WEBVTT - The Big Data Revolution 

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<v Speaker 1>Pushkin from Pushkin Industries. This is Deep Background, the show

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<v Speaker 1>where we explore the stories behind the stories in the news.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Noah Feldman. Today I'm speaking to one of the

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<v Speaker 1>most influential and extraordinary scientists I know, Eric Lander. Eric

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<v Speaker 1>is the president and founding director of the Broad Institute

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<v Speaker 1>of MIT and Harvard. He's geneticist, a molecular biologist, a

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<v Speaker 1>mathematician by original training, and he's also the host of

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<v Speaker 1>a brand new Pushkin podcast called Brave New Planet. Eric

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<v Speaker 1>has been at the epicenter of a great transformation in

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<v Speaker 1>biology and indeed of science that's taken place over the

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<v Speaker 1>last thirty years. A transformation focused most fundamentally on what

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<v Speaker 1>can be done with the gathering of greater and greater

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<v Speaker 1>and greater amounts of data about biological systems, including the

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<v Speaker 1>human body. These developments are crucial to how science is

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<v Speaker 1>being done every day, and they're absolutely crucial as well

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<v Speaker 1>to how science has responded to COVID nineteen. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>thrill to have Eric on the podcast. Eric, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much for joining us. I want to start with

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<v Speaker 1>the role you've played in really a transformative period in

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<v Speaker 1>the history of modern science, a period which in certain ways,

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<v Speaker 1>is being reflected in the cutting edge developments that are

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<v Speaker 1>happening every day that we all care about most in science,

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<v Speaker 1>including indirectly in the context of the vaccines for COVID nineteen.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's a period in which big data has come

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<v Speaker 1>to be a fundamental, some would say, the fundamental tool

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<v Speaker 1>for solving our biggest scientific problems. You came across this

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<v Speaker 1>already when you're working on the human genome project, but

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<v Speaker 1>then it's been your central focus and your creation of

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<v Speaker 1>the broad Now. I know this is a big picture question,

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<v Speaker 1>but I wonder if you would just how a few bars,

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<v Speaker 1>if you would for the audience about how this transformation

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<v Speaker 1>in the way we think about what science is and

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<v Speaker 1>how it works has come home. Now, Wow, what a

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<v Speaker 1>small question to start with. No othing. I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>a kind of high school cartoon version of what science

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<v Speaker 1>is which runs something like this, Scientists make a hypothesis

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<v Speaker 1>and then they set up a test, and then they

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<v Speaker 1>test their hypothesis and see if it holds up or

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<v Speaker 1>they should reject it. I think it misses a fundamental

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<v Speaker 1>question where do hypotheses come from? Anyway, And many of

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<v Speaker 1>the most important hypotheses come from just looking at the world.

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<v Speaker 1>And what's happened in the last twenty thirty years in

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<v Speaker 1>biology is we've been able to take almost entirely unbiased

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<v Speaker 1>looks at parts of biology. The human genome was the

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<v Speaker 1>first great example of that three billion letters of human instructions,

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<v Speaker 1>and rather than diving in with a hypothesis I think

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<v Speaker 1>this gene causes cystic fibrosis or some other aspect of

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<v Speaker 1>a disease, you can ask questions like, amongst every gene

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<v Speaker 1>in the genome, which ones show an inheritance pattern that

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<v Speaker 1>matches up with cystic fibrosis, And instead of being limited

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<v Speaker 1>to hypothesis driven science, you can do what some people

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<v Speaker 1>you know call hypothesis free science. We're never free of hypothesis,

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<v Speaker 1>but the limits are removed so much it's changed the

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<v Speaker 1>way we approach biology because it's sort of big data.

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<v Speaker 1>But what I really think about it is the big

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<v Speaker 1>data is that life keep notes in its lab notebook,

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<v Speaker 1>the genome, and in this generation, we've got access to

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<v Speaker 1>that lab notebook and we can read and the questions

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<v Speaker 1>we can ask are only limited by our creativity. Translating

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<v Speaker 1>that into practical terms, how for example, today when scientists

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<v Speaker 1>can affronted sars Covi two and said, okay, let's figure

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<v Speaker 1>this out and then let's find something to do about it.

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<v Speaker 1>How did their approach differ from the way it would

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<v Speaker 1>have looked, say twenty five or thirty years ago, or

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<v Speaker 1>four years ago actually in this case, so let me

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<v Speaker 1>give you an example. There is something called the Human

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<v Speaker 1>cell Atlas. It's probably this generation's successor to the Human

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<v Speaker 1>Genome Project. The Human Genome Project was reading out all

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<v Speaker 1>the genetic information in a human The Human Cell Atlass

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<v Speaker 1>was reading out what are all the cells in the

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<v Speaker 1>human body? By asking which of the twenty thousand genes

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<v Speaker 1>are turned on in this cell or that cell. It

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<v Speaker 1>became possible and eight years ago to start reading at

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<v Speaker 1>a single cell basis the genes that are turned on

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<v Speaker 1>and by how much in first dozens of cells, then

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<v Speaker 1>thousands of cells, then millions of cells, and eventually it'll

