1 00:00:01,920 --> 00:00:02,800 Speaker 1: What's up everybody. 2 00:00:02,800 --> 00:00:06,120 Speaker 2: It's time for Week twelve Early bet Survivor looks and 3 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:09,119 Speaker 2: things you should lock in right now for your betting menu. 4 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:12,400 Speaker 2: This coming Sunday Thursday as well. He is Pat pix Morris. 5 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 2: I'm Matt Pearols YouTube channel for Betting pros is where 6 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,400 Speaker 2: you find us each and every Tuesday for this Pat. So, 7 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 2: I can't believe it's already to week twelve. But if 8 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 2: I say the best team in the NFL is blank, 9 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 2: who are you writing into that space? 10 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:34,840 Speaker 3: I have to say the Los Angeles Rams right now. 11 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:37,680 Speaker 3: I mean, they prove that that was the showdown game 12 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:42,239 Speaker 3: they beat the Seahawks. Yeah, I mean they just no 13 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 3: one has really thumped the Rams like. They have no 14 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:49,880 Speaker 3: bad losses on the record, and they've had some really 15 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 3: good wins and right now they're probably the least flawed 16 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 3: team in the league. 17 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 4: Where are you going with that? 18 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 5: Well? 19 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 2: How many team names do you have to put there 20 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 2: before you get to the Bronx ghost. 21 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 3: I think the Lions are a better team than the 22 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:06,560 Speaker 3: broncosh Okay, I just I think they're a better team. 23 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:11,400 Speaker 3: Like the Broncos defense is very well, maybe the best 24 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 3: in the league. 25 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 4: Yes, their offense is nowhere close to the best. 26 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 2: We just saw what a good defense can do to 27 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:21,160 Speaker 2: the Lions offense. And when they play outside. If I know, 28 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 2: you don't play the Super Bowl on somebody else's home 29 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 2: home turf. So there's no way the Lions and the 30 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 2: Broncos would play unless they're playing outdoors in Santa Clara. 31 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 2: This is a big problem with everybody betting the Lions 32 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 2: to win the Super Bowl. Look, that Jared Goff outdoor 33 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:40,560 Speaker 2: narrative is a real thing. He does not play well outdoors. 34 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 2: And that's why I think the Lions can beat the Rams, 35 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 2: because if they play the Rams in La Jared Goff's indoors, 36 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 2: he can win that football game. 37 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: I the Super Bowl. Oh, I don't know. 38 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 2: I don't know about the Lions out outdoors in Santa Clara. 39 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's that's a good point. Denver is is interesting. 40 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 3: We'll see how how far their defense can take them. 41 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 3: The offense has to show up at some point. 42 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:13,640 Speaker 2: I don't like I'm on record, I am not a 43 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:16,880 Speaker 2: bow Knicks supporter. I am not a Knicks maniac. Whatever 44 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:18,639 Speaker 2: you want to call the nickname of the people love him, 45 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 2: I'm not one of them. But he can do enough, 46 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:25,360 Speaker 2: like we've seen it with Brock Purdy, right, just don't 47 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 2: lose the game. Like, just go out there and be 48 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:30,520 Speaker 2: methodical and let that defense take you as far as 49 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:30,919 Speaker 2: it can go. 50 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 4: They could be the Trent Dill for Ravens. 51 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 2: Yep, run the ball, play defense, you know, throw the 52 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 2: ball occasionally and just let that defense go to work. 53 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:44,960 Speaker 2: As Boy did they make that chief offensive line? Oh my, 54 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 2: that was something to watch. I'm a Patriot fan. I'm like, Nope, 55 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 2: Patriots aren't good enough to beat that team. Nope, Pats 56 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:54,639 Speaker 2: aren't beating Denver. I tell you that right now. They 57 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 2: a young offensive line for New England up against that 58 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:02,119 Speaker 2: rush for the Broncos. That is a ferocious, ferocious defensive 59 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 2: front the Denver Broncos. All right, we picked three games 60 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 2: each of us for plays. We're kind of on the 61 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:10,800 Speaker 2: same page here for the first one, I think, Pat 62 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 2: where are you going for bet number one? 63 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:14,000 Speaker 4: I'm gonna take the Vikings plus six? 64 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:16,359 Speaker 1: Oh okay for the Green Bay Packers. Not where I 65 00:03:16,360 --> 00:03:18,519 Speaker 1: thought you were going. Wow, you're going. 66 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:21,240 Speaker 4: Back to Dokel. I am going back to the wall, 67 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 4: And I don't know why keep going back to the wall. 68 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:24,880 Speaker 4: On the Vikings. Matt right, why one of my. 69 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 1: Vikings are a red line for me? I am done. 70 00:03:27,840 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 1: I bet them last weekend. I am done with Kevin O'Connell. 71 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:34,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, they were one of my best early bets last 72 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 3: week at home against the Bears, laying three points and 73 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 3: they lost outright. And so now I'm going to take 74 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 3: this Dome team going on the road to Chile lambeau 75 00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:46,119 Speaker 3: Field in late November. Yes, I am The Packers are 76 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,839 Speaker 3: three and seven against the spread this season. Yeah, they 77 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 3: have lost the Vikings at lambeau Field in each of 78 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 3: the last two years. Packers might not have Josh Jacobs 79 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 3: for this game, and they need to be able to 80 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 3: run the ball because their offensive line is not very 81 00:03:59,160 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 3: good at pass plot. 82 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 4: I think they're going to have a really hard. 83 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 3: Time handling all the blitzes that Brian Flores is going. 