WEBVTT - Fantasy baseball, IPA's, bandwagon fans, and more... 0:00:00.560 --> 0:00:03.640 Hey, thanks for downloading the podcast, and remember, if you 0:00:03.680 --> 0:00:07.160 want to listen live, download the I Heart Radio app, 0:00:07.240 --> 0:00:10.080 download the tune and app and just search for Fantasy 0:00:10.240 --> 0:00:14.760 Sports Radio Network and you could listen to this program live. Also, 0:00:14.920 --> 0:00:17.320 if you want to watch the video of this podcast, 0:00:17.600 --> 0:00:20.960 check us out on YouTube, on twitch, or on Periscope 0:00:21.120 --> 0:00:25.079 and type in you guessed Fantasy Sports Network. You'll find 0:00:25.160 --> 0:00:30.440 us there. Enjoy the show and thanks for listening. You're 0:00:30.600 --> 0:00:36.720 listening to the Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Did let me 0:00:36.840 --> 0:00:48.599 just become best friends? Fantasy best Friends forever? All right, 0:00:48.680 --> 0:00:52.440 let's do this. Welcome inside Studio thirty four, the Fantasy 0:00:52.560 --> 0:00:57.200 best Friends Forever. Oh, Greg, justus me. Frank stand will 0:00:57.240 --> 0:00:59.920 shout out to Greggy, who's lounging out there in Florida 0:01:00.080 --> 0:01:03.080 right now? A little bit better weather. Here you go, 0:01:04.200 --> 0:01:07.360 live live shot of Greig something. You know, I just 0:01:07.360 --> 0:01:09.640 thought i'd let's just get it in there, you know, 0:01:09.720 --> 0:01:11.840 right off the top of the show. Here that is 0:01:11.880 --> 0:01:14.640 a legit shot that Greg has sent me of himself 0:01:14.680 --> 0:01:19.919 lounging in Florida. Um, yeah, it's sunny there, eight plus degrees. 0:01:19.959 --> 0:01:22.720 We're here in New York City. We're here in New 0:01:22.800 --> 0:01:25.279 York City. Who's we I mean Frank's you know he's alone. 0:01:25.360 --> 0:01:27.840 There's no Greg. Did you bringing another best friend? Well, 0:01:27.880 --> 0:01:30.120 we're about to find out, because as much as I 0:01:30.160 --> 0:01:32.600 like Greg, he's cool. He's a good guy in the 0:01:32.640 --> 0:01:36.440 presence of greatness a millionaire. Drew nick Myer of Daily 0:01:36.440 --> 0:01:40.399 Breau dot Com is here in studio live through. First 0:01:40.400 --> 0:01:41.800 of all, I have to ask you, how did you 0:01:41.840 --> 0:01:44.000 sleep last night? Second of all, how are you enjoying 0:01:44.040 --> 0:01:46.920 the snow? I'm I'm not enjoying the snow because I'm 0:01:46.920 --> 0:01:49.080 in the studio. I don't have no intention of leaving 0:01:49.160 --> 0:01:52.520 the studio or this hotel today and battling that snow outside. 0:01:52.560 --> 0:01:56.160 I did sleep great last night. Uh surprisingly none. None 0:01:56.160 --> 0:01:58.320 of the city noise had any effect on me. I 0:01:58.360 --> 0:02:01.360 guess I'm a custom from from visiting friends up here 0:02:01.440 --> 0:02:03.640 that the sirens going by in the middle of the 0:02:03.720 --> 0:02:06.320 night don't bother me. Make sure you follow Drew at 0:02:06.360 --> 0:02:10.320 Drew dink Meyer over on Twitter. Yeah, so basically you 0:02:10.360 --> 0:02:13.440 and Greg just swapped spots because normally you're from You're 0:02:13.440 --> 0:02:15.840 from Fort lauda day, You're you're always in Florida. You 0:02:15.919 --> 0:02:19.040 enjoyed the weather all year round. Now we're here in 0:02:19.080 --> 0:02:22.240 New York and snow and yeah, he went there to 0:02:22.280 --> 0:02:24.840 go visit his mom. He's hanging out. This was a 0:02:24.840 --> 0:02:27.800 shot from yesterday on his birthday. He turned fifty yesterday. 