1
00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:02,760
Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game.

2
00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:12,000
Speaker 2: Juus prow read enough. They're running a game so smooth,

3
00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:13,880
Speaker 2: so sweet.

4
00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,400
Speaker 3: Twid sixteen, just glorious execution.

5
00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:21,120
Speaker 4: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four

6
00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:22,520
Speaker 4: thousand percent of the time.

7
00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:24,200
Speaker 3: How shot with that?

8
00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:27,720
Speaker 2: Shop with mind and buddy, and that's why you see.

9
00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:30,960
Speaker 3: Your beautiful tiers. Look at his movements, the.

10
00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:32,240
Speaker 4: Most dangerous a mount of the planet.

11
00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:38,400
Speaker 1: Nobody kicks them. Shut up, I'm trying.

12
00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:45,080
Speaker 3: The all is left to one of the wide eyed,

13
00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:49,760
Speaker 3: drilled bibused, how on earth did that happened?

14
00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:55,160
Speaker 5: Hello everyone, Welcome back to Wonder Goal, the soccer betting

15
00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:57,840
Speaker 5: podcast from the Action Network. My name is Michael Leeba.

16
00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:01,920
Speaker 5: Joining me for this episode basically every episode we've ever done,

17
00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:06,400
Speaker 5: will be Anthony Ta Bundo from Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and bj

18
00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:11,119
Speaker 5: Cunningham from Waterloo, Iowa, and together the three of us

19
00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:15,000
Speaker 5: will break down the upcoming ten game Premier League slate,

20
00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:18,720
Speaker 5: do a little Bundesliga Syria a La Liga League, give

21
00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:23,400
Speaker 5: out our three leg underdog parlay, our Premier League best bet,

22
00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:26,160
Speaker 5: chat with our friend Eric Guinalda, and then we will

23
00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:29,280
Speaker 5: get out of here and get ready for the National

24
00:01:29,280 --> 00:01:33,639
Speaker 5: Hockey League trade deadline that concludes on Friday. But before

25
00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,000
Speaker 5: we get into all of that, a reminder that Wonder

26
00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:38,480
Speaker 5: Goal is brought to you by Bet three six five,

27
00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,520
Speaker 5: the world's favorite sportsbook brand. Sign Up with promo code

28
00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:44,600
Speaker 5: Action to get Bet three six fives exclusive sign up

29
00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:48,280
Speaker 5: offer in New Jersey, Colorado, and Ohio. Bet one dollar

30
00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:52,720
Speaker 5: on any game and you get two hundred in your coffers.

31
00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:55,000
Speaker 5: All right, let's start. This is a pretty big weekend.

32
00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:56,480
Speaker 5: I feel like it's been a while since we've had

33
00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:58,960
Speaker 5: a weekend like this in the Premier League. City and

34
00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:01,760
Speaker 5: Newcastle's where we'll start at a Saturday at seven thirty am.

35
00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:04,960
Speaker 5: Cities minus two to twenty five, Newcastle six to one.

36
00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:08,920
Speaker 5: The draw is plus three fifty. Newcastle's one win in

37
00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:10,960
Speaker 5: their last seven matches in the Premier League. They've got

38
00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:14,760
Speaker 5: five draws, uh and they have one loss.

39
00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:16,280
Speaker 1: I want I'll look up.

40
00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:19,519
Speaker 5: For our next episode, our next Premier League episode, to

41
00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:21,840
Speaker 5: look up the most draws in a season. But Newcastle's

42
00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,440
Speaker 5: got to be creeping in on it, especially for a

43
00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:25,359
Speaker 5: team that finished in the.

44
00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:26,960
Speaker 1: Top where they are.

45
00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:30,480
Speaker 5: It's just it's it's such a strange way to get

46
00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:35,320
Speaker 5: to a top four spot, eleven draws, what are you

47
00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:35,680
Speaker 5: gonna do?

48
00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:38,000
Speaker 1: Only only two losses as well.

49
00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:40,639
Speaker 5: I like Newcastle though, I think six to one is

50
00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:42,400
Speaker 5: a good number when you're giving me a team that

51
00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:45,400
Speaker 5: is the fourth best team in the league. I know

52
00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:49,080
Speaker 5: they're going to City, but this is a team in City.

53
00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:52,120
Speaker 5: Every time it looks like they're they're riding the ship,

54
00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:54,680
Speaker 5: like they just have a wonky result. And I want

55
00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:57,200
Speaker 5: to call this one wonky, like this is a good

56
00:02:57,200 --> 00:03:01,480
Speaker 5: team playing against the best team. So I'll take this shot.

57
00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:05,040
Speaker 5: Newcastle six to one, Anthony, what about you?

58
00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:08,160
Speaker 4: I'm gonna be on the under three minus one twenty.

59
00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:11,919
Speaker 4: This is kind of a little high for me. We've

60
00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:14,080
Speaker 4: talked about this for like a month now with Newcastle

61
00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:16,959
Speaker 4: and the attack falling off, and it continued again, you

62
00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:19,800
Speaker 4: know in the Cup final against United. Down the entire

63
00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:23,720
Speaker 4: second half they weren't really able to get clear scoring chances.

64
00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:27,919
Speaker 4: Finished that game with zero point seven expected goals. They

65
00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,000
Speaker 4: will have Nick Pope back for this, which is an

66
00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:32,560
Speaker 4: upgrading goal over Carius, who I thought played fine in

67
00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:34,960
Speaker 4: the Cup final overall, Like I didn't really you know,

68
00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:38,600
Speaker 4: think he you know, was the reason they lost. But

69
00:03:38,680 --> 00:03:40,920
Speaker 4: I also just think that this attack is going to

70
00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:43,160
Speaker 4: continue to regress as the season goes and end up

71
00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:45,440
Speaker 4: you know, like seventh or eighth best in the league.

72
00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:47,400
Speaker 4: And they're sitting right around fifth or sixth right now

73
00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:50,920
Speaker 4: in x G per ninety, but they're still first in

74
00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:54,000
Speaker 4: inefficiency in box entries. And I think it's interesting when

75
00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:56,400
Speaker 4: we look at what happened in the first meeting they

76
00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:59,320
Speaker 4: went to Saint James's Park City, they went up early,

77
00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:01,440
Speaker 4: and they just got torched over and over and over

78
00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:04,480
Speaker 4: and over again in transition. I think that was like

79
00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,320
Speaker 4: Pep got surprised and didn't expect that. And I think

80
00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:11,240
Speaker 4: now it's a it's going to be like Pep is

81
00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,160
Speaker 4: going to adjust at home and say we are not

82
00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:16,839
Speaker 4: letting that happen again at all costs, even if it

83
00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:19,360
Speaker 4: means we lower our own chances of winning the match

84
00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:22,400
Speaker 4: because we don't attack with enough people like I think

85
00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:26,000
Speaker 4: that Pep will go into you know, defend mode and

86
00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,799
Speaker 4: and prevent any real, uh, you know, transition opportunities for Newcastle.

87
00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:32,159
Speaker 4: I still believe in this defense. I think the defensive

88
00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:34,560
Speaker 4: numbers are legitimate. I think, you know, you look at

89
00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:38,600
Speaker 4: their personnel, they are legitimately a top four defense. They

90
00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:40,640
Speaker 4: do a good job, you know, the things that I

91
00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:43,039
Speaker 4: look for. But again it's just this attack it's like

92
00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:45,440
Speaker 4: not that good. I mean it's you know, Callum Wilson

93
00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:49,720
Speaker 4: and Saint Maximin and Al Maroon who under no circumstance

94
00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:51,760
Speaker 4: should be a top five Premier League attack.

95
00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:52,960
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna keep just.

96
00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:55,279
Speaker 5: Signing that that fat new deal man with a big

97
00:04:55,320 --> 00:04:58,360
Speaker 5: smile on his face and he's playing Jack real Issuho said,

98
00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:00,240
Speaker 5: who made fun of him? And you know the that's

99
00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:02,120
Speaker 5: maybe an interesting angle for if you're looking for a

100
00:05:02,200 --> 00:05:06,080
Speaker 5: narrative player. Prop is an almeroone anytime goals scorer going

101
00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:08,479
Speaker 5: up against Jack Realish or what.

102
00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:08,800
Speaker 3: I think.

103
00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:11,080
Speaker 5: The defense is the point of this bet, right, Like

104
00:05:11,880 --> 00:05:16,320
Speaker 5: people have fifteen goals this season, they've allowed four I

105
00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:17,359
Speaker 5: think in their last seven.

106
00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:20,320
Speaker 1: Two of them came in the same game to Liverpool.

107
00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:24,000
Speaker 1: Just make it a rock fight when the coin flip.

108
00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:24,840
Speaker 1: That's my angle.

109
00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:28,120
Speaker 4: Yeah. The draws, I mean the draws are because their

110
00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:30,680
Speaker 4: attackers isn't good enough. They've had some games where they

111
00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:33,240
Speaker 4: put up gaudy numbers. They get ahead. We talked about this,

112
00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:36,200
Speaker 4: like they get ahead, you get out in transition, and

113
00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:37,400
Speaker 4: then you kind of just like get a bunch of

114
00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:40,120
Speaker 4: big chances that inflate your numbers late. But like they've

115
00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:42,240
Speaker 4: played in a lot of grinders, just like low scoring,

116
00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:44,480
Speaker 4: not a lot of chances at either end. I mean

117
00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:47,360
Speaker 4: we even you know, saw that, you know, games against

118
00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:51,760
Speaker 4: like Brighton and Palace. I don't think they'll have a

119
00:05:51,760 --> 00:05:54,159
Speaker 4: ton of possession here, so like they could they could

120
00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:55,760
Speaker 4: do the same thing and like create a bunch of transition,

121
00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:57,680
Speaker 4: but I don't think that's gonna let it happen.

122
00:05:57,760 --> 00:05:59,920
Speaker 1: So I like theander BJ What are you thinking?

123
00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:02,479
Speaker 2: Well, first off, Michael, I have your answer to the

124
00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:05,440
Speaker 2: most draws in a season since we switched to thirty

125
00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:08,239
Speaker 2: eight games. It's Newcastle two thousand and three, two thousand

126
00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:09,880
Speaker 2: and four, seventeen draws in a season.

127
00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:10,480
Speaker 3: Uh.

128
00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:14,760
Speaker 2: And here's another trivia question. Which club has the most

129
00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:18,719
Speaker 2: draws ever throughout the entirety of the English top flight history.

130
00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:22,080
Speaker 2: I'll give you a hint. It's one of our favorite teams,

131
00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:25,920
Speaker 2: Everton Everton, Yeah and twenty.

132
00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:27,880
Speaker 5: I think they are the only team to ever lose

133
00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:30,000
Speaker 5: one hundred times to the same team in the top

134
00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:31,320
Speaker 5: flight as well, gotcha?

135
00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:33,200
Speaker 1: Okay, the team as.

136
00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:37,320
Speaker 2: I believe this one of the only English Premier League

137
00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:41,840
Speaker 2: cubs never to be relegated as well, So I think

138
00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:45,520
Speaker 2: this is an incredibly tactical, metallical standpoint, incredibly interesting match.

139
00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,840
Speaker 2: So what Newcastle likes to do, like we've talked about

140
00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:51,480
Speaker 2: many times, is they're much better playing off the ball,

141
00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:55,200
Speaker 2: playing transitionally setting up their pressing traps, which is how

142
00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:57,640
Speaker 2: they were effective against City. Like you mentioned, Anthony, they

143
00:06:57,680 --> 00:06:59,760
Speaker 2: had a pass per defensive action of eleven point one

144
00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:02,279
Speaker 2: and they forced ten high turnovers against City where Pep

145
00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:04,600
Speaker 2: was just trying to play as normal, slow build up

146
00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:06,640
Speaker 2: style play, not really expecting them to do that, and

147
00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:09,440
Speaker 2: they hit them so many times. And we've seen from City,

148
00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:13,840
Speaker 2: especially against Arsenal in the second meeting, that Pep doesn't

149
00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:15,680
Speaker 2: have to be this just all right, we're playing out

150
00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:17,160
Speaker 2: of the back and that's all we're doing. Like he

151
00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:19,520
Speaker 2: showed against Arsenal, they can play the ball along and

152
00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:24,080
Speaker 2: they can essentially nullify a high press, and that's exactly

153
00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:27,280
Speaker 2: what Manchester United did against Newcastle in that Cup final.

154
00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:29,800
Speaker 2: David Dehea, who I mean traditionally is not a good

155
00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:32,920
Speaker 2: passer from the goal here position, but sixty percent of

156
00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:36,160
Speaker 2: his passes went into the Newcastle half of the pitch

157
00:07:36,280 --> 00:07:38,160
Speaker 2: just just goes to show you that. I was like,

158
00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:40,280
Speaker 2: all right, we're not even gonna let you guys set

159
00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:42,000
Speaker 2: up your high press. We're just gonna play it long

160
00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:44,320
Speaker 2: and we're gonna play fifty to fifty balls. And I

161
00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:47,880
Speaker 2: don't know what Pep's gonna do if if he does that,

162
00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:50,440
Speaker 2: like you obviously leave yourself open to not retaining too

163
00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:53,360
Speaker 2: much possession. Like the match against Arsenal, City only had

164
00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:56,400
Speaker 2: thirty seven percent possessions. So do they just give Newcastle

165
00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:57,920
Speaker 2: the ball and say, hey, no, you can try to

166
00:07:57,920 --> 00:07:59,360
Speaker 2: come break his town and we'll be the ones that

167
00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:01,680
Speaker 2: are playing in train position. Because City can be a

168
00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:03,680
Speaker 2: good transitional team. It's why they're you know, they're so

169
00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:06,160
Speaker 2: good beating Hypep is such a great manager is because

170
00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:07,960
Speaker 2: they can play so many different styles. They don't have

171
00:08:08,040 --> 00:08:10,880
Speaker 2: to be this just like pragmatic build up style play.

172
00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:13,240
Speaker 2: It's the conservative play and it's what has won them

173
00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:17,440
Speaker 2: Premier League titles. But in this specific matchup, I think

174
00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:19,960
Speaker 2: it would be better for them to start just playing

175
00:08:19,960 --> 00:08:24,960
Speaker 2: long balls. And I mean, listen, I do like Newcastle

176
00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:26,800
Speaker 2: in this matchup. I think it is a good byle opportunity,

177
00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:28,560
Speaker 2: but the price just isn't there for me right now.

178
00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:31,560
Speaker 2: I mean City only at minus two fifteen at home

179
00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:34,800
Speaker 2: is quite quite low given the prices we've seen at

180
00:08:34,800 --> 00:08:38,040
Speaker 2: City over the years. This is also going to be

181
00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:41,000
Speaker 2: their seventh match in less than twenty days. They didn't

182
00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:44,520
Speaker 2: fully rotate against Bristol City and the FA Cup on Tuesday,

183
00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:48,040
Speaker 2: so now we're looking at a situation where it's basically

184
00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:51,280
Speaker 2: been pretty close to the same starting eleven for about

185
00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:55,000
Speaker 2: three weeks now. So I'd love to get Newcastle plus

186
00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:56,600
Speaker 2: one and a half, I really would, but it's just

187
00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,160
Speaker 2: not there right now, so I have to pass. If

188
00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:01,120
Speaker 2: Newcastle plus one and a half gets down to minus

189
00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:04,880
Speaker 2: one twenty, I will play that. But outside of that,

190
00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:06,439
Speaker 2: I think this is a past. I think the price

191
00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:08,640
Speaker 2: on City is too well, which happened against Boorman too.

192
00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:10,560
Speaker 2: I mean City would they close at minus two twenty

193
00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:13,320
Speaker 2: minus two fifteen, like it was crazy how low they

194
00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:15,000
Speaker 2: went on the road against Burnmouth and I get it,

195
00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:17,080
Speaker 2: like there's a bunch of fixture pile up and Pep

196
00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:19,760
Speaker 2: did a very different lineup. But yeah, I think if

197
00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:23,080
Speaker 2: if City does their normal pragmatic style build up play

198
00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:24,920
Speaker 2: and Newcastle is able to set up their pressing traps.

199
00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:27,720
Speaker 2: Newcastle is very very live here. If City decides they're

200
00:09:27,760 --> 00:09:28,719
Speaker 2: not going to do that and they're not going to

201
00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:32,040
Speaker 2: let Newcastle do set up those traps, it's gonna be

202
00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:34,200
Speaker 2: It's gonna be just as tough, just like it was

203
00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:35,920
Speaker 2: in the Cup final for Newcastle.

204
00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:41,040
Speaker 5: That is the Saturday seven thirty am kickoff. Let's switch

205
00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:44,680
Speaker 5: to Sunday real quick to talk about the other headliner,

206
00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:48,280
Speaker 5: the Reds and the Red Devils. Liverpool is plus one

207
00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:52,040
Speaker 5: forty hosting Man United plus one eighty the draws plus

208
00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:56,839
Speaker 5: two sixty, one of the great rivalries in sport. One

209
00:09:56,880 --> 00:10:00,000
Speaker 5: thing I want to point out here is that Liverpoo

210
00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:05,800
Speaker 5: pools results against I guess you I don't I don't

211
00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:07,719
Speaker 5: want to call like a Big six anymore because I'm

212
00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:11,240
Speaker 5: gonna kind of jump around Europe and and include some

213
00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:13,840
Speaker 5: other solid teams, some teams we know are good.

214
00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:14,600
Speaker 3: Uh.

215
00:10:15,160 --> 00:10:17,480
Speaker 5: This season, they're all over the place. Like they lost

216
00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:20,760
Speaker 5: to United, they got thrashed the first time they played Napoli,

217
00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:24,480
Speaker 5: draw with Brighton, lost to Arsenal. You know, they've got

218
00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:26,880
Speaker 5: the one one nil win against City, a two nil

219
00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:30,680
Speaker 5: win against Napoli. Whether you want to look into that

220
00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:33,640
Speaker 5: win or not go right ahead because of the circumstances.

221
00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:39,320
Speaker 5: They beat City, Uh, they beat Tottenham, lost to Brentford,

222
00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:45,000
Speaker 5: like lost to Brighton and got trounced by Madrid. But

223
00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:48,720
Speaker 5: they beat United, so like Newcastle United. So when they

224
00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:53,040
Speaker 5: play these good teams like you just don't it's anybody's guests.

225
00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:57,280
Speaker 5: And United has been so good and they've been flying

226
00:10:57,320 --> 00:11:02,080
Speaker 5: offensively that I think this Liverpool defense is probably gonna

227
00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:03,800
Speaker 5: get picked a part here and this could be another

228
00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:05,880
Speaker 5: back and forth. I think it could play out similar

229
00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:07,880
Speaker 5: to the real Madrid match, honestly, Like I want to

230
00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:13,120
Speaker 5: be shocked if Liverpool comes out crowds behind him and

231
00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:15,960
Speaker 5: they get out to an early leader, then United comes back.