84 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 1: To dial up for them. 85 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 3: And as we've seen, Matt Jordan Love prone to making 86 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 3: some bad decisions when he's under pressure. And I do 87 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 3: realize JJ McCarthy has been awful, awful, and yes, it 88 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 3: seems pretty unlikely that he's going to have a breakout 89 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 3: game against the Green Bay defense that could pressure him 90 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:26,599 Speaker 3: without blitzing, but I do think the Vikings can scratch 91 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 3: out enough points with Aaron Jones in a revenge game 92 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:33,839 Speaker 3: to make this a close game. I think they can 93 00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 3: keep it close. Also, the Vikings have kind of a 94 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 3: sneaky special teams advantage their top ten and special teams 95 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 3: Dvoa Packers are twenty fourth, and honestly, Matt, I have 96 00:04:42,839 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 3: no idea how they rank that high because their special 97 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 3: teams are atrocious, like every field goal with Green Bay 98 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:51,760 Speaker 3: in Adventure. I do think this is going to be 99 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 3: a close game, and I was kind of surprised to 100 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:57,919 Speaker 3: spread was what it was. And right now, in fact, Matt, 101 00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 3: Vikings on hard rock bats, you can get the six 102 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 3: points and it's minus one ozho five to take them. 103 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:05,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, so I'm gonna need more. 104 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 2: I need, I need to be greedy, and I need 105 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:12,719 Speaker 2: seven seven. I need seven or seven and a half 106 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 2: because that's the magic number for this Packers team. Because 107 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 2: again they were seven and a half point favorites against 108 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:22,160 Speaker 2: the Giants and they are zero and six. When they 109 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:24,800 Speaker 2: are favored by seven points or more over the last 110 00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 2: six games, they do not cover that number. So I'm 111 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 2: with you if this thing climbs and gets me to 112 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:34,719 Speaker 2: six to to seven or seven and a half, or 113 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,599 Speaker 2: I'm teasing this up to twelve. If it stays at six, 114 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,040 Speaker 2: I'll just tease it up to twelve. And I think 115 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 2: you're right. I think this is gonna be a close game. 116 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:47,720 Speaker 2: But my gosh, this Packers team has been so inconsistent 117 00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 2: and up and down, and the vikings outdoors. JJ needs 118 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:55,480 Speaker 2: that he is going to rue the day. He ever said, 119 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:59,799 Speaker 2: I have an ulterior personality named nine that he comes 120 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,920 Speaker 2: out when I need him to. Because every joke, after 121 00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:07,080 Speaker 2: every bad throw for JJ McCarthy is all centered around 122 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 2: this alternative, you know, personality that he says he has, 123 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 2: like a superhero. So not a good look for a 124 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 2: guy who has really struggled at times this season. 125 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:18,840 Speaker 3: And I will say, though, you you mentioned the inconsistency 126 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 3: for the Packers. They're three and seven against the number. 127 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:25,719 Speaker 3: They won their first two, they covered their first two games. 128 00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 3: They're one in seven against the numbers since then, like 129 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 3: they played down to the level of everyone they play. 130 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:31,479 Speaker 1: Yep. 131 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 2: I bet the Giants last weekend. I took the hook 132 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:35,360 Speaker 2: that won by seven, seven and a half came in. 133 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:38,720 Speaker 2: I like it my first play and I think you're 134 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:40,359 Speaker 2: right here with me, So it's kind of like stealing 135 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 2: one of your players. I thought you'd go here first. 136 00:06:41,920 --> 00:06:43,040 Speaker 1: But I like. 137 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 2: Kansas City laying the three here for them in a 138 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 2: big bounce back spot. I think Casey's got a shot 139 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 2: here to kind of remind some people that when their 140 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 2: defense stops the run, they can play with anybody in 141 00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 2: the NFL. And I'm just not trusting Daniel Jones. I mean, 142 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:05,160 Speaker 2: I saw it already once this year where they turn 143 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:07,800 Speaker 2: the ball over six times. I feel like that might 144 00:07:07,839 --> 00:07:11,040 Speaker 2: happen again here. For the Indianapolis Colts, this is a 145 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 2: big step up in competition for them. This is a 146 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 2: really good defense. In all of the talk about Mahomes 147 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:19,880 Speaker 2: and it's over and the Chiefs are going to miss 148 00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 2: the playoffs. They're five and five, They're laying three against Indy. 149 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 2: This is just kind of like a principal play for me. 150 00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 2: I'm taking Casey minus the three. I'm assuming you are 151 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:32,239 Speaker 2: as well. 152 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 3: I am, And this is one of my favorite bets too, Matt. 153 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 3: The Chiefs are five and five, they need this one badly. 154 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 3: They have their backs up against the wall if they 155 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 3: need to make their playoff push and they're gonna be 156 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 3: playing at home. Jonathan Taylor obviously has been a monster 157 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 3: for the Colts this season, but I don't think he's 158 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 3: going to rip up the Kansas City run defense. Chiefs 159 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 3: are always pretty tough against the run with Steve Spagnolo 160 00:07:57,680 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 3: calling the shots. 161 00:07:59,080 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 4: So Daniel Jones is going to have to do his part. 162 00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 3: And you said it, Matt, it seems like he might 163 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 3: be reverting back to his mistake prone tendencies of the past. 164 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 3: In his last two games against the Steelers and the Falcons, 165 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:15,560 Speaker 3: Daniel Jones's four interceptions, it's been sacked twelve times, and 166 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 3: he's fumbled six times six times in the last two games. 