0:02:27.840 --> 0:02:30.160 We found out Greg sucks a little bit older than 0:02:30.160 --> 0:02:32.320 the rest of us. But you know, he was enjoying 0:02:32.360 --> 0:02:34.120 a nice little fruity beverage. So there you go, Greg 0:02:34.160 --> 0:02:37.080 Susman out there in Florida and we're here still holding 0:02:37.120 --> 0:02:39.560 down the fort. It's snowing and it's a good time 0:02:39.639 --> 0:02:42.520 here with Drew dink Meyer live in studio. So my 0:02:42.560 --> 0:02:46.880 plan for today was kind of an intro to MLB dfs. 0:02:46.960 --> 0:02:49.760 How does it differ from all the other dfs forwards 0:02:49.840 --> 0:02:53.079 basketball football. You hear the word variance a lot when 0:02:53.160 --> 0:02:57.000 talking about MLB d dfs, and you know, I think, 0:02:57.080 --> 0:03:01.120 obviously a single game slate or days slate worth of 0:03:01.240 --> 0:03:05.440 MLB dfs, it's really a microcosm of like the season 0:03:05.480 --> 0:03:07.800 long that we play. There's a lot of luck involved, 0:03:07.960 --> 0:03:10.919 like you see, and we talked about it with starting pitchers. 0:03:10.960 --> 0:03:13.680 We look at the r A indicators. Um, I think 0:03:13.720 --> 0:03:15.880 Aaron Nola. You look at his year by year production, 0:03:16.000 --> 0:03:19.680 perfect example right where like not much changes year in 0:03:19.680 --> 0:03:22.520 and year out if you look like deeper on Aaron Nola, 0:03:22.760 --> 0:03:25.120 but as e r A fluctuates from like four point 0:03:25.160 --> 0:03:27.640 five to like last year when it was sub three. 0:03:28.040 --> 0:03:29.800 So there's a lot of luck. There's there's definitely a 0:03:29.840 --> 0:03:32.680 luck factor involved with baseball, I would say more so 0:03:32.760 --> 0:03:35.160 than any other fantasy sports. So we're gonna talk about 0:03:35.200 --> 0:03:37.160 that variance and how that kind of works itself into 0:03:37.320 --> 0:03:39.720 MLB dfs. We're also gonna get to know Drew dick 0:03:39.800 --> 0:03:41.760 Meyer because I have some questions. I had a few 0:03:41.800 --> 0:03:44.280 people downstairs give me questions that they want to ask 0:03:44.360 --> 0:03:47.440 you dick Meyer, because frankly you dick Meyer is a 0:03:47.480 --> 0:03:49.720 mystery man, so we gotta find out more about him. 0:03:49.720 --> 0:03:52.280 You know, let's just let's do this right off the top. Two. 0:03:53.320 --> 0:03:55.880 What is your favorite beverage? First? We'll start with non 0:03:55.920 --> 0:03:58.760 alcoholic for the for the under twenty one audience out there, 0:03:58.960 --> 0:04:01.480 and then give us your favorite alcoholic beverage. If you're 0:04:01.480 --> 0:04:04.600 not a big drinker, that's fine. So my favorite my 0:04:04.680 --> 0:04:07.840 favorite beverage that's non alcoholic used to be pepsi. But 0:04:07.840 --> 0:04:10.640 if I cut out soda from from my life, now 0:04:10.680 --> 0:04:14.160 made some made some health improvements. So uh, now I 0:04:14.200 --> 0:04:17.000 will go with h A smoothie. I like I I 0:04:17.080 --> 0:04:18.880 have a smoothie every day in the morning to start 0:04:18.920 --> 0:04:22.120 my day with bananas and mixed berries and protein and 0:04:22.160 --> 0:04:23.960 all that good stuff. And then I'd say my favorite 0:04:24.000 --> 0:04:26.880 alcoholic beverage. You know, I like a good I p A. 0:04:27.040 --> 0:04:29.880 But I would say, like my, I go to drink. 0:04:30.839 --> 0:04:32.960 I go to drink if I'm in, like a good 0:04:33.160 --> 0:04:36.840 bar that I that I trust is a nice vodka gimblet? 0:04:37.839 --> 0:04:40.960 What a vodka gimblet? All right? I don't I don't know. 0:04:41.040 --> 0:04:43.680 I don't know if I'm just what the heck is 0:04:43.680 --> 0:04:47.000 a vodka? Vodka a little lime juice kind of kind 0:04:47.000 --> 0:04:50.040 of shaking up almost like a martini serv in Martini glass. Like, yeah, 0:04:50.200 --> 0:04:53.480 it's a little vodka gimblet. Alright, vodka Gimlet I take 0:04:53.560 --> 0:04:55.120 I take it. You're not a big supporter of the 0:04:55.120 --> 0:04:58.719 I p A s. Frank. Now, you know my motto, 0:04:58.760 --> 0:05:01.480 the cheaper, the better, the cheap for the best the better. Yeah, 0:05:01.640 --> 0:05:05.600 I roll in the Corey Parson the Fantasy executive train 0:05:05.680 --> 0:05:08.200 of thought, where Corey is a big Core's light guy. 0:05:08.800 --> 0:05:11.040 I'm probably not gonna go that low. Probably not gonna 0:05:11.040 --> 0:05:13.960 go to the Core's light tab draft I got. I 0:05:13.960 --> 0:05:16.599 got through many years at college with Keystone Light. So 0:05:16.839 --> 0:05:19.599 Keystone light, you know, you know what Keystone