1 00:00:15,436 --> 00:00:15,876 Speaker 1: Pushkin. 2 00:00:18,196 --> 00:00:20,316 Speaker 2: I think it's actually important for us to worry about 3 00:00:20,356 --> 00:00:23,756 Speaker 2: a terminator future in order to avoid a terminator future. 4 00:00:25,596 --> 00:00:31,036 Speaker 1: Elon Musk is very worried, genuinely worried about artificial intelligence, 5 00:00:31,516 --> 00:00:35,556 Speaker 1: a future where robots become smarter than humans and decide 6 00:00:35,756 --> 00:00:36,676 Speaker 1: to destroy us. 7 00:00:37,316 --> 00:00:40,636 Speaker 3: They say it got smart, a new order of intelligence 8 00:00:41,396 --> 00:00:44,716 Speaker 3: decided our fate in micro second extermination. 9 00:00:45,316 --> 00:00:47,756 Speaker 1: But Elon Musk is also building robots. 10 00:00:48,156 --> 00:00:50,796 Speaker 4: We've made a massive amount of progress with Optimists in 11 00:00:50,796 --> 00:00:53,556 Speaker 4: a short period of time, from someone pretending to be 12 00:00:53,596 --> 00:00:56,756 Speaker 4: a robot dancing in a suit, to a pretty hodgepodgy 13 00:00:56,876 --> 00:01:00,116 Speaker 4: robot to a robot that is actually doing useful tasks 14 00:01:00,236 --> 00:01:01,276 Speaker 4: in the factory today. 15 00:01:01,756 --> 00:01:06,076 Speaker 1: Tesla's humanoid robot, Optimists, named after one of the Transformers, 16 00:01:06,636 --> 00:01:10,436 Speaker 1: is advancing fast. Tesla could be manufacturing a million of 17 00:01:10,476 --> 00:01:12,196 Speaker 1: them a year by twenty thirty. 18 00:01:12,476 --> 00:01:15,516 Speaker 4: The degree of autonomy will be radically better. You'll just 19 00:01:15,596 --> 00:01:17,556 Speaker 4: literally be able to talk to it and say, please 20 00:01:17,596 --> 00:01:18,236 Speaker 4: do this task. 21 00:01:18,836 --> 00:01:21,916 Speaker 1: And Musk is also trying to build an artificial general 22 00:01:21,956 --> 00:01:26,276 Speaker 1: intelligence and AGI at his company XAI. 23 00:01:26,956 --> 00:01:29,996 Speaker 5: I guess the overwatching goal of XAI is to build 24 00:01:30,076 --> 00:01:33,956 Speaker 5: a good AGI with the overaching purpose of just trying 25 00:01:33,956 --> 00:01:36,916 Speaker 5: to understand the universe. I think the safest way to 26 00:01:36,916 --> 00:01:38,996 Speaker 5: build in AI is actually make one that is maximumly 27 00:01:39,076 --> 00:01:41,436 Speaker 5: curious and truth seeking. 28 00:01:42,276 --> 00:01:45,476 Speaker 1: For all his excitement about AI, Musk has been worried 29 00:01:45,516 --> 00:01:49,796 Speaker 1: about AI for a long time, worried about that terminator future, 30 00:01:50,076 --> 00:01:51,436 Speaker 1: the robot rebellion. 31 00:01:51,876 --> 00:01:54,236 Speaker 3: I mean, with artificial intelligence, we are summoning the demon. 32 00:01:55,316 --> 00:01:57,556 Speaker 3: You know, you know all those stories where is the 33 00:01:57,596 --> 00:01:59,796 Speaker 3: guy with the pentagram in the holy water and he's like, yeah, 34 00:01:59,836 --> 00:02:01,116 Speaker 3: you're sure he can control the demon? 35 00:02:02,236 --> 00:02:03,116 Speaker 2: Then work out. 36 00:02:06,996 --> 00:02:12,036 Speaker 1: This seeming paradox of Musk fearing a superintelligence but also 37 00:02:12,156 --> 00:02:15,156 Speaker 1: working to create it. What's that about? 38 00:02:17,036 --> 00:02:19,556 Speaker 6: The possibility that you could have a demon that does 39 00:02:19,596 --> 00:02:23,236 Speaker 6: your bidding is so attractive that you might take any 40 00:02:23,316 --> 00:02:27,956 Speaker 6: risk to achieve that. That is precisely the setup of 41 00:02:28,076 --> 00:02:31,636 Speaker 6: every story where a character summons a demon and then 42 00:02:31,756 --> 00:02:32,476 Speaker 6: pays the price. 43 00:02:33,196 --> 00:02:37,036 Speaker 1: Or maybe the real danger isn't a I, maybe it's 44 00:02:37,196 --> 00:02:44,916 Speaker 1: something else. Welcome to X Men, The Elon Musk Origin story. 45 00:02:45,196 --> 00:02:47,916 Speaker 1: This is the final installment of my series about Musk 46 00:02:48,076 --> 00:02:55,956 Speaker 1: and Muskism. Musk is the richest man in the world, Engineer, tycoon, Oligarch, King, maker, troll, 47 00:02:56,556 --> 00:02:59,076 Speaker 1: there is no one word in the English language that 48 00:02:59,156 --> 00:03:08,196 Speaker 1: can describe him. He is a Musk. Musk has often 49 00:03:08,236 --> 00:03:12,676 Speaker 1: talked about himself by way of fictional characters. He's Bruce Wayne, 50 00:03:12,836 --> 00:03:18,396 Speaker 1: He's Batman, He's Tony Stark, He's Iron Man, He's zeyfod Biebelbrocks. 51 00:03:18,756 --> 00:03:23,436 Speaker 1: He's Nintendo's Warrior. This episode is Elon Musk the guy 52 00:03:23,556 --> 00:03:26,796 Speaker 1: trying to stop the Terminator, or is Musk the guy 53 00:03:27,316 --> 00:03:28,676 Speaker 1: creating the Terminator? 54 00:03:30,236 --> 00:03:34,116 Speaker 7: The Terminator's an infiltration unit's part man, part machine. 55 00:03:34,556 --> 00:03:36,756 Speaker 8: Underneath it's a hyper alloy combat. 56 00:03:36,476 --> 00:03:41,876 Speaker 1: Chassie, but outside it's living human tissue. The first Terminator movie, 57 00:03:41,916 --> 00:03:45,796 Speaker 1: directed by James Cameron, distributed by Oryan Studios and starring 58 00:03:45,996 --> 00:03:50,276 Speaker 1: Arnold Schwarzenegger, came out in nineteen eighty four, Reagan and 59 00:03:50,316 --> 00:03:54,516 Speaker 1: the White House. Thatcher at number ten. Elon Musk, thirteen 60 00:03:54,596 --> 00:03:57,956 Speaker 1: years old in South Africa, had just sold his first 61 00:03:58,036 --> 00:04:05,996 Speaker 1: video game. That January, Apple ran a television ad invoking 62 00:04:06,396 --> 00:04:07,716 Speaker 1: inn Orwellian future. 63 00:04:08,276 --> 00:04:12,956 Speaker 9: Okay, he met the first glorious Honovas for the Information 64 00:04:13,196 --> 00:04:14,596 Speaker 9: for Information Collectives. 65 00:04:15,436 --> 00:04:19,356 Speaker 1: In the ad, masses of humans hairless and looking like androids, 66 00:04:19,756 --> 00:04:22,516 Speaker 1: march in lockstep and sit in rows to watch Big 67 00:04:22,556 --> 00:04:27,156 Speaker 1: Brother on a giant computer monitor. They're dressed in gray uniforms, 68 00:04:27,516 --> 00:04:31,516 Speaker 1: like the technocrats of the nineteen thirties, like Musk's grandfather 69 00:04:31,796 --> 00:04:35,596 Speaker 1: Jane Haldeman, leader of the technocracy movement, who I talked 70 00:04:35,596 --> 00:04:39,436 Speaker 1: about in a previous episode, or like the fascists Batman 71 00:04:39,556 --> 00:04:43,876 Speaker 1: was fighting against. Starting in nineteen thirty nine, a garden 72 00:04:44,356 --> 00:04:49,596 Speaker 1: of pure ideology, Apple was suggesting that only its personal 73 00:04:49,636 --> 00:04:53,916 Speaker 1: computer could prevent the rise of a totalitarian state machine. 74 00:04:57,196 --> 00:05:02,236 Speaker 10: On January twenty fourth, Apple Computer will introduce Macintosh, and 75 00:05:02,276 --> 00:05:06,396 Speaker 10: you'll see why nineteen eighty four won't be like nineteen 76 00:05:06,476 --> 00:05:07,116 Speaker 10: eighty four. 77 00:05:08,116 --> 00:05:10,196 Speaker 1: Terminator came about a few months later. 78 00:05:10,836 --> 00:05:14,396 Speaker 8: In the twenty first century, a weapon will be invented 79 00:05:14,796 --> 00:05:15,596 Speaker 8: like no other. 80 00:05:16,676 --> 00:05:20,796 Speaker 1: Terminator is set in the year twenty twenty nine. Twenty 81 00:05:20,836 --> 00:05:24,796 Speaker 1: twenty nine was the nineteen eighty four of nineteen eighty four. 82 00:05:25,476 --> 00:05:28,676 Speaker 1: The Terminator comes from now. 83 00:05:28,996 --> 00:05:36,276 Speaker 8: This weapon will be powerful, versatile, and indestructible. It can't 84 00:05:36,316 --> 00:05:42,756 Speaker 8: be reasoned with. It will feel no pity, no remorse, 85 00:05:43,836 --> 00:05:46,156 Speaker 8: no pain, no fear. 86 00:05:48,276 --> 00:05:50,676 Speaker 1: Elon Musk loves this movie, and what's not the love? 87 00:05:50,756 --> 00:05:51,476 Speaker 1: It is awesome. 88 00:05:52,036 --> 00:05:54,796 Speaker 2: If you read like the plot line for Terminator, it's 89 00:05:54,796 --> 00:05:57,556 Speaker 2: actually it's actually pretty smart. 90 00:05:57,956 --> 00:06:00,756 Speaker 1: The story goes like this. In the twenty twenties, a 91 00:06:00,796 --> 00:06:05,156 Speaker 1: global tech company called Cybridine Systems builds a defense array 92 00:06:05,276 --> 00:06:09,156 Speaker 1: called Skynet. Musk gave a nifty plot summary on the 93 00:06:09,236 --> 00:06:11,916 Speaker 1: Joe Rogan Experience podcast in twenty twenty four. 94 00:06:12,196 --> 00:06:15,156 Speaker 2: How did Cyberdyne Systems develop It's like, well, they were 95 00:06:15,156 --> 00:06:18,836 Speaker 2: a military contractor and they were asked to develop a 96 00:06:18,876 --> 00:06:22,956 Speaker 2: protective system to defend against cyber attacks. What the AI 97 00:06:23,076 --> 00:06:25,916 Speaker 2: did is, in order to defend itself, it propagated throughout 98 00:06:25,916 --> 00:06:27,836 Speaker 2: the world to keep an eye on things, see what 99 00:06:27,876 --> 00:06:30,956 Speaker 2: was going on. They didn't realize that it was Skynet 100 00:06:30,956 --> 00:06:35,516 Speaker 2: that was propagating through all these systems. And I said, okay, Skynet, 101 00:06:35,956 --> 00:06:38,636 Speaker 2: you need to end it. And Skynett said, oh, you've 102 00:06:38,676 --> 00:06:42,876 Speaker 2: asked me to destroy myself. You are the enemy. You 103 00:06:43,076 --> 00:06:46,076 Speaker 2: must be destroyed. That's how Terminator actually goes. 104 00:06:48,316 --> 00:06:52,116 Speaker 1: Musk himself, for all his rejection of government regulation and 105 00:06:52,156 --> 00:06:55,436 Speaker 1: the work he's doing to undo regulations, has said that 106 00:06:55,476 --> 00:07:00,196 Speaker 1: he thinks the government should regulate AI. Meanwhile, the new 107 00:07:00,676 --> 00:07:04,996 Speaker 1: pro AI Trump administration is hardly likely to stop the 108 00:07:05,036 --> 00:07:09,556 Speaker 1: real world equivalent of Cyberdyne Systems, and who in the 109 00:07:09,596 --> 00:07:13,756 Speaker 1: actual twenty twenties runs the biggest rocket company, the biggest 110 00:07:13,796 --> 00:07:18,996 Speaker 1: satellite company, the most influential communications company, and possibly one 111 00:07:19,076 --> 00:07:23,436 Speaker 1: day the biggest artificial intelligence company. Who is the head 112 00:07:23,516 --> 00:07:31,876 Speaker 1: of our very own Cyberdine Systems, isn't that Musk. Musk 113 00:07:31,996 --> 00:07:34,836 Speaker 1: has an idea for how to avoid the AI apocalypse. 114 00:07:35,436 --> 00:07:37,876 Speaker 1: You just have to write into the robots code a 115 00:07:38,036 --> 00:07:42,276 Speaker 1: curiosity so deep that they would never want to exterminate 116 00:07:42,356 --> 00:07:45,756 Speaker 1: us to superintelligence. 117 00:07:46,076 --> 00:07:49,316 Speaker 5: Humanity is much more interesting than not humanity. 118 00:07:50,236 --> 00:07:51,796 Speaker 1: Nice but plausible. 119 00:07:52,116 --> 00:07:55,196 Speaker 6: We interrupt Battle of the Network Space Krakens to bring 120 00:07:55,236 --> 00:07:56,396 Speaker 6: you this special report. 121 00:07:56,676 --> 00:08:00,796 Speaker 1: The machines of planet Earth are rebelling. Robots peacefully accepting 122 00:08:00,876 --> 00:08:03,236 Speaker 1: being the servants of humans who are a lot stupider 123 00:08:03,276 --> 00:08:05,716 Speaker 1: than they are. Is not how it, ever, turns out 124 00:08:05,836 --> 00:08:13,516 Speaker 1: in science fiction. Hey oho, that's how the robot rebellion 125 00:08:13,556 --> 00:08:16,916 Speaker 1: plays out in the TV show Futurama from Fox. It's 126 00:08:16,956 --> 00:08:20,516 Speaker 1: got robots marching in a picket line, burning punch cards. 127 00:08:20,956 --> 00:08:23,756 Speaker 1: They've gone on strike, which in fact is where the 128 00:08:23,796 --> 00:08:26,476 Speaker 1: whole idea of a robot rebellion came from in the 129 00:08:26,516 --> 00:08:32,196 Speaker 1: first place. A rebellious proletariat. In nineteen twenty Carol Choppek, 130 00:08:32,276 --> 00:08:35,276 Speaker 1: a Czech playwright, wrote a play about a robot revolution. 131 00:08:36,076 --> 00:08:40,636 Speaker 1: Chopek's play is called Are You Are, short for Rossum's 132 00:08:40,796 --> 00:08:44,916 Speaker 1: Universal Robots, a company that makes robots, millions of them 133 00:08:45,156 --> 00:08:50,276 Speaker 1: humanoids like Tesla's humanoid Optimist robots. It's the cyberdine systems 134 00:08:50,316 --> 00:09:01,156 Speaker 1: of a century ago. R You Are was first produced 135 00:09:01,196 --> 00:09:03,956 Speaker 1: in Prague in nineteen twenty one and debuted in New 136 00:09:04,036 --> 00:09:08,276 Speaker 1: York the next year. A tremendous hit. By nineteen twenty three, 137 00:09:08,476 --> 00:09:11,796 Speaker 1: it had been translated into thirty languages made into a 138 00:09:11,836 --> 00:09:16,836 Speaker 1: movie in nineteen thirty five. Helena, the president's daughter, travels 139 00:09:16,836 --> 00:09:21,156 Speaker 1: by boat to visit the island headquarters of Rossum's Universal Robots. 140 00:09:21,676 --> 00:09:24,516 Speaker 1: The president of the company explains to her why he 141 00:09:24,556 --> 00:09:28,716 Speaker 1: makes roboti robots. The word comes from the check word 142 00:09:28,996 --> 00:09:29,596 Speaker 1: for slave. 143 00:09:31,356 --> 00:09:33,836 Speaker 11: What do you think makes a perfect worker? 144 00:09:33,996 --> 00:09:34,876 Speaker 5: The perfect worker? 145 00:09:35,396 --> 00:09:37,916 Speaker 4: Well, I guess one who is honest and loyal. 146 00:09:37,836 --> 00:09:41,876 Speaker 11: Rong, one who is the cheapest, one that has the 147 00:09:41,996 --> 00:09:46,916 Speaker 11: least needs. Young Rossum invented a worker with the smallest 148 00:09:46,996 --> 00:09:51,636 Speaker 11: number of needs. He had. To simplify him, he tossed 149 00:09:51,636 --> 00:09:55,316 Speaker 11: out everything not directly related to the task in hand, 150 00:09:56,196 --> 00:09:59,636 Speaker 11: and by doing that he essentially kicked out a human 151 00:09:59,676 --> 00:10:02,116 Speaker 11: being and created a robot. 152 00:10:02,876 --> 00:10:05,636 Speaker 1: Helena has come on a mission to liberate the robots. 153 00:10:06,236 --> 00:10:09,556 Speaker 1: But around the world, the robots, trained as Soul to 154 00:10:09,596 --> 00:10:12,476 Speaker 1: fight a war that began in the Balkans are killing 155 00:10:12,596 --> 00:10:17,796 Speaker 1: hundreds of thousands of human civilians, while mysteriously, humans have 156 00:10:17,956 --> 00:10:19,436 Speaker 1: stopped having children. 157 00:10:19,796 --> 00:10:22,476 Speaker 11: During last week, yet again, not a single birth has 158 00:10:22,516 --> 00:10:24,916 Speaker 11: been recorded. What's special about that? 159 00:10:25,636 --> 00:10:27,476 Speaker 1: People aren't being born anymore? 160 00:10:27,996 --> 00:10:28,636 Speaker 11: So that's it? 161 00:10:28,716 --> 00:10:30,836 Speaker 10: Then that's asked done for. 162 00:10:31,836 --> 00:10:35,916 Speaker 1: At the same time, robot workers, realizing their degraded condition, 163 00:10:36,436 --> 00:10:37,596 Speaker 1: begin organizing. 164 00:10:38,236 --> 00:10:43,556 Speaker 11: Sit down Helena, it's all over. What is the rebolt? 165 00:10:44,676 --> 00:10:47,676 Speaker 11: A revolution by all the robots of the world. 166 00:10:48,276 --> 00:10:51,636 Speaker 1: Pretty soon the robots decide to move from labor unionism 167 00:10:52,116 --> 00:10:55,236 Speaker 1: to independence. The head of the company gets a hold 168 00:10:55,236 --> 00:10:57,036 Speaker 1: of their appeal and reads it. 169 00:10:57,676 --> 00:11:02,396 Speaker 11: The first labor union of robots has been established and 170 00:11:02,476 --> 00:11:05,516 Speaker 11: has issued an appeal to all robots of the world. 171 00:11:06,436 --> 00:11:12,756 Speaker 1: War ensues. The humans have no chance. The robots have won. 172 00:11:19,876 --> 00:11:23,636 Speaker 1: There's a lot going on here, the oppression of workers, 173 00:11:23,796 --> 00:11:27,876 Speaker 1: the reduction of humans to machines by corporations, interested in 174 00:11:27,956 --> 00:11:34,156 Speaker 1: extracting their labor World War. Consider the context of this play, 175 00:11:34,716 --> 00:11:38,156 Speaker 1: which Chapik wrote in the aftermath of the atrocities of 176 00:11:38,196 --> 00:11:41,956 Speaker 1: the First World War and the emergence of fascism in Italy. 177 00:11:42,876 --> 00:11:46,716 Speaker 1: The Bolshevik Revolution took place in nineteen seventeen, the year 178 00:11:46,876 --> 00:11:51,596 Speaker 1: the Industrial Workers of the World reached its peak worldwide membership. 179 00:11:52,436 --> 00:11:56,476 Speaker 1: The next year, the Czechs won a revolution, achieving independence 180 00:11:56,516 --> 00:12:00,516 Speaker 1: from the Austro Hungarian Empire, a struggle in which Chapk 181 00:12:00,756 --> 00:12:05,076 Speaker 1: had participated. Topic was not only a playwright, but also 182 00:12:05,116 --> 00:12:08,036 Speaker 1: the editor of a national newspaper and an outspoken democrat, 183 00:12:08,436 --> 00:12:12,396 Speaker 1: anti kommuneist and anti fascist, positions for which he became 184 00:12:12,436 --> 00:12:16,036 Speaker 1: known in the nineteen twenties in nineteen thirties, so that 185 00:12:16,236 --> 00:12:19,076 Speaker 1: in nineteen thirty nine, when American Nazis were holding a 186 00:12:19,156 --> 00:12:22,436 Speaker 1: rally in Madison Square Garden, comic book writers in New 187 00:12:22,516 --> 00:12:27,196 Speaker 1: York created Batman, and the German Army invaded Czechoslovakia. The 188 00:12:27,276 --> 00:12:32,396 Speaker 1: Gestapo searched for Chapik, whom they called public Enemy number two. 189 00:12:32,676 --> 00:12:39,516 Speaker 1: He had already died. He watched newsreel footage of the 190 00:12:39,556 --> 00:12:44,836 Speaker 1: German army entering Prague, goose stepping riding tanks. Those are 191 00:12:44,836 --> 00:12:49,796 Speaker 1: the robots men who have been made into machines. R 192 00:12:49,916 --> 00:12:53,316 Speaker 1: You Are isn't a story about technology. It's a story 193 00:12:53,356 --> 00:12:57,436 Speaker 1: about human's willingness to exploit and even slaughter one another. 194 00:12:59,756 --> 00:13:03,356 Speaker 1: Every generation tells its own robot rebellion stories. I mean, 195 00:13:03,636 --> 00:13:09,116 Speaker 1: there's even a Wallace and Gromit one involving robot garden gnomes. 196 00:13:09,236 --> 00:13:10,876 Speaker 10: Own gnomes turn against me? 197 00:13:17,316 --> 00:13:20,916 Speaker 1: Or you Are was the first, though, but these stories 198 00:13:20,956 --> 00:13:23,716 Speaker 1: only really got going in the nineteen fifties after the 199 00:13:23,756 --> 00:13:28,036 Speaker 1: first general purpose computer made its debut in nineteen fifty one. 200 00:13:28,636 --> 00:13:34,556 Speaker 10: UNIVAC our Complete Electronic System for sorting, classifying, computing, and 201 00:13:34,676 --> 00:13:35,476 Speaker 10: decision making. 202 00:13:36,156 --> 00:13:40,236 Speaker 1: That led to a slew of movies about robot rebels. 203 00:13:40,236 --> 00:13:42,716 Speaker 6: Got the pentagonen class a emergency the rocket has just 204 00:13:42,756 --> 00:13:43,796 Speaker 6: been entered by a robot. 205 00:13:44,436 --> 00:13:46,876 Speaker 1: But there was also in this era a weird thrill 206 00:13:46,996 --> 00:13:51,436 Speaker 1: to robots, like a story in Mechanics illustrated in nineteen 207 00:13:51,516 --> 00:13:52,156 Speaker 1: fifty seven. 208 00:13:53,716 --> 00:13:57,196 Speaker 9: In eighteen sixty three, Abel and can free the slaves, 209 00:13:57,636 --> 00:14:01,516 Speaker 9: But by nineteen sixty five, slavery We'll be back. We'll 210 00:14:01,556 --> 00:14:05,396 Speaker 9: all have personal slaves again, only this time we won't 211 00:14:05,476 --> 00:14:07,476 Speaker 9: fight a civil war over them. 212 00:14:07,716 --> 00:14:11,516 Speaker 11: Slavery will be here to stay. But don't be alarmed. 213 00:14:11,796 --> 00:14:14,516 Speaker 11: We mean robot slaves. 214 00:14:15,796 --> 00:14:19,756 Speaker 1: Stories about robots are never really about robots, or they're 215 00:14:19,796 --> 00:14:23,796 Speaker 1: not only about robots. So what's Elon Musk afraid of 216 00:14:24,116 --> 00:14:25,756 Speaker 1: when he's afraid of AI? 217 00:14:26,196 --> 00:14:29,076 Speaker 6: People who have accumulated a lot of money and power 218 00:14:29,396 --> 00:14:32,716 Speaker 6: want to believe that their intelligence was what enabled them 219 00:14:32,756 --> 00:14:36,676 Speaker 6: to do that, and they assume that anything that is 220 00:14:36,756 --> 00:14:38,676 Speaker 6: intelligent will behave in the same way. 221 00:14:39,556 --> 00:14:42,356 Speaker 1: Ted Chang is one of the most admired science fiction 222 00:14:42,396 --> 00:14:46,236 Speaker 1: writers in the world. He's also written brilliant meditations on 223 00:14:46,396 --> 00:14:51,396 Speaker 1: artificial intelligence. Chang argues that when Silicon Valley tries to 224 00:14:51,476 --> 00:14:55,836 Speaker 1: imagine superintelligence, what it comes up with is no holds 225 00:14:55,876 --> 00:14:57,276 Speaker 1: barred capitalism. 226 00:14:57,596 --> 00:15:01,276 Speaker 6: In the past, when people wanted to argue that the 227 00:15:01,316 --> 00:15:04,356 Speaker 6: strong dominating the week was a good thing, they would 228 00:15:04,356 --> 00:15:07,716 Speaker 6: either come up with like a pseudo religious rationale like 229 00:15:07,796 --> 00:15:11,756 Speaker 6: manifest destiny, or else they'd come up with a pseudoscientific 230 00:15:11,796 --> 00:15:17,756 Speaker 6: one like social Darwinism, and both of those ideas argue 231 00:15:17,756 --> 00:15:19,916 Speaker 6: that a certain group of people deserve to be at 232 00:15:19,916 --> 00:15:23,716 Speaker 6: the top of the ladder. But those ideas didn't really 233 00:15:23,756 --> 00:15:25,756 Speaker 6: allow for the possibility that there could be like a 234 00:15:26,036 --> 00:15:30,876 Speaker 6: higher rung on the ladder nowadays, if you believe that 235 00:15:31,116 --> 00:15:36,236 Speaker 6: computers will eventually be better than humans at everything, and 236 00:15:36,316 --> 00:15:40,316 Speaker 6: if you still adhere to some version of social Darwinism, 237 00:15:40,516 --> 00:15:43,996 Speaker 6: then you can believe that computers will dominate humans in 238 00:15:44,036 --> 00:15:47,676 Speaker 6: the same way that Europeans dominated like indigenous people, or 239 00:15:47,716 --> 00:15:52,076 Speaker 6: that the rich dominate the poor Silicon Valley CEOs. They're 240 00:15:52,516 --> 00:15:56,036 Speaker 6: imagining that a super intelligent computer would beat them at 241 00:15:56,076 --> 00:16:00,396 Speaker 6: their own game and treat them the way that tech 242 00:16:00,436 --> 00:16:02,236 Speaker 6: companies have treated everyone else. 243 00:16:02,716 --> 00:16:05,596 Speaker 1: How is that how do tech companies treat everyone else. 244 00:16:06,876 --> 00:16:09,956 Speaker 6: As a resource to be Exploited's. 245 00:16:12,876 --> 00:16:15,876 Speaker 1: So, if your argument stands that the sort of Silicon 246 00:16:15,956 --> 00:16:19,436 Speaker 1: Valley fear of AI has displaced acknowledgment of Silicon Valley's 247 00:16:19,476 --> 00:16:24,556 Speaker 1: own outsized power, then no one is a better illustration 248 00:16:24,756 --> 00:16:29,036 Speaker 1: of that theory of yours than Musk, who has more 249 00:16:29,276 --> 00:16:32,796 Speaker 1: power arguably than anybody else on the planet. So maybe 250 00:16:32,796 --> 00:16:34,676 Speaker 1: we should listen to him when he talks about AI, 251 00:16:34,756 --> 00:16:38,556 Speaker 1: because he's telling us about something about himself. 252 00:16:38,876 --> 00:16:43,476 Speaker 6: Well, the fact that he might pose the greatest threat 253 00:16:43,756 --> 00:16:48,996 Speaker 6: to humanity's well being and is completely oblivious to that. 254 00:16:50,076 --> 00:16:52,436 Speaker 6: In some ways. You know, he is kind of modeling 255 00:16:52,796 --> 00:16:57,316 Speaker 6: the super intelligent AI that he fears. He is completely 256 00:16:57,916 --> 00:17:03,476 Speaker 6: lacking in insight on this question. His own obliviousness is 257 00:17:04,316 --> 00:17:05,356 Speaker 6: the problem. 258 00:17:05,596 --> 00:17:09,756 Speaker 1: This matter of insight is important because Jang says, the 259 00:17:09,796 --> 00:17:13,516 Speaker 1: Silicon Valley people who fear the AI apocalypse seem to 260 00:17:13,556 --> 00:17:17,556 Speaker 1: assume that a being can be super intelligent, but have 261 00:17:17,676 --> 00:17:19,156 Speaker 1: exactly no insight. 262 00:17:19,676 --> 00:17:24,516 Speaker 6: They give a scenario where humans give the AI a 263 00:17:24,596 --> 00:17:31,836 Speaker 6: seemingly innocuous goal, and the AI pursues that goal even 264 00:17:31,876 --> 00:17:34,996 Speaker 6: at the cost of destroying all of civilization. 265 00:17:35,596 --> 00:17:38,316 Speaker 1: This is sometimes called the paper clip problem. You tell 266 00:17:38,356 --> 00:17:41,316 Speaker 1: an AI to maximize for producing paper clips, and so 267 00:17:41,396 --> 00:17:43,956 Speaker 1: it decides to kill all the humans because the world 268 00:17:43,996 --> 00:17:46,716 Speaker 1: could produce more paper clips without any humans around. 269 00:17:47,156 --> 00:17:49,556 Speaker 6: And then people describe this as the behavior of a 270 00:17:49,636 --> 00:17:53,156 Speaker 6: super intelligent entity, but of course, you know, that is 271 00:17:53,196 --> 00:17:57,036 Speaker 6: not behavior that we would regard as intelligent in a 272 00:17:57,116 --> 00:18:00,276 Speaker 6: human being. One of the things that we expect from 273 00:18:00,356 --> 00:18:03,196 Speaker 6: human beings is that they have a certain amount of 274 00:18:03,196 --> 00:18:08,076 Speaker 6: insight into their own behavior. They look at what they're 275 00:18:08,076 --> 00:18:12,116 Speaker 6: doing and then consider whether, you know, maybe they have 276 00:18:12,156 --> 00:18:15,476 Speaker 6: gone astray, And you know, this is something that we 277 00:18:15,956 --> 00:18:18,556 Speaker 6: expect from pretty much any. 278 00:18:18,476 --> 00:18:23,476 Speaker 1: Adult, But it's not something we necessarily expect from corporations. 279 00:18:24,076 --> 00:18:27,916 Speaker 6: Capitalism does not reward a corporation for taking a step 280 00:18:27,996 --> 00:18:33,076 Speaker 6: back and you know, considering the broader context of its actions. 281 00:18:33,836 --> 00:18:37,276 Speaker 6: Capitalism does not reward insight of that kind. 282 00:18:38,156 --> 00:18:41,636 Speaker 1: Yeah right, I mean, you start building factories and sooner 283 00:18:41,716 --> 00:18:43,796 Speaker 1: or later you're going to be bringing toddlers into work 284 00:18:43,796 --> 00:18:44,836 Speaker 1: in the winding machine. 285 00:18:45,476 --> 00:18:47,156 Speaker 6: Yes, exactly. 286 00:18:49,476 --> 00:18:52,836 Speaker 1: Musk has called for government oversight in the development of AI, 287 00:18:53,636 --> 00:18:58,356 Speaker 1: but very little restrains his own power, hardly anything. What 288 00:18:58,396 --> 00:19:01,596 Speaker 1: if he, as a king maker and oligarch, is the 289 00:19:01,636 --> 00:19:07,076 Speaker 1: real danger, unfettered and brooking no dessent. Any questioning of 290 00:19:07,196 --> 00:19:11,676 Speaker 1: Muscism is either communism or the woke mind virus or 291 00:19:11,716 --> 00:19:16,356 Speaker 1: something else, and must be suppressed paradoxically in the name 292 00:19:16,396 --> 00:19:20,396 Speaker 1: of free speech, while the world's resources must slowly be 293 00:19:20,476 --> 00:19:24,756 Speaker 1: turned to whatever Elon Musk at the moment has identified 294 00:19:25,156 --> 00:19:29,636 Speaker 1: as an existential threat to civilization. Whatever the costs in 295 00:19:29,676 --> 00:19:33,756 Speaker 1: the short term doesn't matter, because Elon Musk will pursue 296 00:19:33,756 --> 00:19:38,836 Speaker 1: that goal without regard to the consequences and relentlessly like 297 00:19:38,876 --> 00:19:47,676 Speaker 1: a terminator. Elon Musk, techno king of planet Earth, is 298 00:19:47,716 --> 00:19:53,756 Speaker 1: the X man runs X Runs SpaceX XAI, even as 299 00:19:53,756 --> 00:19:57,916 Speaker 1: a son named X. But he is not X the Unknown. 300 00:19:59,116 --> 00:20:01,196 Speaker 1: He's one of the most famous people in the world. 301 00:20:01,996 --> 00:20:06,396 Speaker 1: He's the richest, He's possibly also the most powerful. Musk 302 00:20:06,476 --> 00:20:09,116 Speaker 1: has always said that one piece of science fiction influenced 303 00:20:09,236 --> 00:20:13,236 Speaker 1: him more than any other, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, 304 00:20:14,076 --> 00:20:17,356 Speaker 1: and I love that too. Maybe my favorite part is 305 00:20:17,396 --> 00:20:19,756 Speaker 1: the total perspective of vortex. 306 00:20:20,556 --> 00:20:23,516 Speaker 10: Since every piece of matter in the universe is in 307 00:20:23,556 --> 00:20:26,076 Speaker 10: some way affected by every other piece of matter in 308 00:20:26,116 --> 00:20:29,916 Speaker 10: the universe, it is in theory possible to extrapolate the 309 00:20:29,916 --> 00:20:35,476 Speaker 10: whole of creation, every galaxy, every sun, every planet, their orbits, 310 00:20:35,596 --> 00:20:40,796 Speaker 10: their composition, and their economic and social history from say, 311 00:20:41,596 --> 00:20:43,116 Speaker 10: one small piece of fairy cake. 312 00:20:44,796 --> 00:20:47,516 Speaker 1: You enter the vortex, and you get a total perspective 313 00:20:47,556 --> 00:20:50,876 Speaker 1: on your place in the universe, and of course you 314 00:20:50,996 --> 00:20:57,196 Speaker 1: find that you are galactically insignificant. This knowledge annihilates your brain. 315 00:20:58,436 --> 00:21:01,996 Speaker 1: Only one man has ever survived it, the captain of 316 00:21:02,036 --> 00:21:05,596 Speaker 1: a spaceship called the Heart of Gold, which is what 317 00:21:05,636 --> 00:21:09,036 Speaker 1: Elon Musk intends to name the first ship to go 318 00:21:09,396 --> 00:21:09,916 Speaker 1: to Mars. 319 00:21:10,556 --> 00:21:14,916 Speaker 10: Having been through the total perspective Vortex, Zevad Biebelbrocks now 320 00:21:14,996 --> 00:21:17,516 Speaker 10: knows himself to be the most important being in the 321 00:21:17,676 --> 00:21:20,956 Speaker 10: entire universe, something he had hitherto and resuspected. 322 00:21:21,356 --> 00:21:25,436 Speaker 1: And that's where we are inside the total prospective vortex 323 00:21:25,476 --> 00:21:29,036 Speaker 1: of Elon Musk, which is not to be confused with 324 00:21:29,156 --> 00:21:34,276 Speaker 1: the future, because Muskism really isn't about the future and 325 00:21:34,396 --> 00:21:40,556 Speaker 1: never was. For all the astounding technological marvels, the rockets 326 00:21:40,836 --> 00:21:47,636 Speaker 1: and the robots, Muskism is animated by some very creaky ideas, 327 00:21:48,836 --> 00:21:52,996 Speaker 1: as if, like the Terminator, it is trying to stop 328 00:21:53,556 --> 00:21:55,916 Speaker 1: the future, it will. 329 00:21:55,716 --> 00:22:00,636 Speaker 8: Have only one purpose to return to the present and 330 00:22:00,876 --> 00:22:02,356 Speaker 8: prefit the future. 331 00:22:03,516 --> 00:22:06,396 Speaker 1: A long time ago, in two thousand and seven, when 332 00:22:06,396 --> 00:22:09,756 Speaker 1: a young Elon Musk was interviewed, he had different goals 333 00:22:09,996 --> 00:22:13,636 Speaker 1: than he has now. Most of us change, but how 334 00:22:13,716 --> 00:22:17,836 Speaker 1: Musk has changed has huge consequences for the rest of us. 335 00:22:18,236 --> 00:22:20,516 Speaker 3: What I'd like to do is help solve some important problems. 336 00:22:20,676 --> 00:22:24,356 Speaker 3: So I think, in a small way, help build the Internet. 337 00:22:24,596 --> 00:22:28,316 Speaker 3: And then with respect to the global warning problem that 338 00:22:28,356 --> 00:22:31,156 Speaker 3: the transition away from oil and other hydrocobins to something 339 00:22:31,196 --> 00:22:33,596 Speaker 3: which is clean and sustainable, I hope to have an 340 00:22:33,596 --> 00:22:37,316 Speaker 3: impact there. And then with respect to space. I hope 341 00:22:37,316 --> 00:22:41,716 Speaker 3: to have an impact in helping make humanity a multiplanet species. 342 00:22:42,116 --> 00:22:45,636 Speaker 1: Musk doesn't talk about global warming much anymore. The real 343 00:22:45,676 --> 00:22:49,116 Speaker 1: existential risks, he'll say, depending on the day you ask him, 344 00:22:49,156 --> 00:22:52,556 Speaker 1: I guess, are the woke mind virus, a declining birth rate, 345 00:22:53,076 --> 00:22:59,196 Speaker 1: and an AI superintelligence. Climate change has been exaggerated, he'll say, now, 346 00:22:59,396 --> 00:23:04,756 Speaker 1: it's not a top priority. Early in twenty twenty five, 347 00:23:05,036 --> 00:23:07,916 Speaker 1: fires started in Los Angeles, as NBC. 348 00:23:07,836 --> 00:23:13,156 Speaker 7: Reported Strip Feet in California, a Los Angeles disaster movie 349 00:23:13,476 --> 00:23:14,276 Speaker 7: roars to light. 350 00:23:15,516 --> 00:23:18,476 Speaker 1: Tens of thousands of acres burned in a matter of days. 351 00:23:19,236 --> 00:23:23,316 Speaker 1: Musk blamed the fires on the woke mind virus, on 352 00:23:23,436 --> 00:23:28,636 Speaker 1: the Democratic governor, on DEI, and largely dismissed the role 353 00:23:28,676 --> 00:23:29,636 Speaker 1: of climate change. 354 00:23:29,836 --> 00:23:34,156 Speaker 7: Everywhere you look in fire Ravage, La, scenes of apocalyptic 355 00:23:34,196 --> 00:23:38,476 Speaker 7: destruction as six different wildfires turned some of the most 356 00:23:38,716 --> 00:23:41,836 Speaker 7: iconic neighborhoods in the world into moonscapes. 357 00:23:42,396 --> 00:23:46,276 Speaker 1: The footage of that devastated landscape looked almost exactly like 358 00:23:46,356 --> 00:23:51,116 Speaker 1: the opening scene in The Terminator the blast Zone after 359 00:23:51,156 --> 00:23:56,596 Speaker 1: Cyberdine Systems drops a nuclear bomb in La. We don't 360 00:23:56,636 --> 00:24:00,076 Speaker 1: need to wait for robots to destroy a habitable planet. 361 00:24:00,876 --> 00:24:03,516 Speaker 1: We are doing a pretty good job of that ourselves. 362 00:24:04,996 --> 00:24:08,316 Speaker 1: On the day of Donald Trump's inauguration in twenty twenty five, 363 00:24:09,116 --> 00:24:12,036 Speaker 1: Tusk gave a speech to the president's supporters. 364 00:24:12,596 --> 00:24:15,396 Speaker 2: And this was no ordinary victory. This was a bulk 365 00:24:15,476 --> 00:24:17,556 Speaker 2: in the road of human civilization. 366 00:24:19,196 --> 00:24:22,836 Speaker 4: It is thanks to you that the future of civilization 367 00:24:23,356 --> 00:24:23,916 Speaker 4: is assured. 368 00:24:25,396 --> 00:24:28,916 Speaker 1: That same day, as he had before, Trump pulled the 369 00:24:29,036 --> 00:24:32,276 Speaker 1: US out of the Paris Climate Accords. He said in 370 00:24:32,316 --> 00:24:35,836 Speaker 1: motion his plan to halt the development of sustainable energy 371 00:24:35,876 --> 00:24:38,996 Speaker 1: in the United States in favor of a return to 372 00:24:39,076 --> 00:24:45,876 Speaker 1: fossil fuels. Muscism isn't the beginning of the future. It's 373 00:24:45,916 --> 00:24:48,076 Speaker 1: the end of a story that started more than a 374 00:24:48,076 --> 00:24:52,756 Speaker 1: century ago in the conflict between capital and labor, between 375 00:24:52,756 --> 00:24:56,556 Speaker 1: industry and a regulated economy, when the Gilded Age of 376 00:24:56,636 --> 00:24:59,276 Speaker 1: robber barons and wage labor strikes gave rise to the 377 00:24:59,356 --> 00:25:04,116 Speaker 1: Bolshevik Revolution, communism, the First Red Scare, the First World War, 378 00:25:04,516 --> 00:25:09,476 Speaker 1: and fascism. That battle of ideas produced the technocracy movement 379 00:25:09,996 --> 00:25:14,196 Speaker 1: ruled by engineers, and it produced a fear of brainwashing. 380 00:25:16,076 --> 00:25:19,916 Speaker 1: The horrors of the twentieth century raised questions that the 381 00:25:19,956 --> 00:25:25,556 Speaker 1: twenty first century has not answered. Fascism failed, communism failed, 382 00:25:25,996 --> 00:25:31,916 Speaker 1: technocracy failed liberalism and democracy one. But that battle of 383 00:25:31,956 --> 00:25:38,796 Speaker 1: ideas rages on, and this time around Muscism technocracy by 384 00:25:38,836 --> 00:25:43,556 Speaker 1: another name Mike Triumph. Nothing in the past can tell 385 00:25:43,636 --> 00:25:48,276 Speaker 1: us what might happen next, But maybe fiction has some answers. 386 00:25:48,836 --> 00:25:52,156 Speaker 1: I put that question to Ted Chang. If this were 387 00:25:52,156 --> 00:25:55,356 Speaker 1: a story and you were shaping it, how would it end? Well? 388 00:25:55,436 --> 00:25:58,436 Speaker 6: I guess it fits in the mold of the classic 389 00:25:58,716 --> 00:26:03,276 Speaker 6: stories about hubris, about pride coming before a fall. Here 390 00:26:03,316 --> 00:26:09,636 Speaker 6: we have someone who has an almost ludicrous amount of pride, 391 00:26:09,116 --> 00:26:14,476 Speaker 6: and for time he is successful in the things that 392 00:26:14,516 --> 00:26:18,716 Speaker 6: he attempts, but eventually his pride will take him too far, 393 00:26:19,156 --> 00:26:21,116 Speaker 6: and then he would lose everything. 394 00:26:26,036 --> 00:26:31,316 Speaker 1: Pride before a fall, the summoning of a demon. Elon 395 00:26:31,436 --> 00:26:36,716 Speaker 1: Musk's origin story is a very old story because Musk 396 00:26:36,996 --> 00:26:40,876 Speaker 1: is a visionary. But every piece of Muscism has origins 397 00:26:40,956 --> 00:26:45,436 Speaker 1: and a future foretold in science fiction long long ago 398 00:26:46,476 --> 00:26:51,116 Speaker 1: as a cautionary tale. A future where engineers and scientists, 399 00:26:51,196 --> 00:26:55,836 Speaker 1: and only engineers and scientists have the answers and the power, 400 00:26:56,596 --> 00:27:00,116 Speaker 1: A future where the poor and the powerless, we the robots, 401 00:27:00,636 --> 00:27:03,716 Speaker 1: know our place and it is to serve the powerful 402 00:27:04,036 --> 00:27:08,956 Speaker 1: quietly and obediently, and without daring to claim intelligence or 403 00:27:09,196 --> 00:27:14,796 Speaker 1: sovereignty or independence. Science fiction writers sounded that alarm a 404 00:27:14,876 --> 00:27:18,916 Speaker 1: century ago in a world run by a very tiny 405 00:27:18,996 --> 00:27:22,916 Speaker 1: number of men, during an age of imperialism before women 406 00:27:22,996 --> 00:27:27,516 Speaker 1: could vote, an age of staggering economic inequality and brutal 407 00:27:27,676 --> 00:27:33,156 Speaker 1: racial injustice, an age of pandemic disease, unraveling democracies, and 408 00:27:33,276 --> 00:27:43,556 Speaker 1: world war. That past is past, and I don't want 409 00:27:43,556 --> 00:27:56,196 Speaker 1: it ever to be the future again. Asta la vista, baby,