scoring models. I'm also looking at approach approaches 160 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 3: everything here. So if you're if you have a bomber, 161 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:47,160 Speaker 3: I would look at your one fifty and under and 162 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:49,600 Speaker 3: if it's not a longer hitter, I'm going one fifty, 163 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:51,640 Speaker 3: one seventy five or even one twenty five to one 164 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:53,959 Speaker 3: fifty because a lot of these guys are going to 165 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 3: be hitting wedges into these greens regardless of how long 166 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 3: they are, and so you just want to you want 167 00:08:58,800 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 3: to focus on approaching and then a little shirt game 168 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,559 Speaker 3: and a lot of putting it. It's going to come 169 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:08,160 Speaker 3: down to who can hit it closer and convert those chances. 170 00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:11,079 Speaker 1: We'll talk odds in just a moment, but first, if 171 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:12,839 Speaker 1: you want a chance to win a free one year 172 00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 1: premium Betting Pro subscription, you need to subscribe to the 173 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel right now, comment below in this 174 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:21,360 Speaker 1: video and that's it. We will be announcing a winner 175 00:09:21,400 --> 00:09:22,920 Speaker 1: right here on the channel, so make sure to turn 176 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:25,400 Speaker 1: on those notifications so you can be alerted when new 177 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 1: episodes are up and to claim your prize. And speaking 178 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: of Betting Pros Premium, with a Premium Betting Pros sub 179 00:09:32,040 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 1: you will have full access to a new Betting Pros 180 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:39,319 Speaker 1: Betting Systems feature which is designed to help you find 181 00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:43,200 Speaker 1: winning trends and make smarter bets. Create and customize your 182 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 1: own systems by sports, bet type, timeframe, or other selected 183 00:09:48,280 --> 00:09:52,160 Speaker 1: parameters in order to find the most profitable betting opportunities. 184 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 1: Not only can you make your own systems, you can 185 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 1: follow other users systems to track profitability and to tail 186 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 1: upcoming bets in MLB, the NBA, the NFL, and college football. 187 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 1: Download and use the Betting Pros app today to find 188 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:11,440 Speaker 1: profitable betting systems. Now, all right, let's get to the 189 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:14,640 Speaker 1: odds for the Rocket Mortgage Classic. These are all courtesy 190 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:19,440 Speaker 1: of DraftKings. As of Monday afternoon, Tom Kim, fresh off 191 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 1: his second place finish in Connecticut, is the favorite at 192 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:25,920 Speaker 1: plus twelve hundred. Cameron Young is plus fourteen hundred. He 193 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 1: of the fifty nine last Saturday Minwu Lee is plus 194 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:33,440 Speaker 1: two thousand. Aksha Batia plus twenty two hundred. We have 195 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 1: a big group at plus three thousand that includes Will Zalatorus, 196 00:10:36,760 --> 00:10:40,839 Speaker 1: Steven Jaeger, Maverick McNeely, Keith Mitchell, Alex Norin and Aaron 197 00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:45,359 Speaker 1: Raye at plus thirty five hundred, Taylor Pendrith, Robert McIntyre 198 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:49,320 Speaker 1: and Davis Thompson, and at plus four thousand is defending 199 00:10:49,400 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 1: champ Ricky Fowler. 200 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 2: Who do you like from this group? 201 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 3: Bo I like a lot of them, but I don't 202 00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:57,640 Speaker 3: like their odds at the top here. It's been widely 203 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 3: debated as is soon is those released on late Sunday, 204 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 3: there's been pretty much everybody in the community is just 205 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 3: disgusted with the lines at the top here. That just 206 00:11:08,920 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 3: means that you got to be careful about your exposure 207 00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 3: and betting on the top of this board. I do 208 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 3: like Tom Kim a lot. He's playing extremely well. His 209 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 3: short game and driving distance aren't up to par here, 210 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:23,199 Speaker 3: but he's a birdie making machine. We saw that last 211 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:26,719 Speaker 3: week where he stood toe to toe with Scottie all 212 00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:28,760 Speaker 3: the way down through seventy two holes. There was no 213 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 3: difference between the two best friends from Dallas. I mean, 214 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:35,319 Speaker 3: they have the same birthday and everything, and it looked 215 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 3: like they were just completely two peas in a pod 216 00:11:37,760 --> 00:11:40,360 Speaker 3: on the scorecard, so Tom came at twelve to one 217 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:42,080 Speaker 3: is a little short for my liking. I still don't 218 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:43,120 Speaker 3: want to go without. 