167 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 3: And yeah, the Colts lost to the Steelers and needed 168 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:25,240 Speaker 3: overtime to be a. 169 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:27,000 Speaker 4: Very flawed Falcons team. 170 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 3: So I'm taking the Chiefs at home, coming off that 171 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:32,520 Speaker 3: tough loss and with their backs against the wall. 172 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:35,560 Speaker 2: Now, three may cost you a little bit, but it's 173 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:38,560 Speaker 2: worth it, Okay, if you if you got to pay one, fifteen, one, 174 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 2: twenty one, just pay the juice and go and take them. 175 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:45,920 Speaker 2: And this is why, hopefully you guys watching this show, 176 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:48,839 Speaker 2: as the week goes, this number is not going to 177 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 2: close at three or even three and a half. 178 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 1: I think this number is going to close at four. 179 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 2: I think you're going to see quite a bit of 180 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 2: money on the Chiefs when the limits open up as 181 00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 2: the week progresses. I think there's an injury questions and 182 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 2: some guys on that defense. Obviously, there's some things going 183 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:05,680 Speaker 2: on with the Chiefs internally as to what their offense 184 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:07,319 Speaker 2: looks like. But as long as they you know, I 185 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 2: think everyone's good to go for this game. I think 186 00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 2: this number climbs, so I would bet this number early 187 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 2: to jump in with it because I think three is 188 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 2: a great get. 189 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 1: The same thing that happened with. 190 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:20,280 Speaker 2: The Cowboys game for them against the Raiders, like grab 191 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 2: three when you can. Obviously, three is the keyest of 192 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 2: key numbers. So Casey minus three, if you got to 193 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 2: buy it down, fine, But three and a half I 194 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:29,360 Speaker 2: hate it because if you lose on the. 195 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: Hook, that's just really frustrating. To lose on the hook. 196 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:34,880 Speaker 2: I don't think that's gonna happen, though. I like Casey 197 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 2: by about seven points. 198 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:40,680 Speaker 1: How about you? Sounds about right touchdown just to win? 199 00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean. 200 00:09:41,679 --> 00:09:47,720 Speaker 3: They the Chiefs sometimes just don't blow out opponents right well, 201 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 3: and they do that they'll play with like the Raiders 202 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 3: sometimes when they get a home game or lose to 203 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 3: them out right like they did on Christmas a few 204 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:58,599 Speaker 3: years ago. Yeah, but yeah, that sounds right, Like I 205 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:01,319 Speaker 3: hope this is not a close game. I don't think 206 00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 3: this one comes down to the wire. 207 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:05,319 Speaker 2: So number two for you, this is your second play 208 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 2: is the Chiefs Mast three. 209 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:09,920 Speaker 3: Yes, yeah, that one. I'm gonna save for the lock 210 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:12,200 Speaker 3: it in. I want to get the three, so yeah, 211 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 3: that's gonna be my locket in. 212 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:15,200 Speaker 1: Okay, So what's your what's your second play? 213 00:10:16,040 --> 00:10:19,319 Speaker 4: It's Brown's Raiders under thirty seven. 214 00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:22,559 Speaker 2: And a half an allegiance yes, oh my own, No, 215 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:24,280 Speaker 2: you're taking an under an allegiance? 216 00:10:25,320 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 4: Yeah? 217 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 3: Where the points coming from this game, Matt, Like with 218 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 3: Dylan Gabriel sustaining a concussion last week. 219 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:35,599 Speaker 2: The Raiders should often sucks. I mean sorry, defense sucks. 220 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:38,600 Speaker 2: That's the no I know, but probably everyone gets scoring 221 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:39,480 Speaker 2: the Raiders defense. 222 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 1: That's my it's gonna be. 223 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:45,480 Speaker 3: It's gonna be Shaduur Sanders yeaking his first NFL start 224 00:10:45,520 --> 00:10:47,599 Speaker 3: in your backyard. I know Shador had to come in 225 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 3: cold in the middle of the game last week. Like 226 00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 3: not an easy situation, but the results are not pretty. 227 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 3: Four of sixteen for forty seven yards, no touchdown, in interception, 228 00:10:57,440 --> 00:11:00,959 Speaker 3: two sacks, a passer rating of thirteen teen point five, 229 00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:03,400 Speaker 3: which I believe is what you get like if you 230 00:11:03,520 --> 00:11:05,719 Speaker 3: just take a snap and spike. 231 00:11:05,520 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 4: The ball into the ground. 232 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, and the running game stop working for the Browns 233 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 3: weeks ago. Queen Shawn Judkins is averaging three point two 234 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 3: yards per carry over his last five games, and that 235 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:21,839 Speaker 3: includes some matchups against less than stellar run defenses, the Dolphins, 236 00:11:21,960 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 3: the Jets, the Ravens, and the Raiders. Their beating up 237 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 3: offensive line and beating up Geno Smith having to deal 238 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 3: with that dangerous Browns pass rush that features Miles Garrett, 239 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:36,959 Speaker 3: who already has fifteen sacks. 240 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:38,319 Speaker 4: This game is going to be hideous. 