WEBVTT - Why Blockchain May Never Benefit Corporations

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm Tracy alliwit So, Tracy, you know one way

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<v Speaker 1>that this year, actually this month in particular, is very

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<v Speaker 1>different than this same month last year. Wait, it's the

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<v Speaker 1>month of November. So November versus October. No, no, no no, no,

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<v Speaker 1>November versus November. I know it has to be bitcoin, surely, right,

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<v Speaker 1>everyone was obsessed with bitcoin late last year. Yeah, November

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<v Speaker 1>last year was when I think this sort of like

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<v Speaker 1>mania that was already at place for several months really

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<v Speaker 1>turned into an incredible just absolute euphoria, particular early around

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<v Speaker 1>Thanksgiving time. But at this time last year already I

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<v Speaker 1>think basically all anyone was talking about was bitcoined and

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<v Speaker 1>other cryptocurrencies, right, And I think we reached the record

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<v Speaker 1>for bitcoin eighteen thousand dollars or something was that in December? Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I think middle of December. Now know one cares, right,

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<v Speaker 1>pretty much, nobody cares. Nothing is happening. It appears the

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<v Speaker 1>prices don't swing around like they used to. All the

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<v Speaker 1>speculators have probably moved on to marijuana stocks. And it's

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<v Speaker 1>just it couldn't feel more different. The overall environment surrounding

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<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrencies and all that than it did exactly a year ago, right,

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<v Speaker 1>And I don't know how many of our listeners ever

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<v Speaker 1>went to industry conferences where people would talk about bitcoin. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But the trope, the cliche that you always heard there

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<v Speaker 1>was oh, I don't believe in bitcoin, but I do

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<v Speaker 1>believe in the underlying technology blockchain. Yes, people are still

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<v Speaker 1>saying that. Yes, people still say that, and they might

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<v Speaker 1>even be more confident in their assertions today because of

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<v Speaker 1>the sort of diminished cryptocurrency bubble and like, oh there's

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<v Speaker 1>still something here. We're sure of it. We don't really

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<v Speaker 1>know exactly how it's gonna work it, but we know

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<v Speaker 1>that the underlying technology is going to have all these

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<v Speaker 1>great applications like tracking shipping or tracking tomatoes or verifying

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<v Speaker 1>the provenance of pharmaceuticals or diamonds. And so people continue

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<v Speaker 1>to search for that problem that the technology could theoretically

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<v Speaker 1>be helpful in addressing. Yeah, my favorite project that I

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<v Speaker 1>heard most recently was Walmart putting Lettuce on the blockchain

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<v Speaker 1>in order to track like quality control exactly. But the

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<v Speaker 1>question is, do you really need a blockchain to track lettuce?

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<v Speaker 1>And I've always been kind of skeptical that, or track

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<v Speaker 1>tomatoes or ships or anything like that, or is this

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<v Speaker 1>really just a great buzzword where if you're sort of

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<v Speaker 1>like a senior level executive somewhere and you mentioned conferences

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<v Speaker 1>and you want to be at a conference and you

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<v Speaker 1>want to sound smart on a panel, you want to

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<v Speaker 1>have something going uh to say, oh, yes, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>we're actively working to incorporate blockchain. This is a pretty

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<v Speaker 1>open debate because first, much talk about all the people

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<v Speaker 1>saying blockchain not bitcoin, there doesn't seem to be many

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<v Speaker 1>actual practical examples yet in the field where someone is

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<v Speaker 1>clearly demonstrating the value of the technology now, and a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of the projects that we did hear about have

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<v Speaker 1>been quietly shelved or at least there hasn't been a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of tangible progress on them, or progress that we

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<v Speaker 1>are able to see exactly right. So then the question

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<v Speaker 1>is why haven't we seen more progress and why haven't

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<v Speaker 1>we uh seen some sort of tangible uh connection between

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<v Speaker 1>what people talk about a conferences to how businesses actually operate.

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<v Speaker 1>And today's guest will hopefully shed some light on this

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<v Speaker 1>question on the Odd Lots podcast this week, we have

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<v Speaker 1>angers championed Krepni. He used to be a blockchain leader

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<v Speaker 1>at e Y and help companies learn about blockchain technology.

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<v Speaker 1>Now he is off doing independent stuff in the crypto world,

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<v Speaker 1>and he has a lot of thoughts on blockchain and

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<v Speaker 1>how it might or might not be of benefit two companies,

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<v Speaker 1>and so he has experience and looking forward to getting

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<v Speaker 1>his perspective Angus, thank you very much for joining us.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you very much for having me. So how many

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<v Speaker 1>conferences have you been at where someone said blockchain is

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<v Speaker 1>the interesting thing, not bitcoin? I I could not possibly count.

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<v Speaker 1>And the it's funny when you mentioned November last year,

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<v Speaker 1>there was a glorious two week period where what I

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<v Speaker 1>did was cool. Prior to that, no one had any

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<v Speaker 1>idea what bitcoin was. After that, people very quickly found

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<v Speaker 1>someone else to talk to because that was sick of

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<v Speaker 1>hearing about it. But it's it's been it's been a

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<v Speaker 1>number of years, and I've got to admit I was

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<v Speaker 1>at one point a blockchain not bitcoin person. But as

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<v Speaker 1>you sort of alluded to, when you strip away all

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<v Speaker 1>of the hype, how does this technology actually help? And

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<v Speaker 1>I've founded my my work it generally doesn't. So this

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<v Speaker 1>is pretty big because, as you said, you used to

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<v Speaker 1>be a blockchain not bitcoin person. You should talk to companies,

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<v Speaker 1>work with them about the idea of incorporating blockchain into

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<v Speaker 1>their business practices. And now you say it generally doesn't.