219 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 2: Betting on him. 220 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 3: And then as much as I don't want to play 221 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:49,959 Speaker 3: Aksha Batiya here because he's kind of fallen down on 222 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:54,600 Speaker 3: my model from mainly the short game metrics putting specifically, 223 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:58,199 Speaker 3: his short game's okay. His approach game on wedges is awesome. 224 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 3: I'm just a little bit cot just because he had 225 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:04,680 Speaker 3: a really big letdown at the end of Sunday's round. 226 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:06,240 Speaker 3: He was right there in the thick of it, but 227 00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 3: only two under par on Sunday. He's gonna need some 228 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:12,640 Speaker 3: time to regroup. As a twenty two year old. Tom 229 00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:14,760 Speaker 3: Kim's kind of in the same boat, but more a 230 00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 3: little bit less though, because he actually got into the playoff. 231 00:12:18,920 --> 00:12:21,720 Speaker 3: But I think that if you go to Cam Young, 232 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 3: be careful because Cam Young hadn't done anything like that 233 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 3: in a long time, and I worry about his consistency. 234 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:32,400 Speaker 3: Even as well as on paper he fits this golf course, 235 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:36,080 Speaker 3: I worry about his ability to consistently put two weeks 236 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:39,440 Speaker 3: like that together. I'm going to start most of my 237 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:43,360 Speaker 3: betting cards aggressively at Steven Yaeger the Valero Texas Open 238 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 3: winner or not Valera the Houston Open winner. Yeah, so 239 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 3: I think Jaeger number two in my model across the 240 00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:56,520 Speaker 3: board just a great player. Just annihilates par fives number 241 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:59,880 Speaker 3: eight on approach number four, around the greens here, balls 242 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 3: ranking top ten, he hits all the boxes here, and 243 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 3: he's getting a twenty eight to one line right now 244 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:10,400 Speaker 3: as of Monday afternoon. That's fantastic for a guy who's 245 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 3: kind of flying under the radar since he won a 246 00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:14,680 Speaker 3: Houston he hasn't done a whole lot, but this is 247 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:18,200 Speaker 3: another return to golf courses and field strengths that he 248 00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 3: can kind of navigate a little bit better. He's not 249 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:23,760 Speaker 3: going to stack up will in a stacked signature event, 250 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:26,319 Speaker 3: but in a place like this where the golf course 251 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:29,440 Speaker 3: really rewards his style of play, I think you can 252 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:31,200 Speaker 3: do a lot worse than Steven Yeger. 253 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 2: Yeah. 254 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 1: Jaeger finished ninth here last year, fourth in twenty twenty two. 255 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 1: He is a bombing gouge guy and he seems to 256 00:13:38,880 --> 00:13:42,000 Speaker 1: fit this course really well. He's top twenty in strokes 257 00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 1: gain and approaches from one hundred and twenty five yards 258 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 1: and in just seems like this is the perfect course 259 00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 1: for him. Yeah, Tom Kim top five in two of 260 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 1: his last four events. He did miss the cut in 261 00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:55,439 Speaker 1: Detroit last year, but he finished seventh here in twenty 262 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 1: twenty two. You mentioned Cameron Young. His only previous Rocket 263 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 1: mortgageppearance was in twenty twenty two and he finished second. 