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<v Speaker 1>be billions of cells. And an international catalog. International program

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<v Speaker 1>to create that catalog describing all possible cells and their

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<v Speaker 1>expression patterns of genes and the states they find themselves

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<v Speaker 1>in just caught fire around the world. So then stars

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<v Speaker 1>comes along and people ask what cells might sars Covie

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<v Speaker 1>two in fact, well, it was known that the previous

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<v Speaker 1>coronavirus SARS, infected cells that had a particular gene that

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<v Speaker 1>was active goes by the name ACE two. But that

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't matter. People quickly figured out that the same gene

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<v Speaker 1>was used as the receptor for the new coronavirus. And

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<v Speaker 1>then you wanted to ask the question, what's every cell

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<v Speaker 1>in the body that expresses the receptor for the new coronavirus. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>in ancient times, meaning four years ago, one would have

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<v Speaker 1>had to have done thousands of experiments to figure that out. Instead,

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<v Speaker 1>the scientific community came together and then a matter of

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<v Speaker 1>two weeks, sifted through all the data about which genes

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<v Speaker 1>are on and off in which cell types to say, oh, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>here are the different cell types that might be infectable.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, one of the things they found was

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<v Speaker 1>the smell receptors in your nose. They made that discovery

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<v Speaker 1>and then three days later people reported that people were

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<v Speaker 1>losing their sense to smell when infected by the virus. Bingo.

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<v Speaker 1>The idea that we have lookup tables, Yeah, pretty good now,

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<v Speaker 1>but much much better in the coming years. For every

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<v Speaker 1>cell in our body is going to mean that any process,

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's a virus that's infecting us or some other

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<v Speaker 1>physiological process, we're going to be able to look up

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<v Speaker 1>signatures for it. It doesn't solve all problems, that doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>make a disease go away, but maybe it cuts a

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<v Speaker 1>year or more off the work. I guess an older

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<v Speaker 1>example would be chemistry before there was a periodic table

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<v Speaker 1>of the elements. In chemistry, after there was a periodic

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<v Speaker 1>table of the elements, didn't solve all chemistry, but no

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<v Speaker 1>chemists thought about chemistry the same way after the periodic

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<v Speaker 1>table was in evidence. Do the mRNA vaccines that are

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<v Speaker 1>in development and that have been so far attested in

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<v Speaker 1>what looks like a very promising way to address SOARS

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<v Speaker 1>covy two infection themselves owe something to these revolutions in

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<v Speaker 1>biology My impressions that they do. Oh yeah, of course,

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<v Speaker 1>How did anybody find this sarscovy two virus so quickly?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, establishing what was the virus behind AIDS HIV

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<v Speaker 1>took quite a long time. Even establishing some of these

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<v Speaker 1>other more recent novel virus that have appeared have taken

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<v Speaker 1>a long time. Now, with kind of a hypothesis free

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<v Speaker 1>brute force sequencing approach, you could take cells from infected patients,

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<v Speaker 1>sequence the genes that are getting expressed, and say, WHOA,

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<v Speaker 1>are there any genes here that aren't supposed to be

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<v Speaker 1>in humans? And when you sift the genes you see

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<v Speaker 1>in the cells versus the genes you expect in the cells,

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<v Speaker 1>the difference kind of turns out to be this virus

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<v Speaker 1>that's infecting you. You didn't need to go in with

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<v Speaker 1>the hypothesis that it wasn't necessarily a coronavirus, or that

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<v Speaker 1>you were looking for a particular kind of gene. You

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<v Speaker 1>could go in saying I think there's a virus to

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<v Speaker 1>look for what novel stuff is getting expressed. So it's

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<v Speaker 1>a great example of the ability to make discovery science

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<v Speaker 1>by looking at the big picture in a comprehensive way.

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<v Speaker 1>Kind of global views of biology have become possible, and

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<v Speaker 1>they depend on people generating data, making those data freely available,

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<v Speaker 1>a whole new generation of scientists growing up who live

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<v Speaker 1>to analyze those kind of data, and incredible creativity because

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<v Speaker 1>you'd think, oh, there's a big pile of data, you

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<v Speaker 1>just crunched it through the computer. But given a big

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<v Speaker 1>pile of information, you can ask a thousand different questions

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<v Speaker 1>and it depends on the perspective you're bringing. So I'm

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<v Speaker 1>just in awe of the creativity that people bring to

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<v Speaker 1>these questions. I think at the beginning people thought, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>all this data are boring, But of course they're an

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<v Speaker 1>invitation for incredible diversity of intellectual questions. This is a

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<v Speaker 1>philosophical question. But do you think that the changes that

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen in these recent decades count as not just

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<v Speaker 1>an evolution in the way the biology has done, but

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<v Speaker 1>in fact as a revolution, especially with respect to being

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<v Speaker 1>able to do something different than saying, here's our hypothesis. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>let's search instead being able to look at a huge

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<v Speaker 1>body of data and say, well, what are the associations?