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<v Speaker 1>So walk us through this stepsode. What do companies think

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<v Speaker 1>is going to happen when they sort of you draw

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<v Speaker 1>some blockchain related technology into their business, and then what

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<v Speaker 1>actually happens when they try. Generally, the story is that

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<v Speaker 1>we've got we've got a number of entities that we

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<v Speaker 1>want to all coordinate our data together, and blockchains help coordinate,

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<v Speaker 1>coordinate data, coordinate people or entities without there being some

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<v Speaker 1>sort of central party. What generally happens, though, to get

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<v Speaker 1>to that stage, you need to form some sort of consortium,

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<v Speaker 1>some group of players together. You need to define some

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<v Speaker 1>sort of standards, you need to you need to work

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<v Speaker 1>out how you how you perform governance going on, and generally,

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<v Speaker 1>when you're doing that, you form some central body to

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<v Speaker 1>do all of that and um. And the thing is,

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<v Speaker 1>by when once you've formed that central body, you've done

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<v Speaker 1>all the complex coordination that's required generally in the enterprise space.

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<v Speaker 1>Technology addressing these problems is not the It's not the

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<v Speaker 1>issue it's just getting really hundreds of different stakeholders on board.

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<v Speaker 1>Because if you're just dealing with one entity, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>one large bank, you're dealing with technology compliant operation to

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<v Speaker 1>the front office, there are a lot of stakeholders just

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<v Speaker 1>in that. So when you want to build a blockchain

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<v Speaker 1>across all of these various entities, the tough bit is

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<v Speaker 1>getting all of those different parties together. Once you've done that,

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<v Speaker 1>once you've addressed that, this is pretty inefficient technology to

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<v Speaker 1>actually use to implement the solution. Right, So the sales

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<v Speaker 1>pitch is that I can build essentially a database or

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a line of information that's immutable and that

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<v Speaker 1>is not controlled by a single party, and that can

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<v Speaker 1>exist amongst entities that maybe don't trust each other. But

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<v Speaker 1>you're saying that in order to get to that point,

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<v Speaker 1>you pretty much have to have a group of entities

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<v Speaker 1>that trust each other and are able to coordinate in

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<v Speaker 1>some sort of centralized fashion exactly. And we've got a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty solid legal system to ensure that people can trust

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<v Speaker 1>each other. Right. Financial institutions form contracts with each other

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<v Speaker 1>all the time, even though they will be competitors in

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<v Speaker 1>um in some way, and and and that where the

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<v Speaker 1>enforcement falls back on if you create some technology to

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<v Speaker 1>try to re enforce that, you're going to need to

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<v Speaker 1>end up relying on the legal system if someone breaks

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<v Speaker 1>those rules anyway. So why use what's fundamentally a very

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<v Speaker 1>inefficient technology that was developed for a very specific purpose.

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<v Speaker 1>Explain this because I think a lot of people who

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<v Speaker 1>don't know much about the space are surprised to hear

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<v Speaker 1>that the technology is inefficient, because the appeal is like, Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to strip out all of this legacy code

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<v Speaker 1>and it's really fast, and it's decentralized, and decentralized sounds

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<v Speaker 1>like a really good buzzword, and so it's very efficient,

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<v Speaker 1>and we imagine that there's it's gonna like strip out

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<v Speaker 1>all these like gigantic server rooms. Why are blockchains inherently inefficient?

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<v Speaker 1>It's a funny fallacy that that hunger that's caught on

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<v Speaker 1>from back in the earlier days of bitcoin, where the

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<v Speaker 1>message was we can move bitcoin or we can perform

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<v Speaker 1>payments or move value faster than the current financial system.

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<v Speaker 1>It's more efficient in the current financial system because I

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<v Speaker 1>can send you will send money instantly to Tracy now

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<v Speaker 1>who is on the other side of the world. I

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<v Speaker 1>think literally on the other side, so I could I

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<v Speaker 1>can send money and Tracy will have it with within

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<v Speaker 1>ten minutes. Right, Um, that sounds great, but there's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of stuff in that that's not included. There's not

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<v Speaker 1>the all of the transaction monitor monitoring, anti money launching,

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<v Speaker 1>all the operational stuff that's around any bank, right, that's

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<v Speaker 1>around any payment system. So people realize that didn't work,

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<v Speaker 1>and then they said, well, if this technology can move

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<v Speaker 1>payments more efficiently, what else can it do more efficiently?

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<v Speaker 1>And then it's sort of stuck. So that was sort

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<v Speaker 1>of something that hung around. Now, if you have a

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<v Speaker 1>look at how bitcoin accomplishes that that movement, it's it

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<v Speaker 1>does a couple of things. One, if I'm sending money

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<v Speaker 1>or sending bitcoin to Tracy, Tracy knows that I have

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<v Speaker 1>sent it because she can see that it's a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit more complicated, but she can see that I had

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<v Speaker 1>that balance to send, and the rest of the network

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<v Speaker 1>can see that I had that balance to send. So

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<v Speaker 1>everyone is storing all of this information right right. And

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<v Speaker 1>the second piece is how does Tracy know that I

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<v Speaker 1>have only sent that to her and I haven't also

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<v Speaker 1>sent it to you. There's this very complex mathematical calculation,

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<v Speaker 1>this mining process that makes sure that I'm not doing that.

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<v Speaker 1>This really seems like the key thing, which is that

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<v Speaker 1>it's not just that you're sending money to Tracy, it's

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<v Speaker 1>that everyone on the entire bitcoin network is seeing you

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<v Speaker 1>send money to Tracy. So it's actually wildly inefficient in

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<v Speaker 1>a sense. It may serve a purpose, but if it's

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<v Speaker 1>like if I sent you an email, but the only

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<v Speaker 1>way I could send you an email is if everyone

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<v Speaker 1>in the entire world who had an email account also

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<v Speaker 1>got to see that, we could just see This would

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<v Speaker 1>be an extremely computationally intense process. Absolutely, and when you're

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<v Speaker 1>when you're sending and that's a that's a good example.

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<v Speaker 1>If we have a look at something like email, that's

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<v Speaker 1>just data, So it doesn't matter if you're the only

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<v Speaker 1>one that gets it or someone else doesn't validate that

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<v Speaker 1>you received it. That's just between us. If you're talking

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<v Speaker 1>about value, that does matter. If people are duplicating it,

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<v Speaker 1>that does matter, if people are creating more than they should.