264 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: So he's shown some aptitude for this course. But as 265 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 1: you said, Bo, he had been in pretty poor form 266 00:14:07,760 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 1: for like two and a half months. Then he shoots 267 00:14:10,440 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 1: a fifty nine last weekend, and you know, shows you 268 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 1: that ceiling we know he has. Let's see Akha Batilla 269 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:20,600 Speaker 1: made his debut at the Rocket Mortgage last year, missed 270 00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:23,400 Speaker 1: the cut, but he has finished top twenty five and 271 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:26,960 Speaker 1: three straits, including his fifth last week at the Travelers. 272 00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:29,680 Speaker 1: Let me ask you about a couple of guys. Bo 273 00:14:30,560 --> 00:14:34,120 Speaker 1: alex Norin. I know you're not big on his ability 274 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:37,600 Speaker 1: to close. He has missed the cut in two of 275 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 1: his last three events, including the US Open. Bot Norn 276 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 1: has finished top twenty five and nine of his last 277 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:46,080 Speaker 1: eleven events dating back to early March, and he's finished 278 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:50,320 Speaker 1: top ten in his last two Rocket Rocket Mortgage appearances. 279 00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 1: The other guy I want to ask you about is 280 00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 1: Taylor Pendrith. He's finished top twenty five and six of 281 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 1: his last eight tournaments, finished second in Detroit in twenty 282 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 1: twenty two, in a tie for second, fourteenth last year. 283 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 1: He ranks top twelve in driving distance and strokes gained putting, 284 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 1: So it does seem like a course that's kind of 285 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:09,280 Speaker 1: right up his alley. 286 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I prefer Pendrith here because he's a 287 00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 3: better ball striker. He's a better birdie maker. He's top 288 00:15:16,400 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 3: five in this field, and birdies are better gained, he's 289 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 3: number six, and greens in regulation gained, which is going 290 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:24,280 Speaker 3: to be important here. The greens are big. But the 291 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 3: idea is that you want a guy who's got on approach. 292 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:29,320 Speaker 3: Taylor Pendrith ninth in this field and strokes gain on approach. 293 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 3: What I worry about is with Norin is opportunities gained 294 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 3: on courses that require wedge play. He's really weak. He's 295 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 3: almost at the very bottom of this pack in the 296 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 3: approach buckets that I'm looking at at one fifty and under. 297 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 3: That's a huge red flag at a golf course like this, 298 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 3: and the way he's been playing lately is not encouraging. 299 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 3: At all, So be cautioned because you're gonna see Alex 300 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:55,800 Speaker 3: Noran pop to the top of a lot of stat models, 301 00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:58,600 Speaker 3: and if you filter for the right things, he's going 302 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 3: to fall right to the bottom. Again, He's not a 303 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,040 Speaker 3: guy I bet on unless it's for a top twenty 304 00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:07,160 Speaker 3: or cut made bets. That's really what I'm looking at 305 00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 3: is Noren's is not a safe bet because he's gonna 306 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:12,600 Speaker 3: make the cut, but that's about all you can count 307 00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:13,080 Speaker 3: on him for. 308 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 1: I was initially intrigued by will Zalaturus at thirty to 309 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:19,440 Speaker 1: one with kind of a weak field, but he has 310 00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:22,520 Speaker 1: finished out of the top forty in seven straight events. 