241 00:11:38,320 --> 00:11:38,560 Speaker 1: Matt. 242 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 3: I love it under thirty seven and a half. I 243 00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:42,880 Speaker 3: just can't imagine this game going over. 244 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:47,000 Speaker 2: We'll talk about it, but I think the Raiders are 245 00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 2: in trouble in this game, and I think this is 246 00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:55,160 Speaker 2: Kevin Stefanski special. I think there's a coaching mismatch in 247 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 2: this game coming up at Allegian Stadium. I worry about 248 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 2: Pick six is in bumble roots and weird things and 249 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:04,320 Speaker 2: it's just at Allegiant Stadium. I've seen so many strange 250 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 2: things happen where that I saw that. And when thirty 251 00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:09,440 Speaker 2: seven and a half for a game at Allegiant Stadium, 252 00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:13,640 Speaker 2: it's not Detroit, but it's close. I mean, it's the 253 00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:16,520 Speaker 2: games tend to fly over and there's you know, points 254 00:12:16,559 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 2: on points on points normally. So if you're right, the 255 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 2: Raiders should be the side then because we get a 256 00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:25,960 Speaker 2: higher scoring game and the Raiders probably win a higher 257 00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 2: scoring game. The Browns want that want to they want 258 00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:31,720 Speaker 2: like a thirteen to twelve football game like the fel. 259 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 2: They want a field goal fest and they could win 260 00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:36,640 Speaker 2: a field goal fest frankly to go into it. So 261 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:38,960 Speaker 2: it's sort of like dog in the under and the 262 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:40,680 Speaker 2: favor and the over. I guess if you want to 263 00:12:40,679 --> 00:12:43,720 Speaker 2: have a correlated play for my second play, it is 264 00:12:43,760 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 2: the Browns. I'm taking the Browns on the hook here, 265 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:49,120 Speaker 2: and I want the hook. I want three and a half. 266 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 2: And so that's why I would look at this and 267 00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:54,080 Speaker 2: don't bet three. I want three and a half because 268 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 2: like we're just talking about low scoring game, field goal fest. 269 00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 2: The the Raiders defense can't stop anybody. But if You're right, 270 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 2: and Sanders can't play the position, and even with a 271 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:08,640 Speaker 2: week of practice with the ones, he can't move the 272 00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 2: ball well. Then I like the under even more because 273 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,480 Speaker 2: I think it could be a ten to seven football game. 274 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:16,199 Speaker 2: And I want the hook. I want that three, but 275 00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 2: three and a half over the three to come in here. 276 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:25,959 Speaker 2: So look, I just to me, I am feeling like 277 00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:30,320 Speaker 2: the Sanders drama needs to end. And the Browns are 278 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:34,360 Speaker 2: probably kicking themselves for you know, deciding to bring this 279 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 2: upon themselves and bringing this guy in because he played 280 00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 2: horribly and now Stefanski's got kind of his career tied. 281 00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 1: To this guy. 282 00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 2: And so like, if things really go south for the 283 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 2: Browns and they score like three points and he throws 284 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:51,440 Speaker 2: two interceptions and goes four for twenty, I'd be very 285 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:53,760 Speaker 2: curious to see what's going to happen for the future 286 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:57,280 Speaker 2: with the brown So I like Cleveland plus the points, 287 00:13:57,480 --> 00:13:58,040 Speaker 2: how about you? 288 00:13:58,960 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 5: Yeah? 289 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 3: And I mean Chadour is not without talent, Like he 290 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 3: is an anticipatory thrower, he's pretty accurate. Maybe with a 291 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 3: full week of practice and first team reps, like he'll 292 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:15,239 Speaker 3: be more ready for this game than he was obviously 293 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:20,840 Speaker 3: for for week eleven. But can I back the Browns 294 00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:25,080 Speaker 3: with as as little firepower as they have an offense 295 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 3: going against the Raiders. And I know how you feel 296 00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:29,400 Speaker 3: about the Raiders, Matt, and I do not disagree with 297 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:32,680 Speaker 3: you on that. I just I would rather play the 298 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:35,920 Speaker 3: total here than take a side fair. It's a good 299 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:39,400 Speaker 3: way of approaching it. Your third play for Sunday? Where 300 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:42,400 Speaker 3: are you going? We're getting real ugly in Week twelve, Matt, 301 00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:46,880 Speaker 3: We're gonna take the Saints minus one against the Falcons. 302 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:51,480 Speaker 3: The Falcons have lost five straight games. They're three and seven. 303 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 3: They just lost quarterback Michael Pennix Junior and wide receiver 304 00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:59,480 Speaker 3: Drake London to what are likely to be multi week injuries. Well, 305 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,480 Speaker 3: I think X has already gone and initially Pennix is 306 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:05,600 Speaker 3: out for the year, so definitely a multi week injury 307 00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:07,720 Speaker 3: there in London too, He's not going to play in 308 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 3: Week twelve. Kirk Cousins looks so so bad this year. Like, 309 00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:15,960 Speaker 3: I'm not sure if Kirk Cousins could break a pane 310 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 3: of glass with one of his throws at this point 311 00:15:18,280 --> 00:15:22,760 Speaker 3: his arm loook shot. Yeah, no mobility. And without Drake London, 312 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:25,080 Speaker 3: his top wide receiver is going to be Darnell Mooney, 313 00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 3: who's having a terrible year and probably hasn't been healthy 314 00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 3: since before training camp, and the Atlanta defense somehow managed 315 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:35,400 Speaker 3: to let Bryce Young throw for more than four hundred 316 00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 3: yards and three touchdowns against them. Was it career potb Yeah, 317 00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 3: So the Falcons are not in a good way coming 318 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:47,560 Speaker 3: into this game the Saints. Meanwhile, at two and eight, 319 00:15:47,640 --> 00:15:49,360 Speaker 3: I can't make the case that the Saints are a 320 00:15:49,400 --> 00:15:50,000 Speaker 3: good team, but. 321 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 1: Tyler and He's not that bad. 322 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:56,000 Speaker 3: When they have run into quality opponents this season, they 323 00:15:56,480 --> 00:16:01,080 Speaker 3: usually gotten their heads caved in Seahawks Bill's bucking Rams Bears. 324 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 3: I'll beat the Saints by twelve or more points. The 325 00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 3: only good team they've sort of hung with were your Patriots. 