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<v Speaker 1>So you sacrifice a lot of that computational efficiency to

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<v Speaker 1>solve this very specific problem, which was what bitcoin solved

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<v Speaker 1>in the first place. So it's been one of these

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<v Speaker 1>unfortunate things where that that initial fallacy of this efficiency,

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<v Speaker 1>of this speed was was sort of taken and run

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<v Speaker 1>with it, and people forgot that this was a very

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<v Speaker 1>niche computer science problem that was solved using, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>very complex, inefficient solution. So I believe in the world

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<v Speaker 1>before blockchain, we would call that database sprawl, right, So absolutely,

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<v Speaker 1>how how much of an issue is that for a

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<v Speaker 1>company that is trying to do a real world application

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<v Speaker 1>with blockchain? And it kind of feeds into a second

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<v Speaker 1>question that I would like to ask, which is how

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<v Speaker 1>many of the real world applications or projects with blockchain

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<v Speaker 1>we're actually distributed in a significant way, because we saw

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of companies announced test cases with blockchain, but

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<v Speaker 1>then they would say, oh, and by the way, this

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<v Speaker 1>is only for us, it's only on our servers, it's

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<v Speaker 1>not even decentralized. Yeah, a couple of things. Firstly, any

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<v Speaker 1>enterprise technology transformation is very costly and requires a huge

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<v Speaker 1>amount of coordination. So there's in my ten years at

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<v Speaker 1>the firm UM, I don't think I came across a

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<v Speaker 1>client that couldn't have benefited from one giant data warehouse

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<v Speaker 1>where all of the data is reconciled all of its

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<v Speaker 1>console it dated. The number that had that is very few,

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<v Speaker 1>just because to set up something like that is hugely

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<v Speaker 1>costly and you're you're talking multiple years for paybacks. So

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<v Speaker 1>these are coordinating. What technology spend is useful and what

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<v Speaker 1>isn't in an enterprise is the job of the CTO,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's complex. A block chain doesn't change that. A

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<v Speaker 1>blockchain is still very costly to implement, just like any

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<v Speaker 1>other just like any other infrastructure. So the question is

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<v Speaker 1>if we could have done this previously with architecture that

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<v Speaker 1>we have that we had before blockchains, then why didn't

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<v Speaker 1>we Because I'm not sure it would change. A blockchain

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<v Speaker 1>is going to change that dynamic. The second thing is,

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<v Speaker 1>and this is worth noting, is it's neon impossible to

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<v Speaker 1>define exactly what people mean by blockchains. There's a common

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<v Speaker 1>thing that comes that keeps on coming up is that

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<v Speaker 1>in many definitions that people when people try to define

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<v Speaker 1>what a blockchain is, how it often doesn't differ from

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<v Speaker 1>say a Google spreadsheet UM or just an append only database.

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<v Speaker 1>Because if you start talking about distributed systems, well that's

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<v Speaker 1>a distributed database. UM. If you talk about decentralization. Well,

0:14:19.360 --> 0:14:22.320
<v Speaker 1>that's very that can be difficult to define because there

0:14:22.320 --> 0:14:25.880
<v Speaker 1>can be spectrums of that and people have different views

0:14:25.880 --> 0:14:30.560
<v Speaker 1>on exactly what is decentralization. So it's one of those

0:14:30.600 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 1>things that it's sort of got a buzzword that everyone

0:14:33.280 --> 0:14:37.480
<v Speaker 1>thinks they know what they're talking about when they say

0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:41.160
<v Speaker 1>a blockchain. But I've seen a lot of technologies out

0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:44.120
<v Speaker 1>there that define themselves as you know, as blockchains, that

0:14:44.160 --> 0:14:47.440
<v Speaker 1>work very, very differently. So it comes down to is

0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:52.160
<v Speaker 1>a blockchain just simply a chain of blocks um, In

0:14:52.200 --> 0:14:55.200
<v Speaker 1>which case it's that's just an append only database and

0:14:55.240 --> 0:14:59.200
<v Speaker 1>a pretty boring data architecture UM. But that doesn't really

0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 1>address all of the clams that people say it does.

0:15:01.520 --> 0:15:05.240
<v Speaker 1>So another selling point of blockchain technology is that it's

0:15:05.240 --> 0:15:10.239
<v Speaker 1>a sort of shared database. It's replicated across participants, depending

0:15:10.600 --> 0:15:12.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, on how they want to use it. But

0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:16.920
<v Speaker 1>the integrity of the data is supposed to be ensured

0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:20.880
<v Speaker 1>because you're using you know, these mathematical calculations to verify

0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:24.400
<v Speaker 1>it each time, and everyone can see all the underlying

0:15:24.520 --> 0:15:29.280
<v Speaker 1>blocks and all of that. Is that actually true or

0:15:29.440 --> 0:15:33.360
<v Speaker 1>is it possible that blockchains can be gamed by a

0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:36.680
<v Speaker 1>bad actor? And that the underlying data can be manipulated.

0:15:37.280 --> 0:15:41.960
<v Speaker 1>The data can really almost anything in computer scidence or

0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:45.640
<v Speaker 1>in in data structures like this can be gamed. It's

0:15:45.720 --> 0:15:51.040
<v Speaker 1>just how difficult is it. A blockchain in this, in

0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:55.160
<v Speaker 1>the in the sort of bitcoin or um in that sense,

0:15:55.880 --> 0:16:01.600
<v Speaker 1>is incredibly difficult to game because the data is spread

0:16:01.600 --> 0:16:04.080
<v Speaker 1>out across a lot of participants, so you've got to

0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:09.080
<v Speaker 1>get everyone to change it. And secondly, the software that

0:16:09.360 --> 0:16:12.920
<v Speaker 1>is adding that data is run by all of those

0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:16.040
<v Speaker 1>different systems, so you've got to go in and change

0:16:16.040 --> 0:16:20.720
<v Speaker 1>that software as well. So yes, it is very, very

0:16:20.800 --> 0:16:24.520
<v Speaker 1>difficult to change that data, but it's worth noting what

0:16:24.560 --> 0:16:29.520
<v Speaker 1>you've sacrificed to do that. In at least in enterprise systems,

0:16:31.200 --> 0:16:36.080
<v Speaker 1>Essentially you are giving up governance of that data structure,

0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:38.960
<v Speaker 1>and so on the plus side, you can never change

0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:41.920
<v Speaker 1>the data. On the downside, you can never change the