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<v Speaker 1>What are the associations across the genome. Let's drill down

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<v Speaker 1>and see which ones turn out to be real and

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<v Speaker 1>which ones turn out not to be real. At that

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<v Speaker 1>point you can form my hypothesis. But as it were,

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<v Speaker 1>the hypothesis comes from the associations. Yeah. I think people

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<v Speaker 1>can fight over whether you should choose the word revolution,

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<v Speaker 1>but it seems to me anything that radically changes your

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<v Speaker 1>perspective deserves to be called a revolution. And this idea

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<v Speaker 1>that we used to have that we'd be good at

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<v Speaker 1>guessing what are the processes responsible for cystic fibrosis, or

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<v Speaker 1>heart disease or schizophrenia, you know, just a mystery locked

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<v Speaker 1>in people's brains. The idea that we're supposed to guess

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<v Speaker 1>that based on some prior knowledge of biology was I think,

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<v Speaker 1>doing biology with your hands tied behind your back. The

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<v Speaker 1>idea that we could range across the genome and ask

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<v Speaker 1>why there genetic variations anywhere more frequently found in people

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<v Speaker 1>who have schizophrenia, Well it turned out that instead of

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<v Speaker 1>finding one gene, it's pointed now to two hundred and

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<v Speaker 1>sixty five genes across the genome that play roles. But

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<v Speaker 1>no forward make a hypothesis based on prior knowledge could

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<v Speaker 1>possibly have produced that picture. And biologists at some point

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<v Speaker 1>argued over this new way of thinking, and now, as usual,

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<v Speaker 1>they've just absorbed it into the way biologists think. But

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<v Speaker 1>looking back, it was a shift that took place in

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<v Speaker 1>the eighties and nineties and really took hold in the

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<v Speaker 1>first decade of this century. You know, intellectual shifts like

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<v Speaker 1>that are quite amazing. You know. I were still run

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<v Speaker 1>a laboratory, and one of my students at some lab

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<v Speaker 1>meeting a couple of years ago, was listening to a

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<v Speaker 1>description and he just turned and he said, before you

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<v Speaker 1>knew the sequence to the genome, how did you do anything?

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<v Speaker 1>Of course lots got done, but it was the sign

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<v Speaker 1>of what what intellectual progress is, which it so completely

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<v Speaker 1>infects the way you think about things that you assume

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<v Speaker 1>it's been in the woodwork forever. We'll be right back, Eric.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to ask you about how the institutions that

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<v Speaker 1>enable science to be done have been changing as a

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<v Speaker 1>consequence of the apocal change in the cognitive part of

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<v Speaker 1>science that you're describing. Your institute that you're the founding

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<v Speaker 1>director of, the Broad Institute is a great example. It's

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<v Speaker 1>tremendously influential throughout the areas of science which it touches upon,

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<v Speaker 1>and it touches upon many areas of science. It's extremely

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<v Speaker 1>well funded, it's not subordinated to the universities that it's

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<v Speaker 1>affiliated with Harvard and m T the way a traditional

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<v Speaker 1>institutent have been. And to be blunt, it's enormously powerful

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<v Speaker 1>in the world of science. How coincidental is the evolution

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<v Speaker 1>of the Broad to the developments you're talking about. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>had you started the Broad and it's not been the

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<v Speaker 1>way science was done would it have been as significant?

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<v Speaker 1>And similarly, had you not started the Broad But had

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<v Speaker 1>these scientific developments occurred, could they have occurred with the

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<v Speaker 1>same speed and efficiency Starting the Broad Institute it was

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<v Speaker 1>a response to these scientific changes. The Broad was an

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<v Speaker 1>answer to these new intellectual possibilities. But the word that

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<v Speaker 1>you didn't mention, which I think, is that the heart

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<v Speaker 1>of all of it is collaboration. We use the word

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<v Speaker 1>collaboration lightly. It's doing anything as we collaborate with somebody. No, no,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a sense of deep collaboration that underlies this new

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<v Speaker 1>era of science. So you know, what the Broad really

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<v Speaker 1>is is an intellectual meeting ground. What the Broad is

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<v Speaker 1>about is a collaborative spirit that is I think necessary

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<v Speaker 1>to take full advantage of where science is going right now.

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<v Speaker 1>Everything else follows from that. I totally buy that collaboration

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<v Speaker 1>is kind of the special sauce. It's also true, though,

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<v Speaker 1>that once there is a site of collaboration, that site

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<v Speaker 1>of collaboration can become tremendously empowered. I mean, think of

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<v Speaker 1>a trading zone in ancient civilizations or even in modern civilizations.

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<v Speaker 1>So if you find a spot where cultures converge in

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<v Speaker 1>collaboration becomes possible, that place becomes enriched and becomes powerful.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, Venice might be the classic example. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>kind of crossroads of East and West a certain moment

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<v Speaker 1>in history, and then tremendous wealth and power accrue in Venice.