232
00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:18,680
Speaker 5: But I like the price on United. Liverpool's plus one

233
00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:21,720
Speaker 5: forty at home United one to eighty. It's pretty close

234
00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:23,319
Speaker 5: to a pick them like when you look at it,

235
00:11:23,320 --> 00:11:25,400
Speaker 5: and I think that's relatively fair. But I'll still take

236
00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:30,319
Speaker 5: the price here on the Red Devils who they're rolling.

237
00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:35,439
Speaker 5: Still congrats on the League League Cup title. Newcastle's trophy

238
00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:40,040
Speaker 5: drought extends for another season. It looks like, Anthony, what

239
00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:41,640
Speaker 5: do you think I mean?

240
00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:43,640
Speaker 4: It feels like the squares play in the world about

241
00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:45,800
Speaker 4: the over right, like it's too easy. Liverpool's defense socks.

242
00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:48,760
Speaker 4: Their attack is still really good. It sets up really

243
00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:50,000
Speaker 4: well for the United defense.

244
00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:52,280
Speaker 1: It's a headliner game, like, yeah, this is to let.

245
00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:54,320
Speaker 4: Them have the ball and then just destroy them in transition,

246
00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:57,400
Speaker 4: like we just saw Real Madrid. Do you know Liverpool

247
00:11:57,400 --> 00:11:59,439
Speaker 4: with a solid two no win today against Wolves, but

248
00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:01,880
Speaker 4: they gave up over one expected goal. Wolves had multiple

249
00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:05,240
Speaker 4: big chances to score in that match, and you know,

250
00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:07,440
Speaker 4: final score is a little flattering to the Reds in general,

251
00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:11,080
Speaker 4: but still created over two and a half XG. Like

252
00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:14,120
Speaker 4: Liverpool's attack is still very, very good. And you know

253
00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:17,160
Speaker 4: Darwin's been you know, betting in nicely and finally you know,

254
00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:20,120
Speaker 4: finishing some chances, although he had the goal ruled off

255
00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:24,440
Speaker 4: today for some some bs. You know, Liverpool at home

256
00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:27,240
Speaker 4: against Everton put up over to expected goals. They went

257
00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:29,280
Speaker 4: to Newcastle put up over two XG. I know there

258
00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:31,480
Speaker 4: was a red card, but most of their chances came

259
00:12:31,520 --> 00:12:37,560
Speaker 4: before too. So like this attack is good enough to

260
00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:39,840
Speaker 4: try to outscore United and I think that's the best

261
00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:43,040
Speaker 4: way to go at this. Like I think this United

262
00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:46,880
Speaker 4: attack is still running so good with their finishing, but

263
00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:50,360
Speaker 4: it just in this matchup. I can't bet against United

264
00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,520
Speaker 4: here with a pick them like you know. Two weeks ago,

265
00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:56,280
Speaker 4: I bet Liverpool at home against Real Madrid in the

266
00:12:56,360 --> 00:13:01,000
Speaker 4: Champions League get a very similar number. Didn't go well.

267
00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:03,960
Speaker 4: But I think United's better than Real Madrid right now,

268
00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:07,000
Speaker 4: I'll say that. And and given that, like, I can't

269
00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:08,880
Speaker 4: really bet Liverpool with this number. So if it got

270
00:13:08,880 --> 00:13:11,559
Speaker 4: to like a if Liverpool became an underdog, which is

271
00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:14,520
Speaker 4: actually trending toward United maybe being a favorite at anfield,

272
00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:17,760
Speaker 4: in which case I would get involved on the reds.

273
00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:19,320
Speaker 4: This is going to be a stay away from me

274
00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:24,679
Speaker 4: and BJ You lost again fading United, Yeah, okay, you

275
00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:26,760
Speaker 4: just join me on the under It was really sweat free.

276
00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:29,200
Speaker 4: You just had to survive like three one on ones

277
00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:30,440
Speaker 4: in the final five minutes.

278
00:13:32,160 --> 00:13:35,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, it was. It was very interesting, you know

279
00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:39,520
Speaker 2: in that match. I mean United basically set up the blueprint,

280
00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:42,600
Speaker 2: like you said, Michael, to just sit back and counter

281
00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:46,839
Speaker 2: Liverpool and cause a lot of problems because Newcastle, who

282
00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:48,560
Speaker 2: you know, like I mentioned previously, one of the best

283
00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:50,960
Speaker 2: pressing teams in the Premier League. They allowed a field

284
00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:54,120
Speaker 2: tilt of sixty five percent. Newcastle controlled sixty one percent possession,

285
00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:56,560
Speaker 2: but unit it only had a sixty five percent build

286
00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:58,880
Speaker 2: up completion percentage. And like I already mentioned, they just

287
00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,560
Speaker 2: played the ball along and they played right through Newcastle

288
00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:03,720
Speaker 2: and created a couple of chances. Now we're in a

289
00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:07,280
Speaker 2: very similar situation where Real Madrid did the exact same thing.

290
00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:09,120
Speaker 2: Like Real Madrid sat back in a four to four

291
00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:11,839
Speaker 2: to two, they were very compact. Obviously Liverpool created a

292
00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:14,640
Speaker 2: couple of chances, but then they just had unbelievable guys

293
00:14:14,679 --> 00:14:17,559
Speaker 2: going forward and countering and finishing at ridiculous rates. And

294
00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:20,680
Speaker 2: I mean, the United offense it's good. I mean, what

295
00:14:20,680 --> 00:14:22,400
Speaker 2: do you all want to say? Yeah, it's good. Like

296
00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:25,920
Speaker 2: they the last ten matches they have created twenty point

297
00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:28,560
Speaker 2: one expected goals and fourteen big scoring chances out of

298
00:14:28,560 --> 00:14:30,880
Speaker 2: the World Cup break Like this is just a flat

299
00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:32,480
Speaker 2: out one of the one of the hottest offenses in

300
00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:34,880
Speaker 2: the Premier League right now. And it's also a good

301
00:14:34,960 --> 00:14:39,240
Speaker 2: lesson of like not overreacting to Liverpool's defense being good

302
00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,600
Speaker 2: against both Crystal Palace and Wolves, who are two of

303
00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:45,040
Speaker 2: the worst offenses in the Premier League. And you know,

304
00:14:45,040 --> 00:14:47,920
Speaker 2: I keep saying it every week, But you know, for Liverpool,

305
00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:51,840
Speaker 2: I mean, if Barcelona's counterpress couldn't stop Manchester United and

306
00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:54,520
Speaker 2: they played right through them, what makes you think Liverpool's

307
00:14:54,560 --> 00:14:56,400
Speaker 2: four to three three is going to be able to

308
00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,720
Speaker 2: do that? I mean, they just don't have the guys

309
00:14:58,760 --> 00:14:59,880
Speaker 2: who are gonna be able to counterpress you.

310
00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:00,400
Speaker 1: I did.

311
00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:04,640
Speaker 2: So this is also funny because this is the repeat

312
00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:08,240
Speaker 2: of It's very funny how you know obviously in this

313
00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:12,040
Speaker 2: in this sport, like media narratives changed so quickly. Remember

314
00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:14,720
Speaker 2: where we were last time these two teams faced off. Yeah,

315
00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:17,720
Speaker 2: Liverpool was minus one fifty on the road at Old Trafford.

316
00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:19,880
Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure we did Twitter spaces before the match

317
00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:22,160
Speaker 2: and I was saying, how, oh my gosh, Like, how

318
00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:24,280
Speaker 2: could Liverpool only be minus one fifty on the road

319
00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:26,160
Speaker 2: at United? And now we're talking about United being almost

320
00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:29,560
Speaker 2: a favorite at anfield like it's insane. So I'm playing

321
00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:31,560
Speaker 2: over three goals at plus one ten. I do project

322
00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:35,360
Speaker 2: three point seven goals. I really, Unless Liverpool is gonna

323
00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:39,480
Speaker 2: not press, which I highly doubt they're gonna do, not

324
00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:42,320
Speaker 2: do that, this United's gonna be able to just counter

325
00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:44,360
Speaker 2: them to death. And like you mentioned. I mean, Liverpool

326
00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:46,600
Speaker 2: offense is still really, really, really good. They created close

327
00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:50,440
Speaker 2: to three expected goals against Wolves today, so yeah, I'm

328
00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:52,160
Speaker 2: on over three goals at plus one ten. Yeah, this

329
00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:54,160
Speaker 2: is probably the squarest play on the board. But you

330
00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:56,280
Speaker 2: know what, I don't have a problem being a square.

331
00:15:57,000 --> 00:16:00,840
Speaker 4: That lost to Liverpool or that Liverpool lost in man

332
00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:03,640
Speaker 4: United was the end of the fading United era because

333
00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:08,280
Speaker 4: I'm from like March until August. BJ faded them every

334
00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:10,320
Speaker 4: single match and I think he hit like eighty percent.

335
00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:13,040
Speaker 4: All good things come to an end.

336
00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:15,120
Speaker 2: It would be more if Fernaldo wasn't finishing at it,

337
00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:16,400
Speaker 2: just ungodly raid too.

338
00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:20,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, and now they've did Naldo, They've gotten.

339
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:24,680
Speaker 1: Miss and I don't know, I feel he's It's too

340
00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:28,120
Speaker 1: bad he's not still around for this crazy run that was.

341
00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:30,360
Speaker 5: Look, that's an NFL Cup trophy and the trophy case

342
00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,920
Speaker 5: for another trophy with the man yep uh yeah that

343
00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:37,760
Speaker 5: was the first three matches. We hit the money line

344
00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:40,240
Speaker 5: underdog with Brighton Brentford and then we hit the money

345
00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:42,120
Speaker 5: line underdog with Manchester United.

346
00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:43,280
Speaker 4: I think you were the only one that had the

347
00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:43,800
Speaker 4: last one.

348
00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:46,280
Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, well you guys, are you guys are losers

349
00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:50,600
Speaker 5: all right? Speaking of losers, Arsenal minus five hundred. They're

350
00:16:51,160 --> 00:16:54,320
Speaker 5: playing Born Myth, they're hosting bourn Myth. They're twelve to one.

351
00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:56,520
Speaker 5: The draw is six to one.

352
00:16:57,840 --> 00:16:59,720
Speaker 1: BJ. We're not even going to discuss this one.

353
00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:03,320
Speaker 5: We know because we just know how it's going to go,

354
00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:06,680
Speaker 5: and we know how it went today with Everton and Arsenal.

355
00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:12,359
Speaker 5: Really unlucky three nil last for Everton. You're you're the

356
00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:14,800
Speaker 5: only one with the play here, so floor's yours.

357
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:16,560
Speaker 4: Look, every once in a while we get to these

358
00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:18,680
Speaker 4: like doldrum spots in the middle of the Premier League season.

359
00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:21,040
Speaker 4: I remember I did it a lot last year because

360
00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:23,359
Speaker 4: there was a lot of overvalued defenses in this league.

361
00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:25,359
Speaker 4: Liverpool was one of them for a while, and I

362
00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:28,320
Speaker 4: remember like betting like Norwich team total over and then

363
00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:30,520
Speaker 4: uh we like we were like one. And it was

364
00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:33,119
Speaker 4: just the greatest feeling on earth because you're you're sitting

365
00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:35,400
Speaker 4: there for the whole match waiting for Norwich to even

366
00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:36,080
Speaker 4: get like a sniff.

367
00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:38,359
Speaker 2: I did it. I did it last week with with

368
00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:39,440
Speaker 2: Bournemouth against City.

369
00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:41,600
Speaker 4: I text and you cashed, yeah, And I didn't take

370
00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:43,280
Speaker 4: it because I'm a coward. Well, this week, I'm there,

371
00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:47,119
Speaker 4: uh plus money on the road at Arsenal to score.

372
00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:51,520
Speaker 4: Give me the cherries. This line is inflated, the spread

373
00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:53,240
Speaker 4: is a little bit too high as well. If it

374
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,920
Speaker 4: gets to a flat two, I'm gonna be on Bournemouth

375
00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:59,760
Speaker 4: plus two as well. But really this is about Arsenal's defense,

376
00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:04,560
Speaker 4: which Wi has. You know, people have found cracks and

377
00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:07,480
Speaker 4: started to look to expose it, and I think you're

378
00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:11,520
Speaker 4: seeing some regression from this group which was dominant. I mean,

379
00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:14,480
Speaker 4: Saliba and Gabrielle were awesome in the first half of

380
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:19,280
Speaker 4: the season. There, you know, ground dual win percentages were

381
00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:20,159
Speaker 4: off the charts.

382
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:20,400
Speaker 3: Good.

383
00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:24,080
Speaker 4: They're winning every fifty to fifty, stopping every transition in

384
00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:27,000
Speaker 4: its tracks. But teams starting to play a little differently.

385
00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:29,480
Speaker 4: They're starting to go over the top of where Zinchenko

386
00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:32,600
Speaker 4: likes to be, you know, he tucks in finding space

387
00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:35,360
Speaker 4: and those channels out wide. You saw Everton today, even

388
00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:37,280
Speaker 4: though they didn't score, they did have a lot of

389
00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:40,240
Speaker 4: dangerous counter attacks that kind of just fizzled out or

390
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:42,960
Speaker 4: ultimately led to you know, neo mall pay shots which

391
00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:46,920
Speaker 4: never go in. So even with that though, they did

392
00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:51,240
Speaker 4: get over unexpected goal which I thought was notable because

393
00:18:51,280 --> 00:18:55,480
Speaker 4: that means, you know, Arsenal have kind of really struggled

394
00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:59,280
Speaker 4: to stop chances in the last we'll say month roughly.

395
00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:02,040
Speaker 4: They had a good game against United, Okay, they concede twice,

396
00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:05,760
Speaker 4: you know, even leading against Spurs over one and a

397
00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:09,040
Speaker 4: half expected against Everton one and a half, Brentford to

398
00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:12,200
Speaker 4: City one point seven. They had the great showing against Villa,

399
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:15,879
Speaker 4: but again they could concede twice in that match. You know,

400
00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:21,119
Speaker 4: they dominate Lester Okay, Lesser took one shot. But I

401
00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:24,600
Speaker 4: think in this spot, I'm going to pack the cherries

402
00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:26,359
Speaker 4: to get on the board at plus money. It's a

403
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,520
Speaker 4: classic worst team in the league against the best table

404
00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:32,679
Speaker 4: team in the league. Give me the underdog to score.

405
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:35,200
Speaker 2: Well, the worst team in the league is sitting in

406
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,680
Speaker 2: sixth place, Anthony.

407
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:39,320
Speaker 4: Is in fourth.

408
00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,840
Speaker 1: It was a convincing argument. Maybe maybe I'll go join

409
00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:45,400
Speaker 1: you on that one.

410
00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:49,640
Speaker 5: Villa Palace now Villas plus one oh five at home

411
00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:51,440
Speaker 5: hosting Palace plus two eighty.

412
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:53,320
Speaker 1: The jaw is plus two thirty.

413
00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:58,560
Speaker 5: Very little interest here for me, very little interest from

414
00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:01,800
Speaker 5: all of us, but bj quick thirty seconds on this one.

415
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:04,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, if you can find if you can find it,

416
00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:04,760
Speaker 1: in yourself.

417
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:06,960
Speaker 2: No, yeah, no, this is the easiest pass on the

418
00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:10,480
Speaker 2: board here, I mean I make Villa plus one oh six.

419
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,320
Speaker 2: I mean in Palace, I mean, once again a very

420
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:17,960
Speaker 2: lackluster showing offensively against Liverpool. You know it, it's it's

421
00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:20,159
Speaker 2: a problem. You know, Za will be back for christ Palace,

422
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,680
Speaker 2: so that helps them a little bit. I mean he's

423
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:28,520
Speaker 2: still obviously their most productive attacker right now. But I mean, yeah,

424
00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:31,360
Speaker 2: I literally have nothing on this match that I projected

425
00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:34,760
Speaker 2: right on what it's gonna be. I can't figure out

426
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:37,400
Speaker 2: Chris Palace at this point, man, Like they're just they're

427
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:39,439
Speaker 2: just bad, Like there's really no other Like they're like

428
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:42,280
Speaker 2: the Chris Palace before Patrick Vieira. Maybe not the biggest

429
00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 2: like over performers in the league, but just like the

430
00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:46,399
Speaker 2: very like boring like, yeah, they're just they're not that

431
00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:50,640
Speaker 2: good offensively, they're average defensively now and it's just yeah,

432
00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,439
Speaker 2: they've just turned into what Chris Palace has been for

433
00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:56,040
Speaker 2: a really long time in the Premier League. So yeah,

434
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:57,359
Speaker 2: easiest pass on the board for me.

435
00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:59,200
Speaker 4: So that's up well for an under, but two and

436
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:00,800
Speaker 4: a half is like minus one fifty.

437
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:03,920
Speaker 1: Yeah exactly, No, thank you and like and Villa.

438
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:07,200
Speaker 2: It's funny because when the game becomes transitional, Villa is

439
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 2: actually like really struggling because I don't I don't really

440
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:10,600
Speaker 2: know why.

441
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, it's the easiest passing the board, all right.

442
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 5: Then we move on to brighton their odds on at

443
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,440
Speaker 5: home minus one twenty five hosting west Ham plus three

444
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:21,520
Speaker 5: fifty the draws plus two sixty. I know you guys

445
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,080
Speaker 5: don't have much here. I actually don't mind it bet

446
00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:24,320
Speaker 5: on west Ham at these numbers.

447
00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,200
Speaker 2: It's it's a sin on this podcast.

448
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:29,480
Speaker 5: I know it's just but look, maybe maybe it was

449
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:34,080
Speaker 5: a blip, but that four nil win over Forrest was comprehensive.

450
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:37,080
Speaker 1: They held them to under half an expected goal.

451
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:41,359
Speaker 5: It's been just a great defensive stretch from this team,

452
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:47,119
Speaker 5: especially especially since like the middle of I guess November

453
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,639
Speaker 5: or so for for west Ham. I still trust the

454
00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:52,879
Speaker 5: defense to do it's part to keep teams kind of

455
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,840
Speaker 5: in check. Not the most excited I am to bet

456
00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 5: a game, so we'll see if I get there. Uh, Anthony,

457
00:21:59,880 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 5: I know you don't have anything from a betting standpoint,

458
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,760
Speaker 5: but anything here on Seagulls and Hammers.