311 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 1: He's just in really poor form. 312 00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, and it's a lot with putting, like he's not 313 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 3: comfortable there yet. I still think he's a world class 314 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 3: iron player, but I kind of prefer him on longer 315 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 3: courses where bomb and gouge maybe isn't the thing. He's 316 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 3: not the long hitter he used to be after his 317 00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 3: back surgery. He's still an amazing ball striker, but he 318 00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:44,320 Speaker 3: doesn't convert his birdie chances like he did before the injury, 319 00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:47,320 Speaker 3: and until he does that, I'm gonna kind of stay 320 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:50,400 Speaker 3: at arm's length. I want to see Willie z do 321 00:16:50,520 --> 00:16:52,640 Speaker 3: well because I'm a huge fan of his game. 322 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 2: I just don't. 323 00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:55,520 Speaker 3: I don't see him at it near the top of 324 00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:57,920 Speaker 3: my model and in a field this week. It's kind 325 00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 3: of a little bit taking me. I'm taking aback by 326 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 3: that is that I was expecting to see him pop 327 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 3: to the top and he's just not there. 328 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, putting, the putting greens are the most challenging aspect 329 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:12,480 Speaker 1: of this course, so maybe not a good time to 330 00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 1: take Zalatorus. And one more guy I'll mention from that 331 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,919 Speaker 1: top group, Aaron Raie finished ninth in Detroit last year 332 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:21,400 Speaker 1: and he's finished top twenty in his last two events, 333 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:23,800 Speaker 1: so he's kind of intriguing. Let's look at some of 334 00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:26,280 Speaker 1: the mid range options. We've got Taylor Moore and Christian 335 00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:29,639 Speaker 1: Kirk at plus five thousand, Ryan Fox, Matt Wallace and 336 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:33,680 Speaker 1: Ben Griffin at plus fifty five hundred, Michael Horbornsen and 337 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:38,679 Speaker 1: Eric van Royan and Nikolai Hoyguard easy for me to 338 00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:42,200 Speaker 1: say at plus six thousand. Sam Stevens and Adam Spenson 339 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:46,720 Speaker 1: are plus sixty five hundred. Patrick Rogers, Lee Hodges and 340 00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 1: Po Hostler our plus seven thousand. Taylor Montgomery, Nick Dunlap, 341 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:54,960 Speaker 1: Kevin Yu and Cam Davis are plus seventy five hundred, 342 00:17:55,320 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 1: and Doug gimm and Adam Shank are. 343 00:17:57,359 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 2: Plus eight thousand. Do you like any of the mid range? 344 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:04,080 Speaker 3: Absolutely, this range I'm going to be heavily featured. Obviously, 345 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:07,040 Speaker 3: if I'm starting at Steven Jaeger, I'm gonna get a 346 00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:10,720 Speaker 3: lot of action here in this middle tier. I absolutely 347 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 3: love Ricky Fowler here. Ricky Fowler of fifty to one 348 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 3: is a smacking number. Smacking number for the defending champ. 349 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,520 Speaker 3: Looked great last week most of the time. He had 350 00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:25,119 Speaker 3: a couple fall ups where he didn't convert birdie chances. 351 00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:27,800 Speaker 3: But from what I saw Ricky Fowler, this dude is 352 00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:31,040 Speaker 3: getting dialed in. He's number two in the short approach 353 00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:34,560 Speaker 3: distance buckets, He's number nine in greens and regulation gained. 354 00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:37,400 Speaker 3: This guy is on the verge of figuring his game 355 00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:39,159 Speaker 3: out in a big way. We're talking about one of 356 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:42,480 Speaker 3: the most talented golfers of our generation. He's gonna find 357 00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:44,879 Speaker 3: that form and at fifty to one, I'm jumping all 358 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 3: over it. Another guy kind of in that deeper range, 359 00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 3: just Chris Kirk's number six in my model top five 360 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:54,240 Speaker 3: on the par four distances, I'm looking at number seven 361 00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:57,200 Speaker 3: in short approach, number nine around the greens, another guy 362 00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 3: that checks all the boxes, and it's getting a really 363 00:18:59,359 --> 00:19:04,040 Speaker 3: soft line. Michael thorpy Jornsen is going to get me, 364 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:06,840 Speaker 3: gonna get a bet for me. Every time he's under, 365 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 3: he's worse than fifty to one every single time. He's 366 00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:13,200 Speaker 3: a future of golf. Michael thorby Jornsen is a future 367 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:17,720 Speaker 3: major winner, a future multi major winner. And what we 368 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:22,720 Speaker 3: saw from him last week was some really sporadic excellence. 