light is. 0:05:19.960 --> 0:05:24.760 I mean it's it's the head of Coors Light. Poor's 0:05:24.839 --> 0:05:27.680 Light and Keystone light are you know, same batch and 0:05:27.760 --> 0:05:29.760 like the head gets filtered off and it's basically like 0:05:29.800 --> 0:05:31.760 Keystone light. See, this is why we have Drew Dinkmight here. 0:05:31.800 --> 0:05:34.440 He's you know, not only see a millionaire. Look, he's 0:05:34.480 --> 0:05:37.240 a lot smarter than myself and Greg, because first of all, 0:05:37.279 --> 0:05:39.120 I didn't know. I didn't know what a vodka gimlet 0:05:39.320 --> 0:05:42.000 was until you know, Drew just brought it up to me. 0:05:42.080 --> 0:05:44.440 Now we know what a vodka gimlet is. I'm looking 0:05:44.520 --> 0:05:46.960 up the recipe here. Two and a half ounces vodka, 0:05:47.160 --> 0:05:50.560 half ounced fresh lime juice, half ounced simple Zerup. There 0:05:50.560 --> 0:05:53.720 you go. There's a body, simple drink, simple drink and 0:05:53.800 --> 0:05:56.320 as simple serup. Drew dink Meyer simple guy. He likes 0:05:56.320 --> 0:05:58.680 a simple drink. He likes vodka gimlet. He also likes 0:05:58.680 --> 0:06:01.880 I p a s. Look, you know what, as long 0:06:01.920 --> 0:06:04.200 as it you know, it makes me have a good time. 0:06:05.000 --> 0:06:06.760 I'm not really gonna question it, so you know, that's 0:06:06.760 --> 0:06:08.960 why I go with the cheaper the better personally. You know, 0:06:09.000 --> 0:06:12.640 I like whatever light and you can light. Maybe we'll 0:06:12.640 --> 0:06:14.600 get a beer sponsor on the show one day, but 0:06:14.760 --> 0:06:17.159 all right, for now, we're gonna leave it. If you 0:06:17.160 --> 0:06:19.880 have to choose an I p A. Cigar City Highlight 0:06:20.000 --> 0:06:22.440 is my favorite I PA. It's a Tampa based brewery 0:06:22.839 --> 0:06:26.560 that just started to get like national distribution. But yeah, 0:06:26.640 --> 0:06:30.520 Cigar City Highlight my favorite highlight. My favorite I p A. 0:06:30.760 --> 0:06:32.520 The one thing I will say about I p A 0:06:32.640 --> 0:06:37.080 S one they have awesome names too. They have awesome 0:06:37.120 --> 0:06:41.360 bottles slash cans because I'll see it's it's great from 0:06:41.360 --> 0:06:43.760 like a marketing perspective, from like I p A S. 0:06:43.839 --> 0:06:46.600 In general, like differ point, you always see awesome bottom 0:06:46.920 --> 0:06:50.799 bottle labels, awesome cans for I p A S. And 0:06:51.160 --> 0:06:54.800 I'm almost enticed to buy one. That's probably why they've 0:06:54.800 --> 0:06:56.719 done so well in the beer market in the US 0:06:56.920 --> 0:06:59.680 is the strong marketing. Like we're all just shiny objects 0:06:59.680 --> 0:07:02.400 of the US. We just want the nice, pretty thing. Definitely, 0:07:02.440 --> 0:07:05.720 I'm not a big bitter guy. I don't like bitter stuff, 0:07:05.920 --> 0:07:08.520 so you know, like I PA tend to be you know, 0:07:08.720 --> 0:07:11.960 very hoppy, very bitter. You know, I don't like dark chocolate. 0:07:12.000 --> 0:07:13.560 I don't like I P A S. That's why you 0:07:13.600 --> 0:07:16.240 know me and my fiance get along so well, is because, uh, 0:07:16.920 --> 0:07:19.120 we're opposites. So if there's stuff in the fridge, like 0:07:19.160 --> 0:07:20.920 she won't take anything that's mine and I won't take 0:07:20.920 --> 0:07:23.480 anything that's sterts because she loves bitter stuff. She loves 0:07:23.480 --> 0:07:25.240 I P A S. And I just got a bunch 0:07:25.240 --> 0:07:28.480 of cheap beer in there. Anyway, intro to MLB DFS, 0:07:28.840 --> 0:07:30.680 we mentioned it earlier. We were talking a little bit 0:07:30.720 --> 0:07:35.040 before the show. Analysts mentioned variance a lot when it 0:07:35.080 --> 0:07:37.320 comes to MLB DFS. If someone's just kind of like 0:07:37.360 --> 0:07:40.160 diving in now they want to like if their toes 0:07:40.160 --> 0:07:41.840 a little bit at the start of the of the 0:07:41.960 --> 0:07:45.600 MLB season four DFS purposes, what the heck does that mean? 0:07:46.120 --> 0:07:48.560 So variance is just a way to describe kind of 0:07:48.600 --> 0:07:53.920 the standard deviation amongst projections and so um to highlight 0:07:54.040 --> 0:07:57.080 some of the challenges of projecting MLB as a whole. 