459
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:07,639
Speaker 4: Yeah, nothing for me. I'll just complain you know I

460
00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:09,840
Speaker 4: had uh, I had west Ham plus one in the

461
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 4: FA Cup. Me too also had leads plus a half

462
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:15,439
Speaker 4: in the FA ended up splitting the slate. But uh

463
00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 4: those two man west Ham up one nil, you know, manu,

464
00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 4: it gets the equalized. So they scored the ninetieth and

465
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 4: the ninety fifth to burn the plus one after United

466
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:28,480
Speaker 4: rotated half their team out. You know, still found a

467
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:33,000
Speaker 4: way to screw me. But uh yeah, west Ham. They

468
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:35,080
Speaker 4: do have a weird spot here. They have the Conference

469
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:38,560
Speaker 4: League coming up Thursday. I mean, like at this point

470
00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 4: it is interesting because they could win the conference. If

471
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:43,280
Speaker 4: you look at how bad.

472
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:45,280
Speaker 2: The competition, European competition.

473
00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:47,399
Speaker 4: They are. They not the favorite. I know, they were

474
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:48,679
Speaker 4: one of the favorites when I looked.

475
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:50,639
Speaker 2: No, it's got to be Lotsio, man, come.

476
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 4: On, no, Latzio is in the Europa League.

477
00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:54,439
Speaker 2: No, they're in the They're.

478
00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:55,880
Speaker 4: In the conference You're right, okay, yeah, yeah.

479
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:57,679
Speaker 2: No, it's got to be Lotsio. Man, come on, you

480
00:22:57,720 --> 00:22:58,639
Speaker 2: know that team.

481
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:05,160
Speaker 4: Let's see you get a conference league. Oh yeah, great podcasting.

482
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:07,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, great podcasting. Give me two seconds, I'll have it

483
00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:07,520
Speaker 2: pulled up.

484
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,679
Speaker 4: They are the second favorite, ahead of Lotso it's veryal.

485
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,800
Speaker 4: That's how could we forget you were in Tina plus

486
00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:16,600
Speaker 4: six to fifty. May need to have some dollars on

487
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:19,920
Speaker 4: that anyway. My point is this is a weird spot

488
00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,800
Speaker 4: for them because like you can't you can't rotate, you

489
00:23:22,840 --> 00:23:25,719
Speaker 4: have you're in the relegation battle here sort of uh,

490
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,920
Speaker 4: and you're at Brighton. West Ham's attack has been so

491
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:33,119
Speaker 4: so so bad when they played these better teams, like

492
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:35,280
Speaker 4: the one good team in the league where you can

493
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:37,800
Speaker 4: except for Liverpool that you can really just like kind

494
00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:41,640
Speaker 4: of expose defensively though is Brighton? So you know, if

495
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:43,639
Speaker 4: I had any Stones, i'd bet the over here, but

496
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:44,639
Speaker 4: I don't, so I'll be.

497
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:47,640
Speaker 5: Passing Chelsea and Leeds now I just will go right

498
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:51,639
Speaker 5: back to you, Anthony. Chelsea's minus one sixty three, Leeds

499
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:55,960
Speaker 5: United the Peacocks plus four to fifty on the road

500
00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 5: and the draws three to one. Grand Potter might be

501
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:00,880
Speaker 5: coach for his job here.

502
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:04,920
Speaker 1: No, no, he's saying, report says, I know, but.

503
00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 4: What would they get by sacking him?

504
00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 3: Though?

505
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:07,879
Speaker 1: What what do they?

506
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:08,240
Speaker 2: I mean?

507
00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:09,159
Speaker 4: Seasons?

508
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 2: You know's just there's all these poach Tino rumors out

509
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 2: there right now.

510
00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:15,119
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's uh and we Also, it's like it's the

511
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 5: theory of the irrational actor, right, Like these people aren't

512
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 5: rational making these decisions.

513
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,480
Speaker 4: So I don't know about that though, because Bullie Bowley

514
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:25,800
Speaker 4: is not an idiot. Okay, maybe his plan, his plan

515
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:27,919
Speaker 4: may be flawed, but he has a plan. Like his

516
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,360
Speaker 4: plan is like yeah, I mean, my guy he never

517
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:32,280
Speaker 4: liked Tuckle, so he went out of his way to

518
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:35,840
Speaker 4: get Potter fired Toucle uh brought him in and gave

519
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:38,080
Speaker 4: him a ship ton of players to work with and

520
00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:40,640
Speaker 4: it has not worked. But like, I don't think he's

521
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 4: just going to abandon the whole plan immediately.

522
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:45,399
Speaker 5: Maybe not, but he might abandoned his manager. I mean,

523
00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 5: I know you're new to this. This is league and

524
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:50,440
Speaker 5: sport only a couple of years in. But these things

525
00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 5: happened in the Premier League, Antony anywhere.

526
00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 1: Anyways.

527
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 2: He's just the least patient league in the world.

528
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 4: It just happened. I mean, they let Jesse marsh hire

529
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:02,040
Speaker 4: an assistant and then fired him before the visa even

530
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:05,360
Speaker 4: went through for the guy, so uh yeah, I mean, look,

531
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:07,240
Speaker 4: I like both teams to score. Both of these attacks

532
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:10,119
Speaker 4: just kill me. They never one one can't create anything

533
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:12,480
Speaker 4: anymore or finish it, and one is creating a ton

534
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 4: of chances and can't finish anything. This number is so

535
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:18,600
Speaker 4: low for me. Chelsea are doing a ton of defensive possession,

536
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:22,240
Speaker 4: like that's their thing. Keep the ball, do nothing, do

537
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:25,600
Speaker 4: nothing more, do nothing, create two big chances, miss them,

538
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,439
Speaker 4: both lose one nil. You know, But leads are good

539
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:29,879
Speaker 4: at disrupting that. I mean, they're not going to make

540
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:31,439
Speaker 4: it easy for Chelsea to just kind of pass the

541
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:33,359
Speaker 4: ball around and have their fun. So I think leads

542
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 4: will will be disruptive. But if there's ever a get

543
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 4: right spot for this Chelsea attack, I said it last

544
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:41,199
Speaker 4: week against Tottenham and then Tottenham actually like did a

545
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:44,320
Speaker 4: good job contesting the midfield and kept Chelsea from getting

546
00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:47,399
Speaker 4: into the penalty area. The game was pretty dead lost.

547
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 4: You know whatever, Oliver Skip hitting bangers against me, Like

548
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,840
Speaker 4: what a world we live in? But uh yeah, up

549
00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:58,400
Speaker 4: the Whites, Up the Lily Whites. But yeah, I think

550
00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 4: this total this both teams is number is just too low.

551
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:02,479
Speaker 4: It should be CoA shit to minus one forty one

552
00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:05,600
Speaker 4: thirty five. I again, like, I think this is a

553
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 4: good spot for leads to disrupt Chelsea. Chelsea to finally

554
00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:10,840
Speaker 4: get a couple big scoring chances against the Leeds defense

555
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:13,160
Speaker 4: that we know loves to concede them off of individual airs.

556
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:15,800
Speaker 4: Chelsea will do a good amount of pressing, so you

557
00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:19,000
Speaker 4: can expect, you know, a frenetic pace here too, and

558
00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 4: so inevitably Leeds will concede. And I do think they

559
00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:24,600
Speaker 4: can disrupt enough to get it on the board. So

560
00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:27,160
Speaker 4: both teams to score.

561
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 5: Yes for me, maybe this is the Chelsea team total

562
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:32,639
Speaker 5: over four and a half spot.

563
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:35,200
Speaker 2: It's wait for the Champions League.

564
00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:38,040
Speaker 1: They might win the champion and get relegated. Win the

565
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:38,760
Speaker 1: Champions League.

566
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 5: Wolverhampton plus two thirty against Anthony Spurs Oliver Skip plus

567
00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:50,800
Speaker 5: one twenty Tottenham is the draw is plus to forty.

568
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:54,160
Speaker 1: I I I think this.

569
00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 5: Is a this is a game. I'm gonna betting the draw.

570
00:26:56,640 --> 00:27:02,639
Speaker 5: It just it Everything points to an absolute snoozer. Uh

571
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:04,680
Speaker 5: here and you guys are kind of in the same

572
00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:07,119
Speaker 5: spot as me. BJ will go with you first.

573
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:12,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, queue up a seven goal thriller. Maybe it's a fourth, Like,

574
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,159
Speaker 2: I'm dead serious, How on earth is Wolves going to

575
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:16,600
Speaker 2: create one expected goal in this match?

576
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:16,760
Speaker 4: Like?

577
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:18,560
Speaker 2: How are they going to do it? We just saw

578
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:20,639
Speaker 2: Chelsea go up against Totam. Like Anthony mentioned, it was

579
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:23,639
Speaker 2: completely dead game. They were completely ineffective at breaking down

580
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:26,160
Speaker 2: Tottenham's low block. They only created half an expected goal.

581
00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:29,480
Speaker 2: Wolves for the season, counting their match against Liverpool today,

582
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 2: has only created over one expected goal eight times. Eight times.

583
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 2: In those eight times, it came twice against Bournemouth, Leeds, Liverpool,

584
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,439
Speaker 2: Chelsea not en forced. There was penalty in there. Lester

585
00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 2: and Brighton there was also a penalty in there. The

586
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:47,640
Speaker 2: common theme with a lot with when they're playing common

587
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 2: the Wolves, quite frankly, is that when they're playing teams

588
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:52,800
Speaker 2: in the bottom half of the Premier League, they can

589
00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:55,480
Speaker 2: create stuff from open play like they're pretty decent, but

590
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 2: as soon as they have to play a top half defense,

591
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:02,640
Speaker 2: they completely fall apart, fall apart. And if you remove

592
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 2: the Liverpool match since the World Cup break, that's the

593
00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:08,800
Speaker 2: first Liverpool match. Excuse me when they created two expectacles.

594
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:11,400
Speaker 2: If you removed that match, they have created two big

595
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:14,000
Speaker 2: scoring chances since we got back from the World Cup break.

596
00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:16,879
Speaker 2: And it's just the same story over and over and

597
00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:19,840
Speaker 2: over again. It doesn't matter who the manager is, it's

598
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 2: just a Wolves team that cannot get the ball inside

599
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,920
Speaker 2: the box. And it just takes so many shots from outside

600
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:27,120
Speaker 2: the box, and it was very prevalent the last time

601
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 2: these two teams faced off. I don't care that Bruno

602
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 2: Lodge was the manager then. Wolves in that match outshot

603
00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 2: Tottenham twenty to eleven. Twelve of those shots came from

604
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:37,720
Speaker 2: outside the box and only one of their twenty shots

605
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 2: had next year eting over point one. Wolves defensively, though,

606
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:44,720
Speaker 2: I would consider them a fairly average defense. Like their

607
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:47,960
Speaker 2: eleventh and non penalty expectacles allowed, ninth and big scoring

608
00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:51,680
Speaker 2: chances allowed. They defend both crosses and set pieces pretty well.

609
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:55,120
Speaker 2: So it should, you know, be a decent matchup against

610
00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:57,920
Speaker 2: Tottenham who are in a lookhead spot with a very

611
00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 2: very important match Cain Saycey Milan on Wednesday in the

612
00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 2: Champions League. So I like both teams score now at

613
00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 2: plus one to five, I projected a minus one fifteen.

614
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 2: I do not understand how Wolves is going to score

615
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 2: in this match unless it's a banging from outside the

616
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 2: box that Fraser Foster makes an air on.

617
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 1: Anthony, you're kind of going in a similar way here.

618
00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:18,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I feel like this happens once a week. You know,

619
00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:21,000
Speaker 4: BJ goes first, he makes a convincing case for BTTs.

620
00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 1: No.

621
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:23,640
Speaker 4: I bet under two and a half the game ends

622
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 4: three no, so I.

623
00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:28,120
Speaker 2: Like the ben defensive both teams score no anything.

624
00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:31,000
Speaker 4: Well, it could end one one too, I like, and

625
00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:33,479
Speaker 4: I think the decent chance this does. But I like

626
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:36,360
Speaker 4: under two and a half. You mentioned it with the

627
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:38,480
Speaker 4: crosses and the set pieces, Like Wolves are good set

628
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 4: piece defense. They're good crossing defense. That's important against Tottenham.

629
00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:43,239
Speaker 4: But the other end of the pitch, like if you're

630
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:45,360
Speaker 4: playing against Spurs is to just get the ball out

631
00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:47,560
Speaker 4: wide and cross it in over and over and over

632
00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 4: again good luck. I mean, they're just very good defense

633
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 4: at doing that. And they have been a little different

634
00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 4: just Tillini with Conte, you know, recovering not on the

635
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:58,680
Speaker 4: on the touch line. They've been more aggressive. They've been

636
00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:02,320
Speaker 4: contesting midfield. I was actually impressed with the defensive performance

637
00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:04,920
Speaker 4: against Chelsea, not just because they defended the penalty area well,

638
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,920
Speaker 4: but because they prevented Chelsea from getting walking into the

639
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:10,160
Speaker 4: penalty area. I mean, going back to the two cold Days,

640
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 4: it was striking how different that kind of game was,

641
00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:16,000
Speaker 4: where Spurs were couldn't get out, you know, defending for

642
00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:18,360
Speaker 4: their lives in the box. Versus this game where you know,

643
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,560
Speaker 4: a lot of the Chelsea disruptions came in the midfield

644
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:23,520
Speaker 4: by Tottenham's midfield, So I don't know if it's a

645
00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:25,520
Speaker 4: tagical thing or if they decided they're going to give

646
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:27,720
Speaker 4: it a go, but they're going to be on the

647
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 4: ball more in this match though. That is a little

648
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 4: scary because Wolves could could have some transitions. Like you

649
00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 4: remember though that first match, it was Tottenham possession, Tottenham

650
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:39,960
Speaker 4: loses the ball, Wolves get a three on two, Wolves

651
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:42,240
Speaker 4: screw it up. They end up settling for a horrendous

652
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 4: shot and they just kept doing that over and over again.

653
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:45,960
Speaker 4: So the shots at one point was like eight to

654
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 4: zero for Wolves, and I was like, geez, Tottenham were

655
00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 4: getting like you know, cooked here, But none of those

656
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 4: chances had any actual chance of going in. So uh, yeah,

657
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,360
Speaker 4: I agree. I like the under You know, Tottham gave

658
00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 4: Kane arrest today, created less than one expected goal against

659
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:03,000
Speaker 4: Field in the FA cupre.

660
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:02,640
Speaker 2: Shouldn't have been there.

661
00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:04,840
Speaker 4: Wrexham should have been there, Chef, it should have been Wrexham.

662
00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 4: I would have loved to have bet Wrexham. I was

663
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:10,720
Speaker 4: happy about Sheffield instead easy spot, But yeah, I like

664
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:12,800
Speaker 4: the under here and Spurs.

665
00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 1: Unders Spurs Unders Saints Southampton plus one seventy five hosting

666
00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:22,320
Speaker 1: Leicester City plus one sixty in the draw is plus

667
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 1: two thirty. There's a couple candidates. This slave's just really

668
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 1: top heavy. I would say there's some some absolute nails games,

669
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:35,560
Speaker 1: and then there's some other ones that we'll probably forget

670
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 1: ever happened, and in the case of the next one,

671
00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 1: we'll talk about, well, wish we forget ever happened. But

672
00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:44,440
Speaker 1: bj you're the only one with anything actionable here, Saints

673
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:45,200
Speaker 1: and Foxes.

674
00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, the premierly took a look at this. Slayton said, yes,

675
00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 2: this is going to be the twelve thirty match that

676
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:52,960
Speaker 2: we need for everybody to see. The Islanders.

677
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 5: The New York Islanders play at twelve thirty and then

678
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 5: big play they play the Detroit Red Wings.

679
00:31:57,120 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 1: That's want you don't want to go up against that

680
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 1: Raidings Bonancha.

681
00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:01,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know it's there's a bunch of conference tournaments

682
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 2: going on in college basketball, you know. Just but we

683
00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 2: got to have Southampton in Leicester because we got a

684
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 2: cater to our American audience at twelve thirty. I think

685
00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 2: it's a good BILO spot for Southampton here, like Ruben

686
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,040
Speaker 2: Salas is going to be the manager for the rest

687
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:18,360
Speaker 2: of the season. It's survival or nothing. They're obviously still

688
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:21,080
Speaker 2: at the bottom half of the table. But I think

689
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 2: it's actually a benefit holding on to Sallas because he

690
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:26,720
Speaker 2: was an assistant for a long time Underhasson Hoodle. So

691
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 2: essentially what Southampton is doing is they're going back to

692
00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:33,000
Speaker 2: the style of play they played under Hassen Hoodle, which

693
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:36,160
Speaker 2: to varying degrees, was successful and not successful in the

694
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 2: Premier League. But it's at least some familiarity with with

695
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:43,640
Speaker 2: this group and you know, especially embedding. You know, what

696
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 2: we want is obviously a by you know, teams that

697
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,400
Speaker 2: are running horribly defensively who are facing a team that's

698
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:51,120
Speaker 2: been running really hot offensively, and that's what we have

699
00:32:51,200 --> 00:32:54,560
Speaker 2: in this scenario. You know, Benu Zoo is still in

700
00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 2: that he's a minus ten point four post shot actually

701
00:32:56,760 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 2: plus minus. He has to regress or else he's the

702
00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 2: goalkeeper in Premier League history, which I don't believe he is.

703
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:10,160
Speaker 2: And for Lester, it's very funny. They go to Old

704
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:13,320
Speaker 2: Trafford and they literally put in the worst defensive performance

705
00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:16,000
Speaker 2: by expected goals in the Premier League this season, and

706
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:19,320
Speaker 2: then they go host Arsenal and put in the worst

707
00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 2: offensive performance of anybody in the Premier League this season.

708
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 2: So I mean, listen, Lester's very comfortably in the middle

709
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:30,760
Speaker 2: of the table. They're somewhat threatening on relegation, but you

710
00:33:30,760 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 2: can just see it like they really don't care. And

711
00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 2: even more than that, Michael, they just lost a home

712
00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 2: to Blackburn in the FA Cup. If you know anything

713
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:39,400
Speaker 2: about what's going on in the Championship right now, you'll see,

714
00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:41,320
Speaker 2: oh my gosh, Blackburn's in fourth place, like they could

715
00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:42,920
Speaker 2: be coming to the Premier League soon. They have the

716
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:45,360
Speaker 2: fourth worst expected goals ritual in the Championship. They're one

717
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:49,360
Speaker 2: of the biggest overperformers in the second Division. So I

718
00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:52,560
Speaker 2: actually make Southampton a plus one twenty seven favorite here

719
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 2: at home. I'm kind of shocked to see Lester as

720
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 2: a slight road favorite at the Saint Mary Stadiums. And again,

721
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:02,160
Speaker 2: I mean, let Southampton hasn't been affect like from an

722
00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 2: expected goal standpoint. They haven't been effective off set pieces,

723
00:34:04,560 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 2: but they obviously have one of the best set piece

724
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:08,279
Speaker 2: takers in the Premier League and Lester's one of the

725
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:10,840
Speaker 2: worst set piece defenses in the Premier League. So I

726
00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:12,560
Speaker 2: think this is a good bye low spot for Southampton.