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<v Speaker 1>And I guess what I'm wondering about is as the

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<v Speaker 1>resources needed to do biology at the highest level have

0:14:57.236 --> 0:15:02.236
<v Speaker 1>become greater and greater, doesn't that empower the institutions that

0:15:02.276 --> 0:15:04.876
<v Speaker 1>are at the center, that are the collaboration crossroads that

0:15:04.916 --> 0:15:07.996
<v Speaker 1>can raise the funds and then everyone really wants to

0:15:07.996 --> 0:15:10.076
<v Speaker 1>get a part of the action, which seems justifiable and

0:15:10.116 --> 0:15:11.996
<v Speaker 1>good for science. I'm not objecting to this, I'm just

0:15:11.996 --> 0:15:14.716
<v Speaker 1>trying to describe it. And no, I think biology is

0:15:14.756 --> 0:15:17.396
<v Speaker 1>just much more diverse than that. There are so many

0:15:17.516 --> 0:15:21.676
<v Speaker 1>different ways to do biology. As much as I champion

0:15:21.796 --> 0:15:26.156
<v Speaker 1>the rise of the ability to generate large data and

0:15:26.276 --> 0:15:30.316
<v Speaker 1>learn from it, it's one lens on biology. It's probably

0:15:30.316 --> 0:15:34.076
<v Speaker 1>fair to say that ninety five percent of biological discovery

0:15:34.116 --> 0:15:38.036
<v Speaker 1>today still is going on in traditional laboratory structures, and

0:15:38.276 --> 0:15:42.596
<v Speaker 1>they are dramatically empowered by the fact that the five

0:15:42.636 --> 0:15:46.356
<v Speaker 1>percent of places that are really into the let's generate

0:15:46.436 --> 0:15:49.036
<v Speaker 1>large data and analyze it all that put the data

0:15:49.116 --> 0:15:52.476
<v Speaker 1>freely out there because they use it. So the traditional

0:15:52.516 --> 0:15:58.556
<v Speaker 1>biological laboratory, which remains an incredibly powerful model, it becomes

0:15:58.596 --> 0:16:02.556
<v Speaker 1>a solid foundation that saves them tons of work. I

0:16:02.636 --> 0:16:06.676
<v Speaker 1>think what this has done is this has allowed different

0:16:06.756 --> 0:16:10.636
<v Speaker 1>approaches to grow up and interact, and it will continue

0:16:10.676 --> 0:16:15.036
<v Speaker 1>to change. I don't see anything close to a monopoly

0:16:15.116 --> 0:16:18.636
<v Speaker 1>of approach or a monopoly of power in modern biology,

0:16:18.676 --> 0:16:22.836
<v Speaker 1>because a biology is way too rich for that. One

0:16:22.876 --> 0:16:25.836
<v Speaker 1>of the consistent themes in your fascinating career, Eric is

0:16:25.876 --> 0:16:28.796
<v Speaker 1>that you've been constantly in touch with as an advisor

0:16:28.836 --> 0:16:33.396
<v Speaker 1>to or interacting with government. You've also been part of

0:16:33.436 --> 0:16:37.036
<v Speaker 1>the broader field of academic science, always centrally, and you've

0:16:37.076 --> 0:16:41.116
<v Speaker 1>also touched on the private sector corporate part, which is

0:16:41.116 --> 0:16:44.596
<v Speaker 1>one of the three legs, as it were, of contemporary science.

0:16:45.996 --> 0:16:49.196
<v Speaker 1>How do you see the relationship between those different moving

0:16:49.276 --> 0:16:53.236
<v Speaker 1>parts changing. We all still very much have the COVID

0:16:53.676 --> 0:16:56.876
<v Speaker 1>vaccine race in our minds, in which you've had government

0:16:56.876 --> 0:17:01.156
<v Speaker 1>playing sum roble, you've had private sector, you've had academic centers.

0:17:01.676 --> 0:17:04.276
<v Speaker 1>So that might be a concrete example to use, although

0:17:04.316 --> 0:17:07.476
<v Speaker 1>you feel free to use others too. You're describing a

0:17:07.556 --> 0:17:10.876
<v Speaker 1>model that was laid out in the closing months of

0:17:10.876 --> 0:17:15.996
<v Speaker 1>World War two. Very famously. Franklin Roosevelt, a couple of

0:17:16.036 --> 0:17:19.196
<v Speaker 1>weeks after his reelection in nineteen forty four, wrote to

0:17:19.276 --> 0:17:24.276
<v Speaker 1>his science advisor Veniva Bush, saying, boy, this science and

0:17:24.276 --> 0:17:27.796
<v Speaker 1>technology stuff's been pretty helpful in bringing the war at

0:17:27.876 --> 0:17:32.276
<v Speaker 1>least a successful direction. Then and eventually conclusion, how can

0:17:32.316 --> 0:17:35.916
<v Speaker 1>it make a big difference in peacetime? And Bush wrote

0:17:36.156 --> 0:17:42.156
<v Speaker 1>this report that is sort of known as a foundational text, Science, Science,

0:17:42.276 --> 0:17:47.676
<v Speaker 1>the Endless Frontier, and it laid out and eventually shaped

0:17:48.236 --> 0:17:52.236
<v Speaker 1>a world in which we have three pieces. We have government,

0:17:52.276 --> 0:17:55.876
<v Speaker 1>we have academia, we have industry. And there's this virtuous

0:17:55.916 --> 0:18:00.916
<v Speaker 1>cycle where Bush said in this report scientific discovery, which