0:07:57.400 --> 0:07:59.880 Um Mike Leone, one of the co founders of Daily Roda, 0:07:59.880 --> 0:08:01.680 and I were talking about kind of a check on 0:08:01.720 --> 0:08:04.240 our projections a few weeks ago in mlb DFS, and 0:08:04.280 --> 0:08:06.880 he noted that if you bucket all of the players 0:08:06.880 --> 0:08:09.360 on a given slate together, all of the hitters, and 0:08:09.440 --> 0:08:12.680 you combined with our our projection versus their average kind 0:08:12.680 --> 0:08:16.040 of air, we have like an our squared of which 0:08:16.080 --> 0:08:18.640 is really really really strong. But if you take one 0:08:18.760 --> 0:08:22.320 individual hitter and just use that as the sample instead 0:08:22.320 --> 0:08:24.480 of them all grouped together, we aren't a squared of 0:08:24.520 --> 0:08:27.720 about two, meaning that on a day to day basis, 0:08:27.760 --> 0:08:30.920 one individual hitter on that day, it's gonna be extremely 0:08:30.920 --> 0:08:33.880 tough to find a projection that that they're going to meet. 0:08:34.200 --> 0:08:36.400 But over the course of the season, if you add 0:08:36.440 --> 0:08:39.400 up all their days, will be very good at projecting them. 0:08:39.520 --> 0:08:40.960 And so what you have to do when you're playing 0:08:41.040 --> 0:08:44.200 mlb DFS is you have to understand that essentially what 0:08:44.240 --> 0:08:46.440 you're doing is you're trying to just play the game 0:08:46.559 --> 0:08:49.280 over and over and over again and recognize that each 0:08:49.280 --> 0:08:51.160 individual game is going to have a wide range of 0:08:51.240 --> 0:08:52.959 results in them. But if you play the game the 0:08:53.000 --> 0:08:54.560 same way kind of over and over again over the 0:08:54.559 --> 0:08:56.880 course of the season, you will eventually add value above 0:08:56.880 --> 0:08:59.000 your opponents. It's a difficult thing to get to because 0:08:59.000 --> 0:09:01.360 a lot of people are playing the US can't withstand 0:09:01.440 --> 0:09:04.160 kind of the craziness of you know, Bryce Harper is 0:09:04.160 --> 0:09:07.320 in a great spot in Colorado against a right handed 0:09:07.360 --> 0:09:09.880 pitcher who's like a soft tosser, and he's not gonna 0:09:09.920 --> 0:09:11.720 strike out, but then he hits you know, four line 0:09:11.800 --> 0:09:14.120 drive rocket outs and he goes over for four and 0:09:14.120 --> 0:09:16.560 gets you no fantasy. People can't deal with that fact 0:09:16.600 --> 0:09:19.080 because that doesn't happen in like the NBA. When you 0:09:19.080 --> 0:09:22.480 take Lebron James, you're getting like already five fantasy points 0:09:22.480 --> 0:09:24.960 almost every night, regardless of anything you have. The floor 0:09:25.040 --> 0:09:27.760 exact floor is much different in baseball because again, like 0:09:27.800 --> 0:09:30.200 there's so much luck that factors into things. And you know, 0:09:30.280 --> 0:09:32.120 that's a lot of what we do for scenes long too, 0:09:32.120 --> 0:09:34.800 when you know Greg and myself or Modica and myself, 0:09:35.040 --> 0:09:37.720 or do you hear Drew talking about it, and we 0:09:37.840 --> 0:09:40.400 use babbit a lot when it comes to batting average 0:09:40.400 --> 0:09:42.600 on balls and play versus batting average, where if you 0:09:42.640 --> 0:09:44.760 look at a player's hard hit rate for the season 0:09:44.760 --> 0:09:47.120 and their average exit velocity and the fact that they're 0:09:47.160 --> 0:09:49.800 hitting a lot of line drives. But for some reason 0:09:50.080 --> 0:09:52.160 about how to low babbit or their batting average was 0:09:52.160 --> 0:09:54.080 a lot lower than what their babbit was. That's what 0:09:54.320 --> 0:09:56.040 that's you know, when we try to use some of 0:09:56.040 --> 0:09:58.640 these advanced analytical tools, that's what we're doing to try 0:09:58.640 --> 0:10:01.079 and find people that are going to perform better than 0:10:01.160 --> 0:10:05.040 years past, or even for dfs, better than days past, 0:10:05.720 --> 0:10:09.960 because they've been unlucky. There's a lot more luckiness involved 0:10:10.280 --> 0:10:12.960 when it comes to MLB dfs. Yeah, there is because 0:10:13.040 --> 0:10:15.600 because of what you talked about, you know, uh, professional 0:10:15.640 --> 0:10:18.839 baseball hitter and only control two things, whether they make 0:10:18.880 --> 0:10:21.280 contact and how hard a contact they make. From there, 0:10:21.280 --> 0:10:23.480 they can't control anything else where the ball goes, where 0:10:23.520 --> 0:10:26.280 defenders are positioned. They have no control over that, and 0:10:26.320 --> 0:10:28.400 as a result, they control less of the output of 0:10:28.400 --> 0:10:31.640 their actual results. And that is why I hate, I 0:10:31.720 --> 0:10:36.079 hate the kind of old guard of you know, baseball 0:10:36.160 --> 0:10:40.120 fans and fantasy baseball players and and just like get 0:10:40.120 --> 0:10:43.840 off my lawn. Uh no, this isn't the morning get 0:10:43.840 --> 0:10:46.000 off my lawn types. You know, why are we looking 0:10:46.040 --> 0:10:49.640 at average ex velocity and stat cast and launch angle 0:10:49.840 --> 0:10:52.440 and and who cares how many degrees the ball is 0:10:52.480 --> 0:10:55.199 coming off the bat? Because you can use all these 0:10:55.240 --> 0:10:58.520 factors as future indicators as to whether or not a 0:10:58.559 --> 0:11:02.760 baseball players performing. There are so many smart people in 0:11:02.840 --> 0:11:06.080 baseball and fantasy baseball nowadays that you need to try 0:11:06.120 --> 0:11:09.319 and find any possible edge that you can get. So, 0:11:10.040 --> 0:11:12.880 you know, Baseball savant dot com. You go there now 0:11:13.080 --> 0:11:15.880 and they are just super forward thinking. They have all 0:11:15.920 --> 0:11:19.000 the stack cast stats. You know, you'll hear the term barrels, 0:11:19.360 --> 0:11:22.760 barrel is you know, optimal contact. Actually have written down 0:11:22.800 --> 0:11:25.560 on like a page here so I can remind myself 0:11:25.600 --> 0:11:28.440 because it's a lot to remember. Honestly, a barrel, it's 0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:31.840 optimal contact in baseball at least ninety eight miles per hour, 0:11:32.240 --> 0:11:36.400 average eggs velocity, between twenty six and thirty three launch angle. 0:11:36.480 --> 0:11:39.000 What does all this mean? It's optimal contact. If you 0:11:39.080 --> 0:11:42.400 make that contact, you're expected to have a five batting 0:11:42.400 --> 0:11:45.840 average and hundred slugging percentage when you make that contact. 0:11:45.880 --> 0:11:48.680 So when you hear the term barrel, that's what we're 0:11:48.679 --> 0:11:51.520 talking about. And you know, for people who are, oh, 0:11:51.600 --> 0:11:53.520 you know, why do I care how far a ball 0:11:53.559 --> 0:11:55.720 travels or how hard it's being hit and or what 0:11:55.880 --> 0:11:58.840 the launch angle is is? You know, these these are 0:11:58.920 --> 0:12:03.560 factors that you can use is to predict future performance, right, true. Yeah, 0:12:03.600 --> 0:12:06.199 So the stat all the stack ca ast indicators. It's 0:12:06.200 --> 0:12:08.000 gonna be interesting the next few years of what we 0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:10.840 can find that is actually predictive going forward, because right 0:12:10.840 --> 0:12:13.680 now they're mostly descriptive, which doesn't mean they're not useful 0:12:13.720 --> 0:12:16.680 in predicting the future. They absolutely are. But the stability 0:12:16.720 --> 0:12:18.480 of these statistics, it's gonna take some time to kind 0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:21.600 of figure out where they fall. So like barrels and 0:12:21.760 --> 0:12:24.400 exit velocity and all this stuff is if you relate 0:12:24.440 --> 0:12:27.440 it back to the past production, it's a great indicator 0:12:27.440 --> 0:12:29.920 of saying, Okay, this guy has this many barrels, and 0:12:29.960 --> 0:12:32.679 this guy has had a slugging percentage below fifteen hundred 0:12:32.720 --> 0:12:35.160 on the barrels, he's more likely to have a slugging 0:12:35.160 --> 0:12:38.800 percentage more closer. It doesn't mean he's gonna have like 0:12:38.880 --> 0:12:40.960 seventeen hundred. It just means over time he's gonna have 0:12:40.960 --> 0:12:45.320 more hundred. Uh. The ability to continually generate the barrels 0:12:45.520 --> 0:12:47.040 in the predictiveness, and that is going to be the 0:12:47.080 --> 0:12:49.559 interesting thing that we find out over over more time 0:12:49.559 --> 0:12:51.480 as we have more time to work with these datas. 0:12:51.480 --> 0:12:53.560 But the interesting thing about all this stuff is. You know, 0:12:53.600 --> 0:12:56.240 people will talk about um old school versus New school 0:12:56.240 --> 0:12:58.280 in terms of a lot of the statistics are really 0:12:58.320 --> 0:13:02.840 trying to find a way to analyze old school thought processes. 0:13:02.880 --> 0:13:06.240 So exit velocity that's really just a proxy for bat speed. 0:13:06.280 --> 0:13:08.880 I want to hit the ball hard speed. Every every 0:13:08.920 --> 0:13:12.479 scout that ever looked at baseball always wanted to evaluate 0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:15.600 how hard a hitter could generate a swing. How how 0:13:15.679 --> 0:13:18.080 fast were they able to generate bat speed? That shows 0:13:18.160 --> 0:13:22.280 up hard hit rates, average exit velocity. You know, and 0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:24.880 people talk a lot about the launch angle revolution, Well 0:13:24.920 --> 0:13:28.120 what does launch angle revolution? What does launch angle? Basically, 0:13:28.280 --> 0:13:30.640 it's just the angle in which the ball is leaving 0:13:30.640 --> 0:13:32.080 the bat. And when you can hear people talk about 0:13:32.120 --> 0:13:35.920 launch anglo revolution, it's everybody's trying to hit fly balls 0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:39.160 in line drives now because data has shown that hitting 0:13:39.200 --> 0:13:43.760 more line drives and hitting more UH fly balls at 0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:46.800 a at a higher average exit velocity is going to 0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:49.280 lead to more extra base hits, is going to lead 0:13:49.320 --> 0:13:52.160 to more home runs. Look at Daniel Murphy. Daniel Murphy 0:13:52.240 --> 0:13:55.280 is just the He's the poster boy. He's a perfect example. 0:13:55.600 --> 0:13:58.320 His career with the New York Mets, great contact hitter. 0:13:58.480 --> 0:14:00.640 What did he always lack? He didn't really have a 0:14:00.679 --> 0:14:02.640 lot of power. He didn't really He would always had 0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:04.360 a lot of doubles. Maybe a lot of those doubles 0:14:04.360 --> 0:14:06.360 would come online, drives, a lot of you know, balls 0:14:06.360 --> 0:14:08.920 on the ground, down the line. But you know, the 0:14:08.960 --> 0:14:11.160 past couple of years with the Washington Nationals, he turned 0:14:11.160 --> 0:14:13.520 into a twenty five home run hitter and he's hitting 0:14:13.720 --> 0:14:15.800 you know, well over three hundred. Well why is that 0:14:16.200 --> 0:14:18.079 Because he's buying into launch angle and he's trying to 0:14:18.120 --> 0:14:19.680 hit the ball in the air more more so than 0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:22.000 ever before. So that's why when we talk about you know, 0:14:22.120 --> 0:14:24.960 I swear hitting the ball harder. You know, the marks 0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:26.680 that I usually look for is you know, forty percent 0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:29.840 hard hit rate, ball rate. Now, you don't want your 0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:31.640 guy to hit the ball too much in the air, 0:14:32.080 --> 0:14:34.400 because that can be a bad thing as well. Some 0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:36.160 guys are not meant to hit the ball in the 0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:38.520 air fifty percent of the time. I remember a perfect 0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:42.800 example last year Gregory Polanco started buying into launch angle completely, 0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:45.000 but he was hitting the ball in the air too much. 0:14:45.040 --> 0:14:48.000 He had, you know, over fifty percent fly ball rate 0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:49.920 the first couple of months of the season, and everyone's 0:14:49.920 --> 0:14:52.680 looking at his batting average and and his his bad 0:14:52.960 --> 0:14:55.520 Why is it so low because the guy is you know, 0:14:56.480 --> 0:14:59.000 he's not meant to do it that often. Now, Gregory 0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:02.040 Polanco was probably a guy who should have a percent 0:15:03.360 --> 0:15:06.320 percent line drive rate and maybe closer to a forty 0:15:06.360 --> 0:15:08.560 percent fly ball rate with a you know, forty percent 0:15:08.560 --> 0:15:11.080 ground ball rate. He has enough speed to leg out 0:15:11.120 --> 0:15:14.240 some hits there. That's you know, there's a lot of 0:15:14.280 --> 0:15:16.280 moving pieces here, and I'm like throwing a lot of 0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:18.840 people right now. But you get what I'm saying, right, 0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:20.880 it's a little bit of h It's a little bit 0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:23.160 of goldilocks. And in the three bears right, you're like, 0:15:23.160 --> 0:15:25.960 you're trying to find the porridge. That's just right in 0:15:26.040 --> 0:15:29.040 terms of the combination of the different the different launch 0:15:29.080 --> 0:15:31.120 angles and where where guys are hitting the ball more 0:15:31.160 --> 0:15:34.080 frequently on the air and the ground or and plunco 0:15:34.120 --> 0:15:35.560 It took some time, but he did turn it up 0:15:35.560 --> 0:15:37.120 in the second half and turned a lot of that 0:15:37.200 --> 0:15:39.440 those fly balls into the big power jump that you 0:15:39.480 --> 0:15:41.880 saw from him. Um, but yeah, certain guys aren't meant 0:15:41.920 --> 0:15:43.040 at the ball in the air. You know, if you 0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:44.880 get I'll see these Escobar with the like a launch 0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:46.960 angle revolution that's just gonna lead to a bunch of 0:15:47.120 --> 0:15:49.600 you know, mid tier flyouts. You have to have. You 0:15:49.640 --> 0:15:51.640 have to have a big guy, strong guy who's hitting 0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:53.040 the ball hard to want to hit the ball in 0:15:53.080 --> 0:15:55.480 the air. Other guys, you know, smaller guys you you 0:15:55.520 --> 0:15:57.040 want to hit line drives and kind of keep the 0:15:57.080 --> 0:15:59.960 ball in play and and potentially, uh, you know, get 0:16:00.040 --> 0:16:03.120 to get those singles and doubles. Joey Gallo perfect example. 0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:04.920 That's who you want hitting the ball in the air 0:16:04.920 --> 0:16:06.880 fifty percent of the time because he also has a 0:16:06.920 --> 0:16:09.760 near fifty hard hit rate, and that's why he's able 0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:12.840 to maintain, you know, being in the MLB and being 0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:15.880 Fantasy Baseball relevant with a two ten batting average because 0:16:15.880 --> 0:16:18.040 he's hitting forty plus home runs. He's gonna be in 0:16:18.080 --> 0:16:21.000 the middle of a decent lineup in Texas Rangers. But 0:16:21.040 --> 0:16:22.680 he's in a good ballpark as well. There are a 0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:24.320 few more things that I want to ask Drew about. 0:16:24.320 --> 0:16:27.560 You know, ballpark here a lot, you here, park shift 0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:30.720 factors a lot when it comes to MLB dfs, and 0:16:30.800 --> 0:16:32.440 for season long, we kind of us that when we 0:16:32.480 --> 0:16:35.360 look at a guy like again, Daniel Murphy moving over 0:16:35.440 --> 0:16:37.480 from the last series with the Nationals and the Cubs. 0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:40.440 Now he's moving over to the Coulora Rockies. That's arrow up. 0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:43.960 That's a positive parkshift factor. That's exactly what we want 0:16:44.240 --> 0:16:46.000 you know. Later on the show, I might also ask 0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:47.800 you about a term that I used a little bit 0:16:47.840 --> 0:16:51.320 this year during the football season, and I was crucified. 0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:56.040 Drew a term called air yards. Nobody wants to talk 0:16:56.080 --> 0:16:58.120 about air yards. Air yards are gonna win you a 0:16:58.120 --> 0:17:02.600 Fantasy football championship through ding Meyer uses their yards. You 0:17:02.600 --> 0:17:06.399 want a million dollars? I'm not crazy after all, right, guys, 0:17:06.920 --> 0:17:09.280 Fantasy best Friends for every when we come back. Learn 0:17:09.280 --> 0:17:12.760 more about Drew war on MLB DFS. Later on the show, 0:17:12.800 --> 0:17:14.560 I'm gonna talk a little bit about trying to find 0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:18.120 the next Christian Yellow do all that. Fantasy best Friends Forever. 0:17:18.160 --> 0:17:21.280 Fantasy Sports Radio Network Frank Sample through Dicker, we are back. 0:17:28.920 --> 0:17:33.200 Daily Rodo dot Com learned from the game's best DFS players. 0:17:33.760 --> 0:17:37.760 We don't just give you advice. We play every day, 0:17:38.280 --> 0:17:42.600 all major sports, all year round. We never stopped industry 0:17:42.680 --> 0:17:46.520 leading DFS tools and custom projections, and now the Daily 0:17:46.600 --> 0:17:50.240 roado dot Com optimize her in minutes, build an optimized 0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:53.200 line up for cash games and tourneys. Learn from the 0:17:53.240 --> 0:17:58.280 game's best DS players joined daily Rodo dot com. The 0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:03.720 following ad contains king material. Listener discretion is advised. Is 0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:07.240 someone in your family playing a dangerous game of Russian Roulette? 0:18:07.440 --> 0:18:11.120 Over forty three thousand people die a year from drug overdose. 0:18:11.320 --> 0:18:15.160 A hundred and twenty people a day, five people every hour, 0:18:15.520 --> 0:18:20.840 one person every twelve minutes. Eight thousand people die every 0:18:20.920 --> 0:18:24.399 year from alcohol abuse. 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There was an 0:19:05.880 --> 0:19:07.800 article in Sports illuctated a while goal on the Bengal 0:19:07.880 --> 0:19:10.199 Super Bowl team. Only Boomer could walk right alst them. 0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:13.520 Couldn't think about that man. That is disgusting. Morris Smith 0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:15.720 made a terrible deal as the head of the union. 0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:18.239 Now they play Thursdays. That's the number one reason when 0:19:18.280 --> 0:19:20.040 they tell you they care about players safety. They could 0:19:20.040 --> 0:19:22.280 give it about it, Doc Wise that Thurs Night football. 0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:24.920 Thank you week days to the Football em Eastern on 0:19:24.920 --> 0:19:27.800 the Fantasy Sports Network and on your popular podcast providers, 0:19:38.960 --> 0:19:45.200 keep clok. Back to the Fantasy best Friends forever, Drew. 0:19:45.240 --> 0:19:47.440 One thing you're gonna learn about me? I like a 0:19:47.520 --> 0:19:50.400 bunch of different crazy music. There's Greg Susman out there 0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:55.280 in Florida lounge e on his uh public chairs each chair, 0:19:55.560 --> 0:20:00.280