727
00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:14,160
Speaker 2: So I like them, John o bettam just one of five.

728
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:16,640
Speaker 5: We got a lot of more out of that match

729
00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:18,400
Speaker 5: than I thought we would when I saw it first.

730
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:22,640
Speaker 5: So pretty pretty good. You have their pacha. But here's

731
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 5: the real headliner. Nodding a forest hosting Everton City Ground.

732
00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:29,839
Speaker 4: The easiest pass on the board, tricky tree, no no,

733
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:30,280
Speaker 4: no, no no.

734
00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:33,440
Speaker 1: Everdence plus one eighty seven.

735
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:36,319
Speaker 4: The draw Austin Pickford two to one.

736
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:38,360
Speaker 1: What do you have, bach? I don't you want to?

737
00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:40,640
Speaker 2: I have a trivia question. I did. I did it

738
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,920
Speaker 2: last week. I asked how many goals nod even forced

739
00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:44,919
Speaker 2: scored away from home? How many goals have Everton scored

740
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:46,440
Speaker 2: away from home in the Premier League this season?

741
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:47,080
Speaker 5: Oh?

742
00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 1: Boy, I remember they scored against Man City.

743
00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:50,359
Speaker 2: That's true, they did.

744
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:52,400
Speaker 4: Michael, I'm gonna go with five.

745
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:55,560
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, as I say four, I'm trying to count

746
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:55,960
Speaker 1: him in.

747
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,880
Speaker 2: My head here away it's less than five six six

748
00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 2: six for Everton. But like the over two goals, I'm

749
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:08,400
Speaker 2: I'm once again gonna try to hit one of these

750
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 2: Everton overs. It happened to day against Arsenal. But I mean, listen,

751
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:15,960
Speaker 2: Sean Ditsch has turned Everton into somewhat of an offensive

752
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:19,720
Speaker 2: force here. I mean they created one point four against Leeds,

753
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:22,560
Speaker 2: one point six against aston Villa, one point seven against

754
00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:24,879
Speaker 2: Arsenal in the first meeting, and then again one point

755
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,240
Speaker 2: four to day against Arsenal. Like It's it's not bad

756
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:30,920
Speaker 2: offensive outpit from Everton, and this is the type of

757
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:33,440
Speaker 2: match for both teams. It's it's kind of a blessing

758
00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:36,040
Speaker 2: and a curse for both Nottingham Forced and Everton, where

759
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:38,600
Speaker 2: both of them, you know, if Everton one of their

760
00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:42,040
Speaker 2: biggest problems is they were horribly horrible in transition defense

761
00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 2: under Frank Lampard, and obviously Ditsch has made that a

762
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 2: little bit better, but it's still the same group of players,

763
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:49,799
Speaker 2: and both these offenses are much better when the game

764
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:52,160
Speaker 2: is transitional, which you have two little blocks who don't

765
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 2: like to get a lot of possessions. So my guess

766
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:57,839
Speaker 2: is this game is going to be very transitional, kind

767
00:35:57,840 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 2: of end to end type stuff, which I think is

768
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 2: actually gonna lead to kind of a more exciting match

769
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 2: I think most people would expect. And the Forest offense

770
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:08,080
Speaker 2: has been much better home. I mean it has to

771
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 2: be other than you know, from scoring three goals away

772
00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:12,319
Speaker 2: from home, there are averaging one point three expected goals

773
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:13,960
Speaker 2: at home. They have created five point two in the

774
00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:15,920
Speaker 2: last four matches at home, and the last time these

775
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:18,319
Speaker 2: two teams faced off it was a one to one drop.

776
00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:20,920
Speaker 2: There were two point five expect goals created and there

777
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:24,719
Speaker 2: were total thirty three shots. So I project right on

778
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:27,920
Speaker 2: two point five goals. Over two goals at minus one twenty,

779
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:31,240
Speaker 2: I think is a decent price because you know, Everton

780
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:33,439
Speaker 2: can't just sit back and play for a point. They're

781
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:35,240
Speaker 2: in the relegation zone. They got to play more aggressive,

782
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 2: so I think it's going to turn a little more transitional,

783
00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:40,480
Speaker 2: which both teams thrive them. So over two goals at minus.

784
00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 4: One twenty, for me, I didn't realize it was two.

785
00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:45,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, I come on, Anthony, come on.

786
00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:47,480
Speaker 4: I'm at like two point twenty five. Though I'm not

787
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:51,040
Speaker 4: quite there, M like I am.

788
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:52,840
Speaker 2: But yeah, minus one twenty is the cutof like I

789
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:56,120
Speaker 2: can't play anything higher the last one. Yeah, but still,

790
00:36:56,480 --> 00:37:00,400
Speaker 2: come on. I I wish Tay what was back, but

791
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:03,319
Speaker 2: he's not. That would help, you know, who else would help?

792
00:37:03,640 --> 00:37:04,239
Speaker 1: Dominic couvit.

793
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:06,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, it would be helpful. He was back too.

794
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:09,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, Neil mopie is is just I mean, as advertised.

795
00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:11,919
Speaker 2: Well, here's the problem. Here's the problem, Michael.

796
00:37:12,160 --> 00:37:13,240
Speaker 4: He might be a bad finisher.

797
00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:15,560
Speaker 2: Yeah no, no, it's not just that. It's just like if

798
00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:17,960
Speaker 2: Everton's just continually going to play a bunch of long balls,

799
00:37:18,120 --> 00:37:22,000
Speaker 2: you know from from the goal kick. I mean I

800
00:37:22,000 --> 00:37:24,560
Speaker 2: saw Pickford attempted their most passes of anybody on the

801
00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:29,880
Speaker 2: pitch today, thirty passes. That's true, said, yeah, that's that

802
00:37:29,960 --> 00:37:34,480
Speaker 2: seems troublesome, uh for your goalkeeper, you know, uh, attempting

803
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:36,839
Speaker 2: your most passes. But yeah, no, it's like when they

804
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:39,040
Speaker 2: try to play those long balls. Dominice Calvert loan Is

805
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:42,280
Speaker 2: is such an aerial threat that Neil Motpie just isn't.

806
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:44,920
Speaker 2: So Everton can't win those and and get the ball

807
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 2: moving forward. So they really need Dominic calvertleon back.

808
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:50,399
Speaker 4: Are these defense is really good enough for it too,

809
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 4: That's the thing. I just the goalies have been so

810
00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 4: good that I think that's deflate in his total.

811
00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:59,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, although Pickford wasn't very good today.

812
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:01,600
Speaker 1: Let's wrap up the Premier League.

813
00:38:01,960 --> 00:38:04,239
Speaker 4: Oh boy, bees.

814
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:08,000
Speaker 5: Cottagers, we had a nice conversation with Eric Wanalanda later

815
00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:09,719
Speaker 5: and and and it kind of just evolved into a

816
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:13,400
Speaker 5: LoveFest for Tim Ream, who was just immense against Leeds

817
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:14,000
Speaker 5: in the midweek.

818
00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:15,400
Speaker 1: What a story.

819
00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 5: Brentford's minus one of six at home Fulham two seventy

820
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:20,880
Speaker 5: five plus two seventy five at battery sixty.

821
00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:23,560
Speaker 1: Five the draw plus two sixty.

822
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:30,040
Speaker 5: I think Brentford's fine here. I think that this someone's

823
00:38:30,080 --> 00:38:31,760
Speaker 5: got Someone's gonna get Fullham.

824
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:32,879
Speaker 1: Someone's gonna get him.

825
00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:36,160
Speaker 2: This and the best, the beast of the team. We

826
00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 2: just know it's gonna come. Gotta kill him.

827
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:39,400
Speaker 1: Go on, bj we.

828
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:41,640
Speaker 2: Gotta kill off Fulham. This is so dumb what they

829
00:38:41,680 --> 00:38:43,480
Speaker 2: were doing right now. We're out of the World Cup break.

830
00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:49,240
Speaker 2: They have conceded four goals off of fourteen point two expected.

831
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:53,160
Speaker 2: It has to stop at some point. Even in against

832
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,080
Speaker 2: Leeds in the f Bay Cup. Anthy already mentioned it,

833
00:38:56,400 --> 00:38:59,800
Speaker 2: Fulham's defense conceded one point five to three expected goals.

834
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:02,080
Speaker 2: Leads couldn't find the back of then. And the flip

835
00:39:02,120 --> 00:39:04,680
Speaker 2: side of that is they scored two bangers from outside

836
00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:07,200
Speaker 2: the box and created just a round point two expected goals.

837
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:10,799
Speaker 2: I mean, this is the same Fulham defense. We say

838
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 2: it over and over and over again, dead last a

839
00:39:12,600 --> 00:39:15,800
Speaker 2: big scoring chance. Not good against Brentford, very bad against

840
00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:19,239
Speaker 2: set pieces again, horrible against a team like Brentford. And

841
00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:20,680
Speaker 2: the flip side of it is not only has their

842
00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:23,400
Speaker 2: defense been running crazy hot, but another offense is running

843
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:26,040
Speaker 2: crazy hot too. The last four matches, if you include

844
00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:28,359
Speaker 2: the FA Cup match against Leads, they've scored six goals

845
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:30,280
Speaker 2: off a two point five expected. They just keep scoring

846
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,759
Speaker 2: bangers from outside the box. It's so dumb. I can't

847
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:37,040
Speaker 2: keep watching this thing happen. But the biggest thing here

848
00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:39,359
Speaker 2: for Fulham is they're gonna be without Paulinya, which is

849
00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:43,080
Speaker 2: absolutely massive for them. He suspended. He has one hundred

850
00:39:43,120 --> 00:39:47,040
Speaker 2: and thirty four tackles plus interceptions. That is twenty more

851
00:39:47,080 --> 00:39:49,640
Speaker 2: than anybody else in the Premier League. That's how important

852
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:52,160
Speaker 2: he is, especially in defending transition, which this game is,

853
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:55,480
Speaker 2: without a doubt, probably gonna become transitional unless Fulham really

854
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 2: really sits deep, which I don't see them doing. Listen,

855
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:00,440
Speaker 2: I don't know what I have been Tony status is.

856
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:03,440
Speaker 2: I'm tired of trying to predict it. He's pleaded guilty

857
00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:05,759
Speaker 2: to seven thousand counts of betting, So it's probably gonna be,

858
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:08,200
Speaker 2: you know, a two or three match ban for him

859
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:08,759
Speaker 2: either way.

860
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 4: Is this a fantastic bet the over on two and

861
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:11,880
Speaker 4: a half matches?

862
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:14,080
Speaker 3: Either way?

863
00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:17,320
Speaker 2: This is a fantastic matchup for Brentford given their ability

864
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:20,840
Speaker 2: to create big scoring chances how efficiently off a set pieces.

865
00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:23,880
Speaker 2: You know, if you remove even Tony, they still have

866
00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:25,960
Speaker 2: good attackers. Like, it's not just Tony or nothing like

867
00:40:26,040 --> 00:40:29,319
Speaker 2: Mbuemo Wesa and Keemus Potter. Although it is a small

868
00:40:29,320 --> 00:40:32,200
Speaker 2: sample size, are all zero point four actually plus expected

869
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:33,640
Speaker 2: this per ninety minutes. So it's not like I don't

870
00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:35,880
Speaker 2: think this offense it's gonna take a hit obviously, but

871
00:40:35,920 --> 00:40:37,880
Speaker 2: they're not just going to completely fall off a cliff.

872
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:41,160
Speaker 2: And finally, Brentford's just really good at the Bredford Community Stadium.

873
00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:43,280
Speaker 2: It's a carryover from last year. They are a plus

874
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 2: four point seven expected gold differential. Bulham is minus eight

875
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:50,520
Speaker 2: expected gold differential away from Craven Cottage. I project Brentford

876
00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 2: at minus one seventy one minus one seventy one and

877
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:55,560
Speaker 2: they're sitting at plus one oh five. I might be

878
00:40:55,600 --> 00:40:58,200
Speaker 2: a little bit high, but I really don't think I am.

879
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:00,799
Speaker 2: I love the bes. This is finally the kill shot

880
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:02,919
Speaker 2: right here. We're gonna take Fullham out and it's gonna

881
00:41:02,920 --> 00:41:03,600
Speaker 2: be with Brentford.

882
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:06,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll make it two for two. I mean, Pauline

883
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:10,560
Speaker 4: is a big loss. He has masked this defense and

884
00:41:10,600 --> 00:41:14,400
Speaker 4: helped this defense. They don't concede a ton of penalty

885
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:17,640
Speaker 4: box entries given their numbers. This is something we've gone

886
00:41:17,680 --> 00:41:20,560
Speaker 4: back and forth on the previous episodes about, like, Okay,

887
00:41:20,560 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 4: they're conceding a lot of expected goals. They're running really good,

888
00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:26,040
Speaker 4: but they're also like pretty good at keeping opponents out

889
00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:28,920
Speaker 4: of their penaltyer at the same time. And that's Paulinia.

890
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:31,600
Speaker 4: I mean, he's the best ball winner in the prem

891
00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:34,360
Speaker 4: this year and he will not be there. And I

892
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:37,160
Speaker 4: think that takes away from where I could see this

893
00:41:37,200 --> 00:41:40,200
Speaker 4: match devolving into, which is Fulham's gonna defend a little

894
00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:42,399
Speaker 4: bit deeper. They're gonna let Brentford have the ball at home,

895
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:44,799
Speaker 4: try to break them down. Brentford will struggle to get

896
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:46,200
Speaker 4: the ball in the penalty area and you're gonna get

897
00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:48,320
Speaker 4: a bit of a stalemate that plays out. But I agree,

898
00:41:48,440 --> 00:41:51,719
Speaker 4: but no, Paulina, I think this does become much more

899
00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:53,880
Speaker 4: open and back and forth, and I think Fulham will

900
00:41:53,880 --> 00:41:57,520
Speaker 4: struggle to stop Brentford here. Brentford does all the things

901
00:41:57,520 --> 00:42:00,120
Speaker 4: that I think Fulham has problems with. Set pieces are

902
00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:02,960
Speaker 4: an advantage, of course, but there's going to get two

903
00:42:03,040 --> 00:42:06,160
Speaker 4: or three big chances and the odds are they will

904
00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:08,880
Speaker 4: score them. Nobody's done it against Fulham all year. But

905
00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:10,719
Speaker 4: that doesn't matter anymore. We're talking about what we think

906
00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:13,320
Speaker 4: will happen now, and I like Bees at home.

907
00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:14,080
Speaker 3: Uh.

908
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:17,040
Speaker 4: This is my third Fulham fade since the World Cup.

909
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:22,600
Speaker 4: Fourth one in one in two, so uh, let's make

910
00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:25,240
Speaker 4: it two and two and get the get the revenge

911
00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:29,000
Speaker 4: on Brentford and get some Bees to Sting. I'm Tony's

912
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,399
Speaker 4: in until he's out. Until they say I haven't Tony

913
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 4: is suspended. No, I'm assuming he's playing.

914
00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:35,719
Speaker 2: That's it. I mean, if he's out, he's out.

915
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:39,240
Speaker 1: Go Bees onto the Bundesliga. Uh.

916
00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:43,760
Speaker 5: I'm gonna sit out this week because Byron Munich somehow

917
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:45,680
Speaker 5: beat Britain last week.

918
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:47,160
Speaker 2: Had him right? What they want?

919
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:47,720
Speaker 3: Yeah?

920
00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:49,759
Speaker 2: Like that was that co match could have gone either way?

921
00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:52,839
Speaker 1: Michael, I know what do you? What's your favorite bet

922
00:42:52,920 --> 00:42:54,600
Speaker 1: in Germany? B J.

923
00:42:55,200 --> 00:42:57,200
Speaker 2: Let's go back to Nan Berlin one of my favorite

924
00:42:57,239 --> 00:43:01,760
Speaker 2: bets with them, Well, teams to score no. They're playing Cologne,

925
00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:03,960
Speaker 2: and honestly, I think there's three different ways you can

926
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:06,160
Speaker 2: actually bet this match, and I just want with the

927
00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:07,920
Speaker 2: safest option of both teams score no. But I am

928
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:11,240
Speaker 2: showing value on colone plus a half and draw actually

929
00:43:11,280 --> 00:43:14,000
Speaker 2: at plus two to twenty five. So anyhow you want

930
00:43:14,040 --> 00:43:16,160
Speaker 2: to play it, I think any three of those have

931
00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:18,320
Speaker 2: some value. I mean, coloone is a very underrated defense.

932
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:20,200
Speaker 2: They've been running pretty cold as of late. I mean

933
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:22,400
Speaker 2: overall for the season thirty six goals up of twenty

934
00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:25,959
Speaker 2: seven point three expected. Last two matches, they've conceded five

935
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:29,000
Speaker 2: goals off of two point seven expected. This is also

936
00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:31,920
Speaker 2: a team that sets up a pretty bad matchup for

937
00:43:31,960 --> 00:43:34,880
Speaker 2: Union bl I mean Unyan wants to concede possession. They

938
00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 2: want to play in transition, they want to beat you

939
00:43:36,600 --> 00:43:40,040
Speaker 2: with crosses. Colone doesn't allow Olympic scoring chances like they're

940
00:43:40,080 --> 00:43:43,400
Speaker 2: in their fifth and top five and final third entries allowed.

941
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:46,239
Speaker 2: They have a tremendous defensive midfielder and Alias Shikiri who

942
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:48,360
Speaker 2: played for Tannisha in the World Cup. He's second in

943
00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:51,440
Speaker 2: the Bundesliga and tackles plus interceptions. He'll be very good

944
00:43:51,600 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 2: at He's very very good at stopping people in transition.

945
00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:57,360
Speaker 2: In the last time these two teams faced off, Union,

946
00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:00,319
Speaker 2: Berlin got an own goal in the third minute, they

947
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:02,680
Speaker 2: missed a penalty seven minutes later, and they ended up

948
00:44:02,680 --> 00:44:05,040
Speaker 2: winning the match one nothing, And if you remove that penalty,

949
00:44:05,640 --> 00:44:10,000
Speaker 2: expected goals was Cologne point six to unon Bilin point eight. Also,

950
00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:14,000
Speaker 2: Unyon Billin has a massive Europa League match on Thursday,

951
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:16,440
Speaker 2: so they aren't a look at spots. So I have

952
00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:19,360
Speaker 2: both teams of scorenell projected at minus two eleven, So

953
00:44:19,360 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 2: I like the value at minus one thirty.