0:18:00.996 --> 0:18:03.356
<v Speaker 1>during the war had been going on in government labs,

0:18:03.796 --> 0:18:06.396
<v Speaker 1>it should go on in universities, and it should go

0:18:06.396 --> 0:18:09.196
<v Speaker 1>on in the context of training the next generation. And

0:18:09.276 --> 0:18:14.396
<v Speaker 1>governments should fund academia to make basic knowledge fundamental knowledge

0:18:14.396 --> 0:18:18.076
<v Speaker 1>and make it broadly available. Industry is then able to

0:18:18.116 --> 0:18:20.796
<v Speaker 1>pick up that knowledge and turn it into private goods,

0:18:20.876 --> 0:18:24.996
<v Speaker 1>private products. And this virtuous cycle I've written about it,

0:18:24.996 --> 0:18:27.716
<v Speaker 1>and I called it like this miracle machine is something

0:18:27.756 --> 0:18:31.916
<v Speaker 1>that the United States perfected before and better than any

0:18:31.956 --> 0:18:34.956
<v Speaker 1>other country of how these pieces work off each other.

0:18:35.316 --> 0:18:39.996
<v Speaker 1>As an academic, I understand that our goal is create

0:18:40.196 --> 0:18:44.676
<v Speaker 1>knowledge and make it broadly available. But I also know

0:18:45.196 --> 0:18:47.556
<v Speaker 1>that it's never going to complete its mission if it

0:18:47.596 --> 0:18:50.916
<v Speaker 1>doesn't get to patients, and so academia has to work

0:18:50.956 --> 0:18:54.276
<v Speaker 1>with industry and government tests to think about what should

0:18:54.276 --> 0:18:58.356
<v Speaker 1>its policies be on funding. But understanding that balance of

0:18:58.356 --> 0:19:04.196
<v Speaker 1>those three partners in trying to create social products to

0:19:04.316 --> 0:19:08.116
<v Speaker 1>make society healthier, wealthier, and more secure, I think it's

0:19:08.116 --> 0:19:11.036
<v Speaker 1>really important to think about that. You depict a somewhat

0:19:11.116 --> 0:19:13.516
<v Speaker 1>rosy picture there, and I think for those of us

0:19:13.556 --> 0:19:15.636
<v Speaker 1>just coming out of we're not quite out of it yet,

0:19:15.636 --> 0:19:19.796
<v Speaker 1>but a Trump administration viewing an administration that was deeply

0:19:19.836 --> 0:19:22.396
<v Speaker 1>skeptical of science in a whole range of ways, from

0:19:22.436 --> 0:19:26.996
<v Speaker 1>climate ultimately to the epidemiologists advice on how to handle COVID,

0:19:27.076 --> 0:19:29.636
<v Speaker 1>and then which finally circled back to but we're doing

0:19:29.636 --> 0:19:33.756
<v Speaker 1>such a great job because we're facilitating the emergence of vaccines.

0:19:33.836 --> 0:19:36.276
<v Speaker 1>Left a lot of us skeptical about the productive role

0:19:36.556 --> 0:19:38.236
<v Speaker 1>that government can play, and then apart from that, a

0:19:38.276 --> 0:19:41.236
<v Speaker 1>lot of us have independent skepticism of the tremendous power

0:19:41.396 --> 0:19:44.076
<v Speaker 1>of private companies. Is there anything you would say that's

0:19:44.116 --> 0:19:46.716
<v Speaker 1>more critical about the relationship rather than that it's it

0:19:46.836 --> 0:19:49.036
<v Speaker 1>is still the miracle machine that it was depicted as

0:19:49.076 --> 0:19:53.236
<v Speaker 1>being in the rosy, good old Dask Miracle machines need

0:19:53.476 --> 0:19:56.596
<v Speaker 1>a lot of tending and repair and care. They don't

0:19:56.596 --> 0:19:59.356
<v Speaker 1>always get them right. I think, you know, we'll stand

0:19:59.396 --> 0:20:02.916
<v Speaker 1>back with enough distance and see what things got done

0:20:02.916 --> 0:20:05.796
<v Speaker 1>wrong and what lessons we can learn and what things

0:20:05.876 --> 0:20:09.436
<v Speaker 1>got done right. I'm thinking at a broader level, do

0:20:09.476 --> 0:20:11.396
<v Speaker 1>we have the model right? And I think the model

0:20:11.556 --> 0:20:14.796
<v Speaker 1>surely needs repair at many levels, but I don't think

0:20:14.796 --> 0:20:18.996
<v Speaker 1>it's fundamentally wrong. I think more fundamental science is getting

0:20:19.036 --> 0:20:22.716
<v Speaker 1>done in industry that's really important. I think, yes, we've

0:20:22.716 --> 0:20:27.116
<v Speaker 1>seen instances where the government has engaged in denying obvious

0:20:27.196 --> 0:20:31.236
<v Speaker 1>scientific facts. Not a good thing. But I don't think

0:20:31.316 --> 0:20:34.556
<v Speaker 1>there's any reason to think that that's a permanent condition.

0:20:35.316 --> 0:20:38.836
<v Speaker 1>I would point to a constant revision of this model.