369 00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:24,520 Speaker 3: And then of course he kind of went through his 370 00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:27,960 Speaker 3: doldrums on Sunday trying to catch up to the pack, 371 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,760 Speaker 3: kind of made some rookie mistakes in his first PGA 372 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 3: to our professional event. And I think that this guy, 373 00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 3: this guy is so talented that at sixty five to 374 00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:40,080 Speaker 3: one right now as of Monday afternoon, he's going to 375 00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:43,200 Speaker 3: get a very heavy investment from me. Again, because it's 376 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 3: a weak field, it's a golf course that doesn't really 377 00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:50,399 Speaker 3: penalize anything. I'm all over Michael thorpy Jornsen, and I 378 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 3: don't mind being early on him. 379 00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:55,680 Speaker 1: I might have to tell you on thor bjornsen Kirk 380 00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:59,680 Speaker 1: is interesting. He is a for such a young event. 381 00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 1: I guess she could come a rocket Mortgage Classic veteran. 382 00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:06,040 Speaker 1: He's played four of the past five tournaments. He's never 383 00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:09,639 Speaker 1: finished worse than twenty first, but he's never finished better 384 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:11,160 Speaker 1: than fourteenth. 385 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:12,880 Speaker 2: He's just kind of around. 386 00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:14,800 Speaker 3: Well, he's a short hitter, and that's kind of what 387 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,000 Speaker 3: he has to be good at everything else to make 388 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:17,439 Speaker 3: up for that. 389 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 1: My only hang up on him is that he currently 390 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:23,680 Speaker 1: ranks one hundred and fifty second in strokes gained putting, 391 00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:26,880 Speaker 1: but I do think he's a better putter than that number, suggesting. 392 00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:30,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, he's forty first in my model with the easy 393 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:33,639 Speaker 3: scoring bent and poa greens in this course length range, 394 00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 3: so that is encouraging to see. 395 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, two other guys from the mid range group I'll 396 00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:42,040 Speaker 1: mentioned Taylor Moore finished fourth here last year, sixth in 397 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:44,600 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, so he does have some aptitude for 398 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:47,000 Speaker 1: the Detroit Golf Club. But he has missed the cut 399 00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:49,480 Speaker 1: in three of his last four events, and the one 400 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:52,919 Speaker 1: made cut was a sixty eighth last week at the Travelers, 401 00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:56,159 Speaker 1: so not in great form. Ryan Fox kind of has 402 00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:59,920 Speaker 1: an appealing profile for this event ranks seventeenth and driving 403 00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:04,080 Speaker 1: distance twenty seventh. In strokes gained putting, you finished seventh 404 00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:06,359 Speaker 1: at the Canadian Open last month and fourth at the 405 00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:09,040 Speaker 1: Myrtle Beach Classic in May. So he's kind of good 406 00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:13,200 Speaker 1: in these weaker field tournaments. So Fox, he's kind. 407 00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:15,880 Speaker 2: Of interesting here. Let's talk long shots both. 408 00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:18,720 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, with kind of a water downfield, are you 409 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:23,080 Speaker 1: taking some chances with players at ninety to one or longer? 410 00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:26,200 Speaker 3: Yes, sir, I am taking a chance on nor cow 411 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,879 Speaker 3: brother Cameron Champ long hitter, one of the longest in 412 00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:33,040 Speaker 3: the world out there, but he crushes the ball off 413 00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:35,959 Speaker 3: the tee, not just in distance but strokes gained off 414 00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:38,439 Speaker 3: the tee. With my parameters, he's number one in this field, 415 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:41,320 Speaker 3: and birdies are better gained number three in this field 416 00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,280 Speaker 3: number one, and driving distance in this field number three 417 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:48,280 Speaker 3: on par fives. That's all these boxes are getting checked. 418 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:52,439 Speaker 3: His short game is okay, his putting is okay. I 419 00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,480 Speaker 3: think that if he can figure out his wedge game, 420 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,639 Speaker 3: he's going to he's going to go really far in 421 00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:01,320 Speaker 3: this event. Because as we see these kinds of events 422 00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:05,800 Speaker 3: like Mexico and Corlspuntakana, Cameron Champ shows up for those 423 00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:08,679 Speaker 3: because he can just let it rip off the tee 424 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,439 Speaker 3: and then try to make as many birdies from the 425 00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:14,680 Speaker 3: positioning you put. He puts himself in such unique spots 426 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,320 Speaker 3: on these types of golf courses nobody else is in. 427 00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:19,200 Speaker 3: He's not going to fall into a divid in the 428 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,160 Speaker 3: middle of the fairway with the way he hits the ball. 429 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,920 Speaker 3: So it's for me, it's it's going to be dependent 430 00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,399 Speaker 3: on how his wedge game looks. It's been kind of 431 00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 3: up and down this year. But everything else says the 432 00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:31,520 Speaker 3: Cameron Champ is going to make a lot of birdies 433 00:22:31,920 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 3: and he's going to show up at this type of 434 00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:37,000 Speaker 3: golf course, in this type of event, in this field. 435 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 1: What about some of our friends from events past who 436 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 1: are big hitters and might farewell here. Rio Hisatsuni ninety 437 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 1: to one, Jake Knapp one hundred and ten to one, 438 00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:52,200 Speaker 1: Alejandro Toasty I believe he's also ninety to one. 439 00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:54,600 Speaker 3: Any of those guys, Napp and Toasty are worth of 440 00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 3: fly just because they have the firepower to do it. 441 00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:01,040 Speaker 3: I'm thinking, let's go, let's let's go in the time 442 00:23:01,080 --> 00:23:07,080 Speaker 3: machine and let's start to talk like this. Francesco Molinari 443 00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 3: five hundred to one, number seven in my model. That 444 00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 3: should be a that's a big green flag for me, 445 00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:16,680 Speaker 3: because I mean it's fun to say fan Cisco Molinari 446 00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:20,800 Speaker 3: and number seven my model. He his only week spot 447 00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 3: is putting everything else. He's in the top sixty of 448 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 3: this field, including top five and around the green, number 449 00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,359 Speaker 3: ten in short approach, number five on the par four 450 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:34,360 Speaker 3: distances and number ten, number eighteen on approach overall. That's 451 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,240 Speaker 3: that's great. He's a he's a fair wayfinder, he's a 452 00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:40,399 Speaker 3: he's a green hitter. And every once in a while 453 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:44,200 Speaker 3: Molinari will go and get hot. It's usually on tougher 454 00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:47,480 Speaker 3: places than this. But for five hundred and one, I 455 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 3: have good vibes from the Italian. 456 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 1: Fantastic, perhaps motivated by Italy stirring comeback at the World 457 00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:57,680 Speaker 1: Cup to make it to the knockout stage. But yeah, 458 00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,720 Speaker 1: Molinari always has been a world class ball striker. It's 459 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:03,280 Speaker 1: just that, you know, yeah, isn't always the best on 460 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:03,600 Speaker 1: the puddy. 461 00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:04,399 Speaker 3: You gotta make something. 462 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,400 Speaker 2: So what do you have on your betting card? As now? 463 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 2: All right? 464 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 3: So I got a lot of yeager yeager bombs. I 465 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:16,560 Speaker 3: got some Ricky Fowler I have, I'm gonna dabble in 466 00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 3: some Cameron Champ and then Chris Kirk. I'm I'm still throwing. 467 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:25,800 Speaker 3: I'm gonna throw a bunch of grenades out here. At 468 00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 3: one hundred to one. I didn't even mention Bud Colly 469 00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:31,080 Speaker 3: at two hundred to one. Francesco is obviously gonna get 470 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:33,320 Speaker 3: a couple bucks. Cameron Champ's getting a couple bucks. I'm 471 00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:35,840 Speaker 3: gonna probably have to flip a coin between Jake Knapp 472 00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:39,160 Speaker 3: and Rio he Satsuni and all those ell one hundred toasty. 473 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 3: Toasty made me some good money on placement bets earlier 474 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,159 Speaker 3: this year. Let's let's let it fly this week. I 475 00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,480 Speaker 3: don't feel like being aggressive, but I feel like if 476 00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:50,199 Speaker 3: you just throw a cluster of bets out there on 477 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 3: guys that have the firepower, you don't have to invest 478 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,399 Speaker 3: a lot, and you have incredible upside, it's gonna be 479 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,760 Speaker 3: super fun to watch this event. This is actually a 480 00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:00,760 Speaker 3: pretty fun tournament to watch on TV because even though 481 00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:03,320 Speaker 3: a lot of these guys are not household names, they 482 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,760 Speaker 3: might be soon. Oh and don't forget Michael Thorbjornsen at 483 00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:09,359 Speaker 3: sixty five to one. Currently, if you see that number 484 00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:13,919 Speaker 3: move south like it gets more favorable in our direction. 485 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:16,760 Speaker 3: Just get heavier on the betting, because if I have 486 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:18,680 Speaker 3: a feeling that a lot of people don't know about 487 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:22,119 Speaker 3: him yet and his number might slip like it did 488 00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:24,560 Speaker 3: last week when we published it last week, he was 489 00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,119 Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty. By the time I recorded my 490 00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:28,639 Speaker 3: other show the next day, it was at two hundred 491 00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:30,720 Speaker 3: and fifty, and I went even heavier on him. 492 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:35,800 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Aksha, but yeah, I've got a little 493 00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:37,520 Speaker 1: more confidence than you do in him. 494 00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:38,400 Speaker 2: All over. 495 00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 1: Steven Jaeger with you. That will be my biggest bet 496 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:45,480 Speaker 1: of the week. Taylor Pendrith, I'm gonna play, and then 497 00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 1: small bets on Rio He Satsuni and Jake Knapp and 498 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:53,400 Speaker 1: I am going to trail you on Michael Thorbarn thor Bjornsen. 499 00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:57,199 Speaker 1: How can I when you promised me multiple future majors BA, 500 00:25:57,680 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 1: how can I resist? 501 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 3: He's so much fun if you have access, like on 502 00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:05,760 Speaker 3: YouTube search Michael Thorpe, Jornsen, Stanford and just watch him 503 00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 3: like this guy's a machine. And I had so much 504 00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 3: fun watching him on PGA Tour Pass last week, just 505 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 3: because I was so interested in how he would do 506 00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:17,640 Speaker 3: at River Highlands and it was impressive. He didn't get 507 00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:19,239 Speaker 3: a lot of birdies on some of the days, but 508 00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:21,920 Speaker 3: when he was hot on Saturday, it was so much 509 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 3: fun to watch this kid just navigators around, away around 510 00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:26,840 Speaker 3: a golf course. He's got so much firepower. 511 00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:30,840 Speaker 1: Sope he gets a cooking in Detroit Bow Now before 512 00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:32,560 Speaker 1: we get to our one and done picks, if you're 513 00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:34,439 Speaker 1: playing in a one and done golf pool, or if 514 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,800 Speaker 1: you're playing in any sort of tears based majors pool, 515 00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:39,120 Speaker 1: this year, our friends at pool Genius have a new 516 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 1: product that gives you an edge using objective data like 517 00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:45,640 Speaker 1: betting odds, course performance, and national pick trends. 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That's poolgenius dot com slash Fantasy 528 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,199 Speaker 1: Pros now for the one and done picks. Kind Of 529 00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,000 Speaker 1: a disappointing week for us since we both burned big 530 00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:25,400 Speaker 1: guns and didn't really get our money's worth. I took 531 00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:29,280 Speaker 1: Xander Shoftley last week at the Travelers and he finished 532 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,440 Speaker 1: hied for thirteenth. That was good for four hundred thousand 533 00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 1: dollars in an elevated event with a big purse. 534 00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:36,680 Speaker 2: You had lid big Oberg. 535 00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:39,680 Speaker 1: He tied for twenty seventh, good for one hundred and 536 00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:42,560 Speaker 1: forty four thousand dollars. I made up, Yeah, I made 537 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:44,479 Speaker 1: up a quarter of a million dollars on you, Bo, 538 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,399 Speaker 1: but I'm still three point one million dollars behind you. 539 00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:50,240 Speaker 2: After your BA I thought you were buried, Bryce. 540 00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:51,800 Speaker 3: I thought I was going to bury you and just 541 00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:55,000 Speaker 3: put the nail in the coffin and Oberg just let 542 00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:55,440 Speaker 3: me down. 543 00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:58,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, tough week for him. 544 00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:00,880 Speaker 3: I mean I guess he uh, he couldn't make any 545 00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:03,119 Speaker 3: wasn't he couldn't make anything all week? 546 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:05,560 Speaker 2: He's a he's a big event guy. 547 00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:07,439 Speaker 3: Bo. Maybe well he was, he was one of the 548 00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:10,000 Speaker 3: hottest putters coming into there, and he was like dead 549 00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:12,240 Speaker 3: last in strokes gain putting in the in the field. 550 00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:12,560 Speaker 4: It was. 551 00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:15,600 Speaker 2: It was very disappointing, unexpected. 552 00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:18,359 Speaker 1: So you are up first this week, Bo, Who do 553 00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:19,360 Speaker 1: you like in Detroit? 554 00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:22,159 Speaker 3: So this took me a while because I've burned Tom Kim, 555 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 3: I've burned I've burned pretty much everybody Yager. I've burned 556 00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:30,439 Speaker 3: everybody at the top here except for a Shabatia. So 557 00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:32,200 Speaker 3: I'm going to use O Shabatia this week. 558 00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:38,680 Speaker 1: I had a feeling you might and I gotta go 559 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,080 Speaker 1: Steven Yeager here. Yeah, I mean it's it's I used him. 560 00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:44,320 Speaker 3: I used them a few weeks, a couple of months 561 00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:47,760 Speaker 3: ago actually, and uh and so I wanted. 562 00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:47,920 Speaker 2: To use him. 563 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:49,960 Speaker 3: I was like, oh, I need to use Yaeger this week. 564 00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:51,800 Speaker 3: And I looked and at the at the list and 565 00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:53,000 Speaker 3: I was like, whilp. 566 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:57,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I really like Taylor Pendrith this week. So he 567 00:28:57,240 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 1: was like, I've given him strong considered, but I do 568 00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:03,480 Speaker 1: think Jeger is the way I'm going to go here. 569 00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:05,800 Speaker 2: So that's going to do it for this week's show. 570 00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:08,720 Speaker 1: Thank you to our sponsor Underdog Fantasy sign Up for 571 00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,560 Speaker 1: Underdog with the promo code BP Golf to claim your 572 00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,400 Speaker 1: special pick and to get a first time to posit 573 00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:15,280 Speaker 1: offer of up to two hundred and fifty dollars in 574 00:29:15,320 --> 00:29:18,240 Speaker 1: bonus cash, and please come join up Bow and I 575 00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 1: again next week when we will be previewing the John 576 00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:22,000 Speaker 1: Deere Classic. 577 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:23,680 Speaker 2: Until then, so long. 578 00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:26,960 Speaker 4: Everyone, thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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