954
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:22,760
Speaker 1: Anthony, what do you got?

955
00:44:23,320 --> 00:44:23,480
Speaker 2: Yeah?

956
00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:25,880
Speaker 4: I like Wolfsburg at home. I'm gonna talk about that

957
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:27,719
Speaker 4: in a second. Let's start with Stutgart plus one and

958
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:31,560
Speaker 4: a half at home against Bayern. I know that given

959
00:44:31,600 --> 00:44:33,880
Speaker 4: the positions on the table, you would expect this number

960
00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:36,960
Speaker 4: to be bigger, but it is down to plus one

961
00:44:36,960 --> 00:44:39,400
Speaker 4: and a half because Stutgart has some real market respect

962
00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:41,440
Speaker 4: here and I think it's maranted. When you look at

963
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:43,880
Speaker 4: the Stutgart numbers, they don't just profile as like an

964
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:45,840
Speaker 4: average but in Siga team, but they actually profile is

965
00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:47,399
Speaker 4: an above average one. When you look at their box

966
00:44:47,520 --> 00:44:50,160
Speaker 4: entries allowed and against, and you look at some of

967
00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:53,200
Speaker 4: their results, like there's some weird noise in there. They've

968
00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:54,879
Speaker 4: had some bad red card luck, they've had some bad

969
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:57,040
Speaker 4: penalty luck. You could say it's a luck or not.

970
00:44:57,160 --> 00:44:59,000
Speaker 4: I mean, they do make some dumb decisions in the

971
00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:01,759
Speaker 4: penalty area. But this is a team that has run

972
00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:03,719
Speaker 4: cold for the better part of a full year. Now

973
00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:06,640
Speaker 4: the market has liked them. They're sitting in fifteenth place

974
00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:09,239
Speaker 4: despite having a positive extra difference, and I just don't

975
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:13,400
Speaker 4: think Bayern, with the huge win last week and with

976
00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:16,840
Speaker 4: PSG looming, is not gonna get caught, you know, in

977
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:19,319
Speaker 4: a weird look ahead here where yes, they can roll

978
00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:22,960
Speaker 4: Stuttgart and win this match, but there's a chance they

979
00:45:22,960 --> 00:45:25,440
Speaker 4: come out flat. So I'm gonna take Stutgart plus one

980
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:28,080
Speaker 4: and a half, hold my nose and bank on that.

981
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:33,280
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna take them. And then Wolfsburg is hosting Frankfurt.

982
00:45:33,840 --> 00:45:37,239
Speaker 4: Frankfurt's like still the most overrated team in Germany for me.

983
00:45:37,960 --> 00:45:40,520
Speaker 4: They're in this glob of teams between like six and

984
00:45:40,560 --> 00:45:43,279
Speaker 4: eleven where I feel like for the last month all

985
00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:45,319
Speaker 4: I've been doing is betting the home team draw no

986
00:45:45,400 --> 00:45:47,800
Speaker 4: bet at like minus one ten, because I'm like, I

987
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:49,640
Speaker 4: really don't think there's a big difference between some of

988
00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:51,799
Speaker 4: these teams. I think they're all kind of similar. And

989
00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:53,560
Speaker 4: so if you're gonna give me the home team at

990
00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:55,080
Speaker 4: a pick them, I'm gonna take them. And so this

991
00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:59,720
Speaker 4: is kind of a similar situation where like Wolfsburg, Frankfurt, Cohnes,

992
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 4: dude guard All, you could throw god Bach in there.

993
00:46:03,680 --> 00:46:05,680
Speaker 4: They're at the bottom end of that range. But like

994
00:46:06,040 --> 00:46:08,359
Speaker 4: all those teams are just kind of paraded right around

995
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:10,440
Speaker 4: each other and it kind of flips depending on the mood.

996
00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:12,960
Speaker 4: But when I get a home team, pick them, I'll.

997
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:13,960
Speaker 2: Take them all right.

998
00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:20,160
Speaker 1: Uh onto Syria, Ah, Italy Baja. What do you have?

999
00:46:20,760 --> 00:46:21,160
Speaker 1: I have two?

1000
00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:24,600
Speaker 2: Well, first of all, Grouper Rama money line against Juventus.

1001
00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:26,200
Speaker 4: That's just you know, we don't need to get the

1002
00:46:26,239 --> 00:46:27,200
Speaker 4: Ventas is trending up.

1003
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:29,359
Speaker 2: We don't need to devolve into that one because that's

1004
00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:31,880
Speaker 2: one of the easiest bets on the board. So obviously,

1005
00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:33,799
Speaker 2: Jose Marino, if you hopefull he's on the touch line,

1006
00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:35,400
Speaker 2: because I was very unfair with the rest of you

1007
00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:37,520
Speaker 2: got a red card. I know it's very unfair. You know,

1008
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:39,759
Speaker 2: if you asked him, it was very unfair. He said,

1009
00:46:39,760 --> 00:46:44,640
Speaker 2: he's not crazy, he's just emotional. But I like Napoli

1010
00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:48,000
Speaker 2: minus one at home against Lazio. Obviously I hate Lazio

1011
00:46:48,080 --> 00:46:49,800
Speaker 2: and I'm going to try to fade them, but that

1012
00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:52,279
Speaker 2: I mean Napoli pretty much has Siria wrapped up. But

1013
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:54,480
Speaker 2: like every single match, they keep playing all of their

1014
00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:57,759
Speaker 2: their best players and they don't have a champions to

1015
00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:00,280
Speaker 2: look ahead too, so I expect them to come out

1016
00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:04,480
Speaker 2: with a pretty strong starting eleven here against Lotzio, and

1017
00:47:05,640 --> 00:47:09,280
Speaker 2: Lazio is in the top four with a with the

1018
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:12,600
Speaker 2: seventh best expected goal defrenial. They've scored forty goals off

1019
00:47:12,600 --> 00:47:15,640
Speaker 2: of thirty three expected, nineteen goals allowed off of twenty

1020
00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:19,239
Speaker 2: seven expected. When they've had to play teams inside the

1021
00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:22,280
Speaker 2: top seven in Syria, it gets pretty ugly. Seven matches

1022
00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:25,120
Speaker 2: against top seven, they've created six point seven expected goals

1023
00:47:25,280 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 2: allowed ten point two. I mean Lazio defensively basically is

1024
00:47:28,520 --> 00:47:31,840
Speaker 2: providing no resistance. Their eighteenth pass per defensive action fourteenth

1025
00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 2: and progressive passes and dribbles allowed seventeenth in opponent build

1026
00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:39,080
Speaker 2: up completion percentage allowed. It's a very dangerous game to

1027
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:41,239
Speaker 2: play against Napoli, who's one of the best build up

1028
00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:44,560
Speaker 2: teams in the entire world, and the previous meeting in Rome,

1029
00:47:44,680 --> 00:47:47,680
Speaker 2: Napoli absolutely pumped them extually was two point one to

1030
00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:50,719
Speaker 2: point three. Lazio scored in the fourth minute off a

1031
00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:53,759
Speaker 2: deflection goal like they do every single freaking match, and

1032
00:47:53,760 --> 00:47:56,279
Speaker 2: from that point on Napoli controlled sixty percent possession and

1033
00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:59,840
Speaker 2: LOTZIOI only to take only able to attempt two shots

1034
00:48:00,120 --> 00:48:02,239
Speaker 2: inside the penalty box. Monapolily was able to get off

1035
00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:05,520
Speaker 2: thirteen in their penalty area. So I have Napoly spread

1036
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,560
Speaker 2: projected at minus one point two. I'm gonna wait till

1037
00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:12,400
Speaker 2: match time to see what starting eleven they played, but

1038
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:14,799
Speaker 2: I fully expect Oceman and varsh Kelly to be in there.

1039
00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:18,200
Speaker 2: So I like Napoli minus one plus one.

1040
00:48:18,160 --> 00:48:20,520
Speaker 1: Ten Anthony anything in Italy.

1041
00:48:21,280 --> 00:48:23,880
Speaker 4: You want to guess which team in Italy has the

1042
00:48:23,920 --> 00:48:29,239
Speaker 4: best expected threat, numbers, the best field tilt and has

1043
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:33,160
Speaker 4: the best shot differential in the entire league, it's Fiorina Fiorentina,

1044
00:48:33,560 --> 00:48:37,200
Speaker 4: very interesting. He's just he's the best player in the world.

1045
00:48:38,640 --> 00:48:38,879
Speaker 3: Book.

1046
00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:41,520
Speaker 4: If they were giving like the true m VP Ballan

1047
00:48:41,600 --> 00:48:45,359
Speaker 4: door for me, Sophie and I am are bad. I mean,

1048
00:48:45,360 --> 00:48:47,279
Speaker 4: he was like the the cog in the in the

1049
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:51,080
Speaker 4: in the Monica and Monica Morocco machine, and now he's

1050
00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:55,760
Speaker 4: he's leading Fiorentina here. They're really impressive under Italiano. There

1051
00:48:55,800 --> 00:48:58,920
Speaker 4: there are some like the attacking quality once they get

1052
00:48:58,960 --> 00:49:01,760
Speaker 4: to the penalty area is kind of flawed. But given

1053
00:49:01,800 --> 00:49:05,600
Speaker 4: that they're at home against Milan and an exact toss up,

1054
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:08,759
Speaker 4: I just think that's wrong. I think Fiorentina has a

1055
00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:10,839
Speaker 4: lot of room for upward potential. Like if you were

1056
00:49:10,880 --> 00:49:13,520
Speaker 4: to tell me a team who's starting to do all

1057
00:49:13,520 --> 00:49:17,239
Speaker 4: the little things right with field tilt, possession, having, you know,

1058
00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:21,319
Speaker 4: shot differential stuff, and it hasn't quite translated on the

1059
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:23,279
Speaker 4: pitch yet, but that's a team I want to buy.

1060
00:49:24,040 --> 00:49:25,920
Speaker 4: And so I'm gonna I'm gonna be buying Fiorentina. I'm

1061
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:27,640
Speaker 4: actually going to bet a Conference League future. I'm gonna

1062
00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:29,480
Speaker 4: put them in plus six fifty. I'll make that the

1063
00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:33,320
Speaker 4: future of the week. I think they're live, They're they're underrated,

1064
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:35,960
Speaker 4: uh and I'm going to bet them at home against

1065
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:39,719
Speaker 4: Milan on this weekend. I'm just sad Roma got drawn

1066
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:42,080
Speaker 4: against Associated and that's our two children.

1067
00:49:42,560 --> 00:49:42,799
Speaker 3: I know.

1068
00:49:43,040 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 2: That made me so sad.

1069
00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:45,640
Speaker 4: I still like Roma to advance.

1070
00:49:46,000 --> 00:49:48,000
Speaker 2: I do, but yeah, it's just that in an Arsenal

1071
00:49:48,040 --> 00:49:49,960
Speaker 2: were the two worst draws for them. They couldn't get

1072
00:49:50,280 --> 00:49:52,439
Speaker 2: they couldn't get far and Savarros or Fer.

1073
00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:54,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's awful.

1074
00:49:54,160 --> 00:50:02,680
Speaker 1: On h LaLiga Anthony, Yeah.

1075
00:50:01,600 --> 00:50:04,600
Speaker 4: On Thursday in the super Cup, or excuse me, the

1076
00:50:04,600 --> 00:50:07,520
Speaker 4: Copa del Rey. Real Madrid took a lot of money

1077
00:50:07,520 --> 00:50:10,080
Speaker 4: after Lewandowski got hurt, and I'm just not totally sold

1078
00:50:10,080 --> 00:50:12,640
Speaker 4: on that. Of course, Lewandowski is very good and a

1079
00:50:12,640 --> 00:50:15,920
Speaker 4: great finisher, but I actually think it makes Barsa's defensive

1080
00:50:15,920 --> 00:50:20,160
Speaker 4: transitional better. With Torres likely starting in place of Lewandowski.

1081
00:50:21,120 --> 00:50:24,720
Speaker 4: Barcelona is the number one passing team against a Real

1082
00:50:24,800 --> 00:50:27,560
Speaker 4: team that cannot press whatsoever. They are twelfth and PPDA

1083
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:30,400
Speaker 4: bottom five pass completion allowed. It's just like not a

1084
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:32,680
Speaker 4: great matchup for Real Madrid when they do play them,

1085
00:50:32,880 --> 00:50:35,240
Speaker 4: and I Real beat them to one in the first matchup,

1086
00:50:35,280 --> 00:50:38,960
Speaker 4: but they got crushed on expected goals. Barsa destroyed them

1087
00:50:39,000 --> 00:50:42,239
Speaker 4: in the Super Cup in January. Barsa has won the

1088
00:50:42,360 --> 00:50:45,000
Speaker 4: XG the last five meetings. In this matchup, now I'm

1089
00:50:45,000 --> 00:50:47,759
Speaker 4: getting plus a half at Reale first leg. I just

1090
00:50:47,840 --> 00:50:49,440
Speaker 4: kind of think this is close to a coin flip,

1091
00:50:49,520 --> 00:50:51,760
Speaker 4: so I'm gonna take the half a goal on Barsa.

1092
00:50:52,400 --> 00:50:55,560
Speaker 2: What about you BJ Majorca on the island on the

1093
00:50:56,400 --> 00:51:01,200
Speaker 2: misty against LJA, It's signed way too low for how

1094
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:04,879
Speaker 2: bad LJA is. Like I understand real bettis like they

1095
00:51:04,880 --> 00:51:09,480
Speaker 2: created four point one expected goals against LCHA last week.

1096
00:51:09,560 --> 00:51:12,759
Speaker 2: There were three penalties in there, so it's a little

1097
00:51:12,760 --> 00:51:16,160
Speaker 2: bit skewed, but I mean they still allowed. LCHA is

1098
00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:18,560
Speaker 2: still allowed one point seven expected goals from open play

1099
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:21,120
Speaker 2: at home. They had two guys sent off and that match.

1100
00:51:21,120 --> 00:51:22,959
Speaker 2: One of them is pretty important to them. Enzo Roco

1101
00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:25,640
Speaker 2: is one of their best defenders. LCHA is also still

1102
00:51:25,640 --> 00:51:28,440
Speaker 2: without Perry Mia, who's leading the team with six goals

1103
00:51:28,440 --> 00:51:31,279
Speaker 2: and four point five x G. What's even crazier is that,

1104
00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:34,120
Speaker 2: you know, lja's defense has been so bad forty nine

1105
00:51:34,160 --> 00:51:36,960
Speaker 2: point five expected goals allowed in twenty two matches in

1106
00:51:37,080 --> 00:51:40,480
Speaker 2: the lowest scoring league in Europe's top five leagues, but

1107
00:51:40,560 --> 00:51:44,759
Speaker 2: their goalkeeper is actually running incredibly hot. Edgar Badilla has

1108
00:51:44,800 --> 00:51:47,520
Speaker 2: a plus eight point three post shot actually plus minus

1109
00:51:47,520 --> 00:51:50,200
Speaker 2: and saved three penalties this season, one of which came

1110
00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:53,400
Speaker 2: in this previous meeting against Majorca and Maraca is just

1111
00:51:53,440 --> 00:51:55,279
Speaker 2: they're just such a beautiful team on the island. I

1112
00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:57,399
Speaker 2: mean they actually have a positive expected goal the French

1113
00:51:57,440 --> 00:52:00,160
Speaker 2: there minus seven away from home. When they're playing at

1114
00:52:00,200 --> 00:52:02,360
Speaker 2: home against the bottom half of the table this season,

1115
00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:05,480
Speaker 2: they have a plus three point eight expected goal differential.

1116
00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:08,680
Speaker 2: They're the best team in Europe in final third to

1117
00:52:08,719 --> 00:52:12,320
Speaker 2: penalty box conversion rate allowed, so I have no idea

1118
00:52:12,360 --> 00:52:14,680
Speaker 2: how LJ is going to even sniff their penalty box.

1119
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:17,160
Speaker 2: And my Orca also is an offense that's just built

1120
00:52:17,160 --> 00:52:20,640
Speaker 2: on big scoring chances. Their tenth in Laaliga, which is

1121
00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:22,799
Speaker 2: not really that big of a deal when you're going

1122
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:25,240
Speaker 2: against the worst defense in La League and maybe across Europe.

1123
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:28,800
Speaker 2: So I have my Orca projected at minus one ninety seven,

1124
00:52:28,960 --> 00:52:30,760
Speaker 2: so I'd like the ballet on them at minus one forty.

1125
00:52:31,680 --> 00:52:36,439
Speaker 5: All right, before we get to the underdogs, PJ, you're

1126
00:52:36,560 --> 00:52:38,520
Speaker 5: on an island in legal.

1127
00:52:39,200 --> 00:52:43,239
Speaker 2: Troy Monico over three goals plus one ten. Troy's the

1128
00:52:43,239 --> 00:52:45,239
Speaker 2: worst defense in league on one point seven to one

1129
00:52:45,320 --> 00:52:48,480
Speaker 2: non penalty spectacles allowed per ninety minutes, allowing close to

1130
00:52:48,560 --> 00:52:52,120
Speaker 2: seventeen box entries per ninety minutes, highest expected threat allowed.

1131
00:52:52,560 --> 00:52:56,239
Speaker 2: They also are the worst pressing team in France, all

1132
00:52:56,280 --> 00:52:58,680
Speaker 2: the elements you do not want when you're facing one

1133
00:52:58,680 --> 00:53:01,000
Speaker 2: of the top sides and one of the hottest offenses

1134
00:53:01,520 --> 00:53:04,839
Speaker 2: in France. Monico they're out of the Europa League. Their

1135
00:53:04,880 --> 00:53:06,880
Speaker 2: full focus is going to be on League gun and

1136
00:53:06,920 --> 00:53:10,200
Speaker 2: securing a top three spot. Their offense overall for the season,

1137
00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:13,239
Speaker 2: their metrics, they don't look incredibly impressive or elite, like

1138
00:53:13,239 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 2: their sixth and non penement expected goals, their fifth and

1139
00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:19,440
Speaker 2: final third entry, seventh and expected threat not really what

1140
00:53:19,440 --> 00:53:21,200
Speaker 2: you'd expect for Monica. You should expect them to be

1141
00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:24,200
Speaker 2: near the top three, but since we've came back from

1142
00:53:24,200 --> 00:53:27,759
Speaker 2: the World Cup, twenty one goals off, eighteen expected and

1143
00:53:27,800 --> 00:53:30,440
Speaker 2: only nine matches, which is third most in League un

1144
00:53:30,520 --> 00:53:34,080
Speaker 2: during that time span, behind only LIL and PSG. Monico

1145
00:53:34,120 --> 00:53:36,319
Speaker 2: has also spent a little over ten nineties playing with

1146
00:53:36,360 --> 00:53:38,319
Speaker 2: the lead this season. When they are playing with the lead,

1147
00:53:38,640 --> 00:53:41,880
Speaker 2: averaging two point zero three expected goals per ninety minutes,

1148
00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:45,520
Speaker 2: Troy has spent close to nine nineties playing from behind

1149
00:53:45,560 --> 00:53:48,000
Speaker 2: this season, and when they do play from behind they're

1150
00:53:48,040 --> 00:53:50,680
Speaker 2: allowing two point four to three expect goals per ninety minutes,

1151
00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:53,239
Speaker 2: and the last time these two teams face faced off

1152
00:53:53,640 --> 00:53:56,719
Speaker 2: six goal thriller. Monico won four to two, but Troy

1153
00:53:56,880 --> 00:53:58,919
Speaker 2: was able to create two point two expected goals, which

1154
00:53:58,920 --> 00:54:01,840
Speaker 2: is their highest ex she output of any match this season.