0:20:39.036 --> 0:20:43.276
<v Speaker 1>Science does not sit on its laurels. It's always edgy,

0:20:43.676 --> 0:20:46.636
<v Speaker 1>and as soon as Veneva Bush laid out his early model,

0:20:47.156 --> 0:20:51.036
<v Speaker 1>there were efforts to rethink it and change it. If

0:20:51.036 --> 0:20:52.836
<v Speaker 1>you ask me, do I think we're in for a

0:20:52.916 --> 0:20:57.876
<v Speaker 1>period when there's both enormous need an enormous opportunity to

0:20:58.036 --> 0:21:03.596
<v Speaker 1>rethink those things. Yes, absolutely. But the fundamental idea that

0:21:04.156 --> 0:21:07.396
<v Speaker 1>this is one of the great engines of producing progress

0:21:07.476 --> 0:21:10.836
<v Speaker 1>for society I very much agree with, and that makes

0:21:10.836 --> 0:21:13.956
<v Speaker 1>it worth the trouble of figuring out how it needs

0:21:13.956 --> 0:21:18.236
<v Speaker 1>to be fixed and changed and improved. Eric, You've done

0:21:18.276 --> 0:21:21.996
<v Speaker 1>something pretty unusual for someone in your August position, which

0:21:22.036 --> 0:21:25.836
<v Speaker 1>is that you started a podcast, Brave New Planet, I

0:21:25.836 --> 0:21:28.796
<v Speaker 1>should say for disclosure purposes, produced by Pushkin, which also

0:21:28.876 --> 0:21:32.196
<v Speaker 1>produces this show. Tell me why I have to say,

0:21:32.196 --> 0:21:34.476
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's someone who's relatively new to podcasting figures.

0:21:34.516 --> 0:21:36.836
<v Speaker 1>I'm learning a little bit every day, make two mistakes

0:21:36.836 --> 0:21:40.116
<v Speaker 1>for every step forward. I was kind of heartened to

0:21:40.236 --> 0:21:41.756
<v Speaker 1>hear that you were doing it because I know that

0:21:41.796 --> 0:21:43.396
<v Speaker 1>whatever you do your due to the highest standard. And

0:21:43.396 --> 0:21:45.796
<v Speaker 1>sure enough, it's a great podcast. But why why did

0:21:45.836 --> 0:21:49.236
<v Speaker 1>you decide to devote significant time to that pursuit. Well,

0:21:49.436 --> 0:21:53.076
<v Speaker 1>it's actually related to what we're just talking about. I

0:21:53.116 --> 0:21:57.436
<v Speaker 1>really do believe in this compact between science and society,

0:21:58.076 --> 0:22:01.436
<v Speaker 1>and I do think it's frayed in certain ways. And

0:22:01.516 --> 0:22:05.516
<v Speaker 1>so for me, Brave New Planet, which is seven episodes

0:22:05.636 --> 0:22:08.796
<v Speaker 1>that try to take on really hard problems where I

0:22:08.876 --> 0:22:12.916
<v Speaker 1>don't know what the answer is, deep fakes, for example,

0:22:13.596 --> 0:22:17.396
<v Speaker 1>solar geoengineering. Should we engineer the Earth's atmosphere to mitigate

0:22:17.436 --> 0:22:23.436
<v Speaker 1>climate change? Lethal autonomous weapons? Should we have killer robots? Biases?

0:22:23.476 --> 0:22:27.956
<v Speaker 1>And predictive algorithms? And new technology is called gene drives

0:22:27.996 --> 0:22:31.876
<v Speaker 1>to reshape species in nature. And what Brave New Planet

0:22:31.956 --> 0:22:37.636
<v Speaker 1>is about is smart, thoughtful, passionate people trying to grapple

0:22:37.716 --> 0:22:41.396
<v Speaker 1>with what should we do? People who agree on the facts,

0:22:42.036 --> 0:22:45.916
<v Speaker 1>agree on the societal goals, and then don't agree on

0:22:45.956 --> 0:22:49.716
<v Speaker 1>the solutions because they're hard. Brave New Planet as the

0:22:49.756 --> 0:22:55.396
<v Speaker 1>tagline utopia or dystopia. It's up to us, and I

0:22:55.436 --> 0:22:57.476
<v Speaker 1>think that's right. I mean, there are gonna be a

0:22:57.476 --> 0:23:02.076
<v Speaker 1>lot of consequential decisions about science and technology that if

0:23:02.076 --> 0:23:06.436
<v Speaker 1>we make wise choices, could leave us a lot better off,

0:23:06.516 --> 0:23:09.036
<v Speaker 1>and if we don't make wise choices could leave us

0:23:09.036 --> 0:23:12.196
<v Speaker 1>a lot worsolve. Brave New Planet was an invitation for

0:23:12.236 --> 0:23:14.316
<v Speaker 1>that kind of a conversation and I hope we're gonna

0:23:14.356 --> 0:23:16.996
<v Speaker 1>have a lot more of it. Eric let last question,

0:23:17.076 --> 0:23:20.916
<v Speaker 1>and it derives from that tagline utopia or dystopia. It's

0:23:20.956 --> 0:23:23.276
<v Speaker 1>up to us. There's a theme that I sense in

0:23:23.356 --> 0:23:26.316
<v Speaker 1>you are thinking about your work over the last decades

0:23:26.636 --> 0:23:28.516
<v Speaker 1>and in the direction where things are going now. I

0:23:28.556 --> 0:23:32.476
<v Speaker 1>see you as on the whole an extremely optimistic, positive person.