326 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:09,960 Speaker 3: Against bad teams, though Saints have beaten the Giants and 327 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 3: the Panthers lost to the Cardinals by seven way back 328 00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 3: in Week one. I actually think Kellen Moore might be 329 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 3: a pretty good coach. Like they've generated at least two 330 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 3: hundred and seventy five yards of offense and all but 331 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 3: two of their games this season. Saints are coming off 332 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:27,400 Speaker 3: of bye, They're gonna be at home. Falcons are coming 333 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 3: off a loss that effectively ended their season. I think 334 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:32,800 Speaker 3: the Saints are just gonna be in a much better 335 00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 3: head space for this. 336 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 4: Game than the Falcons are. I think they're gonna beat 337 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 4: the Falcons. 338 00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 2: I wish the Raiders did what the Saints did. Like 339 00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 2: bringing in Geno Smith was such a mistake. He was 340 00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:46,520 Speaker 2: such an awful, awful mistake to go ahead and say 341 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:50,080 Speaker 2: we're gonna take him, because like Gino, I know what 342 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:53,280 Speaker 2: in Vegas they were trying to do. Seventy three year 343 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:57,560 Speaker 2: old head coach, give him a proven vet quarterback. Maybe 344 00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:01,000 Speaker 2: they sneak their way into a nine eight season and 345 00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:03,120 Speaker 2: they wind up in the playoffs, and then everybody in 346 00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 2: Vegas is like, Okay, we're building something. The Saints just 347 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:09,960 Speaker 2: it has burned it down to the studs and just said, hey, 348 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,719 Speaker 2: we're just taking it apart. And you know, they have 349 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:15,680 Speaker 2: to pay Kamara. Nobody wants the contract for the production, 350 00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 2: so they're stuck with him, but everybody else goodbye. 351 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:20,359 Speaker 1: And we're gonna draft Tyler Shuck. 352 00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 2: We're gonna draft a twenty six year old quarterback who 353 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:25,600 Speaker 2: can come in and play with Kellen Moore. Let a 354 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 2: quarterback friendly head coach developed the kid. I've liked what 355 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:32,679 Speaker 2: I've seen out of him. I mean, I think he 356 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:35,120 Speaker 2: can play. I think he's going to be a guy 357 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:36,920 Speaker 2: that you can look at. He'll be in the mix 358 00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:39,520 Speaker 2: next year for the starting position for the Saints. And 359 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:41,800 Speaker 2: that's more than what I'm saying about Geno Smith and 360 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:44,240 Speaker 2: here in Vegas where people can't get him out of 361 00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:45,040 Speaker 2: town fast enough. 362 00:17:45,760 --> 00:17:49,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, Mickey Loomis did not let himself get fooled into 363 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:51,560 Speaker 3: thinking the Saints could contend for anything. There was no 364 00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 3: pretense of that whatsoever. The the Raiders were just kind 365 00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:56,440 Speaker 3: of delusional. 366 00:17:56,480 --> 00:18:01,000 Speaker 2: And yeah, running back sixth in the draft, just you know, 367 00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 2: offensive line, how about that? I mean, offensive line would 368 00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:06,800 Speaker 2: have looked a lot better. I like ashting genty, but 369 00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:10,119 Speaker 2: my gosh, they had such bigger needs than coming in 370 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:12,399 Speaker 2: with that, so I yeah, I don't mind that with that, 371 00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:14,560 Speaker 2: So you like the Vikings plus six, the Browns and 372 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:17,320 Speaker 2: the Raiders under thirty seven and a half, and the 373 00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:20,679 Speaker 2: Saints laying one against the Falcons. For my last one, 374 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 2: I'm taking the Bucks plus six and a half. I 375 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 2: think this Buccaneers team is gonna hang around. It's Baker 376 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:30,560 Speaker 2: as a dog, and I know that's why I asked 377 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,399 Speaker 2: at the top you know who is the number one team. 378 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 2: There's my Geno Smith. 379 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:36,399 Speaker 1: Interception prop cash that. 380 00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 2: By the way, Gino Smith, every game, bet it, just 381 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,000 Speaker 2: bet it, just bet it, just bet it, especially against 382 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 2: the Browns next week. 383 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:43,639 Speaker 1: Just bet it. 384 00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:46,280 Speaker 2: Keep on betting Gino Smith to throw a pick. It 385 00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 2: was minus one sixty tonight, pat That's how egregious this 386 00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:53,359 Speaker 2: is getting for an interception prop. Minus one sixty doesn't 387 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:57,040 Speaker 2: matter it prop. Every single game Gino Smith throws a pick. 388 00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:58,440 Speaker 2: It's just like clockwork. 389 00:18:58,800 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 1: More than one. 390 00:18:59,359 --> 00:19:02,920 Speaker 2: Most likely he throws one in home games. It's every game. 391 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:05,280 Speaker 2: So against the Browns he will be picked off. So 392 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 2: Gino Smith prop throw a pick. Yes, but I think 393 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,919 Speaker 2: when you look at Baker Mayfield, they gave up forty 394 00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 2: four points to the Bills and they gave up twenty 395 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 2: eight points to the Patriots. 396 00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:18,080 Speaker 1: I can't see Genos. 397 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:21,359 Speaker 2: I can't see Todd Bowles going into this game and 398 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,000 Speaker 2: saying we're gonna get beat again and get lit up 399 00:19:24,040 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 2: again by another good offense. I just feel like the 400 00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:30,359 Speaker 2: Rams will win this game, but the Bucks will keep 401 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:33,000 Speaker 2: it close. I want seven, Okay, it's six and a 402 00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:34,640 Speaker 2: half at the time of taping, So I'm gonna take 403 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:36,800 Speaker 2: the Bucks plus six and a half. I want seven, 404 00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:40,000 Speaker 2: But it's Baker as a dog in back to back weeks. Really, 405 00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:41,879 Speaker 2: it's almost three weeks in a row. Probably there was 406 00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:45,160 Speaker 2: a short line against the Patriots. This is a key 407 00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:47,600 Speaker 2: game for the Buccaneers. Things might get away from them 408 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:49,119 Speaker 2: if they're not careful pat. 409 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:50,360 Speaker 4: They could get away from them. 410 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,359 Speaker 3: And they've had a little bit of a slowdown with 411 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 3: the passing game with Baker Mayfield. That does make you 412 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 3: think that maybe he's true and this is a great on. 413 00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:03,760 Speaker 3: It's a classic Baker Mayfield spot going into the Rams, 414 00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:05,720 Speaker 3: and maybe this is a lotdown game for the Rams 415 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:07,200 Speaker 3: after their bake showdown. 416 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:07,880 Speaker 4: Against the Seahawks. 417 00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean, it's it's interesting the numbers right 418 00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:15,359 Speaker 3: where I think it should be. Okay, Like I'm not 419 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 3: I'm not feeling super compelled about on Baker Mayfield, but 420 00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 3: I don't think i'd want to take the Rams in 421 00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 3: this spot. If I bet this, I am going to 422 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:24,159 Speaker 3: take the Buccaneers. 423 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,480 Speaker 2: Got Today's show is being brought to you by hard 424 00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:28,160 Speaker 2: Rock Bet. Is that time of the year where there's 425 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,840 Speaker 2: something going on every single day, Pro football, college football, 426 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:33,359 Speaker 2: NBA hockey, and more. If you have not tried your 427 00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:35,880 Speaker 2: first bet on hard Rock Bet yet, there's still time 428 00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,479 Speaker 2: to do so. You guys can bet five dollars. If 429 00:20:38,520 --> 00:20:40,720 Speaker 2: it wins, you get your winnings plus one hundred and 430 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,520 Speaker 2: into the dollars in extra bonus bets. 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In Indiana, if you are something 448 00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:25,959 Speaker 5: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 449 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:28,399 Speaker 5: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 450 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:32,960 Speaker 5: one hundred gambler. In Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 451 00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:35,199 Speaker 2: We go to survivor contests and a little bit of 452 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:38,560 Speaker 2: a bravo clap of the hands for anybody still alive 453 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 2: in their survivor plays because in some rever pools, because 454 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:44,840 Speaker 2: you've made it to week twelve and last week was tricky, 455 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 2: hard week, This week equally tricky. 456 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:51,480 Speaker 1: What are the survivor plays you like? This week? You 457 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:52,959 Speaker 1: got to have the teams available. 458 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:55,240 Speaker 2: There are some obvious ones, Pat, but I'm sure people 459 00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:58,680 Speaker 2: have burned like the Ravens. Most people have burned Baltimore 460 00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:00,520 Speaker 2: by now you think so. 461 00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:04,720 Speaker 3: So yeah, here's my case on the Ravens, Matt, because 462 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:06,960 Speaker 3: there was a while where they were unplayable. If you 463 00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:08,920 Speaker 3: did not play them in the first couple of weeks 464 00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:12,159 Speaker 3: of the season, you probably tabled them for quite a 465 00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:15,200 Speaker 3: while because the Ravens were no sure things. So I'm 466 00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:18,760 Speaker 3: thinking that maybe maybe some people still have the Ravens 467 00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:21,920 Speaker 3: in their pockets, and boy, you got to like them 468 00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 3: as thirteen and a half point home favorites against the Jets, 469 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:29,680 Speaker 3: who have no offense to speak of. They're going to 470 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:32,760 Speaker 3: start Tyrod Taylor, but he is certainly no panacea for 471 00:22:32,800 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 3: this team, with Lamar Jackson coming off as raggedy as 472 00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:39,240 Speaker 3: start as you're ever going to see out of that guy. 473 00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:43,080 Speaker 3: Two interceptions in five sacks and granted, you know Miles 474 00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:46,919 Speaker 3: Garrett will do that to a quarterback, but this just 475 00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 3: seems like such a bounced back spot for the race. 476 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:52,240 Speaker 3: I would be pretty shocked if the Jets gave them 477 00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 3: a game. 478 00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:55,440 Speaker 2: So if you have the Ravens available, I'm with you. Obviously, 479 00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:59,199 Speaker 2: that's a big number. The Lions. If you've got the 480 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 2: Lions still available, that's a big number. And again, fading 481 00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:06,240 Speaker 2: the Giants has been my strategy with Survivor. It's fade 482 00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:08,560 Speaker 2: the Giants, fade the Titans, or the two teams I 483 00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:11,280 Speaker 2: think you can get away with. Seahawks are at the Titans, 484 00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:15,560 Speaker 2: Lions are against the Giants, and the Ravens are big 485 00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,879 Speaker 2: favorites going into this week thirteen a half point favorites 486 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:19,879 Speaker 2: for them against the Jets. 487 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 1: If you're gonna get risky? Can Can you bet the 488 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:27,359 Speaker 1: forty nine ers? Can you? If you haven't used San Francisco? 489 00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:29,200 Speaker 2: Is this the week to come in and take them 490 00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:32,840 Speaker 2: against a Panthers team that you would expect after winning 491 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 2: last week on the road and shocking everybody that they're 492 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:36,119 Speaker 2: not going to do it again. 493 00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:39,080 Speaker 3: I would be terrified to do that because right now 494 00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:42,000 Speaker 3: the forty nine Ers are dead last in sacks and 495 00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:44,800 Speaker 3: dead last and pressure rate, And that might be why 496 00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:48,400 Speaker 3: Jacobi Prissett just set an NFL record with forty seven 497 00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:53,080 Speaker 3: completions against them, And I know it was because largely because, yeah, 498 00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:56,200 Speaker 3: blowout and the Cardinals were in catchup mode. But that's 499 00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,480 Speaker 3: what happens when you can't get out after the Passerer, 500 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,240 Speaker 3: the other team can move the ball against you. And 501 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,159 Speaker 3: maybe Perryce Young is feeling a little frisky after his 502 00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:07,879 Speaker 3: four hundred some yard game. So I would be pretty 503 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:10,639 Speaker 3: terrified of taking the forty nine ers. But some people 504 00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:13,800 Speaker 3: might not have the luxury of taking the Ravens, Lions 505 00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:14,840 Speaker 3: or Seahawks. 506 00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:20,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, if you don't have the Ravens, Lions or Seahawks available, 507 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:23,520 Speaker 2: it's slim pickings. You're gonna have to probably get involved 508 00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:25,280 Speaker 2: with a team that you're not going to feel too 509 00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,800 Speaker 2: good about. You're gonna have to kind of close your 510 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:31,920 Speaker 2: eyes and hope that you're going to wind up being correct. Remember, 511 00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:33,439 Speaker 2: if you're in the Big One, if you're in the 512 00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:36,679 Speaker 2: Circus Survivor, you have to have a team available for 513 00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:40,360 Speaker 2: Thanksgiving and Black Friday. That is its own week. That's 514 00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:43,960 Speaker 2: why nobody has used Baltimore up to this point. And frankly, 515 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 2: if you are still alive in that contest for eighteen 516 00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 2: million dollars, I would not use the Ravens this week. 517 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:51,520 Speaker 2: You got to use it for Thanksgiving and then you 518 00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,119 Speaker 2: have the following Sunday where you get the full slate 519 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,960 Speaker 2: of games. But it is a two pick week next 520 00:24:57,000 --> 00:25:02,080 Speaker 2: week for Circus Survivor, and we are watching teams go 521 00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 2: down quick. The number is down from eighteen thousand, we're 522 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 2: down to about one thousand teams left in the Circus Survivor. 523 00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,119 Speaker 1: So that is a very This is. 524 00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:13,600 Speaker 2: Going to be a pressure packed week for anybody alive 525 00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:16,200 Speaker 2: because of what's going to happen the following week when 526 00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:17,840 Speaker 2: it's a two pick week and we could see the 527 00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:20,320 Speaker 2: end of the contest depending on what ends up happening. 528 00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 1: With the games on Thanksgiving and afterwards. 529 00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,440 Speaker 2: For that guys, track these bets and get line alert 530 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:27,760 Speaker 2: straight to your phone by downloading the Betting Pros app. 531 00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,800 Speaker 2: With SPORTSBOOKSNC, you can automatically track your bets across all 532 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:33,600 Speaker 2: major sportsbooks in one spot. You can monitor your bet 533 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,480 Speaker 2: performance by sport and bet type, including game picks, props, 534 00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:39,880 Speaker 2: and parlays. Custom betting systems can be created to find 535 00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:43,320 Speaker 2: winning trends and profitable opportunities. New users get six months 536 00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:46,560 Speaker 2: of Betting Pros Premium for free with your first deposit, 537 00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:50,280 Speaker 2: wager and wager at one of our partner sportsbooks. To 538 00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:55,399 Speaker 2: learn more about that, log onto Bettingpros dot com slash Premium. 539 00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:58,520 Speaker 1: All right, what bet do you want right now? What 540 00:25:58,560 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 1: do you lock it? 541 00:25:59,119 --> 00:25:59,280 Speaker 2: In? 542 00:25:59,320 --> 00:25:59,520 Speaker 5: Here? 543 00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:00,360 Speaker 1: On two day? 544 00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:04,760 Speaker 3: Chiefs minus three and I have already met this hard 545 00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:08,359 Speaker 3: rock bat gave it to me three points at minus 546 00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,560 Speaker 3: one fifteen and I definitely just wanted to grab it 547 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 3: at three. 548 00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:15,040 Speaker 2: I like it, I do. I think it's a good play. 549 00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,159 Speaker 2: I think it's one of my plays. I like it 550 00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:18,720 Speaker 2: at three and I don't want it higher. So I 551 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:21,440 Speaker 2: think you're right. Don't don't wait. If you can grab 552 00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:23,920 Speaker 2: it now, grab it before it moves. But yeah, I'm 553 00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:27,680 Speaker 2: laying the three for me as the time of taping. 554 00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:29,760 Speaker 2: We're tapping this on Monday night. I don't know what 555 00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:31,800 Speaker 2: the final score is going to be for the Cowboys 556 00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:36,000 Speaker 2: and the Raiders, but it's seventeen to six right now. Cowboys, 557 00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 2: they're driving with a minute to play in the first half. 558 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,600 Speaker 2: They're trying to go up twenty four to six at halftime. 559 00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:45,959 Speaker 2: And I talked about this all week long, said, if 560 00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:49,359 Speaker 2: the Cowboys don't kill the Raiders, I don't know what 561 00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:51,920 Speaker 2: I can do anymore for handicapping, because this fits every 562 00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:56,000 Speaker 2: single mode, every single model, every single trend. Like everything 563 00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,879 Speaker 2: pointed to a blowout. I laid the six points at 564 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,960 Speaker 2: plus one point fifty on the Cowboys. If they don't win, 565 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:04,800 Speaker 2: if they don't cover, I laid three. I laid the six. 566 00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:07,840 Speaker 2: So like everything's working out the way I thought at 567 00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:09,159 Speaker 2: the moment, we're going the way I thought it was 568 00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:11,240 Speaker 2: going to go. We hit on the Gino Smith interception 569 00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:13,360 Speaker 2: prop already, so we'll see how it all plays out. 570 00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:16,679 Speaker 2: But this number at three and a half for the 571 00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:19,920 Speaker 2: Browns at the Raiders is not going to exist for long. 572 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,320 Speaker 2: It may be gone by the time we tape because 573 00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:25,320 Speaker 2: of this game, right now, Okay, if this game turns 574 00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:27,960 Speaker 2: into like a forty five to you know, to ten 575 00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:31,919 Speaker 2: or forty five fourteen type final and the Cowboys just 576 00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:34,920 Speaker 2: hang a ridiculous number on this Raiders team, the three 577 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:36,720 Speaker 2: and a half is gone. It probably will be a 578 00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:39,080 Speaker 2: pick by the time the game kicks off. So I 579 00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 2: want Browns plus three and a half here, just looking 580 00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:45,000 Speaker 2: at this defense for the brown for the Raiders. I 581 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,679 Speaker 2: know the Browns offense stinks, but Gino Smith in this 582 00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:50,400 Speaker 2: offense is not going to do anything against the Browns. 