1155
00:54:02,280 --> 00:54:04,399
Speaker 2: I have three point four goals projected for this match,

1156
00:54:04,480 --> 00:54:06,480
Speaker 2: so I like over three goals plus one ten.

1157
00:54:07,120 --> 00:54:10,399
Speaker 4: Let's pour one out for the Marseille future, which I'm glad.

1158
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:13,280
Speaker 2: No, no, it's not. I'm happy they did that to you. Honestly,

1159
00:54:13,400 --> 00:54:14,240
Speaker 2: I'm very happy.

1160
00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:15,960
Speaker 4: We're not dead yet.

1161
00:54:16,360 --> 00:54:18,000
Speaker 2: No, we're no, you're dead. PSG.

1162
00:54:18,120 --> 00:54:20,480
Speaker 4: Just say that PSG gave up two expected.

1163
00:54:20,080 --> 00:54:23,200
Speaker 2: Goals again, doesn't matter, doesn't mean I can't.

1164
00:54:23,080 --> 00:54:24,920
Speaker 4: Wait, can't wait for Sunday's episode when I make the

1165
00:54:24,920 --> 00:54:26,600
Speaker 4: case to bet them against Bayern Munich.

1166
00:54:27,440 --> 00:54:27,760
Speaker 3: Great.

1167
00:54:28,200 --> 00:54:29,880
Speaker 2: I actually don't mind them against Byron.

1168
00:54:30,480 --> 00:54:35,080
Speaker 1: I mean either. Actually a little spoiler all right, Time

1169
00:54:35,160 --> 00:54:38,280
Speaker 1: for our underdogs, Anthony. What do you got?

1170
00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:41,000
Speaker 4: We hit one out of three last week? Shout out

1171
00:54:41,040 --> 00:54:41,600
Speaker 4: to bj.

1172
00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:44,000
Speaker 2: Mat I forget it?

1173
00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:44,239
Speaker 3: We had?

1174
00:54:44,320 --> 00:54:44,919
Speaker 4: Who was it again?

1175
00:54:44,960 --> 00:54:47,440
Speaker 2: It was also sooner They blew different leads and then

1176
00:54:47,560 --> 00:54:50,359
Speaker 2: ended up scoring in like the eighty six thirty seven.

1177
00:54:50,440 --> 00:54:52,200
Speaker 5: Why couldn't you Why couldn't you use some of that

1178
00:54:52,280 --> 00:54:54,359
Speaker 5: luck with Sam Doria a couple of weeks ago.

1179
00:54:54,400 --> 00:54:57,560
Speaker 4: I know Torino for me, Uh was up twice and

1180
00:54:57,600 --> 00:55:01,200
Speaker 4: they lost four too. Yeah, was not close, But.

1181
00:55:01,200 --> 00:55:02,680
Speaker 2: This week they could have had him.

1182
00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:06,960
Speaker 4: This week I'm gonna fade Union so they'll be back

1183
00:55:06,960 --> 00:55:07,680
Speaker 4: to their winning ways.

1184
00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:08,600
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1185
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:10,960
Speaker 4: I like column plus two sixty. I think I bet

1186
00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:13,400
Speaker 4: this team every week for the last two months. The

1187
00:55:13,440 --> 00:55:16,560
Speaker 4: new minds there are the new mines. Yeah, you never

1188
00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:18,680
Speaker 4: know who're gonna end up betting. You really do know

1189
00:55:18,680 --> 00:55:21,600
Speaker 4: who your numbers end up saying there's value on In

1190
00:55:21,640 --> 00:55:23,080
Speaker 4: this case, I just think it's kind of a coin

1191
00:55:23,080 --> 00:55:26,040
Speaker 4: flip match. We saw how bad un was playing from behind.

1192
00:55:26,480 --> 00:55:27,960
Speaker 4: If we can just get the first goal here, I

1193
00:55:27,960 --> 00:55:29,960
Speaker 4: think we're in decent shape given how good our defense

1194
00:55:30,000 --> 00:55:32,480
Speaker 4: is against set piets and crosses, like Bja mentioned when

1195
00:55:32,520 --> 00:55:35,000
Speaker 4: he made the case for BGTS. No, so let's go

1196
00:55:35,040 --> 00:55:37,080
Speaker 4: one nil call and everybody wins and we're all happy,

1197
00:55:37,160 --> 00:55:39,880
Speaker 4: and uh, that'll be my underdog of the week. Not

1198
00:55:39,920 --> 00:55:41,920
Speaker 4: a huge underdog week for me. But do you like this?

1199
00:55:42,040 --> 00:55:44,560
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm a little upset that you're not going with Stuttgart.

1200
00:55:45,280 --> 00:55:47,279
Speaker 5: But don't worry. I thought about I have I have

1201
00:55:47,360 --> 00:55:50,279
Speaker 5: our three leg parlay, and then I have what it

1202
00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:53,480
Speaker 5: will be if you threw Stutgart in as well.

1203
00:55:53,960 --> 00:55:55,239
Speaker 1: I'm going with Newcastle.

1204
00:55:55,280 --> 00:55:58,080
Speaker 5: There's six to one on the road at Man City.

1205
00:55:58,080 --> 00:56:01,400
Speaker 5: I think there's a couple of things here. Arsenal is

1206
00:56:01,400 --> 00:56:03,719
Speaker 5: now five points ahead of City in the title race.

1207
00:56:03,760 --> 00:56:07,080
Speaker 5: They just beat Everton in the midweek. I think everyone's

1208
00:56:07,160 --> 00:56:09,839
Speaker 5: kind of expecting City just to respond here and that's

1209
00:56:09,880 --> 00:56:13,400
Speaker 5: seeping into the market a bit. I know Newcastle was struggling,

1210
00:56:13,680 --> 00:56:16,120
Speaker 5: but over the course of the season they've put up

1211
00:56:16,160 --> 00:56:18,960
Speaker 5: some They put up top four numbers. They've only got

1212
00:56:18,960 --> 00:56:22,239
Speaker 5: one win, five draws and one loss in their last seven,

1213
00:56:22,320 --> 00:56:25,000
Speaker 5: but that spanned only four goals against and only fifteen

1214
00:56:25,040 --> 00:56:28,160
Speaker 5: allowed in the entire season. This is a really, really

1215
00:56:28,160 --> 00:56:33,080
Speaker 5: good defensive team. Adie Howe, I don't know who got

1216
00:56:33,080 --> 00:56:36,640
Speaker 5: to him, but turned into this defensive wizard. Eight point

1217
00:56:36,680 --> 00:56:39,640
Speaker 5: one expected goes allowed in their last eight matches as well,

1218
00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:42,000
Speaker 5: all maskings for them to turn this thing into a

1219
00:56:42,080 --> 00:56:44,440
Speaker 5: rock fight. Hopefully we get a weird one of these

1220
00:56:44,480 --> 00:56:47,520
Speaker 5: weird City performances where they just get unlucky. We saw

1221
00:56:47,520 --> 00:56:49,480
Speaker 5: it happen in a drug again, stunding a forest. We

1222
00:56:49,520 --> 00:56:52,279
Speaker 5: saw them get outplayed by teams like Brentford, saw them

1223
00:56:52,280 --> 00:56:54,640
Speaker 5: get unlucky against Everton, held them at a draw at

1224
00:56:54,680 --> 00:56:55,160
Speaker 5: home as well.

1225
00:56:55,200 --> 00:56:57,760
Speaker 1: So you just really there's.

1226
00:56:57,560 --> 00:57:00,719
Speaker 5: Much there's more wonkiness to the city than we're used

1227
00:57:00,719 --> 00:57:05,480
Speaker 5: to give me Newcastle six to one. BJ tell us

1228
00:57:05,920 --> 00:57:08,880
Speaker 5: our third and final underdog.

1229
00:57:09,280 --> 00:57:13,120
Speaker 2: Espaniol plus two point fifteen on the road at Real Valadelaide.

1230
00:57:13,440 --> 00:57:16,880
Speaker 2: This line is insane to me. Real Valadalid is tied

1231
00:57:16,920 --> 00:57:20,000
Speaker 2: with Cadiz for the second worst expected gold differential in

1232
00:57:20,040 --> 00:57:23,960
Speaker 2: Spain minus sixteen point three, while Espaniol is sitting in

1233
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:26,560
Speaker 2: the middle of the table at minus one point eight.

1234
00:57:27,120 --> 00:57:29,320
Speaker 2: Valdelid has performed better at home. I think you're seeing

1235
00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:32,240
Speaker 2: kind of inflated line we're getting. We're not only there,

1236
00:57:32,240 --> 00:57:33,840
Speaker 2: we're getting kind of close to the period of time,

1237
00:57:33,880 --> 00:57:36,240
Speaker 2: which is one of my favorite seasons when relegation teams

1238
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:38,840
Speaker 2: get completely overvalued because they have to win in teams

1239
00:57:38,880 --> 00:57:40,240
Speaker 2: in the middle of the table have nothing to play

1240
00:57:40,240 --> 00:57:42,760
Speaker 2: for one of my favorite times of the year. I

1241
00:57:42,760 --> 00:57:44,600
Speaker 2: don't know if we're there yet in this situation, but

1242
00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:47,720
Speaker 2: Valdeid has performed better at home down the road. But

1243
00:57:47,760 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 2: here's the list of teams where they've actually won the

1244
00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:55,520
Speaker 2: expected goals battle at home against Almeria, Cadiz Lja and Osasuna.

1245
00:57:55,880 --> 00:57:59,280
Speaker 2: That is it. The last time these two teams faced

1246
00:57:59,280 --> 00:58:01,760
Speaker 2: off at espen annual, Espaniel beat them one nothing beat

1247
00:58:01,760 --> 00:58:04,400
Speaker 2: them on actually one point four two point seven, had

1248
00:58:04,480 --> 00:58:08,040
Speaker 2: seventeen box entries, half of valid leads, fourteen shots came

1249
00:58:08,040 --> 00:58:11,720
Speaker 2: from outside the box. Espanol is generating the seventh most

1250
00:58:11,760 --> 00:58:15,040
Speaker 2: big scoring chances in Spain this season. They're also the

1251
00:58:15,120 --> 00:58:19,320
Speaker 2: second most efficient set piece offense in Spain by actually

1252
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:21,720
Speaker 2: per set piece valid the lead bottom four in both

1253
00:58:21,760 --> 00:58:26,920
Speaker 2: those categories. Defensively, so I actually make Espinul favorite here.

1254
00:58:27,480 --> 00:58:29,320
Speaker 2: So I like them plus two fifteen. I think the

1255
00:58:29,360 --> 00:58:30,600
Speaker 2: price is insane.

1256
00:58:31,240 --> 00:58:33,200
Speaker 5: If you wrap those three together seventy eight to one.

1257
00:58:33,320 --> 00:58:37,040
Speaker 5: You want to throw in Stuttgart as well, five hundred

1258
00:58:37,080 --> 00:58:41,160
Speaker 5: and fifty five to one for four legger. All right,

1259
00:58:41,240 --> 00:58:43,360
Speaker 5: let's move on to our favorite bets in the Premier

1260
00:58:43,480 --> 00:58:47,360
Speaker 5: League for this weekend coming up first match week of

1261
00:58:47,600 --> 00:58:49,600
Speaker 5: March BJ What do you.

1262
00:58:49,520 --> 00:58:53,240
Speaker 2: Got Brentford plus one oh five at home against Fulham.

1263
00:58:54,080 --> 00:58:56,720
Speaker 2: This is the kill shot. This is where Fulham's regression

1264
00:58:56,880 --> 00:58:59,040
Speaker 2: finally starts to hit. Out of the World Cup break,

1265
00:58:59,400 --> 00:59:04,440
Speaker 2: they have conceded four goals off of fourteen point three expected.

1266
00:59:04,480 --> 00:59:06,800
Speaker 2: They just played Leads in the FA Cup in the midweek.

1267
00:59:07,280 --> 00:59:09,760
Speaker 2: They didn't. They didn't concede a goal. Leads created one

1268
00:59:09,760 --> 00:59:13,000
Speaker 2: point five expected goals. The crazy part though, is now

1269
00:59:13,000 --> 00:59:16,200
Speaker 2: the Fulham offense is over performing. Last four matches if

1270
00:59:16,200 --> 00:59:18,880
Speaker 2: you include the FA Cup match against Leeds, they've scored

1271
00:59:18,920 --> 00:59:22,840
Speaker 2: six goals off of two point five expected. Now, this

1272
00:59:22,880 --> 00:59:25,480
Speaker 2: is a great matchup for Brentford, who if they decide

1273
00:59:25,480 --> 00:59:28,440
Speaker 2: to play Transitionally, Fulham is going to be without Paulina,

1274
00:59:28,520 --> 00:59:31,600
Speaker 2: who is the rock in the middle of their defense.

1275
00:59:31,680 --> 00:59:34,760
Speaker 2: He is one hundred and thirty four tackles plus interceptions

1276
00:59:34,800 --> 00:59:37,320
Speaker 2: this season. That's by far the most in the Premier Lease.

1277
00:59:37,400 --> 00:59:40,240
Speaker 2: Without him, Fulham is very, very exposed in the middle

1278
00:59:40,240 --> 00:59:42,440
Speaker 2: of the pitch, which which is where Brentford likes to

1279
00:59:42,480 --> 00:59:45,200
Speaker 2: play through. I'm not sure what this das viban Tony is.

1280
00:59:45,200 --> 00:59:47,520
Speaker 2: I haven't heard anything, and that means he's probably be

1281
00:59:47,600 --> 00:59:50,840
Speaker 2: playing on Saturday. Even if he's not, Brentford still has

1282
00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:53,720
Speaker 2: capable attackers like in Buemo and Lisa and Keemless Potter.

1283
00:59:53,960 --> 00:59:56,480
Speaker 2: We're all over a point four actually plus expected says

1284
00:59:56,520 --> 01:00:01,000
Speaker 2: per ninety minute rate. Brentford also very very good at

1285
01:00:01,040 --> 01:00:03,000
Speaker 2: creating big scoring chances top five team in terms of

1286
01:00:03,080 --> 01:00:05,960
Speaker 2: actually per set piece full on bottom five and defensively

1287
01:00:06,000 --> 01:00:08,520
Speaker 2: in both those categories in the Premier League. So this

1288
01:00:08,560 --> 01:00:10,680
Speaker 2: is the kill shot here to finally take out Fulham.

1289
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:12,680
Speaker 2: Brentford plus one oh five at home.

1290
01:00:14,440 --> 01:00:16,880
Speaker 5: I'm going with Manchester United there plus one eighty on

1291
01:00:16,960 --> 01:00:19,680
Speaker 5: the three way money line at Anfield.

1292
01:00:20,360 --> 01:00:24,200
Speaker 1: I just don't see how this Liverpool.

1293
01:00:23,680 --> 01:00:25,760
Speaker 5: Defense is going to be able to cope with the

1294
01:00:25,880 --> 01:00:31,160
Speaker 5: United offense the way the attack's rolling right now over there,

1295
01:00:31,760 --> 01:00:37,360
Speaker 5: Let's go back all the way to January sixth, excuse me,

1296
01:00:37,440 --> 01:00:41,920
Speaker 5: January third three three three two one two three three

1297
01:00:42,080 --> 01:00:45,640
Speaker 5: two two two two two two three two two three.

1298
01:00:45,760 --> 01:00:47,400
Speaker 5: That's how when he goes to United scored in each

1299
01:00:47,440 --> 01:00:49,800
Speaker 5: game they just scored.

1300
01:00:50,120 --> 01:00:51,560
Speaker 1: I mean it's this.

1301
01:00:51,560 --> 01:00:55,760
Speaker 5: This offense is incredible, an incredible form right now. They

1302
01:00:55,800 --> 01:00:58,880
Speaker 5: play the perfect style to take advantage of the Liverpool

1303
01:00:58,880 --> 01:01:02,240
Speaker 5: defensive deficiency. They're going to catch them in transition. I

1304
01:01:02,240 --> 01:01:05,240
Speaker 5: wouldn't be surprised if this one looks just like what

1305
01:01:05,280 --> 01:01:09,040
Speaker 5: we saw in the Champions League Liverpool maybe coming out

1306
01:01:09,080 --> 01:01:11,640
Speaker 5: of the gates hot against like they did against Real

1307
01:01:11,640 --> 01:01:16,600
Speaker 5: Madrid and then United getting the separation later. They're just

1308
01:01:16,600 --> 01:01:19,600
Speaker 5: a better team than Liverpool right now. Plus one eighties,

1309
01:01:19,640 --> 01:01:20,640
Speaker 5: good number, Anthony.

1310
01:01:20,680 --> 01:01:21,200
Speaker 1: What do you got?