0:23:32.836 --> 0:23:34.636
<v Speaker 1>But I actually wonder if that might be one of

0:23:34.636 --> 0:23:37.636
<v Speaker 1>the many secrets to your extraordinary success, that you're looking

0:23:37.636 --> 0:23:39.836
<v Speaker 1>optimistically and what can come next, and how change can

0:23:39.876 --> 0:23:42.196
<v Speaker 1>be productive, and how institutions can be evolved to make

0:23:42.236 --> 0:23:46.316
<v Speaker 1>them better. And yet that word dystopia is still lingering

0:23:46.356 --> 0:23:49.796
<v Speaker 1>there as a much more potentially You're not saying it

0:23:49.796 --> 0:23:53.996
<v Speaker 1>will be dystopic, but a much more potentially worrisome picture

0:23:54.436 --> 0:23:56.676
<v Speaker 1>of how our world is evolving, and particularly coming out

0:23:56.716 --> 0:24:01.196
<v Speaker 1>of extraordinary technological innovations, of which big data biology is

0:24:01.236 --> 0:24:05.236
<v Speaker 1>only one. So how do you think about the big

0:24:05.316 --> 0:24:08.396
<v Speaker 1>picture risks that we face really as a society or

0:24:08.396 --> 0:24:10.916
<v Speaker 1>as a civilization, which you know, at least when you

0:24:10.956 --> 0:24:13.876
<v Speaker 1>go to Silicon Valley you hear a lot of smart

0:24:13.876 --> 0:24:17.356
<v Speaker 1>people with a big steak in the future, very very

0:24:17.396 --> 0:24:22.036
<v Speaker 1>worried about what their technologies are capable of producing. Look,

0:24:22.076 --> 0:24:25.716
<v Speaker 1>I am an optimist, but I am a very realistic optimist.

0:24:26.276 --> 0:24:30.356
<v Speaker 1>I'm not Poyanna that everything works out well automatically. You

0:24:30.436 --> 0:24:33.036
<v Speaker 1>have to work really hard to make sure that you

0:24:33.156 --> 0:24:39.276
<v Speaker 1>get the upsides. So, as a realistic optimist, every one

0:24:39.276 --> 0:24:44.876
<v Speaker 1>of the episodes of Brave New Planet starts with all

0:24:44.916 --> 0:24:47.676
<v Speaker 1>of the upsides that could come from something, and then

0:24:47.796 --> 0:24:51.276
<v Speaker 1>pivots part way through the show to exactly the same

0:24:51.396 --> 0:24:57.516
<v Speaker 1>question what could possibly go wrong? And it then unfolds

0:24:57.636 --> 0:25:01.356
<v Speaker 1>layer after layer of how things can go off the rails,

0:25:01.756 --> 0:25:05.196
<v Speaker 1>and in some cases are going off the rails. I

0:25:05.356 --> 0:25:10.516
<v Speaker 1>try to be just completely clear eyed. There aren't quick fixes,

0:25:11.036 --> 0:25:15.076
<v Speaker 1>but we do need fixes, and so that balance is

0:25:15.076 --> 0:25:17.516
<v Speaker 1>something You're right. I could not do what I do

0:25:17.916 --> 0:25:22.316
<v Speaker 1>without being deeply optimistic, and I couldn't do it responsibly

0:25:22.956 --> 0:25:27.356
<v Speaker 1>without being deeply realistic. Eric. Thank you for the extraordinary

0:25:27.356 --> 0:25:29.156
<v Speaker 1>work that you have been doing, that you're still doing,

0:25:29.236 --> 0:25:30.996
<v Speaker 1>that you're going to continue to do. And thanks for

0:25:31.076 --> 0:25:33.196
<v Speaker 1>coming in talking about it with me on deep background.

0:25:33.236 --> 0:25:42.276
<v Speaker 1>Thank you a real pleasure. Noah, take care. Eric Lander

0:25:42.396 --> 0:25:46.276
<v Speaker 1>is not only a tremendously influential figure in science, He's

0:25:46.316 --> 0:25:50.396
<v Speaker 1>also a very, very talented science explainer, and I was

0:25:50.436 --> 0:25:52.556
<v Speaker 1>thrilled that we had that on display here in the

0:25:52.596 --> 0:25:56.196
<v Speaker 1>podcast as he talked about the transformation in biology, the

0:25:56.236 --> 0:26:00.156
<v Speaker 1>emergence of what some have sometimes called hypothesis free science,

0:26:00.156 --> 0:26:03.516
<v Speaker 1>which is really about forming hypotheses in new ways. For

0:26:03.556 --> 0:26:07.676
<v Speaker 1>scientists and for me, listening to him describe these developments,

0:26:07.836 --> 0:26:11.676
<v Speaker 1>it is really extraordinary to hear just how basic they've become,

0:26:12.036 --> 0:26:16.156
<v Speaker 1>to how biologists can respond to real time crises like

0:26:16.356 --> 0:26:20.876
<v Speaker 1>the crisis caused by Czars Cove two. At the same time,

0:26:21.076 --> 0:26:26.516
<v Speaker 1>all transformations in scientific institutions drive changes in how power

0:26:26.836 --> 0:26:30.876
<v Speaker 1>is deployed and how power functions, And although Eric preferred

0:26:30.876 --> 0:26:33.716
<v Speaker 1>to emphasize the ways that power is spread out across

0:26:33.756 --> 0:26:37.356
<v Speaker 1>the biological community, it's also true that big data science

0:26:37.396 --> 0:26:42.116
<v Speaker 1>inevitably has some concentrating effects on those people, places, and

0:26:42.196 --> 0:26:45.716
<v Speaker 1>institutions where the best and most cutting edge techniques can

0:26:45.756 --> 0:26:48.916
<v Speaker 1>be found and consolidated, and Eric has been at the

0:26:48.996 --> 0:26:52.756
<v Speaker 1>center of that development as well. Finally, I was very

0:26:52.796 --> 0:26:56.956
<v Speaker 1>struck by the carefulness with which Eric addresses the problem

0:26:57.036 --> 0:27:00.196
<v Speaker 1>of whether science is on the whole today bringing us

0:27:00.196 --> 0:27:03.356
<v Speaker 1>in a better direction, or has the capacity to throw

0:27:03.436 --> 0:27:07.076
<v Speaker 1>us into dystopia. I think it's highly significant that for

0:27:07.236 --> 0:27:12.036
<v Speaker 1>his podcast Brave New Planet, Eric is exploring specifically technologies

0:27:12.076 --> 0:27:16.516
<v Speaker 1>and scientific developments that have the capacity to go very,

0:27:16.636 --> 0:27:20.196
<v Speaker 1>very wrong. He's a realist about how to try to

0:27:20.236 --> 0:27:22.756
<v Speaker 1>fix those developments because they can't be put back in

0:27:22.836 --> 0:27:25.796
<v Speaker 1>the bottle. I tend to agree with that instinct towards realism.

0:27:26.636 --> 0:27:29.596
<v Speaker 1>Yet he knows that we cannot do the right thing

0:27:29.916 --> 0:27:32.916
<v Speaker 1>unless we think hard about what the right thing to do,

0:27:33.316 --> 0:27:37.356
<v Speaker 1>in fact is. In this moment, we're feeling or about

0:27:37.396 --> 0:27:41.676
<v Speaker 1>to feel, tremendous gratitude to science for what it's accomplished

0:27:41.716 --> 0:27:44.876
<v Speaker 1>with respect to a vaccine for Stars Covey two. Maybe

0:27:44.876 --> 0:27:47.036
<v Speaker 1>we're not quite there yet, but it's entirely possible that

0:27:47.076 --> 0:27:50.236
<v Speaker 1>we will be very grateful to science relatively soon. That

0:27:50.356 --> 0:27:54.796
<v Speaker 1>gratitude will also call for common sense analysis of what

0:27:54.876 --> 0:27:57.876
<v Speaker 1>the risks are and the downsides are of trusting the

0:27:57.916 --> 0:28:01.396
<v Speaker 1>scientific community too much in terms of its response to

0:28:01.476 --> 0:28:05.516
<v Speaker 1>a range of the most difficult social, political, and health

0:28:05.596 --> 0:28:09.276
<v Speaker 1>problems facing us today. Until the next time I speak, you,

0:28:09.796 --> 0:28:13.716
<v Speaker 1>be careful, be safe, and be well. Deep background is

0:28:13.716 --> 0:28:17.196
<v Speaker 1>brought to you by Pushkin Industries, our producer is Lydia Gencott,

0:28:17.436 --> 0:28:20.716
<v Speaker 1>our engineer is Martin Gonzalez, and our showrunner is Sophie

0:28:20.756 --> 0:28:24.596
<v Speaker 1>Crane mckibbon. Theme music by Luis Gera at Pushkin. Thanks

0:28:24.596 --> 0:28:28.596
<v Speaker 1>to Mia Lobell, Julia Barton, Heather Faine, Carlie mcgliori, Mackie Taylor,

0:28:28.756 --> 0:28:31.556
<v Speaker 1>Eric Sandler, and Jacob Weisberg. You can find me on

0:28:31.596 --> 0:28:34.316
<v Speaker 1>Twitter at Noah Arfeld. I also write a column for

0:28:34.316 --> 0:28:37.876
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Opinion, which you can find at bloomberg dot com Slashfelder.

0:28:38.516 --> 0:28:41.876
<v Speaker 1>To discover Bloomberg's original slate of podcasts, go to Bloomberg

0:28:41.916 --> 0:28:44.796
<v Speaker 1>dot com slash podcasts, and if you liked what you

0:28:44.876 --> 0:28:48.036
<v Speaker 1>heard today, please write a review or tell Afrah this

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<v Speaker 1>is deep background