583 00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:53,560 Speaker 2: I mean, team total Raiders under I like your bet 584 00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 2: under Like, I just don't think we're going to see 585 00:27:57,200 --> 00:27:58,800 Speaker 2: any offense at all for the Raiders. 586 00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:03,119 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm worried that a total well, with the Raiders 587 00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:05,280 Speaker 3: giving up all these pretty months, maybe the total won't 588 00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:06,080 Speaker 3: go down at all. 589 00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:08,920 Speaker 4: In fact, it might go up with this defensive. 590 00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:13,280 Speaker 2: Right, I mean pretty darn low. George Pickens is gonna 591 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:16,199 Speaker 2: take one to the Let's see to the house. What 592 00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:21,520 Speaker 2: a cut twenty four to six route is on? I mean, 593 00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:23,480 Speaker 2: I mean this was the to me. This is like 594 00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:25,520 Speaker 2: I told you before we came on this, This wasn't 595 00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,440 Speaker 2: a route. I was gonna hang up my betting shoes 596 00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:28,960 Speaker 2: and go you know what, I don't know what I'm 597 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,840 Speaker 2: talking about, Like if this game, this game had everything 598 00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:35,639 Speaker 2: lined up for an absolute butt kicking for the Cowboys 599 00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:38,960 Speaker 2: against a really bad Raiders team. Raiders are bad like 600 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:42,080 Speaker 2: they are. Oh, what's the flag for taunting? Well maybe 601 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:43,040 Speaker 2: maybe a taunting? 602 00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:46,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, ceedee. Lamb was waving to the Vegas crowd. He 603 00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:48,440 Speaker 1: was waving goodbye already. 604 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:50,680 Speaker 2: When it's twenty three to six at the end of 605 00:28:50,680 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 2: the first half, So I bet team total over twenty 606 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:55,840 Speaker 2: six and a half points for the Cowboys. They have 607 00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:58,960 Speaker 2: twenty seven here or twenty four rather at the end 608 00:28:59,000 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 2: of the first half. 609 00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:01,000 Speaker 4: Looking pretty good. 610 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:04,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, so we're going We're going in the right direction. 611 00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:05,960 Speaker 1: Coming up for that, guys. 612 00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:07,960 Speaker 2: One more reminder that you can score six months of 613 00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,520 Speaker 2: Betting pros Premium for free. Just make a deposit and 614 00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:12,720 Speaker 2: place your radio on a partner sports board. Premium gives 615 00:29:12,760 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 2: you access to the sharp ai Are betting systems, the 616 00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:18,200 Speaker 2: prop bet cheat cheet in the same game, parlay builder, 617 00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,239 Speaker 2: all the tools you need to bet smarter. Claim your 618 00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:25,600 Speaker 2: upgrade now by logging onto bettingpros dot Com slash Premium. 619 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:26,200 Speaker 1: On the way out. 620 00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:29,200 Speaker 2: Let me ask you about your Packers. I almost bet 621 00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:30,520 Speaker 2: the Packers to win the Super Bowl. 622 00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 1: How do you feel about the future This season for 623 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:34,760 Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers? 624 00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:36,280 Speaker 4: Not very good. 625 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,880 Speaker 3: I don't think they are going to win a championship 626 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:43,320 Speaker 3: and if they just don't have enough offense. Yeah, the offensive 627 00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:44,840 Speaker 3: line is not as good as I hoped it was 628 00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:46,880 Speaker 3: going to be. In the Tucker Craft injury was just 629 00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:47,400 Speaker 3: a keller. 630 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:48,280 Speaker 4: They needed him. 631 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:52,560 Speaker 3: He was such a unique advantage for them at tight 632 00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:56,560 Speaker 3: end and losing him was just tough. Still a really 633 00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:59,200 Speaker 3: good defense, not a team I don't want to play 634 00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:02,960 Speaker 3: in the playoffs in the early rounds, but I just 635 00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:06,520 Speaker 3: don't think they can make a multi game playoff run. 636 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:09,280 Speaker 2: We'll end it with this. Do you agree or disagree 637 00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:12,560 Speaker 2: that Matt Lafleur and Brian Gudenkust are on the hot 638 00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:16,400 Speaker 2: seat their contracts and next year they did not get 639 00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,240 Speaker 2: an extension this offseason, they would be lame duck GM 640 00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:21,720 Speaker 2: and coach going into the year next year. 641 00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:24,440 Speaker 4: And there's a new team president for the Packers. 642 00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:28,480 Speaker 3: So do I think they should be I don't think 643 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:31,520 Speaker 3: Guda Kunst is a good drafter, but you know sign 644 00:30:31,840 --> 00:30:34,480 Speaker 3: getting the Micah Parsons trade to happen with a feather 645 00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:37,920 Speaker 3: in his cap, I don't think Lafleur should go anywhere. 646 00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:39,440 Speaker 4: I'd like to see him extended. 647 00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:43,280 Speaker 2: Okay, it's twenty four to six Cowboys, nearing the first 648 00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:44,720 Speaker 2: half to be an end. We'll see what the final 649 00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:47,160 Speaker 2: score winds up being when you guys watch this on Tuesday. 650 00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:48,360 Speaker 1: Thank you for tuning in. 651 00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:51,719 Speaker 2: Batt n Ira back next week for another episode of 652 00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:55,120 Speaker 2: your early bets and survivor picks right here on the 653 00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 2: Betting Pros YouTube channel. 654 00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,480 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 655 00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:01,920 Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 656 00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 657 00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:08,240 Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 658 00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:12,000 Speaker 6: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 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