1311
01:01:22,160 --> 01:01:25,880
Speaker 4: Man City? Newcastle under three minus one twenty Bja talked

1312
01:01:25,880 --> 01:01:28,320
Speaker 4: about it a little bit earlier in the show with Newcastle,

1313
01:01:28,520 --> 01:01:31,280
Speaker 4: the defense remains rock solid. I'm very impressed by what

1314
01:01:31,320 --> 01:01:34,680
Speaker 4: I'm seeing from that team. They look like a legitimately

1315
01:01:34,760 --> 01:01:37,640
Speaker 4: top three defense. But we're starting to see the cracks

1316
01:01:37,640 --> 01:01:39,000
Speaker 4: in this attack, and I think you're going to see

1317
01:01:39,040 --> 01:01:42,400
Speaker 4: continued further regression for them as the season progresses. I

1318
01:01:42,400 --> 01:01:44,080
Speaker 4: think that the market is still a little too high

1319
01:01:44,120 --> 01:01:47,000
Speaker 4: on them as a unit going forward, and I think

1320
01:01:47,040 --> 01:01:49,520
Speaker 4: Pep is going to make a conscious effort to not

1321
01:01:49,600 --> 01:01:51,560
Speaker 4: allow what happened in the first matchup. They went on

1322
01:01:51,560 --> 01:01:53,960
Speaker 4: the road to Newcastle, they got destroyed in transition, they

1323
01:01:54,000 --> 01:01:56,920
Speaker 4: had no answers. I gave up over two expected goals

1324
01:01:56,920 --> 01:02:00,080
Speaker 4: three actual goals. It was a very uninspiring performance. I

1325
01:02:00,080 --> 01:02:03,720
Speaker 4: think Pet will take fewer chances. He will have one

1326
01:02:03,800 --> 01:02:06,360
Speaker 4: hand on the throttle at all times on the handbreak

1327
01:02:06,560 --> 01:02:09,160
Speaker 4: as opposed to the throttle, and this game will be

1328
01:02:09,200 --> 01:02:13,120
Speaker 4: a low scoring affair with City likely winning but Newcastle

1329
01:02:13,160 --> 01:02:16,080
Speaker 4: struggling to create consistent chances, so I like under three.

1330
01:02:18,000 --> 01:02:20,240
Speaker 5: All right, there you have it, but be sure to

1331
01:02:20,280 --> 01:02:24,040
Speaker 5: stick around for our discussion with former men's national team

1332
01:02:24,040 --> 01:02:27,520
Speaker 5: from the United States Eric Nalda talk about the Apple

1333
01:02:27,560 --> 01:02:32,320
Speaker 5: TV deal MLS opening weekend, some Bundesliga, his Bundesliga pick

1334
01:02:32,320 --> 01:02:36,400
Speaker 5: of the week, and a little bit of love fest

1335
01:02:36,440 --> 01:02:39,480
Speaker 5: for Tim Reem and some talk about UNUS Musa, So

1336
01:02:39,560 --> 01:02:41,880
Speaker 5: be sure to check that out right now.

1337
01:02:42,880 --> 01:02:45,120
Speaker 4: All right, we are pleased to be joined by Eric Wenalda,

1338
01:02:45,320 --> 01:02:49,120
Speaker 4: former US men's national team player and Bochum as well.

1339
01:02:49,120 --> 01:02:53,720
Speaker 4: In the Bundesliga. Eric MLS kicked off last weekend, very

1340
01:02:53,760 --> 01:02:57,400
Speaker 4: exciting Apple TV My union one four to one, big

1341
01:02:57,440 --> 01:03:00,240
Speaker 4: win for US defending our East Coast crown. Are your

1342
01:03:00,280 --> 01:03:03,760
Speaker 4: initial impressions of the Apple TV kind of transition and

1343
01:03:04,160 --> 01:03:06,840
Speaker 4: how the studio and the production ultimately went down and

1344
01:03:07,360 --> 01:03:09,960
Speaker 4: any takeaways from you know, the matches or you know

1345
01:03:10,080 --> 01:03:11,720
Speaker 4: front office stuff that happened in the offseason.

1346
01:03:12,640 --> 01:03:14,280
Speaker 3: Well, I mean, look, the only thing I'll say about

1347
01:03:14,320 --> 01:03:16,320
Speaker 3: the Apple deal is to wait and see. We're gonna

1348
01:03:16,320 --> 01:03:19,000
Speaker 3: have to wait until about June to figure out what

1349
01:03:19,000 --> 01:03:21,240
Speaker 3: those numbers look like and and see if that's going

1350
01:03:21,320 --> 01:03:25,200
Speaker 3: to appease the the sponsors. You know, we saw what

1351
01:03:25,240 --> 01:03:28,120
Speaker 3: happened with the NFL and the Amazon deal. Those guys

1352
01:03:28,120 --> 01:03:31,360
Speaker 3: all ask for a refund because the numbers went down

1353
01:03:31,360 --> 01:03:33,919
Speaker 3: about forty one percent. It's still a good thing though.

1354
01:03:33,960 --> 01:03:36,560
Speaker 3: I mean, honestly, if if if you tried to click

1355
01:03:36,600 --> 01:03:39,800
Speaker 3: in with with the games, you could get them all

1356
01:03:39,800 --> 01:03:42,840
Speaker 3: on one spot. You had that Whip Brown Show, Sasha

1357
01:03:42,920 --> 01:03:45,480
Speaker 3: question wasn't bad. I can't say much about the other guys,

1358
01:03:45,520 --> 01:03:49,000
Speaker 3: but it was. It was a good weekend. I mean,

1359
01:03:49,080 --> 01:03:51,400
Speaker 3: the best part about it, I think is the games

1360
01:03:51,440 --> 01:03:54,160
Speaker 3: were good. All of the games were good. Atlanta had

1361
01:03:54,160 --> 01:03:58,080
Speaker 3: a dramatic end, a lot of lake goals here, Union

1362
01:03:58,200 --> 01:04:01,840
Speaker 3: got it done. Talking to Jimmy Kurtin about that. And

1363
01:04:01,840 --> 01:04:06,360
Speaker 3: and you know, this league, once you figure it out,

1364
01:04:07,160 --> 01:04:12,240
Speaker 3: it really is. It's something because it's so hard to predict.

1365
01:04:12,760 --> 01:04:16,800
Speaker 3: You guys have been trying to to prognosticate games. It's impossible.

1366
01:04:16,840 --> 01:04:19,640
Speaker 3: Sometimes you just don't know. It's the only league in

1367
01:04:19,680 --> 01:04:21,919
Speaker 3: the world where you just literally it could be any

1368
01:04:21,960 --> 01:04:25,680
Speaker 3: any anybody could be a winner at times, but disappointed

1369
01:04:25,680 --> 01:04:29,320
Speaker 3: with Austin, excited for Saint Louis Austin. That was a

1370
01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:31,320
Speaker 3: weird one though. I mean, somebody's got to call out

1371
01:04:31,400 --> 01:04:34,160
Speaker 3: Josh Wolfe, sorry to be the guy to do it,

1372
01:04:34,200 --> 01:04:37,360
Speaker 3: and everything there. This country is going through with the

1373
01:04:37,720 --> 01:04:40,440
Speaker 3: rainas and and playing your kid and getting mad if

1374
01:04:40,440 --> 01:04:43,720
Speaker 3: your kid doesn't play. And then they basically changed the captain.

1375
01:04:44,120 --> 01:04:46,560
Speaker 3: They take Alexander Ring, who my opinion is one of

1376
01:04:46,560 --> 01:04:49,160
Speaker 3: the best players in the league, and you play your

1377
01:04:49,240 --> 01:04:50,760
Speaker 3: kid in front of him and then he's the worst

1378
01:04:50,760 --> 01:04:52,720
Speaker 3: player on the field. That wasn't a good look. I

1379
01:04:52,720 --> 01:04:55,280
Speaker 3: hope they figured that out. Owen, I love your kid,

1380
01:04:55,440 --> 01:04:58,680
Speaker 3: but that wasn't a good game for you. So that

1381
01:04:58,760 --> 01:05:01,680
Speaker 3: Austin was was was kind of a tricky. Nashville looked,

1382
01:05:01,800 --> 01:05:04,960
Speaker 3: looked the party. They look like they're going to be

1383
01:05:05,880 --> 01:05:09,240
Speaker 3: somebody to contend with. Excited for RSL to get a

1384
01:05:09,280 --> 01:05:12,760
Speaker 3: win on the road. U and I guess Minnesota. Minnesota

1385
01:05:12,840 --> 01:05:15,800
Speaker 3: is my dark horse this year. I just think Adrian

1386
01:05:15,840 --> 01:05:18,080
Speaker 3: Heath has got of figured out. It's got a pretty

1387
01:05:18,080 --> 01:05:22,320
Speaker 3: good team, not a great team, but they looked, they

1388
01:05:22,320 --> 01:05:24,720
Speaker 3: looked really good outside of Philly. Philly was was the

1389
01:05:24,720 --> 01:05:27,240
Speaker 3: one team that stood out the most. And then of

1390
01:05:27,280 --> 01:05:29,440
Speaker 3: course in the one place that when you put this

1391
01:05:29,480 --> 01:05:31,080
Speaker 3: thing on the calendar that you think you're going to

1392
01:05:31,160 --> 01:05:34,440
Speaker 3: not be disappointed with the weather l a way to go,

1393
01:05:34,720 --> 01:05:37,240
Speaker 3: so they have to they have to redo that one.

1394
01:05:37,280 --> 01:05:40,200
Speaker 3: And of course, of course the last one on the

1395
01:05:40,200 --> 01:05:44,240
Speaker 3: slate was the Portland Sporting game and that got pushed

1396
01:05:44,280 --> 01:05:45,880
Speaker 3: back a day. It was a Monday night fixt year.

1397
01:05:46,040 --> 01:05:48,000
Speaker 3: That was just a bad game. And I think it

1398
01:05:48,040 --> 01:05:50,200
Speaker 3: was as bad as it was. It wasn't it was.

1399
01:05:50,280 --> 01:05:51,920
Speaker 3: It wasn't even that it was really that bad. It

1400
01:05:52,000 --> 01:05:53,640
Speaker 3: was just all the other games over the weekend were

1401
01:05:53,680 --> 01:05:56,680
Speaker 3: much better, so it just didn't look like it. But

1402
01:05:56,720 --> 01:05:58,440
Speaker 3: all in all, you know, you have to call it

1403
01:05:58,440 --> 01:06:02,360
Speaker 3: for now a success story all the games. You know,

1404
01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:07,280
Speaker 3: the presentation was was pretty good, the commentary wasn't bad.

1405
01:06:07,360 --> 01:06:08,919
Speaker 3: So it was it was. It was a good week

1406
01:06:08,920 --> 01:06:11,120
Speaker 3: for MLS, a great star. Outside of the LA game

1407
01:06:11,240 --> 01:06:11,800
Speaker 3: was a good start.

1408
01:06:12,560 --> 01:06:14,840
Speaker 5: What you said right there off the top, like we

1409
01:06:14,920 --> 01:06:18,840
Speaker 5: got to wait and see until June. But in reality,

1410
01:06:18,960 --> 01:06:20,720
Speaker 5: with this deal, it's like you gotta wait like four

1411
01:06:20,800 --> 01:06:23,120
Speaker 5: years with the way that like the rsns are going,

1412
01:06:23,200 --> 01:06:27,480
Speaker 5: like Bally Sports is going bankrupt, like here locally in

1413
01:06:27,560 --> 01:06:29,520
Speaker 5: New York, MSG is now just going to go to

1414
01:06:29,560 --> 01:06:32,560
Speaker 5: a is going to launch a direct to consumer thing channel.

1415
01:06:33,400 --> 01:06:36,560
Speaker 5: And like I think back to like twenty years when

1416
01:06:36,560 --> 01:06:38,840
Speaker 5: I was like Fox Soccer Plus, Like that's what I

1417
01:06:38,880 --> 01:06:42,440
Speaker 5: had to watch, like before Anthony was born, right, Like,

1418
01:06:42,480 --> 01:06:44,640
Speaker 5: if I wanted to watch Everton, that like I had

1419
01:06:44,680 --> 01:06:48,920
Speaker 5: to either like find like a hacker to like find

1420
01:06:49,440 --> 01:06:53,680
Speaker 5: an illegal stream or Fox Soccer Hope to god, Fox

1421
01:06:53,720 --> 01:06:56,360
Speaker 5: Soccer Plus would have it on in between like Sky

1422
01:06:56,400 --> 01:07:00,240
Speaker 5: Sports News and Cricket. And I think so, like in

1423
01:07:00,520 --> 01:07:03,320
Speaker 5: a way, I wonder if, like, in like four years

1424
01:07:03,320 --> 01:07:04,920
Speaker 5: from now, are we going to be saying it was

1425
01:07:04,960 --> 01:07:08,480
Speaker 5: actually kind of a genius move by MLS to do

1426
01:07:08,520 --> 01:07:12,720
Speaker 5: this early, right, to go full all in on streaming early,

1427
01:07:13,320 --> 01:07:16,120
Speaker 5: especially as a league that you know, let's call it

1428
01:07:16,120 --> 01:07:20,080
Speaker 5: what it is like not on the radar for most

1429
01:07:20,200 --> 01:07:24,480
Speaker 5: casual sports fans, even casual soccer fans, right, Like, So

1430
01:07:25,200 --> 01:07:28,000
Speaker 5: that's my question here, is like four years from.

1431
01:07:27,880 --> 01:07:30,320
Speaker 3: Now, it's your numbers game. It's a numbers game. And

1432
01:07:30,360 --> 01:07:32,760
Speaker 3: so when when you make a lot of promises and

1433
01:07:32,840 --> 01:07:36,160
Speaker 3: you want viewership, and the numbers that I gave you

1434
01:07:36,240 --> 01:07:39,120
Speaker 3: last week may have been the under the undercut of

1435
01:07:39,200 --> 01:07:41,520
Speaker 3: it was over two hundred thousand, let's just call it

1436
01:07:41,640 --> 01:07:46,400
Speaker 3: or or or the viewing audience of these games, and

1437
01:07:46,440 --> 01:07:48,800
Speaker 3: they weren't having to pay for it. And now that

1438
01:07:48,840 --> 01:07:52,080
Speaker 3: we're expecting those kind of numbers for people that have

1439
01:07:52,160 --> 01:07:54,200
Speaker 3: to pay for it, there's been a great reaction to

1440
01:07:54,280 --> 01:07:57,080
Speaker 3: people that saw it. And maybe if you need four

1441
01:07:57,160 --> 01:07:59,400
Speaker 3: years to build it up to an audience of two

1442
01:07:59,480 --> 01:08:01,680
Speaker 3: hundred thousand, that's that's that's not going to work either.

1443
01:08:02,600 --> 01:08:04,640
Speaker 3: For that is because when you have the outis of

1444
01:08:04,680 --> 01:08:06,919
Speaker 3: the world or the people that are spending money on

1445
01:08:06,920 --> 01:08:11,400
Speaker 3: on on time and ad time, if if if they're

1446
01:08:11,440 --> 01:08:16,479
Speaker 3: looking at a twenty five thousand audience that doesn't it

1447
01:08:16,479 --> 01:08:19,200
Speaker 3: doesn't add up, they will ask for their money back.

1448
01:08:19,280 --> 01:08:20,920
Speaker 3: And so that it's it's when I say it's a

1449
01:08:20,960 --> 01:08:23,840
Speaker 3: wait and see, uh, it's it's going to be a

1450
01:08:23,880 --> 01:08:28,439
Speaker 3: difficult uh situation for Don Garber because he told those

1451
01:08:28,479 --> 01:08:30,120
Speaker 3: owners that they'd make money off of this, and he's

1452
01:08:30,160 --> 01:08:32,160
Speaker 3: already asking for a couple of million from each of

1453
01:08:32,200 --> 01:08:34,479
Speaker 3: them to make it work. As they're over budget, so

1454
01:08:35,320 --> 01:08:38,680
Speaker 3: maybe it might be a pretty tumultuous first year. Four

1455
01:08:38,760 --> 01:08:41,360
Speaker 3: years is God knows where we'll be in four years,

1456
01:08:41,360 --> 01:08:44,400
Speaker 3: but it's got to get through this first phase. There's

1457
01:08:44,400 --> 01:08:46,639
Speaker 3: a lot of questions to be asked, and the sponsors

1458
01:08:46,680 --> 01:08:48,639
Speaker 3: are the ones that are are the ones that might

1459
01:08:49,280 --> 01:08:52,440
Speaker 3: not pull the plug, but but certainly show their discontent

1460
01:08:52,560 --> 01:08:54,080
Speaker 3: for lack of viewership.

1461
01:08:55,400 --> 01:08:57,880
Speaker 4: You mentioned Minnesota as a dark horse. I'm curious. You know,

1462
01:08:57,920 --> 01:08:59,240
Speaker 4: we look at the odds board. We don't talk a

1463
01:08:59,240 --> 01:09:01,760
Speaker 4: ton of MLS here for the reason you mentioned. I mean,

1464
01:09:01,760 --> 01:09:04,840
Speaker 4: it's just it's a chaotic league. Once the domestic year

1465
01:09:04,960 --> 01:09:06,880
Speaker 4: ends in Euroupe, like I need a break, I can't

1466
01:09:06,920 --> 01:09:10,360
Speaker 4: go right into MLS full throttle. Is there a pick

1467
01:09:10,360 --> 01:09:13,000
Speaker 4: a team you're eyeing up? LAFC is the favorite plus

1468
01:09:13,000 --> 01:09:16,720
Speaker 4: four fifty Philly plus six fifty NYC, Austin eleven and

1469
01:09:16,760 --> 01:09:19,679
Speaker 4: sixteen to one, the Galaxy seventeen, Minnesota thirty two to one.

1470
01:09:20,000 --> 01:09:21,759
Speaker 4: Is there a team you're eyeing up, maybe as a

1471
01:09:21,840 --> 01:09:22,600
Speaker 4: dark course.

1472
01:09:22,640 --> 01:09:25,080
Speaker 3: In Nashville as well. I mean, look, let's face it,

1473
01:09:25,160 --> 01:09:28,000
Speaker 3: Gary Smith has done a year in year out, first

1474
01:09:28,080 --> 01:09:32,240
Speaker 3: year seventh place or sixth seventh place sixth third. I mean,

1475
01:09:32,280 --> 01:09:35,240
Speaker 3: he just continually gets better. He just got to reupt

1476
01:09:35,280 --> 01:09:39,280
Speaker 3: his deal. I think he's got a really good team.

1477
01:09:40,200 --> 01:09:44,479
Speaker 3: He's got all the pieces in place, and he's got

1478
01:09:44,479 --> 01:09:48,040
Speaker 3: an unbelievable support system with the following they have in Nashville,

1479
01:09:48,080 --> 01:09:51,960
Speaker 3: So look out for them. That's your Minnesota, excuse me,

1480
01:09:51,960 --> 01:09:54,320
Speaker 3: in Nashville, or the two teams that I'm keeping my

1481
01:09:54,360 --> 01:09:59,160
Speaker 3: eye on this year. There's obviously with LAFC looking to

1482
01:09:59,200 --> 01:10:02,280
Speaker 3: repeat Austin looks like it's a little bit more problematic

1483
01:10:02,360 --> 01:10:06,200
Speaker 3: than we all thought from from the get go. It's

1484
01:10:06,360 --> 01:10:08,880
Speaker 3: there's just a lot more going on. Let's just let's

1485
01:10:08,920 --> 01:10:11,960
Speaker 3: just before I you know, get too crazy there. But

1486
01:10:12,000 --> 01:10:13,439
Speaker 3: there are the teams that I think are going to

1487
01:10:13,479 --> 01:10:16,960
Speaker 3: tank again, unfortunately, with San Jose being one of them,

1488
01:10:17,000 --> 01:10:20,320
Speaker 3: which if you watch that, if that was that was

1489
01:10:20,520 --> 01:10:23,439
Speaker 3: Almanic gets two goals, you know, he wins the World Cup.