0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:45.600
<v Speaker 1>data if there is an error, if the software needs

0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:50.200
<v Speaker 1>to be upgraded, if there needs to be a format change,

0:16:51.000 --> 0:16:53.200
<v Speaker 1>any any of that sort of Any of that sort

0:16:53.200 --> 0:16:55.920
<v Speaker 1>of stuff then needs to be coordinated across every single

0:16:56.000 --> 0:17:01.880
<v Speaker 1>system that's managing this. So the more complex you make,

0:17:01.960 --> 0:17:05.639
<v Speaker 1>you a technology solution using a blook chain, the bigger

0:17:05.640 --> 0:17:09.000
<v Speaker 1>the chance that something will go wrong. Yeah, well, I

0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:12.600
<v Speaker 1>was gonna say so, Like one of the things about bitcoin,

0:17:13.280 --> 0:17:15.240
<v Speaker 1>and it's a plus in a minus, which is that

0:17:15.359 --> 0:17:18.119
<v Speaker 1>if I, like send want to send you some money

0:17:18.240 --> 0:17:20.800
<v Speaker 1>or send you some bitcoin, but I accidentally like put

0:17:20.800 --> 0:17:25.080
<v Speaker 1>in the wrong address, then we're screwed. Like that's I mean,

0:17:25.160 --> 0:17:27.560
<v Speaker 1>maybe the person who if we can find that person

0:17:27.560 --> 0:17:29.800
<v Speaker 1>who got the money, maybe they'll be kind enough if

0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:31.760
<v Speaker 1>they can figure it out to reverse it, but probably

0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:35.080
<v Speaker 1>we're screwed. And so when I like hear about stuff

0:17:35.119 --> 0:17:38.200
<v Speaker 1>like we're gonna put like real estate on the blockchain,

0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:40.520
<v Speaker 1>it's like, what if, like I buy a house from

0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:43.480
<v Speaker 1>you and it turns out that at the very last

0:17:43.480 --> 0:17:46.720
<v Speaker 1>second during the closing, someone puts in the wrong address.

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:51.840
<v Speaker 1>Either they were really screwed or we can reverse it,

0:17:52.240 --> 0:17:54.480
<v Speaker 1>in which case it probably wasn't really a blockchain in

0:17:54.520 --> 0:17:56.359
<v Speaker 1>the first place, you or a fat finger error. And

0:17:56.600 --> 0:17:59.680
<v Speaker 1>so yeah, and you so half the state. Yeah, it's Um.

0:17:59.800 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 1>The the other thing in real estate is a funny

0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:05.520
<v Speaker 1>one because that that also gets brought up because um,

0:18:05.640 --> 0:18:08.840
<v Speaker 1>how do you tie the blockchain to the actual real

0:18:08.880 --> 0:18:11.399
<v Speaker 1>world as well? Right, And this gets actually, so it

0:18:11.880 --> 0:18:13.320
<v Speaker 1>was something I want to ask, and I think it's

0:18:13.359 --> 0:18:16.200
<v Speaker 1>sort of I want to flesh out your first point,

0:18:16.200 --> 0:18:20.320
<v Speaker 1>which is that the challenge with all this stuff is

0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:23.439
<v Speaker 1>not the technology, but in getting everyone to agree. And

0:18:23.480 --> 0:18:27.280
<v Speaker 1>once you've gotten everyone to agree, then you've kind of

0:18:27.280 --> 0:18:29.880
<v Speaker 1>solved the problem that the tech is. So I'm thinking

0:18:29.880 --> 0:18:33.600
<v Speaker 1>about something like, okay, tracking lettuce on a block chain,

0:18:34.160 --> 0:18:38.479
<v Speaker 1>like the real challenges like who gets to scandal at us? Right,

0:18:38.880 --> 0:18:41.560
<v Speaker 1>you have to like, you can't have anyone go around

0:18:41.640 --> 0:18:43.840
<v Speaker 1>with a barcode and a scanner scanning let us into

0:18:43.840 --> 0:18:47.840
<v Speaker 1>the blockchain. Someone has to be like authorized participants to

0:18:47.960 --> 0:18:50.160
<v Speaker 1>go around with a scanner and their scanner is connected

0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:52.600
<v Speaker 1>to the database. But it seems like if you can

0:18:52.640 --> 0:18:55.240
<v Speaker 1>then all agree on who gets to have these scanners

0:18:55.280 --> 0:18:59.160
<v Speaker 1>and whose passwords work, then again, like you've already solved

0:18:59.160 --> 0:19:02.120
<v Speaker 1>the hard part. Absolutely, And how do you make sure

0:19:02.160 --> 0:19:05.600
<v Speaker 1>that people are scanning all the lettuces or that someone

0:19:05.640 --> 0:19:07.840
<v Speaker 1>hasn't substituted a poor let us for a good let us.

0:19:08.840 --> 0:19:13.399
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure how big a problem. Yeah, absolutely, absolutely,

0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:17.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, counterfeit let us. So there is the data

0:19:18.040 --> 0:19:22.359
<v Speaker 1>in a blockchain in theory is perfect, but that's not

0:19:22.760 --> 0:19:27.800
<v Speaker 1>the data problem that that we generally have. It's on

0:19:28.000 --> 0:19:32.320
<v Speaker 1>the ins and out data quality doesn't happen because a

0:19:32.359 --> 0:19:35.960
<v Speaker 1>sequel server is fundamentally bad at keeping the data right.

0:19:36.600 --> 0:19:42.520
<v Speaker 1>It's wrong because the data the different formats between systems. Absolutely,

0:19:43.000 --> 0:19:48.760
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't change with the blockchain, so vegetable arbitrage aside.

0:19:49.040 --> 0:19:52.359
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious how we got to the point that we

0:19:52.560 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 1>began our discussion with this blockchain but not bitcoin idea, Like,

0:19:58.080 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 1>how did companies actually ease upon this technology as something

0:20:03.400 --> 0:20:07.000
<v Speaker 1>that was going to transform their various businesses? How did

0:20:07.000 --> 0:20:09.520
<v Speaker 1>we get to that point. It's it's a funny one

0:20:09.600 --> 0:20:13.959
<v Speaker 1>because the question comes up when I when I'll say this,

0:20:14.040 --> 0:20:16.919
<v Speaker 1>as people will say, well, are you telling me that

0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:22.080
<v Speaker 1>all of these companies are wrong? The challenge is that

0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:30.040
<v Speaker 1>when certainly in any sort of innovation, sometimes headlines are

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:33.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, headlines are quite important to the business, and

0:20:33.800 --> 0:20:36.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, some of this will be sort of marketing strategies,

0:20:36.320 --> 0:20:38.880
<v Speaker 1>and some of this will be you know, just simply

0:20:38.960 --> 0:20:43.320
<v Speaker 1>experimentation and learning about this. If I were a major

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:47.399
<v Speaker 1>financial um, if I were running a major financial institution

0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:49.919
<v Speaker 1>and everyone's telling me that this technology is going to

0:20:49.960 --> 0:20:54.280
<v Speaker 1>make me redundant um, I would be full to not

0:20:54.600 --> 0:20:58.720
<v Speaker 1>invest and explore this and with my work when I was,

0:20:59.119 --> 0:21:01.520
<v Speaker 1>when I was with the first moment um, you know,

0:21:01.600 --> 0:21:06.399
<v Speaker 1>with well with with all of these organizations, it makes

0:21:06.440 --> 0:21:09.960
<v Speaker 1>sense to assess this, to do your due diligence to

0:21:10.080 --> 0:21:15.200
<v Speaker 1>understand what this technology is and isn't. What's happened is

0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:18.680
<v Speaker 1>that some of that's really sort of caught on. And

0:21:19.480 --> 0:21:22.800
<v Speaker 1>so my my theory, when people start seeing press releases

0:21:22.840 --> 0:21:27.280
<v Speaker 1>from different organizations, when people start hearing all of these

0:21:27.440 --> 0:21:31.479
<v Speaker 1>grand promises, what's important is to demonstrate that you're doing something.

0:21:32.320 --> 0:21:36.280
<v Speaker 1>And there's a certain, you know, a certain level of

0:21:36.320 --> 0:21:38.879
<v Speaker 1>group think where there's a lot of looking sideways and

0:21:39.000 --> 0:21:42.560
<v Speaker 1>not necessarily looking, you know, looking underneath. I think there's

0:21:42.600 --> 0:21:47.320
<v Speaker 1>a great analogy here with the asset management industry, in

0:21:47.320 --> 0:21:50.800
<v Speaker 1>which there's a lot of risk to swimming against the

0:21:50.880 --> 0:21:54.640
<v Speaker 1>tide and you could get So let's just say there

0:21:54.720 --> 0:21:59.240
<v Speaker 1>is a world in which banking primarily goes on the blockchain.

0:21:59.320 --> 0:22:01.679
<v Speaker 1>Whatever that means. You would be taking a lot of

0:22:01.760 --> 0:22:04.680
<v Speaker 1>career risk and someone would probably get fired if you're

0:22:04.720 --> 0:22:07.639
<v Speaker 1>the CTO of some bank who didn't do that. Like

0:22:07.680 --> 0:22:09.919
<v Speaker 1>if everyone else said wow, we've we've really found a

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:12.080
<v Speaker 1>way to like cut out all this back office and

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:15.000
<v Speaker 1>efficiency by putting all this data on the blockchain, and

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:17.639
<v Speaker 1>they're everyones reduced their costs and one bank didn't like

0:22:17.680 --> 0:22:20.439
<v Speaker 1>that CTO is in trouble. But if everyone jumps at

0:22:20.440 --> 0:22:23.160
<v Speaker 1>the same time into it and it doesn't work out,

0:22:23.800 --> 0:22:26.080
<v Speaker 1>then it's like, well, we invested some money, it didn't

0:22:26.080 --> 0:22:28.080
<v Speaker 1>work out, but no one gets into trouble. So for

0:22:28.160 --> 0:22:31.359
<v Speaker 1>the individual, there's a lot of pressure then to just

0:22:31.520 --> 0:22:33.399
<v Speaker 1>sort of go along with all the press releases and

0:22:33.440 --> 0:22:36.359
<v Speaker 1>all the other people. We absolutely and to be perfectly honest,

0:22:36.400 --> 0:22:38.840
<v Speaker 1>it's not that expensive to do it right, it's it

0:22:39.320 --> 0:22:42.360
<v Speaker 1>And so it's it makes sense to make that bet,

0:22:42.440 --> 0:22:45.800
<v Speaker 1>as you say, because do you do you really want

0:22:45.800 --> 0:22:47.600
<v Speaker 1>to stand up and say that all of these other

0:22:47.600 --> 0:22:50.439
<v Speaker 1>ones are wrong, because you know, on the if you

0:22:50.480 --> 0:22:52.000
<v Speaker 1>don't say that, like you could at least go on

0:22:52.040 --> 0:22:54.320
<v Speaker 1>a panel and sounds smart. And I say that I'm

0:22:54.320 --> 0:22:56.080
<v Speaker 1>only like have joking when I say that, But I

0:22:56.240 --> 0:22:59.919
<v Speaker 1>I often like wonder, like how much is that motive

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:04.239
<v Speaker 1>ation for someone who is like a technology executive at

0:23:04.240 --> 0:23:06.280
<v Speaker 1>a bank. They're just like, you want to sound smart,

0:23:06.320 --> 0:23:08.720
<v Speaker 1>you want to be a thought leader, right yeah, And

0:23:08.720 --> 0:23:13.879
<v Speaker 1>and also you know, as um, while I you know,

0:23:13.960 --> 0:23:17.840
<v Speaker 1>I preach restraint and all with this technology, one thing

0:23:17.960 --> 0:23:20.399
<v Speaker 1>that I think it is doing, and I think this

0:23:20.520 --> 0:23:22.480
<v Speaker 1>is where a number of the projects are getting to,

0:23:23.359 --> 0:23:29.479
<v Speaker 1>is it's making institutions rethink their core infrastructure and maybe

0:23:29.520 --> 0:23:32.800
<v Speaker 1>start looking at making some of these investments that they

0:23:32.840 --> 0:23:37.560
<v Speaker 1>haven't previously because they've realized we've just been plotting along

0:23:37.680 --> 0:23:41.240
<v Speaker 1>for you know, ten twenty years, just doing minimal upgrades

0:23:41.280 --> 0:23:44.119
<v Speaker 1>to our technology because that's been good enough. But this

0:23:44.160 --> 0:23:49.160
<v Speaker 1>has made the rethink that, you know, maybe our position

0:23:49.280 --> 0:23:51.360
<v Speaker 1>isn't always going to be safe, and maybe we need

0:23:51.400 --> 0:23:54.840
<v Speaker 1>to have a real rethink of this core infrastructure, even

0:23:54.920 --> 0:23:57.240
<v Speaker 1>if it goes down the track of something centralized and

0:23:57.320 --> 0:24:00.680
<v Speaker 1>something that doesn't really need a blockchain. Has it really

0:24:00.720 --> 0:24:04.520
<v Speaker 1>sort of disrupted the technology organized nation enough that they've

0:24:04.560 --> 0:24:10.040
<v Speaker 1>thought about new ways of restrctfrastructure. So okay, so maybe

0:24:10.040 --> 0:24:14.480
<v Speaker 1>it's forcing some institutions to think about their technology infrastructure

0:24:14.520 --> 0:24:16.879
<v Speaker 1>in a more holistic way. But I have to ask,

0:24:17.040 --> 0:24:22.160
<v Speaker 1>do you see any real world application for blockchain technology

0:24:22.240 --> 0:24:26.520
<v Speaker 1>where it would actually a work and be makes sense?

0:24:27.800 --> 0:24:33.480
<v Speaker 1>Private block chains? No? The one thing or at least

0:24:34.440 --> 0:24:37.600
<v Speaker 1>there's nothing that I can see right now. But look,

0:24:37.640 --> 0:24:39.960
<v Speaker 1>I could be you know, I could be wrong. There

0:24:40.040 --> 0:24:42.760
<v Speaker 1>is a reason why bitcoin was designed as a very

0:24:42.800 --> 0:24:46.840
<v Speaker 1>simple technology in that it only really transferred value and

0:24:47.600 --> 0:24:51.639
<v Speaker 1>had some very small, simple bits of logic for the

0:24:51.680 --> 0:24:56.200
<v Speaker 1>reason that if something goes wrong, um, it's very difficult

0:24:56.200 --> 0:24:57.840
<v Speaker 1>to change. So you want to limit the number of

0:24:57.840 --> 0:25:02.080
<v Speaker 1>things that can go wrong consequent lee applications for this technology.

0:25:02.119 --> 0:25:05.920
<v Speaker 1>If you're not talking value transfer, you're really talking about

0:25:06.440 --> 0:25:11.040
<v Speaker 1>time stamping, right, or storing data in a way that

0:25:11.280 --> 0:25:14.720
<v Speaker 1>it can't be changed. You're not necessarily talking about you know,

0:25:14.840 --> 0:25:18.439
<v Speaker 1>big complex logic or anything anything like that. You're talking

0:25:18.520 --> 0:25:23.439
<v Speaker 1>value transfer or time stamps of data making sure that

0:25:23.520 --> 0:25:26.200
<v Speaker 1>something was at a particular state at a particular point

0:25:26.240 --> 0:25:29.199
<v Speaker 1>in time, and that can be valuable. The thing is,

0:25:29.240 --> 0:25:32.239
<v Speaker 1>when you're looking at that sort of time stamping, you

0:25:32.280 --> 0:25:35.880
<v Speaker 1>can do that on a public blockchain, and it would

0:25:35.920 --> 0:25:39.919
<v Speaker 1>probably be cheaper than all of them, than all of

0:25:39.960 --> 0:25:43.359
<v Speaker 1>the complications around setting up your own That distinction you

0:25:43.480 --> 0:25:47.080
<v Speaker 1>make between a private blockchain and a public blockchain For

0:25:47.160 --> 0:25:51.040
<v Speaker 1>people who aren't familiar with those terms, the private blockchain

0:25:51.880 --> 0:25:55.960
<v Speaker 1>is essentially like the consortium of lettuce growers, and a

0:25:55.960 --> 0:26:00.480
<v Speaker 1>public blockchain is like a bitcoin or an ethereal. Yeah. Yeah.

0:26:00.600 --> 0:26:03.760
<v Speaker 1>The the idea was the bitcoin or ethereum you could

0:26:03.800 --> 0:26:07.119
<v Speaker 1>send around value or do other sorts of things. But

0:26:07.280 --> 0:26:10.359
<v Speaker 1>to do that, you had this whole mining process that's

0:26:11.119 --> 0:26:15.520
<v Speaker 1>had the computational problems to solve. Uh, to incentivize people

0:26:15.600 --> 0:26:18.800
<v Speaker 1>to look at this data the private blockchains, I said, well,

0:26:18.880 --> 0:26:21.440
<v Speaker 1>if we all know who each other are, we're incentivized

0:26:21.440 --> 0:26:23.359
<v Speaker 1>to cooperate, so we can do away with the mining.

0:26:23.480 --> 0:26:27.320
<v Speaker 1>So I guess to sort of sum this up, the

0:26:28.160 --> 0:26:31.280
<v Speaker 1>maybe like okay, obviously quite bearish on the sort of

0:26:31.320 --> 0:26:36.680
<v Speaker 1>private blockchain enterprise blockchain stuff. Within the public blockchain world,

0:26:37.400 --> 0:26:42.120
<v Speaker 1>there's still massive debate about whether anything at any value

0:26:42.400 --> 0:26:44.960
<v Speaker 1>besides bitcoin, or whether there needs to be anything besides

0:26:45.000 --> 0:26:48.560
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin or ethereum. Now you have a you know, the

0:26:48.600 --> 0:26:52.240
<v Speaker 1>last couple of years, this Cambrian explosion of all coins

0:26:52.320 --> 0:26:56.320
<v Speaker 1>trying to do something different. Stable coins are in this year.

0:26:56.720 --> 0:26:59.080
<v Speaker 1>But you said something very interesting at the beginning, which

0:26:59.119 --> 0:27:03.439
<v Speaker 1>is that, so what bitcoin was created? The technology is

0:27:03.560 --> 0:27:07.399
<v Speaker 1>very complex or sorry, there's a very inefficient, cumbersome to

0:27:07.480 --> 0:27:11.880
<v Speaker 1>serve a very narrow specific use case. As you look

0:27:11.880 --> 0:27:15.040
<v Speaker 1>at the crypto blockchain lands kept going forward, do you

0:27:15.080 --> 0:27:20.200
<v Speaker 1>see any other use cases besides essentially that essentially narrow

0:27:20.440 --> 0:27:25.280
<v Speaker 1>value transfer from you to tracing. There could be, but

0:27:25.400 --> 0:27:28.480
<v Speaker 1>I think that that builds on that base of value transfer.

0:27:28.880 --> 0:27:31.480
<v Speaker 1>So if you have a look at the Internet, we

0:27:31.600 --> 0:27:35.800
<v Speaker 1>didn't We didn't get all of the fancy apps and

0:27:36.160 --> 0:27:40.600
<v Speaker 1>social networking and all of all of these applications without

0:27:40.680 --> 0:27:43.439
<v Speaker 1>just getting a web browser an email. Right. There was

0:27:43.480 --> 0:27:46.160
<v Speaker 1>friends to back in the nineties, and there were IoT

0:27:46.280 --> 0:27:49.280
<v Speaker 1>devices and a number of other sorts of things that

0:27:49.320 --> 0:27:52.880
<v Speaker 1>we have now. The dot com boom is is uh,

0:27:53.080 --> 0:27:55.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's the famous period where where people were

0:27:55.760 --> 0:27:58.720
<v Speaker 1>developing a whole lot of stuff, but fundamentally there wasn't

0:27:59.000 --> 0:28:03.040
<v Speaker 1>There weren't enough pill on board using that just core

0:28:03.280 --> 0:28:09.640
<v Speaker 1>applications and decentralization you mentioned very exciting buzzword. I don't

0:28:09.680 --> 0:28:12.520
<v Speaker 1>think your person on the street really knows or cares

0:28:12.560 --> 0:28:15.320
<v Speaker 1>what that is at the moment. But what we do have,

0:28:15.440 --> 0:28:20.120
<v Speaker 1>and um, I've seen you make this point before and

0:28:20.359 --> 0:28:24.960
<v Speaker 1>it's it's absolutely where I stand with this. Value transfer

0:28:25.440 --> 0:28:30.560
<v Speaker 1>at the moment is something that bitcoin censorship resistant value

0:28:30.600 --> 0:28:36.680
<v Speaker 1>transfer or storage is the thing that bitcoin or these

0:28:36.680 --> 0:28:40.080
<v Speaker 1>other cryptocurrencies can do that no other system can do.

0:28:41.000 --> 0:28:42.920
<v Speaker 1>And there are parts of the world where that's important,

0:28:43.600 --> 0:28:46.520
<v Speaker 1>where you don't have the choice to use a traditional

0:28:46.560 --> 0:28:51.560
<v Speaker 1>financial system. So in my view, that's really where the

0:28:51.640 --> 0:28:55.240
<v Speaker 1>benefit for this is. You've got countries Zimbabwe, Turkey, Iran

0:28:55.360 --> 0:28:58.880
<v Speaker 1>where people value a store of value that's away from

0:28:59.160 --> 0:29:02.959
<v Speaker 1>that's away from the government. In the developed world, people

0:29:03.360 --> 0:29:06.880
<v Speaker 1>like to bet on commodities and people would like to

0:29:07.880 --> 0:29:10.600
<v Speaker 1>bet on the future. And I think that's the application here.

0:29:11.080 --> 0:29:17.200
<v Speaker 1>So until we get that real adoption of that value transfer,

0:29:17.640 --> 0:29:20.120
<v Speaker 1>which happens by solving a need that people actually have,

0:29:21.640 --> 0:29:24.800
<v Speaker 1>I question the other applications because in a lot of

0:29:24.840 --> 0:29:31.360
<v Speaker 1>cases you can do decentralization or create distributed applications without

0:29:31.360 --> 0:29:37.200
<v Speaker 1>a blockchain. So a blockchain doesn't really change that paradigm.

0:29:37.280 --> 0:29:43.520
<v Speaker 1>So are you you are now bitcoin not blockchain? Yeah? Yeah,

0:29:43.680 --> 0:29:47.240
<v Speaker 1>And and the you know, while while bitcoin has the

0:29:47.280 --> 0:29:49.960
<v Speaker 1>network effect and is the is dominant at the moment,

0:29:50.360 --> 0:29:53.160
<v Speaker 1>whether that is the one that's going to be going

0:29:53.200 --> 0:29:56.160
<v Speaker 1>to be dominant in future and more open about but yes,

0:29:56.320 --> 0:29:58.840
<v Speaker 1>without that, I think it just all comes down to

0:29:58.880 --> 0:30:02.560
<v Speaker 1>censorship resistant you transference storage, in other words, just a

0:30:02.600 --> 0:30:06.080
<v Speaker 1>digital commodity that's away from government. And I hear this

0:30:06.160 --> 0:30:07.680
<v Speaker 1>a bit when I talk to people. They say, look,

0:30:07.720 --> 0:30:09.480
<v Speaker 1>I don't really think that bitcoin is going to be

0:30:09.520 --> 0:30:13.120
<v Speaker 1>a thing unless maybe you're in the developing world. My

0:30:13.200 --> 0:30:15.480
<v Speaker 1>view is I sort of agree with that, but the

0:30:15.520 --> 0:30:19.160
<v Speaker 1>developing world is the world's population. That's a reasonable market.

0:30:19.920 --> 0:30:23.760
<v Speaker 1>On that note, great conversation, Angus Champion to Kutny, thank

0:30:23.800 --> 0:30:47.680
<v Speaker 1>you very much for a coming on. Thank you Joe's Joe.

0:30:47.760 --> 0:30:52.280
<v Speaker 1>I thought that was an absolutely fantastic conversation and really

0:30:52.400 --> 0:30:55.560
<v Speaker 1>encapsulated a lot of the criticism that we've seen about

0:30:55.600 --> 0:30:59.600
<v Speaker 1>blockchain throughout the years in a really relatable way. I

0:30:59.680 --> 0:31:02.280
<v Speaker 1>could agree more because you just see all these press

0:31:02.320 --> 0:31:05.280
<v Speaker 1>releases and people trying to sound smart and all this

0:31:05.400 --> 0:31:07.760
<v Speaker 1>obvious stuff, and you just have so many questions and

0:31:07.840 --> 0:31:10.320
<v Speaker 1>it's like, look, if you're gonna scand the lettuce, like

0:31:10.360 --> 0:31:13.080
<v Speaker 1>who's gonna scandal lettuce? And if anyone can scandal let us,

0:31:13.160 --> 0:31:16.200
<v Speaker 1>Like what are you really accomplishing? And if you have

0:31:16.520 --> 0:31:18.800
<v Speaker 1>a sort of white list of people who are allowed

0:31:18.840 --> 0:31:20.880
<v Speaker 1>to scan the lettuce, then why do you need a blockchain?

0:31:21.200 --> 0:31:23.680
<v Speaker 1>All these questions I've had in my head for so long,

0:31:24.080 --> 0:31:26.560
<v Speaker 1>and it's great to hear from someone who has been

0:31:26.640 --> 0:31:29.200
<v Speaker 1>talking to companies and involved in it for a while

0:31:29.600 --> 0:31:33.840
<v Speaker 1>basically saying, yeah, the scandal Lettuce problem really is a problem, right,

0:31:33.880 --> 0:31:36.360
<v Speaker 1>because if you can build the consortium, you can build

0:31:36.400 --> 0:31:39.640
<v Speaker 1>the consensus to do that much, then yeah, you're sort

0:31:39.680 --> 0:31:41.920
<v Speaker 1>of just throwing technology on top of it for no

0:31:42.040 --> 0:31:44.760
<v Speaker 1>reason at all. But I thought the conversation as well

0:31:44.840 --> 0:31:48.000
<v Speaker 1>on that point about why companies insist on doing this

0:31:48.360 --> 0:31:51.480
<v Speaker 1>was really interesting and the notion that you know, if

0:31:51.560 --> 0:31:54.320
<v Speaker 1>everyone else, if there's a chance that everyone else is

0:31:54.400 --> 0:31:56.880
<v Speaker 1>going to do this, you don't want to be the

0:31:57.000 --> 0:32:00.200
<v Speaker 1>one left out. And but that said, you know that

0:32:00.280 --> 0:32:04.280
<v Speaker 1>old saying about how you never got fired for buying Microsoft, Um,

0:32:05.000 --> 0:32:07.000
<v Speaker 1>do you remember that? It is weird to me that

0:32:07.120 --> 0:32:11.320
<v Speaker 1>this technology that came from this mysterious bitcoin white paper

0:32:11.920 --> 0:32:16.560
<v Speaker 1>that was basically designed, you know, for circumventing the existing

0:32:16.680 --> 0:32:22.280
<v Speaker 1>financial system got adopted so readily by so many sort

0:32:22.320 --> 0:32:26.800
<v Speaker 1>of white chee corporations around the world. Well, maybe no

0:32:26.920 --> 0:32:29.640
<v Speaker 1>one will get fired for talking about it, but maybe

0:32:29.680 --> 0:32:31.760
<v Speaker 1>the first person to get fired will be because they

0:32:31.800 --> 0:32:35.440
<v Speaker 1>actually full up to put their words into action and

0:32:35.560 --> 0:32:38.720
<v Speaker 1>then when their entire business system grinds to a halt,

0:32:39.160 --> 0:32:41.320
<v Speaker 1>they will be fired. But yeah, I totally agree, and

0:32:41.360 --> 0:32:43.800
<v Speaker 1>I had the exact same thought about you never get

0:32:43.880 --> 0:32:47.360
<v Speaker 1>fired for buying Microsoft or IBM or whatever it is.

0:32:47.720 --> 0:32:52.000
<v Speaker 1>That is just such a powerful business incentive. And we

0:32:52.200 --> 0:32:54.720
<v Speaker 1>think about, you know, if you take the sort of

0:32:55.880 --> 0:33:00.120
<v Speaker 1>sort of neo classical view of economics and business of

0:33:00.320 --> 0:33:05.160
<v Speaker 1>rational actors in the economy making decisions based on profit

0:33:05.240 --> 0:33:07.560
<v Speaker 1>and losses and stuff like that, but then you realize

0:33:07.600 --> 0:33:10.240
<v Speaker 1>that in the real world people are just scared to

0:33:10.360 --> 0:33:12.520
<v Speaker 1>not do what other people are doing. You get a

0:33:12.640 --> 0:33:14.960
<v Speaker 1>much sort of much more honest sense of about it

0:33:15.080 --> 0:33:18.640
<v Speaker 1>of how business actually works. Yeah. Absolutely, and you're right.

0:33:18.680 --> 0:33:21.160
<v Speaker 1>I think it was you never get fired for buying IBM?

0:33:21.480 --> 0:33:26.160
<v Speaker 1>Wasn't it quickly one forgets? Yeah? Alright, Uh well, this

0:33:26.280 --> 0:33:29.400
<v Speaker 1>has been another edition of the Odd Thoughts podcast. I'm

0:33:29.440 --> 0:33:32.200
<v Speaker 1>Tracy Alloway. You can follow me on Twitter at Tracy

0:33:32.280 --> 0:33:35.360
<v Speaker 1>Alloway and I'm Joe Why Isn't All? You could follow

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:38.600
<v Speaker 1>me on Twitter at the Stalwart and you can follow

0:33:38.720 --> 0:33:42.200
<v Speaker 1>Angus on Twitter at Angus Champion, and be sure to

0:33:42.360 --> 0:33:46.360
<v Speaker 1>follow our producer tofur Foreheads on Twitter. He's at foreheads

0:33:46.440 --> 0:33:50.000
<v Speaker 1>t as well as the bloomberg head of podcast, Francesco

0:33:50.120 --> 0:34:06.600
<v Speaker 1>Levy at Francesco Today. Thanks for listening year