1490
01:10:24,200 --> 01:10:25,920
Speaker 3: Messi says a lot of great things about him. We

1491
01:10:25,920 --> 01:10:27,880
Speaker 3: all said yeah, yeah, yeah, and then wow, you know,

1492
01:10:28,000 --> 01:10:31,840
Speaker 3: ninety minute, ninety nine minute, two goals, Uh, dramatic win

1493
01:10:31,920 --> 01:10:36,680
Speaker 3: for Atlanta. I know that that's an unhappy group. I'm

1494
01:10:36,720 --> 01:10:39,360
Speaker 3: hearing that from various sources. We'll see how they that

1495
01:10:39,439 --> 01:10:42,320
Speaker 3: that all pans out. And I guess lastly, it never

1496
01:10:42,479 --> 01:10:46,280
Speaker 3: count out Seattle. You know Schmetzer, He's had to have

1497
01:10:46,320 --> 01:10:49,559
Speaker 3: some turnover this year. Still has a very good team,

1498
01:10:49,640 --> 01:10:53,920
Speaker 3: probably needs another forward. But I would say in order

1499
01:10:54,640 --> 01:10:57,040
Speaker 3: my favorites this year, as far as dark horses are

1500
01:10:57,520 --> 01:11:00,479
Speaker 3: are going to provide us with some unexpected to moments,

1501
01:11:00,520 --> 01:11:02,679
Speaker 3: you'd be Nashville, Minnesota and then Seattle.

1502
01:11:03,680 --> 01:11:05,639
Speaker 2: Let's transition a little bit over to the US men's

1503
01:11:05,720 --> 01:11:08,439
Speaker 2: national team. Eunice Musa is in the news today for

1504
01:11:08,520 --> 01:11:12,800
Speaker 2: Brito Romano tweeted out that he's probably gonna leave Valencia

1505
01:11:12,840 --> 01:11:16,120
Speaker 2: this summer and that Chelsea and both Arsenal and very interested.

1506
01:11:16,800 --> 01:11:18,960
Speaker 2: Do you think that's a good move for him at

1507
01:11:18,960 --> 01:11:22,400
Speaker 2: this stage given the squad depth that both those teams have,

1508
01:11:22,640 --> 01:11:24,519
Speaker 2: or would he need better suited trying to play for

1509
01:11:24,920 --> 01:11:26,600
Speaker 2: maybe a mid level team in the Premier League or

1510
01:11:26,600 --> 01:11:28,599
Speaker 2: making a move to one of the other big five leagues.

1511
01:11:29,040 --> 01:11:31,120
Speaker 3: Well, and let's just put it this way, when you're

1512
01:11:31,160 --> 01:11:35,719
Speaker 3: trying to move your player to the EPL, just bring

1513
01:11:35,760 --> 01:11:39,080
Speaker 3: in the big boys and talk about Arsenal and Chelsea.

1514
01:11:39,160 --> 01:11:41,280
Speaker 3: Whether it's real or not, and you'll end up on

1515
01:11:41,360 --> 01:11:45,280
Speaker 3: west Ham. That's how it works. It's just the reality

1516
01:11:45,320 --> 01:11:50,120
Speaker 3: of about what these guys do. These agents are doing

1517
01:11:50,160 --> 01:11:52,080
Speaker 3: all the time. They're trying to position their client in

1518
01:11:52,120 --> 01:11:54,240
Speaker 3: the best spot possible, and they try to pretend like

1519
01:11:54,280 --> 01:11:56,920
Speaker 3: everybody's interested. Well, I just got off the phone with Chelsea.

1520
01:11:57,200 --> 01:12:01,040
Speaker 3: Yeah right, yeah, it's not true. Just back off, take

1521
01:12:01,080 --> 01:12:04,000
Speaker 3: a breath, uh and and realize that Musse had had

1522
01:12:04,160 --> 01:12:06,759
Speaker 3: a wonderful World Cup to all for all intents purposes,

1523
01:12:07,160 --> 01:12:10,160
Speaker 3: he's not having a good a good year. Uh. And

1524
01:12:10,200 --> 01:12:12,520
Speaker 3: it's just a matter of getting him out of extracting

1525
01:12:12,600 --> 01:12:14,720
Speaker 3: him out of a team that looks like it might

1526
01:12:14,760 --> 01:12:17,320
Speaker 3: even be going down. So let's not get too caught up,

1527
01:12:17,360 --> 01:12:19,960
Speaker 3: and it'd be a good move. We we've heard the

1528
01:12:20,000 --> 01:12:23,160
Speaker 3: same stuff about McKinney, didn't we It was mckinnie's going

1529
01:12:23,160 --> 01:12:25,639
Speaker 3: to Arsenal. He's going to Arsenal. No, he's not going

1530
01:12:25,680 --> 01:12:30,080
Speaker 3: to Arsenal. Grow up, everybody, just don't believe everything you read.

1531
01:12:30,880 --> 01:12:33,400
Speaker 3: I know that Chelsea has got there there. They're walled out.

1532
01:12:33,479 --> 01:12:36,559
Speaker 3: They bought everybody in the world, but they're certainly not

1533
01:12:36,680 --> 01:12:39,920
Speaker 3: interested in employee Musa as as one of their uh.

1534
01:12:40,760 --> 01:12:43,679
Speaker 3: I don't want to say next mistakes, but they certainly

1535
01:12:43,720 --> 01:12:45,479
Speaker 3: are making a bunch of them right now. But he's

1536
01:12:45,520 --> 01:12:48,559
Speaker 3: not going to either one of those places. But start

1537
01:12:48,560 --> 01:12:52,400
Speaker 3: talking about other London clubs because that's the real target, all.

1538
01:12:52,400 --> 01:12:58,560
Speaker 2: Right now, Very Jay's team Fulham, Yeah full hey Mitrovich

1539
01:12:59,280 --> 01:13:03,400
Speaker 2: because why not? Right Yeah, Robinson a ream right now.

1540
01:13:03,400 --> 01:13:06,200
Speaker 3: I mean obviously their performance a couple of days ago

1541
01:13:06,600 --> 01:13:09,960
Speaker 3: was a monster. Yeah, and it's it's terrific. I mean

1542
01:13:10,000 --> 01:13:12,120
Speaker 3: it's like, you know, I call my son a twenty

1543
01:13:12,120 --> 01:13:14,240
Speaker 3: one year old ginger and every time I pick piss

1544
01:13:14,360 --> 01:13:16,360
Speaker 3: the phony as you see Tim Riem. I mean it's

1545
01:13:16,439 --> 01:13:20,080
Speaker 3: it's what Tim is doing is remarkable.

1546
01:13:20,360 --> 01:13:23,599
Speaker 5: Yeah, and not just from a like a national team's perspective,

1547
01:13:23,680 --> 01:13:25,439
Speaker 5: right like not because we're American, Like I feel like

1548
01:13:25,439 --> 01:13:28,240
Speaker 5: you he should be getting a little bit more respect. Well,

1549
01:13:28,280 --> 01:13:31,120
Speaker 5: he wanted to season really season is insane for a

1550
01:13:31,160 --> 01:13:32,040
Speaker 5: thirty five year old.

1551
01:13:32,360 --> 01:13:38,160
Speaker 3: But Clive Allen, who's not always the most complimentary of commentators,

1552
01:13:38,560 --> 01:13:41,560
Speaker 3: wouldn't shut up the other night about how well he

1553
01:13:41,680 --> 01:13:45,720
Speaker 3: played there. He is again and there's an explanation there too.

1554
01:13:45,920 --> 01:13:48,920
Speaker 3: When you're thirty four years old and I talked indirectly

1555
01:13:48,960 --> 01:13:51,200
Speaker 3: to Tim actually this morning, which is the guy that

1556
01:13:51,200 --> 01:13:54,200
Speaker 3: does his podcast with him, and we were discussing, you know,

1557
01:13:55,200 --> 01:13:58,200
Speaker 3: you know, going on his podcast middle of the month,

1558
01:13:58,200 --> 01:14:02,320
Speaker 3: I guess. And one of the things about Tim and

1559
01:14:02,360 --> 01:14:04,920
Speaker 3: what he's saying is is I feel like I've seen

1560
01:14:04,960 --> 01:14:08,800
Speaker 3: so many repetitions that I know where to be now

1561
01:14:09,120 --> 01:14:11,479
Speaker 3: and what needs to be said. If you're fulla right now,

1562
01:14:11,479 --> 01:14:14,519
Speaker 3: you're playing on with house money. So it's not that

1563
01:14:15,760 --> 01:14:17,559
Speaker 3: he's going to go to the position where his coach

1564
01:14:17,640 --> 01:14:20,160
Speaker 3: told him to go. He's going to read the play.

1565
01:14:20,479 --> 01:14:22,519
Speaker 3: He's actually going to trust himself. He's going to have

1566
01:14:22,560 --> 01:14:24,840
Speaker 3: a moment there where his instincts take over and he's

1567
01:14:24,840 --> 01:14:28,320
Speaker 3: not doing what he's told. He's actually making plays. Trust me.

1568
01:14:28,360 --> 01:14:31,200
Speaker 3: Coaches will take full credit for it after it's over anyway.

1569
01:14:31,680 --> 01:14:33,479
Speaker 3: But that's the kind of guy still there is he's

1570
01:14:33,560 --> 01:14:37,200
Speaker 3: letting those guys understand their positions and they're playing out

1571
01:14:37,200 --> 01:14:39,240
Speaker 3: of their skin right now. But I just think he's

1572
01:14:39,280 --> 01:14:41,839
Speaker 3: in we call it the nevers. When you get over thirty.

1573
01:14:42,280 --> 01:14:44,200
Speaker 3: He's never been this tired, never been this hard to

1574
01:14:44,200 --> 01:14:48,080
Speaker 3: get to work, never been this long to recover. But

1575
01:14:48,120 --> 01:14:51,240
Speaker 3: once you get through the nevers. You have that little

1576
01:14:51,240 --> 01:14:53,800
Speaker 3: phase and it's usually between thirty two and thirty six

1577
01:14:54,160 --> 01:14:57,040
Speaker 3: where you've never felt this good and you never you

1578
01:14:57,160 --> 01:15:02,120
Speaker 3: never played this great because you're actually every day is special.

1579
01:15:02,280 --> 01:15:03,920
Speaker 3: You know how to take care of yourself. You're a

1580
01:15:03,920 --> 01:15:06,080
Speaker 3: good pro. You're not going out with a twenty three

1581
01:15:06,160 --> 01:15:07,719
Speaker 3: year olds. You got a kid, you got a family.

1582
01:15:08,080 --> 01:15:10,000
Speaker 3: You end up you end up acting like a pro,

1583
01:15:10,080 --> 01:15:11,960
Speaker 3: and you start playing like a pro, and you have

1584
01:15:12,200 --> 01:15:15,519
Speaker 3: all of the wisdom now to do that. Notice how

1585
01:15:15,520 --> 01:15:17,360
Speaker 3: many times he's always where he should be at the

1586
01:15:17,439 --> 01:15:20,200
Speaker 3: end of the play. It's like a Bamford little nudge right,

1587
01:15:20,280 --> 01:15:22,680
Speaker 3: and Bamford doesn't get a shot off, or it's a

1588
01:15:22,680 --> 01:15:25,519
Speaker 3: slide tackle that he just hits him off the toe right.

1589
01:15:25,640 --> 01:15:29,320
Speaker 3: It's because he read the play appropriately and said, you

1590
01:15:29,360 --> 01:15:31,200
Speaker 3: know what, I think that guy's going to go there.

1591
01:15:31,600 --> 01:15:34,360
Speaker 3: So he's already got two steps on him. And you know,

1592
01:15:34,640 --> 01:15:37,160
Speaker 3: we can appreciate it. We can go all those silly

1593
01:15:37,520 --> 01:15:40,639
Speaker 3: you know cliches, the fine wines and all of that.

1594
01:15:41,600 --> 01:15:43,600
Speaker 3: Tim Reim is in the form of his life and

1595
01:15:43,640 --> 01:15:45,479
Speaker 3: he's enjoying the hell out of this and his team

1596
01:15:45,560 --> 01:15:47,639
Speaker 3: is benefiting from it. For sure.

1597
01:15:48,520 --> 01:15:49,439
Speaker 1: It's a great story.

1598
01:15:49,680 --> 01:15:53,160
Speaker 5: All right, we'll wrap there, but before we let you go,

1599
01:15:53,560 --> 01:15:57,160
Speaker 5: we need a underdog from you, Boca.

1600
01:15:57,439 --> 01:15:59,920
Speaker 1: Excuse me, glad back. A couple of weeks ago.

1601
01:16:00,040 --> 01:16:01,840
Speaker 3: I glo back and screwed it up on the Frank.

1602
01:16:01,920 --> 01:16:06,439
Speaker 5: I thought, that's it's still you still are you still

1603
01:16:06,439 --> 01:16:07,800
Speaker 5: are in the in the black.

1604
01:16:07,880 --> 01:16:09,599
Speaker 3: I'm still I'm still in a good standing. Yeah.

1605
01:16:11,120 --> 01:16:13,040
Speaker 1: Lose three more in a row and then we'll have

1606
01:16:13,040 --> 01:16:13,519
Speaker 1: a different game.

1607
01:16:13,880 --> 01:16:15,920
Speaker 3: We have an issue, uh, and then we gotta we

1608
01:16:16,000 --> 01:16:18,800
Speaker 3: gotta fill out our taxes, which well is in fun.

1609
01:16:19,040 --> 01:16:22,960
Speaker 3: Now Listen, I think looking at the slate, I mean

1610
01:16:23,000 --> 01:16:25,800
Speaker 3: the big games are clearly there. Stutgard has no chance

1611
01:16:25,880 --> 01:16:30,720
Speaker 3: against Byers, so let's let's just forget that. The bottom dwellers.

1612
01:16:31,360 --> 01:16:33,879
Speaker 3: I almost want to say, your sure thing is bohom

1613
01:16:33,960 --> 01:16:37,439
Speaker 3: and shallka will be zero zero? Okay, great, Thomas Rice,

1614
01:16:37,479 --> 01:16:39,440
Speaker 3: you got two goals against Stuttgart.

1615
01:16:39,840 --> 01:16:42,439
Speaker 1: That would be what second draw of the season. That's

1616
01:16:42,439 --> 01:16:43,200
Speaker 1: pretty hard to do.

1617
01:16:44,000 --> 01:16:48,000
Speaker 3: But but you know, one of them, neither one of

1618
01:16:48,000 --> 01:16:50,400
Speaker 3: them are going to figure it out. The big game,

1619
01:16:50,520 --> 01:16:55,240
Speaker 3: obviously is a Friday night is lipstick and endorsement. I

1620
01:16:55,280 --> 01:16:58,840
Speaker 3: think that's the most appealing, UH game on the slate.

1621
01:16:58,920 --> 01:17:05,439
Speaker 3: I think what Berlin Well Union, that game just doesn't

1622
01:17:05,439 --> 01:17:10,280
Speaker 3: interest me at at at all. Looking at the Bundesliga, though,

1623
01:17:10,320 --> 01:17:12,479
Speaker 3: I think all eyes will be on that Friday night

1624
01:17:12,560 --> 01:17:15,719
Speaker 3: or and that's that's uh, it's a big one. If

1625
01:17:15,800 --> 01:17:17,280
Speaker 3: I'm gonna say, if I'm going to go on a

1626
01:17:17,360 --> 01:17:19,200
Speaker 3: on a on a limb here, I'm gonna say over

1627
01:17:19,479 --> 01:17:23,639
Speaker 3: four goals, possible five goals and dortmant as your winner.

1628
01:17:23,840 --> 01:17:25,960
Speaker 3: So that's gonna be a fun one to watch. I

1629
01:17:26,200 --> 01:17:28,360
Speaker 3: think it's gonna be lights out or lights on or

1630
01:17:28,400 --> 01:17:30,240
Speaker 3: whatever you want to call. I'm saying three to two

1631
01:17:30,400 --> 01:17:32,960
Speaker 3: to Dormunt, which is which is saying something.

1632
01:17:34,040 --> 01:17:36,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean Dormuns tied and if they're they're the

1633
01:17:36,760 --> 01:17:38,479
Speaker 4: only team that really has a chance at this point

1634
01:17:38,520 --> 01:17:40,000
Speaker 4: to to dethron Byron.

1635
01:17:40,160 --> 01:17:44,599
Speaker 3: So especially if they and you won't won't figure it out,

1636
01:17:44,600 --> 01:17:47,760
Speaker 3: they won't Freyburg will fall off. Uh we we know

1637
01:17:47,840 --> 01:17:52,000
Speaker 3: that's coming. Uh So it's it's all of the teams

1638
01:17:52,040 --> 01:17:54,320
Speaker 3: that I thought would would be spoilers, the Wolfsburg's, the

1639
01:17:54,360 --> 01:17:58,599
Speaker 3: labor Cusins that that's starting to get a little bit tricky.

1640
01:17:58,680 --> 01:18:01,280
Speaker 3: If you guys start watching the second Bundesliga start asking

1641
01:18:01,320 --> 01:18:03,840
Speaker 3: me questions about that. That's my bread and butter.

1642
01:18:03,880 --> 01:18:04,519
Speaker 4: But I'll go.

1643
01:18:04,840 --> 01:18:07,519
Speaker 3: I'll go Dormant. I think they take them. I think

1644
01:18:07,520 --> 01:18:10,759
Speaker 3: it's going to be another thriller. Three to two, possibly

1645
01:18:10,800 --> 01:18:13,439
Speaker 3: four to two to Dormund lovely.

1646
01:18:14,320 --> 01:18:17,240
Speaker 5: And on that note, we will end this episode of

1647
01:18:17,320 --> 01:18:21,120
Speaker 5: One or Goal. BJ Cunningham, Anthony Dubundo and Eric Guinalda.

1648
01:18:21,200 --> 01:18:21,879
Speaker 5: Michael Leeboff.

1649
01:18:21,960 --> 01:18:25,400
Speaker 1: We will see you again next week.

1650
01:18:31,840 --> 01:18:36,360
Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1651
01:18:36,400 --> 01:18:39,200
Speaker 4: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1652
01:18:39,200 --> 01:18:42,360
Speaker 4: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler